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MIN "Expected" Pitching Results, 2017


About These Stats:

The form of "projection" used is very simple: each man's career numbers are pro-rated by his actual number of batters faced to date this season; those data, labelled "proj:" are shown along with the man's actual stats from this year to date. At the bottom of the Table, each set of lines—"projected" and actual—is separately summed to get Team Totals for each dataset.

Note that "career to date" includes each man's stats for the current year: "to date" is literally correct. For veteran players, that matters little, but for rookies or players with litle prior major-league experience, it means that the "projection" will perforce nearly or exactly match the actual stats to date. That seems like the best way to deal with newly arrived players' stats.

Note that owing to rounding in the pro-rating process, projected total BFP (batters faced) may occasionally differ by 1.

Below the player/team table is a smaller table showing a few key team "rate" stats (such as batting average) actual and projected.

The Actual Data:

Through games of Monday, 24 July 2017.
All results are from true, unadjusted data.

Handedness Key:   + R   * L

(You can also look up the stat definitions.)

Pitchers, listed in alphabetical order:
Each name is a click-on link to that man's career stats.

(or see the data for Batting)


Man AB H 2B 3B HR BB SF SH HBP SO SB CS BFP
Belisle, Matt 2017: 153 38 9 1 4 18 1 2 2 32 3 1 176
Belisle, Matt proj: 161 45 9 1 4 10 1 2 2 31 2 1 176
Berrios, Jose 2017: 296 68 10 1 9 24 3 0 9 75 2 2 332
Berrios, Jose proj: 290 77 14 1 11 32 2 1 8 67 3 2 333
Boshers, Buddy 2017: 98 25 4 1 4 7 2 1 2 21 3 1 110
Boshers, Buddy proj: 99 25 5 1 2 7 2 0 1 24 3 1 109
Breslow, Craig 2017: 124 38 8 1 4 12 4 1 2 18 2 1 143
Breslow, Craig proj: 126 32 6 0 3 13 1 1 1 26 2 2 142
Busenitz, Alan 2017: 34 10 1 0 2 3 2 0 0 4 0 0 39
Busenitz, Alan proj: 34 10 1 0 2 3 2 0 0 4 0 0 39
Colon, Bartolo 2017: 40 16 2 1 2 0 0 1 0 5 0 0 41
Colon, Bartolo proj: 38 10 2 0 1 3 0 0 0 7 0 0 41
Duffey, Tyler 2017: 189 51 7 0 5 12 2 1 1 46 1 0 205
Duffey, Tyler proj: 189 54 12 1 7 13 1 1 1 42 1 0 205
Gibson, Kyle 2017: 383 117 27 2 16 45 1 1 2 62 1 3 432
Gibson, Kyle proj: 389 108 21 1 11 36 2 2 3 67 5 2 432
Gimenez, Chris 2017: 22 7 2 0 1 0 0 0 0 0 0 0 22
Gimenez, Chris proj: 22 6 2 0 1 0 0 0 0 1 0 0 22
Haley, Justin 2017: 73 22 1 3 3 6 1 0 1 14 1 0 81
Haley, Justin proj: 73 22 1 3 3 6 1 0 1 14 1 0 81
Heston, Chris 2017: 4 1 0 0 0 0 0 0 0 0 1 0 4
Heston, Chris proj: 4 1 0 0 0 0 0 0 0 1 0 0 4
Hildenberger, Trevor 2017: 54 14 3 0 1 3 1 0 1 13 3 0 59
Hildenberger, Trevor proj: 54 14 3 0 1 3 1 0 1 13 3 0 59
Hughes, Phil 2017: 228 72 18 0 12 13 1 1 1 38 3 3 244
Hughes, Phil proj: 226 61 13 1 8 14 2 1 1 46 3 1 244
Jorge, Felix 2017: 34 14 2 1 4 2 0 0 0 4 0 0 36
Jorge, Felix proj: 34 14 2 1 4 2 0 0 0 4 0 0 36
Kintzler, Brandon 2017: 157 37 5 0 3 10 1 0 2 26 4 1 170
Kintzler, Brandon proj: 157 41 7 0 4 10 1 1 1 29 2 1 170
Mejia, Adalberto 2017: 288 74 19 1 11 34 3 0 4 63 3 2 329
Mejia, Adalberto proj: 288 76 20 1 11 34 4 0 4 61 3 2 330
Pressly, Ryan 2017: 122 33 6 0 7 8 0 2 3 36 2 0 135
Pressly, Ryan proj: 121 32 6 1 3 10 1 1 1 25 1 1 134
Rogers, Taylor 2017: 147 37 5 0 5 10 0 2 2 30 2 1 161
Rogers, Taylor proj: 147 38 7 0 5 10 0 1 3 36 2 1 161
Rosario, Randy 2017: 14 7 2 0 1 0 0 0 1 2 0 0 15
Rosario, Randy proj: 14 7 2 0 1 0 0 0 1 2 0 0 15
Rucinski, Drew 2017: 21 10 2 0 2 2 0 0 0 5 0 0 23
Rucinski, Drew proj: 20 7 2 0 1 3 0 0 1 4 1 0 24
Santana, Ervin 2017: 475 102 14 4 21 47 0 4 4 97 6 0 530
Santana, Ervin proj: 479 120 24 2 16 40 3 3 5 100 9 3 530
Santiago, Hector 2017: 274 70 6 0 15 31 1 0 5 51 8 2 311
Santiago, Hector proj: 272 65 12 1 11 32 2 1 4 63 6 3 311
Tepesch, Nick 2017: 11 5 2 0 1 2 0 0 0 2 1 0 13
Tepesch, Nick proj: 12 3 1 0 0 1 0 0 0 2 0 0 13
Tonkin, Michael 2017: 47 14 2 0 4 10 0 0 1 13 0 1 58
Tonkin, Michael proj: 52 14 2 0 2 5 0 0 1 13 2 0 58
Turley, Nik 2017: 47 23 10 0 3 4 1 1 1 7 1 0 54
Turley, Nik proj: 47 23 10 0 3 4 1 1 1 7 1 0 54
Wheeler, Jason 2017: 14 6 1 0 1 4 0 0 0 0 0 0 18
Wheeler, Jason proj: 14 6 1 0 1 4 0 0 0 0 0 0 18
Wilk, Adam 2017: 45 16 4 0 3 8 0 1 0 6 2 1 54
Wilk, Adam proj: 48 17 2 0 4 4 0 1 0 7 1 1 53
Wimmers, Alex 2017: 30 8 0 0 2 8 0 0 0 7 1 0 38
Wimmers, Alex proj: 31 8 1 0 1 7 1 0 0 7 0 0 39
2017 TEAM TOTALS: 3424 935 172 16 146 323 24 18 44 677 50 19 3833
PROJECTED: 3441 936 188 15 121 306 28 17 41 703 51 21 3833
difference: -17 -1 -16 +1 +25 +17 -4 +1 +3 -26 -1 -2 0
Man AB H 2B 3B HR BB SF SH HBP SO SB CS BFP


Assorted Team Stats:
Stat Actual Projected
Batting Average: .273 .272
Slugging Average: .461 .441
Walks (per PA): .084 .080
SOs (per PA): .177 .183
On-Base Average: .340 .335
Power Factor: 1.69 1.62
OPS: .800 .776
TPP Runs (to date): 527 496

Runs differential:
Actual TPP 31 more than Projected TPP.




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This page was last modified on Tuesday, 25 July 2017, at 7:06 am Pacific Time.