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Baseball team and player performance examined realistically and accurately.

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OAK "Expected" Pitching Results, 2017


About These Stats:

The form of "projection" used is very simple: each man's career numbers are pro-rated by his actual number of batters faced to date this season; those data, labelled "proj:" are shown along with the man's actual stats from this year to date. At the bottom of the Table, each set of lines—"projected" and actual—is separately summed to get Team Totals for each dataset.

Note that "career to date" includes each man's stats for the current year: "to date" is literally correct. For veteran players, that matters little, but for rookies or players with litle prior major-league experience, it means that the "projection" will perforce nearly or exactly match the actual stats to date. That seems like the best way to deal with newly arrived players' stats.

Note that owing to rounding in the pro-rating process, projected total BFP (batters faced) may occasionally differ by 1.

Below the player/team table is a smaller table showing a few key team "rate" stats (such as batting average) actual and projected.

The Actual Data:

Through games of Sunday, 1 October 2017.
All results are from true, unadjusted data.

Handedness Key:   + R   * L

(You can also look up the stat definitions.)

Pitchers, listed in alphabetical order:
Each name is a click-on link to that man's career stats.

(or see the data for Batting)


Man AB H 2B 3B HR BB SF SH HBP SO SB CS BFP
Alcantara, Raul 2017: 92 22 7 0 5 12 1 0 3 12 0 0 108
Alcantara, Raul proj: 95 27 7 0 7 8 2 0 4 13 1 0 109
Axford, John 2017: 87 27 4 0 3 17 2 1 2 21 2 0 109
Axford, John proj: 94 23 3 0 2 13 1 1 1 28 2 0 110
Blackburn, Paul 2017: 221 58 9 0 5 16 0 0 1 22 1 3 238
Blackburn, Paul proj: 221 58 9 0 5 16 0 0 1 22 1 3 238
Brady, Michael 2017: 122 33 10 2 7 6 2 1 5 24 0 1 136
Brady, Michael proj: 122 33 10 2 7 6 2 1 5 24 0 1 136
Casilla, Santiago 2017: 224 58 11 1 8 22 6 1 6 57 10 0 259
Casilla, Santiago proj: 226 53 10 1 6 25 2 2 3 56 5 1 258
Castro, Simon 2017: 136 32 8 0 7 14 1 0 2 35 7 1 153
Castro, Simon proj: 133 32 7 0 5 15 1 2 3 34 5 1 154
Cotton, Jharel 2017: 500 133 29 0 28 53 5 4 4 105 7 6 566
Cotton, Jharel proj: 508 128 27 0 27 48 4 3 3 107 8 5 566
Coulombe, Daniel 2017: 192 46 12 2 4 22 1 0 4 39 2 4 219
Coulombe, Daniel proj: 193 45 11 1 5 22 2 1 2 47 2 2 220
Doolittle, Sean 2017: 76 12 1 0 3 2 1 0 0 31 3 0 79
Doolittle, Sean proj: 74 15 3 0 2 4 1 1 0 24 2 0 80
Dull, Ryan 2017: 157 37 6 0 7 16 1 0 3 45 3 3 177
Dull, Ryan proj: 161 33 7 0 7 12 2 0 1 44 2 1 176
Gossett, Daniel 2017: 379 116 27 1 21 31 2 2 0 72 2 2 414
Gossett, Daniel proj: 379 116 27 1 21 31 2 2 0 72 2 2 414
Graveman, Kendall 2017: 407 114 22 4 12 32 1 0 4 70 7 1 444
Graveman, Kendall proj: 407 112 20 2 12 30 2 1 4 66 5 2 444
Gray, Sonny 2017: 367 84 21 1 8 30 2 0 1 94 9 2 400
Gray, Sonny proj: 363 85 15 1 9 32 3 1 2 84 4 1 401
Hahn, Jesse 2017: 277 78 15 3 4 27 6 3 3 55 4 1 316
Hahn, Jesse proj: 281 72 12 2 5 26 3 2 4 54 4 2 316
Hatcher, Chris 2017: 89 21 4 0 3 9 1 0 0 20 1 0 99
Hatcher, Chris proj: 89 23 5 1 3 8 1 1 0 24 1 0 99
Hendriks, Liam 2017: 249 57 12 1 7 23 1 0 0 78 12 1 273
Hendriks, Liam proj: 252 70 13 2 8 17 2 0 2 57 7 1 273
Madson, Ryan 2017: 133 25 4 0 2 6 1 2 2 39 7 1 144
Madson, Ryan proj: 130 33 6 0 3 10 1 1 2 31 3 1 144
Manaea, Sean 2017: 624 167 35 5 18 55 2 1 10 140 9 5 692
Manaea, Sean proj: 629 163 33 4 20 50 3 3 8 142 6 5 693
Mengden, Daniel 2017: 157 36 6 0 6 9 2 1 0 29 0 2 169
Mengden, Daniel proj: 151 40 8 1 5 14 1 1 1 34 0 1 168
Moll, Sam 2017: 32 13 2 1 2 3 0 0 0 7 0 0 35
Moll, Sam proj: 32 13 2 1 2 3 0 0 0 7 0 0 35
Montas, Frankie 2017: 129 39 4 0 10 20 0 0 3 36 2 0 152
Montas, Frankie proj: 130 37 5 0 8 20 0 0 2 39 1 1 152
Neal, Zach 2017: 63 19 2 2 5 1 1 0 0 10 2 0 65
Neal, Zach proj: 63 17 4 1 3 1 1 0 0 7 1 0 65
Smith, Chris 2017: 224 60 14 1 16 22 3 0 1 31 2 2 250
Smith, Chris proj: 221 53 12 0 14 24 2 1 2 44 1 1 250
Smith, Josh 2017: 135 35 16 2 3 15 1 0 0 25 2 1 151
Smith, Josh proj: 132 35 10 1 5 16 1 0 2 27 4 1 151
Treinen, Blake 2017: 142 32 5 1 3 12 0 0 2 42 1 1 156
Treinen, Blake proj: 139 36 5 1 2 15 1 0 1 33 1 1 156
Triggs, Andrew 2017: 256 68 8 1 9 19 3 1 4 50 15 4 283
Triggs, Andrew proj: 259 67 10 2 8 17 2 1 4 57 9 3 283
Valdez, Cesar 2017: 40 14 3 0 4 4 0 0 0 5 0 1 44
Valdez, Cesar proj: 40 13 3 0 2 4 0 0 0 6 0 1 44
Wahl, Bobby 2017: 31 8 3 0 0 4 0 0 1 8 1 0 36
Wahl, Bobby proj: 31 8 3 0 0 4 0 0 1 8 1 0 36
2017 TEAM TOTALS: 5541 1444 300 28 210 502 46 17 61 1202 111 42 6167
PROJECTED: 5555 1440 287 24 203 491 42 25 58 1191 78 37 6171
difference: -14 +4 +13 +4 +7 +11 +4 -8 +3 +11 +33 +5 -4
Man AB H 2B 3B HR BB SF SH HBP SO SB CS BFP


Assorted Team Stats:
Stat Actual Projected
Batting Average: .261 .259
Slugging Average: .439 .429
Walks (per PA): .081 .080
SOs (per PA): .195 .193
On-Base Average: .325 .322
Power Factor: 1.68 1.66
OPS: .764 .751
TPP Runs (to date): 778 753

Runs differential:
Actual TPP 25 more than Projected TPP.




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This page was last modified on Monday, 2 October 2017, at 7:15 am Pacific Time.