The Owlcroft Baseball-Analysis Site
Baseball team and player performance examined realistically and accurately.
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Baseball team and player performance examined realistically and accurately.
Search this site, or just roll your cursor over the colored boxes below the pictures.Advertisement:
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The form of "projection" used is very simple: each man's career numbers are pro-rated by his actual number of batters faced to date this season; those data, labelled "proj:" are shown along with the man's actual stats from this year to date. At the bottom of the Table, each set of lines—"projected" and actual—is separately summed to get Team Totals for each dataset.
Note that "career to date" includes each man's stats for the current year: "to date" is literally correct. For veteran players, that matters little, but for rookies or players with litle prior major-league experience, it means that the "projection" will perforce nearly or exactly match the actual stats to date. That seems like the best way to deal with newly arrived players' stats.
Note that owing to rounding in the pro-rating process, projected total BFP (batters faced) may occasionally differ by 1.
Below the player/team table is a smaller table showing a few key team "rate" stats (such as batting average) actual and projected.
Handedness Key: + R * L
(You can also look up the stat definitions.)
Pitchers, listed in alphabetical order:| Man | AB | H | 2B | 3B | HR | BB | SF | SH | HBP | SO | SB | CS | BFP |
| Anderson, Tyler 2017: | 237 | 69 | 19 | 2 | 13 | 20 | 0 | 4 | 2 | 59 | 3 | 1 | 263 |
| Anderson, Tyler proj: | 240 | 67 | 15 | 2 | 9 | 17 | 1 | 4 | 2 | 56 | 4 | 1 | 264 |
| Chatwood, Tyler 2017: | 323 | 75 | 15 | 3 | 13 | 42 | 0 | 2 | 2 | 74 | 4 | 5 | 369 |
| Chatwood, Tyler proj: | 323 | 87 | 16 | 2 | 9 | 38 | 2 | 2 | 3 | 57 | 5 | 4 | 368 |
| Dunn, Mike 2017: | 89 | 27 | 4 | 1 | 6 | 14 | 3 | 0 | 0 | 30 | 1 | 1 | 106 |
| Dunn, Mike proj: | 91 | 22 | 5 | 0 | 3 | 12 | 1 | 1 | 1 | 27 | 1 | 1 | 106 |
| Estevez, Carlos 2017: | 75 | 25 | 4 | 1 | 1 | 6 | 0 | 0 | 1 | 18 | 0 | 0 | 82 |
| Estevez, Carlos proj: | 71 | 19 | 3 | 1 | 2 | 9 | 1 | 0 | 2 | 19 | 2 | 0 | 83 |
| Freeland, Kyle 2017: | 309 | 83 | 14 | 1 | 8 | 32 | 2 | 5 | 7 | 50 | 6 | 2 | 355 |
| Freeland, Kyle proj: | 309 | 83 | 14 | 1 | 8 | 32 | 2 | 5 | 7 | 50 | 6 | 2 | 355 |
| Gray, Jon 2017: | 45 | 11 | 3 | 0 | 1 | 7 | 0 | 1 | 0 | 9 | 0 | 0 | 53 |
| Gray, Jon proj: | 47 | 12 | 2 | 0 | 1 | 4 | 1 | 0 | 1 | 13 | 1 | 0 | 53 |
