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Baseball team and player performance examined realistically and accurately.

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MIL "Expected" Pitching Results, 2017


About These Stats:

The form of "projection" used is very simple: each man's career numbers are pro-rated by his actual number of batters faced to date this season; those data, labelled "proj:" are shown along with the man's actual stats from this year to date. At the bottom of the Table, each set of lines—"projected" and actual—is separately summed to get Team Totals for each dataset.

Note that "career to date" includes each man's stats for the current year: "to date" is literally correct. For veteran players, that matters little, but for rookies or players with litle prior major-league experience, it means that the "projection" will perforce nearly or exactly match the actual stats to date. That seems like the best way to deal with newly arrived players' stats.

Note that owing to rounding in the pro-rating process, projected total BFP (batters faced) may occasionally differ by 1.

Below the player/team table is a smaller table showing a few key team "rate" stats (such as batting average) actual and projected.

The Actual Data:

Through games of Sunday, 24 September 2017.
All results are from true, unadjusted data.

Handedness Key:   + R   * L

(You can also look up the stat definitions.)

Pitchers, listed in alphabetical order:
Each name is a click-on link to that man's career stats.

(or see the data for Batting)


Man AB H 2B 3B HR BB SF SH HBP SO SB CS BFP
Anderson, Chase 2017: 491 110 27 2 13 40 2 5 7 128 11 4 545
Anderson, Chase proj: 492 127 28 4 18 41 4 4 5 109 6 4 546
Barnes, Jacob 2017: 255 56 14 0 8 33 3 0 3 78 4 1 294
Barnes, Jacob proj: 259 59 14 0 7 29 3 1 2 76 4 1 294
Blazek, Michael 2017: 35 12 1 0 6 1 0 1 0 7 0 0 37
Blazek, Michael proj: 32 8 2 0 1 4 0 0 0 7 0 1 36
Davies, Zach 2017: 724 198 35 6 19 53 5 7 8 124 7 3 797
Davies, Zach proj: 728 192 34 5 20 52 4 5 7 139 7 6 796
Drake, Oliver 2017: 204 56 10 4 6 22 0 3 0 58 1 0 229
Drake, Oliver proj: 202 52 11 3 5 24 1 2 0 58 1 1 229
Espino, Paolo 2017: 70 17 4 0 5 8 0 1 3 13 0 0 82
Espino, Paolo proj: 70 15 4 0 5 8 0 1 3 15 0 0 82
Feliz, Neftali 2017: 99 23 4 1 8 15 1 0 0 21 1 0 115
Feliz, Neftali proj: 102 21 4 1 3 11 0 1 1 26 1 1 115
Garza, Matt 2017: 445 121 25 4 17 45 3 7 1 78 11 1 501
Garza, Matt proj: 450 115 22 2 14 40 3 4 3 95 4 2 500
Goforth, David 2017: 3 0 0 0 0 1 0 0 0 0 0 0 4
Goforth, David proj: 4 1 0 0 0 0 0 0 0 1 0 0 4
Guerra, Junior 2017: 253 59 8 1 18 41 1 1 4 61 1 1 300
Guerra, Junior proj: 263 59 11 2 11 31 1 1 3 61 3 1 299
Hader, Josh 2017: 147 22 8 0 3 21 0 1 4 61 1 1 173
