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LAD "Expected" Pitching Results, 2017


About These Stats:

The form of "projection" used is very simple: each man's career numbers are pro-rated by his actual number of batters faced to date this season; those data, labelled "proj:" are shown along with the man's actual stats from this year to date. At the bottom of the Table, each set of lines—"projected" and actual—is separately summed to get Team Totals for each dataset.

Note that "career to date" includes each man's stats for the current year: "to date" is literally correct. For veteran players, that matters little, but for rookies or players with litle prior major-league experience, it means that the "projection" will perforce nearly or exactly match the actual stats to date. That seems like the best way to deal with newly arrived players' stats.

Note that owing to rounding in the pro-rating process, projected total BFP (batters faced) may occasionally differ by 1.

Below the player/team table is a smaller table showing a few key team "rate" stats (such as batting average) actual and projected.

The Actual Data:

Through games of Wednesday, 21 June 2017.
All results are from true, unadjusted data.

Handedness Key:   + R   * L

(You can also look up the stat definitions.)

Pitchers, listed in alphabetical order:
Each name is a click-on link to that man's career stats.

(or see the data for Batting)


Man AB H 2B 3B HR BB SF SH HBP SO SB CS BFP
Avilan, Luis 2017: 74 21 6 2 0 9 0 0 0 23 2 3 83
Avilan, Luis proj: 73 17 3 0 1 7 0 1 1 17 1 1 82
Baez, Pedro 2017: 113 22 7 1 3 14 0 0 0 29 1 1 127
Baez, Pedro proj: 115 24 6 1 4 9 1 1 1 33 1 1 127
Dayton, Grant 2017: 68 12 3 0 3 9 2 1 0 17 0 0 80
Dayton, Grant proj: 72 11 2 0 3 7 1 0 0 25 0 0 80
Fields, Josh 2017: 97 20 3 0 6 8 1 0 0 32 0 2 106
Fields, Josh proj: 95 22 5 1 3 9 1 0 0 31 2 1 105
Hatcher, Chris 2017: 138 36 6 0 7 11 1 2 0 43 0 0 152
Hatcher, Chris proj: 137 36 7 1 5 12 1 1 1 37 1 0 152
Hill, Rich 2017: 146 36 3 0 6 26 1 2 4 43 4 3 179
Hill, Rich proj: 155 36 7 0 5 19 1 2 2 43 5 1 179
Jansen, Kenley 2017: 106 17 2 1 1 0 0 0 1 50 7 0 107
Jansen, Kenley proj: 98 17 3 0 2 8 0 0 1 43 3 0 107
Kershaw, Clayton 2017: 379 79 12 2 17 17 1 2 0 115 1 1 399
Kershaw, Clayton proj: 365 75 14 1 7 27 1 4 2 111 3 3 399
Liberatore, Adam 2017: 13 3 0 0 0 2 0 0 0 5 0 0 15
Liberatore, Adam proj: 13 3 1 0 0 1 0 0 0 4 0 0 14
Maeda, Kenta 2017: 230 56 11 0 10 18 3 4 3 64 1 0 258
Maeda, Kenta proj: 234 55 8 1 8 18 2 1 3 64 3 1 258
McCarthy, Brandon 2017: 248 56 8 0 4 18 3 3 2 55 7 3 274
McCarthy, Brandon proj: 252 66 13 1 7 17 2 2 2 48 6 2 275
Morrow, Brandon 2017: 25 3 2 0 0 1 0 0 0 9 0 0 26
Morrow, Brandon proj: 23 5 1 0 1 3 0 0 0 6 0 0 26
Ravin, Josh 2017: 7 1 0 1 0 0 0 0 0 2 0 0 7
Ravin, Josh proj: 6 1 0 0 0 1 0 0 0 2 0 0 7
Romo, Sergio 2017: 78 18 5 0 5 9 0 0 0 25 1 1 87
Romo, Sergio proj: 81 17 4 0 2 5 0 1 1 25 1 1 88
Ryu, Hyun-Jin 2017: 246 68 16 2 12 19 1 0 4 58 1 1 270
Ryu, Hyun-Jin proj: 250 65 13 1 6 16 1 2 1 56 1 1 270
Stewart, Brock 2017: 8 0 0 0 0 1 0 0 1 4 0 0 10
Stewart, Brock proj: 9 2 0 0 1 1 0 0 0 2 0 0 10
Stripling, Ross 2017: 139 41 8 0 3 8 3 2 0 39 2 0 152
Stripling, Ross proj: 139 36 8 1 3 10 1 1 0 30 3 0 151
Urias, Julio 2017: 85 23 5 1 1 14 0 2 1 11 1 2 102
Urias, Julio proj: 89 24 5 0 1 10 0 1 1 22 2 1 101
Wood, Alex 2017: 223 42 7 0 2 15 0 0 4 72 1 2 242
Wood, Alex proj: 219 55 9 1 4 17 1 3 2 55 2 2 242
2017 TEAM TOTALS: 2423 554 104 10 80 199 16 18 20 696 29 19 2676
PROJECTED: 2425 567 109 9 63 197 13 20 18 654 34 15 2673
difference: -2 -13 -5 +1 +17 +2 +3 -2 +2 +42 -5 +4 +3
Man AB H 2B 3B HR BB SF SH HBP SO SB CS BFP


Assorted Team Stats:
Stat Actual Projected
Batting Average: .229 .234
Slugging Average: .379 .364
Walks (per PA): .074 .074
SOs (per PA): .260 .244
On-Base Average: .289 .293
Power Factor: 1.66 1.56
OPS: .668 .657
TPP Runs (to date): 264 259

Runs differential:
Actual TPP 5 more than Projected TPP.




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This page was last modified on Thursday, 22 June 2017, at 7:04 am Pacific Time.