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MIN "Expected" Pitching Results, 2017


About These Stats:

The form of "projection" used is very simple: each man's career numbers are pro-rated by his actual number of batters faced to date this season; those data, labelled "proj:" are shown along with the man's actual stats from this year to date. At the bottom of the Table, each set of lines—"projected" and actual—is separately summed to get Team Totals for each dataset.

Note that "career to date" includes each man's stats for the current year: "to date" is literally correct. For veteran players, that matters little, but for rookies or players with litle prior major-league experience, it means that the "projection" will perforce nearly or exactly match the actual stats to date. That seems like the best way to deal with newly arrived players' stats.

Note that owing to rounding in the pro-rating process, projected total BFP (batters faced) may occasionally differ by 1.

Below the player/team table is a smaller table showing a few key team "rate" stats (such as batting average) actual and projected.

The Actual Data:

Through games of Sunday, 24 September 2017.
All results are from true, unadjusted data.

Handedness Key:   + R   * L

(You can also look up the stat definitions.)

Pitchers, listed in alphabetical order:
Each name is a click-on link to that man's career stats.

(or see the data for Batting)


Man AB H 2B 3B HR BB SF SH HBP SO SB CS BFP
Belisle, Matt 2017: 214 48 10 1 7 22 1 2 2 52 4 1 241
Belisle, Matt proj: 220 62 12 1 6 14 2 2 2 43 3 1 240
Berrios, Jose 2017: 542 129 28 2 15 48 4 3 13 138 6 3 610
Berrios, Jose proj: 535 139 29 1 18 57 3 3 12 128 7 3 610
Boshers, Buddy 2017: 132 35 6 1 7 10 2 1 2 27 4 2 147
Boshers, Buddy proj: 133 34 6 1 4 10 2 0 2 31 4 2 147
Breslow, Craig 2017: 124 38 8 1 4 12 4 1 2 18 2 1 143
Breslow, Craig proj: 126 32 6 0 3 13 1 1 1 26 2 2 142
Busenitz, Alan 2017: 101 20 2 1 3 8 4 0 0 21 1 1 113
Busenitz, Alan proj: 101 20 2 1 3 8 4 0 0 21 1 1 113
Colon, Bartolo 2017: 304 94 24 2 16 14 1 2 0 42 2 1 321
Colon, Bartolo proj: 294 78 16 1 9 21 2 3 1 56 2 2 321
Curtiss, John 2017: 25 9 2 0 2 2 0 0 0 7 2 0 27
Curtiss, John proj: 25 9 2 0 2 2 0 0 0 7 2 0 27
Duffey, Tyler 2017: 271 73 10 0 9 17 3 1 1 65 2 0 293
Duffey, Tyler proj: 270 77 17 2 10 18 1 2 2 60 1 0 293
Enns, Dietrich 2017: 20 7 1 0 2 1 0 0 0 2 0 0 21
Enns, Dietrich proj: 20 7 1 0 2 1 0 0 0 2 0 0 21
Garcia, Jaime 2017: 26 8 4 0 0 3 0 0 0 7 0 0 29
Garcia, Jaime proj: 26 7 1 0 1 2 0 0 0 6 0 0 28
Gee, Dillon 2017: 127 34 8 1 4 9 2 0 2 28 0 1 140
Gee, Dillon proj: 126 33 6 1 4 10 1 1 2 24 2 1 140
Gibson, Kyle 2017: 607 175 32 2 23 60 2 1 5 115 1 4 675
Gibson, Kyle proj: 608 168 31 2 17 55 4 3 5 107 7 3 675
Gimenez, Chris 2017: 22 7 2 0 1 0 0 0 0 0 0 0 22
Gimenez, Chris proj: 22 6 2 0 1 0 0 0 0 1 0 0 22
Haley, Justin 2017: 73 22 1 3 3 6 1 0 1 14 1 0 81
Haley, Justin proj: 73 22 1 3 3 6 1 0 1 14 1 0 81
