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MIA "Expected" Pitching Results, 2019


About These Stats:

The form of "projection" used is very simple: each man's career numbers are pro-rated by his actual number of batters faced to date this season; those data, labelled "proj:" are shown along with the man's actual stats from this year to date. At the bottom of the Table, each set of lines—"projected" and actual—is separately summed to get Team Totals for each dataset.

Note that "career to date" includes each man's stats for the current year: "to date" is literally correct. For veteran players, that matters little, but for rookies or players with litle prior major-league experience, it means that the "projection" will perforce nearly or exactly match the actual stats to date. That seems like the best way to deal with newly arrived players' stats.

Note that owing to rounding in the pro-rating process, projected total BFP (batters faced) may occasionally differ by 1.

Below the player/team table is a smaller table showing a few key team "rate" stats (such as batting average) actual and projected.

The Actual Data:

Through games of Tuesday, 25 June 2019.
All results are from true, unadjusted data.

Handedness Key:   + R   * L

(You can also look up the stat definitions.)

Pitchers, listed in alphabetical order:
Each name is a click-on link to that man's career stats.

(or see the data for Batting)


Man AB H 2B 3B HR BB SF SH HBP SO SB CS BFP
Alcantara, Sandy 2019: 332 84 23 0 6 42 1 4 3 64 7 1 382
Alcantara, Sandy proj: 325 79 22 0 7 48 2 4 3 70 5 2 382
Anderson, Nick 2019: 121 29 6 1 4 13 1 0 1 52 1 0 136
Anderson, Nick proj: 121 29 6 1 4 13 1 0 1 52 1 0 136
Brice, Austin 2019: 117 24 2 0 3 14 1 0 5 28 1 0 137
Brice, Austin proj: 121 29 5 0 6 11 1 1 4 28 2 1 138
Brigham, Jeff 2019: 30 8 1 0 2 6 0 0 0 11 3 0 36
Brigham, Jeff proj: 28 8 2 0 1 6 1 0 1 7 2 0 36
Chen, Wei-Yin 2019: 124 37 7 2 6 10 1 1 2 29 0 0 138
Chen, Wei-Yin proj: 127 33 7 1 5 8 1 1 1 26 1 0 138
Conley, Adam 2019: 123 36 9 2 5 12 0 1 2 30 0 1 138
Conley, Adam proj: 121 31 6 1 4 13 1 1 2 28 1 0 138
Gallen, Zac 2019: 20 5 1 0 0 2 0 0 0 6 0 0 22
Gallen, Zac proj: 20 5 1 0 0 2 0 0 0 6 0 0 22
Garcia, Jarlin 2019: 71 15 2 1 1 7 1 0 1 14 1 0 80
Garcia, Jarlin proj: 71 17 3 1 3 7 1 0 1 13 1 1 80
Guerrero, Tayron 2019: 106 23 6 0 3 20 2 0 3 32 2 1 131
Guerrero, Tayron proj: 112 29 6 0 4 16 1 0 2 32 2 1 131
Hernandez, Elieser 2019: 72 18 3 1 3 4 1 0 1 19 0 0 78
Hernandez, Elieser proj: 69 19 3 1 3 7 1 1 1 14 0 1 79
Kinley, Tyler 2019: 96 29 3 0 3 19 1 1 1 28 1 0 118
Kinley, Tyler proj: 97 30 5 0 3 18 1 1 1 28 2 0 118
Lopez, Pablo 2019: 290 68 16 1 8 18 1 0 5 73 0 1 314
Lopez, Pablo proj: 287 69 17 1 9 20 2 1 5 67 2 1 315
Quijada, Jose 2019: 17 3 1 0 1 6 0 0 1 5 0 0 24
Quijada, Jose proj: 17 3 1 0 1 6 0 0 1 5 0 0 24
Richards, Trevor 2019: 326 76 13 3 11 38 4 4 5 80 1 2 377
Richards, Trevor proj: 328 80 16 3 11 38 3 4 4 86 2 2 377
Romo, Sergio 2019: 104 25 6 0 4 13 3 0 0 23 4 0 120
Romo, Sergio proj: 110 23 5 0 3 7 1 1 1 33 2 1 120
Smith, Caleb 2019: 237 47 11 1 13 20 1 1 1 82 1 2 260
Smith, Caleb proj: 231 51 12 1 10 24 2 1 2 73 1 2 260
Steckenrider, Drew 2019: 52 9 0 0 6 5 0 0 1 14 0 0 58
Steckenrider, Drew proj: 51 11 1 0 2 6 0 0 0 17 1 0 57
Urena, Jose 2019: 294 85 21 0 10 23 2 1 2 51 0 1 322
Urena, Jose proj: 287 74 15 2 10 26 2 2 5 51 1 1 322
Yamamoto, Jordan 2019: 61 7 2 0 0 8 0 0 0 19 0 1 69
Yamamoto, Jordan proj: 61 7 2 0 0 8 0 0 0 19 0 1 69
2019 TEAM TOTALS: 2593 628 133 12 89 280 20 13 34 660 22 10 2940
PROJECTED: 2584 627 135 12 86 284 21 18 35 655 26 14 2942
difference: +9 +1 -2 0 +3 -4 -1 -5 -1 +5 -4 -4 -2
Man AB H 2B 3B HR BB SF SH HBP SO SB CS BFP


Assorted Team Stats:
Stat Actual Projected
Batting Average: .242 .243
Slugging Average: .406 .404
Walks (per PA): .095 .097
SOs (per PA): .224 .223
On-Base Average: .320 .322
Power Factor: 1.68 1.67
OPS: .726 .726
TPP Runs (to date): 337 336

Runs differential:
Actual TPP 1 more than Projected TPP.




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This page was last modified on Wednesday, 26 June 2019, at 6:58 am Pacific Time.