Owing to the screen size of your device, you may obtain a better viewing experience by rotating your device a quarter-turn (to get the so-called "panorama" screen view).
owlcroft logo
An Owlcroft Company web site
Click here to email us.

The Owlcroft Baseball-Analysis Site

Baseball team and player performance examined realistically and accurately.

Search this site, or just roll your cursor over the colored boxes below the pictures.

  Advertisement:


  Advertisement:


LAD "Expected" Pitching Results, 2017


About These Stats:

The form of "projection" used is very simple: each man's career numbers are pro-rated by his actual number of batters faced to date this season; those data, labelled "proj:" are shown along with the man's actual stats from this year to date. At the bottom of the Table, each set of lines—"projected" and actual—is separately summed to get Team Totals for each dataset.

Note that "career to date" includes each man's stats for the current year: "to date" is literally correct. For veteran players, that matters little, but for rookies or players with litle prior major-league experience, it means that the "projection" will perforce nearly or exactly match the actual stats to date. That seems like the best way to deal with newly arrived players' stats.

Note that owing to rounding in the pro-rating process, projected total BFP (batters faced) may occasionally differ by 1.

Below the player/team table is a smaller table showing a few key team "rate" stats (such as batting average) actual and projected.

The Actual Data:

Through games of Sunday, 24 September 2017.
All results are from true, unadjusted data.

Handedness Key:   + R   * L

(You can also look up the stat definitions.)

Pitchers, listed in alphabetical order:
Each name is a click-on link to that man's career stats.

(or see the data for Batting)


