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DET "Expected" Pitching Results, 2018


About These Stats:

The form of "projection" used is very simple: each man's career numbers are pro-rated by his actual number of batters faced to date this season; those data, labelled "proj:" are shown along with the man's actual stats from this year to date. At the bottom of the Table, each set of lines—"projected" and actual—is separately summed to get Team Totals for each dataset.

Note that "career to date" includes each man's stats for the current year: "to date" is literally correct. For veteran players, that matters little, but for rookies or players with litle prior major-league experience, it means that the "projection" will perforce nearly or exactly match the actual stats to date. That seems like the best way to deal with newly arrived players' stats.

Note that owing to rounding in the pro-rating process, projected total BFP (batters faced) may occasionally differ by 1.

Below the player/team table is a smaller table showing a few key team "rate" stats (such as batting average) actual and projected.

The Actual Data:

Through games of Sunday, 24 June 2018.
All results are from true, unadjusted data.

Handedness Key:   + R   * L

(You can also look up the stat definitions.)

Pitchers, listed in alphabetical order:
Each name is a click-on link to that man's career stats.

(or see the data for Batting)


Man AB H 2B 3B HR BB SF SH HBP SO SB CS BFP
Baez, Sandy 2018: 13 0 0 0 0 3 0 0 1 4 0 0 17
Baez, Sandy proj: 13 0 0 0 0 3 0 0 1 4 0 0 17
Barbato, Johnny 2018: 29 11 1 0 3 5 0 1 1 2 0 0 36
Barbato, Johnny proj: 31 8 2 0 1 5 0 0 1 6 0 0 37
Bell, Chad 2018: 33 14 4 0 1 2 1 0 0 7 0 0 36
Bell, Chad proj: 32 10 2 0 1 4 0 0 0 7 1 0 36
Boyd, Matthew 2018: 302 68 16 0 8 33 3 2 6 69 11 1 346
Boyd, Matthew proj: 310 84 15 3 13 29 3 1 3 65 4 3 346
Carpenter, Ryan 2018: 54 17 1 0 4 3 1 0 2 7 0 1 60
Carpenter, Ryan proj: 54 17 1 0 4 3 1 0 2 7 0 1 60
Coleman, Louis 2018: 71 13 2 0 2 7 0 1 3 24 0 0 82
Coleman, Louis proj: 71 16 4 0 3 9 0 1 1 20 0 1 82
Farmer, Buck 2018: 138 40 13 0 5 22 1 1 1 36 3 0 163
Farmer, Buck proj: 140 40 9 1 7 18 1 1 2 32 2 1 162
Fiers, Mike 2018: 311 85 16 3 16 18 1 1 4 58 6 2 335
Fiers, Mike proj: 304 78 15 2 12 24 2 2 3 73 6 2 335
Fulmer, Michael 2018: 323 79 18 0 11 30 0 1 5 75 1 2 359
Fulmer, Michael proj: 327 78 15 1 9 24 2 2 5 69 2 1 360
Greene, Shane 2018: 138 32 1 2 6 10 0 0 1 40 0 1 149
Greene, Shane proj: 133 34 5 1 4 13 1 0 2 32 1 1 149
Hardy, Blaine 2018: 162 41 7 2 4 10 2 0 2 30 4 1 176
Hardy, Blaine proj: 156 42 8 1 3 15 2 1 1 33 1 0 175
Jimenez, Joe 2018: 136 27 6 1 1 8 1 0 1 41 2 0 146
Jimenez, Joe proj: 133 35 8 1 3 10 1 0 2 35 2 1 146
Lewicki, Artie 2018: 114 38 6 1 4 10 3 0 0 20 4 0 127
Lewicki, Artie proj: 115 40 5 1 4 10 2 0 0 18 4 0 127
Liriano, Francisco 2018: 216 45 4 3 8 32 2 0 2 48 4 2 252
Liriano, Francisco proj: 221 53 10 1 6 26 2 1 2 60 5 1 252
Norris, Daniel 2018: 63 16 3 0 3 9 0 0 1 18 2 0 73
Norris, Daniel proj: 65 18 4 1 2 6 1 0 0 15 2 1 72
Reininger, Zac 2018: 29 10 3 0 2 5 0 0 0 4 0 0 34
Reininger, Zac proj: 30 11 2 0 2 3 0 0 0 4 0 0 33
Saupold, Warwick 2018: 133 38 8 1 5 12 1 2 2 16 0 0 150
Saupold, Warwick proj: 130 37 7 0 4 14 2 1 3 22 2 1 150
Stumpf, Daniel 2018: 70 21 8 1 1 12 2 0 0 14 3 0 84
Stumpf, Daniel proj: 72 21 3 1 2 9 2 0 1 15 2 0 84
VerHagen, Drew 2018: 71 20 5 1 3 9 3 0 1 18 1 1 84
VerHagen, Drew proj: 74 21 4 1 3 8 1 0 1 13 1 1 84
Wilson, Alex 2018: 97 22 1 1 5 8 1 1 1 20 0 1 108
Wilson, Alex proj: 99 25 5 1 2 7 1 0 1 17 1 1 108
Zimmermann, Jordan 2018: 143 36 9 1 5 9 2 0 0 36 2 2 154
Zimmermann, Jordan proj: 143 37 7 1 4 8 1 1 1 29 2 1 154
2018 TEAM TOTALS: 2646 673 132 17 97 257 24 10 34 587 43 14 2971
PROJECTED: 2653 705 131 17 89 248 25 11 32 576 38 17 2969
difference: -7 -32 +1 0 +8 +9 -1 -1 +2 +11 +5 -3 +2
Man AB H 2B 3B HR BB SF SH HBP SO SB CS BFP


Assorted Team Stats:
Stat Actual Projected
Batting Average: .254 .266
Slugging Average: .427 .429
Walks (per PA): .087 .083
SOs (per PA): .198 .194
On-Base Average: .324 .332
Power Factor: 1.68 1.61
OPS: .752 .760
TPP Runs (to date): 366 372

Runs differential:
Actual TPP 6 less than Projected TPP.




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This page was last modified on Monday, 25 June 2018, at 7:02 am Pacific Time.