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MIA "Expected" Batting Results, 2017


About These Stats:

The form of "projection" used is very simple: each man's career numbers are pro-rated by his actual number of appearances to date this season; those data, labelled "proj:" are shown along with the man's actual stats from this year to date. At the bottom of the Table, each set of lines—"projected" and actual—is separately summed to get Team Totals for each dataset.

Note that "career to date" includes each man's stats for the current year: "to date" is literally correct. For veteran players, that matters little, but for rookies or players with litle prior major-league experience, it means that the "projection" will perforce nearly or exactly match the actual stats to date. That seems like the best way to deal with newly arrived players' stats.

Note that owing to rounding in the pro-rating process, projected total PA (plate appearances) may occasionally differ by 1.

Below the player/team table is a smaller table showing a few key team "rate" stats (such as batting average) actual and projected.

The Actual Data:

Through games of Sunday, 1 October 2017.
All results are from true, unadjusted data.

Handedness Key:   + R   * L   # S

(You can also look up the stat definitions.)

Batters, listed in alphabetical order:
Each name is a click-on link to that man's career stats.

(or see the data for Pitching)


Man AB H 2B 3B HR BB SF SH HBP SO SB CS PA
Anderson, Brian 2017: 84 22 7 1 0 10 1 0 0 28 0 0 95
Anderson, Brian proj: 84 22 7 1 0 10 1 0 0 28 0 0 95
Aviles, Mike 2017: 86 20 2 0 1 6 0 3 2 15 0 0 97
Aviles, Mike proj: 90 24 4 0 2 4 1 1 0 13 2 1 96
Barraclough, Kyle 2017: 1 0 0 0 0 0 0 0 0 1 0 0 1
Barraclough, Kyle proj: 1 0 0 0 0 0 0 0 0 1 0 0 1
Bour, Justin 2017: 377 109 18 0 25 47 4 0 1 95 1 0 429
Bour, Justin proj: 382 104 18 0 21 43 3 0 1 91 0 0 429
Chen, Wei-Yin 2017: 8 1 0 0 0 0 0 0 0 3 0 0 8
Chen, Wei-Yin proj: 7 0 0 0 0 0 0 1 0 3 0 0 8
Colon, Christian 2017: 33 5 1 0 0 4 0 1 0 7 0 0 38
Colon, Christian proj: 34 9 2 0 0 3 0 0 0 6 0 0 37
Conley, Adam 2017: 24 3 0 0 0 2 0 6 0 14 0 0 32
Conley, Adam proj: 26 4 0 0 0 1 0 4 0 14 0 0 31
Despaigne, Odrisamer 2017: 19 2 0 0 0 0 0 1 0 5 0 0 20
Despaigne, Odrisamer proj: 18 1 0 0 0 0 0 2 0 6 0 0 20
Dietrich, Derek 2017: 406 101 22 5 13 36 4 0 18 98 0 1 464
Dietrich, Derek proj: 405 101 21 5 13 34 4 1 21 100 1 1 465
Ellington, Brian 2017: 1 0 0 0 0 0 0 0 0 0 0 0 1
Ellington, Brian proj: 1 0 0 0 0 0 0 0 0 1 0 0 1
Ellis, A.J. 2017: 143 30 5 0 6 12 0 2 6 29 0 0 163
Ellis, A.J. proj: 138 33 6 0 3 20 1 2 2 29 0 0 163
Gordon, Dee 2017: 653 201 20 9 2 25 4 2 10 93 60 16 695
Gordon, Dee proj: 651 191 22 9 3 31 3 4 5 105 64 19 694
Guerra, Javy 2017: 1 0 0 0 0 0 0 0 0 1 0 0 1
Guerra, Javy proj: 1 0 0 0 0 1 0 0 0 1 0 0 2
Hechavarria, Adeiny 2017: 65 18 2 1 1 1 0 1 0 9 0 0 67
Hechavarria, Adeiny proj: 63 16 2 1 1 3 0 0 0 11 1 0 66
Koehler, Tom 2017: 21 1 0 0 0 0 0 0 0 15 0 0 21
