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Baseball team and player performance examined realistically and accurately.

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2021 Projected Team-Performances


All raw data supplied courtesy of Baseball-Reference.com.
They do a wonderful job, and deserve your support.

Through games of Thursday, 15 April 2021.
All results are from true, unadjusted data.


2021 Expected Team Performances

These tables use the data found on the Projected Team Batting and Projected Team Pitching pages, which—see the explanations on those pages for details—project expected team runs scored and yielded based on the players’ and pitchers’ career stats to date, pro-rated by their actual percentages of team play time. The runs-scored and runs-allowed stats from those are then here used to calculate “expected” wins. These tables are essentially the answer to “How good are they really?”

But…these results depend heavily on just which players and pitchers get how much play time each, things that can vary considerably depending on many things, notably injuries and managerial whim—so this is not an “ultimate measure” of a team’s potential unless player use was perfectly optimal (meaning, to slightly over-simplify, that the best players got the most time).

(Team names are click-on links to their player/pitcher career stats.)


Teams Listed Alphabetically by Name
Team Pct Wins
Angels 0.580 94
Astros 0.667 108
Athletics 0.457 74
Blue Jays 0.586 95
Braves 0.506 82
Brewers 0.525 85
Cardinals 0.586 95
Cubs 0.568 92
Diamondbacks 0.481 78
Dodgers 0.691 112
Giants 0.525 85
Indians 0.586 95
Mariners 0.370 60
Marlins 0.500 81
Mets 0.599 97
Nationals 0.537 87
Orioles 0.451 73
Padres 0.562 91
Phillies 0.556 90
Pirates 0.364 59
Rangers 0.463 75
Rays 0.543 88
Red Sox 0.599 97
Reds 0.481 78
Rockies 0.414 67
Royals 0.556 90
Tigers 0.494 80
Twins 0.574 93
White Sox 0.660 107
Yankees 0.617 100



Teams Listed by Projected Performance
Team Pct Wins
Dodgers 0.691 112
Astros 0.667 108
White Sox 0.660 107
Yankees 0.617 100
Red Sox 0.599 97
Mets 0.599 97
Indians 0.586 95
Cardinals 0.586 95
Blue Jays 0.586 95
Angels 0.580 94
Twins 0.574 93
Cubs 0.568 92
Padres 0.562 91
Royals 0.556 90
Phillies 0.556 90
Rays 0.543 88
Nationals 0.537 87
Giants 0.525 85
Brewers 0.525 85
Braves 0.506 82
Marlins 0.500 81
Tigers 0.494 80
Reds 0.481 78
Diamondbacks 0.481 78
Rangers 0.463 75
Athletics 0.457 74
Orioles 0.451 73
Rockies 0.414 67
Mariners 0.370 60
Pirates 0.364 59




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This page was last modified on Friday, 16 April 2021, at 6:22 am Pacific Time.