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Baseball team and player performance examined realistically and accurately.

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LAA "Expected" Pitching Results, 2017


About These Stats:

The form of "projection" used is very simple: each man's career numbers are pro-rated by his actual number of batters faced to date this season; those data, labelled "proj:" are shown along with the man's actual stats from this year to date. At the bottom of the Table, each set of lines—"projected" and actual—is separately summed to get Team Totals for each dataset.

Note that "career to date" includes each man's stats for the current year: "to date" is literally correct. For veteran players, that matters little, but for rookies or players with litle prior major-league experience, it means that the "projection" will perforce nearly or exactly match the actual stats to date. That seems like the best way to deal with newly arrived players' stats.

Note that owing to rounding in the pro-rating process, projected total BFP (batters faced) may occasionally differ by 1.

Below the player/team table is a smaller table showing a few key team "rate" stats (such as batting average) actual and projected.

The Actual Data:

Through games of Sunday, 23 July 2017.
All results are from true, unadjusted data.

Handedness Key:   + R   * L

(You can also look up the stat definitions.)

Pitchers, listed in alphabetical order:
Each name is a click-on link to that man's career stats.

(or see the data for Batting)


Man AB H 2B 3B HR BB SF SH HBP SO SB CS BFP
Alvarez, Jose 2017: 128 32 6 0 6 8 0 1 0 32 0 0 137
Alvarez, Jose proj: 124 33 5 1 4 10 1 1 1 28 1 0 137
Bailey, Andrew 2017: 9 0 0 0 0 0 0 0 0 2 0 0 9
Bailey, Andrew proj: 8 2 0 0 0 1 0 0 0 2 0 0 9
Bedrosian, Cam 2017: 68 15 6 1 1 3 1 0 0 25 0 2 72
Bedrosian, Cam proj: 63 16 3 0 1 7 1 0 1 19 1 1 72
Bridwell, Parker 2017: 175 48 5 0 9 12 1 0 2 30 0 1 190
Bridwell, Parker proj: 175 49 5 0 10 12 1 0 2 31 0 2 190
Chavez, Jesse 2017: 416 112 18 3 22 34 1 0 2 83 5 4 453
Chavez, Jesse proj: 409 109 19 2 16 35 3 3 3 91 4 2 453
Guerra, Deolis 2017: 77 18 5 0 4 10 1 0 0 19 1 1 88
Guerra, Deolis proj: 82 22 5 0 3 5 0 0 1 17 1 0 88
Hernandez, David 2017: 116 26 4 0 0 8 0 1 1 35 2 2 126
Hernandez, David proj: 112 27 5 0 4 12 1 1 1 30 2 1 127
Magnifico, Damien 2017: 1 0 0 0 0 2 0 0 0 1 0 0 3
Magnifico, Damien proj: 2 0 0 0 0 1 0 0 0 0 0 0 3
Meyer, Alex 2017: 244 48 13 0 6 42 1 1 4 75 7 2 292
Meyer, Alex proj: 243 53 16 1 8 43 2 1 3 74 8 1 292
Middleton, Keynan 2017: 111 25 5 0 6 12 2 0 0 29 0 0 125
Middleton, Keynan proj: 111 25 5 0 6 12 2 0 0 29 0 0 125
Morin, Mike 2017: 60 21 3 1 3 2 1 1 1 10 0 0 65
Morin, Mike proj: 59 15 3 0 1 4 1 1 1 15 1 0 66
Nolasco, Ricky 2017: 441 124 27 0 26 31 1 5 3 92 2 5 481
Nolasco, Ricky proj: 442 122 25 3 14 27 4 5 3 91 6 3 481
Norris, Bud 2017: 145 28 2 1 3 15 0 0 2 51 2 1 162
Norris, Bud proj: 144 37 8 1 5 15 1 1 2 35 3 1 163
Paredes, Eduardo 2017: 15 2 0 0 1 2 0 0 0 2 0 0 17
Paredes, Eduardo proj: 15 2 0 0 1 2 0 0 0 2 0 0 17
Parker, Blake 2017: 153 28 7 0 3 11 2 1 0 58 4 1 167
Parker, Blake proj: 151 35 7 1 4 13 1 0 1 47 4 1 166
Petit, Yusmeiro 2017: 197 41 8 0 5 12 1 1 1 56 2 1 212
Petit, Yusmeiro proj: 196 50 10 2 8 13 1 1 0 45 4 1 211
Pounders, Brooks 2017: 40 12 2 1 3 3 0 1 1 12 2 0 45
Pounders, Brooks proj: 41 14 1 0 4 3 0 0 0 11 1 1 44
Ramirez, JC 2017: 440 118 24 1 18 34 3 2 5 92 10 4 484
Ramirez, JC proj: 432 116 19 1 18 38 7 2 5 85 11 5 484
Richards, Garrett 2017: 17 3 0 0 0 1 0 0 0 4 0 0 18
Richards, Garrett proj: 16 4 1 0 0 2 0 0 0 4 0 0 18
Shoemaker, Matt 2017: 292 73 13 2 15 28 1 1 4 69 4 3 326
Shoemaker, Matt proj: 301 76 15 1 11 18 2 2 3 70 5 2 326
Skaggs, Tyler 2017: 109 28 4 0 3 9 2 0 1 29 1 0 121
Skaggs, Tyler proj: 108 28 5 0 3 10 1 0 1 24 3 1 120
Street, Huston 2017: 14 2 1 0 0 1 0 0 0 3 0 0 15
Street, Huston proj: 14 3 1 0 0 1 0 0 0 4 0 0 15
Valdez, Jose 2017: 4 1 0 0 1 1 0 0 0 1 0 0 5
Valdez, Jose proj: 4 1 0 0 0 1 0 0 0 1 0 0 5
Wright, Daniel 2017: 74 21 2 0 1 8 0 1 2 11 1 2 85
Wright, Daniel proj: 76 25 5 0 3 5 1 1 2 10 1 1 85
Yates, Kirby 2017: 5 2 0 0 2 0 0 0 0 1 0 0 5
Yates, Kirby proj: 4 1 0 0 0 0 0 0 0 1 0 0 4
2017 TEAM TOTALS: 3351 828 155 10 138 289 18 16 29 822 43 29 3703
PROJECTED: 3332 865 163 13 124 290 30 19 30 766 56 23 3701
difference: +19 -37 -8 -3 +14 -1 -12 -3 -1 +56 -13 +6 +2
Man AB H 2B 3B HR BB SF SH HBP SO SB CS BFP


Assorted Team Stats:
Stat Actual Projected
Batting Average: .247 .260
Slugging Average: .423 .428
Walks (per PA): .078 .078
SOs (per PA): .222 .207
On-Base Average: .309 .320
Power Factor: 1.71 1.65
OPS: .732 .748
TPP Runs (to date): 430 451

Runs differential:
Actual TPP 21 less than Projected TPP.




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This page was last modified on Monday, 24 July 2017, at 7:05 am Pacific Time.