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Baseball team and player performance examined realistically and accurately.

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CIN "Expected" Pitching Results, 2017


About These Stats:

The form of "projection" used is very simple: each man's career numbers are pro-rated by his actual number of batters faced to date this season; those data, labelled "proj:" are shown along with the man's actual stats from this year to date. At the bottom of the Table, each set of lines—"projected" and actual—is separately summed to get Team Totals for each dataset.

Note that "career to date" includes each man's stats for the current year: "to date" is literally correct. For veteran players, that matters little, but for rookies or players with litle prior major-league experience, it means that the "projection" will perforce nearly or exactly match the actual stats to date. That seems like the best way to deal with newly arrived players' stats.

Note that owing to rounding in the pro-rating process, projected total BFP (batters faced) may occasionally differ by 1.

Below the player/team table is a smaller table showing a few key team "rate" stats (such as batting average) actual and projected.

The Actual Data:

Through games of Monday, 24 July 2017.
All results are from true, unadjusted data.

Handedness Key:   + R   * L

(You can also look up the stat definitions.)

Pitchers, listed in alphabetical order:
Each name is a click-on link to that man's career stats.

(or see the data for Batting)


Man AB H 2B 3B HR BB SF SH HBP SO SB CS BFP
Adleman, Tim 2017: 382 99 26 0 23 39 3 0 5 92 3 2 429
Adleman, Tim proj: 382 98 22 1 22 35 2 4 6 83 4 2 429
Arroyo, Bronson 2017: 294 94 27 1 23 19 2 5 2 45 1 2 322
Arroyo, Bronson proj: 293 78 17 1 11 21 2 3 3 49 2 2 322
Astin, Barrett 2017: 31 9 1 1 2 7 1 0 2 2 0 1 41
Astin, Barrett proj: 31 9 1 1 2 7 1 0 2 2 0 1 41
Bailey, Homer 2017: 116 43 11 0 6 13 0 3 2 20 4 0 134
Bailey, Homer proj: 120 32 6 1 4 10 1 1 1 26 3 1 133
Bonilla, Lisalverto 2017: 132 38 8 1 8 20 2 2 2 25 4 1 158
Bonilla, Lisalverto proj: 132 33 7 1 7 21 1 1 2 28 5 1 157
Brice, Austin 2017: 113 33 4 0 6 6 1 1 3 21 4 1 124
Brice, Austin proj: 112 28 4 0 5 7 1 1 3 24 3 1 124
Buchanan, Jake 2017: 64 24 5 0 1 7 1 2 3 4 0 0 77
Buchanan, Jake proj: 67 19 4 0 2 6 0 2 1 9 1 0 76
Castillo, Luis 2017: 129 29 5 2 7 15 2 0 0 43 1 0 146
Castillo, Luis proj: 129 29 5 2 7 15 2 0 0 43 1 0 146
Cingrani, Tony 2017: 84 22 6 0 7 5 0 0 1 21 1 1 90
Cingrani, Tony proj: 77 18 4 0 3 11 1 1 1 22 1 1 91
Davis, Rookie 2017: 81 29 6 0 3 13 1 2 1 15 4 0 98
Davis, Rookie proj: 81 29 6 0 3 13 1 2 1 15 4 0 98
Feldman, Scott 2017: 389 102 18 3 15 34 1 5 6 86 10 5 435
Feldman, Scott proj: 392 105 20 2 11 32 4 2 5 65 13 4 435
Finnegan, Brandon 2017: 46 9 2 0 1 13 0 0 0 16 1 0 59
Finnegan, Brandon proj: 51 12 2 0 2 7 0 0 0 13 1 0 58
Garrett, Amir 2017: 229 62 13 1 19 29 3 1 2 49 1 3 264
Garrett, Amir proj: 229 62 13 1 19 29 3 1 2 49 1 3 264
Hernandez, Ariel 2017: 53 8 1 0 5 10 0 0 0 21 2 0 63
Hernandez, Ariel proj: 53 8 1 0 5 10 0 0 0 21 2 0 63
Iglesias, Raisel 2017: 171 29 4 0 2 17 1 0 0 59 2 2 189
Iglesias, Raisel proj: 170 36 7 0 4 15 1 1 2 51 1 1 189
Lorenzen, Michael 2017: 194 45 6 1 5 22 1 1 3 46 2 1 221
Lorenzen, Michael proj: 195 51 11 1 7 22 0 1 4 42 3 1 222
Peralta, Wandy 2017: 159 32 7 0 5 12 1 0 1 43 0 1 173
Peralta, Wandy proj: 155 35 8 0 5 16 1 0 2 39 0 1 174
Reed, Cody 2017: 46 8 2 0 3 15 0 0 0 15 0 0 61
Reed, Cody proj: 53 16 3 0 3 7 0 0 1 12 2 0 61
Romano, Sal 2017: 68 18 6 1 3 11 1 1 1 18 2 1 82
Romano, Sal proj: 68 18 6 1 3 11 1 1 1 18 2 1 82
Shackelford, Kevin 2017: 13 5 0 0 2 1 0 0 0 3 0 0 14
Shackelford, Kevin proj: 13 5 0 0 2 1 0 0 0 3 0 0 14
Stephens, Jackson 2017: 20 6 1 0 2 1 0 0 0 8 0 1 21
Stephens, Jackson proj: 20 6 1 0 2 1 0 0 0 8 0 1 21
Stephenson, Robert 2017: 126 41 10 0 9 18 1 1 0 32 3 1 146
Stephenson, Robert proj: 126 38 8 0 8 17 0 0 2 29 1 0 145
Storen, Drew 2017: 147 34 5 0 4 15 1 0 7 35 2 1 170
Storen, Drew proj: 153 36 6 0 3 12 1 1 3 39 3 1 170
Wojciechowski, Asher 2017: 117 29 10 1 7 7 1 2 2 31 1 0 129
Wojciechowski, Asher proj: 116 32 11 2 6 9 2 1 1 29 1 0 129
Wood, Blake 2017: 176 47 9 1 3 23 4 0 1 48 4 2 204
Wood, Blake proj: 175 45 10 1 4 23 3 1 1 43 6 2 203
2017 TEAM TOTALS: 3380 895 193 13 171 372 28 26 44 798 52 26 3850
PROJECTED: 3393 878 183 15 150 358 28 24 44 762 60 24 3847
difference: -13 +17 +10 -2 +21 +14 0 +2 0 +36 -8 +2 +3
Man AB H 2B 3B HR BB SF SH HBP SO SB CS BFP


Assorted Team Stats:
Stat Actual Projected
Batting Average: .265 .259
Slugging Average: .481 .454
Walks (per PA): .097 .093
SOs (per PA): .207 .198
On-Base Average: .341 .333
Power Factor: 1.82 1.76
OPS: .822 .787
TPP Runs (to date): 545 510

Runs differential:
Actual TPP 35 more than Projected TPP.




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This page was last modified on Tuesday, 25 July 2017, at 7:06 am Pacific Time.