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LAD "Expected" Pitching Results, 2019


About These Stats:

The form of "projection" used is very simple: each man's career numbers are pro-rated by his actual number of batters faced to date this season; those data, labelled "proj:" are shown along with the man's actual stats from this year to date. At the bottom of the Table, each set of lines—"projected" and actual—is separately summed to get Team Totals for each dataset.

Note that "career to date" includes each man's stats for the current year: "to date" is literally correct. For veteran players, that matters little, but for rookies or players with litle prior major-league experience, it means that the "projection" will perforce nearly or exactly match the actual stats to date. That seems like the best way to deal with newly arrived players' stats.

Note that owing to rounding in the pro-rating process, projected total BFP (batters faced) may occasionally differ by 1.

Below the player/team table is a smaller table showing a few key team "rate" stats (such as batting average) actual and projected.

The Actual Data:

Through games of Tuesday, 18 June 2019.
All results are from true, unadjusted data.

Handedness Key:   + R   * L

(You can also look up the stat definitions.)

Pitchers, listed in alphabetical order:
Each name is a click-on link to that man's career stats.

(or see the data for Batting)


Man AB H 2B 3B HR BB SF SH HBP SO SB CS BFP
Alexander, Scott 2019: 68 17 3 1 2 7 0 0 1 9 0 0 76
Alexander, Scott proj: 68 17 2 1 1 7 0 0 0 15 1 0 75
Baez, Pedro 2019: 110 19 3 0 1 10 0 2 3 26 4 1 125
Baez, Pedro proj: 112 24 5 1 3 10 1 1 1 32 2 1 125
Buehler, Walker 2019: 305 63 11 1 8 13 1 2 1 84 3 0 322
Buehler, Walker proj: 296 60 10 0 8 21 1 1 2 88 2 1 321
Chargois, JT 2019: 7 2 0 0 1 1 0 0 0 1 1 0 8
Chargois, JT proj: 7 2 0 0 0 1 0 0 0 2 0 0 8
Ferguson, Caleb 2019: 79 21 2 0 4 12 1 0 3 22 0 0 95
Ferguson, Caleb proj: 85 20 2 1 4 8 0 0 2 26 0 0 95
Floro, Dylan 2019: 93 22 4 0 3 4 0 2 2 19 1 0 101
Floro, Dylan proj: 91 24 5 0 2 7 1 1 1 20 2 0 101
Garcia, Yimi 2019: 90 14 3 1 5 9 0 0 2 24 1 0 101
Garcia, Yimi proj: 93 21 3 0 4 5 1 0 1 25 1 0 100
Hill, Rich 2019: 195 47 7 0 10 12 1 4 2 59 3 2 214
Hill, Rich proj: 188 42 8 1 6 20 1 2 3 54 5 1 214
Jansen, Kenley 2019: 109 20 5 1 5 6 2 0 2 42 5 0 119
Jansen, Kenley proj: 109 19 3 0 3 8 1 0 1 46 3 0 119
Kelly, Joe 2019: 95 28 6 0 4 12 0 0 1 27 1 0 108
Kelly, Joe proj: 95 25 4 1 2 10 1 0 1 20 1 0 107
Kershaw, Clayton 2019: 294 69 14 2 10 14 0 1 0 73 1 3 309
Kershaw, Clayton proj: 284 59 11 1 6 20 1 3 1 85 2 2 309
Maeda, Kenta 2019: 278 57 11 2 11 26 2 1 2 77 2 0 309
Maeda, Kenta proj: 281 65 13 1 10 22 2 1 3 80 3 1 309
Martin, Russell 2019: 3 0 0 0 0 0 0 0 0 0 0 0 3
Martin, Russell proj: 3 0 0 0 0 0 0 0 0 0 0 0 3
Ryu, Hyun-Jin 2019: 338 71 14 0 7 5 2 2 1 85 1 0 348
Ryu, Hyun-Jin proj: 324 80 16 1 8 19 1 3 1 77 1 1 348
Santana, Dennis 2019: 20 6 0 1 1 4 1 0 2 6 0 0 27
Santana, Dennis proj: 21 7 1 1 1 3 1 1 2 6 0 0 28
Schultz, Jaime 2019: 9 1 0 0 0 2 0 0 0 3 0 0 11
Schultz, Jaime proj: 9 2 0 0 0 2 0 0 0 3 0 0 11
Stewart, Brock 2019: 17 9 2 0 2 2 2 0 0 3 0 0 21
Stewart, Brock proj: 18 5 1 0 1 2 0 0 0 4 0 0 20
Stripling, Ross 2019: 177 40 13 1 4 15 1 0 2 47 0 2 195
Stripling, Ross proj: 181 45 10 1 6 12 1 1 1 45 2 1 196
Urias, Julio 2019: 154 30 4 2 5 14 0 0 4 41 1 0 172
Urias, Julio proj: 151 37 7 1 3 16 0 2 2 39 2 1 171
2019 TEAM TOTALS: 2441 536 102 12 83 168 13 14 28 648 24 8 2664
PROJECTED: 2416 554 101 11 68 193 13 16 22 667 27 9 2660
difference: +25 -18 +1 +1 +15 -25 0 -2 +6 -19 -3 -1 +4
Man AB H 2B 3B HR BB SF SH HBP SO SB CS BFP


Assorted Team Stats:
Stat Actual Projected
Batting Average: .220 .229
Slugging Average: .373 .365
Walks (per PA): .063 .072
SOs (per PA): .243 .250
On-Base Average: .275 .289
Power Factor: 1.7 1.59
OPS: .648 .654
TPP Runs (to date): 252 257

Runs differential:
Actual TPP 5 less than Projected TPP.




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This page was last modified on Wednesday, 19 June 2019, at 6:58 am Pacific Time.