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ATL "Expected" Pitching Results, 2018


About These Stats:

The form of "projection" used is very simple: each man's career numbers are pro-rated by his actual number of batters faced to date this season; those data, labelled "proj:" are shown along with the man's actual stats from this year to date. At the bottom of the Table, each set of lines—"projected" and actual—is separately summed to get Team Totals for each dataset.

Note that "career to date" includes each man's stats for the current year: "to date" is literally correct. For veteran players, that matters little, but for rookies or players with litle prior major-league experience, it means that the "projection" will perforce nearly or exactly match the actual stats to date. That seems like the best way to deal with newly arrived players' stats.

Note that owing to rounding in the pro-rating process, projected total BFP (batters faced) may occasionally differ by 1.

Below the player/team table is a smaller table showing a few key team "rate" stats (such as batting average) actual and projected.

The Actual Data:

Through games of Saturday, 22 September 2018.
All results are from true, unadjusted data.

Handedness Key:   + R   * L

(You can also look up the stat definitions.)

Pitchers, listed in alphabetical order:
Each name is a click-on link to that man's career stats.

(or see the data for Batting)


Man AB H 2B 3B HR BB SF SH HBP SO SB CS BFP
Allard, Kolby 2018: 41 19 2 0 3 4 0 1 1 3 0 0 47
Allard, Kolby proj: 41 19 2 0 3 4 0 1 1 3 0 0 47
Biddle, Jesse 2018: 224 49 9 0 6 29 1 2 3 65 2 2 259
Biddle, Jesse proj: 224 49 9 0 6 29 1 2 3 65 2 2 259
Brach, Brad 2018: 87 21 2 1 0 9 1 0 1 20 5 1 98
Brach, Brad proj: 86 19 4 0 2 10 1 0 0 25 2 1 97
Brothers, Rex 2018: 0 0 0 0 0 2 0 0 0 0 0 0 2
Brothers, Rex proj: 2 0 0 0 0 0 0 0 0 1 0 0 2
Carle, Shane 2018: 223 50 15 0 2 25 4 1 0 43 4 0 253
Carle, Shane proj: 225 52 15 0 3 23 4 1 0 44 4 0 253
Culberson, Charlie 2018: 5 2 1 0 0 0 0 0 0 0 0 0 5
Culberson, Charlie proj: 5 2 1 0 0 0 0 0 0 0 0 0 5
Foltynewicz, Mike 2018: 651 129 24 5 17 68 1 2 5 193 3 1 727
Foltynewicz, Mike proj: 650 167 34 4 22 59 4 6 7 161 6 3 726
Freeman, Sam 2018: 175 41 7 0 3 32 2 1 2 56 4 1 212
Freeman, Sam proj: 179 41 6 0 3 27 2 1 3 48 2 1 212
Fried, Max 2018: 102 23 3 1 3 18 2 2 2 37 3 2 126
Fried, Max proj: 106 27 4 1 3 15 1 1 3 30 2 2 126
Gausman, Kevin 2018: 201 45 8 0 4 15 1 0 2 38 3 1 219
Gausman, Kevin proj: 200 53 11 1 7 15 1 1 1 46 2 1 218
Gohara, Luiz 2018: 72 16 4 1 3 8 1 1 0 18 0 0 82
Gohara, Luiz proj: 74 19 7 1 2 6 0 1 0 20 1 0 81
Jackson, Luke 2018: 153 39 9 1 3 21 2 1 2 44 5 3 179
Jackson, Luke proj: 156 44 9 1 4 18 2 1 2 31 4 1 179
McCarthy, Brandon 2018: 313 94 15 1 15 21 1 4 0 65 2 1 339
McCarthy, Brandon proj: 311 83 16 1 10 21 2 2 2 60 7 2 338
McCreery, Adam 2018: 7 4 0 0 0 0 0 0 0 2 0 0 7
