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HOU "Expected" Pitching Results, 2017


About These Stats:

The form of "projection" used is very simple: each man's career numbers are pro-rated by his actual number of batters faced to date this season; those data, labelled "proj:" are shown along with the man's actual stats from this year to date. At the bottom of the Table, each set of lines—"projected" and actual—is separately summed to get Team Totals for each dataset.

Note that "career to date" includes each man's stats for the current year: "to date" is literally correct. For veteran players, that matters little, but for rookies or players with litle prior major-league experience, it means that the "projection" will perforce nearly or exactly match the actual stats to date. That seems like the best way to deal with newly arrived players' stats.

Note that owing to rounding in the pro-rating process, projected total BFP (batters faced) may occasionally differ by 1.

Below the player/team table is a smaller table showing a few key team "rate" stats (such as batting average) actual and projected.

The Actual Data:

Through games of Monday, 22 May 2017.
All results are from true, unadjusted data.

Handedness Key:   + R   * L

(You can also look up the stat definitions.)

Pitchers, listed in alphabetical order:
Each name is a click-on link to that man's career stats.

(or see the data for Batting)


Man AB H 2B 3B HR BB SF SH HBP SO SB CS BFP
Devenski, Chris 2017: 93 13 3 1 3 7 0 0 1 46 4 1 101
Devenski, Chris proj: 94 18 4 1 1 5 0 0 1 30 3 1 100
Diaz, Dayan 2017: 5 3 1 0 0 0 0 0 0 2 0 0 5
Diaz, Dayan proj: 4 2 0 0 0 1 0 0 0 1 0 0 5
Feliz, Michael 2017: 61 11 4 1 2 6 2 0 0 24 1 0 69
Feliz, Michael proj: 62 14 2 0 3 6 1 0 0 23 1 0 69
Fiers, Mike 2017: 168 44 6 0 17 16 0 0 0 36 5 1 184
Fiers, Mike proj: 168 42 9 1 7 13 1 1 1 41 3 1 184
Giles, Ken 2017: 65 12 2 1 0 7 1 0 1 23 2 0 74
Giles, Ken proj: 67 14 3 0 1 6 0 0 0 25 1 0 73
Gregerson, Luke 2017: 68 19 4 0 5 5 0 1 0 19 2 0 74
Gregerson, Luke proj: 67 14 3 0 1 5 0 1 1 18 2 0 74
Gustave, Jandel 2017: 18 5 1 0 0 7 0 0 0 2 0 0 25
Gustave, Jandel proj: 22 5 1 0 1 3 0 0 0 5 0 1 25
Harris, Will 2017: 72 17 3 0 1 2 0 0 0 18 1 1 74
Harris, Will proj: 67 15 3 0 2 5 1 0 1 19 2 0 74
Hoyt, James 2017: 38 9 2 1 0 3 0 0 0 19 1 0 41
Hoyt, James proj: 36 8 1 0 2 4 0 0 0 15 1 0 40
Keuchel, Dallas 2017: 222 41 5 0 6 14 0 1 1 54 0 1 238
Keuchel, Dallas proj: 219 55 10 1 6 16 1 1 1 46 2 1 238
McCullers Jr., Lance 2017: 199 44 10 0 5 15 1 2 4 60 1 2 221
McCullers Jr., Lance proj: 197 47 11 1 4 21 1 0 2 60 1 1 221
Morton, Charlie 2017: 199 52 14 1 7 20 1 0 6 59 2 1 226
Morton, Charlie proj: 198 55 10 1 4 19 1 3 4 37 5 1 225
Musgrove, Joe 2017: 181 55 8 1 9 17 2 4 1 37 1 1 205
Musgrove, Joe proj: 185 51 11 1 8 15 1 2 2 41 0 0 205
Peacock, Brad 2017: 69 8 2 0 0 12 0 0 1 30 1 0 82
Peacock, Brad proj: 71 17 4 0 3 9 1 0 1 17 2 0 82
Sipp, Tony 2017: 46 7 1 0 1 7 0 1 0 12 4 0 54
Sipp, Tony proj: 47 10 2 0 2 6 0 1 0 14 1 0 54
Tolliver, Ashur 2017: 13 2 0 0 0 2 0 0 1 5 0 0 16
Tolliver, Ashur proj: 13 3 0 0 0 2 0 0 0 4 0 0 15
2017 TEAM TOTALS: 1517 342 66 6 56 140 7 9 16 446 25 8 1689
PROJECTED: 1517 370 74 6 45 136 8 9 14 396 24 6 1684
difference: 0 -28 -8 0 +11 +4 -1 0 +2 +50 +1 +2 +5
Man AB H 2B 3B HR BB SF SH HBP SO SB CS BFP


Assorted Team Stats:
Stat Actual Projected
Batting Average: .225 .244
Slugging Average: .388 .390
Walks (per PA): .083 .081
SOs (per PA): .264 .234
On-Base Average: .295 .309
Power Factor: 1.72 1.6
OPS: .682 .698
TPP Runs (to date): 176 183

Runs differential:
Actual TPP 7 less than Projected TPP.




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This page was last modified on Tuesday, 23 May 2017, at 6:59 am Pacific Time.