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CHC "Expected" Batting Results, 2017


About These Stats:

The form of "projection" used is very simple: each man's career numbers are pro-rated by his actual number of appearances to date this season; those data, labelled "proj:" are shown along with the man's actual stats from this year to date. At the bottom of the Table, each set of lines—"projected" and actual—is separately summed to get Team Totals for each dataset.

Note that "career to date" includes each man's stats for the current year: "to date" is literally correct. For veteran players, that matters little, but for rookies or players with litle prior major-league experience, it means that the "projection" will perforce nearly or exactly match the actual stats to date. That seems like the best way to deal with newly arrived players' stats.

Note that owing to rounding in the pro-rating process, projected total PA (plate appearances) may occasionally differ by 1.

Below the player/team table is a smaller table showing a few key team "rate" stats (such as batting average) actual and projected.

The Actual Data:

Through games of Sunday, 1 October 2017.
All results are from true, unadjusted data.

Handedness Key:   + R   * L   # S

(You can also look up the stat definitions.)

Batters, listed in alphabetical order:
Each name is a click-on link to that man's career stats.

(or see the data for Pitching)


Man AB H 2B 3B HR BB SF SH HBP SO SB CS PA
Almora Jr., Albert 2017: 299 89 18 1 8 19 2 3 0 53 1 0 323
Almora Jr., Albert proj: 302 88 20 1 8 18 1 2 0 54 1 0 323
Anderson, Brett 2017: 7 1 0 0 0 1 0 0 0 3 0 0 8
Anderson, Brett proj: 7 1 0 0 0 1 0 1 0 4 0 0 9
Arrieta, Jake 2017: 61 8 0 1 1 1 0 2 0 32 0 0 64
Arrieta, Jake proj: 58 10 1 1 1 2 0 4 0 29 0 0 64
Avila, Alex 2017: 92 22 2 1 3 19 0 1 0 40 0 0 112
Avila, Alex proj: 95 23 5 0 3 16 1 0 0 31 0 0 112
Baez, Javier 2017: 469 128 24 2 23 30 2 6 1 144 10 3 508
Baez, Javier proj: 473 121 22 1 19 26 2 3 5 149 11 4 509
Bryant, Kris 2017: 549 162 38 4 29 95 6 0 15 128 7 5 665
Bryant, Kris proj: 565 162 34 4 31 82 5 0 14 159 9 5 666
Butler, Eddie 2017: 15 1 0 0 0 1 0 3 0 6 0 0 19
Butler, Eddie proj: 16 1 0 0 0 0 0 2 0 7 0 0 18
Candelario, Jeimer 2017: 33 5 2 0 1 1 0 0 2 12 0 0 36
Candelario, Jeimer proj: 32 9 2 0 1 3 0 0 1 8 0 0 36
Caratini, Victor 2017: 59 15 3 0 1 4 0 0 3 13 0 0 66
Caratini, Victor proj: 59 15 3 0 1 4 0 0 3 13 0 0 66
Contreras, Willson 2017: 377 104 21 0 21 45 2 1 3 98 5 4 428
Contreras, Willson proj: 379 105 21 1 20 43 2 1 4 99 4 4 429
Davis, Taylor 2017: 13 3 1 0 0 0 0 0 0 4 0 0 13
Davis, Taylor proj: 13 3 1 0 0 0 0 0 0 4 0 0 13
Duensing, Brian 2017: 4 0 0 0 0 0 0 0 0 3 0 0 4
Duensing, Brian proj: 4 0 0 0 0 0 0 0 0 3 0 0 4
Edwards Jr., Carl 2017: 1 0 0 0 0 0 0 0 0 1 0 0 1
Edwards Jr., Carl proj: 1 0 0 0 0 0 0 0 0 1 0 0 1
Floro, Dylan 2017: 4 0 0 0 0 0 0 0 0 2 0 0 4
Floro, Dylan proj: 4 0 0 0 0 0 0 0 0 2 0 0 4
Freeman, Mike 2017: 25 4 2 0 0 2 0 0 0 8 0 0 27
Freeman, Mike proj: 25 3 1 0 0 2 0 0 0 8 0 0 27
