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LAD "Expected" Pitching Results, 2019


About These Stats:

The form of "projection" used is very simple: each man's career numbers are pro-rated by his actual number of batters faced to date this season; those data, labelled "proj:" are shown along with the man's actual stats from this year to date. At the bottom of the Table, each set of lines—"projected" and actual—is separately summed to get Team Totals for each dataset.

Note that "career to date" includes each man's stats for the current year: "to date" is literally correct. For veteran players, that matters little, but for rookies or players with litle prior major-league experience, it means that the "projection" will perforce nearly or exactly match the actual stats to date. That seems like the best way to deal with newly arrived players' stats.

Note that owing to rounding in the pro-rating process, projected total BFP (batters faced) may occasionally differ by 1.

Below the player/team table is a smaller table showing a few key team "rate" stats (such as batting average) actual and projected.

The Actual Data:

Through games of Thursday, 22 August 2019.
All results are from true, unadjusted data.

Handedness Key:   + R   * L

(You can also look up the stat definitions.)

Pitchers, listed in alphabetical order:
Each name is a click-on link to that man's career stats.

(or see the data for Batting)


Man AB H 2B 3B HR BB SF SH HBP SO SB CS BFP
Alexander, Scott 2019: 68 17 3 1 2 7 0 0 1 9 0 0 76
Alexander, Scott proj: 68 17 2 1 1 7 0 0 0 15 1 0 75
Baez, Pedro 2019: 196 35 7 0 4 19 0 2 3 54 4 1 220
Baez, Pedro proj: 198 42 9 1 6 18 1 1 1 56 3 1 219
Buehler, Walker 2019: 561 125 22 4 16 26 3 2 5 174 3 0 597
Buehler, Walker proj: 551 117 20 2 15 36 3 2 6 170 4 2 598
Chargois, JT 2019: 77 21 4 1 4 5 4 0 2 28 4 0 88
Chargois, JT proj: 76 20 5 0 2 9 1 0 1 23 3 1 87
Ferguson, Caleb 2019: 118 31 6 0 6 20 2 0 6 37 1 0 146
Ferguson, Caleb proj: 128 31 4 1 6 13 1 0 4 40 1 0 146
Floro, Dylan 2019: 144 36 6 0 3 12 1 2 2 30 1 0 161
Floro, Dylan proj: 145 38 8 0 2 12 1 1 1 32 3 0 160
Garcia, Yimi 2019: 180 31 8 1 13 12 1 1 3 51 1 0 197
Garcia, Yimi proj: 182 39 6 1 10 9 2 1 3 50 2 0 197
Gonsolin, Tony 2019: 71 16 6 0 1 1 1 0 0 15 4 1 73
Gonsolin, Tony proj: 71 16 6 0 1 1 1 0 0 15 4 1 73
Hill, Rich 2019: 198 47 7 0 10 12 1 4 2 61 3 2 217
Hill, Rich proj: 191 43 8 1 6 20 1 2 3 55 5 1 217
Jansen, Kenley 2019: 185 40 9 1 8 11 2 0 3 64 10 0 201
Jansen, Kenley proj: 185 33 6 1 5 13 1 0 2 76 6 0 201
Kelly, Joe 2019: 169 42 9 0 5 17 0 0 2 54 2 0 188
Kelly, Joe proj: 166 43 7 1 4 18 1 1 2 36 2 1 188
Kershaw, Clayton 2019: 523 115 19 3 18 31 1 5 1 147 1 3 561
Kershaw, Clayton proj: 516 107 20 2 10 36 2 5 2 154 4 4 561
Kolarek, Adam 2019: 13 3 0 0 0 1 0 0 0 1 0 0 14
Kolarek, Adam proj: 13 3 1 0 0 1 0 0 0 2 0 0 14
Maeda, Kenta 2019: 494 103 17 4 19 44 2 1 4 146 6 1 545
Maeda, Kenta proj: 495 113 22 2 17 40 3 2 5 143 6 2 545
Martin, Russell 2019: 9 1 0 0 0 0 0 0 0 1 0 0 9
Martin, Russell proj: 9 1 0 0 0 0 0 0 0 1 0 0 9
May, Dustin 2019: 74 20 4 0 2 3 0 0 2 15 0 0 79
May, Dustin proj: 74 20 4 0 2 3 0 0 2 15 0 0 79
Rosscup, Zac 2019: 14 6 1 0 1 3 0 0 0 4 0 0 17
Rosscup, Zac proj: 14 4 1 0 1 2 0 0 0 5 0 0 16
Ryu, Hyun-Jin 2019: 547 122 27 0 12 18 2 6 3 126 1 1 576
Ryu, Hyun-Jin proj: 536 132 27 2 13 32 2 5 2 126 1 1 577
Sadler, Casey 2019: 43 8 1 1 0 4 1 1 3 9 0 1 52
Sadler, Casey proj: 46 11 4 0 1 4 1 0 1 8 0 1 52
Santana, Dennis 2019: 20 6 0 1 1 4 1 0 2 6 0 0 27
Santana, Dennis proj: 21 7 1 1 1 3 1 1 2 6 0 0 28
Sborz, Josh 2019: 15 6 3 0 1 2 0 0 0 1 0 0 17
Sborz, Josh proj: 15 6 3 0 1 2 0 0 0 1 0 0 17
Schultz, Jaime 2019: 19 6 2 0 1 3 0 0 0 3 0 0 22
Schultz, Jaime proj: 18 4 1 0 1 3 0 0 0 6 0 0 21
Stewart, Brock 2019: 17 9 2 0 2 2 2 0 0 3 0 0 21
Stewart, Brock proj: 18 5 0 0 1 2 0 0 0 4 0 0 20
Stripling, Ross 2019: 292 71 20 1 11 19 4 0 2 76 1 3 317
Stripling, Ross proj: 295 74 17 1 10 18 2 1 1 74 3 2 317
Urias, Julio 2019: 250 51 7 3 6 23 1 0 4 67 3 2 278
Urias, Julio proj: 246 59 11 2 5 26 1 2 3 64 4 3 278
2019 TEAM TOTALS: 4297 968 190 21 146 299 29 24 50 1182 45 15 4699
PROJECTED: 4277 985 193 19 121 328 25 24 41 1177 52 20 4695
difference: +20 -17 -3 +2 +25 -29 +4 0 +9 +5 -7 -5 +4
Man AB H 2B 3B HR BB SF SH HBP SO SB CS BFP


Assorted Team Stats:
Stat Actual Projected
Batting Average: .225 .230
Slugging Average: .381 .369
Walks (per PA): .064 .070
SOs (per PA): .252 .250
On-Base Average: .280 .288
Power Factor: 1.69 1.6
OPS: .661 .658
TPP Runs (to date): 459 455

Runs differential:
Actual TPP 4 more than Projected TPP.




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This page was last modified on Friday, 23 August 2019, at 7:05 am Pacific Time.