Owing to the screen size of your device, you may obtain a better viewing experience by rotating your device a quarter-turn (to get the so-called "panorama" screen view).
owlcroft logo
An Owlcroft Company web site
Click here to email us.

The Owlcroft Baseball-Analysis Site

Baseball team and player performance examined realistically and accurately.

Search this site, or just roll your cursor over the colored boxes below the pictures.

  Advertisement:


  Advertisement:


LAD "Expected" Pitching Results, 2019


About These Stats:

The form of "projection" used is very simple: each man's career numbers are pro-rated by his actual number of batters faced to date this season; those data, labelled "proj:" are shown along with the man's actual stats from this year to date. At the bottom of the Table, each set of lines—"projected" and actual—is separately summed to get Team Totals for each dataset.

Note that "career to date" includes each man's stats for the current year: "to date" is literally correct. For veteran players, that matters little, but for rookies or players with litle prior major-league experience, it means that the "projection" will perforce nearly or exactly match the actual stats to date. That seems like the best way to deal with newly arrived players' stats.

Note that owing to rounding in the pro-rating process, projected total BFP (batters faced) may occasionally differ by 1.

Below the player/team table is a smaller table showing a few key team "rate" stats (such as batting average) actual and projected.

The Actual Data:

Through games of Monday, 22 April 2019.
All results are from true, unadjusted data.

Handedness Key:   + R   * L

(You can also look up the stat definitions.)

Pitchers, listed in alphabetical order:
Each name is a click-on link to that man's career stats.

(or see the data for Batting)


Man AB H 2B 3B HR BB SF SH HBP SO SB CS BFP
Alexander, Scott 2019: 32 7 1 0 0 2 0 0 1 8 0 0 35
Alexander, Scott proj: 31 8 1 0 0 3 0 0 0 7 0 0 34
Baez, Pedro 2019: 52 10 1 0 1 2 0 0 2 12 3 0 56
Baez, Pedro proj: 50 11 2 0 2 4 0 0 0 14 1 0 54
Buehler, Walker 2019: 67 16 2 0 1 6 1 1 1 17 0 0 76
Buehler, Walker proj: 69 14 2 0 2 6 0 0 1 21 0 0 76
Chargois, JT 2019: 7 2 0 0 1 1 0 0 0 1 1 0 8
Chargois, JT proj: 7 2 0 0 0 1 0 0 0 2 0 0 8
Ferguson, Caleb 2019: 43 12 2 0 2 4 1 0 1 13 0 0 49
Ferguson, Caleb proj: 45 11 1 0 2 3 0 0 1 14 0 0 49
Floro, Dylan 2019: 40 8 1 0 0 0 0 0 1 6 1 0 41
Floro, Dylan proj: 37 10 2 0 0 3 0 0 0 8 1 0 40
Garcia, Yimi 2019: 38 8 3 1 3 5 0 0 1 11 1 0 44
Garcia, Yimi proj: 41 10 1 0 2 2 0 0 1 11 0 0 44
Jansen, Kenley 2019: 42 8 2 0 2 2 2 0 0 16 4 0 46
Jansen, Kenley proj: 42 7 1 0 1 3 0 0 0 18 1 0 45
Kelly, Joe 2019: 45 17 3 0 3 2 0 0 0 9 1 0 47
Kelly, Joe proj: 42 11 2 0 1 4 0 0 0 9 1 0 46
Kershaw, Clayton 2019: 44 7 0 1 2 4 0 0 0 13 0 1 48
Kershaw, Clayton proj: 44 9 2 0 1 3 0 0 0 13 0 0 47
Maeda, Kenta 2019: 85 20 4 1 4 10 1 1 0 20 1 0 97
Maeda, Kenta proj: 88 21 4 0 3 7 1 0 1 25 1 0 97
Martin, Russell 2019: 3 0 0 0 0 0 0 0 0 0 0 0 3
Martin, Russell proj: 3 0 0 0 0 0 0 0 0 0 0 0 3
Ryu, Hyun-Jin 2019: 77 18 4 0 5 2 0 0 0 23 0 0 79
Ryu, Hyun-Jin proj: 73 18 4 0 2 5 0 1 0 17 0 0 79
Santana, Dennis 2019: 20 6 0 1 1 4 1 0 2 6 0 0 27
Santana, Dennis proj: 21 7 1 1 1 3 1 1 2 6 0 0 28
Schultz, Jaime 2019: 9 1 0 0 0 2 0 0 0 3 0 0 11
Schultz, Jaime proj: 9 2 0 0 0 2 0 0 0 3 0 0 11
Stewart, Brock 2019: 17 9 2 0 2 2 2 0 0 3 0 0 21
Stewart, Brock proj: 18 5 1 0 1 2 0 0 0 4 0 0 20
Stripling, Ross 2019: 106 22 6 0 4 9 1 0 1 26 0 1 117
Stripling, Ross proj: 109 27 6 0 4 7 0 1 0 27 1 1 117
Urias, Julio 2019: 74 14 3 2 2 7 0 0 2 22 0 0 83
Urias, Julio proj: 73 18 4 0 1 8 0 1 1 19 1 1 83
2019 TEAM TOTALS: 801 185 34 6 33 64 9 2 12 209 12 2 888
PROJECTED: 802 191 34 1 23 66 2 4 7 218 7 2 881
difference: -1 -6 0 +5 +10 -2 +7 -2 +5 -9 +5 0 +7
Man AB H 2B 3B HR BB SF SH HBP SO SB CS BFP


Assorted Team Stats:
Stat Actual Projected
Batting Average: .231 .238
Slugging Average: .412 .369
Walks (per PA): .072 .074
SOs (per PA): .235 .245
On-Base Average: .294 .300
Power Factor: 1.78 1.55
OPS: .706 .669
TPP Runs (to date): 98 89

Runs differential:
Actual TPP 9 more than Projected TPP.




  Advertisement:


  Advertisement:



Want detailed, careful, unhysterical analysis of the effects of "Performance-Enhancing Drugs" in baseball? Click here to visit the Steroids & Baseball web site.

All content copyright © 2002 - 2019 by The Owlcroft Company.

This web page is strictly compliant with the W3C (World Wide Web Consortium) Extensible HyperText Markup Language (XHTML) Protocol v1.0 (Transitional) and the W3C Cascading Style Sheets (CSS) Protocol v3 — because we care about interoperability. Click on the logos below to test us!



This page was last modified on Tuesday, 23 April 2019, at 6:52 am Pacific Time.