Owing to the screen size of your device, you may obtain a better viewing experience by rotating your device a quarter-turn (to get the so-called "panorama" screen view).
owlcroft logo
An Owlcroft Company web site
Click here to email us.

The Owlcroft Baseball-Analysis Site

Baseball team and player performance examined realistically and accurately.

Search this site, or just roll your cursor over the colored boxes below the pictures.

  Advertisement:


  Advertisement:


LAD "Expected" Pitching Results, 2017


About These Stats:

The form of "projection" used is very simple: each man's career numbers are pro-rated by his actual number of batters faced to date this season; those data, labelled "proj:" are shown along with the man's actual stats from this year to date. At the bottom of the Table, each set of lines—"projected" and actual—is separately summed to get Team Totals for each dataset.

Note that "career to date" includes each man's stats for the current year: "to date" is literally correct. For veteran players, that matters little, but for rookies or players with litle prior major-league experience, it means that the "projection" will perforce nearly or exactly match the actual stats to date. That seems like the best way to deal with newly arrived players' stats.

Note that owing to rounding in the pro-rating process, projected total BFP (batters faced) may occasionally differ by 1.

Below the player/team table is a smaller table showing a few key team "rate" stats (such as batting average) actual and projected.

The Actual Data:

Through games of Monday, 24 July 2017.
All results are from true, unadjusted data.

Handedness Key:   + R   * L

(You can also look up the stat definitions.)

Pitchers, listed in alphabetical order:
Each name is a click-on link to that man's career stats.

(or see the data for Batting)


Man AB H 2B 3B HR BB SF SH HBP SO SB CS BFP
Avilan, Luis 2017: 107 29 7 2 2 11 0 0 0 35 2 3 118
Avilan, Luis proj: 105 24 4 0 1 10 1 1 1 24 2 1 118
Baez, Pedro 2017: 159 33 9 1 4 16 0 0 0 39 1 1 175
Baez, Pedro proj: 160 34 8 1 5 12 1 1 1 45 1 1 175
Dayton, Grant 2017: 86 19 4 0 5 12 3 1 0 20 0 0 102
Dayton, Grant proj: 90 17 3 0 5 9 2 1 1 30 0 1 103
Fields, Josh 2017: 131 25 5 0 6 11 1 0 1 42 0 3 144
Fields, Josh proj: 129 30 7 1 4 12 1 0 1 42 2 1 143
Hatcher, Chris 2017: 143 37 7 0 7 12 1 2 0 43 0 0 158
Hatcher, Chris proj: 142 37 8 1 5 13 1 1 1 38 1 0 158
Hill, Rich 2017: 262 57 9 1 7 31 2 2 7 87 9 4 304
Hill, Rich proj: 265 61 12 1 7 31 2 3 4 74 9 2 305
Jansen, Kenley 2017: 156 25 2 1 3 3 0 0 1 63 7 0 160
Jansen, Kenley proj: 146 25 4 1 3 11 1 0 1 64 4 0 159
Kershaw, Clayton 2017: 514 101 15 2 18 24 1 2 0 168 2 1 541
Kershaw, Clayton proj: 496 101 19 2 9 36 2 5 2 151 4 4 541
Liberatore, Adam 2017: 13 3 0 0 0 2 0 0 0 5 0 0 15
Liberatore, Adam proj: 13 3 1 0 0 1 0 0 0 4 0 0 14
Maeda, Kenta 2017: 309 77 17 0 12 22 3 6 4 80 2 2 344
Maeda, Kenta proj: 313 74 12 1 10 23 2 2 4 84 4 2 344
McCarthy, Brandon 2017: 323 82 13 1 5 25 3 4 3 66 8 3 358
McCarthy, Brandon proj: 329 87 17 1 10 22 3 2 2 62 7 2 358
Morrow, Brandon 2017: 72 12 3 0 0 2 0 0 1 24 0 0 75
Morrow, Brandon proj: 66 16 4 0 2 8 1 0 1 18 1 0 76
Paredes, Edward 2017: 3 0 0 0 0 0 0 0 0 0 0 0 3
Paredes, Edward proj: 3 0 0 0 0 0 0 0 0 0 0 0 3
Ravin, Josh 2017: 7 1 0 1 0 0 0 0 0 2 0 0 7
Ravin, Josh proj: 6 1 0 0 0 1 0 0 0 2 0 0 7
Romo, Sergio 2017: 96 23 6 0 7 12 0 0 0 31 1 1 108
Romo, Sergio proj: 100 21 4 0 3 6 0 1 1 31 2 1 108
Ryu, Hyun-Jin 2017: 304 85 20 2 15 25 1 2 4 74 1 1 336
Ryu, Hyun-Jin proj: 311 81 17 1 7 20 1 3 2 70 1 1 337
Stewart, Brock 2017: 41 5 0 0 0 3 0 0 1 10 0 0 45
Stewart, Brock proj: 41 10 1 0 2 4 0 0 0 9 1 1 45
Stripling, Ross 2017: 175 48 11 0 3 12 3 2 0 46 3 0 192
Stripling, Ross proj: 176 45 11 1 4 13 1 2 0 38 4 0 192
Urias, Julio 2017: 85 23 5 1 1 14 0 2 1 11 1 2 102
Urias, Julio proj: 89 24 5 0 1 10 0 1 1 22 2 1 101
Wood, Alex 2017: 330 62 12 0 4 27 0 1 4 105 1 2 362
Wood, Alex proj: 327 81 13 1 6 26 2 4 3 83 3 2 362
2017 TEAM TOTALS: 3316 747 145 12 99 264 18 24 27 951 38 23 3649
PROJECTED: 3307 772 150 12 84 268 21 27 26 891 48 20 3649
difference: +9 -25 -5 0 +15 -4 -3 -3 +1 +60 -10 +3 0
Man AB H 2B 3B HR BB SF SH HBP SO SB CS BFP


Assorted Team Stats:
Stat Actual Projected
Batting Average: .225 .233
Slugging Average: .366 .362
Walks (per PA): .072 .073
SOs (per PA): .261 .244
On-Base Average: .284 .292
Power Factor: 1.62 1.55
OPS: .650 .654
TPP Runs (to date): 344 351

Runs differential:
Actual TPP 7 less than Projected TPP.




  Advertisement:


  Advertisement:



Want detailed, careful, unhysterical analysis of the effects of "Performance-Enhancing Drugs" in baseball? Click here to visit the Steroids & Baseball web site.

All content copyright © 2002 - 2017 by The Owlcroft Company.

This web page is strictly compliant with the W3C (World Wide Web Consortium) Extensible HyperText Markup Language (XHTML) Protocol v1.0 (Transitional) and the W3C Cascading Style Sheets (CSS) Protocol v3 — because we care about interoperability. Click on the logos below to test us!



This page was last modified on Tuesday, 25 July 2017, at 7:06 am Pacific Time.