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Baseball team and player performance examined realistically and accurately.

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COL "Expected" Pitching Results, 2019


About These Stats:

The form of "projection" used is very simple: each man's career numbers are pro-rated by his actual number of batters faced to date this season; those data, labelled "proj:" are shown along with the man's actual stats from this year to date. At the bottom of the Table, each set of lines—"projected" and actual—is separately summed to get Team Totals for each dataset.

Note that "career to date" includes each man's stats for the current year: "to date" is literally correct. For veteran players, that matters little, but for rookies or players with litle prior major-league experience, it means that the "projection" will perforce nearly or exactly match the actual stats to date. That seems like the best way to deal with newly arrived players' stats.

Note that owing to rounding in the pro-rating process, projected total BFP (batters faced) may occasionally differ by 1.

Below the player/team table is a smaller table showing a few key team "rate" stats (such as batting average) actual and projected.

The Actual Data:

Through games of Thursday, 22 August 2019.
All results are from true, unadjusted data.

Handedness Key:   + R   * L

(You can also look up the stat definitions.)

Pitchers, listed in alphabetical order:
Each name is a click-on link to that man's career stats.

(or see the data for Batting)


Man AB H 2B 3B HR BB SF SH HBP SO SB CS BFP
Almonte, Yency 2019: 73 16 4 0 2 10 0 1 0 13 2 1 84
Almonte, Yency proj: 75 18 5 0 2 8 1 1 0 16 2 1 85
Anderson, Tyler 2019: 91 33 8 1 8 11 2 2 0 23 2 0 106
Anderson, Tyler proj: 96 26 5 1 4 8 1 1 1 23 2 0 107
Bettis, Chad 2019: 259 78 17 2 10 21 0 2 5 42 0 1 287
Bettis, Chad proj: 256 73 16 2 9 23 1 4 3 47 1 1 287
Chi Gonzalez, Chi 2019: 120 33 9 0 7 15 1 1 1 18 1 0 138
Chi Gonzalez, Chi proj: 119 30 6 0 4 16 1 1 1 16 1 0 138
Davis, Wade 2019: 149 43 6 1 6 23 0 0 1 38 9 0 173
Davis, Wade proj: 155 37 7 1 4 16 1 0 1 39 3 1 173
Diaz, Jairo 2019: 160 40 11 2 7 13 0 0 1 48 3 1 174
Diaz, Jairo proj: 157 41 10 2 5 15 1 0 1 43 4 1 174
Diehl, Phillip 2019: 10 4 1 0 1 1 0 0 1 3 0 0 12
Diehl, Phillip proj: 10 4 1 0 1 1 0 0 1 3 0 0 12
Dunn, Mike 2019: 65 17 3 1 4 6 4 0 0 15 0 1 75
Dunn, Mike proj: 64 15 3 0 2 9 1 0 0 19 1 0 74
Estevez, Carlos 2019: 227 58 17 0 10 21 3 0 1 67 2 1 252
Estevez, Carlos proj: 221 57 11 2 7 25 3 1 3 61 4 1 253
Freeland, Kyle 2019: 407 120 19 7 25 38 4 2 2 78 1 1 453
Freeland, Kyle proj: 402 107 18 4 13 39 4 5 4 82 4 1 454
Gray, Jon 2019: 567 147 34 5 19 56 3 7 4 150 8 6 637
Gray, Jon proj: 573 150 30 4 18 49 4 5 6 156 10 4 637
Hoffman, Jeff 2019: 163 49 14 1 12 18 2 2 2 43 6 0 187
Hoffman, Jeff proj: 164 47 11 2 8 19 2 1 1 35 2 0 187
Howard, Sam 2019: 33 9 2 0 1 6 0 0 2 8 1 0 41
Howard, Sam proj: 33 9 3 0 1 6 0 0 2 6 1 0 41
Johnson, DJ 2019: 56 17 3 1 0 13 0 0 2 13 0 0 71
Johnson, DJ proj: 59 17 2 1 0 11 0 0 1 16 0 0 71
Lambert, Peter 2019: 269 81 20 3 13 22 2 3 2 44 3 1 298
Lambert, Peter proj: 269 81 20 3 13 22 2 3 2 44 3 1 298
Marquez, German 2019: 671 173 27 4 29 35 4 6 5 175 4 6 721
Marquez, German proj: 659 171 31 6 25 45 5 5 7 175 7 4 721
McGee, Jake 2019: 125 35 5 2 8 9 3 0 1 29 0 1 138
McGee, Jake proj: 126 29 6 1 4 10 1 0 1 37 1 1 138
Melville, Tim 2019: 23 2 1 0 1 2 0 0 0 4 0 0 25
Melville, Tim proj: 20 6 1 0 2 4 0 0 0 4 0 0 24
Musgrave, Harrison 2019: 39 9 1 1 0 7 1 0 0 12 0 0 47
Musgrave, Harrison proj: 41 9 2 1 1 6 0 0 0 9 0 0 47
Oberg, Scott 2019: 199 39 2 1 5 23 1 0 0 58 3 1 223
Oberg, Scott proj: 198 49 9 1 5 21 1 1 2 48 3 1 223
Oh, Seunghwan 2019: 82 29 1 0 6 6 0 0 0 16 0 0 88
Oh, Seunghwan proj: 81 19 3 0 3 5 1 0 1 24 0 0 88
Reynolds, Mark 2019: 5 2 0 0 0 1 0 0 1 0 0 0 7
Reynolds, Mark proj: 5 2 0 0 0 1 0 0 1 0 0 0 7
Rusin, Chris 2019: 7 5 2 0 1 1 1 0 0 0 0 0 9
Rusin, Chris proj: 8 2 0 0 0 1 0 0 0 2 0 0 9
Senzatela, Antonio 2019: 377 115 27 1 13 45 2 3 3 53 5 0 430
Senzatela, Antonio proj: 383 105 25 3 13 38 3 2 3 70 4 0 429
Shaw, Bryan 2019: 234 61 14 4 8 24 1 1 3 51 5 1 263
Shaw, Bryan proj: 235 58 10 1 6 22 1 2 2 56 5 2 262
Tinoco, Jesus 2019: 81 19 5 1 6 12 1 0 0 17 0 1 94
Tinoco, Jesus proj: 81 19 5 1 6 12 1 0 0 17 0 1 94
2019 TEAM TOTALS: 4492 1234 253 38 202 439 35 30 37 1018 55 23 5033
PROJECTED: 4490 1181 240 36 156 432 35 32 44 1048 58 20 5033
difference: +2 +53 +13 +2 +46 +7 0 -2 -7 -30 -3 +3 0
Man AB H 2B 3B HR BB SF SH HBP SO SB CS BFP


Assorted Team Stats:
Stat Actual Projected
Batting Average: .275 .263
Slugging Average: .483 .437
Walks (per PA): .087 .086
SOs (per PA): .202 .208
On-Base Average: .340 .329
Power Factor: 1.76 1.66
OPS: .823 .766
TPP Runs (to date): 718 637

Runs differential:
Actual TPP 81 more than Projected TPP.




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This page was last modified on Friday, 23 August 2019, at 7:05 am Pacific Time.