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CHC "Expected" Batting Results, 2017


About These Stats:

The form of "projection" used is very simple: each man's career numbers are pro-rated by his actual number of appearances to date this season; those data, labelled "proj:" are shown along with the man's actual stats from this year to date. At the bottom of the Table, each set of lines—"projected" and actual—is separately summed to get Team Totals for each dataset.

Note that "career to date" includes each man's stats for the current year: "to date" is literally correct. For veteran players, that matters little, but for rookies or players with litle prior major-league experience, it means that the "projection" will perforce nearly or exactly match the actual stats to date. That seems like the best way to deal with newly arrived players' stats.

Note that owing to rounding in the pro-rating process, projected total PA (plate appearances) may occasionally differ by 1.

Below the player/team table is a smaller table showing a few key team "rate" stats (such as batting average) actual and projected.

The Actual Data:

Through games of Monday, 22 May 2017.
All results are from true, unadjusted data.

Handedness Key:   + R   * L   # S

(You can also look up the stat definitions.)

Batters, listed in alphabetical order:
Each name is a click-on link to that man's career stats.

(or see the data for Pitching)


Man AB H 2B 3B HR BB SF SH HBP SO SB CS PA
Almora Jr., Albert 2017: 91 24 5 0 2 8 0 1 0 16 0 0 100
Almora Jr., Albert proj: 94 25 6 0 2 6 0 0 0 17 0 0 100
Anderson, Brett 2017: 7 1 0 0 0 1 0 0 0 3 0 0 8
Anderson, Brett proj: 7 1 0 0 0 1 0 1 0 4 0 0 9
Arrieta, Jake 2017: 20 3 0 1 0 0 0 0 0 9 0 0 20
Arrieta, Jake proj: 18 3 0 0 0 1 0 1 0 9 0 0 20
Baez, Javier 2017: 125 33 6 1 7 6 1 2 1 32 2 2 135
Baez, Javier proj: 126 31 6 0 5 6 0 0 2 39 3 1 134
Bryant, Kris 2017: 159 47 12 1 10 26 1 0 3 38 4 2 189
Bryant, Kris proj: 162 46 10 1 9 22 1 0 4 48 3 1 189
Butler, Eddie 2017: 1 0 0 0 0 1 0 2 0 1 0 0 4
Butler, Eddie proj: 3 0 0 0 0 0 0 1 0 1 0 0 4
Candelario, Jeimer 2017: 21 3 1 0 0 1 0 0 0 6 0 0 22
Candelario, Jeimer proj: 20 2 1 0 0 2 0 0 1 7 0 0 23
Contreras, Willson 2017: 125 31 8 0 4 10 2 0 1 37 0 1 138
Contreras, Willson proj: 124 33 7 0 5 12 1 0 2 34 1 1 139
Duensing, Brian 2017: 2 0 0 0 0 0 0 0 0 2 0 0 2
Duensing, Brian proj: 2 0 0 0 0 0 0 0 0 1 0 0 2
Edwards Jr., Carl 2017: 1 0 0 0 0 0 0 0 0 1 0 0 1
Edwards Jr., Carl proj: 1 0 0 0 0 0 0 0 0 1 0 0 1
Floro, Dylan 2017: 2 0 0 0 0 0 0 0 0 2 0 0 2
Floro, Dylan proj: 2 0 0 0 0 0 0 0 0 2 0 0 2
Grimm, Justin 2017: 1 0 0 0 0 0 0 0 0 1 0 0 1
Grimm, Justin proj: 1 0 0 0 0 0 0 0 0 1 0 0 1
Happ, Ian 2017: 28 10 4 1 2 5 0 0 0 9 0 0 33
Happ, Ian proj: 28 10 4 1 2 5 0 0 0 9 0 0 33
Hendricks, Kyle 2017: 14 2 0 0 0 0 0 1 0 7 0 0 15
Hendricks, Kyle proj: 13 1 0 0 0 0 0 1 0 6 0 0 14
Heyward, Jason 2017: 106 27 1 1 3 13 0 0 1 19 1 2 120
Heyward, Jason proj: 106 28 5 1 3 13 0 0 1 22 3 1 120
Jay, Jon 2017: 78 25 5 1 0 10 0 1 3 18 1 0 92
Jay, Jon proj: 82 24 4 0 1 6 0 1 2 15 1 1 91
La Stella, Tommy 2017: 23 7 2 0 1 8 0 0 0 2 0 0 31
La Stella, Tommy proj: 27 7 2 0 0 3 0 0 0 4 0 0 30
Lackey, John 2017: 16 4 1 0 0 0 0 1 0 5 0 0 17
Lackey, John proj: 15 2 1 0 0 0 0 1 0 6 0 0 16
Montero, Miguel 2017: 55 17 1 0 3 4 1 0 0 15 1 0 60
Montero, Miguel proj: 53 14 3 0 2 6 1 0 1 12 0 0 61
Montgomery, Mike 2017: 2 0 0 0 0 0 0 0 0 2 0 0 2
Montgomery, Mike proj: 2 0 0 0 0 0 0 0 0 1 0 0 2
Pena, Felix 2017: 0 0 0 0 0 1 0 0 0 0 0 0 1
Pena, Felix proj: 0 0 0 0 0 1 0 0 0 0 0 0 1
Rizzo, Anthony 2017: 162 36 6 0 8 26 0 0 10 26 4 0 198
Rizzo, Anthony proj: 170 45 10 1 8 22 1 0 5 34 2 1 198
Russell, Addison 2017: 153 33 8 2 3 13 0 0 1 33 2 0 167
Russell, Addison proj: 149 35 8 1 5 14 1 0 2 41 1 1 166
Schwarber, Kyle 2017: 152 28 7 0 6 25 0 0 2 49 0 0 179
Schwarber, Kyle proj: 152 33 5 0 9 24 0 0 2 50 1 1 178
Szczur, Matt 2017: 19 4 1 0 0 2 1 1 0 4 0 0 23
Szczur, Matt proj: 21 5 1 0 1 2 0 0 0 4 0 0 23
Zastryzny, Rob 2017: 2 0 0 0 0 0 0 0 0 0 0 0 2
Zastryzny, Rob proj: 2 0 0 0 0 0 0 0 0 1 0 0 2
Zobrist, Ben 2017: 131 33 6 2 5 18 0 0 1 25 0 0 150
Zobrist, Ben proj: 129 34 8 1 4 19 1 1 1 22 3 1 151
2017 TEAM TOTALS: 1496 368 74 10 54 178 6 9 23 362 15 7 1712
PROJECTED: 1509 379 81 6 56 165 6 7 23 391 18 9 1710
difference: -13 -11 -7 +4 -2 +13 0 +2 0 -29 -3 -2 +2
Man AB H 2B 3B HR BB SF SH HBP SO SB CS PA


Assorted Team Stats:
Stat Actual Projected
Batting Average: .246 .251
Slugging Average: .417 .424
Walks (per PA): .104 .096
SOs (per PA): .211 .228
On-Base Average: .332 .332
Power Factor: 1.7 1.69
OPS: .749 .756
TOP Runs (to date): 209 210

Runs differential:
Actual TOP 1 less than Projected TOP.




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This page was last modified on Tuesday, 23 May 2017, at 6:59 am Pacific Time.