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BAL "Expected" Pitching Results, 2018


About These Stats:

The form of "projection" used is very simple: each man's career numbers are pro-rated by his actual number of batters faced to date this season; those data, labelled "proj:" are shown along with the man's actual stats from this year to date. At the bottom of the Table, each set of lines—"projected" and actual—is separately summed to get Team Totals for each dataset.

Note that "career to date" includes each man's stats for the current year: "to date" is literally correct. For veteran players, that matters little, but for rookies or players with litle prior major-league experience, it means that the "projection" will perforce nearly or exactly match the actual stats to date. That seems like the best way to deal with newly arrived players' stats.

Note that owing to rounding in the pro-rating process, projected total BFP (batters faced) may occasionally differ by 1.

Below the player/team table is a smaller table showing a few key team "rate" stats (such as batting average) actual and projected.

The Actual Data:

Through games of Sunday, 24 June 2018.
All results are from true, unadjusted data.

Handedness Key:   + R   * L

(You can also look up the stat definitions.)

Pitchers, listed in alphabetical order:
Each name is a click-on link to that man's career stats.

(or see the data for Batting)


Man AB H 2B 3B HR BB SF SH HBP SO SB CS BFP
Araujo, Pedro 2018: 110 29 8 0 9 18 0 0 2 29 8 0 130
Araujo, Pedro proj: 110 29 8 0 9 18 0 0 2 29 8 0 130
Bleier, Richard 2018: 126 36 6 2 0 4 2 0 1 15 1 0 133
Bleier, Richard proj: 123 32 5 1 2 6 2 1 2 15 2 0 134
Brach, Brad 2018: 125 36 9 0 2 17 0 1 0 33 2 0 143
Brach, Brad proj: 125 28 6 0 3 15 1 1 0 37 3 1 142
Britton, Zach 2018: 21 6 2 0 0 5 0 0 1 6 0 0 27
Britton, Zach proj: 24 6 1 0 0 2 0 0 0 5 0 0 26
Bundy, Dylan 2018: 366 87 18 1 18 29 0 2 3 108 13 1 400
Bundy, Dylan proj: 362 88 18 1 16 31 2 1 4 92 7 3 400
Cashner, Andrew 2018: 305 91 24 3 13 34 0 1 1 64 3 4 341
Cashner, Andrew proj: 304 78 16 2 8 29 2 3 3 63 6 3 341
Castro, Miguel 2018: 170 36 7 0 2 25 0 0 3 31 4 1 198
Castro, Miguel proj: 171 41 8 1 5 22 2 1 2 32 4 2 198
Cobb, Alex 2018: 295 96 23 4 13 18 3 0 1 49 3 3 317
Cobb, Alex proj: 289 73 15 1 8 22 2 1 3 61 7 2 317
Cortes Jr., Nestor 2018: 22 10 2 0 2 4 0 0 0 3 0 1 26
Cortes Jr., Nestor proj: 22 10 2 0 2 4 0 0 0 3 0 1 26
Gausman, Kevin 2018: 353 99 21 2 15 24 2 0 4 84 5 1 383
Gausman, Kevin proj: 350 94 19 1 13 27 2 1 2 84 3 1 382
Givens, Mychal 2018: 152 39 9 2 1 20 2 0 3 48 4 2 177
Givens, Mychal proj: 156 34 8 1 3 17 1 1 3 52 3 1 178
Hart, Donnie 2018: 31 11 2 0 0 2 0 0 0 3 0 0 33
Hart, Donnie proj: 30 8 1 0 1 2 0 0 0 5 0 0 32
Hess, David 2018: 162 44 10 0 9 17 1 0 1 24 2 2 181
Hess, David proj: 162 44 10 0 9 17 1 0 1 24 2 2 181
O'Day, Darren 2018: 73 15 4 0 3 3 0 0 3 27 1 2 79
O'Day, Darren proj: 71 15 3 0 2 5 0 0 2 20 1 1 78
Ramirez, Yefry 2018: 17 4 0 0 1 2 0 0 1 6 0 1 20
Ramirez, Yefry proj: 17 4 0 0 1 2 0 0 1 6 0 1 20
Scott, Tanner 2018: 71 20 5 1 2 8 0 0 0 24 0 1 79
Scott, Tanner proj: 70 20 5 1 2 9 0 0 0 23 0 1 79
Tillman, Chris 2018: 115 42 11 2 6 17 2 1 2 13 0 2 137
Tillman, Chris proj: 123 32 7 1 5 12 1 0 1 24 1 1 137
Wright Jr., Mike 2018: 166 52 7 1 4 22 5 1 4 34 1 0 198
Wright Jr., Mike proj: 172 50 12 1 7 17 3 0 5 33 1 0 197
Yacabonis, Jimmy 2018: 9 3 1 0 0 5 0 0 0 1 1 0 14
Yacabonis, Jimmy proj: 11 3 0 0 0 3 0 0 0 1 0 0 14
2018 TEAM TOTALS: 2689 756 169 18 100 274 17 6 30 602 48 21 3016
PROJECTED: 2692 689 144 11 96 260 19 10 31 609 48 20 3012
difference: -3 +67 +25 +7 +4 +14 -2 -4 -1 -7 0 +1 +4
Man AB H 2B 3B HR BB SF SH HBP SO SB CS BFP


Assorted Team Stats:
Stat Actual Projected
Batting Average: .281 .256
Slugging Average: .469 .425
Walks (per PA): .091 .086
SOs (per PA): .200 .202
On-Base Average: .351 .325
Power Factor: 1.67 1.66
OPS: .820 .750
TPP Runs (to date): 428 368

Runs differential:
Actual TPP 60 more than Projected TPP.




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This page was last modified on Monday, 25 June 2018, at 7:02 am Pacific Time.