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MIL "Expected" Pitching Results, 2018


About These Stats:

The form of "projection" used is very simple: each man's career numbers are pro-rated by his actual number of batters faced to date this season; those data, labelled "proj:" are shown along with the man's actual stats from this year to date. At the bottom of the Table, each set of lines—"projected" and actual—is separately summed to get Team Totals for each dataset.

Note that "career to date" includes each man's stats for the current year: "to date" is literally correct. For veteran players, that matters little, but for rookies or players with litle prior major-league experience, it means that the "projection" will perforce nearly or exactly match the actual stats to date. That seems like the best way to deal with newly arrived players' stats.

Note that owing to rounding in the pro-rating process, projected total BFP (batters faced) may occasionally differ by 1.

Below the player/team table is a smaller table showing a few key team "rate" stats (such as batting average) actual and projected.

The Actual Data:

Through games of Wednesday, 25 April 2018.
All results are from true, unadjusted data.

Handedness Key:   + R   * L

(You can also look up the stat definitions.)

Pitchers, listed in alphabetical order:
Each name is a click-on link to that man's career stats.

(or see the data for Batting)


Man AB H 2B 3B HR BB SF SH HBP SO SB CS BFP
Albers, Matt 2018: 47 11 1 0 1 1 1 0 1 11 1 0 50
Albers, Matt proj: 44 11 2 0 1 5 0 0 1 8 1 0 50
Anderson, Chase 2018: 97 20 3 0 6 9 0 1 4 21 1 0 111
Anderson, Chase proj: 100 25 5 1 4 8 1 1 1 22 1 1 111
Barnes, Jacob 2018: 49 8 1 0 0 8 0 1 0 15 1 0 58
Barnes, Jacob proj: 51 11 2 0 1 6 0 0 0 15 1 0 57
Chacin, Jhoulys 2018: 118 32 5 1 4 14 1 1 1 19 1 0 135
Chacin, Jhoulys proj: 119 30 6 1 3 13 1 1 1 25 1 1 135
Davies, Zach 2018: 106 26 5 1 5 10 2 0 2 22 0 3 120
Davies, Zach proj: 109 29 5 1 3 8 1 1 1 21 1 1 120
Drake, Oliver 2018: 41 11 5 0 0 8 0 0 0 13 0 0 49
Drake, Oliver proj: 43 11 3 1 1 5 0 0 0 12 0 0 48
Guerra, Junior 2018: 55 10 2 0 0 6 0 1 2 15 0 1 64
Guerra, Junior proj: 56 12 2 0 2 7 0 0 1 13 1 0 64
Hader, Josh 2018: 49 4 1 0 1 4 0 0 0 31 0 0 53
Hader, Josh proj: 46 6 2 0 1 6 0 0 1 22 0 0 53
Hoover, J.J. 2018: 8 4 0 0 1 2 0 0 0 0 0 0 10
Hoover, J.J. proj: 9 2 0 0 0 1 0 0 0 2 0 0 10
Houser, Adrian 2018: 7 1 0 1 0 0 0 0 0 3 0 0 7
Houser, Adrian proj: 6 1 0 0 0 1 0 0 0 1 0 0 7
Jeffress, Jeremy 2018: 44 8 0 2 0 3 0 0 0 11 1 0 47
Jeffress, Jeremy proj: 41 11 2 0 1 5 0 0 0 9 0 0 46
Jennings, Dan 2018: 38 6 3 0 0 3 1 0 0 8 1 0 42
Jennings, Dan proj: 37 9 1 0 1 4 0 0 0 8 1 0 41
Knebel, Corey 2018: 10 3 0 0 1 0 0 0 1 5 1 1 11
Knebel, Corey proj: 10 2 0 0 0 1 0 0 0 4 0 0 11
Lopez, Jorge 2018: 10 2 1 0 0 3 0 0 0 2 0 0 13
Lopez, Jorge proj: 11 4 1 0 0 2 0 0 0 2 0 0 13
Perez, Hernan 2018: 1 0 0 0 0 0 0 0 0 0 0 0 1
Perez, Hernan proj: 1 0 0 0 0 0 0 0 0 0 0 0 1
Suter, Brent 2018: 105 31 5 2 3 6 0 2 1 19 0 0 114
Suter, Brent proj: 105 29 4 1 3 7 0 1 1 20 0 0 114
Williams, Taylor 2018: 28 6 1 0 1 6 0 1 1 14 0 0 36
Williams, Taylor proj: 30 6 2 0 1 5 0 1 1 12 0 0 37
Woodruff, Brandon 2018: 31 10 1 0 1 2 0 0 1 6 0 0 34
Woodruff, Brandon proj: 31 8 1 0 1 2 0 0 1 6 1 0 34
2018 TEAM TOTALS: 844 193 34 7 24 85 5 7 14 215 7 5 955
PROJECTED: 849 207 38 5 23 86 3 5 9 202 8 3 952
difference: -5 -14 -4 +2 +1 -1 +2 +2 +5 +13 -1 +2 +3
Man AB H 2B 3B HR BB SF SH HBP SO SB CS BFP


Assorted Team Stats:
Stat Actual Projected
Batting Average: .229 .244
Slugging Average: .371 .382
Walks (per PA): .089 .090
SOs (per PA): .225 .212
On-Base Average: .306 .317
Power Factor: 1.62 1.57
OPS: .677 .699
TPP Runs (to date): 98 104

Runs differential:
Actual TPP 6 less than Projected TPP.




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This page was last modified on Thursday, 26 April 2018, at 6:53 am Pacific Time.