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Baseball team and player performance examined realistically and accurately.

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BAL "Expected" Pitching Results, 2019


About These Stats:

The form of "projection" used is very simple: each man's career numbers are pro-rated by his actual number of batters faced to date this season; those data, labelled "proj:" are shown along with the man's actual stats from this year to date. At the bottom of the Table, each set of lines—"projected" and actual—is separately summed to get Team Totals for each dataset.

Note that "career to date" includes each man's stats for the current year: "to date" is literally correct. For veteran players, that matters little, but for rookies or players with litle prior major-league experience, it means that the "projection" will perforce nearly or exactly match the actual stats to date. That seems like the best way to deal with newly arrived players' stats.

Note that owing to rounding in the pro-rating process, projected total BFP (batters faced) may occasionally differ by 1.

Below the player/team table is a smaller table showing a few key team "rate" stats (such as batting average) actual and projected.

The Actual Data:

Through games of Tuesday, 18 June 2019.
All results are from true, unadjusted data.

Handedness Key:   + R   * L

(You can also look up the stat definitions.)

Pitchers, listed in alphabetical order:
Each name is a click-on link to that man's career stats.

(or see the data for Batting)


Man AB H 2B 3B HR BB SF SH HBP SO SB CS BFP
Alberto, Hanser 2019: 4 1 0 0 1 2 0 0 1 0 0 0 7
Alberto, Hanser proj: 4 1 0 0 1 2 0 0 1 0 0 0 7
Araujo, Pedro 2019: 3 2 0 0 1 1 0 0 0 0 0 0 4
Araujo, Pedro proj: 3 1 0 0 0 1 0 0 0 1 0 0 4
Armstrong, Shawn 2019: 64 10 2 0 2 9 0 0 1 21 2 0 74
Armstrong, Shawn proj: 65 14 3 0 2 7 0 0 1 17 1 0 73
Bleier, Richard 2019: 83 24 7 1 3 2 1 1 1 9 1 0 88
Bleier, Richard proj: 82 22 4 1 1 4 1 1 1 10 1 0 89
Bundy, Dylan 2019: 289 70 18 0 15 26 3 0 5 78 4 2 323
Bundy, Dylan proj: 292 75 16 1 14 25 2 1 3 74 5 2 323
Cashner, Andrew 2019: 297 75 10 3 11 27 2 0 1 53 1 3 327
Cashner, Andrew proj: 292 76 15 2 8 28 2 2 2 58 6 3 326
Castro, Miguel 2019: 139 37 6 0 7 17 4 0 0 33 6 1 160
Castro, Miguel proj: 138 34 6 1 5 18 2 1 1 26 4 1 160
Cobb, Alex 2019: 58 21 5 0 9 2 0 0 0 8 0 1 60
Cobb, Alex proj: 55 14 3 0 2 4 0 0 1 11 1 0 60
Davis, Chris 2019: 5 2 1 0 1 0 0 0 0 1 0 0 5
Davis, Chris proj: 5 2 1 0 0 0 0 0 0 1 0 0 5
Fry, Paul 2019: 109 25 6 1 2 13 0 0 5 20 2 1 127
Fry, Paul proj: 111 26 4 0 1 12 0 0 4 25 1 1 127
Givens, Mychal 2019: 108 26 3 1 8 14 2 0 1 41 2 2 125
Givens, Mychal proj: 110 23 5 1 3 12 1 0 2 36 2 1 125
Hess, David 2019: 268 76 14 1 20 28 1 3 0 53 2 1 300
Hess, David proj: 267 72 15 1 17 26 2 2 3 51 3 2 300
Karns, Nate 2019: 21 7 1 0 0 3 0 0 1 5 0 1 25
Karns, Nate proj: 22 5 1 0 1 2 0 0 0 6 1 0 24
Kline, Branden 2019: 73 17 1 0 5 7 0 0 0 20 0 0 80
Kline, Branden proj: 73 17 1 0 5 7 0 0 0 20 0 0 80
Lucas, Josh 2019: 59 14 2 0 2 7 3 0 0 16 0 0 69
Lucas, Josh proj: 59 15 3 0 2 8 1 0 1 15 1 0 69
Means, John 2019: 262 60 15 1 8 21 2 0 5 59 0 0 290
Means, John proj: 263 63 17 1 9 20 2 0 5 60 0 0 290
Ortiz, Luis 2019: 13 4 1 0 2 5 0 0 0 3 0 0 18
Ortiz, Luis proj: 14 6 2 1 1 4 1 0 0 2 0 0 19
Phillips, Evan 2019: 65 20 5 0 0 14 2 1 4 22 1 0 86
Phillips, Evan proj: 67 20 5 0 3 14 1 1 3 18 1 0 86
Ramirez, Yefry 2019: 36 11 3 0 2 9 2 0 2 11 1 1 49
Ramirez, Yefry proj: 41 11 2 0 2 6 1 0 1 10 1 1 49
Rogers, Josh 2019: 32 9 1 0 3 3 0 0 2 2 0 0 37
Rogers, Josh proj: 33 10 1 1 2 3 0 0 1 3 0 0 37
Scott, Tanner 2019: 29 11 3 0 2 8 0 0 0 12 0 0 37
Scott, Tanner proj: 32 9 2 0 1 5 0 0 0 12 0 0 37
Straily, Dan 2019: 209 73 13 2 22 22 3 0 2 33 0 1 236
Straily, Dan proj: 209 51 11 1 10 21 2 2 3 47 3 2 237
Sucre, Jesus 2019: 3 0 0 0 0 0 0 0 0 0 0 0 3
Sucre, Jesus proj: 3 1 0 0 0 0 0 0 0 0 0 0 3
Wright, Mike 2019: 57 20 3 0 5 7 1 0 1 14 0 2 66
Wright, Mike proj: 58 17 4 0 3 6 1 0 1 12 0 0 66
Yacabonis, Jimmy 2019: 78 22 5 0 4 10 0 0 1 12 4 0 89
Yacabonis, Jimmy proj: 76 20 3 1 4 11 1 0 2 13 1 0 90
Ynoa, Gabriel 2019: 176 49 11 0 11 13 0 0 1 31 0 1 190
Ynoa, Gabriel proj: 174 51 8 1 7 13 2 0 1 33 1 1 190
2019 TEAM TOTALS: 2540 686 136 10 146 270 26 5 34 557 26 17 2875
PROJECTED: 2548 656 132 13 104 259 22 10 37 561 33 14 2876
difference: -8 +30 +4 -3 +42 +11 +4 -5 -3 -4 -7 +3 -1
Man AB H 2B 3B HR BB SF SH HBP SO SB CS BFP


Assorted Team Stats:
Stat Actual Projected
Batting Average: .270 .257
Slugging Average: .504 .442
Walks (per PA): .094 .090
SOs (per PA): .194 .195
On-Base Average: .344 .331
Power Factor: 1.87 1.72
OPS: .848 .773
TPP Runs (to date): 429 369

Runs differential:
Actual TPP 60 more than Projected TPP.




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This page was last modified on Wednesday, 19 June 2019, at 6:58 am Pacific Time.