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DET "Expected" Pitching Results, 2017


About These Stats:

The form of "projection" used is very simple: each man's career numbers are pro-rated by his actual number of batters faced to date this season; those data, labelled "proj:" are shown along with the man's actual stats from this year to date. At the bottom of the Table, each set of lines—"projected" and actual—is separately summed to get Team Totals for each dataset.

Note that "career to date" includes each man's stats for the current year: "to date" is literally correct. For veteran players, that matters little, but for rookies or players with litle prior major-league experience, it means that the "projection" will perforce nearly or exactly match the actual stats to date. That seems like the best way to deal with newly arrived players' stats.

Note that owing to rounding in the pro-rating process, projected total BFP (batters faced) may occasionally differ by 1.

Below the player/team table is a smaller table showing a few key team "rate" stats (such as batting average) actual and projected.

The Actual Data:

Through games of Sunday, 1 October 2017.
All results are from true, unadjusted data.

Handedness Key:   + R   * L

(You can also look up the stat definitions.)

Pitchers, listed in alphabetical order:
Each name is a click-on link to that man's career stats.

(or see the data for Batting)


Man AB H 2B 3B HR BB SF SH HBP SO SB CS BFP
Alcantara, Victor 2017: 32 12 1 0 1 4 1 0 2 5 0 0 39
Alcantara, Victor proj: 32 12 1 0 1 4 1 0 2 5 0 0 39
Bell, Chad 2017: 259 81 14 1 12 31 0 0 3 57 5 2 293
Bell, Chad proj: 259 81 14 1 12 31 0 0 3 57 5 2 293
Boyd, Matthew 2017: 540 157 32 6 18 53 6 3 3 110 4 6 605
Boyd, Matthew proj: 545 155 27 6 25 49 6 2 4 112 3 7 606
Cuevas, William 2017: 4 3 1 0 0 0 0 0 1 1 0 0 5
Cuevas, William proj: 4 1 1 0 0 1 0 0 0 1 0 0 5
Farmer, Buck 2017: 193 55 11 0 9 20 2 0 4 49 1 1 219
Farmer, Buck proj: 190 55 11 2 9 23 2 1 4 42 2 1 220
Ferrell, Jeff 2017: 43 17 3 0 2 5 1 0 0 6 2 0 49
Ferrell, Jeff proj: 44 14 2 0 2 4 1 0 0 6 1 0 49
Fulmer, Michael 2017: 617 150 23 2 13 40 8 3 8 114 4 1 676
Fulmer, Michael proj: 617 146 26 2 15 42 5 4 9 126 4 2 677
Greene, Shane 2017: 244 50 8 1 6 34 1 0 4 73 1 1 283
Greene, Shane proj: 251 66 11 2 7 25 2 1 5 59 3 2 284
Hardy, Blaine 2017: 139 46 9 0 7 13 4 0 0 28 1 1 156
Hardy, Blaine proj: 137 37 7 1 3 15 2 1 0 30 1 0 155
Jaye, Myles 2017: 56 18 4 1 2 10 2 0 3 4 0 0 71
Jaye, Myles proj: 56 18 4 1 2 10 2 0 3 4 0 0 71
Jimenez, Joe 2017: 87 31 7 0 4 9 1 0 2 17 1 1 99
Jimenez, Joe proj: 87 31 7 0 4 9 1 0 2 17 1 1 99
