Owing to the screen size of your device, you may obtain a better viewing experience by rotating your device a quarter-turn (to get the so-called "panorama" screen view).
owlcroft logo
An Owlcroft Company web site
Click here to email us.

The Owlcroft Baseball-Analysis Site

Baseball team and player performance examined realistically and accurately.

Search this site, or just roll your cursor over the colored boxes below the pictures.

  Advertisement:


  Advertisement:


ATL "Expected" Batting Results, 2017


About These Stats:

The form of "projection" used is very simple: each man's career numbers are pro-rated by his actual number of appearances to date this season; those data, labelled "proj:" are shown along with the man's actual stats from this year to date. At the bottom of the Table, each set of lines—"projected" and actual—is separately summed to get Team Totals for each dataset.

Note that "career to date" includes each man's stats for the current year: "to date" is literally correct. For veteran players, that matters little, but for rookies or players with litle prior major-league experience, it means that the "projection" will perforce nearly or exactly match the actual stats to date. That seems like the best way to deal with newly arrived players' stats.

Note that owing to rounding in the pro-rating process, projected total PA (plate appearances) may occasionally differ by 1.

Below the player/team table is a smaller table showing a few key team "rate" stats (such as batting average) actual and projected.

The Actual Data:

Through games of Monday, 24 July 2017.
All results are from true, unadjusted data.

Handedness Key:   + R   * L   # S

(You can also look up the stat definitions.)

Batters, listed in alphabetical order:
Each name is a click-on link to that man's career stats.

(or see the data for Pitching)


