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Angels 2023 Projected Batting Performance


All raw data supplied courtesy of Baseball-Reference.com.
They do a wonderful job, and deserve your support.

2023 Angels Projected Batting

Through games of Sunday, 1 October 2023.
All results are from true, unadjusted data.

Explanation of the Table

The Table below shows two lines for each player and for the team as a whole: Actual and Projected. The Actual lines are just what it says: the actual stats for this season to date; the Projected lines want a little explanation.

The projecting has two steps. The first is simple: for each man, we calculate the ratio of his current-season-to-date Plate Appearances to his career Plate Appearances, then multiply all his career stats by that ratio to get what one might call his “raw” career-performance data pro-rated to his current-year number of Plate Appearances. So, as a hypothetical example, a man with 5,000 career PAs and 250 PAs this season would have a ratio of 250/5000, or .050; so, if he had, say, 1215 career Hits, his raw projected Hits number for this season would be 1215 x .05, or 61 (if the calculated number is fractional, as with 60.75, we round it off to the nearest whole number).

That much is simple and, we hope, clear. The second adjustment takes a little explaining. It derives from the fact that—for a team or for an individual man—the number of Plate Appearances that will be had for a given number of Outs made (which is to say “innings played”) depends exactly on the on-base percentage: the higher the on-base percentage, the more PAs the man or team will have in any given number of innings.

To clarify: imagine a team with an abysmal .250 on-base percentage; that number means that, on average, one man in four that they send to the plate will get on safely. The converse of that is that three men in four will make out. (For simplicity’s sake in this elementary example, we ignore outs made on the bases.) So, in an average inning, that team, to make the three outs that constitute an inning, will send 4 men to the plate. If we next imagine a team with an equally absurd .500 on-base percentage, only half its batters make an out: thus, to make the three outs that define an inning, they would have—again, on average—to send 6 men to the plate. So (as should be intuitively obvious anyway), for a given number of innings, a higher OBP means more PAs.

The consequence of that is that each man’s “raw”stat projections, which were based on his PAs for this season, are slightly inaccurate, because his—and the team’s—PAs would be different (perhaps higher, perhaps lower) from what they are if all the men were performing at their career rates. To correct for that, we calculate each man’s career "outs rate" (all Outs made per plate appearance, which does include outs made on the bases) and multiply it by his percentage of the team’s total Plate Appearances; we then sum up those outs rates to get a projected team Outs rate, and from that—holding Outs made (which, again, is just innings played) constant—we can reckon the projected team PA total. We can then adjust each projected stat line by the ratio of expected team PAs to actual PAs (which normally yields a number fairly close to, but not equalling,1.0), giving us the true projected stats for each man and for the team.

(For this season for this team’s batting, the adjustment factor, rounded to three decimal places—the actual calculations use many more decimals— is 0.995)

Incidentally, that last adjustment is the reason that even rookies, whose whole “career” is just the current season, can have “adjusted” lines that differ slightly from their actual data lines, and why the TOP numbers here may differ slightly from those on other pages here.

You can see the overall “win-capability” of the team (its wins projected from these team numbers and the corresponding team pitching numbers) at our “Projected Team-Performances” page.

