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CHW "Expected" Pitching Results, 2018


About These Stats:

The form of "projection" used is very simple: each man's career numbers are pro-rated by his actual number of batters faced to date this season; those data, labelled "proj:" are shown along with the man's actual stats from this year to date. At the bottom of the Table, each set of lines—"projected" and actual—is separately summed to get Team Totals for each dataset.

Note that "career to date" includes each man's stats for the current year: "to date" is literally correct. For veteran players, that matters little, but for rookies or players with litle prior major-league experience, it means that the "projection" will perforce nearly or exactly match the actual stats to date. That seems like the best way to deal with newly arrived players' stats.

Note that owing to rounding in the pro-rating process, projected total BFP (batters faced) may occasionally differ by 1.

Below the player/team table is a smaller table showing a few key team "rate" stats (such as batting average) actual and projected.

The Actual Data:

Through games of Wednesday, 25 April 2018.
All results are from true, unadjusted data.

Handedness Key:   + R   * L

(You can also look up the stat definitions.)

Pitchers, listed in alphabetical order:
Each name is a click-on link to that man's career stats.

(or see the data for Batting)


Man AB H 2B 3B HR BB SF SH HBP SO SB CS BFP
Avilan, Luis 2018: 28 8 2 0 1 5 0 1 0 8 1 1 34
Avilan, Luis proj: 30 7 1 0 0 3 0 0 0 7 1 0 33
Beck, Chris 2018: 12 6 2 0 1 0 1 0 0 1 0 0 13
Beck, Chris proj: 11 3 1 0 1 2 0 0 0 2 0 0 13
Bummer, Aaron 2018: 33 11 1 0 0 2 0 0 0 9 2 0 35
Bummer, Aaron proj: 29 7 1 0 1 5 0 0 0 7 1 0 34
Farquhar, Danny 2018: 28 6 2 0 3 0 1 0 0 9 0 0 29
Farquhar, Danny proj: 26 6 1 0 1 3 0 0 0 8 0 0 29
Fulmer, Carson 2018: 74 20 6 0 3 10 1 0 2 15 0 0 87
Fulmer, Carson proj: 73 17 3 0 3 11 0 0 2 16 0 0 86
Giolito, Lucas 2018: 74 18 6 1 1 19 2 0 4 9 4 0 99
Giolito, Lucas proj: 85 20 4 1 4 11 1 0 2 14 2 1 99
Gonzalez, Miguel 2018: 60 24 7 2 4 6 0 0 0 5 0 1 66
Gonzalez, Miguel proj: 60 15 3 0 2 5 0 0 1 11 1 0 66
Infante, Gregory 2018: 31 12 4 0 0 7 1 0 0 6 1 1 39
Infante, Gregory proj: 34 8 2 0 1 4 1 0 0 8 1 0 39
Jones, Nate 2018: 30 5 1 0 0 4 1 0 0 11 0 0 35
Jones, Nate proj: 31 7 1 0 1 3 0 0 0 10 0 0 34
Lopez, Reynaldo 2018: 80 12 4 0 2 15 2 0 0 23 2 1 97
Lopez, Reynaldo proj: 85 21 5 1 2 10 1 1 0 18 1 0 97
Minaya, Juan 2018: 5 2 1 0 0 5 0 0 0 1 1 0 10
Minaya, Juan proj: 8 2 0 0 0 1 0 0 0 2 0 0 9
Rondon, Bruce 2018: 26 5 2 0 0 6 1 0 0 12 0 0 33
Rondon, Bruce proj: 28 7 1 0 1 4 0 0 0 9 1 0 32
Santiago, Hector 2018: 58 14 3 0 2 7 2 0 2 15 1 2 69
Santiago, Hector proj: 60 14 3 0 2 7 0 0 1 14 1 1 68
Shields, James 2018: 118 33 8 0 2 17 0 1 1 15 2 3 137
Shields, James proj: 125 32 7 1 4 9 1 1 1 28 2 1 137
Soria, Joakim 2018: 33 8 1 0 1 2 0 0 0 9 0 0 35
Soria, Joakim proj: 32 7 1 0 1 3 0 0 0 9 0 0 35
Volstad, Chris 2018: 45 12 1 0 1 3 0 0 1 10 2 0 49
Volstad, Chris proj: 44 12 2 0 1 4 0 1 0 7 1 0 49
2018 TEAM TOTALS: 735 196 51 3 21 108 12 2 10 158 16 9 867
PROJECTED: 761 185 36 3 25 85 4 3 7 170 12 3 860
difference: -26 +11 +15 0 -4 +23 +8 -1 +3 -12 +4 +6 +7
Man AB H 2B 3B HR BB SF SH HBP SO SB CS BFP


Assorted Team Stats:
Stat Actual Projected
Batting Average: .267 .243
Slugging Average: .430 .397
Walks (per PA): .125 .098
SOs (per PA): .182 .196
On-Base Average: .362 .322
Power Factor: 1.61 1.63
OPS: .792 .719
TPP Runs (to date): 114 99

Runs differential:
Actual TPP 15 more than Projected TPP.




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This page was last modified on Thursday, 26 April 2018, at 6:53 am Pacific Time.