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CLE "Expected" Pitching Results, 2018


About These Stats:

The form of "projection" used is very simple: each man's career numbers are pro-rated by his actual number of batters faced to date this season; those data, labelled "proj:" are shown along with the man's actual stats from this year to date. At the bottom of the Table, each set of lines—"projected" and actual—is separately summed to get Team Totals for each dataset.

Note that "career to date" includes each man's stats for the current year: "to date" is literally correct. For veteran players, that matters little, but for rookies or players with litle prior major-league experience, it means that the "projection" will perforce nearly or exactly match the actual stats to date. That seems like the best way to deal with newly arrived players' stats.

Note that owing to rounding in the pro-rating process, projected total BFP (batters faced) may occasionally differ by 1.

Below the player/team table is a smaller table showing a few key team "rate" stats (such as batting average) actual and projected.

The Actual Data:

Through games of Tuesday, 22 May 2018.
All results are from true, unadjusted data.

Handedness Key:   + R   * L

(You can also look up the stat definitions.)

Pitchers, listed in alphabetical order:
Each name is a click-on link to that man's career stats.

(or see the data for Batting)


Man AB H 2B 3B HR BB SF SH HBP SO SB CS BFP
Allen, Cody 2018: 71 16 4 0 2 8 0 0 1 21 0 0 80
Allen, Cody proj: 71 15 3 0 2 7 1 1 0 25 1 0 80
Bauer, Trevor 2018: 243 52 14 0 3 23 1 1 4 73 3 1 272
Bauer, Trevor proj: 241 60 13 1 7 26 2 1 3 62 4 2 273
Belisle, Matt 2018: 41 9 3 0 1 1 0 0 2 4 1 0 44
Belisle, Matt proj: 40 11 2 0 1 3 0 0 0 8 0 0 43
Beliveau, Jeff 2018: 15 5 1 0 1 4 0 0 1 2 0 0 20
Beliveau, Jeff proj: 17 5 1 0 1 2 0 0 0 4 0 0 19
Carrasco, Carlos 2018: 245 57 10 0 8 14 2 2 1 63 6 1 264
Carrasco, Carlos proj: 243 60 13 1 7 17 2 1 2 64 4 3 265
Clevinger, Mike 2018: 217 51 12 2 3 18 0 0 0 50 2 1 235
Clevinger, Mike proj: 208 47 12 0 6 26 0 0 1 57 3 3 235
Drake, Oliver 2018: 9 2 0 0 0 1 0 0 0 2 0 0 10
Drake, Oliver proj: 9 2 1 0 0 1 0 0 0 3 0 0 10
Goody, Nick 2018: 52 15 5 1 4 5 0 0 1 12 0 0 58
Goody, Nick proj: 51 12 3 0 2 5 0 0 1 16 0 0 57
Kluber, Corey 2018: 262 51 6 0 11 10 0 0 1 71 0 0 273
Kluber, Corey proj: 254 58 13 1 7 15 1 2 2 75 4 2 274
Marshall, Evan 2018: 11 3 0 0 0 3 0 0 0 2 0 0 14
Marshall, Evan proj: 12 4 1 0 0 1 0 0 0 3 0 0 13
McAllister, Zach 2018: 66 19 5 0 5 5 1 0 0 13 4 0 72
McAllister, Zach proj: 65 17 4 0 2 6 0 0 0 15 2 0 71
Miller, Andrew 2018: 45 10 4 1 1 9 0 0 2 21 1 0 56
Miller, Andrew proj: 48 11 2 0 1 6 1 1 1 15 1 0 57
Ogando, Alexi 2018: 5 2 1 0 0 3 0 0 0 1 0 0 8
Ogando, Alexi proj: 7 2 0 0 0 1 0 0 0 2 0 0 8
Olson, Tyler 2018: 53 13 6 0 2 3 0 0 0 18 1 0 56
Olson, Tyler proj: 49 12 4 0 1 6 0 1 1 12 0 0 57
Otero, Dan 2018: 69 18 9 0 3 2 0 0 1 15 0 0 72
Otero, Dan proj: 68 18 3 0 1 3 0 1 0 12 0 0 72
Plutko, Adam 2018: 28 6 3 0 3 0 0 0 0 6 0 0 28
Plutko, Adam proj: 27 7 2 0 2 1 0 0 0 5 0 0 28
Ramirez, Neil 2018: 12 4 1 0 1 0 0 0 0 3 1 0 12
Ramirez, Neil proj: 10 2 0 0 0 1 0 0 0 3 0 0 11
Taylor, Ben 2018: 12 2 1 0 0 1 0 0 0 5 0 0 13
Taylor, Ben proj: 12 3 1 0 0 1 0 0 0 3 0 0 13
Tomlin, Josh 2018: 143 47 8 0 16 6 0 0 3 19 0 0 152
Tomlin, Josh proj: 144 39 8 1 7 5 1 0 1 25 0 0 151
2018 TEAM TOTALS: 1599 382 93 4 64 116 4 3 17 401 19 3 1739
PROJECTED: 1576 385 86 4 47 133 8 8 12 409 19 10 1737
difference: +23 -3 +7 0 +17 -17 -4 -5 +5 -8 0 -7 +2
Man AB H 2B 3B HR BB SF SH HBP SO SB CS BFP


Assorted Team Stats:
Stat Actual Projected
Batting Average: .239 .244
Slugging Average: .422 .393
Walks (per PA): .067 .076
SOs (per PA): .231 .235
On-Base Average: .296 .305
Power Factor: 1.77 1.61
OPS: .718 .699
TPP Runs (to date): 195 185

Runs differential:
Actual TPP 10 more than Projected TPP.




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This page was last modified on Wednesday, 23 May 2018, at 7:05 am Pacific Time.