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LAA "Expected" Pitching Results, 2017


About These Stats:

The form of "projection" used is very simple: each man's career numbers are pro-rated by his actual number of batters faced to date this season; those data, labelled "proj:" are shown along with the man's actual stats from this year to date. At the bottom of the Table, each set of lines—"projected" and actual—is separately summed to get Team Totals for each dataset.

Note that "career to date" includes each man's stats for the current year: "to date" is literally correct. For veteran players, that matters little, but for rookies or players with litle prior major-league experience, it means that the "projection" will perforce nearly or exactly match the actual stats to date. That seems like the best way to deal with newly arrived players' stats.

Note that owing to rounding in the pro-rating process, projected total BFP (batters faced) may occasionally differ by 1.

Below the player/team table is a smaller table showing a few key team "rate" stats (such as batting average) actual and projected.

The Actual Data:

Through games of Thursday, 27 April 2017.
All results are from true, unadjusted data.

Handedness Key:   + R   * L

(You can also look up the stat definitions.)

Pitchers, listed in alphabetical order:
Each name is a click-on link to that man's career stats.

(or see the data for Batting)


Man AB H 2B 3B HR BB SF SH HBP SO SB CS BFP
Alvarez, Jose 2017: 26 4 0 0 2 2 0 0 0 8 0 0 28
Alvarez, Jose proj: 25 7 1 0 1 2 0 0 0 6 0 0 27
Bailey, Andrew 2017: 9 0 0 0 0 0 0 0 0 2 0 0 9
Bailey, Andrew proj: 8 2 0 0 0 1 0 0 0 2 0 0 9
Bedrosian, Cam 2017: 23 6 2 0 0 0 1 0 0 9 0 1 24
Bedrosian, Cam proj: 21 5 1 0 0 2 0 0 0 6 0 0 23
Chavez, Jesse 2017: 90 24 0 1 4 9 1 0 0 23 2 2 100
Chavez, Jesse proj: 90 24 4 0 3 8 1 1 1 21 1 0 101
Guerra, Deolis 2017: 20 5 0 0 3 4 0 0 0 6 0 1 24
Guerra, Deolis proj: 23 6 1 0 1 1 0 0 0 4 0 0 24
Hernandez, David 2017: 7 0 0 0 0 0 0 0 0 3 0 1 7
Hernandez, David proj: 6 1 0 0 0 1 0 0 0 2 0 0 7
Meyer, Alex 2017: 12 2 0 0 0 4 0 1 0 3 0 0 17
Meyer, Alex proj: 14 4 1 0 1 3 0 0 0 4 1 0 17
Morin, Mike 2017: 25 8 0 1 2 0 1 1 1 3 0 0 28
Morin, Mike proj: 25 6 1 0 1 2 0 0 0 6 0 0 27
Nolasco, Ricky 2017: 112 30 3 0 7 5 0 0 0 21 2 1 117
Nolasco, Ricky proj: 108 30 6 1 3 6 1 1 1 22 2 1 117
Norris, Bud 2017: 45 8 1 1 0 5 0 0 1 15 0 0 51
Norris, Bud proj: 45 12 2 0 1 5 0 0 1 11 1 0 51
Parker, Blake 2017: 42 8 1 0 0 3 0 0 0 18 1 0 45
Parker, Blake proj: 41 10 2 0 1 4 0 0 0 12 1 0 45
Petit, Yusmeiro 2017: 51 11 2 0 2 3 0 0 1 13 0 0 55
Petit, Yusmeiro proj: 51 13 3 0 2 3 0 0 0 11 1 0 54
Pounders, Brooks 2017: 12 6 1 1 2 1 0 1 0 3 0 0 14
Pounders, Brooks proj: 13 5 0 0 2 1 0 0 0 3 0 0 14
Ramirez, JC 2017: 81 19 5 1 2 7 1 1 0 22 1 1 90
Ramirez, JC proj: 79 21 3 0 3 8 2 1 1 16 2 1 91
Richards, Garrett 2017: 17 3 0 0 0 1 0 0 0 4 0 0 18
Richards, Garrett proj: 16 4 1 0 0 2 0 0 0 4 0 0 18
Shoemaker, Matt 2017: 100 24 5 0 6 11 0 0 2 25 1 2 113
Shoemaker, Matt proj: 105 27 5 0 4 6 1 1 1 24 2 1 114
Skaggs, Tyler 2017: 92 24 3 0 3 9 1 0 1 23 1 0 103
Skaggs, Tyler proj: 92 24 4 0 3 9 1 0 1 20 2 1 103
Wright, Daniel 2017: 30 6 1 0 0 5 0 0 0 3 0 1 35
Wright, Daniel proj: 31 10 2 0 1 2 0 0 1 4 0 0 34
Yates, Kirby 2017: 5 2 0 0 2 0 0 0 0 1 0 0 5
Yates, Kirby proj: 4 1 0 0 0 0 0 0 0 1 0 0 4
2017 TEAM TOTALS: 799 190 24 5 35 69 5 4 6 205 8 10 883
PROJECTED: 797 212 37 1 27 66 6 4 7 179 13 4 880
difference: +2 -22 -13 +4 +8 +3 -1 0 -1 +26 -5 +6 +3
Man AB H 2B 3B HR BB SF SH HBP SO SB CS BFP


Assorted Team Stats:
Stat Actual Projected
Batting Average: .238 .266
Slugging Average: .412 .417
Walks (per PA): .078 .075
SOs (per PA): .232 .203
On-Base Average: .300 .324
Power Factor: 1.73 1.57
OPS: .712 .740
TPP Runs (to date): 98 106

Runs differential:
Actual TPP 8 less than Projected TPP.




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This page was last modified on Friday, 28 April 2017, at 6:56 am Pacific Time.