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LAA "Expected" Pitching Results, 2018


About These Stats:

The form of "projection" used is very simple: each man's career numbers are pro-rated by his actual number of batters faced to date this season; those data, labelled "proj:" are shown along with the man's actual stats from this year to date. At the bottom of the Table, each set of lines—"projected" and actual—is separately summed to get Team Totals for each dataset.

Note that "career to date" includes each man's stats for the current year: "to date" is literally correct. For veteran players, that matters little, but for rookies or players with litle prior major-league experience, it means that the "projection" will perforce nearly or exactly match the actual stats to date. That seems like the best way to deal with newly arrived players' stats.

Note that owing to rounding in the pro-rating process, projected total BFP (batters faced) may occasionally differ by 1.

Below the player/team table is a smaller table showing a few key team "rate" stats (such as batting average) actual and projected.

The Actual Data:

Through games of Sunday, 24 June 2018.
All results are from true, unadjusted data.

Handedness Key:   + R   * L

(You can also look up the stat definitions.)

Pitchers, listed in alphabetical order:
Each name is a click-on link to that man's career stats.

(or see the data for Batting)


Man AB H 2B 3B HR BB SF SH HBP SO SB CS BFP
Alvarez, Jose 2018: 128 27 7 1 2 8 0 1 1 36 0 0 138
Alvarez, Jose proj: 126 33 6 1 3 10 1 1 1 29 1 0 139
Anderson, Justin 2018: 103 27 1 0 3 20 0 0 2 36 1 2 125
Anderson, Justin proj: 103 27 1 0 3 20 0 0 2 36 1 2 125
Bard, Luke 2018: 45 10 0 0 4 5 0 0 3 13 0 0 53
Bard, Luke proj: 45 10 0 0 4 5 0 0 3 13 0 0 53
Barria, Jaime 2018: 192 47 8 0 9 14 0 0 3 42 1 1 209
Barria, Jaime proj: 192 47 8 0 9 14 0 0 3 42 1 1 209
Bedrosian, Cam 2018: 137 36 7 0 5 16 0 0 1 30 0 0 154
Bedrosian, Cam proj: 136 35 6 1 3 16 1 0 1 38 2 1 154
Bridwell, Parker 2018: 11 7 1 0 3 0 1 0 0 0 0 0 12
Bridwell, Parker proj: 11 3 0 0 1 1 0 0 0 2 0 0 12
Drake, Oliver 2018: 15 8 1 0 2 1 0 0 0 4 0 1 16
Drake, Oliver proj: 14 4 1 0 0 2 0 0 0 4 0 0 16
Heaney, Andrew 2018: 291 67 14 3 8 21 3 1 4 72 0 0 320
Heaney, Andrew proj: 291 74 14 2 12 21 2 2 4 65 2 0 320
Jewell, Jake 2018: 5 1 0 0 0 0 0 0 2 1 0 0 7
Jewell, Jake proj: 5 1 0 0 0 0 0 0 2 1 0 0 7
Johnson, Jim 2018: 129 33 4 0 4 13 2 1 0 31 3 2 145
Johnson, Jim proj: 130 34 5 0 2 11 1 1 2 26 2 1 145
Krol, Ian 2018: 7 1 0 0 0 1 0 0 0 2 0 0 8
Krol, Ian proj: 7 2 0 0 0 1 0 0 0 2 0 0 8
Lamb, John 2018: 34 9 3 0 3 2 0 0 0 9 0 0 36
Lamb, John proj: 32 9 2 0 2 3 0 1 0 8 1 0 36
McGuire, Deck 2018: 3 0 0 0 0 0 1 0 0 0 0 0 4
McGuire, Deck proj: 4 1 0 0 0 0 0 0 0 1 0 0 4
Middleton, Keynan 2018: 60 14 4 0 1 9 1 0 1 16 1 2 71
Middleton, Keynan proj: 64 17 4 0 3 6 1 0 0 18 0 1 71
Morris, Akeel 2018: 47 14 2 1 3 7 0 0 0 5 0 0 54
Morris, Akeel proj: 46 13 3 1 2 8 0 0 0 8 0 0 54
Ohtani, Shohei 2018: 178 36 6 0 5 20 1 0 1 61 1 1 200
Ohtani, Shohei proj: 178 36 6 0 5 20 1 0 1 61 1 1 200
Paredes, Eduardo 2018: 59 21 2 2 3 6 1 0 0 10 1 0 66
Paredes, Eduardo proj: 58 18 3 1 2 5 1 0 1 11 0 0 65
Parker, Blake 2018: 140 33 7 1 6 13 1 0 0 47 1 0 154
Parker, Blake proj: 140 31 6 1 5 12 1 0 1 45 3 1 154
Pena, Felix 2018: 50 15 2 0 3 4 0 0 1 14 0 0 55
Pena, Felix proj: 49 12 3 0 3 6 0 0 1 14 1 0 56
Ramirez, JC 2018: 26 7 1 0 3 7 0 0 0 4 2 0 33
Ramirez, JC proj: 29 8 1 0 1 3 0 0 0 5 1 0 32
Ramirez, Noe 2018: 174 40 13 1 6 17 0 0 3 58 0 0 194
Ramirez, Noe proj: 170 40 10 1 8 20 1 0 4 53 2 1 195
Richards, Garrett 2018: 258 56 9 2 8 32 0 0 1 78 1 1 291
Richards, Garrett proj: 260 62 12 0 6 25 2 2 2 60 4 2 291
Robles, Hansel 2018: 5 2 1 0 1 0 0 0 0 1 0 0 5
Robles, Hansel proj: 4 1 0 0 0 1 0 0 0 1 0 0 5
Shoemaker, Matt 2018: 20 4 2 0 0 4 0 0 0 4 0 0 24
Shoemaker, Matt proj: 22 6 1 0 1 1 0 0 0 5 0 0 23
Skaggs, Tyler 2018: 305 74 16 0 8 24 0 0 3 86 3 0 332
Skaggs, Tyler proj: 299 77 15 0 9 26 2 1 4 70 7 2 332
Tropeano, Nick 2018: 202 53 14 1 9 20 1 0 1 44 1 2 224
Tropeano, Nick proj: 200 53 12 1 7 20 2 1 1 47 2 2 224
Wood, Blake 2018: 38 8 2 0 1 7 1 0 1 10 0 1 47
Wood, Blake proj: 41 11 2 0 1 5 1 0 0 10 1 0 47
2018 TEAM TOTALS: 2662 650 127 12 100 271 13 3 28 714 16 13 2977
PROJECTED: 2656 665 121 9 92 262 17 9 33 675 32 15 2977
difference: +6 -15 +6 +3 +8 +9 -4 -6 -5 +39 -16 -2 0
Man AB H 2B 3B HR BB SF SH HBP SO SB CS BFP


Assorted Team Stats:
Stat Actual Projected
Batting Average: .244 .250
Slugging Average: .414 .407
Walks (per PA): .091 .088
SOs (per PA): .240 .227
On-Base Average: .319 .322
Power Factor: 1.69 1.62
OPS: .732 .729
TPP Runs (to date): 345 347

Runs differential:
Actual TPP 2 less than Projected TPP.




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This page was last modified on Monday, 25 June 2018, at 7:02 am Pacific Time.