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Baseball team and player performance examined realistically and accurately.

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LAA "Expected" Pitching Results, 2017


About These Stats:

The form of "projection" used is very simple: each man's career numbers are pro-rated by his actual number of batters faced to date this season; those data, labelled "proj:" are shown along with the man's actual stats from this year to date. At the bottom of the Table, each set of lines—"projected" and actual—is separately summed to get Team Totals for each dataset.

Note that "career to date" includes each man's stats for the current year: "to date" is literally correct. For veteran players, that matters little, but for rookies or players with litle prior major-league experience, it means that the "projection" will perforce nearly or exactly match the actual stats to date. That seems like the best way to deal with newly arrived players' stats.

Note that owing to rounding in the pro-rating process, projected total BFP (batters faced) may occasionally differ by 1.

Below the player/team table is a smaller table showing a few key team "rate" stats (such as batting average) actual and projected.

The Actual Data:

Through games of Friday, 18 August 2017.
All results are from true, unadjusted data.

Handedness Key:   + R   * L

(You can also look up the stat definitions.)

Pitchers, listed in alphabetical order:
Each name is a click-on link to that man's career stats.

(or see the data for Batting)


Man AB H 2B 3B HR BB SF SH HBP SO SB CS BFP
Alvarez, Jose 2017: 139 35 6 0 6 10 0 1 0 33 0 0 150
Alvarez, Jose proj: 136 36 6 1 4 11 1 1 1 30 1 0 150
Bailey, Andrew 2017: 13 1 0 0 0 0 0 0 0 2 0 0 13
Bailey, Andrew proj: 12 2 0 0 0 1 0 0 0 3 0 0 13
Bedrosian, Cam 2017: 108 24 8 1 2 9 1 1 0 37 2 2 119
Bedrosian, Cam proj: 104 26 5 0 2 12 1 0 1 32 2 2 118
Bridwell, Parker 2017: 268 67 9 0 10 17 2 0 2 44 0 1 289
Bridwell, Parker proj: 268 68 9 0 11 17 2 0 2 45 0 2 289
Chavez, Jesse 2017: 468 130 24 3 25 40 2 0 2 95 5 6 512
Chavez, Jesse proj: 462 124 22 2 18 40 3 3 3 103 4 3 511
Guerra, Deolis 2017: 77 18 5 0 4 10 1 0 0 19 1 1 88
Guerra, Deolis proj: 82 22 5 0 3 5 0 0 1 17 1 0 88
Heaney, Andrew 2017: 23 7 0 0 4 0 0 0 0 5 0 0 23
Heaney, Andrew proj: 21 5 1 0 1 1 0 0 0 4 0 0 22
Hernandez, David 2017: 130 29 5 0 0 8 0 1 1 37 2 2 140
Hernandez, David proj: 124 30 6 0 5 13 1 1 1 33 2 1 140
Magnifico, Damien 2017: 1 0 0 0 0 2 0 0 0 1 0 0 3
Magnifico, Damien proj: 2 0 0 0 0 1 0 0 0 0 0 0 3
Meyer, Alex 2017: 244 48 13 0 6 42 1 1 4 75 7 2 292
Meyer, Alex proj: 243 53 16 1 8 43 2 1 3 74 8 1 292
Middleton, Keynan 2017: 158 43 10 0 8 14 2 0 0 42 0 0 174
Middleton, Keynan proj: 158 43 10 0 8 14 2 0 0 42 0 0 174
Morin, Mike 2017: 60 21 3 1 3 2 1 1 1 10 0 0 65
Morin, Mike proj: 59 15 3 0 1 4 1 1 1 15 1 0 66
Nolasco, Ricky 2017: 554 160 40 0 31 42 1 5 3 114 3 6 605
Nolasco, Ricky proj: 556 154 31 4 18 34 5 6 4 114 7 4 605
Norris, Bud 2017: 174 39 4 1 7 21 0 0 2 57 3 1 197
Norris, Bud proj: 175 45 9 1 6 18 1 1 2 42 4 2 197
Paredes, Eduardo 2017: 39 5 0 0 1 3 0 0 0 7 0 0 42
Paredes, Eduardo proj: 39 5 0 0 1 3 0 0 0 7 0 0 42
Parker, Blake 2017: 189 34 8 0 4 14 2 1 0 66 6 2 206
Parker, Blake proj: 187 42 9 1 5 16 1 0 1 57 5 2 205
Petit, Yusmeiro 2017: 257 55 9 0 6 14 1 1 1 76 2 2 274
Petit, Yusmeiro proj: 253 64 13 2 10 17 2 2 0 58 5 1 274
Pounders, Brooks 2017: 47 17 3 1 4 5 0 1 1 12 2 0 54
Pounders, Brooks proj: 49 17 2 0 5 4 0 0 0 12 1 1 53
Ramirez, JC 2017: 537 144 25 1 21 47 4 3 6 105 14 5 597
Ramirez, JC proj: 531 143 22 2 22 49 8 3 6 101 14 6 597
Richards, Garrett 2017: 17 3 0 0 0 1 0 0 0 4 0 0 18
Richards, Garrett proj: 16 4 1 0 0 2 0 0 0 4 0 0 18
Scribner, Troy 2017: 46 7 1 0 3 5 0 0 1 9 0 0 52
Scribner, Troy proj: 46 7 1 0 3 5 0 0 1 9 0 0 52
Shoemaker, Matt 2017: 292 73 13 2 15 28 1 1 4 69 4 3 326
Shoemaker, Matt proj: 301 76 15 1 11 18 2 2 3 70 5 2 326
Skaggs, Tyler 2017: 167 46 9 0 5 16 2 0 1 43 3 1 186
Skaggs, Tyler proj: 166 43 8 0 5 15 2 0 2 37 4 2 185
Street, Huston 2017: 14 2 1 0 0 1 0 0 0 3 0 0 15
Street, Huston proj: 14 3 1 0 0 1 0 0 0 4 0 0 15
Valdez, Jose 2017: 4 1 0 0 1 1 0 0 0 1 0 0 5
Valdez, Jose proj: 4 1 0 0 0 1 0 0 0 1 0 0 5
Wright, Daniel 2017: 74 21 2 0 1 8 0 1 2 11 1 2 85
Wright, Daniel proj: 76 25 5 0 3 5 1 1 2 10 1 1 85
Yates, Kirby 2017: 5 2 0 0 2 0 0 0 0 1 0 0 5
Yates, Kirby proj: 4 1 0 0 0 0 0 0 0 1 0 0 4
2017 TEAM TOTALS: 4105 1032 198 10 169 360 21 18 31 978 55 36 4535
PROJECTED: 4088 1054 200 15 150 350 35 22 34 925 65 30 4529
difference: +17 -22 -2 -5 +19 +10 -14 -4 -3 +53 -10 +6 +6
Man AB H 2B 3B HR BB SF SH HBP SO SB CS BFP


Assorted Team Stats:
Stat Actual Projected
Batting Average: .251 .258
Slugging Average: .428 .424
Walks (per PA): .079 .077
SOs (per PA): .216 .204
On-Base Average: .314 .318
Power Factor: 1.7 1.65
OPS: .742 .742
TPP Runs (to date): 539 541

Runs differential:
Actual TPP 2 less than Projected TPP.




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This page was last modified on Saturday, 19 August 2017, at 7:11 am Pacific Time.