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BAL "Expected" Pitching Results, 2017


About These Stats:

The form of "projection" used is very simple: each man's career numbers are pro-rated by his actual number of batters faced to date this season; those data, labelled "proj:" are shown along with the man's actual stats from this year to date. At the bottom of the Table, each set of lines—"projected" and actual—is separately summed to get Team Totals for each dataset.

Note that "career to date" includes each man's stats for the current year: "to date" is literally correct. For veteran players, that matters little, but for rookies or players with litle prior major-league experience, it means that the "projection" will perforce nearly or exactly match the actual stats to date. That seems like the best way to deal with newly arrived players' stats.

Note that owing to rounding in the pro-rating process, projected total BFP (batters faced) may occasionally differ by 1.

Below the player/team table is a smaller table showing a few key team "rate" stats (such as batting average) actual and projected.

The Actual Data:

Through games of Sunday, 23 July 2017.
All results are from true, unadjusted data.

Handedness Key:   + R   * L

(You can also look up the stat definitions.)

Pitchers, listed in alphabetical order:
Each name is a click-on link to that man's career stats.

(or see the data for Batting)


Man AB H 2B 3B HR BB SF SH HBP SO SB CS BFP
Aquino, Jayson 2017: 56 15 4 0 4 6 0 0 0 13 1 0 62
Aquino, Jayson proj: 57 14 4 0 4 5 0 0 0 14 1 0 62
Asher, Alec 2017: 212 56 10 1 9 21 2 1 7 42 5 0 243
Asher, Alec proj: 216 59 12 1 9 17 2 2 5 35 3 1 242
Bleier, Richard 2017: 143 38 5 0 3 9 1 3 3 15 5 1 159
Bleier, Richard proj: 145 37 6 1 2 8 1 2 3 18 4 1 159
Brach, Brad 2017: 149 27 4 0 5 12 1 0 0 45 0 1 162
Brach, Brad proj: 142 30 6 0 4 17 2 1 0 43 3 1 162
Britton, Zach 2017: 67 22 2 0 0 8 0 1 0 13 1 1 76
Britton, Zach proj: 68 17 3 0 1 7 0 1 0 15 1 0 76
Bundy, Dylan 2017: 444 112 27 1 21 39 6 0 6 92 4 3 495
Bundy, Dylan proj: 443 113 23 1 20 42 4 1 6 100 7 5 496
Castro, Miguel 2017: 90 21 5 0 4 6 2 2 1 12 1 1 101
Castro, Miguel proj: 89 24 5 1 4 8 2 1 1 17 2 1 101
Crichton, Stefan 2017: 57 26 4 1 2 4 1 0 0 8 0 1 62
Crichton, Stefan proj: 57 26 4 1 2 4 1 0 0 8 0 1 62
Drake, Oliver 2017: 15 6 0 1 0 3 0 0 0 3 0 1 18
Drake, Oliver proj: 16 4 1 0 0 2 0 0 0 5 0 0 18
Gausman, Kevin 2017: 440 139 24 1 19 46 2 0 3 96 4 2 491
Gausman, Kevin proj: 448 122 24 1 16 35 3 2 2 105 3 2 490
Givens, Mychal 2017: 182 36 5 0 6 13 0 0 3 53 2 1 198
Givens, Mychal proj: 176 36 9 0 4 17 1 1 3 59 3 2 198
Hart, Donnie 2017: 121 32 6 0 1 10 0 0 3 24 1 0 134
Hart, Donnie proj: 120 29 5 0 1 10 1 1 2 24 1 1 134
Jackson, Edwin 2017: 24 11 4 0 2 4 0 1 0 2 0 0 29
Jackson, Edwin proj: 26 7 1 0 1 3 0 0 0 5 1 0 29
Jimenez, Ubaldo 2017: 371 105 22 4 22 44 4 1 2 79 14 4 422
Jimenez, Ubaldo proj: 369 91 18 3 9 45 2 2 4 89 12 3 422
Miley, Wade 2017: 399 120 16 2 16 59 2 0 2 87 4 2 462
Miley, Wade proj: 418 114 24 2 12 36 2 3 2 85 2 3 461
Nuno, Vidal 2017: 67 23 8 0 7 10 0 0 0 13 1 0 77
Nuno, Vidal proj: 70 19 4 0 3 5 1 0 1 15 1 0 77
O'Day, Darren 2017: 121 25 0 1 4 15 1 0 1 42 1 1 138
O'Day, Darren proj: 124 26 4 0 3 9 1 1 3 34 2 1 138
Tillman, Chris 2017: 258 87 15 0 13 30 2 0 2 44 1 2 292
Tillman, Chris proj: 262 67 15 1 9 25 2 1 2 52 1 2 292
Verrett, Logan 2017: 40 11 2 0 3 3 0 2 2 9 1 0 47
Verrett, Logan proj: 41 11 3 0 2 4 0 1 1 8 0 0 47
Wilson, Tyler 2017: 64 22 3 1 3 4 1 0 1 9 3 2 70
Wilson, Tyler proj: 64 19 5 0 2 4 1 0 1 9 1 1 70
Wright, Mike 2017: 44 11 3 0 2 1 0 0 1 14 0 0 46
Wright, Mike proj: 41 11 3 0 2 4 1 0 1 7 0 0 47
Yacabonis, Jimmy 2017: 25 6 1 0 1 6 1 0 0 3 0 0 32
Yacabonis, Jimmy proj: 25 6 1 0 1 6 1 0 0 3 0 0 32
Ynoa, Gabriel 2017: 53 17 1 2 3 2 1 0 0 12 0 0 56
Ynoa, Gabriel proj: 51 17 0 1 1 4 1 0 0 11 1 0 56
2017 TEAM TOTALS: 3442 968 171 15 150 355 27 11 37 730 49 23 3872
PROJECTED: 3468 899 180 13 112 317 29 20 37 761 49 25 3871
difference: -26 +69 -9 +2 +38 +38 -2 -9 0 -31 0 -2 +1
Man AB H 2B 3B HR BB SF SH HBP SO SB CS BFP


Assorted Team Stats:
Stat Actual Projected
Batting Average: .281 .259
Slugging Average: .470 .416
Walks (per PA): .092 .082
SOs (per PA): .189 .197
On-Base Average: .351 .324
Power Factor: 1.67 1.6
OPS: .822 .739
TPP Runs (to date): 557 458

Runs differential:
Actual TPP 99 more than Projected TPP.




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This page was last modified on Monday, 24 July 2017, at 7:05 am Pacific Time.