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ARI "Expected" Batting Results, 2018


About These Stats:

The form of "projection" used is very simple: each man's career numbers are pro-rated by his actual number of appearances to date this season; those data, labelled "proj:" are shown along with the man's actual stats from this year to date. At the bottom of the Table, each set of lines—"projected" and actual—is separately summed to get Team Totals for each dataset.

Note that "career to date" includes each man's stats for the current year: "to date" is literally correct. For veteran players, that matters little, but for rookies or players with litle prior major-league experience, it means that the "projection" will perforce nearly or exactly match the actual stats to date. That seems like the best way to deal with newly arrived players' stats.

Note that owing to rounding in the pro-rating process, projected total PA (plate appearances) may occasionally differ by 1.

Below the player/team table is a smaller table showing a few key team "rate" stats (such as batting average) actual and projected.

The Actual Data:

Through games of Sunday, 30 September 2018.
All results are from true, unadjusted data.

Handedness Key:   + R   * L   # S

(You can also look up the stat definitions.)

Batters, listed in alphabetical order:
Each name is a click-on link to that man's career stats.

(or see the data for Pitching)


Man AB H 2B 3B HR BB SF SH HBP SO SB CS PA
Ahmed, Nick 2018: 516 121 33 5 16 40 5 1 2 109 5 4 564
Ahmed, Nick proj: 519 119 25 5 13 35 4 4 3 106 6 6 565
Andriese, Matt 2018: 1 0 0 0 0 0 0 0 0 1 0 0 1
Andriese, Matt proj: 1 0 0 0 0 0 0 0 0 0 0 0 1
Avila, Alex 2018: 194 32 6 0 7 37 2 0 1 90 0 0 234
Avila, Alex proj: 198 47 10 1 7 33 1 1 1 67 1 1 234
Brito, Socrates 2018: 40 7 0 0 1 3 1 0 0 9 0 1 44
Brito, Socrates proj: 42 9 2 1 1 2 0 0 0 10 1 0 44
Buchholz, Clay 2018: 31 2 1 0 0 1 0 5 0 17 0 0 37
Buchholz, Clay proj: 32 3 1 0 0 1 0 4 0 16 0 0 37
Corbin, Patrick 2018: 61 12 1 0 0 2 0 4 0 25 0 0 67
Corbin, Patrick proj: 58 10 2 1 0 3 0 5 0 24 0 0 66
De La Rosa, Jorge 2018: 1 0 0 0 0 1 0 0 0 0 0 0 2
De La Rosa, Jorge proj: 2 0 0 0 0 0 0 0 0 1 0 0 2
Descalso, Daniel 2018: 349 83 22 4 13 64 7 0 2 110 0 1 423
Descalso, Daniel proj: 368 88 19 4 7 44 3 4 3 85 4 2 422
Dyson, Jarrod 2018: 206 39 4 2 2 27 1 3 0 34 16 3 237
Dyson, Jarrod proj: 210 53 7 4 2 20 1 4 2 38 24 4 237
Escobar, Eduardo 2018: 198 53 11 0 8 18 5 0 2 35 1 1 223
Escobar, Eduardo proj: 204 53 12 2 6 15 2 1 1 44 1 1 223
Godley, Zack 2018: 53 3 0 0 0 4 0 8 0 30 0 0 65
Godley, Zack proj: 54 4 0 0 0 3 0 8 0 31 0 0 65
Goldschmidt, Paul 2018: 593 172 35 5 33 90 0 0 6 173 7 4 690
Goldschmidt, Paul proj: 583 173 39 3 31 96 5 0 5 155 18 5 689
Greinke, Zack 2018: 64 15 4 0 0 3 0 4 0 16 3 0 71
Greinke, Zack proj: 61 13 3 0 1 3 1 6 0 13 1 0 71
Hirano, Yoshihisa 2018: 1 0 0 0 0 0 0 0 0 0 0 0 1
Hirano, Yoshihisa proj: 1 0 0 0 0 0 0 0 0 0 0 0 1
Jay, Jon 2018: 289 68 10 5 2 14 1 1 15 56 1 1 320
Jay, Jon proj: 284 81 14 2 3 22 2 4 8 53 4 3 320
