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CHC "Expected" Pitching Results, 2018


About These Stats:

The form of "projection" used is very simple: each man's career numbers are pro-rated by his actual number of batters faced to date this season; those data, labelled "proj:" are shown along with the man's actual stats from this year to date. At the bottom of the Table, each set of lines—"projected" and actual—is separately summed to get Team Totals for each dataset.

Note that "career to date" includes each man's stats for the current year: "to date" is literally correct. For veteran players, that matters little, but for rookies or players with litle prior major-league experience, it means that the "projection" will perforce nearly or exactly match the actual stats to date. That seems like the best way to deal with newly arrived players' stats.

Note that owing to rounding in the pro-rating process, projected total BFP (batters faced) may occasionally differ by 1.

Below the player/team table is a smaller table showing a few key team "rate" stats (such as batting average) actual and projected.

The Actual Data:

Through games of Monday, 17 September 2018.
All results are from true, unadjusted data.

Handedness Key:   + R   * L

(You can also look up the stat definitions.)

Pitchers, listed in alphabetical order:
Each name is a click-on link to that man's career stats.

(or see the data for Batting)


Man AB H 2B 3B HR BB SF SH HBP SO SB CS BFP
Bass, Anthony 2018: 59 18 2 0 1 3 0 0 0 14 2 0 62
Bass, Anthony proj: 56 15 3 1 1 5 0 0 0 10 1 0 61
Butler, Eddie 2018: 66 16 1 0 1 7 1 1 0 11 0 1 75
Butler, Eddie proj: 66 20 5 1 3 7 0 1 1 9 1 1 75
Caratini, Victor 2018: 8 3 0 0 1 0 0 0 0 0 0 0 8
Caratini, Victor proj: 8 3 0 0 1 0 0 0 0 0 0 0 8
Chatwood, Tyler 2018: 375 92 16 2 9 95 4 5 7 85 9 2 486
Chatwood, Tyler proj: 417 111 20 3 11 58 3 3 4 77 7 4 485
Chavez, Jesse 2018: 113 24 1 0 3 4 1 0 0 34 1 0 118
Chavez, Jesse proj: 107 29 5 0 4 9 1 1 1 24 1 1 119
Cishek, Steve 2018: 232 42 8 4 5 25 1 2 8 75 0 1 268
Cishek, Steve proj: 237 50 10 2 4 24 2 2 4 70 3 1 269
Darvish, Yu 2018: 153 36 8 0 7 21 1 1 4 49 5 1 180
Darvish, Yu proj: 161 35 7 1 5 16 1 0 2 53 4 1 180
De La Rosa, Jorge 2018: 62 12 2 1 0 5 0 0 0 14 1 0 67
De La Rosa, Jorge proj: 58 15 3 0 2 7 1 1 1 13 1 0 68
Duensing, Brian 2018: 141 39 8 0 5 28 3 1 1 23 2 0 174
Duensing, Brian proj: 157 43 8 1 4 14 1 1 1 28 2 1 174
Edwards Jr., Carl 2018: 180 35 8 1 2 27 0 1 0 64 9 0 208
Edwards Jr., Carl proj: 178 27 5 0 4 27 1 1 1 71 5 0 208
Farrell, Luke 2018: 123 30 4 1 7 16 1 0 1 39 1 0 141
Farrell, Luke proj: 121 29 4 1 6 18 1 0 1 34 1 0 141
Garcia, Jaime 2018: 12 2 0 0 0 4 0 0 0 4 3 0 16
Garcia, Jaime proj: 14 4 1 0 0 1 0 0 0 3 0 0 15
Gimenez, Chris 2018: 5 2 0 0 1 1 0 0 0 1 0 0 6
Gimenez, Chris proj: 6 2 0 0 1 0 0 0 0 0 0 0 6
