Owing to the screen size of your device, you may obtain a better viewing experience by rotating your device a quarter-turn (to get the so-called "panorama" screen view).
owlcroft logo
An Owlcroft Company web site
Click here to email us.

The Owlcroft Baseball-Analysis Site

Baseball team and player performance examined realistically and accurately.

Search this site, or just roll your cursor over the colored boxes below the pictures.

  Advertisement:


  Advertisement:


ATL "Expected" Pitching Results, 2019


About These Stats:

The form of "projection" used is very simple: each man's career numbers are pro-rated by his actual number of batters faced to date this season; those data, labelled "proj:" are shown along with the man's actual stats from this year to date. At the bottom of the Table, each set of lines—"projected" and actual—is separately summed to get Team Totals for each dataset.

Note that "career to date" includes each man's stats for the current year: "to date" is literally correct. For veteran players, that matters little, but for rookies or players with litle prior major-league experience, it means that the "projection" will perforce nearly or exactly match the actual stats to date. That seems like the best way to deal with newly arrived players' stats.

Note that owing to rounding in the pro-rating process, projected total BFP (batters faced) may occasionally differ by 1.

Below the player/team table is a smaller table showing a few key team "rate" stats (such as batting average) actual and projected.

The Actual Data:

Through games of Thursday, 22 August 2019.
All results are from true, unadjusted data.

Handedness Key:   + R   * L

(You can also look up the stat definitions.)

Pitchers, listed in alphabetical order:
Each name is a click-on link to that man's career stats.

(or see the data for Batting)


