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CHW "Expected" Pitching Results, 2018


About These Stats:

The form of "projection" used is very simple: each man's career numbers are pro-rated by his actual number of batters faced to date this season; those data, labelled "proj:" are shown along with the man's actual stats from this year to date. At the bottom of the Table, each set of lines—"projected" and actual—is separately summed to get Team Totals for each dataset.

Note that "career to date" includes each man's stats for the current year: "to date" is literally correct. For veteran players, that matters little, but for rookies or players with litle prior major-league experience, it means that the "projection" will perforce nearly or exactly match the actual stats to date. That seems like the best way to deal with newly arrived players' stats.

Note that owing to rounding in the pro-rating process, projected total BFP (batters faced) may occasionally differ by 1.

Below the player/team table is a smaller table showing a few key team "rate" stats (such as batting average) actual and projected.

The Actual Data:

Through games of Monday, 20 August 2018.
All results are from true, unadjusted data.

Handedness Key:   + R   * L

(You can also look up the stat definitions.)

Pitchers, listed in alphabetical order:
Each name is a click-on link to that man's career stats.

(or see the data for Batting)


Man AB H 2B 3B HR BB SF SH HBP SO SB CS BFP
Avilan, Luis 2018: 148 38 5 2 2 14 1 1 2 43 3 1 166
Avilan, Luis proj: 147 34 6 1 2 15 1 1 2 36 3 1 166
Beck, Chris 2018: 89 24 7 0 5 11 1 0 1 16 0 2 102
Beck, Chris proj: 87 25 6 0 5 13 1 0 1 15 2 1 102
Bummer, Aaron 2018: 84 27 4 0 0 6 0 0 1 21 3 1 91
Bummer, Aaron proj: 79 20 3 0 2 11 1 1 1 19 2 1 93
Cedeno, Xavier 2018: 78 16 4 1 1 12 0 0 0 26 0 0 90
Cedeno, Xavier proj: 80 20 3 0 2 8 1 1 1 21 1 0 91
Covey, Dylan 2018: 353 99 13 1 10 39 2 2 2 65 7 2 398
Covey, Dylan proj: 352 102 17 1 17 41 2 2 2 60 10 2 399
Danish, Tyler 2018: 25 8 0 0 2 4 1 0 1 5 0 1 31
Danish, Tyler proj: 24 8 0 0 1 6 0 0 0 5 0 0 30
Davidson, Matt 2018: 10 1 0 0 0 1 0 0 0 2 0 0 11
Davidson, Matt proj: 10 1 0 0 0 1 0 0 0 2 0 0 11
Farquhar, Danny 2018: 28 6 2 0 3 0 1 0 0 9 0 0 29
Farquhar, Danny proj: 26 6 1 0 1 3 0 0 0 8 0 0 29
Fry, Jace 2018: 141 23 5 0 2 15 0 2 1 56 2 0 159
Fry, Jace proj: 140 29 6 1 2 16 0 2 1 48 2 0 159
Fulmer, Carson 2018: 132 37 7 1 8 24 2 1 5 29 1 0 164
Fulmer, Carson proj: 135 34 4 1 7 23 1 1 5 30 1 1 165
Giolito, Lucas 2018: 524 131 33 3 22 74 4 1 13 97 21 2 616
Giolito, Lucas proj: 533 129 28 4 25 67 3 1 12 98 16 4 616
Gomez, Jeanmar 2018: 42 12 3 0 2 5 0 0 0 7 0 0 47
Gomez, Jeanmar proj: 42 12 2 0 1 4 1 0 0 7 1 0 47
Gonzalez, Miguel 2018: 60 24 7 2 4 6 0 0 0 5 0 1 66
Gonzalez, Miguel proj: 60 15 3 0 2 5 0 0 1 11 1 0 66
Infante, Gregory 2018: 33 12 4 0 0 8 1 0 0 6 1 1 42
Infante, Gregory proj: 36 9 2 0 1 5 1 0 0 9 1 0 42
Jones, Nate 2018: 93 20 3 0 3 14 1 1 3 27 0 0 112
Jones, Nate proj: 99 23 3 0 2 10 1 1 1 30 1 1 112
Lopez, Reynaldo 2018: 543 137 30 3 23 61 8 0 9 103 14 3 621
Lopez, Reynaldo proj: 547 141 30 4 21 59 7 2 6 106 9 2 621
Minaya, Juan 2018: 110 24 7 0 1 24 0 0 3 39 13 0 137
Minaya, Juan proj: 115 27 7 0 3 18 0 0 3 36 9 1 136
Rodon, Carlos 2018: 285 53 10 0 8 29 1 0 6 64 10 3 321
Rodon, Carlos proj: 282 70 13 1 9 31 2 2 4 74 8 2 321
Rondon, Bruce 2018: 124 37 11 1 1 27 2 0 1 40 6 0 154
Rondon, Bruce proj: 130 34 8 1 3 19 2 1 2 42 5 1 154
Santiago, Hector 2018: 331 87 21 1 15 48 3 0 3 84 6 3 385
Santiago, Hector proj: 336 81 15 1 14 40 2 2 5 78 7 3 385
Shields, James 2018: 622 148 35 1 23 62 6 2 5 127 14 7 697
Shields, James proj: 638 164 33 4 23 47 3 3 6 142 8 4 697
Soria, Joakim 2018: 152 35 6 0 2 10 0 1 1 49 0 0 164
Soria, Joakim proj: 148 33 5 1 3 12 1 1 1 43 1 0 163
Vieira, Thyago 2018: 30 6 2 0 3 4 1 0 2 6 0 0 37
Vieira, Thyago proj: 31 6 2 0 3 4 1 0 2 6 0 0 38
Volstad, Chris 2018: 196 65 16 0 9 12 3 1 3 29 3 1 215
Volstad, Chris proj: 192 55 10 1 6 17 2 3 2 31 6 1 216
2018 TEAM TOTALS: 4233 1070 235 16 149 510 38 12 62 955 104 28 4855
PROJECTED: 4269 1078 207 21 155 475 33 24 58 957 94 25 4859
difference: -36 -8 +28 -5 -6 +35 +5 -12 +4 -2 +10 +3 -4
Man AB H 2B 3B HR BB SF SH HBP SO SB CS BFP


Assorted Team Stats:
Stat Actual Projected
Batting Average: .253 .253
Slugging Average: .421 .420
Walks (per PA): .105 .098
SOs (per PA): .197 .197
On-Base Average: .338 .332
Power Factor: 1.67 1.66
OPS: .760 .751
TPP Runs (to date): 614 606

Runs differential:
Actual TPP 8 more than Projected TPP.




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This page was last modified on Tuesday, 21 August 2018, at 7:11 am Pacific Time.