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Baseball team and player performance examined realistically and accurately.

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CHW "Expected" Pitching Results, 2019


About These Stats:

The form of "projection" used is very simple: each man's career numbers are pro-rated by his actual number of batters faced to date this season; those data, labelled "proj:" are shown along with the man's actual stats from this year to date. At the bottom of the Table, each set of lines—"projected" and actual—is separately summed to get Team Totals for each dataset.

Note that "career to date" includes each man's stats for the current year: "to date" is literally correct. For veteran players, that matters little, but for rookies or players with litle prior major-league experience, it means that the "projection" will perforce nearly or exactly match the actual stats to date. That seems like the best way to deal with newly arrived players' stats.

Note that owing to rounding in the pro-rating process, projected total BFP (batters faced) may occasionally differ by 1.

Below the player/team table is a smaller table showing a few key team "rate" stats (such as batting average) actual and projected.

The Actual Data:

Through games of Friday, 23 August 2019.
All results are from true, unadjusted data.

Handedness Key:   + R   * L

(You can also look up the stat definitions.)

Pitchers, listed in alphabetical order:
Each name is a click-on link to that man's career stats.

(or see the data for Batting)


Man AB H 2B 3B HR BB SF SH HBP SO SB CS BFP
Banuelos, Manny 2019: 178 54 8 0 12 30 1 1 1 42 3 2 211
Banuelos, Manny proj: 180 53 9 0 10 27 1 1 3 39 5 3 212
Bummer, Aaron 2019: 176 34 4 0 3 15 0 1 3 44 1 0 195
Bummer, Aaron proj: 173 39 5 0 4 18 0 1 2 44 3 1 194
Burr, Ryan 2019: 75 17 3 1 3 8 2 1 0 20 0 0 86
Burr, Ryan proj: 73 19 4 1 4 9 1 1 1 17 1 1 85
Cease, Dylan 2019: 197 52 10 2 11 22 1 0 2 50 1 0 222
Cease, Dylan proj: 197 52 10 2 11 22 1 0 2 50 1 0 222
Colome, Alex 2019: 173 30 7 2 4 19 2 1 1 42 0 0 196
Colome, Alex proj: 176 41 6 1 4 16 2 1 2 43 1 1 197
Cordero, Jimmy 2019: 60 10 2 1 2 5 0 0 1 21 2 0 66
Cordero, Jimmy proj: 58 14 2 0 2 7 0 0 1 13 2 0 66
Covey, Dylan 2019: 215 61 12 0 11 23 0 3 3 35 5 0 244
Covey, Dylan proj: 215 61 10 1 10 24 1 2 1 37 6 1 243
Despaigne, Odrisamer 2019: 59 24 5 1 3 7 1 0 1 7 0 2 68
Despaigne, Odrisamer proj: 60 17 3 0 2 6 1 1 1 10 1 0 69
Detwiler, Ross 2019: 192 58 8 1 15 12 0 1 2 35 1 3 207
Detwiler, Ross proj: 185 52 11 1 5 17 1 2 2 29 2 1 207
Frare, Caleb 2019: 10 2 0 0 1 4 0 0 0 3 0 0 14
Frare, Caleb proj: 11 2 0 0 0 2 0 0 0 4 0 0 13
Fry, Jace 2019: 156 36 8 0 4 32 0 2 3 50 1 1 193
Fry, Jace proj: 165 37 7 1 4 25 0 2 2 54 1 0 194
Fulmer, Carson 2019: 74 19 2 0 2 15 3 0 3 20 1 0 95
Fulmer, Carson proj: 77 19 2 0 4 14 1 0 3 18 1 0 95
Giolito, Lucas 2019: 552 115 25 3 17 51 2 1 4 194 2 3 610
Giolito, Lucas proj: 537 124 27 4 22 60 3 1 8 133 11 4 609
Herrera, Kelvin 2019: 158 51 10 1 5 18 1 1 1 34 9 1 179
Herrera, Kelvin proj: 162 38 7 1 4 13 1 1 1 42 4 1 178
Jones, Nate 2019: 39 10 0 0 2 7 0 0 1 10 1 0 47
Jones, Nate proj: 41 10 1 0 1 4 1 0 0 12 1 0 46
Lopez, Reynaldo 2019: 586 164 35 3 27 54 4 1 7 132 11 3 652
Lopez, Reynaldo proj: 580 149 31 4 22 58 6 1 6 125 9 3 651
Marshall, Evan 2019: 133 33 6 0 4 15 1 0 0 29 0 1 149
Marshall, Evan proj: 133 40 9 0 3 14 1 1 1 29 1 1 150
Minaya, Juan 2019: 112 31 11 1 4 12 0 0 2 27 0 0 126
Minaya, Juan proj: 109 26 7 0 3 15 0 0 2 32 5 1 126
Nova, Ivan 2019: 595 173 35 0 24 38 4 2 7 91 9 4 646
Nova, Ivan proj: 590 162 35 3 20 41 4 3 8 109 8 4 646
Osich, Josh 2019: 191 49 13 0 14 11 1 0 0 41 2 0 203
Osich, Josh proj: 180 47 9 1 9 20 1 1 2 40 2 0 204
Reed, AJ 2019: 3 0 0 0 0 0 0 0 0 0 0 0 3
Reed, AJ proj: 3 0 0 0 0 0 0 0 0 0 0 0 3
Rodon, Carlos 2019: 138 33 7 1 4 17 2 0 1 46 6 0 158
Rodon, Carlos proj: 138 35 6 1 4 16 1 1 2 36 4 1 158
Rondon, Jose 2019: 5 2 0 0 0 0 0 0 0 0 0 0 5
Rondon, Jose proj: 5 2 0 0 0 0 0 0 0 0 0 0 5
Ruiz, Jose 2019: 133 42 9 0 5 21 2 2 1 28 1 3 159
Ruiz, Jose proj: 133 41 8 0 5 22 2 2 1 30 1 3 160
Santana, Ervin 2019: 56 19 7 1 6 6 2 0 0 5 1 0 64
Santana, Ervin proj: 58 15 3 0 2 5 0 0 1 12 1 0 64
Santiago, Hector 2019: 43 15 4 0 3 5 1 0 0 10 0 0 49
Santiago, Hector proj: 43 10 2 0 2 5 0 0 1 10 1 0 49
Vieira, Thyago 2019: 32 11 1 0 0 5 0 0 0 8 0 0 37
Vieira, Thyago proj: 32 9 1 0 1 4 0 0 1 7 0 0 37
2019 TEAM TOTALS: 4341 1145 232 18 186 452 30 17 44 1024 57 23 4884
PROJECTED: 4314 1114 215 21 158 464 29 22 54 975 72 26 4883
difference: +27 +31 +17 -3 +28 -12 +1 -5 -10 +49 -15 -3 +1
Man AB H 2B 3B HR BB SF SH HBP SO SB CS BFP


Assorted Team Stats:
Stat Actual Projected
Batting Average: .264 .258
Slugging Average: .454 .428
Walks (per PA): .093 .095
SOs (per PA): .210 .200
On-Base Average: .336 .334
Power Factor: 1.72 1.66
OPS: .790 .762
TPP Runs (to date): 652 618

Runs differential:
Actual TPP 34 more than Projected TPP.




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This page was last modified on Saturday, 24 August 2019, at 7:02 am Pacific Time.