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MIL "Expected" Pitching Results, 2017


About These Stats:

The form of "projection" used is very simple: each man's career numbers are pro-rated by his actual number of batters faced to date this season; those data, labelled "proj:" are shown along with the man's actual stats from this year to date. At the bottom of the Table, each set of lines—"projected" and actual—is separately summed to get Team Totals for each dataset.

Note that "career to date" includes each man's stats for the current year: "to date" is literally correct. For veteran players, that matters little, but for rookies or players with litle prior major-league experience, it means that the "projection" will perforce nearly or exactly match the actual stats to date. That seems like the best way to deal with newly arrived players' stats.

Note that owing to rounding in the pro-rating process, projected total BFP (batters faced) may occasionally differ by 1.

Below the player/team table is a smaller table showing a few key team "rate" stats (such as batting average) actual and projected.

The Actual Data:

Through games of Monday, 24 July 2017.
All results are from true, unadjusted data.

Handedness Key:   + R   * L

(You can also look up the stat definitions.)

Pitchers, listed in alphabetical order:
Each name is a click-on link to that man's career stats.

(or see the data for Batting)


Man AB H 2B 3B HR BB SF SH HBP SO SB CS BFP
Anderson, Chase 2017: 326 73 23 2 8 27 1 5 4 85 5 3 363
Anderson, Chase proj: 327 85 19 3 12 27 3 3 3 72 3 3 363
Barnes, Jacob 2017: 160 35 7 0 5 19 2 0 0 49 2 0 181
Barnes, Jacob proj: 163 37 8 0 4 16 2 1 0 47 2 1 182
Blazek, Michael 2017: 22 5 0 0 0 0 0 0 0 3 0 0 22
Blazek, Michael proj: 19 5 1 0 1 2 0 0 0 4 0 0 21
Davies, Zach 2017: 434 127 24 4 16 36 2 3 7 73 3 2 482
Davies, Zach proj: 439 118 22 3 14 33 2 3 5 86 4 4 482
Drake, Oliver 2017: 140 39 6 3 5 13 0 2 0 42 0 0 155
Drake, Oliver proj: 137 35 7 2 4 16 1 1 0 40 0 0 155
Espino, Paolo 2017: 70 17 4 0 5 8 0 1 3 13 0 0 82
Espino, Paolo proj: 70 17 4 0 5 8 0 1 3 13 0 0 82
Feliz, Neftali 2017: 99 23 4 1 8 15 1 0 0 21 1 0 115
Feliz, Neftali proj: 102 21 4 1 3 11 0 1 1 26 1 1 115
Garza, Matt 2017: 313 79 18 3 9 25 2 4 0 56 8 1 344
Garza, Matt proj: 310 79 15 1 9 27 2 3 2 65 3 2 344
Goforth, David 2017: 3 0 0 0 0 1 0 0 0 0 0 0 4
Goforth, David proj: 4 1 0 0 0 0 0 0 0 1 0 0 4
Guerra, Junior 2017: 224 55 8 1 16 35 1 1 4 46 1 1 265
Guerra, Junior proj: 233 53 10 2 9 27 1 1 2 51 2 1 264
Hader, Josh 2017: 54 7 3 0 1 11 0 0 3 17 1 1 68
Hader, Josh proj: 54 7 3 0 1 11 0 0 3 17 1 1 68
Hughes, Jared 2017: 146 33 15 1 2 16 0 0 3 33 9 1 165
Hughes, Jared proj: 145 37 8 1 3 13 1 2 3 25 6 2 164
Jungmann, Taylor 2017: 4 2 1 0 0 1 0 0 1 1 0 0 6
Jungmann, Taylor proj: 5 1 0 0 0 1 0 0 0 1 0 0 6
Knebel, Corey 2017: 163 28 8 0 3 27 0 0 1 81 11 1 191
Knebel, Corey proj: 169 38 9 1 5 21 0 0 1 61 6 1 191
Lopez, Jorge 2017: 9 4 1 0 0 1 0 0 0 0 0 0 10
Lopez, Jorge proj: 9 3 0 0 0 1 0 0 0 2 0 0 10
Marinez, Jhan 2017: 69 23 7 1 2 11 0 0 1 14 0 0 81
Marinez, Jhan proj: 70 19 5 0 2 8 0 1 2 15 1 0 81
Milone, Tommy 2017: 91 29 5 0 6 2 0 0 0 16 0 0 93
Milone, Tommy proj: 86 24 4 0 3 5 1 1 0 16 1 1 93
Nelson, Jimmy 2017: 457 118 23 1 13 30 2 4 5 132 12 2 498
Nelson, Jimmy proj: 440 114 22 2 13 42 3 3 9 100 16 3 497
Peralta, Wily 2017: 220 65 22 0 8 30 3 1 1 50 1 5 255
Peralta, Wily proj: 228 63 12 1 7 21 1 3 2 43 4 3 255
Scahill, Rob 2017: 82 21 5 0 3 10 2 0 3 10 2 0 97
Scahill, Rob proj: 85 23 5 0 2 8 1 1 2 15 2 0 97
Suter, Brent 2017: 145 37 6 2 2 10 1 0 1 32 0 0 157
Suter, Brent proj: 145 39 5 1 3 9 1 1 1 30 0 1 157
Torres, Carlos 2017: 202 59 8 1 8 20 2 1 2 39 6 0 227
Torres, Carlos proj: 201 52 10 1 6 20 2 2 2 47 4 1 227
Webb, Tyler 2017: 12 6 0 0 1 1 0 0 0 3 0 0 13
Webb, Tyler proj: 11 3 0 0 1 2 0 0 0 3 0 0 13
2017 TEAM TOTALS: 3445 885 198 20 121 349 19 22 39 816 62 17 3874
PROJECTED: 3452 874 173 19 107 329 21 28 41 780 56 25 3871
difference: -7 +11 +25 +1 +14 +20 -2 -6 -2 +36 +6 -8 +3
Man AB H 2B 3B HR BB SF SH HBP SO SB CS BFP


Assorted Team Stats:
Stat Actual Projected
Batting Average: .257 .253
Slugging Average: .431 .407
Walks (per PA): .090 .085
SOs (per PA): .211 .201
On-Base Average: .329 .321
Power Factor: 1.68 1.61
OPS: .760 .729
TPP Runs (to date): 486 451

Runs differential:
Actual TPP 35 more than Projected TPP.




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This page was last modified on Tuesday, 25 July 2017, at 7:06 am Pacific Time.