| Hoffman, Jeff 2017: | 138 | 32 | 8 | 1 | 3 | 8 | 0 | 1 | 1 | 38 | 0 | 0 | 148 |
| Hoffman, Jeff proj: | 134 | 35 | 8 | 1 | 5 | 13 | 0 | 1 | 1 | 30 | 1 | 0 | 149 |
| Holland, Greg 2017: | 92 | 14 | 1 | 1 | 1 | 14 | 1 | 0 | 0 | 36 | 2 | 0 | 107 |
| Holland, Greg proj: | 95 | 19 | 3 | 1 | 1 | 11 | 1 | 1 | 0 | 36 | 1 | 0 | 108 |
| Lyles, Jordan 2017: | 134 | 41 | 9 | 0 | 8 | 6 | 0 | 0 | 2 | 23 | 1 | 0 | 142 |
| Lyles, Jordan proj: | 128 | 36 | 8 | 1 | 4 | 11 | 1 | 1 | 2 | 22 | 2 | 0 | 143 |
| Marquez, German 2017: | 233 | 60 | 13 | 3 | 6 | 21 | 2 | 1 | 4 | 54 | 3 | 1 | 261 |
| Marquez, German proj: | 232 | 64 | 15 | 4 | 6 | 20 | 2 | 2 | 5 | 50 | 4 | 1 | 261 |
| McGee, Jake 2017: | 108 | 20 | 6 | 0 | 3 | 8 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 34 | 1 | 0 | 116 |
| McGee, Jake proj: | 106 | 23 | 4 | 0 | 3 | 8 | 1 | 0 | 1 | 33 | 1 | 0 | 116 |
| Oberg, Scott 2017: | 110 | 34 | 4 | 2 | 2 | 13 | 2 | 1 | 2 | 28 | 1 | 0 | 128 |
| Oberg, Scott proj: | 110 | 30 | 5 | 1 | 4 | 14 | 1 | 1 | 2 | 24 | 1 | 1 | 128 |
| Ottavino, Adam 2017: | 94 | 19 | 1 | 0 | 3 | 16 | 1 | 0 | 3 | 33 | 4 | 1 | 114 |
| Ottavino, Adam proj: | 101 | 25 | 4 | 1 | 3 | 10 | 1 | 1 | 1 | 28 | 3 | 1 | 114 |
| Qualls, Chad 2017: | 59 | 13 | 2 | 1 | 3 | 5 | 0 | 1 | 0 | 9 | 1 | 0 | 65 |
| Qualls, Chad proj: | 59 | 16 | 2 | 0 | 2 | 4 | 0 | 1 | 1 | 12 | 1 | 0 | 65 |
| Rusin, Chris 2017: | 140 | 29 | 3 | 1 | 3 | 10 | 1 | 0 | 1 | 29 | 0 | 0 | 152 |
| Rusin, Chris proj: | 138 | 39 | 8 | 1 | 4 | 11 | 0 | 1 | 1 | 24 | 2 | 1 | 151 |
| Senzatela, Antonio 2017: | 307 | 77 | 16 | 2 | 13 | 24 | 5 | 1 | 4 | 60 | 3 | 1 | 341 |
| Senzatela, Antonio proj: | 307 | 77 | 16 | 2 | 13 | 24 | 5 | 1 | 4 | 60 | 3 | 1 | 341 |
| 2017 TEAM TOTALS: | 2493 | 629 | 122 | 19 | 87 | 246 | 17 | 17 | 29 | 584 | 30 | 12 | 2802 |
| PROJECTED: | 2491 | 654 | 128 | 18 | 77 | 238 | 20 | 22 | 34 | 541 | 38 | 13 | 2805 |
| difference: | +2 | -25 | -6 | +1 | +10 | +8 | -3 | -5 | -5 | +43 | -8 | -1 | -3 |
| Man | AB | H | 2B | 3B | HR | BB | SF | SH | HBP | SO | SB | CS | BFP |
| Assorted Team Stats: | ||
|---|---|---|
| Stat | Actual | Projected |
| Batting Average: | .252 | .263 |
| Slugging Average: | .421 | .421 |
| Walks (per PA): | .088 | .085 |
| SOs (per PA): | .208 | .193 |
| On-Base Average: | .323 | .330 |
| Power Factor: | 1.67 | 1.6 |
| OPS: | .744 | .751 |
| TPP Runs (to date): | 338 | 345 |
Runs differential: |
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| Actual TPP 7 less than Projected TPP. |
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This page was last modified on Thursday, 22 June 2017, at 7:04 am Pacific Time.