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Baseball team and player performance examined realistically and accurately.

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2020 Projected Team-Performances


All raw data supplied courtesy of Baseball-Reference.com.
They do a wonderful job, and deserve your support.

Through games of Thursday, 17 September 2020.
All results are from true, unadjusted data.


2020 Expected Team Performances

These tables use the data found on the Projected Team Batting and Projected Team Pitching pages, which—see the explanations on those pages for details—project expected team runs scored and yielded based on the players’ and pitchers’ career stats to date, pro-rated by their actual percentages of team play time. The runs-scored and runs-allowed stats from those are then here used to calculate “expected” wins. These tables are essentially the answer to “How good are they really?”

But…these results depend heavily on just which players and pitchers get how much play time each, things that can vary considerably depending on many things, notably injuries and managerial whim—so this is not an “ultimate measure” of a team’s potential unless player use was perfectly optimal (meaning, to slightly over-simplify, that the best players got the most time).

(Team names are click-on links to their player/pitcher career stats.)


Teams Listed Alphabetically by Name
Team Pct Wins
Angels 0.531 86
Astros 0.568 92
Athletics 0.574 93
Blue Jays 0.525 85
Braves 0.537 87
Brewers 0.556 90
Cardinals 0.568 92
Cubs 0.623 101
Diamondbacks 0.512 83
Dodgers 0.728 118
Giants 0.512 83
Indians 0.611 99
Mariners 0.389 63
Marlins 0.432 70
Mets 0.623 101
Nationals 0.519 84
Orioles 0.420 68
Padres 0.580 94
Phillies 0.543 88
Pirates 0.407 66
Rangers 0.451 73
Rays 0.568 92
Red Sox 0.420 68
Reds 0.556 90
Rockies 0.488 79
Royals 0.469 76
Tigers 0.340 55
Twins 0.593 96
White Sox 0.580 94
Yankees 0.586 95



Teams Listed by Projected Performance
Team Pct Wins
Dodgers 0.728 118
Mets 0.623 101
Cubs 0.623 101
Indians 0.611 99
Twins 0.593 96
Yankees 0.586 95
White Sox 0.580 94
Padres 0.580 94
Athletics 0.574 93
Rays 0.568 92
Cardinals 0.568 92
Astros 0.568 92
Reds 0.556 90
Brewers 0.556 90
Phillies 0.543 88
Braves 0.537 87
Angels 0.531 86
Blue Jays 0.525 85
Nationals 0.519 84
Giants 0.512 83
Diamondbacks 0.512 83
Rockies 0.488 79
Royals 0.469 76
Rangers 0.451 73
Marlins 0.432 70
Red Sox 0.420 68
Orioles 0.420 68
Pirates 0.407 66
Mariners 0.389 63
Tigers 0.340 55




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This page was last modified on Friday, 18 September 2020, at 5:10 pm Pacific Time.