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Baseball team and player performance examined realistically and accurately.

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CHW "Expected" Pitching Results, 2017


About These Stats:

The form of "projection" used is very simple: each man's career numbers are pro-rated by his actual number of batters faced to date this season; those data, labelled "proj:" are shown along with the man's actual stats from this year to date. At the bottom of the Table, each set of lines—"projected" and actual—is separately summed to get Team Totals for each dataset.

Note that "career to date" includes each man's stats for the current year: "to date" is literally correct. For veteran players, that matters little, but for rookies or players with litle prior major-league experience, it means that the "projection" will perforce nearly or exactly match the actual stats to date. That seems like the best way to deal with newly arrived players' stats.

Note that owing to rounding in the pro-rating process, projected total BFP (batters faced) may occasionally differ by 1.

Below the player/team table is a smaller table showing a few key team "rate" stats (such as batting average) actual and projected.

The Actual Data:

Through games of Sunday, 24 September 2017.
All results are from true, unadjusted data.

Handedness Key:   + R   * L

(You can also look up the stat definitions.)

Pitchers, listed in alphabetical order:
Each name is a click-on link to that man's career stats.

(or see the data for Batting)


Man AB H 2B 3B HR BB SF SH HBP SO SB CS BFP
Alburquerque, Al 2017: 17 2 1 0 0 1 0 0 0 3 0 0 18
Alburquerque, Al proj: 15 3 0 0 0 2 0 0 0 5 0 0 17
Beck, Chris 2017: 239 69 16 0 16 31 3 0 4 39 5 2 277
Beck, Chris proj: 237 71 16 1 12 33 3 1 4 40 5 1 278
Brantly, Rob 2017: 4 1 0 0 1 0 0 0 0 0 0 0 4
Brantly, Rob proj: 4 1 0 0 1 0 0 0 0 0 0 0 4
Bummer, Aaron 2017: 67 13 2 0 4 13 1 1 1 15 1 1 83
Bummer, Aaron proj: 67 13 2 0 4 13 1 1 1 15 1 1 83
Clippard, Tyler 2017: 38 8 3 0 0 5 1 0 0 12 3 0 44
Clippard, Tyler proj: 39 8 2 0 1 4 0 0 0 12 1 0 43
Covey, Dylan 2017: 252 79 15 1 19 32 0 1 1 36 9 1 286
Covey, Dylan proj: 252 79 15 1 19 32 0 1 1 36 9 1 286
Danish, Tyler 2017: 17 3 1 0 0 6 0 0 0 6 0 0 23
Danish, Tyler proj: 17 6 1 0 0 6 0 0 0 4 0 0 23
Farquhar, Danny 2017: 48 11 3 0 1 5 1 1 0 9 1 0 55
Farquhar, Danny proj: 48 11 2 0 1 5 0 0 1 15 0 0 54
Fry, Jace 2017: 19 10 1 1 1 3 0 0 0 1 0 0 22
Fry, Jace proj: 19 10 1 1 1 3 0 0 0 1 0 0 22
Fulmer, Carson 2017: 68 13 0 0 4 11 0 1 1 17 0 0 81
Fulmer, Carson proj: 68 15 1 1 4 11 0 1 2 16 1 1 82
Giolito, Lucas 2017: 163 31 4 2 8 12 0 1 3 34 2 4 179
Giolito, Lucas proj: 160 36 5 2 10 15 0 1 3 29 1 3 179
Goldberg, Brad 2017: 46 14 4 0 2 14 0 0 2 3 0 0 62
