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COL "Expected" Pitching Results, 2018


About These Stats:

The form of "projection" used is very simple: each man's career numbers are pro-rated by his actual number of batters faced to date this season; those data, labelled "proj:" are shown along with the man's actual stats from this year to date. At the bottom of the Table, each set of lines—"projected" and actual—is separately summed to get Team Totals for each dataset.

Note that "career to date" includes each man's stats for the current year: "to date" is literally correct. For veteran players, that matters little, but for rookies or players with litle prior major-league experience, it means that the "projection" will perforce nearly or exactly match the actual stats to date. That seems like the best way to deal with newly arrived players' stats.

Note that owing to rounding in the pro-rating process, projected total BFP (batters faced) may occasionally differ by 1.

Below the player/team table is a smaller table showing a few key team "rate" stats (such as batting average) actual and projected.

The Actual Data:

Through games of Monday, 20 August 2018.
All results are from true, unadjusted data.

Handedness Key:   + R   * L

(You can also look up the stat definitions.)

Pitchers, listed in alphabetical order:
Each name is a click-on link to that man's career stats.

(or see the data for Batting)


Man AB H 2B 3B HR BB SF SH HBP SO SB CS BFP
Almonte, Yency 2018: 31 8 2 0 0 2 1 0 0 7 0 0 34
Almonte, Yency proj: 31 8 2 0 0 2 1 0 0 7 0 0 34
Anderson, Tyler 2018: 525 123 23 4 24 51 5 2 2 131 5 2 585
Anderson, Tyler proj: 530 135 28 4 21 43 4 5 3 128 7 2 585
Bettis, Chad 2018: 401 106 23 1 17 44 5 4 4 75 0 2 458
Bettis, Chad proj: 408 115 25 3 13 37 2 7 4 76 2 2 458
Davis, Wade 2018: 190 38 5 2 8 25 0 0 2 59 8 0 217
Davis, Wade proj: 194 46 9 1 5 20 1 1 2 48 3 1 218
Dunn, Mike 2018: 64 22 4 1 1 18 1 0 0 12 0 1 83
Dunn, Mike proj: 71 17 4 0 2 10 1 1 1 21 1 0 84
Freeland, Kyle 2018: 562 132 22 4 14 56 6 4 6 129 6 0 634
Freeland, Kyle proj: 555 144 27 3 15 57 6 9 7 113 7 1 634
Gray, Jon 2018: 525 135 28 4 15 38 2 3 5 157 8 4 573
Gray, Jon proj: 518 134 26 4 14 42 4 4 6 147 9 3 574
Hoffman, Jeff 2018: 37 15 1 1 0 7 0 0 0 5 0 1 44
Hoffman, Jeff proj: 39 11 3 0 2 4 0 0 0 8 0 0 43
Howard, Sam 2018: 4 1 1 0 0 0 0 0 0 0 0 0 4
Howard, Sam proj: 4 1 1 0 0 0 0 0 0 0 0 0 4
Marquez, German 2018: 552 140 24 5 20 48 5 2 6 151 8 1 613
Marquez, German proj: 553 148 30 7 20 45 4 4 7 136 7 3 613
McGee, Jake 2018: 169 48 13 2 8 13 0 2 2 40 1 2 186
McGee, Jake proj: 170 39 8 1 5 13 1 1 1 51 1 1 186
Musgrave, Harrison 2018: 123 27 6 4 6 17 1 0 1 23 0 0 142
Musgrave, Harrison proj: 123 27 6 4 6 17 1 0 1 23 0 0 142
Oberg, Scott 2018: 134 34 6 0 3 10 1 0 3 29 6 1 148
Oberg, Scott proj: 130 35 8 0 4 14 1 1 2 28 2 1 148
Oh, Seunghwan 2018: 33 6 1 0 1 3 1 0 0 6 0 0 37
Oh, Seunghwan proj: 34 8 1 0 1 2 0 0 0 10 0 0 36
Ottavino, Adam 2018: 202 32 5 0 3 25 4 1 3 86 15 3 235
Ottavino, Adam proj: 206 50 8 1 5 23 2 2 2 61 9 2 235
Pounders, Brooks 2018: 68 25 9 1 3 2 0 0 2 17 0 0 72
Pounders, Brooks proj: 66 24 5 1 5 4 0 0 1 16 1 1 71
Rusin, Chris 2018: 166 46 5 4 7 21 1 1 2 37 1 0 191
Rusin, Chris proj: 173 48 10 2 5 14 0 1 2 32 2 1 190
Senzatela, Antonio 2018: 201 51 12 2 3 19 3 0 3 38 1 0 226
Senzatela, Antonio proj: 202 51 11 2 6 19 2 1 2 40 1 0 226
Shaw, Bryan 2018: 196 63 12 1 8 24 3 1 1 49 5 2 225
Shaw, Bryan proj: 201 50 8 1 5 19 1 2 2 48 4 1 225
Vasto, Jerry 2018: 5 3 1 1 0 1 0 0 0 1 1 0 6
Vasto, Jerry proj: 5 3 1 1 0 1 0 0 0 1 1 0 6
2018 TEAM TOTALS: 4188 1055 203 37 141 424 39 20 42 1052 65 19 4713
PROJECTED: 4213 1094 221 35 134 386 31 39 43 994 57 19 4712
difference: -25 -39 -18 +2 +7 +38 +8 -19 -1 +58 +8 0 +1
Man AB H 2B 3B HR BB SF SH HBP SO SB CS BFP


Assorted Team Stats:
Stat Actual Projected
Batting Average: .252 .260
Slugging Average: .419 .424
Walks (per PA): .090 .082
SOs (per PA): .223 .211
On-Base Average: .323 .323
Power Factor: 1.66 1.63
OPS: .742 .747
TPP Runs (to date): 568 573

Runs differential:
Actual TPP 5 less than Projected TPP.




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This page was last modified on Tuesday, 21 August 2018, at 7:11 am Pacific Time.