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ARI "Expected" Pitching Results, 2018


About These Stats:

The form of "projection" used is very simple: each man's career numbers are pro-rated by his actual number of batters faced to date this season; those data, labelled "proj:" are shown along with the man's actual stats from this year to date. At the bottom of the Table, each set of lines—"projected" and actual—is separately summed to get Team Totals for each dataset.

Note that "career to date" includes each man's stats for the current year: "to date" is literally correct. For veteran players, that matters little, but for rookies or players with litle prior major-league experience, it means that the "projection" will perforce nearly or exactly match the actual stats to date. That seems like the best way to deal with newly arrived players' stats.

Note that owing to rounding in the pro-rating process, projected total BFP (batters faced) may occasionally differ by 1.

Below the player/team table is a smaller table showing a few key team "rate" stats (such as batting average) actual and projected.

The Actual Data:

Through games of Sunday, 30 September 2018.
All results are from true, unadjusted data.

Handedness Key:   + R   * L

(You can also look up the stat definitions.)

Pitchers, listed in alphabetical order:
Each name is a click-on link to that man's career stats.

(or see the data for Batting)


Man AB H 2B 3B HR BB SF SH HBP SO SB CS BFP
Andriese, Matt 2018: 82 29 6 1 8 7 0 0 0 19 2 1 89
Andriese, Matt proj: 82 22 4 0 3 6 1 0 1 18 2 0 90
Avila, Alex 2018: 7 1 0 0 0 0 0 0 0 0 0 0 7
Avila, Alex proj: 7 1 0 0 0 0 0 0 0 0 0 0 7
Barrett, Jake 2018: 28 8 1 1 1 2 0 0 0 6 0 0 30
Barrett, Jake proj: 26 6 1 0 1 3 0 0 0 7 0 0 29
Boxberger, Brad 2018: 199 44 7 1 9 32 1 2 1 71 5 0 235
Boxberger, Brad proj: 201 43 6 1 8 28 2 2 2 72 5 2 235
Bracho, Silvino 2018: 112 25 7 1 2 12 1 1 3 34 3 1 129
Bracho, Silvino proj: 115 28 6 1 5 11 1 0 2 31 1 1 129
Bradley, Archie 2018: 271 62 12 1 9 20 0 1 4 75 4 0 296
Bradley, Archie proj: 263 66 14 2 7 28 2 1 2 68 5 1 296
Buchholz, Clay 2018: 364 80 19 1 9 22 4 0 3 81 0 0 393
Buchholz, Clay proj: 352 88 17 1 9 32 3 1 4 72 4 2 392
Chafin, Andrew 2018: 181 41 11 1 0 25 3 0 2 53 4 3 211
Chafin, Andrew proj: 184 42 10 0 2 22 1 2 2 49 2 1 211
Corbin, Patrick 2018: 742 162 43 0 15 48 2 3 5 246 10 2 800
Corbin, Patrick proj: 731 189 41 5 21 54 4 5 6 179 5 4 800
De La Rosa, Jorge 2018: 133 37 7 0 6 19 2 3 1 27 3 0 158
De La Rosa, Jorge proj: 137 36 8 1 4 16 1 2 1 30 3 1 157
Delgado, Randall 2018: 45 11 1 0 3 6 0 0 0 5 2 0 51
Delgado, Randall proj: 45 11 3 0 1 4 0 0 0 10 1 0 49
