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Baseball team and player performance examined realistically and accurately.

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LAA "Expected" Pitching Results, 2019


About These Stats:

The form of "projection" used is very simple: each man's career numbers are pro-rated by his actual number of batters faced to date this season; those data, labelled "proj:" are shown along with the man's actual stats from this year to date. At the bottom of the Table, each set of lines—"projected" and actual—is separately summed to get Team Totals for each dataset.

Note that "career to date" includes each man's stats for the current year: "to date" is literally correct. For veteran players, that matters little, but for rookies or players with litle prior major-league experience, it means that the "projection" will perforce nearly or exactly match the actual stats to date. That seems like the best way to deal with newly arrived players' stats.

Note that owing to rounding in the pro-rating process, projected total BFP (batters faced) may occasionally differ by 1.

Below the player/team table is a smaller table showing a few key team "rate" stats (such as batting average) actual and projected.

The Actual Data:

Through games of Thursday, 22 August 2019.
All results are from true, unadjusted data.

Handedness Key:   + R   * L

(You can also look up the stat definitions.)

Pitchers, listed in alphabetical order:
Each name is a click-on link to that man's career stats.

(or see the data for Batting)


Man AB H 2B 3B HR BB SF SH HBP SO SB CS BFP
Allen, Cody 2019: 95 24 6 1 9 20 1 0 0 29 3 0 116
Allen, Cody proj: 102 22 5 0 3 12 1 1 1 35 2 0 117
Anderson, Justin 2019: 157 34 13 1 5 27 2 1 1 56 3 1 188
Anderson, Justin proj: 155 33 7 0 4 29 1 0 2 54 3 1 187
Bard, Luke 2019: 132 35 6 0 6 11 1 0 3 25 6 1 147
Bard, Luke proj: 130 33 4 0 7 12 1 0 4 28 4 1 147
Barria, Jaime 2019: 231 66 20 1 15 17 2 0 1 55 1 0 251
Barria, Jaime proj: 228 58 14 1 10 20 1 0 2 49 1 2 251
Bedrosian, Cam 2019: 220 43 4 2 6 22 1 0 3 63 3 1 246
Bedrosian, Cam proj: 218 53 9 1 5 24 2 1 2 61 3 2 247
Buttrey, Ty 2019: 231 58 9 1 6 18 2 0 4 71 5 2 255
Buttrey, Ty proj: 231 57 10 1 5 18 2 1 3 71 6 2 255
Cahill, Trevor 2019: 348 98 21 4 23 30 3 0 5 66 11 1 386
Cahill, Trevor proj: 340 87 17 2 10 36 3 3 4 68 10 3 386
Canning, Griffin 2019: 341 80 17 4 14 30 4 1 8 96 6 0 384
Canning, Griffin proj: 341 80 17 4 14 30 4 1 8 96 6 0 384
Cole, Taylor 2019: 166 46 11 0 1 19 1 0 2 43 4 1 188
Cole, Taylor proj: 165 41 9 0 2 18 1 1 3 47 2 1 188
Curtiss, John 2019: 9 2 1 0 0 3 0 0 0 1 0 0 12
Curtiss, John proj: 11 3 1 0 0 1 0 0 0 3 1 0 12
