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ATL "Expected" Batting Results, 2017


About These Stats:

The form of "projection" used is very simple: each man's career numbers are pro-rated by his actual number of appearances to date this season; those data, labelled "proj:" are shown along with the man's actual stats from this year to date. At the bottom of the Table, each set of lines—"projected" and actual—is separately summed to get Team Totals for each dataset.

Note that "career to date" includes each man's stats for the current year: "to date" is literally correct. For veteran players, that matters little, but for rookies or players with litle prior major-league experience, it means that the "projection" will perforce nearly or exactly match the actual stats to date. That seems like the best way to deal with newly arrived players' stats.

Note that owing to rounding in the pro-rating process, projected total PA (plate appearances) may occasionally differ by 1.

Below the player/team table is a smaller table showing a few key team "rate" stats (such as batting average) actual and projected.

The Actual Data:

Through games of Sunday, 24 September 2017.
All results are from true, unadjusted data.

Handedness Key:   + R   * L   # S

(You can also look up the stat definitions.)

Batters, listed in alphabetical order:
Each name is a click-on link to that man's career stats.

(or see the data for Pitching)


Man AB H 2B 3B HR BB SF SH HBP SO SB CS PA
Adams, Lane 2017: 87 23 3 1 3 10 1 1 1 28 9 0 100
Adams, Lane proj: 87 22 3 1 3 10 1 1 1 29 9 0 100
Adams, Matt 2017: 285 76 20 1 19 19 3 0 1 70 0 0 308
Adams, Matt proj: 286 77 17 1 13 19 3 0 1 71 1 1 309
Albies, Ozzie 2017: 182 50 8 5 4 20 2 1 3 34 3 1 208
Albies, Ozzie proj: 182 50 8 5 4 20 2 1 3 34 3 1 208
Blair, Aaron 2017: 1 1 0 0 0 1 0 0 0 0 0 0 2
Blair, Aaron proj: 2 0 0 0 0 0 0 0 0 1 0 0 2
Bonifacio, Emilio 2017: 38 5 1 1 0 1 1 4 0 9 0 0 44
Bonifacio, Emilio proj: 40 10 1 1 0 3 0 1 0 9 3 1 44
Camargo, Johan 2017: 232 71 21 2 4 11 1 2 0 49 0 0 246
Camargo, Johan proj: 232 71 21 2 4 11 1 2 0 49 0 0 246
Colon, Bartolo 2017: 15 0 0 0 0 0 0 0 0 8 0 0 15
Colon, Bartolo proj: 14 1 0 0 0 0 0 1 0 8 0 0 15
Dickey, R.A. 2017: 60 8 0 0 0 0 0 5 0 12 0 0 65
Dickey, R.A. proj: 57 9 1 0 0 1 0 7 0 11 0 0 65
Flowers, Tyler 2017: 301 86 15 0 11 27 2 0 19 77 0 1 349
Flowers, Tyler proj: 312 75 14 0 11 25 2 1 9 107 0 1 349
Foltynewicz, Mike 2017: 42 2 0 0 0 0 0 7 0 27 0 0 49
Foltynewicz, Mike proj: 43 4 1 0 0 0 0 5 0 26 0 0 48
Freeman, Freddie 2017: 411 129 33 1 28 61 2 0 6 89 7 5 480
Freeman, Freddie proj: 417 121 27 2 19 54 3 0 6 102 3 2 480
Freeman, Sam 2017: 2 0 0 0 0 0 0 0 0 1 0 0 2
Freeman, Sam proj: 2 0 0 0 0 0 0 0 0 1 0 0 2
Freitas, David 2017: 17 4 2 0 0 0 0 0 0 4 0 0 17
Freitas, David proj: 17 4 2 0 0 0 0 0 0 4 0 0 17
Fried, Max 2017: 3 0 0 0 0 1 0 1 0 1 0 0 5
Fried, Max proj: 3 0 0 0 0 1 0 1 0 1 0 0 5
Garcia, Adonis 2017: 166 40 4 0 4 6 1 0 2 22 4 0 175
