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MIN "Expected" Pitching Results, 2019


About These Stats:

The form of "projection" used is very simple: each man's career numbers are pro-rated by his actual number of batters faced to date this season; those data, labelled "proj:" are shown along with the man's actual stats from this year to date. At the bottom of the Table, each set of lines—"projected" and actual—is separately summed to get Team Totals for each dataset.

Note that "career to date" includes each man's stats for the current year: "to date" is literally correct. For veteran players, that matters little, but for rookies or players with litle prior major-league experience, it means that the "projection" will perforce nearly or exactly match the actual stats to date. That seems like the best way to deal with newly arrived players' stats.

Note that owing to rounding in the pro-rating process, projected total BFP (batters faced) may occasionally differ by 1.

Below the player/team table is a smaller table showing a few key team "rate" stats (such as batting average) actual and projected.

The Actual Data:

Through games of Monday, 30 September 2019.
All results are from true, unadjusted data.

Handedness Key:   + R   * L

(You can also look up the stat definitions.)

Pitchers, listed in alphabetical order:
Each name is a click-on link to that man's career stats.

(or see the data for Batting)


Man AB H 2B 3B HR BB SF SH HBP SO SB CS BFP
Adams, Austin 2019: 12 4 0 0 2 3 0 0 0 5 0 0 15
Adams, Austin proj: 13 4 1 0 1 1 0 0 0 3 0 0 14
Adrianza, Ehire 2019: 8 5 2 1 0 0 0 0 0 1 0 0 8
Adrianza, Ehire proj: 8 5 2 1 0 0 0 0 0 1 0 0 8
Alcala, Jorge 2019: 6 1 0 0 0 1 0 0 0 1 0 0 7
Alcala, Jorge proj: 6 1 0 0 0 1 0 0 0 1 0 0 7
Berrios, Jose 2019: 774 194 35 3 26 51 6 2 9 195 12 1 842
Berrios, Jose proj: 756 185 36 2 26 65 5 3 13 194 10 3 842
De Jong, Chase 2019: 6 3 0 0 1 3 0 0 0 0 0 0 9
De Jong, Chase proj: 8 2 0 0 0 1 0 0 0 1 0 0 9
Dobnak, Randy 2019: 110 27 3 0 1 5 0 0 3 23 4 1 118
Dobnak, Randy proj: 110 27 3 0 1 5 0 0 3 23 4 1 118
Duffey, Tyler 2019: 219 44 6 0 8 14 1 1 3 82 0 1 238
Duffey, Tyler proj: 220 59 12 1 8 14 1 1 2 53 1 0 238
Dyson, Sam 2019: 47 14 2 0 3 6 0 0 0 8 0 0 53
Dyson, Sam proj: 48 12 2 0 1 4 0 0 1 10 2 0 53
Eades, Ryan 2019: 14 4 1 0 0 2 0 0 0 5 2 0 16
Eades, Ryan proj: 14 4 1 0 1 2 0 0 0 3 1 0 16
Gibson, Kyle 2019: 638 175 30 4 23 56 2 3 7 160 6 3 706
Gibson, Kyle proj: 635 172 31 3 19 59 4 3 5 127 6 3 706
Graterol, Brusdar 2019: 36 10 1 0 1 2 1 0 1 10 0 0 40
Graterol, Brusdar proj: 36 10 1 0 1 2 1 0 1 10 0 0 40
Harper, Ryne 2019: 211 54 11 1 7 10 3 0 1 50 4 1 225
Harper, Ryne proj: 211 54 11 1 7 10 3 0 1 50 4 1 225
