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DET "Expected" Pitching Results, 2018


About These Stats:

The form of "projection" used is very simple: each man's career numbers are pro-rated by his actual number of batters faced to date this season; those data, labelled "proj:" are shown along with the man's actual stats from this year to date. At the bottom of the Table, each set of lines—"projected" and actual—is separately summed to get Team Totals for each dataset.

Note that "career to date" includes each man's stats for the current year: "to date" is literally correct. For veteran players, that matters little, but for rookies or players with litle prior major-league experience, it means that the "projection" will perforce nearly or exactly match the actual stats to date. That seems like the best way to deal with newly arrived players' stats.

Note that owing to rounding in the pro-rating process, projected total BFP (batters faced) may occasionally differ by 1.

Below the player/team table is a smaller table showing a few key team "rate" stats (such as batting average) actual and projected.

The Actual Data:

Through games of Saturday, 21 April 2018.
All results are from true, unadjusted data.

Handedness Key:   + R   * L

(You can also look up the stat definitions.)

Pitchers, listed in alphabetical order:
Each name is a click-on link to that man's career stats.

(or see the data for Batting)


Man AB H 2B 3B HR BB SF SH HBP SO SB CS BFP
Bell, Chad 2018: 24 9 3 0 0 1 0 0 0 5 0 0 25
Bell, Chad proj: 22 7 1 0 1 3 0 0 0 5 0 0 25
Boyd, Matthew 2018: 65 9 2 0 2 4 1 0 1 11 0 0 71
Boyd, Matthew proj: 64 18 3 1 3 6 1 0 0 13 0 1 71
Carpenter, Ryan 2018: 13 5 0 0 2 1 0 0 0 3 0 1 14
Carpenter, Ryan proj: 13 5 0 0 2 1 0 0 0 3 0 1 14
Farmer, Buck 2018: 30 9 3 0 1 7 1 0 0 11 1 0 38
Farmer, Buck proj: 33 9 2 0 2 4 0 0 1 7 0 0 38
Fiers, Mike 2018: 71 21 4 0 2 3 1 0 1 10 2 1 76
Fiers, Mike proj: 69 18 4 0 3 6 1 0 1 17 1 1 77
Fulmer, Michael 2018: 92 26 7 0 3 6 0 0 2 13 0 0 100
Fulmer, Michael proj: 91 22 4 0 2 6 1 0 1 18 1 0 99
Greene, Shane 2018: 35 9 0 1 1 3 0 0 1 11 0 1 39
Greene, Shane proj: 35 9 1 0 1 3 0 0 1 8 0 0 39
Jimenez, Joe 2018: 33 6 0 0 0 2 0 0 0 8 0 0 35
Jimenez, Joe proj: 31 10 2 0 1 3 0 0 1 7 0 0 35
Liriano, Francisco 2018: 61 12 1 1 2 8 1 0 0 14 0 1 70
Liriano, Francisco proj: 61 15 3 0 2 7 0 0 1 17 1 0 69
Norris, Daniel 2018: 45 11 2 0 1 6 0 0 0 14 2 0 51
Norris, Daniel proj: 46 12 3 0 2 4 1 0 0 10 1 0 51
Saupold, Warwick 2018: 20 3 0 1 0 1 0 0 0 1 0 0 21
Saupold, Warwick proj: 18 5 1 0 1 2 0 0 0 3 0 0 20
Stumpf, Daniel 2018: 28 8 4 0 0 3 1 0 0 4 0 0 32
Stumpf, Daniel proj: 28 8 1 0 1 3 1 0 0 6 0 0 32
VerHagen, Drew 2018: 32 6 2 0 0 5 2 0 0 10 0 1 39
VerHagen, Drew proj: 35 10 2 0 1 4 0 0 0 6 0 0 39
Wilson, Alex 2018: 41 9 1 1 2 4 1 0 1 10 0 1 47
Wilson, Alex proj: 43 11 2 1 1 3 1 0 0 8 0 0 47
Zimmermann, Jordan 2018: 68 22 7 1 3 4 1 0 0 18 2 1 73
Zimmermann, Jordan proj: 68 18 3 0 2 4 0 1 1 14 1 0 74
2018 TEAM TOTALS: 658 165 36 5 19 58 9 0 6 143 7 7 731
PROJECTED: 657 177 32 2 25 59 6 1 7 142 5 3 730
difference: +1 -12 +4 +3 -6 -1 +3 -1 -1 +1 +2 +4 +1
Man AB H 2B 3B HR BB SF SH HBP SO SB CS BFP


Assorted Team Stats:
Stat Actual Projected
Batting Average: .251 .269
Slugging Average: .407 .438
Walks (per PA): .079 .081
SOs (per PA): .196 .194
On-Base Average: .313 .333
Power Factor: 1.62 1.63
OPS: .721 .771
TPP Runs (to date): 81 93

Runs differential:
Actual TPP 12 less than Projected TPP.




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This page was last modified on Sunday, 22 April 2018, at 6:52 am Pacific Time.