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BAL "Expected" Pitching Results, 2017


About These Stats:

The form of "projection" used is very simple: each man's career numbers are pro-rated by his actual number of batters faced to date this season; those data, labelled "proj:" are shown along with the man's actual stats from this year to date. At the bottom of the Table, each set of lines—"projected" and actual—is separately summed to get Team Totals for each dataset.

Note that "career to date" includes each man's stats for the current year: "to date" is literally correct. For veteran players, that matters little, but for rookies or players with litle prior major-league experience, it means that the "projection" will perforce nearly or exactly match the actual stats to date. That seems like the best way to deal with newly arrived players' stats.

Note that owing to rounding in the pro-rating process, projected total BFP (batters faced) may occasionally differ by 1.

Below the player/team table is a smaller table showing a few key team "rate" stats (such as batting average) actual and projected.

The Actual Data:

Through games of Wednesday, 21 June 2017.
All results are from true, unadjusted data.

Handedness Key:   + R   * L

(You can also look up the stat definitions.)

Pitchers, listed in alphabetical order:
Each name is a click-on link to that man's career stats.

(or see the data for Batting)


Man AB H 2B 3B HR BB SF SH HBP SO SB CS BFP
Aquino, Jayson 2017: 34 10 1 0 3 6 0 0 0 6 1 0 40
Aquino, Jayson proj: 35 9 1 0 3 5 0 0 0 8 1 0 40
Asher, Alec 2017: 186 49 8 1 8 16 2 1 7 37 5 0 212
Asher, Alec proj: 189 52 11 1 8 14 2 2 5 30 3 1 212
Bleier, Richard 2017: 85 21 2 0 1 8 1 2 2 9 5 1 98
Bleier, Richard proj: 88 21 4 1 1 6 1 1 2 11 4 1 98
Brach, Brad 2017: 107 17 4 0 3 10 0 0 0 30 0 0 117
Brach, Brad proj: 102 22 4 0 3 13 1 0 0 31 2 1 116
Britton, Zach 2017: 35 12 0 0 0 4 0 0 0 7 0 0 39
Britton, Zach proj: 35 8 1 0 1 3 0 0 0 8 0 0 38
Bundy, Dylan 2017: 336 83 23 0 13 29 6 0 4 65 3 3 375
Bundy, Dylan proj: 336 85 18 0 14 32 3 0 4 74 6 4 375
Castro, Miguel 2017: 30 9 1 0 2 4 0 2 0 4 1 1 36
Castro, Miguel proj: 31 9 2 0 2 4 0 1 0 7 1 0 36
Crichton, Stefan 2017: 53 24 3 1 2 3 1 0 0 6 0 1 57
Crichton, Stefan proj: 53 24 3 1 2 3 1 0 0 6 0 1 57
Drake, Oliver 2017: 15 6 0 1 0 3 0 0 0 3 0 1 18
Drake, Oliver proj: 16 4 1 0 0 2 0 0 0 5 0 0 18
Gausman, Kevin 2017: 340 113 20 0 14 39 2 0 2 63 3 1 383
Gausman, Kevin proj: 349 95 19 1 12 28 3 2 2 80 2 1 384
Givens, Mychal 2017: 134 29 5 0 5 11 0 0 3 35 1 1 148
Givens, Mychal proj: 131 28 7 0 3 14 1 1 3 43 2 1 150
Hart, Donnie 2017: 77 22 5 0 1 6 0 0 3 17 1 0 86
Hart, Donnie proj: 76 19 3 0 1 7 1 1 2 16 1 1 87
Jackson, Edwin 2017: 24 11 4 0 2 4 0 1 0 2 0 0 29
Jackson, Edwin proj: 26 7 1 0 1 3 0 0 0 5 1 0 29
Jimenez, Ubaldo 2017: 247 65 14 1 14 30 3 1 1 53 9 4 282
Jimenez, Ubaldo proj: 246 60 12 2 6 30 1 2 3 60 8 2 282
Miley, Wade 2017: 281 75 11 0 10 40 1 0 1 66 2 1 323
Miley, Wade proj: 293 79 17 1 8 25 2 2 1 60 1 2 323
Nuno, Vidal 2017: 67 23 8 0 7 10 0 0 0 13 1 0 77
Nuno, Vidal proj: 70 19 4 0 3 5 1 0 1 15 1 0 77
O'Day, Darren 2017: 84 17 0 1 1 12 1 0 0 29 1 1 97
O'Day, Darren proj: 87 18 3 0 2 7 1 0 2 24 2 1 97
Tillman, Chris 2017: 178 64 13 0 9 22 1 0 1 26 1 1 202
Tillman, Chris proj: 181 46 10 1 6 17 1 1 1 36 1 1 201
Verrett, Logan 2017: 40 11 2 0 3 3 0 2 2 9 1 0 47
Verrett, Logan proj: 41 11 3 0 2 4 0 1 1 8 0 0 47
Wilson, Tyler 2017: 57 20 3 1 2 4 1 0 1 6 3 1 63
Wilson, Tyler proj: 58 17 4 0 2 4 1 0 1 7 1 1 64
Wright, Mike 2017: 44 11 3 0 2 1 0 0 1 14 0 0 46
Wright, Mike proj: 41 11 3 0 2 4 1 0 1 7 0 0 47
Yacabonis, Jimmy 2017: 12 3 1 0 1 6 1 0 0 1 0 0 19
Yacabonis, Jimmy proj: 12 3 1 0 1 6 1 0 0 1 0 0 19
Ynoa, Gabriel 2017: 44 14 1 1 3 1 1 0 0 9 0 0 46
Ynoa, Gabriel proj: 42 14 0 1 1 3 1 0 0 9 1 0 46
2017 TEAM TOTALS: 2510 709 132 7 106 272 21 9 28 510 38 17 2840
PROJECTED: 2538 661 132 9 84 239 23 14 29 551 38 18 2843
difference: -28 +48 0 -2 +22 +33 -2 -5 -1 -41 0 -1 -3
Man AB H 2B 3B HR BB SF SH HBP SO SB CS BFP


Assorted Team Stats:
Stat Actual Projected
Batting Average: .282 .260
Slugging Average: .467 .419
Walks (per PA): .096 .084
SOs (per PA): .180 .194
On-Base Average: .355 .327
Power Factor: 1.65 1.61
OPS: .823 .746
TPP Runs (to date): 409 342

Runs differential:
Actual TPP 67 more than Projected TPP.




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This page was last modified on Thursday, 22 June 2017, at 7:04 am Pacific Time.