Owing to the screen size of your device, you may obtain a better viewing experience by rotating your device a quarter-turn (to get the so-called "panorama" screen view).
owlcroft logo
An Owlcroft Company web site
Click here to email us.

The Owlcroft Baseball-Analysis Site

Baseball team and player performance examined realistically and accurately.

Search this site, or just roll your cursor over the colored boxes below the pictures.

  Advertisement:


  Advertisement:


DET "Expected" Pitching Results, 2017


About These Stats:

The form of "projection" used is very simple: each man's career numbers are pro-rated by his actual number of batters faced to date this season; those data, labelled "proj:" are shown along with the man's actual stats from this year to date. At the bottom of the Table, each set of lines—"projected" and actual—is separately summed to get Team Totals for each dataset.

Note that "career to date" includes each man's stats for the current year: "to date" is literally correct. For veteran players, that matters little, but for rookies or players with litle prior major-league experience, it means that the "projection" will perforce nearly or exactly match the actual stats to date. That seems like the best way to deal with newly arrived players' stats.

Note that owing to rounding in the pro-rating process, projected total BFP (batters faced) may occasionally differ by 1.

Below the player/team table is a smaller table showing a few key team "rate" stats (such as batting average) actual and projected.

The Actual Data:

Through games of Monday, 22 May 2017.
All results are from true, unadjusted data.

Handedness Key:   + R   * L

(You can also look up the stat definitions.)

Pitchers, listed in alphabetical order:
Each name is a click-on link to that man's career stats.

(or see the data for Batting)


Man AB H 2B 3B HR BB SF SH HBP SO SB CS BFP
Bell, Chad 2017: 29 4 0 0 0 3 0 0 0 6 0 0 32
Bell, Chad proj: 29 4 0 0 0 3 0 0 0 6 0 0 32
Boyd, Matthew 2017: 191 58 10 3 7 21 2 1 0 33 2 3 215
Boyd, Matthew proj: 194 55 8 2 10 17 2 0 1 39 1 3 214
Cuevas, William 2017: 4 3 1 0 0 0 0 0 1 1 0 0 5
Cuevas, William proj: 4 1 1 0 0 1 0 0 0 1 0 0 5
Fulmer, Michael 2017: 225 51 9 0 4 14 2 0 4 50 0 0 245
Fulmer, Michael proj: 224 51 10 0 5 15 1 1 4 50 1 1 245
Greene, Shane 2017: 76 15 1 0 1 10 1 0 3 26 0 0 90
Greene, Shane proj: 80 22 3 1 2 7 1 0 2 18 1 1 90
Hardy, Blaine 2017: 54 15 2 0 3 3 0 0 0 11 0 0 57
Hardy, Blaine proj: 50 13 2 0 1 5 1 0 0 11 0 0 56
Jimenez, Joe 2017: 18 5 0 0 2 2 0 0 0 5 0 0 20
Jimenez, Joe proj: 18 5 0 0 2 2 0 0 0 5 0 0 20
Norris, Daniel 2017: 177 53 12 1 4 21 0 2 2 39 5 2 202
Norris, Daniel proj: 181 48 10 2 6 17 2 1 1 41 3 1 202
Rodriguez, Francisco 2017: 70 21 9 0 5 8 0 0 0 17 2 1 78
Rodriguez, Francisco proj: 69 14 3 0 2 8 0 0 0 22 2 0 77
Rondon, Bruce 2017: 8 4 1 0 0 3 0 0 0 1 1 0 11
Rondon, Bruce proj: 9 2 0 0 0 1 0 0 0 3 0 0 10
Ryan, Kyle 2017: 21 9 1 0 0 7 1 0 0 1 1 0 29
Ryan, Kyle proj: 26 7 1 0 1 2 0 0 0 4 0 0 28
Sanchez, Anibal 2017: 97 34 7 0 9 9 0 0 0 22 3 2 106
Sanchez, Anibal proj: 95 24 5 1 3 8 1 1 1 22 3 0 106
Saupold, Warwick 2017: 15 3 0 0 3 2 0 0 1 5 1 0 18
Saupold, Warwick proj: 16 5 1 0 1 1 1 0 1 4 0 0 19
Verlander, Justin 2017: 211 48 11 1 6 26 0 0 2 54 5 0 239
Verlander, Justin proj: 217 51 10 1 5 17 1 1 2 54 3 2 238
Wilson, Alex 2017: 66 11 1 0 1 6 0 0 1 11 0 0 73
Wilson, Alex proj: 67 16 3 1 1 5 1 0 1 12 0 0 74
Wilson, Justin 2017: 61 6 1 1 2 5 0 0 0 30 0 0 66
Wilson, Justin proj: 59 13 2 0 1 6 0 0 1 17 2 0 66
Zimmermann, Jordan 2017: 181 58 8 1 11 14 2 1 2 28 3 0 200
Zimmermann, Jordan proj: 185 48 9 1 5 10 1 2 2 39 2 1 200
2017 TEAM TOTALS: 1504 398 74 7 58 154 8 4 16 340 23 8 1686
PROJECTED: 1523 379 68 9 45 125 12 6 16 348 18 9 1682
difference: -19 +19 +6 -2 +13 +29 -4 -2 0 -8 +5 -1 +4
Man AB H 2B 3B HR BB SF SH HBP SO SB CS BFP


Assorted Team Stats:
Stat Actual Projected
Batting Average: .265 .249
Slugging Average: .439 .394
Walks (per PA): .091 .074
SOs (per PA): .202 .206
On-Base Average: .337 .309
Power Factor: 1.66 1.58
OPS: .776 .703
TPP Runs (to date): 220 184

Runs differential:
Actual TPP 36 more than Projected TPP.




  Advertisement:


  Advertisement:



Want detailed, careful, unhysterical analysis of the effects of "Performance-Enhancing Drugs" in baseball? Click here to visit the Steroids & Baseball web site.

All content copyright © 2002 - 2017 by The Owlcroft Company.

This web page is strictly compliant with the W3C (World Wide Web Consortium) Extensible HyperText Markup Language (XHTML) Protocol v1.0 (Transitional) and the W3C Cascading Style Sheets (CSS) Protocol v3 — because we care about interoperability. Click on the logos below to test us!



This page was last modified on Tuesday, 23 May 2017, at 6:59 am Pacific Time.