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Baseball team and player performance examined realistically and accurately.

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COL "Expected" Batting Results, 2017


About These Stats:

The form of "projection" used is very simple: each man's career numbers are pro-rated by his actual number of appearances to date this season; those data, labelled "proj:" are shown along with the man's actual stats from this year to date. At the bottom of the Table, each set of lines—"projected" and actual—is separately summed to get Team Totals for each dataset.

Note that "career to date" includes each man's stats for the current year: "to date" is literally correct. For veteran players, that matters little, but for rookies or players with litle prior major-league experience, it means that the "projection" will perforce nearly or exactly match the actual stats to date. That seems like the best way to deal with newly arrived players' stats.

Note that owing to rounding in the pro-rating process, projected total PA (plate appearances) may occasionally differ by 1.

Below the player/team table is a smaller table showing a few key team "rate" stats (such as batting average) actual and projected.

The Actual Data:

Through games of Sunday, 24 September 2017.
All results are from true, unadjusted data.

Handedness Key:   + R   * L   # S

(You can also look up the stat definitions.)

Batters, listed in alphabetical order:
Each name is a click-on link to that man's career stats.

(or see the data for Pitching)


Man AB H 2B 3B HR BB SF SH HBP SO SB CS PA
Adames, Cristhian 2017: 13 0 0 0 0 1 0 0 0 6 0 0 14
Adames, Cristhian proj: 12 3 0 0 0 1 0 0 0 3 0 0 13
Amarista, Alexi 2017: 160 38 10 0 3 7 0 1 0 36 1 0 168
Amarista, Alexi proj: 155 36 6 1 2 10 1 2 0 26 3 1 168
Anderson, Tyler 2017: 24 1 0 0 0 1 0 5 0 15 0 0 30
Anderson, Tyler proj: 25 2 0 0 0 2 0 3 0 11 0 0 30
Arenado, Nolan 2017: 587 179 42 7 35 59 5 1 4 104 3 2 657
Arenado, Nolan proj: 600 174 40 5 32 46 7 1 3 98 2 2 657
Bettis, Chad 2017: 9 1 0 0 0 1 0 2 0 5 0 0 12
Bettis, Chad proj: 10 1 0 0 0 1 0 1 0 4 0 0 12
Blackmon, Charlie 2017: 622 203 34 14 36 61 3 3 10 132 13 9 699
Blackmon, Charlie proj: 635 193 34 7 24 43 4 5 12 114 25 10 699
Cardullo, Stephen 2017: 28 4 0 0 0 3 0 0 1 7 0 0 32
Cardullo, Stephen proj: 30 6 1 0 1 2 0 0 0 7 0 0 32
Chatwood, Tyler 2017: 38 6 1 0 0 1 0 7 0 9 0 0 46
Chatwood, Tyler proj: 39 9 1 0 0 1 0 5 0 10 0 0 45
Desmond, Ian 2017: 320 89 11 1 6 21 4 2 4 82 14 4 351
Desmond, Ian proj: 322 86 16 2 10 22 2 2 3 82 11 3 351
Freeland, Kyle 2017: 52 8 1 0 1 1 0 3 0 30 0 0 56
Freeland, Kyle proj: 52 8 1 0 1 1 0 3 0 30 0 0 56
Garneau, Dustin 2017: 68 14 7 0 1 4 0 1 1 24 0 0 74
