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NYY "Expected" Batting Results, 2017


About These Stats:

The form of "projection" used is very simple: each man's career numbers are pro-rated by his actual number of appearances to date this season; those data, labelled "proj:" are shown along with the man's actual stats from this year to date. At the bottom of the Table, each set of lines—"projected" and actual—is separately summed to get Team Totals for each dataset.

Note that "career to date" includes each man's stats for the current year: "to date" is literally correct. For veteran players, that matters little, but for rookies or players with litle prior major-league experience, it means that the "projection" will perforce nearly or exactly match the actual stats to date. That seems like the best way to deal with newly arrived players' stats.

Note that owing to rounding in the pro-rating process, projected total PA (plate appearances) may occasionally differ by 1.

Below the player/team table is a smaller table showing a few key team "rate" stats (such as batting average) actual and projected.

The Actual Data:

Through games of Wednesday, 21 June 2017.
All results are from true, unadjusted data.

Handedness Key:   + R   * L   # S

(You can also look up the stat definitions.)

Batters, listed in alphabetical order:
Each name is a click-on link to that man's career stats.

(or see the data for Pitching)


Man AB H 2B 3B HR BB SF SH HBP SO SB CS PA
Bird, Greg 2017: 60 6 3 0 1 10 0 0 2 22 0 0 72
Bird, Greg proj: 62 14 3 0 3 8 0 0 1 22 0 0 71
Carter, Chris 2017: 159 32 3 1 8 18 2 0 2 66 0 0 181
Carter, Chris proj: 157 34 7 0 10 21 2 0 2 60 1 0 182
Castro, Starlin 2017: 280 90 13 1 12 15 2 0 2 56 1 0 299
Castro, Starlin proj: 280 79 15 2 6 14 2 0 2 49 5 3 298
Ellsbury, Jacoby 2017: 135 38 7 0 4 13 0 2 1 25 8 2 153
Ellsbury, Jacoby proj: 138 39 7 1 3 11 1 1 1 21 10 2 152
Gardner, Brett 2017: 255 66 13 1 13 32 2 1 1 59 8 1 291
Gardner, Brett proj: 253 67 11 3 5 30 2 4 3 54 15 3 292
Gregorius, Didi 2017: 190 61 10 0 8 6 2 0 1 26 1 1 200
Gregorius, Didi proj: 183 49 9 1 5 11 2 1 3 30 2 1 200
Headley, Chase 2017: 229 56 13 1 4 30 2 0 2 64 6 1 263
Headley, Chase proj: 232 61 12 1 6 26 1 0 3 59 4 1 262
Hicks, Aaron 2017: 186 56 15 0 10 37 3 1 1 39 7 5 228
Hicks, Aaron proj: 200 47 9 1 6 24 2 1 1 47 5 3 228
Higashioka, Kyle 2017: 18 0 0 0 0 2 0 0 0 6 0 0 20
Higashioka, Kyle proj: 18 0 0 0 0 2 0 0 0 6 0 0 20
Holliday, Matt 2017: 222 61 13 0 15 36 3 0 3 66 1 0 264
Holliday, Matt proj: 232 70 16 1 11 27 1 0 4 44 4 1 264
Judge, Aaron 2017: 245 81 11 3 24 44 0 0 3 87 6 2 292
Judge, Aaron proj: 248 72 10 2 21 40 1 0 3 97 5 2 292
Kozma, Pete 2017: 9 1 0 0 0 1 0 0 0 2 0 0 10
Kozma, Pete proj: 9 2 0 0 0 1 0 0 0 2 0 0 10
Montgomery, Jordan 2017: 3 0 0 0 0 2 0 0 0 2 0 0 5
Montgomery, Jordan proj: 3 0 0 0 0 2 0 0 0 2 0 0 5
Pineda, Michael 2017: 3 1 0 0 0 0 0 1 0 2 0 0 4
Pineda, Michael proj: 4 1 0 0 0 0 0 0 0 2 0 0 4
Refsnyder, Rob 2017: 29 5 1 1 0 2 0 0 0 7 2 0 31
Refsnyder, Rob proj: 27 7 2 0 0 3 0 0 0 5 1 0 30
Romine, Austin 2017: 114 27 4 0 2 4 2 1 0 28 0 0 121
Romine, Austin proj: 113 25 6 0 2 5 2 1 0 26 1 0 121
Sabathia, CC 2017: 3 0 0 0 0 1 0 0 0 2 0 0 4
Sabathia, CC proj: 4 1 0 0 0 0 0 0 0 1 0 0 4
Sanchez, Gary 2017: 157 46 5 0 12 18 0 0 3 40 2 1 178
Sanchez, Gary proj: 157 46 7 0 14 18 1 0 2 43 1 0 178
Severino, Luis 2017: 2 0 0 0 0 0 0 0 0 1 0 0 2
Severino, Luis proj: 2 0 0 0 0 0 0 0 0 1 0 0 2
Shreve, Chasen 2017: 1 0 0 0 0 0 0 0 0 0 0 0 1
Shreve, Chasen proj: 1 0 0 0 0 0 0 0 0 0 0 0 1
Tanaka, Masahiro 2017: 2 0 0 0 0 0 0 1 0 2 0 0 3
Tanaka, Masahiro proj: 3 0 0 0 0 0 0 0 0 2 0 0 3
Torreyes, Ronald 2017: 115 34 4 1 1 3 0 1 1 14 0 0 120
Torreyes, Ronald proj: 112 31 5 2 1 6 0 1 1 14 1 0 120
Williams, Mason 2017: 9 2 0 0 0 0 0 0 0 1 0 0 9
Williams, Mason proj: 9 2 1 0 0 0 0 0 0 2 0 0 9
2017 TEAM TOTALS: 2426 663 115 9 114 274 18 8 22 617 42 13 2751
PROJECTED: 2447 647 120 14 93 249 17 9 26 589 55 16 2748
difference: -21 +16 -5 -5 +21 +25 +1 -1 -4 +28 -13 -3 +3
Man AB H 2B 3B HR BB SF SH HBP SO SB CS PA


Assorted Team Stats:
Stat Actual Projected
Batting Average: .273 .264
Slugging Average: .469 .439
Walks (per PA): .100 .091
SOs (per PA): .224 .214
On-Base Average: .349 .336
Power Factor: 1.72 1.66
OPS: .818 .774
TOP Runs (to date): 395 361

Runs differential:
Actual TOP 34 more than Projected TOP.




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This page was last modified on Thursday, 22 June 2017, at 7:04 am Pacific Time.