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Baseball team and player performance examined realistically and accurately.

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CHW "Expected" Pitching Results, 2019


About These Stats:

The form of "projection" used is very simple: each man's career numbers are pro-rated by his actual number of batters faced to date this season; those data, labelled "proj:" are shown along with the man's actual stats from this year to date. At the bottom of the Table, each set of lines—"projected" and actual—is separately summed to get Team Totals for each dataset.

Note that "career to date" includes each man's stats for the current year: "to date" is literally correct. For veteran players, that matters little, but for rookies or players with litle prior major-league experience, it means that the "projection" will perforce nearly or exactly match the actual stats to date. That seems like the best way to deal with newly arrived players' stats.

Note that owing to rounding in the pro-rating process, projected total BFP (batters faced) may occasionally differ by 1.

Below the player/team table is a smaller table showing a few key team "rate" stats (such as batting average) actual and projected.

The Actual Data:

Through games of Monday, 30 September 2019.
All results are from true, unadjusted data.

Handedness Key:   + R   * L

(You can also look up the stat definitions.)

Pitchers, listed in alphabetical order:
Each name is a click-on link to that man's career stats.

(or see the data for Batting)


Man AB H 2B 3B HR BB SF SH HBP SO SB CS BFP
Banuelos, Manny 2019: 198 60 9 0 12 33 2 1 1 44 3 2 235
Banuelos, Manny proj: 201 59 10 0 11 30 1 1 3 42 5 3 236
Bummer, Aaron 2019: 234 43 4 0 4 24 0 1 3 60 2 0 262
Bummer, Aaron proj: 232 51 6 1 5 26 1 1 3 59 4 1 263
Burr, Ryan 2019: 75 17 3 1 3 8 2 1 0 20 0 0 86
Burr, Ryan proj: 73 19 4 1 4 9 1 1 1 17 1 1 85
Cease, Dylan 2019: 288 78 13 2 15 35 1 0 2 81 1 0 326
Cease, Dylan proj: 288 78 13 2 15 35 1 0 2 81 1 0 326
Colome, Alex 2019: 220 42 10 2 7 23 3 2 1 55 0 0 249
Colome, Alex proj: 223 52 8 1 5 20 3 1 2 55 1 1 249
Cordero, Jimmy 2019: 127 24 5 1 3 11 0 0 3 31 4 0 141
Cordero, Jimmy proj: 125 29 5 1 4 14 0 0 3 25 4 0 142
Covey, Dylan 2019: 245 75 13 0 12 28 1 3 3 41 8 1 280
Covey, Dylan proj: 247 71 12 1 11 28 1 2 1 43 7 1 279
Despaigne, Odrisamer 2019: 59 24 5 1 3 7 1 0 1 7 0 2 68
Despaigne, Odrisamer proj: 60 17 3 0 2 6 1 1 1 10 1 0 69
Detwiler, Ross 2019: 282 86 13 1 20 27 1 2 3 46 3 4 315
Detwiler, Ross proj: 280 80 16 1 8 26 2 4 3 44 3 2 315
Frare, Caleb 2019: 10 2 0 0 1 4 0 0 0 3 0 0 14
Frare, Caleb proj: 11 2 0 0 0 2 0 0 0 4 0 0 13
Fry, Jace 2019: 202 44 10 0 7 43 1 2 3 68 2 1 251
Fry, Jace proj: 212 47 9 1 6 34 1 2 2 71 2 1 251
Fulmer, Carson 2019: 107 26 3 0 5 20 3 0 3 25 3 0 133
Fulmer, Carson proj: 109 27 3 1 6 19 1 1 4 24 1 0 134
Giolito, Lucas 2019: 640 131 28 4 24 57 3 1 4 228 3 3 705
Giolito, Lucas proj: 623 142 30 4 26 68 3 1 9 159 12 4 704
Herrera, Kelvin 2019: 208 60 10 1 8 23 2 1 1 53 9 1 235
Herrera, Kelvin proj: 213 50 9 1 5 18 1 2 2 56 5 1 236
Jones, Nate 2019: 39 10 0 0 2 7 0 0 1 10 1 0 47
Jones, Nate proj: 41 10 1 0 1 4 1 0 0 12 1 0 46
Lopez, Reynaldo 2019: 729 203 44 3 35 65 5 2 8 169 13 4 809
Lopez, Reynaldo proj: 722 186 39 4 28 71 7 2 8 157 11 4 810
Marshall, Evan 2019: 184 42 8 0 5 24 1 0 0 41 2 1 209
Marshall, Evan proj: 186 54 12 0 5 21 1 1 1 41 2 1 210
Minaya, Juan 2019: 112 31 11 1 4 12 0 0 2 27 0 0 126
Minaya, Juan proj: 109 26 7 0 3 15 0 0 2 32 5 1 126
Nova, Ivan 2019: 744 225 44 0 30 47 4 2 9 114 10 4 806
Nova, Ivan proj: 736 204 44 3 26 51 5 4 10 135 10 4 806
Osich, Josh 2019: 256 62 13 0 15 15 1 0 0 61 3 0 272
Osich, Josh proj: 243 62 11 1 12 25 1 1 2 55 3 0 272
Reed, AJ 2019: 3 0 0 0 0 0 0 0 0 0 0 0 3
Reed, AJ proj: 3 0 0 0 0 0 0 0 0 0 0 0 3
Rodon, Carlos 2019: 138 33 7 1 4 17 2 0 1 46 6 0 158
Rodon, Carlos proj: 138 35 6 1 4 16 1 1 2 36 4 1 158
Rondon, Jose 2019: 5 2 0 0 0 0 0 0 0 0 0 0 5
Rondon, Jose proj: 5 2 0 0 0 0 0 0 0 0 0 0 5
Ruiz, Jose 2019: 168 56 10 0 6 24 2 2 2 35 1 3 198
Ruiz, Jose proj: 168 54 9 0 6 25 2 2 2 37 1 3 199
Santana, Ervin 2019: 56 19 7 1 6 6 2 0 0 5 1 0 64
Santana, Ervin proj: 58 15 3 0 2 5 0 0 1 12 1 0 64
Santiago, Hector 2019: 107 32 7 0 7 17 1 0 0 34 1 0 125
Santiago, Hector proj: 109 26 5 0 4 13 1 0 2 26 2 1 125
Vieira, Thyago 2019: 32 11 1 0 0 5 0 0 0 8 0 0 37
Vieira, Thyago proj: 32 9 1 0 1 4 0 0 1 7 0 0 37
2019 TEAM TOTALS: 5468 1438 278 19 238 582 38 20 51 1312 76 26 6159
PROJECTED: 5447 1407 266 24 200 585 36 28 67 1240 87 30 6163
difference: +21 +31 +12 -5 +38 -3 +2 -8 -16 +72 -11 -4 -4
Man AB H 2B 3B HR BB SF SH HBP SO SB CS BFP


Assorted Team Stats:
Stat Actual Projected
Batting Average: .263 .258
Slugging Average: .451 .426
Walks (per PA): .094 .095
SOs (per PA): .213 .201
On-Base Average: .336 .334
Power Factor: 1.72 1.65
OPS: .788 .760
TPP Runs (to date): 822 778

Runs differential:
Actual TPP 44 more than Projected TPP.




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This page was last modified on Tuesday, 1 October 2019, at 7:36 am Pacific Time.