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ARI "Expected" Pitching Results, 2017


About These Stats:

The form of "projection" used is very simple: each man's career numbers are pro-rated by his actual number of batters faced to date this season; those data, labelled "proj:" are shown along with the man's actual stats from this year to date. At the bottom of the Table, each set of lines—"projected" and actual—is separately summed to get Team Totals for each dataset.

Note that "career to date" includes each man's stats for the current year: "to date" is literally correct. For veteran players, that matters little, but for rookies or players with litle prior major-league experience, it means that the "projection" will perforce nearly or exactly match the actual stats to date. That seems like the best way to deal with newly arrived players' stats.

Note that owing to rounding in the pro-rating process, projected total BFP (batters faced) may occasionally differ by 1.

Below the player/team table is a smaller table showing a few key team "rate" stats (such as batting average) actual and projected.

The Actual Data:

Through games of Thursday, 27 April 2017.
All results are from true, unadjusted data.

Handedness Key:   + R   * L

(You can also look up the stat definitions.)

Pitchers, listed in alphabetical order:
Each name is a click-on link to that man's career stats.

(or see the data for Batting)


Man AB H 2B 3B HR BB SF SH HBP SO SB CS BFP
Bracho, Silvino 2017: 7 2 0 0 1 1 0 0 0 2 0 0 8
Bracho, Silvino proj: 7 2 0 0 0 1 0 0 0 2 0 0 8
Bradley, Archie 2017: 49 9 1 0 2 3 0 1 1 17 0 0 54
Bradley, Archie proj: 47 13 3 0 1 6 1 0 0 12 1 0 54
Chafin, Andrew 2017: 26 5 1 0 1 2 0 0 0 6 0 1 28
Chafin, Andrew proj: 24 5 1 0 0 3 0 0 0 6 0 0 27
Corbin, Patrick 2017: 117 33 9 0 3 9 3 0 1 24 2 1 130
Corbin, Patrick proj: 118 32 7 1 4 9 1 1 1 26 1 1 130
De La Rosa, Jorge 2017: 30 7 3 0 1 2 0 0 1 8 2 0 33
De La Rosa, Jorge proj: 29 8 2 0 1 3 0 0 0 6 1 0 32
Delgado, Randall 2017: 52 16 6 0 4 2 1 2 0 7 0 0 57
Delgado, Randall proj: 51 13 3 0 2 5 0 1 0 11 0 0 57
Godley, Zack 2017: 18 4 2 0 1 3 0 1 0 6 0 0 22
Godley, Zack proj: 19 5 1 0 1 2 0 0 0 4 0 0 21
Greinke, Zack 2017: 116 30 5 0 2 6 3 0 0 31 1 1 125
Greinke, Zack proj: 115 29 6 1 3 7 1 1 1 27 1 1 125
Hoover, J.J. 2017: 34 7 1 0 0 3 0 0 0 12 0 0 37
Hoover, J.J. proj: 32 7 1 0 1 4 0 0 0 9 0 0 36
Miller, Shelby 2017: 87 20 7 0 1 12 0 0 0 20 1 0 99
Miller, Shelby proj: 88 22 4 0 2 9 0 1 1 19 2 1 99
Ray, Robbie 2017: 85 19 3 0 3 14 1 1 0 30 1 1 101
Ray, Robbie proj: 89 24 5 1 3 9 1 1 1 25 2 1 101
Rodney, Fernando 2017: 39 14 3 1 2 5 1 0 1 11 4 0 46
Rodney, Fernando proj: 39 9 2 0 1 5 0 0 1 10 1 0 45
Walker, Taijuan 2017: 115 27 8 2 3 7 1 0 2 33 2 0 125
Walker, Taijuan proj: 114 28 6 0 4 8 1 1 2 27 2 0 126
Wilhelmsen, Tom 2017: 33 9 2 1 0 4 0 0 0 3 0 0 37
Wilhelmsen, Tom proj: 32 7 1 0 1 4 0 0 0 8 1 0 36
2017 TEAM TOTALS: 808 202 51 4 24 73 10 5 6 210 13 4 902
PROJECTED: 804 204 42 3 24 75 5 6 7 192 12 4 897
difference: +4 -2 +9 +1 0 -2 +5 -1 -1 +18 +1 0 +5
Man AB H 2B 3B HR BB SF SH HBP SO SB CS BFP


Assorted Team Stats:
Stat Actual Projected
Batting Average: .250 .254
Slugging Average: .412 .403
Walks (per PA): .081 .083
SOs (per PA): .233 .213
On-Base Average: .312 .319
Power Factor: 1.65 1.59
OPS: .724 .722
TPP Runs (to date): 102 103

Runs differential:
Actual TPP 1 less than Projected TPP.




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This page was last modified on Friday, 28 April 2017, at 6:56 am Pacific Time.