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CHC "Expected" Batting Results, 2017


About These Stats:

The form of "projection" used is very simple: each man's career numbers are pro-rated by his actual number of appearances to date this season; those data, labelled "proj:" are shown along with the man's actual stats from this year to date. At the bottom of the Table, each set of lines—"projected" and actual—is separately summed to get Team Totals for each dataset.

Note that "career to date" includes each man's stats for the current year: "to date" is literally correct. For veteran players, that matters little, but for rookies or players with litle prior major-league experience, it means that the "projection" will perforce nearly or exactly match the actual stats to date. That seems like the best way to deal with newly arrived players' stats.

Note that owing to rounding in the pro-rating process, projected total PA (plate appearances) may occasionally differ by 1.

Below the player/team table is a smaller table showing a few key team "rate" stats (such as batting average) actual and projected.

The Actual Data:

Through games of Tuesday, 25 April 2017.
All results are from true, unadjusted data.

Handedness Key:   + R   * L   # S

(You can also look up the stat definitions.)

Batters, listed in alphabetical order:
Each name is a click-on link to that man's career stats.

(or see the data for Pitching)


Man AB H 2B 3B HR BB SF SH HBP SO SB CS PA
Almora Jr., Albert 2017: 36 10 3 0 1 4 0 1 0 8 0 0 41
Almora Jr., Albert proj: 38 11 3 0 1 2 0 0 0 7 0 0 40
Anderson, Brett 2017: 7 1 0 0 0 1 0 0 0 3 0 0 8
Anderson, Brett proj: 7 1 0 0 0 1 0 1 0 4 0 0 9
Arrieta, Jake 2017: 11 2 0 1 0 0 0 0 0 4 0 0 11
Arrieta, Jake proj: 10 2 0 0 0 0 0 1 0 5 0 0 11
Baez, Javier 2017: 51 10 4 0 1 4 1 1 1 18 0 1 58
Baez, Javier proj: 54 13 2 0 2 3 0 0 1 17 1 0 58
Bryant, Kris 2017: 81 21 7 0 2 13 1 0 1 21 4 1 96
Bryant, Kris proj: 83 23 5 1 4 11 1 0 2 25 2 1 97
Contreras, Willson 2017: 54 14 4 0 2 4 0 0 1 19 0 1 59
Contreras, Willson proj: 53 15 3 0 2 5 0 0 1 15 0 1 59
Duensing, Brian 2017: 1 0 0 0 0 0 0 0 0 1 0 0 1
Duensing, Brian proj: 1 0 0 0 0 0 0 0 0 1 0 0 1
Edwards Jr., Carl 2017: 1 0 0 0 0 0 0 0 0 1 0 0 1
Edwards Jr., Carl proj: 1 0 0 0 0 0 0 0 0 1 0 0 1
Grimm, Justin 2017: 1 0 0 0 0 0 0 0 0 1 0 0 1
Grimm, Justin proj: 1 0 0 0 0 0 0 0 0 1 0 0 1
Hendricks, Kyle 2017: 8 2 0 0 0 0 0 0 0 4 0 0 8
Hendricks, Kyle proj: 7 1 0 0 0 0 0 1 0 3 0 0 8
Heyward, Jason 2017: 71 20 0 1 3 4 0 0 1 11 1 1 76
Heyward, Jason proj: 67 18 3 0 2 8 0 0 1 14 2 1 76
Jay, Jon 2017: 29 10 0 1 0 3 0 1 1 9 1 0 34
Jay, Jon proj: 30 9 2 0 0 2 0 0 1 6 1 0 33
La Stella, Tommy 2017: 4 1 1 0 0 2 0 0 0 0 0 0 6
La Stella, Tommy proj: 5 1 0 0 0 1 0 0 0 1 0 0 6
Lackey, John 2017: 7 2 0 0 0 0 0 1 0 3 0 0 8
Lackey, John proj: 7 1 0 0 0 0 0 1 0 3 0 0 8
Montero, Miguel 2017: 29 11 1 0 1 2 0 0 0 8 1 0 31
Montero, Miguel proj: 27 7 1 0 1 3 0 0 0 6 0 0 30
Rizzo, Anthony 2017: 79 21 5 0 4 12 0 0 4 12 4 0 95
Rizzo, Anthony proj: 82 22 5 0 4 10 0 0 2 17 1 1 94
Russell, Addison 2017: 79 23 6 1 2 6 0 0 0 14 2 0 85
Russell, Addison proj: 76 19 4 0 3 7 1 0 1 21 1 0 85
Schwarber, Kyle 2017: 76 17 4 0 3 14 0 0 2 27 0 0 92
Schwarber, Kyle proj: 78 18 2 0 5 13 0 0 1 26 1 1 92
Szczur, Matt 2017: 9 1 0 0 0 1 0 0 0 3 0 0 10
Szczur, Matt proj: 9 2 0 0 0 1 0 0 0 2 0 0 10
Zobrist, Ben 2017: 60 12 2 0 2 10 0 0 1 14 0 0 71
Zobrist, Ben proj: 61 16 4 0 2 9 1 0 0 11 1 1 71
2017 TEAM TOTALS: 694 178 37 4 21 80 2 4 12 181 13 4 792
PROJECTED: 697 179 34 1 26 76 3 4 10 186 10 6 790
difference: -3 -1 +3 +3 -5 +4 -1 0 +2 -5 +3 -2 +2
Man AB H 2B 3B HR BB SF SH HBP SO SB CS PA


Assorted Team Stats:
Stat Actual Projected
Batting Average: .256 .257
Slugging Average: .412 .420
Walks (per PA): .101 .096
SOs (per PA): .229 .235
On-Base Average: .341 .335
Power Factor: 1.61 1.64
OPS: .753 .756
TOP Runs (to date): 99 98

Runs differential:
Actual TOP 1 more than Projected TOP.




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This page was last modified on Wednesday, 26 April 2017, at 6:55 am Pacific Time.