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LAD "Expected" Pitching Results, 2018


About These Stats:

The form of "projection" used is very simple: each man's career numbers are pro-rated by his actual number of batters faced to date this season; those data, labelled "proj:" are shown along with the man's actual stats from this year to date. At the bottom of the Table, each set of lines—"projected" and actual—is separately summed to get Team Totals for each dataset.

Note that "career to date" includes each man's stats for the current year: "to date" is literally correct. For veteran players, that matters little, but for rookies or players with litle prior major-league experience, it means that the "projection" will perforce nearly or exactly match the actual stats to date. That seems like the best way to deal with newly arrived players' stats.

Note that owing to rounding in the pro-rating process, projected total BFP (batters faced) may occasionally differ by 1.

Below the player/team table is a smaller table showing a few key team "rate" stats (such as batting average) actual and projected.

The Actual Data:

Through games of Sunday, 17 June 2018.
All results are from true, unadjusted data.

Handedness Key:   + R   * L

(You can also look up the stat definitions.)

Pitchers, listed in alphabetical order:
Each name is a click-on link to that man's career stats.

(or see the data for Batting)


Man AB H 2B 3B HR BB SF SH HBP SO SB CS BFP
Alexander, Scott 2018: 101 25 3 1 1 16 0 0 1 21 1 1 118
Alexander, Scott proj: 104 27 3 1 1 12 1 0 0 23 1 0 117
Baez, Pedro 2018: 116 30 6 2 2 16 2 2 1 36 3 0 137
Baez, Pedro proj: 123 27 6 1 4 11 1 1 1 35 1 1 137
Buehler, Walker 2018: 187 38 7 0 2 11 2 0 2 54 1 1 202
Buehler, Walker proj: 183 40 7 0 3 16 2 0 2 54 2 1 203
Chargois, JT 2018: 64 17 5 0 2 12 0 0 1 23 4 1 77
Chargois, JT proj: 65 18 5 0 1 10 0 0 1 17 3 0 76
Cingrani, Tony 2018: 83 17 5 0 2 6 0 0 2 36 0 0 91
Cingrani, Tony proj: 79 18 4 0 3 10 1 1 1 24 1 1 92
Corcino, Daniel 2018: 14 2 0 0 0 3 0 0 1 1 0 0 18
Corcino, Daniel proj: 15 3 1 0 0 2 0 0 0 3 0 0 17
Ferguson, Caleb 2018: 40 9 1 0 2 6 0 0 2 12 0 0 48
Ferguson, Caleb proj: 40 9 1 0 2 6 0 0 2 12 0 0 48
Fields, Josh 2018: 112 21 5 0 4 8 0 0 0 26 1 0 120
Fields, Josh proj: 109 24 6 1 3 10 1 0 1 33 2 1 121
Font, Wilmer 2018: 47 18 1 0 5 1 0 0 0 7 0 1 48
Font, Wilmer proj: 42 12 1 0 3 6 0 0 0 8 0 0 48
Garcia, Yimi 2018: 55 15 3 0 3 2 0 0 2 9 0 0 59
Garcia, Yimi proj: 55 12 1 0 2 2 1 0 1 15 1 0 59
Goeddel, Erik 2018: 53 11 1 0 0 7 1 0 0 16 4 0 61
Goeddel, Erik proj: 54 12 3 0 2 6 1 0 0 16 1 0 61
Hill, Rich 2018: 99 30 5 0 7 13 0 3 0 25 4 1 115
Hill, Rich proj: 100 23 4 0 3 12 1 1 1 28 3 1 115
Hudson, Daniel 2018: 96 23 5 0 2 14 0 0 1 22 4 0 111
Hudson, Daniel proj: 100 25 5 1 3 8 1 1 1 23 2 1 111
Jansen, Kenley 2018: 123 22 3 0 4 9 0 0 0 33 7 0 132
Jansen, Kenley proj: 121 21 3 0 3 9 0 0 1 52 4 0 131
Kershaw, Clayton 2018: 189 44 9 0 7 11 0 0 0 53 0 0 200
Kershaw, Clayton proj: 183 38 7 1 3 13 1 2 1 56 2 1 200
Liberatore, Adam 2018: 40 8 1 1 1 5 0 1 0 11 0 1 46
Liberatore, Adam proj: 41 9 2 0 1 4 0 0 0 12 1 0 45
Maeda, Kenta 2018: 220 54 16 2 5 21 3 0 2 69 1 0 246
Maeda, Kenta proj: 224 53 10 1 8 17 2 1 2 63 2 1 246
Neal, Zach 2018: 5 2 0 0 1 0 0 0 0 0 0 0 5
Neal, Zach proj: 5 1 0 0 0 0 0 0 0 1 0 0 5
Paredes, Edward 2018: 13 1 0 1 0 0 0 0 1 5 2 0 14
Paredes, Edward proj: 14 3 0 0 0 0 0 0 0 5 1 0 14
Ryu, Hyun-Jin 2018: 104 16 3 2 3 10 0 0 1 36 0 0 115
Ryu, Hyun-Jin proj: 106 27 5 0 3 7 0 1 0 25 0 0 114
Santana, Dennis 2018: 16 6 1 1 0 1 0 1 1 4 0 0 19
Santana, Dennis proj: 16 6 1 1 0 1 0 1 1 4 0 0 19
Stewart, Brock 2018: 75 21 3 0 4 8 1 1 2 14 0 0 87
Stewart, Brock proj: 75 20 2 0 4 9 0 1 1 16 1 0 86
Stripling, Ross 2018: 250 56 10 0 6 11 0 1 0 78 0 2 262
Stripling, Ross proj: 243 59 12 1 7 16 1 2 0 60 3 1 262
Venditte, Pat 2018: 22 8 2 0 1 1 0 0 1 4 0 0 24
Venditte, Pat proj: 21 5 2 0 1 2 0 0 0 5 0 0 23
Wood, Alex 2018: 287 73 15 0 8 15 6 3 1 68 5 0 312
Wood, Alex proj: 283 70 12 1 6 21 2 4 2 70 3 2 312
2018 TEAM TOTALS: 2411 567 110 10 72 207 15 12 22 663 37 8 2667
PROJECTED: 2401 562 103 9 66 210 16 16 19 660 34 11 2662
difference: +10 +5 +7 +1 +6 -3 -1 -4 +3 +3 +3 -3 +5
Man AB H 2B 3B HR BB SF SH HBP SO SB CS BFP


Assorted Team Stats:
Stat Actual Projected
Batting Average: .235 .234
Slugging Average: .379 .367
Walks (per PA): .078 .079
SOs (per PA): .249 .247
On-Base Average: .298 .297
Power Factor: 1.61 1.57
OPS: .677 .664
TPP Runs (to date): 275 265

Runs differential:
Actual TPP 10 more than Projected TPP.




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This page was last modified on Monday, 18 June 2018, at 6:59 am Pacific Time.