Man AB H 2B 3B HR BB SF SH HBP SO SB CS BFP
Avilan, Luis 2017: 171 42 11 2 2 22 0 0 1 52 3 3 194
Avilan, Luis proj: 171 39 7 1 2 18 1 2 2 40 3 1 194
Baez, Pedro 2017: 236 53 12 3 9 29 0 0 2 57 2 1 267
Baez, Pedro proj: 241 52 11 2 8 21 2 2 2 68 2 2 268
Buehler, Walker 2017: 25 8 1 0 1 5 0 0 0 9 1 0 30
Buehler, Walker proj: 25 8 1 0 1 5 0 0 0 9 1 0 30
Castillo, Fabio 2017: 7 3 0 0 0 1 0 0 0 2 0 0 8
Castillo, Fabio proj: 7 3 0 0 0 1 0 0 0 2 0 0 8
Cingrani, Tony 2017: 63 13 1 0 1 5 0 1 0 26 1 0 69
Cingrani, Tony proj: 60 14 3 0 2 8 0 0 1 17 1 1 69
Darvish, Yu 2017: 164 42 9 0 7 13 0 1 0 52 4 0 178
Darvish, Yu proj: 159 35 7 1 5 16 1 0 1 53 4 1 177
Dayton, Grant 2017: 86 19 4 0 5 12 3 1 0 20 0 0 102
Dayton, Grant proj: 90 17 3 0 5 9 2 1 1 30 0 1 103
Fields, Josh 2017: 199 39 8 0 10 15 1 0 1 57 0 3 216
Fields, Josh proj: 195 45 10 2 6 18 2 1 1 61 3 2 217
Font, Wilmer 2017: 18 7 3 0 2 4 0 0 0 3 0 0 22
Font, Wilmer proj: 16 5 2 0 1 6 0 0 0 2 0 0 22
Hatcher, Chris 2017: 143 37 7 0 7 12 1 2 0 43 0 0 158
Hatcher, Chris proj: 142 37 7 1 5 13 1 1 1 38 1 0 158
Hill, Rich 2017: 465 97 15 2 18 47 2 3 9 156 12 6 526
Hill, Rich proj: 460 104 20 1 14 53 3 4 7 130 15 4 527
Jansen, Kenley 2017: 240 42 5 1 5 7 0 0 2 105 11 0 249
Jansen, Kenley proj: 228 39 6 1 5 17 1 1 2 100 7 1 249
Kershaw, Clayton 2017: 625 129 19 2 22 30 3 3 0 200 2 1 661
Kershaw, Clayton proj: 606 124 24 2 11 44 2 7 3 185 5 5 662
Liberatore, Adam 2017: 13 3 0 0 0 2 0 0 0 5 0 0 15
Liberatore, Adam proj: 13 3 1 0 0 1 0 0 0 4 0 0 14
Maeda, Kenta 2017: 496 117 26 1 22 33 4 6 4 137 4 2 543
Maeda, Kenta proj: 496 115 20 1 18 36 3 3 5 136 6 3 543
McCarthy, Brandon 2017: 334 84 13 1 5 25 3 4 3 68 10 3 369
McCarthy, Brandon proj: 339 90 18 1 10 23 3 2 2 64 8 2 369
Morrow, Brandon 2017: 157 30 3 0 0 8 0 0 1 50 3 0 166
Morrow, Brandon proj: 146 35 8 1 4 17 1 1 1 40 2 1 166
Paredes, Edward 2017: 27 7 0 0 1 0 0 0 0 9 1 0 27
Paredes, Edward proj: 27 7 0 0 1 0 0 0 0 9 1 0 27
Ravin, Josh 2017: 61 12 1 3 4 9 0 0 1 19 1 0 71
Ravin, Josh proj: 62 13 0 2 4 8 0 0 1 20 1 0 71
Romo, Sergio 2017: 96 23 6 0 7 12 0 0 0 31 1 1 108
Romo, Sergio proj: 100 21 4 0 3 6 0 1 1 31 2 1 108
Ryu, Hyun-Jin 2017: 476 122 27 2 19 44 1 3 4 115 2 1 528
Ryu, Hyun-Jin proj: 487 125 26 2 12 33 2 4 2 111 1 1 528
Stewart, Brock 2017: 117 27 3 0 4 18 1 2 1 27 1 0 139
Stewart, Brock proj: 121 31 3 0 6 16 1 2 1 27 2 1 141
Stripling, Ross 2017: 270 68 13 0 10 18 3 2 0 74 3 1 293
Stripling, Ross proj: 269 67 15 1 8 20 2 2 0 61 5 0 293
Urias, Julio 2017: 85 23 5 1 1 14 0 2 1 11 1 2 102
Urias, Julio proj: 89 24 5 0 1 10 0 1 1 22 2 1 101
Watson, Tony 2017: 64 14 2 0 2 6 0 2 2 16 2 1 74
Watson, Tony proj: 66 15 3 0 2 5 1 1 1 16 1 0 74
Wood, Alex 2017: 540 115 27 0 13 37 0 4 6 150 2 2 587
Wood, Alex proj: 531 131 23 2 11 41 3 7 4 133 4 3 586
2017 TEAM TOTALS: 5178 1176 221 18 177 428 22 36 38 1494 67 27 5702
PROJECTED: 5146 1199 227 21 145 445 31 43 40 1409 77 31 5705
difference: +32 -23 -6 -3 +32 -17 -9 -7 -2 +85 -10 -4 -3
Man AB H 2B 3B HR BB SF SH HBP SO SB CS BFP


Assorted Team Stats:
Stat Actual Projected
Batting Average: .227 .233
Slugging Average: .379 .370
Walks (per PA): .075 .078
SOs (per PA): .262 .247
On-Base Average: .288 .295
Power Factor: 1.67 1.59
OPS: .667 .665
TPP Runs (to date): 569 567

Runs differential:
Actual TPP 2 more than Projected TPP.




  Advertisement:


  Advertisement:



Want detailed, careful, unhysterical analysis of the effects of "Performance-Enhancing Drugs" in baseball? Click here to visit the Steroids & Baseball web site.

All content copyright © 2002 - 2017 by The Owlcroft Company.

This web page is strictly compliant with the W3C (World Wide Web Consortium) Extensible HyperText Markup Language (XHTML) Protocol v1.0 (Transitional) and the W3C Cascading Style Sheets (CSS) Protocol v3 — because we care about interoperability. Click on the logos below to test us!



This page was last modified on Monday, 25 September 2017, at 7:16 am Pacific Time.