Owing to the screen size of your device, you may obtain a better viewing experience by rotating your device a quarter-turn (to get the so-called "panorama" screen view).
owlcroft logo
An Owlcroft Company web site
Click here to email us.

The Owlcroft Baseball-Analysis Site

Baseball team and player performance examined realistically and accurately.

Search this site, or just roll your cursor over the colored boxes below the pictures.

  Advertisement:


  Advertisement:


ATL "Expected" Pitching Results, 2017


About These Stats:

The form of "projection" used is very simple: each man's career numbers are pro-rated by his actual number of batters faced to date this season; those data, labelled "proj:" are shown along with the man's actual stats from this year to date. At the bottom of the Table, each set of lines—"projected" and actual—is separately summed to get Team Totals for each dataset.

Note that "career to date" includes each man's stats for the current year: "to date" is literally correct. For veteran players, that matters little, but for rookies or players with litle prior major-league experience, it means that the "projection" will perforce nearly or exactly match the actual stats to date. That seems like the best way to deal with newly arrived players' stats.

Note that owing to rounding in the pro-rating process, projected total BFP (batters faced) may occasionally differ by 1.

Below the player/team table is a smaller table showing a few key team "rate" stats (such as batting average) actual and projected.

The Actual Data:

Through games of Monday, 22 May 2017.
All results are from true, unadjusted data.

Handedness Key:   + R   * L

(You can also look up the stat definitions.)

Pitchers, listed in alphabetical order:
Each name is a click-on link to that man's career stats.

(or see the data for Batting)


Man AB H 2B 3B HR BB SF SH HBP SO SB CS BFP
Collmenter, Josh 2017: 70 23 4 0 4 5 1 1 0 17 0 0 77
Collmenter, Josh proj: 71 18 4 0 2 5 0 1 0 13 1 1 77
Colon, Bartolo 2017: 195 60 16 1 8 11 2 1 1 33 2 1 210
Colon, Bartolo proj: 192 51 10 1 6 14 1 2 1 37 1 1 210
Dickey, R.A. 2017: 183 49 15 0 10 21 1 2 3 26 1 1 210
Dickey, R.A. proj: 189 48 10 1 6 16 1 1 2 35 2 1 209
Foltynewicz, Mike 2017: 183 51 9 0 7 14 0 5 3 37 2 2 205
Foltynewicz, Mike proj: 185 53 10 1 8 14 2 2 2 40 2 1 205
Freeman, Sam 2017: 27 5 2 0 0 5 0 0 0 8 0 0 32
Freeman, Sam proj: 27 6 1 0 1 4 0 0 0 7 0 0 31
Garcia, Jaime 2017: 184 42 12 1 6 22 0 1 1 33 6 0 208
Garcia, Jaime proj: 189 49 9 1 4 15 1 2 1 40 3 1 208
Jackson, Luke 2017: 16 4 0 0 0 0 0 0 0 2 0 0 16
Jackson, Luke proj: 14 5 1 0 1 2 0 0 0 2 0 0 16
Johnson, Jim 2017: 69 13 1 0 1 3 0 0 1 19 0 0 73
Johnson, Jim proj: 66 17 2 0 1 6 0 1 1 13 1 0 74
Krol, Ian 2017: 62 14 2 0 4 11 0 0 1 13 1 1 74
Krol, Ian proj: 66 18 3 1 2 7 0 1 1 16 1 0 75
Motte, Jason 2017: 40 8 4 0 1 4 0 0 1 8 1 0 45
Motte, Jason proj: 41 9 2 0 1 3 0 0 0 11 1 0 44
O'Flaherty, Eric 2017: 52 13 6 0 2 6 1 0 0 9 1 0 59
O'Flaherty, Eric proj: 52 13 2 0 1 5 0 1 1 10 1 0 59
Ramirez, Jose 2017: 66 9 4 0 1 5 1 0 0 17 2 1 72
Ramirez, Jose proj: 60 14 5 1 1 9 1 0 2 15 3 0 72
Roe, Chaz 2017: 10 3 0 0 0 2 0 0 1 1 0 0 13
Roe, Chaz proj: 11 3 1 0 0 2 0 0 0 3 0 0 13
Teheran, Julio 2017: 191 52 8 0 8 23 2 1 3 36 5 3 220
Teheran, Julio proj: 200 48 8 1 6 15 1 2 2 46 3 1 220
Vizcaino, Arodys 2017: 66 13 1 0 3 5 0 0 2 22 0 0 73
Vizcaino, Arodys proj: 64 15 2 0 1 8 0 0 1 19 0 0 73
Wisler, Matt 2017: 23 9 2 0 1 3 0 0 0 1 0 0 26
Wisler, Matt proj: 23 6 1 0 1 2 0 0 0 4 0 0 25
2017 TEAM TOTALS: 1437 368 86 2 56 140 8 11 17 282 21 9 1613
PROJECTED: 1450 373 71 7 42 127 7 13 14 311 19 6 1611
difference: -13 -5 +15 -5 +14 +13 +1 -2 +3 -29 +2 +3 +2
Man AB H 2B 3B HR BB SF SH HBP SO SB CS BFP


Assorted Team Stats:
Stat Actual Projected
Batting Average: .256 .257
Slugging Average: .436 .403
Walks (per PA): .087 .079
SOs (per PA): .175 .193
On-Base Average: .325 .319
Power Factor: 1.7 1.57
OPS: .761 .722
TPP Runs (to date): 200 185

Runs differential:
Actual TPP 15 more than Projected TPP.




  Advertisement:


  Advertisement:



Want detailed, careful, unhysterical analysis of the effects of "Performance-Enhancing Drugs" in baseball? Click here to visit the Steroids & Baseball web site.

All content copyright © 2002 - 2017 by The Owlcroft Company.

This web page is strictly compliant with the W3C (World Wide Web Consortium) Extensible HyperText Markup Language (XHTML) Protocol v1.0 (Transitional) and the W3C Cascading Style Sheets (CSS) Protocol v3 — because we care about interoperability. Click on the logos below to test us!



This page was last modified on Tuesday, 23 May 2017, at 6:59 am Pacific Time.