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MIL "Expected" Pitching Results, 2017


About These Stats:

The form of "projection" used is very simple: each man's career numbers are pro-rated by his actual number of batters faced to date this season; those data, labelled "proj:" are shown along with the man's actual stats from this year to date. At the bottom of the Table, each set of lines—"projected" and actual—is separately summed to get Team Totals for each dataset.

Note that "career to date" includes each man's stats for the current year: "to date" is literally correct. For veteran players, that matters little, but for rookies or players with litle prior major-league experience, it means that the "projection" will perforce nearly or exactly match the actual stats to date. That seems like the best way to deal with newly arrived players' stats.

Note that owing to rounding in the pro-rating process, projected total BFP (batters faced) may occasionally differ by 1.

Below the player/team table is a smaller table showing a few key team "rate" stats (such as batting average) actual and projected.

The Actual Data:

Through games of Wednesday, 21 June 2017.
All results are from true, unadjusted data.

Handedness Key:   + R   * L

(You can also look up the stat definitions.)

Pitchers, listed in alphabetical order:
Each name is a click-on link to that man's career stats.

(or see the data for Batting)


Man AB H 2B 3B HR BB SF SH HBP SO SB CS BFP
Anderson, Chase 2017: 304 71 23 2 7 25 1 5 3 77 3 2 338
Anderson, Chase proj: 305 80 18 2 11 25 3 3 3 66 3 2 339
Barnes, Jacob 2017: 129 29 7 0 4 16 2 0 0 38 2 0 147
Barnes, Jacob proj: 132 31 7 0 3 13 2 1 0 37 2 1 148
Davies, Zach 2017: 320 97 18 4 14 27 0 2 5 55 3 1 354
Davies, Zach proj: 324 87 16 3 11 24 1 2 3 64 3 3 354
Drake, Oliver 2017: 102 28 3 2 4 11 0 2 0 31 0 0 115
Drake, Oliver proj: 101 25 5 1 3 12 1 1 0 30 0 0 115
Espino, Paolo 2017: 42 10 2 0 2 2 0 1 2 7 0 0 47
Espino, Paolo proj: 42 10 2 0 2 2 0 1 2 7 0 0 47
Feliz, Neftali 2017: 99 23 4 1 8 15 1 0 0 21 1 0 115
Feliz, Neftali proj: 102 21 4 1 3 11 0 1 1 27 1 1 115
Garza, Matt 2017: 210 55 12 3 7 16 2 1 0 40 7 0 229
Garza, Matt proj: 206 53 10 1 6 18 2 2 2 44 2 1 230
Goforth, David 2017: 3 0 0 0 0 1 0 0 0 0 0 0 4
Goforth, David proj: 4 1 0 0 0 0 0 0 0 1 0 0 4
Guerra, Junior 2017: 137 29 5 1 7 22 0 1 2 27 1 0 162
Guerra, Junior proj: 143 31 6 1 4 16 0 1 1 31 2 1 161
Hader, Josh 2017: 14 0 0 0 0 5 0 0 1 3 1 1 20
Hader, Josh proj: 14 0 0 0 0 5 0 0 1 3 1 1 20
Hughes, Jared 2017: 107 27 11 1 2 12 0 0 2 22 6 1 121
Hughes, Jared proj: 107 27 6 1 2 10 1 2 2 18 4 1 122
Jungmann, Taylor 2017: 4 2 1 0 0 1 0 0 1 1 0 0 6
Jungmann, Taylor proj: 5 1 0 0 0 1 0 0 0 1 0 0 6
Knebel, Corey 2017: 126 19 4 0 2 17 0 0 1 64 8 1 144
Knebel, Corey proj: 128 28 6 1 3 14 0 0 1 46 4 1 143
Marinez, Jhan 2017: 69 23 7 1 2 11 0 0 1 14 0 0 81
Marinez, Jhan proj: 71 19 5 0 1 8 0 1 1 15 1 0 81
Milone, Tommy 2017: 91 29 5 0 6 2 0 0 0 16 0 0 93
Milone, Tommy proj: 86 24 4 0 3 5 1 1 0 16 1 1 93
Nelson, Jimmy 2017: 324 87 18 1 7 21 1 3 5 85 8 2 354
Nelson, Jimmy proj: 312 81 16 1 9 31 2 2 7 69 11 2 354
Peralta, Wily 2017: 214 64 22 0 8 28 3 1 1 46 1 5 247
Peralta, Wily proj: 221 62 12 1 7 21 1 3 2 41 4 3 248
Scahill, Rob 2017: 63 16 5 0 2 9 1 0 3 5 1 0 76
Scahill, Rob proj: 67 18 4 0 2 7 1 0 2 11 1 0 77
Suter, Brent 2017: 47 14 3 1 1 5 0 0 1 7 0 0 53
Suter, Brent proj: 48 14 2 0 1 4 0 0 1 8 0 0 53
Torres, Carlos 2017: 155 45 6 1 7 16 1 1 2 30 6 0 175
Torres, Carlos proj: 155 40 8 1 5 15 1 2 2 36 3 1 175
2017 TEAM TOTALS: 2560 668 156 18 90 262 12 17 30 589 48 13 2881
PROJECTED: 2573 653 131 14 76 242 16 23 31 571 43 19 2885
difference: -13 +15 +25 +4 +14 +20 -4 -6 -1 +18 +5 -6 -4
Man AB H 2B 3B HR BB SF SH HBP SO SB CS BFP


Assorted Team Stats:
Stat Actual Projected
Batting Average: .261 .254
Slugging Average: .441 .404
Walks (per PA): .091 .084
SOs (per PA): .204 .198
On-Base Average: .333 .321
Power Factor: 1.69 1.59
OPS: .775 .725
TPP Runs (to date): 373 333

Runs differential:
Actual TPP 40 more than Projected TPP.




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This page was last modified on Thursday, 22 June 2017, at 7:04 am Pacific Time.