McCreery, Adam proj: 7 4 0 0 0 0 0 0 0 2 0 0 7
Minter, A.J. 2018: 225 55 9 1 3 21 1 1 2 67 4 1 250
Minter, A.J. proj: 228 55 9 2 3 19 1 1 2 75 3 1 251
Moylan, Peter 2018: 107 32 4 0 4 18 0 2 2 23 3 0 129
Moylan, Peter proj: 112 27 4 0 2 13 1 1 2 24 3 1 129
Newcomb, Sean 2018: 589 136 20 4 18 76 3 4 1 151 12 2 673
Newcomb, Sean proj: 581 141 24 5 17 79 4 5 4 154 8 2 673
Parsons, Wes 2018: 19 6 1 0 1 3 1 0 0 3 0 1 23
Parsons, Wes proj: 19 6 1 0 1 3 1 0 0 3 0 1 23
Phillips, Evan 2018: 25 6 1 0 3 4 0 0 0 3 0 0 29
Phillips, Evan proj: 24 6 2 0 2 5 0 0 0 4 0 0 29
Ramirez, Jose 2018: 28 9 4 0 0 8 0 0 2 7 3 0 38
Ramirez, Jose proj: 31 7 2 0 1 5 0 0 1 8 1 0 37
Ravin, Josh 2018: 10 2 1 0 0 2 0 1 1 1 0 0 14
Ravin, Josh proj: 12 2 0 0 1 2 0 0 0 4 0 0 14
Sanchez, Anibal 2018: 459 99 20 2 14 39 3 6 4 127 14 3 511
Sanchez, Anibal proj: 460 117 22 3 13 40 3 5 3 108 12 3 511
Sims, Lucas 2018: 43 12 2 0 2 8 0 0 1 10 0 0 52
Sims, Lucas proj: 44 12 3 0 2 6 0 1 1 9 1 1 52
Sobotka, Chad 2018: 40 4 0 0 2 8 0 1 0 17 2 0 49
Sobotka, Chad proj: 40 4 0 0 2 8 0 1 0 17 2 0 49
Socolovich, Miguel 2018: 23 8 3 1 0 2 0 0 0 4 1 0 25
Socolovich, Miguel proj: 23 5 1 0 1 2 0 0 0 5 1 0 25
Soroka, Michael 2018: 104 30 10 0 1 7 1 1 0 21 1 0 113
Soroka, Michael proj: 104 30 10 0 1 7 1 1 0 21 1 0 113
Teheran, Julio 2018: 603 120 24 4 25 82 5 3 9 157 18 6 702
Teheran, Julio proj: 631 149 26 4 22 54 3 7 7 146 13 4 702
Toussaint, Touki 2018: 79 15 6 0 1 16 0 1 2 23 2 0 98
Toussaint, Touki proj: 79 15 6 0 1 16 0 1 2 23 2 0 98
Venters, Jonny 2018: 65 12 3 0 0 7 1 1 1 14 1 0 75
Venters, Jonny proj: 64 13 2 0 1 8 0 1 1 19 1 0 74
Vizcaino, Arodys 2018: 134 28 8 0 3 13 0 0 2 39 0 0 149
Vizcaino, Arodys proj: 131 29 5 1 3 16 0 1 1 39 1 0 149
Whitley, Chase 2018: 5 2 1 0 1 1 0 0 0 1 0 0 6
Whitley, Chase proj: 6 1 0 0 0 0 0 0 0 1 0 0 6
Wilson, Bryse 2018: 26 8 4 0 0 6 1 0 0 6 1 0 33
Wilson, Bryse proj: 26 8 4 0 0 6 1 0 0 6 1 0 33
Winkler, Dan 2018: 223 50 12 2 3 18 0 1 5 69 1 0 247
Winkler, Dan proj: 221 46 11 2 5 20 0 2 4 73 1 0 247
Wisler, Matt 2018: 106 30 7 1 6 5 1 0 0 21 1 1 112
Wisler, Matt proj: 101 27 6 1 4 8 1 1 1 18 2 0 112
Wright, Kyle 2018: 17 2 0 0 0 6 0 0 0 3 1 0 23
Wright, Kyle proj: 17 2 0 0 0 6 0 0 0 3 1 0 23
2018 TEAM TOTALS: 5184 1198 239 25 146 602 33 37 50 1351 96 26 5906
PROJECTED: 5220 1281 256 27 147 550 34 45 51 1296 86 26 5900
difference: -36 -83 -17 -2 -1 +52 -1 -8 -1 +55 +10 0 +6
Man AB H 2B 3B HR BB SF SH HBP SO SB CS BFP


Assorted Team Stats:
Stat Actual Projected
Batting Average: .231 .245
Slugging Average: .371 .389
Walks (per PA): .102 .093
SOs (per PA): .229 .219
On-Base Average: .313 .319
Power Factor: 1.61 1.59
OPS: .685 .708
TPP Runs (to date): 626 659

Runs differential:
Actual TPP 33 less than Projected TPP.




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This page was last modified on Sunday, 23 September 2018, at 7:05 am Pacific Time.