Owing to the screen size of your device, you may obtain a better viewing experience by rotating your device a quarter-turn (to get the so-called "panorama" screen view).
owlcroft logo
An Owlcroft Company web site
Click here to email us.

The Owlcroft Baseball-Analysis Site

Baseball team and player performance examined realistically and accurately.

Search this site, or just roll your cursor over the colored boxes below the pictures.

  Advertisement:


  Advertisement:


ATL "Expected" Pitching Results, 2017


About These Stats:

The form of "projection" used is very simple: each man's career numbers are pro-rated by his actual number of batters faced to date this season; those data, labelled "proj:" are shown along with the man's actual stats from this year to date. At the bottom of the Table, each set of lines—"projected" and actual—is separately summed to get Team Totals for each dataset.

Note that "career to date" includes each man's stats for the current year: "to date" is literally correct. For veteran players, that matters little, but for rookies or players with litle prior major-league experience, it means that the "projection" will perforce nearly or exactly match the actual stats to date. That seems like the best way to deal with newly arrived players' stats.

Note that owing to rounding in the pro-rating process, projected total BFP (batters faced) may occasionally differ by 1.

Below the player/team table is a smaller table showing a few key team "rate" stats (such as batting average) actual and projected.

The Actual Data:

Through games of Friday, 18 August 2017.
All results are from true, unadjusted data.

Handedness Key:   + R   * L

(You can also look up the stat definitions.)

Pitchers, listed in alphabetical order:
Each name is a click-on link to that man's career stats.

(or see the data for Batting)


Man AB H 2B 3B HR BB SF SH HBP SO SB CS BFP
Blair, Aaron 2017: 12 5 1 1 1 5 1 1 0 3 2 0 19
Blair, Aaron proj: 16 5 1 0 1 2 0 0 0 3 0 0 18
Brothers, Rex 2017: 59 14 4 1 2 9 0 0 1 22 0 0 69
Brothers, Rex proj: 59 14 2 1 1 9 0 0 0 18 1 0 68
Collmenter, Josh 2017: 78 29 5 0 7 6 1 2 0 18 0 0 87
Collmenter, Josh proj: 80 20 4 0 3 5 0 1 0 15 1 1 86
Colon, Bartolo 2017: 272 92 24 2 11 20 2 4 1 42 4 1 299
Colon, Bartolo proj: 274 73 14 1 9 20 2 3 1 52 2 1 300
Dickey, R.A. 2017: 557 144 31 3 22 56 2 6 10 105 4 2 631
Dickey, R.A. proj: 568 145 29 3 19 48 4 4 7 106 5 3 631
Foltynewicz, Mike 2017: 506 141 29 2 19 49 2 8 8 121 4 3 573
Foltynewicz, Mike proj: 513 145 30 3 21 43 4 5 7 117 5 3 572
Freeman, Sam 2017: 170 41 4 0 3 20 0 0 2 47 2 0 192
Freeman, Sam proj: 164 39 5 0 4 24 1 1 3 42 2 1 193
Fried, Max 2017: 21 5 2 0 1 6 0 0 0 4 0 0 27
Fried, Max proj: 21 5 2 0 1 6 0 0 0 4 0 0 27
Garcia, Jaime 2017: 429 108 29 2 12 41 1 2 1 85 15 5 474
Garcia, Jaime proj: 431 112 22 2 10 34 3 4 2 90 6 3 474
Hursh, Jason 2017: 41 13 2 0 1 4 1 0 1 7 0 0 47
Hursh, Jason proj: 40 14 2 0 1 6 1 0 1 6 0 0 48
Jackson, Luke 2017: 156 42 10 1 4 15 2 1 3 28 3 0 177
Jackson, Luke proj: 156 46 10 1 6 17 2 1 2 25 3 1 178
Johnson, Jim 2017: 187 45 8 0 4 17 3 0 1 55 2 0 208
Johnson, Jim proj: 186 49 7 1 3 16 1 2 3 37 3 1 208
Krol, Ian 2017: 161 43 6 0 8 19 0 0 1 37 6 1 181
Krol, Ian proj: 161 45 7 1 6 16 1 1 2 38 3 1 181
Morris, Akeel 2017: 28 6 3 0 0 4 0 0 0 9 0 0 32
Morris, Akeel proj: 26 7 2 0 1 6 0 0 0 7 0 0 32
Motte, Jason 2017: 112 25 7 0 5 12 1 0 2 21 5 0 127
Motte, Jason proj: 115 26 6 0 4 9 1 1 1 29 2 1 127
Newcomb, Sean 2017: 244 59 13 3 9 37 2 2 4 69 1 0 289
Newcomb, Sean proj: 244 59 13 3 9 37 2 2 4 69 1 0 289
O'Flaherty, Eric 2017: 72 20 8 0 4 9 1 1 0 15 1 0 83
O'Flaherty, Eric proj: 74 19 3 0 1 7 0 1 1 15 1 1 83
Ramirez, Jose 2017: 172 30 6 0 6 21 2 0 3 45 5 1 198
Ramirez, Jose proj: 165 37 10 1 4 25 2 0 5 42 7 1 197
Roe, Chaz 2017: 10 3 0 0 0 2 0 0 1 1 0 0 13
Roe, Chaz proj: 11 3 1 0 0 2 0 0 0 3 0 0 13
Sims, Lucas 2017: 88 27 8 0 4 6 0 3 4 11 1 1 101
Sims, Lucas proj: 88 27 8 0 4 6 0 3 4 11 1 1 101
Teheran, Julio 2017: 532 138 19 2 28 53 2 6 6 109 22 4 599
Teheran, Julio proj: 543 131 22 3 19 41 2 6 6 123 10 3 598
Vizcaino, Arodys 2017: 163 32 3 2 5 13 0 0 2 47 1 0 178
Vizcaino, Arodys proj: 157 35 5 1 3 19 0 1 1 46 1 0 178
Wisler, Matt 2017: 74 22 8 1 3 9 1 2 1 12 1 0 87
Wisler, Matt proj: 78 21 5 0 3 7 1 1 1 14 1 0 88
2017 TEAM TOTALS: 4144 1084 230 20 159 433 24 38 52 913 79 18 4691
PROJECTED: 4170 1077 210 21 133 405 27 37 51 912 55 22 4690
difference: -26 +7 +20 -1 +26 +28 -3 +1 +1 +1 +24 -4 +1
Man AB H 2B 3B HR BB SF SH HBP SO SB CS BFP


Assorted Team Stats:
Stat Actual Projected
Batting Average: .262 .258
Slugging Average: .442 .414
Walks (per PA): .092 .086
SOs (per PA): .195 .194
On-Base Average: .334 .327
Power Factor: 1.69 1.6
OPS: .776 .741
TPP Runs (to date): 615 563

Runs differential:
Actual TPP 52 more than Projected TPP.




  Advertisement:


  Advertisement:



Want detailed, careful, unhysterical analysis of the effects of "Performance-Enhancing Drugs" in baseball? Click here to visit the Steroids & Baseball web site.

All content copyright © 2002 - 2017 by The Owlcroft Company.

This web page is strictly compliant with the W3C (World Wide Web Consortium) Extensible HyperText Markup Language (XHTML) Protocol v1.0 (Transitional) and the W3C Cascading Style Sheets (CSS) Protocol v3 — because we care about interoperability. Click on the logos below to test us!



This page was last modified on Saturday, 19 August 2017, at 7:11 am Pacific Time.