Owing to the screen size of your device, you may obtain a better viewing experience by rotating your device a quarter-turn (to get the so-called "panorama" screen view).
owlcroft logo
An Owlcroft Company web site
Click here to email us.

The Owlcroft Baseball-Analysis Site

Baseball team and player performance examined realistically and accurately.

Search this site, or just roll your cursor over the colored boxes below the pictures.

  Advertisement:


  Advertisement:


COL "Expected" Pitching Results, 2019


About These Stats:

The form of "projection" used is very simple: each man's career numbers are pro-rated by his actual number of batters faced to date this season; those data, labelled "proj:" are shown along with the man's actual stats from this year to date. At the bottom of the Table, each set of lines—"projected" and actual—is separately summed to get Team Totals for each dataset.

Note that "career to date" includes each man's stats for the current year: "to date" is literally correct. For veteran players, that matters little, but for rookies or players with litle prior major-league experience, it means that the "projection" will perforce nearly or exactly match the actual stats to date. That seems like the best way to deal with newly arrived players' stats.

Note that owing to rounding in the pro-rating process, projected total BFP (batters faced) may occasionally differ by 1.

Below the player/team table is a smaller table showing a few key team "rate" stats (such as batting average) actual and projected.

The Actual Data:

Through games of Monday, 30 September 2019.
All results are from true, unadjusted data.

Handedness Key:   + R   * L

(You can also look up the stat definitions.)

Pitchers, listed in alphabetical order:
Each name is a click-on link to that man's career stats.

(or see the data for Batting)


