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CIN "Expected" Pitching Results, 2017


About These Stats:

The form of "projection" used is very simple: each man's career numbers are pro-rated by his actual number of batters faced to date this season; those data, labelled "proj:" are shown along with the man's actual stats from this year to date. At the bottom of the Table, each set of lines—"projected" and actual—is separately summed to get Team Totals for each dataset.

Note that "career to date" includes each man's stats for the current year: "to date" is literally correct. For veteran players, that matters little, but for rookies or players with litle prior major-league experience, it means that the "projection" will perforce nearly or exactly match the actual stats to date. That seems like the best way to deal with newly arrived players' stats.

Note that owing to rounding in the pro-rating process, projected total BFP (batters faced) may occasionally differ by 1.

Below the player/team table is a smaller table showing a few key team "rate" stats (such as batting average) actual and projected.

The Actual Data:

Through games of Sunday, 24 September 2017.
All results are from true, unadjusted data.

Handedness Key:   + R   * L

(You can also look up the stat definitions.)

Pitchers, listed in alphabetical order:
Each name is a click-on link to that man's career stats.

(or see the data for Batting)


Man AB H 2B 3B HR BB SF SH HBP SO SB CS BFP
Adleman, Tim 2017: 469 124 34 2 29 51 4 1 6 108 6 2 531
Adleman, Tim proj: 470 122 29 3 27 46 3 5 7 101 6 2 531
Arroyo, Bronson 2017: 294 94 27 1 23 19 2 5 2 45 1 2 322
Arroyo, Bronson proj: 293 78 17 1 11 21 2 3 3 49 2 2 322
Astin, Barrett 2017: 31 9 1 1 2 7 1 0 2 2 0 1 41
Astin, Barrett proj: 31 9 1 1 2 7 1 0 2 2 0 1 41
Bailey, Homer 2017: 340 108 31 0 11 39 2 5 7 63 8 3 393
Bailey, Homer proj: 353 94 18 2 11 30 3 3 4 76 8 3 393
Bonilla, Lisalverto 2017: 144 42 9 2 8 22 2 2 2 28 4 1 172
Bonilla, Lisalverto proj: 144 37 7 2 7 23 1 1 2 30 5 1 171
Brice, Austin 2017: 125 33 4 0 6 7 1 1 3 26 4 1 137
Brice, Austin proj: 124 29 4 0 6 8 1 1 3 28 3 1 137
Buchanan, Jake 2017: 64 24 5 0 1 7 1 2 3 4 0 0 77
Buchanan, Jake proj: 67 19 4 0 2 6 0 2 1 9 1 0 76
Castillo, Luis 2017: 317 64 13 2 11 32 3 4 3 98 1 0 359
Castillo, Luis proj: 317 64 13 2 11 32 3 4 3 98 1 0 359
Chacin, Alejandro 2017: 28 11 2 0 2 4 0 0 0 6 0 0 32
Chacin, Alejandro proj: 28 11 2 0 2 4 0 0 0 6 0 0 32
Cingrani, Tony 2017: 92 25 7 0 9 6 0 0 1 24 1 1 99
Cingrani, Tony proj: 85 20 4 0 3 12 1 1 1 25 1 1 100
Davis, Rookie 2017: 105 38 8 0 7 14 1 2 1 20 5 0 123
Davis, Rookie proj: 105 38 8 0 7 14 1 2 1 20 5 0 123
Farrell, Luke 2017: 29 5 1 0 1 7 0 0 0 6 0 0 36
Farrell, Luke proj: 29 8 1 0 1 7 0 0 0 5 0 0 36
