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BOS "Expected" Batting Results, 2019


About These Stats:

The form of "projection" used is very simple: each man's career numbers are pro-rated by his actual number of appearances to date this season; those data, labelled "proj:" are shown along with the man's actual stats from this year to date. At the bottom of the Table, each set of lines—"projected" and actual—is separately summed to get Team Totals for each dataset.

Note that "career to date" includes each man's stats for the current year: "to date" is literally correct. For veteran players, that matters little, but for rookies or players with litle prior major-league experience, it means that the "projection" will perforce nearly or exactly match the actual stats to date. That seems like the best way to deal with newly arrived players' stats.

Note that owing to rounding in the pro-rating process, projected total PA (plate appearances) may occasionally differ by 1.

Below the player/team table is a smaller table showing a few key team "rate" stats (such as batting average) actual and projected.

The Actual Data:

Through games of Monday, 30 September 2019.
All results are from true, unadjusted data.

Handedness Key:   + R   * L   # S

(You can also look up the stat definitions.)

Batters, listed in alphabetical order:
Each name is a click-on link to that man's career stats.

(or see the data for Pitching)


Man AB H 2B 3B HR BB SF SH HBP SO SB CS PA
Barnes, Matt 2019: 1 0 0 0 0 0 0 0 0 1 0 0 1
Barnes, Matt proj: 1 0 0 0 0 0 0 0 0 1 0 0 1
Benintendi, Andrew 2019: 541 144 40 5 13 59 5 3 7 140 10 3 615
Benintendi, Andrew proj: 539 149 35 4 15 63 6 2 5 115 16 3 615
Betts, Mookie 2019: 597 176 40 5 29 97 9 0 3 101 16 3 706
Betts, Mookie proj: 623 188 45 5 27 72 6 1 4 90 25 5 706
Bogaerts, Xander 2019: 614 190 52 0 33 76 6 0 2 122 4 2 698
Bogaerts, Xander proj: 630 182 40 2 19 57 5 1 6 127 9 2 699
Bradley Jr., Jackie 2019: 494 111 28 3 21 56 2 3 12 155 8 6 567
Bradley Jr., Jackie proj: 501 118 28 4 17 52 3 1 10 144 10 2 567
Centeno, Juan 2019: 15 2 0 0 0 2 0 0 1 2 1 0 18
Centeno, Juan proj: 17 4 1 0 0 1 0 0 0 3 0 0 18
Chavis, Michael 2019: 347 88 10 1 18 31 0 0 4 127 2 1 382
Chavis, Michael proj: 347 88 10 1 18 31 0 0 4 127 2 1 382
Devers, Rafael 2019: 647 201 54 4 32 48 2 1 4 119 8 8 702
Devers, Rafael proj: 647 182 45 2 31 51 2 0 2 146 8 5 702
Eovaldi, Nathan 2019: 2 0 0 0 0 0 0 0 0 1 0 0 2
Eovaldi, Nathan proj: 2 0 0 0 0 0 0 0 0 1 0 0 2
Hernandez, Gorkys 2019: 49 7 1 2 0 5 1 2 0 14 1 0 57
Hernandez, Gorkys proj: 52 12 2 0 1 4 0 0 1 13 2 1 57
Hernandez, Marco 2019: 148 37 7 0 2 3 0 1 3 42 1 2 155
Hernandez, Marco proj: 147 39 6 0 2 5 0 1 2 38 1 2 155
Holt, Brock 2019: 259 77 14 2 3 28 4 0 4 57 1 0 295
Holt, Brock proj: 262 71 14 2 3 26 3 2 3 56 4 2 296
Johnson, Brian 2019: 1 0 0 0 0 0 0 0 0 1 0 0 1
Johnson, Brian proj: 1 0 0 0 0 0 0 0 0 0 0 0 1
Leon, Sandy 2019: 172 33 3 0 5 13 1 4 1 47 0 0 191
Leon, Sandy proj: 172 38 8 0 4 14 1 3 2 47 0 0 192
Lin, Tzu-Wei 2019: 20 4 2 0 0 2 0 0 0 6 1 1 22
Lin, Tzu-Wei proj: 19 5 1 0 0 3 0 0 0 5 0 0 22
Martinez, J.D. 2019: 575 175 33 2 36 72 5 0 4 138 2 0 657
Martinez, J.D. proj: 590 173 35 3 34 58 6 0 3 159 4 2 657
Moreland, Mitch 2019: 298 75 17 1 19 34 2 0 1 74 1 0 335
Moreland, Mitch proj: 300 76 16 1 13 29 3 0 3 72 1 0 335
Nunez, Eduardo 2019: 167 38 7 0 2 4 2 1 0 27 5 1 174
Nunez, Eduardo proj: 163 45 9 1 3 8 1 1 1 23 8 2 174
Owings, Chris 2019: 45 7 2 0 1 6 0 0 0 23 1 1 51
Owings, Chris proj: 47 11 3 1 1 3 0 0 0 12 2 0 50
Pearce, Steve 2019: 89 16 4 0 1 7 1 0 1 31 0 0 99
Pearce, Steve proj: 87 22 5 0 4 9 1 0 1 20 1 0 98
Pedroia, Dustin 2019: 20 2 0 0 0 1 0 0 0 2 0 0 21
Pedroia, Dustin proj: 19 6 1 0 0 2 0 0 0 2 0 0 21
Porcello, Rick 2019: 6 0 0 0 0 0 0 0 0 2 0 0 6
Porcello, Rick proj: 6 1 0 0 0 0 0 0 0 2 0 0 6
Price, David 2019: 2 1 0 0 0 0 0 0 0 1 0 0 2
Price, David proj: 2 0 0 0 0 0 0 0 0 1 0 0 2
Rodriguez, Eduardo 2019: 7 0 0 0 0 0 0 2 0 3 0 0 9
Rodriguez, Eduardo proj: 8 0 0 0 0 0 0 1 0 4 0 0 9
Swihart, Blake 2019: 26 6 1 0 1 2 0 0 1 7 0 0 29
Swihart, Blake proj: 27 6 1 0 1 2 0 0 0 8 0 0 29
Travis, Sam 2019: 144 31 4 1 6 11 1 0 1 36 2 0 157
Travis, Sam proj: 145 33 7 1 4 11 1 0 1 39 2 0 158
Vazquez, Christian 2019: 482 133 26 1 23 33 3 3 0 101 4 2 521
Vazquez, Christian proj: 481 123 25 1 11 32 3 2 3 95 5 2 521
Walden, Marcus 2019: 1 0 0 0 0 0 0 0 0 1 0 0 1
Walden, Marcus proj: 1 0 0 0 0 0 0 0 0 1 0 0 1
2019 TEAM TOTALS: 5769 1554 345 27 245 590 44 20 49 1381 68 30 6474
PROJECTED: 5836 1572 337 28 208 533 41 15 51 1351 100 29 6476
difference: -67 -18 +8 -1 +37 +57 +3 +5 -2 +30 -32 +1 -2
Man AB H 2B 3B HR BB SF SH HBP SO SB CS PA


Assorted Team Stats:
Stat Actual Projected
Batting Average: .269 .269
Slugging Average: .466 .444
Walks (per PA): .091 .082
SOs (per PA): .213 .209
On-Base Average: .339 .333
Power Factor: 1.73 1.65
OPS: .805 .777
TOP Runs (to date): 883 841

Runs differential:
Actual TOP 42 more than Projected TOP.




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This page was last modified on Tuesday, 1 October 2019, at 7:36 am Pacific Time.