Owing to the screen size of your device, you may obtain a better viewing experience by rotating your device a quarter-turn (to get the so-called "panorama" screen view).
owlcroft logo
An Owlcroft Company web site
Click here to email us.

The Owlcroft Baseball-Analysis Site

Baseball team and player performance examined realistically and accurately.

Search this site, or just roll your cursor over the colored boxes below the pictures.

  Advertisement:


  Advertisement:


MIN "Expected" Pitching Results, 2018


About These Stats:

The form of "projection" used is very simple: each man's career numbers are pro-rated by his actual number of batters faced to date this season; those data, labelled "proj:" are shown along with the man's actual stats from this year to date. At the bottom of the Table, each set of lines—"projected" and actual—is separately summed to get Team Totals for each dataset.

Note that "career to date" includes each man's stats for the current year: "to date" is literally correct. For veteran players, that matters little, but for rookies or players with litle prior major-league experience, it means that the "projection" will perforce nearly or exactly match the actual stats to date. That seems like the best way to deal with newly arrived players' stats.

Note that owing to rounding in the pro-rating process, projected total BFP (batters faced) may occasionally differ by 1.

Below the player/team table is a smaller table showing a few key team "rate" stats (such as batting average) actual and projected.

The Actual Data:

Through games of Sunday, 30 September 2018.
All results are from true, unadjusted data.

Handedness Key:   + R   * L

(You can also look up the stat definitions.)

Pitchers, listed in alphabetical order:
Each name is a click-on link to that man's career stats.

(or see the data for Batting)


