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Baseball team and player performance examined realistically and accurately.

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MIL "Expected" Pitching Results, 2017


About These Stats:

The form of "projection" used is very simple: each man's career numbers are pro-rated by his actual number of batters faced to date this season; those data, labelled "proj:" are shown along with the man's actual stats from this year to date. At the bottom of the Table, each set of lines—"projected" and actual—is separately summed to get Team Totals for each dataset.

Note that "career to date" includes each man's stats for the current year: "to date" is literally correct. For veteran players, that matters little, but for rookies or players with litle prior major-league experience, it means that the "projection" will perforce nearly or exactly match the actual stats to date. That seems like the best way to deal with newly arrived players' stats.

Note that owing to rounding in the pro-rating process, projected total BFP (batters faced) may occasionally differ by 1.

Below the player/team table is a smaller table showing a few key team "rate" stats (such as batting average) actual and projected.

The Actual Data:

Through games of Sunday, 1 October 2017.
All results are from true, unadjusted data.

Handedness Key:   + R   * L

(You can also look up the stat definitions.)

Pitchers, listed in alphabetical order:
Each name is a click-on link to that man's career stats.

(or see the data for Batting)


Man AB H 2B 3B HR BB SF SH HBP SO SB CS BFP
Anderson, Chase 2017: 514 113 27 2 14 41 2 5 7 133 11 4 569
Anderson, Chase proj: 514 132 28 4 18 42 4 4 5 114 6 4 569
Barnes, Jacob 2017: 265 57 14 0 8 33 3 0 3 80 4 1 304
Barnes, Jacob proj: 269 60 14 0 7 29 3 1 2 79 4 1 304
Blazek, Michael 2017: 35 12 1 0 6 1 0 1 0 7 0 0 37
Blazek, Michael proj: 32 8 2 0 1 4 0 0 0 7 0 1 36
Davies, Zach 2017: 741 204 36 7 20 55 5 7 9 124 7 3 817
Davies, Zach proj: 746 198 35 6 21 54 4 5 7 141 7 6 816
Drake, Oliver 2017: 208 57 10 4 6 22 0 3 0 59 1 0 233
Drake, Oliver proj: 205 53 11 3 5 24 1 2 0 59 1 1 232
Espino, Paolo 2017: 70 17 4 0 5 8 0 1 3 13 0 0 82
Espino, Paolo proj: 71 17 5 0 5 8 0 1 2 15 0 0 82
Feliz, Neftali 2017: 99 23 4 1 8 15 1 0 0 21 1 0 115
Feliz, Neftali proj: 102 21 4 1 3 11 0 1 1 26 1 1 115
Garza, Matt 2017: 448 121 25 4 17 45 3 7 1 79 11 1 504
Garza, Matt proj: 453 116 22 2 14 40 3 4 3 95 4 2 503
Goforth, David 2017: 3 0 0 0 0 1 0 0 0 0 0 0 4
Goforth, David proj: 4 1 0 0 0 0 0 0 0 1 0 0 4
Guerra, Junior 2017: 265 61 8 1 18 43 1 1 4 67 1 1 314
Guerra, Junior proj: 276 62 11 2 11 33 1 2 3 65 3 2 315
Hader, Josh 2017: 160 25 8 0 4 22 1 1 4 68 1 1 188
