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LAA "Expected" Pitching Results, 2018


About These Stats:

The form of "projection" used is very simple: each man's career numbers are pro-rated by his actual number of batters faced to date this season; those data, labelled "proj:" are shown along with the man's actual stats from this year to date. At the bottom of the Table, each set of lines—"projected" and actual—is separately summed to get Team Totals for each dataset.

Note that "career to date" includes each man's stats for the current year: "to date" is literally correct. For veteran players, that matters little, but for rookies or players with litle prior major-league experience, it means that the "projection" will perforce nearly or exactly match the actual stats to date. That seems like the best way to deal with newly arrived players' stats.

Note that owing to rounding in the pro-rating process, projected total BFP (batters faced) may occasionally differ by 1.

Below the player/team table is a smaller table showing a few key team "rate" stats (such as batting average) actual and projected.

The Actual Data:

Through games of Monday, 20 August 2018.
All results are from true, unadjusted data.

Handedness Key:   + R   * L

(You can also look up the stat definitions.)

Pitchers, listed in alphabetical order:
Each name is a click-on link to that man's career stats.

(or see the data for Batting)


Man AB H 2B 3B HR BB SF SH HBP SO SB CS BFP
Almonte, Miguel 2018: 5 2 0 1 1 0 0 0 0 1 0 0 5
Almonte, Miguel proj: 4 1 0 0 0 1 0 0 0 1 0 0 5
Alvarez, Jose 2018: 199 46 12 1 3 20 0 2 2 50 2 1 223
Alvarez, Jose proj: 202 52 9 2 5 17 1 1 2 46 2 1 223
Anderson, Justin 2018: 165 36 3 0 3 29 0 0 3 60 3 2 197
Anderson, Justin proj: 165 36 3 0 3 29 0 0 3 60 3 2 197
Arcia, Francisco 2018: 4 1 0 0 0 0 0 0 0 0 0 0 4
Arcia, Francisco proj: 4 1 0 0 0 0 0 0 0 0 0 0 4
Bard, Luke 2018: 45 10 0 0 4 5 0 0 3 13 0 0 53
Bard, Luke proj: 45 10 0 0 4 5 0 0 3 13 0 0 53
Barria, Jaime 2018: 372 94 17 1 15 27 0 0 5 76 2 2 404
Barria, Jaime proj: 372 94 17 1 15 27 0 0 5 76 2 2 404
Bedrosian, Cam 2018: 203 54 10 0 6 22 0 0 1 48 1 1 226
Bedrosian, Cam proj: 200 51 9 1 5 23 1 1 1 56 2 2 226
Bridwell, Parker 2018: 11 7 1 0 3 0 1 0 0 0 0 0 12
Bridwell, Parker proj: 11 3 0 0 1 1 0 0 0 2 0 0 12
Buttrey, Ty 2018: 8 2 2 0 0 1 0 0 0 0 0 0 9
Buttrey, Ty proj: 8 2 2 0 0 1 0 0 0 0 0 0 9
Cole, Taylor 2018: 64 13 3 0 3 8 1 1 2 23 0 0 76
Cole, Taylor proj: 64 17 4 0 3 8 1 1 3 21 0 0 77
Despaigne, Odrisamer 2018: 18 7 1 0 0 1 0 0 0 3 0 0 19
Despaigne, Odrisamer proj: 17 5 1 0 0 1 0 0 0 3 0 0 18
Drake, Oliver 2018: 39 15 2 0 2 1 0 0 0 8 0 1 40
Drake, Oliver proj: 36 9 2 0 1 4 0 0 0 10 0 0 40
Heaney, Andrew 2018: 532 128 26 3 17 37 5 1 8 133 2 1 583
Heaney, Andrew proj: 532 134 25 3 21 37 4 3 8 121 4 1 584
