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NYY "Expected" Batting Results, 2017


About These Stats:

The form of "projection" used is very simple: each man's career numbers are pro-rated by his actual number of appearances to date this season; those data, labelled "proj:" are shown along with the man's actual stats from this year to date. At the bottom of the Table, each set of lines—"projected" and actual—is separately summed to get Team Totals for each dataset.

Note that "career to date" includes each man's stats for the current year: "to date" is literally correct. For veteran players, that matters little, but for rookies or players with litle prior major-league experience, it means that the "projection" will perforce nearly or exactly match the actual stats to date. That seems like the best way to deal with newly arrived players' stats.

Note that owing to rounding in the pro-rating process, projected total PA (plate appearances) may occasionally differ by 1.

Below the player/team table is a smaller table showing a few key team "rate" stats (such as batting average) actual and projected.

The Actual Data:

Through games of Monday, 22 May 2017.
All results are from true, unadjusted data.

Handedness Key:   + R   * L   # S

(You can also look up the stat definitions.)

Batters, listed in alphabetical order:
Each name is a click-on link to that man's career stats.

(or see the data for Pitching)


Man AB H 2B 3B HR BB SF SH HBP SO SB CS PA
Bird, Greg 2017: 60 6 3 0 1 10 0 0 2 22 0 0 72
Bird, Greg proj: 62 14 3 0 3 8 0 0 1 22 0 0 71
Carter, Chris 2017: 86 18 2 1 3 9 1 0 2 37 0 0 98
Carter, Chris proj: 85 18 4 0 5 11 1 0 1 33 0 0 98
Castro, Starlin 2017: 173 58 10 0 7 10 0 0 0 32 0 0 183
Castro, Starlin proj: 172 48 9 1 4 9 1 0 1 30 3 2 183
Ellsbury, Jacoby 2017: 130 37 7 0 4 13 0 2 1 23 8 2 148
Ellsbury, Jacoby proj: 134 38 7 1 3 11 1 1 1 20 10 2 148
Gardner, Brett 2017: 146 41 7 1 9 21 1 1 1 35 5 0 170
Gardner, Brett proj: 147 39 6 2 3 17 1 2 2 32 9 2 169
Gregorius, Didi 2017: 90 30 4 0 2 5 1 0 0 14 1 0 96
Gregorius, Didi proj: 88 23 4 1 2 6 1 1 1 15 1 0 97
Headley, Chase 2017: 148 35 10 1 3 15 0 0 1 43 5 0 164
Headley, Chase proj: 145 38 8 0 4 16 1 0 2 37 3 1 164
Hicks, Aaron 2017: 96 28 4 0 7 23 1 1 1 21 6 2 122
Hicks, Aaron proj: 107 24 4 1 3 13 1 1 0 26 3 1 122
Higashioka, Kyle 2017: 18 0 0 0 0 2 0 0 0 6 0 0 20
Higashioka, Kyle proj: 18 0 0 0 0 2 0 0 0 6 0 0 20
Holliday, Matt 2017: 131 35 7 0 8 21 1 0 1 47 1 0 154
Holliday, Matt proj: 135 41 9 1 6 15 1 0 2 26 2 1 153
Judge, Aaron 2017: 143 45 5 2 15 23 0 0 2 49 4 1 168
Judge, Aaron proj: 145 38 4 1 12 20 1 0 2 58 3 1 168
Kozma, Pete 2017: 9 1 0 0 0 1 0 0 0 2 0 0 10
Kozma, Pete proj: 9 2 0 0 0 1 0 0 0 2 0 0 10
Montgomery, Jordan 2017: 3 0 0 0 0 2 0 0 0 2 0 0 5
Montgomery, Jordan proj: 3 0 0 0 0 2 0 0 0 2 0 0 5
Pineda, Michael 2017: 3 1 0 0 0 0 0 1 0 2 0 0 4
Pineda, Michael proj: 4 1 0 0 0 0 0 0 0 2 0 0 4
Refsnyder, Rob 2017: 3 0 0 0 0 1 0 0 0 1 0 0 4
Refsnyder, Rob proj: 4 1 0 0 0 0 0 0 0 1 0 0 4
Romine, Austin 2017: 73 18 2 0 2 4 2 0 0 15 0 0 79
Romine, Austin proj: 73 17 4 0 1 4 1 1 0 17 0 0 79
Sabathia, CC 2017: 3 0 0 0 0 1 0 0 0 2 0 0 4
Sabathia, CC proj: 4 1 0 0 0 0 0 0 0 1 0 0 4
Sanchez, Gary 2017: 74 20 1 0 4 9 0 0 2 19 0 1 85
Sanchez, Gary proj: 75 22 3 0 6 9 1 0 1 21 0 0 86
Severino, Luis 2017: 2 0 0 0 0 0 0 0 0 1 0 0 2
Severino, Luis proj: 2 0 0 0 0 0 0 0 0 1 0 0 2
Shreve, Chasen 2017: 1 0 0 0 0 0 0 0 0 0 0 0 1
Shreve, Chasen proj: 1 0 0 0 0 0 0 0 0 0 0 0 1
Tanaka, Masahiro 2017: 2 0 0 0 0 0 0 1 0 2 0 0 3
Tanaka, Masahiro proj: 3 0 0 0 0 0 0 0 0 2 0 0 3
Torreyes, Ronald 2017: 91 26 3 1 1 1 0 1 0 12 0 0 93
Torreyes, Ronald proj: 87 23 4 2 1 4 0 1 0 11 1 0 92
2017 TEAM TOTALS: 1485 399 65 6 66 171 7 7 13 387 30 6 1685
PROJECTED: 1503 388 69 10 53 148 11 7 14 365 35 10 1683
difference: -18 +11 -4 -4 +13 +23 -4 0 -1 +22 -5 -4 +2
Man AB H 2B 3B HR BB SF SH HBP SO SB CS PA


Assorted Team Stats:
Stat Actual Projected
Batting Average: .269 .258
Slugging Average: .454 .423
Walks (per PA): .101 .088
SOs (per PA): .230 .217
On-Base Average: .346 .327
Power Factor: 1.69 1.64
OPS: .800 .750
TOP Runs (to date): 236 210

Runs differential:
Actual TOP 26 more than Projected TOP.




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This page was last modified on Tuesday, 23 May 2017, at 6:59 am Pacific Time.