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ATL "Expected" Batting Results, 2017


About These Stats:

The form of "projection" used is very simple: each man's career numbers are pro-rated by his actual number of appearances to date this season; those data, labelled "proj:" are shown along with the man's actual stats from this year to date. At the bottom of the Table, each set of lines—"projected" and actual—is separately summed to get Team Totals for each dataset.

Note that "career to date" includes each man's stats for the current year: "to date" is literally correct. For veteran players, that matters little, but for rookies or players with litle prior major-league experience, it means that the "projection" will perforce nearly or exactly match the actual stats to date. That seems like the best way to deal with newly arrived players' stats.

Note that owing to rounding in the pro-rating process, projected total PA (plate appearances) may occasionally differ by 1.

Below the player/team table is a smaller table showing a few key team "rate" stats (such as batting average) actual and projected.

The Actual Data:

Through games of Thursday, 27 April 2017.
All results are from true, unadjusted data.

Handedness Key:   + R   * L   # S

(You can also look up the stat definitions.)

Batters, listed in alphabetical order:
Each name is a click-on link to that man's career stats.

(or see the data for Pitching)


Man AB H 2B 3B HR BB SF SH HBP SO SB CS PA
Adams, Lane 2017: 1 0 0 0 0 0 0 0 0 1 0 0 1
Adams, Lane proj: 1 0 0 0 0 0 0 0 0 1 0 0 1
Bonifacio, Emilio 2017: 18 2 1 0 0 1 0 2 0 6 0 0 21
Bonifacio, Emilio proj: 19 5 1 0 0 2 0 0 0 4 1 0 21
Colon, Bartolo 2017: 7 0 0 0 0 0 0 0 0 5 0 0 7
Colon, Bartolo proj: 6 1 0 0 0 0 0 0 0 4 0 0 6
Dickey, R.A. 2017: 10 2 0 0 0 0 0 0 0 2 0 0 10
Dickey, R.A. proj: 9 2 0 0 0 0 0 1 0 2 0 0 10
Flowers, Tyler 2017: 38 13 2 0 0 6 0 0 1 11 0 0 45
Flowers, Tyler proj: 40 9 2 0 1 3 0 0 1 14 0 0 44
Foltynewicz, Mike 2017: 4 0 0 0 0 0 0 1 0 2 0 0 5
Foltynewicz, Mike proj: 4 0 0 0 0 0 0 0 0 3 0 0 4
Freeman, Freddie 2017: 71 27 5 1 7 16 0 0 0 16 3 1 87
Freeman, Freddie proj: 76 22 5 0 3 10 1 0 1 19 0 0 88
Garcia, Adonis 2017: 77 16 1 0 2 3 0 0 0 12 0 0 80
Garcia, Adonis proj: 76 20 4 0 2 3 0 0 1 13 0 0 80
Garcia, Jaime 2017: 6 0 0 0 0 0 0 2 0 2 0 0 8
Garcia, Jaime proj: 7 1 0 0 0 0 0 1 0 2 0 0 8
Inciarte, Ender 2017: 87 18 3 0 4 4 0 0 0 15 4 0 91
Inciarte, Ender proj: 84 24 4 1 1 5 0 1 0 11 3 1 90
Kemp, Matt 2017: 42 13 4 0 3 2 0 0 0 9 0 0 44
Kemp, Matt proj: 40 11 2 0 2 3 0 0 0 10 1 0 43
Markakis, Nick 2017: 74 22 4 1 1 9 1 0 2 19 0 1 86
Markakis, Nick proj: 77 22 5 0 2 8 1 0 0 11 1 0 86
Peterson, Jace 2017: 42 10 2 1 0 5 0 0 0 11 0 0 47
Peterson, Jace proj: 41 10 2 0 1 5 0 0 0 9 1 1 46
Phillips, Brandon 2017: 71 25 5 0 2 2 0 0 2 9 5 1 75
Phillips, Brandon proj: 69 19 3 0 2 4 1 0 1 10 2 1 75
Recker, Anthony 2017: 7 1 0 0 0 0 0 0 0 1 0 0 7
Recker, Anthony proj: 6 1 0 0 0 1 0 0 0 2 0 0 7
Suzuki, Kurt 2017: 28 5 0 0 1 5 2 0 3 6 0 0 38
Suzuki, Kurt proj: 34 9 2 0 1 2 0 0 1 4 0 0 37
Swanson, Dansby 2017: 80 11 1 0 1 3 0 0 0 22 0 0 83
Swanson, Dansby proj: 76 18 3 0 1 6 1 0 0 20 1 0 83
Teheran, Julio 2017: 10 2 0 0 0 0 0 3 0 3 0 0 13
Teheran, Julio proj: 11 2 0 0 0 0 0 2 0 3 0 0 13
Wisler, Matt 2017: 1 0 0 0 0 0 0 0 0 0 0 0 1
Wisler, Matt proj: 1 0 0 0 0 0 0 0 0 0 0 0 1
d'Arnaud, Chase 2017: 8 3 0 0 0 2 0 0 0 3 0 0 10
d'Arnaud, Chase proj: 9 2 0 0 0 1 0 0 0 2 0 0 10
2017 TEAM TOTALS: 682 170 28 3 21 58 3 8 8 155 12 3 759
PROJECTED: 686 178 33 1 16 53 4 5 5 144 10 3 753
difference: -4 -8 -5 +2 +5 +5 -1 +3 +3 +11 +2 0 +6
Man AB H 2B 3B HR BB SF SH HBP SO SB CS PA


Assorted Team Stats:
Stat Actual Projected
Batting Average: .249 .259
Slugging Average: .391 .380
Walks (per PA): .076 .070
SOs (per PA): .204 .190
On-Base Average: .311 .313
Power Factor: 1.57 1.47
OPS: .702 .694
TOP Runs (to date): 85 81

Runs differential:
Actual TOP 4 more than Projected TOP.




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This page was last modified on Friday, 28 April 2017, at 6:56 am Pacific Time.