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MIN "Expected" Pitching Results, 2017


About These Stats:

The form of "projection" used is very simple: each man's career numbers are pro-rated by his actual number of batters faced to date this season; those data, labelled "proj:" are shown along with the man's actual stats from this year to date. At the bottom of the Table, each set of lines—"projected" and actual—is separately summed to get Team Totals for each dataset.

Note that "career to date" includes each man's stats for the current year: "to date" is literally correct. For veteran players, that matters little, but for rookies or players with litle prior major-league experience, it means that the "projection" will perforce nearly or exactly match the actual stats to date. That seems like the best way to deal with newly arrived players' stats.

Note that owing to rounding in the pro-rating process, projected total BFP (batters faced) may occasionally differ by 1.

Below the player/team table is a smaller table showing a few key team "rate" stats (such as batting average) actual and projected.

The Actual Data:

Through games of Sunday, 1 October 2017.
All results are from true, unadjusted data.

Handedness Key:   + R   * L

(You can also look up the stat definitions.)

Pitchers, listed in alphabetical order:
Each name is a click-on link to that man's career stats.

(or see the data for Batting)


Man AB H 2B 3B HR BB SF SH HBP SO SB CS BFP
Belisle, Matt 2017: 220 48 10 1 7 22 1 2 2 54 4 1 247
Belisle, Matt proj: 226 63 12 1 6 15 2 2 2 44 3 1 247
Berrios, Jose 2017: 548 131 28 2 15 48 4 3 13 139 6 3 616
Berrios, Jose proj: 540 141 30 1 19 57 3 3 12 129 7 3 615
Boshers, Buddy 2017: 138 37 6 1 7 10 2 1 2 28 4 2 153
Boshers, Buddy proj: 138 35 7 1 4 10 2 0 2 32 4 2 152
Breslow, Craig 2017: 124 38 8 1 4 12 4 1 2 18 2 1 143
Breslow, Craig proj: 126 32 6 0 3 13 1 1 1 26 2 2 142
Busenitz, Alan 2017: 107 22 2 1 4 9 5 0 0 23 1 1 121
Busenitz, Alan proj: 107 22 2 1 4 9 5 0 0 23 1 1 121
Colon, Bartolo 2017: 331 100 26 2 17 15 1 2 0 47 2 1 349
Colon, Bartolo proj: 319 85 17 1 10 23 2 3 2 61 2 2 349
Curtiss, John 2017: 35 9 2 0 2 2 0 0 1 10 2 0 38
Curtiss, John proj: 35 9 2 0 2 2 0 0 1 10 2 0 38
Duffey, Tyler 2017: 287 79 10 0 9 18 3 1 1 67 2 0 310
Duffey, Tyler proj: 286 82 17 2 10 19 1 2 2 63 1 0 310
Enns, Dietrich 2017: 20 7 1 0 2 1 0 0 0 2 0 0 21
Enns, Dietrich proj: 20 7 1 0 2 1 0 0 0 2 0 0 21
Garcia, Jaime 2017: 26 8 4 0 0 3 0 0 0 7 0 0 29
Garcia, Jaime proj: 26 7 1 0 1 2 0 0 0 6 0 0 28
Gee, Dillon 2017: 138 37 8 1 4 9 2 0 2 31 0 1 151
Gee, Dillon proj: 136 36 6 1 5 11 1 1 2 26 2 1 151
Gibson, Kyle 2017: 624 182 32 3 24 60 2 1 6 121 1 5 693
Gibson, Kyle proj: 625 173 31 2 18 56 4 3 5 111 7 3 693
Gimenez, Chris 2017: 22 7 2 0 1 0 0 0 0 0 0 0 22
Gimenez, Chris proj: 22 6 2 0 1 0 0 0 0 1 0 0 22
Haley, Justin 2017: 73 22 1 3 3 6 1 0 1 14 1 0 81
Haley, Justin proj: 73 22 1 3 3 6 1 0 1 14 1 0 81
