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MIN "Expected" Pitching Results, 2018


About These Stats:

The form of "projection" used is very simple: each man's career numbers are pro-rated by his actual number of batters faced to date this season; those data, labelled "proj:" are shown along with the man's actual stats from this year to date. At the bottom of the Table, each set of lines—"projected" and actual—is separately summed to get Team Totals for each dataset.

Note that "career to date" includes each man's stats for the current year: "to date" is literally correct. For veteran players, that matters little, but for rookies or players with litle prior major-league experience, it means that the "projection" will perforce nearly or exactly match the actual stats to date. That seems like the best way to deal with newly arrived players' stats.

Note that owing to rounding in the pro-rating process, projected total BFP (batters faced) may occasionally differ by 1.

Below the player/team table is a smaller table showing a few key team "rate" stats (such as batting average) actual and projected.

The Actual Data:

Through games of Monday, 17 September 2018.
All results are from true, unadjusted data.

Handedness Key:   + R   * L

(You can also look up the stat definitions.)

Pitchers, listed in alphabetical order:
Each name is a click-on link to that man's career stats.

(or see the data for Batting)


Man AB H 2B 3B HR BB SF SH HBP SO SB CS BFP
Astudillo, Willians 2018: 8 5 1 0 2 0 0 0 0 0 0 0 8
Astudillo, Willians proj: 8 5 1 0 2 0 0 0 0 0 0 0 8
Belisle, Matt 2018: 95 36 8 0 5 10 0 1 1 20 2 0 107
Belisle, Matt proj: 98 27 5 0 3 6 1 1 1 19 1 1 107
Berrios, Jose 2018: 674 152 31 1 24 54 2 2 12 185 8 3 744
Berrios, Jose proj: 662 162 34 1 23 62 3 3 14 169 8 3 744
Busenitz, Alan 2018: 102 35 6 0 8 13 0 0 2 24 3 0 117
Busenitz, Alan proj: 103 28 4 0 6 11 2 0 1 23 2 0 117
Curtiss, John 2018: 19 7 5 0 0 4 0 0 0 5 2 0 23
Curtiss, John proj: 20 6 3 0 1 2 0 0 0 6 2 0 22
De Jong, Chase 2018: 30 9 2 1 0 4 0 0 0 9 0 0 34
De Jong, Chase proj: 30 9 1 0 1 4 0 0 0 5 1 0 34
Drake, Oliver 2018: 60 10 2 0 2 6 0 0 0 15 2 0 66
Drake, Oliver proj: 59 16 4 1 1 6 0 1 0 16 0 0 66
Duffey, Tyler 2018: 93 26 8 1 6 3 1 0 1 16 0 0 98
Duffey, Tyler proj: 91 26 6 1 3 6 0 0 1 20 0 0 98
Duke, Zach 2018: 156 44 3 2 0 15 1 1 5 39 0 0 178
Duke, Zach proj: 161 47 10 1 4 12 1 2 1 25 2 1 177
Garver, Mitch 2018: 4 1 0 0 0 0 0 0 0 0 0 0 4
Garver, Mitch proj: 4 1 0 0 0 0 0 0 0 0 0 0 4
Gibson, Kyle 2018: 685 167 28 3 22 73 7 3 4 169 3 4 772
Gibson, Kyle proj: 694 188 34 3 20 65 5 3 5 132 7 4 772
Gimenez, Chris 2018: 9 6 0 0 2 0 0 0 0 1 0 0 9
Gimenez, Chris proj: 9 3 1 0 1 0 0 0 0 1 0 0 9
Gonsalves, Stephen 2018: 68 24 4 1 2 17 0 0 1 10 0 2 86
Gonsalves, Stephen proj: 68 24 4 1 2 17 0 0 1 10 0 2 86
Hale, David 2018: 12 4 1 0 1 4 0 0 0 2 0 0 16
