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BAL "Expected" Pitching Results, 2018


About These Stats:

The form of "projection" used is very simple: each man's career numbers are pro-rated by his actual number of batters faced to date this season; those data, labelled "proj:" are shown along with the man's actual stats from this year to date. At the bottom of the Table, each set of lines—"projected" and actual—is separately summed to get Team Totals for each dataset.

Note that "career to date" includes each man's stats for the current year: "to date" is literally correct. For veteran players, that matters little, but for rookies or players with litle prior major-league experience, it means that the "projection" will perforce nearly or exactly match the actual stats to date. That seems like the best way to deal with newly arrived players' stats.

Note that owing to rounding in the pro-rating process, projected total BFP (batters faced) may occasionally differ by 1.

Below the player/team table is a smaller table showing a few key team "rate" stats (such as batting average) actual and projected.

The Actual Data:

Through games of Sunday, 30 September 2018.
All results are from true, unadjusted data.

Handedness Key:   + R   * L

(You can also look up the stat definitions.)

Pitchers, listed in alphabetical order:
Each name is a click-on link to that man's career stats.

(or see the data for Batting)


Man AB H 2B 3B HR BB SF SH HBP SO SB CS BFP
Araujo, Pedro 2018: 110 29 8 0 9 18 0 0 2 29 8 0 130
Araujo, Pedro proj: 110 29 8 0 9 18 0 0 2 29 8 0 130
Bleier, Richard 2018: 126 36 6 2 0 4 2 0 1 15 1 0 133
Bleier, Richard proj: 123 32 5 1 2 6 2 1 2 15 2 0 134
Brach, Brad 2018: 165 50 13 0 4 19 0 1 0 38 3 0 185
Brach, Brad proj: 162 37 7 0 4 19 2 1 0 47 4 1 184
Britton, Zach 2018: 52 11 3 0 1 10 0 0 1 13 0 0 63
Britton, Zach proj: 56 13 2 0 1 6 0 0 0 13 1 0 62
Bundy, Dylan 2018: 685 188 39 4 41 54 2 3 6 184 17 5 750
Bundy, Dylan proj: 680 175 36 2 33 58 4 2 7 171 12 6 751
Carroll, Cody 2018: 71 21 2 0 6 13 0 0 0 16 2 0 84
Carroll, Cody proj: 71 21 2 0 6 13 0 0 0 16 2 0 84
Cashner, Andrew 2018: 609 177 44 3 25 65 3 1 3 99 6 7 681
Cashner, Andrew proj: 607 158 32 4 17 58 4 5 5 121 12 6 679
Castro, Miguel 2018: 318 75 13 1 9 50 3 0 5 57 8 2 376
Castro, Miguel proj: 322 78 15 1 11 44 4 2 4 59 7 3 376
Cobb, Alex 2018: 606 172 38 5 24 43 6 2 4 102 3 6 661
Cobb, Alex proj: 603 152 30 2 17 46 4 2 6 125 13 4 661
Cortes Jr., Nestor 2018: 22 10 2 0 2 4 0 0 0 3 0 1 26
Cortes Jr., Nestor proj: 22 10 2 0 2 4 0 0 0 3 0 1 26
Fry, Paul 2018: 140 33 4 0 1 15 0 0 4 36 1 2 159
Fry, Paul proj: 140 33 4 0 1 15 0 0 4 36 1 2 159
