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LAD "Expected" Pitching Results, 2017


About These Stats:

The form of "projection" used is very simple: each man's career numbers are pro-rated by his actual number of batters faced to date this season; those data, labelled "proj:" are shown along with the man's actual stats from this year to date. At the bottom of the Table, each set of lines—"projected" and actual—is separately summed to get Team Totals for each dataset.

Note that "career to date" includes each man's stats for the current year: "to date" is literally correct. For veteran players, that matters little, but for rookies or players with litle prior major-league experience, it means that the "projection" will perforce nearly or exactly match the actual stats to date. That seems like the best way to deal with newly arrived players' stats.

Note that owing to rounding in the pro-rating process, projected total BFP (batters faced) may occasionally differ by 1.

Below the player/team table is a smaller table showing a few key team "rate" stats (such as batting average) actual and projected.

The Actual Data:

Through games of Monday, 22 May 2017.
All results are from true, unadjusted data.

Handedness Key:   + R   * L

(You can also look up the stat definitions.)

Pitchers, listed in alphabetical order:
Each name is a click-on link to that man's career stats.

(or see the data for Batting)


Man AB H 2B 3B HR BB SF SH HBP SO SB CS BFP
Avilan, Luis 2017: 52 14 2 1 0 8 0 0 0 19 2 3 60
Avilan, Luis proj: 53 12 2 0 1 5 0 1 1 12 1 1 60
Baez, Pedro 2017: 64 10 2 0 2 11 0 0 0 18 1 1 75
Baez, Pedro proj: 68 14 3 0 2 5 1 1 0 20 1 1 75
Dayton, Grant 2017: 43 9 3 0 2 6 1 1 0 9 0 0 51
Dayton, Grant proj: 46 8 1 0 2 4 0 0 0 16 0 0 50
Fields, Josh 2017: 67 14 3 0 1 4 1 0 0 23 0 1 72
Fields, Josh proj: 65 15 4 1 1 6 1 0 0 21 1 0 72
Hatcher, Chris 2017: 87 25 6 0 4 4 1 2 0 30 0 0 94
Hatcher, Chris proj: 85 23 5 1 3 7 1 1 1 23 1 0 95
Hill, Rich 2017: 45 13 0 0 3 5 0 2 1 13 1 2 53
Hill, Rich proj: 46 11 2 0 1 5 0 0 1 13 2 0 52
Jansen, Kenley 2017: 64 13 0 1 1 0 0 0 0 32 4 0 64
Jansen, Kenley proj: 58 10 2 0 1 5 0 0 1 26 2 0 64
Kershaw, Clayton 2017: 229 48 7 2 7 8 1 0 0 62 1 0 238
Kershaw, Clayton proj: 218 45 9 1 4 16 1 2 1 66 2 2 238
Liberatore, Adam 2017: 5 1 0 0 0 1 0 0 0 1 0 0 6
Liberatore, Adam proj: 5 1 0 0 0 1 0 0 0 2 0 0 6
Maeda, Kenta 2017: 148 37 9 0 8 9 3 3 0 40 0 0 163
Maeda, Kenta proj: 149 35 6 0 5 11 1 1 1 41 2 1 163
McCarthy, Brandon 2017: 151 37 6 0 3 11 1 2 0 35 3 3 165
McCarthy, Brandon proj: 152 40 8 1 5 10 1 1 1 29 3 1 165
Romo, Sergio 2017: 55 14 4 0 3 8 0 0 0 17 0 1 63
Romo, Sergio proj: 58 12 3 0 1 3 0 1 1 18 1 0 63
Ryu, Hyun-Jin 2017: 143 42 11 1 8 15 1 0 4 36 1 1 163
Ryu, Hyun-Jin proj: 151 39 8 1 3 10 1 1 1 34 0 0 164
Stripling, Ross 2017: 87 25 6 0 0 5 1 2 0 28 2 0 95
Stripling, Ross proj: 87 22 5 1 2 6 0 1 0 19 2 0 94
Urias, Julio 2017: 85 23 5 1 1 14 0 2 1 11 1 2 102
Urias, Julio proj: 89 24 5 0 1 10 0 1 1 22 2 1 101
Wood, Alex 2017: 160 31 5 0 1 13 0 0 1 52 1 0 174
Wood, Alex proj: 157 40 6 1 3 13 1 2 1 39 1 1 174
2017 TEAM TOTALS: 1485 356 69 6 44 122 10 14 7 426 17 14 1638
PROJECTED: 1487 351 69 7 35 117 8 13 11 401 21 8 1636
difference: -2 +5 0 -1 +9 +5 +2 +1 -4 +25 -4 +6 +2
Man AB H 2B 3B HR BB SF SH HBP SO SB CS BFP


Assorted Team Stats:
Stat Actual Projected
Batting Average: .240 .236
Slugging Average: .383 .362
Walks (per PA): .074 .071
SOs (per PA): .260 .245
On-Base Average: .296 .293
Power Factor: 1.6 1.54
OPS: .679 .655
TPP Runs (to date): 165 158

Runs differential:
Actual TPP 7 more than Projected TPP.




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This page was last modified on Tuesday, 23 May 2017, at 6:59 am Pacific Time.