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NYY "Expected" Pitching Results, 2017


About These Stats:

The form of "projection" used is very simple: each man's career numbers are pro-rated by his actual number of batters faced to date this season; those data, labelled "proj:" are shown along with the man's actual stats from this year to date. At the bottom of the Table, each set of lines—"projected" and actual—is separately summed to get Team Totals for each dataset.

Note that "career to date" includes each man's stats for the current year: "to date" is literally correct. For veteran players, that matters little, but for rookies or players with litle prior major-league experience, it means that the "projection" will perforce nearly or exactly match the actual stats to date. That seems like the best way to deal with newly arrived players' stats.

Note that owing to rounding in the pro-rating process, projected total BFP (batters faced) may occasionally differ by 1.

Below the player/team table is a smaller table showing a few key team "rate" stats (such as batting average) actual and projected.

The Actual Data:

Through games of Wednesday, 21 June 2017.
All results are from true, unadjusted data.

Handedness Key:   + R   * L

(You can also look up the stat definitions.)

Pitchers, listed in alphabetical order:
Each name is a click-on link to that man's career stats.

(or see the data for Batting)


Man AB H 2B 3B HR BB SF SH HBP SO SB CS BFP
Betances, Dellin 2017: 77 9 0 0 0 14 0 0 1 43 2 1 92
Betances, Dellin proj: 81 14 2 0 1 9 0 0 1 37 4 1 91
Cessa, Luis 2017: 28 9 2 0 2 2 0 0 0 5 0 1 30
Cessa, Luis proj: 28 7 1 0 2 2 0 0 0 5 0 0 30
Chapman, Aroldis 2017: 56 12 2 0 0 6 0 0 1 23 2 0 63
Chapman, Aroldis proj: 55 9 1 0 1 7 0 0 1 27 1 1 63
Clippard, Tyler 2017: 106 21 4 1 6 12 0 2 1 34 3 0 121
Clippard, Tyler proj: 106 21 4 0 4 12 1 1 1 33 2 1 121
Gallegos, Giovanny 2017: 49 15 3 0 2 4 1 0 0 11 0 0 54
Gallegos, Giovanny proj: 49 15 3 0 2 4 1 0 0 11 0 0 54
German, Domingo 2017: 24 6 1 0 0 4 0 0 0 7 0 0 28
German, Domingo proj: 24 6 1 0 0 4 0 0 0 7 0 0 28
Green, Chad 2017: 77 12 3 0 2 6 0 1 1 28 2 0 85
Green, Chad proj: 77 18 4 0 4 6 0 1 1 24 2 0 85
Heller, Ben 2017: 2 1 0 0 0 1 0 0 0 0 1 0 3
Heller, Ben proj: 3 1 0 0 0 0 0 0 0 0 0 0 3
Herrera, Ronald 2017: 8 2 0 0 1 1 0 0 1 2 1 0 10
Herrera, Ronald proj: 8 2 0 0 1 1 0 0 1 2 1 0 10
Holder, Jonathan 2017: 124 35 6 0 4 7 0 1 1 30 1 0 133
Holder, Jonathan proj: 122 34 6 0 4 9 1 1 1 28 1 0 134
Layne, Tommy 2017: 54 16 3 1 1 8 0 0 1 9 1 0 63
Layne, Tommy proj: 54 13 2 0 1 7 0 1 1 13 1 1 63
Mitchell, Bryan 2017: 54 13 2 0 1 7 0 0 0 9 1 0 61
Mitchell, Bryan proj: 54 15 3 0 1 7 0 0 1 10 1 1 62
Montgomery, Jordan 2017: 283 67 10 3 9 26 1 2 1 71 1 1 313
Montgomery, Jordan proj: 283 67 10 3 9 26 1 2 1 71 1 1 313
Pineda, Michael 2017: 324 81 12 0 14 19 3 0 2 84 5 3 348
Pineda, Michael proj: 323 79 16 2 11 20 2 1 2 86 5 4 348
Sabathia, CC 2017: 287 70 8 2 9 24 0 1 3 62 1 2 315
Sabathia, CC proj: 285 71 14 1 8 23 2 2 2 65 4 2 314
Severino, Luis 2017: 298 63 9 0 9 22 1 2 2 90 2 0 325
Severino, Luis proj: 296 71 16 0 11 25 0 1 3 77 3 1 325
Shreve, Chasen 2017: 68 10 4 0 1 11 1 0 0 23 0 0 80
Shreve, Chasen proj: 69 15 2 1 3 9 0 1 1 21 0 1 80
Tanaka, Masahiro 2017: 317 93 24 0 21 21 1 1 3 76 2 1 343
Tanaka, Masahiro proj: 322 78 17 1 12 16 2 1 2 78 2 1 343
Warren, Adam 2017: 112 17 4 0 1 9 4 0 1 30 2 0 126
Warren, Adam proj: 113 27 5 0 3 10 1 1 1 26 1 1 126
2017 TEAM TOTALS: 2348 552 97 7 83 204 12 10 19 637 27 9 2593
PROJECTED: 2352 563 107 8 78 197 11 13 20 621 29 16 2593
difference: -4 -11 -10 -1 +5 +7 +1 -3 -1 +16 -2 -7 0
Man AB H 2B 3B HR BB SF SH HBP SO SB CS BFP


Assorted Team Stats:
Stat Actual Projected
Batting Average: .235 .239
Slugging Average: .388 .391
Walks (per PA): .079 .076
SOs (per PA): .246 .239
On-Base Average: .299 .301
Power Factor: 1.65 1.63
OPS: .687 .692
TPP Runs (to date): 274 274

Runs differential:
Actual TPP 0 less than Projected TPP.




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This page was last modified on Thursday, 22 June 2017, at 7:04 am Pacific Time.