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Baseball team and player performance examined realistically and accurately.

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OAK "Expected" Pitching Results, 2018


About These Stats:

The form of "projection" used is very simple: each man's career numbers are pro-rated by his actual number of batters faced to date this season; those data, labelled "proj:" are shown along with the man's actual stats from this year to date. At the bottom of the Table, each set of lines—"projected" and actual—is separately summed to get Team Totals for each dataset.

Note that "career to date" includes each man's stats for the current year: "to date" is literally correct. For veteran players, that matters little, but for rookies or players with litle prior major-league experience, it means that the "projection" will perforce nearly or exactly match the actual stats to date. That seems like the best way to deal with newly arrived players' stats.

Note that owing to rounding in the pro-rating process, projected total BFP (batters faced) may occasionally differ by 1.

Below the player/team table is a smaller table showing a few key team "rate" stats (such as batting average) actual and projected.

The Actual Data:

Through games of Friday, 20 July 2018.
All results are from true, unadjusted data.

Handedness Key:   + R   * L

(You can also look up the stat definitions.)

Pitchers, listed in alphabetical order:
Each name is a click-on link to that man's career stats.

(or see the data for Batting)


Man AB H 2B 3B HR BB SF SH HBP SO SB CS BFP
Anderson, Brett 2018: 101 36 9 0 3 8 0 1 1 12 0 1 111
Anderson, Brett proj: 102 28 5 0 2 7 0 1 1 19 2 1 111
Bassitt, Chris 2018: 127 30 4 0 2 12 0 0 2 25 2 1 141
Bassitt, Chris proj: 125 32 7 0 2 13 0 0 3 24 2 1 141
Blackburn, Paul 2018: 109 33 8 1 2 6 2 0 2 19 3 2 119
Blackburn, Paul proj: 110 30 6 0 2 7 1 0 1 14 1 2 119
Bleich, Jeremy 2018: 3 2 2 0 0 0 0 0 1 1 0 0 4
Bleich, Jeremy proj: 3 2 2 0 0 0 0 0 1 1 0 0 4
Buchter, Ryan 2018: 73 17 6 0 1 7 1 1 0 21 0 0 82
Buchter, Ryan proj: 71 13 4 0 2 9 1 0 1 23 1 1 82
Cahill, Trevor 2018: 188 40 11 1 4 14 0 1 2 50 7 5 205
Cahill, Trevor proj: 180 46 9 1 5 19 1 2 2 36 5 2 204
Casilla, Santiago 2018: 106 18 6 0 0 20 2 0 4 22 8 1 132
Casilla, Santiago proj: 115 27 5 0 3 13 1 1 2 28 3 1 132
Coulombe, Danny 2018: 85 23 2 0 5 11 1 0 0 26 1 2 97
Coulombe, Danny proj: 85 21 4 0 3 10 1 0 1 22 1 1 97
Dull, Ryan 2018: 70 21 1 1 3 5 0 1 0 17 0 2 76
Dull, Ryan proj: 69 15 3 0 3 5 1 0 0 19 1 1 75
Font, Wilmer 2018: 33 13 2 0 5 4 0 0 0 9 0 0 37
Font, Wilmer proj: 33 9 1 0 2 4 0 0 0 6 0 0 37
Gossett, Daniel 2018: 93 25 6 0 5 8 0 0 1 12 2 0 102
Gossett, Daniel proj: 93 28 7 0 5 8 0 0 0 17 1 0 101
Graveman, Kendall 2018: 144 44 5 1 9 13 0 0 1 27 1 3 158
Graveman, Kendall proj: 145 40 7 1 5 11 1 0 1 24 2 1 158
Hatcher, Chris 2018: 127 38 3 0 5 15 0 0 1 25 0 1 143
Hatcher, Chris proj: 129 34 6 1 5 12 1 1 1 33 1 0 144
Hendriks, Liam 2018: 47 17 4 0 3 7 1 0 0 12 4 0 55
Hendriks, Liam proj: 51 14 3 0 2 3 0 0 0 11 2 0 54
Jackson, Edwin 2018: 111 21 6 0 4 8 0 2 1 23 2 1 122
Jackson, Edwin proj: 109 30 6 1 3 11 1 1 1 22 2 1 123
Lucas, Josh 2018: 56 16 5 0 1 9 0 0 1 14 1 0 66
Lucas, Josh proj: 56 15 3 1 2 9 0 0 1 14 1 1 66
Manaea, Sean 2018: 463 99 17 2 18 24 1 2 8 83 4 3 498
Manaea, Sean proj: 456 112 22 3 16 32 2 2 6 97 4 3 498
Mengden, Daniel 2018: 352 87 22 1 15 19 2 4 2 55 4 2 379
Mengden, Daniel proj: 345 89 19 2 13 26 2 3 3 67 2 3 379
Montas, Frankie 2018: 186 52 15 2 2 15 1 1 2 30 0 1 205
Montas, Frankie proj: 180 51 11 1 6 21 0 0 2 42 1 1 203
Pagan, Emilio 2018: 158 37 9 2 7 13 1 0 2 39 5 1 174
Pagan, Emilio proj: 161 36 7 1 7 10 1 0 1 45 3 0 173
Petit, Yusmeiro 2018: 226 55 9 0 8 9 4 1 0 46 5 2 240
Petit, Yusmeiro proj: 222 56 11 2 9 14 2 2 0 51 4 1 240
Ramirez, Carlos 2018: 18 2 0 0 0 4 1 0 1 2 1 0 24
Ramirez, Carlos proj: 20 2 1 0 1 3 0 0 1 5 1 0 24
Smolinski, Jake 2018: 5 2 1 0 1 0 0 0 0 0 0 0 5
Smolinski, Jake proj: 5 2 1 0 1 0 0 0 0 0 0 0 5
Treinen, Blake 2018: 178 31 5 0 1 16 0 1 0 61 2 0 195
Treinen, Blake proj: 174 43 6 1 3 18 1 1 1 45 2 1 195
Triggs, Andrew 2018: 160 37 8 0 7 18 1 0 3 43 5 0 182
Triggs, Andrew proj: 165 42 7 1 5 13 1 1 3 38 5 1 183
Trivino, Lou 2018: 151 23 3 0 3 19 1 0 0 50 6 1 171
Trivino, Lou proj: 151 23 3 0 3 19 1 0 0 50 6 1 171
Wendelken, J.B. 2018: 2 0 0 0 0 0 0 0 0 1 0 0 2
Wendelken, J.B. proj: 2 1 0 0 0 0 0 0 0 0 0 0 2
2018 TEAM TOTALS: 3372 819 169 11 114 284 19 15 35 725 63 29 3725
PROJECTED: 3357 841 166 16 110 297 19 15 33 753 53 24 3721
difference: +15 -22 +3 -5 +4 -13 0 0 +2 -28 +10 +5 +4
Man AB H 2B 3B HR BB SF SH HBP SO SB CS BFP


Assorted Team Stats:
Stat Actual Projected
Batting Average: .243 .251
Slugging Average: .401 .408
Walks (per PA): .076 .080
SOs (per PA): .195 .202
On-Base Average: .306 .315
Power Factor: 1.65 1.63
OPS: .706 .723
TPP Runs (to date): 409 426

Runs differential:
Actual TPP 17 less than Projected TPP.




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This page was last modified on Saturday, 21 July 2018, at 6:59 am Pacific Time.