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LAA "Expected" Pitching Results, 2018


About These Stats:

The form of "projection" used is very simple: each man's career numbers are pro-rated by his actual number of batters faced to date this season; those data, labelled "proj:" are shown along with the man's actual stats from this year to date. At the bottom of the Table, each set of lines—"projected" and actual—is separately summed to get Team Totals for each dataset.

Note that "career to date" includes each man's stats for the current year: "to date" is literally correct. For veteran players, that matters little, but for rookies or players with litle prior major-league experience, it means that the "projection" will perforce nearly or exactly match the actual stats to date. That seems like the best way to deal with newly arrived players' stats.

Note that owing to rounding in the pro-rating process, projected total BFP (batters faced) may occasionally differ by 1.

Below the player/team table is a smaller table showing a few key team "rate" stats (such as batting average) actual and projected.

The Actual Data:

Through games of Sunday, 30 September 2018.
All results are from true, unadjusted data.

Handedness Key:   + R   * L

(You can also look up the stat definitions.)

Pitchers, listed in alphabetical order:
Each name is a click-on link to that man's career stats.

(or see the data for Batting)


Man AB H 2B 3B HR BB SF SH HBP SO SB CS BFP
Almonte, Miguel 2018: 30 9 3 1 1 3 0 0 1 7 0 0 34
Almonte, Miguel proj: 28 8 2 0 2 5 0 0 1 7 1 0 34
Alvarez, Jose 2018: 235 51 14 1 3 22 0 2 2 59 3 1 261
Alvarez, Jose proj: 237 60 11 2 6 19 1 1 2 55 2 1 260
Anderson, Justin 2018: 197 42 3 0 3 40 0 0 4 67 3 2 241
Anderson, Justin proj: 197 42 3 0 3 40 0 0 4 67 3 2 241
Arcia, Francisco 2018: 13 5 0 0 2 0 0 0 0 0 0 0 13
Arcia, Francisco proj: 13 5 0 0 2 0 0 0 0 0 0 0 13
Bard, Luke 2018: 45 10 0 0 4 5 0 0 3 13 0 0 53
Bard, Luke proj: 45 10 0 0 4 5 0 0 3 13 0 0 53
Barria, Jaime 2018: 484 117 24 1 17 47 0 0 6 98 2 5 537
Barria, Jaime proj: 484 117 24 1 17 47 0 0 6 98 2 5 537
Bedrosian, Cam 2018: 241 63 12 0 7 26 1 1 2 57 1 2 271
Bedrosian, Cam proj: 239 61 11 1 6 27 2 1 2 67 3 3 271
Bridwell, Parker 2018: 32 14 1 0 5 2 1 1 0 3 0 0 36
Bridwell, Parker proj: 33 9 1 0 2 2 0 0 0 5 0 0 35
Buttrey, Ty 2018: 63 15 4 0 0 5 1 1 0 20 3 0 70
Buttrey, Ty proj: 63 15 4 0 0 5 1 1 0 20 3 0 70
Cole, Taylor 2018: 118 20 4 0 3 12 1 1 3 39 0 1 135
Cole, Taylor proj: 117 24 5 0 3 12 1 1 4 37 0 1 135
Despaigne, Odrisamer 2018: 83 30 6 0 3 11 2 0 1 17 1 0 97
Despaigne, Odrisamer proj: 86 24 5 1 2 8 1 1 1 14 1 0 97
Drake, Oliver 2018: 39 15 2 0 2 1 0 0 0 8 0 1 40
Drake, Oliver proj: 36 9 2 0 1 4 0 0 0 10 0 0 40
Heaney, Andrew 2018: 689 171 31 3 27 45 5 2 8 180 2 1 749
Heaney, Andrew proj: 686 175 31 4 29 46 4 4 9 162 4 1 749
Jerez, Williams 2018: 63 17 3 0 3 8 0 0 0 15 1 1 71