Hamels, Cole 2018: 199 44 4 1 3 19 1 1 4 55 4 4 224
Hamels, Cole proj: 204 49 10 1 6 15 1 2 2 52 5 2 224
Hancock, Justin 2018: 40 5 1 0 1 9 0 0 0 11 0 1 49
Hancock, Justin proj: 40 5 1 0 1 9 0 0 0 11 0 1 49
Happ, Ian 2018: 4 1 1 0 0 0 0 0 0 0 0 0 4
Happ, Ian proj: 4 1 1 0 0 0 0 0 0 0 0 0 4
Hendricks, Kyle 2018: 689 173 26 5 22 42 7 6 8 154 9 3 752
Hendricks, Kyle proj: 691 163 29 2 18 44 3 6 7 159 13 5 751
Kintzler, Brandon 2018: 62 23 3 2 3 8 2 0 1 9 2 0 73
Kintzler, Brandon proj: 67 18 3 0 2 5 0 1 0 12 1 0 73
La Stella, Tommy 2018: 6 3 0 0 1 0 0 0 0 0 0 0 6
La Stella, Tommy proj: 6 3 0 0 1 0 0 0 0 0 0 0 6
Lester, Jon 2018: 637 163 26 3 23 60 3 7 6 142 13 9 713
Lester, Jon proj: 644 158 32 2 17 56 4 4 6 159 16 7 714
Maples, Dillon 2018: 17 4 1 1 1 5 0 0 2 7 0 0 24
Maples, Dillon proj: 18 5 1 0 0 5 0 0 1 8 0 0 24
Mazzoni, Cory 2018: 31 5 1 0 0 5 0 0 0 7 0 0 36
Mazzoni, Cory proj: 32 12 3 0 2 4 0 0 0 5 1 0 36
Mills, Alec 2018: 46 9 4 0 1 3 0 0 0 15 0 0 49
Mills, Alec proj: 43 9 4 0 1 6 0 0 1 14 0 0 50
Montgomery, Mike 2018: 429 115 15 2 8 37 4 2 7 74 8 7 479
Montgomery, Mike proj: 423 102 19 1 10 44 2 3 8 86 4 3 480
Morrow, Brandon 2018: 112 24 1 0 2 9 0 0 1 31 1 0 122
Morrow, Brandon proj: 107 25 6 0 3 12 1 1 1 29 2 1 122
Norwood, James 2018: 37 12 3 0 0 4 1 0 0 7 0 0 42
Norwood, James proj: 37 12 3 0 0 4 1 0 0 7 0 0 42
Quintana, Jose 2018: 599 143 30 2 22 68 2 6 3 142 5 5 678
Quintana, Jose proj: 621 157 33 3 16 47 3 3 4 142 7 4 678
Rizzo, Anthony 2018: 1 0 0 0 0 0 0 0 0 0 0 0 1
Rizzo, Anthony proj: 1 0 0 0 0 0 0 0 0 0 0 0 1
Rosario, Randy 2018: 168 41 4 0 5 22 0 0 0 28 1 2 190
Rosario, Randy proj: 169 44 6 0 6 20 0 0 1 28 1 2 190
Strop, Pedro 2018: 212 38 8 0 4 21 1 1 5 57 0 0 240
Strop, Pedro proj: 207 41 9 0 4 26 1 2 4 63 2 1 240
Tseng, Jen-Ho 2018: 10 4 2 0 1 0 0 0 0 3 0 0 10
Tseng, Jen-Ho proj: 9 3 1 0 1 1 0 0 0 3 1 0 10
Underwood Jr., Duane 2018: 13 2 0 0 1 3 0 0 0 3 0 0 16
Underwood Jr., Duane proj: 13 2 0 0 1 3 0 0 0 3 0 0 16
Wilson, Justin 2018: 194 40 8 0 5 33 1 0 0 68 1 2 228
Wilson, Justin proj: 201 44 7 1 4 24 0 1 1 60 5 1 227
Zastryzny, Rob 2018: 21 6 2 0 0 4 0 0 1 3 2 0 26
Zastryzny, Rob proj: 22 6 1 0 0 3 0 0 1 5 0 0 26
2018 TEAM TOTALS: 5056 1206 198 25 145 588 34 34 59 1229 79 38 5771
PROJECTED: 5145 1242 240 20 139 514 27 33 53 1238 84 36 5772
difference: -89 -36 -42 +5 +6 +74 +7 +1 +6 -9 -5 +2 -1
Man AB H 2B 3B HR BB SF SH HBP SO SB CS BFP


Assorted Team Stats:
Stat Actual Projected
Batting Average: .239 .241
Slugging Average: .374 .377
Walks (per PA): .102 .089
SOs (per PA): .213 .215
On-Base Average: .321 .313
Power Factor: 1.57 1.56
OPS: .695 .690
TPP Runs (to date): 627 615

Runs differential:
Actual TPP 12 more than Projected TPP.




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This page was last modified on Tuesday, 18 September 2018, at 7:06 am Pacific Time.