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MIA "Expected" Batting Results, 2018


About These Stats:

The form of "projection" used is very simple: each man's career numbers are pro-rated by his actual number of appearances to date this season; those data, labelled "proj:" are shown along with the man's actual stats from this year to date. At the bottom of the Table, each set of lines—"projected" and actual—is separately summed to get Team Totals for each dataset.

Note that "career to date" includes each man's stats for the current year: "to date" is literally correct. For veteran players, that matters little, but for rookies or players with litle prior major-league experience, it means that the "projection" will perforce nearly or exactly match the actual stats to date. That seems like the best way to deal with newly arrived players' stats.

Note that owing to rounding in the pro-rating process, projected total PA (plate appearances) may occasionally differ by 1.

Below the player/team table is a smaller table showing a few key team "rate" stats (such as batting average) actual and projected.

The Actual Data:

Through games of Saturday, 21 April 2018.
All results are from true, unadjusted data.

Handedness Key:   + R   * L   # S

(You can also look up the stat definitions.)

Batters, listed in alphabetical order:
Each name is a click-on link to that man's career stats.

(or see the data for Pitching)


Man AB H 2B 3B HR BB SF SH HBP SO SB CS PA
Anderson, Brian 2018: 71 18 5 0 1 12 0 0 4 12 0 1 87
Anderson, Brian proj: 74 19 6 0 0 11 0 0 2 19 0 0 87
Bour, Justin 2018: 71 16 1 0 4 8 0 0 0 15 0 0 79
Bour, Justin proj: 70 19 3 0 4 8 0 0 0 17 0 0 78
Brinson, Lewis 2018: 70 11 0 0 3 3 0 0 1 26 1 0 75
Brinson, Lewis proj: 68 9 0 1 3 6 0 0 1 25 1 0 75
Castro, Starlin 2018: 80 24 2 0 0 8 2 0 0 18 1 0 90
Castro, Starlin proj: 84 24 4 1 2 4 1 0 1 15 1 1 90
Cooper, Garrett 2018: 7 1 0 0 0 1 0 0 1 3 0 0 9
Cooper, Garrett proj: 8 3 1 0 0 0 0 0 0 3 0 0 8
Despaigne, Odrisamer 2018: 3 1 0 0 0 0 0 0 0 1 0 0 3
Despaigne, Odrisamer proj: 3 0 0 0 0 0 0 0 0 1 0 0 3
Dietrich, Derek 2018: 88 23 1 1 2 3 0 0 4 19 0 0 95
Dietrich, Derek proj: 83 21 4 1 3 7 1 0 4 20 0 0 95
Garcia, Jarlin 2018: 4 0 0 0 0 0 0 0 0 2 0 0 4
Garcia, Jarlin proj: 4 0 0 0 0 0 0 0 0 2 0 0 4
Holaday, Bryan 2018: 33 6 1 0 0 3 0 0 0 3 0 0 36
Holaday, Bryan proj: 33 8 2 0 0 2 0 1 0 7 0 0 36
Lee, Braxton 2018: 17 3 0 0 0 1 0 0 0 8 0 0 18
Lee, Braxton proj: 17 3 0 0 0 1 0 0 0 8 0 0 18
Maybin, Cameron 2018: 56 12 4 0 0 8 1 0 0 19 1 1 65
Maybin, Cameron proj: 59 15 3 1 1 5 0 0 0 14 3 1 64
Peters, Dillon 2018: 5 1 0 0 0 1 0 1 0 1 0 0 7
Peters, Dillon proj: 5 0 0 0 0 0 0 1 0 4 0 0 6
Realmuto, J.T. 2018: 10 3 0 0 1 1 0 0 0 3 0 0 11
Realmuto, J.T. proj: 10 3 1 0 0 1 0 0 0 2 0 0 11
Richards, Trevor 2018: 6 0 0 0 0 0 0 0 0 3 0 0 6
Richards, Trevor proj: 6 0 0 0 0 0 0 0 0 3 0 0 6
Rivera, Yadiel 2018: 12 2 0 0 0 2 0 0 0 3 0 0 14
Rivera, Yadiel proj: 13 2 1 0 0 1 0 1 0 4 0 0 15
Rojas, Miguel 2018: 78 20 3 0 2 6 0 1 1 10 1 0 86
Rojas, Miguel proj: 78 20 4 0 1 6 1 1 1 11 0 0 87
Shuck, J.B. 2018: 24 7 0 1 0 1 0 0 1 5 0 0 26
Shuck, J.B. proj: 24 6 1 0 0 2 0 0 0 3 1 0 26
Smith, Caleb 2018: 4 0 0 0 0 0 0 0 0 3 0 0 4
Smith, Caleb proj: 4 0 0 0 0 0 0 0 0 3 0 0 4
Telis, Tomas 2018: 25 6 1 0 0 2 0 0 0 7 0 0 27
Telis, Tomas proj: 25 6 1 0 0 1 0 0 1 3 0 0 27
Urena, Jose 2018: 7 0 0 0 0 0 0 0 0 6 0 0 7
Urena, Jose proj: 6 1 0 0 0 0 0 1 0 4 0 0 7
Wallach, Chad 2018: 31 4 1 0 0 2 0 1 0 17 0 0 34
Wallach, Chad proj: 32 4 1 0 0 2 0 1 0 17 0 0 35
2018 TEAM TOTALS: 702 158 19 2 13 62 3 3 12 184 4 2 783
PROJECTED: 706 163 32 4 14 57 3 6 10 185 6 2 782
difference: -4 -5 -13 -2 -1 +5 0 -3 +2 -1 -2 0 +1
Man AB H 2B 3B HR BB SF SH HBP SO SB CS PA


Assorted Team Stats:
Stat Actual Projected
Batting Average: .225 .231
Slugging Average: .313 .347
Walks (per PA): .079 .073
SOs (per PA): .235 .236
On-Base Average: .296 .294
Power Factor: 1.39 1.5
OPS: .610 .641
TOP Runs (to date): 68 73

Runs differential:
Actual TOP 5 less than Projected TOP.




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This page was last modified on Sunday, 22 April 2018, at 6:52 am Pacific Time.