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DET "Expected" Pitching Results, 2018


About These Stats:

The form of "projection" used is very simple: each man's career numbers are pro-rated by his actual number of batters faced to date this season; those data, labelled "proj:" are shown along with the man's actual stats from this year to date. At the bottom of the Table, each set of lines—"projected" and actual—is separately summed to get Team Totals for each dataset.

Note that "career to date" includes each man's stats for the current year: "to date" is literally correct. For veteran players, that matters little, but for rookies or players with litle prior major-league experience, it means that the "projection" will perforce nearly or exactly match the actual stats to date. That seems like the best way to deal with newly arrived players' stats.

Note that owing to rounding in the pro-rating process, projected total BFP (batters faced) may occasionally differ by 1.

Below the player/team table is a smaller table showing a few key team "rate" stats (such as batting average) actual and projected.

The Actual Data:

Through games of Sunday, 30 September 2018.
All results are from true, unadjusted data.

Handedness Key:   + R   * L

(You can also look up the stat definitions.)

Pitchers, listed in alphabetical order:
Each name is a click-on link to that man's career stats.

(or see the data for Batting)


Man AB H 2B 3B HR BB SF SH HBP SO SB CS BFP
Alcantara, Victor 2018: 112 25 7 0 5 6 1 0 0 21 1 0 119
Alcantara, Victor proj: 108 28 6 0 5 8 2 0 2 20 1 0 120
Baez, Sandy 2018: 54 12 3 0 2 9 1 0 2 10 1 0 66
Baez, Sandy proj: 54 12 3 0 2 9 1 0 2 10 1 0 66
Barbato, Johnny 2018: 29 11 1 0 3 5 0 1 1 2 0 0 36
Barbato, Johnny proj: 31 8 2 0 1 5 0 0 1 6 0 0 37
Bell, Chad 2018: 33 14 4 0 1 2 1 0 0 7 0 0 36
Bell, Chad proj: 32 10 2 0 1 4 0 0 0 7 1 0 36
Boyd, Matthew 2018: 639 146 33 1 27 51 6 2 11 159 18 2 709
Boyd, Matthew proj: 639 169 32 5 28 55 6 2 7 141 9 6 709
Carpenter, Ryan 2018: 98 34 5 0 8 4 2 0 3 15 1 1 107
Carpenter, Ryan proj: 98 34 5 0 8 4 2 0 3 15 1 1 107
Coleman, Louis 2018: 183 43 10 0 5 24 3 1 6 41 0 0 217
Coleman, Louis proj: 188 43 10 1 7 23 1 1 3 51 1 2 216
Farmer, Buck 2018: 263 67 20 0 6 41 2 1 1 57 4 3 308
Farmer, Buck proj: 265 73 17 2 11 36 2 1 4 58 3 2 308
Fiers, Mike 2018: 469 121 22 3 20 26 1 1 5 87 7 3 502
Fiers, Mike proj: 457 115 23 2 19 35 3 2 5 109 9 3 502
Fulmer, Michael 2018: 504 128 31 2 19 46 2 1 5 110 1 4 558
Fulmer, Michael proj: 508 123 24 1 14 38 4 2 7 106 3 2 559
Greene, Shane 2018: 254 68 6 4 12 19 3 0 3 65 1 2 279
Greene, Shane proj: 248 65 10 3 8 24 2 1 4 60 3 2 279
Hall, Matt 2018: 42 19 4 1 1 3 2 0 1 5 0 1 48
Hall, Matt proj: 42 19 4 1 1 3 2 0 1 5 0 1 48
Hardy, Blaine 2018: 322 79 15 3 10 22 4 1 2 66 5 2 351
Hardy, Blaine proj: 313 82 16 2 7 30 5 2 1 67 3 1 351
Jimenez, Joe 2018: 240 53 14 1 5 22 2 0 3 78 3 0 267
Jimenez, Joe proj: 239 61 15 1 7 23 2 0 4 69 3 1 268
Lewicki, Artie 2018: 150 48 9 1 4 14 5 0 1 30 5 3 170
Lewicki, Artie proj: 152 51 8 1 4 14 4 0 1 28 5 2 171
Liriano, Francisco 2018: 503 127 18 5 19 73 5 0 5 110 9 3 586
Liriano, Francisco proj: 513 124 23 3 14 61 4 3 5 137 11 3 586
McAllister, Zach 2018: 19 10 2 0 1 0 0 0 0 5 0 0 19
McAllister, Zach proj: 17 5 1 0 1 1 0 0 0 4 0 0 18
Norris, Daniel 2018: 176 46 10 0 8 19 2 1 2 51 3 0 200
Norris, Daniel proj: 179 48 10 2 6 18 2 1 1 41 4 2 201
Reininger, Zac 2018: 90 28 6 2 5 9 1 0 0 18 0 0 100
Reininger, Zac proj: 90 30 5 1 5 8 1 0 0 16 0 0 99
Saupold, Warwick 2018: 140 41 8 1 6 13 1 2 2 16 0 0 158
Saupold, Warwick proj: 137 40 7 0 5 15 2 1 3 23 2 1 158
Smoker, Josh 2018: 5 0 0 0 0 2 0 0 0 2 0 0 7
Smoker, Josh proj: 6 2 0 0 0 1 0 0 0 2 0 0 7
Stumpf, Daniel 2018: 154 44 10 2 5 16 2 1 0 37 7 1 173
Stumpf, Daniel proj: 152 43 6 2 5 16 3 1 1 35 5 1 173
Turnbull, Spencer 2018: 65 17 3 0 1 4 0 0 0 15 0 0 69
Turnbull, Spencer proj: 65 17 3 0 1 4 0 0 0 15 0 0 69
Turner, Jacob 2018: 10 6 0 0 1 1 0 0 0 1 1 0 11
Turner, Jacob proj: 10 3 1 0 0 1 0 0 0 2 0 0 11
VerHagen, Drew 2018: 207 46 7 1 6 19 4 0 3 53 5 2 233
VerHagen, Drew proj: 208 55 8 2 8 20 2 0 2 41 4 2 232
Wilson, Alex 2018: 224 50 7 1 8 15 2 2 2 43 0 3 245
Wilson, Alex proj: 225 56 11 2 5 15 2 1 2 40 1 2 245
Zimmermann, Jordan 2018: 521 140 23 6 28 26 5 2 2 111 6 6 556
Zimmermann, Jordan proj: 515 135 26 4 16 28 3 4 5 106 6 4 555
2018 TEAM TOTALS: 5506 1423 278 34 216 491 57 16 60 1215 78 36 6130
PROJECTED: 5491 1451 278 35 189 499 55 22 64 1214 76 38 6131
difference: +15 -28 0 -1 +27 -8 +2 -6 -4 +1 +2 -2 -1
Man AB H 2B 3B HR BB SF SH HBP SO SB CS BFP


Assorted Team Stats:
Stat Actual Projected
Batting Average: .258 .264
Slugging Average: .439 .431
Walks (per PA): .080 .081
SOs (per PA): .198 .198
On-Base Average: .322 .328
Power Factor: 1.7 1.63
OPS: .761 .759
TPP Runs (to date): 764 762

Runs differential:
Actual TPP 2 more than Projected TPP.




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This page was last modified on Monday, 1 October 2018, at 7:06 am Pacific Time.