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Baseball team and player performance examined realistically and accurately.

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LAD "Expected" Pitching Results, 2019


About These Stats:

The form of "projection" used is very simple: each man's career numbers are pro-rated by his actual number of batters faced to date this season; those data, labelled "proj:" are shown along with the man's actual stats from this year to date. At the bottom of the Table, each set of lines—"projected" and actual—is separately summed to get Team Totals for each dataset.

Note that "career to date" includes each man's stats for the current year: "to date" is literally correct. For veteran players, that matters little, but for rookies or players with litle prior major-league experience, it means that the "projection" will perforce nearly or exactly match the actual stats to date. That seems like the best way to deal with newly arrived players' stats.

Note that owing to rounding in the pro-rating process, projected total BFP (batters faced) may occasionally differ by 1.

Below the player/team table is a smaller table showing a few key team "rate" stats (such as batting average) actual and projected.

The Actual Data:

Through games of Monday, 30 September 2019.
All results are from true, unadjusted data.

Handedness Key:   + R   * L

(You can also look up the stat definitions.)

Pitchers, listed in alphabetical order:
Each name is a click-on link to that man's career stats.

(or see the data for Batting)


Man AB H 2B 3B HR BB SF SH HBP SO SB CS BFP
Alexander, Scott 2019: 68 17 3 1 2 7 0 0 1 9 0 0 76
Alexander, Scott proj: 68 17 2 1 1 7 0 0 0 15 1 0 75
Baez, Pedro 2019: 247 43 8 1 6 23 0 2 4 69 5 1 276
Baez, Pedro proj: 248 52 11 2 7 22 2 2 2 71 4 1 276
Buehler, Walker 2019: 685 153 29 5 20 37 6 2 7 215 8 1 737
Buehler, Walker proj: 677 144 26 3 19 46 5 2 7 211 7 2 737
Chargois, JT 2019: 77 21 4 1 4 5 4 0 2 28 4 0 88
Chargois, JT proj: 76 20 5 0 2 9 1 0 1 23 3 1 87
Ferguson, Caleb 2019: 167 39 10 0 7 27 3 1 6 54 2 0 204
Ferguson, Caleb proj: 178 41 7 1 8 20 2 1 5 57 2 0 206
Floro, Dylan 2019: 182 46 8 1 4 14 1 2 2 42 2 0 201
Floro, Dylan proj: 181 48 10 1 3 15 2 2 1 41 3 0 201
Garcia, Yimi 2019: 225 40 9 1 15 14 1 1 6 66 2 0 247
Garcia, Yimi proj: 228 49 8 1 12 12 2 1 4 64 2 0 247
Gonsolin, Tony 2019: 146 26 9 0 4 15 1 0 1 37 5 1 163
Gonsolin, Tony proj: 146 26 9 0 4 15 1 0 1 37 5 1 163
Hill, Rich 2019: 215 48 7 0 10 18 1 4 4 72 3 2 242
Hill, Rich proj: 213 48 9 1 7 23 1 2 3 62 6 2 242
Jansen, Kenley 2019: 240 51 12 1 9 16 3 0 4 80 13 0 263
Jansen, Kenley proj: 242 43 8 1 6 17 1 1 2 99 8 1 263
Kelly, Joe 2019: 201 49 10 0 6 22 0 0 3 62 2 0 226
Kelly, Joe proj: 200 51 8 1 5 21 2 1 2 43 3 1 226
Kershaw, Clayton 2019: 656 145 23 3 28 41 1 6 2 189 3 3 706
Kershaw, Clayton proj: 649 135 26 2 14 45 2 7 3 194 5 5 706
Kolarek, Adam 2019: 43 9 1 0 1 2 0 0 0 9 0 0 45
Kolarek, Adam proj: 41 10 2 0 1 3 0 0 1 7 0 0 45
Maeda, Kenta 2019: 564 114 21 4 22 51 3 2 4 169 7 1 624
Maeda, Kenta proj: 567 128 25 3 20 46 3 3 6 165 6 2 625
Martin, Russell 2019: 13 2 1 0 0 0 0 0 0 2 0 0 13
Martin, Russell proj: 13 2 1 0 0 0 0 0 0 2 0 0 13
May, Dustin 2019: 132 33 6 0 2 5 0 0 4 32 0 1 141
May, Dustin proj: 132 33 6 0 2 5 0 0 4 32 0 1 141
Rosscup, Zac 2019: 14 6 1 0 1 3 0 0 0 4 0 0 17
Rosscup, Zac proj: 14 4 1 0 1 2 0 0 0 5 0 0 16
Ryu, Hyun-Jin 2019: 685 160 35 0 17 24 2 8 4 163 1 1 723
Ryu, Hyun-Jin proj: 673 167 34 2 17 39 2 6 3 159 1 1 723
Sadler, Casey 2019: 101 25 2 1 3 8 1 2 3 20 0 1 115
Sadler, Casey proj: 102 26 7 0 2 9 1 1 2 18 0 1 115
Santana, Dennis 2019: 20 6 0 1 1 4 1 0 2 6 0 0 27
Santana, Dennis proj: 21 7 1 1 1 3 1 1 2 6 0 0 28
Sborz, Josh 2019: 35 10 4 0 2 4 1 0 0 7 0 0 40
Sborz, Josh proj: 35 10 4 0 2 4 1 0 0 7 0 0 40
Schultz, Jaime 2019: 19 6 2 0 1 3 0 0 0 3 0 0 22
Schultz, Jaime proj: 18 4 1 0 1 3 0 0 0 6 0 0 21
Stewart, Brock 2019: 17 9 2 0 2 2 2 0 0 3 0 0 21
Stewart, Brock proj: 18 5 1 0 1 2 0 0 0 4 0 0 20
Stripling, Ross 2019: 344 84 23 1 11 20 4 0 2 93 2 3 370
Stripling, Ross proj: 344 86 20 1 11 21 2 2 1 87 4 3 370
Urias, Julio 2019: 293 59 9 3 7 27 1 0 5 85 4 2 326
Urias, Julio proj: 288 69 13 2 5 30 1 3 4 78 5 3 326
2019 TEAM TOTALS: 5389 1201 239 24 185 392 36 30 66 1519 63 17 5913
PROJECTED: 5372 1225 245 23 152 419 32 35 54 1493 65 25 5912
difference: +17 -24 -6 +1 +33 -27 +4 -5 +12 +26 -2 -8 +1
Man AB H 2B 3B HR BB SF SH HBP SO SB CS BFP


Assorted Team Stats:
Stat Actual Projected
Batting Average: .223 .228
Slugging Average: .379 .367
Walks (per PA): .066 .071
SOs (per PA): .257 .252
On-Base Average: .281 .287
Power Factor: 1.7 1.61
OPS: .660 .654
TPP Runs (to date): 577 568

Runs differential:
Actual TPP 9 more than Projected TPP.




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This page was last modified on Tuesday, 1 October 2019, at 7:36 am Pacific Time.