Owing to the screen size of your device, you may obtain a better viewing experience by rotating your device a quarter-turn (to get the so-called "panorama" screen view).
owlcroft logo
An Owlcroft Company web site
Click here to email us.

The Owlcroft Baseball-Analysis Site

Baseball team and player performance examined realistically and accurately.

Search this site, or just roll your cursor over the colored boxes below the pictures.

  Advertisement:


  Advertisement:


MIA "Expected" Pitching Results, 2018


About These Stats:

The form of "projection" used is very simple: each man's career numbers are pro-rated by his actual number of batters faced to date this season; those data, labelled "proj:" are shown along with the man's actual stats from this year to date. At the bottom of the Table, each set of lines—"projected" and actual—is separately summed to get Team Totals for each dataset.

Note that "career to date" includes each man's stats for the current year: "to date" is literally correct. For veteran players, that matters little, but for rookies or players with litle prior major-league experience, it means that the "projection" will perforce nearly or exactly match the actual stats to date. That seems like the best way to deal with newly arrived players' stats.

Note that owing to rounding in the pro-rating process, projected total BFP (batters faced) may occasionally differ by 1.

Below the player/team table is a smaller table showing a few key team "rate" stats (such as batting average) actual and projected.

The Actual Data:

Through games of Friday, 20 July 2018.
All results are from true, unadjusted data.

Handedness Key:   + R   * L

(You can also look up the stat definitions.)

Pitchers, listed in alphabetical order:
Each name is a click-on link to that man's career stats.

(or see the data for Batting)


