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MIA "Expected" Batting Results, 2017


About These Stats:

The form of "projection" used is very simple: each man's career numbers are pro-rated by his actual number of appearances to date this season; those data, labelled "proj:" are shown along with the man's actual stats from this year to date. At the bottom of the Table, each set of lines—"projected" and actual—is separately summed to get Team Totals for each dataset.

Note that "career to date" includes each man's stats for the current year: "to date" is literally correct. For veteran players, that matters little, but for rookies or players with litle prior major-league experience, it means that the "projection" will perforce nearly or exactly match the actual stats to date. That seems like the best way to deal with newly arrived players' stats.

Note that owing to rounding in the pro-rating process, projected total PA (plate appearances) may occasionally differ by 1.

Below the player/team table is a smaller table showing a few key team "rate" stats (such as batting average) actual and projected.

The Actual Data:

Through games of Thursday, 27 April 2017.
All results are from true, unadjusted data.

Handedness Key:   + R   * L   # S

(You can also look up the stat definitions.)

Batters, listed in alphabetical order:
Each name is a click-on link to that man's career stats.

(or see the data for Pitching)


Man AB H 2B 3B HR BB SF SH HBP SO SB CS PA
Bour, Justin 2017: 69 13 2 0 3 9 1 0 0 19 0 0 79
Bour, Justin proj: 71 18 3 0 4 8 0 0 0 17 0 0 79
Chen, Wei-Yin 2017: 6 1 0 0 0 0 0 0 0 3 0 0 6
Chen, Wei-Yin proj: 5 0 0 0 0 0 0 1 0 2 0 0 6
Conley, Adam 2017: 6 1 0 0 0 0 0 0 0 3 0 0 6
Conley, Adam proj: 5 1 0 0 0 0 0 1 0 3 0 0 6
Dietrich, Derek 2017: 40 9 1 1 0 4 0 0 4 10 0 0 48
Dietrich, Derek proj: 42 10 2 1 1 3 0 0 2 10 0 0 47
Ellis, A.J. 2017: 17 2 0 0 0 2 0 1 0 7 0 0 20
Ellis, A.J. proj: 17 4 1 0 0 2 0 0 0 4 0 0 19
Gordon, Dee 2017: 89 25 3 2 0 2 0 0 1 14 4 1 92
Gordon, Dee proj: 86 25 3 1 0 4 0 1 0 14 8 3 91
Hechavarria, Adeiny 2017: 37 9 1 0 0 1 0 0 0 4 0 0 38
Hechavarria, Adeiny proj: 36 9 1 0 0 2 0 0 0 6 0 0 38
Koehler, Tom 2017: 7 1 0 0 0 0 0 0 0 4 0 0 7
Koehler, Tom proj: 6 1 0 0 0 0 0 1 0 3 0 0 7
McGowan, Dustin 2017: 1 0 0 0 0 0 0 0 0 1 0 0 1
McGowan, Dustin proj: 1 0 0 0 0 0 0 0 0 1 0 0 1
Moore, Tyler 2017: 11 4 1 0 0 0 0 0 0 4 0 0 11
Moore, Tyler proj: 10 2 1 0 0 1 0 0 0 3 0 0 11
Ozuna, Marcell 2017: 80 22 2 0 6 6 1 0 0 24 0 0 87
Ozuna, Marcell proj: 81 21 4 1 3 6 0 0 0 20 0 0 87
Phelps, David 2017: 1 0 0 0 0 0 0 0 0 1 0 0 1
Phelps, David proj: 1 0 0 0 0 0 0 0 0 0 0 0 1
Prado, Martin 2017: 28 8 0 0 2 2 0 0 0 3 0 0 30
Prado, Martin proj: 27 8 2 0 1 2 0 0 0 3 0 0 29
Realmuto, J.T. 2017: 69 25 2 1 2 4 0 0 1 6 0 1 74
Realmuto, J.T. proj: 69 20 4 1 2 3 0 0 1 12 1 1 73
Rojas, Miguel 2017: 41 11 2 0 0 5 1 1 0 6 1 0 48
Rojas, Miguel proj: 43 10 2 0 0 3 0 1 0 6 0 0 47
Stanton, Giancarlo 2017: 77 22 2 0 7 9 1 0 0 22 0 0 87
Stanton, Giancarlo proj: 76 20 4 0 5 10 0 0 1 25 1 0 87
Straily, Dan 2017: 6 0 0 0 0 0 0 1 0 3 0 0 7
Straily, Dan proj: 6 0 0 0 0 0 0 1 0 4 0 0 7
Suzuki, Ichiro 2017: 24 4 1 0 1 0 0 0 0 7 0 0 24
Suzuki, Ichiro proj: 22 7 1 0 0 1 0 0 0 2 1 0 23
Urena, Jose 2017: 2 0 0 0 0 0 0 0 0 0 0 0 2
Urena, Jose proj: 2 0 0 0 0 0 0 0 0 1 0 0 2
Volquez, Edinson 2017: 6 3 0 0 0 0 0 1 0 1 0 0 7
Volquez, Edinson proj: 6 1 0 0 0 0 0 1 0 3 0 0 7
Wittgren, Nick 2017: 1 0 0 0 0 0 0 0 0 1 0 0 1
Wittgren, Nick proj: 1 0 0 0 0 0 0 0 0 1 0 0 1
Yelich, Christian 2017: 84 23 0 0 4 6 2 0 0 17 2 0 92
Yelich, Christian proj: 82 24 5 0 2 9 0 0 0 19 2 1 91
2017 TEAM TOTALS: 702 183 17 4 25 50 6 4 6 160 7 2 768
PROJECTED: 695 181 33 4 18 54 0 7 4 159 13 5 760
difference: +7 +2 -16 0 +7 -4 +6 -3 +2 +1 -6 -3 +8
Man AB H 2B 3B HR BB SF SH HBP SO SB CS PA


Assorted Team Stats:
Stat Actual Projected
Batting Average: .261 .260
Slugging Average: .403 .397
Walks (per PA): .065 .070
SOs (per PA): .208 .207
On-Base Average: .311 .314
Power Factor: 1.55 1.52
OPS: .714 .712
TOP Runs (to date): 89 86

Runs differential:
Actual TOP 3 more than Projected TOP.




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This page was last modified on Friday, 28 April 2017, at 6:56 am Pacific Time.