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Baseball team and player performance examined realistically and accurately.

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NYM "Expected" Pitching Results, 2019


About These Stats:

The form of "projection" used is very simple: each man's career numbers are pro-rated by his actual number of batters faced to date this season; those data, labelled "proj:" are shown along with the man's actual stats from this year to date. At the bottom of the Table, each set of lines—"projected" and actual—is separately summed to get Team Totals for each dataset.

Note that "career to date" includes each man's stats for the current year: "to date" is literally correct. For veteran players, that matters little, but for rookies or players with litle prior major-league experience, it means that the "projection" will perforce nearly or exactly match the actual stats to date. That seems like the best way to deal with newly arrived players' stats.

Note that owing to rounding in the pro-rating process, projected total BFP (batters faced) may occasionally differ by 1.

Below the player/team table is a smaller table showing a few key team "rate" stats (such as batting average) actual and projected.

The Actual Data:

Through games of Thursday, 22 August 2019.
All results are from true, unadjusted data.

Handedness Key:   + R   * L

(You can also look up the stat definitions.)

Pitchers, listed in alphabetical order:
Each name is a click-on link to that man's career stats.

(or see the data for Batting)


Man AB H 2B 3B HR BB SF SH HBP SO SB CS BFP
Avilan, Luis 2019: 94 26 4 0 3 9 0 0 3 23 2 0 106
Avilan, Luis proj: 94 22 4 0 1 10 0 1 1 23 2 1 106
Bashlor, Tyler 2019: 63 17 1 0 5 10 1 1 0 14 2 0 75
Bashlor, Tyler proj: 65 15 3 0 4 8 0 1 1 14 3 0 75
Brach, Brad 2019: 16 3 0 1 0 2 0 0 0 5 0 0 18
Brach, Brad proj: 16 4 1 0 0 2 0 0 0 5 0 0 18
Diaz, Edwin 2019: 186 50 8 0 11 19 2 0 3 77 10 0 210
Diaz, Edwin proj: 188 38 5 0 7 18 1 0 3 81 7 1 210
Familia, Jeurys 2019: 161 42 10 1 6 34 1 2 3 47 4 1 201
Familia, Jeurys proj: 176 39 7 1 3 21 1 2 1 50 4 1 201
Flexen, Chris 2019: 53 14 5 0 1 13 1 0 0 10 1 0 67
Flexen, Chris proj: 55 18 4 0 3 11 1 0 1 10 1 0 68
Font, Wilmer 2019: 119 29 10 0 8 13 0 0 2 24 2 1 134
Font, Wilmer proj: 120 30 8 0 7 13 0 0 1 29 2 1 134
Gagnon, Drew 2019: 102 32 6 0 10 7 0 0 2 16 3 0 111
Gagnon, Drew proj: 99 31 4 0 8 8 0 1 3 16 2 0 111
Gsellman, Robert 2019: 245 64 18 1 7 23 2 1 6 60 4 0 277
Gsellman, Robert proj: 246 65 14 1 7 22 2 2 4 52 4 1 276
Hart, Donnie 2019: 3 0 0 0 0 0 0 0 0 0 0 0 3
Hart, Donnie proj: 3 1 0 0 0 0 0 0 0 0 0 0 3
