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CIN "Expected" Pitching Results, 2018


About These Stats:

The form of "projection" used is very simple: each man's career numbers are pro-rated by his actual number of batters faced to date this season; those data, labelled "proj:" are shown along with the man's actual stats from this year to date. At the bottom of the Table, each set of lines—"projected" and actual—is separately summed to get Team Totals for each dataset.

Note that "career to date" includes each man's stats for the current year: "to date" is literally correct. For veteran players, that matters little, but for rookies or players with litle prior major-league experience, it means that the "projection" will perforce nearly or exactly match the actual stats to date. That seems like the best way to deal with newly arrived players' stats.

Note that owing to rounding in the pro-rating process, projected total BFP (batters faced) may occasionally differ by 1.

Below the player/team table is a smaller table showing a few key team "rate" stats (such as batting average) actual and projected.

The Actual Data:

Through games of Sunday, 30 September 2018.
All results are from true, unadjusted data.

Handedness Key:   + R   * L

(You can also look up the stat definitions.)

Pitchers, listed in alphabetical order:
Each name is a click-on link to that man's career stats.

(or see the data for Batting)


Man AB H 2B 3B HR BB SF SH HBP SO SB CS BFP
Bailey, Homer 2018: 451 141 28 3 23 33 3 5 2 75 7 2 494
Bailey, Homer proj: 444 120 23 2 14 38 3 4 5 93 9 3 494
Blandino, Alex 2018: 4 1 0 0 0 0 0 0 0 2 0 0 4
Blandino, Alex proj: 4 1 0 0 0 0 0 0 0 2 0 0 4
Brice, Austin 2018: 144 39 9 1 9 13 1 1 3 32 3 1 162
Brice, Austin proj: 145 37 7 0 8 11 1 1 4 33 3 1 162
Castillo, Luis 2018: 645 158 36 0 28 49 6 3 5 165 5 1 708
Castillo, Luis proj: 638 147 33 1 26 54 6 5 5 175 4 1 708
Crockett, Kyle 2018: 44 16 4 0 1 2 0 0 0 11 1 0 46
Crockett, Kyle proj: 41 11 3 0 1 4 0 0 1 10 0 0 46
DeSclafani, Anthony 2018: 443 118 20 1 24 30 4 5 2 108 4 5 484
DeSclafani, Anthony proj: 440 119 24 1 15 30 4 7 3 98 9 4 484
Dixon, Brandon 2018: 4 0 0 0 0 0 0 0 0 1 0 0 4
Dixon, Brandon proj: 4 0 0 0 0 0 0 0 0 1 0 0 4
Ervin, Phillip 2018: 1 0 0 0 0 0 0 0 0 0 0 0 1
Ervin, Phillip proj: 1 0 0 0 0 0 0 0 0 0 0 0 1
Finnegan, Brandon 2018: 85 27 5 0 5 15 3 0 0 14 6 0 103
Finnegan, Brandon proj: 89 21 3 1 4 12 1 1 0 21 2 1 103
Floro, Dylan 2018: 142 39 10 1 2 12 3 2 0 27 5 1 159
Floro, Dylan proj: 143 39 8 0 2 12 2 1 1 32 3 0 159
Gallardo, Yovani 2018: 15 8 1 1 1 4 0 0 0 2 2 0 19
Gallardo, Yovani proj: 17 4 1 0 0 2 0 0 0 4 0 0 19
Garrett, Amir 2018: 234 56 15 1 8 25 1 1 3 71 2 1 264
Garrett, Amir proj: 230 59 13 1 14 29 2 1 2 60 3 2 264
