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Baseball team and player performance examined realistically and accurately.

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KAN "Expected" Pitching Results, 2017


About These Stats:

The form of "projection" used is very simple: each man's career numbers are pro-rated by his actual number of batters faced to date this season; those data, labelled "proj:" are shown along with the man's actual stats from this year to date. At the bottom of the Table, each set of lines—"projected" and actual—is separately summed to get Team Totals for each dataset.

Note that "career to date" includes each man's stats for the current year: "to date" is literally correct. For veteran players, that matters little, but for rookies or players with litle prior major-league experience, it means that the "projection" will perforce nearly or exactly match the actual stats to date. That seems like the best way to deal with newly arrived players' stats.

Note that owing to rounding in the pro-rating process, projected total BFP (batters faced) may occasionally differ by 1.

Below the player/team table is a smaller table showing a few key team "rate" stats (such as batting average) actual and projected.

The Actual Data:

Through games of Thursday, 27 April 2017.
All results are from true, unadjusted data.

Handedness Key:   + R   * L

(You can also look up the stat definitions.)

Pitchers, listed in alphabetical order:
Each name is a click-on link to that man's career stats.

(or see the data for Batting)


Man AB H 2B 3B HR BB SF SH HBP SO SB CS BFP
Alexander, Scott 2017: 30 5 1 0 1 2 0 0 0 5 1 0 32
Alexander, Scott proj: 29 8 1 0 0 3 0 0 0 5 0 0 32
Duffy, Danny 2017: 114 27 5 1 2 12 1 0 2 24 0 1 129
Duffy, Danny proj: 115 28 5 1 3 11 1 1 1 26 1 1 129
Hammel, Jason 2017: 75 23 3 0 0 10 2 0 2 14 4 0 89
Hammel, Jason proj: 80 21 4 1 3 7 1 1 1 16 2 0 90
Herrera, Kelvin 2017: 26 3 1 0 2 2 0 0 0 5 0 0 28
Herrera, Kelvin proj: 25 6 1 0 1 2 0 0 0 7 1 0 27
Karns, Nathan 2017: 89 24 3 1 6 9 0 0 1 19 5 1 99
Karns, Nathan proj: 88 22 4 0 3 10 0 0 1 23 3 1 99
Kennedy, Ian 2017: 89 15 2 0 2 12 0 0 0 22 2 1 101
Kennedy, Ian proj: 90 22 5 1 3 8 1 1 1 22 1 1 101
Minor, Mike 2017: 36 8 3 0 0 3 0 0 0 8 0 0 39
Minor, Mike proj: 36 9 2 0 1 3 0 0 0 8 0 0 39
Moylan, Peter 2017: 37 10 1 1 1 3 0 0 1 7 1 1 41
Moylan, Peter proj: 36 9 1 0 1 4 0 0 0 7 1 0 40
Soria, Joakim 2017: 32 5 0 0 0 6 0 0 0 12 0 0 38
Soria, Joakim proj: 34 8 1 0 1 3 0 0 0 10 0 0 37
Strahm, Matt 2017: 10 5 0 0 1 6 0 2 0 1 0 0 18
Strahm, Matt proj: 14 3 0 0 0 3 0 0 0 5 0 0 17
Vargas, Jason 2017: 94 21 3 0 1 2 0 1 0 28 1 0 97
Vargas, Jason proj: 89 23 5 0 3 7 1 1 1 15 2 0 99
Wood, Travis 2017: 25 9 3 0 1 8 0 0 0 5 0 0 33
Wood, Travis proj: 29 7 2 0 1 3 0 0 0 6 0 0 32
Young, Chris 2017: 37 13 3 0 1 4 0 0 0 5 1 0 41
Young, Chris proj: 36 8 2 0 1 4 0 0 0 8 2 0 40
2017 TEAM TOTALS: 694 168 28 3 18 79 3 3 6 155 15 4 785
PROJECTED: 701 174 33 3 21 68 4 4 5 158 13 3 782
difference: -7 -6 -5 0 -3 +11 -1 -1 +1 -3 +2 +1 +3
Man AB H 2B 3B HR BB SF SH HBP SO SB CS BFP


Assorted Team Stats:
Stat Actual Projected
Batting Average: .242 .248
Slugging Average: .369 .394
Walks (per PA): .101 .087
SOs (per PA): .197 .201
On-Base Average: .322 .316
Power Factor: 1.52 1.59
OPS: .691 .710
TPP Runs (to date): 86 88

Runs differential:
Actual TPP 2 less than Projected TPP.




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This page was last modified on Friday, 28 April 2017, at 6:56 am Pacific Time.