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CHC "Expected" Pitching Results, 2018


About These Stats:

The form of "projection" used is very simple: each man's career numbers are pro-rated by his actual number of batters faced to date this season; those data, labelled "proj:" are shown along with the man's actual stats from this year to date. At the bottom of the Table, each set of lines—"projected" and actual—is separately summed to get Team Totals for each dataset.

Note that "career to date" includes each man's stats for the current year: "to date" is literally correct. For veteran players, that matters little, but for rookies or players with litle prior major-league experience, it means that the "projection" will perforce nearly or exactly match the actual stats to date. That seems like the best way to deal with newly arrived players' stats.

Note that owing to rounding in the pro-rating process, projected total BFP (batters faced) may occasionally differ by 1.

Below the player/team table is a smaller table showing a few key team "rate" stats (such as batting average) actual and projected.

The Actual Data:

Through games of Sunday, 30 September 2018.
All results are from true, unadjusted data.

Handedness Key:   + R   * L

(You can also look up the stat definitions.)

Pitchers, listed in alphabetical order:
Each name is a click-on link to that man's career stats.

(or see the data for Batting)


Man AB H 2B 3B HR BB SF SH HBP SO SB CS BFP
Bass, Anthony 2018: 59 18 2 0 1 3 0 0 0 14 2 0 62
Bass, Anthony proj: 56 15 3 1 1 5 0 0 0 10 1 0 61
Butler, Eddie 2018: 66 16 1 0 1 7 1 1 0 11 0 1 75
Butler, Eddie proj: 66 20 4 0 3 7 0 1 1 10 1 1 75
Caratini, Victor 2018: 8 3 0 0 1 0 0 0 0 0 0 0 8
Caratini, Victor proj: 8 3 0 0 1 0 0 0 0 0 0 0 8
Chatwood, Tyler 2018: 375 92 16 2 9 95 4 5 7 85 9 2 486
Chatwood, Tyler proj: 417 111 20 3 11 58 3 3 4 77 7 4 485
Chavez, Jesse 2018: 132 26 1 0 3 5 1 0 0 41 1 0 138
Chavez, Jesse proj: 125 33 6 0 5 10 1 1 1 29 1 1 138
Cishek, Steve 2018: 247 44 8 4 5 28 1 2 9 78 0 1 287
Cishek, Steve proj: 253 54 10 2 4 26 2 3 4 74 3 2 288
Darvish, Yu 2018: 153 36 8 0 7 21 1 1 4 49 5 1 180
Darvish, Yu proj: 161 35 7 1 5 16 1 0 2 53 4 1 180
De La Rosa, Jorge 2018: 77 14 2 1 0 8 0 0 0 20 1 0 85
De La Rosa, Jorge proj: 74 19 4 0 2 9 1 1 1 16 2 0 86
Duensing, Brian 2018: 147 42 8 0 6 29 3 1 1 24 2 0 181
Duensing, Brian proj: 163 44 9 1 4 14 1 1 1 29 2 1 180
Edwards Jr., Carl 2018: 189 36 8 1 2 32 0 1 0 67 10 0 222
Edwards Jr., Carl proj: 189 29 5 0 4 30 1 1 1 75 6 0 222
Farrell, Luke 2018: 123 30 4 1 7 16 1 0 1 39 1 0 141
Farrell, Luke proj: 121 29 4 1 6 18 1 0 1 34 1 0 141
Garcia, Jaime 2018: 22 4 0 0 0 6 0 1 0 4 3 0 29
Garcia, Jaime proj: 26 7 1 0 1 2 0 0 0 6 0 0 28
Gimenez, Chris 2018: 5 2 0 0 1 1 0 0 0 1 0 0 6
Gimenez, Chris proj: 6 2 0 0 1 0 0 0 0 0 0 0 6
Hamels, Cole 2018: 272 61 6 3 6 23 1 1 7 74 4 4 304
