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MIA "Expected" Pitching Results, 2018


About These Stats:

The form of "projection" used is very simple: each man's career numbers are pro-rated by his actual number of batters faced to date this season; those data, labelled "proj:" are shown along with the man's actual stats from this year to date. At the bottom of the Table, each set of lines—"projected" and actual—is separately summed to get Team Totals for each dataset.

Note that "career to date" includes each man's stats for the current year: "to date" is literally correct. For veteran players, that matters little, but for rookies or players with litle prior major-league experience, it means that the "projection" will perforce nearly or exactly match the actual stats to date. That seems like the best way to deal with newly arrived players' stats.

Note that owing to rounding in the pro-rating process, projected total BFP (batters faced) may occasionally differ by 1.

Below the player/team table is a smaller table showing a few key team "rate" stats (such as batting average) actual and projected.

The Actual Data:

Through games of Saturday, 21 April 2018.
All results are from true, unadjusted data.

Handedness Key:   + R   * L

(You can also look up the stat definitions.)

Pitchers, listed in alphabetical order:
Each name is a click-on link to that man's career stats.

(or see the data for Batting)


Man AB H 2B 3B HR BB SF SH HBP SO SB CS BFP
Barraclough, Kyle 2018: 31 5 2 0 2 4 0 0 0 15 0 0 35
Barraclough, Kyle proj: 29 6 1 0 0 5 0 0 0 11 1 0 34
Cloyd, Tyler 2018: 20 8 3 0 1 2 0 0 1 5 0 0 23
Cloyd, Tyler proj: 21 6 2 0 1 2 0 0 0 4 0 0 23
Despaigne, Odrisamer 2018: 54 16 5 0 1 4 2 1 1 12 0 0 62
Despaigne, Odrisamer proj: 55 15 3 0 1 5 0 1 1 9 1 0 62
Garcia, Jarlin 2018: 66 6 1 1 1 11 0 0 0 13 2 2 77
Garcia, Jarlin proj: 68 14 3 1 2 7 1 1 1 14 1 1 78
Gonzalez, Merandy 2018: 8 3 0 0 0 0 0 0 0 1 0 0 8
Gonzalez, Merandy proj: 8 3 0 0 0 0 0 0 0 1 0 0 8
Guerrero, Tayron 2018: 45 12 3 0 1 6 1 0 1 21 1 0 53
Guerrero, Tayron proj: 45 13 3 0 1 6 1 0 1 18 1 0 53
Holaday, Bryan 2018: 3 0 0 0 0 0 0 0 0 1 0 0 3
Holaday, Bryan proj: 3 0 0 0 0 0 0 0 0 0 0 0 3
O'Grady, Chris 2018: 28 7 2 0 2 4 0 0 0 8 0 0 32
O'Grady, Chris proj: 27 7 2 0 1 4 0 0 0 7 0 0 31
Peters, Dillon 2018: 76 22 4 0 4 11 0 1 1 12 1 2 89
Peters, Dillon proj: 76 21 4 0 3 12 0 0 1 15 0 1 89
Richards, Trevor 2018: 75 21 7 1 3 11 1 0 2 14 0 2 89
Richards, Trevor proj: 75 21 7 1 3 11 1 0 2 14 0 2 89
Smith, Caleb 2018: 63 16 5 0 3 15 0 0 0 22 2 0 78
Smith, Caleb proj: 66 18 4 0 3 12 0 0 0 19 1 0 78
Steckenrider, Drew 2018: 37 8 2 0 0 3 0 0 1 14 1 2 41
Steckenrider, Drew proj: 36 8 1 0 1 4 0 0 0 15 1 1 40
Tazawa, Junichi 2018: 41 10 2 0 5 8 1 0 0 14 0 1 50
Tazawa, Junichi proj: 46 12 2 0 1 3 0 0 0 11 1 0 49
Turner, Jacob 2018: 29 13 5 0 1 5 1 0 0 2 1 0 35
Turner, Jacob proj: 31 9 2 0 1 3 0 0 0 5 1 0 34
Urena, Jose 2018: 100 27 7 0 3 9 2 0 4 21 1 1 115
Urena, Jose proj: 101 27 5 1 3 10 1 1 2 17 1 0 115
Wittgren, Nick 2018: 3 1 0 0 0 0 0 0 0 1 0 1 3
Wittgren, Nick proj: 3 1 0 0 0 0 0 0 0 1 0 0 3
Ziegler, Brad 2018: 39 13 4 0 1 2 0 0 1 6 0 0 42
Ziegler, Brad proj: 38 9 2 0 0 4 0 0 0 7 0 0 42
2018 TEAM TOTALS: 718 188 52 2 28 95 8 2 12 182 9 11 835
PROJECTED: 728 190 41 3 21 88 4 3 8 168 9 5 831
difference: -10 -2 +11 -1 +7 +7 +4 -1 +4 +14 0 +6 +4
Man AB H 2B 3B HR BB SF SH HBP SO SB CS BFP


Assorted Team Stats:
Stat Actual Projected
Batting Average: .262 .261
Slugging Average: .457 .412
Walks (per PA): .114 .105
SOs (per PA): .218 .201
On-Base Average: .353 .344
Power Factor: 1.74 1.58
OPS: .810 .756
TPP Runs (to date): 111 102

Runs differential:
Actual TPP 9 more than Projected TPP.




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This page was last modified on Sunday, 22 April 2018, at 6:52 am Pacific Time.