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Baseball team and player performance examined realistically and accurately.

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NYY "Expected" Batting Results, 2017


About These Stats:

The form of "projection" used is very simple: each man's career numbers are pro-rated by his actual number of appearances to date this season; those data, labelled "proj:" are shown along with the man's actual stats from this year to date. At the bottom of the Table, each set of lines—"projected" and actual—is separately summed to get Team Totals for each dataset.

Note that "career to date" includes each man's stats for the current year: "to date" is literally correct. For veteran players, that matters little, but for rookies or players with litle prior major-league experience, it means that the "projection" will perforce nearly or exactly match the actual stats to date. That seems like the best way to deal with newly arrived players' stats.

Note that owing to rounding in the pro-rating process, projected total PA (plate appearances) may occasionally differ by 1.

Below the player/team table is a smaller table showing a few key team "rate" stats (such as batting average) actual and projected.

The Actual Data:

Through games of Sunday, 23 July 2017.
All results are from true, unadjusted data.

Handedness Key:   + R   * L   # S

(You can also look up the stat definitions.)

Batters, listed in alphabetical order:
Each name is a click-on link to that man's career stats.

(or see the data for Pitching)


Man AB H 2B 3B HR BB SF SH HBP SO SB CS PA
Andujar, Miguel 2017: 4 3 1 0 0 1 0 0 0 0 1 0 5
Andujar, Miguel proj: 4 3 1 0 0 1 0 0 0 0 1 0 5
Austin, Tyler 2017: 13 2 0 0 1 1 1 0 0 6 0 0 15
Austin, Tyler proj: 14 3 0 0 1 1 0 0 0 6 0 0 15
Bird, Greg 2017: 60 6 3 0 1 10 0 0 2 22 0 0 72
Bird, Greg proj: 62 14 3 0 3 8 0 0 1 22 0 0 71
Carter, Chris 2017: 184 37 5 1 8 20 2 0 2 76 0 0 208
Carter, Chris proj: 180 39 8 0 12 24 2 0 2 69 1 0 208
Castro, Starlin 2017: 316 97 14 1 12 17 2 0 2 63 1 0 337
Castro, Starlin proj: 316 89 16 2 7 16 2 1 2 55 6 3 337
Choi, Ji-Man 2017: 15 4 1 0 2 2 1 0 0 5 0 0 18
Choi, Ji-Man proj: 16 3 1 0 1 2 0 0 0 4 0 0 18
Cooper, Garrett 2017: 24 5 3 1 0 0 0 0 0 9 0 0 24
Cooper, Garrett proj: 24 5 3 1 0 0 0 0 0 9 0 0 24
Ellsbury, Jacoby 2017: 197 49 8 1 4 19 0 2 3 37 12 2 224
Ellsbury, Jacoby proj: 202 57 10 2 4 16 1 1 2 31 14 3 222
Frazier, Clint 2017: 61 18 6 2 3 1 1 0 0 18 0 0 63
Frazier, Clint proj: 61 18 6 2 3 1 1 0 0 18 0 0 63
Frazier, Todd 2017: 16 2 0 0 0 1 0 0 1 4 0 0 18
Frazier, Todd proj: 16 4 1 0 1 2 0 0 0 4 0 0 18
Gardner, Brett 2017: 356 91 17 1 17 49 3 2 2 80 12 3 412
