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Baseball team and player performance examined realistically and accurately.

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LAA "Expected" Pitching Results, 2017


About These Stats:

The form of "projection" used is very simple: each man's career numbers are pro-rated by his actual number of batters faced to date this season; those data, labelled "proj:" are shown along with the man's actual stats from this year to date. At the bottom of the Table, each set of lines—"projected" and actual—is separately summed to get Team Totals for each dataset.

Note that "career to date" includes each man's stats for the current year: "to date" is literally correct. For veteran players, that matters little, but for rookies or players with litle prior major-league experience, it means that the "projection" will perforce nearly or exactly match the actual stats to date. That seems like the best way to deal with newly arrived players' stats.

Note that owing to rounding in the pro-rating process, projected total BFP (batters faced) may occasionally differ by 1.

Below the player/team table is a smaller table showing a few key team "rate" stats (such as batting average) actual and projected.

The Actual Data:

Through games of Sunday, 1 October 2017.
All results are from true, unadjusted data.

Handedness Key:   + R   * L

(You can also look up the stat definitions.)

Pitchers, listed in alphabetical order:
Each name is a click-on link to that man's career stats.

(or see the data for Batting)


Man AB H 2B 3B HR BB SF SH HBP SO SB CS BFP
Alvarez, Jose 2017: 190 50 8 1 7 12 0 1 0 45 1 0 203
Alvarez, Jose proj: 185 49 8 2 5 15 1 1 2 41 1 0 204
Bailey, Andrew 2017: 13 1 0 0 0 0 0 0 0 2 0 0 13
Bailey, Andrew proj: 12 2 0 0 0 1 0 0 0 3 0 0 13
Bedrosian, Cam 2017: 171 41 8 2 5 17 1 1 0 53 3 2 190
Bedrosian, Cam proj: 167 42 7 1 3 20 2 1 1 50 3 2 191
Bridwell, Parker 2017: 456 115 16 1 19 30 2 0 4 73 0 2 492
Bridwell, Parker proj: 456 116 16 1 20 30 2 0 4 74 0 3 492
Chavez, Jesse 2017: 537 148 27 3 28 45 2 0 2 119 5 6 586
Chavez, Jesse proj: 529 142 25 2 20 46 4 4 3 120 5 3 586
Guerra, Deolis 2017: 92 20 7 0 4 12 1 0 0 22 1 1 105
Guerra, Deolis proj: 98 26 7 0 4 6 1 0 1 20 1 0 106
Gurka, Jason 2017: 4 2 1 0 0 1 0 0 0 0 0 0 5
Gurka, Jason proj: 5 2 1 0 0 0 0 0 0 1 0 0 5
Heaney, Andrew 2017: 90 27 2 1 12 9 0 2 0 27 0 1 101
Heaney, Andrew proj: 92 24 4 1 4 6 0 1 1 19 1 0 100
Hernandez, David 2017: 130 29 5 0 0 8 0 1 1 37 2 2 140
Hernandez, David proj: 124 30 6 0 5 13 1 1 1 33 2 1 140
Magnifico, Damien 2017: 1 0 0 0 0 2 0 0 0 1 0 0 3
Magnifico, Damien proj: 2 0 0 0 0 1 0 0 0 0 0 0 3
Meyer, Alex 2017: 244 48 13 0 6 42 1 1 4 75 7 2 292
Meyer, Alex proj: 243 53 16 1 8 43 2 1 3 74 8 1 292
