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BAL "Expected" Pitching Results, 2019


About These Stats:

The form of "projection" used is very simple: each man's career numbers are pro-rated by his actual number of batters faced to date this season; those data, labelled "proj:" are shown along with the man's actual stats from this year to date. At the bottom of the Table, each set of lines—"projected" and actual—is separately summed to get Team Totals for each dataset.

Note that "career to date" includes each man's stats for the current year: "to date" is literally correct. For veteran players, that matters little, but for rookies or players with litle prior major-league experience, it means that the "projection" will perforce nearly or exactly match the actual stats to date. That seems like the best way to deal with newly arrived players' stats.

Note that owing to rounding in the pro-rating process, projected total BFP (batters faced) may occasionally differ by 1.

Below the player/team table is a smaller table showing a few key team "rate" stats (such as batting average) actual and projected.

The Actual Data:

Through games of Monday, 30 September 2019.
All results are from true, unadjusted data.

Handedness Key:   + R   * L

(You can also look up the stat definitions.)

Pitchers, listed in alphabetical order:
Each name is a click-on link to that man's career stats.

(or see the data for Batting)


Man AB H 2B 3B HR BB SF SH HBP SO SB CS BFP
Alberto, Hanser 2019: 4 1 0 0 1 2 0 0 1 0 0 0 7
Alberto, Hanser proj: 4 1 0 0 1 2 0 0 1 0 0 0 7
Araujo, Pedro 2019: 3 2 0 0 1 1 0 0 0 0 0 0 4
Araujo, Pedro proj: 3 1 0 0 0 1 0 0 0 1 0 0 4
Armstrong, Shawn 2019: 216 58 11 1 7 26 3 0 3 60 7 1 248
Armstrong, Shawn proj: 217 54 11 0 8 24 2 1 4 56 4 0 248
Blach, Ty 2019: 90 32 8 1 6 13 0 0 0 17 0 0 103
Blach, Ty proj: 93 27 5 1 2 8 0 1 0 13 1 0 102
Bleier, Richard 2019: 220 65 19 1 6 8 2 1 4 30 6 1 235
Bleier, Richard proj: 218 59 13 1 4 9 3 1 3 27 5 1 234
Brooks, Aaron 2019: 239 69 15 4 9 20 1 1 6 39 6 0 267
Brooks, Aaron proj: 240 71 15 2 11 18 1 1 6 43 3 1 266
Bundy, Dylan 2019: 628 161 40 1 29 58 7 1 6 162 11 2 700
Bundy, Dylan proj: 633 163 35 2 30 55 5 1 7 160 11 5 701
Cashner, Andrew 2019: 368 86 13 3 11 29 2 0 1 66 1 3 400
Cashner, Andrew proj: 357 92 19 3 10 35 3 3 3 71 6 3 401
Castro, Miguel 2019: 272 63 12 0 10 41 6 0 0 71 18 1 319
Castro, Miguel proj: 273 66 13 1 10 38 4 1 2 56 9 2 318
Cobb, Alex 2019: 58 21 5 0 9 2 0 0 0 8 0 1 60
Cobb, Alex proj: 55 14 3 0 2 4 0 0 1 11 1 0 60
Davis, Chris 2019: 5 2 1 0 1 0 0 0 0 1 0 0 5
Davis, Chris proj: 5 2 1 0 0 0 0 0 0 1 0 0 5
Eades, Ryan 2019: 29 7 2 0 2 4 0 0 1 5 1 0 34
Eades, Ryan proj: 29 7 2 0 1 4 0 0 1 7 2 0 34
Eshelman, Tom 2019: 150 47 6 0 12 11 2 0 1 22 0 0 164
Eshelman, Tom proj: 150 47 6 0 12 11 2 0 1 22 0 0 164
Fry, Paul 2019: 219 54 11 1 7 29 0 1 6 55 4 1 255
Fry, Paul proj: 221 54 9 1 5 27 0 1 6 56 3 2 255
Gilmartin, Sean 2019: 14 7 1 0 2 2 0 0 0 1 1 0 16
Gilmartin, Sean proj: 14 4 1 0 0 1 0 0 0 3 0 0 15
