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Baseball team and player performance examined realistically and accurately.

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CLE "Expected" Pitching Results, 2018


About These Stats:

The form of "projection" used is very simple: each man's career numbers are pro-rated by his actual number of batters faced to date this season; those data, labelled "proj:" are shown along with the man's actual stats from this year to date. At the bottom of the Table, each set of lines—"projected" and actual—is separately summed to get Team Totals for each dataset.

Note that "career to date" includes each man's stats for the current year: "to date" is literally correct. For veteran players, that matters little, but for rookies or players with litle prior major-league experience, it means that the "projection" will perforce nearly or exactly match the actual stats to date. That seems like the best way to deal with newly arrived players' stats.

Note that owing to rounding in the pro-rating process, projected total BFP (batters faced) may occasionally differ by 1.

Below the player/team table is a smaller table showing a few key team "rate" stats (such as batting average) actual and projected.

The Actual Data:

Through games of Sunday, 30 September 2018.
All results are from true, unadjusted data.

Handedness Key:   + R   * L

(You can also look up the stat definitions.)

Pitchers, listed in alphabetical order:
Each name is a click-on link to that man's career stats.

(or see the data for Batting)


Man AB H 2B 3B HR BB SF SH HBP SO SB CS BFP
Allen, Cody 2018: 251 58 10 1 11 33 0 1 4 80 2 0 289
Allen, Cody proj: 256 56 11 1 7 27 2 2 2 89 4 1 289
Bauer, Trevor 2018: 645 134 30 2 9 57 3 3 9 221 11 6 717
Bauer, Trevor proj: 636 154 33 3 18 66 4 3 8 173 11 6 717
Belisle, Matt 2018: 41 9 3 0 1 1 0 0 2 4 1 0 44
Belisle, Matt proj: 40 11 2 0 1 3 0 0 0 8 0 0 43
Beliveau, Jeff 2018: 20 7 1 0 2 5 0 0 1 2 0 0 26
Beliveau, Jeff proj: 22 6 1 0 1 3 0 0 0 6 0 0 25
Bieber, Shane 2018: 456 130 40 2 13 23 4 0 2 118 4 2 485
Bieber, Shane proj: 456 130 40 2 13 23 4 0 2 118 4 2 485
Carrasco, Carlos 2018: 726 173 31 6 21 43 5 4 6 231 15 4 784
Carrasco, Carlos proj: 721 178 39 4 21 48 6 3 6 197 11 7 784
Cimber, Adam 2018: 80 26 9 0 3 7 0 1 4 7 1 0 92
Cimber, Adam proj: 83 22 6 1 2 6 1 1 2 19 2 0 93
Clevinger, Mike 2018: 738 164 36 3 21 67 1 0 4 207 16 3 810
Clevinger, Mike proj: 723 160 39 2 22 82 1 1 4 207 13 7 811
Drake, Oliver 2018: 20 7 2 0 0 1 0 0 1 4 0 0 22
Drake, Oliver proj: 20 5 1 0 0 2 0 0 0 5 0 0 22
Edwards, Jon 2018: 33 6 2 0 2 4 0 0 0 10 0 0 37
Edwards, Jon proj: 30 7 1 0 1 6 0 0 0 10 1 0 36
Goody, Nick 2018: 52 15 5 1 4 5 0 0 1 12 0 0 58
Goody, Nick proj: 51 12 3 0 2 5 0 0 1 16 0 0 57
Guyer, Brandon 2018: 3 0 0 0 0 0 0 0 0 0 0 0 3
Guyer, Brandon proj: 3 0 0 0 0 0 0 0 0 0 0 0 3
Hand, Brad 2018: 99 19 5 0 3 13 0 1 2 41 0 0 115
Hand, Brad proj: 102 24 5 0 3 11 1 1 1 26 2 1 116
Kluber, Corey 2018: 801 179 32 4 25 34 2 2 3 222 4 7 842
Kluber, Corey proj: 784 180 39 3 21 45 2 5 7 229 11 7 843
Kontos, George 2018: 19 3 1 0 1 2 0 0 0 4 1 0 21
Kontos, George proj: 19 4 1 0 1 1 0 0 0 4 0 0 20
Marshall, Evan 2018: 32 12 1 0 0 4 0 0 1 9 0 0 37
Marshall, Evan proj: 33 11 3 0 1 3 0 0 0 7 0 0 36
McAllister, Zach 2018: 166 47 11 2 7 10 1 2 1 34 6 0 180
McAllister, Zach proj: 163 44 9 1 5 14 1 1 1 38 4 1 180
Miller, Andrew 2018: 133 31 10 1 3 16 0 0 5 45 1 0 154
Miller, Andrew proj: 132 31 6 1 3 16 1 2 2 42 3 1 153
Ogando, Alexi 2018: 5 2 1 0 0 3 0 0 0 1 0 0 8
Ogando, Alexi proj: 7 2 0 0 0 1 0 0 0 2 0 0 8
Olson, Tyler 2018: 106 26 8 0 4 12 0 0 0 40 1 0 118
Olson, Tyler proj: 102 26 7 0 3 13 0 1 1 29 0 0 117
Otero, Dan 2018: 239 69 18 0 12 5 0 0 3 43 0 0 247
Otero, Dan proj: 234 63 12 1 5 9 1 2 1 40 1 1 247
Perez, Oliver 2018: 110 17 2 0 1 7 1 0 2 43 3 2 120
Perez, Oliver proj: 102 25 4 1 4 14 1 1 2 29 1 0 120
Plutko, Adam 2018: 299 78 23 1 21 23 2 1 1 60 1 3 326
Plutko, Adam proj: 299 79 23 1 21 24 2 1 1 60 1 3 327
Ramirez, Neil 2018: 158 36 9 0 9 18 0 1 3 51 12 1 180
Ramirez, Neil proj: 155 36 8 1 7 21 2 0 2 50 6 1 180
Rzepczynski, Marc 2018: 9 3 1 0 0 1 0 0 0 1 0 0 10
Rzepczynski, Marc proj: 9 2 0 0 0 1 0 0 0 2 0 0 10
Taylor, Ben 2018: 24 6 2 0 2 1 0 0 0 8 0 0 25
Taylor, Ben proj: 23 6 1 0 1 2 0 0 0 6 0 0 25
Tomlin, Josh 2018: 303 92 18 0 25 12 2 0 4 46 2 0 321
Tomlin, Josh proj: 305 83 18 2 14 11 2 1 2 52 1 1 321
2018 TEAM TOTALS: 5568 1349 311 23 200 407 21 16 59 1544 81 28 6071
PROJECTED: 5510 1357 312 24 177 457 31 25 45 1464 76 39 6068
difference: +58 -8 -1 -1 +23 -50 -10 -9 +14 +80 +5 -11 +3
Man AB H 2B 3B HR BB SF SH HBP SO SB CS BFP


Assorted Team Stats:
Stat Actual Projected
Batting Average: .242 .246
Slugging Average: .414 .408
Walks (per PA): .067 .075
SOs (per PA): .254 .241
On-Base Average: .299 .306
Power Factor: 1.71 1.66
OPS: .713 .714
TPP Runs (to date): 672 669

Runs differential:
Actual TPP 3 more than Projected TPP.




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This page was last modified on Monday, 1 October 2018, at 7:06 am Pacific Time.