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MIN "Expected" Pitching Results, 2017


About These Stats:

The form of "projection" used is very simple: each man's career numbers are pro-rated by his actual number of batters faced to date this season; those data, labelled "proj:" are shown along with the man's actual stats from this year to date. At the bottom of the Table, each set of lines—"projected" and actual—is separately summed to get Team Totals for each dataset.

Note that "career to date" includes each man's stats for the current year: "to date" is literally correct. For veteran players, that matters little, but for rookies or players with litle prior major-league experience, it means that the "projection" will perforce nearly or exactly match the actual stats to date. That seems like the best way to deal with newly arrived players' stats.

Note that owing to rounding in the pro-rating process, projected total BFP (batters faced) may occasionally differ by 1.

Below the player/team table is a smaller table showing a few key team "rate" stats (such as batting average) actual and projected.

The Actual Data:

Through games of Wednesday, 21 June 2017.
All results are from true, unadjusted data.

Handedness Key:   + R   * L

(You can also look up the stat definitions.)

Pitchers, listed in alphabetical order:
Each name is a click-on link to that man's career stats.

(or see the data for Batting)


Man AB H 2B 3B HR BB SF SH HBP SO SB CS BFP
Belisle, Matt 2017: 103 28 8 1 3 15 1 2 1 21 1 0 122
Belisle, Matt proj: 111 31 6 1 3 7 1 1 1 22 1 1 121
Berrios, Jose 2017: 188 34 6 1 4 15 1 0 6 53 1 1 210
Berrios, Jose proj: 183 46 9 0 7 21 0 1 5 44 2 1 210
Boshers, Buddy 2017: 51 11 0 0 2 3 1 0 1 10 0 1 56
Boshers, Buddy proj: 51 12 2 0 1 4 1 0 1 12 1 1 57
Breslow, Craig 2017: 96 25 4 1 3 8 2 1 2 14 0 1 109
Breslow, Craig proj: 96 24 5 0 3 10 1 1 1 20 1 1 109
Busenitz, Alan 2017: 13 5 0 0 2 2 0 0 0 2 0 0 15
Busenitz, Alan proj: 13 5 0 0 2 2 0 0 0 2 0 0 15
Duffey, Tyler 2017: 134 32 2 0 4 8 2 1 1 36 0 0 146
Duffey, Tyler proj: 135 38 8 1 5 9 1 1 1 30 0 0 147
Gibson, Kyle 2017: 252 82 21 2 10 29 1 0 2 43 1 2 284
Gibson, Kyle proj: 256 71 14 1 7 23 2 1 2 44 3 1 284
Gimenez, Chris 2017: 17 5 1 0 1 0 0 0 0 0 0 0 17
Gimenez, Chris proj: 17 5 2 0 1 0 0 0 0 1 0 0 17
Haley, Justin 2017: 73 22 1 3 3 6 1 0 1 14 1 0 81
Haley, Justin proj: 73 22 1 3 3 6 1 0 1 14 1 0 81
Heston, Chris 2017: 4 1 0 0 0 0 0 0 0 0 1 0 4
Heston, Chris proj: 4 1 0 0 0 0 0 0 0 1 0 0 4
Hughes, Phil 2017: 196 60 14 0 10 11 1 1 1 30 3 3 210
Hughes, Phil proj: 194 53 11 1 7 12 2 1 1 40 3 1 210
Kintzler, Brandon 2017: 114 28 2 0 3 7 1 0 1 21 2 1 123
Kintzler, Brandon proj: 113 30 5 0 3 7 1 1 0 21 1 1 122
Mejia, Adalberto 2017: 156 43 10 1 9 22 3 0 2 36 2 2 183
Mejia, Adalberto proj: 156 45 11 1 8 21 4 0 2 34 2 2 183
Pressly, Ryan 2017: 86 23 6 0 5 8 0 1 2 26 2 0 97
Pressly, Ryan proj: 87 23 5 0 2 8 1 1 0 18 1 0 97
Rogers, Taylor 2017: 97 24 3 0 2 6 0 2 1 17 2 0 106
Rogers, Taylor proj: 97 25 5 0 3 6 0 1 2 23 1 0 106
Rosario, Randy 2017: 14 7 2 0 1 0 0 0 1 2 0 0 15
Rosario, Randy proj: 14 7 2 0 1 0 0 0 1 2 0 0 15
Rucinski, Drew 2017: 21 10 2 0 2 2 0 0 0 5 0 0 23
Rucinski, Drew proj: 20 7 2 0 1 3 0 0 1 4 1 0 24
Santana, Ervin 2017: 355 66 9 2 15 36 0 3 4 74 2 0 398
Santana, Ervin proj: 360 90 18 2 12 30 3 2 4 75 7 2 399
Santiago, Hector 2017: 253 65 4 0 14 28 1 0 3 47 7 2 285
Santiago, Hector proj: 249 59 11 1 10 29 2 1 4 57 5 3 285
Tepesch, Nick 2017: 11 5 2 0 1 2 0 0 0 2 1 0 13
Tepesch, Nick proj: 12 3 1 0 0 1 0 0 0 2 0 0 13
Tonkin, Michael 2017: 47 14 2 0 4 10 0 0 1 13 0 1 58
Tonkin, Michael proj: 52 14 2 0 2 5 0 0 1 13 2 0 58
Turley, Nik 2017: 39 17 9 0 1 4 1 1 1 7 1 0 46
Turley, Nik proj: 39 17 9 0 1 4 1 1 1 7 1 0 46
Wheeler, Jason 2017: 14 6 1 0 1 4 0 0 0 0 0 0 18
Wheeler, Jason proj: 14 6 1 0 1 4 0 0 0 0 0 0 18
Wilk, Adam 2017: 45 16 4 0 3 8 0 1 0 6 2 1 54
Wilk, Adam proj: 48 17 2 0 4 4 0 1 0 7 1 1 53
Wimmers, Alex 2017: 30 8 0 0 2 8 0 0 0 7 1 0 38
Wimmers, Alex proj: 31 8 1 0 1 7 1 0 0 7 0 0 39
2017 TEAM TOTALS: 2409 637 113 11 105 242 16 13 31 486 30 15 2711
PROJECTED: 2425 659 133 11 88 223 22 14 29 500 34 15 2713
difference: -16 -22 -20 0 +17 +19 -6 -1 +2 -14 -4 0 -2
Man AB H 2B 3B HR BB SF SH HBP SO SB CS BFP


Assorted Team Stats:
Stat Actual Projected
Batting Average: .264 .272
Slugging Average: .451 .445
Walks (per PA): .089 .082
SOs (per PA): .179 .184
On-Base Average: .336 .336
Power Factor: 1.71 1.64
OPS: .787 .780
TPP Runs (to date): 361 354

Runs differential:
Actual TPP 7 more than Projected TPP.




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This page was last modified on Thursday, 22 June 2017, at 7:04 am Pacific Time.