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LAA "Expected" Pitching Results, 2019


About These Stats:

The form of "projection" used is very simple: each man's career numbers are pro-rated by his actual number of batters faced to date this season; those data, labelled "proj:" are shown along with the man's actual stats from this year to date. At the bottom of the Table, each set of lines—"projected" and actual—is separately summed to get Team Totals for each dataset.

Note that "career to date" includes each man's stats for the current year: "to date" is literally correct. For veteran players, that matters little, but for rookies or players with litle prior major-league experience, it means that the "projection" will perforce nearly or exactly match the actual stats to date. That seems like the best way to deal with newly arrived players' stats.

Note that owing to rounding in the pro-rating process, projected total BFP (batters faced) may occasionally differ by 1.

Below the player/team table is a smaller table showing a few key team "rate" stats (such as batting average) actual and projected.

The Actual Data:

Through games of Tuesday, 18 June 2019.
All results are from true, unadjusted data.

Handedness Key:   + R   * L

(You can also look up the stat definitions.)

Pitchers, listed in alphabetical order:
Each name is a click-on link to that man's career stats.

(or see the data for Batting)


Man AB H 2B 3B HR BB SF SH HBP SO SB CS BFP
Allen, Cody 2019: 95 24 6 1 9 20 1 0 0 29 3 0 116
Allen, Cody proj: 102 22 5 0 3 12 1 1 1 35 2 0 117
Anderson, Justin 2019: 94 21 10 1 2 13 2 0 1 34 3 1 110
Anderson, Justin proj: 91 20 4 0 2 17 1 0 2 32 2 1 111
Bard, Luke 2019: 82 21 4 0 4 6 1 0 2 21 3 0 91
Bard, Luke proj: 80 20 3 0 5 7 1 0 3 21 2 0 91
Barria, Jaime 2019: 81 27 8 1 2 5 1 0 1 16 0 0 88
Barria, Jaime proj: 80 20 5 0 3 7 0 0 1 16 0 1 88
Bedrosian, Cam 2019: 124 22 1 0 2 15 0 0 2 39 3 0 141
Bedrosian, Cam proj: 124 30 5 0 3 14 1 0 1 35 2 1 140
Buttrey, Ty 2019: 135 32 5 0 2 11 1 0 3 42 3 2 150
Buttrey, Ty proj: 135 32 6 0 1 11 1 1 2 42 4 1 150
Cahill, Trevor 2019: 231 61 13 3 16 20 2 0 3 46 9 0 256
Cahill, Trevor proj: 225 57 11 1 7 24 2 2 2 45 7 2 255
Canning, Griffin 2019: 188 40 10 3 9 10 2 0 5 54 1 0 205
Canning, Griffin proj: 188 40 10 3 9 10 2 0 5 54 1 0 205
Cole, Taylor 2019: 57 16 5 0 0 7 1 0 0 18 2 0 65
Cole, Taylor proj: 57 13 3 0 1 6 1 0 1 18 1 0 65
Curtiss, John 2019: 9 2 1 0 0 3 0 0 0 1 0 0 12
Curtiss, John proj: 11 3 1 0 0 1 0 0 0 3 1 0 12
Freeman, Sam 2019: 9 3 0 0 1 2 0 0 0 0 0 0 11
Freeman, Sam proj: 9 2 0 0 0 1 0 0 0 2 0 0 10
Garcia, Luis 2019: 99 24 1 0 7 17 0 0 2 18 0 0 118
Garcia, Luis proj: 102 26 5 1 2 14 1 0 1 24 2 0 118
Harvey, Matt 2019: 188 52 12 1 11 21 3 1 3 35 1 2 216
Harvey, Matt proj: 197 49 9 1 6 14 1 2 2 48 2 1 216
Heaney, Andrew 2019: 81 15 1 0 6 6 0 0 1 30 1 0 88
Heaney, Andrew proj: 81 20 4 0 4 5 0 0 1 20 1 0 87
Jewell, Jake 2019: 29 7 0 0 3 4 0 0 1 8 4 0 34
Jewell, Jake proj: 28 7 1 0 2 4 0 0 2 7 3 0 34
Pena, Felix 2019: 238 56 10 0 12 19 0 0 5 63 3 1 262
Pena, Felix proj: 236 57 11 0 10 21 1 0 3 62 3 1 261
Peters, Dillon 2019: 35 10 3 0 3 3 0 0 1 8 0 0 39
Peters, Dillon proj: 34 10 2 0 1 5 0 0 1 7 0 0 40
Ramirez, Noe 2019: 130 28 6 0 7 11 0 0 2 42 2 2 143
Ramirez, Noe proj: 127 30 6 0 7 13 0 0 3 38 2 1 143
Ramsey, Matt 2019: 3 0 0 0 0 0 0 0 0 1 0 0 3
Ramsey, Matt proj: 3 0 0 0 0 0 0 0 0 1 0 0 3
Robles, Hansel 2019: 126 27 6 0 3 8 1 0 0 33 0 1 135
Robles, Hansel proj: 118 27 6 1 4 13 1 1 1 34 2 1 134
Skaggs, Tyler 2019: 268 67 12 1 9 24 2 1 2 70 2 2 297
Skaggs, Tyler proj: 267 69 14 1 9 24 2 1 3 64 5 2 297
Stratton, Chris 2019: 125 43 7 2 6 18 1 0 0 22 0 2 144
Stratton, Chris proj: 128 36 7 1 4 14 1 1 0 26 1 1 144
Suarez, Jose 2019: 59 14 1 0 3 6 0 0 0 13 0 1 65
Suarez, Jose proj: 59 14 1 0 3 6 0 0 0 13 0 1 65
Tropeano, Nick 2019: 37 12 1 0 5 3 0 0 1 7 1 0 41
Tropeano, Nick proj: 36 9 2 0 2 4 0 0 0 9 0 0 40
Walsh, Jared 2019: 8 2 0 0 0 3 0 0 0 1 0 0 11
Walsh, Jared proj: 8 2 0 0 0 3 0 0 0 1 0 0 11
2019 TEAM TOTALS: 2531 626 123 13 122 255 18 2 35 651 41 14 2841
PROJECTED: 2526 615 121 9 88 250 17 9 35 657 43 14 2837
difference: +5 +11 +2 +4 +34 +5 +1 -7 0 -6 -2 0 +4
Man AB H 2B 3B HR BB SF SH HBP SO SB CS BFP


Assorted Team Stats:
Stat Actual Projected
Batting Average: .247 .243
Slugging Average: .451 .403
Walks (per PA): .090 .088
SOs (per PA): .229 .231
On-Base Average: .322 .317
Power Factor: 1.82 1.66
OPS: .773 .720
TPP Runs (to date): 367 325

Runs differential:
Actual TPP 42 more than Projected TPP.




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This page was last modified on Wednesday, 19 June 2019, at 6:58 am Pacific Time.