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ARI "Expected" Pitching Results, 2017


About These Stats:

The form of "projection" used is very simple: each man's career numbers are pro-rated by his actual number of batters faced to date this season; those data, labelled "proj:" are shown along with the man's actual stats from this year to date. At the bottom of the Table, each set of lines—"projected" and actual—is separately summed to get Team Totals for each dataset.

Note that "career to date" includes each man's stats for the current year: "to date" is literally correct. For veteran players, that matters little, but for rookies or players with litle prior major-league experience, it means that the "projection" will perforce nearly or exactly match the actual stats to date. That seems like the best way to deal with newly arrived players' stats.

Note that owing to rounding in the pro-rating process, projected total BFP (batters faced) may occasionally differ by 1.

Below the player/team table is a smaller table showing a few key team "rate" stats (such as batting average) actual and projected.

The Actual Data:

Through games of Monday, 22 May 2017.
All results are from true, unadjusted data.

Handedness Key:   + R   * L

(You can also look up the stat definitions.)

Pitchers, listed in alphabetical order:
Each name is a click-on link to that man's career stats.

(or see the data for Batting)


Man AB H 2B 3B HR BB SF SH HBP SO SB CS BFP
Bracho, Silvino 2017: 12 4 0 0 2 1 0 0 0 5 0 0 13
Bracho, Silvino proj: 12 3 1 0 1 1 0 0 0 3 0 0 13
Bradley, Archie 2017: 69 12 1 0 2 5 0 1 1 27 0 0 76
Bradley, Archie proj: 66 18 4 0 2 8 1 0 1 17 1 1 76
Chafin, Andrew 2017: 52 10 1 0 1 3 0 0 0 20 0 1 55
Chafin, Andrew proj: 48 11 3 0 1 6 0 1 0 12 0 0 55
Corbin, Patrick 2017: 208 58 13 1 8 15 3 0 1 42 2 1 227
Corbin, Patrick proj: 207 55 11 2 6 15 1 2 2 45 1 1 227
De La Rosa, Jorge 2017: 54 11 4 0 1 6 0 1 1 15 3 0 62
De La Rosa, Jorge proj: 54 14 3 0 2 6 1 1 1 12 1 0 63
Delgado, Randall 2017: 105 26 6 0 4 5 1 2 0 24 2 0 113
Delgado, Randall proj: 100 25 6 0 3 10 1 1 1 23 1 0 113
Godley, Zack 2017: 87 17 4 0 2 10 0 2 0 20 0 0 99
Godley, Zack proj: 87 22 4 1 3 9 0 2 1 19 1 0 99
Greinke, Zack 2017: 245 53 9 0 10 12 3 1 0 78 1 2 261
Greinke, Zack proj: 241 60 12 2 6 15 1 2 2 57 2 2 261
Hoover, J.J. 2017: 57 13 2 0 2 9 0 0 1 21 0 1 67
Hoover, J.J. proj: 58 13 3 1 2 7 1 1 0 16 0 0 67
McFarland, T.J. 2017: 24 6 2 0 0 1 1 0 1 4 0 0 27
McFarland, T.J. proj: 24 7 1 0 0 2 0 0 0 4 0 0 26
Miller, Shelby 2017: 87 20 7 0 1 12 0 0 0 20 1 0 99
Miller, Shelby proj: 88 22 4 0 2 9 0 1 1 19 2 1 99
Ray, Robbie 2017: 191 41 7 1 7 29 1 3 1 65 1 2 225
Ray, Robbie proj: 198 52 11 2 6 21 1 2 2 56 3 1 224
Rodney, Fernando 2017: 61 17 3 1 2 9 1 0 1 18 5 1 72
Rodney, Fernando proj: 62 14 3 0 1 8 0 1 1 16 2 0 72
Shipley, Braden 2017: 16 5 1 0 0 6 0 0 0 2 0 0 22
Shipley, Braden proj: 19 6 1 0 1 2 0 0 0 3 0 0 21
Walker, Taijuan 2017: 201 49 15 2 4 18 1 1 2 46 4 0 223
Walker, Taijuan proj: 203 50 10 1 8 15 1 1 3 48 3 1 223
Wilhelmsen, Tom 2017: 70 14 2 1 2 9 0 0 1 14 2 0 80
Wilhelmsen, Tom proj: 70 15 3 1 2 8 1 0 1 17 2 0 80
2017 TEAM TOTALS: 1539 356 77 6 48 150 11 11 10 421 21 8 1721
PROJECTED: 1537 387 80 10 46 142 9 15 16 367 19 7 1719
difference: +2 -31 -3 -4 +2 +8 +2 -4 -6 +54 +2 +1 +2
Man AB H 2B 3B HR BB SF SH HBP SO SB CS BFP


Assorted Team Stats:
Stat Actual Projected
Batting Average: .231 .252
Slugging Average: .383 .407
Walks (per PA): .087 .083
SOs (per PA): .245 .213
On-Base Average: .300 .317
Power Factor: 1.65 1.61
OPS: .683 .724
TPP Runs (to date): 178 197

Runs differential:
Actual TPP 19 less than Projected TPP.




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This page was last modified on Tuesday, 23 May 2017, at 6:59 am Pacific Time.