Hader, Josh proj: 160 25 8 0 4 22 1 1 4 68 1 1 188
Hughes, Jared 2017: 212 49 19 2 4 24 0 2 6 48 12 5 244
Hughes, Jared proj: 214 54 11 2 4 20 1 3 5 37 9 3 243
Jeffress, Jeremy 2017: 96 24 5 0 2 15 0 1 0 22 1 0 112
Jeffress, Jeremy proj: 98 26 5 0 2 11 0 1 1 22 1 0 111
Jungmann, Taylor 2017: 4 2 1 0 0 1 0 0 1 1 0 0 6
Jungmann, Taylor proj: 5 1 0 0 0 1 0 0 0 1 0 0 6
Knebel, Corey 2017: 267 48 8 0 6 40 0 0 2 126 13 2 309
Knebel, Corey proj: 273 59 11 2 7 33 0 0 2 103 9 2 308
Lopez, Jorge 2017: 9 4 1 0 0 1 0 0 0 0 0 0 10
Lopez, Jorge proj: 9 3 0 0 0 1 0 0 0 2 0 0 10
Marinez, Jhan 2017: 69 23 7 1 2 11 0 0 1 14 0 0 81
Marinez, Jhan proj: 70 19 5 0 2 8 0 1 2 14 1 0 81
Milone, Tommy 2017: 91 29 5 0 6 2 0 0 0 16 0 0 93
Milone, Tommy proj: 86 24 4 0 3 6 1 1 0 16 1 1 94
Nelson, Jimmy 2017: 665 171 28 1 16 48 2 4 9 199 18 4 728
Nelson, Jimmy proj: 645 167 31 2 18 62 4 4 13 153 22 5 728
Peralta, Wily 2017: 232 73 25 0 10 32 3 1 1 52 2 5 269
Peralta, Wily proj: 240 67 13 1 7 23 1 3 2 45 4 3 269
Perez, Hernan 2017: 4 1 0 0 0 1 0 0 0 0 0 0 5
Perez, Hernan proj: 4 1 0 0 0 1 0 0 0 0 0 0 5
Scahill, Rob 2017: 82 21 5 0 3 10 2 0 3 10 2 0 97
Scahill, Rob proj: 85 23 5 0 2 8 1 1 2 15 2 0 97
Suter, Brent 2017: 315 83 11 2 8 22 1 1 2 64 2 1 341
Suter, Brent proj: 315 85 10 2 9 21 1 2 2 62 2 2 341
Swarzak, Anthony 2017: 104 21 3 2 4 9 1 1 2 39 1 0 117
Swarzak, Anthony proj: 107 29 5 1 3 8 1 0 1 20 1 1 117
Torres, Carlos 2017: 280 78 10 1 10 33 4 2 3 56 7 2 322
Torres, Carlos proj: 284 73 14 1 9 29 3 3 3 66 5 1 322
Wang, Wei-Chung 2017: 9 5 0 0 1 0 0 0 0 2 0 0 9
Wang, Wei-Chung proj: 8 3 1 0 1 1 0 0 0 1 0 0 9
Webb, Tyler 2017: 12 6 0 0 1 1 0 0 0 3 0 0 13
Webb, Tyler proj: 11 3 0 0 1 2 0 0 0 3 0 0 13
Wilkerson, Aaron 2017: 36 6 2 1 1 1 0 0 0 7 0 0 37
Wilkerson, Aaron proj: 36 6 2 1 1 1 0 0 0 7 0 0 37
Williams, Taylor 2017: 18 4 2 0 0 2 0 0 0 4 0 0 20
Williams, Taylor proj: 18 4 2 0 0 2 0 0 0 4 0 0 20
Woodruff, Brandon 2017: 166 43 7 0 5 14 0 1 3 32 4 2 184
Woodruff, Brandon proj: 166 43 7 0 5 14 0 1 3 32 4 2 184
2017 TEAM TOTALS: 5479 1381 276 29 185 553 29 39 64 1346 99 32 6164
PROJECTED: 5506 1383 266 30 163 519 30 41 63 1273 88 39 6159
difference: -27 -2 +10 -1 +22 +34 -1 -2 +1 +73 +11 -7 +5
Man AB H 2B 3B HR BB SF SH HBP SO SB CS BFP


Assorted Team Stats:
Stat Actual Projected
Batting Average: .252 .251
Slugging Average: .414 .399
Walks (per PA): .090 .084
SOs (per PA): .218 .207
On-Base Average: .324 .319
Power Factor: 1.64 1.59
OPS: .738 .718
TPP Runs (to date): 740 701

Runs differential:
Actual TPP 39 more than Projected TPP.




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This page was last modified on Monday, 2 October 2017, at 7:15 am Pacific Time.