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CHW "Expected" Pitching Results, 2017


About These Stats:

The form of "projection" used is very simple: each man's career numbers are pro-rated by his actual number of batters faced to date this season; those data, labelled "proj:" are shown along with the man's actual stats from this year to date. At the bottom of the Table, each set of lines—"projected" and actual—is separately summed to get Team Totals for each dataset.

Note that "career to date" includes each man's stats for the current year: "to date" is literally correct. For veteran players, that matters little, but for rookies or players with litle prior major-league experience, it means that the "projection" will perforce nearly or exactly match the actual stats to date. That seems like the best way to deal with newly arrived players' stats.

Note that owing to rounding in the pro-rating process, projected total BFP (batters faced) may occasionally differ by 1.

Below the player/team table is a smaller table showing a few key team "rate" stats (such as batting average) actual and projected.

The Actual Data:

Through games of Wednesday, 21 June 2017.
All results are from true, unadjusted data.

Handedness Key:   + R   * L

(You can also look up the stat definitions.)

Pitchers, listed in alphabetical order:
Each name is a click-on link to that man's career stats.

(or see the data for Batting)


Man AB H 2B 3B HR BB SF SH HBP SO SB CS BFP
Beck, Chris 2017: 91 20 5 0 3 12 1 0 2 21 2 0 106
Beck, Chris proj: 90 25 6 0 2 13 1 0 2 18 2 0 106
Covey, Dylan 2017: 157 52 9 1 13 16 0 1 1 22 5 0 175
Covey, Dylan proj: 157 52 9 1 13 16 0 1 1 22 5 0 175
Danish, Tyler 2017: 17 3 1 0 0 6 0 0 0 6 0 0 23
Danish, Tyler proj: 17 6 1 0 0 6 0 0 0 4 0 0 23
Goldberg, Brad 2017: 4 3 1 0 1 1 0 0 0 0 0 0 5
Goldberg, Brad proj: 4 3 1 0 1 1 0 0 0 0 0 0 5
Gonzalez, Miguel 2017: 321 92 21 3 13 26 1 1 1 45 1 1 350
Gonzalez, Miguel proj: 318 81 16 1 11 26 2 1 3 58 3 1 350
Holland, Derek 2017: 301 85 19 1 16 32 1 1 4 64 7 1 339
Holland, Derek proj: 307 81 17 1 11 26 2 2 2 64 4 2 339
Holmberg, David 2017: 112 22 6 0 3 11 1 0 1 20 2 0 125
Holmberg, David proj: 105 27 4 0 6 14 2 2 3 16 1 0 126
Infante, Gregory 2017: 72 22 5 0 3 9 2 0 0 15 2 0 83
Infante, Gregory proj: 71 20 4 0 2 11 2 0 0 16 2 0 84
Jennings, Dan 2017: 109 27 2 0 5 12 1 0 1 20 1 0 123
Jennings, Dan proj: 107 28 4 1 2 12 2 1 1 23 2 0 123
Jones, Nate 2017: 41 9 2 0 1 6 0 1 1 15 0 0 49
Jones, Nate proj: 43 10 2 0 1 4 1 0 0 13 1 0 48
Kahnle, Tommy 2017: 101 17 2 0 2 6 1 1 0 50 2 0 109
Kahnle, Tommy proj: 93 20 4 0 2 14 1 1 0 29 2 0 109
Minaya, Juan 2017: 42 13 5 1 2 5 0 0 0 15 0 0 47
Minaya, Juan proj: 41 12 5 1 1 5 0 0 1 11 1 1 47
Pelfrey, Mike 2017: 211 49 8 1 5 21 1 0 4 35 12 0 237
Pelfrey, Mike proj: 211 61 11 1 5 19 2 2 3 30 4 1 237
Petricka, Jake 2017: 27 8 1 0 1 3 0 0 0 9 1 0 30
Petricka, Jake proj: 26 7 1 0 0 3 0 0 0 5 0 0 29
Putnam, Zach 2017: 27 2 1 0 0 1 0 0 0 9 0 0 28
Putnam, Zach proj: 25 6 1 0 1 3 0 0 0 7 1 0 28
Quintana, Jose 2017: 313 80 18 3 12 32 2 1 2 79 1 3 350
Quintana, Jose proj: 322 83 18 2 8 23 2 2 2 70 3 2 351
Robertson, David 2017: 90 14 3 0 3 8 0 0 1 37 1 0 99
Robertson, David proj: 88 19 3 0 2 10 0 1 1 32 3 1 100
Shields, James 2017: 82 16 3 0 4 11 0 0 1 19 1 0 94
Shields, James proj: 86 22 4 1 3 6 0 0 1 19 1 0 93
Swarzak, Anthony 2017: 116 26 4 1 1 10 2 0 0 30 1 0 128
Swarzak, Anthony proj: 117 32 6 1 3 9 1 1 1 20 1 1 129
Ynoa, Michael 2017: 93 20 6 1 3 14 0 0 3 19 2 2 110
Ynoa, Michael proj: 91 18 6 0 1 14 1 0 4 22 1 1 110
2017 TEAM TOTALS: 2327 580 122 12 91 242 13 6 22 530 41 7 2610
PROJECTED: 2319 613 123 10 75 235 19 14 25 479 37 10 2612
difference: +8 -33 -1 +2 +16 +7 -6 -8 -3 +51 +4 -3 -2
Man AB H 2B 3B HR BB SF SH HBP SO SB CS BFP


Assorted Team Stats:
Stat Actual Projected
Batting Average: .249 .264
Slugging Average: .429 .423
Walks (per PA): .093 .090
SOs (per PA): .203 .184
On-Base Average: .323 .334
Power Factor: 1.72 1.6
OPS: .753 .757
TPP Runs (to date): 325 327

Runs differential:
Actual TPP 2 less than Projected TPP.




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This page was last modified on Thursday, 22 June 2017, at 7:04 am Pacific Time.