Lockett, Walker 2019: 70 23 5 1 3 5 0 1 1 13 0 1 77
Lockett, Walker proj: 68 23 5 1 4 8 0 1 1 13 1 1 78
Lugo, Seth 2019: 225 46 8 1 7 14 1 1 4 76 2 1 245
Lugo, Seth proj: 222 53 9 1 7 16 3 2 2 56 2 1 245
Matz, Steven 2019: 480 127 25 2 21 37 1 5 4 116 7 2 527
Matz, Steven proj: 477 123 21 2 18 38 1 6 6 116 15 2 528
Mazza, Chris 2019: 36 13 5 1 0 2 0 0 3 6 0 0 41
Mazza, Chris proj: 36 13 5 1 0 2 0 0 3 6 0 0 41
Nogosek, Stephen 2019: 31 12 2 0 2 2 1 0 0 6 0 0 34
Nogosek, Stephen proj: 31 12 2 0 2 2 1 0 0 6 0 0 34
O'Rourke, Ryan 2019: 3 0 0 0 0 3 0 0 0 1 0 1 6
O'Rourke, Ryan proj: 5 1 0 0 0 1 0 0 0 1 0 0 6
Oswalt, Corey 2019: 28 9 4 0 1 6 0 0 0 5 0 0 34
Oswalt, Corey proj: 31 8 2 0 2 3 0 0 0 5 0 0 34
Peterson, Tim 2019: 27 7 1 0 1 7 0 0 1 3 1 0 35
Peterson, Tim proj: 32 8 1 0 2 3 0 0 0 6 1 0 35
Pounders, Brooks 2019: 30 9 1 1 1 2 0 1 1 5 2 0 34
Pounders, Brooks proj: 31 11 2 0 2 2 0 0 1 7 1 0 34
Rhame, Jacob 2019: 20 3 2 0 1 9 0 1 0 5 0 0 30
Rhame, Jacob proj: 26 7 2 0 2 3 0 1 0 6 0 0 30
Santiago, Hector 2019: 33 10 5 0 1 5 0 0 0 6 0 0 38
Santiago, Hector proj: 33 8 2 0 1 4 0 0 0 8 1 0 37
Sewald, Paul 2019: 31 6 4 0 1 2 1 0 1 9 0 0 35
Sewald, Paul proj: 31 8 2 0 1 3 0 0 0 8 0 0 34
Stroman, Marcus 2019: 80 25 3 1 3 10 0 0 0 18 1 1 90
Stroman, Marcus proj: 83 22 4 0 2 6 0 0 0 17 1 1 89
Syndergaard, Noah 2019: 601 146 29 4 15 42 6 2 5 156 29 3 656
Syndergaard, Noah proj: 607 146 27 4 13 37 4 3 4 173 30 4 655
Vargas, Jason 2019: 355 81 20 1 14 39 3 2 1 81 9 1 400
Vargas, Jason proj: 364 95 19 2 12 29 3 2 3 65 7 2 401
Wheeler, Zack 2019: 583 151 22 1 18 38 6 6 1 153 4 1 634
Wheeler, Zack proj: 564 139 22 1 15 55 4 5 6 145 8 2 634
Wilson, Justin 2019: 99 24 3 0 3 11 0 0 2 27 3 0 112
Wilson, Justin proj: 99 22 4 1 2 12 0 0 1 29 2 1 112
Zamora, Daniel 2019: 26 9 3 0 1 4 1 0 1 6 0 0 32
Zamora, Daniel proj: 27 7 1 0 1 3 0 0 1 10 0 0 31
deGrom, Jacob 2019: 574 125 24 1 15 38 3 4 5 194 17 4 624
deGrom, Jacob proj: 574 128 22 1 14 39 4 4 3 177 10 4 624
2019 TEAM TOTALS: 4374 1103 228 17 159 406 30 27 49 1162 103 17 4886
PROJECTED: 4403 1097 202 16 140 379 25 31 46 1134 104 23 4884
difference: -29 +6 +26 +1 +19 +27 +5 -4 +3 +28 -1 -6 +2
Man AB H 2B 3B HR BB SF SH HBP SO SB CS BFP


Assorted Team Stats:
Stat Actual Projected
Batting Average: .252 .249
Slugging Average: .421 .398
Walks (per PA): .083 .078
SOs (per PA): .238 .232
On-Base Average: .319 .312
Power Factor: 1.67 1.6
OPS: .740 .709
TPP Runs (to date): 593 554

Runs differential:
Actual TPP 39 more than Projected TPP.




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This page was last modified on Friday, 23 August 2019, at 7:05 am Pacific Time.