Gausman, Kevin 2018: 495 139 30 2 21 32 2 0 5 104 5 2 534
Gausman, Kevin proj: 488 130 26 2 18 38 3 2 3 113 5 2 534
Gilmartin, Sean 2018: 100 23 6 0 4 11 0 0 2 15 2 0 113
Gilmartin, Sean proj: 101 26 5 0 3 9 1 1 1 21 1 1 113
Givens, Mychal 2018: 280 61 12 3 4 30 3 1 3 79 6 2 317
Givens, Mychal proj: 281 59 13 1 6 29 1 1 4 90 6 2 316
Hart, Donnie 2018: 86 31 5 0 2 12 1 0 0 13 3 0 99
Hart, Donnie proj: 88 25 4 0 2 9 1 1 1 15 1 0 100
Hess, David 2018: 404 106 23 1 22 37 4 1 8 74 5 3 454
Hess, David proj: 404 106 23 1 22 37 4 1 8 74 5 3 454
Marinez, Jhan 2018: 29 9 2 0 1 9 1 1 0 3 0 1 40
Marinez, Jhan proj: 34 9 2 0 1 4 0 0 1 7 0 0 39
Means, John 2018: 16 6 3 0 1 0 0 0 0 4 0 0 16
Means, John proj: 16 6 3 0 1 0 0 0 0 4 0 0 16
Meisinger, Ryan 2018: 75 18 4 1 6 10 1 1 0 21 3 0 87
Meisinger, Ryan proj: 75 18 4 1 6 10 1 1 0 21 3 0 87
O'Day, Darren 2018: 76 18 5 0 3 4 0 0 3 27 1 2 83
O'Day, Darren proj: 75 16 3 0 2 6 1 0 2 21 1 1 84
Ortiz, Luis 2018: 14 7 2 1 0 3 1 0 0 0 0 0 18
Ortiz, Luis proj: 14 7 2 1 0 3 1 0 0 0 0 0 18
Peterson, Jace 2018: 8 6 2 0 1 0 0 0 0 1 0 0 8
Peterson, Jace proj: 8 6 2 0 1 0 0 0 0 1 0 0 8
Phillips, Evan 2018: 23 7 3 0 2 6 0 0 1 5 0 0 30
Phillips, Evan proj: 24 7 2 0 3 5 0 0 1 4 0 0 30
Ramirez, Yefry 2018: 249 64 10 2 11 36 3 2 4 62 6 5 294
Ramirez, Yefry proj: 249 64 10 2 11 36 3 2 4 62 6 5 294
Rogers, Josh 2018: 50 17 1 2 2 5 1 0 0 6 1 0 56
Rogers, Josh proj: 50 17 1 2 2 5 1 0 0 6 1 0 56
Scott, Tanner 2018: 209 55 12 2 6 28 1 1 1 76 3 1 240
Scott, Tanner proj: 208 55 13 2 6 29 1 1 1 75 3 1 240
Tillman, Chris 2018: 115 42 11 2 6 17 2 1 2 13 0 2 137
Tillman, Chris proj: 123 32 7 1 5 12 1 0 1 24 1 1 137
Valencia, Danny 2018: 1 0 0 0 0 0 0 0 0 1 0 0 1
Valencia, Danny proj: 1 0 0 0 0 0 0 0 0 1 0 0 1
Wright Jr., Mike 2018: 338 101 16 2 12 36 6 1 7 74 1 1 388
Wright Jr., Mike proj: 340 98 22 2 14 33 5 1 9 67 1 1 388
Yacabonis, Jimmy 2018: 153 40 6 1 8 18 0 1 5 33 1 0 177
Yacabonis, Jimmy proj: 150 38 5 1 7 21 2 1 3 27 1 0 177
2018 TEAM TOTALS: 5625 1552 325 34 234 589 42 17 67 1203 86 42 6340
PROJECTED: 5625 1457 290 26 213 573 46 25 69 1268 97 40 6338
difference: 0 +95 +35 +8 +21 +16 -4 -8 -2 -65 -11 +2 +2
Man AB H 2B 3B HR BB SF SH HBP SO SB CS BFP


Assorted Team Stats:
Stat Actual Projected
Batting Average: .276 .259
Slugging Average: .471 .433
Walks (per PA): .093 .090
SOs (per PA): .190 .200
On-Base Average: .348 .331
Power Factor: 1.71 1.67
OPS: .819 .765
TPP Runs (to date): 897 802

Runs differential:
Actual TPP 95 more than Projected TPP.




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This page was last modified on Monday, 1 October 2018, at 7:06 am Pacific Time.