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OAK "Expected" Pitching Results, 2017


About These Stats:

The form of "projection" used is very simple: each man's career numbers are pro-rated by his actual number of batters faced to date this season; those data, labelled "proj:" are shown along with the man's actual stats from this year to date. At the bottom of the Table, each set of lines—"projected" and actual—is separately summed to get Team Totals for each dataset.

Note that "career to date" includes each man's stats for the current year: "to date" is literally correct. For veteran players, that matters little, but for rookies or players with litle prior major-league experience, it means that the "projection" will perforce nearly or exactly match the actual stats to date. That seems like the best way to deal with newly arrived players' stats.

Note that owing to rounding in the pro-rating process, projected total BFP (batters faced) may occasionally differ by 1.

Below the player/team table is a smaller table showing a few key team "rate" stats (such as batting average) actual and projected.

The Actual Data:

Through games of Sunday, 24 September 2017.
All results are from true, unadjusted data.

Handedness Key:   + R   * L

(You can also look up the stat definitions.)

Pitchers, listed in alphabetical order:
Each name is a click-on link to that man's career stats.

(or see the data for Batting)


Man AB H 2B 3B HR BB SF SH HBP SO SB CS BFP
Alcantara, Raul 2017: 74 17 6 0 4 10 1 0 3 10 0 0 88
Alcantara, Raul proj: 77 22 6 0 6 6 1 0 3 11 1 0 87
Axford, John 2017: 87 27 4 0 3 17 2 1 2 21 2 0 109
Axford, John proj: 94 23 3 0 2 13 1 1 1 28 2 0 110
Blackburn, Paul 2017: 221 58 9 0 5 16 0 0 1 22 1 3 238
Blackburn, Paul proj: 221 58 9 0 5 16 0 0 1 22 1 3 238
Brady, Michael 2017: 110 33 10 2 7 6 2 1 5 22 0 1 124
Brady, Michael proj: 110 33 10 2 7 6 2 1 5 22 0 1 124
Casilla, Santiago 2017: 217 56 11 1 8 21 6 1 6 56 10 0 251
Casilla, Santiago proj: 219 51 10 1 6 25 2 2 3 54 5 1 251
Castro, Simon 2017: 124 29 8 0 6 13 1 0 1 30 6 0 139
Castro, Simon proj: 121 29 7 0 5 14 1 2 2 29 4 1 140
Cotton, Jharel 2017: 500 133 29 0 28 53 5 4 4 105 7 6 566
Cotton, Jharel proj: 508 128 27 0 27 48 4 3 3 107 8 5 566
Coulombe, Daniel 2017: 185 44 12 2 4 22 1 0 4 37 2 4 212
Coulombe, Daniel proj: 186 44 11 1 4 21 2 1 2 45 2 2 212
Doolittle, Sean 2017: 76 12 1 0 3 2 1 0 0 31 3 0 79
Doolittle, Sean proj: 74 15 3 0 2 4 1 1 0 24 2 0 80
Dull, Ryan 2017: 151 33 5 0 6 15 1 0 3 45 2 3 170
Dull, Ryan proj: 155 31 6 0 6 12 2 0 1 43 1 1 170
Gossett, Daniel 2017: 350 105 24 1 16 28 2 2 0 68 2 2 382
Gossett, Daniel proj: 350 105 24 1 16 28 2 2 0 68 2 2 382
Graveman, Kendall 2017: 383 107 22 4 11 31 1 0 4 66 7 0 419
Graveman, Kendall proj: 384 105 19 1 12 28 2 1 4 62 5 2 419
Gray, Sonny 2017: 367 84 21 1 8 30 2 0 1 94 9 2 400
Gray, Sonny proj: 363 85 15 1 9 31 3 1 2 84 4 1 400
Hahn, Jesse 2017: 277 78 15 3 4 27 6 3 3 55 4 1 316
Hahn, Jesse proj: 281 72 12 2 5 26 3 2 4 54 4 2 316
Hatcher, Chris 2017: 75 16 3 0 2 9 1 0 0 17 1 0 85
Hatcher, Chris proj: 76 20 4 1 3 7 1 1 0 20 1 0 85
Hendriks, Liam 2017: 245 57 12 1 7 23 1 0 0 76 12 1 269
Hendriks, Liam proj: 248 69 13 2 8 16 2 0 2 55 7 1 268
Madson, Ryan 2017: 133 25 4 0 2 6 1 2 2 39 7 1 144
Madson, Ryan proj: 130 33 6 0 3 10 1 1 2 31 3 1 144
Manaea, Sean 2017: 602 164 35 5 18 52 2 0 8 134 9 5 664
Manaea, Sean proj: 605 158 33 4 20 47 3 2 6 136 6 5 663
Mengden, Daniel 2017: 112 27 5 0 5 5 2 1 0 18 0 2 120
Mengden, Daniel proj: 107 29 6 1 4 10 1 1 1 24 0 1 120
Moll, Sam 2017: 16 7 2 1 2 1 0 0 0 4 0 0 17
Moll, Sam proj: 16 7 2 1 2 1 0 0 0 4 0 0 17
Montas, Frankie 2017: 129 39 4 0 10 20 0 0 3 36 2 0 152
Montas, Frankie proj: 130 37 5 0 8 20 0 0 2 39 1 1 152
Neal, Zach 2017: 63 19 2 2 5 1 1 0 0 10 2 0 65
Neal, Zach proj: 63 17 4 1 3 1 1 0 0 7 1 0 65
Smith, Chris 2017: 218 59 14 1 16 21 3 0 1 30 1 2 243
Smith, Chris proj: 215 52 12 0 13 23 2 1 2 42 1 1 243
Smith, Josh 2017: 135 35 16 2 3 15 1 0 0 25 2 1 151
Smith, Josh proj: 132 35 10 1 5 16 1 0 2 27 4 1 151
Treinen, Blake 2017: 130 29 3 1 3 11 0 0 2 40 1 1 143
Treinen, Blake proj: 127 33 5 1 2 13 1 0 1 31 1 1 142
Triggs, Andrew 2017: 256 68 8 1 9 19 3 1 4 50 15 4 283
Triggs, Andrew proj: 259 67 10 2 8 17 2 1 4 57 9 3 283
Valdez, Cesar 2017: 40 14 3 0 4 4 0 0 0 5 0 1 44
Valdez, Cesar proj: 40 13 3 0 2 4 0 0 0 6 0 1 44
Wahl, Bobby 2017: 31 8 3 0 0 4 0 0 1 8 1 0 36
Wahl, Bobby proj: 31 8 3 0 0 4 0 0 1 8 1 0 36
2017 TEAM TOTALS: 5307 1383 291 28 199 482 46 16 58 1154 108 40 5909
PROJECTED: 5322 1379 278 23 193 467 41 24 54 1140 76 37 5908
difference: -15 +4 +13 +5 +6 +15 +5 -8 +4 +14 +32 +3 +1
Man AB H 2B 3B HR BB SF SH HBP SO SB CS BFP


Assorted Team Stats:
Stat Actual Projected
Batting Average: .261 .259
Slugging Average: .438 .429
Walks (per PA): .082 .079
SOs (per PA): .195 .193
On-Base Average: .325 .322
Power Factor: 1.68 1.65
OPS: .764 .750
TPP Runs (to date): 745 719

Runs differential:
Actual TPP 26 more than Projected TPP.




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This page was last modified on Monday, 25 September 2017, at 7:16 am Pacific Time.