Descalso, Daniel 2018: 14 4 1 0 2 1 0 0 0 2 0 0 15
Descalso, Daniel proj: 14 3 1 0 1 1 0 0 0 1 0 0 15
Diekman, Jake 2018: 60 18 4 0 2 8 0 0 3 18 0 1 71
Diekman, Jake proj: 60 14 3 0 1 9 1 0 1 20 1 0 71
Godley, Zack 2018: 682 177 32 4 16 81 8 8 12 185 7 5 791
Godley, Zack proj: 694 173 35 4 20 73 5 9 10 185 5 2 791
Greinke, Zack 2018: 784 181 37 2 28 43 3 3 6 199 2 5 839
Greinke, Zack proj: 776 191 39 5 21 49 3 6 5 187 6 6 839
Hirano, Yoshihisa 2018: 235 49 7 2 6 23 1 1 2 59 2 0 262
Hirano, Yoshihisa proj: 235 49 7 2 6 23 1 1 2 59 2 0 262
Koch, Matt 2018: 329 88 15 1 19 22 1 2 6 50 1 1 360
Koch, Matt proj: 328 83 16 1 17 23 1 3 7 50 1 1 362
Krehbiel, Joey 2018: 10 1 0 0 0 2 0 0 0 0 0 0 12
Krehbiel, Joey proj: 10 1 0 0 0 2 0 0 0 0 0 0 12
Lopez, Yoan 2018: 33 7 1 1 2 1 0 1 0 11 1 0 35
Lopez, Yoan proj: 33 7 1 1 2 1 0 1 0 11 1 0 35
Mathis, Jeff 2018: 4 1 0 0 1 0 0 0 0 1 0 0 4
Mathis, Jeff proj: 4 1 1 0 0 0 0 0 0 0 0 0 4
McFarland, T.J. 2018: 268 64 14 0 4 22 1 1 0 42 3 2 292
McFarland, T.J. proj: 264 76 15 0 5 22 2 2 2 40 2 1 292
Medlen, Kris 2018: 21 9 3 0 0 4 0 0 0 4 0 0 25
Medlen, Kris proj: 23 6 1 0 1 2 0 0 0 5 0 0 25
Miller, Shelby 2018: 70 24 2 2 5 8 1 0 0 19 1 0 79
Miller, Shelby proj: 71 18 3 0 2 7 0 1 0 15 1 1 79
Ray, Robbie 2018: 449 97 16 0 19 70 1 1 5 165 7 5 526
Ray, Robbie proj: 461 112 22 3 16 54 3 3 5 147 8 4 526
Salas, Fernando 2018: 152 40 6 0 5 13 2 2 1 30 4 0 170
Salas, Fernando proj: 153 37 8 1 5 12 2 2 1 39 2 1 170
Scribner, Troy 2018: 15 4 1 0 0 6 0 0 0 4 0 0 21
Scribner, Troy proj: 18 4 1 0 1 3 0 0 0 4 0 0 21
Sherfy, Jimmie 2018: 55 8 0 0 1 10 2 0 2 17 3 0 69
Sherfy, Jimmie proj: 59 8 2 0 1 8 1 0 1 17 3 1 69
Shipley, Braden 2018: 18 4 0 0 0 2 0 0 1 3 0 0 21
Shipley, Braden proj: 18 5 1 0 1 2 0 0 0 3 0 0 20
Walker, Taijuan 2018: 51 15 2 0 1 5 0 0 0 9 0 1 56
Walker, Taijuan proj: 50 12 3 0 2 4 0 0 1 12 1 0 55
Ziegler, Brad 2018: 83 22 4 0 1 8 1 0 0 13 1 0 92
Ziegler, Brad proj: 82 20 3 0 1 8 1 1 1 15 1 0 93
2018 TEAM TOTALS: 5497 1313 259 19 174 522 34 29 57 1448 65 27 6139
PROJECTED: 5496 1352 272 28 164 507 35 42 56 1346 62 29 6136
difference: +1 -39 -13 -9 +10 +15 -1 -13 +1 +102 +3 -2 +3
Man AB H 2B 3B HR BB SF SH HBP SO SB CS BFP


Assorted Team Stats:
Stat Actual Projected
Batting Average: .239 .246
Slugging Average: .388 .395
Walks (per PA): .085 .083
SOs (per PA): .236 .219
On-Base Average: .308 .312
Power Factor: 1.62 1.61
OPS: .696 .707
TPP Runs (to date): 658 674

Runs differential:
Actual TPP 16 less than Projected TPP.




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This page was last modified on Monday, 1 October 2018, at 7:06 am Pacific Time.