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DET "Expected" Pitching Results, 2019


About These Stats:

The form of "projection" used is very simple: each man's career numbers are pro-rated by his actual number of batters faced to date this season; those data, labelled "proj:" are shown along with the man's actual stats from this year to date. At the bottom of the Table, each set of lines—"projected" and actual—is separately summed to get Team Totals for each dataset.

Note that "career to date" includes each man's stats for the current year: "to date" is literally correct. For veteran players, that matters little, but for rookies or players with litle prior major-league experience, it means that the "projection" will perforce nearly or exactly match the actual stats to date. That seems like the best way to deal with newly arrived players' stats.

Note that owing to rounding in the pro-rating process, projected total BFP (batters faced) may occasionally differ by 1.

Below the player/team table is a smaller table showing a few key team "rate" stats (such as batting average) actual and projected.

The Actual Data:

Through games of Monday, 30 September 2019.
All results are from true, unadjusted data.

Handedness Key:   + R   * L

(You can also look up the stat definitions.)

Pitchers, listed in alphabetical order:
Each name is a click-on link to that man's career stats.

(or see the data for Batting)


Man AB H 2B 3B HR BB SF SH HBP SO SB CS BFP
Adams, Austin 2019: 54 14 5 0 2 10 1 0 0 9 1 0 65
Adams, Austin proj: 58 17 5 1 2 6 0 0 0 11 1 0 64
Alcantara, Victor 2019: 163 45 10 0 8 15 1 1 2 24 3 2 182
Alcantara, Victor proj: 164 44 10 0 7 13 2 1 2 27 2 1 182
Alexander, Tyler 2019: 225 68 13 3 9 7 1 0 2 47 0 0 235
Alexander, Tyler proj: 225 68 13 3 9 7 1 0 2 47 0 0 235
Baez, Sandy 2019: 5 2 1 0 0 0 0 0 0 0 0 0 5
Baez, Sandy proj: 4 1 0 0 0 1 0 0 0 1 0 0 5
Boyd, Matthew 2019: 722 178 36 2 39 50 4 4 8 238 4 5 788
Boyd, Matthew proj: 713 185 36 5 34 58 6 3 8 180 8 6 788
Carpenter, Ryan 2019: 180 61 14 1 12 13 2 0 2 25 2 0 197
Carpenter, Ryan proj: 180 62 12 1 13 11 3 0 3 26 2 1 197
Cisnero, Jose 2019: 136 35 7 2 5 19 2 2 3 40 1 0 162
Cisnero, Jose proj: 138 39 9 1 4 19 2 1 2 36 3 0 162
Dixon, Brandon 2019: 7 1 0 0 1 0 0 0 2 1 0 0 9
Dixon, Brandon proj: 8 1 0 0 1 0 0 0 1 1 0 0 9
Farmer, Buck 2019: 251 62 14 3 8 24 4 4 5 73 4 1 288
Farmer, Buck proj: 249 67 15 2 10 31 2 2 4 59 3 2 288
Garcia, Bryan 2019: 28 9 2 0 1 5 0 0 0 7 0 0 33
Garcia, Bryan proj: 28 9 2 0 1 5 0 0 0 7 0 0 33
Garrett, Reed 2019: 63 24 8 0 3 13 0 0 1 10 1 1 77
Garrett, Reed proj: 63 24 8 0 3 13 0 0 1 10 1 1 77
Greene, Shane 2019: 137 21 2 0 5 12 0 1 1 43 2 0 151
Greene, Shane proj: 135 34 5 1 4 12 1 0 2 33 1 1 150
Hall, Matt 2019: 97 28 3 1 4 15 0 0 1 27 1 0 113
