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CHC "Expected" Batting Results, 2017


About These Stats:

The form of "projection" used is very simple: each man's career numbers are pro-rated by his actual number of appearances to date this season; those data, labelled "proj:" are shown along with the man's actual stats from this year to date. At the bottom of the Table, each set of lines—"projected" and actual—is separately summed to get Team Totals for each dataset.

Note that "career to date" includes each man's stats for the current year: "to date" is literally correct. For veteran players, that matters little, but for rookies or players with litle prior major-league experience, it means that the "projection" will perforce nearly or exactly match the actual stats to date. That seems like the best way to deal with newly arrived players' stats.

Note that owing to rounding in the pro-rating process, projected total PA (plate appearances) may occasionally differ by 1.

Below the player/team table is a smaller table showing a few key team "rate" stats (such as batting average) actual and projected.

The Actual Data:

Through games of Sunday, 24 September 2017.
All results are from true, unadjusted data.

Handedness Key:   + R   * L   # S

(You can also look up the stat definitions.)

Batters, listed in alphabetical order:
Each name is a click-on link to that man's career stats.

(or see the data for Pitching)


Man AB H 2B 3B HR BB SF SH HBP SO SB CS PA
Almora Jr., Albert 2017: 293 87 17 1 7 19 2 3 0 52 1 0 317
Almora Jr., Albert proj: 296 86 19 1 7 18 1 2 0 53 1 0 317
Anderson, Brett 2017: 7 1 0 0 0 1 0 0 0 3 0 0 8
Anderson, Brett proj: 7 1 0 0 0 1 0 1 0 4 0 0 9
Arrieta, Jake 2017: 60 8 0 1 1 1 0 2 0 32 0 0 63
Arrieta, Jake proj: 57 10 1 1 1 2 0 4 0 29 0 0 63
Avila, Alex 2017: 85 21 2 1 3 15 0 1 0 38 0 0 101
Avila, Alex proj: 86 21 4 0 3 14 1 0 0 28 0 0 101
Baez, Javier 2017: 457 124 23 2 22 30 2 6 1 140 10 3 496
Baez, Javier proj: 461 117 21 1 18 25 2 3 5 145 11 4 496
Bryant, Kris 2017: 534 157 37 4 28 93 6 0 14 123 7 5 647
Bryant, Kris proj: 550 158 33 4 30 79 5 0 13 154 9 5 647
Butler, Eddie 2017: 15 1 0 0 0 1 0 3 0 6 0 0 19
Butler, Eddie proj: 16 1 0 0 0 0 0 2 0 7 0 0 18
Candelario, Jeimer 2017: 33 5 2 0 1 1 0 0 2 12 0 0 36
Candelario, Jeimer proj: 31 9 2 0 1 4 0 0 1 8 0 0 36
Caratini, Victor 2017: 50 12 3 0 1 2 0 0 3 11 0 0 55
Caratini, Victor proj: 50 12 3 0 1 2 0 0 3 11 0 0 55
Contreras, Willson 2017: 367 101 21 0 21 41 2 1 3 95 4 4 414
Contreras, Willson proj: 368 102 21 1 20 40 2 1 4 96 4 4 415
Davis, Taylor 2017: 3 1 0 0 0 0 0 0 0 1 0 0 3
Davis, Taylor proj: 3 1 0 0 0 0 0 0 0 1 0 0 3
Duensing, Brian 2017: 4 0 0 0 0 0 0 0 0 3 0 0 4
Duensing, Brian proj: 4 0 0 0 0 0 0 0 0 3 0 0 4
Edwards Jr., Carl 2017: 1 0 0 0 0 0 0 0 0 1 0 0 1
Edwards Jr., Carl proj: 1 0 0 0 0 0 0 0 0 1 0 0 1
Floro, Dylan 2017: 4 0 0 0 0 0 0 0 0 2 0 0 4
Floro, Dylan proj: 4 0 0 0 0 0 0 0 0 2 0 0 4
Freeman, Mike 2017: 10 2 1 0 0 0 0 0 0 4 0 0 10
Freeman, Mike proj: 9 1 0 0 0 1 0 0 0 3 0 0 10
