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ATL "Expected" Pitching Results, 2018


About These Stats:

The form of "projection" used is very simple: each man's career numbers are pro-rated by his actual number of batters faced to date this season; those data, labelled "proj:" are shown along with the man's actual stats from this year to date. At the bottom of the Table, each set of lines—"projected" and actual—is separately summed to get Team Totals for each dataset.

Note that "career to date" includes each man's stats for the current year: "to date" is literally correct. For veteran players, that matters little, but for rookies or players with litle prior major-league experience, it means that the "projection" will perforce nearly or exactly match the actual stats to date. That seems like the best way to deal with newly arrived players' stats.

Note that owing to rounding in the pro-rating process, projected total BFP (batters faced) may occasionally differ by 1.

Below the player/team table is a smaller table showing a few key team "rate" stats (such as batting average) actual and projected.

The Actual Data:

Through games of Saturday, 21 April 2018.
All results are from true, unadjusted data.

Handedness Key:   + R   * L

(You can also look up the stat definitions.)

Pitchers, listed in alphabetical order:
Each name is a click-on link to that man's career stats.

(or see the data for Batting)


Man AB H 2B 3B HR BB SF SH HBP SO SB CS BFP
Biddle, Jesse 2018: 3 0 0 0 0 1 0 0 0 0 1 0 4
Biddle, Jesse proj: 3 0 0 0 0 1 0 0 0 0 1 0 4
Brothers, Rex 2018: 0 0 0 0 0 2 0 0 0 0 0 0 2
Brothers, Rex proj: 2 0 0 0 0 0 0 0 0 1 0 0 2
Carle, Shane 2018: 56 12 4 0 0 4 1 1 0 13 0 0 62
Carle, Shane proj: 57 14 4 0 1 3 1 1 0 13 0 0 62
Foltynewicz, Mike 2018: 79 18 4 1 2 9 1 0 1 26 2 0 90
Foltynewicz, Mike proj: 80 22 5 1 3 7 1 1 1 19 1 0 90
Freeman, Sam 2018: 28 4 0 0 0 8 1 0 0 7 0 0 37
Freeman, Sam proj: 31 7 1 0 1 5 0 0 1 8 0 0 37
Jackson, Luke 2018: 5 1 0 0 0 2 0 0 1 3 0 0 8
Jackson, Luke proj: 7 2 0 0 0 1 0 0 0 1 0 0 8
McCarthy, Brandon 2018: 78 20 4 1 2 8 0 2 0 18 1 1 88
McCarthy, Brandon proj: 81 21 4 0 2 6 1 1 1 15 2 1 90
Minter, A.J. 2018: 32 4 3 0 0 7 0 0 0 9 0 1 39
Minter, A.J. proj: 35 7 2 0 0 4 0 0 0 14 0 0 39
Moylan, Peter 2018: 24 9 2 0 0 6 0 0 0 7 2 0 30
Moylan, Peter proj: 26 6 1 0 0 3 0 0 0 6 1 0 29
Newcomb, Sean 2018: 83 22 5 0 2 11 1 0 0 27 1 0 95
Newcomb, Sean proj: 81 21 4 1 2 12 1 1 1 23 1 0 96
Ramirez, Jose 2018: 28 9 4 0 0 8 0 0 2 7 3 0 38
Ramirez, Jose proj: 31 7 2 0 1 5 0 0 1 8 1 0 37
Ravin, Josh 2018: 10 2 1 0 0 2 0 1 1 1 0 0 14
Ravin, Josh proj: 12 2 0 0 1 2 0 0 0 4 0 0 14
Sanchez, Anibal 2018: 51 11 1 0 1 6 0 0 1 14 1 1 58
Sanchez, Anibal proj: 52 13 2 0 2 5 0 0 0 12 1 0 57
Sims, Lucas 2018: 3 2 0 0 1 3 0 0 0 0 0 0 6
Sims, Lucas proj: 5 2 0 0 0 1 0 0 0 1 0 0 6
Socolovich, Miguel 2018: 6 0 0 0 0 0 0 0 0 2 0 0 6
Socolovich, Miguel proj: 5 1 0 0 0 0 0 0 0 1 0 0 5
Teheran, Julio 2018: 100 24 7 0 5 14 0 0 1 27 4 0 115
Teheran, Julio proj: 104 25 4 1 4 8 0 1 1 24 2 1 114
Vizcaino, Arodys 2018: 34 5 1 0 1 7 0 0 1 11 0 0 42
Vizcaino, Arodys proj: 37 8 1 0 1 5 0 0 0 11 0 0 42
Winkler, Daniel 2018: 35 5 0 1 0 4 0 0 1 16 0 0 40
Winkler, Daniel proj: 35 5 1 0 1 4 0 0 0 15 0 0 39
Wisler, Matt 2018: 23 2 0 0 1 0 0 0 0 8 0 0 23
Wisler, Matt proj: 21 6 1 0 1 2 0 0 0 4 0 0 23
2018 TEAM TOTALS: 678 150 36 3 15 102 4 4 9 196 15 3 797
PROJECTED: 705 169 32 3 20 74 4 5 6 180 10 2 794
difference: -27 -19 +4 0 -5 +28 0 -1 +3 +16 +5 +1 +3
Man AB H 2B 3B HR BB SF SH HBP SO SB CS BFP


Assorted Team Stats:
Stat Actual Projected
Batting Average: .221 .240
Slugging Average: .350 .379
Walks (per PA): .128 .093
SOs (per PA): .246 .226
On-Base Average: .327 .314
Power Factor: 1.58 1.58
OPS: .677 .692
TPP Runs (to date): 83 86

Runs differential:
Actual TPP 3 less than Projected TPP.




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This page was last modified on Sunday, 22 April 2018, at 6:52 am Pacific Time.