Hamels, Cole proj: 277 66 14 1 8 21 1 2 3 70 7 2 304
Hancock, Justin 2018: 40 5 1 0 1 9 0 0 0 11 0 1 49
Hancock, Justin proj: 40 5 1 0 1 9 0 0 0 11 0 1 49
Happ, Ian 2018: 4 1 1 0 0 0 0 0 0 0 0 0 4
Happ, Ian proj: 4 1 1 0 0 0 0 0 0 0 0 0 4
Hendricks, Kyle 2018: 745 184 31 5 22 44 7 7 9 161 10 3 812
Hendricks, Kyle proj: 747 176 32 3 19 47 3 7 8 170 14 5 812
Kintzler, Brandon 2018: 74 26 3 2 3 9 2 0 1 12 2 0 86
Kintzler, Brandon proj: 79 21 3 0 2 5 1 1 1 14 1 1 87
La Stella, Tommy 2018: 6 3 0 0 1 0 0 0 0 0 0 0 6
La Stella, Tommy proj: 6 3 0 0 1 0 0 0 0 0 0 0 6
Lester, Jon 2018: 681 174 27 3 24 64 3 7 6 149 14 9 761
Lester, Jon proj: 687 169 34 3 18 59 4 4 6 170 17 7 760
Maples, Dillon 2018: 22 7 1 1 2 5 0 0 2 9 0 0 29
Maples, Dillon proj: 22 7 2 1 1 6 0 0 1 10 0 1 29
Mazzoni, Cory 2018: 31 5 1 0 0 5 0 0 0 7 0 0 36
Mazzoni, Cory proj: 32 12 3 0 2 4 0 0 0 5 1 0 36
Mills, Alec 2018: 64 11 5 0 1 7 0 0 0 23 0 0 71
Mills, Alec proj: 61 11 6 0 1 9 0 0 1 21 0 0 71
Montgomery, Mike 2018: 481 131 23 2 10 39 4 3 7 86 8 7 534
Montgomery, Mike proj: 472 115 23 1 11 48 2 3 8 97 5 4 533
Morrow, Brandon 2018: 112 24 1 0 2 9 0 0 1 31 1 0 122
Morrow, Brandon proj: 107 25 6 0 3 12 1 1 1 29 2 1 122
Norwood, James 2018: 47 14 3 0 0 5 2 0 0 10 0 0 54
Norwood, James proj: 47 14 3 0 0 5 2 0 0 10 0 0 54
Quintana, Jose 2018: 640 156 32 3 25 68 2 6 3 154 5 6 719
Quintana, Jose proj: 659 167 35 3 18 49 3 3 5 151 7 5 719
Rizzo, Anthony 2018: 1 0 0 0 0 0 0 0 0 0 0 0 1
Rizzo, Anthony proj: 1 0 0 0 0 0 0 0 0 0 0 0 1
Rosario, Randy 2018: 177 47 5 0 5 22 0 0 0 29 1 2 199
Rosario, Randy proj: 178 50 7 0 6 20 0 0 1 29 1 2 199
Strop, Pedro 2018: 212 38 8 0 4 21 1 1 5 57 0 0 240
Strop, Pedro proj: 207 41 9 0 4 26 1 2 4 63 2 1 240
Tseng, Jen-Ho 2018: 10 4 2 0 1 0 0 0 0 3 0 0 10
Tseng, Jen-Ho proj: 9 3 1 0 1 1 0 0 0 3 1 0 10
Underwood Jr., Duane 2018: 13 2 0 0 1 3 0 0 0 3 0 0 16
Underwood Jr., Duane proj: 13 2 0 0 1 3 0 0 0 3 0 0 16
Webster, Allen 2018: 12 2 0 0 1 1 0 0 2 3 0 0 15
Webster, Allen proj: 13 3 1 0 1 2 0 0 0 2 0 0 15
Wilson, Justin 2018: 200 43 10 0 5 33 1 0 0 69 1 2 234
Wilson, Justin proj: 206 45 8 1 4 25 0 1 2 61 5 1 234
Zastryzny, Rob 2018: 21 6 2 0 0 4 0 0 1 3 2 0 26
Zastryzny, Rob proj: 22 6 1 0 0 3 0 0 1 5 0 0 26
2018 TEAM TOTALS: 5468 1307 220 28 157 622 35 37 66 1327 82 39 6228
PROJECTED: 5554 1343 263 22 150 549 29 35 58 1337 91 41 6225
difference: -86 -36 -43 +6 +7 +73 +6 +2 +8 -10 -9 -2 +3
Man AB H 2B 3B HR BB SF SH HBP SO SB CS BFP


Assorted Team Stats:
Stat Actual Projected
Batting Average: .239 .242
Slugging Average: .376 .378
Walks (per PA): .100 .088
SOs (per PA): .213 .215
On-Base Average: .320 .313
Power Factor: 1.57 1.56
OPS: .696 .691
TPP Runs (to date): 678 663

Runs differential:
Actual TPP 15 more than Projected TPP.




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This page was last modified on Monday, 1 October 2018, at 7:06 am Pacific Time.