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BAL "Expected" Pitching Results, 2019


About These Stats:

The form of "projection" used is very simple: each man's career numbers are pro-rated by his actual number of batters faced to date this season; those data, labelled "proj:" are shown along with the man's actual stats from this year to date. At the bottom of the Table, each set of lines—"projected" and actual—is separately summed to get Team Totals for each dataset.

Note that "career to date" includes each man's stats for the current year: "to date" is literally correct. For veteran players, that matters little, but for rookies or players with litle prior major-league experience, it means that the "projection" will perforce nearly or exactly match the actual stats to date. That seems like the best way to deal with newly arrived players' stats.

Note that owing to rounding in the pro-rating process, projected total BFP (batters faced) may occasionally differ by 1.

Below the player/team table is a smaller table showing a few key team "rate" stats (such as batting average) actual and projected.

The Actual Data:

Through games of Monday, 22 April 2019.
All results are from true, unadjusted data.

Handedness Key:   + R   * L

(You can also look up the stat definitions.)

Pitchers, listed in alphabetical order:
Each name is a click-on link to that man's career stats.

(or see the data for Batting)


Man AB H 2B 3B HR BB SF SH HBP SO SB CS BFP
Alberto, Hanser 2019: 4 1 0 0 1 2 0 0 1 0 0 0 7
Alberto, Hanser proj: 4 1 0 0 1 2 0 0 1 0 0 0 7
Araujo, Pedro 2019: 3 2 0 0 1 1 0 0 0 0 0 0 4
Araujo, Pedro proj: 3 1 0 0 0 1 0 0 0 1 0 0 4
Bleier, Richard 2019: 21 9 2 1 2 0 1 0 1 4 0 0 23
Bleier, Richard proj: 21 6 1 0 0 1 0 0 0 3 0 0 22
Bundy, Dylan 2019: 92 25 7 0 7 10 2 0 2 26 1 1 106
Bundy, Dylan proj: 96 25 5 0 5 8 1 0 1 24 2 1 106
Cashner, Andrew 2019: 98 27 2 0 5 12 0 0 0 15 1 3 110
Cashner, Andrew proj: 98 26 5 1 3 10 1 1 1 19 2 1 111
Castro, Miguel 2019: 52 19 2 0 3 7 1 0 0 9 1 0 60
Castro, Miguel proj: 51 13 2 0 2 7 1 0 1 9 1 0 60
Cobb, Alex 2019: 39 15 5 0 5 1 0 0 0 6 0 1 40
Cobb, Alex proj: 36 9 2 0 1 3 0 0 0 8 1 0 39
Davis, Chris 2019: 5 2 1 0 1 0 0 0 0 1 0 0 5
Davis, Chris proj: 5 2 1 0 0 0 0 0 0 1 0 0 5
Fry, Paul 2019: 31 6 1 0 1 4 0 0 0 7 0 0 35
Fry, Paul proj: 31 7 1 0 0 3 0 0 1 8 0 0 35
Givens, Mychal 2019: 38 9 1 0 2 3 0 0 1 14 0 1 42
Givens, Mychal proj: 37 8 2 0 1 4 0 0 1 12 1 0 42
Hess, David 2019: 100 25 8 0 8 7 0 0 0 18 0 0 107
Hess, David proj: 96 25 6 0 6 8 1 0 2 18 1 1 107
Karns, Nate 2019: 21 7 1 0 0 3 0 0 1 5 0 1 25
Karns, Nate proj: 22 5 1 0 1 2 0 0 0 6 1 0 24
Lucas, Josh 2019: 16 4 1 0 1 1 1 0 0 4 0 0 18
Lucas, Josh proj: 15 4 1 0 1 2 0 0 0 4 0 0 17
Means, John 2019: 58 13 2 0 2 5 1 0 2 17 0 0 66
Means, John proj: 60 15 4 0 2 4 1 0 2 17 0 0 67
Phillips, Evan 2019: 28 6 2 0 0 5 1 1 1 10 1 0 36
Phillips, Evan proj: 29 7 2 0 2 6 0 0 1 7 0 0 36
Rogers, Josh 2019: 15 4 1 0 3 1 0 0 1 1 0 0 17
Rogers, Josh proj: 15 5 0 0 1 1 0 0 0 2 0 0 16
Scott, Tanner 2019: 26 9 3 0 1 5 0 0 0 11 0 0 31
Scott, Tanner proj: 27 7 2 0 1 4 0 0 0 10 0 0 31
Straily, Dan 2019: 64 21 5 0 7 6 0 0 0 6 0 0 70
Straily, Dan proj: 62 15 3 0 3 6 0 1 1 14 1 1 70
Sucre, Jesus 2019: 3 0 0 0 0 0 0 0 0 0 0 0 3
Sucre, Jesus proj: 3 1 0 0 0 0 0 0 0 0 0 0 3
Wright, Mike 2019: 57 20 3 0 5 7 1 0 1 14 0 2 66
Wright, Mike proj: 58 17 4 0 3 6 1 0 2 12 0 0 67
Yacabonis, Jimmy 2019: 52 14 5 0 1 6 0 0 1 6 1 0 59
Yacabonis, Jimmy proj: 50 13 2 0 2 7 1 0 1 9 0 0 59
Ynoa, Gabriel 2019: 5 1 0 0 0 0 0 0 0 2 0 0 5
Ynoa, Gabriel proj: 5 1 0 0 0 0 0 0 0 1 0 0 5
2019 TEAM TOTALS: 828 239 52 1 56 86 8 1 12 176 5 9 935
PROJECTED: 824 213 44 1 35 85 7 2 15 185 10 4 933
difference: +4 +26 +8 0 +21 +1 +1 -1 -3 -9 -5 +5 +2
Man AB H 2B 3B HR BB SF SH HBP SO SB CS BFP


Assorted Team Stats:
Stat Actual Projected
Batting Average: .289 .258
Slugging Average: .557 .442
Walks (per PA): .092 .091
SOs (per PA): .188 .198
On-Base Average: .360 .335
Power Factor: 1.93 1.71
OPS: .917 .777
TPP Runs (to date): 156 121

Runs differential:
Actual TPP 35 more than Projected TPP.




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This page was last modified on Tuesday, 23 April 2019, at 6:52 am Pacific Time.