Owing to the screen size of your device, you may obtain a better viewing experience by rotating your device a quarter-turn (to get the so-called "panorama" screen view).
owlcroft logo
An Owlcroft Company web site
Click here to email us.

The Owlcroft Baseball-Analysis Site

Baseball team and player performance examined realistically and accurately.

Search this site, or just roll your cursor over the colored boxes below the pictures.

  Advertisement:


  Advertisement:


ATL "Expected" Pitching Results, 2018


About These Stats:

The form of "projection" used is very simple: each man's career numbers are pro-rated by his actual number of batters faced to date this season; those data, labelled "proj:" are shown along with the man's actual stats from this year to date. At the bottom of the Table, each set of lines—"projected" and actual—is separately summed to get Team Totals for each dataset.

Note that "career to date" includes each man's stats for the current year: "to date" is literally correct. For veteran players, that matters little, but for rookies or players with litle prior major-league experience, it means that the "projection" will perforce nearly or exactly match the actual stats to date. That seems like the best way to deal with newly arrived players' stats.

Note that owing to rounding in the pro-rating process, projected total BFP (batters faced) may occasionally differ by 1.

Below the player/team table is a smaller table showing a few key team "rate" stats (such as batting average) actual and projected.

The Actual Data:

Through games of Sunday, 30 September 2018.
All results are from true, unadjusted data.

Handedness Key:   + R   * L

(You can also look up the stat definitions.)

Pitchers, listed in alphabetical order:
Each name is a click-on link to that man's career stats.

(or see the data for Batting)


