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DET "Expected" Pitching Results, 2018


About These Stats:

The form of "projection" used is very simple: each man's career numbers are pro-rated by his actual number of batters faced to date this season; those data, labelled "proj:" are shown along with the man's actual stats from this year to date. At the bottom of the Table, each set of lines—"projected" and actual—is separately summed to get Team Totals for each dataset.

Note that "career to date" includes each man's stats for the current year: "to date" is literally correct. For veteran players, that matters little, but for rookies or players with litle prior major-league experience, it means that the "projection" will perforce nearly or exactly match the actual stats to date. That seems like the best way to deal with newly arrived players' stats.

Note that owing to rounding in the pro-rating process, projected total BFP (batters faced) may occasionally differ by 1.

Below the player/team table is a smaller table showing a few key team "rate" stats (such as batting average) actual and projected.

The Actual Data:

Through games of Monday, 20 August 2018.
All results are from true, unadjusted data.

Handedness Key:   + R   * L

(You can also look up the stat definitions.)

Pitchers, listed in alphabetical order:
Each name is a click-on link to that man's career stats.

(or see the data for Batting)


Man AB H 2B 3B HR BB SF SH HBP SO SB CS BFP
Alcantara, Victor 2018: 65 13 6 0 1 3 0 0 0 13 1 0 68
Alcantara, Victor proj: 62 16 4 0 1 4 1 0 1 11 1 0 68
Baez, Sandy 2018: 13 0 0 0 0 3 0 0 1 4 0 0 17
Baez, Sandy proj: 13 0 0 0 0 3 0 0 1 4 0 0 17
Barbato, Johnny 2018: 29 11 1 0 3 5 0 1 1 2 0 0 36
Barbato, Johnny proj: 31 8 2 0 1 5 0 0 1 6 0 0 37
Bell, Chad 2018: 33 14 4 0 1 2 1 0 0 7 0 0 36
Bell, Chad proj: 32 10 2 0 1 4 0 0 0 7 1 0 36
Boyd, Matthew 2018: 500 109 25 1 16 41 4 2 9 121 14 1 556
Boyd, Matthew proj: 501 132 25 4 21 44 5 2 5 108 6 5 557
Carpenter, Ryan 2018: 78 25 2 0 7 3 1 0 2 10 0 1 84
Carpenter, Ryan proj: 78 25 2 0 7 3 1 0 2 10 0 1 84
Coleman, Louis 2018: 137 34 8 0 4 16 2 1 3 35 0 0 159
Coleman, Louis proj: 138 32 7 1 5 17 1 1 2 38 1 1 159
Farmer, Buck 2018: 216 57 17 0 6 31 1 1 1 51 3 3 250
Farmer, Buck proj: 216 61 14 2 9 28 2 1 3 49 2 2 250
Fiers, Mike 2018: 469 121 22 3 20 26 1 1 5 87 7 3 502
Fiers, Mike proj: 457 115 23 2 18 35 3 2 5 109 8 3 502
Fulmer, Michael 2018: 426 110 27 0 14 38 1 1 5 93 1 3 471
Fulmer, Michael proj: 429 104 20 1 11 32 3 2 6 89 2 2 472
Greene, Shane 2018: 199 47 4 4 7 14 2 0 2 52 1 1 217
Greene, Shane proj: 193 50 8 2 5 19 1 1 3 46 2 2 217
Hardy, Blaine 2018: 296 74 12 3 10 20 3 1 2 58 4 2 322
Hardy, Blaine proj: 287 76 14 2 7 27 4 2 1 60 2 1 321
Jimenez, Joe 2018: 199 44 11 1 5 17 2 0 3 59 3 0 221
Jimenez, Joe proj: 198 52 12 1 6 18 2 0 3 52 3 1 221
Lewicki, Artie 2018: 150 48 9 1 4 14 5 0 1 30 5 3 170
Lewicki, Artie proj: 152 51 8 1 4 14 4 0 1 28 5 2 171
Liriano, Francisco 2018: 360 89 10 4 16 58 3 0 4 77 8 3 425
Liriano, Francisco proj: 372 90 16 2 10 44 3 2 3 100 8 2 424
McAllister, Zach 2018: 19 10 2 0 1 0 0 0 0 5 0 0 19
McAllister, Zach proj: 17 5 1 0 1 1 0 0 0 4 0 0 18
Norris, Daniel 2018: 63 16 3 0 3 9 0 0 1 18 2 0 73
Norris, Daniel proj: 65 18 4 1 2 6 1 0 0 15 2 1 72
Reininger, Zac 2018: 45 15 4 0 4 5 1 0 0 8 0 0 51
Reininger, Zac proj: 46 16 3 0 4 4 1 0 0 7 0 0 51
Saupold, Warwick 2018: 140 41 8 1 6 13 1 2 2 16 0 0 158
Saupold, Warwick proj: 137 40 7 0 5 15 2 1 3 23 2 1 158
Stumpf, Daniel 2018: 114 36 9 2 4 16 2 0 0 28 5 0 132
Stumpf, Daniel proj: 115 34 5 2 4 14 2 0 1 26 3 0 132
Turner, Jacob 2018: 10 6 0 0 1 1 0 0 0 1 1 0 11
Turner, Jacob proj: 10 3 1 0 0 1 0 0 0 2 0 0 11
VerHagen, Drew 2018: 152 35 6 1 6 12 4 0 1 40 3 2 169
VerHagen, Drew proj: 151 41 6 2 6 14 2 0 1 29 2 2 168
Wilson, Alex 2018: 181 43 6 1 7 14 2 2 2 32 0 2 201
Wilson, Alex proj: 184 46 9 2 4 13 2 1 2 32 1 1 202
Zimmermann, Jordan 2018: 355 96 19 4 16 16 4 1 0 78 5 4 376
Zimmermann, Jordan proj: 348 91 18 3 10 19 2 3 3 72 4 2 375
2018 TEAM TOTALS: 4249 1094 215 26 162 377 40 13 45 925 63 28 4724
PROJECTED: 4232 1116 211 28 142 384 42 18 47 927 55 29 4723
difference: +17 -22 +4 -2 +20 -7 -2 -5 -2 -2 +8 -1 +1
Man AB H 2B 3B HR BB SF SH HBP SO SB CS BFP


Assorted Team Stats:
Stat Actual Projected
Batting Average: .257 .264
Slugging Average: .435 .427
Walks (per PA): .080 .081
SOs (per PA): .196 .196
On-Base Average: .321 .328
Power Factor: 1.69 1.62
OPS: .756 .755
TPP Runs (to date): 582 581

Runs differential:
Actual TPP 1 more than Projected TPP.




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This page was last modified on Tuesday, 21 August 2018, at 7:11 am Pacific Time.