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ARI "Expected" Batting Results, 2017


About These Stats:

The form of "projection" used is very simple: each man's career numbers are pro-rated by his actual number of appearances to date this season; those data, labelled "proj:" are shown along with the man's actual stats from this year to date. At the bottom of the Table, each set of lines—"projected" and actual—is separately summed to get Team Totals for each dataset.

Note that "career to date" includes each man's stats for the current year: "to date" is literally correct. For veteran players, that matters little, but for rookies or players with litle prior major-league experience, it means that the "projection" will perforce nearly or exactly match the actual stats to date. That seems like the best way to deal with newly arrived players' stats.

Note that owing to rounding in the pro-rating process, projected total PA (plate appearances) may occasionally differ by 1.

Below the player/team table is a smaller table showing a few key team "rate" stats (such as batting average) actual and projected.

The Actual Data:

Through games of Thursday, 27 April 2017.
All results are from true, unadjusted data.

Handedness Key:   + R   * L   # S

(You can also look up the stat definitions.)

Batters, listed in alphabetical order:
Each name is a click-on link to that man's career stats.

(or see the data for Pitching)


Man AB H 2B 3B HR BB SF SH HBP SO SB CS PA
Ahmed, Nick 2017: 40 10 2 0 1 1 0 0 0 9 1 2 41
Ahmed, Nick proj: 38 8 1 0 1 2 0 0 0 7 0 0 40
Bradley, Archie 2017: 2 0 0 0 0 0 0 0 0 2 0 0 2
Bradley, Archie proj: 2 0 0 0 0 0 0 0 0 1 0 0 2
Corbin, Patrick 2017: 8 0 0 0 0 0 0 2 0 5 0 0 10
Corbin, Patrick proj: 9 1 0 0 0 0 0 1 0 3 0 0 10
Descalso, Daniel 2017: 35 5 1 0 1 6 0 0 0 9 1 0 41
Descalso, Daniel proj: 36 9 2 0 1 4 0 1 0 8 0 0 41
Drury, Brandon 2017: 71 22 4 1 0 7 0 0 0 15 1 1 78
Drury, Brandon proj: 72 20 5 0 2 5 0 0 0 15 0 0 77
Godley, Zack 2017: 2 0 0 0 0 0 0 0 0 2 0 0 2
Godley, Zack proj: 2 0 0 0 0 0 0 0 0 1 0 0 2
Goldschmidt, Paul 2017: 81 26 7 0 4 19 0 0 2 16 6 0 102
Goldschmidt, Paul proj: 86 26 6 0 4 14 1 0 1 22 3 1 102
Greinke, Zack 2017: 10 1 0 0 0 0 0 0 0 4 0 0 10
Greinke, Zack proj: 9 2 0 0 0 0 0 1 0 2 0 0 10
Hazelbaker, Jeremy 2017: 21 7 1 1 0 2 0 0 0 7 0 0 23
Hazelbaker, Jeremy proj: 21 5 1 0 1 2 0 0 0 7 0 0 23
Herrmann, Chris 2017: 34 6 0 0 1 1 0 0 0 7 0 0 35
Herrmann, Chris proj: 32 7 1 0 1 3 0 0 0 9 0 0 35
Iannetta, Chris 2017: 34 8 1 0 2 4 0 0 1 10 0 0 39
Iannetta, Chris proj: 33 7 2 0 1 5 0 0 1 9 0 0 39
Lamb, Jake 2017: 86 25 4 1 4 9 1 0 0 28 2 1 96
Lamb, Jake proj: 86 22 4 1 3 9 1 0 0 25 1 0 96
Mathis, Jeff 2017: 44 5 2 1 0 1 0 0 0 17 0 0 45
Mathis, Jeff proj: 40 8 2 0 1 3 0 1 0 13 0 0 44
Miller, Shelby 2017: 6 0 0 0 0 2 0 0 1 3 0 0 9
Miller, Shelby proj: 7 1 0 0 0 0 0 1 0 4 0 0 8
Owings, Chris 2017: 80 26 4 1 4 5 0 0 0 18 6 1 85
Owings, Chris proj: 79 21 4 1 1 4 0 1 0 19 3 0 84
Peralta, David 2017: 82 28 6 1 3 7 1 0 1 19 3 1 91
Peralta, David proj: 83 25 4 2 3 6 1 0 1 18 2 1 91
Pollock, A.J. 2017: 95 30 8 1 2 6 0 0 0 17 7 2 101
Pollock, A.J. proj: 92 27 6 1 2 8 1 0 0 15 5 1 101
Ray, Robbie 2017: 8 4 0 0 0 0 0 1 0 4 0 0 9
Ray, Robbie proj: 8 2 0 0 0 0 0 1 0 4 0 0 9
Tomas, Yasmany 2017: 78 24 7 1 5 4 1 0 0 23 0 0 83
Tomas, Yasmany proj: 79 22 4 0 3 4 0 0 0 21 1 0 83
Walker, Taijuan 2017: 10 1 0 0 0 1 0 0 0 4 0 0 11
Walker, Taijuan proj: 10 1 1 0 0 1 0 1 0 5 0 0 12
2017 TEAM TOTALS: 827 228 47 8 27 75 3 3 5 219 27 8 913
PROJECTED: 824 214 43 5 24 70 4 8 3 208 15 3 909
difference: +3 +14 +4 +3 +3 +5 -1 -5 +2 +11 +12 +5 +4
Man AB H 2B 3B HR BB SF SH HBP SO SB CS PA


Assorted Team Stats:
Stat Actual Projected
Batting Average: .276 .260
Slugging Average: .450 .411
Walks (per PA): .082 .077
SOs (per PA): .240 .228
On-Base Average: .337 .316
Power Factor: 1.63 1.58
OPS: .787 .727
TOP Runs (to date): 123 106

Runs differential:
Actual TOP 17 more than Projected TOP.




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This page was last modified on Friday, 28 April 2017, at 6:56 am Pacific Time.