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OAK "Expected" Pitching Results, 2018


About These Stats:

The form of "projection" used is very simple: each man's career numbers are pro-rated by his actual number of batters faced to date this season; those data, labelled "proj:" are shown along with the man's actual stats from this year to date. At the bottom of the Table, each set of lines—"projected" and actual—is separately summed to get Team Totals for each dataset.

Note that "career to date" includes each man's stats for the current year: "to date" is literally correct. For veteran players, that matters little, but for rookies or players with litle prior major-league experience, it means that the "projection" will perforce nearly or exactly match the actual stats to date. That seems like the best way to deal with newly arrived players' stats.

Note that owing to rounding in the pro-rating process, projected total BFP (batters faced) may occasionally differ by 1.

Below the player/team table is a smaller table showing a few key team "rate" stats (such as batting average) actual and projected.

The Actual Data:

Through games of Sunday, 30 September 2018.
All results are from true, unadjusted data.

Handedness Key:   + R   * L

(You can also look up the stat definitions.)

Pitchers, listed in alphabetical order:
Each name is a click-on link to that man's career stats.

(or see the data for Batting)


Man AB H 2B 3B HR BB SF SH HBP SO SB CS BFP
Anderson, Brett 2018: 316 90 21 1 10 13 0 2 2 47 1 1 333
Anderson, Brett proj: 307 85 16 1 7 21 1 2 2 57 5 3 333
Bassitt, Chris 2018: 181 40 5 0 4 19 0 0 4 41 3 2 204
Bassitt, Chris proj: 181 46 10 0 3 19 0 0 4 36 3 2 204
Blackburn, Paul 2018: 109 33 8 1 2 6 2 0 2 19 3 2 119
Blackburn, Paul proj: 110 30 6 0 2 7 1 0 1 14 1 2 119
Bleich, Jeremy 2018: 3 2 2 0 0 0 0 0 1 1 0 0 4
Bleich, Jeremy proj: 3 2 2 0 0 0 0 0 1 1 0 0 4
Brooks, Aaron 2018: 8 1 0 0 0 2 0 0 0 1 0 0 10
Brooks, Aaron proj: 9 3 1 0 0 1 0 0 0 1 0 0 10
Buchter, Ryan 2018: 146 32 8 0 4 15 1 1 0 41 0 2 163
Buchter, Ryan proj: 142 26 7 0 4 17 1 0 1 44 1 1 161
Cahill, Trevor 2018: 398 90 20 2 8 41 3 3 5 100 15 7 450
Cahill, Trevor proj: 396 100 19 2 11 43 3 4 4 79 12 4 450
Casilla, Santiago 2018: 106 18 6 0 0 20 2 0 4 22 8 1 132
Casilla, Santiago proj: 115 27 5 0 3 13 1 1 2 28 3 1 132
Coulombe, Danny 2018: 86 24 3 0 5 11 1 0 0 26 1 2 98
Coulombe, Danny proj: 86 21 5 0 3 10 1 0 1 22 1 1 98
Dull, Ryan 2018: 91 22 1 1 3 7 1 1 0 21 0 2 100
Dull, Ryan proj: 91 19 3 0 4 7 1 0 1 24 1 1 100
Familia, Jeurys 2018: 117 24 4 0 2 14 0 0 0 40 0 0 131
Familia, Jeurys proj: 116 25 4 0 1 13 1 1 1 33 3 0 132
Fiers, Mike 2018: 197 45 10 0 12 11 1 0 3 52 6 1 212
Fiers, Mike proj: 193 49 10 1 8 15 1 1 2 46 4 1 212
Font, Wilmer 2018: 33 13 2 0 5 4 0 0 0 9 0 0 37
Font, Wilmer proj: 33 9 1 0 2 4 0 0 0 6 0 0 37
Gearrin, Cory 2018: 26 10 2 1 0 2 0 0 1 2 1 0 29