Man AB H 2B 3B HR BB SF SH HBP SO SB CS BFP
Biddle, Jesse 2019: 54 18 3 0 1 10 0 0 0 11 0 0 64
Biddle, Jesse proj: 54 14 2 0 2 8 0 0 1 14 1 0 63
Blevins, Jerry 2019: 95 20 3 0 4 16 2 0 2 29 4 0 115
Blevins, Jerry proj: 100 23 4 0 3 11 1 1 1 28 2 1 114
Carle, Shane 2019: 37 11 3 1 3 9 0 0 3 6 0 0 49
Carle, Shane proj: 42 10 3 0 1 5 1 0 1 8 1 0 49
Culberson, Charlie 2019: 8 2 1 0 0 2 0 0 0 1 0 0 10
Culberson, Charlie proj: 9 3 1 0 0 1 0 0 0 1 0 0 10
Dayton, Grant 2019: 34 10 0 0 2 3 0 0 0 11 0 0 37
Dayton, Grant proj: 33 7 1 0 2 3 0 0 0 11 0 0 36
Foltynewicz, Mike 2019: 300 84 13 4 19 27 1 5 2 69 3 0 335
Foltynewicz, Mike proj: 300 78 15 2 11 27 2 3 3 74 3 1 335
Fried, Max 2019: 515 143 28 0 16 41 2 2 4 134 4 2 564
Fried, Max proj: 502 136 25 1 15 50 3 3 7 136 5 3 565
Gausman, Kevin 2019: 317 92 18 1 12 27 6 6 4 85 10 1 360
Gausman, Kevin proj: 328 88 17 1 12 26 3 2 2 78 4 1 361
Greene, Shane 2019: 37 15 1 0 2 2 0 0 0 11 0 0 39
Greene, Shane proj: 35 9 1 0 1 3 0 0 1 9 0 0 39
Jackson, Luke 2019: 231 61 8 0 8 23 0 1 1 80 4 0 256
Jackson, Luke proj: 226 63 12 1 7 25 2 1 2 57 5 1 256
Keuchel, Dallas 2019: 276 72 9 4 12 24 0 2 4 60 0 1 306
Keuchel, Dallas proj: 280 71 13 1 7 21 1 1 1 59 2 1 304
Martin, Chris 2019: 31 8 0 0 1 1 0 0 0 10 1 0 32
Martin, Chris proj: 30 8 1 0 1 1 0 0 0 7 1 0 31
Melancon, Mark 2019: 38 12 1 0 0 1 0 0 0 12 0 0 39
Melancon, Mark proj: 36 9 1 0 1 2 0 0 0 9 0 0 38
Minter, A.J. 2019: 111 31 8 0 2 23 1 1 1 33 6 0 137
Minter, A.J. proj: 121 30 6 1 2 14 1 1 1 38 3 0 138
Newcomb, Sean 2019: 216 54 9 1 7 21 2 0 2 50 3 1 241
Newcomb, Sean proj: 209 50 9 2 6 28 1 2 2 55 3 1 242
Parsons, Wes 2019: 48 11 0 0 2 13 2 0 1 12 2 1 64
Parsons, Wes proj: 49 13 1 0 2 12 2 0 1 11 1 1 64
Sobotka, Chad 2019: 100 24 3 0 5 14 0 0 3 33 4 0 117
Sobotka, Chad proj: 99 19 3 0 5 15 0 1 2 36 4 0 117
Soroka, Mike 2019: 525 120 16 1 8 33 0 3 7 112 6 1 568
Soroka, Mike proj: 525 125 22 1 8 33 1 3 6 111 6 1 568
Swarzak, Anthony 2019: 110 24 0 1 5 12 0 0 0 27 1 1 122
Swarzak, Anthony proj: 111 30 5 1 4 9 1 0 1 22 1 1 122
Teheran, Julio 2019: 540 125 27 2 16 69 3 6 11 137 12 3 629
Teheran, Julio proj: 563 133 24 3 19 50 3 6 7 132 12 3 629
Tomlin, Josh 2019: 255 69 8 2 13 7 2 4 0 43 0 0 268
Tomlin, Josh proj: 255 69 14 2 12 9 2 1 2 44 1 1 269
Toussaint, Touki 2019: 163 44 9 0 5 26 0 2 7 45 0 0 198
Toussaint, Touki proj: 162 38 10 0 4 29 0 2 6 47 1 1 199
Venters, Jonny 2019: 23 9 1 0 3 8 0 0 0 7 0 0 31
Venters, Jonny proj: 26 6 1 0 0 4 0 0 1 8 0 0 31
Vizcaino, Arodys 2019: 14 3 2 0 1 3 0 0 0 6 0 0 17
Vizcaino, Arodys proj: 15 3 1 0 0 2 0 0 0 4 0 0 17
Walker, Jeremy 2019: 23 6 1 0 0 3 0 0 0 3 0 1 26
Walker, Jeremy proj: 23 6 1 0 0 3 0 0 0 3 0 1 26
Webb, Jacob 2019: 117 24 8 0 4 12 0 1 1 28 1 0 131
Webb, Jacob proj: 117 24 8 0 4 12 0 1 1 28 1 0 131
Wilson, Bryse 2019: 73 22 7 1 4 10 0 2 0 16 1 1 85
Wilson, Bryse proj: 71 22 8 1 3 12 1 1 0 16 1 1 85
Winkler, Dan 2019: 81 18 4 1 5 11 0 0 1 22 0 1 93
Winkler, Dan proj: 82 18 4 1 2 9 0 0 1 26 0 0 92
Wright, Kyle 2019: 68 22 6 1 4 13 0 0 1 14 3 0 82
Wright, Kyle proj: 67 19 4 1 4 14 0 0 1 14 3 0 82
Ynoa, Huascar 2019: 15 6 2 0 1 1 0 0 0 3 0 0 16
Ynoa, Huascar proj: 15 6 2 0 1 1 0 0 0 3 0 0 16
2019 TEAM TOTALS: 4455 1160 199 20 165 465 21 35 55 1110 65 14 5031
PROJECTED: 4485 1130 219 19 139 439 25 29 51 1089 61 19 5029
difference: -30 +30 -20 +1 +26 +26 -4 +6 +4 +21 +4 -5 +2
Man AB H 2B 3B HR BB SF SH HBP SO SB CS BFP


Assorted Team Stats:
Stat Actual Projected
Batting Average: .260 .252
Slugging Average: .425 .402
Walks (per PA): .092 .087
SOs (per PA): .221 .216
On-Base Average: .334 .322
Power Factor: 1.63 1.6
OPS: .759 .724
TPP Runs (to date): 640 582

Runs differential:
Actual TPP 58 more than Projected TPP.




  Advertisement:


  Advertisement:



Want detailed, careful, unhysterical analysis of the effects of "Performance-Enhancing Drugs" in baseball? Click here to visit the Steroids & Baseball web site.

All content copyright © 2002 - 2019 by The Owlcroft Company.

This web page is strictly compliant with the W3C (World Wide Web Consortium) Extensible HyperText Markup Language (XHTML) Protocol v1.0 (Transitional) and the W3C Cascading Style Sheets (CSS) Protocol v3 — because we care about interoperability. Click on the logos below to test us!



This page was last modified on Friday, 23 August 2019, at 7:05 am Pacific Time.