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CIN "Expected" Pitching Results, 2017


About These Stats:

The form of "projection" used is very simple: each man's career numbers are pro-rated by his actual number of batters faced to date this season; those data, labelled "proj:" are shown along with the man's actual stats from this year to date. At the bottom of the Table, each set of lines—"projected" and actual—is separately summed to get Team Totals for each dataset.

Note that "career to date" includes each man's stats for the current year: "to date" is literally correct. For veteran players, that matters little, but for rookies or players with litle prior major-league experience, it means that the "projection" will perforce nearly or exactly match the actual stats to date. That seems like the best way to deal with newly arrived players' stats.

Note that owing to rounding in the pro-rating process, projected total BFP (batters faced) may occasionally differ by 1.

Below the player/team table is a smaller table showing a few key team "rate" stats (such as batting average) actual and projected.

The Actual Data:

Through games of Thursday, 27 April 2017.
All results are from true, unadjusted data.

Handedness Key:   + R   * L

(You can also look up the stat definitions.)

Pitchers, listed in alphabetical order:
Each name is a click-on link to that man's career stats.

(or see the data for Batting)


Man AB H 2B 3B HR BB SF SH HBP SO SB CS BFP
Adleman, Tim 2017: 35 6 1 0 3 2 0 0 1 12 0 0 38
Adleman, Tim proj: 34 8 1 0 2 3 0 1 1 7 0 0 39
Arroyo, Bronson 2017: 82 21 5 0 6 5 0 2 0 16 0 0 89
Arroyo, Bronson proj: 81 21 5 0 3 6 1 1 1 14 1 0 90
Astin, Barrett 2017: 13 2 0 0 0 3 0 0 1 1 0 1 17
Astin, Barrett proj: 13 2 0 0 0 3 0 0 1 1 0 1 17
Bonilla, Lisalverto 2017: 18 3 1 1 1 3 0 0 1 6 0 0 22
Bonilla, Lisalverto proj: 18 3 1 0 1 3 0 0 0 5 1 0 21
Cingrani, Tony 2017: 18 4 1 0 1 1 0 0 0 5 0 0 19
Cingrani, Tony proj: 16 4 1 0 1 2 0 0 0 5 0 0 18
Davis, Rookie 2017: 45 18 3 0 3 7 1 0 0 9 3 0 53
Davis, Rookie proj: 45 18 3 0 3 7 1 0 0 9 3 0 53
Feldman, Scott 2017: 100 24 6 2 3 13 0 0 0 24 7 2 113
Feldman, Scott proj: 102 27 5 1 3 8 1 0 1 16 4 1 112
Finnegan, Brandon 2017: 35 6 1 0 0 9 0 0 0 14 0 0 44
Finnegan, Brandon proj: 38 9 1 0 2 5 0 0 0 9 1 0 43
Garrett, Amir 2017: 88 22 4 0 4 7 1 0 1 22 1 1 97
Garrett, Amir proj: 88 22 4 0 4 7 1 0 1 22 1 1 97
Hernandez, Ariel 2017: 8 0 0 0 0 0 0 0 0 5 1 0 8
Hernandez, Ariel proj: 8 0 0 0 0 0 0 0 0 5 1 0 8
Iglesias, Raisel 2017: 38 6 1 0 1 3 0 0 0 14 1 0 41
Iglesias, Raisel proj: 37 8 2 0 1 3 0 0 1 11 0 0 41
Lorenzen, Michael 2017: 50 13 3 1 1 4 0 0 1 13 0 1 55
Lorenzen, Michael proj: 49 13 3 0 2 5 0 0 1 10 1 0 55
Peralta, Wandy 2017: 31 2 0 0 1 2 0 0 0 14 0 0 33
Peralta, Wandy proj: 28 6 1 0 1 4 0 0 0 9 0 0 32
Reed, Cody 2017: 40 7 2 0 2 11 0 0 0 15 0 0 51
Reed, Cody proj: 44 13 3 0 3 5 0 0 1 11 1 0 50
Stephenson, Robert 2017: 45 15 4 0 3 10 1 1 0 17 1 0 57
Stephenson, Robert proj: 48 14 3 0 3 7 0 0 1 12 0 0 56
Storen, Drew 2017: 40 7 1 0 0 4 0 0 2 13 0 1 46
Storen, Drew proj: 41 10 2 0 1 3 0 0 1 11 1 0 45
Wood, Blake 2017: 40 12 3 1 0 1 0 0 0 11 0 0 41
Wood, Blake proj: 35 9 2 0 1 5 0 0 0 8 1 0 40
2017 TEAM TOTALS: 726 168 36 5 29 85 3 3 7 211 14 6 824
PROJECTED: 725 187 37 1 31 76 4 2 10 165 16 3 817
difference: +1 -19 -1 +4 -2 +9 -1 +1 -3 +46 -2 +3 +7
Man AB H 2B 3B HR BB SF SH HBP SO SB CS BFP


Assorted Team Stats:
Stat Actual Projected
Batting Average: .231 .258
Slugging Average: .415 .440
Walks (per PA): .103 .092
SOs (per PA): .256 .200
On-Base Average: .316 .334
Power Factor: 1.79 1.71
OPS: .730 .774
TPP Runs (to date): 96 108

Runs differential:
Actual TPP 12 less than Projected TPP.




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This page was last modified on Friday, 28 April 2017, at 6:56 am Pacific Time.