Owing to the screen size of your device, you may obtain a better viewing experience by rotating your device a quarter-turn (to get the so-called "panorama" screen view).
owlcroft logo
An Owlcroft Company web site
Click here to email us.

The Owlcroft Baseball-Analysis Site

Baseball team and player performance examined realistically and accurately.

Search this site, or just roll your cursor over the colored boxes below the pictures.

  Advertisement:


  Advertisement:


ARI "Expected" Batting Results, 2019


About These Stats:

The form of "projection" used is very simple: each man's career numbers are pro-rated by his actual number of appearances to date this season; those data, labelled "proj:" are shown along with the man's actual stats from this year to date. At the bottom of the Table, each set of lines—"projected" and actual—is separately summed to get Team Totals for each dataset.

Note that "career to date" includes each man's stats for the current year: "to date" is literally correct. For veteran players, that matters little, but for rookies or players with litle prior major-league experience, it means that the "projection" will perforce nearly or exactly match the actual stats to date. That seems like the best way to deal with newly arrived players' stats.

Note that owing to rounding in the pro-rating process, projected total PA (plate appearances) may occasionally differ by 1.

Below the player/team table is a smaller table showing a few key team "rate" stats (such as batting average) actual and projected.

The Actual Data:

Through games of Monday, 30 September 2019.
All results are from true, unadjusted data.

Handedness Key:   + R   * L   # S

(You can also look up the stat definitions.)

Batters, listed in alphabetical order:
Each name is a click-on link to that man's career stats.

(or see the data for Pitching)


