Owing to the screen size of your device, you may obtain a better viewing experience by rotating your device a quarter-turn (to get the so-called "panorama" screen view).
owlcroft logo
An Owlcroft Company web site
Click here to email us.

The Owlcroft Baseball-Analysis Site

Baseball team and player performance examined realistically and accurately.

Search this site, or just roll your cursor over the colored boxes below the pictures.

  Advertisement:


  Advertisement:


ARI "Expected" Batting Results, 2019


About These Stats:

The form of "projection" used is very simple: each man's career numbers are pro-rated by his actual number of appearances to date this season; those data, labelled "proj:" are shown along with the man's actual stats from this year to date. At the bottom of the Table, each set of lines—"projected" and actual—is separately summed to get Team Totals for each dataset.

Note that "career to date" includes each man's stats for the current year: "to date" is literally correct. For veteran players, that matters little, but for rookies or players with litle prior major-league experience, it means that the "projection" will perforce nearly or exactly match the actual stats to date. That seems like the best way to deal with newly arrived players' stats.

Note that owing to rounding in the pro-rating process, projected total PA (plate appearances) may occasionally differ by 1.

Below the player/team table is a smaller table showing a few key team "rate" stats (such as batting average) actual and projected.

The Actual Data:

Through games of Monday, 22 April 2019.
All results are from true, unadjusted data.

Handedness Key:   + R   * L   # S

(You can also look up the stat definitions.)

Batters, listed in alphabetical order:
Each name is a click-on link to that man's career stats.

(or see the data for Pitching)


