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ATL "Expected" Pitching Results, 2019


About These Stats:

The form of "projection" used is very simple: each man's career numbers are pro-rated by his actual number of batters faced to date this season; those data, labelled "proj:" are shown along with the man's actual stats from this year to date. At the bottom of the Table, each set of lines—"projected" and actual—is separately summed to get Team Totals for each dataset.

Note that "career to date" includes each man's stats for the current year: "to date" is literally correct. For veteran players, that matters little, but for rookies or players with litle prior major-league experience, it means that the "projection" will perforce nearly or exactly match the actual stats to date. That seems like the best way to deal with newly arrived players' stats.

Note that owing to rounding in the pro-rating process, projected total BFP (batters faced) may occasionally differ by 1.

Below the player/team table is a smaller table showing a few key team "rate" stats (such as batting average) actual and projected.

The Actual Data:

Through games of Monday, 30 September 2019.
All results are from true, unadjusted data.

Handedness Key:   + R   * L

(You can also look up the stat definitions.)

Pitchers, listed in alphabetical order:
Each name is a click-on link to that man's career stats.

(or see the data for Batting)


Man AB H 2B 3B HR BB SF SH HBP SO SB CS BFP
Biddle, Jesse 2019: 54 18 3 0 1 10 0 0 0 11 0 0 64
Biddle, Jesse proj: 54 14 2 0 2 8 0 0 1 14 1 0 63
Blevins, Jerry 2019: 121 25 6 0 5 16 2 0 2 37 4 0 141
Blevins, Jerry proj: 123 28 5 0 3 13 2 1 2 34 2 1 141
Carle, Shane 2019: 37 11 3 1 3 9 0 0 3 6 0 0 49
Carle, Shane proj: 42 10 3 0 1 5 1 0 1 8 1 0 49
Culberson, Charlie 2019: 8 2 1 0 0 2 0 0 0 1 0 0 10
Culberson, Charlie proj: 9 3 1 0 0 1 0 0 0 1 0 0 10
Dayton, Grant 2019: 47 12 0 0 4 4 0 0 0 14 0 0 51
Dayton, Grant proj: 46 9 1 0 3 4 1 0 0 15 0 0 51
Foltynewicz, Mike 2019: 446 109 19 4 23 37 1 5 2 105 3 2 491
Foltynewicz, Mike proj: 440 112 22 3 16 39 2 4 5 109 4 2 490
Fried, Max 2019: 645 174 33 0 21 47 2 3 5 173 4 2 702
Fried, Max proj: 630 167 30 1 20 57 3 4 8 174 5 4 702
Gausman, Kevin 2019: 317 92 18 1 12 27 6 6 4 85 10 1 360
Gausman, Kevin proj: 328 88 17 1 12 26 2 2 2 78 4 2 360
Greene, Shane 2019: 93 25 5 0 3 5 1 0 2 21 1 0 101
Greene, Shane proj: 90 23 3 1 3 8 1 0 1 22 1 1 100
Jackson, Luke 2019: 286 76 9 0 10 26 0 1 2 106 6 1 315
Jackson, Luke proj: 279 77 14 1 9 29 2 1 3 75 7 2 314
Keuchel, Dallas 2019: 434 115 14 4 16 39 0 5 9 91 0 1 487
Keuchel, Dallas proj: 445 113 20 2 12 34 2 2 3 93 3 1 486
Martin, Chris 2019: 67 17 2 0 1 1 1 0 0 22 1 1 69
