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MIA "Expected" Pitching Results, 2019


About These Stats:

The form of "projection" used is very simple: each man's career numbers are pro-rated by his actual number of batters faced to date this season; those data, labelled "proj:" are shown along with the man's actual stats from this year to date. At the bottom of the Table, each set of lines—"projected" and actual—is separately summed to get Team Totals for each dataset.

Note that "career to date" includes each man's stats for the current year: "to date" is literally correct. For veteran players, that matters little, but for rookies or players with litle prior major-league experience, it means that the "projection" will perforce nearly or exactly match the actual stats to date. That seems like the best way to deal with newly arrived players' stats.

Note that owing to rounding in the pro-rating process, projected total BFP (batters faced) may occasionally differ by 1.

Below the player/team table is a smaller table showing a few key team "rate" stats (such as batting average) actual and projected.

The Actual Data:

Through games of Thursday, 22 August 2019.
All results are from true, unadjusted data.

Handedness Key:   + R   * L

(You can also look up the stat definitions.)

Pitchers, listed in alphabetical order:
Each name is a click-on link to that man's career stats.

(or see the data for Batting)


Man AB H 2B 3B HR BB SF SH HBP SO SB CS BFP
Alcantara, Sandy 2019: 560 136 36 1 17 71 1 4 7 108 12 2 643
Alcantara, Sandy proj: 551 132 35 1 17 78 2 5 7 115 10 3 643
Anderson, Nick 2019: 168 40 8 2 5 16 1 0 1 69 1 1 186
Anderson, Nick proj: 171 38 9 2 4 14 1 0 1 74 1 1 187
Brice, Austin 2019: 167 36 4 0 7 17 1 0 7 43 2 0 192
Brice, Austin proj: 170 41 7 0 8 15 1 1 5 40 3 1 192
Brigham, Jeff 2019: 91 25 3 1 6 10 1 0 0 29 3 0 102
Brigham, Jeff proj: 85 23 5 1 5 13 2 0 1 23 3 0 101
Chen, Wei-Yin 2019: 221 70 13 2 14 13 2 1 5 50 0 0 242
Chen, Wei-Yin proj: 223 59 13 1 8 15 2 1 1 46 2 1 242
Conley, Adam 2019: 205 64 15 3 9 21 0 1 2 43 1 2 229
Conley, Adam proj: 200 53 11 2 7 21 2 2 3 45 2 1 228
Dugger, Robert 2019: 18 5 0 0 2 4 1 0 2 3 0 0 25
Dugger, Robert proj: 18 5 0 0 2 4 1 0 2 3 0 0 25
Gallen, Zac 2019: 131 25 6 0 3 18 0 0 2 43 2 2 151
Gallen, Zac proj: 129 28 6 0 2 19 1 0 1 42 3 2 150
Garcia, Jarlin 2019: 137 29 3 1 2 11 1 0 2 29 1 1 151
Garcia, Jarlin proj: 135 31 5 1 6 13 1 1 1 26 2 1 151
Guerrero, Tayron 2019: 145 33 8 0 6 33 3 0 6 40 2 1 187
Guerrero, Tayron proj: 156 40 8 0 6 26 2 0 4 44 2 1 188
Hernandez, Elieser 2019: 217 53 10 2 16 21 1 2 8 60 1 0 249
Hernandez, Elieser proj: 218 57 10 2 13 22 1 2 5 49 0 2 248
Holaday, Bryan 2019: 1 0 0 0 0 0 0 0 0 0 0 0 1
Holaday, Bryan proj: 1 0 0 0 0 0 0 0 0 0 0 0 1
Keller, Kyle 2019: 6 1 0 0 1 1 0 0 0 1 1 0 7
Keller, Kyle proj: 6 1 0 0 1 1 0 0 0 1 1 0 7
Kinley, Tyler 2019: 131 34 4 0 4 26 1 1 1 33 1 0 160
Kinley, Tyler proj: 132 36 6 0 4 25 1 1 1 34 2 0 160
Lopez, Pablo 2019: 290 68 16 1 8 18 1 0 5 73 0 1 314
Lopez, Pablo proj: 287 69 17 1 9 20 2 1 5 67 2 1 315
Noesi, Hector 2019: 57 14 3 0 6 9 1 0 0 13 0 1 67
Noesi, Hector proj: 60 17 3 0 3 6 1 0 0 11 1 0 67
Quijada, Jose 2019: 88 21 5 0 9 19 0 1 2 34 1 0 110
Quijada, Jose proj: 88 21 5 0 9 19 0 1 2 34 1 0 110
Richards, Trevor 2019: 419 104 20 3 16 51 4 4 5 103 3 3 483
Richards, Trevor proj: 422 107 22 4 15 49 4 4 5 110 4 4 484
Romo, Sergio 2019: 140 33 8 0 4 13 3 0 0 33 5 0 156
Romo, Sergio proj: 144 30 6 0 4 9 1 1 1 43 3 1 156
Smith, Caleb 2019: 423 86 18 2 23 43 4 2 3 138 4 3 475
Smith, Caleb proj: 420 91 20 2 20 46 4 2 3 131 3 4 475
Stanek, Ryne 2019: 27 8 2 0 3 6 1 0 0 9 2 0 34
Stanek, Ryne proj: 30 7 1 0 1 4 0 0 0 10 1 0 34
Steckenrider, Drew 2019: 52 9 0 0 6 5 0 0 1 14 0 0 58
Steckenrider, Drew proj: 51 11 1 0 2 6 0 0 0 17 1 0 57
Urena, Jose 2019: 294 85 21 0 10 23 2 1 2 51 0 1 322
Urena, Jose proj: 287 74 15 2 10 26 2 2 5 51 1 1 322
Yamamoto, Jordan 2019: 229 41 8 0 10 26 2 0 5 66 4 2 262
Yamamoto, Jordan proj: 229 41 8 0 10 26 2 0 5 66 4 2 262
2019 TEAM TOTALS: 4217 1020 211 18 187 475 31 17 66 1085 46 20 4806
PROJECTED: 4213 1012 213 19 166 477 33 24 58 1082 52 26 4805
difference: +4 +8 -2 -1 +21 -2 -2 -7 +8 +3 -6 -6 +1
Man AB H 2B 3B HR BB SF SH HBP SO SB CS BFP


Assorted Team Stats:
Stat Actual Projected
Batting Average: .242 .240
Slugging Average: .433 .418
Walks (per PA): .099 .099
SOs (per PA): .226 .225
On-Base Average: .325 .322
Power Factor: 1.79 1.74
OPS: .758 .740
TPP Runs (to date): 596 570

Runs differential:
Actual TPP 26 more than Projected TPP.




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This page was last modified on Friday, 23 August 2019, at 7:05 am Pacific Time.