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LAD "Expected" Pitching Results, 2018


About These Stats:

The form of "projection" used is very simple: each man's career numbers are pro-rated by his actual number of batters faced to date this season; those data, labelled "proj:" are shown along with the man's actual stats from this year to date. At the bottom of the Table, each set of lines—"projected" and actual—is separately summed to get Team Totals for each dataset.

Note that "career to date" includes each man's stats for the current year: "to date" is literally correct. For veteran players, that matters little, but for rookies or players with litle prior major-league experience, it means that the "projection" will perforce nearly or exactly match the actual stats to date. That seems like the best way to deal with newly arrived players' stats.

Note that owing to rounding in the pro-rating process, projected total BFP (batters faced) may occasionally differ by 1.

Below the player/team table is a smaller table showing a few key team "rate" stats (such as batting average) actual and projected.

The Actual Data:

Through games of Wednesday, 25 April 2018.
All results are from true, unadjusted data.

Handedness Key:   + R   * L

(You can also look up the stat definitions.)

Pitchers, listed in alphabetical order:
Each name is a click-on link to that man's career stats.

(or see the data for Batting)


Man AB H 2B 3B HR BB SF SH HBP SO SB CS BFP
Alexander, Scott 2018: 34 10 1 0 1 7 0 0 0 5 0 0 41
Alexander, Scott proj: 36 10 1 0 0 4 0 0 0 8 0 0 40
Baez, Pedro 2018: 41 9 1 0 0 6 0 0 0 15 1 0 47
Baez, Pedro proj: 42 9 2 0 1 4 0 0 0 12 0 0 46
Buehler, Walker 2018: 18 4 0 0 0 3 0 0 0 5 0 1 21
Buehler, Walker proj: 17 5 0 0 1 4 0 0 0 5 0 0 21
Chargois, JT 2018: 28 5 1 0 1 3 0 0 1 10 1 0 32
Chargois, JT proj: 28 7 2 0 0 4 0 0 0 7 1 0 32
Cingrani, Tony 2018: 34 6 2 0 1 0 0 0 0 17 0 0 34
Cingrani, Tony proj: 29 7 2 0 1 4 0 0 0 9 0 0 33
Fields, Josh 2018: 39 7 1 0 0 3 0 0 0 14 0 0 42
Fields, Josh proj: 38 9 2 0 1 3 0 0 0 12 1 0 41
Font, Wilmer 2018: 47 18 1 0 5 1 0 0 0 7 0 1 48
Font, Wilmer proj: 42 14 2 0 4 6 0 0 0 6 0 1 48
Hill, Rich 2018: 58 17 5 0 3 7 0 1 0 16 2 1 66
Hill, Rich proj: 58 13 3 0 2 7 0 1 1 16 2 0 67
Hudson, Daniel 2018: 8 2 1 0 1 0 0 0 0 4 0 0 8
Hudson, Daniel proj: 7 2 0 0 0 1 0 0 0 2 0 0 8
Jansen, Kenley 2018: 42 11 1 0 3 4 0 0 0 12 4 0 46
Jansen, Kenley proj: 42 7 1 0 1 3 0 0 0 18 1 0 45
Kershaw, Clayton 2018: 147 34 9 0 5 9 0 0 0 42 0 0 156
Kershaw, Clayton proj: 143 29 6 0 3 10 0 2 1 43 1 1 156
Liberatore, Adam 2018: 10 0 0 0 0 2 0 0 0 2 0 0 12
Liberatore, Adam proj: 11 2 1 0 0 1 0 0 0 3 0 0 12
Maeda, Kenta 2018: 83 24 5 0 1 6 2 0 1 31 1 0 92
Maeda, Kenta proj: 84 20 4 0 3 6 1 0 1 24 1 0 92
Neal, Zach 2018: 5 2 0 0 1 0 0 0 0 0 0 0 5
Neal, Zach proj: 5 1 0 0 0 0 0 0 0 1 0 0 5
Ryu, Hyun-Jin 2018: 78 11 3 2 1 9 0 0 1 27 0 0 88
Ryu, Hyun-Jin proj: 81 20 4 0 2 6 0 1 0 19 0 0 88
Stripling, Ross 2018: 51 12 4 0 0 6 0 0 0 15 0 0 57
Stripling, Ross proj: 52 13 3 0 1 4 0 0 0 12 1 0 56
Wood, Alex 2018: 108 22 10 0 2 2 3 2 0 26 3 0 115
Wood, Alex proj: 104 26 5 0 2 8 1 1 1 26 1 1 115
2018 TEAM TOTALS: 831 194 45 2 25 68 5 3 3 248 12 3 910
PROJECTED: 819 194 38 0 22 75 2 5 4 223 9 3 905
difference: +12 0 +7 +2 +3 -7 +3 -2 -1 +25 +3 0 +5
Man AB H 2B 3B HR BB SF SH HBP SO SB CS BFP


Assorted Team Stats:
Stat Actual Projected
Batting Average: .233 .237
Slugging Average: .383 .364
Walks (per PA): .075 .082
SOs (per PA): .273 .245
On-Base Average: .291 .302
Power Factor: 1.64 1.54
OPS: .674 .666
TPP Runs (to date): 91 90

Runs differential:
Actual TPP 1 more than Projected TPP.




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This page was last modified on Thursday, 26 April 2018, at 6:53 am Pacific Time.