Del Pozo, Miguel 2019: 4 0 0 0 0 0 0 0 0 2 2 0 4
Del Pozo, Miguel proj: 4 0 0 0 0 0 0 0 0 2 2 0 4
Freeman, Sam 2019: 9 3 0 0 1 2 0 0 0 0 0 0 11
Freeman, Sam proj: 9 2 0 0 0 1 0 0 0 2 0 0 10
Garcia, Luis 2019: 194 51 3 0 11 27 1 0 3 45 4 0 225
Garcia, Luis proj: 195 51 9 1 5 26 1 1 2 46 4 1 225
Harvey, Matt 2019: 229 63 15 2 13 29 4 1 3 39 3 2 266
Harvey, Matt proj: 242 60 11 1 8 18 2 2 2 59 3 1 266
Heaney, Andrew 2019: 244 55 10 0 12 20 1 0 4 78 1 1 269
Heaney, Andrew proj: 246 62 11 1 11 17 1 1 3 61 1 0 268
Jewell, Jake 2019: 59 15 1 0 5 5 0 0 2 13 4 0 66
Jewell, Jake proj: 57 15 2 0 4 5 0 0 3 12 3 0 65
Mejia, Adalberto 2019: 31 8 2 0 1 4 0 0 0 10 0 0 35
Mejia, Adalberto proj: 31 9 2 0 1 4 0 0 0 7 0 0 35
Pena, Felix 2019: 366 80 19 0 16 34 1 0 6 101 6 3 407
Pena, Felix proj: 365 85 18 0 15 34 2 0 5 97 6 2 406
Peters, Dillon 2019: 162 45 9 1 8 13 1 0 4 36 2 3 180
Peters, Dillon proj: 157 45 8 0 6 19 1 0 3 32 1 2 180
Ramirez, JC 2019: 32 8 4 1 1 1 0 0 1 4 1 0 34
Ramirez, JC proj: 30 8 1 0 1 3 0 0 0 6 1 0 33
Ramirez, Noe 2019: 197 43 8 1 8 17 0 0 3 65 3 2 217
Ramirez, Noe proj: 193 45 8 1 9 20 1 0 4 59 2 1 218
Ramsey, Matt 2019: 3 0 0 0 0 0 0 0 0 1 0 0 3
Ramsey, Matt proj: 3 0 0 0 0 0 0 0 0 1 0 0 3
Robles, Hansel 2019: 215 53 10 0 5 15 3 1 0 57 3 2 234
Robles, Hansel proj: 205 48 10 1 7 23 3 1 2 59 3 1 234
Rodriguez, Jose 2019: 21 5 0 0 3 0 0 0 0 5 1 0 21
Rodriguez, Jose proj: 21 5 0 0 3 0 0 0 0 5 1 0 21
Sandoval, Patrick 2019: 71 22 7 0 2 7 0 2 0 18 0 1 80
Sandoval, Patrick proj: 71 22 7 0 2 7 0 2 0 18 0 1 80
Skaggs, Tyler 2019: 302 73 13 1 9 28 2 1 2 78 2 2 335
Skaggs, Tyler proj: 301 78 15 1 10 27 3 1 3 72 6 2 335
Stratton, Chris 2019: 125 43 7 2 6 18 1 0 0 22 0 2 144
Stratton, Chris proj: 129 36 7 1 4 13 1 1 0 27 1 1 144
Suarez, Jose 2019: 221 68 9 0 16 22 2 0 4 53 8 6 249
Suarez, Jose proj: 221 68 9 0 16 22 2 0 4 53 8 6 249
Tropeano, Nick 2019: 57 18 2 0 6 6 1 0 2 10 4 0 66
Tropeano, Nick proj: 58 15 3 0 3 6 1 0 0 14 1 1 65
Walsh, Jared 2019: 15 3 0 0 0 5 0 0 0 4 0 0 20
Walsh, Jared proj: 15 3 0 0 0 5 0 0 0 4 0 0 20
2019 TEAM TOTALS: 4487 1142 227 22 208 450 34 7 61 1146 86 31 5039
PROJECTED: 4474 1124 214 16 165 450 34 17 60 1148 81 31 5035
difference: +13 +18 +13 +6 +43 0 0 -10 +1 -2 +5 0 +4
Man AB H 2B 3B HR BB SF SH HBP SO SB CS BFP


Assorted Team Stats:
Stat Actual Projected
Batting Average: .255 .251
Slugging Average: .454 .417
Walks (per PA): .089 .089
SOs (per PA): .227 .228
On-Base Average: .328 .325
Power Factor: 1.78 1.66
OPS: .782 .741
TPP Runs (to date): 664 607

Runs differential:
Actual TPP 57 more than Projected TPP.




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This page was last modified on Friday, 23 August 2019, at 7:05 am Pacific Time.