Owing to the screen size of your device, you may obtain a better viewing experience by rotating your device a quarter-turn (to get the so-called "panorama" screen view).
owlcroft logo
An Owlcroft Company web site
Click here to email us.

The Owlcroft Baseball-Analysis Site

Baseball team and player performance examined realistically and accurately.

Search this site, or just roll your cursor over the colored boxes below the pictures.

  Advertisement:


  Advertisement:


NYM "Expected" Batting Results, 2017


About These Stats:

The form of "projection" used is very simple: each man's career numbers are pro-rated by his actual number of appearances to date this season; those data, labelled "proj:" are shown along with the man's actual stats from this year to date. At the bottom of the Table, each set of lines—"projected" and actual—is separately summed to get Team Totals for each dataset.

Note that "career to date" includes each man's stats for the current year: "to date" is literally correct. For veteran players, that matters little, but for rookies or players with litle prior major-league experience, it means that the "projection" will perforce nearly or exactly match the actual stats to date. That seems like the best way to deal with newly arrived players' stats.

Note that owing to rounding in the pro-rating process, projected total PA (plate appearances) may occasionally differ by 1.

Below the player/team table is a smaller table showing a few key team "rate" stats (such as batting average) actual and projected.

The Actual Data:

Through games of Monday, 24 July 2017.
All results are from true, unadjusted data.

Handedness Key:   + R   * L   # S

(You can also look up the stat definitions.)

Batters, listed in alphabetical order:
Each name is a click-on link to that man's career stats.

(or see the data for Pitching)


