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Baseball team and player performance examined realistically and accurately.

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BOS "Expected" Pitching Results, 2019


About These Stats:

The form of "projection" used is very simple: each man's career numbers are pro-rated by his actual number of batters faced to date this season; those data, labelled "proj:" are shown along with the man's actual stats from this year to date. At the bottom of the Table, each set of lines—"projected" and actual—is separately summed to get Team Totals for each dataset.

Note that "career to date" includes each man's stats for the current year: "to date" is literally correct. For veteran players, that matters little, but for rookies or players with litle prior major-league experience, it means that the "projection" will perforce nearly or exactly match the actual stats to date. That seems like the best way to deal with newly arrived players' stats.

Note that owing to rounding in the pro-rating process, projected total BFP (batters faced) may occasionally differ by 1.

Below the player/team table is a smaller table showing a few key team "rate" stats (such as batting average) actual and projected.

The Actual Data:

Through games of Monday, 30 September 2019.
All results are from true, unadjusted data.

Handedness Key:   + R   * L

(You can also look up the stat definitions.)

Pitchers, listed in alphabetical order:
Each name is a click-on link to that man's career stats.

(or see the data for Batting)


Man AB H 2B 3B HR BB SF SH HBP SO SB CS BFP
Barnes, Matt 2019: 244 51 9 0 8 38 1 0 2 110 5 1 285
Barnes, Matt proj: 250 59 12 1 8 30 2 1 2 85 6 2 285
Brasier, Ryan 2019: 214 51 10 0 9 21 3 0 3 61 1 0 241
Brasier, Ryan proj: 214 46 8 1 7 19 5 1 2 58 1 1 241
Brewer, Colten 2019: 213 59 12 1 6 34 3 1 2 52 6 0 253
Brewer, Colten proj: 214 62 13 1 5 34 3 1 2 52 6 0 254
Cashner, Andrew 2019: 202 58 14 2 8 29 1 1 3 42 1 2 236
Cashner, Andrew proj: 211 55 11 1 6 20 1 2 2 42 4 2 236
Chacin, Jhoulys 2019: 60 16 5 0 6 7 0 0 0 21 1 0 67
Chacin, Jhoulys proj: 59 15 3 0 2 6 1 0 1 13 1 0 67
Eovaldi, Nathan 2019: 261 72 13 0 16 35 2 1 3 70 2 1 302
Eovaldi, Nathan proj: 274 74 14 2 7 23 2 2 2 55 1 1 303
Hembree, Heath 2019: 152 34 8 3 7 18 0 0 3 46 3 1 173
Hembree, Heath proj: 156 39 8 1 6 15 1 0 1 43 4 2 173
Hernandez, Darwinzon 2019: 117 27 10 0 1 26 0 1 3 57 0 0 147
Hernandez, Darwinzon proj: 117 27 10 0 1 26 0 1 3 57 0 0 147
Johnson, Brian 2019: 168 53 17 1 6 23 0 2 0 31 3 1 193
Johnson, Brian proj: 174 48 11 1 7 18 0 1 0 36 2 1 193
Kelley, Trevor 2019: 31 9 4 0 2 5 4 0 0 6 1 0 40
Kelley, Trevor proj: 31 9 4 0 2 5 4 0 0 6 1 0 40
Lakins, Travis 2019: 89 23 8 1 1 10 2 0 1 18 0 1 102
Lakins, Travis proj: 89 23 8 1 1 10 2 0 1 18 0 1 102
Nunez, Eduardo 2019: 4 1 0 0 1 0 0 0 0 0 0 0 4
Nunez, Eduardo proj: 4 1 0 0 1 0 0 0 0 0 0 0 4
Porcello, Rick 2019: 713 198 43 5 31 45 1 3 6 143 7 1 768
Porcello, Rick proj: 712 195 35 4 23 42 4 3 7 134 11 4 768
Poyner, Bobby 2019: 43 10 2 1 2 5 0 0 1 11 0 0 49
Poyner, Bobby proj: 45 11 2 1 2 3 0 0 1 12 1 0 49
Price, David 2019: 422 109 28 2 15 32 1 0 3 128 3 2 458
Price, David proj: 422 100 20 2 11 29 2 2 3 109 5 3 458
Ramirez, Erasmo 2019: 12 4 1 0 2 1 0 1 1 1 0 0 15
Ramirez, Erasmo proj: 14 3 1 0 1 1 0 0 0 3 0 0 15
Rodriguez, Eduardo 2019: 770 195 30 2 24 75 5 2 7 213 4 5 859
Rodriguez, Eduardo proj: 773 190 36 3 25 71 5 3 7 204 3 4 859
Sale, Chris 2019: 556 123 30 2 24 37 4 2 13 218 8 2 612
Sale, Chris proj: 563 123 24 2 16 35 3 2 9 188 7 3 612
Shawaryn, Mike 2019: 84 26 6 0 5 13 1 0 5 29 5 0 103
Shawaryn, Mike proj: 84 26 6 0 5 13 1 0 5 29 5 0 103
Smith, Josh 2019: 128 36 4 0 10 8 0 0 3 29 4 1 139
Smith, Josh proj: 123 33 8 0 6 14 1 0 2 26 4 1 140
Taylor, Josh 2019: 175 40 5 0 5 16 1 0 2 62 0 4 194
Taylor, Josh proj: 175 40 5 0 5 16 1 0 2 62 0 4 194
Thornburg, Tyler 2019: 75 21 10 1 4 10 0 0 1 22 0 0 86
Thornburg, Tyler proj: 76 17 3 0 3 9 0 0 1 21 1 1 86
Velazquez, Hector 2019: 211 58 14 2 7 28 3 1 3 49 0 3 246
Velazquez, Hector proj: 219 61 12 1 6 21 2 0 3 42 2 3 245
Walden, Marcus 2019: 287 61 17 1 6 32 2 1 5 76 6 1 327
Walden, Marcus proj: 290 64 19 1 5 30 2 1 5 76 6 1 328
Weber, Ryan 2019: 169 48 11 2 5 8 0 1 3 29 2 1 181
Weber, Ryan proj: 169 47 10 2 6 8 0 1 3 27 2 2 181
Workman, Brandon 2019: 235 29 7 0 1 45 3 1 2 104 8 4 286
Workman, Brandon proj: 250 57 11 1 7 30 3 2 1 72 9 5 286
Wright, Steven 2019: 27 11 1 0 3 4 1 0 1 5 0 0 33
Wright, Steven proj: 30 7 1 0 1 3 0 0 0 6 0 0 33
2019 TEAM TOTALS: 5662 1423 319 26 215 605 38 18 76 1633 70 31 6399
PROJECTED: 5738 1432 295 26 175 531 45 23 65 1476 82 41 6402
difference: -76 -9 +24 0 +40 +74 -7 -5 +11 +157 -12 -10 -3
Man AB H 2B 3B HR BB SF SH HBP SO SB CS BFP


Assorted Team Stats:
Stat Actual Projected
Batting Average: .251 .250
Slugging Average: .431 .402
Walks (per PA): .095 .083
SOs (per PA): .255 .231
On-Base Average: .329 .317
Power Factor: 1.71 1.61
OPS: .760 .718
TPP Runs (to date): 791 720

Runs differential:
Actual TPP 71 more than Projected TPP.




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This page was last modified on Tuesday, 1 October 2019, at 7:36 am Pacific Time.