Gearrin, Cory proj: 25 6 1 0 1 3 0 0 1 7 1 0 29
Gossett, Daniel 2018: 93 25 6 0 5 8 0 0 1 12 2 0 102
Gossett, Daniel proj: 93 28 7 0 5 8 0 0 0 17 1 0 101
Graveman, Kendall 2018: 144 44 5 1 9 13 0 0 1 27 1 3 158
Graveman, Kendall proj: 145 40 7 1 5 11 1 0 1 24 2 1 158
Hatcher, Chris 2018: 149 43 5 0 7 17 0 0 1 30 0 1 167
Hatcher, Chris proj: 150 40 7 1 6 14 1 1 1 38 1 0 167
Hendriks, Liam 2018: 92 25 4 0 3 10 1 0 1 22 5 1 104
Hendriks, Liam proj: 96 27 5 1 3 7 1 0 1 22 3 1 105
Jackson, Edwin 2018: 339 75 20 0 12 37 1 2 2 68 2 6 381
Jackson, Edwin proj: 339 92 19 3 10 35 2 3 2 67 7 2 381
Kelley, Shawn 2018: 55 7 2 0 0 6 1 0 0 18 0 0 62
Kelley, Shawn proj: 56 13 3 0 2 5 1 0 0 17 0 0 62
Kiekhefer, Dean 2018: 12 7 2 0 1 1 0 1 0 1 0 0 14
Kiekhefer, Dean proj: 13 4 1 0 0 1 0 0 0 2 0 0 14
Lucas, Josh 2018: 56 16 5 0 1 9 0 0 1 14 1 0 66
Lucas, Josh proj: 56 15 3 1 2 9 0 0 1 14 1 1 66
Manaea, Sean 2018: 608 141 24 3 21 32 2 4 8 108 5 4 654
Manaea, Sean proj: 599 149 29 3 20 42 3 3 7 125 6 4 654
Mengden, Daniel 2018: 441 103 26 1 18 26 2 4 3 72 4 3 476
Mengden, Daniel proj: 434 108 24 2 16 33 2 3 3 84 2 3 475
Montas, Frankie 2018: 255 74 20 3 5 21 3 2 2 43 0 1 283
Montas, Frankie proj: 249 72 15 2 9 28 2 1 3 56 1 1 283
Pagan, Emilio 2018: 239 55 13 3 13 19 1 0 3 63 5 1 262
Pagan, Emilio proj: 242 54 10 2 11 15 2 1 2 68 4 1 262
Petit, Yusmeiro 2018: 344 76 16 2 13 18 5 1 0 76 7 3 368
Petit, Yusmeiro proj: 341 85 17 3 14 22 2 2 0 79 6 2 367
Ramirez, Carlos 2018: 18 2 0 0 0 4 1 0 1 2 1 0 24
Ramirez, Carlos proj: 20 2 1 0 1 3 0 0 1 5 1 0 24
Rodney, Fernando 2018: 79 20 5 0 2 13 0 0 1 20 3 1 93
Rodney, Fernando proj: 80 19 4 0 2 11 0 1 1 22 2 1 93
Smolinski, Jake 2018: 5 2 1 0 1 0 0 0 0 0 0 0 5
Smolinski, Jake proj: 5 2 1 0 1 0 0 0 0 0 0 0 5
Treinen, Blake 2018: 292 46 6 0 2 21 0 1 1 100 7 0 315
Treinen, Blake proj: 283 67 10 1 4 28 1 1 2 75 4 1 315
Triggs, Andrew 2018: 160 37 8 0 7 18 1 0 3 43 5 0 182
Triggs, Andrew proj: 165 42 7 1 5 13 1 1 3 38 5 1 183
Trivino, Lou 2018: 264 53 6 0 8 31 1 1 2 82 10 2 299
Trivino, Lou proj: 264 53 6 0 8 31 1 1 2 82 10 2 299
Wendelken, J.B. 2018: 57 8 2 0 1 5 0 0 0 14 0 0 62
Wendelken, J.B. proj: 55 13 1 0 2 7 0 0 0 13 0 0 62
2018 TEAM TOTALS: 5519 1303 268 19 184 474 30 23 53 1237 96 46 6099
PROJECTED: 5492 1373 267 25 175 496 31 27 51 1246 91 37 6097
difference: +27 -70 +1 -6 +9 -22 -1 -4 +2 -9 +5 +9 +2
Man AB H 2B 3B HR BB SF SH HBP SO SB CS BFP


Assorted Team Stats:
Stat Actual Projected
Batting Average: .236 .250
Slugging Average: .392 .403
Walks (per PA): .078 .081
SOs (per PA): .203 .204
On-Base Average: .300 .315
Power Factor: 1.66 1.61
OPS: .692 .718
TPP Runs (to date): 645 694

Runs differential:
Actual TPP 49 less than Projected TPP.




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This page was last modified on Monday, 1 October 2018, at 7:06 am Pacific Time.