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CIN "Expected" Pitching Results, 2017


About These Stats:

The form of "projection" used is very simple: each man's career numbers are pro-rated by his actual number of batters faced to date this season; those data, labelled "proj:" are shown along with the man's actual stats from this year to date. At the bottom of the Table, each set of lines—"projected" and actual—is separately summed to get Team Totals for each dataset.

Note that "career to date" includes each man's stats for the current year: "to date" is literally correct. For veteran players, that matters little, but for rookies or players with litle prior major-league experience, it means that the "projection" will perforce nearly or exactly match the actual stats to date. That seems like the best way to deal with newly arrived players' stats.

Note that owing to rounding in the pro-rating process, projected total BFP (batters faced) may occasionally differ by 1.

Below the player/team table is a smaller table showing a few key team "rate" stats (such as batting average) actual and projected.

The Actual Data:

Through games of Wednesday, 21 June 2017.
All results are from true, unadjusted data.

Handedness Key:   + R   * L

(You can also look up the stat definitions.)

Pitchers, listed in alphabetical order:
Each name is a click-on link to that man's career stats.

(or see the data for Batting)


Man AB H 2B 3B HR BB SF SH HBP SO SB CS BFP
Adleman, Tim 2017: 257 62 13 0 13 28 1 0 3 61 2 1 289
Adleman, Tim proj: 257 63 12 1 13 24 1 3 4 54 3 1 289
Arroyo, Bronson 2017: 294 94 27 1 23 19 2 5 2 45 1 2 322
Arroyo, Bronson proj: 293 78 17 1 11 21 2 3 3 49 2 2 322
Astin, Barrett 2017: 31 9 1 1 2 7 1 0 2 2 0 1 41
Astin, Barrett proj: 31 9 1 1 2 7 1 0 2 2 0 1 41
Bonilla, Lisalverto 2017: 108 28 8 1 6 16 1 2 2 20 4 1 129
Bonilla, Lisalverto proj: 108 25 6 1 5 17 1 1 2 23 5 1 129
Brice, Austin 2017: 86 20 2 0 4 5 1 0 1 15 4 1 93
Brice, Austin proj: 84 18 2 0 4 6 1 0 2 18 2 1 93
Buchanan, Jake 2017: 64 24 5 0 1 7 1 2 3 4 0 0 77
Buchanan, Jake proj: 67 19 4 0 2 6 0 2 1 9 1 0 76
Cingrani, Tony 2017: 41 10 3 0 3 3 0 0 0 10 1 1 44
Cingrani, Tony proj: 38 9 2 0 1 5 0 0 0 11 0 0 43
Davis, Rookie 2017: 81 29 6 0 3 13 1 2 1 15 4 0 98
Davis, Rookie proj: 81 29 6 0 3 13 1 2 1 15 4 0 98
Feldman, Scott 2017: 313 83 16 3 10 28 0 4 6 68 10 5 351
Feldman, Scott proj: 316 85 16 2 9 26 3 2 4 52 11 3 351
Finnegan, Brandon 2017: 35 6 1 0 0 9 0 0 0 14 0 0 44
Finnegan, Brandon proj: 38 9 1 0 2 5 0 0 0 9 1 0 43
Garrett, Amir 2017: 229 62 13 1 19 29 3 1 2 49 1 3 264
Garrett, Amir proj: 229 62 13 1 19 29 3 1 2 49 1 3 264
Hernandez, Ariel 2017: 14 0 0 0 0 0 0 0 0 6 1 0 14
Hernandez, Ariel proj: 14 0 0 0 0 0 0 0 0 6 1 0 14
Iglesias, Raisel 2017: 114 16 3 0 2 16 0 0 0 42 1 1 130
Iglesias, Raisel proj: 116 24 5 0 3 11 0 1 2 35 1 0 130
Lorenzen, Michael 2017: 142 29 4 1 3 15 0 0 3 35 1 1 160
Lorenzen, Michael proj: 141 37 8 1 5 16 0 0 3 30 2 1 160
Peralta, Wandy 2017: 114 25 7 0 4 10 1 0 1 31 0 1 126
Peralta, Wandy proj: 111 27 8 0 4 13 1 0 2 27 0 1 127
Reed, Cody 2017: 46 8 2 0 3 15 0 0 0 15 0 0 61
Reed, Cody proj: 53 16 3 0 3 7 0 0 1 12 2 0 61
Stephenson, Robert 2017: 103 33 9 0 7 16 1 1 0 27 1 0 121
Stephenson, Robert proj: 104 31 7 0 7 15 0 0 2 24 0 0 121
Storen, Drew 2017: 116 26 3 0 2 13 0 0 6 26 0 1 135
Storen, Drew proj: 121 28 5 0 3 10 1 1 2 31 2 0 135
Wojciechowski, Asher 2017: 84 26 10 0 6 4 1 2 2 18 1 0 93
Wojciechowski, Asher proj: 83 26 10 1 4 6 2 1 1 18 1 0 93
Wood, Blake 2017: 129 32 6 1 2 16 2 0 1 35 2 2 148
Wood, Blake proj: 127 33 7 1 3 17 2 1 1 31 4 1 148
2017 TEAM TOTALS: 2401 622 139 9 113 269 16 19 35 538 34 21 2740
PROJECTED: 2412 628 133 10 103 254 19 18 35 505 43 15 2738
difference: -11 -6 +6 -1 +10 +15 -3 +1 0 +33 -9 +6 +2
Man AB H 2B 3B HR BB SF SH HBP SO SB CS BFP


Assorted Team Stats:
Stat Actual Projected
Batting Average: .259 .260
Slugging Average: .466 .452
Walks (per PA): .098 .093
SOs (per PA): .196 .184
On-Base Average: .338 .335
Power Factor: 1.8 1.74
OPS: .804 .787
TPP Runs (to date): 372 364

Runs differential:
Actual TPP 8 more than Projected TPP.




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This page was last modified on Thursday, 22 June 2017, at 7:04 am Pacific Time.