Owing to the screen size of your device, you may obtain a better viewing experience by rotating your device a quarter-turn (to get the so-called "panorama" screen view).
owlcroft logo
An Owlcroft Company web site
Click here to email us.

The Owlcroft Baseball-Analysis Site

Baseball team and player performance examined realistically and accurately.

Search this site, or just roll your cursor over the colored boxes below the pictures.

  Advertisement:


  Advertisement:


NYM "Expected" Pitching Results, 2019


About These Stats:

The form of "projection" used is very simple: each man's career numbers are pro-rated by his actual number of batters faced to date this season; those data, labelled "proj:" are shown along with the man's actual stats from this year to date. At the bottom of the Table, each set of lines—"projected" and actual—is separately summed to get Team Totals for each dataset.

Note that "career to date" includes each man's stats for the current year: "to date" is literally correct. For veteran players, that matters little, but for rookies or players with litle prior major-league experience, it means that the "projection" will perforce nearly or exactly match the actual stats to date. That seems like the best way to deal with newly arrived players' stats.

Note that owing to rounding in the pro-rating process, projected total BFP (batters faced) may occasionally differ by 1.

Below the player/team table is a smaller table showing a few key team "rate" stats (such as batting average) actual and projected.

The Actual Data:

Through games of Tuesday, 18 June 2019.
All results are from true, unadjusted data.

Handedness Key:   + R   * L

(You can also look up the stat definitions.)

Pitchers, listed in alphabetical order:
Each name is a click-on link to that man's career stats.

(or see the data for Batting)


Man AB H 2B 3B HR BB SF SH HBP SO SB CS BFP
Avilan, Luis 2019: 48 17 4 0 2 5 0 0 1 11 1 0 54
Avilan, Luis proj: 48 11 2 0 1 5 0 0 1 12 1 0 54
Bashlor, Tyler 2019: 43 10 1 0 3 7 1 1 0 12 1 0 52
Bashlor, Tyler proj: 45 10 2 0 3 5 0 1 1 10 2 0 52
Diaz, Edwin 2019: 113 31 6 0 5 8 1 0 1 45 5 0 123
Diaz, Edwin proj: 111 22 3 0 3 10 0 0 2 47 4 1 123
Familia, Jeurys 2019: 104 30 6 1 5 21 1 2 3 28 3 0 131
Familia, Jeurys proj: 115 26 5 0 2 13 1 1 1 33 3 0 131
Flexen, Chris 2019: 29 10 2 0 1 8 1 0 0 3 1 0 38
Flexen, Chris proj: 31 11 2 0 2 6 0 0 0 5 1 0 37
Font, Wilmer 2019: 76 18 8 0 3 9 0 0 0 12 1 1 85
Font, Wilmer proj: 76 20 5 0 4 9 0 0 0 16 1 0 85
Gagnon, Drew 2019: 88 26 6 0 6 7 0 0 2 16 3 0 97
Gagnon, Drew proj: 86 26 4 0 5 8 0 1 3 15 2 0 98
Gsellman, Robert 2019: 156 42 14 1 3 14 1 1 1 39 2 0 173
Gsellman, Robert proj: 154 41 9 1 4 14 1 2 2 32 2 1 173
Lugo, Seth 2019: 127 25 6 1 3 9 1 0 3 46 2 1 140
Lugo, Seth proj: 127 30 5 1 4 9 2 1 1 31 1 1 140
Matz, Steven 2019: 267 69 11 2 13 22 1 4 3 72 7 1 297
Matz, Steven proj: 268 69 11 1 10 21 1 3 3 66 10 1 296
O'Rourke, Ryan 2019: 3 0 0 0 0 3 0 0 0 1 0 1 6
O'Rourke, Ryan proj: 5 1 0 0 0 1 0 0 0 1 0 0 6
Oswalt, Corey 2019: 28 9 4 0 1 6 0 0 0 5 0 0 34
Oswalt, Corey proj: 31 8 2 0 2 3 0 0 0 5 0 0 34
Peterson, Tim 2019: 27 7 1 0 1 7 0 0 1 3 1 0 35
Peterson, Tim proj: 32 8 1 0 2 3 0 0 0 6 1 0 35
Pounders, Brooks 2019: 5 1 0 0 0 0 0 0 0 1 0 0 5
Pounders, Brooks proj: 5 2 0 0 0 0 0 0 0 1 0 0 5
Rhame, Jacob 2019: 11 3 2 0 1 5 0 1 0 2 0 0 17
Rhame, Jacob proj: 15 4 1 0 1 2 0 0 0 3 0 0 17
Santiago, Hector 2019: 33 10 5 0 1 5 0 0 0 6 0 0 38
Santiago, Hector proj: 33 8 2 0 1 4 0 0 0 8 1 0 37
Sewald, Paul 2019: 24 5 3 0 1 2 1 0 1 4 0 0 28
Sewald, Paul proj: 25 6 2 0 1 2 0 0 0 7 0 0 27
Syndergaard, Noah 2019: 359 91 17 1 11 24 4 2 4 93 15 2 393
Syndergaard, Noah proj: 364 88 16 2 8 22 2 2 3 104 18 3 393
Vargas, Jason 2019: 208 50 12 1 6 24 2 2 1 44 4 1 237
Vargas, Jason proj: 216 57 11 1 7 17 2 1 2 38 4 1 238
Wheeler, Zack 2019: 374 98 14 1 14 28 5 1 1 103 4 1 409
Wheeler, Zack proj: 363 89 14 1 10 37 3 3 4 94 5 1 410
Wilson, Justin 2019: 36 9 1 0 2 4 0 0 2 9 0 0 42
Wilson, Justin proj: 37 8 1 0 1 4 0 0 0 11 1 0 41
Zamora, Daniel 2019: 24 8 2 0 1 4 1 0 1 6 0 0 30
Zamora, Daniel proj: 25 6 1 0 1 3 0 0 1 10 0 0 29
deGrom, Jacob 2019: 344 78 16 1 12 20 1 3 4 112 13 2 372
deGrom, Jacob proj: 343 77 13 1 8 23 2 3 2 105 6 3 373
2019 TEAM TOTALS: 2527 647 141 9 95 242 21 17 29 673 63 10 2836
PROJECTED: 2555 628 112 8 80 221 14 18 26 660 63 12 2834
difference: -28 +19 +29 +1 +15 +21 +7 -1 +3 +13 0 -2 +2
Man AB H 2B 3B HR BB SF SH HBP SO SB CS BFP


Assorted Team Stats:
Stat Actual Projected
Batting Average: .256 .246
Slugging Average: .432 .390
Walks (per PA): .085 .078
SOs (per PA): .237 .233
On-Base Average: .324 .309
Power Factor: 1.69 1.59
OPS: .755 .699
TPP Runs (to date): 356 315

Runs differential:
Actual TPP 41 more than Projected TPP.




  Advertisement:


  Advertisement:



Want detailed, careful, unhysterical analysis of the effects of "Performance-Enhancing Drugs" in baseball? Click here to visit the Steroids & Baseball web site.

All content copyright © 2002 - 2019 by The Owlcroft Company.

This web page is strictly compliant with the W3C (World Wide Web Consortium) Extensible HyperText Markup Language (XHTML) Protocol v1.0 (Transitional) and the W3C Cascading Style Sheets (CSS) Protocol v3 — because we care about interoperability. Click on the logos below to test us!



This page was last modified on Wednesday, 19 June 2019, at 6:58 am Pacific Time.