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ARI "Expected" Pitching Results, 2017


About These Stats:

The form of "projection" used is very simple: each man's career numbers are pro-rated by his actual number of batters faced to date this season; those data, labelled "proj:" are shown along with the man's actual stats from this year to date. At the bottom of the Table, each set of lines—"projected" and actual—is separately summed to get Team Totals for each dataset.

Note that "career to date" includes each man's stats for the current year: "to date" is literally correct. For veteran players, that matters little, but for rookies or players with litle prior major-league experience, it means that the "projection" will perforce nearly or exactly match the actual stats to date. That seems like the best way to deal with newly arrived players' stats.

Note that owing to rounding in the pro-rating process, projected total BFP (batters faced) may occasionally differ by 1.

Below the player/team table is a smaller table showing a few key team "rate" stats (such as batting average) actual and projected.

The Actual Data:

Through games of Monday, 24 July 2017.
All results are from true, unadjusted data.

Handedness Key:   + R   * L

(You can also look up the stat definitions.)

Pitchers, listed in alphabetical order:
Each name is a click-on link to that man's career stats.

(or see the data for Batting)


Man AB H 2B 3B HR BB SF SH HBP SO SB CS BFP
Banda, Anthony 2017: 23 7 4 1 1 0 0 0 0 5 0 0 23
Banda, Anthony proj: 23 7 4 1 1 0 0 0 0 5 0 0 23
Barrett, Jake 2017: 29 5 0 0 1 2 0 0 0 10 0 0 31
Barrett, Jake proj: 27 6 1 0 1 3 0 0 0 7 0 0 30
Bracho, Silvino 2017: 37 8 0 0 3 3 0 0 0 11 1 0 40
Bracho, Silvino proj: 36 9 2 0 2 3 0 0 1 9 0 0 40
Bradley, Archie 2017: 166 35 6 1 3 9 0 1 1 52 2 0 177
Bradley, Archie proj: 156 41 9 1 4 18 1 1 1 40 3 1 177
Chafin, Andrew 2017: 125 28 4 0 1 10 0 1 0 43 1 1 136
Chafin, Andrew proj: 120 27 6 0 1 13 0 2 1 32 1 0 136
Corbin, Patrick 2017: 470 138 31 4 18 32 3 0 1 107 3 2 506
Corbin, Patrick proj: 462 125 26 4 15 34 3 3 4 102 2 2 506
De La Rosa, Jorge 2017: 136 32 7 0 6 15 1 2 1 30 4 0 155
De La Rosa, Jorge proj: 135 35 8 1 4 16 1 2 1 30 3 1 155
De La Rosa, Rubby 2017: 18 3 1 1 1 3 0 0 0 8 0 0 21
De La Rosa, Rubby proj: 19 5 1 0 1 2 0 0 0 4 0 0 21
Delgado, Randall 2017: 239 60 15 2 6 14 2 4 0 60 6 2 259
Delgado, Randall proj: 231 58 13 1 7 23 2 2 1 53 2 1 259
Godley, Zack 2017: 287 58 17 0 6 25 1 4 4 84 0 0 321
Godley, Zack proj: 284 69 14 2 9 27 1 5 4 71 1 0 321
Greinke, Zack 2017: 478 106 18 2 17 26 3 2 0 140 5 4 509
Greinke, Zack proj: 470 116 23 3 12 30 2 4 3 112 4 3 509
Hoover, J.J. 2017: 117 36 6 1 4 18 0 0 1 40 1 1 136
Hoover, J.J. proj: 117 27 5 1 5 15 1 1 1 33 0 0 135
McFarland, T.J. 2017: 119 28 6 0 3 7 2 1 2 19 1 0 131
McFarland, T.J. proj: 118 34 7 0 2 10 1 1 1 19 1 0 131
Miller, Shelby 2017: 87 20 7 0 1 12 0 0 0 20 1 0 99
Miller, Shelby proj: 88 22 4 0 2 9 0 1 1 19 2 1 99
Ray, Robbie 2017: 420 87 14 2 16 57 2 4 3 149 5 8 486
Ray, Robbie proj: 428 109 22 4 14 47 3 4 4 126 7 4 486
Rodney, Fernando 2017: 116 23 3 1 2 18 1 1 1 37 5 2 137
Rodney, Fernando proj: 117 27 5 0 2 16 1 1 2 31 3 1 137
Shipley, Braden 2017: 48 16 5 0 1 10 2 0 0 9 1 0 60
Shipley, Braden proj: 53 16 4 0 2 6 1 0 0 9 1 0 60
Walker, Taijuan 2017: 338 83 23 3 8 32 3 3 5 76 11 0 381
Walker, Taijuan proj: 345 85 18 1 13 27 3 2 5 81 7 1 382
Wilhelmsen, Tom 2017: 99 25 3 1 4 12 1 0 1 17 2 0 113
Wilhelmsen, Tom proj: 99 22 4 1 2 12 1 1 1 24 3 0 114
2017 TEAM TOTALS: 3352 798 170 19 102 305 21 23 20 917 49 20 3721
PROJECTED: 3328 840 176 20 99 311 21 30 31 807 40 15 3721
difference: +24 -42 -6 -1 +3 -6 0 -7 -11 +110 +9 +5 0
Man AB H 2B 3B HR BB SF SH HBP SO SB CS BFP


Assorted Team Stats:
Stat Actual Projected
Batting Average: .238 .252
Slugging Average: .391 .407
Walks (per PA): .082 .084
SOs (per PA): .246 .217
On-Base Average: .302 .318
Power Factor: 1.64 1.61
OPS: .693 .724
TPP Runs (to date): 394 426

Runs differential:
Actual TPP 32 less than Projected TPP.




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This page was last modified on Tuesday, 25 July 2017, at 7:06 am Pacific Time.