Owing to the screen size of your device, you may obtain a better viewing experience by rotating your device a quarter-turn (to get the so-called "panorama" screen view).
owlcroft logo
An Owlcroft Company web site
Click here to email us.

The Owlcroft Baseball-Analysis Site

Baseball team and player performance examined realistically and accurately.

Search this site, or just roll your cursor over the colored boxes below the pictures.

  Advertisement:


  Advertisement:


MIA "Expected" Pitching Results, 2017


About These Stats:

The form of "projection" used is very simple: each man's career numbers are pro-rated by his actual number of batters faced to date this season; those data, labelled "proj:" are shown along with the man's actual stats from this year to date. At the bottom of the Table, each set of lines—"projected" and actual—is separately summed to get Team Totals for each dataset.

Note that "career to date" includes each man's stats for the current year: "to date" is literally correct. For veteran players, that matters little, but for rookies or players with litle prior major-league experience, it means that the "projection" will perforce nearly or exactly match the actual stats to date. That seems like the best way to deal with newly arrived players' stats.

Note that owing to rounding in the pro-rating process, projected total BFP (batters faced) may occasionally differ by 1.

Below the player/team table is a smaller table showing a few key team "rate" stats (such as batting average) actual and projected.

The Actual Data:

Through games of Friday, 18 August 2017.
All results are from true, unadjusted data.

Handedness Key:   + R   * L

(You can also look up the stat definitions.)

Pitchers, listed in alphabetical order:
Each name is a click-on link to that man's career stats.

(or see the data for Batting)


Man AB H 2B 3B HR BB SF SH HBP SO SB CS BFP
Barraclough, Kyle 2017: 177 40 5 0 4 31 3 2 1 53 5 1 214
Barraclough, Kyle proj: 177 34 7 1 2 32 2 1 1 68 6 2 213
Cervenka, Hunter 2017: 12 1 0 0 0 8 1 1 2 6 0 0 24
Cervenka, Hunter proj: 19 4 1 0 0 4 0 0 0 6 1 0 23
Chen, Wei-Yin 2017: 102 23 3 1 3 9 0 0 1 20 0 0 112
Chen, Wei-Yin proj: 103 27 6 0 4 6 1 1 1 21 1 0 112
Conley, Adam 2017: 257 71 9 5 8 27 1 5 5 44 0 0 295
Conley, Adam proj: 257 66 13 2 7 28 2 3 5 58 3 1 295
Despaigne, Odrisamer 2017: 57 14 3 0 1 9 2 0 2 10 0 0 70
Despaigne, Odrisamer proj: 62 17 3 0 2 5 0 1 1 10 1 0 69
Ellington, Brian 2017: 95 28 9 0 1 19 0 0 5 27 1 2 119
Ellington, Brian proj: 99 23 7 0 1 16 1 0 3 25 2 1 119
Garcia, Jarlin 2017: 142 30 6 1 5 9 2 2 2 29 0 2 157
Garcia, Jarlin proj: 142 30 6 1 5 9 2 2 2 29 0 2 157
Guerra, Javy 2017: 16 3 1 0 1 5 0 0 0 4 0 0 21
Guerra, Javy proj: 18 4 1 0 0 2 0 0 0 4 0 0 20
Koehler, Tom 2017: 222 67 9 0 15 29 0 3 5 44 5 3 259
Koehler, Tom proj: 229 59 11 1 7 25 1 2 2 46 3 2 259
Locke, Jeff 2017: 135 42 6 3 4 15 2 0 0 26 5 0 152
Locke, Jeff proj: 134 36 7 1 4 14 1 2 1 25 3 1 152
McGowan, Dustin 2017: 223 51 13 0 6 23 3 3 2 47 3 1 254
McGowan, Dustin proj: 223 55 11 1 7 25 3 0 2 48 7 1 253
Nicolino, Justin 2017: 128 41 7 0 5 12 1 2 1 17 2 0 144
Nicolino, Justin proj: 129 38 7 1 4 9 2 2 1 14 2 1 143
O'Grady, Chris 2017: 100 26 6 2 4 15 1 0 1 26 1 1 117
O'Grady, Chris proj: 100 26 6 2 4 15 1 0 1 26 1 1 117
Phelps, David 2017: 173 42 6 1 5 21 1 2 0 51 2 1 197
Phelps, David proj: 175 43 7 1 5 18 1 1 2 44 2 1 197
Ramos, AJ 2017: 146 30 4 1 4 22 0 1 2 47 1 0 171
Ramos, AJ proj: 146 29 6 0 2 21 1 1 2 47 3 1 171
Steckenrider, Drew 2017: 72 17 3 0 0 6 0 0 0 27 0 1 78
Steckenrider, Drew proj: 72 17 3 0 0 6 0 0 0 27 0 1 78
Straily, Dan 2017: 521 126 32 3 20 39 4 7 4 123 5 5 575
Straily, Dan proj: 511 120 26 2 21 50 3 4 6 116 9 4 574
Tazawa, Junichi 2017: 138 34 4 1 7 13 0 1 2 24 4 0 154
Tazawa, Junichi proj: 142 37 7 1 4 9 1 1 1 35 3 1 154
Urena, Jose 2017: 467 108 20 4 17 43 3 3 13 84 3 2 529
Urena, Jose proj: 466 122 25 4 15 44 5 4 10 76 2 1 529
Volquez, Edinson 2017: 331 78 19 2 8 53 5 5 3 81 12 5 397
Volquez, Edinson proj: 343 88 18 2 9 43 3 3 4 78 9 3 396
Wittgren, Nick 2017: 166 46 14 2 5 13 3 0 0 43 0 2 182
Wittgren, Nick proj: 167 44 10 1 5 11 2 1 0 39 0 1 181
Worley, Vance 2017: 199 60 20 2 3 16 1 2 5 35 2 1 223
Worley, Vance proj: 200 56 12 1 5 17 2 3 2 39 1 1 224
Ziegler, Brad 2017: 145 47 6 0 1 14 0 3 5 20 1 0 167
Ziegler, Brad proj: 149 37 6 1 2 14 1 1 1 27 1 0 166
2017 TEAM TOTALS: 4024 1025 205 28 127 451 33 42 61 888 52 27 4611
PROJECTED: 4063 1012 206 23 115 423 35 33 48 908 60 26 4602
difference: -39 +13 -1 +5 +12 +28 -2 +9 +13 -20 -8 +1 +9
Man AB H 2B 3B HR BB SF SH HBP SO SB CS BFP


Assorted Team Stats:
Stat Actual Projected
Batting Average: .255 .249
Slugging Average: .414 .396
Walks (per PA): .098 .092
SOs (per PA): .193 .197
On-Base Average: .333 .322
Power Factor: 1.63 1.59
OPS: .748 .718
TPP Runs (to date): 559 522

Runs differential:
Actual TPP 37 more than Projected TPP.




  Advertisement:


  Advertisement:



Want detailed, careful, unhysterical analysis of the effects of "Performance-Enhancing Drugs" in baseball? Click here to visit the Steroids & Baseball web site.

All content copyright © 2002 - 2017 by The Owlcroft Company.

This web page is strictly compliant with the W3C (World Wide Web Consortium) Extensible HyperText Markup Language (XHTML) Protocol v1.0 (Transitional) and the W3C Cascading Style Sheets (CSS) Protocol v3 — because we care about interoperability. Click on the logos below to test us!



This page was last modified on Saturday, 19 August 2017, at 7:11 am Pacific Time.