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Baseball team and player performance examined realistically and accurately.

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CLE "Expected" Pitching Results, 2017


About These Stats:

The form of "projection" used is very simple: each man's career numbers are pro-rated by his actual number of batters faced to date this season; those data, labelled "proj:" are shown along with the man's actual stats from this year to date. At the bottom of the Table, each set of lines—"projected" and actual—is separately summed to get Team Totals for each dataset.

Note that "career to date" includes each man's stats for the current year: "to date" is literally correct. For veteran players, that matters little, but for rookies or players with litle prior major-league experience, it means that the "projection" will perforce nearly or exactly match the actual stats to date. That seems like the best way to deal with newly arrived players' stats.

Note that owing to rounding in the pro-rating process, projected total BFP (batters faced) may occasionally differ by 1.

Below the player/team table is a smaller table showing a few key team "rate" stats (such as batting average) actual and projected.

The Actual Data:

Through games of Sunday, 23 July 2017.
All results are from true, unadjusted data.

Handedness Key:   + R   * L

(You can also look up the stat definitions.)

Pitchers, listed in alphabetical order:
Each name is a click-on link to that man's career stats.

(or see the data for Batting)


Man AB H 2B 3B HR BB SF SH HBP SO SB CS BFP
Allen, Cody 2017: 152 38 7 1 5 15 0 1 1 51 4 1 169
Allen, Cody proj: 150 32 7 1 4 16 1 1 1 53 3 1 169
Armstrong, Shawn 2017: 72 15 2 0 4 6 0 0 1 16 0 0 79
Armstrong, Shawn proj: 71 15 3 0 3 7 0 1 1 18 1 0 80
Bauer, Trevor 2017: 385 106 25 2 14 41 3 1 2 111 3 1 432
Bauer, Trevor proj: 380 95 20 2 12 43 3 2 4 95 7 3 432
Carrasco, Carlos 2017: 426 98 27 1 15 31 3 0 6 130 2 7 466
Carrasco, Carlos proj: 427 106 24 2 13 30 4 2 3 110 6 5 466
Clevinger, Mike 2017: 228 41 11 0 7 33 0 0 2 73 2 7 263
Clevinger, Mike proj: 229 48 13 0 8 33 1 0 1 65 4 4 264
Crockett, Kyle 2017: 4 2 0 0 0 1 0 0 1 1 0 0 6
Crockett, Kyle proj: 5 1 0 0 0 1 0 0 0 1 0 0 6
Goody, Nick 2017: 126 24 5 0 3 15 0 1 1 41 0 0 143
Goody, Nick proj: 126 29 8 0 5 14 0 1 1 38 0 0 142
Kluber, Corey 2017: 391 78 18 0 11 26 1 1 1 149 13 4 420
Kluber, Corey proj: 388 92 21 1 10 24 1 3 4 113 6 3 420
Logan, Boone 2017: 80 20 2 0 2 9 0 1 1 28 0 0 91
Logan, Boone proj: 79 21 4 0 2 9 1 1 1 22 1 0 91
Martinez, Michael 2017: 4 1 1 0 0 0 0 0 0 0 0 0 4
Martinez, Michael proj: 4 1 1 0 0 0 0 0 0 0 0 0 4
McAllister, Zach 2017: 151 33 3 1 5 14 0 0 1 49 3 2 166
McAllister, Zach proj: 150 40 9 1 4 13 1 0 1 35 4 1 165
Merritt, Ryan 2017: 22 8 2 0 0 0 0 0 0 2 0 0 22
Merritt, Ryan proj: 22 5 1 0 0 0 0 0 0 3 0 0 22
Miller, Andrew 2017: 164 22 3 0 3 13 1 1 3 70 1 0 182
Miller, Andrew proj: 157 37 7 1 4 19 2 2 2 48 3 1 182
Olson, Tyler 2017: 3 1 0 0 0 0 0 0 1 1 0 0 4
Olson, Tyler proj: 3 1 0 0 0 1 0 0 0 0 0 0 4
Otero, Dan 2017: 152 43 5 1 6 7 0 1 0 24 2 0 160
Otero, Dan proj: 151 40 7 1 3 6 1 1 1 25 1 1 160
Salazar, Danny 2017: 236 60 12 0 11 28 3 1 2 85 0 2 270
Salazar, Danny proj: 243 59 11 1 8 23 2 1 2 74 2 2 271
Shaw, Bryan 2017: 164 38 10 1 2 18 1 1 0 38 3 0 184
Shaw, Bryan proj: 164 39 7 1 4 16 1 2 1 39 3 1 184
Tomlin, Josh 2017: 410 127 32 0 17 11 3 0 3 75 1 1 427
Tomlin, Josh proj: 405 109 23 3 18 15 2 1 2 69 1 1 425
2017 TEAM TOTALS: 3170 755 165 7 105 268 15 9 26 944 34 25 3488
PROJECTED: 3154 770 166 14 98 270 20 18 25 808 42 23 3487
difference: +16 -15 -1 -7 +7 -2 -5 -9 +1 +136 -8 +2 +1
Man AB H 2B 3B HR BB SF SH HBP SO SB CS BFP


Assorted Team Stats:
Stat Actual Projected
Batting Average: .238 .244
Slugging Average: .394 .399
Walks (per PA): .077 .077
SOs (per PA): .271 .232
On-Base Average: .301 .305
Power Factor: 1.65 1.63
OPS: .695 .704
TPP Runs (to date): 365 377

Runs differential:
Actual TPP 12 less than Projected TPP.




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This page was last modified on Monday, 24 July 2017, at 7:05 am Pacific Time.