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KAN "Expected" Pitching Results, 2017


About These Stats:

The form of "projection" used is very simple: each man's career numbers are pro-rated by his actual number of batters faced to date this season; those data, labelled "proj:" are shown along with the man's actual stats from this year to date. At the bottom of the Table, each set of lines—"projected" and actual—is separately summed to get Team Totals for each dataset.

Note that "career to date" includes each man's stats for the current year: "to date" is literally correct. For veteran players, that matters little, but for rookies or players with litle prior major-league experience, it means that the "projection" will perforce nearly or exactly match the actual stats to date. That seems like the best way to deal with newly arrived players' stats.

Note that owing to rounding in the pro-rating process, projected total BFP (batters faced) may occasionally differ by 1.

Below the player/team table is a smaller table showing a few key team "rate" stats (such as batting average) actual and projected.

The Actual Data:

Through games of Friday, 18 August 2017.
All results are from true, unadjusted data.

Handedness Key:   + R   * L

(You can also look up the stat definitions.)

Pitchers, listed in alphabetical order:
Each name is a click-on link to that man's career stats.

(or see the data for Batting)


Man AB H 2B 3B HR BB SF SH HBP SO SB CS BFP
Alburquerque, Al 2017: 36 7 0 0 0 6 0 0 0 9 0 0 42
Alburquerque, Al proj: 36 8 1 0 1 5 0 0 0 12 1 0 41
Alexander, Scott 2017: 186 47 5 1 3 20 1 1 0 42 2 0 208
Alexander, Scott proj: 186 50 5 1 3 20 1 1 1 40 1 0 209
Almonte, Miguel 2017: 9 5 2 0 0 2 1 0 0 0 1 0 12
Almonte, Miguel proj: 10 3 0 0 1 2 0 0 0 2 0 0 12
Buchter, Ryan 2017: 33 7 0 0 3 3 1 0 2 7 2 1 39
Buchter, Ryan proj: 34 6 2 0 1 5 0 0 0 12 0 0 39
Cahill, Trevor 2017: 48 18 1 1 4 9 0 1 0 6 5 0 58
Cahill, Trevor proj: 51 13 2 0 1 5 0 1 1 10 2 0 58
Duffy, Danny 2017: 475 127 23 7 11 33 2 6 4 109 1 1 520
Duffy, Danny proj: 466 116 22 4 14 44 2 3 5 107 4 3 520
Farrell, Luke 2017: 15 7 1 0 1 3 0 0 0 2 0 0 18
Farrell, Luke proj: 15 7 1 0 1 3 0 0 0 2 0 0 18
Feliz, Neftali 2017: 72 17 7 0 1 8 0 0 1 16 1 0 81
Feliz, Neftali proj: 72 15 3 0 2 8 0 0 1 19 1 0 81
Hammel, Jason 2017: 547 147 25 1 18 39 6 0 8 109 14 3 600
Hammel, Jason proj: 541 144 28 3 18 44 5 5 6 111 13 3 601
Herrera, Kelvin 2017: 179 43 8 3 8 14 1 0 0 46 5 0 194
Herrera, Kelvin proj: 176 39 8 1 4 14 1 1 2 48 4 1 194
Junis, Jake 2017: 204 54 7 1 10 17 1 2 7 42 1 1 231
Junis, Jake proj: 204 54 7 1 10 17 1 2 7 42 1 1 231
Karns, Nate 2017: 173 41 5 2 9 13 0 0 2 51 6 1 188
Karns, Nate proj: 167 41 7 1 7 17 1 1 2 45 5 1 188
Kennedy, Ian 2017: 457 107 21 2 24 49 3 1 4 105 2 4 514
Kennedy, Ian proj: 459 113 25 3 16 41 4 5 6 112 5 3 515
Maness, Seth 2017: 42 16 1 0 3 2 1 0 0 4 1 1 45
Maness, Seth proj: 42 12 2 0 1 2 0 1 0 7 0 0 45
Maurer, Brandon 2017: 40 15 3 3 1 6 1 0 0 10 1 0 47
Maurer, Brandon proj: 43 11 2 0 1 3 0 0 0 9 1 0 46
McCarthy, Kevin 2017: 100 28 5 0 0 5 1 1 0 12 0 0 107
McCarthy, Kevin proj: 98 28 5 0 1 7 1 1 0 14 1 0 107
Minor, Mike 2017: 212 45 15 1 4 16 1 1 1 62 2 1 231
Minor, Mike proj: 210 53 13 1 7 16 2 2 1 49 2 1 231
Moylan, Peter 2017: 163 34 5 1 4 19 1 0 1 36 1 1 184
Moylan, Peter proj: 160 39 6 1 3 18 2 2 2 34 4 2 184
Skoglund, Eric 2017: 39 13 5 0 0 5 0 0 0 8 0 1 44
Skoglund, Eric proj: 39 13 5 0 0 5 0 0 0 8 0 1 44
Soria, Joakim 2017: 193 48 7 0 1 16 1 0 1 59 0 0 211
Soria, Joakim proj: 191 43 7 1 4 15 2 2 2 55 1 1 212
Strahm, Matt 2017: 127 30 5 0 6 22 0 2 3 37 0 1 154
Strahm, Matt proj: 129 27 4 0 4 21 1 1 3 43 0 1 155
Vargas, Jason 2017: 518 134 24 3 18 39 2 2 4 102 7 4 565
Vargas, Jason proj: 517 135 27 2 16 39 3 3 3 89 9 3 565
Wood, Travis 2017: 170 56 12 1 4 20 4 0 1 29 1 1 195
Wood, Travis proj: 173 43 10 1 5 17 1 2 2 37 1 1 195
Young, Chris 2017: 133 47 9 0 7 14 0 0 1 22 8 3 148
Young, Chris proj: 131 31 6 1 5 14 1 1 1 29 6 1 148
2017 TEAM TOTALS: 4171 1093 196 27 140 380 28 17 40 925 61 24 4636
PROJECTED: 4150 1044 198 21 126 382 28 34 45 936 62 23 4639
difference: +21 +49 -2 +6 +14 -2 0 -17 -5 -11 -1 +1 -3
Man AB H 2B 3B HR BB SF SH HBP SO SB CS BFP


Assorted Team Stats:
Stat Actual Projected
Batting Average: .262 .252
Slugging Average: .423 .400
Walks (per PA): .082 .082
SOs (per PA): .200 .202
On-Base Average: .326 .317
Power Factor: 1.61 1.59
OPS: .749 .718
TPP Runs (to date): 569 528

Runs differential:
Actual TPP 41 more than Projected TPP.




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This page was last modified on Saturday, 19 August 2017, at 7:11 am Pacific Time.