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Baseball team and player performance examined realistically and accurately.

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KAN "Expected" Pitching Results, 2017


About These Stats:

The form of "projection" used is very simple: each man's career numbers are pro-rated by his actual number of batters faced to date this season; those data, labelled "proj:" are shown along with the man's actual stats from this year to date. At the bottom of the Table, each set of lines—"projected" and actual—is separately summed to get Team Totals for each dataset.

Note that "career to date" includes each man's stats for the current year: "to date" is literally correct. For veteran players, that matters little, but for rookies or players with litle prior major-league experience, it means that the "projection" will perforce nearly or exactly match the actual stats to date. That seems like the best way to deal with newly arrived players' stats.

Note that owing to rounding in the pro-rating process, projected total BFP (batters faced) may occasionally differ by 1.

Below the player/team table is a smaller table showing a few key team "rate" stats (such as batting average) actual and projected.

The Actual Data:

Through games of Sunday, 1 October 2017.
All results are from true, unadjusted data.

Handedness Key:   + R   * L

(You can also look up the stat definitions.)

Pitchers, listed in alphabetical order:
Each name is a click-on link to that man's career stats.

(or see the data for Batting)


Man AB H 2B 3B HR BB SF SH HBP SO SB CS BFP
Alburquerque, Al 2017: 36 7 0 0 0 6 0 0 0 9 0 0 42
Alburquerque, Al proj: 36 8 1 0 1 5 0 0 0 12 1 0 41
Alexander, Scott 2017: 252 62 9 1 3 28 2 1 0 59 3 0 283
Alexander, Scott proj: 252 66 9 1 3 27 2 1 1 56 2 0 283
Almonte, Miguel 2017: 9 5 2 0 0 2 1 0 0 0 1 0 12
Almonte, Miguel proj: 10 3 0 0 1 2 0 0 0 2 0 0 12
Buchter, Ryan 2017: 94 16 2 1 3 8 2 0 3 18 2 1 107
Buchter, Ryan proj: 93 16 5 0 3 12 1 0 1 30 1 1 107
Cahill, Trevor 2017: 96 33 4 1 10 21 0 1 0 15 7 0 118
Cahill, Trevor proj: 104 27 5 1 3 11 1 1 1 20 3 1 118
Duffy, Danny 2017: 556 143 25 7 13 41 2 6 4 130 2 1 609
Duffy, Danny proj: 546 136 25 5 16 51 3 3 6 126 5 4 609
Farrell, Luke 2017: 15 7 1 0 1 3 0 0 0 2 0 0 18
Farrell, Luke proj: 15 4 1 0 1 3 0 0 0 3 0 0 18
Feliz, Neftali 2017: 72 17 7 0 1 8 0 0 1 16 1 0 81
Feliz, Neftali proj: 72 15 3 0 2 8 0 0 1 19 1 0 81
Flynn, Brian 2017: 8 3 0 2 0 0 0 0 0 0 0 0 8
Flynn, Brian proj: 7 2 0 0 0 1 0 0 0 1 0 0 8
Garcia, Onelki 2017: 27 12 2 1 2 5 0 0 0 2 0 0 32
Garcia, Onelki proj: 25 10 2 1 2 7 0 0 0 2 1 0 32
