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ATL "Expected" Pitching Results, 2018


About These Stats:

The form of "projection" used is very simple: each man's career numbers are pro-rated by his actual number of batters faced to date this season; those data, labelled "proj:" are shown along with the man's actual stats from this year to date. At the bottom of the Table, each set of lines—"projected" and actual—is separately summed to get Team Totals for each dataset.

Note that "career to date" includes each man's stats for the current year: "to date" is literally correct. For veteran players, that matters little, but for rookies or players with litle prior major-league experience, it means that the "projection" will perforce nearly or exactly match the actual stats to date. That seems like the best way to deal with newly arrived players' stats.

Note that owing to rounding in the pro-rating process, projected total BFP (batters faced) may occasionally differ by 1.

Below the player/team table is a smaller table showing a few key team "rate" stats (such as batting average) actual and projected.

The Actual Data:

Through games of Friday, 20 July 2018.
All results are from true, unadjusted data.

Handedness Key:   + R   * L

(You can also look up the stat definitions.)

Pitchers, listed in alphabetical order:
Each name is a click-on link to that man's career stats.

(or see the data for Batting)


Man AB H 2B 3B HR BB SF SH HBP SO SB CS BFP
Biddle, Jesse 2018: 131 26 5 0 4 17 0 1 1 40 2 1 150
Biddle, Jesse proj: 131 26 5 0 4 17 0 1 1 40 2 1 150
Brothers, Rex 2018: 0 0 0 0 0 2 0 0 0 0 0 0 2
Brothers, Rex proj: 2 0 0 0 0 0 0 0 0 1 0 0 2
Carle, Shane 2018: 179 40 12 0 2 17 1 1 0 38 2 0 198
Carle, Shane proj: 181 42 12 0 3 16 1 1 0 38 2 0 199
Foltynewicz, Mike 2018: 368 71 11 4 10 42 1 1 3 120 3 1 415
Foltynewicz, Mike proj: 370 98 20 3 13 34 3 4 5 91 4 2 416
Freeman, Sam 2018: 128 27 5 0 3 24 2 1 2 40 2 0 157
Freeman, Sam proj: 133 30 4 0 3 20 1 1 2 35 2 0 157
Fried, Max 2018: 71 17 2 1 3 13 1 1 1 25 3 2 87
Fried, Max proj: 74 20 3 1 3 10 0 0 2 20 1 1 86
Gohara, Luiz 2018: 72 16 4 1 3 8 1 1 0 18 0 0 82
Gohara, Luiz proj: 74 19 7 1 2 6 0 1 0 20 1 0 81
Jackson, Luke 2018: 58 11 3 1 1 9 0 0 1 21 2 0 68
Jackson, Luke proj: 60 17 4 0 2 7 1 0 1 11 1 0 69
McCarthy, Brandon 2018: 313 94 15 1 15 21 1 4 0 65 2 1 339
McCarthy, Brandon proj: 311 83 16 1 10 21 2 2 2 60 7 2 338
Minter, A.J. 2018: 149 35 6 0 1 15 1 1 1 44 3 1 167
Minter, A.J. proj: 152 35 6 1 1 13 1 1 1 51 2 1 168
Moylan, Peter 2018: 100 31 4 0 4 17 0 2 2 23 3 0 121
Moylan, Peter proj: 105 25 4 0 2 12 1 1 1 22 3 1 120
Newcomb, Sean 2018: 380 82 13 2 11 52 3 3 0 97 6 2 438
Newcomb, Sean proj: 375 89 17 3 10 53 3 4 3 100 4 1 438
Phillips, Evan 2018: 15 4 1 0 3 4 0 0 0 1 0 0 19
Phillips, Evan proj: 15 4 1 0 3 4 0 0 0 1 0 0 19
Ramirez, Jose 2018: 28 9 4 0 0 8 0 0 2 7 3 0 38
Ramirez, Jose proj: 31 7 2 0 1 5 0 0 1 8 1 0 37
Ravin, Josh 2018: 10 2 1 0 0 2 0 1 1 1 0 0 14
Ravin, Josh proj: 12 2 0 0 1 2 0 0 0 4 0 0 14
Sanchez, Anibal 2018: 258 54 14 1 9 22 2 4 3 70 9 1 289
Sanchez, Anibal proj: 260 66 12 2 8 23 2 3 2 60 7 1 290
Sims, Lucas 2018: 43 12 2 0 2 8 0 0 1 10 0 0 52
Sims, Lucas proj: 45 13 3 0 2 5 0 1 1 9 1 1 52
Socolovich, Miguel 2018: 23 8 3 1 0 2 0 0 0 4 1 0 25
Socolovich, Miguel proj: 23 5 1 0 1 2 0 0 0 5 1 0 25
Soroka, Michael 2018: 104 30 10 0 1 7 1 1 0 21 1 0 113
Soroka, Michael proj: 104 30 10 0 1 7 1 1 0 21 1 0 113
Teheran, Julio 2018: 381 77 19 3 18 51 1 1 4 98 8 3 438
Teheran, Julio proj: 395 94 16 3 14 32 2 4 4 91 8 2 437
Vizcaino, Arodys 2018: 119 25 7 0 2 12 0 0 2 34 0 0 133
Vizcaino, Arodys proj: 117 26 5 1 3 14 0 1 1 35 1 0 133
Whitley, Chase 2018: 5 2 1 0 1 1 0 0 0 1 0 0 6
Whitley, Chase proj: 6 1 0 0 0 0 0 0 0 1 0 0 6
Winkler, Dan 2018: 144 29 5 2 2 11 0 1 3 48 1 0 159
Winkler, Dan proj: 142 27 5 1 3 13 0 1 2 50 1 0 158
Wisler, Matt 2018: 106 30 7 1 6 5 1 0 0 21 1 1 112
Wisler, Matt proj: 101 28 6 1 4 8 1 1 1 18 2 0 112
2018 TEAM TOTALS: 3185 732 154 18 101 370 16 24 27 847 52 13 3622
PROJECTED: 3219 787 159 18 94 324 19 28 30 792 52 13 3620
difference: -34 -55 -5 0 +7 +46 -3 -4 -3 +55 0 0 +2
Man AB H 2B 3B HR BB SF SH HBP SO SB CS BFP


Assorted Team Stats:
Stat Actual Projected
Batting Average: .230 .244
Slugging Average: .385 .393
Walks (per PA): .102 .089
SOs (per PA): .234 .219
On-Base Average: .312 .315
Power Factor: 1.67 1.61
OPS: .696 .708
TPP Runs (to date): 394 404

Runs differential:
Actual TPP 10 less than Projected TPP.




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This page was last modified on Saturday, 21 July 2018, at 6:59 am Pacific Time.