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MIN "Expected" Pitching Results, 2019


About These Stats:

The form of "projection" used is very simple: each man's career numbers are pro-rated by his actual number of batters faced to date this season; those data, labelled "proj:" are shown along with the man's actual stats from this year to date. At the bottom of the Table, each set of lines—"projected" and actual—is separately summed to get Team Totals for each dataset.

Note that "career to date" includes each man's stats for the current year: "to date" is literally correct. For veteran players, that matters little, but for rookies or players with litle prior major-league experience, it means that the "projection" will perforce nearly or exactly match the actual stats to date. That seems like the best way to deal with newly arrived players' stats.

Note that owing to rounding in the pro-rating process, projected total BFP (batters faced) may occasionally differ by 1.

Below the player/team table is a smaller table showing a few key team "rate" stats (such as batting average) actual and projected.

The Actual Data:

Through games of Monday, 22 April 2019.
All results are from true, unadjusted data.

Handedness Key:   + R   * L

(You can also look up the stat definitions.)

Pitchers, listed in alphabetical order:
Each name is a click-on link to that man's career stats.

(or see the data for Batting)


Man AB H 2B 3B HR BB SF SH HBP SO SB CS BFP
Berrios, Jose 2019: 119 23 6 1 6 8 1 0 2 33 4 0 130
Berrios, Jose proj: 116 28 6 0 4 11 1 0 2 30 2 0 130
De Jong, Chase 2019: 6 3 0 0 1 3 0 0 0 0 0 0 9
De Jong, Chase proj: 8 2 0 0 0 1 0 0 0 1 0 0 9
Duffey, Tyler 2019: 15 3 0 0 1 1 0 0 0 5 0 0 16
Duffey, Tyler proj: 15 4 1 0 1 1 0 0 0 3 0 0 16
Gibson, Kyle 2019: 84 23 4 1 3 8 0 0 0 18 2 1 92
Gibson, Kyle proj: 83 22 4 0 2 8 1 0 1 16 1 0 93
Harper, Ryne 2019: 34 7 1 0 1 3 0 0 0 7 0 0 37
Harper, Ryne proj: 34 7 1 0 1 3 0 0 0 7 0 0 37
Hildenberger, Trevor 2019: 29 7 0 0 0 2 0 0 1 10 2 0 32
Hildenberger, Trevor proj: 29 7 2 0 1 2 0 0 0 8 1 0 31
May, Trevor 2019: 36 9 2 0 0 5 0 0 0 8 2 0 41
May, Trevor proj: 37 10 2 0 1 3 0 0 0 10 1 0 40
Mejia, Adalberto 2019: 36 9 2 0 2 6 1 0 0 9 0 0 43
Mejia, Adalberto proj: 38 10 2 0 1 4 0 0 1 8 0 0 43
Odorizzi, Jake 2019: 82 18 2 0 2 10 0 1 1 23 0 1 94
Odorizzi, Jake proj: 84 20 4 1 3 8 1 0 1 21 1 1 94
Parker, Blake 2019: 24 3 0 0 0 5 1 0 0 6 0 0 30
Parker, Blake proj: 27 6 1 0 1 2 0 0 0 8 1 0 29
Perez, Martin 2019: 80 24 5 0 2 12 2 0 0 19 0 1 94
Perez, Martin proj: 84 24 5 0 2 8 1 0 1 13 0 0 94
Pineda, Michael 2019: 72 20 5 0 4 3 1 0 0 16 0 0 76
Pineda, Michael proj: 71 18 4 0 2 4 0 0 0 18 1 1 75
Rogers, Taylor 2019: 49 15 3 0 1 3 0 0 3 15 0 0 55
Rogers, Taylor proj: 50 12 2 0 1 4 0 0 1 14 1 0 55
Romero, Fernando 2019: 9 4 1 0 1 0 0 0 0 0 0 0 9
Romero, Fernando proj: 8 2 0 0 0 1 0 0 0 2 0 0 9
Vasquez, Andrew 2019: 0 0 0 0 0 2 0 0 1 0 0 0 3
Vasquez, Andrew proj: 2 1 0 0 0 0 0 0 0 1 0 0 2
2019 TEAM TOTALS: 675 168 31 2 24 71 6 1 8 169 10 3 761
PROJECTED: 686 173 34 1 20 60 4 0 7 160 9 2 757
difference: -11 -5 -3 +1 +4 +11 +2 +1 +1 +9 +1 +1 +4
Man AB H 2B 3B HR BB SF SH HBP SO SB CS BFP


Assorted Team Stats:
Stat Actual Projected
Batting Average: .249 .252
Slugging Average: .407 .392
Walks (per PA): .093 .079
SOs (per PA): .222 .210
On-Base Average: .325 .317
Power Factor: 1.64 1.55
OPS: .732 .709
TPP Runs (to date): 90 84

Runs differential:
Actual TPP 6 more than Projected TPP.




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This page was last modified on Tuesday, 23 April 2019, at 6:52 am Pacific Time.