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HOU "Expected" Pitching Results, 2019


About These Stats:

The form of "projection" used is very simple: each man's career numbers are pro-rated by his actual number of batters faced to date this season; those data, labelled "proj:" are shown along with the man's actual stats from this year to date. At the bottom of the Table, each set of lines—"projected" and actual—is separately summed to get Team Totals for each dataset.

Note that "career to date" includes each man's stats for the current year: "to date" is literally correct. For veteran players, that matters little, but for rookies or players with litle prior major-league experience, it means that the "projection" will perforce nearly or exactly match the actual stats to date. That seems like the best way to deal with newly arrived players' stats.

Note that owing to rounding in the pro-rating process, projected total BFP (batters faced) may occasionally differ by 1.

Below the player/team table is a smaller table showing a few key team "rate" stats (such as batting average) actual and projected.

The Actual Data:

Through games of Sunday, 21 April 2019.
All results are from true, unadjusted data.

Handedness Key:   + R   * L

(You can also look up the stat definitions.)

Pitchers, listed in alphabetical order:
Each name is a click-on link to that man's career stats.

(or see the data for Batting)


Man AB H 2B 3B HR BB SF SH HBP SO SB CS BFP
Cole, Gerrit 2019: 114 26 7 0 4 9 0 0 0 44 4 2 123
Cole, Gerrit proj: 112 27 5 1 3 8 1 1 1 31 3 1 123
Devenski, Chris 2019: 31 9 1 1 1 1 0 1 0 9 3 0 33
Devenski, Chris proj: 30 6 1 0 1 2 0 0 0 9 1 0 32
Guduan, Reymin 2019: 10 3 0 0 1 2 1 0 0 3 0 0 13
Guduan, Reymin proj: 11 3 1 0 0 2 0 0 0 3 0 0 13
Harris, Will 2019: 24 5 1 0 0 1 0 0 0 6 0 0 25
Harris, Will proj: 23 5 1 0 1 2 0 0 0 7 1 0 25
James, Josh 2019: 36 6 0 0 3 7 0 0 1 14 0 0 44
James, Josh proj: 38 7 1 0 2 5 0 0 1 14 0 0 44
McHugh, Collin 2019: 96 20 7 1 3 8 2 0 1 28 2 0 107
McHugh, Collin proj: 98 25 5 1 3 7 1 1 1 24 1 1 108
Miley, Wade 2019: 86 22 6 0 2 4 0 0 1 11 0 0 91
Miley, Wade proj: 82 22 5 0 2 7 0 1 1 17 0 1 91
Osuna, Roberto 2019: 27 2 0 0 0 0 0 0 0 9 0 0 27
Osuna, Roberto proj: 25 5 1 0 1 1 0 0 0 8 0 0 26
Peacock, Brad 2019: 58 10 2 0 2 3 0 0 0 15 2 1 61
Peacock, Brad proj: 54 12 3 0 2 6 0 0 0 15 1 0 60
Pressly, Ryan 2019: 29 3 0 0 0 0 0 0 0 9 0 0 29
Pressly, Ryan proj: 26 6 1 0 1 2 0 0 0 6 0 0 28
Rondon, Hector 2019: 25 5 2 0 1 2 1 0 1 8 1 1 29
Rondon, Hector proj: 26 6 1 0 1 2 0 0 0 7 1 0 28
Valdez, Framber 2019: 18 5 1 0 0 4 1 0 0 6 0 0 23
Valdez, Framber proj: 19 4 1 0 0 4 0 0 1 5 0 0 24
Verlander, Justin 2019: 111 21 4 1 5 9 0 0 3 38 1 0 123
Verlander, Justin proj: 112 26 5 1 3 9 1 0 1 29 1 1 123
2019 TEAM TOTALS: 665 137 31 3 22 50 5 1 7 200 13 4 728
PROJECTED: 656 154 31 3 20 57 3 3 6 175 9 4 725
difference: +9 -17 0 0 +2 -7 +2 -2 +1 +25 +4 0 +3
Man AB H 2B 3B HR BB SF SH HBP SO SB CS BFP


Assorted Team Stats:
Stat Actual Projected
Batting Average: .206 .235
Slugging Average: .361 .383
Walks (per PA): .069 .078
SOs (per PA): .275 .240
On-Base Average: .266 .299
Power Factor: 1.75 1.63
OPS: .627 .682
TPP Runs (to date): 65 75

Runs differential:
Actual TPP 10 less than Projected TPP.




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This page was last modified on Monday, 22 April 2019, at 6:52 am Pacific Time.