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Baseball team and player performance examined realistically and accurately.

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BAL "Expected" Pitching Results, 2018


About These Stats:

The form of "projection" used is very simple: each man's career numbers are pro-rated by his actual number of batters faced to date this season; those data, labelled "proj:" are shown along with the man's actual stats from this year to date. At the bottom of the Table, each set of lines—"projected" and actual—is separately summed to get Team Totals for each dataset.

Note that "career to date" includes each man's stats for the current year: "to date" is literally correct. For veteran players, that matters little, but for rookies or players with litle prior major-league experience, it means that the "projection" will perforce nearly or exactly match the actual stats to date. That seems like the best way to deal with newly arrived players' stats.

Note that owing to rounding in the pro-rating process, projected total BFP (batters faced) may occasionally differ by 1.

Below the player/team table is a smaller table showing a few key team "rate" stats (such as batting average) actual and projected.

The Actual Data:

Through games of Monday, 20 August 2018.
All results are from true, unadjusted data.

Handedness Key:   + R   * L

(You can also look up the stat definitions.)

Pitchers, listed in alphabetical order:
Each name is a click-on link to that man's career stats.

(or see the data for Batting)


Man AB H 2B 3B HR BB SF SH HBP SO SB CS BFP
Araujo, Pedro 2018: 110 29 8 0 9 18 0 0 2 29 8 0 130
Araujo, Pedro proj: 110 29 8 0 9 18 0 0 2 29 8 0 130
Bleier, Richard 2018: 126 36 6 2 0 4 2 0 1 15 1 0 133
Bleier, Richard proj: 123 32 5 1 2 6 2 1 2 15 2 0 134
Brach, Brad 2018: 165 50 13 0 4 19 0 1 0 38 3 0 185
Brach, Brad proj: 163 37 7 0 5 19 2 1 0 47 4 1 185
Britton, Zach 2018: 52 11 3 0 1 10 0 0 1 13 0 0 63
Britton, Zach proj: 56 14 2 0 1 6 0 0 0 13 0 0 62
Bundy, Dylan 2018: 516 136 28 4 30 41 2 2 6 137 16 3 567
Bundy, Dylan proj: 513 129 26 2 24 44 3 1 6 128 10 4 567
Carroll, Cody 2018: 21 4 1 0 0 6 0 0 0 3 1 0 27
Carroll, Cody proj: 21 4 1 0 0 6 0 0 0 3 1 0 27
Cashner, Andrew 2018: 523 144 39 3 19 57 2 1 3 93 5 5 586
Cashner, Andrew proj: 523 134 27 4 14 50 4 5 5 105 11 5 587
Castro, Miguel 2018: 252 57 10 1 6 44 3 0 5 50 6 2 304
Castro, Miguel proj: 259 62 12 1 9 36 4 2 3 49 5 3 304
Cobb, Alex 2018: 534 156 34 5 19 34 5 2 4 88 3 6 579
Cobb, Alex proj: 528 134 26 2 14 40 3 2 5 110 12 3 578
Cortes Jr., Nestor 2018: 22 10 2 0 2 4 0 0 0 3 0 1 26
Cortes Jr., Nestor proj: 22 10 2 0 2 4 0 0 0 3 0 1 26
Fry, Paul 2018: 73 16 1 0 1 6 0 0 4 21 1 2 83
Fry, Paul proj: 73 16 1 0 1 6 0 0 4 21 1 2 83
Gausman, Kevin 2018: 495 139 30 2 21 32 2 0 5 104 5 2 534
Gausman, Kevin proj: 488 131 26 1 18 38 3 2 3 114 4 2 534
Gilmartin, Sean 2018: 20 6 2 0 1 3 0 0 1 1 1 0 24
Gilmartin, Sean proj: 21 6 1 0 1 2 0 0 0 5 0 0 23
Givens, Mychal 2018: 227 57 12 3 2 26 3 0 3 66 6 2 259
Givens, Mychal proj: 229 50 11 1 5 24 1 1 4 74 5 2 259
Hart, Donnie 2018: 65 24 4 0 2 8 1 0 0 10 0 0 74
Hart, Donnie proj: 66 19 3 0 2 6 1 0 1 11 0 0 74
Hess, David 2018: 255 70 14 0 15 28 3 0 5 40 2 2 291
Hess, David proj: 255 70 14 0 15 28 3 0 5 40 2 2 291
Marinez, Jhan 2018: 29 9 2 0 1 9 1 1 0 3 0 1 40
Marinez, Jhan proj: 34 9 2 0 1 4 0 0 1 7 0 0 39
Meisinger, Ryan 2018: 22 4 2 0 2 1 0 0 0 5 0 0 23
Meisinger, Ryan proj: 22 4 2 0 2 1 0 0 0 5 0 0 23
O'Day, Darren 2018: 76 18 5 0 3 4 0 0 3 27 1 2 83
O'Day, Darren proj: 75 16 3 0 2 6 1 0 2 21 1 1 84
Phillips, Evan 2018: 14 4 2 0 1 6 0 0 1 3 0 0 21
Phillips, Evan proj: 16 4 1 0 2 4 0 0 0 3 0 0 20
Ramirez, Yefry 2018: 166 44 7 2 7 25 3 2 4 42 5 3 200
Ramirez, Yefry proj: 166 44 7 2 7 25 3 2 4 42 5 3 200
Scott, Tanner 2018: 152 41 10 2 5 20 0 0 1 57 1 1 173
Scott, Tanner proj: 151 41 10 2 5 21 0 0 1 56 1 1 173
Tillman, Chris 2018: 115 42 11 2 6 17 2 1 2 13 0 2 137
Tillman, Chris proj: 123 32 7 1 5 12 1 0 1 24 1 1 137
Valencia, Danny 2018: 1 0 0 0 0 0 0 0 0 1 0 0 1
Valencia, Danny proj: 1 0 0 0 0 0 0 0 0 1 0 0 1
Wright Jr., Mike 2018: 256 79 10 1 9 25 5 1 5 54 1 0 292
Wright Jr., Mike proj: 257 74 17 1 11 24 4 1 7 49 1 1 293
Yacabonis, Jimmy 2018: 65 20 3 0 4 7 0 1 0 13 1 0 73
Yacabonis, Jimmy proj: 62 17 2 0 3 9 1 0 0 9 0 0 72
2018 TEAM TOTALS: 4352 1206 259 27 170 454 34 12 56 929 67 34 4908
PROJECTED: 4357 1118 223 18 160 439 36 18 56 984 74 32 4906
difference: -5 +88 +36 +9 +10 +15 -2 -6 0 -55 -7 +2 +2
Man AB H 2B 3B HR BB SF SH HBP SO SB CS BFP


Assorted Team Stats:
Stat Actual Projected
Batting Average: .277 .257
Slugging Average: .466 .426
Walks (per PA): .093 .089
SOs (per PA): .189 .200
On-Base Average: .350 .329
Power Factor: 1.68 1.66
OPS: .816 .755
TPP Runs (to date): 689 607

Runs differential:
Actual TPP 82 more than Projected TPP.




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This page was last modified on Tuesday, 21 August 2018, at 7:11 am Pacific Time.