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CIN "Expected" Pitching Results, 2017


About These Stats:

The form of "projection" used is very simple: each man's career numbers are pro-rated by his actual number of batters faced to date this season; those data, labelled "proj:" are shown along with the man's actual stats from this year to date. At the bottom of the Table, each set of lines—"projected" and actual—is separately summed to get Team Totals for each dataset.

Note that "career to date" includes each man's stats for the current year: "to date" is literally correct. For veteran players, that matters little, but for rookies or players with litle prior major-league experience, it means that the "projection" will perforce nearly or exactly match the actual stats to date. That seems like the best way to deal with newly arrived players' stats.

Note that owing to rounding in the pro-rating process, projected total BFP (batters faced) may occasionally differ by 1.

Below the player/team table is a smaller table showing a few key team "rate" stats (such as batting average) actual and projected.

The Actual Data:

Through games of Monday, 22 May 2017.
All results are from true, unadjusted data.

Handedness Key:   + R   * L

(You can also look up the stat definitions.)

Pitchers, listed in alphabetical order:
Each name is a click-on link to that man's career stats.

(or see the data for Batting)


Man AB H 2B 3B HR BB SF SH HBP SO SB CS BFP
Adleman, Tim 2017: 127 35 9 0 7 12 0 0 1 30 1 1 140
Adleman, Tim proj: 125 32 7 1 7 10 0 2 2 25 2 1 139
Arroyo, Bronson 2017: 189 54 16 0 15 15 1 2 1 30 0 1 208
Arroyo, Bronson proj: 189 50 11 1 7 13 1 2 2 32 2 1 207
Astin, Barrett 2017: 31 9 1 1 2 7 1 0 2 2 0 1 41
Astin, Barrett proj: 31 9 1 1 2 7 1 0 2 2 0 1 41
Bonilla, Lisalverto 2017: 68 17 3 1 4 8 1 1 2 14 3 0 80
Bonilla, Lisalverto proj: 68 15 2 1 3 10 0 0 1 15 3 0 79
Brice, Austin 2017: 36 7 0 0 1 1 1 0 0 8 3 0 38
Brice, Austin proj: 34 6 1 0 1 2 0 0 1 9 1 0 37
Cingrani, Tony 2017: 18 4 1 0 1 1 0 0 0 5 0 0 19
Cingrani, Tony proj: 16 4 1 0 1 2 0 0 0 5 0 0 18
Davis, Rookie 2017: 81 29 6 0 3 13 1 2 1 15 4 0 98
Davis, Rookie proj: 81 29 6 0 3 13 1 2 1 15 4 0 98
Feldman, Scott 2017: 205 50 13 3 6 22 0 3 2 47 8 3 232
Feldman, Scott proj: 209 56 11 1 6 17 2 1 2 34 7 2 231
Finnegan, Brandon 2017: 35 6 1 0 0 9 0 0 0 14 0 0 44
Finnegan, Brandon proj: 38 9 1 0 2 5 0 0 0 9 1 0 43
Garrett, Amir 2017: 147 34 7 0 8 18 2 0 2 33 1 3 169
Garrett, Amir proj: 147 34 7 0 8 18 2 0 2 33 1 3 169
Hernandez, Ariel 2017: 8 0 0 0 0 0 0 0 0 5 1 0 8
Hernandez, Ariel proj: 8 0 0 0 0 0 0 0 0 5 1 0 8
Iglesias, Raisel 2017: 80 13 3 0 1 10 0 0 0 27 1 1 90
Iglesias, Raisel proj: 81 17 4 0 2 7 0 1 1 24 0 0 90
Lorenzen, Michael 2017: 92 20 3 1 2 8 0 0 3 21 0 1 103
Lorenzen, Michael proj: 91 24 5 1 3 10 0 0 2 19 1 1 103
Peralta, Wandy 2017: 65 11 4 0 2 6 1 0 0 26 0 0 72
Peralta, Wandy proj: 62 14 5 0 2 8 1 0 1 20 0 0 72
Reed, Cody 2017: 46 8 2 0 3 15 0 0 0 15 0 0 61
Reed, Cody proj: 53 16 3 0 3 7 0 0 1 12 2 0 61
Stephenson, Robert 2017: 88 23 7 0 5 15 1 1 0 27 1 0 105
Stephenson, Robert proj: 90 24 6 0 5 13 0 0 2 22 0 0 105
Storen, Drew 2017: 72 18 3 0 1 7 0 0 6 17 0 1 85
Storen, Drew proj: 77 18 3 0 2 6 0 1 1 19 1 0 85
Wojciechowski, Asher 2017: 12 1 0 0 0 0 0 0 0 3 0 0 12
Wojciechowski, Asher proj: 11 3 1 0 0 1 0 0 0 3 0 0 12
Wood, Blake 2017: 80 20 4 1 0 11 2 0 0 19 0 0 93
Wood, Blake proj: 80 21 5 0 2 11 1 1 1 19 3 1 94
2017 TEAM TOTALS: 1480 359 83 7 61 178 11 9 20 358 23 12 1698
PROJECTED: 1491 381 80 6 59 160 9 10 22 322 29 10 1692
difference: -11 -22 +3 +1 +2 +18 +2 -1 -2 +36 -6 +2 +6
Man AB H 2B 3B HR BB SF SH HBP SO SB CS BFP


Assorted Team Stats:
Stat Actual Projected
Batting Average: .243 .256
Slugging Average: .432 .436
Walks (per PA): .105 .094
SOs (per PA): .211 .190
On-Base Average: .328 .333
Power Factor: 1.78 1.71
OPS: .760 .769
TPP Runs (to date): 210 217

Runs differential:
Actual TPP 7 less than Projected TPP.




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This page was last modified on Tuesday, 23 May 2017, at 6:59 am Pacific Time.