Man AB H 2B 3B HR BB SF SH HBP SO SB CS BFP
Astudillo, Willians 2018: 8 5 1 0 2 0 0 0 0 0 0 0 8
Astudillo, Willians proj: 8 5 1 0 2 0 0 0 0 0 0 0 8
Belisle, Matt 2018: 105 40 10 0 5 10 1 1 1 21 2 0 118
Belisle, Matt proj: 108 30 6 1 3 7 1 1 1 21 1 1 118
Berrios, Jose 2018: 717 159 31 1 25 61 4 2 13 202 8 3 797
Berrios, Jose proj: 708 171 35 1 24 68 4 3 15 183 8 3 798
Busenitz, Alan 2018: 109 37 7 0 8 14 1 0 2 26 3 0 126
Busenitz, Alan proj: 110 30 5 1 6 12 3 0 1 25 2 1 126
Curtiss, John 2018: 26 8 5 0 0 4 0 0 0 7 2 0 30
Curtiss, John proj: 27 8 3 0 1 3 0 0 0 8 2 0 30
De Jong, Chase 2018: 68 18 4 1 3 6 0 0 0 13 0 0 74
De Jong, Chase proj: 66 18 3 1 3 7 0 0 0 10 1 1 73
Drake, Oliver 2018: 73 12 2 0 2 7 0 0 0 22 2 0 80
Drake, Oliver proj: 71 19 4 1 2 8 0 1 0 20 0 0 80
Duffey, Tyler 2018: 100 26 8 1 6 4 2 0 1 19 0 0 107
Duffey, Tyler proj: 99 28 6 1 4 6 1 1 1 22 0 0 108
Duke, Zach 2018: 156 44 3 2 0 15 1 1 5 39 0 0 178
Duke, Zach proj: 161 47 10 1 4 12 1 2 1 26 2 1 177
Garver, Mitch 2018: 4 1 0 0 0 0 0 0 0 0 0 0 4
Garver, Mitch proj: 4 1 0 0 0 0 0 0 0 0 0 0 4
Gibson, Kyle 2018: 733 177 30 3 23 79 7 3 4 179 3 4 826
Gibson, Kyle proj: 742 200 36 3 22 70 5 4 6 142 7 4 827
Gimenez, Chris 2018: 9 6 0 0 2 0 0 0 0 1 0 0 9
Gimenez, Chris proj: 9 3 1 0 1 0 0 0 0 1 0 0 9
Gonsalves, Stephen 2018: 99 28 4 1 2 22 0 0 1 16 0 2 122
Gonsalves, Stephen proj: 99 28 4 1 2 22 0 0 1 16 0 2 122
Hale, David 2018: 12 4 1 0 1 4 0 0 0 2 0 0 16
Hale, David proj: 14 4 1 0 0 1 0 0 0 2 0 0 15
Hildenberger, Trevor 2018: 285 75 21 2 12 26 3 3 2 70 11 0 319
Hildenberger, Trevor proj: 289 74 19 2 10 21 3 3 4 74 10 0 320
Hughes, Phil 2018: 48 14 3 0 4 5 1 0 1 8 0 0 55
Hughes, Phil proj: 51 14 3 0 2 3 0 0 0 10 1 0 54
Kinley, Tyler 2018: 19 9 1 0 2 4 0 0 0 4 0 0 23
Kinley, Tyler proj: 19 6 2 0 1 3 0 0 0 5 1 0 22
LaMarre, Ryan 2018: 3 1 0 0 1 0 0 0 0 0 0 0 3
LaMarre, Ryan proj: 3 1 0 0 0 0 0 0 0 0 0 0 3
Littell, Zack 2018: 84 25 10 0 3 11 1 1 4 14 0 0 101
Littell, Zack proj: 84 25 10 0 3 11 1 1 4 14 0 0 101
Lynn, Lance 2018: 399 105 19 2 12 62 2 0 6 100 3 5 469
Lynn, Lance proj: 415 102 20 3 10 43 2 4 5 105 3 3 469
Magill, Matt 2018: 221 58 11 1 11 23 1 1 3 56 5 2 249
Magill, Matt proj: 209 55 9 1 11 34 2 2 2 51 4 4 249
May, Trevor 2018: 95 21 3 0 4 5 0 2 1 36 3 1 103
May, Trevor proj: 94 25 6 1 3 7 1 1 1 26 2 0 104
Mejia, Adalberto 2018: 79 17 0 0 1 9 1 1 2 13 0 0 92
Mejia, Adalberto proj: 81 22 5 0 2 9 1 0 1 16 1 0 92
Moya, Gabriel 2018: 143 35 7 0 6 13 2 0 1 31 2 0 159
Moya, Gabriel proj: 144 34 6 0 7 13 2 0 1 31 2 0 160
Odorizzi, Jake 2018: 625 151 41 5 20 70 4 4 8 162 11 2 711
Odorizzi, Jake proj: 639 151 32 5 23 59 6 3 5 156 8 4 712
Pressly, Ryan 2018: 184 46 6 1 5 19 2 1 2 69 5 2 208
Pressly, Ryan proj: 187 46 8 1 5 16 2 2 1 46 3 1 208
Reed, Addison 2018: 218 65 9 2 11 15 4 2 3 44 3 1 242
Reed, Addison proj: 222 54 10 1 7 15 2 1 1 59 4 1 241
Rodney, Fernando 2018: 169 42 2 0 5 19 2 0 2 50 11 1 192
Rodney, Fernando proj: 165 38 7 0 3 22 1 2 3 45 5 1 193
Rogers, Taylor 2018: 238 49 10 1 3 16 3 1 2 75 2 2 260
Rogers, Taylor proj: 236 56 11 0 5 18 1 1 3 64 3 1 259
Romero, Fernando 2018: 215 60 12 0 6 19 4 2 7 45 4 2 247
Romero, Fernando proj: 215 60 12 0 6 19 4 2 7 45 4 2 247
Santana, Ervin 2018: 100 31 7 1 9 9 3 0 2 16 1 0 114
Santana, Ervin proj: 103 26 5 1 4 8 1 1 1 22 2 1 114
Slegers, Aaron 2018: 57 17 3 1 3 2 0 0 1 6 1 0 60
Slegers, Aaron proj: 56 14 2 0 3 4 0 0 0 7 1 0 60
Stewart, Kohl 2018: 138 34 8 0 1 18 0 0 3 24 2 1 159
Stewart, Kohl proj: 138 34 8 0 1 18 0 0 3 24 2 1 159
Vasquez, Andrew 2018: 21 5 1 1 0 2 0 0 3 7 0 0 26
Vasquez, Andrew proj: 21 5 1 1 0 2 0 0 3 7 0 0 26
2018 TEAM TOTALS: 5560 1425 280 26 198 573 49 25 80 1377 84 28 6287
PROJECTED: 5597 1434 291 27 180 541 44 35 71 1283 79 32 6288
difference: -37 -9 -11 -1 +18 +32 +5 -10 +9 +94 +5 -4 -1
Man AB H 2B 3B HR BB SF SH HBP SO SB CS BFP


Assorted Team Stats:
Stat Actual Projected
Batting Average: .256 .256
Slugging Average: .423 .414
Walks (per PA): .091 .086
SOs (per PA): .219 .204
On-Base Average: .331 .325
Power Factor: 1.65 1.62
OPS: .753 .740
TPP Runs (to date): 777 749

Runs differential:
Actual TPP 28 more than Projected TPP.




  Advertisement:


  Advertisement:



Want detailed, careful, unhysterical analysis of the effects of "Performance-Enhancing Drugs" in baseball? Click here to visit the Steroids & Baseball web site.

All content copyright © 2002 - 2018 by The Owlcroft Company.

This web page is strictly compliant with the W3C (World Wide Web Consortium) Extensible HyperText Markup Language (XHTML) Protocol v1.0 (Transitional) and the W3C Cascading Style Sheets (CSS) Protocol v3 — because we care about interoperability. Click on the logos below to test us!



This page was last modified on Monday, 1 October 2018, at 7:06 am Pacific Time.