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CLE "Expected" Pitching Results, 2017


About These Stats:

The form of "projection" used is very simple: each man's career numbers are pro-rated by his actual number of batters faced to date this season; those data, labelled "proj:" are shown along with the man's actual stats from this year to date. At the bottom of the Table, each set of lines—"projected" and actual—is separately summed to get Team Totals for each dataset.

Note that "career to date" includes each man's stats for the current year: "to date" is literally correct. For veteran players, that matters little, but for rookies or players with litle prior major-league experience, it means that the "projection" will perforce nearly or exactly match the actual stats to date. That seems like the best way to deal with newly arrived players' stats.

Note that owing to rounding in the pro-rating process, projected total BFP (batters faced) may occasionally differ by 1.

Below the player/team table is a smaller table showing a few key team "rate" stats (such as batting average) actual and projected.

The Actual Data:

Through games of Friday, 18 August 2017.
All results are from true, unadjusted data.

Handedness Key:   + R   * L

(You can also look up the stat definitions.)

Pitchers, listed in alphabetical order:
Each name is a click-on link to that man's career stats.

(or see the data for Batting)


Man AB H 2B 3B HR BB SF SH HBP SO SB CS BFP
Allen, Cody 2017: 184 43 8 1 6 17 0 1 2 66 5 1 204
Allen, Cody proj: 181 39 9 1 4 19 2 2 1 64 3 1 205
Armstrong, Shawn 2017: 84 20 3 0 4 9 0 0 1 18 1 0 94
Armstrong, Shawn proj: 84 19 3 0 3 9 0 1 1 20 1 0 95
Bauer, Trevor 2017: 498 135 31 2 19 46 3 1 2 145 4 3 550
Bauer, Trevor proj: 485 121 26 2 16 53 4 2 5 123 9 4 549
Carrasco, Carlos 2017: 526 123 33 2 18 39 4 1 8 161 2 8 578
Carrasco, Carlos proj: 529 132 30 2 16 38 5 2 4 138 7 6 578
Clevinger, Mike 2017: 304 66 19 0 11 44 0 0 2 95 2 8 350
Clevinger, Mike proj: 304 70 19 0 11 44 1 0 1 87 4 5 350
Crockett, Kyle 2017: 4 2 0 0 0 1 0 0 1 1 0 0 6
Crockett, Kyle proj: 5 1 0 0 0 1 0 0 0 1 0 0 6
Goody, Nick 2017: 157 32 7 0 5 17 0 1 2 59 1 0 177
Goody, Nick proj: 156 36 10 1 6 17 1 1 2 51 1 1 177
Kluber, Corey 2017: 521 103 23 0 16 31 1 2 3 196 15 5 558
Kluber, Corey proj: 516 121 27 2 13 32 1 3 5 152 9 5 557
Logan, Boone 2017: 80 20 2 0 2 9 0 1 1 28 0 0 91
Logan, Boone proj: 79 21 4 0 2 9 1 1 1 22 1 0 91
Martinez, Michael 2017: 4 1 1 0 0 0 0 0 0 0 0 0 4
Martinez, Michael proj: 4 1 1 0 0 0 0 0 0 0 0 0 4
McAllister, Zach 2017: 181 41 4 1 7 17 0 1 1 56 3 2 200
McAllister, Zach proj: 181 48 11 1 5 16 1 1 1 43 4 1 200
Merritt, Ryan 2017: 38 14 2 0 0 1 1 0 0 3 1 0 40
Merritt, Ryan proj: 38 10 2 0 0 1 1 1 0 5 1 0 41
Miller, Andrew 2017: 187 26 4 0 3 16 1 2 5 79 1 0 211
Miller, Andrew proj: 181 43 8 1 4 22 2 3 3 56 4 1 211
Olson, Tyler 2017: 33 8 1 0 0 1 0 0 1 13 0 0 35
Olson, Tyler proj: 29 9 2 0 1 4 0 1 1 7 0 0 35
Otero, Dan 2017: 183 53 7 1 6 9 0 1 0 29 2 0 193
Otero, Dan proj: 182 49 8 1 3 8 1 2 1 30 1 1 194
Salazar, Danny 2017: 327 77 16 0 12 37 3 1 2 123 0 3 370
Salazar, Danny proj: 333 80 15 1 11 31 2 1 2 103 2 2 369
Shaw, Bryan 2017: 211 53 12 2 3 19 1 1 0 47 3 0 232
Shaw, Bryan proj: 208 50 8 1 5 19 1 2 2 49 4 1 232
Smith, Joe 2017: 21 2 0 0 0 0 0 0 0 7 0 0 21
Smith, Joe proj: 19 4 1 0 0 2 0 0 0 4 0 0 21
Tomlin, Josh 2017: 443 131 32 0 19 12 3 0 4 86 1 1 462
Tomlin, Josh proj: 439 118 25 3 19 17 3 2 3 76 1 1 464
2017 TEAM TOTALS: 3986 950 205 9 131 325 17 13 35 1212 41 31 4376
PROJECTED: 3953 972 209 16 119 342 26 25 33 1031 52 29 4379
difference: +33 -22 -4 -7 +12 -17 -9 -12 +2 +181 -11 +2 -3
Man AB H 2B 3B HR BB SF SH HBP SO SB CS BFP


Assorted Team Stats:
Stat Actual Projected
Batting Average: .238 .246
Slugging Average: .393 .397
Walks (per PA): .074 .078
SOs (per PA): .277 .236
On-Base Average: .299 .308
Power Factor: 1.65 1.62
OPS: .692 .705
TPP Runs (to date): 455 473

Runs differential:
Actual TPP 18 less than Projected TPP.




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This page was last modified on Saturday, 19 August 2017, at 7:11 am Pacific Time.