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HOU "Expected" Pitching Results, 2019


About These Stats:

The form of "projection" used is very simple: each man's career numbers are pro-rated by his actual number of batters faced to date this season; those data, labelled "proj:" are shown along with the man's actual stats from this year to date. At the bottom of the Table, each set of lines—"projected" and actual—is separately summed to get Team Totals for each dataset.

Note that "career to date" includes each man's stats for the current year: "to date" is literally correct. For veteran players, that matters little, but for rookies or players with litle prior major-league experience, it means that the "projection" will perforce nearly or exactly match the actual stats to date. That seems like the best way to deal with newly arrived players' stats.

Note that owing to rounding in the pro-rating process, projected total BFP (batters faced) may occasionally differ by 1.

Below the player/team table is a smaller table showing a few key team "rate" stats (such as batting average) actual and projected.

The Actual Data:

Through games of Monday, 30 September 2019.
All results are from true, unadjusted data.

Handedness Key:   + R   * L

(You can also look up the stat definitions.)

Pitchers, listed in alphabetical order:
Each name is a click-on link to that man's career stats.

(or see the data for Batting)


Man AB H 2B 3B HR BB SF SH HBP SO SB CS BFP
Abreu, Bryan 2019: 29 4 1 0 0 3 0 0 0 13 1 0 32
Abreu, Bryan proj: 29 4 1 0 0 3 0 0 0 13 1 0 32
Armenteros, Rogelio 2019: 70 17 2 0 1 5 0 0 0 18 0 0 75
Armenteros, Rogelio proj: 70 17 2 0 1 5 0 0 0 18 0 0 75
Biagini, Joe 2019: 60 21 2 0 6 9 0 0 0 10 3 0 69
Biagini, Joe proj: 62 18 3 0 2 5 0 0 1 13 2 0 68
Cole, Gerrit 2019: 762 142 30 1 29 48 3 1 3 326 11 5 817
Cole, Gerrit proj: 747 174 34 3 19 53 4 6 7 225 19 6 817
Devenski, Chris 2019: 270 69 13 3 13 21 3 1 3 72 13 2 298
Devenski, Chris proj: 274 59 12 2 9 20 1 1 3 80 10 2 299
Greinke, Zack 2019: 236 58 11 0 6 9 1 1 1 52 1 0 248
Greinke, Zack proj: 230 56 11 1 6 14 1 2 1 55 2 2 248
Guduan, Reymin 2019: 22 8 1 0 3 4 1 0 0 6 0 0 27
Guduan, Reymin proj: 23 7 2 0 1 4 0 0 0 6 0 0 27
Harris, Will 2019: 214 42 3 0 6 14 0 1 0 62 0 1 229
Harris, Will proj: 210 47 7 0 5 15 1 1 1 61 4 1 228
James, Josh 2019: 227 46 7 1 10 35 0 0 4 100 8 2 266
James, Josh proj: 230 45 8 1 10 31 0 0 4 96 7 1 265
Martin, Corbin 2019: 80 23 5 0 8 12 0 0 0 19 1 0 92
Martin, Corbin proj: 80 23 5 0 8 12 0 0 0 19 1 0 92
McHugh, Collin 2019: 281 62 19 2 12 30 3 0 3 82 3 0 317
McHugh, Collin proj: 288 73 15 2 9 22 2 2 3 73 3 2 317
Miley, Wade 2019: 647 164 25 2 23 61 5 2 5 140 3 2 720
Miley, Wade proj: 649 173 36 3 19 59 4 5 4 133 3 4 721
Osuna, Roberto 2019: 237 45 5 1 8 12 1 1 2 73 1 0 253
Osuna, Roberto proj: 236 47 9 1 6 11 2 1 3 72 3 1 253
Peacock, Brad 2019: 344 78 20 2 15 31 3 0 5 96 5 1 383
Peacock, Brad proj: 339 78 18 2 13 39 2 0 3 95 7 1 383
Perez, Cionel 2019: 38 11 2 0 3 2 0 0 0 7 0 0 40
Perez, Cionel proj: 36 8 1 0 3 4 0 0 0 9 0 0 40
Pressly, Ryan 2019: 198 37 6 0 6 12 1 0 0 72 2 0 211
Pressly, Ryan proj: 191 45 8 1 5 16 2 2 1 50 3 1 212
Rodgers, Brady 2019: 22 7 1 0 4 3 0 0 0 4 0 0 25
Rodgers, Brady proj: 21 8 2 0 1 3 0 0 0 2 0 0 24
Rondon, Hector 2019: 231 56 14 1 10 20 1 1 4 48 5 1 257
Rondon, Hector proj: 234 54 10 1 7 18 1 1 2 62 6 1 256
Sanchez, Aaron 2019: 70 14 5 0 5 9 1 0 1 16 1 0 81
Sanchez, Aaron proj: 71 17 3 0 2 8 0 0 1 15 1 1 80
Smith, Joe 2019: 91 19 4 0 2 5 0 0 0 22 2 0 96
Smith, Joe proj: 86 19 3 0 2 8 0 1 1 21 1 1 96
Sneed, Cy 2019: 87 26 5 0 5 5 0 1 0 23 0 0 93
Sneed, Cy proj: 87 26 5 0 5 5 0 1 0 23 0 0 93
Stassi, Max 2019: 1 0 0 0 0 0 0 0 0 0 0 0 1
Stassi, Max proj: 1 0 0 0 0 0 0 0 0 0 0 0 1
Urquidy, Jose 2019: 158 38 8 0 6 7 0 2 0 40 0 0 167
Urquidy, Jose proj: 158 38 8 0 6 7 0 2 0 40 0 0 167
Valdez, Framber 2019: 277 74 13 1 9 44 4 0 4 68 6 0 329
Valdez, Framber proj: 275 65 11 1 8 46 3 0 5 69 5 1 329
Verlander, Justin 2019: 797 137 28 7 36 42 2 0 6 300 9 3 847
Verlander, Justin proj: 774 176 35 4 21 59 4 3 7 209 9 5 847
White, Tyler 2019: 16 7 3 0 4 5 1 0 0 2 0 0 22
White, Tyler proj: 17 7 3 0 4 4 1 0 0 2 0 0 22
2019 TEAM TOTALS: 5465 1205 233 21 230 448 30 11 41 1671 75 17 5995
PROJECTED: 5418 1284 252 22 172 471 28 28 47 1461 87 30 5992
difference: +47 -79 -19 -1 +58 -23 +2 -17 -6 +210 -12 -13 +3
Man AB H 2B 3B HR BB SF SH HBP SO SB CS BFP


Assorted Team Stats:
Stat Actual Projected
Batting Average: .220 .237
Slugging Average: .397 .387
Walks (per PA): .075 .079
SOs (per PA): .279 .244
On-Base Average: .283 .301
Power Factor: 1.8 1.63
OPS: .680 .688
TPP Runs (to date): 618 632

Runs differential:
Actual TPP 14 less than Projected TPP.




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This page was last modified on Tuesday, 1 October 2019, at 7:36 am Pacific Time.