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Baseball team and player performance examined realistically and accurately.

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MIL "Expected" Pitching Results, 2018


About These Stats:

The form of "projection" used is very simple: each man's career numbers are pro-rated by his actual number of batters faced to date this season; those data, labelled "proj:" are shown along with the man's actual stats from this year to date. At the bottom of the Table, each set of lines—"projected" and actual—is separately summed to get Team Totals for each dataset.

Note that "career to date" includes each man's stats for the current year: "to date" is literally correct. For veteran players, that matters little, but for rookies or players with litle prior major-league experience, it means that the "projection" will perforce nearly or exactly match the actual stats to date. That seems like the best way to deal with newly arrived players' stats.

Note that owing to rounding in the pro-rating process, projected total BFP (batters faced) may occasionally differ by 1.

Below the player/team table is a smaller table showing a few key team "rate" stats (such as batting average) actual and projected.

The Actual Data:

Through games of Tuesday, 18 September 2018.
All results are from true, unadjusted data.

Handedness Key:   + R   * L

(You can also look up the stat definitions.)

Pitchers, listed in alphabetical order:
Each name is a click-on link to that man's career stats.

(or see the data for Batting)


Man AB H 2B 3B HR BB SF SH HBP SO SB CS BFP
Albers, Matt 2018: 135 43 3 2 9 12 3 0 2 30 3 1 152
Albers, Matt proj: 133 35 6 1 4 14 1 1 2 26 3 1 151
Anderson, Chase 2018: 575 131 20 2 30 57 1 4 7 128 10 8 644
Anderson, Chase proj: 580 145 30 4 23 50 4 4 6 129 8 5 644
Asher, Alec 2018: 12 2 1 0 0 1 0 0 0 2 0 0 13
Asher, Alec proj: 12 3 1 0 0 1 0 0 0 2 0 0 13
Barnes, Jacob 2018: 186 50 6 2 4 21 1 1 0 45 5 0 209
Barnes, Jacob proj: 185 44 8 1 4 20 2 1 1 51 3 1 209
Burnes, Corbin 2018: 115 24 5 0 3 10 1 1 2 30 4 0 129
Burnes, Corbin proj: 115 24 5 0 3 10 1 1 2 30 4 0 129
Cedeno, Xavier 2018: 23 3 0 0 0 1 0 0 0 4 0 0 24
Cedeno, Xavier proj: 21 5 1 0 1 2 0 0 0 5 0 0 23
Chacin, Jhoulys 2018: 650 147 30 5 15 66 8 8 11 149 8 5 743
Chacin, Jhoulys proj: 655 160 33 5 16 70 6 5 7 139 6 4 743
Davies, Zach 2018: 219 58 11 3 8 20 5 0 4 43 0 3 248
Davies, Zach proj: 225 60 11 2 7 17 2 1 2 43 2 2 247
Drake, Oliver 2018: 49 14 6 0 0 8 0 1 0 15 0 0 58
Drake, Oliver proj: 52 14 3 1 1 6 0 0 0 14 0 0 58
Gonzalez, Gio 2018: 36 6 1 1 1 5 1 0 0 13 0 1 42
Gonzalez, Gio proj: 37 9 2 0 1 4 0 0 0 10 1 0 41
Guerra, Junior 2018: 532 141 33 1 19 55 4 5 4 132 8 4 600
