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MIN "Expected" Batting Results, 2017


About These Stats:

The form of "projection" used is very simple: each man's career numbers are pro-rated by his actual number of appearances to date this season; those data, labelled "proj:" are shown along with the man's actual stats from this year to date. At the bottom of the Table, each set of lines—"projected" and actual—is separately summed to get Team Totals for each dataset.

Note that "career to date" includes each man's stats for the current year: "to date" is literally correct. For veteran players, that matters little, but for rookies or players with litle prior major-league experience, it means that the "projection" will perforce nearly or exactly match the actual stats to date. That seems like the best way to deal with newly arrived players' stats.

Note that owing to rounding in the pro-rating process, projected total PA (plate appearances) may occasionally differ by 1.

Below the player/team table is a smaller table showing a few key team "rate" stats (such as batting average) actual and projected.

The Actual Data:

Through games of Sunday, 1 October 2017.
All results are from true, unadjusted data.

Handedness Key:   + R   * L   # S

(You can also look up the stat definitions.)

Batters, listed in alphabetical order:
Each name is a click-on link to that man's career stats.

(or see the data for Pitching)


Man AB H 2B 3B HR BB SF SH HBP SO SB CS PA
Adrianza, Ehire 2017: 162 43 9 2 2 16 6 1 1 25 8 1 186
Adrianza, Ehire proj: 163 38 9 1 2 14 3 4 3 31 4 2 187
Berrios, Jose 2017: 5 1 0 0 0 0 0 0 0 2 0 0 5
Berrios, Jose proj: 5 2 0 0 0 0 0 0 0 2 0 0 5
Buxton, Byron 2017: 462 117 14 6 16 38 2 5 4 150 29 1 511
Buxton, Byron proj: 464 110 21 7 15 35 3 6 4 163 21 3 512
Castro, Jason 2017: 356 86 22 0 10 45 1 1 4 108 0 0 407
Castro, Jason proj: 361 85 21 1 11 40 2 1 3 111 1 0 407
Colon, Bartolo 2017: 4 0 0 0 0 0 0 1 0 2 0 0 5
Colon, Bartolo proj: 5 0 0 0 0 0 0 0 0 3 0 0 5
Dozier, Brian 2017: 617 166 30 4 34 78 2 0 8 141 16 7 705
Dozier, Brian proj: 623 156 34 4 28 67 6 2 7 137 17 5 705
Enns, Dietrich 2017: 2 1 0 0 0 0 0 0 0 1 0 0 2
Enns, Dietrich proj: 2 1 0 0 0 0 0 0 0 1 0 0 2
Escobar, Eduardo 2017: 457 116 16 5 21 33 3 1 5 98 5 1 499
Escobar, Eduardo proj: 460 116 25 4 11 30 3 3 3 98 3 2 499
Garver, Mitch 2017: 46 9 1 3 0 6 0 0 0 15 0 0 52
Garver, Mitch proj: 46 9 1 3 0 6 0 0 0 15 0 0 52
Gimenez, Chris 2017: 186 41 9 0 7 33 0 2 4 60 1 0 225
Gimenez, Chris proj: 196 43 9 0 5 25 1 3 1 55 1 1 226
Goodrum, Niko 2017: 17 1 0 0 0 1 0 0 0 10 0 0 18
Goodrum, Niko proj: 17 1 0 0 0 1 0 0 0 10 0 0 18
Granite, Zack 2017: 93 22 2 0 1 12 1 1 0 9 2 2 107
Granite, Zack proj: 93 22 2 0 1 12 1 1 0 9 2 2 107
Grossman, Robbie 2017: 382 94 22 1 9 67 2 2 3 79 3 1 456
Grossman, Robbie proj: 391 98 20 1 9 58 1 3 3 104 6 4 456
Kepler, Max 2017: 511 124 32 2 19 47 3 1 6 114 6 1 568
Kepler, Max proj: 508 121 29 2 20 49 4 1 5 117 7 2 567
Mauer, Joe 2017: 525 160 36 1 7 66 3 0 3 83 2 1 597
Mauer, Joe proj: 519 160 32 2 11 71 5 0 2 76 4 1 597
Polanco, Jorge 2017: 488 125 30 3 13 41 6 7 2 78 13 5 544
Polanco, Jorge proj: 489 130 30 5 11 40 6 6 3 83 12 5 544
Rosario, Eddie 2017: 542 157 33 2 27 35 8 4 0 106 9 8 589
Rosario, Eddie proj: 553 153 28 8 21 26 6 4 1 131 10 7 590
Sano, Miguel 2017: 424 112 15 2 28 54 1 0 4 173 0 0 483
Sano, Miguel proj: 419 107 20 1 26 59 2 0 2 173 1 0 482
Santana, Danny 2017: 25 5 1 0 1 1 0 0 0 8 1 0 26
Santana, Danny proj: 24 6 1 0 0 1 0 0 0 6 1 0 25
Santana, Ervin 2017: 10 2 1 0 0 0 0 0 0 3 0 0 10
Santana, Ervin proj: 9 1 0 0 0 0 0 1 0 4 0 0 10
Turley, Nik 2017: 2 0 0 0 0 0 0 0 0 0 0 0 2
Turley, Nik proj: 2 0 0 0 0 0 0 0 0 0 0 0 2
Vargas, Kennys 2017: 241 61 13 0 11 20 1 0 2 77 0 0 264
Vargas, Kennys proj: 241 61 12 0 11 20 2 0 2 77 0 0 265
2017 TEAM TOTALS: 5557 1443 286 31 206 593 39 26 46 1342 95 28 6261
PROJECTED: 5590 1420 294 39 182 554 45 35 39 1406 90 34 6263
difference: -33 +23 -8 -8 +24 +39 -6 -9 +7 -64 +5 -6 -2
Man AB H 2B 3B HR BB SF SH HBP SO SB CS PA


Assorted Team Stats:
Stat Actual Projected
Batting Average: .260 .254
Slugging Average: .434 .418
Walks (per PA): .095 .088
SOs (per PA): .214 .225
On-Base Average: .333 .321
Power Factor: 1.67 1.65
OPS: .766 .740
TOP Runs (to date): 799 746

Runs differential:
Actual TOP 53 more than Projected TOP.




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This page was last modified on Monday, 2 October 2017, at 7:16 am Pacific Time.