Harvey, Matt 2018: 500 132 23 3 21 28 3 4 5 111 4 3 540
Harvey, Matt proj: 493 122 21 3 15 34 3 5 4 123 5 2 539
Hernandez, David 2018: 230 46 14 3 6 17 0 2 5 65 1 0 254
Hernandez, David proj: 226 53 11 1 8 23 1 1 2 60 3 1 253
Hughes, Jared 2018: 269 57 7 1 4 23 3 1 2 59 6 2 298
Hughes, Jared proj: 263 64 13 2 5 24 2 4 5 48 10 4 298
Iglesias, Raisel 2018: 261 52 9 0 12 25 2 1 2 80 1 1 291
Iglesias, Raisel proj: 262 56 11 1 8 23 1 2 3 79 2 1 291
Lorenzen, Michael 2018: 302 78 12 2 6 34 3 2 3 54 6 2 344
Lorenzen, Michael proj: 303 79 15 1 9 33 1 1 5 64 4 2 343
Mahle, Tyler 2018: 443 125 20 2 22 53 3 5 3 110 2 1 507
Mahle, Tyler proj: 438 122 20 2 19 54 3 6 6 105 2 1 507
Mella, Keury 2018: 37 13 4 0 4 8 0 2 1 8 1 0 48
Mella, Keury proj: 39 13 4 0 4 7 0 1 1 6 1 0 48
Pennington, Cliff 2018: 4 1 1 0 0 2 0 0 0 1 0 0 6
Pennington, Cliff proj: 4 1 1 0 0 2 0 0 0 1 0 0 6
Peralta, Wandy 2018: 192 58 9 0 2 31 1 1 2 31 4 2 227
Peralta, Wandy proj: 196 52 10 0 5 27 2 1 2 40 2 1 228
Quackenbush, Kevin 2018: 39 13 3 0 3 6 0 0 0 7 0 0 45
Quackenbush, Kevin proj: 40 10 2 0 1 4 1 0 0 9 1 0 45
Rainey, Tanner 2018: 32 13 4 0 4 12 1 0 0 7 0 0 45
Rainey, Tanner proj: 32 13 4 0 4 12 1 0 0 7 0 0 45
Reed, Cody 2018: 167 45 6 0 5 15 2 2 2 42 7 0 188
Reed, Cody proj: 163 47 9 0 8 20 1 1 2 39 6 0 187
Reyes, Jesus 2018: 21 4 0 1 1 2 0 0 1 2 0 0 24
Reyes, Jesus proj: 21 4 0 1 1 2 0 0 1 2 0 0 24
Romano, Sal 2018: 580 155 31 4 23 53 4 3 4 105 9 0 644
Romano, Sal proj: 571 154 36 4 20 56 6 6 5 112 7 3 644
Shackelford, Kevin 2018: 34 13 4 0 0 4 2 0 1 7 0 0 41
Shackelford, Kevin proj: 35 10 1 0 1 4 1 0 1 10 0 0 41
Sims, Lucas 2018: 19 3 1 0 1 5 0 0 1 6 1 0 25
Sims, Lucas proj: 21 6 2 0 1 3 0 0 0 5 0 0 24
Stephens, Jackson 2018: 163 50 7 3 7 15 0 2 3 33 2 0 183
Stephens, Jackson proj: 164 44 6 2 8 15 0 1 3 35 3 1 183
Stephenson, Robert 2018: 50 17 6 0 2 12 1 0 0 11 2 1 63
Stephenson, Robert proj: 53 14 4 0 2 9 1 1 1 13 1 1 65
Weiss, Zack 2018: 2 2 0 0 2 2 0 0 0 0 0 0 4
Weiss, Zack proj: 2 2 0 0 2 2 0 0 0 0 0 0 4
Wisler, Matt 2018: 49 11 2 0 2 2 2 1 0 11 1 0 54
Wisler, Matt proj: 49 13 3 0 2 4 1 0 0 9 1 0 54
2018 TEAM TOTALS: 5606 1491 291 27 228 532 48 43 50 1258 82 23 6279
PROJECTED: 5571 1437 288 23 207 550 44 50 62 1296 81 29 6277
difference: +35 +54 +3 +4 +21 -18 +4 -7 -12 -38 +1 -6 +2
Man AB H 2B 3B HR BB SF SH HBP SO SB CS BFP


Assorted Team Stats:
Stat Actual Projected
Batting Average: .266 .258
Slugging Average: .450 .429
Walks (per PA): .085 .088
SOs (per PA): .200 .206
On-Base Average: .330 .326
Power Factor: 1.69 1.66
OPS: .780 .756
TPP Runs (to date): 824 778

Runs differential:
Actual TPP 46 more than Projected TPP.




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This page was last modified on Monday, 1 October 2018, at 7:06 am Pacific Time.