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LAA "Expected" Pitching Results, 2017


About These Stats:

The form of "projection" used is very simple: each man's career numbers are pro-rated by his actual number of batters faced to date this season; those data, labelled "proj:" are shown along with the man's actual stats from this year to date. At the bottom of the Table, each set of lines—"projected" and actual—is separately summed to get Team Totals for each dataset.

Note that "career to date" includes each man's stats for the current year: "to date" is literally correct. For veteran players, that matters little, but for rookies or players with litle prior major-league experience, it means that the "projection" will perforce nearly or exactly match the actual stats to date. That seems like the best way to deal with newly arrived players' stats.

Note that owing to rounding in the pro-rating process, projected total BFP (batters faced) may occasionally differ by 1.

Below the player/team table is a smaller table showing a few key team "rate" stats (such as batting average) actual and projected.

The Actual Data:

Through games of Monday, 22 May 2017.
All results are from true, unadjusted data.

Handedness Key:   + R   * L

(You can also look up the stat definitions.)

Pitchers, listed in alphabetical order:
Each name is a click-on link to that man's career stats.

(or see the data for Batting)


Man AB H 2B 3B HR BB SF SH HBP SO SB CS BFP
Alvarez, Jose 2017: 59 13 0 0 4 3 0 1 0 13 0 0 63
Alvarez, Jose proj: 57 15 2 0 2 5 0 0 1 13 0 0 63
Bailey, Andrew 2017: 9 0 0 0 0 0 0 0 0 2 0 0 9
Bailey, Andrew proj: 8 2 0 0 0 1 0 0 0 2 0 0 9
Bedrosian, Cam 2017: 23 6 2 0 0 0 1 0 0 9 0 1 24
Bedrosian, Cam proj: 21 5 1 0 0 2 0 0 0 6 0 0 23
Chavez, Jesse 2017: 206 51 5 3 11 16 1 0 1 44 4 2 224
Chavez, Jesse proj: 202 54 9 1 7 17 2 2 1 46 2 1 224
Guerra, Deolis 2017: 49 9 2 0 4 6 0 0 0 14 0 1 55
Guerra, Deolis proj: 52 14 3 0 2 3 0 0 0 11 0 0 55
Hernandez, David 2017: 39 10 3 0 0 1 0 1 1 11 0 1 42
Hernandez, David proj: 37 9 2 0 1 4 0 0 0 10 0 0 41
Meyer, Alex 2017: 85 20 8 0 2 18 1 1 2 28 3 2 107
Meyer, Alex proj: 87 22 8 0 3 17 1 1 1 27 4 1 107
Middleton, Keynan 2017: 23 6 2 0 0 5 0 0 0 9 0 0 28
Middleton, Keynan proj: 23 6 2 0 0 5 0 0 0 9 0 0 28
Morin, Mike 2017: 25 8 0 1 2 0 1 1 1 3 0 0 28
Morin, Mike proj: 25 6 1 0 1 2 0 0 0 6 0 0 27
Nolasco, Ricky 2017: 200 52 9 0 13 14 0 4 0 45 2 2 218
Nolasco, Ricky proj: 200 55 11 2 6 12 2 2 2 41 3 1 218
Norris, Bud 2017: 83 14 1 1 1 9 0 0 2 31 1 1 94
Norris, Bud proj: 83 22 5 0 3 9 0 1 1 20 2 1 94
Parker, Blake 2017: 77 16 4 0 0 7 1 0 0 32 3 0 85
Parker, Blake proj: 77 19 4 0 2 7 1 0 1 23 2 1 86
Petit, Yusmeiro 2017: 103 20 5 0 3 10 0 1 1 30 0 1 115
Petit, Yusmeiro proj: 106 27 6 1 4 7 1 1 0 24 2 1 115
Pounders, Brooks 2017: 17 7 1 1 2 1 0 1 0 5 1 0 19
Pounders, Brooks proj: 18 6 0 0 2 1 0 0 0 4 0 0 19
Ramirez, JC 2017: 201 50 7 1 8 13 1 1 1 44 4 2 217
Ramirez, JC proj: 194 51 7 1 8 17 3 1 2 38 5 2 217
Richards, Garrett 2017: 17 3 0 0 0 1 0 0 0 4 0 0 18
Richards, Garrett proj: 16 4 1 0 0 2 0 0 0 4 0 0 18
Shoemaker, Matt 2017: 189 45 9 1 10 20 0 0 3 50 3 3 212
Shoemaker, Matt proj: 196 50 10 1 7 12 1 1 2 46 3 2 212
Skaggs, Tyler 2017: 109 28 4 0 3 9 2 0 1 29 1 0 121
Skaggs, Tyler proj: 108 28 5 0 3 10 1 0 1 24 3 1 120
Valdez, Jose 2017: 4 1 0 0 1 1 0 0 0 1 0 0 5
Valdez, Jose proj: 4 1 0 0 0 1 0 0 0 1 0 0 5
Wright, Daniel 2017: 48 14 1 0 1 6 0 0 1 7 1 1 55
Wright, Daniel proj: 49 17 3 0 2 3 0 0 1 7 1 1 53
Yates, Kirby 2017: 5 2 0 0 2 0 0 0 0 1 0 0 5
Yates, Kirby proj: 4 1 0 0 0 0 0 0 0 1 0 0 4
2017 TEAM TOTALS: 1571 375 63 8 67 140 8 11 14 412 23 17 1744
PROJECTED: 1567 414 80 6 53 137 12 9 13 363 27 12 1738
difference: +4 -39 -17 +2 +14 +3 -4 +2 +1 +49 -4 +5 +6
Man AB H 2B 3B HR BB SF SH HBP SO SB CS BFP


Assorted Team Stats:
Stat Actual Projected
Batting Average: .239 .264
Slugging Average: .417 .424
Walks (per PA): .080 .079
SOs (per PA): .236 .208
On-Base Average: .303 .325
Power Factor: 1.75 1.61
OPS: .720 .749
TPP Runs (to date): 197 212

Runs differential:
Actual TPP 15 less than Projected TPP.




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This page was last modified on Tuesday, 23 May 2017, at 6:59 am Pacific Time.