Man AB H 2B 3B HR BB SF SH HBP SO SB CS BFP
Almonte, Yency 2019: 140 39 12 0 7 14 1 1 1 29 3 1 157
Almonte, Yency proj: 141 39 12 0 6 13 1 1 1 31 3 1 157
Anderson, Tyler 2019: 91 33 8 1 8 11 2 2 0 23 2 0 106
Anderson, Tyler proj: 96 26 5 1 4 8 1 1 1 23 2 0 107
Bettis, Chad 2019: 259 78 17 2 10 21 0 2 5 42 0 1 287
Bettis, Chad proj: 256 73 16 2 9 23 1 4 3 47 1 1 287
Chi Gonzalez, Chi 2019: 240 59 13 1 11 33 1 3 1 46 1 1 278
Chi Gonzalez, Chi proj: 239 58 12 1 8 33 2 2 2 37 2 0 278
Davis, Wade 2019: 175 51 9 1 7 29 0 0 2 42 14 0 206
Davis, Wade proj: 184 44 8 1 5 19 1 1 2 46 3 1 207
Desmond, Ian 2019: 4 1 1 0 0 0 0 0 0 0 0 0 4
Desmond, Ian proj: 4 1 1 0 0 0 0 0 0 0 0 0 4
Diaz, Jairo 2019: 223 56 13 3 7 19 1 0 2 63 4 1 245
Diaz, Jairo proj: 220 57 12 3 6 21 1 0 2 59 5 1 244
Diehl, Phillip 2019: 32 10 5 0 1 2 0 0 1 8 0 0 35
Diehl, Phillip proj: 32 10 5 0 1 2 0 0 1 8 0 0 35
Dunn, Mike 2019: 65 17 3 1 4 6 4 0 0 15 0 1 75
Dunn, Mike proj: 64 15 3 0 2 9 1 0 0 19 1 0 74
Estevez, Carlos 2019: 280 70 20 0 12 23 3 1 1 81 2 1 308
Estevez, Carlos proj: 272 70 14 2 9 28 3 1 3 75 4 1 307
Freeland, Kyle 2019: 426 126 21 7 25 39 4 2 2 79 1 1 473
Freeland, Kyle proj: 420 113 19 4 14 41 4 5 4 85 4 1 474
Garcia, Rico 2019: 25 9 3 0 3 5 0 0 0 2 0 0 30
Garcia, Rico proj: 25 9 3 0 3 5 0 0 0 2 0 0 30
Gray, Jon 2019: 567 147 34 5 19 56 3 7 4 150 8 6 637
Gray, Jon proj: 573 150 30 4 18 49 4 5 6 156 10 4 637
Harvey, Joe 2019: 29 7 0 0 2 6 0 0 1 6 1 1 36
Harvey, Joe proj: 29 8 0 0 1 6 0 0 1 7 2 0 36
Hoffman, Jeff 2019: 272 77 18 1 21 34 2 3 4 68 6 2 315
Hoffman, Jeff proj: 275 78 18 3 14 33 2 2 3 59 3 1 315
Howard, Sam 2019: 76 21 3 0 5 10 0 2 3 23 1 0 91
Howard, Sam proj: 75 21 4 0 4 11 0 2 3 20 1 0 91
Johnson, DJ 2019: 93 23 5 1 1 19 1 0 3 24 1 0 116
Johnson, DJ proj: 96 24 4 1 1 17 1 0 2 27 1 0 116
Lambert, Peter 2019: 371 119 29 5 18 36 3 4 6 57 3 1 420
Lambert, Peter proj: 371 119 29 5 18 36 3 4 6 57 3 1 420
Marquez, German 2019: 671 174 27 4 29 35 4 6 5 175 4 6 721
Marquez, German proj: 659 171 31 6 25 45 5 5 7 175 7 4 721
McGee, Jake 2019: 163 47 8 2 11 11 3 0 3 35 0 1 180
McGee, Jake proj: 164 38 7 1 5 13 1 1 1 48 1 1 180
Melville, Tim 2019: 124 34 5 0 9 14 2 2 1 24 3 0 143
Melville, Tim proj: 119 36 6 0 9 18 1 3 2 25 3 0 143
Musgrave, Harrison 2019: 39 9 1 1 0 7 1 0 0 12 0 0 47
Musgrave, Harrison proj: 41 9 2 1 1 6 0 0 0 9 0 0 47
Oberg, Scott 2019: 199 39 2 1 5 23 1 0 0 58 3 1 223
Oberg, Scott proj: 198 49 9 1 5 21 1 1 2 48 3 1 223
Oh, Seunghwan 2019: 82 29 1 0 6 6 0 0 0 16 0 0 88
Oh, Seunghwan proj: 81 19 3 0 3 5 1 0 1 24 0 0 88
Parsons, Wes 2019: 73 21 3 1 4 16 1 2 1 14 3 0 93
Parsons, Wes proj: 72 20 2 1 4 17 2 1 1 15 3 1 93
Pazos, James 2019: 35 7 1 0 1 4 0 0 0 10 2 1 39
Pazos, James proj: 34 8 2 0 1 3 0 0 1 9 1 0 38
Reynolds, Mark 2019: 5 2 0 0 0 1 0 0 1 0 0 0 7
Reynolds, Mark proj: 5 2 0 0 0 1 0 0 1 0 0 0 7
Rusin, Chris 2019: 7 5 2 0 1 1 1 0 0 0 0 0 9
Rusin, Chris proj: 8 2 0 0 0 1 0 0 0 2 0 0 9
Senzatela, Antonio 2019: 514 161 38 2 19 57 3 4 4 76 5 0 582
Senzatela, Antonio proj: 519 145 34 4 18 51 4 3 4 94 5 0 581
Shaw, Bryan 2019: 275 69 15 4 12 29 1 1 5 58 5 1 311
Shaw, Bryan proj: 278 69 12 2 7 27 2 2 3 65 5 2 312
Tinoco, Jesus 2019: 137 36 8 1 12 22 1 0 1 28 3 3 161
Tinoco, Jesus proj: 137 36 8 1 12 22 1 0 1 28 3 3 161
2019 TEAM TOTALS: 5692 1576 325 44 270 589 43 42 57 1264 75 30 6423
PROJECTED: 5687 1519 311 44 213 584 43 44 64 1300 76 24 6422
difference: +5 +57 +14 0 +57 +5 0 -2 -7 -36 -1 +6 +1
Man AB H 2B 3B HR BB SF SH HBP SO SB CS BFP


Assorted Team Stats:
Stat Actual Projected
Batting Average: .277 .267
Slugging Average: .492 .450
Walks (per PA): .092 .091
SOs (per PA): .197 .202
On-Base Average: .346 .337
Power Factor: 1.78 1.68
OPS: .838 .787
TPP Runs (to date): 947 854

Runs differential:
Actual TPP 93 more than Projected TPP.




  Advertisement:


  Advertisement:



Want detailed, careful, unhysterical analysis of the effects of "Performance-Enhancing Drugs" in baseball? Click here to visit the Steroids & Baseball web site.

All content copyright © 2002 - 2019 by The Owlcroft Company.

This web page is strictly compliant with the W3C (World Wide Web Consortium) Extensible HyperText Markup Language (XHTML) Protocol v1.0 (Transitional) and the W3C Cascading Style Sheets (CSS) Protocol v3 — because we care about interoperability. Click on the logos below to test us!



This page was last modified on Tuesday, 1 October 2019, at 7:36 am Pacific Time.