Koehler, Tom proj: 18 2 0 0 0 0 0 2 0 10 0 0 20
Locke, Jeff 2017: 10 0 0 0 0 1 0 0 0 9 0 0 11
Locke, Jeff proj: 10 1 0 0 0 0 0 1 0 5 0 0 11
Lombardozzi, Steve 2017: 8 0 0 0 0 0 0 0 0 2 0 0 8
Lombardozzi, Steve proj: 8 2 0 0 0 0 0 0 0 1 0 0 8
McGowan, Dustin 2017: 6 0 0 0 0 0 0 1 0 6 0 0 7
McGowan, Dustin proj: 7 0 0 0 0 0 0 0 0 5 0 0 7
Moore, Tyler 2017: 187 43 14 0 6 10 4 1 1 56 0 0 203
Moore, Tyler proj: 188 43 11 0 7 12 1 0 1 56 1 0 202
Nicolino, Justin 2017: 11 0 0 0 0 0 0 2 0 2 0 0 13
Nicolino, Justin proj: 12 1 0 0 0 0 0 1 0 4 0 0 13
O'Grady, Chris 2017: 8 0 0 0 0 0 0 1 0 5 0 0 9
O'Grady, Chris proj: 8 0 0 0 0 0 0 1 0 5 0 0 9
Ozuna, Marcell 2017: 613 191 30 2 37 64 2 0 0 144 1 3 679
Ozuna, Marcell proj: 625 173 31 4 24 48 3 0 3 149 3 3 679
Peters, Dillon 2017: 9 0 0 0 0 0 0 2 0 8 0 0 11
Peters, Dillon proj: 9 0 0 0 0 0 0 2 0 8 0 0 11
Phelps, David 2017: 1 0 0 0 0 0 0 0 0 1 0 0 1
Phelps, David proj: 1 0 0 0 0 0 0 0 0 0 0 0 1
Prado, Martin 2017: 140 35 9 0 2 6 1 0 0 22 0 0 147
Prado, Martin proj: 134 39 8 1 3 10 1 1 1 16 1 1 147
Realmuto, J.T. 2017: 532 148 31 5 17 36 3 0 8 106 8 2 579
Realmuto, J.T. proj: 540 151 30 5 14 30 4 0 5 101 10 4 579
Riddle, JT 2017: 228 57 13 1 3 12 5 2 0 50 0 2 247
Riddle, JT proj: 228 57 13 1 3 12 5 2 0 50 0 2 247
Rojas, Miguel 2017: 272 79 16 2 1 27 2 1 4 32 2 1 306
Rojas, Miguel proj: 276 71 14 1 1 22 2 4 3 38 1 1 307
Stanton, Giancarlo 2017: 597 168 32 0 59 85 3 0 7 163 2 2 692
Stanton, Giancarlo proj: 601 161 34 2 45 82 3 0 6 191 6 2 692
Straily, Dan 2017: 55 4 1 0 0 1 0 8 0 33 0 0 64
Straily, Dan proj: 53 2 0 0 0 2 0 9 0 36 0 0 64
Suzuki, Ichiro 2017: 196 50 6 0 3 17 0 1 1 35 1 1 215
Suzuki, Ichiro proj: 199 62 7 2 2 13 1 1 1 22 10 2 215
Telis, Tomas 2017: 104 25 5 3 0 3 1 0 3 10 0 0 111
Telis, Tomas proj: 105 24 3 1 0 2 0 0 3 12 0 0 110
Urena, Jose 2017: 48 5 1 0 0 0 0 8 0 28 0 0 56
Urena, Jose proj: 48 6 1 0 0 1 0 7 0 30 0 0 56
Volquez, Edinson 2017: 26 5 0 0 0 1 1 2 0 11 0 0 30
Volquez, Edinson proj: 26 2 0 0 0 1 0 4 0 13 0 0 31
Wittgren, Nick 2017: 4 0 0 0 0 0 0 0 0 1 0 0 4
Wittgren, Nick proj: 4 0 0 0 0 0 0 0 0 1 0 0 4
Worley, Vance 2017: 22 4 0 0 0 0 0 5 0 8 0 0 27
Worley, Vance proj: 24 3 1 0 0 0 0 3 0 9 0 0 27
Yelich, Christian 2017: 602 170 36 2 18 80 6 0 6 137 16 2 695
Yelich, Christian proj: 612 178 36 3 15 74 3 1 4 143 18 4 694
2017 TEAM TOTALS: 5601 1497 271 31 194 486 41 50 67 1282 91 30 6247
PROJECTED: 5637 1483 271 36 157 459 36 54 56 1314 118 40 6242
difference: -36 +14 0 -5 +37 +27 +5 -4 +11 -32 -27 -10 +5
Man AB H 2B 3B HR BB SF SH HBP SO SB CS PA


Assorted Team Stats:
Stat Actual Projected
Batting Average: .267 .263
Slugging Average: .431 .407
Walks (per PA): .078 .073
SOs (per PA): .205 .210
On-Base Average: .328 .320
Power Factor: 1.61 1.55
OPS: .759 .728
TOP Runs (to date): 785 733

Runs differential:
Actual TOP 52 more than Projected TOP.




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This page was last modified on Monday, 2 October 2017, at 7:16 am Pacific Time.