Gaviglio, Sam 2017: 48 13 4 0 1 5 0 0 1 9 3 0 54
Gaviglio, Sam proj: 48 13 3 0 3 4 0 0 1 8 2 1 53
Hammel, Jason 2017: 737 209 35 2 26 48 10 0 9 145 20 3 804
Hammel, Jason proj: 725 194 38 5 24 59 6 6 8 148 17 4 804
Herrera, Kelvin 2017: 235 60 12 6 9 20 2 1 1 56 5 0 259
Herrera, Kelvin proj: 234 53 11 2 5 19 2 2 2 63 6 2 259
Junis, Jake 2017: 382 101 18 2 15 25 3 3 9 80 2 4 422
Junis, Jake proj: 382 101 18 2 15 25 3 3 9 80 2 4 422
Karns, Nate 2017: 173 41 5 2 9 13 0 0 2 51 6 1 188
Karns, Nate proj: 167 41 7 1 7 17 1 1 2 45 5 1 188
Kennedy, Ian 2017: 582 143 31 3 34 61 6 1 5 131 4 5 655
Kennedy, Ian proj: 584 144 32 4 21 53 5 6 7 142 6 4 655
Machado, Andres 2017: 21 10 0 1 2 3 0 0 0 1 0 0 24
Machado, Andres proj: 21 10 0 1 2 3 0 0 0 1 0 0 24
Maness, Seth 2017: 42 16 1 0 3 2 1 0 0 4 1 1 45
Maness, Seth proj: 42 12 2 0 1 2 0 1 0 7 0 0 45
Maurer, Brandon 2017: 93 34 8 3 4 11 1 0 0 21 1 0 105
Maurer, Brandon proj: 96 26 5 1 3 7 1 0 1 21 1 1 105
McCarthy, Kevin 2017: 181 50 7 0 4 13 1 1 0 27 1 0 196
McCarthy, Kevin proj: 179 50 7 0 4 15 1 2 0 28 2 0 197
Minor, Mike 2017: 280 57 16 1 5 22 1 3 1 88 4 1 307
Minor, Mike proj: 280 70 16 1 9 21 2 3 2 66 3 2 308
Morin, Mike 2017: 24 8 2 0 0 3 1 0 0 6 0 0 28
Morin, Mike proj: 25 7 1 0 1 2 0 0 0 6 0 0 27
Moylan, Peter 2017: 212 40 7 1 4 25 1 0 5 46 2 1 243
Moylan, Peter proj: 212 50 8 1 4 24 2 2 3 45 5 2 243
Skoglund, Eric 2017: 80 30 10 0 2 12 1 0 0 14 0 1 93
Skoglund, Eric proj: 80 30 10 0 2 12 1 0 0 14 0 1 93
Soria, Joakim 2017: 210 49 7 1 1 20 1 0 1 64 0 0 232
Soria, Joakim proj: 209 46 7 1 5 17 2 2 2 60 1 1 232
Strahm, Matt 2017: 127 30 5 0 6 22 0 2 3 37 0 1 154
Strahm, Matt proj: 129 27 4 0 4 21 1 1 3 43 0 1 155
Vargas, Jason 2017: 685 181 33 4 27 58 6 2 5 134 13 6 756
Vargas, Jason proj: 690 181 36 3 22 53 5 4 5 119 13 4 757
Wood, Travis 2017: 170 56 12 1 4 20 4 0 1 29 1 1 195
Wood, Travis proj: 173 43 10 1 6 17 1 2 2 37 1 1 195
Young, Chris 2017: 133 47 9 0 7 14 0 0 1 22 8 3 148
Young, Chris proj: 131 31 6 1 5 14 1 1 1 29 6 1 148
2017 TEAM TOTALS: 5580 1480 274 40 196 519 46 21 52 1216 87 30 6218
PROJECTED: 5567 1416 272 32 175 512 41 41 58 1233 84 36 6219
difference: +13 +64 +2 +8 +21 +7 +5 -20 -6 -17 +3 -6 -1
Man AB H 2B 3B HR BB SF SH HBP SO SB CS BFP


Assorted Team Stats:
Stat Actual Projected
Batting Average: .265 .254
Slugging Average: .434 .409
Walks (per PA): .083 .082
SOs (per PA): .196 .198
On-Base Average: .330 .319
Power Factor: 1.64 1.61
OPS: .764 .728
TPP Runs (to date): 790 724

Runs differential:
Actual TPP 66 more than Projected TPP.




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This page was last modified on Monday, 2 October 2017, at 7:15 am Pacific Time.