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HOU "Expected" Pitching Results, 2017


About These Stats:

The form of "projection" used is very simple: each man's career numbers are pro-rated by his actual number of batters faced to date this season; those data, labelled "proj:" are shown along with the man's actual stats from this year to date. At the bottom of the Table, each set of lines—"projected" and actual—is separately summed to get Team Totals for each dataset.

Note that "career to date" includes each man's stats for the current year: "to date" is literally correct. For veteran players, that matters little, but for rookies or players with litle prior major-league experience, it means that the "projection" will perforce nearly or exactly match the actual stats to date. That seems like the best way to deal with newly arrived players' stats.

Note that owing to rounding in the pro-rating process, projected total BFP (batters faced) may occasionally differ by 1.

Below the player/team table is a smaller table showing a few key team "rate" stats (such as batting average) actual and projected.

The Actual Data:

Through games of Wednesday, 21 June 2017.
All results are from true, unadjusted data.

Handedness Key:   + R   * L

(You can also look up the stat definitions.)

Pitchers, listed in alphabetical order:
Each name is a click-on link to that man's career stats.

(or see the data for Batting)


Man AB H 2B 3B HR BB SF SH HBP SO SB CS BFP
Devenski, Chris 2017: 147 24 7 1 4 11 0 0 1 58 7 2 159
Devenski, Chris proj: 149 29 7 1 2 9 0 0 1 45 4 2 159
Diaz, Dayan 2017: 37 11 3 0 2 1 0 0 0 15 4 0 38
Diaz, Dayan proj: 33 11 2 1 2 4 1 1 0 9 2 0 39
Feliz, Michael 2017: 121 25 9 1 4 12 3 0 0 44 2 0 136
Feliz, Michael proj: 123 27 6 0 5 12 2 0 0 45 2 0 137
Fiers, Mike 2017: 302 76 12 1 18 28 0 0 4 67 10 1 334
Fiers, Mike proj: 304 76 16 2 12 24 2 2 2 74 6 2 334
Giles, Ken 2017: 104 21 3 1 2 9 1 0 1 36 3 0 115
Giles, Ken proj: 104 22 4 1 2 9 1 1 1 38 1 0 116
Gregerson, Luke 2017: 113 29 6 0 6 10 0 1 0 34 3 0 124
Gregerson, Luke proj: 113 24 5 0 2 9 0 1 1 31 3 0 124
Guduan, Reymin 2017: 13 4 1 0 0 2 0 0 0 4 0 0 15
Guduan, Reymin proj: 13 4 1 0 0 2 0 0 0 4 0 0 15
Gustave, Jandel 2017: 18 5 1 0 0 7 0 0 0 2 0 0 25
Gustave, Jandel proj: 22 5 1 0 1 3 0 0 0 5 0 1 25
Harris, Will 2017: 110 21 4 0 3 4 0 0 0 36 1 1 114
Harris, Will proj: 104 23 4 0 2 8 1 1 1 30 2 0 115
Hoyt, James 2017: 90 23 4 1 4 5 0 0 2 41 4 0 97
Hoyt, James proj: 87 20 3 1 5 7 1 1 2 36 3 0 98
Jankowski, Jordan 2017: 17 7 1 1 3 1 0 0 0 4 0 0 18
Jankowski, Jordan proj: 17 7 1 1 3 1 0 0 0 4 0 0 18
Keuchel, Dallas 2017: 263 48 6 0 6 18 0 1 1 69 0 1 283
Keuchel, Dallas proj: 260 65 11 1 7 19 1 1 1 55 2 1 282
Martes, Francis 2017: 52 13 5 0 2 7 2 0 2 13 1 0 63
Martes, Francis proj: 52 13 5 0 2 7 2 0 2 13 1 0 63
McCullers Jr., Lance 2017: 280 58 11 1 6 23 1 2 5 89 1 2 311
McCullers Jr., Lance proj: 278 64 14 2 6 29 1 1 3 85 1 1 312
Morton, Charlie 2017: 222 56 15 1 7 23 1 0 6 65 2 1 252
Morton, Charlie proj: 221 61 11 2 5 22 2 3 5 42 5 2 253
Musgrove, Joe 2017: 244 70 11 3 11 20 2 4 1 52 1 2 271
Musgrove, Joe proj: 247 66 14 3 10 19 2 2 2 55 1 1 272
Paulino, David 2017: 79 22 6 0 4 5 0 0 0 20 2 0 84
Paulino, David proj: 77 21 6 0 3 6 0 0 1 16 2 0 84
Peacock, Brad 2017: 159 29 7 1 1 24 0 0 2 66 4 1 185
Peacock, Brad proj: 161 38 8 1 6 21 1 0 1 41 4 1 184
Sipp, Tony 2017: 75 16 4 1 2 8 0 1 1 18 4 0 85
Sipp, Tony proj: 74 16 4 0 3 9 0 1 0 21 2 1 84
Tolliver, Ashur 2017: 13 2 0 0 0 2 0 0 1 5 0 0 16
Tolliver, Ashur proj: 13 3 0 0 0 2 0 0 0 4 0 0 15
2017 TEAM TOTALS: 2459 560 116 13 85 220 10 9 27 738 49 11 2725
PROJECTED: 2452 595 123 16 78 222 17 15 23 653 41 12 2729
difference: +7 -35 -7 -3 +7 -2 -7 -6 +4 +85 +8 -1 -4
Man AB H 2B 3B HR BB SF SH HBP SO SB CS BFP


Assorted Team Stats:
Stat Actual Projected
Batting Average: .228 .243
Slugging Average: .389 .401
Walks (per PA): .081 .081
SOs (per PA): .271 .240
On-Base Average: .296 .308
Power Factor: 1.71 1.65
OPS: .685 .709
TPP Runs (to date): 288 304

Runs differential:
Actual TPP 16 less than Projected TPP.




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This page was last modified on Thursday, 22 June 2017, at 7:04 am Pacific Time.