Martin, Chris proj: 66 18 3 0 2 2 0 0 0 16 1 0 68
Melancon, Mark 2019: 87 22 2 0 1 2 0 0 0 24 0 0 89
Melancon, Mark proj: 82 19 3 0 1 5 0 0 1 20 1 0 88
Minter, A.J. 2019: 121 36 9 0 3 23 1 1 1 35 6 0 147
Minter, A.J. proj: 130 33 6 1 2 15 1 1 1 41 3 0 148
Newcomb, Sean 2019: 259 61 10 1 8 29 2 0 3 65 4 1 293
Newcomb, Sean proj: 254 60 11 2 7 34 2 2 2 68 4 1 294
O'Day, Darren 2019: 19 3 3 0 0 1 0 0 1 6 0 0 21
O'Day, Darren proj: 19 4 1 0 1 1 0 0 0 5 0 0 20
Parsons, Wes 2019: 48 11 0 0 2 13 2 0 1 12 2 1 64
Parsons, Wes proj: 50 14 1 0 2 11 1 1 1 10 2 1 64
Sobotka, Chad 2019: 112 28 4 0 6 19 0 0 3 38 6 0 134
Sobotka, Chad proj: 112 23 3 0 6 20 0 1 2 41 6 0 135
Soroka, Mike 2019: 648 153 21 2 14 41 2 3 7 142 6 2 701
Soroka, Mike proj: 648 158 27 2 13 41 3 3 6 140 6 2 701
Swarzak, Anthony 2019: 151 38 3 1 6 19 0 0 0 35 2 1 170
Swarzak, Anthony proj: 155 42 6 1 5 13 1 1 1 30 1 1 171
Teheran, Julio 2019: 646 148 33 2 22 83 5 6 14 162 15 3 754
Teheran, Julio proj: 674 158 28 4 23 61 4 7 9 158 14 4 755
Tomlin, Josh 2019: 307 82 10 4 14 7 2 4 0 51 0 1 320
Tomlin, Josh proj: 304 83 17 2 14 11 2 1 2 52 1 1 320
Toussaint, Touki 2019: 163 44 9 0 5 26 0 2 7 45 0 0 198
Toussaint, Touki proj: 162 38 10 0 4 29 0 2 6 47 1 1 199
Venters, Jonny 2019: 23 9 1 0 3 8 0 0 0 7 0 0 31
Venters, Jonny proj: 26 6 1 0 0 4 0 0 1 8 0 0 31
Vizcaino, Arodys 2019: 14 3 2 0 1 3 0 0 0 6 0 0 17
Vizcaino, Arodys proj: 15 3 1 0 0 2 0 0 0 4 0 0 17
Walker, Jeremy 2019: 34 9 3 0 0 4 0 0 0 6 0 1 38
Walker, Jeremy proj: 34 9 3 0 0 4 0 0 0 6 0 1 38
Webb, Jacob 2019: 117 24 8 0 4 12 0 1 1 28 1 0 131
Webb, Jacob proj: 117 24 8 0 4 12 0 1 1 28 1 0 131
Wilson, Bryse 2019: 81 26 10 1 5 10 0 2 0 16 1 1 93
Wilson, Bryse proj: 79 25 10 1 4 12 1 1 0 16 1 1 93
Winkler, Dan 2019: 81 18 4 1 5 11 0 0 1 22 0 1 93
Winkler, Dan proj: 82 18 4 1 2 9 0 0 1 26 0 0 92
Wright, Kyle 2019: 79 24 6 1 4 13 0 0 1 18 4 0 93
Wright, Kyle proj: 78 22 5 1 5 15 0 0 1 18 4 0 94
Ynoa, Huascar 2019: 15 6 2 0 1 1 0 0 0 3 0 0 16
Ynoa, Huascar proj: 15 6 2 0 1 1 0 0 0 3 0 0 16
2019 TEAM TOTALS: 5560 1421 253 23 203 548 27 39 69 1393 76 20 6243
PROJECTED: 5588 1407 268 24 177 526 31 35 61 1360 74 26 6241
difference: -28 +14 -15 -1 +26 +22 -4 +4 +8 +33 +2 -6 +2
Man AB H 2B 3B HR BB SF SH HBP SO SB CS BFP


Assorted Team Stats:
Stat Actual Projected
Batting Average: .256 .252
Slugging Average: .419 .403
Walks (per PA): .088 .084
SOs (per PA): .223 .218
On-Base Average: .326 .320
Power Factor: 1.64 1.6
OPS: .745 .723
TPP Runs (to date): 765 719

Runs differential:
Actual TPP 46 more than Projected TPP.




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This page was last modified on Tuesday, 1 October 2019, at 7:36 am Pacific Time.