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ARI "Expected" Pitching Results, 2018


About These Stats:

The form of "projection" used is very simple: each man's career numbers are pro-rated by his actual number of batters faced to date this season; those data, labelled "proj:" are shown along with the man's actual stats from this year to date. At the bottom of the Table, each set of lines—"projected" and actual—is separately summed to get Team Totals for each dataset.

Note that "career to date" includes each man's stats for the current year: "to date" is literally correct. For veteran players, that matters little, but for rookies or players with litle prior major-league experience, it means that the "projection" will perforce nearly or exactly match the actual stats to date. That seems like the best way to deal with newly arrived players' stats.

Note that owing to rounding in the pro-rating process, projected total BFP (batters faced) may occasionally differ by 1.

Below the player/team table is a smaller table showing a few key team "rate" stats (such as batting average) actual and projected.

The Actual Data:

Through games of Monday, 24 September 2018.
All results are from true, unadjusted data.

Handedness Key:   + R   * L

(You can also look up the stat definitions.)

Pitchers, listed in alphabetical order:
Each name is a click-on link to that man's career stats.

(or see the data for Batting)


Man AB H 2B 3B HR BB SF SH HBP SO SB CS BFP
Andriese, Matt 2018: 77 27 5 1 8 5 0 0 0 19 1 1 82
Andriese, Matt proj: 76 20 4 0 3 5 1 0 0 17 1 0 82
Avila, Alex 2018: 7 1 0 0 0 0 0 0 0 0 0 0 7
Avila, Alex proj: 7 1 0 0 0 0 0 0 0 0 0 0 7
Barrett, Jake 2018: 22 7 1 0 1 1 0 0 0 5 0 0 23
Barrett, Jake proj: 20 5 1 0 1 3 0 0 0 5 0 0 23
Boxberger, Brad 2018: 191 42 6 1 9 31 1 2 1 69 3 0 226
Boxberger, Brad proj: 193 41 5 1 8 27 2 2 2 69 5 2 226
Bracho, Silvino 2018: 97 20 7 0 1 11 1 1 3 32 3 0 113
Bracho, Silvino proj: 100 24 6 0 5 10 1 0 2 28 1 0 113
Bradley, Archie 2018: 258 57 12 1 8 20 0 1 4 71 4 0 283
Bradley, Archie proj: 251 62 14 2 6 27 2 1 2 65 5 1 283
Buchholz, Clay 2018: 364 80 19 1 9 22 4 0 3 81 0 0 393
Buchholz, Clay proj: 352 88 17 1 9 32 3 1 4 72 4 2 392
Chafin, Andrew 2018: 179 41 11 1 0 25 3 0 2 52 4 3 209
Chafin, Andrew proj: 182 42 10 0 2 22 1 2 2 49 2 1 209
Corbin, Patrick 2018: 725 159 42 0 15 47 2 3 5 242 10 2 782
Corbin, Patrick proj: 715 185 40 5 21 53 4 5 6 175 5 4 783
De La Rosa, Jorge 2018: 133 37 7 0 6 19 2 3 1 27 3 0 158
De La Rosa, Jorge proj: 137 36 8 1 4 16 1 2 1 30 3 1 157
Delgado, Randall 2018: 41 11 1 0 3 6 0 0 0 2 2 0 47
Delgado, Randall proj: 42 10 2 0 1 4 0 0 0 9 0 0 46