Feldman, Scott 2017: 424 116 20 3 21 35 1 6 6 93 13 5 472
Feldman, Scott proj: 426 115 21 2 13 35 4 2 5 70 14 4 472
Finnegan, Brandon 2017: 46 9 2 0 1 13 0 0 0 16 1 0 59
Finnegan, Brandon proj: 51 12 2 0 2 7 0 0 0 13 1 0 58
Garrett, Amir 2017: 270 72 13 1 23 40 3 1 2 62 4 4 316
Garrett, Amir proj: 270 72 13 1 23 40 3 1 2 62 4 4 316
Gennett, Scooter 2017: 5 2 0 0 1 1 0 0 1 0 0 0 7
Gennett, Scooter proj: 5 2 0 0 1 1 0 0 1 0 0 0 7
Hernandez, Ariel 2017: 75 11 2 0 6 17 0 0 0 28 5 0 92
Hernandez, Ariel proj: 75 11 2 0 6 17 0 0 0 28 5 0 92
Iglesias, Raisel 2017: 272 56 8 1 4 27 1 1 1 92 3 3 302
Iglesias, Raisel proj: 272 59 12 1 7 24 1 2 4 82 2 1 303
Lorenzen, Michael 2017: 310 76 12 1 8 33 1 2 4 76 3 1 350
Lorenzen, Michael proj: 309 81 17 1 10 34 1 1 5 68 4 2 350
Mahle, Tyler 2017: 75 19 4 0 0 11 0 2 4 14 0 0 92
Mahle, Tyler proj: 75 19 4 0 0 11 0 2 4 14 0 0 92
McGuire, Deck 2017: 19 2 0 0 0 0 0 0 1 4 0 0 20
McGuire, Deck proj: 19 2 0 0 0 0 0 0 1 4 0 0 20
Mella, Keury 2017: 8 2 2 0 0 2 0 0 0 1 0 0 10
Mella, Keury proj: 8 2 2 0 0 2 0 0 0 1 0 0 10
Peralta, Wandy 2017: 225 52 11 0 8 21 2 2 1 53 0 1 251
Peralta, Wandy proj: 222 55 12 0 8 24 2 2 2 50 0 1 252
Reed, Cody 2017: 57 11 4 0 3 19 0 0 0 16 0 0 76
Reed, Cody proj: 65 19 4 0 4 9 0 0 1 15 2 0 75
Romano, Sal 2017: 309 84 25 2 9 35 5 6 3 66 2 4 358
Romano, Sal proj: 309 84 25 2 9 35 5 6 3 66 2 4 358
Shackelford, Kevin 2017: 108 29 2 0 6 12 1 0 3 31 0 0 124
Shackelford, Kevin proj: 108 29 2 0 6 12 1 0 3 31 0 0 124
Stephens, Jackson 2017: 76 15 3 0 5 6 0 0 1 16 2 1 83
Stephens, Jackson proj: 76 15 3 0 5 6 0 0 1 16 2 1 83
Stephenson, Robert 2017: 300 77 22 1 12 51 5 4 2 86 4 5 362
Stephenson, Robert proj: 304 80 20 1 14 48 3 3 4 80 3 3 362
Storen, Drew 2017: 210 57 9 1 7 23 3 0 10 48 2 2 246
Storen, Drew proj: 221 53 9 1 5 18 2 2 4 56 3 1 247
Wojciechowski, Asher 2017: 240 68 16 3 14 17 2 5 5 63 3 1 269
Wojciechowski, Asher proj: 240 70 19 4 12 19 3 4 4 61 3 1 270
Wood, Blake 2017: 225 64 11 1 5 29 4 0 1 62 5 3 259
Wood, Blake proj: 224 59 12 1 6 29 3 2 2 56 7 3 260
2017 TEAM TOTALS: 5292 1399 308 22 243 607 45 51 75 1257 77 41 6070
PROJECTED: 5325 1368 287 25 221 581 44 49 73 1222 84 36 6072
difference: -33 +31 +21 -3 +22 +26 +1 +2 +2 +35 -7 +5 -2
Man AB H 2B 3B HR BB SF SH HBP SO SB CS BFP


Assorted Team Stats:
Stat Actual Projected
Batting Average: .264 .257
Slugging Average: .469 .445
Walks (per PA): .100 .096
SOs (per PA): .207 .201
On-Base Average: .343 .333
Power Factor: 1.77 1.73
OPS: .811 .778
TPP Runs (to date): 840 788

Runs differential:
Actual TPP 52 more than Projected TPP.




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This page was last modified on Monday, 25 September 2017, at 7:16 am Pacific Time.