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BAL "Expected" Pitching Results, 2017


About These Stats:

The form of "projection" used is very simple: each man's career numbers are pro-rated by his actual number of batters faced to date this season; those data, labelled "proj:" are shown along with the man's actual stats from this year to date. At the bottom of the Table, each set of lines—"projected" and actual—is separately summed to get Team Totals for each dataset.

Note that "career to date" includes each man's stats for the current year: "to date" is literally correct. For veteran players, that matters little, but for rookies or players with litle prior major-league experience, it means that the "projection" will perforce nearly or exactly match the actual stats to date. That seems like the best way to deal with newly arrived players' stats.

Note that owing to rounding in the pro-rating process, projected total BFP (batters faced) may occasionally differ by 1.

Below the player/team table is a smaller table showing a few key team "rate" stats (such as batting average) actual and projected.

The Actual Data:

Through games of Monday, 22 May 2017.
All results are from true, unadjusted data.

Handedness Key:   + R   * L

(You can also look up the stat definitions.)

Pitchers, listed in alphabetical order:
Each name is a click-on link to that man's career stats.

(or see the data for Batting)


Man AB H 2B 3B HR BB SF SH HBP SO SB CS BFP
Aquino, Jayson 2017: 34 10 1 0 3 6 0 0 0 6 1 0 40
Aquino, Jayson proj: 35 9 1 0 3 5 0 0 0 8 1 0 40
Asher, Alec 2017: 97 23 2 0 4 7 1 1 5 21 0 0 111
Asher, Alec proj: 100 27 5 0 4 6 1 2 2 15 0 1 111
Bleier, Richard 2017: 38 11 2 0 1 4 1 1 1 3 3 0 45
Bleier, Richard proj: 41 10 2 0 0 3 1 0 1 5 2 0 46
Brach, Brad 2017: 77 15 4 0 3 8 0 0 0 22 0 0 85
Brach, Brad proj: 74 16 3 0 2 9 1 0 0 22 2 1 84
Britton, Zach 2017: 35 12 0 0 0 4 0 0 0 7 0 0 39
Britton, Zach proj: 35 8 1 0 1 3 0 0 0 8 0 0 38
Bundy, Dylan 2017: 208 49 12 0 6 16 3 0 1 39 3 2 228
Bundy, Dylan proj: 205 51 10 0 8 19 1 0 2 46 4 3 227
Castro, Miguel 2017: 5 0 0 0 0 3 0 2 0 1 0 1 10
Castro, Miguel proj: 9 2 0 0 0 1 0 0 0 2 0 0 10
Crichton, Stefan 2017: 37 15 2 1 1 1 1 0 0 5 0 1 39
Crichton, Stefan proj: 37 15 2 1 1 1 1 0 0 5 0 1 39
Drake, Oliver 2017: 15 6 0 1 0 3 0 0 0 3 0 1 18
Drake, Oliver proj: 16 4 1 0 0 2 0 0 0 5 0 0 18
Gausman, Kevin 2017: 201 66 12 0 8 22 1 0 2 36 2 0 226
Gausman, Kevin proj: 206 55 11 1 7 16 2 1 1 48 1 1 226
Givens, Mychal 2017: 88 19 4 0 4 10 0 0 3 21 1 0 101
Givens, Mychal proj: 88 19 5 0 2 10 0 1 2 29 2 1 101
Hart, Donnie 2017: 59 19 4 0 0 4 0 0 2 16 0 0 65
Hart, Donnie proj: 58 15 2 0 0 5 0 1 1 13 0 0 65
Jimenez, Ubaldo 2017: 170 48 9 0 11 25 2 0 1 32 8 3 198
Jimenez, Ubaldo proj: 173 42 9 1 4 21 1 1 2 42 5 1 198
Miley, Wade 2017: 181 42 5 0 6 28 1 0 1 49 0 1 211
Miley, Wade proj: 192 51 11 1 5 16 1 1 1 39 1 1 211
Nuno, Vidal 2017: 51 15 5 0 4 6 0 0 0 12 1 0 57
Nuno, Vidal proj: 52 14 3 0 2 4 1 0 1 11 0 0 58
O'Day, Darren 2017: 63 14 0 0 1 10 1 0 0 17 1 1 74
O'Day, Darren proj: 67 14 2 0 2 5 1 0 1 18 1 1 74
Tillman, Chris 2017: 60 16 4 0 0 7 1 0 1 12 0 1 69
Tillman, Chris proj: 62 16 3 0 2 6 0 0 0 12 0 0 68
Verrett, Logan 2017: 16 3 0 0 0 1 0 2 1 4 1 0 20
Verrett, Logan proj: 17 4 1 0 1 2 0 0 0 4 0 0 19
Wilson, Tyler 2017: 52 17 2 1 2 4 1 0 0 6 1 1 57
Wilson, Tyler proj: 52 15 4 0 2 4 1 0 0 7 1 0 57
Ynoa, Gabriel 2017: 23 6 1 0 0 0 0 0 0 5 0 0 23
Ynoa, Gabriel proj: 21 7 0 0 0 1 0 0 0 5 1 0 22
2017 TEAM TOTALS: 1510 406 69 3 54 169 13 6 18 317 22 12 1716
PROJECTED: 1540 394 76 4 46 139 12 7 14 344 21 11 1712
difference: -30 +12 -7 -1 +8 +30 +1 -1 +4 -27 +1 +1 +4
Man AB H 2B 3B HR BB SF SH HBP SO SB CS BFP


Assorted Team Stats:
Stat Actual Projected
Batting Average: .269 .256
Slugging Average: .426 .400
Walks (per PA): .098 .081
SOs (per PA): .185 .200
On-Base Average: .346 .320
Power Factor: 1.58 1.56
OPS: .771 .720
TPP Runs (to date): 221 194

Runs differential:
Actual TPP 27 more than Projected TPP.




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This page was last modified on Tuesday, 23 May 2017, at 6:59 am Pacific Time.