The Table

Player (alphabetical by last name) PA AB H 2B 3B HR TB BB SH SF HBP CI TOP
Jordyn Adams, actual: 40 39 5 0 0 0 5 0 0 1 0 0 74
Jordyn Adams, projected: 40 39 5 0 0 0 5 0 0 1 0 0 74
Jo Adell, actual: 62 58 12 3 1 3 26 4 0 0 0 0 582
Jo Adell, projected: 62 58 12 2 0 2 21 3 0 0 1 0 444
Trey Cabbage, actual: 56 53 11 3 0 1 17 2 0 1 0 0 361
Trey Cabbage, projected: 56 53 11 3 0 1 17 2 0 1 0 0 361
C.J. Cron, actual: 54 50 10 0 0 1 13 4 0 0 0 0 317
C.J. Cron, projected: 54 49 13 3 0 2 23 4 0 0 1 0 741
Brandon Drury, actual: 523 485 127 30 3 26 241 25 0 5 8 0 771
Brandon Drury, projected: 520 481 122 30 2 20 214 30 0 4 5 0 698
Eduardo Escobar, actual: 189 178 39 3 3 2 54 10 0 1 0 0 405
Eduardo Escobar, projected: 188 172 43 9 2 6 74 13 1 2 1 0 693
David Fletcher, actual: 97 89 22 1 0 2 29 7 1 0 0 0 502
David Fletcher, projected: 96 89 25 4 0 1 32 6 1 0 0 0 635
Randal Grichuk, actual: 208 194 42 12 1 8 80 11 0 1 2 0 533
Randal Grichuk, projected: 207 193 48 11 1 9 90 11 0 1 2 0 685
Jake Lamb, actual: 54 51 11 1 0 2 18 3 0 0 0 0 502
Jake Lamb, projected: 54 47 11 2 0 2 20 6 0 0 1 0 723
Mickey Moniak, actual: 323 311 87 21 2 14 154 9 0 0 3 0 766
Mickey Moniak, projected: 321 304 73 16 2 12 128 13 1 0 3 0 598
Mike Moustakas, actual: 250 237 56 8 0 8 88 6 0 5 2 0 525
Mike Moustakas, projected: 249 226 56 12 0 10 97 18 0 2 3 0 711
Player (alphabetical by last name) PA AB H 2B 3B HR TB BB SH SF HBP CI TOP
Zach Neto, actual: 329 289 65 17 0 9 109 20 1 3 16 0 653
Zach Neto, projected: 327 287 65 17 0 9 108 20 1 3 16 0 662
Logan O'Hoppe, actual: 199 182 43 6 0 14 91 14 0 1 2 0 772
Logan O'Hoppe, projected: 198 180 43 6 0 13 87 15 0 1 2 0 773
Shohei Ohtani, actual: 599 497 151 26 8 44 325 91 0 3 3 5 1454
Shohei Ohtani, projected: 596 515 141 27 6 35 287 73 0 3 3 2 1095
Chris Okey, actual: 2 2 0 0 0 0 0 0 0 0 0 0 0
Chris Okey, projected: 2 2 0 0 0 0 0 0 0 0 0 0 0
Kevin Padlo, actual: 8 8 1 1 0 0 2 0 0 0 0 0 0
Kevin Padlo, projected: 8 8 1 0 0 0 1 0 0 0 0 0 53
Kyren Paris, actual: 46 40 4 0 0 0 4 4 1 0 1 0 187
Kyren Paris, projected: 46 40 4 0 0 0 4 4 1 0 1 0 187
Brett Phillips, actual: 71 63 11 1 0 3 21 8 0 0 0 0 523
Brett Phillips, projected: 71 62 12 2 1 2 22 7 1 0 1 0 544
Anthony Rendon, actual: 183 148 35 6 0 2 47 25 0 4 6 0 759
Anthony Rendon, projected: 182 158 45 11 1 6 75 20 0 2 2 0 1003
Hunter Renfroe, actual: 504 459 111 31 0 19 199 39 0 3 3 0 664
Hunter Renfroe, projected: 501 456 109 25 1 27 218 38 0 4 3 0 756
Luis Rengifo, actual: 445 394 104 15 4 16 175 41 0 4 6 0 864
Luis Rengifo, projected: 443 401 98 15 3 13 157 32 2 2 5 0 646
Nolan Schanuel, actual: 132 109 30 3 0 1 36 20 0 0 3 0 864
Nolan Schanuel, projected: 131 108 30 3 0 1 36 20 0 0 3 0 882
Player (alphabetical by last name) PA AB H 2B 3B HR TB BB SH SF HBP CI TOP
Liván Soto, actual: 12 9 2 0 0 0 2 3 0 0 0 0 781
Liván Soto, projected: 12 11 4 1 0 0 6 1 0 0 0 0 1210
Michael Stefanic, actual: 71 62 18 2 1 0 22 8 0 0 1 0 824
Michael Stefanic, projected: 71 62 15 2 1 0 18 7 1 0 2 0 548
Matt Thaiss, actual: 307 262 56 6 0 9 89 36 0 3 6 0 653
Matt Thaiss, projected: 305 264 55 7 0 10 94 36 0 2 3 0 606
Mike Trout, actual: 362 308 81 14 1 18 151 45 0 2 7 0 1009
Mike Trout, projected: 360 298 90 17 3 20 173 53 0 3 5 0 1400
Gio Urshela, actual: 228 214 64 8 1 2 80 10 0 3 1 0 671
Gio Urshela, projected: 227 210 58 11 1 6 89 14 0 2 1 0 718
Andrew Velazquez, actual: 94 81 14 3 0 2 23 10 3 0 0 0 421
Andrew Velazquez, projected: 93 85 16 3 0 2 25 6 2 0 1 0 406
Chad Wallach, actual: 172 157 31 5 1 7 59 13 2 0 0 0 480
Chad Wallach, projected: 171 154 31 6 1 4 51 13 2 1 1 0 442
Jared Walsh, actual: 116 104 13 4 0 4 29 11 0 0 1 0 331
Jared Walsh, projected: 115 106 25 6 1 5 47 8 0 1 1 0 709
Taylor Ward, actual: 409 356 90 18 0 14 150 39 0 6 8 0 809
Taylor Ward, projected: 407 359 92 18 1 14 154 38 1 3 6 0 807
Angels, Actual: 6145 5489 1346 248 26 231 2339 518 8 46 79 5 741
Angels, Projected: 6113 5477 1353 269 27 232 2373 511 14 38 73 2 740
Player (alphabetical by last name) PA AB H 2B 3B HR TB BB SH SF HBP CI TOP


Assorted Team Stats:
Stat Actual Projected
Batting Average: 0.245 0.247
Slugging Average: 0.426 0.433
Walks (per PA): 0.084 0.084
SOs (per PA): 0.248 0.245
On-Base Average: 0.317 0.318
Power Factor: 1.738 1.754
OPS: 0.743 0.751
TOP Runs (to date): 739 746

Runs differential:
Actual Runs -7 less than Projected Runs.





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This page was last modified on Sunday, 4 February 2024, at 6:24 pm Pacific Time.