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DET "Expected" Pitching Results, 2017


About These Stats:

The form of "projection" used is very simple: each man's career numbers are pro-rated by his actual number of batters faced to date this season; those data, labelled "proj:" are shown along with the man's actual stats from this year to date. At the bottom of the Table, each set of lines—"projected" and actual—is separately summed to get Team Totals for each dataset.

Note that "career to date" includes each man's stats for the current year: "to date" is literally correct. For veteran players, that matters little, but for rookies or players with litle prior major-league experience, it means that the "projection" will perforce nearly or exactly match the actual stats to date. That seems like the best way to deal with newly arrived players' stats.

Note that owing to rounding in the pro-rating process, projected total BFP (batters faced) may occasionally differ by 1.

Below the player/team table is a smaller table showing a few key team "rate" stats (such as batting average) actual and projected.

The Actual Data:

Through games of Friday, 18 August 2017.
All results are from true, unadjusted data.

Handedness Key:   + R   * L

(You can also look up the stat definitions.)

Pitchers, listed in alphabetical order:
Each name is a click-on link to that man's career stats.

(or see the data for Batting)


Man AB H 2B 3B HR BB SF SH HBP SO SB CS BFP
Bell, Chad 2017: 154 44 7 1 7 18 0 0 2 32 3 0 174
Bell, Chad proj: 154 44 7 1 7 18 0 0 2 32 3 0 174
Boyd, Matthew 2017: 363 114 19 4 12 38 5 3 2 71 3 6 411
Boyd, Matthew proj: 369 108 16 4 18 33 4 2 3 75 2 5 411
Cuevas, William 2017: 4 3 1 0 0 0 0 0 1 1 0 0 5
Cuevas, William proj: 4 1 1 0 0 1 0 0 0 1 0 0 5
Farmer, Buck 2017: 70 20 1 0 5 4 0 0 1 22 1 1 75
Farmer, Buck proj: 65 19 3 1 4 8 0 0 1 14 1 1 74
Ferrell, Jeff 2017: 10 3 0 0 0 1 0 0 0 2 1 0 11
Ferrell, Jeff proj: 10 3 0 0 1 1 0 0 0 1 0 0 11
Fulmer, Michael 2017: 547 134 23 2 11 34 6 3 6 102 4 1 596
Fulmer, Michael proj: 545 129 24 1 13 36 4 3 7 112 4 1 595
Greene, Shane 2017: 189 38 7 0 4 28 1 0 4 58 1 0 222
Greene, Shane proj: 196 52 9 2 5 20 1 1 4 46 2 2 222
Hardy, Blaine 2017: 80 26 4 0 4 11 3 0 0 14 0 0 94
Hardy, Blaine proj: 82 22 4 1 1 10 1 1 0 18 0 0 94
Jimenez, Joe 2017: 44 15 2 0 3 4 1 0 1 9 1 1 50
Jimenez, Joe proj: 44 15 2 0 3 4 1 0 1 9 1 1 50
Leon, Arcenio 2017: 24 7 2 0 0 6 1 0 0 2 0 1 31
Leon, Arcenio proj: 24 7 2 0 0 6 1 0 0 2 0 1 31
Mujica, Edward 2017: 28 11 3 0 4 0 2 0 0 7 0 0 30
Mujica, Edward proj: 28 7 1 0 1 1 0 0 0 6 0 0 29
Norris, Daniel 2017: 344 103 22 5 10 39 2 2 3 79 10 7 390
Norris, Daniel proj: 349 95 19 4 12 34 4 1 2 80 7 4 390
Rodriguez, Francisco 2017: 106 31 10 0 9 11 0 0 1 23 3 1 118
Rodriguez, Francisco proj: 105 22 5 0 3 11 1 1 1 34 3 1 119
Rondon, Bruce 2017: 64 21 4 1 1 10 1 0 1 22 2 1 76
Rondon, Bruce proj: 65 16 3 0 2 8 1 1 1 21 2 1 76
Ryan, Kyle 2017: 21 9 1 0 0 7 1 0 0 1 1 0 29
Ryan, Kyle proj: 26 7 1 0 1 2 0 0 0 4 0 0 28
Sanchez, Anibal 2017: 328 103 17 1 23 21 2 2 4 68 10 4 357
Sanchez, Anibal proj: 321 82 15 2 9 28 2 3 2 74 8 2 356
Saupold, Warwick 2017: 178 42 6 0 6 19 1 1 5 29 5 3 204
Saupold, Warwick proj: 178 48 9 0 5 18 2 1 5 31 4 2 204
Stumpf, Daniel 2017: 85 21 2 1 2 12 3 0 2 20 1 0 102
Stumpf, Daniel proj: 86 24 2 2 2 11 2 1 2 18 2 1 102
VerHagen, Drew 2017: 67 23 5 1 5 5 1 0 0 8 2 0 73
VerHagen, Drew proj: 64 19 3 1 2 7 1 0 1 9 1 1 73
Verlander, Justin 2017: 582 142 26 2 20 63 4 0 3 150 8 0 652
Verlander, Justin proj: 592 140 28 3 15 48 4 3 5 148 8 4 652
Wilson, Alex 2017: 191 50 10 2 4 12 2 0 1 32 1 0 206
Wilson, Alex proj: 189 47 10 2 3 13 2 0 1 33 1 1 205
Wilson, Justin 2017: 140 22 4 2 5 16 1 0 0 55 1 0 157
Wilson, Justin proj: 140 31 5 1 3 15 0 1 1 40 4 1 157
Zimmermann, Jordan 2017: 542 165 34 4 26 40 7 2 7 91 9 2 598
Zimmermann, Jordan proj: 553 144 28 4 16 31 3 5 6 114 7 4 598
2017 TEAM TOTALS: 4161 1147 210 26 161 399 44 13 44 898 67 28 4661
PROJECTED: 4189 1082 197 29 126 364 34 24 45 922 60 33 4656
difference: -28 +65 +13 -3 +35 +35 +10 -11 -1 -24 +7 -5 +5
Man AB H 2B 3B HR BB SF SH HBP SO SB CS BFP


Assorted Team Stats:
Stat Actual Projected
Batting Average: .276 .258
Slugging Average: .455 .409
Walks (per PA): .086 .078
SOs (per PA): .193 .198
On-Base Average: .341 .320
Power Factor: 1.65 1.59
OPS: .796 .730
TPP Runs (to date): 633 541

Runs differential:
Actual TPP 92 more than Projected TPP.




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This page was last modified on Saturday, 19 August 2017, at 7:11 am Pacific Time.