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Baseball team and player performance examined realistically and accurately.

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KAN "Expected" Pitching Results, 2018


About These Stats:

The form of "projection" used is very simple: each man's career numbers are pro-rated by his actual number of batters faced to date this season; those data, labelled "proj:" are shown along with the man's actual stats from this year to date. At the bottom of the Table, each set of lines—"projected" and actual—is separately summed to get Team Totals for each dataset.

Note that "career to date" includes each man's stats for the current year: "to date" is literally correct. For veteran players, that matters little, but for rookies or players with litle prior major-league experience, it means that the "projection" will perforce nearly or exactly match the actual stats to date. That seems like the best way to deal with newly arrived players' stats.

Note that owing to rounding in the pro-rating process, projected total BFP (batters faced) may occasionally differ by 1.

Below the player/team table is a smaller table showing a few key team "rate" stats (such as batting average) actual and projected.

The Actual Data:

Through games of Sunday, 30 September 2018.
All results are from true, unadjusted data.

Handedness Key:   + R   * L

(You can also look up the stat definitions.)

Pitchers, listed in alphabetical order:
Each name is a click-on link to that man's career stats.

(or see the data for Batting)


Man AB H 2B 3B HR BB SF SH HBP SO SB CS BFP
Adam, Jason 2018: 122 30 6 1 9 15 2 0 3 37 2 2 142
Adam, Jason proj: 122 30 6 1 9 15 2 0 3 37 2 2 142
Barlow, Scott 2018: 62 16 2 0 2 3 0 0 0 15 0 0 65
Barlow, Scott proj: 62 16 2 0 2 3 0 0 0 15 0 0 65
Boyer, Blaine 2018: 93 32 7 2 7 13 3 0 0 9 1 2 109
Boyer, Blaine proj: 97 27 6 1 2 9 1 1 1 16 2 1 109
Butera, Drew 2018: 3 2 0 0 0 3 0 0 0 0 0 0 6
Butera, Drew proj: 5 1 1 0 0 1 0 0 0 1 0 0 6
Duffy, Danny 2018: 610 161 24 3 23 70 6 2 4 141 5 2 692
Duffy, Danny proj: 618 155 28 5 19 60 4 4 6 143 6 4 692
Fillmyer, Heath 2018: 306 78 10 0 11 32 4 0 2 57 3 1 344
Fillmyer, Heath proj: 306 78 10 0 11 32 4 0 2 57 3 1 344
Flynn, Brian 2018: 295 87 17 2 5 35 2 1 3 47 1 0 336
Flynn, Brian proj: 293 82 15 2 7 36 1 3 2 55 1 0 335
Grimm, Justin 2018: 49 17 3 0 2 14 2 2 0 8 3 1 67
Grimm, Justin proj: 59 15 3 0 2 7 1 0 0 16 1 1 67
Hammel, Jason 2018: 534 168 37 5 18 39 5 2 3 92 9 4 583
Hammel, Jason proj: 527 143 28 3 17 42 5 4 5 106 12 3 583
Herrera, Kelvin 2018: 92 19 1 0 2 2 0 1 0 22 1 0 95
Herrera, Kelvin proj: 86 20 4 1 2 7 1 1 1 23 2 1 96
Hill, Tim 2018: 179 46 9 0 4 14 1 2 2 42 3 0 198
Hill, Tim proj: 179 46 9 0 4 14 1 2 2 42 3 0 198
Junis, Jakob 2018: 688 183 27 4 32 43 8 4 15 164 7 4 758
Junis, Jakob proj: 687 182 29 4 30 44 7 4 15 157 6 5 757
Keller, Brad 2018: 528 133 19 2 7 50 3 0 2 96 7 4 583
Keller, Brad proj: 528 133 19 2 7 50 3 0 2 96 7 4 583
Kennedy, Ian 2018: 471 125 26 2 20 40 2 4 1 105 1 0 518
Kennedy, Ian proj: 463 115 26 3 17 41 4 5 6 112 5 3 519
Lively, Ben 2018: 25 7 0 0 0 5 0 0 0 5 0 1 30
Lively, Ben proj: 27 8 2 0 1 2 0 0 1 5 0 0 30
Lopez, Jorge 2018: 138 41 9 0 5 9 1 0 1 23 1 0 149
Lopez, Jorge proj: 133 39 7 1 3 14 1 0 1 25 2 1 149
Maurer, Brandon 2018: 130 42 7 3 7 25 3 1 1 31 2 3 160
Maurer, Brandon proj: 145 40 8 1 5 13 1 0 1 32 2 1 160
McCarthy, Kevin 2018: 270 70 10 2 7 20 1 0 2 46 1 4 293
McCarthy, Kevin proj: 269 72 11 1 7 21 1 1 1 44 2 2 293
Newberry, Jake 2018: 51 13 3 0 3 9 0 0 0 11 0 0 60
Newberry, Jake proj: 51 13 3 0 3 9 0 0 0 11 0 0 60
Oaks, Trevor 2018: 56 21 6 0 1 6 2 1 0 10 1 0 65
Oaks, Trevor proj: 56 21 6 0 1 6 2 1 0 10 1 0 65
Peralta, Wily 2018: 122 28 3 2 4 23 2 1 1 35 0 0 149
Peralta, Wily proj: 132 37 7 0 4 13 1 2 1 25 2 1 149
Romero, Enny 2018: 21 11 2 0 3 2 1 0 0 3 1 0 24
Romero, Enny proj: 21 6 1 0 1 3 0 0 0 6 1 0 24
Skoglund, Eric 2018: 268 66 14 5 12 19 0 0 6 49 6 2 293
Skoglund, Eric proj: 264 73 18 4 11 24 1 0 5 48 5 2 294
Smith, Burch 2018: 308 90 16 1 15 40 4 2 4 77 4 1 358
Smith, Burch proj: 309 88 16 2 16 42 3 2 3 84 5 1 359
Sparkman, Glenn 2018: 155 47 11 2 3 15 5 0 1 27 0 1 176
Sparkman, Glenn proj: 155 52 13 2 3 15 5 0 1 26 2 1 176
Stout, Eric 2018: 14 7 2 0 2 2 0 0 0 2 0 0 16
Stout, Eric proj: 14 7 2 0 2 2 0 0 0 2 0 0 16
Vasto, Jerry 2018: 14 3 0 0 1 1 0 0 0 3 1 0 15
Vasto, Jerry proj: 14 4 1 1 1 1 0 0 0 3 1 0 15
2018 TEAM TOTALS: 5604 1543 271 36 205 549 57 23 51 1157 60 32 6284
PROJECTED: 5622 1503 281 34 187 526 49 30 59 1197 73 34 6286
difference: -18 +40 -10 +2 +18 +23 +8 -7 -8 -40 -13 -2 -2
Man AB H 2B 3B HR BB SF SH HBP SO SB CS BFP


Assorted Team Stats:
Stat Actual Projected
Batting Average: .275 .267
Slugging Average: .446 .429
Walks (per PA): .087 .084
SOs (per PA): .184 .190
On-Base Average: .341 .332
Power Factor: 1.62 1.61
OPS: .787 .761
TPP Runs (to date): 835 788

Runs differential:
Actual TPP 47 more than Projected TPP.




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This page was last modified on Monday, 1 October 2018, at 7:06 am Pacific Time.