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Baseball team and player performance examined realistically and accurately.

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COL "Expected" Batting Results, 2017


About These Stats:

The form of "projection" used is very simple: each man's career numbers are pro-rated by his actual number of appearances to date this season; those data, labelled "proj:" are shown along with the man's actual stats from this year to date. At the bottom of the Table, each set of lines—"projected" and actual—is separately summed to get Team Totals for each dataset.

Note that "career to date" includes each man's stats for the current year: "to date" is literally correct. For veteran players, that matters little, but for rookies or players with litle prior major-league experience, it means that the "projection" will perforce nearly or exactly match the actual stats to date. That seems like the best way to deal with newly arrived players' stats.

Note that owing to rounding in the pro-rating process, projected total PA (plate appearances) may occasionally differ by 1.

Below the player/team table is a smaller table showing a few key team "rate" stats (such as batting average) actual and projected.

The Actual Data:

Through games of Sunday, 1 October 2017.
All results are from true, unadjusted data.

Handedness Key:   + R   * L   # S

(You can also look up the stat definitions.)

Batters, listed in alphabetical order:
Each name is a click-on link to that man's career stats.

(or see the data for Pitching)


Man AB H 2B 3B HR BB SF SH HBP SO SB CS PA
Adames, Cristhian 2017: 13 0 0 0 0 1 0 0 0 6 0 0 14
Adames, Cristhian proj: 12 3 0 0 0 1 0 0 0 3 0 0 13
Amarista, Alexi 2017: 168 40 10 0 3 7 0 1 0 38 1 0 176
Amarista, Alexi proj: 162 37 6 1 2 10 1 2 0 27 4 1 175
Anderson, Tyler 2017: 26 1 0 0 0 1 0 6 0 17 0 0 33
Anderson, Tyler proj: 27 2 0 0 0 2 0 4 0 12 0 0 33
Arenado, Nolan 2017: 606 187 43 7 37 62 6 1 4 106 3 2 680
Arenado, Nolan proj: 621 180 41 5 33 48 7 1 3 101 2 2 680
Bettis, Chad 2017: 11 1 0 0 0 1 0 3 0 6 0 0 15
Bettis, Chad proj: 13 1 0 0 0 1 0 1 0 5 0 0 15
Blackmon, Charlie 2017: 644 213 35 14 37 65 3 3 10 135 14 10 725
Blackmon, Charlie proj: 659 201 35 8 25 45 4 5 13 118 26 10 726
Cardullo, Stephen 2017: 28 4 0 0 0 3 0 0 1 7 0 0 32
Cardullo, Stephen proj: 30 6 1 0 1 2 0 0 0 7 0 0 32
Chatwood, Tyler 2017: 39 6 1 0 0 1 0 7 0 9 0 0 47
Chatwood, Tyler proj: 40 9 1 0 0 2 0 5 0 10 0 0 47
Desmond, Ian 2017: 339 93 11 1 7 24 4 2 4 87 15 4 373
Desmond, Ian proj: 342 91 17 2 11 23 3 2 3 88 12 4 373
Freeland, Kyle 2017: 52 8 1 0 1 1 0 3 0 30 0 0 56
Freeland, Kyle proj: 52 8 1 0 1 1 0 3 0 30 0 0 56
Garneau, Dustin 2017: 68 14 7 0 1 4 0 1 1 24 0 0 74