Man AB H 2B 3B HR BB SF SH HBP SO SB CS PA
Bruce, Jay 2017: 363 96 19 0 25 34 2 0 1 92 0 1 400
Bruce, Jay proj: 359 89 19 2 19 36 3 0 2 95 4 3 400
Cabrera, Asdrubal 2017: 269 69 13 0 9 30 0 0 4 43 3 1 303
Cabrera, Asdrubal proj: 272 73 16 1 7 23 2 3 3 52 5 2 303
Cecchini, Gavin 2017: 14 4 0 0 1 0 0 0 0 5 0 0 14
Cecchini, Gavin proj: 13 4 1 0 1 0 0 0 1 5 0 0 14
Cespedes, Yoenis 2017: 190 52 10 1 9 15 1 0 1 34 0 1 207
Cespedes, Yoenis proj: 190 52 10 1 9 14 2 0 2 42 3 1 208
Conforto, Michael 2017: 270 79 18 1 19 44 2 0 8 80 2 0 324
Conforto, Michael proj: 280 72 20 1 15 36 3 0 5 78 1 1 324
Duda, Lucas 2017: 245 61 21 0 17 36 0 0 2 72 0 0 283
Duda, Lucas proj: 244 60 14 0 12 32 2 0 5 67 0 1 283
Flores, Wilmer 2017: 229 65 13 1 10 11 4 0 1 33 1 0 245
Flores, Wilmer proj: 230 60 11 0 8 12 2 1 1 33 1 0 246
Gilmartin, Sean 2017: 1 1 1 0 0 0 0 0 0 0 0 0 1
Gilmartin, Sean proj: 1 0 0 0 0 0 0 0 0 0 0 0 1
Granderson, Curtis 2017: 277 61 18 3 13 41 3 0 2 69 3 1 323
Granderson, Curtis proj: 282 72 13 4 13 35 2 1 3 73 7 2 323
Gsellman, Robert 2017: 23 3 0 0 0 3 1 2 0 10 0 0 29
Gsellman, Robert proj: 24 3 0 0 0 2 1 3 0 12 0 0 30
Harvey, Matt 2017: 27 2 0 0 0 0 0 0 0 8 0 0 27
Harvey, Matt proj: 25 3 1 0 0 0 0 2 0 11 0 0 27
Kelly, Ty 2017: 1 0 0 0 0 0 0 0 0 1 0 0 1
Kelly, Ty proj: 1 0 0 0 0 0 0 0 0 0 0 0 1
Lagares, Juan 2017: 93 25 5 1 2 6 1 1 1 19 2 0 102
Lagares, Juan proj: 95 25 5 1 1 5 1 1 1 20 2 1 103
Lugo, Seth 2017: 14 3 2 0 1 0 0 3 0 4 0 0 17
Lugo, Seth proj: 15 3 1 0 0 0 0 1 0 3 0 0 16
Matz, Steven 2017: 13 3 0 0 0 0 0 3 0 3 0 0 16
Matz, Steven proj: 13 3 0 0 0 1 0 1 0 3 0 0 15
Milone, Tommy 2017: 4 1 0 0 0 0 0 0 0 3 0 0 4
Milone, Tommy proj: 4 1 0 0 0 0 0 0 0 1 0 0 4
Montero, Rafael 2017: 11 1 0 0 0 0 0 0 0 4 0 0 11
Montero, Rafael proj: 10 0 0 0 0 0 0 1 0 5 0 0 11
Nimmo, Brandon 2017: 20 7 1 0 0 4 0 0 0 6 0 0 24
Nimmo, Brandon proj: 21 6 0 0 0 2 0 0 0 6 0 0 23
Pill, Tyler 2017: 5 0 0 0 0 0 0 0 0 1 0 0 5
Pill, Tyler proj: 5 0 0 0 0 0 0 0 0 1 0 0 5
Plawecki, Kevin 2017: 24 3 1 0 0 2 1 0 1 4 0 0 28
Plawecki, Kevin proj: 25 5 1 0 0 2 0 0 0 6 0 0 27
Ramirez, Neil 2017: 1 0 0 0 0 0 0 0 0 1 0 0 1
Ramirez, Neil proj: 1 0 0 0 0 0 0 0 0 1 0 0 1
Reyes, Jose 2017: 332 76 16 6 9 28 3 3 1 45 12 2 367
Reyes, Jose proj: 337 96 17 6 6 26 2 2 0 40 24 6 367
Reynolds, Matt 2017: 41 7 0 1 1 4 0 0 0 16 0 0 45
Reynolds, Matt proj: 41 9 3 0 1 3 0 1 0 16 0 0 45
Rivera, Rene 2017: 147 36 4 0 6 8 1 0 2 45 0 1 158
Rivera, Rene proj: 145 31 6 0 4 9 1 2 2 41 0 0 159
Rivera, T.J. 2017: 209 61 13 1 5 9 2 1 5 31 1 0 226
Rivera, T.J. proj: 209 64 11 1 5 8 4 1 4 32 1 0 226
Salas, Fernando 2017: 2 1 0 0 0 0 0 0 0 1 0 0 2
Salas, Fernando proj: 2 0 0 0 0 0 0 0 0 1 0 0 2
Sewald, Paul 2017: 2 0 0 0 0 0 0 0 0 1 0 0 2
Sewald, Paul proj: 2 0 0 0 0 0 0 0 0 1 0 0 2
Smoker, Josh 2017: 3 0 0 0 0 0 0 0 0 2 0 0 3
Smoker, Josh proj: 3 0 0 0 0 0 0 0 0 2 0 0 3
Syndergaard, Noah 2017: 8 2 0 0 0 3 0 1 0 4 0 0 12
Syndergaard, Noah proj: 10 2 0 0 0 1 0 1 0 6 0 0 12
Walker, Neil 2017: 222 60 13 2 9 26 2 1 3 36 0 1 254
Walker, Neil proj: 227 62 12 1 8 21 2 1 3 44 2 1 254
Wheeler, Zack 2017: 27 2 1 0 0 1 0 1 0 12 0 0 29
Wheeler, Zack proj: 25 2 1 0 0 1 0 4 0 11 0 0 30
Wilk, Adam 2017: 1 0 0 0 0 0 0 0 0 0 0 0 1
Wilk, Adam proj: 1 0 0 0 0 0 0 0 0 1 0 0 1
d'Arnaud, Travis 2017: 192 46 10 1 9 16 1 0 1 35 0 0 210
d'Arnaud, Travis proj: 190 47 9 1 6 17 1 0 2 36 0 0 210
deGrom, Jacob 2017: 50 12 1 0 1 1 0 4 0 16 0 0 55
deGrom, Jacob proj: 48 10 1 0 0 2 0 5 0 14 0 0 55
2017 TEAM TOTALS: 3330 839 180 18 146 322 24 20 33 736 24 8 3729
PROJECTED: 3350 854 172 19 115 288 28 31 34 759 50 18 3731
difference: -20 -15 +8 -1 +31 +34 -4 -11 -1 -23 -26 -10 -2
Man AB H 2B 3B HR BB SF SH HBP SO SB CS PA


Assorted Team Stats:
Stat Actual Projected
Batting Average: .252 .255
Slugging Average: .448 .421
Walks (per PA): .086 .077
SOs (per PA): .197 .204
On-Base Average: .320 .315
Power Factor: 1.78 1.65
OPS: .769 .736
TOP Runs (to date): 471 440

Runs differential:
Actual TOP 31 more than Projected TOP.




  Advertisement:


  Advertisement:



Want detailed, careful, unhysterical analysis of the effects of "Performance-Enhancing Drugs" in baseball? Click here to visit the Steroids & Baseball web site.

All content copyright © 2002 - 2017 by The Owlcroft Company.

This web page is strictly compliant with the W3C (World Wide Web Consortium) Extensible HyperText Markup Language (XHTML) Protocol v1.0 (Transitional) and the W3C Cascading Style Sheets (CSS) Protocol v3 — because we care about interoperability. Click on the logos below to test us!



This page was last modified on Tuesday, 25 July 2017, at 7:06 am Pacific Time.