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Baseball team and player performance examined realistically and accurately.

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KAN "Expected" Pitching Results, 2018


About These Stats:

The form of "projection" used is very simple: each man's career numbers are pro-rated by his actual number of batters faced to date this season; those data, labelled "proj:" are shown along with the man's actual stats from this year to date. At the bottom of the Table, each set of lines—"projected" and actual—is separately summed to get Team Totals for each dataset.

Note that "career to date" includes each man's stats for the current year: "to date" is literally correct. For veteran players, that matters little, but for rookies or players with litle prior major-league experience, it means that the "projection" will perforce nearly or exactly match the actual stats to date. That seems like the best way to deal with newly arrived players' stats.

Note that owing to rounding in the pro-rating process, projected total BFP (batters faced) may occasionally differ by 1.

Below the player/team table is a smaller table showing a few key team "rate" stats (such as batting average) actual and projected.

The Actual Data:

Through games of Monday, 17 September 2018.
All results are from true, unadjusted data.

Handedness Key:   + R   * L

(You can also look up the stat definitions.)

Pitchers, listed in alphabetical order:
Each name is a click-on link to that man's career stats.

(or see the data for Batting)


Man AB H 2B 3B HR BB SF SH HBP SO SB CS BFP
Adam, Jason 2018: 122 30 6 1 9 15 2 0 3 37 2 2 142
Adam, Jason proj: 122 30 6 1 9 15 2 0 3 37 2 2 142
Barlow, Scott 2018: 62 16 2 0 2 3 0 0 0 15 0 0 65
Barlow, Scott proj: 62 16 2 0 2 3 0 0 0 15 0 0 65
Boyer, Blaine 2018: 93 32 7 2 7 13 3 0 0 9 1 2 109
Boyer, Blaine proj: 97 27 6 1 2 9 1 1 1 16 2 1 109
Butera, Drew 2018: 3 2 0 0 0 3 0 0 0 0 0 0 6
Butera, Drew proj: 5 1 1 0 0 1 0 0 0 1 0 0 6
Duffy, Danny 2018: 610 161 24 3 23 70 6 2 4 141 5 2 692
Duffy, Danny proj: 618 155 28 5 19 60 4 4 6 143 6 4 692
Fillmyer, Heath 2018: 255 66 7 0 9 30 3 0 2 43 2 0 290
Fillmyer, Heath proj: 255 66 7 0 9 30 3 0 2 43 2 0 290
Flynn, Brian 2018: 277 83 16 2 4 34 2 1 3 44 1 0 317
Flynn, Brian proj: 276 77 14 2 6 35 1 3 2 52 1 0 317
Grimm, Justin 2018: 49 17 3 0 2 14 2 2 0 8 3 1 67
Grimm, Justin proj: 59 15 3 0 2 7 1 0 0 16 1 1 67
Hammel, Jason 2018: 519 161 37 4 17 38 5 1 3 90 6 3 566
Hammel, Jason proj: 511 139 27 3 17 41 5 4 5 103 12 3 566
Herrera, Kelvin 2018: 92 19 1 0 2 2 0 1 0 22 1 0 95
Herrera, Kelvin proj: 86 20 4 1 2 7 1 1 1 23 2 1 96
Hill, Tim 2018: 164 43 9 0 4 14 1 2 2 40 3 0 183
Hill, Tim proj: 164 43 9 0 4 14 1 2 2 40 3 0 183
Junis, Jakob 2018: 639 167 25 4 32 41 7 3 15 153 7 4 705
Junis, Jakob proj: 639 168 27 4 29 41 6 4 15 146 6 5 705
Keller, Brad 2018: 506 130 19 2 7 47 2 0 2 94 7 4 557
Keller, Brad proj: 506 130 19 2 7 47 2 0 2 94 7 4 557
Kennedy, Ian 2018: 420 112 24 2 18 39 2 4 1 97 1 0 466
Kennedy, Ian proj: 416 103 23 3 15 38 3 4 5 101 4 3 466
Lively, Ben 2018: 7 3 0 0 0 2 0 0 0 2 0 0 9
Lively, Ben proj: 8 2 1 0 0 1 0 0 0 1 0 0 9
Lopez, Jorge 2018: 128 33 6 0 2 9 0 0 1 23 1 0 138
Lopez, Jorge proj: 123 33 5 1 1 14 0 0 1 24 1 1 138
Maurer, Brandon 2018: 116 38 7 2 6 21 3 1 1 27 1 3 142
Maurer, Brandon proj: 129 35 7 1 4 11 1 0 1 28 2 1 142
McCarthy, Kevin 2018: 245 63 8 2 6 18 1 0 2 40 1 4 266
McCarthy, Kevin proj: 244 66 9 1 6 19 1 1 1 39 2 2 266
Newberry, Jake 2018: 38 8 0 0 2 6 0 0 0 8 0 0 44
Newberry, Jake proj: 38 8 0 0 2 6 0 0 0 8 0 0 44
Oaks, Trevor 2018: 56 21 6 0 1 6 2 1 0 10 1 0 65
Oaks, Trevor proj: 56 21 6 0 1 6 2 1 0 10 1 0 65
Peralta, Wily 2018: 98 21 3 1 4 20 1 1 1 29 0 0 121
Peralta, Wily proj: 108 30 6 0 3 11 1 1 1 21 2 1 122
Romero, Enny 2018: 21 11 2 0 3 2 1 0 0 3 1 0 24
Romero, Enny proj: 21 6 1 0 1 3 0 0 0 6 1 0 24
Skoglund, Eric 2018: 221 59 12 5 11 17 0 0 5 43 3 1 243
Skoglund, Eric proj: 218 64 16 4 9 21 1 0 4 41 2 1 244
Smith, Burch 2018: 292 84 15 1 15 37 4 2 4 74 4 1 339
Smith, Burch proj: 293 82 15 2 16 39 3 2 3 80 5 1 340
Sparkman, Glenn 2018: 121 38 9 1 3 14 4 0 1 24 0 1 140
Sparkman, Glenn proj: 122 43 11 1 3 14 4 0 1 23 2 1 141
Stout, Eric 2018: 14 7 2 0 2 2 0 0 0 2 0 0 16
Stout, Eric proj: 14 7 2 0 2 2 0 0 0 2 0 0 16
Vasto, Jerry 2018: 14 3 0 0 1 1 0 0 0 3 1 0 15
Vasto, Jerry proj: 14 4 1 1 1 1 0 0 0 3 1 0 15
2018 TEAM TOTALS: 5182 1428 250 32 192 518 51 21 50 1081 52 28 5822
PROJECTED: 5204 1391 256 33 172 496 43 28 56 1116 67 32 5827
difference: -22 +37 -6 -1 +20 +22 +8 -7 -6 -35 -15 -4 -5
Man AB H 2B 3B HR BB SF SH HBP SO SB CS BFP


Assorted Team Stats:
Stat Actual Projected
Batting Average: .276 .267
Slugging Average: .447 .428
Walks (per PA): .089 .085
SOs (per PA): .186 .192
On-Base Average: .343 .333
Power Factor: 1.62 1.6
OPS: .790 .762
TPP Runs (to date): 779 732

Runs differential:
Actual TPP 47 more than Projected TPP.




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This page was last modified on Tuesday, 18 September 2018, at 7:06 am Pacific Time.