Hall, Matt proj: 98 33 5 1 4 13 1 0 1 22 1 1 113
Hardy, Blaine 2019: 164 38 5 2 10 13 4 1 0 29 1 3 182
Hardy, Blaine proj: 163 42 8 1 5 15 3 1 1 34 1 1 183
Jackson, Edwin 2019: 170 56 8 3 11 19 2 0 1 33 4 1 192
Jackson, Edwin proj: 171 47 10 1 6 17 1 2 1 34 4 1 192
Jimenez, Eduardo 2019: 44 12 4 0 1 5 0 0 0 8 0 0 49
Jimenez, Eduardo proj: 44 12 4 0 1 5 0 0 0 8 0 0 49
Jimenez, Joe 2019: 230 56 12 1 13 23 0 0 4 82 2 2 257
Jimenez, Joe proj: 230 58 14 1 9 22 1 0 4 73 2 1 257
Manuel Fernandez, Jose 2019: 16 6 2 0 1 5 1 0 1 2 2 0 23
Manuel Fernandez, Jose proj: 19 5 1 0 1 3 0 0 0 3 1 0 22
McKay, David 2019: 71 15 3 0 2 9 0 0 1 29 3 1 81
McKay, David proj: 68 14 4 0 2 12 0 0 1 24 3 1 81
Moore, Matt 2019: 32 3 0 0 0 1 0 0 0 9 0 0 33
Moore, Matt proj: 29 7 2 0 1 3 0 0 0 7 0 0 32
Norris, Daniel 2019: 560 154 28 4 25 38 3 5 4 125 11 6 610
Norris, Daniel proj: 550 149 30 5 21 48 5 3 4 126 12 5 610
Ramirez, Nick 2019: 308 76 16 3 11 35 3 1 1 74 8 0 348
Ramirez, Nick proj: 308 76 16 3 11 35 3 1 1 74 8 0 348
Reininger, Zac 2019: 122 44 15 2 11 16 2 0 0 17 2 0 140
Reininger, Zac proj: 124 43 11 2 9 14 2 0 0 20 1 0 140
Rosenthal, Trevor 2019: 29 3 1 0 0 11 0 1 1 12 0 0 42
Rosenthal, Trevor proj: 36 8 1 0 0 5 0 0 1 13 0 0 42
Ross, Tyson 2019: 142 41 6 1 7 18 1 0 1 25 5 3 162
Ross, Tyson proj: 142 35 6 1 3 16 1 1 2 34 5 2 162
Schreiber, John 2019: 54 16 1 0 3 4 0 0 1 19 0 0 59
Schreiber, John proj: 54 16 1 0 3 4 0 0 1 19 0 0 59
Soto, Gregory 2019: 240 74 14 2 9 33 3 0 0 45 5 1 276
Soto, Gregory proj: 240 74 14 2 9 33 3 0 0 45 5 1 276
Stumpf, Daniel 2019: 116 35 6 1 5 15 3 1 0 28 3 1 135
Stumpf, Daniel proj: 118 34 5 2 4 13 2 1 1 27 4 1 135
Torres, Carlos 2019: 27 9 1 0 2 1 0 0 1 8 0 0 29
Torres, Carlos proj: 26 7 1 0 1 3 0 0 0 6 0 0 29
Turnbull, Spencer 2019: 576 154 34 4 14 59 4 1 16 146 14 5 656
Turnbull, Spencer proj: 580 155 33 4 14 57 4 1 14 146 13 5 656
VerHagen, Drew 2019: 230 70 15 2 9 23 1 0 4 51 6 2 258
VerHagen, Drew proj: 230 63 11 2 9 23 2 0 3 47 5 2 258
Zimmermann, Jordan 2019: 466 145 29 7 19 25 4 3 6 82 12 3 504
Zimmermann, Jordan proj: 467 124 24 4 15 26 3 4 4 95 6 3 504
2019 TEAM TOTALS: 5665 1555 315 44 250 536 46 25 69 1368 97 37 6341
PROJECTED: 5662 1553 316 43 216 543 48 21 64 1295 92 36 6338
difference: +3 +2 -1 +1 +34 -7 -2 +4 +5 +73 +5 +1 +3
Man AB H 2B 3B HR BB SF SH HBP SO SB CS BFP


Assorted Team Stats:
Stat Actual Projected
Batting Average: .274 .274
Slugging Average: .478 .460
Walks (per PA): .085 .086
SOs (per PA): .216 .204
On-Base Average: .341 .341
Power Factor: 1.74 1.68
OPS: .819 .801
TPP Runs (to date): 901 866

Runs differential:
Actual TPP 35 more than Projected TPP.




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This page was last modified on Tuesday, 1 October 2019, at 7:36 am Pacific Time.