Garneau, Dustin proj: 67 13 5 0 1 6 0 0 0 19 0 0 73
Gonzalez, Carlos 2017: 470 123 34 0 14 56 6 0 2 119 3 0 534
Gonzalez, Carlos proj: 484 139 29 4 24 43 4 1 2 118 13 3 534
Gray, Jon 2017: 38 3 0 0 1 1 0 4 0 27 0 0 43
Gray, Jon proj: 37 4 1 0 0 2 0 4 0 24 0 0 43
Hanigan, Ryan 2017: 101 27 2 0 2 8 1 1 1 26 0 0 112
Hanigan, Ryan proj: 97 24 4 0 1 13 1 1 1 14 0 0 113
Hoffman, Jeff 2017: 33 3 1 0 0 0 0 3 0 17 0 0 36
Hoffman, Jeff proj: 33 2 1 0 0 0 0 3 0 15 0 0 36
LeMahieu, DJ 2017: 609 189 28 4 8 59 5 3 6 90 6 5 682
LeMahieu, DJ proj: 617 186 28 6 7 51 4 7 3 105 15 7 682
Lucroy, Jonathan 2017: 142 44 6 3 2 27 2 0 4 19 0 0 175
Lucroy, Jonathan proj: 158 44 9 1 4 14 1 0 1 25 1 0 174
Lyles, Jordan 2017: 5 1 0 0 0 0 0 0 0 3 0 0 5
Lyles, Jordan proj: 4 1 0 0 0 0 0 0 0 2 0 0 4
Marquez, German 2017: 45 8 2 0 0 0 0 8 0 18 0 0 53
Marquez, German proj: 44 7 2 0 0 0 0 9 0 18 0 0 53
McMahon, Ryan 2017: 19 3 1 0 0 5 0 0 0 5 0 0 24
McMahon, Ryan proj: 19 3 1 0 0 5 0 0 0 5 0 0 24
Murphy, Tom 2017: 24 1 1 0 0 2 0 0 0 9 0 0 26
Murphy, Tom proj: 23 5 1 0 2 2 0 0 0 9 0 0 25
Parra, Gerardo 2017: 392 121 24 1 10 20 9 0 4 67 2 5 425
Parra, Gerardo proj: 391 109 22 4 7 25 3 3 3 72 7 4 425
Reynolds, Mark 2017: 520 139 22 1 30 69 3 0 1 175 2 1 593
Reynolds, Mark proj: 516 123 24 1 29 67 4 0 5 183 6 3 592
Rusin, Chris 2017: 9 3 0 0 0 0 0 1 0 3 0 0 10
Rusin, Chris proj: 9 2 0 0 0 0 0 1 0 2 0 0 10
Senzatela, Antonio 2017: 32 4 1 0 0 0 0 7 0 20 0 0 39
Senzatela, Antonio proj: 32 4 1 0 0 0 0 7 0 20 0 0 39
Story, Trevor 2017: 503 120 32 3 24 49 1 0 2 191 7 2 555
Story, Trevor proj: 501 126 30 4 29 48 1 1 4 184 9 4 555
Tapia, Raimel 2017: 160 46 12 2 2 8 0 1 2 36 5 2 171
Tapia, Raimel proj: 160 45 10 2 2 8 1 1 2 38 6 2 172
Tauchman, Mike 2017: 27 6 0 1 0 5 0 0 0 10 1 2 32
Tauchman, Mike proj: 27 6 0 1 0 5 0 0 0 10 1 2 32
Valaika, Pat 2017: 182 47 11 0 13 7 1 5 0 53 0 0 195
Valaika, Pat proj: 183 47 11 0 13 6 1 5 0 56 0 0 195
Wolters, Tony 2017: 229 55 8 1 0 33 0 2 2 55 0 1 266
Wolters, Tony proj: 233 58 12 2 2 29 0 3 1 58 2 1 266
2017 TEAM TOTALS: 5534 1510 293 38 192 519 41 62 44 1408 59 34 6201
PROJECTED: 5593 1486 293 41 194 459 35 69 41 1378 104 43 6197
difference: -59 +24 0 -3 -2 +60 +6 -7 +3 +30 -45 -9 +4
Man AB H 2B 3B HR BB SF SH HBP SO SB CS PA


Assorted Team Stats:
Stat Actual Projected
Batting Average: .273 .266
Slugging Average: .444 .437
Walks (per PA): .084 .074
SOs (per PA): .227 .222
On-Base Average: .334 .320
Power Factor: 1.63 1.64
OPS: .778 .757
TOP Runs (to date): 801 770

Runs differential:
Actual TOP 31 more than Projected TOP.




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This page was last modified on Monday, 2 October 2017, at 7:16 am Pacific Time.