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KAN "Expected" Pitching Results, 2018


About These Stats:

The form of "projection" used is very simple: each man's career numbers are pro-rated by his actual number of batters faced to date this season; those data, labelled "proj:" are shown along with the man's actual stats from this year to date. At the bottom of the Table, each set of lines—"projected" and actual—is separately summed to get Team Totals for each dataset.

Note that "career to date" includes each man's stats for the current year: "to date" is literally correct. For veteran players, that matters little, but for rookies or players with litle prior major-league experience, it means that the "projection" will perforce nearly or exactly match the actual stats to date. That seems like the best way to deal with newly arrived players' stats.

Note that owing to rounding in the pro-rating process, projected total BFP (batters faced) may occasionally differ by 1.

Below the player/team table is a smaller table showing a few key team "rate" stats (such as batting average) actual and projected.

The Actual Data:

Through games of Friday, 20 July 2018.
All results are from true, unadjusted data.

Handedness Key:   + R   * L

(You can also look up the stat definitions.)

Pitchers, listed in alphabetical order:
Each name is a click-on link to that man's career stats.

(or see the data for Batting)


Man AB H 2B 3B HR BB SF SH HBP SO SB CS BFP
Adam, Jason 2018: 82 19 4 1 6 9 1 0 2 24 1 2 94
Adam, Jason proj: 82 19 4 1 6 9 1 0 2 24 1 2 94
Barlow, Scott 2018: 62 16 2 0 2 3 0 0 0 15 0 0 65
Barlow, Scott proj: 62 16 2 0 2 3 0 0 0 15 0 0 65
Boyer, Blaine 2018: 89 31 7 2 6 12 3 0 0 9 1 2 104
Boyer, Blaine proj: 93 26 6 1 2 8 1 1 1 15 2 1 104
Butera, Drew 2018: 3 2 0 0 0 3 0 0 0 0 0 0 6
Butera, Drew proj: 5 1 1 0 0 1 0 0 0 1 0 0 6
Duffy, Danny 2018: 466 118 16 2 19 56 5 1 3 107 3 1 531
Duffy, Danny proj: 474 118 21 4 15 46 3 3 5 110 4 3 531
Fillmyer, Heath 2018: 57 15 1 0 2 8 1 0 0 7 1 0 66
Fillmyer, Heath proj: 57 15 1 0 2 8 1 0 0 7 1 0 66
Flynn, Brian 2018: 177 53 12 2 2 21 1 0 3 25 1 0 202
Flynn, Brian proj: 176 48 9 2 4 22 1 2 1 33 1 0 202
Grimm, Justin 2018: 49 17 3 0 2 14 2 2 0 8 3 1 67
Grimm, Justin proj: 59 15 3 0 2 7 1 0 0 16 1 1 67
Hammel, Jason 2018: 449 141 33 4 14 31 5 1 3 68 4 2 489
Hammel, Jason proj: 442 120 24 3 14 35 4 4 4 89 10 2 489
Herrera, Kelvin 2018: 92 19 1 0 2 2 0 1 0 22 1 0 95
Herrera, Kelvin proj: 86 20 4 1 2 7 1 1 1 23 2 1 96
Hill, Tim 2018: 109 31 7 0 3 11 1 2 2 27 2 0 125
Hill, Tim proj: 109 31 7 0 3 11 1 2 2 27 2 0 125
Junis, Jakob 2018: 398 103 15 2 24 28 4 2 9 92 5 1 441
Junis, Jakob proj: 399 104 17 2 20 27 4 3 9 88 4 3 442
Keller, Brad 2018: 238 60 8 1 1 27 0 0 1 36 4 0 266
Keller, Brad proj: 238 60 8 1 1 27 0 0 1 36 4 0 266
Kennedy, Ian 2018: 375 102 22 2 18 34 2 4 1 87 1 0 416
Kennedy, Ian proj: 371 92 21 2 14 33 3 4 4 90 4 3 415
Maurer, Brandon 2018: 54 22 3 1 4 11 1 1 0 7 0 1 67
Maurer, Brandon proj: 61 17 3 0 2 5 0 0 0 13 1 0 66
McCarthy, Kevin 2018: 143 33 3 1 4 15 1 0 1 24 1 2 160
McCarthy, Kevin proj: 145 38 5 0 4 13 1 1 0 23 2 1 160
Oaks, Trevor 2018: 56 21 6 0 1 6 2 1 0 10 1 0 65
Oaks, Trevor proj: 56 21 6 0 1 6 2 1 0 10 1 0 65
Peralta, Wily 2018: 34 8 1 0 0 8 0 0 0 10 0 0 42
Peralta, Wily proj: 37 10 2 0 1 4 0 0 0 7 1 0 41
Romero, Enny 2018: 21 11 2 0 3 2 1 0 0 3 1 0 24
Romero, Enny proj: 21 6 1 0 1 3 0 0 0 6 1 0 24
Skoglund, Eric 2018: 198 55 12 4 10 14 0 0 5 39 3 1 217
Skoglund, Eric proj: 195 60 15 3 8 18 1 0 4 37 2 1 218
Smith, Burch 2018: 167 48 8 1 9 22 2 1 2 45 3 0 194
Smith, Burch proj: 168 47 9 2 10 23 1 1 1 49 3 1 194
Sparkman, Glenn 2018: 22 7 3 0 0 3 1 0 0 5 0 0 26
Sparkman, Glenn proj: 23 11 4 0 0 3 1 0 0 4 1 0 27
Stout, Eric 2018: 14 7 2 0 2 2 0 0 0 2 0 0 16
Stout, Eric proj: 14 7 2 0 2 2 0 0 0 2 0 0 16
2018 TEAM TOTALS: 3355 939 171 23 134 342 33 16 32 672 36 13 3778
PROJECTED: 3373 902 175 22 116 321 27 23 35 725 48 19 3779
difference: -18 +37 -4 +1 +18 +21 +6 -7 -3 -53 -12 -6 -1
Man AB H 2B 3B HR BB SF SH HBP SO SB CS BFP


Assorted Team Stats:
Stat Actual Projected
Batting Average: .280 .267
Slugging Average: .464 .436
Walks (per PA): .091 .085
SOs (per PA): .178 .192
On-Base Average: .348 .333
Power Factor: 1.66 1.63
OPS: .812 .768
TPP Runs (to date): 531 482

Runs differential:
Actual TPP 49 more than Projected TPP.




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This page was last modified on Saturday, 21 July 2018, at 6:59 am Pacific Time.