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ARI "Expected" Pitching Results, 2017


About These Stats:

The form of "projection" used is very simple: each man's career numbers are pro-rated by his actual number of batters faced to date this season; those data, labelled "proj:" are shown along with the man's actual stats from this year to date. At the bottom of the Table, each set of lines—"projected" and actual—is separately summed to get Team Totals for each dataset.

Note that "career to date" includes each man's stats for the current year: "to date" is literally correct. For veteran players, that matters little, but for rookies or players with litle prior major-league experience, it means that the "projection" will perforce nearly or exactly match the actual stats to date. That seems like the best way to deal with newly arrived players' stats.

Note that owing to rounding in the pro-rating process, projected total BFP (batters faced) may occasionally differ by 1.

Below the player/team table is a smaller table showing a few key team "rate" stats (such as batting average) actual and projected.

The Actual Data:

Through games of Sunday, 24 September 2017.
All results are from true, unadjusted data.

Handedness Key:   + R   * L

(You can also look up the stat definitions.)

Pitchers, listed in alphabetical order:
Each name is a click-on link to that man's career stats.

(or see the data for Batting)


Man AB H 2B 3B HR BB SF SH HBP SO SB CS BFP
Banda, Anthony 2017: 82 23 9 3 1 8 0 0 3 21 0 0 93
Banda, Anthony proj: 82 23 9 3 1 8 0 0 3 21 0 0 93
Barrett, Jake 2017: 93 24 2 1 7 14 1 0 0 23 1 0 108
Barrett, Jake proj: 93 21 5 1 4 13 1 0 1 24 1 1 108
Bracho, Silvino 2017: 68 15 0 0 5 7 0 0 0 19 1 0 75
Bracho, Silvino proj: 67 17 3 0 4 6 0 0 1 16 0 0 74
Bradley, Archie 2017: 253 49 8 2 3 18 1 1 1 76 3 0 274
Bradley, Archie proj: 242 61 14 2 6 27 2 1 2 62 5 2 274
Chafin, Andrew 2017: 188 48 8 1 5 21 1 2 2 57 1 1 214
Chafin, Andrew proj: 187 44 10 0 3 22 1 3 2 48 1 0 215
Corbin, Patrick 2017: 744 206 47 7 26 59 5 4 3 176 6 5 815
Corbin, Patrick proj: 743 199 42 6 24 57 4 6 6 166 4 4 816
De La Rosa, Jorge 2017: 186 44 9 0 7 21 1 2 3 44 5 0 213
De La Rosa, Jorge proj: 185 48 11 1 6 22 2 2 2 41 4 1 213
De La Rosa, Rubby 2017: 30 7 1 1 2 4 0 0 0 12 0 0 34
De La Rosa, Rubby proj: 30 8 2 0 1 3 0 0 0 7 0 0 33
Delgado, Randall 2017: 239 60 15 2 6 14 2 4 0 60 6 2 259
Delgado, Randall proj: 231 58 13 1 7 23 2 2 1 53 2 1 259
Descalso, Daniel 2017: 6 0 0 0 0 0 0 0 0 0 0 0 6
Descalso, Daniel proj: 6 0 0 0 0 0 0 0 0 0 0 0 6
Godley, Zack 2017: 535 116 31 1 13 50 2 6 5 158 1 0 598
Godley, Zack proj: 531 128 28 3 17 51 2 8 7 139 2 0 599
Greinke, Zack 2017: 733 166 34 4 24 43 3 4 0 211 5 8 783
Greinke, Zack proj: 724 179 36 5 19 46 3 6 5 174 6 5 784
Hernandez, David 2017: 66 19 3 0 4 1 2 0 0 14 2 1 69
Hernandez, David proj: 61 15 3 0 2 6 0 0 1 16 1 0 68
Hoover, J.J. 2017: 164 46 8 2 7 26 0 0 1 53 1 1 191
Hoover, J.J. proj: 165 37 8 2 7 22 2 2 1 46 1 1 192
Koch, Matt 2017: 2 2 1 0 0 1 0 0 0 0 0 0 3
Koch, Matt proj: 3 0 0 0 0 0 0 0 0 0 0 0 3
McFarland, T.J. 2017: 211 63 11 0 4 17 2 2 2 29 2 0 234
McFarland, T.J. proj: 211 63 12 0 4 18 1 2 2 32 2 0 234
Miller, Shelby 2017: 87 20 7 0 1 12 0 0 0 20 1 0 99
Miller, Shelby proj: 88 22 4 0 2 9 0 1 1 19 2 1 99
Ray, Robbie 2017: 558 112 18 2 21 69 3 4 5 212 8 8 639
Ray, Robbie proj: 564 141 28 4 18 61 4 5 6 173 10 5 640
Rodney, Fernando 2017: 194 38 5 1 3 26 1 2 2 63 5 2 225
Rodney, Fernando proj: 193 44 9 1 4 26 1 2 3 52 5 1 225
Sherfy, Jimmie 2017: 35 5 3 0 0 2 0 0 0 9 1 1 37
Sherfy, Jimmie proj: 35 5 3 0 0 2 0 0 0 9 1 1 37
Shipley, Braden 2017: 90 27 6 0 5 13 2 0 1 16 2 0 106
Shipley, Braden proj: 93 28 7 1 5 11 1 1 1 15 2 0 107
Walker, Taijuan 2017: 584 145 36 5 17 60 8 5 9 140 14 1 666
Walker, Taijuan proj: 599 147 31 3 22 49 6 4 9 142 11 2 667
Wilhelmsen, Tom 2017: 99 25 3 1 4 12 1 0 1 17 2 0 113
Wilhelmsen, Tom proj: 99 22 4 1 2 12 1 1 1 24 3 0 114
2017 TEAM TOTALS: 5247 1260 265 33 165 498 35 36 38 1430 67 30 5854
PROJECTED: 5232 1310 282 34 158 494 33 46 55 1279 63 25 5860
difference: +15 -50 -17 -1 +7 +4 +2 -10 -17 +151 +4 +5 -6
Man AB H 2B 3B HR BB SF SH HBP SO SB CS BFP


Assorted Team Stats:
Stat Actual Projected
Batting Average: .240 .250
Slugging Average: .398 .408
Walks (per PA): .085 .084
SOs (per PA): .244 .218
On-Base Average: .307 .317
Power Factor: 1.66 1.63
OPS: .704 .725
TPP Runs (to date): 637 671

Runs differential:
Actual TPP 34 less than Projected TPP.




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This page was last modified on Monday, 25 September 2017, at 7:16 am Pacific Time.