Owing to the screen size of your device, you may obtain a better viewing experience by rotating your device a quarter-turn (to get the so-called "panorama" screen view).
owlcroft logo
An Owlcroft Company web site
Click here to email us.

The Owlcroft Baseball-Analysis Site

Baseball team and player performance examined realistically and accurately.

Search this site, or just roll your cursor over the colored boxes below the pictures.

  Advertisement:


  Advertisement:


BOS "Expected" Pitching Results, 2017


About These Stats:

The form of "projection" used is very simple: each man's career numbers are pro-rated by his actual number of batters faced to date this season; those data, labelled "proj:" are shown along with the man's actual stats from this year to date. At the bottom of the Table, each set of lines—"projected" and actual—is separately summed to get Team Totals for each dataset.

Note that "career to date" includes each man's stats for the current year: "to date" is literally correct. For veteran players, that matters little, but for rookies or players with litle prior major-league experience, it means that the "projection" will perforce nearly or exactly match the actual stats to date. That seems like the best way to deal with newly arrived players' stats.

Note that owing to rounding in the pro-rating process, projected total BFP (batters faced) may occasionally differ by 1.

Below the player/team table is a smaller table showing a few key team "rate" stats (such as batting average) actual and projected.

The Actual Data:

Through games of Monday, 24 July 2017.
All results are from true, unadjusted data.

Handedness Key:   + R   * L

(You can also look up the stat definitions.)

Pitchers, listed in alphabetical order:
Each name is a click-on link to that man's career stats.

(or see the data for Batting)


Man AB H 2B 3B HR BB SF SH HBP SO SB CS BFP
Abad, Fernando 2017: 113 25 7 0 3 10 1 0 0 23 4 1 124
Abad, Fernando proj: 111 27 5 0 4 10 1 1 1 25 1 1 124
Barnes, Matt 2017: 164 32 6 1 3 22 1 1 1 55 3 2 189
Barnes, Matt proj: 167 43 8 1 5 19 1 1 2 46 5 2 190
Boyer, Blaine 2017: 93 27 4 1 2 6 0 0 1 20 0 0 100
Boyer, Blaine proj: 90 24 5 0 2 8 1 1 1 15 2 1 101
Fister, Doug 2017: 86 27 6 0 4 15 3 3 2 18 0 1 109
Fister, Doug proj: 101 27 5 1 3 6 1 1 1 17 0 0 110
Hembree, Heath 2017: 184 54 10 0 7 10 1 0 1 49 7 1 196
Hembree, Heath proj: 181 48 10 0 6 14 1 0 0 42 6 2 196
Johnson, Brian 2017: 113 32 8 0 5 8 0 0 0 21 1 0 121
Johnson, Brian proj: 110 30 7 0 4 10 1 0 0 21 3 0 121
Kelly, Joe 2017: 127 24 5 0 1 16 1 0 0 26 1 0 144
Kelly, Joe proj: 128 33 6 1 3 13 1 0 1 25 2 1 143
Kendrick, Kyle 2017: 42 18 4 0 1 3 0 0 0 3 2 0 45
Kendrick, Kyle proj: 41 11 2 0 1 3 0 1 1 6 0 0 46
Kimbrel, Craig 2017: 140 17 4 0 3 6 0 0 2 73 2 4 148
Kimbrel, Craig proj: 132 20 3 0 2 14 0 0 1 61 3 1 147
Maddox, Austin 2017: 15 4 0 0 0 0 0 0 0 2 1 0 15
Maddox, Austin proj: 15 4 0 0 0 0 0 0 0 2 1 0 15
Martin, Kyle 2017: 9 2 0 0 1 2 0 0 0 1 0 0 11
Martin, Kyle proj: 9 2 0 0 1 2 0 0 0 1 0 0 11
Pomeranz, Drew 2017: 390 99 15 2 12 39 5 1 0 108 5 3 435
Pomeranz, Drew proj: 384 91 17 1 12 42 3 3 2 101 7 3 434
Porcello, Rick 2017: 549 161 39 3 23 25 5 0 5 121 10 2 584
Porcello, Rick proj: 543 151 27 3 16 31 3 2 5 96 9 3 584
Price, David 2017: 257 62 14 0 8 22 2 0 4 63 2 2 285
Price, David proj: 263 62 12 1 7 18 2 1 2 67 3 2 286
Ramirez, Noe 2017: 17 3 0 0 2 1 0 0 0 4 0 0 18
Ramirez, Noe proj: 15 4 1 0 1 2 0 0 1 4 1 0 18
Rodriguez, Eduardo 2017: 265 61 16 3 11 27 2 1 3 79 1 3 298
Rodriguez, Eduardo proj: 267 65 14 1 9 24 2 2 2 65 1 2 297
Ross Jr., Robbie 2017: 37 12 1 1 0 5 0 0 3 9 0 0 45
Ross Jr., Robbie proj: 40 11 2 0 1 4 0 0 1 9 0 0 45
Sale, Chris 2017: 513 100 24 1 11 26 4 2 4 200 4 1 549
Sale, Chris proj: 506 112 21 1 14 31 2 2 7 158 6 3 548
Scott, Robby 2017: 84 16 3 0 4 10 1 0 2 18 0 1 97
Scott, Robby proj: 84 17 2 0 3 10 1 1 2 18 0 1 98
Taylor, Ben 2017: 71 20 3 1 3 9 0 0 0 18 0 0 80
Taylor, Ben proj: 71 20 3 1 3 9 0 0 0 18 0 0 80
Velazquez, Hector 2017: 65 17 3 0 4 4 0 0 0 12 0 2 69
Velazquez, Hector proj: 65 17 3 0 4 4 0 0 0 12 0 2 69
Workman, Brandon 2017: 45 12 2 0 2 3 1 0 1 11 0 2 50
Workman, Brandon proj: 45 12 2 0 1 4 0 0 0 11 2 1 49
Wright, Steven 2017: 106 40 9 1 9 5 1 0 2 13 0 1 114
Wright, Steven proj: 103 26 4 1 3 9 0 0 1 21 1 1 113
2017 TEAM TOTALS: 3485 865 183 14 119 274 28 8 31 947 43 26 3826
PROJECTED: 3471 857 159 12 105 287 20 16 31 841 53 26 3825
difference: +14 +8 +24 +2 +14 -13 +8 -8 0 +106 -10 0 +1
Man AB H 2B 3B HR BB SF SH HBP SO SB CS BFP


Assorted Team Stats:
Stat Actual Projected
Batting Average: .248 .247
Slugging Average: .411 .390
Walks (per PA): .072 .075
SOs (per PA): .248 .220
On-Base Average: .306 .307
Power Factor: 1.66 1.58
OPS: .717 .698
TPP Runs (to date): 424 412

Runs differential:
Actual TPP 12 more than Projected TPP.




  Advertisement:


  Advertisement:



Want detailed, careful, unhysterical analysis of the effects of "Performance-Enhancing Drugs" in baseball? Click here to visit the Steroids & Baseball web site.

All content copyright © 2002 - 2017 by The Owlcroft Company.

This web page is strictly compliant with the W3C (World Wide Web Consortium) Extensible HyperText Markup Language (XHTML) Protocol v1.0 (Transitional) and the W3C Cascading Style Sheets (CSS) Protocol v3 — because we care about interoperability. Click on the logos below to test us!



This page was last modified on Tuesday, 25 July 2017, at 7:06 am Pacific Time.