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HOU "Expected" Batting Results, 2017


About These Stats:

The form of "projection" used is very simple: each man's career numbers are pro-rated by his actual number of appearances to date this season; those data, labelled "proj:" are shown along with the man's actual stats from this year to date. At the bottom of the Table, each set of lines—"projected" and actual—is separately summed to get Team Totals for each dataset.

Note that "career to date" includes each man's stats for the current year: "to date" is literally correct. For veteran players, that matters little, but for rookies or players with litle prior major-league experience, it means that the "projection" will perforce nearly or exactly match the actual stats to date. That seems like the best way to deal with newly arrived players' stats.

Note that owing to rounding in the pro-rating process, projected total PA (plate appearances) may occasionally differ by 1.

Below the player/team table is a smaller table showing a few key team "rate" stats (such as batting average) actual and projected.

The Actual Data:

Through games of Wednesday, 21 June 2017.
All results are from true, unadjusted data.

Handedness Key:   + R   * L   # S

(You can also look up the stat definitions.)

Batters, listed in alphabetical order:
Each name is a click-on link to that man's career stats.

(or see the data for Pitching)


Man AB H 2B 3B HR BB SF SH HBP SO SB CS PA
Altuve, Jose 2017: 276 89 20 2 10 29 2 1 5 42 12 2 313
Altuve, Jose proj: 287 90 18 2 6 19 3 2 3 33 17 5 314
Aoki, Norichika 2017: 150 40 6 0 1 10 3 1 1 22 4 2 165
Aoki, Norichika proj: 147 42 7 1 2 13 1 2 3 14 5 3 166
Beltran, Carlos 2017: 238 57 15 0 10 16 2 0 2 56 0 0 258
Beltran, Carlos proj: 228 64 13 2 10 26 3 0 1 42 7 1 258
Bregman, Alex 2017: 234 60 14 1 7 26 2 1 4 46 5 2 267
Bregman, Alex proj: 240 62 15 2 8 23 2 1 2 54 4 1 268
Centeno, Juan 2017: 7 3 0 0 2 1 0 0 0 1 0 0 8
Centeno, Juan proj: 7 2 0 0 0 1 0 0 0 2 0 0 8
Correa, Carlos 2017: 259 78 13 1 14 31 2 0 2 59 0 0 294
Correa, Carlos proj: 259 73 15 1 12 31 2 0 2 59 6 1 294
Feliz, Michael 2017: 1 0 0 0 0 0 0 0 0 1 0 0 1
Feliz, Michael proj: 1 0 0 0 0 0 0 0 0 1 0 0 1
Fisher, Derek 2017: 18 5 0 0 2 3 0 0 0 5 1 1 21
Fisher, Derek proj: 18 5 0 0 2 3 0 0 0 5 1 1 21
Gattis, Evan 2017: 157 42 11 0 4 13 2 0 3 25 0 0 175
Gattis, Evan proj: 161 40 7 1 9 11 1 0 2 38 0 0 175
Gonzalez, Marwin 2017: 168 52 9 0 12 23 1 2 3 38 3 2 197
Gonzalez, Marwin proj: 181 48 10 1 5 11 0 3 2 38 3 2 197
Gurriel, Yuli 2017: 234 65 17 0 7 6 3 0 5 31 1 1 248
Gurriel, Yuli proj: 234 64 15 0 6 7 3 0 4 28 1 1 248
Kemp, Tony 2017: 3 0 0 0 0 0 0 0 0 2 0 0 3
Kemp, Tony proj: 3 1 0 0 0 0 0 0 0 1 0 0 3
Keuchel, Dallas 2017: 3 0 0 0 0 0 0 0 0 2 0 0 3
Keuchel, Dallas proj: 2 0 0 0 0 0 0 0 0 1 0 0 2
Marisnick, Jake 2017: 102 26 2 0 9 9 1 0 5 39 5 3 117
Marisnick, Jake proj: 107 24 5 1 3 6 1 1 2 33 5 2 117
McCann, Brian 2017: 175 48 7 0 10 22 3 0 3 29 1 0 203
McCann, Brian proj: 180 48 9 0 8 19 2 0 2 31 1 0 203
McCullers Jr., Lance 2017: 3 0 0 0 0 0 0 0 0 0 0 0 3
McCullers Jr., Lance proj: 3 0 0 0 0 0 0 0 0 0 0 0 3
Musgrove, Joe 2017: 2 0 0 0 0 0 0 0 0 1 0 0 2
Musgrove, Joe proj: 1 0 0 0 0 0 0 1 0 1 0 0 2
Reddick, Josh 2017: 214 61 13 2 6 21 4 0 0 32 3 2 243
Reddick, Josh proj: 220 57 11 2 8 20 2 0 1 41 3 1 243
Springer, George 2017: 274 76 13 0 21 26 0 0 4 71 0 3 306
Springer, George proj: 265 69 11 1 14 34 1 0 5 78 5 3 305
2017 TEAM TOTALS: 2518 702 140 6 115 236 25 5 37 502 35 18 2827
PROJECTED: 2544 689 136 14 93 224 21 10 29 500 58 21 2828
difference: -26 +13 +4 -8 +22 +12 +4 -5 +8 +2 -23 -3 -1
Man AB H 2B 3B HR BB SF SH HBP SO SB CS PA


Assorted Team Stats:
Stat Actual Projected
Batting Average: .279 .271
Slugging Average: .476 .445
Walks (per PA): .083 .079
SOs (per PA): .178 .177
On-Base Average: .345 .333
Power Factor: 1.71 1.64
OPS: .821 .778
TOP Runs (to date): 400 371

Runs differential:
Actual TOP 29 more than Projected TOP.




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This page was last modified on Thursday, 22 June 2017, at 7:04 am Pacific Time.