Heston, Chris 2017: 4 1 0 0 0 0 0 0 0 0 1 0 4
Heston, Chris proj: 4 1 0 0 0 0 0 0 0 1 0 0 4
Hildenberger, Trevor 2017: 158 38 8 1 4 6 1 1 4 44 5 0 170
Hildenberger, Trevor proj: 158 38 8 1 4 6 1 1 4 44 5 0 170
Hughes, Phil 2017: 228 72 18 0 12 13 1 1 1 38 3 3 244
Hughes, Phil proj: 226 61 13 1 8 14 2 1 1 46 3 1 244
Jorge, Felix 2017: 34 14 2 1 4 2 0 0 0 4 0 0 36
Jorge, Felix proj: 34 14 2 1 4 2 0 0 0 4 0 0 36
Kintzler, Brandon 2017: 167 41 5 0 3 11 2 0 2 27 4 1 182
Kintzler, Brandon proj: 168 44 7 0 4 11 1 1 1 30 2 1 182
Mejia, Adalberto 2017: 391 110 28 2 13 44 3 0 5 85 3 2 443
Mejia, Adalberto proj: 391 112 29 2 13 44 4 0 5 83 3 2 444
Melville, Tim 2017: 14 4 1 0 1 3 0 0 1 4 0 0 18
Melville, Tim proj: 14 5 1 0 1 3 0 0 0 3 0 0 17
Moya, Gabriel 2017: 24 5 0 0 2 2 0 0 0 5 0 0 26
Moya, Gabriel proj: 24 5 0 0 2 2 0 0 0 5 0 0 26
Perkins, Glen 2017: 25 8 1 2 0 5 1 0 3 2 0 0 34
Perkins, Glen proj: 31 8 2 0 1 2 0 0 0 7 0 0 33
Pressly, Ryan 2017: 227 52 9 0 10 19 1 2 3 61 4 0 252
Pressly, Ryan proj: 226 57 11 1 6 20 2 2 1 47 3 1 251
Rogers, Taylor 2017: 211 52 8 0 6 21 0 2 3 49 4 1 237
Rogers, Taylor proj: 214 54 10 0 6 18 0 1 4 53 3 1 237
Rosario, Randy 2017: 14 7 2 0 1 0 0 0 1 2 0 0 15
Rosario, Randy proj: 14 7 2 0 1 0 0 0 1 2 0 0 15
Rucinski, Drew 2017: 21 10 2 0 2 2 0 0 0 5 0 0 23
Rucinski, Drew proj: 20 7 2 0 1 3 0 0 1 4 1 0 24
Santana, Ervin 2017: 787 177 28 5 31 61 4 4 8 167 11 2 864
Santana, Ervin proj: 782 196 40 4 26 64 6 4 9 164 15 5 865
Santiago, Hector 2017: 274 70 6 0 15 31 1 0 5 51 8 2 311
Santiago, Hector proj: 272 65 12 1 11 32 2 1 4 63 6 3 311
Slegers, Aaron 2017: 57 12 2 0 3 6 0 0 0 9 1 1 63
Slegers, Aaron proj: 57 12 2 0 3 6 0 0 0 9 1 1 63
Tepesch, Nick 2017: 11 5 2 0 1 2 0 0 0 2 1 0 13
Tepesch, Nick proj: 12 3 1 0 0 1 0 0 0 2 0 0 13
Tonkin, Michael 2017: 83 22 5 0 6 12 1 0 1 24 0 1 97
Tonkin, Michael proj: 87 23 4 1 4 8 0 1 1 22 3 0 97
Turley, Nik 2017: 76 30 10 0 5 8 2 1 2 13 2 0 89
Turley, Nik proj: 76 30 10 0 5 8 2 1 2 13 2 0 89
Wheeler, Jason 2017: 14 6 1 0 1 4 0 0 0 0 0 0 18
Wheeler, Jason proj: 14 6 1 0 1 4 0 0 0 0 0 0 18
Wilk, Adam 2017: 45 16 4 0 3 8 0 1 0 6 2 1 54
Wilk, Adam proj: 48 17 2 0 4 4 0 1 0 7 1 1 53
Wimmers, Alex 2017: 30 8 0 0 2 8 0 0 0 7 1 0 38
Wimmers, Alex proj: 31 8 1 0 1 7 1 0 0 7 0 0 39
2017 TEAM TOTALS: 5588 1487 282 26 224 483 42 23 69 1166 75 29 6205
PROJECTED: 5582 1493 295 25 194 483 43 29 64 1164 80 31 6201
difference: +6 -6 -13 +1 +30 0 -1 -6 +5 +2 -5 -2 +4
Man AB H 2B 3B HR BB SF SH HBP SO SB CS BFP


Assorted Team Stats:
Stat Actual Projected
Batting Average: .266 .267
Slugging Average: .446 .434
Walks (per PA): .078 .078
SOs (per PA): .188 .188
On-Base Average: .329 .329
Power Factor: 1.68 1.62
OPS: .775 .763
TPP Runs (to date): 803 780

Runs differential:
Actual TPP 23 more than Projected TPP.




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This page was last modified on Monday, 2 October 2017, at 7:15 am Pacific Time.