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Baseball team and player performance examined realistically and accurately.

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OAK "Expected" Pitching Results, 2017


About These Stats:

The form of "projection" used is very simple: each man's career numbers are pro-rated by his actual number of batters faced to date this season; those data, labelled "proj:" are shown along with the man's actual stats from this year to date. At the bottom of the Table, each set of lines—"projected" and actual—is separately summed to get Team Totals for each dataset.

Note that "career to date" includes each man's stats for the current year: "to date" is literally correct. For veteran players, that matters little, but for rookies or players with litle prior major-league experience, it means that the "projection" will perforce nearly or exactly match the actual stats to date. That seems like the best way to deal with newly arrived players' stats.

Note that owing to rounding in the pro-rating process, projected total BFP (batters faced) may occasionally differ by 1.

Below the player/team table is a smaller table showing a few key team "rate" stats (such as batting average) actual and projected.

The Actual Data:

Through games of Friday, 26 May 2017.
All results are from true, unadjusted data.

Handedness Key:   + R   * L

(You can also look up the stat definitions.)

Pitchers, listed in alphabetical order:
Each name is a click-on link to that man's career stats.

(or see the data for Batting)


Man AB H 2B 3B HR BB SF SH HBP SO SB CS BFP
Alcantara, Raul 2017: 31 10 4 0 3 5 1 0 2 2 0 0 39
Alcantara, Raul proj: 34 11 3 0 3 2 1 0 2 4 1 0 39
Axford, John 2017: 12 5 1 0 0 0 0 0 0 1 0 0 12
Axford, John proj: 10 2 0 0 0 1 0 0 0 3 0 0 11
Casilla, Santiago 2017: 65 15 2 0 2 9 3 1 2 15 5 0 80
Casilla, Santiago proj: 70 16 3 0 2 8 1 1 1 17 2 0 81
Cotton, Jharel 2017: 151 42 11 0 6 16 1 2 1 35 2 3 171
Cotton, Jharel proj: 156 37 8 0 6 12 1 1 1 35 3 2 171
Coulombe, Daniel 2017: 61 14 4 0 2 6 0 0 2 11 2 1 69
Coulombe, Daniel proj: 61 14 3 0 2 7 1 0 0 16 1 0 69
Doolittle, Sean 2017: 27 5 0 0 2 1 1 0 0 11 0 0 29
Doolittle, Sean proj: 27 6 1 0 1 1 0 0 0 9 1 0 28
Dull, Ryan 2017: 60 14 1 0 2 9 1 0 1 18 0 0 71
Dull, Ryan proj: 65 13 2 0 3 5 1 0 0 18 0 0 71
Graveman, Kendall 2017: 178 46 10 1 6 14 0 0 2 32 3 0 194
Graveman, Kendall proj: 178 48 9 0 6 13 1 0 2 29 2 1 194
Gray, Sonny 2017: 111 24 4 0 4 8 1 0 0 28 4 1 120
Gray, Sonny proj: 109 26 4 0 3 9 1 0 1 25 1 0 120
Hahn, Jesse 2017: 191 46 7 3 1 18 2 3 1 41 4 1 215
Hahn, Jesse proj: 192 47 8 1 3 18 1 2 2 38 3 1 215
Hendriks, Liam 2017: 80 17 2 1 1 5 0 0 0 22 3 0 85
Hendriks, Liam proj: 79 22 4 1 2 5 1 0 1 17 2 0 86
Madson, Ryan 2017: 70 16 2 0 1 4 0 1 0 19 3 1 75
Madson, Ryan proj: 68 17 3 0 2 5 0 1 1 16 1 0 75
Manaea, Sean 2017: 151 28 5 2 3 18 0 0 4 45 3 2 173
Manaea, Sean proj: 157 37 7 1 5 12 1 1 2 38 1 1 173
Montas, Frankie 2017: 91 26 2 0 4 9 0 0 2 27 2 0 102
Montas, Frankie proj: 90 24 3 0 3 11 0 0 1 29 1 1 102
Smith, Josh 2017: 39 11 4 1 0 6 1 0 0 3 0 1 46
Smith, Josh proj: 40 11 2 0 2 5 0 0 1 8 1 0 46
Triggs, Andrew 2017: 194 44 5 1 3 15 1 1 4 42 9 3 215
Triggs, Andrew proj: 196 47 7 2 4 13 1 1 3 46 5 2 214
Valdez, Cesar 2017: 40 14 3 0 4 4 0 0 0 5 0 1 44
Valdez, Cesar proj: 39 13 2 0 2 5 0 0 0 5 0 0 44
Wahl, Bobby 2017: 31 8 3 0 0 4 0 0 1 8 1 0 36
Wahl, Bobby proj: 31 8 3 0 0 4 0 0 1 8 1 0 36
2017 TEAM TOTALS: 1583 385 70 9 44 151 12 8 22 365 41 14 1776
PROJECTED: 1602 399 72 5 49 136 11 7 19 361 26 8 1775
difference: -19 -14 -2 +4 -5 +15 +1 +1 +3 +4 +15 +6 +1
Man AB H 2B 3B HR BB SF SH HBP SO SB CS BFP


Assorted Team Stats:
Stat Actual Projected
Batting Average: .243 .249
Slugging Average: .382 .392
Walks (per PA): .085 .077
SOs (per PA): .206 .203
On-Base Average: .314 .312
Power Factor: 1.57 1.57
OPS: .696 .704
TPP Runs (to date): 195 197

Runs differential:
Actual TPP 2 less than Projected TPP.




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This page was last modified on Saturday, 27 May 2017, at 6:59 am Pacific Time.