Middleton, Keynan 2017: 226 60 12 1 11 18 2 0 0 63 0 1 246
Middleton, Keynan proj: 226 60 12 1 11 18 2 0 0 63 0 1 246
Morin, Mike 2017: 60 21 3 1 3 2 1 1 1 10 0 0 65
Morin, Mike proj: 59 15 3 0 1 4 1 1 1 15 1 0 66
Nolasco, Ricky 2017: 717 205 52 1 35 58 3 6 3 143 4 7 787
Nolasco, Ricky proj: 722 200 41 5 23 45 6 8 5 148 9 5 786
Norris, Bud 2017: 237 56 6 1 8 27 0 0 3 74 6 2 267
Norris, Bud proj: 237 62 13 1 8 24 1 2 3 57 5 2 267
Paredes, Eduardo 2017: 81 21 5 0 2 6 1 1 3 17 0 1 92
Paredes, Eduardo proj: 81 21 5 0 2 6 1 1 3 17 0 1 92
Parker, Blake 2017: 232 40 9 0 7 16 4 1 1 86 6 2 254
Parker, Blake proj: 230 51 10 1 7 19 2 0 2 73 5 2 253
Petit, Yusmeiro 2017: 333 69 11 0 9 18 1 1 1 101 5 2 354
Petit, Yusmeiro proj: 328 83 16 3 13 22 2 2 1 76 6 2 355
Pounders, Brooks 2017: 47 17 3 1 4 5 0 1 1 12 2 0 54
Pounders, Brooks proj: 49 17 2 0 5 4 0 0 0 12 1 1 53
Ramirez, JC 2017: 558 149 26 1 21 49 4 3 6 105 14 5 620
Ramirez, JC proj: 552 148 23 2 22 51 8 3 6 103 14 6 620
Ramirez, Noe 2017: 27 3 1 0 0 4 0 0 0 10 0 0 31
Ramirez, Noe proj: 26 6 1 0 2 4 0 0 1 8 1 0 31
Richards, Garrett 2017: 100 18 5 0 1 7 0 1 0 27 0 0 108
Richards, Garrett proj: 97 23 5 0 2 9 1 1 1 22 2 1 109
Salas, Fernando 2017: 42 7 4 0 0 2 4 1 0 9 1 0 49
Salas, Fernando proj: 44 11 2 0 1 4 0 1 0 12 1 0 49
Scribner, Troy 2017: 87 17 3 1 7 10 0 0 2 18 0 0 99
Scribner, Troy proj: 87 17 3 1 7 10 0 0 2 18 0 0 99
Shoemaker, Matt 2017: 292 73 13 2 15 28 1 1 4 69 4 3 326
Shoemaker, Matt proj: 301 76 15 1 11 18 2 2 3 70 5 2 326
Skaggs, Tyler 2017: 329 90 19 0 13 28 2 0 6 76 9 1 365
Skaggs, Tyler proj: 327 85 17 1 11 29 3 1 4 73 8 3 364
Street, Huston 2017: 14 2 1 0 0 1 0 0 0 3 0 0 15
Street, Huston proj: 14 3 1 0 0 1 0 0 0 4 0 0 15
Valdez, Jose 2017: 4 1 0 0 1 1 0 0 0 1 0 0 5
Valdez, Jose proj: 4 1 0 0 0 1 0 0 0 1 0 0 5
Wood, Blake 2017: 69 20 3 0 3 4 0 0 0 22 0 1 73
Wood, Blake proj: 63 17 3 0 2 8 1 0 0 16 2 1 72
Wright, Daniel 2017: 74 21 2 0 1 8 0 1 2 11 1 2 85
Wright, Daniel proj: 76 25 5 0 3 5 1 1 2 10 1 1 85
Yates, Kirby 2017: 5 2 0 0 2 0 0 0 0 1 0 0 5
Yates, Kirby proj: 4 1 0 0 0 0 0 0 0 2 0 0 4
2017 TEAM TOTALS: 5462 1373 265 17 224 470 30 24 44 1312 71 43 6030
PROJECTED: 5440 1408 267 24 200 463 44 32 50 1235 82 38 6029
difference: +22 -35 -2 -7 +24 +7 -14 -8 -6 +77 -11 +5 +1
Man AB H 2B 3B HR BB SF SH HBP SO SB CS BFP


Assorted Team Stats:
Stat Actual Projected
Batting Average: .251 .259
Slugging Average: .429 .427
Walks (per PA): .078 .077
SOs (per PA): .218 .205
On-Base Average: .313 .319
Power Factor: 1.71 1.65
OPS: .742 .746
TPP Runs (to date): 717 728

Runs differential:
Actual TPP 11 less than Projected TPP.




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This page was last modified on Monday, 2 October 2017, at 7:15 am Pacific Time.