Owing to the screen size of your device, you may obtain a better viewing experience by rotating your device a quarter-turn (to get the so-called "panorama" screen view).
owlcroft logo
An Owlcroft Company web site
Click here to email us.

The Owlcroft Baseball-Analysis Site

Baseball team and player performance examined realistically and accurately.

Search this site, or just roll your cursor over the colored boxes below the pictures.

  Advertisement:


  Advertisement:


MIN "Expected" Pitching Results, 2019


About These Stats:

The form of "projection" used is very simple: each man's career numbers are pro-rated by his actual number of batters faced to date this season; those data, labelled "proj:" are shown along with the man's actual stats from this year to date. At the bottom of the Table, each set of lines—"projected" and actual—is separately summed to get Team Totals for each dataset.

Note that "career to date" includes each man's stats for the current year: "to date" is literally correct. For veteran players, that matters little, but for rookies or players with litle prior major-league experience, it means that the "projection" will perforce nearly or exactly match the actual stats to date. That seems like the best way to deal with newly arrived players' stats.

Note that owing to rounding in the pro-rating process, projected total BFP (batters faced) may occasionally differ by 1.

Below the player/team table is a smaller table showing a few key team "rate" stats (such as batting average) actual and projected.

The Actual Data:

Through games of Thursday, 22 August 2019.
All results are from true, unadjusted data.

Handedness Key:   + R   * L

(You can also look up the stat definitions.)

Pitchers, listed in alphabetical order:
Each name is a click-on link to that man's career stats.

(or see the data for Batting)


