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CHW "Expected" Pitching Results, 2019


About These Stats:

The form of "projection" used is very simple: each man's career numbers are pro-rated by his actual number of batters faced to date this season; those data, labelled "proj:" are shown along with the man's actual stats from this year to date. At the bottom of the Table, each set of lines—"projected" and actual—is separately summed to get Team Totals for each dataset.

Note that "career to date" includes each man's stats for the current year: "to date" is literally correct. For veteran players, that matters little, but for rookies or players with litle prior major-league experience, it means that the "projection" will perforce nearly or exactly match the actual stats to date. That seems like the best way to deal with newly arrived players' stats.

Note that owing to rounding in the pro-rating process, projected total BFP (batters faced) may occasionally differ by 1.

Below the player/team table is a smaller table showing a few key team "rate" stats (such as batting average) actual and projected.

The Actual Data:

Through games of Sunday, 14 July 2019.
All results are from true, unadjusted data.

Handedness Key:   + R   * L

(You can also look up the stat definitions.)

Pitchers, listed in alphabetical order:
Each name is a click-on link to that man's career stats.

(or see the data for Batting)


Man AB H 2B 3B HR BB SF SH HBP SO SB CS BFP
Banuelos, Manny 2019: 178 54 8 0 12 30 1 1 1 42 3 2 211
Banuelos, Manny proj: 180 53 9 0 10 27 1 1 3 39 5 3 212
Bummer, Aaron 2019: 118 20 4 0 2 11 0 1 3 34 0 0 133
Bummer, Aaron proj: 117 26 4 0 3 13 0 1 2 31 2 1 133
Burr, Ryan 2019: 75 17 3 1 3 8 2 1 0 20 0 0 86
Burr, Ryan proj: 73 19 4 1 4 9 1 1 1 17 1 1 85
Cease, Dylan 2019: 19 4 0 0 1 4 0 0 1 6 0 0 24
Cease, Dylan proj: 19 4 0 0 1 4 0 0 1 6 0 0 24
Colome, Alex 2019: 121 16 5 2 4 11 2 1 0 28 0 0 135
Colome, Alex proj: 121 28 4 0 3 10 1 1 1 30 1 1 134
Covey, Dylan 2019: 149 38 8 0 6 22 0 2 0 23 3 0 173
Covey, Dylan proj: 152 42 7 1 7 18 1 1 1 26 4 1 173
Despaigne, Odrisamer 2019: 59 24 5 1 3 7 1 0 1 7 0 2 68
Despaigne, Odrisamer proj: 60 17 3 0 2 6 1 1 1 10 1 0 69
Detwiler, Ross 2019: 59 21 1 1 3 3 0 0 1 6 1 1 63
Detwiler, Ross proj: 56 16 3 0 1 5 0 1 1 9 1 0 63
Frare, Caleb 2019: 10 2 0 0 1 4 0 0 0 3 0 0 14
Frare, Caleb proj: 11 2 0 0 0 2 0 0 0 4 0 0 13
Fry, Jace 2019: 115 26 7 0 3 21 0 2 2 39 1 1 140
Fry, Jace proj: 121 27 5 1 3 17 0 1 1 40 1 0 140
Fulmer, Carson 2019: 63 17 2 0 2 14 3 0 3 18 1 0 83
Fulmer, Carson proj: 67 17 2 0 3 12 1 0 2 16 1 0 82
Giolito, Lucas 2019: 356 69 16 0 9 38 2 0 3 120 2 2 399
Giolito, Lucas proj: 349 80 18 2 14 42 2 1 6 80 8 3 400
Herrera, Kelvin 2019: 137 44 7 1 5 14 1 1 1 31 7 1 154
Herrera, Kelvin proj: 139 33 6 1 3 11 1 1 1 36 4 1 153
Jones, Nate 2019: 39 10 0 0 2 7 0 0 1 10 1 0 47
Jones, Nate proj: 41 10 1 0 1 4 1 0 0 12 1 0 46
Lopez, Reynaldo 2019: 416 120 25 2 23 40 4 0 4 93 9 3 464
Lopez, Reynaldo proj: 412 106 22 2 16 42 5 1 4 88 7 2 464
Marshall, Evan 2019: 88 22 4 0 3 7 1 0 0 17 0 1 96
Marshall, Evan proj: 86 27 6 0 2 8 0 0 1 18 1 0 95
Minaya, Juan 2019: 112 31 11 1 4 12 0 0 2 27 0 0 126
Minaya, Juan proj: 109 26 7 0 3 15 0 0 2 32 5 1 126
Nova, Ivan 2019: 427 137 29 0 22 26 4 2 4 70 7 3 463
Nova, Ivan proj: 423 117 25 2 15 29 3 3 6 79 6 3 464
Osich, Josh 2019: 119 29 8 0 8 6 0 0 0 23 2 0 125
Osich, Josh proj: 111 28 5 1 5 13 0 1 1 24 1 0 126
Rodon, Carlos 2019: 138 33 7 1 4 17 2 0 1 46 6 0 158
Rodon, Carlos proj: 138 35 6 1 4 16 1 1 2 36 4 1 158
Rondon, Jose 2019: 5 2 0 0 0 0 0 0 0 0 0 0 5
Rondon, Jose proj: 5 2 0 0 0 0 0 0 0 0 0 0 5
Ruiz, Jose 2019: 96 33 6 0 5 14 1 1 1 19 0 3 113
Ruiz, Jose proj: 96 31 5 0 5 15 1 1 1 21 0 2 114
Santana, Ervin 2019: 56 19 7 1 6 6 2 0 0 5 1 0 64
Santana, Ervin proj: 58 15 3 0 2 5 0 0 1 12 1 0 64
Vieira, Thyago 2019: 32 11 1 0 0 5 0 0 0 8 0 0 37
Vieira, Thyago proj: 32 9 1 0 1 4 0 0 1 7 0 0 37
2019 TEAM TOTALS: 2987 799 164 11 131 327 26 12 29 695 44 19 3381
PROJECTED: 2976 770 146 12 108 327 20 17 40 673 55 20 3380
difference: +11 +29 +18 -1 +23 0 +6 -5 -11 +22 -11 -1 +1
Man AB H 2B 3B HR BB SF SH HBP SO SB CS BFP


Assorted Team Stats:
Stat Actual Projected
Batting Average: .267 .259
Slugging Average: .461 .425
Walks (per PA): .097 .097
SOs (per PA): .206 .199
On-Base Average: .342 .336
Power Factor: 1.72 1.64
OPS: .803 .761
TPP Runs (to date): 463 428

Runs differential:
Actual TPP 35 more than Projected TPP.




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This page was last modified on Monday, 15 July 2019, at 6:59 am Pacific Time.