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CLE "Expected" Pitching Results, 2017


About These Stats:

The form of "projection" used is very simple: each man's career numbers are pro-rated by his actual number of batters faced to date this season; those data, labelled "proj:" are shown along with the man's actual stats from this year to date. At the bottom of the Table, each set of lines—"projected" and actual—is separately summed to get Team Totals for each dataset.

Note that "career to date" includes each man's stats for the current year: "to date" is literally correct. For veteran players, that matters little, but for rookies or players with litle prior major-league experience, it means that the "projection" will perforce nearly or exactly match the actual stats to date. That seems like the best way to deal with newly arrived players' stats.

Note that owing to rounding in the pro-rating process, projected total BFP (batters faced) may occasionally differ by 1.

Below the player/team table is a smaller table showing a few key team "rate" stats (such as batting average) actual and projected.

The Actual Data:

Through games of Sunday, 1 October 2017.
All results are from true, unadjusted data.

Handedness Key:   + R   * L

(You can also look up the stat definitions.)

Pitchers, listed in alphabetical order:
Each name is a click-on link to that man's career stats.

(or see the data for Batting)


Man AB H 2B 3B HR BB SF SH HBP SO SB CS BFP
Allen, Cody 2017: 258 57 8 1 9 21 0 1 2 92 6 1 282
Allen, Cody proj: 251 54 11 1 6 26 2 2 1 89 4 1 282
Armstrong, Shawn 2017: 97 23 3 0 5 10 0 0 1 20 1 0 108
Armstrong, Shawn proj: 97 22 4 0 4 10 0 1 1 23 1 0 109
Bauer, Trevor 2017: 680 181 41 3 25 60 3 1 5 196 4 6 749
Bauer, Trevor proj: 662 166 36 3 21 71 5 3 8 169 11 6 749
Breslow, Craig 2017: 14 3 1 0 0 2 0 0 0 5 0 0 16
Breslow, Craig proj: 14 4 1 0 0 1 0 0 0 3 0 0 15
Carrasco, Carlos 2017: 735 173 44 2 21 46 6 1 10 226 5 8 798
Carrasco, Carlos proj: 733 182 41 3 21 51 6 3 6 193 10 8 799
Clevinger, Mike 2017: 438 92 25 0 13 60 0 1 3 137 4 10 502
Clevinger, Mike proj: 438 97 26 0 14 61 1 1 2 128 6 7 503
Crockett, Kyle 2017: 9 4 0 0 0 1 0 0 1 2 0 0 11
Crockett, Kyle proj: 10 3 1 0 0 1 0 0 0 2 0 0 11
Goody, Nick 2017: 197 39 7 1 7 20 0 1 3 72 1 0 221
Goody, Nick proj: 196 44 11 1 8 21 1 1 3 64 1 1 222
Kluber, Corey 2017: 732 141 31 0 21 36 1 3 5 265 15 5 777
Kluber, Corey proj: 720 167 38 2 18 43 2 5 7 213 11 6 777
Logan, Boone 2017: 80 20 2 0 2 9 0 1 1 28 0 0 91
Logan, Boone proj: 79 21 4 0 2 9 1 1 1 22 1 0 91
Martinez, Michael 2017: 4 1 1 0 0 0 0 0 0 0 0 0 4
Martinez, Michael proj: 4 1 1 0 0 0 0 0 0 0 0 0 4
McAllister, Zach 2017: 226 53 4 1 8 21 0 1 1 66 3 2 249
McAllister, Zach proj: 226 60 13 1 6 20 1 1 1 53 5 1 249
Merritt, Ryan 2017: 84 26 5 0 0 4 1 0 0 7 2 0 89
Merritt, Ryan proj: 85 23 4 0 0 3 1 1 0 9 1 0 90
Miller, Andrew 2017: 215 31 4 0 3 21 1 2 5 95 1 0 244
Miller, Andrew proj: 210 49 9 1 5 26 2 3 3 65 4 1 244
Olson, Tyler 2017: 69 13 2 0 0 6 0 1 1 18 0 0 77
Olson, Tyler proj: 65 17 4 0 1 9 0 1 1 13 0 0 76
Otero, Dan 2017: 231 63 8 1 6 9 1 1 0 38 2 1 242
Otero, Dan proj: 229 61 10 1 4 9 1 2 1 38 2 1 242
Salazar, Danny 2017: 388 94 19 0 14 44 3 1 3 145 1 3 439
Salazar, Danny proj: 395 95 18 2 13 37 3 1 3 122 2 3 439
Shaw, Bryan 2017: 288 71 12 2 5 22 1 1 0 73 3 0 312
Shaw, Bryan proj: 280 67 11 1 6 25 1 3 2 67 5 2 311
Smith, Joe 2017: 70 16 4 0 1 0 0 0 0 20 1 0 70
Smith, Joe proj: 62 14 2 0 1 6 0 1 1 15 1 0 70
Tomlin, Josh 2017: 564 166 41 1 23 14 3 0 4 109 1 1 585
Tomlin, Josh proj: 556 150 32 4 24 21 3 2 3 97 2 2 585
2017 TEAM TOTALS: 5379 1267 262 12 163 406 20 16 45 1614 50 37 5866
PROJECTED: 5312 1297 277 20 154 450 30 32 44 1385 67 39 5868
difference: +67 -30 -15 -8 +9 -44 -10 -16 +1 +229 -17 -2 -2
Man AB H 2B 3B HR BB SF SH HBP SO SB CS BFP


Assorted Team Stats:
Stat Actual Projected
Batting Average: .236 .244
Slugging Average: .380 .391
Walks (per PA): .069 .077
SOs (per PA): .275 .236
On-Base Average: .293 .305
Power Factor: 1.61 1.6
OPS: .672 .696
TPP Runs (to date): 581 621

Runs differential:
Actual TPP 40 less than Projected TPP.




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This page was last modified on Monday, 2 October 2017, at 7:15 am Pacific Time.