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DET "Expected" Pitching Results, 2019


About These Stats:

The form of "projection" used is very simple: each man's career numbers are pro-rated by his actual number of batters faced to date this season; those data, labelled "proj:" are shown along with the man's actual stats from this year to date. At the bottom of the Table, each set of lines—"projected" and actual—is separately summed to get Team Totals for each dataset.

Note that "career to date" includes each man's stats for the current year: "to date" is literally correct. For veteran players, that matters little, but for rookies or players with litle prior major-league experience, it means that the "projection" will perforce nearly or exactly match the actual stats to date. That seems like the best way to deal with newly arrived players' stats.

Note that owing to rounding in the pro-rating process, projected total BFP (batters faced) may occasionally differ by 1.

Below the player/team table is a smaller table showing a few key team "rate" stats (such as batting average) actual and projected.

The Actual Data:

Through games of Monday, 16 September 2019.
All results are from true, unadjusted data.

Handedness Key:   + R   * L

(You can also look up the stat definitions.)

Pitchers, listed in alphabetical order:
Each name is a click-on link to that man's career stats.

(or see the data for Batting)


Man AB H 2B 3B HR BB SF SH HBP SO SB CS BFP
Adams, Austin 2019: 54 14 5 0 2 10 1 0 0 9 1 0 65
Adams, Austin proj: 58 17 5 1 2 6 0 0 0 11 1 0 64
Alcantara, Victor 2019: 152 44 10 0 8 13 1 1 1 22 3 2 168
Alcantara, Victor proj: 153 42 9 0 7 12 2 1 2 25 2 1 170
Alexander, Tyler 2019: 182 51 10 2 8 5 1 0 1 39 0 0 189
Alexander, Tyler proj: 182 51 10 2 8 5 1 0 1 39 0 0 189
Baez, Sandy 2019: 5 2 1 0 0 0 0 0 0 0 0 0 5
Baez, Sandy proj: 4 1 0 0 0 1 0 0 0 1 0 0 5
Boyd, Matthew 2019: 681 164 33 2 38 47 4 3 8 228 4 5 743
Boyd, Matthew proj: 673 173 33 4 32 55 6 2 7 170 8 6 743
Carpenter, Ryan 2019: 180 61 14 1 12 13 2 0 2 25 2 0 197
Carpenter, Ryan proj: 180 62 12 1 13 11 3 0 3 26 2 1 197
Cisnero, Jose 2019: 119 29 6 2 4 16 2 1 3 37 1 0 141
Cisnero, Jose proj: 121 33 8 1 3 16 2 0 2 32 3 0 141
Dixon, Brandon 2019: 7 1 0 0 1 0 0 0 2 1 0 0 9
Dixon, Brandon proj: 8 1 0 0 1 0 0 0 1 1 0 0 9
Farmer, Buck 2019: 231 59 13 3 8 24 4 3 5 70 4 1 267
Farmer, Buck proj: 230 63 14 2 9 29 2 1 4 55 3 2 266
Garcia, Bryan 2019: 17 6 2 0 1 3 0 0 0 4 0 0 20
Garcia, Bryan proj: 17 6 2 0 1 3 0 0 0 4 0 0 20
Garrett, Reed 2019: 63 24 8 0 3 13 0 0 1 10 1 1 77
Garrett, Reed proj: 63 24 8 0 3 13 0 0 1 10 1 1 77
Greene, Shane 2019: 137 21 2 0 5 12 0 1 1 43 2 0 151
Greene, Shane proj: 135 34 5 1 4 13 1 0 2 33 1 1 151
Hall, Matt 2019: 87 27 3 1 4 14 0 0 1 25 1 0 102