Garcia, Adonis proj: 166 44 8 0 5 7 1 0 1 28 1 0 175
Garcia, Jaime 2017: 31 5 1 0 1 1 0 3 0 7 0 0 35
Garcia, Jaime proj: 31 5 0 0 0 1 0 3 0 10 0 0 35
Gohara, Luiz 2017: 6 0 0 0 0 0 0 1 0 5 0 0 7
Gohara, Luiz proj: 6 0 0 0 0 0 0 1 0 5 0 0 7
Inciarte, Ender 2017: 642 197 25 5 11 46 4 3 0 93 22 9 695
Inciarte, Ender proj: 642 190 29 6 7 43 3 4 2 83 24 9 694
Jackson, Luke 2017: 1 0 0 0 0 0 0 1 0 0 0 0 2
Jackson, Luke proj: 1 0 0 0 0 0 0 1 0 0 0 0 2
Johnson, Micah 2017: 6 0 0 0 0 0 0 0 0 3 1 0 6
Johnson, Micah proj: 5 1 0 0 0 0 0 0 0 2 0 0 5
Kemp, Matt 2017: 436 121 23 1 19 27 1 0 0 99 0 2 465
Kemp, Matt proj: 424 121 23 3 19 34 5 0 2 109 14 5 465
Krol, Ian 2017: 1 0 0 0 0 0 0 0 0 0 0 0 1
Krol, Ian proj: 1 0 0 0 0 0 0 0 0 0 0 0 1
Markakis, Nick 2017: 565 155 37 1 8 65 3 0 6 105 0 2 639
Markakis, Nick proj: 569 164 34 1 13 61 5 0 4 85 5 2 639
Newcomb, Sean 2017: 26 1 0 0 0 2 0 5 0 17 0 0 33
Newcomb, Sean proj: 26 1 0 0 0 2 0 5 0 17 0 0 33
Peterson, Jace 2017: 168 36 7 2 2 24 0 1 1 44 3 0 194
Peterson, Jace proj: 170 40 7 1 2 21 1 2 1 39 3 2 195
Phillips, Brandon 2017: 470 137 27 1 11 19 1 1 8 57 10 8 499
Phillips, Brandon proj: 461 127 23 2 13 26 4 2 6 68 13 5 499
Recker, Anthony 2017: 7 1 0 0 0 0 0 0 0 1 0 0 7
Recker, Anthony proj: 6 1 0 0 0 1 0 0 0 2 0 0 7
Rodriguez, Sean 2017: 37 6 1 0 2 8 0 1 1 19 1 0 47
Rodriguez, Sean proj: 42 10 2 0 1 3 0 1 1 12 1 0 47
Ruiz, Rio 2017: 135 27 4 0 4 13 1 0 1 40 1 0 150
Ruiz, Rio proj: 136 28 4 1 4 12 1 0 1 40 2 0 150
Sanchez, Tony 2017: 1 0 0 0 0 0 0 0 0 1 0 0 1
Sanchez, Tony proj: 1 0 0 0 0 0 0 0 0 0 0 0 1
Santana, Danny 2017: 143 29 9 2 3 7 0 1 1 33 6 0 152
Santana, Danny proj: 143 37 8 2 2 6 0 1 1 35 6 2 151
Sims, Lucas 2017: 12 0 0 0 0 0 0 2 0 7 0 0 14
Sims, Lucas proj: 12 0 0 0 0 0 0 2 0 7 0 0 14
Suzuki, Kurt 2017: 259 71 11 0 18 16 2 1 13 37 0 0 291
Suzuki, Kurt proj: 264 68 14 0 6 18 3 1 5 34 1 1 291
Swanson, Dansby 2017: 460 107 23 2 6 57 4 0 0 114 3 3 521
Swanson, Dansby proj: 461 114 23 2 7 55 5 1 0 116 5 2 522
Teheran, Julio 2017: 55 8 0 0 0 1 1 12 1 16 0 0 70
Teheran, Julio proj: 57 9 1 0 0 2 0 10 0 16 0 0 69
Wisler, Matt 2017: 2 0 0 0 0 0 0 1 0 0 0 0 3
Wisler, Matt proj: 3 0 0 0 0 0 0 0 0 1 0 0 3
d'Arnaud, Chase 2017: 8 3 0 0 0 2 0 0 0 3 0 0 10
d'Arnaud, Chase proj: 9 2 0 0 0 1 0 0 0 2 1 0 10
2017 TEAM TOTALS: 5313 1399 275 25 158 445 30 54 64 1132 70 31 5907
PROJECTED: 5330 1406 271 30 133 437 40 54 44 1164 95 34 5905
difference: -17 -7 +4 -5 +25 +8 -10 0 +20 -32 -25 -3 +2
Man AB H 2B 3B HR BB SF SH HBP SO SB CS PA


Assorted Team Stats:
Stat Actual Projected
Batting Average: .263 .264
Slugging Average: .414 .401
Walks (per PA): .075 .074
SOs (per PA): .192 .197
On-Base Average: .323 .320
Power Factor: 1.57 1.52
OPS: .737 .720
TOP Runs (to date): 699 676

Runs differential:
Actual TOP 23 more than Projected TOP.


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This page was last modified on Monday, 25 September 2017, at 7:16 am Pacific Time.