Jerez, Williams proj: 63 17 3 0 3 8 0 0 0 15 1 1 71
Jewell, Jake 2018: 8 2 1 0 0 1 0 0 2 1 0 0 11
Jewell, Jake proj: 8 2 1 0 0 1 0 0 2 1 0 0 11
Johnson, Jim 2018: 239 64 6 1 9 22 4 2 1 45 4 3 268
Johnson, Jim proj: 240 63 8 1 5 21 2 2 3 47 4 1 268
Krol, Ian 2018: 7 1 0 0 0 1 0 0 0 2 0 0 8
Krol, Ian proj: 7 2 0 0 0 1 0 0 0 2 0 0 8
Lamb, John 2018: 46 15 6 0 4 4 0 0 0 11 0 0 50
Lamb, John proj: 44 13 3 0 2 5 0 1 0 11 1 0 50
McGuire, Deck 2018: 109 29 3 0 7 21 3 0 5 26 1 1 138
McGuire, Deck proj: 116 28 5 1 6 17 2 0 4 26 1 1 139
Middleton, Keynan 2018: 60 14 4 0 1 9 1 0 1 16 1 2 71
Middleton, Keynan proj: 64 17 4 0 3 6 1 0 0 18 0 1 71
Morales, Osmer 2018: 2 1 0 0 0 0 0 0 0 0 0 0 2
Morales, Osmer proj: 2 1 0 0 0 0 0 0 0 0 0 0 2
Morris, Akeel 2018: 57 18 4 1 3 8 0 0 0 7 0 0 65
Morris, Akeel proj: 56 17 4 1 2 9 0 0 0 10 0 0 65
Ohtani, Shohei 2018: 187 38 6 0 6 22 1 0 1 63 1 1 211
Ohtani, Shohei proj: 187 38 6 0 6 22 1 0 1 63 1 1 211
Paredes, Eduardo 2018: 77 25 3 2 5 7 1 0 1 15 1 0 86
Paredes, Eduardo proj: 76 22 4 1 3 6 1 0 2 15 0 0 85
Parker, Blake 2018: 253 63 11 1 12 19 1 0 3 70 4 1 276
Parker, Blake proj: 251 57 11 1 9 20 2 0 2 76 5 2 275
Pena, Felix 2018: 352 87 15 0 12 28 4 1 4 85 4 1 389
Pena, Felix proj: 349 85 17 0 14 33 3 1 4 91 5 1 390
Ramirez, JC 2018: 26 7 1 0 3 7 0 0 0 4 2 0 33
Ramirez, JC proj: 29 8 1 0 1 3 0 0 0 5 1 0 32
Ramirez, Noe 2018: 317 75 16 1 15 30 0 0 6 95 1 0 353
Ramirez, Noe proj: 311 74 14 1 16 34 1 0 7 92 3 1 353
Richards, Garrett 2018: 288 64 9 2 11 34 0 1 1 87 1 2 324
Richards, Garrett proj: 290 69 13 1 6 28 2 2 2 67 4 2 324
Robles, Hansel 2018: 135 32 6 1 2 15 2 1 1 36 3 0 154
Robles, Hansel proj: 134 31 7 1 5 16 2 1 1 39 2 1 154
Shoemaker, Matt 2018: 119 29 8 0 3 10 0 0 1 33 1 0 130
Shoemaker, Matt proj: 120 30 6 0 4 7 1 1 1 28 2 1 130
Skaggs, Tyler 2018: 484 127 27 2 14 40 4 0 5 129 5 4 533
Skaggs, Tyler proj: 480 125 25 1 15 42 5 1 6 113 10 4 534
Tazawa, Junichi 2018: 31 7 4 0 1 3 0 1 0 4 0 0 35
Tazawa, Junichi proj: 32 9 2 0 1 2 0 0 0 8 0 0 34
Tropeano, Nick 2018: 281 68 17 2 16 31 2 0 2 64 1 3 316
Tropeano, Nick proj: 281 72 16 2 12 30 3 1 2 67 3 3 317
Wood, Blake 2018: 38 8 2 0 1 7 1 0 1 10 0 1 47
Wood, Blake proj: 41 11 2 0 1 5 1 0 0 10 1 0 47
2018 TEAM TOTALS: 5448 1353 256 19 205 546 35 14 65 1386 46 33 6108
PROJECTED: 5445 1350 251 20 191 536 37 19 69 1359 63 33 6106
difference: +3 +3 +5 -1 +14 +10 -2 -5 -4 +27 -17 0 +2
Man AB H 2B 3B HR BB SF SH HBP SO SB CS BFP


Assorted Team Stats:
Stat Actual Projected
Batting Average: .248 .248
Slugging Average: .415 .407
Walks (per PA): .089 .088
SOs (per PA): .227 .222
On-Base Average: .322 .320
Power Factor: 1.67 1.64
OPS: .737 .727
TPP Runs (to date): 718 706

Runs differential:
Actual TPP 12 more than Projected TPP.




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This page was last modified on Monday, 1 October 2018, at 7:06 am Pacific Time.