Man AB H 2B 3B HR BB SF SH HBP SO SB CS PA
Ahmed, Nick 2019: 556 141 33 6 19 52 12 1 4 113 8 2 625
Ahmed, Nick proj: 570 134 29 5 16 42 7 3 3 116 7 5 625
Almonte, Abraham 2019: 31 9 3 1 1 7 0 0 0 8 0 0 38
Almonte, Abraham proj: 34 8 2 0 1 3 0 0 0 9 1 0 37
Andriese, Matt 2019: 6 0 0 0 0 0 0 0 0 3 0 0 6
Andriese, Matt proj: 6 0 0 0 0 0 0 0 0 3 0 0 6
Avila, Alex 2019: 164 34 8 0 9 36 0 0 1 68 1 0 201
Avila, Alex proj: 170 40 8 0 6 29 1 1 1 59 0 0 202
Bradley, Archie 2019: 1 0 0 0 0 0 0 0 0 1 0 0 1
Bradley, Archie proj: 1 0 0 0 0 0 0 0 0 1 0 0 1
Clarke, Taylor 2019: 24 6 0 0 1 0 0 1 0 10 0 0 25
Clarke, Taylor proj: 24 6 0 0 1 0 0 1 0 10 0 0 25
Cron, Kevin 2019: 71 15 4 0 6 4 1 0 2 28 0 1 78
Cron, Kevin proj: 71 15 4 0 6 4 1 0 2 28 0 1 78
Duplantier, Jon 2019: 8 1 0 0 0 0 0 0 0 5 0 0 8
Duplantier, Jon proj: 8 1 0 0 0 0 0 0 0 5 0 0 8
Dyson, Jarrod 2019: 400 92 11 2 7 47 2 1 2 86 30 4 452
Dyson, Jarrod proj: 400 99 13 6 4 39 2 7 4 75 43 8 452
Escobar, Eduardo 2019: 636 171 29 10 35 50 10 0 3 130 5 1 699
Escobar, Eduardo proj: 640 166 37 6 21 47 6 3 4 136 4 3 700
Flores, Wilmer 2019: 265 84 18 0 9 15 1 0 4 31 0 0 285
Flores, Wilmer proj: 265 71 14 0 10 15 3 0 2 36 0 0 285
Gallen, Zac 2019: 9 1 0 0 0 0 0 4 0 3 0 0 13
Gallen, Zac proj: 10 1 0 0 0 0 0 3 0 4 0 0 13
Godley, Zack 2019: 18 3 0 0 0 3 0 1 0 9 0 0 22
Godley, Zack proj: 18 1 0 0 0 1 0 3 0 10 0 0 22
Greinke, Zack 2019: 48 13 4 1 3 2 0 4 0 11 1 0 54
Greinke, Zack proj: 47 11 3 0 1 2 0 4 0 10 1 0 53
Jones, Adam 2019: 485 126 25 1 16 31 3 0 8 101 2 1 528
Jones, Adam proj: 492 136 24 2 20 24 4 1 7 98 7 2 528
Joseph, Caleb 2019: 38 8 2 0 0 1 0 1 1 10 0 0 41
Joseph, Caleb proj: 38 8 2 0 1 2 0 0 0 10 0 0 40
Kelly, Carson 2019: 314 77 19 0 18 48 1 0 2 79 0 0 365
Kelly, Carson proj: 317 70 17 0 13 41 1 2 4 73 0 0 365
Kelly, Merrill 2019: 52 1 0 0 0 2 0 6 0 25 0 0 60
Kelly, Merrill proj: 52 1 0 0 0 2 0 6 0 25 0 0 60
Koch, Matt 2019: 6 0 0 0 0 0 0 0 0 5 0 0 6
Koch, Matt proj: 4 0 0 0 0 1 0 1 0 3 0 0 6
Lamb, Jake 2019: 187 36 8 2 6 32 2 0 5 55 1 0 226
Lamb, Jake proj: 197 48 10 2 8 26 2 0 2 57 2 1 227
Leake, Mike 2019: 20 1 0 0 0 0 0 2 0 11 0 0 22
Leake, Mike proj: 19 4 1 0 0 1 0 2 0 8 0 0 22
Leyba, Domingo 2019: 25 7 2 1 0 4 1 0 0 9 0 0 30
Leyba, Domingo proj: 25 7 2 1 0 4 1 0 0 9 0 0 30
Locastro, Tim 2019: 212 53 12 2 1 14 1 1 22 44 17 0 250
Locastro, Tim proj: 211 52 12 2 1 15 1 1 22 46 21 0 250
Marte, Ketel 2019: 569 187 36 9 32 53 2 0 4 86 10 2 628
Marte, Ketel proj: 568 160 31 8 16 51 4 2 3 95 11 4 628
McFarland, T.J. 2019: 3 0 0 0 0 0 0 2 0 3 0 0 5
McFarland, T.J. proj: 4 0 0 0 0 0 0 1 0 3 0 0 5
Peralta, David 2019: 382 105 29 3 12 35 1 0 5 87 0 0 423
Peralta, David proj: 386 112 21 6 14 31 2 0 4 82 5 2 423
Ray, Robbie 2019: 55 4 0 0 0 0 0 5 0 28 0 0 60
Ray, Robbie proj: 53 8 1 0 0 1 0 6 0 26 0 0 60
Rojas, Josh 2019: 138 30 7 0 2 18 0 0 1 41 4 2 157
Rojas, Josh proj: 138 30 7 0 2 18 0 0 1 41 4 2 157
Ryan Murphy, John 2019: 62 11 3 0 4 6 0 1 0 28 0 0 69
Ryan Murphy, John proj: 64 14 3 0 2 4 1 1 0 20 0 0 70
Sherfy, Jimmie 2019: 2 0 0 0 0 0 0 0 0 2 0 0 2
Sherfy, Jimmie proj: 2 0 0 0 0 0 0 0 0 2 0 0 2
Swihart, Blake 2019: 66 9 0 0 3 4 0 0 0 29 0 0 70
Swihart, Blake proj: 64 16 3 0 1 5 0 0 0 19 1 0 69
Tomas, Yasmany 2019: 6 0 0 0 0 0 0 0 0 3 0 0 6
Tomas, Yasmany proj: 6 2 0 0 0 0 0 0 0 2 0 0 6
Vargas, Ildemaro 2019: 201 54 9 1 6 9 1 0 0 24 1 0 211
Vargas, Ildemaro proj: 201 54 9 1 6 9 1 0 0 27 2 0 211
Walker, Christian 2019: 529 137 26 1 29 67 1 0 6 155 8 1 603
Walker, Christian proj: 530 131 26 1 30 64 1 0 8 168 8 1 603
Weaver, Luke 2019: 19 2 0 0 1 0 1 1 0 11 0 0 21
Weaver, Luke proj: 18 3 0 0 0 0 0 2 0 8 0 0 20
Young, Alex 2019: 25 1 0 0 0 0 0 0 0 18 0 0 25
Young, Alex proj: 25 1 0 0 0 0 0 0 0 18 0 0 25
2019 TEAM TOTALS: 5633 1419 288 40 220 540 40 31 70 1360 88 14 6315
PROJECTED: 5678 1410 279 40 180 481 38 50 67 1342 117 29 6314
difference: -45 +9 +9 0 +40 +59 +2 -19 +3 +18 -29 -15 +1
Man AB H 2B 3B HR BB SF SH HBP SO SB CS PA


Assorted Team Stats:
Stat Actual Projected
Batting Average: .252 .248
Slugging Average: .434 .407
Walks (per PA): .086 .076
SOs (per PA): .215 .213
On-Base Average: .321 .310
Power Factor: 1.72 1.64
OPS: .756 .717
TOP Runs (to date): 789 722

Runs differential:
Actual TOP 67 more than Projected TOP.




  Advertisement:


  Advertisement:



Want detailed, careful, unhysterical analysis of the effects of "Performance-Enhancing Drugs" in baseball? Click here to visit the Steroids & Baseball web site.

All content copyright © 2002 - 2019 by The Owlcroft Company.

This web page is strictly compliant with the W3C (World Wide Web Consortium) Extensible HyperText Markup Language (XHTML) Protocol v1.0 (Transitional) and the W3C Cascading Style Sheets (CSS) Protocol v3 — because we care about interoperability. Click on the logos below to test us!



This page was last modified on Tuesday, 1 October 2019, at 7:36 am Pacific Time.