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KAN "Expected" Pitching Results, 2017


About These Stats:

The form of "projection" used is very simple: each man's career numbers are pro-rated by his actual number of batters faced to date this season; those data, labelled "proj:" are shown along with the man's actual stats from this year to date. At the bottom of the Table, each set of lines—"projected" and actual—is separately summed to get Team Totals for each dataset.

Note that "career to date" includes each man's stats for the current year: "to date" is literally correct. For veteran players, that matters little, but for rookies or players with litle prior major-league experience, it means that the "projection" will perforce nearly or exactly match the actual stats to date. That seems like the best way to deal with newly arrived players' stats.

Note that owing to rounding in the pro-rating process, projected total BFP (batters faced) may occasionally differ by 1.

Below the player/team table is a smaller table showing a few key team "rate" stats (such as batting average) actual and projected.

The Actual Data:

Through games of Sunday, 23 July 2017.
All results are from true, unadjusted data.

Handedness Key:   + R   * L

(You can also look up the stat definitions.)

Pitchers, listed in alphabetical order:
Each name is a click-on link to that man's career stats.

(or see the data for Batting)


Man AB H 2B 3B HR BB SF SH HBP SO SB CS BFP
Alburquerque, Al 2017: 36 7 0 0 0 6 0 0 0 9 0 0 42
Alburquerque, Al proj: 36 8 1 0 1 5 0 0 0 12 1 0 41
Alexander, Scott 2017: 134 28 2 1 1 17 1 1 0 33 2 0 153
Alexander, Scott proj: 135 33 3 1 1 16 1 1 1 30 1 0 154
Almonte, Miguel 2017: 9 5 2 0 0 2 1 0 0 0 1 0 12
Almonte, Miguel proj: 10 3 0 0 1 2 0 0 0 2 0 0 12
Duffy, Danny 2017: 351 94 16 4 7 27 2 5 4 75 1 1 389
Duffy, Danny proj: 348 87 16 3 10 33 2 2 4 79 3 3 389
Farrell, Luke 2017: 15 7 1 0 1 3 0 0 0 2 0 0 18
Farrell, Luke proj: 15 7 1 0 1 3 0 0 0 2 0 0 18
Feliz, Neftali 2017: 45 11 5 0 0 2 0 0 0 6 0 0 47
Feliz, Neftali proj: 42 9 2 0 1 4 0 0 0 11 0 0 46
Hammel, Jason 2017: 432 118 18 1 14 35 5 0 6 83 11 1 478
Hammel, Jason proj: 430 115 22 3 14 36 4 4 4 88 10 2 478
Herrera, Kelvin 2017: 150 38 7 3 8 10 1 0 0 39 2 0 161
Herrera, Kelvin proj: 146 33 7 1 3 12 1 1 1 40 3 1 161
Junis, Jake 2017: 139 41 6 0 9 16 1 2 4 28 0 1 162
Junis, Jake proj: 139 41 6 0 9 16 1 2 4 28 0 1 162
Karns, Nate 2017: 173 41 5 2 9 13 0 0 2 51 6 1 188
Karns, Nate proj: 167 41 7 1 7 17 1 1 2 45 5 1 188
Kennedy, Ian 2017: 359 77 13 1 19 39 2 1 2 86 2 3 403
Kennedy, Ian proj: 360 88 20 2 13 32 3 4 5 88 4 3 404
Maness, Seth 2017: 42 16 1 0 3 2 1 0 0 4 1 1 45
Maness, Seth proj: 42 12 2 0 1 2 0 1 0 7 0 0 45
McCarthy, Kevin 2017: 77 21 3 0 0 4 1 0 0 8 0 0 82
McCarthy, Kevin proj: 75 21 3 0 1 6 1 1 0 10 1 0 83
Minor, Mike 2017: 176 35 12 0 3 12 0 0 1 52 2 1 189
Minor, Mike proj: 172 44 10 1 6 13 1 1 1 40 2 1 188
Moylan, Peter 2017: 129 29 4 1 2 16 1 0 1 31 1 1 147
Moylan, Peter proj: 128 31 5 1 2 15 1 2 1 27 3 1 147
Skoglund, Eric 2017: 39 13 5 0 0 5 0 0 0 8 0 1 44
Skoglund, Eric proj: 39 13 5 0 0 5 0 0 0 8 0 1 44
Soria, Joakim 2017: 157 36 5 0 1 14 0 0 1 52 0 0 172
Soria, Joakim proj: 155 34 5 1 4 12 1 1 2 45 1 1 171
Strahm, Matt 2017: 127 30 5 0 6 22 0 2 3 37 0 1 154
Strahm, Matt proj: 129 27 4 0 4 21 1 1 3 43 0 1 155
Vargas, Jason 2017: 434 111 18 3 14 30 2 2 2 84 7 3 470
Vargas, Jason proj: 430 112 22 2 14 32 3 2 3 74 8 2 470
Wood, Travis 2017: 170 56 12 1 4 20 4 0 1 29 1 1 195
Wood, Travis proj: 173 43 10 1 5 17 1 2 2 37 1 1 195
Young, Chris 2017: 133 47 9 0 7 14 0 0 1 22 8 3 148
Young, Chris proj: 131 31 6 1 5 14 1 1 1 29 6 1 148
2017 TEAM TOTALS: 3327 861 149 17 108 309 22 13 28 739 45 19 3699
PROJECTED: 3302 833 157 18 103 313 23 27 34 745 49 20 3699
difference: +25 +28 -8 -1 +5 -4 -1 -14 -6 -6 -4 -1 0
Man AB H 2B 3B HR BB SF SH HBP SO SB CS BFP


Assorted Team Stats:
Stat Actual Projected
Batting Average: .259 .252
Slugging Average: .411 .404
Walks (per PA): .084 .085
SOs (per PA): .200 .201
On-Base Average: .324 .319
Power Factor: 1.59 1.6
OPS: .735 .723
TPP Runs (to date): 440 426

Runs differential:
Actual TPP 14 more than Projected TPP.




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This page was last modified on Monday, 24 July 2017, at 7:05 am Pacific Time.