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KAN "Expected" Pitching Results, 2017


About These Stats:

The form of "projection" used is very simple: each man's career numbers are pro-rated by his actual number of batters faced to date this season; those data, labelled "proj:" are shown along with the man's actual stats from this year to date. At the bottom of the Table, each set of lines—"projected" and actual—is separately summed to get Team Totals for each dataset.

Note that "career to date" includes each man's stats for the current year: "to date" is literally correct. For veteran players, that matters little, but for rookies or players with litle prior major-league experience, it means that the "projection" will perforce nearly or exactly match the actual stats to date. That seems like the best way to deal with newly arrived players' stats.

Note that owing to rounding in the pro-rating process, projected total BFP (batters faced) may occasionally differ by 1.

Below the player/team table is a smaller table showing a few key team "rate" stats (such as batting average) actual and projected.

The Actual Data:

Through games of Wednesday, 21 June 2017.
All results are from true, unadjusted data.

Handedness Key:   + R   * L

(You can also look up the stat definitions.)

Pitchers, listed in alphabetical order:
Each name is a click-on link to that man's career stats.

(or see the data for Batting)


Man AB H 2B 3B HR BB SF SH HBP SO SB CS BFP
Alburquerque, Al 2017: 13 2 0 0 0 3 0 0 0 6 0 0 16
Alburquerque, Al proj: 14 3 0 0 0 2 0 0 0 5 0 0 16
Alexander, Scott 2017: 85 17 1 0 1 7 1 1 0 20 1 0 94
Alexander, Scott proj: 84 21 2 0 1 8 1 0 0 18 0 0 93
Almonte, Miguel 2017: 6 4 2 0 0 1 1 0 0 0 0 0 8
Almonte, Miguel proj: 6 2 0 0 1 1 0 0 0 2 0 0 7
Duffy, Danny 2017: 254 69 13 2 4 25 2 4 3 54 1 1 288
Duffy, Danny proj: 257 64 12 2 7 25 1 2 3 59 3 2 288
Hammel, Jason 2017: 315 88 12 1 10 24 5 0 6 59 10 1 350
Hammel, Jason proj: 315 84 16 2 10 26 3 3 3 64 8 2 350
Herrera, Kelvin 2017: 120 32 6 3 7 5 1 0 0 30 1 0 126
Herrera, Kelvin proj: 114 26 5 1 3 9 1 1 1 31 3 1 126
Junis, Jake 2017: 92 28 5 0 6 11 1 1 3 19 0 0 108
Junis, Jake proj: 92 28 5 0 6 11 1 1 3 19 0 0 108
Karns, Nate 2017: 173 41 5 2 9 13 0 0 2 51 6 1 188
Karns, Nate proj: 167 41 7 1 7 17 1 1 2 45 5 1 188
Kennedy, Ian 2017: 245 50 11 0 14 32 1 1 1 57 2 3 280
Kennedy, Ian proj: 250 61 14 2 9 23 2 3 3 61 3 2 281
Maness, Seth 2017: 42 16 1 0 3 2 1 0 0 4 1 1 45
Maness, Seth proj: 42 12 2 0 1 2 0 1 0 7 0 0 45
McCarthy, Kevin 2017: 30 6 1 0 0 2 0 0 0 3 0 0 32
McCarthy, Kevin proj: 28 7 1 0 0 3 0 0 0 4 1 0 31
Minor, Mike 2017: 133 26 8 0 1 11 0 0 1 37 1 1 145
Minor, Mike proj: 132 34 8 1 4 10 1 1 1 30 1 1 145
Moylan, Peter 2017: 88 24 3 1 2 10 1 0 1 21 1 1 100
Moylan, Peter proj: 87 22 3 0 2 10 1 1 1 18 2 1 100
Skoglund, Eric 2017: 39 13 5 0 0 5 0 0 0 8 0 1 44
Skoglund, Eric proj: 39 13 5 0 0 5 0 0 0 8 0 1 44
Soria, Joakim 2017: 115 29 4 0 0 12 0 0 0 38 0 0 127
Soria, Joakim proj: 115 25 4 1 3 9 1 1 1 33 1 0 127
Strahm, Matt 2017: 106 23 5 0 4 20 0 2 1 33 0 1 129
Strahm, Matt proj: 108 21 4 0 2 18 1 1 1 37 0 1 129
Vargas, Jason 2017: 325 79 14 1 6 20 2 2 2 68 5 3 351
Vargas, Jason proj: 321 84 17 1 10 24 2 2 2 55 6 2 351
Wood, Travis 2017: 109 33 8 0 3 18 3 0 0 21 1 0 130
Wood, Travis proj: 115 28 7 0 3 11 1 1 1 25 1 1 129
Young, Chris 2017: 133 47 9 0 7 14 0 0 1 22 8 3 148
Young, Chris proj: 131 31 6 1 5 14 1 1 1 29 6 1 148
2017 TEAM TOTALS: 2423 627 113 10 77 235 19 11 21 551 38 17 2709
PROJECTED: 2417 607 118 12 74 228 18 20 23 550 40 16 2706
difference: +6 +20 -5 -2 +3 +7 +1 -9 -2 +1 -2 +1 +3
Man AB H 2B 3B HR BB SF SH HBP SO SB CS BFP


Assorted Team Stats:
Stat Actual Projected
Batting Average: .259 .251
Slugging Average: .409 .402
Walks (per PA): .087 .084
SOs (per PA): .203 .203
On-Base Average: .326 .317
Power Factor: 1.58 1.6
OPS: .735 .719
TPP Runs (to date): 321 308

Runs differential:
Actual TPP 13 more than Projected TPP.




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This page was last modified on Thursday, 22 June 2017, at 7:04 am Pacific Time.