Man AB H 2B 3B HR BB SF SH HBP SO SB CS BFP
Alcantara, Sandy 2018: 16 3 2 0 0 5 0 0 0 2 0 0 21
Alcantara, Sandy proj: 17 4 1 0 1 4 0 0 0 4 0 0 21
Barraclough, Kyle 2018: 143 18 4 0 3 23 1 1 2 47 1 0 170
Barraclough, Kyle proj: 142 25 5 0 2 24 2 1 1 53 4 1 170
Chen, Wei-Yin 2018: 284 80 20 1 11 28 4 3 1 57 2 0 320
Chen, Wei-Yin proj: 295 78 17 1 11 19 3 2 2 59 2 1 321
Cloyd, Tyler 2018: 76 25 8 1 3 10 0 0 1 13 0 0 87
Cloyd, Tyler proj: 78 24 7 1 3 7 0 1 1 14 1 0 87
Conley, Adam 2018: 86 13 4 0 3 9 3 0 0 31 0 0 98
Conley, Adam proj: 85 22 4 1 3 9 1 1 2 20 1 0 98
Despaigne, Odrisamer 2018: 79 22 6 0 1 8 2 1 1 18 0 0 91
Despaigne, Odrisamer proj: 81 22 4 1 2 7 1 1 1 13 1 0 91
Garcia, Jarlin 2018: 187 41 6 1 13 21 1 1 0 32 3 2 210
Garcia, Jarlin proj: 187 42 7 1 9 18 1 1 2 36 2 2 209
Gonzalez, Merandy 2018: 74 23 3 1 3 8 0 0 0 16 1 0 82
Gonzalez, Merandy proj: 74 23 3 1 3 8 0 0 0 16 1 0 82
Graves, Brett 2018: 28 10 3 0 0 3 0 0 2 3 2 0 33
Graves, Brett proj: 28 10 3 0 0 3 0 0 2 3 2 0 33
Guerra, Javy 2018: 24 3 2 0 1 3 0 0 0 9 0 0 27
Guerra, Javy proj: 23 6 1 0 0 3 0 0 0 5 0 0 26
Guerrero, Tayron 2018: 157 39 9 1 3 24 1 0 2 54 4 1 184
Guerrero, Tayron proj: 157 40 10 1 3 24 1 0 2 51 4 1 184
Hernandez, Elieser 2018: 168 50 9 2 7 19 2 3 1 27 0 4 193
Hernandez, Elieser proj: 168 50 9 2 7 19 2 3 1 27 0 4 193
Holaday, Bryan 2018: 3 0 0 0 0 0 0 0 0 1 0 0 3
Holaday, Bryan proj: 3 0 0 0 0 0 0 0 0 0 0 0 3
Lopez, Pablo 2018: 65 17 4 0 3 6 0 1 0 14 1 1 72
Lopez, Pablo proj: 65 17 4 0 3 6 0 1 0 14 1 1 72
Meyer, Ben 2018: 41 9 3 0 0 5 1 0 1 7 0 0 48
Meyer, Ben proj: 41 9 3 0 0 5 1 0 1 7 0 0 48
O'Grady, Chris 2018: 28 7 2 0 2 4 0 0 0 8 0 0 32
O'Grady, Chris proj: 27 7 2 0 1 4 0 0 0 7 0 0 31
Peters, Dillon 2018: 111 34 7 0 4 15 1 1 1 17 1 2 129
Peters, Dillon proj: 110 32 6 0 3 16 0 0 1 21 0 1 127
Richards, Trevor 2018: 239 66 17 1 5 31 3 3 3 57 1 3 279
Richards, Trevor proj: 239 66 17 1 5 31 3 3 3 57 1 3 279
Rucinski, Drew 2018: 63 12 2 0 1 3 0 0 1 14 1 0 67
Rucinski, Drew proj: 60 17 3 0 2 5 0 0 1 13 2 0 66
Smith, Caleb 2018: 286 63 16 1 10 33 2 2 3 88 2 4 326
Smith, Caleb proj: 286 66 16 1 11 34 2 2 2 84 2 3 326
Steckenrider, Drew 2018: 158 36 6 1 2 20 1 0 2 50 5 2 181
Steckenrider, Drew proj: 158 36 6 1 3 21 1 0 1 57 4 2 181
Straily, Dan 2018: 289 66 13 0 13 37 1 3 4 63 4 6 334
Straily, Dan proj: 295 70 15 1 13 30 2 3 4 68 5 3 334
Tazawa, Junichi 2018: 85 28 8 0 6 13 1 0 0 24 0 1 99
Tazawa, Junichi proj: 91 24 5 1 3 6 1 0 1 22 1 0 99
Turner, Jacob 2018: 29 13 5 0 1 5 1 0 0 2 1 0 35
Turner, Jacob proj: 31 9 2 0 1 3 0 0 0 5 1 0 34
Urena, Jose 2018: 406 105 21 2 10 28 3 3 8 89 4 5 448
Urena, Jose proj: 397 104 20 3 13 36 4 3 8 71 2 2 448
Wittgren, Nick 2018: 88 23 7 1 0 13 1 1 0 20 0 1 103
Wittgren, Nick proj: 93 25 6 1 2 7 1 1 0 22 0 1 102
Ziegler, Brad 2018: 181 49 7 1 7 16 1 0 2 34 0 1 200
Ziegler, Brad proj: 179 44 8 1 2 17 1 1 2 33 1 1 200
2018 TEAM TOTALS: 3394 855 194 14 112 390 30 23 35 797 33 33 3872
PROJECTED: 3410 872 184 19 106 366 27 24 38 782 38 26 3865
difference: -16 -17 +10 -5 +6 +24 +3 -1 -3 +15 -5 +7 +7
Man AB H 2B 3B HR BB SF SH HBP SO SB CS BFP


Assorted Team Stats:
Stat Actual Projected
Batting Average: .252 .256
Slugging Average: .416 .414
Walks (per PA): .101 .095
SOs (per PA): .206 .202
On-Base Average: .331 .330
Power Factor: 1.65 1.62
OPS: .747 .744
TPP Runs (to date): 458 460

Runs differential:
Actual TPP 2 less than Projected TPP.




  Advertisement:


  Advertisement:



Want detailed, careful, unhysterical analysis of the effects of "Performance-Enhancing Drugs" in baseball? Click here to visit the Steroids & Baseball web site.

All content copyright © 2002 - 2018 by The Owlcroft Company.

This web page is strictly compliant with the W3C (World Wide Web Consortium) Extensible HyperText Markup Language (XHTML) Protocol v1.0 (Transitional) and the W3C Cascading Style Sheets (CSS) Protocol v3 — because we care about interoperability. Click on the logos below to test us!



This page was last modified on Saturday, 21 July 2018, at 6:59 am Pacific Time.