Hall, Matt proj: 88 31 5 1 3 12 1 0 1 20 1 1 102
Hardy, Blaine 2019: 164 38 5 2 10 13 4 1 0 29 1 3 182
Hardy, Blaine proj: 163 42 8 1 5 15 3 1 1 34 1 1 183
Jackson, Edwin 2019: 154 51 8 3 9 16 2 0 1 30 1 1 173
Jackson, Edwin proj: 154 42 9 1 5 16 1 1 1 30 3 1 173
Jimenez, Eduardo 2019: 44 12 4 0 1 5 0 0 0 8 0 0 49
Jimenez, Eduardo proj: 44 12 4 0 1 5 0 0 0 8 0 0 49
Jimenez, Joe 2019: 216 53 12 1 12 23 0 0 4 77 2 2 243
Jimenez, Joe proj: 217 55 13 1 8 22 1 0 4 69 2 1 244
Manuel Fernandez, Jose 2019: 16 6 2 0 1 5 1 0 1 2 2 0 23
Manuel Fernandez, Jose proj: 19 5 1 0 1 3 0 0 0 3 1 0 22
McKay, David 2019: 57 10 3 0 1 9 0 0 0 24 3 1 66
McKay, David proj: 55 10 3 0 1 11 0 0 0 19 3 1 66
Moore, Matt 2019: 32 3 0 0 0 1 0 0 0 9 0 0 33
Moore, Matt proj: 29 7 2 0 1 3 0 0 0 7 0 0 32
Norris, Daniel 2019: 540 149 27 4 25 38 2 4 4 119 11 6 588
Norris, Daniel proj: 530 144 29 4 21 47 5 3 4 121 12 5 589
Ramirez, Nick 2019: 287 72 15 2 11 32 3 1 1 68 8 0 324
Ramirez, Nick proj: 287 72 15 2 11 32 3 1 1 68 8 0 324
Reininger, Zac 2019: 101 35 12 2 9 15 2 0 0 12 2 0 118
Reininger, Zac proj: 104 35 9 2 8 12 2 0 0 16 1 0 118
Rosenthal, Trevor 2019: 29 3 1 0 0 11 0 1 1 12 0 0 42
Rosenthal, Trevor proj: 36 8 1 0 0 5 0 0 1 13 0 0 42
Ross, Tyson 2019: 142 41 6 1 7 18 1 0 1 25 5 3 162
Ross, Tyson proj: 142 35 6 1 3 16 1 1 2 34 5 2 162
Schreiber, John 2019: 30 11 1 0 2 3 0 0 1 7 0 0 34
Schreiber, John proj: 30 11 1 0 2 3 0 0 1 7 0 0 34
Soto, Gregory 2019: 221 67 10 2 9 29 3 0 0 38 5 1 253
Soto, Gregory proj: 221 67 10 2 9 29 3 0 0 38 5 1 253
Stumpf, Daniel 2019: 116 35 6 1 5 15 3 1 0 28 3 1 135
Stumpf, Daniel proj: 118 34 5 2 4 13 2 1 1 27 4 1 135
Torres, Carlos 2019: 27 9 1 0 2 1 0 0 1 8 0 0 29
Torres, Carlos proj: 26 7 1 0 1 3 0 0 0 6 0 0 29
Turnbull, Spencer 2019: 513 139 31 4 14 56 4 1 14 126 14 4 588
Turnbull, Spencer proj: 517 140 30 4 13 54 4 1 13 126 13 4 589
VerHagen, Drew 2019: 203 59 12 1 7 21 1 0 4 47 6 2 229
VerHagen, Drew proj: 204 55 9 2 8 20 2 0 3 42 4 2 229
Zimmermann, Jordan 2019: 423 127 26 5 17 23 4 3 6 74 10 3 459
Zimmermann, Jordan proj: 425 113 21 3 13 23 3 4 4 87 6 3 459
2019 TEAM TOTALS: 5230 1423 289 39 236 504 45 21 64 1256 92 36 5864
PROJECTED: 5233 1432 288 38 201 508 48 17 60 1182 90 35 5866
difference: -3 -9 +1 +1 +35 -4 -3 +4 +4 +74 +2 +1 -2
Man AB H 2B 3B HR BB SF SH HBP SO SB CS BFP


Assorted Team Stats:
Stat Actual Projected
Batting Average: .272 .274
Slugging Average: .478 .458
Walks (per PA): .086 .087
SOs (per PA): .214 .202
On-Base Average: .340 .341
Power Factor: 1.76 1.68
OPS: .817 .799
TPP Runs (to date): 830 800

Runs differential:
Actual TPP 30 more than Projected TPP.




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This page was last modified on Tuesday, 17 September 2019, at 7:06 am Pacific Time.