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Baseball team and player performance examined realistically and accurately.

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BOS "Expected" Batting Results, 2018


About These Stats:

The form of "projection" used is very simple: each man's career numbers are pro-rated by his actual number of appearances to date this season; those data, labelled "proj:" are shown along with the man's actual stats from this year to date. At the bottom of the Table, each set of lines—"projected" and actual—is separately summed to get Team Totals for each dataset.

Note that "career to date" includes each man's stats for the current year: "to date" is literally correct. For veteran players, that matters little, but for rookies or players with litle prior major-league experience, it means that the "projection" will perforce nearly or exactly match the actual stats to date. That seems like the best way to deal with newly arrived players' stats.

Note that owing to rounding in the pro-rating process, projected total PA (plate appearances) may occasionally differ by 1.

Below the player/team table is a smaller table showing a few key team "rate" stats (such as batting average) actual and projected.

The Actual Data:

Through games of Monday, 20 August 2018.
All results are from true, unadjusted data.

Handedness Key:   + R   * L   # S

(You can also look up the stat definitions.)

Batters, listed in alphabetical order:
Each name is a click-on link to that man's career stats.

(or see the data for Pitching)


Man AB H 2B 3B HR BB SF SH HBP SO SB CS PA
Benintendi, Andrew 2018: 456 136 33 6 15 61 6 0 2 85 20 2 525
Benintendi, Andrew proj: 458 130 28 3 15 57 6 1 4 90 17 3 526
Betts, Mookie 2018: 416 143 37 5 27 59 3 0 6 67 24 3 484
Betts, Mookie proj: 434 130 31 4 18 44 4 1 2 59 18 3 485
Bogaerts, Xander 2018: 395 111 36 3 17 43 4 0 6 76 5 2 448
Bogaerts, Xander proj: 407 115 24 2 10 34 3 1 4 82 7 2 449
Bradley Jr., Jackie 2018: 371 82 23 3 11 36 3 0 10 105 12 1 420
Bradley Jr., Jackie proj: 372 88 20 3 12 38 3 0 7 105 7 1 420
Butler, Dan 2018: 6 1 0 0 0 0 1 0 0 2 0 0 7
Butler, Dan proj: 6 1 1 0 0 0 0 0 0 2 0 0 6
Devers, Rafael 2018: 389 94 22 0 16 32 2 0 0 105 5 2 423
Devers, Rafael proj: 390 100 23 0 17 32 1 0 0 103 5 2 423
Eovaldi, Nathan 2018: 1 0 0 0 0 1 0 0 0 1 0 0 2
Eovaldi, Nathan proj: 2 0 0 0 0 0 0 0 0 1 0 0 2
Hembree, Heath 2018: 1 0 0 0 0 0 0 0 0 1 0 0 1
Hembree, Heath proj: 1 0 0 0 0 0 0 0 0 1 0 0 1
Holt, Brock 2018: 258 68 15 1 3 27 2 0 5 51 6 6 292
Holt, Brock proj: 260 69 14 2 2 25 2 2 2 54 5 2 291
Johnson, Brian 2018: 4 1 0 0 0 0 0 0 0 1 0 0 4
Johnson, Brian proj: 4 1 0 0 0 0 0 0 0 1 0 0 4
Kinsler, Ian 2018: 21 5 1 0 0 3 0 0 0 4 2 1 24
Kinsler, Ian proj: 21 6 1 0 1 2 0 0 0 3 1 0 23
Leon, Sandy 2018: 214 44 10 0 5 14 1 3 2 59 1 0 234
Leon, Sandy proj: 210 49 10 0 4 18 1 3 2 58 0 0 234
Lin, Tzu-Wei 2018: 44 8 2 0 0 5 0 0 0 13 0 1 49
Lin, Tzu-Wei proj: 43 10 1 1 0 6 0 0 0 13 0 1 49
Martinez, J.D. 2018: 455 151 34 1 38 52 4 0 4 119 5 1 515
Martinez, J.D. proj: 465 136 29 2 27 43 4 0 3 128 3 2 515
Moreland, Mitch 2018: 335 86 20 4 14 36 4 0 0 82 2 0 375
Moreland, Mitch proj: 337 85 18 1 15 31 3 1 3 80 1 1 375
Nunez, Eduardo 2018: 401 103 18 3 7 13 2 1 2 62 7 2 419
Nunez, Eduardo proj: 391 109 21 3 8 20 3 3 2 56 21 6 419
Pearce, Steve 2018: 74 23 6 0 6 12 1 0 4 15 0 0 91
Pearce, Steve proj: 80 21 5 0 3 9 1 0 1 18 0 0 91
Pedroia, Dustin 2018: 11 1 0 0 0 2 0 0 0 1 0 0 13
Pedroia, Dustin proj: 12 3 1 0 0 1 0 0 0 1 0 0 13
Porcello, Rick 2018: 5 2 2 0 0 0 0 0 0 3 0 0 5
Porcello, Rick proj: 5 1 0 0 0 0 0 0 0 2 0 0 5
Ramirez, Hanley 2018: 177 45 7 0 6 14 2 0 2 35 4 1 195
Ramirez, Hanley proj: 174 50 10 1 7 18 1 0 2 34 8 3 195
Rodriguez, Eduardo 2018: 2 0 0 0 0 0 0 0 0 1 0 0 2
Rodriguez, Eduardo proj: 2 0 0 0 0 0 0 0 0 1 0 0 2
Sale, Chris 2018: 2 0 0 0 0 0 0 0 0 2 0 0 2
Sale, Chris proj: 2 0 0 0 0 0 0 0 0 1 0 0 2
Swihart, Blake 2018: 122 26 6 0 1 10 0 0 0 34 3 1 132
Swihart, Blake proj: 121 31 6 1 2 10 0 1 0 33 2 1 132
Travis, Sam 2018: 16 3 1 0 0 2 0 0 0 4 0 0 18
Travis, Sam proj: 16 4 1 0 0 1 0 0 0 5 0 0 17
Vazquez, Christian 2018: 207 44 9 0 3 7 0 1 3 33 2 1 218
Vazquez, Christian proj: 202 50 10 1 2 12 1 1 2 39 2 1 218
2018 TEAM TOTALS: 4383 1177 282 26 169 429 35 5 46 961 98 24 4898
PROJECTED: 4415 1189 254 24 143 401 33 14 34 970 97 28 4897
difference: -32 -12 +28 +2 +26 +28 +2 -9 +12 -9 +1 -4 +1
Man AB H 2B 3B HR BB SF SH HBP SO SB CS PA


Assorted Team Stats:
Stat Actual Projected
Batting Average: .269 .269
Slugging Average: .460 .435
Walks (per PA): .088 .082
SOs (per PA): .196 .198
On-Base Average: .337 .332
Power Factor: 1.71 1.61
OPS: .798 .767
TOP Runs (to date): 666 625

Runs differential:
Actual TOP 41 more than Projected TOP.




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This page was last modified on Tuesday, 21 August 2018, at 7:11 am Pacific Time.