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LAD "Expected" Pitching Results, 2017


About These Stats:

The form of "projection" used is very simple: each man's career numbers are pro-rated by his actual number of batters faced to date this season; those data, labelled "proj:" are shown along with the man's actual stats from this year to date. At the bottom of the Table, each set of lines—"projected" and actual—is separately summed to get Team Totals for each dataset.

Note that "career to date" includes each man's stats for the current year: "to date" is literally correct. For veteran players, that matters little, but for rookies or players with litle prior major-league experience, it means that the "projection" will perforce nearly or exactly match the actual stats to date. That seems like the best way to deal with newly arrived players' stats.

Note that owing to rounding in the pro-rating process, projected total BFP (batters faced) may occasionally differ by 1.

Below the player/team table is a smaller table showing a few key team "rate" stats (such as batting average) actual and projected.

The Actual Data:

Through games of Sunday, 1 October 2017.
All results are from true, unadjusted data.

Handedness Key:   + R   * L

(You can also look up the stat definitions.)

Pitchers, listed in alphabetical order:
Each name is a click-on link to that man's career stats.

(or see the data for Batting)


Man AB H 2B 3B HR BB SF SH HBP SO SB CS BFP
Avilan, Luis 2017: 171 42 11 2 2 22 0 0 1 52 3 3 194
Avilan, Luis proj: 171 39 7 1 2 18 1 2 2 40 3 1 194
Baez, Pedro 2017: 249 56 13 4 9 29 0 0 2 64 2 1 280
Baez, Pedro proj: 253 55 12 2 9 21 2 2 2 72 2 2 280
Buehler, Walker 2017: 36 11 1 0 2 8 0 0 0 12 1 0 44
Buehler, Walker proj: 36 11 1 0 2 8 0 0 0 12 1 0 44
Castillo, Fabio 2017: 7 3 0 0 0 1 0 0 0 2 0 0 8
Castillo, Fabio proj: 7 3 0 0 0 1 0 0 0 2 0 0 8
Cingrani, Tony 2017: 70 15 2 0 1 6 0 1 0 28 1 0 77
Cingrani, Tony proj: 66 15 3 0 3 9 1 1 1 19 1 1 78
Darvish, Yu 2017: 187 44 10 0 7 13 0 1 1 61 4 0 202
Darvish, Yu proj: 181 40 8 1 5 18 1 0 2 60 5 1 202
Dayton, Grant 2017: 86 19 4 0 5 12 3 1 0 20 0 0 102
Dayton, Grant proj: 90 17 3 0 5 9 2 1 1 30 0 1 103
Fields, Josh 2017: 206 40 8 0 10 15 1 0 1 60 0 3 223
Fields, Josh proj: 201 46 10 2 6 18 2 1 1 63 3 2 223
Font, Wilmer 2017: 18 7 3 0 2 4 0 0 0 3 0 0 22
Font, Wilmer proj: 16 5 2 0 1 6 0 0 0 2 0 0 22
Hatcher, Chris 2017: 143 37 7 0 7 12 1 2 0 43 0 0 158
Hatcher, Chris proj: 142 37 7 1 5 13 1 1 1 38 1 0 158
Hill, Rich 2017: 488 99 15 2 18 49 2 4 9 166 12 6 552
Hill, Rich proj: 482 109 21 1 14 55 3 5 7 137 16 4 552
Jansen, Kenley 2017: 249 44 6 1 5 7 0 0 2 109 11 0 258
Jansen, Kenley proj: 237 40 7 1 5 18 1 1 2 103 7 1 259
Kershaw, Clayton 2017: 642 136 20 2 23 30 3 4 0 202 3 2 679
Kershaw, Clayton proj: 622 128 24 2 11 45 2 7 3 189 6 5 679
Liberatore, Adam 2017: 13 3 0 0 0 2 0 0 0 5 0 0 15
Liberatore, Adam proj: 13 3 1 0 0 1 0 0 0 4 0 0 14
Maeda, Kenta 2017: 508 121 26 1 22 34 4 6 5 140 4 2 557
Maeda, Kenta proj: 509 119 21 1 18 37 3 3 6 140 6 3 558
McCarthy, Brandon 2017: 347 89 15 2 5 27 3 4 3 72 10 3 384
McCarthy, Brandon proj: 352 93 19 2 10 24 3 2 2 67 8 2 383
Morrow, Brandon 2017: 160 31 3 0 0 9 0 0 1 50 3 0 170
Morrow, Brandon proj: 149 35 8 1 4 17 1 1 1 41 2 1 169
Paredes, Edward 2017: 31 8 0 0 1 0 0 0 0 11 1 0 31
Paredes, Edward proj: 31 8 0 0 1 0 0 0 0 11 1 0 31
Ravin, Josh 2017: 61 12 1 3 4 9 0 0 1 19 1 0 71
Ravin, Josh proj: 62 13 0 2 4 8 0 0 1 20 1 0 71
Romo, Sergio 2017: 96 23 6 0 7 12 0 0 0 31 1 1 108
Romo, Sergio proj: 100 21 4 0 3 6 0 1 1 31 2 1 108
Ryu, Hyun-Jin 2017: 487 128 27 2 22 45 1 4 4 116 2 1 541
Ryu, Hyun-Jin proj: 498 128 26 2 13 34 2 5 2 113 1 1 541
Stewart, Brock 2017: 124 28 3 0 4 19 1 2 1 29 1 0 147
Stewart, Brock proj: 128 33 3 0 6 17 1 2 1 29 2 1 149
Stripling, Ross 2017: 280 69 13 0 10 19 3 2 0 74 3 1 304
Stripling, Ross proj: 279 69 15 1 8 21 2 2 0 62 5 0 304
Urias, Julio 2017: 85 23 5 1 1 14 0 2 1 11 1 2 102
Urias, Julio proj: 89 24 5 0 1 10 0 1 1 22 2 1 101
Watson, Tony 2017: 72 15 2 0 2 6 0 2 2 18 2 1 82
Watson, Tony proj: 73 16 3 0 2 6 1 1 1 18 2 0 82
Wood, Alex 2017: 566 123 28 0 15 38 0 4 6 151 2 2 614
Wood, Alex proj: 556 138 24 2 12 43 3 7 5 138 5 3 614
2017 TEAM TOTALS: 5382 1226 229 20 184 442 22 39 40 1549 68 28 5925
PROJECTED: 5343 1245 234 22 150 463 32 46 43 1463 82 31 5927
difference: +39 -19 -5 -2 +34 -21 -10 -7 -3 +86 -14 -3 -2
Man AB H 2B 3B HR BB SF SH HBP SO SB CS BFP


Assorted Team Stats:
Stat Actual Projected
Batting Average: .228 .233
Slugging Average: .380 .369
Walks (per PA): .075 .078
SOs (per PA): .261 .247
On-Base Average: .288 .295
Power Factor: 1.67 1.58
OPS: .669 .665
TPP Runs (to date): 593 590

Runs differential:
Actual TPP 3 more than Projected TPP.




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This page was last modified on Monday, 2 October 2017, at 7:15 am Pacific Time.