Labourt, Jairo 2017: 20 4 1 0 0 7 1 0 0 4 0 0 28
Labourt, Jairo proj: 20 4 1 0 0 7 1 0 0 4 0 0 28
Leon, Arcenio 2017: 24 7 2 0 0 6 1 0 0 2 0 1 31
Leon, Arcenio proj: 24 7 2 0 0 6 1 0 0 2 0 1 31
Lewicki, Artie 2017: 48 19 1 0 1 4 0 0 0 6 1 0 52
Lewicki, Artie proj: 48 19 1 0 1 4 0 0 0 6 1 0 52
Mujica, Edward 2017: 28 11 3 0 4 0 2 0 0 7 0 0 30
Mujica, Edward proj: 28 7 1 0 1 1 0 0 0 6 0 0 29
Norris, Daniel 2017: 408 120 27 5 12 44 3 2 3 86 15 7 460
Norris, Daniel proj: 412 112 23 4 14 40 5 1 2 91 10 4 460
Reininger, Zac 2017: 43 15 2 0 3 3 1 0 0 5 0 0 47
Reininger, Zac proj: 43 15 2 0 3 3 1 0 0 5 0 0 47
Rodriguez, Francisco 2017: 106 31 10 0 9 11 0 0 1 23 3 1 118
Rodriguez, Francisco proj: 105 22 5 0 3 11 1 1 1 34 3 1 119
Romine, Andrew 2017: 3 1 0 0 0 1 1 0 1 0 0 0 6
Romine, Andrew proj: 4 2 0 0 1 1 0 0 0 0 0 0 5
Rondon, Bruce 2017: 64 21 4 1 1 10 1 0 1 22 2 1 76
Rondon, Bruce proj: 65 16 3 0 2 8 1 1 1 21 2 1 76
Ryan, Kyle 2017: 21 9 1 0 0 7 1 0 0 1 1 0 29
Ryan, Kyle proj: 26 7 1 0 1 2 0 0 0 4 0 0 28
Sanchez, Anibal 2017: 444 139 24 1 26 29 3 2 4 104 13 6 482
Sanchez, Anibal proj: 434 112 21 3 13 38 3 4 3 100 11 2 482
Saupold, Warwick 2017: 240 64 9 0 9 31 2 1 6 44 6 3 280
Saupold, Warwick proj: 241 69 12 0 8 29 3 1 6 46 5 3 280
Stumpf, Daniel 2017: 139 37 3 2 5 15 4 0 2 33 2 0 160
Stumpf, Daniel proj: 139 40 3 3 5 15 3 1 2 30 3 1 160
VerHagen, Drew 2017: 135 42 7 2 10 9 1 0 0 25 2 1 145
VerHagen, Drew proj: 130 37 6 2 6 13 1 0 1 21 2 2 145
Verlander, Justin 2017: 654 153 27 2 23 67 4 1 3 176 9 1 729
Verlander, Justin proj: 663 155 31 3 17 53 4 3 6 168 9 5 729
Wilson, Alex 2017: 240 67 11 3 7 15 2 0 3 42 1 0 260
Wilson, Alex proj: 239 61 12 3 5 16 3 0 2 41 1 1 260
Wilson, Justin 2017: 140 22 4 2 5 16 1 0 0 55 1 0 157
Wilson, Justin proj: 139 31 5 1 3 16 0 1 1 40 4 1 157
Zimmermann, Jordan 2017: 651 204 41 6 29 44 8 3 7 103 10 3 713
Zimmermann, Jordan proj: 660 173 33 5 19 37 4 6 6 135 8 5 713
2017 TEAM TOTALS: 5622 1586 290 35 218 538 62 15 61 1202 85 37 6298
PROJECTED: 5642 1505 273 39 182 513 53 28 63 1213 79 42 6299
difference: -20 +81 +17 -4 +36 +25 +9 -13 -2 -11 +6 -5 -1
Man AB H 2B 3B HR BB SF SH HBP SO SB CS BFP


Assorted Team Stats:
Stat Actual Projected
Batting Average: .282 .267
Slugging Average: .462 .426
Walks (per PA): .085 .081
SOs (per PA): .191 .193
On-Base Average: .347 .330
Power Factor: 1.64 1.6
OPS: .809 .756
TPP Runs (to date): 879 779

Runs differential:
Actual TPP 100 more than Projected TPP.




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This page was last modified on Monday, 2 October 2017, at 7:15 am Pacific Time.