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KAN "Expected" Pitching Results, 2018


About These Stats:

The form of "projection" used is very simple: each man's career numbers are pro-rated by his actual number of batters faced to date this season; those data, labelled "proj:" are shown along with the man's actual stats from this year to date. At the bottom of the Table, each set of lines—"projected" and actual—is separately summed to get Team Totals for each dataset.

Note that "career to date" includes each man's stats for the current year: "to date" is literally correct. For veteran players, that matters little, but for rookies or players with litle prior major-league experience, it means that the "projection" will perforce nearly or exactly match the actual stats to date. That seems like the best way to deal with newly arrived players' stats.

Note that owing to rounding in the pro-rating process, projected total BFP (batters faced) may occasionally differ by 1.

Below the player/team table is a smaller table showing a few key team "rate" stats (such as batting average) actual and projected.

The Actual Data:

Through games of Tuesday, 22 May 2018.
All results are from true, unadjusted data.

Handedness Key:   + R   * L

(You can also look up the stat definitions.)

Pitchers, listed in alphabetical order:
Each name is a click-on link to that man's career stats.

(or see the data for Batting)


Man AB H 2B 3B HR BB SF SH HBP SO SB CS BFP
Adam, Jason 2018: 28 7 1 0 3 1 0 0 0 11 0 2 29
Adam, Jason proj: 28 7 1 0 3 1 0 0 0 11 0 2 29
Barlow, Scott 2018: 21 9 1 0 0 0 0 0 0 1 0 0 21
Barlow, Scott proj: 21 9 1 0 0 0 0 0 0 1 0 0 21
Boyer, Blaine 2018: 74 25 5 1 6 10 3 0 0 8 1 2 87
Boyer, Blaine proj: 78 22 5 0 2 7 1 1 1 13 2 1 88
Duffy, Danny 2018: 213 63 11 2 14 25 1 1 1 45 1 0 241
Duffy, Danny proj: 216 54 10 2 7 21 1 1 2 50 2 1 241
Flynn, Brian 2018: 93 31 6 1 2 9 1 0 3 12 1 0 106
Flynn, Brian proj: 92 26 5 1 3 11 0 1 1 18 0 0 105
Grimm, Justin 2018: 30 12 2 0 2 9 1 2 0 6 2 1 42
Grimm, Justin proj: 37 9 2 0 1 4 0 0 0 10 1 0 41
Hammel, Jason 2018: 242 71 16 1 7 16 4 1 2 33 4 2 265
Hammel, Jason proj: 239 64 13 1 8 19 2 2 2 48 6 1 264
Herrera, Kelvin 2018: 66 14 1 0 1 0 0 0 0 16 1 0 66
Herrera, Kelvin proj: 60 14 3 0 1 5 0 0 1 16 1 0 66
Hill, Tim 2018: 50 12 3 0 1 5 1 1 1 12 0 0 58
Hill, Tim proj: 50 12 3 0 1 5 1 1 1 12 0 0 58
Junis, Jakob 2018: 215 49 8 1 11 12 1 0 3 48 1 0 231
Junis, Jakob proj: 211 53 9 1 9 13 1 1 4 45 1 1 230
Keller, Brad 2018: 72 16 1 1 1 5 0 0 0 11 2 0 77
Keller, Brad proj: 72 16 1 1 1 5 0 0 0 11 2 0 77
Kennedy, Ian 2018: 217 64 15 1 9 17 1 3 0 50 1 0 238
Kennedy, Ian proj: 212 53 12 1 8 19 2 2 3 52 2 2 238
Maurer, Brandon 2018: 20 8 1 1 3 3 0 0 0 3 0 0 23
Maurer, Brandon proj: 21 6 1 0 1 2 0 0 0 5 0 0 23
McCarthy, Kevin 2018: 66 18 2 0 1 4 1 0 1 11 0 1 72
McCarthy, Kevin proj: 66 18 3 0 1 5 0 0 0 10 1 0 71
Oaks, Trevor 2018: 25 12 2 0 0 1 0 0 0 4 0 0 26
Oaks, Trevor proj: 25 12 2 0 0 1 0 0 0 4 0 0 26
Skoglund, Eric 2018: 177 48 10 3 7 12 0 0 5 35 2 1 194
Skoglund, Eric proj: 174 53 14 2 6 16 1 0 3 33 1 1 194
Smith, Burch 2018: 79 19 3 0 5 13 2 0 2 24 1 0 96
Smith, Burch proj: 82 21 4 1 5 12 1 0 1 26 1 0 96
Stout, Eric 2018: 10 4 2 0 0 2 0 0 0 2 0 0 12
Stout, Eric proj: 10 4 2 0 0 2 0 0 0 2 0 0 12
2018 TEAM TOTALS: 1698 482 90 12 73 144 16 8 18 332 17 9 1884
PROJECTED: 1694 453 91 10 57 148 10 9 19 367 20 9 1880
difference: +4 +29 -1 +2 +16 -4 +6 -1 -1 -35 -3 0 +4
Man AB H 2B 3B HR BB SF SH HBP SO SB CS BFP


Assorted Team Stats:
Stat Actual Projected
Batting Average: .284 .267
Slugging Average: .480 .434
Walks (per PA): .076 .079
SOs (per PA): .176 .195
On-Base Average: .342 .330
Power Factor: 1.69 1.62
OPS: .822 .764
TPP Runs (to date): 269 236

Runs differential:
Actual TPP 33 more than Projected TPP.




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This page was last modified on Wednesday, 23 May 2018, at 7:05 am Pacific Time.