Man AB H 2B 3B HR BB SF SH HBP SO SB CS PA
Ahmed, Nick 2019: 85 23 7 0 1 5 2 0 0 22 2 0 92
Ahmed, Nick proj: 85 20 4 1 2 6 1 1 0 18 1 1 93
Andriese, Matt 2019: 1 0 0 0 0 0 0 0 0 1 0 0 1
Andriese, Matt proj: 1 0 0 0 0 0 0 0 0 1 0 0 1
Avila, Alex 2019: 15 5 1 0 2 6 0 0 0 5 0 0 21
Avila, Alex proj: 18 4 1 0 1 3 0 0 0 6 0 0 21
Clarke, Taylor 2019: 1 1 0 0 0 0 0 0 0 0 0 0 1
Clarke, Taylor proj: 1 1 0 0 0 0 0 0 0 0 0 0 1
Duplantier, Jon 2019: 1 0 0 0 0 0 0 0 0 1 0 0 1
Duplantier, Jon proj: 1 0 0 0 0 0 0 0 0 1 0 0 1
Dyson, Jarrod 2019: 49 14 1 0 3 8 1 0 0 10 3 1 58
Dyson, Jarrod proj: 51 13 2 1 0 5 0 1 0 9 6 1 57
Escobar, Eduardo 2019: 85 21 4 0 3 9 0 0 2 23 0 1 96
Escobar, Eduardo proj: 88 23 5 1 2 6 1 0 1 19 0 1 96
Flores, Wilmer 2019: 63 13 4 0 0 4 0 0 1 7 0 0 68
Flores, Wilmer proj: 63 16 3 0 2 4 1 0 1 9 0 0 69
Godley, Zack 2019: 11 3 0 0 0 0 0 0 0 5 0 0 11
Godley, Zack proj: 9 1 0 0 0 0 0 1 0 5 0 0 10
Greinke, Zack 2019: 10 5 2 0 2 1 0 2 0 0 0 0 13
Greinke, Zack proj: 11 3 1 0 0 1 0 1 0 2 0 0 13
Jones, Adam 2019: 92 28 7 0 5 7 0 0 3 15 0 1 103
Jones, Adam proj: 96 27 5 0 4 5 1 0 1 19 1 1 103
Joseph, Caleb 2019: 9 0 0 0 0 0 0 0 0 1 0 0 9
Joseph, Caleb proj: 8 2 0 0 0 0 0 0 0 2 0 0 8
Kelly, Carson 2019: 38 8 5 0 0 1 0 0 1 10 0 0 40
Kelly, Carson proj: 36 6 2 0 0 2 0 1 1 7 0 0 40
Kelly, Merrill 2019: 6 0 0 0 0 1 0 1 0 1 0 0 8
Kelly, Merrill proj: 6 0 0 0 0 1 0 1 0 1 0 0 8
Koch, Matt 2019: 5 0 0 0 0 0 0 0 0 4 0 0 5
Koch, Matt proj: 4 0 0 0 0 1 0 1 0 3 0 0 6
Lamb, Jake 2019: 15 4 1 0 0 3 0 0 0 6 0 0 18
Lamb, Jake proj: 16 4 1 0 1 2 0 0 0 5 0 0 18
Locastro, Tim 2019: 11 4 0 0 0 2 0 0 3 5 2 0 16
Locastro, Tim proj: 12 3 1 0 0 2 0 0 2 5 4 0 16
Marte, Ketel 2019: 89 22 4 1 4 3 1 0 0 21 2 0 93
Marte, Ketel proj: 84 22 4 1 1 7 1 0 0 15 2 1 92
Peralta, David 2019: 97 33 11 1 3 5 0 0 1 23 0 0 103
Peralta, David proj: 94 28 5 1 3 7 1 0 1 20 1 0 103
Ray, Robbie 2019: 10 0 0 0 0 0 0 0 0 7 0 0 10
Ray, Robbie proj: 9 1 0 0 0 0 0 1 0 4 0 0 10
Ryan Murphy, John 2019: 25 7 0 0 3 5 0 0 0 9 0 0 30
Ryan Murphy, John proj: 28 6 1 0 1 2 0 0 0 8 0 0 30
Swihart, Blake 2019: 1 1 0 0 0 0 0 0 0 0 0 0 1
Swihart, Blake proj: 1 0 0 0 0 0 0 0 0 0 0 0 1
Vargas, Ildemaro 2019: 28 6 2 0 1 0 0 0 0 4 0 0 28
Vargas, Ildemaro proj: 28 6 1 0 1 0 0 0 0 5 0 0 28
Walker, Christian 2019: 72 25 6 0 7 8 0 0 0 23 3 0 80
Walker, Christian proj: 72 18 4 0 6 7 0 0 1 28 2 0 80
Weaver, Luke 2019: 7 1 0 0 1 0 0 0 0 5 0 0 7
Weaver, Luke proj: 6 1 0 0 0 0 0 1 0 3 0 0 7
2019 TEAM TOTALS: 826 224 55 2 35 68 4 3 11 208 12 3 913
PROJECTED: 828 205 40 5 24 61 6 9 8 195 17 5 912
difference: -2 +19 +15 -3 +11 +7 -2 -6 +3 +13 -5 -2 +1
Man AB H 2B 3B HR BB SF SH HBP SO SB CS PA


Assorted Team Stats:
Stat Actual Projected
Batting Average: .271 .248
Slugging Average: .470 .395
Walks (per PA): .074 .067
SOs (per PA): .228 .214
On-Base Average: .332 .300
Power Factor: 1.73 1.6
OPS: .802 .695
TOP Runs (to date): 124 99

Runs differential:
Actual TOP 25 more than Projected TOP.




  Advertisement:


  Advertisement:



Want detailed, careful, unhysterical analysis of the effects of "Performance-Enhancing Drugs" in baseball? Click here to visit the Steroids & Baseball web site.

All content copyright © 2002 - 2019 by The Owlcroft Company.

This web page is strictly compliant with the W3C (World Wide Web Consortium) Extensible HyperText Markup Language (XHTML) Protocol v1.0 (Transitional) and the W3C Cascading Style Sheets (CSS) Protocol v3 — because we care about interoperability. Click on the logos below to test us!



This page was last modified on Tuesday, 23 April 2019, at 6:52 am Pacific Time.