Man AB H 2B 3B HR BB SF SH HBP SO SB CS PA
Adams, Lane 2017: 29 7 1 0 1 1 0 0 0 10 5 0 30
Adams, Lane proj: 29 6 1 0 1 1 0 0 0 11 5 0 30
Adams, Matt 2017: 198 56 14 1 15 13 2 0 1 49 0 0 214
Adams, Matt proj: 199 54 12 1 9 13 2 0 1 50 0 0 215
Bonifacio, Emilio 2017: 38 5 1 1 0 1 1 4 0 9 0 0 44
Bonifacio, Emilio proj: 40 10 1 1 0 3 0 1 0 9 3 1 44
Camargo, Johan 2017: 143 45 16 2 1 5 1 1 0 32 0 0 150
Camargo, Johan proj: 143 45 16 2 1 5 1 1 0 32 0 0 150
Colon, Bartolo 2017: 15 0 0 0 0 0 0 0 0 8 0 0 15
Colon, Bartolo proj: 14 1 0 0 0 0 0 1 0 8 0 0 15
Dickey, R.A. 2017: 39 5 0 0 0 0 0 3 0 10 0 0 42
Dickey, R.A. proj: 37 6 0 0 0 1 0 5 0 7 0 0 43
Flowers, Tyler 2017: 222 66 10 0 8 21 1 0 12 56 0 0 256
Flowers, Tyler proj: 229 55 10 0 8 19 1 1 6 79 0 1 256
Foltynewicz, Mike 2017: 28 0 0 0 0 0 0 6 0 18 0 0 34
Foltynewicz, Mike proj: 30 2 1 0 0 0 0 4 0 18 0 0 34
Freeman, Freddie 2017: 201 66 16 1 18 32 0 0 3 47 4 3 236
Freeman, Freddie proj: 205 59 13 1 9 26 2 0 3 50 1 1 236
Freeman, Sam 2017: 2 0 0 0 0 0 0 0 0 1 0 0 2
Freeman, Sam proj: 2 0 0 0 0 0 0 0 0 1 0 0 2
Garcia, Adonis 2017: 154 38 4 0 4 6 1 0 2 20 4 0 163
Garcia, Adonis proj: 155 42 8 0 5 6 1 0 1 26 1 0 163
Garcia, Jaime 2017: 31 5 1 0 1 1 0 3 0 7 0 0 35
Garcia, Jaime proj: 31 5 0 0 0 1 0 3 0 10 0 0 35
Inciarte, Ender 2017: 414 124 18 1 8 32 3 1 0 63 13 5 450
Inciarte, Ender proj: 415 122 19 3 5 28 2 3 2 53 15 6 450
Kemp, Matt 2017: 337 98 21 0 13 23 0 0 0 76 0 2 360
Kemp, Matt proj: 328 94 18 2 15 27 4 0 1 84 11 4 360
Krol, Ian 2017: 1 0 0 0 0 0 0 0 0 0 0 0 1
Krol, Ian proj: 1 0 0 0 0 0 0 0 0 0 0 0 1
Markakis, Nick 2017: 368 101 22 1 5 40 2 0 6 75 0 1 416
Markakis, Nick proj: 371 107 22 1 9 39 3 0 3 55 3 2 416
Newcomb, Sean 2017: 13 0 0 0 0 0 0 1 0 11 0 0 14
Newcomb, Sean proj: 13 0 0 0 0 0 0 1 0 11 0 0 14
Peterson, Jace 2017: 123 23 5 1 1 14 0 0 1 32 2 0 138
Peterson, Jace proj: 121 28 5 1 2 14 1 1 1 27 2 2 138
Phillips, Brandon 2017: 335 97 25 1 8 15 0 1 7 43 7 4 358
Phillips, Brandon proj: 330 91 17 2 10 19 3 2 4 49 10 4 358
Recker, Anthony 2017: 7 1 0 0 0 0 0 0 0 1 0 0 7
Recker, Anthony proj: 6 1 0 0 0 1 0 0 0 2 0 0 7
Rodriguez, Sean 2017: 15 2 0 0 1 4 0 0 1 8 1 0 20
Rodriguez, Sean proj: 18 4 1 0 1 1 0 0 0 5 0 0 19
Ruiz, Rio 2017: 80 14 3 0 2 9 1 0 1 25 0 0 91
Ruiz, Rio proj: 81 15 3 1 2 8 1 0 1 25 1 0 91
Santana, Danny 2017: 100 21 8 1 2 6 0 0 1 24 5 0 107
Santana, Danny proj: 101 26 6 1 1 4 0 1 1 25 5 2 107
Suzuki, Kurt 2017: 141 36 6 0 8 11 2 1 8 22 0 0 163
Suzuki, Kurt proj: 148 38 8 0 3 10 2 1 3 19 1 0 164
Swanson, Dansby 2017: 320 67 13 0 6 35 3 0 0 84 2 0 358
Swanson, Dansby proj: 320 75 14 1 6 34 4 1 0 84 4 0 359
Teheran, Julio 2017: 34 5 0 0 0 1 1 8 1 10 0 0 45
Teheran, Julio proj: 37 6 1 0 0 1 0 7 0 10 0 0 45
Wisler, Matt 2017: 1 0 0 0 0 0 0 1 0 0 0 0 2
Wisler, Matt proj: 2 0 0 0 0 0 0 0 0 1 0 0 2
d'Arnaud, Chase 2017: 8 3 0 0 0 2 0 0 0 3 0 0 10
d'Arnaud, Chase proj: 9 2 0 0 0 1 0 0 0 2 1 0 10
2017 TEAM TOTALS: 3397 885 184 10 102 272 18 30 44 744 43 15 3761
PROJECTED: 3415 894 176 17 87 262 27 33 27 753 63 23 3764
difference: -18 -9 +8 -7 +15 +10 -9 -3 +17 -9 -20 -8 -3
Man AB H 2B 3B HR BB SF SH HBP SO SB CS PA


Assorted Team Stats:
Stat Actual Projected
Batting Average: .261 .262
Slugging Average: .411 .400
Walks (per PA): .072 .070
SOs (per PA): .198 .200
On-Base Average: .319 .314
Power Factor: 1.58 1.53
OPS: .730 .714
TOP Runs (to date): 437 423

Runs differential:
Actual TOP 14 more than Projected TOP.




  Advertisement:


  Advertisement:



Want detailed, careful, unhysterical analysis of the effects of "Performance-Enhancing Drugs" in baseball? Click here to visit the Steroids & Baseball web site.

All content copyright © 2002 - 2017 by The Owlcroft Company.

This web page is strictly compliant with the W3C (World Wide Web Consortium) Extensible HyperText Markup Language (XHTML) Protocol v1.0 (Transitional) and the W3C Cascading Style Sheets (CSS) Protocol v3 — because we care about interoperability. Click on the logos below to test us!



This page was last modified on Tuesday, 25 July 2017, at 7:06 am Pacific Time.