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Baseball team and player performance examined realistically and accurately.

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NYM "Expected" Batting Results, 2017


About These Stats:

The form of "projection" used is very simple: each man's career numbers are pro-rated by his actual number of appearances to date this season; those data, labelled "proj:" are shown along with the man's actual stats from this year to date. At the bottom of the Table, each set of lines—"projected" and actual—is separately summed to get Team Totals for each dataset.

Note that "career to date" includes each man's stats for the current year: "to date" is literally correct. For veteran players, that matters little, but for rookies or players with litle prior major-league experience, it means that the "projection" will perforce nearly or exactly match the actual stats to date. That seems like the best way to deal with newly arrived players' stats.

Note that owing to rounding in the pro-rating process, projected total PA (plate appearances) may occasionally differ by 1.

Below the player/team table is a smaller table showing a few key team "rate" stats (such as batting average) actual and projected.

The Actual Data:

Through games of Friday, 26 May 2017.
All results are from true, unadjusted data.

Handedness Key:   + R   * L   # S

(You can also look up the stat definitions.)

Batters, listed in alphabetical order:
Each name is a click-on link to that man's career stats.

(or see the data for Pitching)


Man AB H 2B 3B HR BB SF SH HBP SO SB CS PA
Bruce, Jay 2017: 168 42 10 0 11 20 2 0 1 36 0 1 191
Bruce, Jay proj: 171 42 9 1 9 17 1 0 1 45 2 1 190
Cabrera, Asdrubal 2017: 119 30 6 0 3 11 0 0 3 21 3 1 133
Cabrera, Asdrubal proj: 119 32 7 1 3 10 1 1 1 23 2 1 132
Cespedes, Yoenis 2017: 63 17 4 0 6 11 1 0 0 14 0 1 75
Cespedes, Yoenis proj: 69 19 4 1 4 5 1 0 1 15 1 0 76
Conforto, Michael 2017: 141 46 8 1 13 23 2 0 2 43 1 0 168
Conforto, Michael proj: 146 38 10 0 8 18 2 0 2 40 1 0 168
Duda, Lucas 2017: 82 21 7 0 5 19 0 0 1 25 0 0 102
Duda, Lucas proj: 88 22 5 0 4 12 1 0 2 24 0 0 103
Flores, Wilmer 2017: 91 27 5 0 3 4 0 0 0 11 1 0 95
Flores, Wilmer proj: 89 23 4 0 3 5 1 0 1 13 0 0 96
Gilmartin, Sean 2017: 1 1 1 0 0 0 0 0 0 0 0 0 1
Gilmartin, Sean proj: 1 0 0 0 0 0 0 0 0 0 0 0 1
Granderson, Curtis 2017: 154 27 11 1 4 15 2 0 1 38 1 0 172
Granderson, Curtis proj: 150 38 7 2 7 19 1 1 1 39 3 1 172
Gsellman, Robert 2017: 14 1 0 0 0 1 0 1 0 6 0 0 16
Gsellman, Robert proj: 14 1 0 0 0 0 0 1 0 7 0 0 15
Harvey, Matt 2017: 19 0 0 0 0 0 0 0 0 6 0 0 19
Harvey, Matt proj: 18 2 1 0 0 0 0 1 0 8 0 0 19
Kelly, Ty 2017: 1 0 0 0 0 0 0 0 0 1 0 0 1
Kelly, Ty proj: 1 0 0 0 0 0 0 0 0 0 0 0 1
Lagares, Juan 2017: 56 12 3 0 1 6 0 0 1 12 0 0 63
Lagares, Juan proj: 58 15 3 1 1 3 0 1 1 12 1 0 63
Milone, Tommy 2017: 4 1 0 0 0 0 0 0 0 3 0 0 4
Milone, Tommy proj: 4 1 0 0 0 0 0 0 0 1 0 0 4
Montero, Rafael 2017: 2 0 0 0 0 0 0 0 0 0 0 0 2
Montero, Rafael proj: 2 0 0 0 0 0 0 0 0 1 0 0 2
Plawecki, Kevin 2017: 24 3 1 0 0 2 1 0 1 4 0 0 28
Plawecki, Kevin proj: 25 5 1 0 0 2 0 0 0 6 0 0 27
Reyes, Jose 2017: 164 34 8 2 3 18 1 2 0 23 5 0 185
Reyes, Jose proj: 170 49 9 3 3 13 1 1 0 20 12 3 185
Reynolds, Matt 2017: 19 3 0 0 1 3 0 0 0 8 0 0 22
Reynolds, Matt proj: 20 4 1 0 1 1 0 0 0 8 0 0 21
Rivera, Rene 2017: 92 26 2 0 2 4 1 0 0 26 0 1 97
Rivera, Rene proj: 89 19 4 0 2 5 1 1 1 25 0 0 97
Rivera, T.J. 2017: 90 23 7 1 1 6 1 1 3 15 1 0 101
Rivera, T.J. proj: 92 27 5 1 2 4 2 0 2 15 0 0 100
Sewald, Paul 2017: 2 0 0 0 0 0 0 0 0 1 0 0 2
Sewald, Paul proj: 2 0 0 0 0 0 0 0 0 1 0 0 2
Smoker, Josh 2017: 1 0 0 0 0 0 0 0 0 0 0 0 1
Smoker, Josh proj: 1 0 0 0 0 0 0 0 0 1 0 0 1
Syndergaard, Noah 2017: 8 2 0 0 0 3 0 1 0 4 0 0 12
Syndergaard, Noah proj: 10 2 0 0 0 1 0 1 0 6 0 0 12
Walker, Neil 2017: 174 47 12 1 6 17 2 0 1 31 0 0 194
Walker, Neil proj: 174 47 9 1 6 16 2 0 2 34 1 1 194
Wheeler, Zack 2017: 16 2 1 0 0 1 0 1 0 7 0 0 18
Wheeler, Zack proj: 15 2 0 0 0 0 0 3 0 7 0 0 18
Wilk, Adam 2017: 1 0 0 0 0 0 0 0 0 0 0 0 1
Wilk, Adam proj: 1 0 0 0 0 0 0 0 0 1 0 0 1
d'Arnaud, Travis 2017: 63 12 2 1 4 7 0 0 1 11 0 0 71
d'Arnaud, Travis proj: 64 16 3 0 2 6 0 0 1 12 0 0 71
deGrom, Jacob 2017: 24 8 1 0 0 0 0 3 0 6 0 0 27
deGrom, Jacob proj: 24 5 1 0 0 1 0 2 0 6 0 0 27
2017 TEAM TOTALS: 1593 385 89 7 63 171 13 9 15 352 12 4 1801
PROJECTED: 1617 409 83 11 55 138 14 13 16 370 23 7 1798
difference: -24 -24 +6 -4 +8 +33 -1 -4 -1 -18 -11 -3 +3
Man AB H 2B 3B HR BB SF SH HBP SO SB CS PA


Assorted Team Stats:
Stat Actual Projected
Batting Average: .242 .253
Slugging Average: .425 .420
Walks (per PA): .095 .077
SOs (per PA): .195 .205
On-Base Average: .317 .313
Power Factor: 1.76 1.66
OPS: .742 .733
TOP Runs (to date): 213 211

Runs differential:
Actual TOP 2 more than Projected TOP.




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This page was last modified on Saturday, 27 May 2017, at 7:00 am Pacific Time.