Goldberg, Brad proj: 46 14 4 0 2 14 0 0 2 3 0 0 62
Gonzalez, Miguel 2017: 531 145 37 4 16 47 4 2 4 85 7 1 588
Gonzalez, Miguel proj: 532 136 28 2 19 45 4 1 6 97 6 2 588
Holland, Derek 2017: 539 156 31 4 31 75 3 1 8 104 9 2 626
Holland, Derek proj: 565 150 32 2 21 50 4 3 5 116 7 4 627
Holmberg, David 2017: 219 61 13 2 12 32 3 0 5 32 2 1 259
Holmberg, David proj: 215 61 10 1 14 31 4 3 6 30 2 1 259
Infante, Gregory 2017: 188 44 10 1 4 19 5 0 3 44 7 0 215
Infante, Gregory proj: 187 42 9 1 4 21 5 0 3 45 6 0 216
Jennings, Dan 2017: 164 35 3 0 6 19 1 0 1 38 2 0 185
Jennings, Dan proj: 161 41 6 2 3 20 2 1 1 35 2 1 185
Jones, Nate 2017: 41 9 2 0 1 6 0 1 1 15 0 0 49
Jones, Nate proj: 43 10 2 0 1 4 1 0 0 13 1 0 48
Kahnle, Tommy 2017: 131 28 3 1 3 7 2 1 0 60 2 0 141
Kahnle, Tommy proj: 122 27 6 0 3 16 2 1 1 38 2 0 142
Lopez, Reynaldo 2017: 168 45 6 3 6 12 2 0 0 23 0 1 182
Lopez, Reynaldo proj: 163 44 10 1 5 16 2 1 0 31 0 0 182
Minaya, Juan 2017: 149 37 7 1 7 20 1 0 4 48 8 2 174
Minaya, Juan proj: 149 37 9 1 6 20 1 0 5 43 8 2 175
Pelfrey, Mike 2017: 450 120 18 3 24 55 3 0 10 77 25 3 518
Pelfrey, Mike proj: 460 134 24 3 11 43 4 5 6 67 10 2 518
Petricka, Jake 2017: 114 39 8 0 6 6 1 0 1 26 3 0 122
Petricka, Jake proj: 107 30 6 0 2 12 1 1 1 21 1 1 122
Putnam, Zach 2017: 27 2 1 0 0 1 0 0 0 9 0 0 28
Putnam, Zach proj: 25 6 1 0 1 3 0 0 0 7 1 0 28
Quintana, Jose 2017: 399 98 21 3 14 40 2 1 2 109 3 3 444
Quintana, Jose proj: 408 104 22 2 10 29 2 2 3 93 5 3 444
Robertson, David 2017: 119 21 5 0 4 11 0 0 2 47 1 0 132
Robertson, David proj: 117 24 4 1 3 13 0 1 1 43 3 1 132
Rodon, Carlos 2017: 260 64 14 0 12 31 2 1 3 76 12 2 297
Rodon, Carlos proj: 261 68 12 1 8 29 2 2 3 70 7 1 297
Shields, James 2017: 434 112 22 3 26 51 0 1 3 95 7 0 489
Shields, James proj: 448 116 23 3 16 32 2 2 4 100 5 2 488
Swarzak, Anthony 2017: 171 37 4 1 2 13 2 0 0 52 3 1 186
Swarzak, Anthony proj: 170 46 8 1 5 12 2 1 1 31 1 1 186
Volstad, Chris 2017: 29 7 0 0 1 0 0 0 1 5 0 0 30
Volstad, Chris proj: 27 8 1 0 1 2 0 0 0 4 1 0 29
Ynoa, Michael 2017: 114 28 8 2 4 22 0 0 5 23 2 2 141
Ynoa, Michael proj: 114 25 8 1 2 20 1 1 5 27 2 1 141
2017 TEAM TOTALS: 5225 1342 263 32 235 600 37 13 65 1143 114 26 5940
PROJECTED: 5246 1376 270 28 190 556 43 30 65 1087 88 29 5940
difference: -21 -34 -7 +4 +45 +44 -6 -17 0 +56 +26 -3 0
Man AB H 2B 3B HR BB SF SH HBP SO SB CS BFP


Assorted Team Stats:
Stat Actual Projected
Batting Average: .257 .262
Slugging Average: .454 .433
Walks (per PA): .101 .094
SOs (per PA): .192 .183
On-Base Average: .338 .336
Power Factor: 1.77 1.65
OPS: .792 .769
TPP Runs (to date): 812 764

Runs differential:
Actual TPP 48 more than Projected TPP.




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This page was last modified on Monday, 25 September 2017, at 7:16 am Pacific Time.