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DET "Expected" Pitching Results, 2019


About These Stats:

The form of "projection" used is very simple: each man's career numbers are pro-rated by his actual number of batters faced to date this season; those data, labelled "proj:" are shown along with the man's actual stats from this year to date. At the bottom of the Table, each set of lines—"projected" and actual—is separately summed to get Team Totals for each dataset.

Note that "career to date" includes each man's stats for the current year: "to date" is literally correct. For veteran players, that matters little, but for rookies or players with litle prior major-league experience, it means that the "projection" will perforce nearly or exactly match the actual stats to date. That seems like the best way to deal with newly arrived players' stats.

Note that owing to rounding in the pro-rating process, projected total BFP (batters faced) may occasionally differ by 1.

Below the player/team table is a smaller table showing a few key team "rate" stats (such as batting average) actual and projected.

The Actual Data:

Through games of Saturday, 25 May 2019.
All results are from true, unadjusted data.

Handedness Key:   + R   * L

(You can also look up the stat definitions.)

Pitchers, listed in alphabetical order:
Each name is a click-on link to that man's career stats.

(or see the data for Batting)


Man AB H 2B 3B HR BB SF SH HBP SO SB CS BFP
Alcantara, Victor 2019: 88 23 6 0 5 11 1 0 1 13 1 1 101
Alcantara, Victor proj: 90 23 5 0 4 8 1 0 1 15 1 0 100
Baez, Sandy 2019: 5 2 1 0 0 0 0 0 0 0 0 0 5
Baez, Sandy proj: 4 1 0 0 0 1 0 0 0 1 0 0 5
Boyd, Matthew 2019: 249 53 9 2 7 14 1 1 5 80 2 2 270
Boyd, Matthew proj: 244 63 12 2 10 20 2 1 3 57 3 2 270
Carpenter, Ryan 2019: 60 18 2 1 5 4 1 0 0 12 0 0 65
Carpenter, Ryan proj: 60 20 3 0 5 3 1 0 1 10 0 0 65
Dixon, Brandon 2019: 4 1 0 0 1 0 0 0 1 1 0 0 5
Dixon, Brandon proj: 4 1 0 0 1 0 0 0 1 1 0 0 5
Farmer, Buck 2019: 79 21 7 0 3 7 0 1 1 23 0 0 88
Farmer, Buck proj: 76 21 5 1 3 10 1 0 1 17 1 1 88
Garrett, Reed 2019: 63 24 8 0 3 13 0 0 1 10 1 1 77
Garrett, Reed proj: 63 24 8 0 3 13 0 0 1 10 1 1 77
Greene, Shane 2019: 80 12 1 0 3 7 0 0 1 24 2 0 88
Greene, Shane proj: 78 20 3 1 2 7 1 0 1 19 1 1 87
Hardy, Blaine 2019: 72 14 1 1 4 5 1 0 0 8 0 0 78
Hardy, Blaine proj: 70 18 3 1 2 6 1 0 0 14 1 0 77
Jimenez, Eduardo 2019: 11 4 2 0 0 2 0 0 0 1 0 0 13
Jimenez, Eduardo proj: 11 4 2 0 0 2 0 0 0 1 0 0 13
Jimenez, Joe 2019: 83 19 5 0 5 9 0 0 2 33 0 2 94
Jimenez, Joe proj: 84 21 5 0 3 8 1 0 1 26 1 1 94
Manuel Fernandez, Jose 2019: 16 6 2 0 1 5 1 0 1 2 2 0 23
Manuel Fernandez, Jose proj: 19 5 1 0 1 3 0 0 0 3 1 0 22
Moore, Matt 2019: 32 3 0 0 0 1 0 0 0 9 0 0 33
Moore, Matt proj: 29 7 2 0 1 3 0 0 0 7 0 0 32
Norris, Daniel 2019: 181 52 6 0 8 11 0 1 0 33 2 2 193
Norris, Daniel proj: 174 47 9 1 6 16 2 1 1 39 4 2 194
Ramirez, Nick 2019: 50 11 0 0 3 4 1 1 1 12 0 0 57
Ramirez, Nick proj: 50 11 0 0 3 4 1 1 1 12 0 0 57
Reininger, Zac 2019: 58 23 7 2 6 4 2 0 0 4 2 0 64
Reininger, Zac proj: 58 20 5 1 4 5 1 0 0 8 1 0 64
Ross, Tyson 2019: 142 41 6 1 7 18 1 0 1 25 5 3 162
Ross, Tyson proj: 142 35 6 1 3 16 1 1 2 34 5 2 162
Soto, Gregory 2019: 59 22 3 2 4 7 3 0 0 11 0 1 69
Soto, Gregory proj: 59 22 3 2 4 7 3 0 0 11 0 1 69
Stumpf, Daniel 2019: 50 15 3 0 1 7 1 0 0 14 1 0 58
Stumpf, Daniel proj: 51 15 2 1 2 6 1 0 0 12 2 0 58
Turnbull, Spencer 2019: 204 48 9 2 5 22 2 1 6 54 4 0 235
Turnbull, Spencer proj: 208 50 9 2 5 20 2 1 5 53 3 0 236
VerHagen, Drew 2019: 27 10 2 0 1 10 0 0 0 7 0 1 37
VerHagen, Drew proj: 33 9 1 0 1 4 0 0 0 7 1 0 37
Zimmermann, Jordan 2019: 115 30 8 0 6 11 2 0 0 21 4 1 128
Zimmermann, Jordan proj: 119 31 6 1 4 7 1 1 1 24 1 1 129
2019 TEAM TOTALS: 1728 452 88 11 78 172 17 5 21 397 26 14 1943
PROJECTED: 1726 468 90 14 67 169 20 6 20 381 27 12 1941
difference: +2 -16 -2 -3 +11 +3 -3 -1 +1 +16 -1 +2 +2
Man AB H 2B 3B HR BB SF SH HBP SO SB CS BFP


Assorted Team Stats:
Stat Actual Projected
Batting Average: .262 .271
Slugging Average: .461 .456
Walks (per PA): .089 .087
SOs (per PA): .204 .196
On-Base Average: .332 .338
Power Factor: 1.76 1.68
OPS: .793 .794
TPP Runs (to date): 260 261

Runs differential:
Actual TPP 1 less than Projected TPP.




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This page was last modified on Sunday, 26 May 2019, at 6:55 am Pacific Time.