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MIL "Expected" Pitching Results, 2017


About These Stats:

The form of "projection" used is very simple: each man's career numbers are pro-rated by his actual number of batters faced to date this season; those data, labelled "proj:" are shown along with the man's actual stats from this year to date. At the bottom of the Table, each set of lines—"projected" and actual—is separately summed to get Team Totals for each dataset.

Note that "career to date" includes each man's stats for the current year: "to date" is literally correct. For veteran players, that matters little, but for rookies or players with litle prior major-league experience, it means that the "projection" will perforce nearly or exactly match the actual stats to date. That seems like the best way to deal with newly arrived players' stats.

Note that owing to rounding in the pro-rating process, projected total BFP (batters faced) may occasionally differ by 1.

Below the player/team table is a smaller table showing a few key team "rate" stats (such as batting average) actual and projected.

The Actual Data:

Through games of Monday, 22 May 2017.
All results are from true, unadjusted data.

Handedness Key:   + R   * L

(You can also look up the stat definitions.)

Pitchers, listed in alphabetical order:
Each name is a click-on link to that man's career stats.

(or see the data for Batting)


Man AB H 2B 3B HR BB SF SH HBP SO SB CS BFP
Anderson, Chase 2017: 186 52 21 2 5 19 1 5 2 41 2 0 213
Anderson, Chase proj: 192 52 12 2 7 16 2 2 2 40 2 1 214
Barnes, Jacob 2017: 79 17 6 0 1 11 1 0 0 24 2 0 91
Barnes, Jacob proj: 82 19 5 0 1 8 1 0 0 23 1 0 91
Davies, Zach 2017: 188 58 12 3 8 19 0 2 3 37 3 1 212
Davies, Zach proj: 193 51 10 2 6 15 1 1 2 40 2 2 212
Drake, Oliver 2017: 57 15 2 1 1 8 0 2 0 19 0 0 67
Drake, Oliver proj: 58 14 3 1 1 8 1 1 0 17 0 0 68
Espino, Paolo 2017: 17 5 1 0 0 0 0 1 0 3 0 0 18
Espino, Paolo proj: 17 5 1 0 0 0 0 1 0 3 0 0 18
Feliz, Neftali 2017: 65 15 3 1 5 9 1 0 0 15 0 0 75
Feliz, Neftali proj: 66 14 2 0 2 7 0 0 1 18 1 0 74
Garza, Matt 2017: 111 27 6 2 3 6 0 0 0 22 4 0 117
Garza, Matt proj: 105 27 5 0 3 9 1 1 1 22 1 1 117
Goforth, David 2017: 3 0 0 0 0 1 0 0 0 0 0 0 4
Goforth, David proj: 4 1 0 0 0 0 0 0 0 1 0 0 4
Guerra, Junior 2017: 10 1 0 0 1 0 0 0 1 4 0 0 11
Guerra, Junior proj: 10 2 0 0 0 1 0 0 0 2 0 0 11
Hughes, Jared 2017: 65 20 8 1 1 9 0 0 1 9 3 1 75
Hughes, Jared proj: 66 17 3 1 1 6 0 1 1 11 2 1 74
Jungmann, Taylor 2017: 4 2 1 0 0 1 0 0 1 1 0 0 6
Jungmann, Taylor proj: 5 1 0 0 0 1 0 0 0 1 0 0 6
Knebel, Corey 2017: 74 11 2 0 0 12 0 0 1 38 6 1 87
Knebel, Corey proj: 77 18 4 1 2 9 0 0 1 26 3 1 87
Marinez, Jhan 2017: 69 23 7 1 2 11 0 0 1 14 0 0 81
Marinez, Jhan proj: 71 19 4 0 1 8 0 1 1 14 1 0 81
Milone, Tommy 2017: 91 29 5 0 6 2 0 0 0 16 0 0 93
Milone, Tommy proj: 86 24 4 0 3 5 1 1 0 16 1 1 93
Nelson, Jimmy 2017: 170 45 10 1 5 15 1 2 1 41 7 2 189
Nelson, Jimmy proj: 166 43 8 1 5 17 1 1 4 36 6 1 189
Peralta, Wily 2017: 162 45 14 0 8 18 2 1 1 37 0 4 184
Peralta, Wily proj: 165 46 8 0 5 15 1 2 1 31 3 2 184
Scahill, Rob 2017: 39 11 2 0 1 4 0 0 1 2 0 0 44
Scahill, Rob proj: 39 11 2 0 1 4 0 0 1 7 1 0 44
Suter, Brent 2017: 28 9 2 0 0 4 0 0 1 5 0 0 33
Suter, Brent proj: 30 9 1 0 1 2 0 0 1 5 0 0 33
Torres, Carlos 2017: 95 26 3 1 2 11 0 1 1 19 2 0 108
Torres, Carlos proj: 95 24 5 1 3 10 1 1 1 23 2 0 108
2017 TEAM TOTALS: 1513 411 105 13 49 160 6 14 15 347 29 9 1708
PROJECTED: 1527 397 77 9 42 141 10 13 17 336 26 10 1708
difference: -14 +14 +28 +4 +7 +19 -4 +1 -2 +11 +3 -1 0
Man AB H 2B 3B HR BB SF SH HBP SO SB CS BFP


Assorted Team Stats:
Stat Actual Projected
Batting Average: .272 .260
Slugging Average: .455 .405
Walks (per PA): .094 .083
SOs (per PA): .203 .197
On-Base Average: .343 .325
Power Factor: 1.68 1.56
OPS: .798 .730
TPP Runs (to date): 231 200

Runs differential:
Actual TPP 31 more than Projected TPP.




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This page was last modified on Tuesday, 23 May 2017, at 6:59 am Pacific Time.