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DET "Expected" Pitching Results, 2017


About These Stats:

The form of "projection" used is very simple: each man's career numbers are pro-rated by his actual number of batters faced to date this season; those data, labelled "proj:" are shown along with the man's actual stats from this year to date. At the bottom of the Table, each set of lines—"projected" and actual—is separately summed to get Team Totals for each dataset.

Note that "career to date" includes each man's stats for the current year: "to date" is literally correct. For veteran players, that matters little, but for rookies or players with litle prior major-league experience, it means that the "projection" will perforce nearly or exactly match the actual stats to date. That seems like the best way to deal with newly arrived players' stats.

Note that owing to rounding in the pro-rating process, projected total BFP (batters faced) may occasionally differ by 1.

Below the player/team table is a smaller table showing a few key team "rate" stats (such as batting average) actual and projected.

The Actual Data:

Through games of Sunday, 23 July 2017.
All results are from true, unadjusted data.

Handedness Key:   + R   * L

(You can also look up the stat definitions.)

Pitchers, listed in alphabetical order:
Each name is a click-on link to that man's career stats.

(or see the data for Batting)


Man AB H 2B 3B HR BB SF SH HBP SO SB CS BFP
Bell, Chad 2017: 111 28 3 1 6 13 0 0 1 25 3 0 125
Bell, Chad proj: 111 28 3 1 6 13 0 0 1 25 3 0 125
Boyd, Matthew 2017: 274 85 14 3 8 28 3 1 1 48 2 4 307
Boyd, Matthew proj: 277 80 12 3 13 24 3 1 2 55 2 4 307
Cuevas, William 2017: 4 3 1 0 0 0 0 0 1 1 0 0 5
Cuevas, William proj: 4 1 1 0 0 1 0 0 0 1 0 0 5
Farmer, Buck 2017: 70 20 1 0 5 4 0 0 1 22 1 1 75
Farmer, Buck proj: 65 19 3 1 4 8 0 0 1 14 1 1 74
Fulmer, Michael 2017: 474 112 21 1 8 28 4 1 5 89 2 1 512
Fulmer, Michael proj: 470 110 21 1 11 31 3 2 6 98 3 1 512
Greene, Shane 2017: 161 31 5 0 3 25 1 0 4 50 0 0 191
Greene, Shane proj: 169 45 7 2 4 17 1 1 3 39 2 2 191
Hardy, Blaine 2017: 80 26 4 0 4 11 3 0 0 14 0 0 94
Hardy, Blaine proj: 82 22 4 1 1 10 1 1 0 18 0 0 94
Jimenez, Joe 2017: 18 5 0 0 2 2 0 0 0 5 0 0 20
Jimenez, Joe proj: 18 5 0 0 2 2 0 0 0 5 0 0 20
Leon, Arcenio 2017: 24 7 2 0 0 6 1 0 0 2 0 1 31
Leon, Arcenio proj: 24 7 2 0 0 6 1 0 0 2 0 1 31
Norris, Daniel 2017: 344 103 22 5 10 39 2 2 3 79 10 7 390
Norris, Daniel proj: 349 95 19 4 12 34 4 1 2 80 7 4 390
Rodriguez, Francisco 2017: 106 31 10 0 9 11 0 0 1 23 3 1 118
Rodriguez, Francisco proj: 105 22 5 0 3 11 1 1 1 34 3 1 119
Rondon, Bruce 2017: 45 13 4 1 0 8 1 0 0 17 1 1 54
Rondon, Bruce proj: 46 11 2 0 1 6 1 1 1 15 1 0 55
Ryan, Kyle 2017: 21 9 1 0 0 7 1 0 0 1 1 0 29
Ryan, Kyle proj: 26 7 1 0 1 2 0 0 0 4 0 0 28
Sanchez, Anibal 2017: 227 65 13 1 13 16 2 2 3 52 6 2 250
Sanchez, Anibal proj: 225 57 11 2 6 20 1 2 2 52 6 1 250
Saupold, Warwick 2017: 132 29 4 0 5 12 0 0 5 21 3 3 149
Saupold, Warwick proj: 132 35 7 0 4 11 2 0 5 23 2 2 150
Stumpf, Daniel 2017: 55 14 2 1 2 8 2 0 1 15 0 0 66
Stumpf, Daniel proj: 56 17 1 1 2 7 1 1 1 12 1 1 66
Verlander, Justin 2017: 457 117 24 2 14 55 3 0 2 111 8 0 517
Verlander, Justin proj: 470 111 22 2 12 38 3 2 4 117 6 3 517
Wilson, Alex 2017: 164 46 10 1 4 12 1 0 1 25 1 0 178
Wilson, Alex proj: 163 41 9 2 3 11 2 0 1 28 1 1 177
Wilson, Justin 2017: 134 21 4 2 5 16 1 0 0 54 1 0 151
Wilson, Justin proj: 135 30 4 1 3 14 0 1 1 39 3 1 151
Zimmermann, Jordan 2017: 422 130 22 3 22 34 5 2 5 75 6 2 468
Zimmermann, Jordan proj: 433 112 21 3 12 24 3 4 4 90 5 3 468
2017 TEAM TOTALS: 3323 895 167 21 120 335 30 8 34 729 48 23 3730
PROJECTED: 3360 855 155 24 100 290 27 18 35 751 46 26 3730
difference: -37 +40 +12 -3 +20 +45 +3 -10 -1 -22 +2 -3 0
Man AB H 2B 3B HR BB SF SH HBP SO SB CS BFP


Assorted Team Stats:
Stat Actual Projected
Batting Average: .269 .254
Slugging Average: .441 .404
Walks (per PA): .090 .078
SOs (per PA): .195 .201
On-Base Average: .339 .316
Power Factor: 1.64 1.59
OPS: .779 .721
TPP Runs (to date): 487 424

Runs differential:
Actual TPP 63 more than Projected TPP.




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This page was last modified on Monday, 24 July 2017, at 7:05 am Pacific Time.