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NYY "Expected" Batting Results, 2017


About These Stats:

The form of "projection" used is very simple: each man's career numbers are pro-rated by his actual number of appearances to date this season; those data, labelled "proj:" are shown along with the man's actual stats from this year to date. At the bottom of the Table, each set of lines—"projected" and actual—is separately summed to get Team Totals for each dataset.

Note that "career to date" includes each man's stats for the current year: "to date" is literally correct. For veteran players, that matters little, but for rookies or players with litle prior major-league experience, it means that the "projection" will perforce nearly or exactly match the actual stats to date. That seems like the best way to deal with newly arrived players' stats.

Note that owing to rounding in the pro-rating process, projected total PA (plate appearances) may occasionally differ by 1.

Below the player/team table is a smaller table showing a few key team "rate" stats (such as batting average) actual and projected.

The Actual Data:

Through games of Thursday, 27 April 2017.
All results are from true, unadjusted data.

Handedness Key:   + R   * L   # S

(You can also look up the stat definitions.)

Batters, listed in alphabetical order:
Each name is a click-on link to that man's career stats.

(or see the data for Pitching)


Man AB H 2B 3B HR BB SF SH HBP SO SB CS PA
Bird, Greg 2017: 51 6 3 0 1 6 0 0 1 19 0 0 58
Bird, Greg proj: 51 12 3 0 3 6 0 0 0 18 0 0 57
Carter, Chris 2017: 33 6 0 1 1 2 1 0 0 11 0 0 36
Carter, Chris proj: 31 7 1 0 2 4 0 0 0 12 0 0 35
Castro, Starlin 2017: 78 27 3 0 4 5 0 0 0 15 0 0 83
Castro, Starlin proj: 78 22 4 1 2 4 0 0 1 13 1 1 83
Ellsbury, Jacoby 2017: 73 22 2 0 2 5 0 1 1 12 6 1 80
Ellsbury, Jacoby proj: 72 21 4 1 2 6 1 0 1 11 5 1 80
Gardner, Brett 2017: 59 11 3 0 0 12 0 0 0 17 5 0 71
Gardner, Brett proj: 62 16 3 1 1 7 0 1 1 13 4 1 71
Headley, Chase 2017: 70 23 6 0 3 11 0 0 0 14 4 0 81
Headley, Chase proj: 72 19 4 0 2 8 0 0 1 18 1 0 81
Hicks, Aaron 2017: 37 12 2 0 4 10 1 0 0 5 2 2 48
Hicks, Aaron proj: 42 10 2 0 1 5 0 0 0 10 1 1 47
Higashioka, Kyle 2017: 10 0 0 0 0 0 0 0 0 3 0 0 10
Higashioka, Kyle proj: 10 0 0 0 0 0 0 0 0 3 0 0 10
Holliday, Matt 2017: 52 12 2 0 2 14 1 0 0 18 0 0 67
Holliday, Matt proj: 59 18 4 0 3 7 0 0 1 11 1 0 67
Judge, Aaron 2017: 67 18 2 1 7 7 0 0 1 20 0 0 75
Judge, Aaron proj: 67 15 2 0 5 7 0 0 1 27 0 0 75
Kozma, Pete 2017: 9 1 0 0 0 1 0 0 0 2 0 0 10
Kozma, Pete proj: 9 2 0 0 0 1 0 0 0 2 0 0 10
Montgomery, Jordan 2017: 1 0 0 0 0 1 0 0 0 1 0 0 2
Montgomery, Jordan proj: 1 0 0 0 0 1 0 0 0 1 0 0 2
Pineda, Michael 2017: 2 0 0 0 0 0 0 0 0 2 0 0 2
Pineda, Michael proj: 2 0 0 0 0 0 0 0 0 1 0 0 2
Romine, Austin 2017: 44 12 2 0 1 4 1 0 0 8 0 0 49
Romine, Austin proj: 45 10 3 0 1 2 1 0 0 10 0 0 48
Sabathia, CC 2017: 2 0 0 0 0 0 0 0 0 1 0 0 2
Sabathia, CC proj: 2 0 0 0 0 0 0 0 0 1 0 0 2
Sanchez, Gary 2017: 20 3 0 0 1 1 0 0 0 4 0 1 21
Sanchez, Gary proj: 19 5 1 0 2 2 0 0 0 5 0 0 21
Torreyes, Ronald 2017: 65 20 3 1 1 0 0 0 0 6 0 0 65
Torreyes, Ronald proj: 61 17 3 1 1 3 0 1 0 7 1 0 65
2017 TEAM TOTALS: 673 173 28 3 27 79 4 1 3 158 17 4 760
PROJECTED: 683 174 34 4 25 63 2 2 6 163 14 4 756
difference: -10 -1 -6 -1 +2 +16 +2 -1 -3 -5 +3 0 +4
Man AB H 2B 3B HR BB SF SH HBP SO SB CS PA


Assorted Team Stats:
Stat Actual Projected
Batting Average: .257 .255
Slugging Average: .428 .426
Walks (per PA): .104 .083
SOs (per PA): .208 .214
On-Base Average: .336 .321
Power Factor: 1.66 1.67
OPS: .763 .747
TOP Runs (to date): 99 93

Runs differential:
Actual TOP 6 more than Projected TOP.




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This page was last modified on Friday, 28 April 2017, at 6:56 am Pacific Time.