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NYY "Expected" Pitching Results, 2019


About These Stats:

The form of "projection" used is very simple: each man's career numbers are pro-rated by his actual number of batters faced to date this season; those data, labelled "proj:" are shown along with the man's actual stats from this year to date. At the bottom of the Table, each set of lines—"projected" and actual—is separately summed to get Team Totals for each dataset.

Note that "career to date" includes each man's stats for the current year: "to date" is literally correct. For veteran players, that matters little, but for rookies or players with litle prior major-league experience, it means that the "projection" will perforce nearly or exactly match the actual stats to date. That seems like the best way to deal with newly arrived players' stats.

Note that owing to rounding in the pro-rating process, projected total BFP (batters faced) may occasionally differ by 1.

Below the player/team table is a smaller table showing a few key team "rate" stats (such as batting average) actual and projected.

The Actual Data:

Through games of Sunday, 14 July 2019.
All results are from true, unadjusted data.

Handedness Key:   + R   * L

(You can also look up the stat definitions.)

Pitchers, listed in alphabetical order:
Each name is a click-on link to that man's career stats.

(or see the data for Batting)


Man AB H 2B 3B HR BB SF SH HBP SO SB CS BFP
Adams, Chance 2019: 49 14 4 0 2 5 0 0 1 10 0 0 55
Adams, Chance proj: 49 14 3 0 3 6 0 0 1 9 0 0 56
Barrett, Jake 2019: 17 6 2 0 2 2 0 0 0 4 0 0 19
Barrett, Jake proj: 17 4 1 0 1 2 0 0 0 4 0 0 19
Britton, Zack 2019: 134 29 5 0 2 20 2 0 1 28 1 1 157
Britton, Zack proj: 140 33 6 0 2 15 1 1 1 31 1 1 158
Cessa, Luis 2019: 161 42 8 1 8 17 3 0 2 43 4 1 183
Cessa, Luis proj: 166 43 8 0 8 14 1 0 2 35 2 1 183
Chapman, Aroldis 2019: 131 26 6 0 1 12 2 0 1 51 3 0 146
Chapman, Aroldis proj: 127 20 4 0 2 17 1 0 2 60 3 1 147
Cortes Jr., Nestor 2019: 129 32 3 0 6 7 1 0 1 35 0 0 138
Cortes Jr., Nestor proj: 127 35 4 0 7 9 1 0 1 32 0 1 138
German, Domingo 2019: 313 67 11 0 13 19 1 1 1 90 0 2 335
German, Domingo proj: 303 69 14 2 13 26 2 1 3 91 3 1 335
Green, Chad 2019: 143 44 8 0 7 6 0 0 3 46 1 2 152
Green, Chad proj: 141 32 7 0 5 9 1 1 1 50 3 2 153
Hale, David 2019: 103 25 4 2 2 6 1 0 1 16 0 0 111
Hale, David proj: 101 28 6 1 3 8 1 0 1 17 3 0 111
Happ, J.A. 2019: 371 97 17 0 20 23 0 0 3 76 2 1 397
Happ, J.A. proj: 357 89 19 1 12 33 2 3 2 82 4 2 397
Harvey, Joe 2019: 39 11 1 1 1 7 1 0 1 11 4 0 48
Harvey, Joe proj: 39 11 1 1 1 7 1 0 1 11 4 0 48
Holder, Jonathan 2019: 148 40 7 0 8 11 0 0 2 40 2 0 161
Holder, Jonathan proj: 147 37 8 0 5 11 1 1 2 36 2 1 162
Kahnle, Tommy 2019: 135 26 2 0 6 12 1 0 0 52 3 0 148
Kahnle, Tommy proj: 128 28 6 0 3 17 2 1 0 42 2 0 148
Loaisiga, Jonathan 2019: 51 13 5 0 2 8 3 0 0 13 4 0 62
Loaisiga, Jonathan proj: 54 14 4 0 2 7 1 0 0 17 2 0 62
Ottavino, Adam 2019: 147 28 4 0 4 27 1 0 1 56 11 1 176
Ottavino, Adam proj: 153 36 6 1 4 18 2 1 2 48 7 1 176
Paxton, James 2019: 296 79 19 1 10 30 2 0 1 95 5 1 329
Paxton, James proj: 301 73 14 1 8 24 2 1 1 86 3 1 329
Sabathia, CC 2019: 291 74 18 0 16 28 1 1 2 71 6 2 323
Sabathia, CC proj: 293 73 14 1 8 24 2 2 3 67 4 2 324
Tanaka, Masahiro 2019: 427 103 19 2 18 25 2 0 2 95 2 3 456
Tanaka, Masahiro proj: 427 102 22 1 17 22 2 1 3 107 3 2 455
Tarpley, Stephen 2019: 38 12 1 0 4 5 0 0 1 12 0 0 44
Tarpley, Stephen proj: 38 9 1 0 2 6 0 0 1 13 1 0 45
2019 TEAM TOTALS: 3123 768 144 7 132 270 21 2 24 844 48 14 3440
PROJECTED: 3108 750 148 9 106 275 23 13 27 838 47 16 3446
difference: +15 +18 -4 -2 +26 -5 -2 -11 -3 +6 +1 -2 -6
Man AB H 2B 3B HR BB SF SH HBP SO SB CS BFP


Assorted Team Stats:
Stat Actual Projected
Batting Average: .246 .241
Slugging Average: .423 .397
Walks (per PA): .078 .080
SOs (per PA): .245 .244
On-Base Average: .309 .305
Power Factor: 1.72 1.65
OPS: .732 .702
TPP Runs (to date): 404 376

Runs differential:
Actual TPP 28 more than Projected TPP.




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This page was last modified on Monday, 15 July 2019, at 6:59 am Pacific Time.