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OAK "Expected" Pitching Results, 2017


About These Stats:

The form of "projection" used is very simple: each man's career numbers are pro-rated by his actual number of batters faced to date this season; those data, labelled "proj:" are shown along with the man's actual stats from this year to date. At the bottom of the Table, each set of lines—"projected" and actual—is separately summed to get Team Totals for each dataset.

Note that "career to date" includes each man's stats for the current year: "to date" is literally correct. For veteran players, that matters little, but for rookies or players with litle prior major-league experience, it means that the "projection" will perforce nearly or exactly match the actual stats to date. That seems like the best way to deal with newly arrived players' stats.

Note that owing to rounding in the pro-rating process, projected total BFP (batters faced) may occasionally differ by 1.

Below the player/team table is a smaller table showing a few key team "rate" stats (such as batting average) actual and projected.

The Actual Data:

Through games of Thursday, 27 April 2017.
All results are from true, unadjusted data.

Handedness Key:   + R   * L

(You can also look up the stat definitions.)

Pitchers, listed in alphabetical order:
Each name is a click-on link to that man's career stats.

(or see the data for Batting)


Man AB H 2B 3B HR BB SF SH HBP SO SB CS BFP
Alcantara, Raul 2017: 31 10 4 0 3 5 1 0 2 2 0 0 39
Alcantara, Raul proj: 34 11 3 0 3 2 1 0 2 4 1 0 39
Casilla, Santiago 2017: 28 3 1 0 1 4 1 1 0 8 4 0 34
Casilla, Santiago proj: 30 7 1 0 1 3 0 0 0 7 1 0 33
Cotton, Jharel 2017: 84 21 7 0 1 11 1 1 1 15 2 2 98
Cotton, Jharel proj: 90 19 5 0 2 7 0 0 0 18 2 1 97
Coulombe, Daniel 2017: 35 9 3 0 1 4 0 0 0 3 0 0 39
Coulombe, Daniel proj: 35 8 2 0 1 4 0 0 0 9 0 0 39
Doolittle, Sean 2017: 24 4 0 0 1 1 1 0 0 11 0 0 26
Doolittle, Sean proj: 24 5 1 0 1 1 0 0 0 8 1 0 25
Dull, Ryan 2017: 35 8 1 0 1 5 0 0 1 9 0 0 41
Dull, Ryan proj: 37 7 2 0 2 3 1 0 0 10 0 0 41
Graveman, Kendall 2017: 86 19 3 0 3 5 0 0 1 16 1 0 92
Graveman, Kendall proj: 84 23 4 0 3 6 1 0 1 13 1 0 92
Hahn, Jesse 2017: 92 16 3 0 1 9 1 1 0 20 2 1 103
Hahn, Jesse proj: 92 22 4 0 2 9 1 1 1 18 1 1 104
Hendriks, Liam 2017: 33 10 1 1 0 4 0 0 0 7 1 0 37
Hendriks, Liam proj: 34 10 2 0 1 2 0 0 0 7 1 0 36
Madson, Ryan 2017: 35 10 1 0 0 1 0 1 0 9 2 0 37
Madson, Ryan proj: 33 9 2 0 1 3 0 0 0 8 1 0 36
Manaea, Sean 2017: 89 17 3 2 1 12 0 0 4 27 3 1 105
Manaea, Sean proj: 95 23 5 1 3 7 1 1 1 23 1 1 105
Montas, Frankie 2017: 52 16 1 0 2 4 0 0 2 12 2 0 58
Montas, Frankie proj: 51 14 2 0 1 6 0 0 1 15 1 0 58
Triggs, Andrew 2017: 84 16 2 0 1 6 0 0 1 13 3 0 91
Triggs, Andrew proj: 84 20 3 1 2 5 0 0 1 19 1 0 90
Valdez, Cesar 2017: 20 5 2 0 0 2 0 0 0 5 0 0 22
Valdez, Cesar proj: 20 6 1 0 0 2 0 0 0 3 0 0 22
2017 TEAM TOTALS: 728 164 32 3 16 73 5 4 12 157 20 4 822
PROJECTED: 743 184 37 2 23 60 5 2 7 162 12 3 817
difference: -15 -20 -5 +1 -7 +13 0 +2 +5 -5 +8 +1 +5
Man AB H 2B 3B HR BB SF SH HBP SO SB CS BFP


Assorted Team Stats:
Stat Actual Projected
Batting Average: .225 .248
Slugging Average: .343 .396
Walks (per PA): .089 .073
SOs (per PA): .191 .197
On-Base Average: .303 .307
Power Factor: 1.52 1.6
OPS: .646 .703
TPP Runs (to date): 80 90

Runs differential:
Actual TPP 10 less than Projected TPP.




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This page was last modified on Friday, 28 April 2017, at 6:56 am Pacific Time.