Owing to the screen size of your device, you may obtain a better viewing experience by rotating your device a quarter-turn (to get the so-called "panorama" screen view).
owlcroft logo
An Owlcroft Company web site
Click here to email us.

The Owlcroft Baseball-Analysis Site

Baseball team and player performance examined realistically and accurately.

Search this site, or just roll your cursor over the colored boxes below the pictures.

  Advertisement:


  Advertisement:


NYY "Expected" Pitching Results, 2019


About These Stats:

The form of "projection" used is very simple: each man's career numbers are pro-rated by his actual number of batters faced to date this season; those data, labelled "proj:" are shown along with the man's actual stats from this year to date. At the bottom of the Table, each set of lines—"projected" and actual—is separately summed to get Team Totals for each dataset.

Note that "career to date" includes each man's stats for the current year: "to date" is literally correct. For veteran players, that matters little, but for rookies or players with litle prior major-league experience, it means that the "projection" will perforce nearly or exactly match the actual stats to date. That seems like the best way to deal with newly arrived players' stats.

Note that owing to rounding in the pro-rating process, projected total BFP (batters faced) may occasionally differ by 1.

Below the player/team table is a smaller table showing a few key team "rate" stats (such as batting average) actual and projected.

The Actual Data:

Through games of Friday, 23 August 2019.
All results are from true, unadjusted data.

Handedness Key:   + R   * L

(You can also look up the stat definitions.)

Pitchers, listed in alphabetical order:
Each name is a click-on link to that man's career stats.

(or see the data for Batting)


Man AB H 2B 3B HR BB SF SH HBP SO SB CS BFP
Adams, Chance 2019: 91 30 9 0 4 10 0 0 2 16 0 0 103
Adams, Chance proj: 91 29 8 0 5 11 0 0 2 15 0 0 104
Barrett, Jake 2019: 17 6 2 0 2 2 0 0 0 4 0 0 19
Barrett, Jake proj: 17 4 1 0 1 2 0 0 0 4 0 0 19
Britton, Zack 2019: 178 35 6 0 3 30 2 1 1 42 1 1 212
Britton, Zack proj: 188 44 7 0 3 20 1 1 1 42 2 1 211
Cessa, Luis 2019: 250 61 13 1 12 25 3 0 2 65 4 1 280
Cessa, Luis proj: 255 65 13 1 12 21 1 1 2 55 3 1 280
Chapman, Aroldis 2019: 181 35 7 0 2 22 3 0 1 72 4 0 207
Chapman, Aroldis proj: 180 29 5 0 3 24 1 0 2 85 4 2 207
Cortes Jr., Nestor 2019: 205 52 7 0 10 20 2 0 1 52 0 0 228
Cortes Jr., Nestor proj: 204 56 8 0 11 22 2 0 1 49 0 1 229
Ford, Mike 2019: 12 6 1 0 2 0 0 0 0 1 0 0 12
Ford, Mike proj: 12 6 1 0 2 0 0 0 0 1 0 0 12
German, Domingo 2019: 471 110 22 0 27 28 1 1 3 131 0 2 504
German, Domingo proj: 459 108 24 2 23 37 2 1 4 134 4 1 503
Green, Chad 2019: 209 61 13 1 10 13 3 0 5 64 4 2 230
Green, Chad proj: 211 49 11 0 8 14 2 1 2 74 5 3 230
Hale, David 2019: 145 37 10 2 2 6 1 0 1 22 0 0 153
Hale, David proj: 139 38 9 1 4 11 1 1 1 23 4 0 153
Happ, J.A. 2019: 509 140 23 0 31 37 2 0 5 105 2 1 553
Happ, J.A. proj: 497 124 26 2 17 46 3 3 3 115 6 2 552
Harvey, Joe 2019: 39 11 1 1 1 7 1 0 1 11 4 0 48
Harvey, Joe proj: 39 11 1 1 1 7 1 0 1 11 4 0 48
Holder, Jonathan 2019: 168 43 7 1 8 11 0 0 2 46 2 0 181
Holder, Jonathan proj: 166 41 9 1 5 12 1 1 2 41 2 1 182
Kahnle, Tommy 2019: 186 34 6 0 8 16 1 0 0 74 3 0 203
Kahnle, Tommy proj: 177 38 8 0 5 23 2 1 1 59 3 0 204
Lail, Brady 2019: 9 2 0 0 1 1 0 0 0 2 0 0 10
Lail, Brady proj: 9 2 0 0 1 1 0 0 0 2 0 0 10
Loaisiga, Jonathan 2019: 70 18 5 0 4 10 3 0 0 19 4 0 83
Loaisiga, Jonathan proj: 72 19 5 0 3 10 1 0 0 23 3 0 83
Mantiply, Joe 2019: 12 3 0 1 1 2 0 0 0 2 0 0 14
Mantiply, Joe proj: 12 5 0 0 1 2 0 0 0 2 0 0 14
Ottavino, Adam 2019: 196 38 7 1 4 32 2 0 1 76 12 1 231
Ottavino, Adam proj: 201 47 8 1 5 24 2 2 2 63 10 1 231
Paxton, James 2019: 465 123 26 2 21 44 3 2 1 152 7 2 515
Paxton, James proj: 471 114 22 2 13 37 4 1 1 136 5 2 514
Romine, Austin 2019: 7 4 1 0 2 0 0 0 0 0 0 0 7
Romine, Austin proj: 7 4 1 0 2 0 0 0 0 0 0 0 7
Sabathia, CC 2019: 367 98 22 0 25 33 1 2 2 87 8 2 405
Sabathia, CC proj: 367 92 18 1 10 30 3 3 3 83 5 3 406
Tanaka, Masahiro 2019: 588 152 35 4 24 36 3 0 2 121 2 5 629
Tanaka, Masahiro proj: 589 143 32 2 23 31 3 2 4 146 4 3 629
Tarpley, Stephen 2019: 83 27 6 0 5 14 0 0 1 24 0 0 98
Tarpley, Stephen proj: 83 23 5 0 4 14 0 0 1 26 1 0 98
2019 TEAM TOTALS: 4458 1126 229 14 209 399 31 6 31 1188 57 17 4925
PROJECTED: 4446 1091 222 14 162 399 30 18 33 1189 65 21 4926
difference: +12 +35 +7 0 +47 0 +1 -12 -2 -1 -8 -4 -1
Man AB H 2B 3B HR BB SF SH HBP SO SB CS BFP


Assorted Team Stats:
Stat Actual Projected
Batting Average: .253 .245
Slugging Average: .451 .411
Walks (per PA): .081 .081
SOs (per PA): .241 .241
On-Base Average: .316 .309
Power Factor: 1.79 1.67
OPS: .767 .720
TPP Runs (to date): 623 560

Runs differential:
Actual TPP 63 more than Projected TPP.




  Advertisement:


  Advertisement:



Want detailed, careful, unhysterical analysis of the effects of "Performance-Enhancing Drugs" in baseball? Click here to visit the Steroids & Baseball web site.

All content copyright © 2002 - 2019 by The Owlcroft Company.

This web page is strictly compliant with the W3C (World Wide Web Consortium) Extensible HyperText Markup Language (XHTML) Protocol v1.0 (Transitional) and the W3C Cascading Style Sheets (CSS) Protocol v3 — because we care about interoperability. Click on the logos below to test us!



This page was last modified on Saturday, 24 August 2019, at 7:02 am Pacific Time.