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COL "Expected" Pitching Results, 2018


About These Stats:

The form of "projection" used is very simple: each man's career numbers are pro-rated by his actual number of batters faced to date this season; those data, labelled "proj:" are shown along with the man's actual stats from this year to date. At the bottom of the Table, each set of lines—"projected" and actual—is separately summed to get Team Totals for each dataset.

Note that "career to date" includes each man's stats for the current year: "to date" is literally correct. For veteran players, that matters little, but for rookies or players with litle prior major-league experience, it means that the "projection" will perforce nearly or exactly match the actual stats to date. That seems like the best way to deal with newly arrived players' stats.

Note that owing to rounding in the pro-rating process, projected total BFP (batters faced) may occasionally differ by 1.

Below the player/team table is a smaller table showing a few key team "rate" stats (such as batting average) actual and projected.

The Actual Data:

Through games of Saturday, 23 June 2018.
All results are from true, unadjusted data.

Handedness Key:   + R   * L

(You can also look up the stat definitions.)

Pitchers, listed in alphabetical order:
Each name is a click-on link to that man's career stats.

(or see the data for Batting)


Man AB H 2B 3B HR BB SF SH HBP SO SB CS BFP
Almonte, Yency 2018: 6 1 0 0 0 1 1 0 0 1 0 0 8
Almonte, Yency proj: 6 1 0 0 0 1 1 0 0 1 0 0 8
Anderson, Tyler 2018: 328 85 16 4 15 30 3 2 2 77 3 2 365
Anderson, Tyler proj: 331 88 18 3 13 25 2 4 2 78 5 2 364
Bettis, Chad 2018: 326 87 21 1 14 32 3 2 3 63 0 2 366
Bettis, Chad proj: 328 92 21 3 11 29 2 5 3 61 2 2 367
Davis, Wade 2018: 105 21 4 1 3 18 0 0 2 32 4 0 125
Davis, Wade proj: 112 26 5 1 3 11 1 0 1 27 2 1 125
Dunn, Mike 2018: 60 20 4 1 1 17 1 0 0 12 0 0 78
Dunn, Mike proj: 67 16 3 0 2 9 1 1 0 20 1 0 78
Freeland, Kyle 2018: 339 84 15 2 11 31 4 2 1 77 3 0 377
Freeland, Kyle proj: 331 90 17 2 10 33 4 6 3 65 4 1 377
Gray, Jon 2018: 357 101 20 4 10 27 2 3 2 112 5 3 391
Gray, Jon proj: 352 94 17 3 9 29 3 3 4 100 6 2 391
Hoffman, Jeff 2018: 20 7 0 0 0 6 0 0 0 3 0 0 26
Hoffman, Jeff proj: 23 6 1 0 1 3 0 0 0 5 0 0 26
Howard, Sam 2018: 4 1 1 0 0 0 0 0 0 0 0 0 4
Howard, Sam proj: 4 1 1 0 0 0 0 0 0 0 0 0 4
Marquez, German 2018: 311 85 14 3 13 32 5 2 4 78 5 0 354
Marquez, German proj: 317 88 18 4 12 27 3 3 5 74 4 2 355
McGee, Jake 2018: 115 32 7 1 5 7 0 1 2 26 0 1 125
McGee, Jake proj: 114 26 5 0 3 9 1 0 1 35 1 0 125
Musgrave, Harrison 2018: 84 16 4 3 3 11 0 0 1 18 0 0 96
Musgrave, Harrison proj: 84 16 4 3 3 11 0 0 1 18 0 0 96
Oberg, Scott 2018: 68 16 4 0 0 6 1 0 3 13 5 0 78
Oberg, Scott proj: 68 19 4 0 2 8 0 0 1 14 1 0 77
Ottavino, Adam 2018: 102 10 1 0 1 11 0 0 3 52 7 2 116
Ottavino, Adam proj: 102 25 4 1 3 11 1 1 1 30 4 1 116
Pounders, Brooks 2018: 68 25 9 1 3 2 0 0 2 17 0 0 72
Pounders, Brooks proj: 66 24 5 1 5 4 0 0 1 16 1 1 71
Rusin, Chris 2018: 116 32 4 3 7 16 1 1 2 28 0 0 136
Rusin, Chris proj: 123 34 7 1 4 10 0 1 1 23 1 1 135
Senzatela, Antonio 2018: 74 23 5 0 2 6 0 0 1 14 1 0 81
Senzatela, Antonio proj: 73 19 4 1 3 7 1 1 1 15 1 0 83
Shaw, Bryan 2018: 148 50 8 1 8 20 3 1 0 34 3 1 172
Shaw, Bryan proj: 154 38 6 1 4 15 1 2 1 37 3 1 173
Vasto, Jerry 2018: 5 3 1 1 0 1 0 0 0 1 1 0 6
Vasto, Jerry proj: 5 3 1 1 0 1 0 0 0 1 1 0 6
2018 TEAM TOTALS: 2636 699 138 26 96 274 24 14 28 658 37 11 2976
PROJECTED: 2660 706 141 25 88 243 21 27 26 620 37 14 2977
difference: -24 -7 -3 +1 +8 +31 +3 -13 +2 +38 0 -3 -1
Man AB H 2B 3B HR BB SF SH HBP SO SB CS BFP


Assorted Team Stats:
Stat Actual Projected
Batting Average: .265 .265
Slugging Average: .447 .436
Walks (per PA): .092 .082
SOs (per PA): .221 .208
On-Base Average: .336 .328
Power Factor: 1.68 1.64
OPS: .783 .764
TPP Runs (to date): 393 375

Runs differential:
Actual TPP 18 more than Projected TPP.




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This page was last modified on Sunday, 24 June 2018, at 6:58 am Pacific Time.