Grimm, Justin 2017: 3 0 0 0 0 0 0 0 0 1 0 0 3
Grimm, Justin proj: 3 0 0 0 0 0 0 0 0 2 0 0 3
Happ, Ian 2017: 348 88 17 2 22 36 3 2 3 124 8 3 392
Happ, Ian proj: 348 88 17 2 22 36 3 2 3 124 8 3 392
Hendricks, Kyle 2017: 48 5 1 0 0 0 0 1 0 27 0 0 49
Hendricks, Kyle proj: 44 4 0 0 0 1 0 3 0 21 0 0 48
Heyward, Jason 2017: 417 108 13 4 10 38 2 2 3 66 4 4 463
Heyward, Jason proj: 408 107 20 3 12 48 2 0 4 82 10 4 462
Jay, Jon 2017: 363 107 18 3 2 37 1 3 12 79 6 2 416
Jay, Jon proj: 369 106 19 2 4 29 2 5 11 69 6 4 416
La Stella, Tommy 2017: 110 30 7 0 5 19 2 0 2 15 0 0 134
La Stella, Tommy proj: 117 31 7 0 2 14 1 1 1 16 1 0 134
Lackey, John 2017: 51 7 1 0 0 3 0 5 0 21 1 1 59
Lackey, John proj: 52 6 2 0 0 2 0 4 0 21 0 0 58
Martin, Leonys 2017: 8 2 1 0 0 1 0 0 0 4 1 0 9
Martin, Leonys proj: 8 2 0 0 0 1 0 0 0 2 0 0 9
Montero, Miguel 2017: 98 28 3 0 4 11 1 0 2 24 1 0 112
Montero, Miguel proj: 98 25 5 0 3 11 1 0 1 23 0 0 111
Montgomery, Mike 2017: 26 5 1 0 1 0 0 3 0 10 0 0 29
Montgomery, Mike proj: 27 4 1 0 1 0 0 2 0 11 0 0 29
Pena, Felix 2017: 1 0 0 0 0 1 0 0 0 0 0 0 2
Pena, Felix proj: 1 0 0 0 0 1 0 0 0 0 0 0 2
Quintana, Jose 2017: 22 2 0 0 0 1 0 5 0 15 0 0 28
Quintana, Jose proj: 23 1 0 0 0 1 0 4 0 14 0 0 28
Rivera, Rene 2017: 37 13 5 0 1 4 0 1 0 12 0 0 42
Rivera, Rene proj: 39 8 2 0 1 2 0 0 0 11 0 0 41
Rizzo, Anthony 2017: 558 155 32 3 32 89 4 0 23 87 10 4 674
Rizzo, Anthony proj: 577 155 35 2 29 76 4 0 17 113 8 5 674
Rondon, Hector 2017: 1 0 0 0 0 0 0 0 0 0 0 0 1
Rondon, Hector proj: 1 0 0 0 0 0 0 0 0 1 0 0 1
Russell, Addison 2017: 338 82 20 3 11 29 0 0 4 86 2 1 371
Russell, Addison proj: 333 80 18 2 11 31 2 0 5 92 3 1 371
Schwarber, Kyle 2017: 406 84 16 1 29 58 0 0 5 146 1 1 469
Schwarber, Kyle proj: 403 89 14 1 28 60 1 0 6 141 3 3 470
Strop, Pedro 2017: 1 0 0 0 0 0 0 0 0 0 0 0 1
Strop, Pedro proj: 1 0 0 0 0 0 0 0 0 0 0 0 1
Szczur, Matt 2017: 19 4 1 0 0 2 1 1 0 4 0 0 23
Szczur, Matt proj: 20 5 1 0 0 2 0 0 0 4 0 0 22
Tseng, Jen-Ho 2017: 1 0 0 0 0 0 0 0 0 0 0 0 1
Tseng, Jen-Ho proj: 1 0 0 0 0 0 0 0 0 0 0 0 1
Zagunis, Mark 2017: 14 0 0 0 0 4 0 0 0 6 2 0 18
Zagunis, Mark proj: 14 0 0 0 0 4 0 0 0 6 2 0 18
Zastryzny, Rob 2017: 3 1 0 0 0 0 0 0 0 0 0 0 3
Zastryzny, Rob proj: 3 1 0 0 0 0 0 0 0 1 0 0 3
Zobrist, Ben 2017: 412 97 20 3 11 53 3 2 2 67 2 2 472
Zobrist, Ben proj: 405 107 24 3 12 58 4 2 2 70 9 3 471
2017 TEAM TOTALS: 5208 1338 262 28 212 590 29 41 79 1317 60 30 5949
PROJECTED: 5238 1338 269 23 206 563 31 36 76 1369 75 36 5944
difference: -30 0 -7 +5 +6 +27 -2 +5 +3 -52 -15 -6 +5
Man AB H 2B 3B HR BB SF SH HBP SO SB CS PA


Assorted Team Stats:
Stat Actual Projected
Batting Average: .257 .255
Slugging Average: .440 .434
Walks (per PA): .099 .095
SOs (per PA): .221 .230
On-Base Average: .337 .333
Power Factor: 1.71 1.7
OPS: .777 .766
TOP Runs (to date): 773 752

Runs differential:
Actual TOP 21 more than Projected TOP.




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This page was last modified on Monday, 25 September 2017, at 7:16 am Pacific Time.