Grimm, Justin 2017: 3 0 0 0 0 0 0 0 0 1 0 0 3
Grimm, Justin proj: 3 0 0 0 0 0 0 0 0 2 0 0 3
Happ, Ian 2017: 364 92 17 3 24 39 4 2 4 129 8 4 413
Happ, Ian proj: 364 92 17 3 24 39 4 2 4 129 8 4 413
Hendricks, Kyle 2017: 50 5 1 0 0 0 0 1 0 28 0 0 51
Hendricks, Kyle proj: 46 5 0 0 0 1 0 4 0 22 0 0 51
Heyward, Jason 2017: 432 112 15 4 11 41 2 2 3 67 4 4 481
Heyward, Jason proj: 424 111 21 3 12 50 2 0 4 85 11 4 480
Jay, Jon 2017: 379 112 18 3 2 37 2 3 12 80 6 2 433
Jay, Jon proj: 384 111 20 2 4 30 2 6 11 72 6 4 433
La Stella, Tommy 2017: 125 36 8 0 5 20 2 0 2 18 0 0 151
La Stella, Tommy proj: 132 35 8 0 2 16 1 1 1 18 1 0 151
Lackey, John 2017: 53 7 1 0 0 3 0 5 0 23 1 1 61
Lackey, John proj: 54 6 2 0 0 2 0 5 0 22 0 0 61
Martin, Leonys 2017: 13 2 1 0 0 3 0 0 0 4 1 0 16
Martin, Leonys proj: 15 4 1 0 0 1 0 0 0 4 1 0 16
Montero, Miguel 2017: 98 28 3 0 4 11 1 0 2 24 1 0 112
Montero, Miguel proj: 98 25 5 0 3 11 1 0 1 23 0 0 111
Montgomery, Mike 2017: 27 5 1 0 1 0 0 3 0 10 0 0 30
Montgomery, Mike proj: 28 4 1 0 1 0 0 2 0 12 0 0 30
Pena, Felix 2017: 3 0 0 0 0 1 0 0 0 1 0 0 4
Pena, Felix proj: 3 0 0 0 0 1 0 0 0 1 0 0 4
Quintana, Jose 2017: 22 2 0 0 0 1 0 6 0 15 0 0 29
Quintana, Jose proj: 23 1 0 0 0 1 0 4 0 15 0 0 28
Rivera, Rene 2017: 44 15 5 0 2 5 0 1 0 16 0 0 50
Rivera, Rene proj: 46 10 2 0 1 3 0 0 0 13 0 0 49
Rizzo, Anthony 2017: 572 156 32 3 32 91 4 0 24 90 10 4 691
Rizzo, Anthony proj: 592 159 36 2 29 78 4 0 17 116 8 5 691
Rondon, Hector 2017: 2 1 0 0 0 0 0 0 0 0 0 0 2
Rondon, Hector proj: 2 1 0 0 0 0 0 0 0 1 0 0 2
Russell, Addison 2017: 352 84 21 3 12 29 0 0 4 91 2 1 385
Russell, Addison proj: 346 83 19 2 12 32 2 0 5 96 3 1 385
Schwarber, Kyle 2017: 422 89 16 1 30 59 0 0 5 150 1 1 486
Schwarber, Kyle proj: 419 93 14 1 29 61 1 0 6 146 3 3 487
Strop, Pedro 2017: 1 0 0 0 0 0 0 0 0 0 0 0 1
Strop, Pedro proj: 1 0 0 0 0 0 0 0 0 0 0 0 1
Szczur, Matt 2017: 19 4 1 0 0 2 1 1 0 4 0 0 23
Szczur, Matt proj: 20 5 1 0 0 2 0 0 0 4 0 0 22
Tseng, Jen-Ho 2017: 1 0 0 0 0 0 0 0 0 0 0 0 1
Tseng, Jen-Ho proj: 1 0 0 0 0 0 0 0 0 0 0 0 1
Zagunis, Mark 2017: 14 0 0 0 0 4 0 0 0 6 2 0 18
Zagunis, Mark proj: 14 0 0 0 0 4 0 0 0 6 2 0 18
Zastryzny, Rob 2017: 3 1 0 0 0 0 0 0 0 0 0 0 3
Zastryzny, Rob proj: 3 1 0 0 0 0 0 0 0 1 0 0 3
Zobrist, Ben 2017: 435 101 20 3 12 54 3 2 2 71 2 2 496
Zobrist, Ben proj: 426 112 26 3 13 61 5 2 2 74 9 4 496
2017 TEAM TOTALS: 5442 1394 271 29 222 618 31 42 82 1375 61 31 6218
PROJECTED: 5477 1399 283 24 214 590 33 39 78 1433 77 38 6217
difference: -35 -5 -12 +5 +8 +28 -2 +3 +4 -58 -16 -7 +1
Man AB H 2B 3B HR BB SF SH HBP SO SB CS PA


Assorted Team Stats:
Stat Actual Projected
Batting Average: .256 .255
Slugging Average: .439 .433
Walks (per PA): .099 .095
SOs (per PA): .221 .230
On-Base Average: .337 .332
Power Factor: 1.71 1.7
OPS: .776 .766
TOP Runs (to date): 805 785

Runs differential:
Actual TOP 20 more than Projected TOP.




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This page was last modified on Monday, 2 October 2017, at 7:16 am Pacific Time.