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BAL "Expected" Pitching Results, 2019


About These Stats:

The form of "projection" used is very simple: each man's career numbers are pro-rated by his actual number of batters faced to date this season; those data, labelled "proj:" are shown along with the man's actual stats from this year to date. At the bottom of the Table, each set of lines—"projected" and actual—is separately summed to get Team Totals for each dataset.

Note that "career to date" includes each man's stats for the current year: "to date" is literally correct. For veteran players, that matters little, but for rookies or players with litle prior major-league experience, it means that the "projection" will perforce nearly or exactly match the actual stats to date. That seems like the best way to deal with newly arrived players' stats.

Note that owing to rounding in the pro-rating process, projected total BFP (batters faced) may occasionally differ by 1.

Below the player/team table is a smaller table showing a few key team "rate" stats (such as batting average) actual and projected.

The Actual Data:

Through games of Thursday, 22 August 2019.
All results are from true, unadjusted data.

Handedness Key:   + R   * L

(You can also look up the stat definitions.)

Pitchers, listed in alphabetical order:
Each name is a click-on link to that man's career stats.

(or see the data for Batting)


Man AB H 2B 3B HR BB SF SH HBP SO SB CS BFP
Alberto, Hanser 2019: 4 1 0 0 1 2 0 0 1 0 0 0 7
Alberto, Hanser proj: 4 1 0 0 1 2 0 0 1 0 0 0 7
Araujo, Pedro 2019: 3 2 0 0 1 1 0 0 0 0 0 0 4
Araujo, Pedro proj: 3 1 0 0 0 1 0 0 0 1 0 0 4
Armstrong, Shawn 2019: 162 37 9 1 5 20 1 0 2 49 4 0 185
Armstrong, Shawn proj: 162 38 8 0 6 18 1 1 3 43 2 0 185
Blach, Ty 2019: 39 12 3 1 2 6 0 0 0 10 0 0 45
Blach, Ty proj: 41 12 2 0 1 3 0 1 0 6 0 0 45
Bleier, Richard 2019: 162 51 16 1 5 6 2 1 2 20 4 0 173
Bleier, Richard proj: 160 44 9 1 3 7 2 1 2 19 3 0 172
Brooks, Aaron 2019: 138 47 10 4 8 9 1 1 3 22 3 0 152
Brooks, Aaron proj: 137 42 9 1 7 10 1 1 3 25 2 0 152
Bundy, Dylan 2019: 492 125 32 1 25 43 4 1 6 129 8 2 546
Bundy, Dylan proj: 494 127 27 2 24 42 3 1 6 126 9 4 546
Cashner, Andrew 2019: 368 86 13 3 11 29 2 0 1 66 1 3 400
Cashner, Andrew proj: 357 93 18 3 10 34 2 3 3 70 7 3 399
Castro, Miguel 2019: 233 57 11 0 9 35 5 0 0 58 13 1 273
Castro, Miguel proj: 234 57 11 1 8 33 4 1 2 47 7 2 274
Cobb, Alex 2019: 58 21 5 0 9 2 0 0 0 8 0 1 60
Cobb, Alex proj: 55 14 3 0 2 4 0 0 1 11 1 0 60
Davis, Chris 2019: 5 2 1 0 1 0 0 0 0 1 0 0 5
Davis, Chris proj: 5 2 1 0 0 0 0 0 0 1 0 0 5
Eshelman, Tom 2019: 150 47 6 0 12 11 2 0 1 22 0 0 164
Eshelman, Tom proj: 150 47 6 0 12 11 2 0 1 22 0 0 164
Fry, Paul 2019: 182 41 9 1 5 23 0 0 5 46 3 1 210
Fry, Paul proj: 183 42 7 1 3 22 0 0 5 47 2 2 210
Gilmartin, Sean 2019: 14 7 1 0 2 2 0 0 0 1 1 0 16
Gilmartin, Sean proj: 14 4 1 0 0 1 0 0 0 3 0 0 15
Givens, Mychal 2019: 178 39 4 2 10 20 2 0 2 65 7 3 202