Jerez, Williams 2018: 23 2 1 0 0 1 0 0 0 8 0 1 24
Jerez, Williams proj: 23 2 1 0 0 1 0 0 0 8 0 1 24
Jewell, Jake 2018: 8 2 1 0 0 1 0 0 2 1 0 0 11
Jewell, Jake proj: 8 2 1 0 0 1 0 0 2 1 0 0 11
Johnson, Jim 2018: 181 45 5 1 6 17 3 2 1 35 4 3 204
Johnson, Jim proj: 183 48 6 1 4 16 1 2 3 36 3 1 205
Krol, Ian 2018: 7 1 0 0 0 1 0 0 0 2 0 0 8
Krol, Ian proj: 7 2 0 0 0 1 0 0 0 2 0 0 8
Lamb, John 2018: 46 15 6 0 4 4 0 0 0 11 0 0 50
Lamb, John proj: 44 13 3 0 2 5 0 1 0 11 1 0 50
McGuire, Deck 2018: 79 22 2 0 7 12 3 0 4 18 0 1 98
McGuire, Deck proj: 84 21 4 1 5 10 2 0 3 18 0 1 99
Middleton, Keynan 2018: 60 14 4 0 1 9 1 0 1 16 1 2 71
Middleton, Keynan proj: 64 17 4 0 3 6 1 0 0 18 0 1 71
Morales, Osmer 2018: 2 1 0 0 0 0 0 0 0 0 0 0 2
Morales, Osmer proj: 2 1 0 0 0 0 0 0 0 0 0 0 2
Morris, Akeel 2018: 57 18 4 1 3 8 0 0 0 7 0 0 65
Morris, Akeel proj: 56 17 4 1 2 9 0 0 0 10 0 0 65
Ohtani, Shohei 2018: 178 36 6 0 5 20 1 0 1 61 1 1 200
Ohtani, Shohei proj: 178 36 6 0 5 20 1 0 1 61 1 1 200
Paredes, Eduardo 2018: 77 25 3 2 5 7 1 0 1 15 1 0 86
Paredes, Eduardo proj: 76 22 4 1 3 6 1 0 2 15 0 0 85
Parker, Blake 2018: 207 47 10 1 10 18 1 0 2 61 3 0 228
Parker, Blake proj: 207 46 9 1 7 17 2 0 2 64 4 2 228
Pena, Felix 2018: 189 46 11 0 7 21 2 1 2 47 2 1 215
Pena, Felix proj: 189 46 11 0 8 22 1 1 2 51 3 1 215
Ramirez, JC 2018: 26 7 1 0 3 7 0 0 0 4 2 0 33
Ramirez, JC proj: 29 8 1 0 1 3 0 0 0 5 1 0 32
Ramirez, Noe 2018: 267 66 14 1 13 25 0 0 6 78 1 0 298
Ramirez, Noe proj: 262 64 12 1 14 29 1 0 6 76 3 1 298
Richards, Garrett 2018: 288 64 9 2 11 34 0 1 1 87 1 2 324
Richards, Garrett proj: 290 69 13 1 6 28 2 2 2 67 4 2 324
Robles, Hansel 2018: 90 25 4 1 2 11 2 1 1 22 3 0 105
Robles, Hansel proj: 91 21 5 1 4 11 1 1 1 27 2 1 105
Shoemaker, Matt 2018: 20 4 2 0 0 4 0 0 0 4 0 0 24
Shoemaker, Matt proj: 22 6 1 0 1 1 0 0 0 5 0 0 23
Skaggs, Tyler 2018: 451 118 24 2 12 35 3 0 4 123 4 3 493
Skaggs, Tyler proj: 444 116 23 1 14 38 4 1 5 105 9 3 492
Tropeano, Nick 2018: 281 68 17 2 16 31 2 0 2 64 1 3 316
Tropeano, Nick proj: 281 72 16 2 12 30 3 1 2 67 3 3 317
Wood, Blake 2018: 38 8 2 0 1 7 1 0 1 10 0 1 47
Wood, Blake proj: 41 11 2 0 1 5 1 0 0 10 1 0 47
2018 TEAM TOTALS: 4240 1049 203 19 163 424 27 9 53 1089 34 26 4753
PROJECTED: 4241 1055 198 18 150 413 28 15 56 1066 48 26 4753
difference: -1 -6 +5 +1 +13 +11 -1 -6 -3 +23 -14 0 0
Man AB H 2B 3B HR BB SF SH HBP SO SB CS BFP


Assorted Team Stats:
Stat Actual Projected
Batting Average: .247 .249
Slugging Average: .420 .410
Walks (per PA): .089 .087
SOs (per PA): .229 .224
On-Base Average: .321 .321
Power Factor: 1.7 1.65
OPS: .741 .731
TPP Runs (to date): 562 554

Runs differential:
Actual TPP 8 more than Projected TPP.




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This page was last modified on Tuesday, 21 August 2018, at 7:11 am Pacific Time.