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CLE "Expected" Pitching Results, 2017


About These Stats:

The form of "projection" used is very simple: each man's career numbers are pro-rated by his actual number of batters faced to date this season; those data, labelled "proj:" are shown along with the man's actual stats from this year to date. At the bottom of the Table, each set of lines—"projected" and actual—is separately summed to get Team Totals for each dataset.

Note that "career to date" includes each man's stats for the current year: "to date" is literally correct. For veteran players, that matters little, but for rookies or players with litle prior major-league experience, it means that the "projection" will perforce nearly or exactly match the actual stats to date. That seems like the best way to deal with newly arrived players' stats.

Note that owing to rounding in the pro-rating process, projected total BFP (batters faced) may occasionally differ by 1.

Below the player/team table is a smaller table showing a few key team "rate" stats (such as batting average) actual and projected.

The Actual Data:

Through games of Monday, 22 May 2017.
All results are from true, unadjusted data.

Handedness Key:   + R   * L

(You can also look up the stat definitions.)

Pitchers, listed in alphabetical order:
Each name is a click-on link to that man's career stats.

(or see the data for Batting)


Man AB H 2B 3B HR BB SF SH HBP SO SB CS BFP
Allen, Cody 2017: 66 15 4 1 1 7 0 0 1 28 2 1 74
Allen, Cody proj: 65 14 3 0 2 7 1 1 0 23 1 0 74
Armstrong, Shawn 2017: 42 9 1 0 2 6 0 0 1 12 0 0 49
Armstrong, Shawn proj: 43 9 2 0 2 5 0 0 0 12 0 0 48
Bauer, Trevor 2017: 176 49 13 1 10 16 1 0 0 53 1 1 193
Bauer, Trevor proj: 170 42 9 1 6 19 1 1 2 42 3 2 193
Carrasco, Carlos 2017: 180 35 8 0 6 11 2 0 1 52 1 4 194
Carrasco, Carlos proj: 178 44 10 1 5 12 2 1 1 45 3 2 194
Clevinger, Mike 2017: 54 6 1 0 0 11 0 0 0 19 0 2 65
Clevinger, Mike proj: 56 12 3 0 2 9 0 0 0 15 1 0 65
Goody, Nick 2017: 54 7 3 0 0 4 0 0 1 14 0 0 59
Goody, Nick proj: 52 12 4 0 2 5 0 0 1 14 0 0 58
Kluber, Corey 2017: 145 38 10 0 7 13 0 0 0 41 5 2 158
Kluber, Corey proj: 146 35 8 1 4 9 0 1 1 41 2 1 157
Logan, Boone 2017: 36 8 1 0 0 3 0 1 0 13 0 0 40
Logan, Boone proj: 35 9 2 0 1 4 0 0 0 10 1 0 39
Martinez, Michael 2017: 4 1 1 0 0 0 0 0 0 0 0 0 4
Martinez, Michael proj: 4 1 1 0 0 0 0 0 0 0 0 0 4
McAllister, Zach 2017: 63 11 0 0 2 10 0 0 0 26 1 2 73
McAllister, Zach proj: 66 17 4 0 2 6 0 0 0 15 2 0 72
Miller, Andrew 2017: 73 10 1 0 0 5 1 0 1 29 0 0 80
Miller, Andrew proj: 69 16 3 0 2 9 1 1 1 21 2 0 81
Otero, Dan 2017: 73 19 2 1 4 4 0 0 0 13 1 0 77
Otero, Dan proj: 73 19 3 0 1 3 0 1 0 12 1 0 77
Salazar, Danny 2017: 182 49 10 0 11 23 2 1 2 69 0 2 210
Salazar, Danny proj: 189 46 9 1 7 18 1 1 1 57 1 1 210
Shaw, Bryan 2017: 70 15 5 0 0 10 0 1 0 18 1 0 81
Shaw, Bryan proj: 72 17 3 0 2 7 0 1 1 17 1 1 81
Tomlin, Josh 2017: 195 63 14 0 7 4 2 0 1 36 0 0 202
Tomlin, Josh proj: 192 51 11 2 8 7 1 1 1 33 1 1 202
2017 TEAM TOTALS: 1413 335 74 3 50 127 8 3 8 423 12 14 1559
PROJECTED: 1410 344 75 6 46 120 7 9 9 357 19 8 1555
difference: +3 -9 -1 -3 +4 +7 +1 -6 -1 +66 -7 +6 +4
Man AB H 2B 3B HR BB SF SH HBP SO SB CS BFP


Assorted Team Stats:
Stat Actual Projected
Batting Average: .237 .244
Slugging Average: .400 .404
Walks (per PA): .081 .077
SOs (per PA): .271 .229
On-Base Average: .301 .304
Power Factor: 1.69 1.65
OPS: .701 .708
TPP Runs (to date): 164 170

Runs differential:
Actual TPP 6 less than Projected TPP.




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This page was last modified on Tuesday, 23 May 2017, at 6:59 am Pacific Time.