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LAA "Expected" Pitching Results, 2019


About These Stats:

The form of "projection" used is very simple: each man's career numbers are pro-rated by his actual number of batters faced to date this season; those data, labelled "proj:" are shown along with the man's actual stats from this year to date. At the bottom of the Table, each set of lines—"projected" and actual—is separately summed to get Team Totals for each dataset.

Note that "career to date" includes each man's stats for the current year: "to date" is literally correct. For veteran players, that matters little, but for rookies or players with litle prior major-league experience, it means that the "projection" will perforce nearly or exactly match the actual stats to date. That seems like the best way to deal with newly arrived players' stats.

Note that owing to rounding in the pro-rating process, projected total BFP (batters faced) may occasionally differ by 1.

Below the player/team table is a smaller table showing a few key team "rate" stats (such as batting average) actual and projected.

The Actual Data:

Through games of Monday, 22 April 2019.
All results are from true, unadjusted data.

Handedness Key:   + R   * L

(You can also look up the stat definitions.)

Pitchers, listed in alphabetical order:
Each name is a click-on link to that man's career stats.

(or see the data for Batting)


Man AB H 2B 3B HR BB SF SH HBP SO SB CS BFP
Allen, Cody 2019: 29 6 1 0 3 6 1 0 0 8 1 0 36
Allen, Cody proj: 32 7 1 0 1 3 0 0 0 11 1 0 35
Anderson, Justin 2019: 19 2 0 0 0 3 0 0 0 5 0 0 22
Anderson, Justin proj: 18 4 0 0 0 4 0 0 0 6 0 0 22
Bard, Luke 2019: 34 9 1 0 3 3 0 0 1 10 2 0 38
Bard, Luke proj: 33 8 0 0 3 3 0 0 2 10 1 0 38
Barria, Jaime 2019: 48 14 5 0 1 2 0 0 1 9 0 0 51
Barria, Jaime proj: 46 11 3 0 2 4 0 0 1 9 0 0 51
Bedrosian, Cam 2019: 40 8 1 0 0 7 0 0 2 15 2 0 49
Bedrosian, Cam proj: 43 11 2 0 1 5 0 0 0 12 1 0 48
Buttrey, Ty 2019: 36 9 3 0 0 3 0 0 0 13 1 0 39
Buttrey, Ty proj: 35 9 3 0 0 3 0 0 0 12 1 0 38
Cahill, Trevor 2019: 102 25 5 1 8 6 1 0 2 23 3 0 111
Cahill, Trevor proj: 98 25 5 1 3 11 1 1 1 20 3 1 112
Cole, Taylor 2019: 15 1 1 0 0 2 1 0 0 6 1 0 18
Cole, Taylor proj: 16 3 1 0 0 2 0 0 0 5 0 0 18
Curtiss, John 2019: 9 2 1 0 0 3 0 0 0 1 0 0 12
Curtiss, John proj: 11 3 1 0 0 1 0 0 0 3 1 0 12
Garcia, Luis 2019: 35 5 0 0 1 8 0 0 2 5 0 0 45
Garcia, Luis proj: 39 10 2 0 1 5 0 0 0 9 1 0 44
Harvey, Matt 2019: 98 29 7 1 5 10 1 1 2 16 0 1 112
Harvey, Matt proj: 102 25 4 1 3 7 1 1 1 25 1 0 112
Jewell, Jake 2019: 21 7 0 0 3 3 0 0 1 5 3 0 25
Jewell, Jake proj: 20 6 1 0 2 3 0 0 2 4 2 0 25
Pena, Felix 2019: 63 13 1 0 4 7 0 0 3 14 2 1 73
Pena, Felix proj: 65 16 3 0 3 6 0 0 1 17 1 0 72
Peters, Dillon 2019: 12 3 0 0 1 3 0 0 0 4 0 0 15
Peters, Dillon proj: 13 4 1 0 0 2 0 0 0 3 0 0 15
Ramirez, Noe 2019: 39 9 1 0 3 4 0 0 0 14 1 0 43
Ramirez, Noe proj: 38 9 2 0 2 4 0 0 1 11 0 0 43
Robles, Hansel 2019: 43 8 1 0 1 3 0 0 0 16 0 0 46
Robles, Hansel proj: 40 9 2 0 1 5 0 0 0 12 1 0 45
Skaggs, Tyler 2019: 59 17 4 0 4 2 0 1 0 14 0 0 62
Skaggs, Tyler proj: 56 15 3 0 2 5 1 0 1 13 1 0 63
Stratton, Chris 2019: 73 23 4 0 2 13 0 0 0 11 0 2 86
Stratton, Chris proj: 76 21 4 1 2 9 1 0 0 15 0 1 86
2019 TEAM TOTALS: 775 190 36 2 39 88 4 2 14 189 16 4 883
PROJECTED: 781 196 38 3 26 82 4 2 10 197 15 2 879
difference: -6 -6 -2 -1 +13 +6 0 0 +4 -8 +1 +2 +4
Man AB H 2B 3B HR BB SF SH HBP SO SB CS BFP


Assorted Team Stats:
Stat Actual Projected
Batting Average: .245 .251
Slugging Average: .448 .407
Walks (per PA): .100 .093
SOs (per PA): .214 .223
On-Base Average: .331 .328
Power Factor: 1.83 1.62
OPS: .778 .735
TPP Runs (to date): 117 106

Runs differential:
Actual TPP 11 more than Projected TPP.




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This page was last modified on Tuesday, 23 April 2019, at 6:52 am Pacific Time.