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BOS "Expected" Pitching Results, 2019


About These Stats:

The form of "projection" used is very simple: each man's career numbers are pro-rated by his actual number of batters faced to date this season; those data, labelled "proj:" are shown along with the man's actual stats from this year to date. At the bottom of the Table, each set of lines—"projected" and actual—is separately summed to get Team Totals for each dataset.

Note that "career to date" includes each man's stats for the current year: "to date" is literally correct. For veteran players, that matters little, but for rookies or players with litle prior major-league experience, it means that the "projection" will perforce nearly or exactly match the actual stats to date. That seems like the best way to deal with newly arrived players' stats.

Note that owing to rounding in the pro-rating process, projected total BFP (batters faced) may occasionally differ by 1.

Below the player/team table is a smaller table showing a few key team "rate" stats (such as batting average) actual and projected.

The Actual Data:

Through games of Thursday, 22 August 2019.
All results are from true, unadjusted data.

Handedness Key:   + R   * L

(You can also look up the stat definitions.)

Pitchers, listed in alphabetical order:
Each name is a click-on link to that man's career stats.

(or see the data for Batting)


Man AB H 2B 3B HR BB SF SH HBP SO SB CS BFP
Barnes, Matt 2019: 184 40 8 0 6 27 1 0 2 86 3 1 214
Barnes, Matt proj: 188 45 9 0 6 22 1 1 2 63 5 2 214
Brasier, Ryan 2019: 163 38 8 0 7 14 3 0 2 41 1 0 182
Brasier, Ryan proj: 162 34 6 1 5 13 5 1 1 41 1 1 182
Brewer, Colten 2019: 188 53 11 1 5 31 3 1 2 44 3 0 225
Brewer, Colten proj: 189 56 11 1 4 31 2 1 2 44 3 0 225
Cashner, Andrew 2019: 135 44 7 2 7 18 0 0 3 26 0 2 156
Cashner, Andrew proj: 139 36 7 1 4 13 1 1 1 27 3 1 155
Eovaldi, Nathan 2019: 143 41 11 0 8 18 2 0 2 35 1 0 165
Eovaldi, Nathan proj: 150 40 8 1 4 12 1 1 1 29 1 1 165
Hembree, Heath 2019: 146 34 8 3 7 18 0 0 3 45 3 1 167
Hembree, Heath proj: 150 38 8 1 6 15 1 0 1 41 4 2 167
Hernandez, Darwinzon 2019: 84 18 9 0 0 19 0 1 3 41 0 0 107
Hernandez, Darwinzon proj: 84 18 9 0 0 19 0 1 3 41 0 0 107
Johnson, Brian 2019: 116 41 10 0 5 12 0 0 0 21 1 1 128
Johnson, Brian proj: 116 33 7 0 5 11 0 0 0 24 1 0 127
Kelley, Trevor 2019: 4 2 1 0 0 1 1 0 0 1 0 0 6
Kelley, Trevor proj: 4 2 1 0 0 1 1 0 0 1 0 0 6
Lakins, Travis 2019: 49 12 4 1 0 7 1 0 1 10 0 1 58
Lakins, Travis proj: 49 12 4 1 0 7 1 0 1 10 0 1 58
Nunez, Eduardo 2019: 4 1 0 0 1 0 0 0 0 0 0 0 4
Nunez, Eduardo proj: 4 1 0 0 1 0 0 0 0 0 0 0 4
Porcello, Rick 2019: 589 161 36 4 26 42 1 3 3 112 5 1 638
Porcello, Rick proj: 592 162 29 3 19 35 3 2 6 111 9 3 638
Poyner, Bobby 2019: 19 9 2 1 1 4 0 0 0 2 0 0 23
Poyner, Bobby proj: 21 6 1 0 1 1 0 0 0 5 0 0 22
Price, David 2019: 415 108 27 2 15 31 1 0 3 126 2 2 450
Price, David proj: 414 98 20 2 11 28 2 2 3 107 5 3 449
Ramirez, Erasmo 2019: 12 4 1 0 2 1 0 1 1 1 0 0 15
Ramirez, Erasmo proj: 14 3 1 0 1 1 0 0 0 3 0 0 15
Rodriguez, Eduardo 2019: 586 149 24 1 22 58 3 2 5 149 4 3 654
Rodriguez, Eduardo proj: 589 145 28 2 20 54 4 2 5 152 3 3 654
Sale, Chris 2019: 556 123 30 2 24 37 4 2 13 218 8 2 612
Sale, Chris proj: 563 123 24 2 16 35 3 2 9 188 7 3 612
Shawaryn, Mike 2019: 50 13 4 0 4 7 0 0 3 20 2 0 60
Shawaryn, Mike proj: 50 13 4 0 4 7 0 0 3 20 2 0 60
Smith, Josh 2019: 92 26 3 0 5 6 0 0 3 21 3 0 101
Smith, Josh proj: 89 24 6 0 4 10 1 0 1 19 3 1 101
Taylor, Josh 2019: 137 31 5 0 3 10 1 0 1 48 0 2 149
Taylor, Josh proj: 137 31 5 0 3 10 1 0 1 48 0 2 149
Thornburg, Tyler 2019: 75 21 10 1 4 10 0 0 1 22 0 0 86
Thornburg, Tyler proj: 76 17 3 0 3 9 0 0 1 21 1 1 86
Velazquez, Hector 2019: 179 47 8 2 7 22 3 1 3 45 0 3 208
Velazquez, Hector proj: 186 51 9 1 6 17 2 0 3 36 2 2 208
Walden, Marcus 2019: 228 45 12 1 6 21 1 1 4 63 4 1 255
Walden, Marcus proj: 230 48 15 1 5 19 1 1 4 63 4 1 255
Weber, Ryan 2019: 126 34 9 2 3 5 0 1 3 21 2 1 135
Weber, Ryan proj: 126 35 7 2 4 6 0 1 2 20 2 2 135
Workman, Brandon 2019: 189 24 7 0 1 33 2 1 1 79 8 2 226
Workman, Brandon proj: 199 46 9 1 6 23 2 2 1 55 7 4 227
Wright, Steven 2019: 27 11 1 0 3 4 1 0 1 5 0 0 33
Wright, Steven proj: 30 7 1 0 1 3 0 0 0 6 0 0 33
2019 TEAM TOTALS: 4496 1130 256 23 172 456 28 14 63 1282 50 23 5057
PROJECTED: 4551 1124 232 20 139 402 32 18 51 1175 63 33 5054
difference: -55 +6 +24 +3 +33 +54 -4 -4 +12 +107 -13 -10 +3
Man AB H 2B 3B HR BB SF SH HBP SO SB CS BFP


Assorted Team Stats:
Stat Actual Projected
Batting Average: .251 .247
Slugging Average: .433 .398
Walks (per PA): .090 .079
SOs (per PA): .254 .232
On-Base Average: .326 .312
Power Factor: 1.72 1.61
OPS: .759 .710
TPP Runs (to date): 623 557

Runs differential:
Actual TPP 66 more than Projected TPP.




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This page was last modified on Friday, 23 August 2019, at 7:05 am Pacific Time.