Kivlehan, Patrick 2018: 13 3 0 2 0 0 0 0 1 6 0 0 14
Kivlehan, Patrick proj: 12 3 0 0 1 1 0 0 0 5 0 0 13
Koch, Matt 2018: 17 1 0 0 0 3 0 3 0 11 0 0 23
Koch, Matt proj: 16 1 0 0 0 3 0 4 0 11 0 0 23
Lamb, Jake 2018: 207 46 8 0 6 26 4 0 1 65 1 2 238
Lamb, Jake proj: 208 51 11 2 9 26 2 0 1 60 2 1 237
Marrero, Deven 2018: 78 13 1 1 0 6 1 0 0 23 3 0 85
Marrero, Deven proj: 78 15 2 0 1 6 1 1 0 27 2 0 86
Marte, Ketel 2018: 520 135 26 12 14 54 2 1 3 79 6 1 580
Marte, Ketel proj: 524 138 27 7 8 47 4 2 2 91 10 4 579
Mathis, Jeff 2018: 195 39 9 1 1 20 2 1 0 66 0 0 218
Mathis, Jeff proj: 196 39 8 1 4 15 2 4 1 61 1 1 218
McFarland, T.J. 2018: 7 0 0 0 0 0 0 0 0 6 0 0 7
McFarland, T.J. proj: 6 1 0 0 0 0 0 1 0 5 0 0 7
Medlen, Kris 2018: 1 0 0 0 0 0 0 0 0 1 0 0 1
Medlen, Kris proj: 1 0 0 0 0 0 0 0 0 0 0 0 1
Miller, Shelby 2018: 3 0 0 0 0 1 1 0 0 1 0 0 5
Miller, Shelby proj: 4 0 0 0 0 0 0 1 0 2 0 0 5
Negron, Kristopher 2018: 3 1 0 0 0 0 0 0 0 0 0 0 3
Negron, Kristopher proj: 3 1 0 0 0 0 0 0 0 1 0 0 3
Owings, Chris 2018: 281 58 15 0 4 24 2 0 2 75 11 4 309
Owings, Chris proj: 288 72 16 3 5 16 2 2 2 69 10 2 310
Peralta, David 2018: 560 164 25 5 30 48 2 0 4 124 4 0 614
Peralta, David proj: 561 164 28 9 20 44 4 0 5 117 8 3 614
Pollock, A.J. 2018: 413 106 21 5 21 31 7 1 8 100 13 2 460
Pollock, A.J. proj: 418 117 26 5 14 34 3 1 4 75 19 4 460
Ray, Robbie 2018: 39 3 1 0 0 0 1 4 0 24 0 0 44
Ray, Robbie proj: 39 7 1 0 0 1 0 4 0 19 0 0 44
Ryan Murphy, John 2018: 208 42 9 0 9 11 1 2 1 71 0 0 223
Ryan Murphy, John proj: 206 46 10 0 5 12 2 2 1 61 0 0 223
Salas, Fernando 2018: 1 0 0 0 0 0 0 0 0 0 0 0 1
Salas, Fernando proj: 1 0 0 0 0 0 0 0 0 0 0 0 1
Scribner, Troy 2018: 1 0 0 0 0 0 0 0 0 1 0 0 1
Scribner, Troy proj: 1 0 0 0 0 0 0 0 0 1 0 0 1
Shipley, Braden 2018: 2 0 0 0 0 0 0 0 0 0 0 0 2
Shipley, Braden proj: 2 0 0 0 0 0 0 0 0 1 0 0 2
Souza Jr., Steven 2018: 241 53 15 3 5 28 0 0 3 75 6 1 272
Souza Jr., Steven proj: 239 56 10 1 11 29 1 0 3 85 6 3 272
Stewart, Chris 2018: 1 0 0 0 0 0 0 0 0 0 0 0 1
Stewart, Chris proj: 1 0 0 0 0 0 0 0 0 0 0 0 1
Vargas, Ildemaro 2018: 19 4 0 0 1 1 0 0 0 4 1 0 20
Vargas, Ildemaro proj: 19 5 1 0 1 1 0 0 0 4 1 0 20
Walker, Christian 2018: 49 8 2 0 3 3 0 0 1 22 1 0 53
Walker, Christian proj: 47 8 2 0 3 4 0 0 2 21 1 0 53
Walker, Taijuan 2018: 4 0 0 0 0 0 0 0 0 1 0 0 4
Walker, Taijuan proj: 4 1 0 0 0 0 0 0 0 1 0 0 4
2018 TEAM TOTALS: 5460 1283 259 50 176 560 45 38 52 1460 79 25 6157
PROJECTED: 5491 1378 276 51 153 516 40 63 44 1360 120 40 6154
difference: -31 -95 -17 -1 +23 +44 +5 -25 +8 +100 -41 -15 +3
Man AB H 2B 3B HR BB SF SH HBP SO SB CS PA


Assorted Team Stats:
Stat Actual Projected
Batting Average: .235 .251
Slugging Average: .397 .403
Walks (per PA): .091 .084
SOs (per PA): .237 .221
On-Base Average: .308 .315
Power Factor: 1.69 1.61
OPS: .705 .718
TOP Runs (to date): 678 704

Runs differential:
Actual TOP 26 less than Projected TOP.




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This page was last modified on Monday, 1 October 2018, at 7:07 am Pacific Time.