Descalso, Daniel 2018: 14 4 1 0 2 1 0 0 0 2 0 0 15
Descalso, Daniel proj: 14 3 1 0 1 1 0 0 0 1 0 0 15
Diekman, Jake 2018: 55 17 4 0 2 8 0 0 3 18 0 1 66
Diekman, Jake proj: 56 13 3 0 1 8 1 0 1 18 1 0 66
Godley, Zack 2018: 659 172 32 3 16 79 8 8 12 180 7 5 766
Godley, Zack proj: 671 168 34 3 20 71 5 9 10 179 4 2 766
Greinke, Zack 2018: 759 173 36 2 28 41 3 3 6 193 2 5 812
Greinke, Zack proj: 751 185 38 5 20 47 3 6 5 181 6 6 812
Hirano, Yoshihisa 2018: 232 49 7 2 6 23 1 1 2 58 2 0 259
Hirano, Yoshihisa proj: 232 49 7 2 6 23 1 1 2 58 2 0 259
Koch, Matt 2018: 313 83 15 1 18 19 1 2 6 48 1 1 341
Koch, Matt proj: 311 78 16 1 16 20 1 2 7 48 1 1 341
Krehbiel, Joey 2018: 10 1 0 0 0 2 0 0 0 0 0 0 12
Krehbiel, Joey proj: 10 1 0 0 0 2 0 0 0 0 0 0 12
Lopez, Yoan 2018: 22 5 0 1 2 1 0 1 0 8 0 0 24
Lopez, Yoan proj: 22 5 0 1 2 1 0 1 0 8 0 0 24
Mathis, Jeff 2018: 4 1 0 0 1 0 0 0 0 1 0 0 4
Mathis, Jeff proj: 4 1 1 0 0 0 0 0 0 0 0 0 4
McFarland, T.J. 2018: 268 64 14 0 4 22 1 1 0 42 3 2 292
McFarland, T.J. proj: 264 76 15 0 5 22 2 2 2 40 2 1 292
Medlen, Kris 2018: 21 9 3 0 0 4 0 0 0 4 0 0 25
Medlen, Kris proj: 23 6 1 0 1 2 0 0 0 5 0 0 25
Miller, Shelby 2018: 68 24 2 2 5 7 1 0 0 19 1 0 76
Miller, Shelby proj: 68 17 3 0 2 7 0 1 0 15 1 1 76
Ray, Robbie 2018: 432 92 15 0 18 66 1 1 5 157 6 5 505
Ray, Robbie proj: 443 107 21 3 15 52 2 3 5 141 7 4 505
Salas, Fernando 2018: 152 40 6 0 5 13 2 2 1 30 4 0 170
Salas, Fernando proj: 153 37 8 1 5 12 2 2 1 39 2 1 170
Scribner, Troy 2018: 15 4 1 0 0 6 0 0 0 4 0 0 21
Scribner, Troy proj: 18 4 1 0 1 3 0 0 0 4 0 0 21
Sherfy, Jimmie 2018: 44 8 0 0 1 7 2 0 2 13 3 0 55
Sherfy, Jimmie proj: 47 8 2 0 1 5 1 0 1 13 2 1 54
Shipley, Braden 2018: 18 4 0 0 0 2 0 0 1 3 0 0 21
Shipley, Braden proj: 18 5 1 0 1 2 0 0 0 3 0 0 20
Walker, Taijuan 2018: 51 15 2 0 1 5 0 0 0 9 0 1 56
Walker, Taijuan proj: 50 12 3 0 2 4 0 0 1 12 1 0 55
Ziegler, Brad 2018: 76 21 4 0 0 7 1 0 0 11 1 0 84
Ziegler, Brad proj: 75 19 3 0 1 7 1 1 1 14 1 0 85
2018 TEAM TOTALS: 5307 1268 253 16 169 500 34 29 57 1400 60 26 5927
PROJECTED: 5305 1308 265 26 160 488 34 41 55 1298 56 28 5923
difference: +2 -40 -12 -10 +9 +12 0 -12 +2 +102 +4 -2 +4
Man AB H 2B 3B HR BB SF SH HBP SO SB CS BFP


Assorted Team Stats:
Stat Actual Projected
Batting Average: .239 .247
Slugging Average: .388 .397
Walks (per PA): .084 .082
SOs (per PA): .236 .219
On-Base Average: .308 .313
Power Factor: 1.62 1.61
OPS: .696 .709
TPP Runs (to date): 634 653

Runs differential:
Actual TPP 19 less than Projected TPP.




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This page was last modified on Tuesday, 25 September 2018, at 7:05 am Pacific Time.