Garneau, Dustin proj: 67 13 5 0 1 7 0 0 0 20 0 0 74
Gonzalez, Carlos 2017: 454 114 30 0 13 55 6 0 2 116 3 0 517
Gonzalez, Carlos proj: 469 135 28 4 23 42 4 1 2 114 12 3 518
Gray, Jon 2017: 37 3 0 0 1 1 0 2 0 27 0 0 40
Gray, Jon proj: 35 4 1 0 0 2 0 3 0 23 0 0 40
Hanigan, Ryan 2017: 98 26 2 0 2 8 1 1 1 25 0 0 109
Hanigan, Ryan proj: 94 24 3 0 1 12 1 1 1 14 0 0 109
Hoffman, Jeff 2017: 33 3 1 0 0 0 0 3 0 17 0 0 36
Hoffman, Jeff proj: 33 2 1 0 0 0 0 3 0 15 0 0 36
LeMahieu, DJ 2017: 588 183 28 4 8 58 5 3 6 88 6 5 660
LeMahieu, DJ proj: 597 180 27 6 7 50 4 7 3 102 14 7 661
Lucroy, Jonathan 2017: 130 38 5 2 1 18 2 0 4 19 0 0 154
Lucroy, Jonathan proj: 139 39 8 1 4 12 1 0 1 22 1 0 153
Lyles, Jordan 2017: 5 1 0 0 0 0 0 0 0 3 0 0 5
Lyles, Jordan proj: 4 1 0 0 0 0 0 0 0 2 0 0 4
Marquez, German 2017: 44 8 2 0 0 0 0 7 0 18 0 0 51
Marquez, German proj: 43 7 2 0 0 0 0 8 0 18 0 0 51
McMahon, Ryan 2017: 15 2 1 0 0 5 0 0 0 2 0 0 20
McMahon, Ryan proj: 15 2 1 0 0 5 0 0 0 2 0 0 20
Murphy, Tom 2017: 24 1 1 0 0 2 0 0 0 9 0 0 26
Murphy, Tom proj: 23 5 1 0 2 2 0 0 0 9 0 0 25
Parra, Gerardo 2017: 382 121 24 1 10 19 9 0 4 65 2 5 414
Parra, Gerardo proj: 381 106 22 4 7 24 3 3 3 70 7 4 414
Reynolds, Mark 2017: 503 135 22 1 29 65 3 0 1 169 2 1 572
Reynolds, Mark proj: 498 118 23 1 27 65 4 0 5 177 6 3 572
Rusin, Chris 2017: 9 3 0 0 0 0 0 1 0 3 0 0 10
Rusin, Chris proj: 9 2 0 0 0 0 0 1 0 2 0 0 10
Senzatela, Antonio 2017: 32 4 1 0 0 0 0 7 0 20 0 0 39
Senzatela, Antonio proj: 32 4 1 0 0 0 0 7 0 20 0 0 39
Story, Trevor 2017: 482 112 30 2 22 47 1 0 2 186 7 1 532
Story, Trevor proj: 480 120 29 3 28 46 1 1 4 178 8 3 532
Tapia, Raimel 2017: 151 43 10 2 2 8 0 1 2 35 5 2 162
Tapia, Raimel proj: 151 42 8 2 2 8 1 1 2 37 6 2 163
Tauchman, Mike 2017: 21 4 0 0 0 5 0 0 0 8 1 2 26
Tauchman, Mike proj: 21 4 0 0 0 5 0 0 0 8 1 2 26
Valaika, Pat 2017: 176 46 11 0 13 7 1 5 0 52 0 0 189
Valaika, Pat proj: 177 46 11 0 13 6 1 5 0 55 0 0 189
Wolters, Tony 2017: 226 53 8 1 0 32 0 2 2 55 0 1 262
Wolters, Tony proj: 230 56 12 2 2 28 0 3 1 58 2 1 262
2017 TEAM TOTALS: 5331 1443 282 35 183 490 40 57 44 1367 57 32 5963
PROJECTED: 5378 1428 282 38 187 443 34 66 40 1331 98 41 5961
difference: -47 +15 0 -3 -4 +47 +6 -9 +4 +36 -41 -9 +2
Man AB H 2B 3B HR BB SF SH HBP SO SB CS PA


Assorted Team Stats:
Stat Actual Projected
Batting Average: .271 .266
Slugging Average: .440 .436
Walks (per PA): .082 .074
SOs (per PA): .229 .223
On-Base Average: .332 .321
Power Factor: 1.62 1.64
OPS: .771 .757
TOP Runs (to date): 758 740

Runs differential:
Actual TOP 18 more than Projected TOP.




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This page was last modified on Monday, 25 September 2017, at 7:16 am Pacific Time.