Hildenberger, Trevor 2019: 76 30 8 0 2 7 2 0 3 15 4 0 88
Hildenberger, Trevor proj: 79 22 6 0 3 6 1 1 1 20 3 0 88
Littell, Zack 2019: 136 34 8 1 4 9 0 1 0 32 2 0 146
Littell, Zack proj: 130 35 11 1 4 12 1 1 2 27 1 0 146
Magill, Matt 2019: 114 30 10 1 4 15 1 1 2 36 0 0 133
Magill, Matt proj: 114 30 6 0 5 16 1 1 1 31 2 1 133
May, Trevor 2019: 234 43 7 0 8 26 3 0 3 79 6 0 266
May, Trevor proj: 240 61 13 2 8 20 2 1 3 69 5 1 266
Mejia, Adalberto 2019: 58 16 4 0 3 12 1 0 0 15 0 0 71
Mejia, Adalberto proj: 62 17 4 0 2 8 1 0 1 13 0 0 72
Morin, Mike 2019: 88 20 5 0 3 2 0 0 2 11 0 0 92
Morin, Mike proj: 83 21 4 0 2 6 1 1 1 19 1 1 92
Odorizzi, Jake 2019: 593 139 29 2 16 53 4 4 4 178 1 3 658
Odorizzi, Jake proj: 592 140 30 4 21 54 5 3 4 150 6 4 658
Parker, Blake 2019: 138 34 6 0 7 16 1 0 2 34 0 0 157
Parker, Blake proj: 142 33 6 0 6 12 1 0 1 43 3 1 156
Perez, Martin 2019: 659 184 36 0 23 67 5 3 3 135 13 2 737
Perez, Martin proj: 663 189 35 3 19 61 5 4 4 109 5 3 737
Pineda, Michael 2019: 558 141 26 2 23 28 7 2 5 140 8 1 600
Pineda, Michael proj: 558 139 27 3 20 32 4 2 4 145 9 6 600
Poppen, Sean 2019: 31 10 3 1 1 5 0 0 0 9 0 0 36
Poppen, Sean proj: 31 10 3 1 1 5 0 0 0 9 0 0 36
Rogers, Taylor 2019: 258 58 9 0 8 11 0 3 6 90 0 0 278
Rogers, Taylor proj: 254 59 11 0 6 17 1 2 4 74 2 1 278
Romero, Fernando 2019: 60 19 4 0 2 11 0 0 1 18 0 0 72
Romero, Fernando proj: 62 18 4 0 2 7 1 0 2 14 1 0 72
Romo, Sergio 2019: 86 17 3 1 3 4 1 0 2 27 2 0 93
Romo, Sergio proj: 86 18 4 0 2 5 0 1 1 26 2 0 93
Smeltzer, Devin 2019: 189 50 8 3 8 12 0 0 1 38 1 1 202
Smeltzer, Devin proj: 189 50 8 3 8 12 0 0 1 38 1 1 202
Stashak, Cody 2019: 101 29 8 1 3 1 1 0 1 25 0 0 104
Stashak, Cody proj: 101 29 8 1 3 1 1 0 1 25 0 0 104
Stewart, Kohl 2019: 100 29 6 1 5 8 0 0 1 10 5 1 109
Stewart, Kohl proj: 97 26 6 0 2 11 0 0 2 14 3 1 110
Thorpe, Lewis 2019: 113 38 11 1 3 10 1 0 0 31 1 1 124
Thorpe, Lewis proj: 113 38 11 1 3 10 1 0 0 31 1 1 124
Vasquez, Andrew 2019: 0 0 0 0 0 2 0 0 1 0 0 0 3
Vasquez, Andrew proj: 2 1 0 0 0 0 0 0 0 1 0 0 2
2019 TEAM TOTALS: 5673 1456 282 23 198 452 40 20 61 1463 71 16 6246
PROJECTED: 5663 1471 297 27 182 459 40 24 59 1334 73 29 6245
difference: +10 -15 -15 -4 +16 -7 0 -4 +2 +129 -2 -13 +1
Man AB H 2B 3B HR BB SF SH HBP SO SB CS BFP


Assorted Team Stats:
Stat Actual Projected
Batting Average: .257 .260
Slugging Average: .419 .418
Walks (per PA): .072 .073
SOs (per PA): .234 .214
On-Base Average: .315 .318
Power Factor: 1.63 1.61
OPS: .734 .737
TPP Runs (to date): 738 736

Runs differential:
Actual TPP 2 more than Projected TPP.




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This page was last modified on Tuesday, 1 October 2019, at 7:36 am Pacific Time.