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LAA "Expected" Pitching Results, 2017


About These Stats:

The form of "projection" used is very simple: each man's career numbers are pro-rated by his actual number of batters faced to date this season; those data, labelled "proj:" are shown along with the man's actual stats from this year to date. At the bottom of the Table, each set of lines—"projected" and actual—is separately summed to get Team Totals for each dataset.

Note that "career to date" includes each man's stats for the current year: "to date" is literally correct. For veteran players, that matters little, but for rookies or players with litle prior major-league experience, it means that the "projection" will perforce nearly or exactly match the actual stats to date. That seems like the best way to deal with newly arrived players' stats.

Note that owing to rounding in the pro-rating process, projected total BFP (batters faced) may occasionally differ by 1.

Below the player/team table is a smaller table showing a few key team "rate" stats (such as batting average) actual and projected.

The Actual Data:

Through games of Wednesday, 21 June 2017.
All results are from true, unadjusted data.

Handedness Key:   + R   * L

(You can also look up the stat definitions.)

Pitchers, listed in alphabetical order:
Each name is a click-on link to that man's career stats.

(or see the data for Batting)


Man AB H 2B 3B HR BB SF SH HBP SO SB CS BFP
Alvarez, Jose 2017: 101 25 4 0 5 6 0 1 0 23 0 0 108
Alvarez, Jose proj: 98 26 4 1 3 8 1 1 1 22 1 0 109
Bailey, Andrew 2017: 9 0 0 0 0 0 0 0 0 2 0 0 9
Bailey, Andrew proj: 8 2 0 0 0 1 0 0 0 2 0 0 9
Bedrosian, Cam 2017: 29 6 2 0 0 0 1 0 0 12 0 1 30
Bedrosian, Cam proj: 26 7 1 0 0 3 0 0 0 8 0 0 29
Bridwell, Parker 2017: 53 15 0 0 3 6 1 0 1 8 0 0 61
Bridwell, Parker proj: 54 16 0 0 4 6 1 0 1 9 0 1 62
Chavez, Jesse 2017: 316 84 12 3 18 24 1 0 2 61 4 3 343
Chavez, Jesse proj: 310 83 14 1 12 26 2 2 2 69 3 2 342
Guerra, Deolis 2017: 77 18 5 0 4 10 1 0 0 19 1 1 88
Guerra, Deolis proj: 82 22 5 0 3 5 0 0 1 17 1 0 88
Hernandez, David 2017: 81 18 4 0 0 4 0 1 1 25 1 1 87
Hernandez, David proj: 77 18 4 0 3 8 0 0 1 21 1 0 86
Magnifico, Damien 2017: 1 0 0 0 0 2 0 0 0 1 0 0 3
Magnifico, Damien proj: 2 0 0 0 0 1 0 0 0 0 0 0 3
Meyer, Alex 2017: 168 35 8 0 3 30 1 1 3 55 5 2 203
Meyer, Alex proj: 168 39 11 1 5 30 2 1 2 53 6 1 203
Middleton, Keynan 2017: 72 16 5 0 2 10 2 0 0 21 0 0 84
Middleton, Keynan proj: 72 16 5 0 2 10 2 0 0 21 0 0 84
Morin, Mike 2017: 46 15 3 1 2 2 1 1 1 9 0 0 51
Morin, Mike proj: 46 12 2 0 1 3 1 1 1 12 1 0 52
Nolasco, Ricky 2017: 335 98 20 0 23 25 1 4 2 71 2 5 367
Nolasco, Ricky proj: 337 93 19 2 11 21 3 4 3 69 5 2 368
Norris, Bud 2017: 122 24 1 1 3 13 0 0 2 42 2 1 137
Norris, Bud proj: 121 32 7 1 4 13 1 1 1 29 3 1 137
Parker, Blake 2017: 123 24 6 0 1 9 1 0 0 49 4 0 133
Parker, Blake proj: 121 29 6 1 3 11 1 0 1 37 3 1 134
Petit, Yusmeiro 2017: 156 31 7 0 4 11 0 1 1 48 0 1 169
Petit, Yusmeiro proj: 156 40 8 1 6 11 1 1 0 36 3 1 169
Pounders, Brooks 2017: 30 9 1 1 2 3 0 1 0 9 2 0 34
Pounders, Brooks proj: 31 10 1 0 3 2 0 0 0 8 1 1 33
Ramirez, JC 2017: 310 85 15 1 13 22 1 1 3 67 6 4 337
Ramirez, JC proj: 302 82 12 1 13 26 5 2 3 60 7 4 338
Richards, Garrett 2017: 17 3 0 0 0 1 0 0 0 4 0 0 18
Richards, Garrett proj: 16 4 1 0 0 2 0 0 0 4 0 0 18
Shoemaker, Matt 2017: 292 73 13 2 15 28 1 1 4 69 4 3 326
Shoemaker, Matt proj: 301 76 15 1 11 18 2 2 3 70 5 2 326
Skaggs, Tyler 2017: 109 28 4 0 3 9 2 0 1 29 1 0 121
Skaggs, Tyler proj: 108 28 5 0 3 10 1 0 1 24 3 1 120
Valdez, Jose 2017: 4 1 0 0 1 1 0 0 0 1 0 0 5
Valdez, Jose proj: 4 1 0 0 0 1 0 0 0 1 0 0 5
Wright, Daniel 2017: 74 21 2 0 1 8 0 1 2 11 1 2 85
Wright, Daniel proj: 76 25 5 0 3 5 1 1 2 10 1 1 85
Yates, Kirby 2017: 5 2 0 0 2 0 0 0 0 1 0 0 5
Yates, Kirby proj: 4 1 0 0 0 0 0 0 0 1 0 0 4
2017 TEAM TOTALS: 2530 631 112 9 105 224 14 13 23 637 33 24 2804
PROJECTED: 2520 662 125 10 90 221 24 16 23 583 44 18 2804
difference: +10 -31 -13 -1 +15 +3 -10 -3 0 +54 -11 +6 0
Man AB H 2B 3B HR BB SF SH HBP SO SB CS BFP


Assorted Team Stats:
Stat Actual Projected
Batting Average: .249 .263
Slugging Average: .425 .427
Walks (per PA): .080 .079
SOs (per PA): .227 .208
On-Base Average: .313 .323
Power Factor: 1.71 1.63
OPS: .738 .750
TPP Runs (to date): 331 343

Runs differential:
Actual TPP 12 less than Projected TPP.




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This page was last modified on Thursday, 22 June 2017, at 7:04 am Pacific Time.