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CLE "Expected" Pitching Results, 2017


About These Stats:

The form of "projection" used is very simple: each man's career numbers are pro-rated by his actual number of batters faced to date this season; those data, labelled "proj:" are shown along with the man's actual stats from this year to date. At the bottom of the Table, each set of lines—"projected" and actual—is separately summed to get Team Totals for each dataset.

Note that "career to date" includes each man's stats for the current year: "to date" is literally correct. For veteran players, that matters little, but for rookies or players with litle prior major-league experience, it means that the "projection" will perforce nearly or exactly match the actual stats to date. That seems like the best way to deal with newly arrived players' stats.

Note that owing to rounding in the pro-rating process, projected total BFP (batters faced) may occasionally differ by 1.

Below the player/team table is a smaller table showing a few key team "rate" stats (such as batting average) actual and projected.

The Actual Data:

Through games of Wednesday, 21 June 2017.
All results are from true, unadjusted data.

Handedness Key:   + R   * L

(You can also look up the stat definitions.)

Pitchers, listed in alphabetical order:
Each name is a click-on link to that man's career stats.

(or see the data for Batting)


Man AB H 2B 3B HR BB SF SH HBP SO SB CS BFP
Allen, Cody 2017: 106 26 5 1 2 10 0 0 1 37 4 1 117
Allen, Cody proj: 104 22 5 0 2 11 1 1 0 37 2 1 117
Armstrong, Shawn 2017: 46 11 1 0 3 6 0 0 1 13 0 0 53
Armstrong, Shawn proj: 47 10 2 0 2 5 0 0 0 13 0 0 52
Bauer, Trevor 2017: 288 77 19 1 12 30 2 1 1 89 2 1 322
Bauer, Trevor proj: 283 70 15 1 9 32 2 1 3 71 5 2 321
Carrasco, Carlos 2017: 312 67 16 0 9 22 2 0 5 89 1 6 341
Carrasco, Carlos proj: 313 77 17 1 9 22 3 1 2 80 5 4 341
Clevinger, Mike 2017: 130 25 8 0 5 18 0 0 0 42 2 3 148
Clevinger, Mike proj: 129 29 8 0 5 18 0 0 0 36 3 1 147
Crockett, Kyle 2017: 4 2 0 0 0 1 0 0 1 1 0 0 6
Crockett, Kyle proj: 5 1 0 0 0 1 0 0 0 1 0 0 6
Goody, Nick 2017: 95 16 4 0 3 11 0 0 1 27 0 0 107
Goody, Nick proj: 94 21 6 0 4 11 0 0 1 26 0 0 106
Kluber, Corey 2017: 241 54 13 0 7 17 1 0 1 80 9 4 260
Kluber, Corey proj: 240 57 13 1 6 15 1 2 2 68 4 2 260
Logan, Boone 2017: 62 15 2 0 1 6 0 1 1 20 0 0 70
Logan, Boone proj: 61 16 3 0 2 7 1 1 1 17 1 0 71
Martinez, Michael 2017: 4 1 1 0 0 0 0 0 0 0 0 0 4
Martinez, Michael proj: 4 1 1 0 0 0 0 0 0 0 0 0 4
McAllister, Zach 2017: 117 25 2 1 3 14 0 0 0 39 3 2 131
McAllister, Zach proj: 119 31 7 1 3 11 1 0 1 28 3 1 132
Merritt, Ryan 2017: 18 7 1 0 0 0 0 0 0 2 0 0 18
Merritt, Ryan proj: 18 4 1 0 0 0 0 0 0 3 0 0 18
Miller, Andrew 2017: 130 19 2 0 2 8 1 1 3 54 1 0 143
Miller, Andrew proj: 123 29 5 1 3 15 1 2 2 38 3 1 143
Otero, Dan 2017: 115 31 3 1 4 5 0 1 0 20 1 0 121
Otero, Dan proj: 114 30 5 1 2 5 1 1 1 19 1 1 122
Salazar, Danny 2017: 215 59 12 0 11 28 3 1 2 77 0 2 249
Salazar, Danny proj: 224 54 11 1 8 21 2 1 2 68 1 2 250
Shaw, Bryan 2017: 121 28 9 0 1 16 1 1 0 31 3 0 139
Shaw, Bryan proj: 124 29 5 0 3 12 1 1 1 29 3 1 139
Tomlin, Josh 2017: 315 100 23 0 14 6 2 0 2 56 1 1 325
Tomlin, Josh proj: 309 83 18 2 14 12 2 1 2 53 1 1 326
2017 TEAM TOTALS: 2319 563 121 4 77 198 12 6 19 677 27 20 2554
PROJECTED: 2311 564 122 9 72 198 16 12 18 587 32 17 2555
difference: +8 -1 -1 -5 +5 0 -4 -6 +1 +90 -5 +3 -1
Man AB H 2B 3B HR BB SF SH HBP SO SB CS BFP


Assorted Team Stats:
Stat Actual Projected
Batting Average: .243 .244
Slugging Average: .398 .398
Walks (per PA): .078 .078
SOs (per PA): .265 .230
On-Base Average: .305 .305
Power Factor: 1.64 1.63
OPS: .703 .703
TPP Runs (to date): 273 275

Runs differential:
Actual TPP 2 less than Projected TPP.




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This page was last modified on Thursday, 22 June 2017, at 7:04 am Pacific Time.