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DET "Expected" Pitching Results, 2017


About These Stats:

The form of "projection" used is very simple: each man's career numbers are pro-rated by his actual number of batters faced to date this season; those data, labelled "proj:" are shown along with the man's actual stats from this year to date. At the bottom of the Table, each set of lines—"projected" and actual—is separately summed to get Team Totals for each dataset.

Note that "career to date" includes each man's stats for the current year: "to date" is literally correct. For veteran players, that matters little, but for rookies or players with litle prior major-league experience, it means that the "projection" will perforce nearly or exactly match the actual stats to date. That seems like the best way to deal with newly arrived players' stats.

Note that owing to rounding in the pro-rating process, projected total BFP (batters faced) may occasionally differ by 1.

Below the player/team table is a smaller table showing a few key team "rate" stats (such as batting average) actual and projected.

The Actual Data:

Through games of Wednesday, 21 June 2017.
All results are from true, unadjusted data.

Handedness Key:   + R   * L

(You can also look up the stat definitions.)

Pitchers, listed in alphabetical order:
Each name is a click-on link to that man's career stats.

(or see the data for Batting)


Man AB H 2B 3B HR BB SF SH HBP SO SB CS BFP
Bell, Chad 2017: 70 15 2 0 3 7 0 0 1 15 1 0 78
Bell, Chad proj: 70 15 2 0 3 7 0 0 1 15 1 0 78
Boyd, Matthew 2017: 230 74 13 3 7 24 2 1 0 37 2 3 257
Boyd, Matthew proj: 232 68 10 3 11 20 2 1 1 45 1 3 256
Cuevas, William 2017: 4 3 1 0 0 0 0 0 1 1 0 0 5
Cuevas, William proj: 4 1 1 0 0 1 0 0 0 1 0 0 5
Farmer, Buck 2017: 70 20 1 0 5 4 0 0 1 22 1 1 75
Farmer, Buck proj: 65 19 3 1 4 8 0 0 1 14 1 1 74
Fulmer, Michael 2017: 327 82 15 1 4 20 4 0 4 63 0 1 355
Fulmer, Michael proj: 325 77 15 1 7 22 2 1 5 69 1 1 355
Greene, Shane 2017: 123 24 5 0 2 16 1 0 3 38 0 0 143
Greene, Shane proj: 127 34 6 1 3 12 1 1 2 29 2 1 143
Hardy, Blaine 2017: 70 21 4 0 4 6 2 0 0 13 0 0 78
Hardy, Blaine proj: 69 18 4 1 1 8 1 1 0 15 0 0 79
Jimenez, Joe 2017: 18 5 0 0 2 2 0 0 0 5 0 0 20
Jimenez, Joe proj: 18 5 0 0 2 2 0 0 0 5 0 0 20
Leon, Arcenio 2017: 24 7 2 0 0 6 1 0 0 2 0 1 31
Leon, Arcenio proj: 24 7 2 0 0 6 1 0 0 2 0 1 31
Norris, Daniel 2017: 285 83 18 4 7 31 2 2 3 69 9 6 323
Norris, Daniel proj: 289 77 15 3 10 27 4 1 2 67 6 3 323
Rodriguez, Francisco 2017: 101 29 10 0 8 10 0 0 0 23 3 1 111
Rodriguez, Francisco proj: 99 20 4 0 3 11 1 1 0 32 2 1 112
Rondon, Bruce 2017: 8 4 1 0 0 3 0 0 0 1 1 0 11
Rondon, Bruce proj: 9 2 0 0 0 1 0 0 0 3 0 0 10
Ryan, Kyle 2017: 21 9 1 0 0 7 1 0 0 1 1 0 29
Ryan, Kyle proj: 26 7 1 0 1 2 0 0 0 4 0 0 28
Sanchez, Anibal 2017: 116 39 7 0 10 12 0 0 1 27 4 2 129
Sanchez, Anibal proj: 116 30 5 1 3 10 1 1 1 27 3 1 129
Saupold, Warwick 2017: 75 16 2 0 3 5 0 0 3 16 1 3 83
Saupold, Warwick proj: 74 21 4 0 2 5 1 0 3 16 1 2 83
Stumpf, Daniel 2017: 21 8 0 1 1 3 1 0 0 5 0 0 25
Stumpf, Daniel proj: 22 9 0 1 1 3 1 1 0 4 1 1 27
Verlander, Justin 2017: 338 84 17 1 10 43 2 0 2 86 7 0 385
Verlander, Justin proj: 350 83 16 2 9 28 2 2 3 87 5 2 385
Wilson, Alex 2017: 121 30 6 0 4 7 1 0 1 18 0 0 130
Wilson, Alex proj: 119 30 6 1 2 8 1 0 1 20 1 1 129
Wilson, Justin 2017: 99 18 3 2 4 12 0 0 0 39 1 0 111
Wilson, Justin proj: 99 22 3 1 2 10 0 1 1 28 3 1 111
Zimmermann, Jordan 2017: 323 95 14 2 18 25 3 1 3 55 5 1 355
Zimmermann, Jordan proj: 329 84 16 2 9 18 2 3 3 69 4 2 355
2017 TEAM TOTALS: 2444 666 122 14 92 243 20 4 23 536 36 19 2734
PROJECTED: 2466 629 113 18 73 209 20 14 24 552 32 21 2733
difference: -22 +37 +9 -4 +19 +34 0 -10 -1 -16 +4 -2 +1
Man AB H 2B 3B HR BB SF SH HBP SO SB CS BFP


Assorted Team Stats:
Stat Actual Projected
Batting Average: .273 .255
Slugging Average: .447 .404
Walks (per PA): .089 .076
SOs (per PA): .196 .202
On-Base Average: .341 .315
Power Factor: 1.64 1.59
OPS: .788 .720
TPP Runs (to date): 364 309

Runs differential:
Actual TPP 55 more than Projected TPP.




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This page was last modified on Thursday, 22 June 2017, at 7:04 am Pacific Time.