Owing to the screen size of your device, you may obtain a better viewing experience by rotating your device a quarter-turn (to get the so-called "panorama" screen view).
owlcroft logo
An Owlcroft Company web site
Click here to email us.

The Owlcroft Baseball-Analysis Site

Baseball team and player performance examined realistically and accurately.

Search this site, or just roll your cursor over the colored boxes below the pictures.

  Advertisement:


  Advertisement:


BOS "Expected" Pitching Results, 2017


About These Stats:

The form of "projection" used is very simple: each man's career numbers are pro-rated by his actual number of batters faced to date this season; those data, labelled "proj:" are shown along with the man's actual stats from this year to date. At the bottom of the Table, each set of lines—"projected" and actual—is separately summed to get Team Totals for each dataset.

Note that "career to date" includes each man's stats for the current year: "to date" is literally correct. For veteran players, that matters little, but for rookies or players with litle prior major-league experience, it means that the "projection" will perforce nearly or exactly match the actual stats to date. That seems like the best way to deal with newly arrived players' stats.

Note that owing to rounding in the pro-rating process, projected total BFP (batters faced) may occasionally differ by 1.

Below the player/team table is a smaller table showing a few key team "rate" stats (such as batting average) actual and projected.

The Actual Data:

Through games of Thursday, 27 April 2017.
All results are from true, unadjusted data.

Handedness Key:   + R   * L

(You can also look up the stat definitions.)

Pitchers, listed in alphabetical order:
Each name is a click-on link to that man's career stats.

(or see the data for Batting)


Man AB H 2B 3B HR BB SF SH HBP SO SB CS BFP
Abad, Fernando 2017: 18 7 3 0 0 1 0 0 0 0 0 0 19
Abad, Fernando proj: 17 4 1 0 1 2 0 0 0 4 0 0 19
Barnes, Matt 2017: 33 6 1 0 1 6 1 0 0 11 1 1 40
Barnes, Matt proj: 35 10 2 0 1 4 0 0 0 9 1 0 39
Hembree, Heath 2017: 45 8 1 0 0 4 0 0 0 13 2 0 49
Hembree, Heath proj: 45 11 2 0 1 4 0 0 0 10 1 1 49
Johnson, Brian 2017: 22 7 3 0 2 3 0 0 0 6 0 0 25
Johnson, Brian proj: 20 6 2 0 1 4 1 0 0 5 1 0 25
Kelly, Joe 2017: 41 7 2 0 0 6 0 0 0 4 0 0 47
Kelly, Joe proj: 42 11 2 0 1 4 0 0 0 8 1 0 46
Kimbrel, Craig 2017: 32 4 1 0 1 2 0 0 1 17 0 1 35
Kimbrel, Craig proj: 31 5 1 0 0 3 0 0 0 14 1 0 34
Pomeranz, Drew 2017: 61 14 3 1 3 5 0 0 0 20 0 0 66
Pomeranz, Drew proj: 58 14 3 0 2 6 0 1 0 15 1 0 65
Porcello, Rick 2017: 130 36 5 0 6 9 0 0 0 32 3 1 139
Porcello, Rick proj: 129 36 6 1 4 8 1 1 1 23 2 1 140
Ramirez, Noe 2017: 5 0 0 0 0 0 0 0 0 1 0 0 5
Ramirez, Noe proj: 4 1 0 0 0 1 0 0 0 1 0 0 5
Rodriguez, Eduardo 2017: 58 10 3 0 3 12 0 0 0 22 0 2 70
Rodriguez, Eduardo proj: 63 15 3 0 2 6 1 0 0 15 0 0 70
Ross Jr., Robbie 2017: 16 4 1 1 0 3 0 0 2 3 0 0 21
Ross Jr., Robbie proj: 19 5 1 0 0 2 0 0 0 4 0 0 21
Sale, Chris 2017: 130 23 2 0 1 6 1 1 1 52 1 0 139
Sale, Chris proj: 128 29 5 0 3 8 1 1 2 39 2 1 140
Scott, Robby 2017: 14 2 1 0 0 1 0 0 0 3 0 0 15
Scott, Robby proj: 14 3 0 0 0 1 0 0 0 3 0 0 15
Taylor, Ben 2017: 20 4 1 0 1 3 0 0 0 7 0 0 23
Taylor, Ben proj: 20 4 1 0 1 3 0 0 0 7 0 0 23
Wright, Steven 2017: 80 33 6 1 7 4 1 0 2 9 0 1 87
Wright, Steven proj: 78 20 3 0 2 7 0 0 1 16 1 1 86
2017 TEAM TOTALS: 705 165 33 3 25 65 3 1 6 200 7 6 780
PROJECTED: 703 174 32 1 19 63 4 3 4 173 11 4 777
difference: +2 -9 +1 +2 +6 +2 -1 -2 +2 +27 -4 +2 +3
Man AB H 2B 3B HR BB SF SH HBP SO SB CS BFP


Assorted Team Stats:
Stat Actual Projected
Batting Average: .234 .248
Slugging Average: .396 .377
Walks (per PA): .083 .081
SOs (per PA): .256 .222
On-Base Average: .303 .310
Power Factor: 1.69 1.52
OPS: .698 .687
TPP Runs (to date): 83 82

Runs differential:
Actual TPP 1 more than Projected TPP.




  Advertisement:


  Advertisement:



Want detailed, careful, unhysterical analysis of the effects of "Performance-Enhancing Drugs" in baseball? Click here to visit the Steroids & Baseball web site.

All content copyright © 2002 - 2017 by The Owlcroft Company.

This web page is strictly compliant with the W3C (World Wide Web Consortium) Extensible HyperText Markup Language (XHTML) Protocol v1.0 (Transitional) and the W3C Cascading Style Sheets (CSS) Protocol v3 — because we care about interoperability. Click on the logos below to test us!



This page was last modified on Friday, 28 April 2017, at 6:56 am Pacific Time.