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ATL "Expected" Pitching Results, 2019


About These Stats:

The form of "projection" used is very simple: each man's career numbers are pro-rated by his actual number of batters faced to date this season; those data, labelled "proj:" are shown along with the man's actual stats from this year to date. At the bottom of the Table, each set of lines—"projected" and actual—is separately summed to get Team Totals for each dataset.

Note that "career to date" includes each man's stats for the current year: "to date" is literally correct. For veteran players, that matters little, but for rookies or players with litle prior major-league experience, it means that the "projection" will perforce nearly or exactly match the actual stats to date. That seems like the best way to deal with newly arrived players' stats.

Note that owing to rounding in the pro-rating process, projected total BFP (batters faced) may occasionally differ by 1.

Below the player/team table is a smaller table showing a few key team "rate" stats (such as batting average) actual and projected.

The Actual Data:

Through games of Saturday, 25 May 2019.
All results are from true, unadjusted data.

Handedness Key:   + R   * L

(You can also look up the stat definitions.)

Pitchers, listed in alphabetical order:
Each name is a click-on link to that man's career stats.

(or see the data for Batting)


Man AB H 2B 3B HR BB SF SH HBP SO SB CS BFP
Biddle, Jesse 2019: 54 18 3 0 1 10 0 0 0 11 0 0 64
Biddle, Jesse proj: 55 13 2 0 1 8 0 0 1 15 0 0 64
Blevins, Jerry 2019: 20 5 0 0 1 5 1 0 1 6 0 0 27
Blevins, Jerry proj: 24 5 1 0 1 3 0 0 0 6 0 0 27
Carle, Shane 2019: 37 11 3 1 3 9 0 0 3 6 0 0 49
Carle, Shane proj: 42 10 3 0 1 5 1 0 1 8 1 0 49
Culberson, Charlie 2019: 4 1 0 0 0 2 0 0 0 1 0 0 6
Culberson, Charlie proj: 5 2 1 0 0 1 0 0 0 1 0 0 6
Dayton, Grant 2019: 15 4 0 0 0 1 0 0 0 1 0 0 16
Dayton, Grant proj: 14 3 0 0 1 1 0 0 0 4 0 0 15
Foltynewicz, Mike 2019: 131 34 5 2 10 8 1 3 2 24 0 0 145
Foltynewicz, Mike proj: 130 33 7 1 5 12 1 1 2 32 1 1 146
Fried, Max 2019: 212 50 8 0 7 13 1 0 1 51 0 0 227
Fried, Max proj: 201 49 7 1 6 21 1 1 3 54 1 1 227
Gausman, Kevin 2019: 197 45 13 0 5 21 4 4 3 56 4 0 229
Gausman, Kevin proj: 209 55 11 1 7 17 2 1 1 49 2 1 230
Jackson, Luke 2019: 99 24 3 0 2 8 0 0 1 34 3 0 108
Jackson, Luke proj: 95 26 5 0 2 10 1 0 1 22 2 1 107
Minter, A.J. 2019: 50 17 5 0 2 9 0 0 0 16 1 0 59
Minter, A.J. proj: 53 14 2 0 1 5 0 0 0 17 1 0 58
Newcomb, Sean 2019: 92 25 4 0 2 8 1 0 0 16 0 0 101
Newcomb, Sean proj: 87 21 4 1 2 12 1 1 1 23 1 0 102
Parsons, Wes 2019: 46 11 0 0 2 11 2 0 0 12 2 1 59
Parsons, Wes proj: 47 12 1 0 2 10 2 0 0 11 1 1 59
Sobotka, Chad 2019: 49 13 2 0 3 9 0 0 3 17 2 0 61
Sobotka, Chad proj: 50 9 2 0 3 9 0 1 2 19 2 0 62
Soroka, Mike 2019: 180 30 3 1 1 15 0 3 7 46 3 0 205
Soroka, Mike proj: 183 39 8 1 1 14 1 3 5 43 3 0 206
Swarzak, Anthony 2019: 10 1 0 0 0 0 0 0 0 5 0 0 10
Swarzak, Anthony proj: 9 2 0 0 0 1 0 0 0 2 0 0 10
Teheran, Julio 2019: 223 48 8 1 8 29 1 2 2 62 3 2 257
Teheran, Julio proj: 231 54 9 1 8 20 1 2 3 54 5 1 257
Tomlin, Josh 2019: 95 26 3 0 5 2 0 1 0 15 0 0 98
Tomlin, Josh proj: 93 25 5 1 4 3 1 0 1 16 0 0 98
Toussaint, Touki 2019: 66 16 1 0 1 7 0 1 3 22 0 0 77
Toussaint, Touki proj: 64 13 3 0 1 11 0 1 2 21 1 0 78
Venters, Jonny 2019: 23 9 1 0 3 8 0 0 0 7 0 0 31
Venters, Jonny proj: 26 6 1 0 0 4 0 0 1 8 0 0 31
Vizcaino, Arodys 2019: 14 3 2 0 1 3 0 0 0 6 0 0 17
Vizcaino, Arodys proj: 15 3 1 0 0 2 0 0 0 4 0 0 17
Webb, Jacob 2019: 50 10 1 0 2 6 0 1 0 16 1 0 57
Webb, Jacob proj: 50 10 1 0 2 6 0 1 0 16 1 0 57
Wilson, Bryse 2019: 16 5 2 1 1 4 0 0 0 4 1 1 20
Wilson, Bryse proj: 16 5 2 0 0 4 0 0 0 4 1 0 20
Winkler, Dan 2019: 54 10 2 0 3 7 0 0 0 17 0 1 61
Winkler, Dan proj: 54 11 3 0 1 6 0 0 1 17 0 0 61
Wright, Kyle 2019: 54 15 4 0 4 10 0 0 1 11 2 0 65
Wright, Kyle proj: 53 13 3 0 4 11 0 0 1 11 2 0 65
2019 TEAM TOTALS: 1791 431 73 6 67 205 11 15 27 462 22 5 2049
PROJECTED: 1806 433 82 7 53 196 12 12 26 457 25 6 2052
difference: -15 -2 -9 -1 +14 +9 -1 +3 +1 +5 -3 -1 -3
Man AB H 2B 3B HR BB SF SH HBP SO SB CS BFP


Assorted Team Stats:
Stat Actual Projected
Batting Average: .241 .240
Slugging Average: .400 .381
Walks (per PA): .100 .096
SOs (per PA): .225 .223
On-Base Average: .324 .319
Power Factor: 1.66 1.59
OPS: .724 .700
TPP Runs (to date): 240 225

Runs differential:
Actual TPP 15 more than Projected TPP.




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This page was last modified on Sunday, 26 May 2019, at 6:55 am Pacific Time.