Gardner, Brett proj: 357 94 16 5 7 43 2 5 4 77 21 5 411
Gregorius, Didi 2017: 293 89 14 0 14 13 2 0 2 45 2 1 311
Gregorius, Didi proj: 285 76 13 2 8 17 2 2 4 47 2 1 310
Headley, Chase 2017: 316 84 23 1 4 38 2 0 3 88 6 2 359
Headley, Chase proj: 317 84 17 1 8 36 2 0 4 81 6 2 359
Hicks, Aaron 2017: 200 58 15 0 10 37 3 1 1 42 7 5 242
Hicks, Aaron proj: 213 49 9 1 6 25 2 1 1 50 6 3 242
Higashioka, Kyle 2017: 18 0 0 0 0 2 0 0 0 6 0 0 20
Higashioka, Kyle proj: 18 0 0 0 0 2 0 0 0 6 0 0 20
Holliday, Matt 2017: 277 66 14 0 16 39 4 0 3 85 1 0 323
Holliday, Matt proj: 284 85 19 1 13 32 2 0 5 54 4 2 323
Judge, Aaron 2017: 339 105 13 3 32 71 1 0 4 125 6 3 415
Judge, Aaron proj: 344 98 12 2 29 65 2 0 4 136 5 3 415
Kozma, Pete 2017: 9 1 0 0 0 1 0 0 0 2 0 0 10
Kozma, Pete proj: 9 2 0 0 0 1 0 0 0 2 0 0 10
Montgomery, Jordan 2017: 3 0 0 0 0 2 0 0 0 2 0 0 5
Montgomery, Jordan proj: 3 0 0 0 0 2 0 0 0 2 0 0 5
Pineda, Michael 2017: 3 1 0 0 0 0 0 1 0 2 0 0 4
Pineda, Michael proj: 4 1 0 0 0 0 0 0 0 2 0 0 4
Refsnyder, Rob 2017: 37 5 1 1 0 3 0 0 0 8 2 0 40
Refsnyder, Rob proj: 35 9 2 0 0 4 0 0 0 7 1 0 39
Romine, Austin 2017: 157 37 6 0 2 14 3 1 1 39 0 0 176
Romine, Austin proj: 162 37 9 0 2 10 2 2 1 38 1 0 177
Sabathia, CC 2017: 3 0 0 0 0 1 0 0 0 2 0 0 4
Sabathia, CC proj: 4 1 0 0 0 0 0 0 0 1 0 0 4
Sanchez, Gary 2017: 253 67 10 0 14 26 1 0 5 69 2 1 285
Sanchez, Gary proj: 252 70 12 0 19 28 2 0 4 70 2 1 286
Severino, Luis 2017: 2 0 0 0 0 0 0 0 0 1 0 0 2
Severino, Luis proj: 2 0 0 0 0 0 0 0 0 1 0 0 2
Shreve, Chasen 2017: 1 0 0 0 0 0 0 0 0 0 0 0 1
Shreve, Chasen proj: 1 0 0 0 0 0 0 0 0 0 0 0 1
Tanaka, Masahiro 2017: 2 0 0 0 0 0 0 1 0 2 0 0 3
Tanaka, Masahiro proj: 3 0 0 0 0 0 0 0 0 2 0 0 3
Torreyes, Ronald 2017: 189 54 6 1 2 6 2 2 1 23 2 0 200
Torreyes, Ronald proj: 186 51 7 3 2 9 2 2 1 23 2 1 200
Wade, Tyler 2017: 29 4 3 0 0 5 0 0 0 10 1 0 34
Wade, Tyler proj: 29 4 3 0 0 5 0 0 0 10 1 0 34
Williams, Mason 2017: 16 4 0 0 0 1 0 0 0 2 2 0 17
Williams, Mason proj: 16 5 1 0 0 1 0 0 0 4 1 0 17
2017 TEAM TOTALS: 3393 889 163 13 142 380 28 10 32 873 57 17 3847
PROJECTED: 3419 901 169 22 126 351 24 14 35 831 74 24 3843
difference: -26 -12 -6 -9 +16 +29 +4 -4 -3 +42 -17 -7 +4
Man AB H 2B 3B HR BB SF SH HBP SO SB CS PA


Assorted Team Stats:
Stat Actual Projected
Batting Average: .262 .264
Slugging Average: .443 .436
Walks (per PA): .099 .091
SOs (per PA): .227 .216
On-Base Average: .338 .335
Power Factor: 1.69 1.66
OPS: .781 .771
TOP Runs (to date): 509 499

Runs differential:
Actual TOP 10 more than Projected TOP.




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This page was last modified on Monday, 24 July 2017, at 7:05 am Pacific Time.