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Baseball team and player performance examined realistically and accurately.

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2020 Projected Team-Performances


All raw data supplied courtesy of Baseball-Reference.com.
They do a wonderful job, and deserve your support.

Through games of Tuesday, 29 September 2020.
All results are from true, unadjusted data.


2020 Expected Team Performances

These tables use the data found on the Projected Team Batting and Projected Team Pitching pages, which—see the explanations on those pages for details—project expected team runs scored and yielded based on the players’ and pitchers’ career stats to date, pro-rated by their actual percentages of team play time. The runs-scored and runs-allowed stats from those are then here used to calculate “expected” wins. These tables are essentially the answer to “How good are they really?”

But…these results depend heavily on just which players and pitchers get how much play time each, things that can vary considerably depending on many things, notably injuries and managerial whim—so this is not an “ultimate measure” of a team’s potential unless player use was perfectly optimal (meaning, to slightly over-simplify, that the best players got the most time).

(Team names are click-on links to their player/pitcher career stats.)


Teams Listed Alphabetically by Name
Team Pct Wins
Angels 0.537 87
Astros 0.568 92
Athletics 0.556 90
Blue Jays 0.525 85
Braves 0.543 88
Brewers 0.549 89
Cardinals 0.574 93
Cubs 0.611 99
Diamondbacks 0.525 85
Dodgers 0.741 120
Giants 0.519 84
Indians 0.599 97
Mariners 0.383 62
Marlins 0.414 67
Mets 0.617 100
Nationals 0.512 83
Orioles 0.414 67
Padres 0.580 94
Phillies 0.562 91
Pirates 0.426 69
Rangers 0.457 74
Rays 0.580 94
Red Sox 0.432 70
Reds 0.556 90
Rockies 0.475 77
Royals 0.463 75
Tigers 0.364 59
Twins 0.593 96
White Sox 0.568 92
Yankees 0.574 93



Teams Listed by Projected Performance
Team Pct Wins
Dodgers 0.741 120
Mets 0.617 100
Cubs 0.611 99
Indians 0.599 97
Twins 0.593 96
Rays 0.580 94
Padres 0.580 94
Yankees 0.574 93
Cardinals 0.574 93
White Sox 0.568 92
Astros 0.568 92
Phillies 0.562 91
Reds 0.556 90
Athletics 0.556 90
Brewers 0.549 89
Braves 0.543 88
Angels 0.537 87
Diamondbacks 0.525 85
Blue Jays 0.525 85
Giants 0.519 84
Nationals 0.512 83
Rockies 0.475 77
Royals 0.463 75
Rangers 0.457 74
Red Sox 0.432 70
Pirates 0.426 69
Orioles 0.414 67
Marlins 0.414 67
Mariners 0.383 62
Tigers 0.364 59




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This page was last modified on Wednesday, 30 September 2020, at 1:20 pm Pacific Time.