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BOS "Expected" Batting Results, 2018


About These Stats:

The form of "projection" used is very simple: each man's career numbers are pro-rated by his actual number of appearances to date this season; those data, labelled "proj:" are shown along with the man's actual stats from this year to date. At the bottom of the Table, each set of lines—"projected" and actual—is separately summed to get Team Totals for each dataset.

Note that "career to date" includes each man's stats for the current year: "to date" is literally correct. For veteran players, that matters little, but for rookies or players with litle prior major-league experience, it means that the "projection" will perforce nearly or exactly match the actual stats to date. That seems like the best way to deal with newly arrived players' stats.

Note that owing to rounding in the pro-rating process, projected total PA (plate appearances) may occasionally differ by 1.

Below the player/team table is a smaller table showing a few key team "rate" stats (such as batting average) actual and projected.

The Actual Data:

Through games of Sunday, 30 September 2018.
All results are from true, unadjusted data.

Handedness Key:   + R   * L   # S

(You can also look up the stat definitions.)

Batters, listed in alphabetical order:
Each name is a click-on link to that man's career stats.

(or see the data for Pitching)


Man AB H 2B 3B HR BB SF SH HBP SO SB CS PA
Benintendi, Andrew 2018: 579 168 41 6 16 71 7 2 2 106 21 3 661
Benintendi, Andrew proj: 578 163 36 4 17 69 7 2 4 112 19 4 660
Betts, Mookie 2018: 520 180 47 5 32 81 5 0 8 91 30 6 614
Betts, Mookie proj: 547 166 40 4 23 58 5 1 3 76 23 5 614
Bogaerts, Xander 2018: 513 148 45 3 23 55 6 0 6 102 8 2 580
Bogaerts, Xander proj: 526 149 32 3 13 44 4 1 5 106 9 2 580
Bradley Jr., Jackie 2018: 474 111 33 4 13 46 4 0 11 137 17 1 535
Bradley Jr., Jackie proj: 474 113 26 4 15 48 3 0 9 134 10 1 534
Butler, Dan 2018: 6 1 0 0 0 0 1 0 0 2 0 0 7
Butler, Dan proj: 6 1 1 0 0 0 0 0 0 2 0 0 6
Devers, Rafael 2018: 450 108 24 0 21 38 2 0 0 121 5 2 490
Devers, Rafael proj: 451 115 26 0 21 38 1 0 0 119 5 2 490
Eovaldi, Nathan 2018: 2 0 0 0 0 1 0 0 0 2 0 0 3
Eovaldi, Nathan proj: 3 0 0 0 0 0 0 0 0 2 0 0 3
Hembree, Heath 2018: 1 0 0 0 0 0 0 0 0 1 0 0 1
Hembree, Heath proj: 1 0 0 0 0 0 0 0 0 1 0 0 1
Holt, Brock 2018: 321 89 18 2 7 37 2 0 7 73 7 7 367
Holt, Brock proj: 326 87 17 3 4 32 3 3 3 69 6 3 367
Johnson, Brian 2018: 4 1 0 0 0 0 0 0 0 1 0 0 4
Johnson, Brian proj: 4 1 0 0 0 0 0 0 0 1 0 0 4
Kinsler, Ian 2018: 132 32 6 0 1 10 1 0 0 24 7 3 143
Kinsler, Ian proj: 128 35 7 1 4 12 1 1 2 18 4 1 144
Leon, Sandy 2018: 265 47 12 0 5 15 1 3 4 75 1 0 288
Leon, Sandy proj: 259 59 12 1 5 21 2 4 3 72 0 0 289
Lin, Tzu-Wei 2018: 65 16 6 1 1 8 0 0 0 17 0 1 73
Lin, Tzu-Wei proj: 64 16 3 2 1 9 0 1 0 18 1 1 74
Martinez, J.D. 2018: 569 188 37 2 43 69 7 0 4 146 6 1 649
Martinez, J.D. proj: 585 171 35 3 34 55 6 0 3 161 4 2 649
Moreland, Mitch 2018: 404 99 23 4 15 50 5 0 0 102 2 0 459
Moreland, Mitch proj: 412 104 22 1 18 38 4 1 4 98 1 1 459
Nunez, Eduardo 2018: 480 127 23 3 10 16 3 1 2 69 7 2 502
Nunez, Eduardo proj: 469 131 25 3 10 23 4 3 3 66 24 7 502
Pearce, Steve 2018: 136 38 8 1 7 22 2 0 5 27 0 0 165
Pearce, Steve proj: 146 37 9 1 6 16 1 0 2 32 1 0 165
Pedroia, Dustin 2018: 11 1 0 0 0 2 0 0 0 1 0 0 13
Pedroia, Dustin proj: 12 3 1 0 0 1 0 0 0 1 0 0 13
Phillips, Brandon 2018: 23 3 0 0 1 4 0 0 0 7 0 0 27
Phillips, Brandon proj: 25 7 1 0 1 1 0 0 0 4 1 0 26
Porcello, Rick 2018: 7 3 2 0 0 0 0 0 0 3 0 0 7
Porcello, Rick proj: 7 1 0 0 0 0 0 1 0 3 0 0 8
Ramirez, Hanley 2018: 177 45 7 0 6 14 2 0 2 35 4 1 195
Ramirez, Hanley proj: 174 50 10 1 7 18 1 0 2 34 8 3 195
Rodriguez, Eduardo 2018: 2 0 0 0 0 0 0 0 0 1 0 0 2
Rodriguez, Eduardo proj: 2 0 0 0 0 0 0 0 0 1 0 0 2
Sale, Chris 2018: 2 0 0 0 0 0 0 0 0 2 0 0 2
Sale, Chris proj: 2 0 0 0 0 0 0 0 0 1 0 0 2
Swihart, Blake 2018: 192 44 10 0 3 15 0 0 0 57 6 1 207
Swihart, Blake proj: 190 49 9 1 3 16 0 1 0 53 3 1 207
Travis, Sam 2018: 36 8 3 0 1 2 0 0 0 10 0 0 38
Travis, Sam proj: 35 9 3 0 0 3 0 0 0 10 0 0 38
Vazquez, Christian 2018: 251 52 10 0 3 13 0 1 4 41 4 1 269
Vazquez, Christian proj: 248 61 12 1 3 16 1 1 2 48 3 1 268
Velazquez, Hector 2018: 1 0 0 0 0 0 0 0 0 0 0 0 1
Velazquez, Hector proj: 1 0 0 0 0 0 0 0 0 0 0 0 1
2018 TEAM TOTALS: 5623 1509 355 31 208 569 48 7 55 1253 125 31 6302
PROJECTED: 5675 1528 327 33 185 518 43 20 45 1242 122 34 6301
difference: -52 -19 +28 -2 +23 +51 +5 -13 +10 +11 +3 -3 +1
Man AB H 2B 3B HR BB SF SH HBP SO SB CS PA


Assorted Team Stats:
Stat Actual Projected
Batting Average: .268 .269
Slugging Average: .453 .436
Walks (per PA): .090 .082
SOs (per PA): .199 .197
On-Base Average: .338 .332
Power Factor: 1.69 1.62
OPS: .792 .768
TOP Runs (to date): 847 807

Runs differential:
Actual TOP 40 more than Projected TOP.




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This page was last modified on Monday, 1 October 2018, at 7:07 am Pacific Time.