Hader, Josh proj: 147 22 8 0 3 21 0 1 4 61 1 1 173
Hughes, Jared 2017: 208 49 19 2 4 23 0 1 6 46 12 5 238
Hughes, Jared proj: 209 53 11 2 4 19 1 3 5 36 8 3 237
Jeffress, Jeremy 2017: 85 20 3 0 2 14 0 1 0 19 1 0 100
Jeffress, Jeremy proj: 88 23 4 0 2 10 0 1 1 20 1 0 100
Jungmann, Taylor 2017: 4 2 1 0 0 1 0 0 1 1 0 0 6
Jungmann, Taylor proj: 5 1 0 0 0 1 0 0 0 1 0 0 6
Knebel, Corey 2017: 255 45 8 0 5 40 0 0 2 121 12 2 297
Knebel, Corey proj: 262 57 11 2 7 33 0 0 2 98 9 2 297
Lopez, Jorge 2017: 9 4 1 0 0 1 0 0 0 0 0 0 10
Lopez, Jorge proj: 9 3 0 0 0 1 0 0 0 2 0 0 10
Marinez, Jhan 2017: 69 23 7 1 2 11 0 0 1 14 0 0 81
Marinez, Jhan proj: 70 19 5 0 2 8 0 1 2 14 1 0 81
Milone, Tommy 2017: 91 29 5 0 6 2 0 0 0 16 0 0 93
Milone, Tommy proj: 86 24 4 0 3 6 1 1 0 16 1 1 94
Nelson, Jimmy 2017: 665 171 28 1 16 48 2 4 9 199 18 4 728
Nelson, Jimmy proj: 645 167 31 2 18 62 4 4 13 153 22 5 728
Peralta, Wily 2017: 232 73 25 0 10 32 3 1 1 52 2 5 269
Peralta, Wily proj: 240 67 13 1 7 23 1 3 2 45 4 3 269
Perez, Hernan 2017: 4 1 0 0 0 1 0 0 0 0 0 0 5
Perez, Hernan proj: 4 1 0 0 0 1 0 0 0 0 0 0 5
Scahill, Rob 2017: 82 21 5 0 3 10 2 0 3 10 2 0 97
Scahill, Rob proj: 85 23 5 0 2 8 1 1 2 15 2 0 97
Suter, Brent 2017: 294 76 10 2 7 21 1 1 2 60 2 0 319
Suter, Brent proj: 294 79 9 2 8 20 1 2 2 58 2 1 319
Swarzak, Anthony 2017: 89 17 3 2 3 4 1 1 2 35 0 0 97
Swarzak, Anthony proj: 89 24 4 1 3 6 1 0 0 16 1 0 96
Torres, Carlos 2017: 273 77 10 1 10 32 3 2 3 55 7 2 313
Torres, Carlos proj: 276 71 13 1 9 28 3 3 3 64 5 1 313
Wang, Wei-Chung 2017: 8 4 0 0 1 0 0 0 0 2 0 0 8
Wang, Wei-Chung proj: 7 3 1 0 1 1 0 0 0 1 0 0 8
Webb, Tyler 2017: 12 6 0 0 1 1 0 0 0 3 0 0 13
Webb, Tyler proj: 11 3 0 0 1 2 0 0 0 3 0 0 13
Wilkerson, Aaron 2017: 13 4 2 1 0 1 0 0 0 2 0 0 14
Wilkerson, Aaron proj: 13 4 2 1 0 1 0 0 0 2 0 0 14
Williams, Taylor 2017: 10 2 1 0 0 0 0 0 0 1 0 0 10
Williams, Taylor proj: 10 2 1 0 0 0 0 0 0 1 0 0 10
Woodruff, Brandon 2017: 153 37 6 0 3 13 0 1 3 32 4 2 170
Woodruff, Brandon proj: 153 37 6 0 3 13 0 1 3 32 4 2 170
2017 TEAM TOTALS: 5282 1335 270 28 176 535 27 38 63 1297 97 31 5945
PROJECTED: 5305 1332 258 29 157 504 29 40 63 1225 87 36 5941
difference: -23 +3 +12 -1 +19 +31 -2 -2 0 +72 +10 -5 +4
Man AB H 2B 3B HR BB SF SH HBP SO SB CS BFP


Assorted Team Stats:
Stat Actual Projected
Batting Average: .253 .251
Slugging Average: .414 .399
Walks (per PA): .090 .085
SOs (per PA): .218 .206
On-Base Average: .325 .320
Power Factor: 1.64 1.59
OPS: .740 .719
TPP Runs (to date): 715 678

Runs differential:
Actual TPP 37 more than Projected TPP.




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This page was last modified on Monday, 25 September 2017, at 7:16 am Pacific Time.