Hale, David proj: 14 4 1 0 0 1 0 0 0 2 0 0 15
Hildenberger, Trevor 2018: 267 67 19 2 12 23 3 3 2 64 10 0 298
Hildenberger, Trevor proj: 271 67 17 2 10 18 3 3 4 69 10 0 299
Hughes, Phil 2018: 48 14 3 0 4 5 1 0 1 8 0 0 55
Hughes, Phil proj: 51 14 3 0 2 3 0 0 0 10 1 0 54
Kinley, Tyler 2018: 19 9 1 0 2 4 0 0 0 4 0 0 23
Kinley, Tyler proj: 20 6 1 0 1 3 0 0 0 6 1 0 23
LaMarre, Ryan 2018: 3 1 0 0 1 0 0 0 0 0 0 0 3
LaMarre, Ryan proj: 3 1 0 0 0 0 0 0 0 0 0 0 3
Littell, Zack 2018: 59 20 9 0 3 8 0 0 3 9 0 0 70
Littell, Zack proj: 59 20 9 0 3 8 0 0 3 9 0 0 70
Lynn, Lance 2018: 399 105 19 2 12 62 2 0 6 100 3 5 469
Lynn, Lance proj: 415 102 20 3 10 43 2 4 5 105 3 3 469
Magill, Matt 2018: 203 55 10 1 10 20 1 1 3 48 5 2 228
Magill, Matt proj: 191 52 8 1 10 31 2 2 2 44 4 4 228
May, Trevor 2018: 79 20 2 0 4 4 0 2 1 28 3 1 86
May, Trevor proj: 78 22 5 1 3 6 0 0 1 21 2 0 85
Mejia, Adalberto 2018: 79 17 0 0 1 9 1 1 2 13 0 0 92
Mejia, Adalberto proj: 81 22 5 0 2 9 1 0 1 16 1 0 92
Moya, Gabriel 2018: 126 29 7 0 5 12 1 0 0 29 2 0 139
Moya, Gabriel proj: 126 29 6 0 6 12 1 0 0 29 2 0 139
Odorizzi, Jake 2018: 588 141 41 3 20 64 4 4 8 153 11 2 668
Odorizzi, Jake proj: 601 142 30 4 22 55 5 3 4 147 7 4 668
Pressly, Ryan 2018: 184 46 6 1 5 19 2 1 2 69 5 2 208
Pressly, Ryan proj: 187 46 8 1 5 16 2 2 1 45 3 1 208
Reed, Addison 2018: 210 63 9 2 11 15 4 2 3 42 3 1 234
Reed, Addison proj: 215 52 10 1 7 15 2 1 1 57 4 1 234
Rodney, Fernando 2018: 169 42 2 0 5 19 2 0 2 50 11 1 192
Rodney, Fernando proj: 165 38 7 0 3 22 1 2 3 45 5 1 193
Rogers, Taylor 2018: 226 48 10 1 3 15 3 1 2 72 2 2 247
Rogers, Taylor proj: 224 54 10 0 5 17 1 1 3 61 3 1 246
Romero, Fernando 2018: 215 60 12 0 6 19 4 2 7 45 4 2 247
Romero, Fernando proj: 215 60 12 0 6 19 4 2 7 45 4 2 247
Santana, Ervin 2018: 100 31 7 1 9 9 3 0 2 16 1 0 114
Santana, Ervin proj: 103 26 5 1 4 8 1 1 1 22 2 1 114
Slegers, Aaron 2018: 53 16 3 1 3 2 0 0 1 5 1 0 56
Slegers, Aaron proj: 52 13 2 0 3 4 0 0 0 7 1 0 56
Stewart, Kohl 2018: 117 32 8 0 1 18 0 0 3 19 1 1 138
Stewart, Kohl proj: 117 32 8 0 1 18 0 0 3 19 1 1 138
Vasquez, Andrew 2018: 10 3 1 0 0 1 0 0 1 2 0 0 12
Vasquez, Andrew proj: 10 3 1 0 0 1 0 0 1 2 0 0 12
2018 TEAM TOTALS: 5169 1345 268 23 191 531 42 24 75 1271 82 28 5841
PROJECTED: 5205 1347 275 22 170 500 37 31 64 1187 77 30 5837
difference: -36 -2 -7 +1 +21 +31 +5 -7 +11 +84 +5 -2 +4
Man AB H 2B 3B HR BB SF SH HBP SO SB CS BFP


Assorted Team Stats:
Stat Actual Projected
Batting Average: .260 .259
Slugging Average: .432 .418
Walks (per PA): .091 .086
SOs (per PA): .218 .203
On-Base Average: .334 .327
Power Factor: 1.66 1.62
OPS: .766 .745
TPP Runs (to date): 742 706

Runs differential:
Actual TPP 36 more than Projected TPP.




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This page was last modified on Tuesday, 18 September 2018, at 7:06 am Pacific Time.