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HOU "Expected" Pitching Results, 2019


About These Stats:

The form of "projection" used is very simple: each man's career numbers are pro-rated by his actual number of batters faced to date this season; those data, labelled "proj:" are shown along with the man's actual stats from this year to date. At the bottom of the Table, each set of lines—"projected" and actual—is separately summed to get Team Totals for each dataset.

Note that "career to date" includes each man's stats for the current year: "to date" is literally correct. For veteran players, that matters little, but for rookies or players with litle prior major-league experience, it means that the "projection" will perforce nearly or exactly match the actual stats to date. That seems like the best way to deal with newly arrived players' stats.

Note that owing to rounding in the pro-rating process, projected total BFP (batters faced) may occasionally differ by 1.

Below the player/team table is a smaller table showing a few key team "rate" stats (such as batting average) actual and projected.

The Actual Data:

Through games of Sunday, 14 July 2019.
All results are from true, unadjusted data.

Handedness Key:   + R   * L

(You can also look up the stat definitions.)

Pitchers, listed in alphabetical order:
Each name is a click-on link to that man's career stats.

(or see the data for Batting)


Man AB H 2B 3B HR BB SF SH HBP SO SB CS BFP
Armenteros, Rogelio 2019: 21 6 0 0 1 1 0 0 0 6 0 0 22
Armenteros, Rogelio proj: 21 6 0 0 1 1 0 0 0 6 0 0 22
Cole, Gerrit 2019: 454 94 18 0 20 32 0 1 2 183 8 5 489
Cole, Gerrit proj: 447 107 21 2 11 32 2 4 4 129 12 4 489
Devenski, Chris 2019: 156 40 7 3 7 15 2 1 2 43 10 2 176
Devenski, Chris proj: 161 34 7 1 5 12 1 0 2 48 6 1 176
Guduan, Reymin 2019: 22 8 1 0 3 4 1 0 0 6 0 0 27
Guduan, Reymin proj: 23 7 2 0 1 4 0 0 0 6 0 0 27
Harris, Will 2019: 124 29 2 0 3 8 0 1 0 27 0 0 133
Harris, Will proj: 122 28 4 0 3 9 1 1 1 34 2 0 134
James, Josh 2019: 172 33 4 1 7 30 0 0 3 76 6 2 205
James, Josh proj: 176 33 6 1 7 26 0 0 3 73 5 1 205
Martin, Corbin 2019: 80 23 5 0 8 12 0 0 0 19 1 0 92
Martin, Corbin proj: 80 23 5 0 8 12 0 0 0 19 1 0 92
McHugh, Collin 2019: 199 43 11 2 10 17 2 0 3 57 3 0 221
McHugh, Collin proj: 201 51 10 1 6 15 1 1 2 50 2 1 220
Miley, Wade 2019: 404 90 13 1 17 34 2 1 3 91 2 1 444
Miley, Wade proj: 401 106 22 2 12 36 2 3 2 82 2 3 444
Osuna, Roberto 2019: 142 27 3 0 3 8 0 1 1 40 1 0 152
Osuna, Roberto proj: 142 29 6 1 3 7 1 1 2 43 2 0 153
Peacock, Brad 2019: 319 73 19 2 13 25 3 0 5 89 5 1 352
Peacock, Brad proj: 312 72 17 2 11 35 2 0 3 88 6 1 352
Perez, Cionel 2019: 35 11 2 0 3 1 0 0 0 5 0 0 36
Perez, Cionel proj: 32 8 1 0 3 4 0 0 0 8 0 0 36
Pressly, Ryan 2019: 148 25 3 0 4 6 1 0 0 50 1 0 155
Pressly, Ryan proj: 140 33 6 1 4 11 1 1 1 36 2 1 154
Rodgers, Brady 2019: 22 7 1 0 4 3 0 0 0 4 0 0 25
Rodgers, Brady proj: 21 8 2 0 1 3 0 0 0 2 0 0 24
Rondon, Hector 2019: 128 30 8 0 5 15 1 1 1 29 4 1 146
Rondon, Hector proj: 133 31 6 0 4 11 1 1 1 36 4 0 147
Smith, Joe 2019: 2 1 0 0 0 0 0 0 0 0 0 0 2
Smith, Joe proj: 2 0 0 0 0 0 0 0 0 0 0 0 2
Sneed, Cy 2019: 44 13 4 0 2 2 0 0 0 11 0 0 46
Sneed, Cy proj: 44 13 4 0 2 2 0 0 0 11 0 0 46
Stassi, Max 2019: 1 0 0 0 0 0 0 0 0 0 0 0 1
Stassi, Max proj: 1 0 0 0 0 0 0 0 0 0 0 0 1
Urquidy, Jose 2019: 31 14 5 0 1 1 0 1 0 8 0 0 33
Urquidy, Jose proj: 31 14 5 0 1 1 0 1 0 8 0 0 33
Valdez, Framber 2019: 180 47 10 1 5 22 2 0 2 41 3 0 206
Valdez, Framber proj: 175 39 7 1 5 26 1 0 3 43 2 1 205
Verlander, Justin 2019: 475 80 17 2 26 28 1 0 4 160 6 1 508
Verlander, Justin proj: 464 106 21 2 13 36 3 2 4 123 6 3 509
White, Tyler 2019: 16 7 3 0 4 5 1 0 0 2 0 0 22
White, Tyler proj: 17 7 3 0 4 4 1 0 0 2 0 0 22
2019 TEAM TOTALS: 3175 701 136 12 146 269 16 7 26 947 50 13 3493
PROJECTED: 3146 755 155 14 105 287 17 15 28 847 52 16 3493
difference: +29 -54 -19 -2 +41 -18 -1 -8 -2 +100 -2 -3 0
Man AB H 2B 3B HR BB SF SH HBP SO SB CS BFP


Assorted Team Stats:
Stat Actual Projected
Batting Average: .221 .240
Slugging Average: .409 .398
Walks (per PA): .077 .082
SOs (per PA): .271 .242
On-Base Average: .285 .306
Power Factor: 1.85 1.66
OPS: .694 .705
TPP Runs (to date): 374 384

Runs differential:
Actual TPP 10 less than Projected TPP.




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This page was last modified on Monday, 15 July 2019, at 6:59 am Pacific Time.