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BAL "Expected" Pitching Results, 2017


About These Stats:

The form of "projection" used is very simple: each man's career numbers are pro-rated by his actual number of batters faced to date this season; those data, labelled "proj:" are shown along with the man's actual stats from this year to date. At the bottom of the Table, each set of lines—"projected" and actual—is separately summed to get Team Totals for each dataset.

Note that "career to date" includes each man's stats for the current year: "to date" is literally correct. For veteran players, that matters little, but for rookies or players with litle prior major-league experience, it means that the "projection" will perforce nearly or exactly match the actual stats to date. That seems like the best way to deal with newly arrived players' stats.

Note that owing to rounding in the pro-rating process, projected total BFP (batters faced) may occasionally differ by 1.

Below the player/team table is a smaller table showing a few key team "rate" stats (such as batting average) actual and projected.

The Actual Data:

Through games of Thursday, 27 April 2017.
All results are from true, unadjusted data.

Handedness Key:   + R   * L

(You can also look up the stat definitions.)

Pitchers, listed in alphabetical order:
Each name is a click-on link to that man's career stats.

(or see the data for Batting)


Man AB H 2B 3B HR BB SF SH HBP SO SB CS BFP
Aquino, Jayson 2017: 24 6 0 0 1 3 0 0 0 2 1 0 27
Aquino, Jayson proj: 25 5 0 0 1 2 0 0 0 4 1 0 27
Asher, Alec 2017: 26 4 0 0 0 3 0 1 3 6 0 0 33
Asher, Alec proj: 29 8 2 0 1 2 0 1 1 4 0 0 33
Brach, Brad 2017: 37 3 2 0 0 4 0 0 0 14 0 0 41
Brach, Brad proj: 36 8 2 0 1 4 0 0 0 11 1 0 40
Britton, Zach 2017: 29 10 0 0 0 3 0 0 0 6 0 0 32
Britton, Zach proj: 29 7 1 0 0 3 0 0 0 6 0 0 32
Bundy, Dylan 2017: 114 26 4 0 2 6 2 0 0 23 2 2 122
Bundy, Dylan proj: 110 28 5 0 4 10 1 0 1 26 2 2 122
Crichton, Stefan 2017: 14 9 1 1 0 0 1 0 0 2 0 1 15
Crichton, Stefan proj: 14 9 1 1 0 0 1 0 0 2 0 1 15
Drake, Oliver 2017: 15 6 0 1 0 3 0 0 0 3 0 1 18
Drake, Oliver proj: 15 4 1 0 0 2 0 0 0 5 0 0 17
Gausman, Kevin 2017: 103 34 6 0 4 15 1 0 1 17 2 0 120
Gausman, Kevin proj: 110 29 6 0 4 8 1 1 1 26 1 0 121
Givens, Mychal 2017: 42 8 2 0 1 3 0 0 1 10 0 0 46
Givens, Mychal proj: 40 8 2 0 1 4 0 0 1 14 1 0 45
Hart, Donnie 2017: 25 6 1 0 0 3 0 0 2 9 0 0 30
Hart, Donnie proj: 26 5 1 0 0 3 0 1 1 6 0 0 31
Jimenez, Ubaldo 2017: 77 20 4 0 4 12 1 0 0 12 4 0 90
Jimenez, Ubaldo proj: 79 19 4 1 2 10 0 1 1 19 2 1 91
Miley, Wade 2017: 86 12 2 0 2 14 1 0 1 32 0 1 102
Miley, Wade proj: 93 25 5 0 3 8 1 1 0 19 0 1 103
Nuno, Vidal 2017: 36 9 3 0 2 2 0 0 0 8 1 0 38
Nuno, Vidal proj: 35 9 2 0 1 2 0 0 0 7 0 0 37
O'Day, Darren 2017: 33 9 0 0 0 5 1 0 0 6 1 1 39
O'Day, Darren proj: 35 7 1 0 1 3 0 0 1 10 1 0 39
Wilson, Tyler 2017: 21 6 0 1 1 3 0 0 0 4 0 0 24
Wilson, Tyler proj: 22 6 2 0 1 2 0 0 0 3 0 0 24
2017 TEAM TOTALS: 682 168 25 3 17 79 7 1 8 154 11 6 777
PROJECTED: 698 177 35 2 20 63 4 5 7 162 9 5 777
difference: -16 -9 -10 +1 -3 +16 +3 -4 +1 -8 +2 +1 0
Man AB H 2B 3B HR BB SF SH HBP SO SB CS BFP


Assorted Team Stats:
Stat Actual Projected
Batting Average: .246 .254
Slugging Average: .367 .395
Walks (per PA): .102 .081
SOs (per PA): .198 .208
On-Base Average: .328 .318
Power Factor: 1.49 1.56
OPS: .695 .713
TPP Runs (to date): 84 86

Runs differential:
Actual TPP 2 less than Projected TPP.




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This page was last modified on Friday, 28 April 2017, at 6:56 am Pacific Time.