Givens, Mychal proj: 179 38 8 1 5 19 1 1 3 58 4 2 203
Harvey, Hunter 2019: 6 0 0 0 0 1 0 0 0 4 0 0 7
Harvey, Hunter proj: 6 0 0 0 0 1 0 0 0 4 0 0 7
Hess, David 2019: 309 89 16 2 28 28 2 3 1 65 2 1 343
Hess, David proj: 307 84 17 1 22 28 3 2 4 60 3 2 344
Karns, Nate 2019: 21 7 1 0 0 3 0 0 1 5 0 1 25
Karns, Nate proj: 22 5 1 0 1 2 0 0 0 6 1 0 24
Kline, Branden 2019: 133 38 8 0 9 13 1 0 0 31 0 0 147
Kline, Branden proj: 133 38 8 0 9 13 1 0 0 31 0 0 147
Lucas, Josh 2019: 59 14 2 0 2 7 3 0 0 16 0 0 69
Lucas, Josh proj: 59 15 3 0 2 8 1 0 1 15 1 0 69
Means, John 2019: 424 102 24 1 16 32 2 0 5 88 0 1 463
Means, John proj: 425 104 26 1 16 31 2 0 5 89 0 1 463
Ortiz, Luis 2019: 13 4 1 0 2 5 0 0 0 3 0 0 18
Ortiz, Luis proj: 14 6 2 1 1 4 1 0 0 2 0 0 19
Phillips, Evan 2019: 80 26 6 0 2 17 2 1 4 29 1 0 104
Phillips, Evan proj: 82 25 6 0 4 17 1 1 3 24 1 0 104
Ramirez, Yefry 2019: 36 11 3 0 2 9 2 0 2 11 1 1 49
Ramirez, Yefry proj: 41 11 2 0 2 6 1 0 1 10 1 1 49
Rogers, Josh 2019: 59 18 3 0 7 6 0 0 4 5 0 0 69
Rogers, Josh proj: 60 19 2 1 5 6 1 0 2 6 1 0 69
Scott, Tanner 2019: 67 21 5 0 3 16 0 0 1 23 1 0 84
Scott, Tanner proj: 71 20 5 1 2 12 0 0 1 25 1 0 84
Scott, Tayler 2019: 30 14 1 0 5 5 0 0 1 3 0 0 36
Scott, Tayler proj: 29 12 1 0 3 5 0 0 1 5 0 0 35
Shepherd, Chandler 2019: 16 5 2 0 0 3 0 0 0 2 0 0 19
Shepherd, Chandler proj: 16 5 2 0 0 3 0 0 0 2 0 0 19
Straily, Dan 2019: 209 73 13 2 22 22 3 0 2 33 0 1 236
Straily, Dan proj: 209 51 11 1 10 21 2 2 3 47 3 2 237
Sucre, Jesus 2019: 3 0 0 0 0 0 0 0 0 0 0 0 3
Sucre, Jesus proj: 3 1 0 0 0 0 0 0 0 0 0 0 3
Tate, Dillon 2019: 24 6 1 0 3 2 0 0 2 7 0 0 28
Tate, Dillon proj: 24 6 1 0 3 2 0 0 2 7 0 0 28
Wilkerson, Stevie 2019: 22 6 1 0 2 0 0 0 0 1 0 0 22
Wilkerson, Stevie proj: 22 6 1 0 2 0 0 0 0 1 0 0 22
Wojciechowski, Asher 2019: 206 45 10 3 14 23 0 0 4 58 3 0 233
Wojciechowski, Asher proj: 207 55 14 3 12 19 2 2 4 54 3 0 234
Wotherspoon, Matt 2019: 23 10 1 0 2 2 0 0 1 2 0 0 26
Wotherspoon, Matt proj: 23 10 1 0 2 2 0 0 1 2 0 0 26
Wright, Mike 2019: 57 20 3 0 5 7 1 0 1 14 0 2 66
Wright, Mike proj: 58 17 4 0 2 6 1 0 1 12 0 0 66
Yacabonis, Jimmy 2019: 166 51 12 1 9 24 1 0 2 33 5 1 193
Yacabonis, Jimmy proj: 164 46 8 1 8 23 2 0 3 31 3 0 192
Ynoa, Gabriel 2019: 349 96 22 1 21 22 1 0 2 53 2 1 374
Ynoa, Gabriel proj: 345 99 18 2 16 23 3 1 2 59 3 1 374
2019 TEAM TOTALS: 4500 1231 255 24 260 456 37 7 56 983 59 20 5056
PROJECTED: 4498 1197 243 22 204 439 37 18 64 971 58 20 5056
difference: +2 +34 +12 +2 +56 +17 0 -11 -8 +12 +1 0 0
Man AB H 2B 3B HR BB SF SH HBP SO SB CS BFP


Assorted Team Stats:
Stat Actual Projected
Batting Average: .274 .266
Slugging Average: .514 .466
Walks (per PA): .090 .087
SOs (per PA): .194 .192
On-Base Average: .345 .336
Power Factor: 1.88 1.75
OPS: .859 .802
TPP Runs (to date): 778 693

Runs differential:
Actual TPP 85 more than Projected TPP.




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This page was last modified on Friday, 23 August 2019, at 7:05 am Pacific Time.