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BAL "Expected" Pitching Results, 2017


About These Stats:

The form of "projection" used is very simple: each man's career numbers are pro-rated by his actual number of batters faced to date this season; those data, labelled "proj:" are shown along with the man's actual stats from this year to date. At the bottom of the Table, each set of lines—"projected" and actual—is separately summed to get Team Totals for each dataset.

Note that "career to date" includes each man's stats for the current year: "to date" is literally correct. For veteran players, that matters little, but for rookies or players with litle prior major-league experience, it means that the "projection" will perforce nearly or exactly match the actual stats to date. That seems like the best way to deal with newly arrived players' stats.

Note that owing to rounding in the pro-rating process, projected total BFP (batters faced) may occasionally differ by 1.

Below the player/team table is a smaller table showing a few key team "rate" stats (such as batting average) actual and projected.

The Actual Data:

Through games of Friday, 18 August 2017.
All results are from true, unadjusted data.

Handedness Key:   + R   * L

(You can also look up the stat definitions.)

Pitchers, listed in alphabetical order:
Each name is a click-on link to that man's career stats.

(or see the data for Batting)


Man AB H 2B 3B HR BB SF SH HBP SO SB CS BFP
Aquino, Jayson 2017: 56 15 4 0 4 6 0 0 0 13 1 0 62
Aquino, Jayson proj: 57 14 4 0 4 5 0 0 0 14 1 0 62
Asher, Alec 2017: 212 56 10 1 9 21 2 1 7 42 5 0 243
Asher, Alec proj: 216 59 12 1 9 17 2 2 5 35 3 1 242
Bleier, Richard 2017: 182 49 7 0 5 10 1 3 3 21 5 1 199
Bleier, Richard proj: 183 47 8 1 3 10 1 2 3 23 5 1 199
Brach, Brad 2017: 178 35 8 0 5 15 2 0 0 53 0 2 195
Brach, Brad proj: 171 37 7 0 5 20 2 1 1 51 4 1 195
Britton, Zach 2017: 93 28 2 0 1 11 0 1 0 19 3 1 105
Britton, Zach proj: 94 23 4 0 2 9 0 1 0 21 1 1 104
Bundy, Dylan 2017: 520 127 29 1 24 43 7 0 6 117 5 3 576
Bundy, Dylan proj: 518 129 26 1 23 47 4 1 7 121 8 5 577
Castro, Miguel 2017: 143 32 7 0 6 10 4 2 1 20 1 3 160
Castro, Miguel proj: 141 37 7 1 7 13 3 2 1 26 2 2 160
Crichton, Stefan 2017: 57 26 4 1 2 4 1 0 0 8 0 1 62
Crichton, Stefan proj: 57 26 4 1 2 4 1 0 0 8 0 1 62
Drake, Oliver 2017: 15 6 0 1 0 3 0 0 0 3 0 1 18
Drake, Oliver proj: 16 4 1 0 0 2 0 0 0 5 0 0 18
Gausman, Kevin 2017: 562 168 29 2 22 56 3 0 3 132 7 3 624
Gausman, Kevin proj: 569 154 30 2 20 45 4 3 3 135 4 2 624
Givens, Mychal 2017: 212 41 5 0 7 16 0 0 4 62 3 1 232
Givens, Mychal proj: 206 42 9 0 5 20 1 1 4 69 4 2 232
Hart, Donnie 2017: 136 36 6 0 2 12 0 0 3 25 1 0 151
Hart, Donnie proj: 135 33 5 0 2 12 1 1 2 25 1 1 151
Hellickson, Jeremy 2017: 91 24 6 0 6 4 1 0 1 18 2 0 97
Hellickson, Jeremy proj: 88 22 5 1 3 7 1 0 1 17 1 0 97
Jackson, Edwin 2017: 24 11 4 0 2 4 0 1 0 2 0 0 29
Jackson, Edwin proj: 26 7 1 0 1 3 0 0 0 5 1 0 29
Jimenez, Ubaldo 2017: 483 136 32 4 26 53 4 1 4 113 17 4 545
Jimenez, Ubaldo proj: 477 118 24 3 12 57 3 3 5 116 15 4 545
Miley, Wade 2017: 500 141 20 2 18 72 4 1 4 112 5 3 581
Miley, Wade proj: 525 142 30 3 15 46 3 4 3 108 3 4 581
Nuno, Vidal 2017: 67 23 8 0 7 10 0 0 0 13 1 0 77
Nuno, Vidal proj: 70 19 4 0 3 5 1 0 1 15 1 0 77
O'Day, Darren 2017: 158 32 1 1 6 20 1 0 3 56 1 3 182
O'Day, Darren proj: 164 34 6 0 5 13 1 1 4 46 3 2 183
Tillman, Chris 2017: 298 104 21 0 16 34 2 0 2 53 1 2 336
Tillman, Chris proj: 302 78 17 1 11 29 2 1 2 59 1 2 336
Verrett, Logan 2017: 40 11 2 0 3 3 0 2 2 9 1 0 47
Verrett, Logan proj: 41 11 3 0 2 4 0 1 1 8 0 0 47
Wilson, Tyler 2017: 64 22 3 1 3 4 1 0 1 9 3 2 70
Wilson, Tyler proj: 64 19 5 0 2 4 1 0 1 9 1 1 70
Wright, Mike 2017: 44 11 3 0 2 1 0 0 1 14 0 0 46
Wright, Mike proj: 41 11 3 0 2 4 1 0 1 7 0 0 47
Yacabonis, Jimmy 2017: 25 6 1 0 1 6 1 0 0 3 0 0 32
Yacabonis, Jimmy proj: 25 6 1 0 1 6 1 0 0 3 0 0 32
Ynoa, Gabriel 2017: 53 17 1 2 3 2 1 0 0 12 0 0 56
Ynoa, Gabriel proj: 51 17 0 1 1 4 1 0 0 11 1 0 56
2017 TEAM TOTALS: 4213 1157 213 16 180 420 35 12 45 929 62 30 4725
PROJECTED: 4237 1089 216 16 140 386 34 24 45 937 60 30 4726
difference: -24 +68 -3 0 +40 +34 +1 -12 0 -8 +2 0 -1
Man AB H 2B 3B HR BB SF SH HBP SO SB CS BFP


Assorted Team Stats:
Stat Actual Projected
Batting Average: .275 .257
Slugging Average: .461 .415
Walks (per PA): .089 .082
SOs (per PA): .197 .198
On-Base Average: .343 .322
Power Factor: 1.68 1.61
OPS: .804 .736
TPP Runs (to date): 652 557

Runs differential:
Actual TPP 95 more than Projected TPP.




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This page was last modified on Saturday, 19 August 2017, at 7:11 am Pacific Time.