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KAN "Expected" Pitching Results, 2017


About These Stats:

The form of "projection" used is very simple: each man's career numbers are pro-rated by his actual number of batters faced to date this season; those data, labelled "proj:" are shown along with the man's actual stats from this year to date. At the bottom of the Table, each set of lines—"projected" and actual—is separately summed to get Team Totals for each dataset.

Note that "career to date" includes each man's stats for the current year: "to date" is literally correct. For veteran players, that matters little, but for rookies or players with litle prior major-league experience, it means that the "projection" will perforce nearly or exactly match the actual stats to date. That seems like the best way to deal with newly arrived players' stats.

Note that owing to rounding in the pro-rating process, projected total BFP (batters faced) may occasionally differ by 1.

Below the player/team table is a smaller table showing a few key team "rate" stats (such as batting average) actual and projected.

The Actual Data:

Through games of Friday, 26 May 2017.
All results are from true, unadjusted data.

Handedness Key:   + R   * L

(You can also look up the stat definitions.)

Pitchers, listed in alphabetical order:
Each name is a click-on link to that man's career stats.

(or see the data for Batting)


Man AB H 2B 3B HR BB SF SH HBP SO SB CS BFP
Alburquerque, Al 2017: 13 2 0 0 0 3 0 0 0 6 0 0 16
Alburquerque, Al proj: 14 3 0 0 0 2 0 0 0 5 0 0 16
Alexander, Scott 2017: 48 7 1 0 1 4 0 0 0 8 1 0 52
Alexander, Scott proj: 47 12 1 0 1 5 0 0 0 9 0 0 52
Duffy, Danny 2017: 235 60 12 2 4 22 2 3 3 52 0 1 265
Duffy, Danny proj: 236 58 11 2 7 23 1 1 3 54 2 2 264
Hammel, Jason 2017: 192 60 8 1 7 19 5 0 3 38 9 1 219
Hammel, Jason proj: 197 53 10 1 6 16 2 2 2 40 5 1 219
Herrera, Kelvin 2017: 80 21 4 1 5 4 0 0 0 20 1 0 84
Herrera, Kelvin proj: 76 17 4 0 2 6 0 1 1 21 2 1 84
Junis, Jake 2017: 23 6 2 0 0 7 0 1 0 6 0 0 31
Junis, Jake proj: 23 6 2 0 0 7 0 1 0 6 0 0 31
Karns, Nate 2017: 173 41 5 2 9 13 0 0 2 51 6 1 188
Karns, Nate proj: 167 41 7 1 7 17 1 1 2 45 5 1 188
Kennedy, Ian 2017: 153 29 4 0 8 20 0 0 1 36 2 2 174
Kennedy, Ian proj: 155 38 9 1 5 14 1 2 2 38 2 1 174
Maness, Seth 2017: 22 8 0 0 2 1 0 0 0 3 0 1 23
Maness, Seth proj: 21 6 1 0 1 1 0 0 0 4 0 0 22
Minor, Mike 2017: 92 16 5 0 0 7 0 0 1 28 0 0 100
Minor, Mike proj: 91 23 5 0 3 7 1 1 1 21 1 1 101
Moylan, Peter 2017: 66 20 1 1 2 8 1 0 1 13 1 1 76
Moylan, Peter proj: 66 16 2 0 1 7 1 1 1 14 2 1 76
Soria, Joakim 2017: 82 19 2 0 0 9 0 0 0 26 0 0 91
Soria, Joakim proj: 82 18 3 0 2 7 1 1 1 24 1 0 92
Strahm, Matt 2017: 51 10 1 0 3 13 0 2 0 18 0 0 66
Strahm, Matt proj: 54 10 1 0 1 10 0 1 0 21 0 0 65
Vargas, Jason 2017: 201 44 8 1 4 13 0 1 1 49 1 2 216
Vargas, Jason proj: 198 51 10 1 6 15 1 1 1 34 3 1 216
Wood, Travis 2017: 64 22 6 0 2 15 2 0 0 11 0 0 81
Wood, Travis proj: 72 18 4 0 2 7 1 1 1 16 1 0 82
Young, Chris 2017: 100 34 5 0 5 11 0 0 1 16 5 1 112
Young, Chris proj: 99 23 5 1 4 10 1 1 1 22 4 1 112
2017 TEAM TOTALS: 1595 399 64 8 52 169 10 7 13 381 26 10 1794
PROJECTED: 1598 393 75 7 48 154 11 15 16 374 28 10 1794
difference: -3 +6 -11 +1 +4 +15 -1 -8 -3 +7 -2 0 0
Man AB H 2B 3B HR BB SF SH HBP SO SB CS BFP


Assorted Team Stats:
Stat Actual Projected
Batting Average: .250 .246
Slugging Average: .398 .392
Walks (per PA): .094 .086
SOs (per PA): .212 .208
On-Base Average: .324 .314
Power Factor: 1.59 1.59
OPS: .722 .706
TPP Runs (to date): 209 199

Runs differential:
Actual TPP 10 more than Projected TPP.




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This page was last modified on Saturday, 27 May 2017, at 6:59 am Pacific Time.