Givens, Mychal 2019: 230 49 4 3 13 26 2 0 2 86 9 3 260
Givens, Mychal proj: 230 48 9 1 7 24 1 1 3 76 6 2 259
Harvey, Hunter 2019: 22 3 1 1 1 4 0 0 0 11 0 0 26
Harvey, Hunter proj: 22 3 1 1 1 4 0 0 0 11 0 0 26
Hess, David 2019: 327 94 17 2 28 30 3 3 2 68 2 1 365
Hess, David proj: 326 89 18 1 22 30 3 2 4 63 3 2 365
Karns, Nate 2019: 21 7 1 0 0 3 0 0 1 5 0 1 25
Karns, Nate proj: 22 5 1 0 1 2 0 0 0 6 1 0 24
Kline, Branden 2019: 161 44 10 0 9 19 1 1 1 34 0 0 183
Kline, Branden proj: 161 44 10 0 9 19 1 1 1 34 0 0 183
Lucas, Josh 2019: 59 14 2 0 2 7 3 0 0 16 0 0 69
Lucas, Josh proj: 59 15 3 0 2 8 1 0 1 15 1 0 69
Means, John 2019: 591 138 33 3 23 38 3 0 5 121 0 1 637
Means, John proj: 592 140 35 3 23 37 3 0 5 122 0 1 637
Ortiz, Luis 2019: 13 4 1 0 2 5 0 0 0 3 0 0 18
Ortiz, Luis proj: 14 6 2 1 1 4 1 0 0 2 0 0 19
Phillips, Evan 2019: 112 32 8 0 2 20 2 1 5 40 1 0 140
Phillips, Evan proj: 113 32 8 0 5 21 1 1 4 34 1 0 140
Ramirez, Yefry 2019: 36 11 3 0 2 9 2 0 2 11 1 1 49
Ramirez, Yefry proj: 41 11 2 0 2 6 1 0 1 11 1 1 49
Rogers, Josh 2019: 59 18 3 0 7 6 0 0 4 5 0 0 69
Rogers, Josh proj: 60 19 2 1 5 6 1 0 2 6 1 0 69
Scott, Tanner 2019: 101 28 5 0 4 19 0 0 2 37 4 2 122
Scott, Tanner proj: 104 28 6 1 3 16 0 0 1 38 2 1 121
Scott, Tayler 2019: 45 20 2 0 5 5 0 0 2 7 0 0 52
Scott, Tayler proj: 44 17 2 0 3 6 0 0 2 8 1 0 52
Shepherd, Chandler 2019: 76 23 3 1 5 6 0 0 2 17 0 0 84
Shepherd, Chandler proj: 76 23 3 1 5 6 0 0 2 17 0 0 84
Straily, Dan 2019: 209 73 13 2 22 22 3 0 2 33 0 1 236
Straily, Dan proj: 209 51 11 1 10 21 2 2 3 47 3 2 237
Sucre, Jesus 2019: 3 0 0 0 0 0 0 0 0 0 0 0 3
Sucre, Jesus proj: 3 1 0 0 0 0 0 0 0 0 0 0 3
Tate, Dillon 2019: 78 18 3 0 3 9 1 0 5 20 0 0 93
Tate, Dillon proj: 78 18 3 0 3 9 1 0 5 20 0 0 93
Wilkerson, Stevie 2019: 22 6 1 0 2 0 0 0 0 1 0 0 22
Wilkerson, Stevie proj: 22 6 1 0 2 0 0 0 0 1 0 0 22
Wojciechowski, Asher 2019: 323 80 17 4 17 28 0 1 9 80 3 0 361
Wojciechowski, Asher proj: 322 87 21 5 17 27 2 3 7 80 4 1 361
Wotherspoon, Matt 2019: 23 10 1 0 2 2 0 0 1 2 0 0 26
Wotherspoon, Matt proj: 23 10 1 0 2 2 0 0 1 2 0 0 26
Wright, Mike 2019: 57 20 3 0 5 7 1 0 1 14 0 2 66
Wright, Mike proj: 58 17 4 0 2 6 1 0 1 12 0 0 66
Yacabonis, Jimmy 2019: 166 51 12 1 9 24 1 0 2 33 5 1 193
Yacabonis, Jimmy proj: 164 46 8 1 8 23 2 0 3 31 3 0 192
Ynoa, Gabriel 2019: 450 126 24 2 29 26 1 0 3 67 2 2 480
Ynoa, Gabriel proj: 445 128 21 3 23 28 3 1 3 74 3 2 480
2019 TEAM TOTALS: 5699 1544 311 31 305 561 46 10 80 1248 82 25 6396
PROJECTED: 5700 1506 305 31 252 542 44 21 84 1237 75 26 6391
difference: -1 +38 +6 0 +53 +19 +2 -11 -4 +11 +7 -1 +5
Man AB H 2B 3B HR BB SF SH HBP SO SB CS BFP


Assorted Team Stats:
Stat Actual Projected
Batting Average: .271 .264
Slugging Average: .497 .461
Walks (per PA): .088 .085
SOs (per PA): .195 .193
On-Base Average: .342 .334
Power Factor: 1.83 1.75
OPS: .839 .795
TPP Runs (to date): 948 863

Runs differential:
Actual TPP 85 more than Projected TPP.




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This page was last modified on Tuesday, 1 October 2019, at 7:36 am Pacific Time.