Heston, Chris 2017: 4 1 0 0 0 0 0 0 0 0 1 0 4
Heston, Chris proj: 4 1 0 0 0 0 0 0 0 1 0 0 4
Hildenberger, Trevor 2017: 149 36 7 1 3 6 1 1 4 42 5 0 161
Hildenberger, Trevor proj: 149 36 7 1 3 6 1 1 4 42 5 0 161
Hughes, Phil 2017: 228 72 18 0 12 13 1 1 1 38 3 3 244
Hughes, Phil proj: 226 61 13 1 8 14 2 1 1 46 3 1 244
Jorge, Felix 2017: 34 14 2 1 4 2 0 0 0 4 0 0 36
Jorge, Felix proj: 34 14 2 1 4 2 0 0 0 4 0 0 36
Kintzler, Brandon 2017: 167 41 5 0 3 11 2 0 2 27 4 1 182
Kintzler, Brandon proj: 168 44 7 0 4 11 1 1 1 30 2 1 182
Mejia, Adalberto 2017: 377 105 27 2 13 41 3 0 4 82 3 2 425
Mejia, Adalberto proj: 376 107 28 2 13 41 4 0 4 80 3 2 425
Melville, Tim 2017: 14 4 1 0 1 3 0 0 1 4 0 0 18
Melville, Tim proj: 14 5 1 0 1 3 0 0 0 3 0 0 17
Moya, Gabriel 2017: 15 3 0 0 2 2 0 0 0 2 0 0 17
Moya, Gabriel proj: 15 3 0 0 2 2 0 0 0 2 0 0 17
Perkins, Glen 2017: 24 8 1 2 0 5 1 0 3 2 0 0 33
Perkins, Glen proj: 30 8 2 0 1 2 0 0 0 6 0 0 32
Pressly, Ryan 2017: 220 50 9 0 9 17 1 2 3 60 3 0 243
Pressly, Ryan proj: 218 55 11 1 5 19 2 2 1 46 3 1 242
Rogers, Taylor 2017: 205 51 7 0 6 20 0 2 3 45 3 1 230
Rogers, Taylor proj: 208 53 9 0 6 17 0 1 4 51 3 1 230
Rosario, Randy 2017: 14 7 2 0 1 0 0 0 1 2 0 0 15
Rosario, Randy proj: 14 7 2 0 1 0 0 0 1 2 0 0 15
Rucinski, Drew 2017: 21 10 2 0 2 2 0 0 0 5 0 0 23
Rucinski, Drew proj: 20 7 2 0 1 3 0 0 1 4 1 0 24
Santana, Ervin 2017: 769 173 27 5 31 61 4 4 8 166 11 2 846
Santana, Ervin proj: 765 192 39 4 26 62 5 4 8 161 15 5 844
Santiago, Hector 2017: 274 70 6 0 15 31 1 0 5 51 8 2 311
Santiago, Hector proj: 272 65 12 1 11 32 2 1 4 63 6 3 311
Slegers, Aaron 2017: 40 9 2 0 3 5 0 0 0 6 0 1 45
Slegers, Aaron proj: 40 9 2 0 3 5 0 0 0 6 0 1 45
Tepesch, Nick 2017: 11 5 2 0 1 2 0 0 0 2 1 0 13
Tepesch, Nick proj: 12 3 1 0 0 1 0 0 0 2 0 0 13
Tonkin, Michael 2017: 73 20 4 0 5 11 1 0 1 23 0 1 86
Tonkin, Michael proj: 77 21 4 1 3 7 0 1 1 20 3 0 86
Turley, Nik 2017: 72 29 10 0 4 8 2 1 2 12 2 0 85
Turley, Nik proj: 72 29 10 0 4 8 2 1 2 12 2 0 85
Wheeler, Jason 2017: 14 6 1 0 1 4 0 0 0 0 0 0 18
Wheeler, Jason proj: 14 6 1 0 1 4 0 0 0 0 0 0 18
Wilk, Adam 2017: 45 16 4 0 3 8 0 1 0 6 2 1 54
Wilk, Adam proj: 48 17 2 0 4 4 0 1 0 7 1 1 53
Wimmers, Alex 2017: 30 8 0 0 2 8 0 0 0 7 1 0 38
Wimmers, Alex proj: 31 8 1 0 1 7 1 0 0 7 0 0 39
2017 TEAM TOTALS: 5388 1437 275 25 217 472 41 23 66 1122 72 28 5990
PROJECTED: 5386 1445 288 25 185 467 41 29 60 1121 79 31 5983
difference: +2 -8 -13 0 +32 +5 0 -6 +6 +1 -7 -3 +7
Man AB H 2B 3B HR BB SF SH HBP SO SB CS BFP


Assorted Team Stats:
Stat Actual Projected
Batting Average: .267 .268
Slugging Average: .448 .434
Walks (per PA): .079 .078
SOs (per PA): .187 .187
On-Base Average: .330 .330
Power Factor: 1.68 1.62
OPS: .778 .764
TPP Runs (to date): 780 754

Runs differential:
Actual TPP 26 more than Projected TPP.




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This page was last modified on Monday, 25 September 2017, at 7:16 am Pacific Time.