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MIA "Expected" Batting Results, 2017


About These Stats:

The form of "projection" used is very simple: each man's career numbers are pro-rated by his actual number of appearances to date this season; those data, labelled "proj:" are shown along with the man's actual stats from this year to date. At the bottom of the Table, each set of lines—"projected" and actual—is separately summed to get Team Totals for each dataset.

Note that "career to date" includes each man's stats for the current year: "to date" is literally correct. For veteran players, that matters little, but for rookies or players with litle prior major-league experience, it means that the "projection" will perforce nearly or exactly match the actual stats to date. That seems like the best way to deal with newly arrived players' stats.

Note that owing to rounding in the pro-rating process, projected total PA (plate appearances) may occasionally differ by 1.

Below the player/team table is a smaller table showing a few key team "rate" stats (such as batting average) actual and projected.

The Actual Data:

Through games of Friday, 18 August 2017.
All results are from true, unadjusted data.

Handedness Key:   + R   * L   # S

(You can also look up the stat definitions.)

Batters, listed in alphabetical order:
Each name is a click-on link to that man's career stats.

(or see the data for Pitching)


Man AB H 2B 3B HR BB SF SH HBP SO SB CS PA
Aviles, Mike 2017: 38 9 2 0 1 2 0 1 1 6 0 0 42
Aviles, Mike proj: 39 10 2 0 1 2 0 0 0 5 1 0 41
Barraclough, Kyle 2017: 1 0 0 0 0 0 0 0 0 1 0 0 1
Barraclough, Kyle proj: 1 0 0 0 0 0 0 0 0 1 0 0 1
Bour, Justin 2017: 301 87 15 0 21 36 1 0 1 75 1 0 339
Bour, Justin proj: 303 82 14 0 17 33 1 0 1 72 0 0 338
Chen, Wei-Yin 2017: 8 1 0 0 0 0 0 0 0 3 0 0 8
Chen, Wei-Yin proj: 7 0 0 0 0 0 0 1 0 3 0 0 8
Colon, Christian 2017: 33 5 1 0 0 4 0 1 0 7 0 0 38
Colon, Christian proj: 34 9 2 0 0 3 0 0 0 6 0 0 37
Conley, Adam 2017: 14 2 0 0 0 1 0 4 0 7 0 0 19
Conley, Adam proj: 16 2 0 0 0 0 0 3 0 8 0 0 19
Despaigne, Odrisamer 2017: 4 1 0 0 0 0 0 0 0 0 0 0 4
Despaigne, Odrisamer proj: 4 0 0 0 0 0 0 0 0 1 0 0 4
Dietrich, Derek 2017: 308 76 17 5 7 24 3 0 14 67 0 1 349
Dietrich, Derek proj: 305 76 16 4 9 25 3 0 16 74 1 1 349
Ellington, Brian 2017: 1 0 0 0 0 0 0 0 0 0 0 0 1
Ellington, Brian proj: 1 0 0 0 0 0 0 0 0 1 0 0 1
Ellis, A.J. 2017: 96 21 4 0 3 7 0 1 4 20 0 0 108
Ellis, A.J. proj: 92 22 4 0 2 13 1 1 1 19 0 0 108
Gordon, Dee 2017: 477 139 16 5 1 21 3 1 10 67 40 10 513
Gordon, Dee proj: 480 139 16 7 2 24 3 3 4 78 47 14 514
Hechavarria, Adeiny 2017: 65 18 2 1 1 1 0 1 0 9 0 0 67
Hechavarria, Adeiny proj: 63 16 2 1 0 3 0 0 0 11 1 0 66
Koehler, Tom 2017: 21 1 0 0 0 0 0 0 0 15 0 0 21
Koehler, Tom proj: 18 2 0 0 0 0 0 2 0 10 0 0 20