Man AB H 2B 3B HR BB SF SH HBP SO SB CS BFP
Allard, Kolby 2018: 41 19 2 0 3 4 0 1 1 3 0 0 47
Allard, Kolby proj: 41 19 2 0 3 4 0 1 1 3 0 0 47
Biddle, Jesse 2018: 229 50 9 0 6 31 1 2 3 67 2 2 266
Biddle, Jesse proj: 229 50 9 0 6 31 1 2 3 67 2 2 266
Brach, Brad 2018: 93 22 2 1 1 9 1 0 1 22 5 1 104
Brach, Brad proj: 91 21 4 0 3 11 1 0 0 26 2 1 103
Brothers, Rex 2018: 0 0 0 0 0 2 0 0 0 0 0 0 2
Brothers, Rex proj: 2 0 0 0 0 0 0 0 0 1 0 0 2
Carle, Shane 2018: 226 50 15 0 2 27 4 1 1 43 5 0 259
Carle, Shane proj: 228 52 15 0 3 25 4 1 1 44 5 0 259
Culberson, Charlie 2018: 5 2 1 0 0 0 0 0 0 0 0 0 5
Culberson, Charlie proj: 5 2 1 0 0 0 0 0 0 0 0 0 5
Foltynewicz, Mike 2018: 667 130 25 5 17 68 1 2 6 202 3 1 744
Foltynewicz, Mike proj: 666 170 35 4 23 60 4 6 8 167 6 3 744
Freeman, Sam 2018: 179 41 7 0 3 32 2 1 2 58 4 1 216
Freeman, Sam proj: 183 42 6 0 3 28 2 1 3 49 2 1 217
Fried, Max 2018: 116 26 3 1 3 20 2 2 2 44 3 2 142
Fried, Max proj: 119 30 4 1 3 17 1 1 3 36 2 2 141
Gausman, Kevin 2018: 220 50 9 1 5 18 2 0 2 44 5 1 242
Gausman, Kevin proj: 221 59 12 1 8 17 1 1 1 51 2 1 241
Gohara, Luiz 2018: 72 16 4 1 3 8 1 1 0 18 0 0 82
Gohara, Luiz proj: 74 19 7 1 2 6 0 1 0 20 1 0 81
Jackson, Luke 2018: 158 41 10 1 3 21 2 1 2 46 5 3 184
Jackson, Luke proj: 161 46 10 1 4 19 2 1 2 33 4 1 185
McCarthy, Brandon 2018: 313 94 15 1 15 21 1 4 0 65 2 1 339
McCarthy, Brandon proj: 311 83 16 1 10 21 2 2 2 60 7 2 338
McCreery, Adam 2018: 7 4 0 0 0 0 0 0 0 2 0 0 7
McCreery, Adam proj: 7 4 0 0 0 0 0 0 0 2 0 0 7
Minter, A.J. 2018: 234 57 9 1 3 22 1 1 2 69 4 1 260
Minter, A.J. proj: 237 57 9 2 3 20 1 1 2 77 3 1 261
Moylan, Peter 2018: 107 32 4 0 4 18 0 2 2 23 3 0 129
Moylan, Peter proj: 112 27 4 0 2 13 1 1 2 24 3 1 129
Newcomb, Sean 2018: 607 137 21 4 18 81 3 4 1 160 12 2 696
Newcomb, Sean proj: 599 143 25 5 17 83 4 5 4 162 8 2 695
Parsons, Wes 2018: 19 6 1 0 1 3 1 0 0 3 0 1 23
Parsons, Wes proj: 19 6 1 0 1 3 1 0 0 3 0 1 23
Phillips, Evan 2018: 25 6 1 0 3 4 0 0 0 3 0 0 29
Phillips, Evan proj: 24 6 2 0 2 5 0 0 0 4 0 0 29
Ramirez, Jose 2018: 28 9 4 0 0 8 0 0 2 7 3 0 38
Ramirez, Jose proj: 31 7 2 0 1 5 0 0 1 8 1 0 37
Ravin, Josh 2018: 10 2 1 0 0 2 0 1 1 1 0 0 14
Ravin, Josh proj: 12 2 0 0 1 2 0 0 0 4 0 0 14
Sanchez, Anibal 2018: 497 106 21 2 15 42 3 7 4 135 15 4 553
Sanchez, Anibal proj: 498 126 23 3 14 43 3 5 4 116 13 3 553
Sims, Lucas 2018: 43 12 2 0 2 8 0 0 1 10 0 0 52
Sims, Lucas proj: 44 12 3 0 2 6 0 1 1 9 1 1 52
Sobotka, Chad 2018: 48 5 1 0 2 9 0 1 0 21 2 0 58
Sobotka, Chad proj: 48 5 1 0 2 9 0 1 0 21 2 0 58
Socolovich, Miguel 2018: 23 8 3 1 0 2 0 0 0 4 1 0 25
Socolovich, Miguel proj: 23 5 1 0 1 2 0 0 0 5 1 0 25
Soroka, Michael 2018: 104 30 10 0 1 7 1 1 0 21 1 0 113
Soroka, Michael proj: 104 30 10 0 1 7 1 1 0 21 1 0 113
Teheran, Julio 2018: 623 122 25 4 26 84 5 3 9 162 19 6 724
Teheran, Julio proj: 651 154 27 4 23 55 3 7 8 151 14 4 724
Toussaint, Touki 2018: 99 18 7 0 1 21 0 1 2 32 2 1 123
Toussaint, Touki proj: 99 18 7 0 1 21 0 1 2 32 2 1 123
Venters, Jonny 2018: 73 15 3 0 0 10 1 2 1 16 1 0 87
Venters, Jonny proj: 74 16 2 0 1 10 0 1 1 22 1 0 86
Vizcaino, Arodys 2018: 141 30 8 0 4 15 0 0 2 40 0 0 158
Vizcaino, Arodys proj: 139 31 5 1 3 17 0 1 1 41 1 0 158
Whitley, Chase 2018: 5 2 1 0 1 1 0 0 0 1 0 0 6
Whitley, Chase proj: 6 1 0 0 0 0 0 0 0 1 0 0 6
Wilson, Bryse 2018: 26 8 4 0 0 6 1 0 0 6 1 0 33
Wilson, Bryse proj: 26 8 4 0 0 6 1 0 0 6 1 0 33
Winkler, Dan 2018: 228 52 13 2 3 20 1 1 5 69 1 0 255
Winkler, Dan proj: 227 48 12 2 5 22 1 2 4 73 1 0 256
Wisler, Matt 2018: 106 30 7 1 6 5 1 0 0 21 1 1 112
Wisler, Matt proj: 101 28 6 1 4 8 1 1 1 18 2 0 112
Wright, Kyle 2018: 22 4 0 0 2 6 0 0 0 5 1 0 28
Wright, Kyle proj: 22 4 0 0 2 6 0 0 0 5 1 0 28
2018 TEAM TOTALS: 5394 1236 248 26 153 635 35 39 52 1423 101 28 6155
PROJECTED: 5434 1331 265 27 154 582 35 45 55 1362 89 27 6151
difference: -40 -95 -17 -1 -1 +53 0 -6 -3 +61 +12 +1 +4
Man AB H 2B 3B HR BB SF SH HBP SO SB CS BFP


Assorted Team Stats:
Stat Actual Projected
Batting Average: .229 .245
Slugging Average: .370 .389
Walks (per PA): .103 .095
SOs (per PA): .231 .221
On-Base Average: .312 .320
Power Factor: 1.61 1.59
OPS: .682 .709
TPP Runs (to date): 649 688

Runs differential:
Actual TPP 39 less than Projected TPP.




  Advertisement:


  Advertisement:



Want detailed, careful, unhysterical analysis of the effects of "Performance-Enhancing Drugs" in baseball? Click here to visit the Steroids & Baseball web site.

All content copyright © 2002 - 2018 by The Owlcroft Company.

This web page is strictly compliant with the W3C (World Wide Web Consortium) Extensible HyperText Markup Language (XHTML) Protocol v1.0 (Transitional) and the W3C Cascading Style Sheets (CSS) Protocol v3 — because we care about interoperability. Click on the logos below to test us!



This page was last modified on Monday, 1 October 2018, at 7:06 am Pacific Time.