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ARI "Expected" Pitching Results, 2018


About These Stats:

The form of "projection" used is very simple: each man's career numbers are pro-rated by his actual number of batters faced to date this season; those data, labelled "proj:" are shown along with the man's actual stats from this year to date. At the bottom of the Table, each set of lines—"projected" and actual—is separately summed to get Team Totals for each dataset.

Note that "career to date" includes each man's stats for the current year: "to date" is literally correct. For veteran players, that matters little, but for rookies or players with litle prior major-league experience, it means that the "projection" will perforce nearly or exactly match the actual stats to date. That seems like the best way to deal with newly arrived players' stats.

Note that owing to rounding in the pro-rating process, projected total BFP (batters faced) may occasionally differ by 1.

Below the player/team table is a smaller table showing a few key team "rate" stats (such as batting average) actual and projected.

The Actual Data:

Through games of Friday, 20 July 2018.
All results are from true, unadjusted data.

Handedness Key:   + R   * L

(You can also look up the stat definitions.)

Pitchers, listed in alphabetical order:
Each name is a click-on link to that man's career stats.

(or see the data for Batting)


Man AB H 2B 3B HR BB SF SH HBP SO SB CS BFP
Avila, Alex 2018: 7 1 0 0 0 0 0 0 0 0 0 0 7
Avila, Alex proj: 7 1 0 0 0 0 0 0 0 0 0 0 7
Barrett, Jake 2018: 22 7 1 0 1 1 0 0 0 5 0 0 23
Barrett, Jake proj: 20 5 1 0 1 3 0 0 0 5 0 0 23
Boxberger, Brad 2018: 129 25 4 0 6 18 0 1 1 49 1 0 149
Boxberger, Brad proj: 128 27 4 0 5 17 1 1 2 46 3 1 149
Bracho, Silvino 2018: 58 9 4 0 0 5 0 1 3 23 3 0 67
Bracho, Silvino proj: 60 14 3 0 3 5 0 0 1 17 1 0 66
Bradley, Archie 2018: 169 34 5 0 6 14 0 1 0 44 1 0 184
Bradley, Archie proj: 163 40 9 1 4 18 1 1 1 42 3 1 184
Buchholz, Clay 2018: 143 30 9 1 4 7 2 0 1 31 0 0 153
Buchholz, Clay proj: 137 34 7 0 4 13 1 1 1 28 1 1 153
Chafin, Andrew 2018: 121 23 8 0 0 16 3 0 2 36 2 3 142
Chafin, Andrew proj: 124 28 7 0 2 15 1 1 1 33 1 1 142
Corbin, Patrick 2018: 449 94 23 0 11 35 1 3 3 149 9 1 491
Corbin, Patrick proj: 447 117 25 3 14 34 2 3 3 106 3 2 489
De La Rosa, Jorge 2018: 126 36 7 0 6 17 2 3 1 25 2 0 149
De La Rosa, Jorge proj: 130 34 8 1 4 15 1 1 1 28 3 1 148
Delgado, Randall 2018: 28 7 1 0 2 3 0 0 0 2 1 0 31
Delgado, Randall proj: 28 7 2 0 1 3 0 0 0 6 0 0 31
Descalso, Daniel 2018: 14 4 1 0 2 1 0 0 0 2 0 0 15
Descalso, Daniel proj: 14 3 1 0 1 1 0 0 0 1 0 0 15
Godley, Zack 2018: 407 108 22 0 12 53 4 3 6 108 3 3 473
Godley, Zack proj: 416 104 22 1 13 44 2 5 5 110 2 1 472
Greinke, Zack 2018: 465 112 23 2 16 23 3 1 4 124 1 4 496
Greinke, Zack proj: 459 113 23 3 12 29 2 3 3 111 4 4 496
Hirano, Yoshihisa 2018: 144 30 5 1 3 14 1 0 2 37 1 0 161
Hirano, Yoshihisa proj: 144 30 5 1 3 14 1 0 2 37 1 0 161
Koch, Matt 2018: 272 69 14 1 16 17 1 2 6 38 1 1 298
Koch, Matt proj: 271 64 14 1 14 18 1 2 6 39 1 1 298
Krehbiel, Joey 2018: 10 1 0 0 0 2 0 0 0 0 0 0 12
Krehbiel, Joey proj: 10 1 0 0 0 2 0 0 0 0 0 0 12
Mathis, Jeff 2018: 4 1 0 0 1 0 0 0 0 1 0 0 4
Mathis, Jeff proj: 4 1 1 0 0 0 0 0 0 0 0 0 4
McFarland, T.J. 2018: 222 55 13 0 4 14 1 1 0 31 1 2 238
McFarland, T.J. proj: 216 62 12 0 4 17 1 2 1 32 2 1 237
Medlen, Kris 2018: 21 9 3 0 0 4 0 0 0 4 0 0 25
Medlen, Kris proj: 23 6 1 0 1 2 0 0 0 5 0 0 25
Miller, Shelby 2018: 68 24 2 2 5 7 1 0 0 19 1 0 76
Miller, Shelby proj: 68 17 3 0 2 7 0 1 0 15 1 1 76
Ray, Robbie 2018: 208 53 10 0 12 28 1 0 3 75 3 1 240
Ray, Robbie proj: 212 53 10 1 7 23 1 2 2 66 4 2 240
Salas, Fernando 2018: 152 40 6 0 5 13 2 2 1 30 4 0 170
Salas, Fernando proj: 153 37 8 1 5 12 2 2 1 39 2 1 170
Scribner, Troy 2018: 15 4 1 0 0 6 0 0 0 4 0 0 21
Scribner, Troy proj: 18 4 1 0 1 3 0 0 0 4 0 0 21
Sherfy, Jimmie 2018: 13 2 0 0 1 4 1 0 0 3 2 0 18
Sherfy, Jimmie proj: 16 2 1 0 0 2 0 0 0 4 1 0 18
Shipley, Braden 2018: 18 4 0 0 0 2 0 0 1 3 0 0 21
Shipley, Braden proj: 18 5 1 0 1 2 0 0 0 3 0 0 20
Walker, Taijuan 2018: 51 15 2 0 1 5 0 0 0 9 0 1 56
Walker, Taijuan proj: 50 12 3 0 2 4 0 0 1 12 1 0 55
2018 TEAM TOTALS: 3336 797 164 7 114 309 23 18 34 852 36 16 3720
PROJECTED: 3336 821 172 13 104 303 17 25 31 789 34 18 3712
difference: 0 -24 -8 -6 +10 +6 +6 -7 +3 +63 +2 -2 +8
Man AB H 2B 3B HR BB SF SH HBP SO SB CS BFP


Assorted Team Stats:
Stat Actual Projected
Batting Average: .239 .246
Slugging Average: .395 .399
Walks (per PA): .083 .081
SOs (per PA): .229 .212
On-Base Average: .306 .311
Power Factor: 1.65 1.62
OPS: .701 .710
TPP Runs (to date): 402 409

Runs differential:
Actual TPP 7 less than Projected TPP.




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This page was last modified on Saturday, 21 July 2018, at 6:59 am Pacific Time.