Man AB H 2B 3B HR BB SF SH HBP SO SB CS BFP
Adams, Austin 2019: 12 4 0 0 2 3 0 0 0 5 0 0 15
Adams, Austin proj: 13 4 1 0 1 1 0 0 0 3 0 0 14
Adrianza, Ehire 2019: 8 5 2 1 0 0 0 0 0 1 0 0 8
Adrianza, Ehire proj: 8 5 2 1 0 0 0 0 0 1 0 0 8
Berrios, Jose 2019: 610 148 25 2 21 38 3 2 8 150 12 1 661
Berrios, Jose proj: 593 144 28 1 20 51 3 3 11 152 8 2 661
De Jong, Chase 2019: 6 3 0 0 1 3 0 0 0 0 0 0 9
De Jong, Chase proj: 8 2 0 0 0 1 0 0 0 1 0 0 9
Dobnak, Randy 2019: 17 6 0 0 0 0 0 0 0 3 1 0 17
Dobnak, Randy proj: 17 6 0 0 0 0 0 0 0 3 1 0 17
Duffey, Tyler 2019: 164 34 3 0 7 13 1 1 2 55 0 1 181
Duffey, Tyler proj: 167 46 9 1 6 11 1 1 1 39 1 0 181
Dyson, Sam 2019: 27 11 2 0 1 3 0 0 0 6 0 0 30
Dyson, Sam proj: 27 7 1 0 1 2 0 0 0 6 1 0 29
Eades, Ryan 2019: 14 4 1 0 0 2 0 0 0 5 2 0 16
Eades, Ryan proj: 14 4 1 0 0 2 0 0 0 5 2 0 16
Gibson, Kyle 2019: 542 137 21 3 18 45 1 3 6 133 5 3 597
Gibson, Kyle proj: 537 144 25 2 16 50 3 3 4 107 5 3 597
Harper, Ryne 2019: 185 45 10 0 6 9 3 0 1 44 1 1 198
Harper, Ryne proj: 185 45 10 0 6 9 3 0 1 44 1 1 198
Hildenberger, Trevor 2019: 63 24 7 0 1 4 2 0 2 14 3 0 71
Hildenberger, Trevor proj: 64 17 5 0 2 5 1 1 1 16 2 0 72
Littell, Zack 2019: 94 24 6 1 3 7 0 0 0 22 1 0 101
Littell, Zack proj: 89 25 8 1 3 9 1 1 2 18 1 0 102
Magill, Matt 2019: 114 30 10 1 4 15 1 1 2 36 0 0 133
Magill, Matt proj: 113 29 6 0 5 17 1 1 1 30 2 1 133
May, Trevor 2019: 178 35 6 0 5 23 3 0 3 56 6 0 207
May, Trevor proj: 187 48 10 1 6 16 1 1 2 53 4 1 207
Mejia, Adalberto 2019: 58 16 4 0 3 12 1 0 0 15 0 0 71
Mejia, Adalberto proj: 62 17 4 0 2 8 1 0 1 13 0 0 72
Morin, Mike 2019: 88 20 5 0 3 2 0 0 2 11 0 0 92
Morin, Mike proj: 84 21 4 0 2 5 1 1 1 20 1 1 92
Odorizzi, Jake 2019: 491 116 23 2 15 47 2 3 4 137 1 2 547
Odorizzi, Jake proj: 492 116 24 3 18 45 4 2 4 122 5 3 547
Parker, Blake 2019: 138 34 6 0 7 16 1 0 2 34 0 0 157
Parker, Blake proj: 142 33 6 0 5 12 1 0 1 43 3 1 156
Perez, Martin 2019: 521 139 25 0 18 56 3 3 3 111 9 2 586
Perez, Martin proj: 527 149 28 2 15 49 4 3 3 86 4 3 586
Pineda, Michael 2019: 495 128 24 2 21 24 7 2 4 113 7 1 532
Pineda, Michael proj: 494 124 24 3 18 29 4 2 3 127 8 6 532
Poppen, Sean 2019: 31 10 3 1 1 5 0 0 0 9 0 0 36
Poppen, Sean proj: 31 10 3 1 1 5 0 0 0 9 0 0 36
Rogers, Taylor 2019: 213 51 7 0 6 10 0 1 5 72 0 0 229
Rogers, Taylor proj: 209 50 9 0 5 15 1 1 3 60 2 1 229
Romero, Fernando 2019: 34 12 2 0 2 5 0 0 1 8 0 0 40
Romero, Fernando proj: 35 10 2 0 1 3 1 0 1 7 1 0 40
Romo, Sergio 2019: 36 5 1 0 2 1 0 0 2 9 1 0 39
Romo, Sergio proj: 36 8 2 0 1 2 0 0 0 11 1 0 38
Smeltzer, Devin 2019: 134 34 7 2 6 9 0 0 0 27 1 1 143
Smeltzer, Devin proj: 134 34 7 2 6 9 0 0 0 27 1 1 143
Stashak, Cody 2019: 37 13 3 0 1 0 0 0 0 9 0 0 37
Stashak, Cody proj: 37 13 3 0 1 0 0 0 0 9 0 0 37
Stewart, Kohl 2019: 86 24 4 1 4 7 0 0 0 7 3 1 93
Stewart, Kohl proj: 83 21 4 0 2 9 0 0 1 11 2 1 93
Thorpe, Lewis 2019: 51 16 5 0 1 3 0 0 0 13 0 1 54
Thorpe, Lewis proj: 51 16 5 0 1 3 0 0 0 13 0 1 54
Vasquez, Andrew 2019: 0 0 0 0 0 2 0 0 1 0 0 0 3
Vasquez, Andrew proj: 2 1 0 0 0 0 0 0 0 1 0 0 2
2019 TEAM TOTALS: 4447 1128 212 16 159 364 28 16 48 1105 53 14 4903
PROJECTED: 4441 1149 231 18 144 368 31 20 41 1037 56 26 4901
difference: +6 -21 -19 -2 +15 -4 -3 -4 +7 +68 -3 -12 +2
Man AB H 2B 3B HR BB SF SH HBP SO SB CS BFP


Assorted Team Stats:
Stat Actual Projected
Batting Average: .254 .259
Slugging Average: .416 .416
Walks (per PA): .074 .075
SOs (per PA): .225 .212
On-Base Average: .314 .318
Power Factor: 1.64 1.61
OPS: .730 .734
TPP Runs (to date): 574 573

Runs differential:
Actual TPP 1 more than Projected TPP.




  Advertisement:


  Advertisement:



Want detailed, careful, unhysterical analysis of the effects of "Performance-Enhancing Drugs" in baseball? Click here to visit the Steroids & Baseball web site.

All content copyright © 2002 - 2019 by The Owlcroft Company.

This web page is strictly compliant with the W3C (World Wide Web Consortium) Extensible HyperText Markup Language (XHTML) Protocol v1.0 (Transitional) and the W3C Cascading Style Sheets (CSS) Protocol v3 — because we care about interoperability. Click on the logos below to test us!



This page was last modified on Friday, 23 August 2019, at 7:05 am Pacific Time.