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HOU "Expected" Pitching Results, 2017


About These Stats:

The form of "projection" used is very simple: each man's career numbers are pro-rated by his actual number of batters faced to date this season; those data, labelled "proj:" are shown along with the man's actual stats from this year to date. At the bottom of the Table, each set of lines—"projected" and actual—is separately summed to get Team Totals for each dataset.

Note that "career to date" includes each man's stats for the current year: "to date" is literally correct. For veteran players, that matters little, but for rookies or players with litle prior major-league experience, it means that the "projection" will perforce nearly or exactly match the actual stats to date. That seems like the best way to deal with newly arrived players' stats.

Note that owing to rounding in the pro-rating process, projected total BFP (batters faced) may occasionally differ by 1.

Below the player/team table is a smaller table showing a few key team "rate" stats (such as batting average) actual and projected.

The Actual Data:

Through games of Monday, 24 July 2017.
All results are from true, unadjusted data.

Handedness Key:   + R   * L

(You can also look up the stat definitions.)

Pitchers, listed in alphabetical order:
Each name is a click-on link to that man's career stats.

(or see the data for Batting)


Man AB H 2B 3B HR BB SF SH HBP SO SB CS BFP
Aoki, Norichika 2017: 3 1 1 0 0 2 1 0 0 0 0 0 6
Aoki, Norichika proj: 3 1 1 0 0 2 1 0 0 0 0 0 6
Devenski, Chris 2017: 206 34 8 1 8 14 0 0 1 78 8 2 221
Devenski, Chris proj: 207 40 9 1 4 12 0 0 1 64 6 2 220
Diaz, Dayan 2017: 54 17 6 0 3 4 0 0 0 20 5 0 58
Diaz, Dayan proj: 50 17 4 1 3 7 1 1 0 14 3 0 59
Feliz, Michael 2017: 161 37 14 1 4 20 4 0 0 60 2 0 185
Feliz, Michael proj: 165 38 9 0 6 17 2 0 0 61 3 0 184
Fiers, Mike 2017: 410 97 14 1 21 38 0 0 6 107 12 1 454
Fiers, Mike proj: 413 103 21 2 16 33 3 2 3 103 8 3 454
Giles, Ken 2017: 127 24 4 1 2 14 2 0 1 41 3 0 144
Giles, Ken proj: 130 27 5 1 2 12 1 1 1 47 2 0 145
Gregerson, Luke 2017: 152 37 7 0 7 14 1 1 0 47 6 0 168
Gregerson, Luke proj: 153 33 7 1 3 12 1 2 1 42 4 0 169
Guduan, Reymin 2017: 36 12 4 0 0 4 0 0 0 8 1 0 40
Guduan, Reymin proj: 36 12 4 0 0 4 0 0 0 8 1 0 40
Gustave, Jandel 2017: 18 5 1 0 0 7 0 0 0 2 0 0 25
Gustave, Jandel proj: 22 5 1 0 1 3 0 0 0 5 0 1 25
Harris, Will 2017: 130 28 4 0 5 5 0 0 0 39 1 1 135
Harris, Will proj: 123 28 5 0 3 9 1 1 1 35 3 0 135
Hoyt, James 2017: 151 42 9 1 6 9 0 0 2 57 4 0 162
Hoyt, James proj: 147 37 7 1 7 12 1 1 2 54 3 0 163
Jankowski, Jordan 2017: 17 7 1 1 3 1 0 0 0 4 0 0 18
Jankowski, Jordan proj: 17 7 1 1 3 1 0 0 0 4 0 0 18
Keuchel, Dallas 2017: 263 48 6 0 6 18 0 1 1 69 0 1 283
Keuchel, Dallas proj: 260 65 11 1 7 19 1 1 1 55 2 1 282
Martes, Francis 2017: 109 23 7 0 4 14 2 0 3 35 2 0 128
Martes, Francis proj: 109 23 7 0 4 14 2 0 3 35 2 0 128
McCullers Jr., Lance 2017: 382 92 22 1 6 32 2 2 8 114 3 2 426
McCullers Jr., Lance proj: 380 91 21 3 7 39 2 1 4 115 2 2 426
McHugh, Collin 2017: 18 4 0 0 2 2 0 0 1 4 0 0 21
McHugh, Collin proj: 19 5 1 0 1 1 0 0 0 4 0 0 20
Morton, Charlie 2017: 286 69 19 1 10 30 2 0 7 83 3 1 325
Morton, Charlie proj: 285 78 15 2 6 28 2 4 6 54 7 2 325
Musgrove, Joe 2017: 326 97 15 3 16 23 2 4 2 71 1 2 357
Musgrove, Joe proj: 327 91 19 3 15 23 2 2 3 73 1 1 357
Paulino, David 2017: 121 36 9 0 8 7 0 0 0 34 2 0 128
Paulino, David proj: 119 34 9 0 7 8 0 0 1 29 2 0 128
Peacock, Brad 2017: 257 48 12 1 1 40 0 0 2 97 6 1 299
Peacock, Brad proj: 260 61 14 1 9 35 2 0 2 68 6 1 299
Sipp, Tony 2017: 111 24 7 2 5 12 0 1 1 31 4 0 125
Sipp, Tony proj: 109 24 6 1 5 13 1 1 1 32 3 1 125
Tolliver, Ashur 2017: 17 4 1 0 0 4 0 0 1 5 0 0 22
Tolliver, Ashur proj: 18 5 1 0 1 4 0 0 1 5 0 1 23
2017 TEAM TOTALS: 3355 786 171 14 117 314 16 9 36 1006 63 11 3730
PROJECTED: 3352 825 178 19 110 308 23 17 31 907 58 15 3731
difference: +3 -39 -7 -5 +7 +6 -7 -8 +5 +99 +5 -4 -1
Man AB H 2B 3B HR BB SF SH HBP SO SB CS BFP


Assorted Team Stats:
Stat Actual Projected
Batting Average: .234 .246
Slugging Average: .398 .409
Walks (per PA): .084 .083
SOs (per PA): .270 .243
On-Base Average: .305 .312
Power Factor: 1.7 1.66
OPS: .703 .721
TPP Runs (to date): 411 426

Runs differential:
Actual TPP 15 less than Projected TPP.




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This page was last modified on Tuesday, 25 July 2017, at 7:06 am Pacific Time.