Locke, Jeff 2017: 10 0 0 0 0 1 0 0 0 9 0 0 11
Locke, Jeff proj: 10 1 0 0 0 0 0 1 0 5 0 0 11
Lombardozzi, Steve 2017: 8 0 0 0 0 0 0 0 0 2 0 0 8
Lombardozzi, Steve proj: 8 2 0 0 0 0 0 0 0 1 0 0 8
McGowan, Dustin 2017: 4 0 0 0 0 0 0 1 0 4 0 0 5
McGowan, Dustin proj: 5 0 0 0 0 0 0 0 0 3 0 0 5
Moore, Tyler 2017: 143 33 11 0 6 7 3 1 1 46 0 0 155
Moore, Tyler proj: 143 33 8 0 6 9 1 0 1 43 1 0 154
Nicolino, Justin 2017: 9 0 0 0 0 0 0 1 0 1 0 0 10
Nicolino, Justin proj: 9 0 0 0 0 0 0 1 0 3 0 0 10
O'Grady, Chris 2017: 8 0 0 0 0 0 0 1 0 5 0 0 9
O'Grady, Chris proj: 8 0 0 0 0 0 0 1 0 5 0 0 9
Ozuna, Marcell 2017: 456 138 25 1 27 46 2 0 0 109 0 2 504
Ozuna, Marcell proj: 464 127 24 3 17 35 3 0 2 111 2 2 504
Phelps, David 2017: 1 0 0 0 0 0 0 0 0 1 0 0 1
Phelps, David proj: 1 0 0 0 0 0 0 0 0 0 0 0 1
Prado, Martin 2017: 140 35 9 0 2 6 1 0 0 22 0 0 147
Prado, Martin proj: 134 39 8 1 3 10 1 1 1 16 1 1 147
Realmuto, J.T. 2017: 387 113 20 3 14 31 2 0 5 70 6 2 425
Realmuto, J.T. proj: 396 112 21 3 10 23 3 0 3 72 8 3 425
Riddle, JT 2017: 228 57 13 1 3 12 5 2 0 50 0 2 247
Riddle, JT proj: 228 57 13 1 3 12 5 2 0 50 0 2 247
Rojas, Miguel 2017: 150 44 5 1 0 15 1 1 2 16 2 1 169
Rojas, Miguel proj: 153 38 7 0 1 11 1 2 1 21 1 1 168
Stanton, Giancarlo 2017: 441 126 25 0 44 60 1 0 7 119 2 2 509
Stanton, Giancarlo proj: 442 119 25 1 33 60 2 0 5 142 5 2 509
Straily, Dan 2017: 41 1 0 0 0 1 0 8 0 24 0 0 50
Straily, Dan proj: 40 1 0 0 0 2 0 8 0 28 0 0 50
Suzuki, Ichiro 2017: 146 36 4 0 2 12 0 1 1 28 0 1 160
Suzuki, Ichiro proj: 148 46 5 1 2 10 1 1 1 16 8 2 161
Telis, Tomas 2017: 49 12 3 2 0 1 1 0 1 3 0 0 52
Telis, Tomas proj: 49 11 1 1 0 1 0 0 1 6 0 0 51
Urena, Jose 2017: 34 2 1 0 0 0 0 6 0 18 0 0 40
Urena, Jose proj: 34 3 1 0 0 1 0 5 0 20 0 0 40
Volquez, Edinson 2017: 26 5 0 0 0 1 1 2 0 11 0 0 30
Volquez, Edinson proj: 26 2 0 0 0 1 0 4 0 13 0 0 31
Wittgren, Nick 2017: 4 0 0 0 0 0 0 0 0 1 0 0 4
Wittgren, Nick proj: 4 0 0 0 0 0 0 0 0 1 0 0 4
Worley, Vance 2017: 12 3 0 0 0 0 0 5 0 4 0 0 17
Worley, Vance proj: 15 2 0 0 0 0 0 2 0 6 0 0 17
Yelich, Christian 2017: 443 124 27 0 13 57 5 0 5 99 10 1 511
Yelich, Christian proj: 451 131 27 2 11 54 3 1 3 105 13 3 512
2017 TEAM TOTALS: 4107 1089 200 19 145 346 29 38 52 919 61 22 4574
PROJECTED: 4131 1082 196 25 117 332 28 39 40 956 89 31 4570
difference: -24 +7 +4 -6 +28 +14 +1 -1 +12 -37 -28 -9 +4
Man AB H 2B 3B HR BB SF SH HBP SO SB CS PA


Assorted Team Stats:
Stat Actual Projected
Batting Average: .265 .262
Slugging Average: .429 .406
Walks (per PA): .076 .073
SOs (per PA): .201 .209
On-Base Average: .325 .318
Power Factor: 1.62 1.55
OPS: .754 .725
TOP Runs (to date): 567 532

Runs differential:
Actual TOP 35 more than Projected TOP.




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This page was last modified on Saturday, 19 August 2017, at 7:11 am Pacific Time.