Guerra, Junior proj: 529 128 26 3 20 60 3 4 5 127 6 3 601
Hader, Josh 2018: 249 30 6 0 6 26 2 1 0 133 2 1 278
Hader, Josh proj: 244 33 8 0 6 29 2 1 2 120 2 1 278
Hoover, J.J. 2018: 8 4 0 0 1 2 0 0 0 0 0 0 10
Hoover, J.J. proj: 9 2 0 0 0 1 0 0 0 2 0 0 10
Houser, Adrian 2018: 51 13 4 1 0 7 0 0 1 8 0 0 59
Houser, Adrian proj: 50 12 4 1 0 8 0 0 1 7 0 0 59
Jeffress, Jeremy 2018: 257 48 5 2 5 27 1 1 0 84 4 1 286
Jeffress, Jeremy proj: 252 63 10 1 5 28 1 2 2 62 3 1 285
Jennings, Dan 2018: 237 65 13 2 6 23 3 4 1 45 2 2 268
Jennings, Dan proj: 234 60 9 2 4 27 3 2 1 49 3 1 267
Knebel, Corey 2018: 171 35 7 3 7 20 1 0 3 70 7 5 195
Knebel, Corey proj: 172 37 7 2 5 21 0 0 2 66 6 2 195
Kratz, Erik 2018: 10 3 0 0 0 1 1 0 0 2 0 0 12
Kratz, Erik proj: 11 4 0 0 0 1 1 0 0 2 0 0 13
Logan, Boone 2018: 46 15 4 0 3 10 0 1 1 14 0 0 58
Logan, Boone proj: 50 13 3 0 2 6 1 1 1 14 1 0 59
Lopez, Jorge 2018: 71 16 2 1 1 13 1 0 0 15 1 1 85
Lopez, Jorge proj: 76 20 3 1 1 9 0 0 1 15 1 1 86
Lyles, Jordan 2018: 45 10 4 0 0 9 1 0 1 15 1 1 56
Lyles, Jordan proj: 50 14 3 0 2 4 0 0 1 9 1 0 55
Miley, Wade 2018: 271 62 14 0 3 25 1 5 4 47 1 0 306
Miley, Wade proj: 276 74 16 1 8 25 2 2 2 56 1 2 307
Peralta, Freddy 2018: 258 46 13 2 8 39 1 1 4 91 3 1 303
Peralta, Freddy proj: 258 46 13 2 8 39 1 1 4 91 3 1 303
Perez, Hernan 2018: 17 7 5 0 1 1 0 0 1 2 0 0 19
Perez, Hernan proj: 17 6 4 0 1 2 0 0 1 2 0 0 20
Soria, Joakim 2018: 66 16 5 2 2 5 0 0 1 20 2 0 72
Soria, Joakim proj: 65 15 2 0 1 5 1 0 1 19 0 0 72
Suter, Brent 2018: 395 102 16 4 18 19 1 5 4 84 1 0 424
Suter, Brent proj: 393 104 14 3 14 23 1 3 3 81 1 1 423
Wilkerson, Aaron 2018: 39 12 1 0 4 3 0 0 1 10 0 0 43
Wilkerson, Aaron proj: 40 10 2 1 3 2 0 0 1 9 0 0 43
Williams, Taylor 2018: 194 48 8 1 6 25 0 4 1 56 1 1 224
Williams, Taylor proj: 195 48 9 1 6 25 0 4 1 55 1 1 225
Woodruff, Brandon 2018: 146 35 5 1 4 13 1 0 1 41 2 0 161
Woodruff, Brandon proj: 146 36 6 0 4 13 0 0 2 34 3 1 161
Zagurski, Mike 2018: 8 5 1 2 0 2 0 0 0 2 0 0 10
Zagurski, Mike proj: 8 2 0 0 0 1 0 0 0 2 0 0 9
2018 TEAM TOTALS: 5071 1191 229 37 164 526 38 42 54 1330 65 35 5731
PROJECTED: 5090 1226 239 32 150 523 32 33 51 1271 59 28 5729
difference: -19 -35 -10 +5 +14 +3 +6 +9 +3 +59 +6 +7 +2
Man AB H 2B 3B HR BB SF SH HBP SO SB CS BFP


Assorted Team Stats:
Stat Actual Projected
Batting Average: .235 .241
Slugging Average: .392 .389
Walks (per PA): .092 .091
SOs (per PA): .232 .222
On-Base Average: .309 .314
Power Factor: 1.67 1.61
OPS: .701 .703
TPP Runs (to date): 621 626

Runs differential:
Actual TPP 5 less than Projected TPP.




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This page was last modified on Wednesday, 19 September 2018, at 7:05 am Pacific Time.