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COL "Expected" Pitching Results, 2017


About These Stats:

The form of "projection" used is very simple: each man's career numbers are pro-rated by his actual number of batters faced to date this season; those data, labelled "proj:" are shown along with the man's actual stats from this year to date. At the bottom of the Table, each set of lines—"projected" and actual—is separately summed to get Team Totals for each dataset.

Note that "career to date" includes each man's stats for the current year: "to date" is literally correct. For veteran players, that matters little, but for rookies or players with litle prior major-league experience, it means that the "projection" will perforce nearly or exactly match the actual stats to date. That seems like the best way to deal with newly arrived players' stats.

Note that owing to rounding in the pro-rating process, projected total BFP (batters faced) may occasionally differ by 1.

Below the player/team table is a smaller table showing a few key team "rate" stats (such as batting average) actual and projected.

The Actual Data:

Through games of Wednesday, 21 June 2017.
All results are from true, unadjusted data.

Handedness Key:   + R   * L

(You can also look up the stat definitions.)

Pitchers, listed in alphabetical order:
Each name is a click-on link to that man's career stats.

(or see the data for Batting)


Man AB H 2B 3B HR BB SF SH HBP SO SB CS BFP
Anderson, Tyler 2017: 237 69 19 2 13 20 0 4 2 59 3 1 263
Anderson, Tyler proj: 240 67 15 2 9 17 1 4 2 56 4 1 264
Chatwood, Tyler 2017: 323 75 15 3 13 42 0 2 2 74 4 5 369
Chatwood, Tyler proj: 323 87 16 2 9 38 2 2 3 57 5 4 368
Dunn, Mike 2017: 89 27 4 1 6 14 3 0 0 30 1 1 106
Dunn, Mike proj: 91 22 5 0 3 12 1 1 1 27 1 1 106
Estevez, Carlos 2017: 75 25 4 1 1 6 0 0 1 18 0 0 82
Estevez, Carlos proj: 71 19 3 1 2 9 1 0 2 19 2 0 83
Freeland, Kyle 2017: 309 83 14 1 8 32 2 5 7 50 6 2 355
Freeland, Kyle proj: 309 83 14 1 8 32 2 5 7 50 6 2 355
Gray, Jon 2017: 45 11 3 0 1 7 0 1 0 9 0 0 53
Gray, Jon proj: 47 12 2 0 1 4 1 0 1 13 1 0 53
Hoffman, Jeff 2017: 138 32 8 1 3 8 0 1 1 38 0 0 148
Hoffman, Jeff proj: 134 35 8 1 5 13 0 1 1 30 1 0 149
Holland, Greg 2017: 92 14 1 1 1 14 1 0 0 36 2 0 107
Holland, Greg proj: 95 19 3 1 1 11 1 1 0 36 1 0 108
Lyles, Jordan 2017: 134 41 9 0 8 6 0 0 2 23 1 0 142
Lyles, Jordan proj: 128 36 8 1 4 11 1 1 2 22 2 0 143
Marquez, German 2017: 233 60 13 3 6 21 2 1 4 54 3 1 261
Marquez, German proj: 232 64 15 4 6 20 2 2 5 50 4 1 261
McGee, Jake 2017: 108 20 6 0 3 8 0 0 0 34 1 0 116
McGee, Jake proj: 106 23 4 0 3 8 1 0 1 33 1 0 116
Oberg, Scott 2017: 110 34 4 2 2 13 2 1 2 28 1 0 128
Oberg, Scott proj: 110 30 5 1 4 14 1 1 2 24 1 1 128
Ottavino, Adam 2017: 94 19 1 0 3 16 1 0 3 33 4 1 114
Ottavino, Adam proj: 101 25 4 1 3 10 1 1 1 28 3 1 114
Qualls, Chad 2017: 59 13 2 1 3 5 0 1 0 9 1 0 65
Qualls, Chad proj: 59 16 2 0 2 4 0 1 1 12 1 0 65
Rusin, Chris 2017: 140 29 3 1 3 10 1 0 1 29 0 0 152
Rusin, Chris proj: 138 39 8 1 4 11 0 1 1 24 2 1 151
Senzatela, Antonio 2017: 307 77 16 2 13 24 5 1 4 60 3 1 341
Senzatela, Antonio proj: 307 77 16 2 13 24 5 1 4 60 3 1 341
2017 TEAM TOTALS: 2493 629 122 19 87 246 17 17 29 584 30 12 2802
PROJECTED: 2491 654 128 18 77 238 20 22 34 541 38 13 2805
difference: +2 -25 -6 +1 +10 +8 -3 -5 -5 +43 -8 -1 -3
Man AB H 2B 3B HR BB SF SH HBP SO SB CS BFP


Assorted Team Stats:
Stat Actual Projected
Batting Average: .252 .263
Slugging Average: .421 .421
Walks (per PA): .088 .085
SOs (per PA): .208 .193
On-Base Average: .323 .330
Power Factor: 1.67 1.6
OPS: .744 .751
TPP Runs (to date): 338 345

Runs differential:
Actual TPP 7 less than Projected TPP.




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This page was last modified on Thursday, 22 June 2017, at 7:04 am Pacific Time.