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COL "Expected" Pitching Results, 2018


About These Stats:

The form of "projection" used is very simple: each man's career numbers are pro-rated by his actual number of batters faced to date this season; those data, labelled "proj:" are shown along with the man's actual stats from this year to date. At the bottom of the Table, each set of lines—"projected" and actual—is separately summed to get Team Totals for each dataset.

Note that "career to date" includes each man's stats for the current year: "to date" is literally correct. For veteran players, that matters little, but for rookies or players with litle prior major-league experience, it means that the "projection" will perforce nearly or exactly match the actual stats to date. That seems like the best way to deal with newly arrived players' stats.

Note that owing to rounding in the pro-rating process, projected total BFP (batters faced) may occasionally differ by 1.

Below the player/team table is a smaller table showing a few key team "rate" stats (such as batting average) actual and projected.

The Actual Data:

Through games of Sunday, 30 September 2018.
All results are from true, unadjusted data.

Handedness Key:   + R   * L

(You can also look up the stat definitions.)

Pitchers, listed in alphabetical order:
Each name is a click-on link to that man's career stats.

(or see the data for Batting)


Man AB H 2B 3B HR BB SF SH HBP SO SB CS BFP
Almonte, Yency 2018: 55 15 5 0 1 4 1 0 0 14 1 1 60
Almonte, Yency proj: 55 15 5 0 1 4 1 0 0 14 1 1 60
Anderson, Tyler 2018: 665 165 35 4 30 59 7 3 3 164 9 3 737
Anderson, Tyler proj: 668 174 37 5 27 53 6 7 4 161 10 3 738
Bettis, Chad 2018: 456 121 28 2 18 47 5 5 5 80 0 2 518
Bettis, Chad proj: 462 130 29 4 15 41 3 8 4 85 3 2 518
Davis, Wade 2018: 233 43 7 3 8 26 0 0 2 78 8 0 261
Davis, Wade proj: 234 55 11 1 6 23 2 1 2 58 4 1 262
Dunn, Mike 2018: 64 22 4 1 1 18 1 0 0 12 0 1 83
Dunn, Mike proj: 71 17 4 0 2 10 1 1 1 21 1 0 84
Freeland, Kyle 2018: 757 182 26 6 17 70 6 5 6 173 8 1 844
Freeland, Kyle proj: 745 193 33 5 19 73 7 10 8 154 9 2 843
Gray, Jon 2018: 678 180 36 4 27 52 3 4 6 183 12 4 743
Gray, Jon proj: 671 176 33 5 21 55 5 5 8 184 13 4 744
Hoffman, Jeff 2018: 37 15 1 1 0 7 0 0 0 5 0 1 44
Hoffman, Jeff proj: 39 11 3 0 2 4 0 0 0 8 0 0 43
Howard, Sam 2018: 16 5 2 0 0 3 0 0 1 1 0 0 20
Howard, Sam proj: 16 5 2 0 0 3 0 0 1 1 0 0 20
Johnson, DJ 2018: 24 6 0 0 0 2 0 0 0 9 0 0 26
Johnson, DJ proj: 24 6 0 0 0 2 0 0 0 9 0 0 26
Marquez, German 2018: 724 174 28 7 22 55 6 2 8 221 10 1 795
Marquez, German proj: 721 188 36 8 24 55 5 4 9 191 9 3 794
McGee, Jake 2018: 204 59 15 4 10 16 0 2 2 46 1 3 224
McGee, Jake proj: 205 47 9 1 6 16 1 1 1 61 2 1 224
Musgrave, Harrison 2018: 155 34 6 6 7 22 1 0 1 32 0 0 179
Musgrave, Harrison proj: 155 34 6 6 7 22 1 0 1 32 0 0 179
Oberg, Scott 2018: 208 44 8 0 4 12 2 0 3 57 7 2 225
Oberg, Scott proj: 199 52 11 1 5 20 1 1 3 46 3 1 224
Oh, Seunghwan 2018: 76 15 3 0 3 7 1 0 1 24 0 1 85
Oh, Seunghwan proj: 78 17 3 0 2 5 1 0 1 24 0 0 85
Ottavino, Adam 2018: 261 41 6 0 5 36 5 1 6 112 24 3 309
Ottavino, Adam proj: 270 64 10 1 7 31 3 2 4 82 12 2 310
Pounders, Brooks 2018: 68 25 9 1 3 2 0 0 2 17 0 0 72
Pounders, Brooks proj: 66 24 5 1 5 4 0 0 1 16 1 1 71
Rusin, Chris 2018: 209 56 6 4 7 26 3 1 2 47 1 0 241
Rusin, Chris proj: 218 61 12 2 6 18 1 2 2 41 2 1 241
Senzatela, Antonio 2018: 353 94 24 3 10 30 3 1 3 69 4 0 390
Senzatela, Antonio proj: 350 91 21 3 11 31 3 2 3 70 3 0 389
Shaw, Bryan 2018: 224 70 15 1 9 28 3 1 1 54 5 2 257
Shaw, Bryan proj: 230 57 10 1 6 22 1 2 2 55 5 2 257
Vasto, Jerry 2018: 5 3 1 1 0 1 0 0 0 1 1 0 6
Vasto, Jerry proj: 5 2 0 0 0 1 0 0 0 1 1 0 6
2018 TEAM TOTALS: 5472 1369 265 48 182 523 47 25 52 1399 91 25 6119
PROJECTED: 5482 1419 280 44 172 493 42 46 55 1314 79 24 6118
difference: -10 -50 -15 +4 +10 +30 +5 -21 -3 +85 +12 +1 +1
Man AB H 2B 3B HR BB SF SH HBP SO SB CS BFP


Assorted Team Stats:
Stat Actual Projected
Batting Average: .250 .259
Slugging Average: .416 .420
Walks (per PA): .085 .081
SOs (per PA): .229 .215
On-Base Average: .318 .322
Power Factor: 1.66 1.62
OPS: .734 .742
TPP Runs (to date): 725 736

Runs differential:
Actual TPP 11 less than Projected TPP.




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This page was last modified on Monday, 1 October 2018, at 7:06 am Pacific Time.