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CHW "Expected" Pitching Results, 2018


About These Stats:

The form of "projection" used is very simple: each man's career numbers are pro-rated by his actual number of batters faced to date this season; those data, labelled "proj:" are shown along with the man's actual stats from this year to date. At the bottom of the Table, each set of lines—"projected" and actual—is separately summed to get Team Totals for each dataset.

Note that "career to date" includes each man's stats for the current year: "to date" is literally correct. For veteran players, that matters little, but for rookies or players with litle prior major-league experience, it means that the "projection" will perforce nearly or exactly match the actual stats to date. That seems like the best way to deal with newly arrived players' stats.

Note that owing to rounding in the pro-rating process, projected total BFP (batters faced) may occasionally differ by 1.

Below the player/team table is a smaller table showing a few key team "rate" stats (such as batting average) actual and projected.

The Actual Data:

Through games of Sunday, 17 June 2018.
All results are from true, unadjusted data.

Handedness Key:   + R   * L

(You can also look up the stat definitions.)

Pitchers, listed in alphabetical order:
Each name is a click-on link to that man's career stats.

(or see the data for Batting)


Man AB H 2B 3B HR BB SF SH HBP SO SB CS BFP
Avilan, Luis 2018: 79 21 4 2 1 9 0 1 0 24 3 1 89
Avilan, Luis proj: 79 18 3 0 1 8 0 1 1 19 2 1 89
Beck, Chris 2018: 89 24 7 0 5 11 1 0 1 16 0 2 102
Beck, Chris proj: 87 26 6 0 4 13 1 0 1 15 2 1 102
Bummer, Aaron 2018: 84 27 4 0 0 6 0 0 1 21 3 1 91
Bummer, Aaron proj: 79 20 3 0 2 11 1 1 1 19 2 1 93
Cedeno, Xavier 2018: 13 1 1 0 0 1 0 0 0 8 0 0 14
Cedeno, Xavier proj: 12 3 0 0 0 1 0 0 0 3 0 0 13
Covey, Dylan 2018: 138 35 5 0 0 11 0 0 0 33 1 1 149
Covey, Dylan proj: 133 38 7 0 7 15 0 0 0 24 4 1 148
Farquhar, Danny 2018: 28 6 2 0 3 0 1 0 0 9 0 0 29
Farquhar, Danny proj: 26 6 1 0 1 3 0 0 0 8 0 0 29
Fry, Jace 2018: 73 11 3 0 1 8 0 1 0 26 0 0 82
Fry, Jace proj: 72 16 3 1 1 9 0 1 0 20 0 0 82
Fulmer, Carson 2018: 132 37 7 1 8 24 2 1 5 29 1 0 164
Fulmer, Carson proj: 135 34 4 1 7 23 1 1 5 30 1 1 165
Giolito, Lucas 2018: 273 72 19 1 11 45 3 0 10 40 13 1 331
Giolito, Lucas proj: 284 70 15 2 14 37 2 1 8 46 8 3 332
Gonzalez, Miguel 2018: 60 24 7 2 4 6 0 0 0 5 0 1 66
Gonzalez, Miguel proj: 60 15 3 0 2 5 0 0 1 11 1 0 66
Infante, Gregory 2018: 33 12 4 0 0 8 1 0 0 6 1 1 42
Infante, Gregory proj: 36 9 2 0 1 5 1 0 0 9 1 0 42
Jones, Nate 2018: 93 21 3 0 3 14 1 1 3 27 0 0 112
Jones, Nate proj: 99 23 3 0 2 10 1 1 1 30 1 1 112
Lopez, Reynaldo 2018: 305 69 19 1 8 34 5 0 6 57 6 2 350
Lopez, Reynaldo proj: 309 76 18 2 9 32 4 1 3 60 3 1 349
Minaya, Juan 2018: 26 5 2 0 0 11 0 0 0 10 5 0 37
Minaya, Juan proj: 31 7 2 0 1 5 0 0 1 9 2 0 37
Rodon, Carlos 2018: 40 8 0 0 3 5 0 0 2 11 2 0 47
Rodon, Carlos proj: 41 11 2 0 1 5 0 0 1 11 1 0 47
Rondon, Bruce 2018: 88 21 7 0 0 14 1 0 1 32 3 0 104
Rondon, Bruce proj: 89 22 5 0 2 12 1 1 1 29 3 1 104
Santiago, Hector 2018: 214 57 14 1 11 31 3 0 3 46 2 2 251
Santiago, Hector proj: 219 53 10 1 9 26 1 1 3 50 4 2 250
Shields, James 2018: 357 83 19 1 11 37 1 2 3 64 5 5 400
Shields, James proj: 366 94 19 2 13 27 1 2 3 82 4 2 399
Soria, Joakim 2018: 105 26 6 0 2 5 0 0 1 30 0 0 111
Soria, Joakim proj: 100 22 4 0 2 8 1 1 1 29 1 0 111
Volstad, Chris 2018: 139 41 7 0 6 7 1 1 1 22 3 1 149
Volstad, Chris proj: 133 38 7 1 4 12 1 2 1 21 4 1 149
2018 TEAM TOTALS: 2369 601 140 9 77 287 20 7 37 516 48 18 2720
PROJECTED: 2390 601 117 10 83 267 16 14 32 525 44 16 2719
difference: -21 0 +23 -1 -6 +20 +4 -7 +5 -9 +4 +2 +1
Man AB H 2B 3B HR BB SF SH HBP SO SB CS BFP


Assorted Team Stats:
Stat Actual Projected
Batting Average: .254 .251
Slugging Average: .418 .413
Walks (per PA): .106 .098
SOs (per PA): .190 .193
On-Base Average: .340 .331
Power Factor: 1.65 1.64
OPS: .758 .744
TPP Runs (to date): 338 331

Runs differential:
Actual TPP 7 more than Projected TPP.




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This page was last modified on Monday, 18 June 2018, at 6:59 am Pacific Time.