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OAK "Expected" Pitching Results, 2017


About These Stats:

The form of "projection" used is very simple: each man's career numbers are pro-rated by his actual number of batters faced to date this season; those data, labelled "proj:" are shown along with the man's actual stats from this year to date. At the bottom of the Table, each set of lines—"projected" and actual—is separately summed to get Team Totals for each dataset.

Note that "career to date" includes each man's stats for the current year: "to date" is literally correct. For veteran players, that matters little, but for rookies or players with litle prior major-league experience, it means that the "projection" will perforce nearly or exactly match the actual stats to date. That seems like the best way to deal with newly arrived players' stats.

Note that owing to rounding in the pro-rating process, projected total BFP (batters faced) may occasionally differ by 1.

Below the player/team table is a smaller table showing a few key team "rate" stats (such as batting average) actual and projected.

The Actual Data:

Through games of Wednesday, 21 June 2017.
All results are from true, unadjusted data.

Handedness Key:   + R   * L

(You can also look up the stat definitions.)

Pitchers, listed in alphabetical order:
Each name is a click-on link to that man's career stats.

(or see the data for Batting)


Man AB H 2B 3B HR BB SF SH HBP SO SB CS BFP
Alcantara, Raul 2017: 31 10 4 0 3 5 1 0 2 2 0 0 39
Alcantara, Raul proj: 34 11 3 0 3 2 1 0 2 4 1 0 39
Axford, John 2017: 59 18 3 0 2 8 1 0 2 14 0 0 70
Axford, John proj: 61 15 2 0 1 8 1 0 0 18 1 0 70
Brady, Michael 2017: 3 1 0 0 1 0 0 0 1 0 0 1 4
Brady, Michael proj: 3 1 0 0 1 0 0 0 1 0 0 1 4
Casilla, Santiago 2017: 91 20 4 0 2 12 4 1 2 26 6 0 110
Casilla, Santiago proj: 96 22 4 0 2 11 1 1 1 24 2 0 110
Cotton, Jharel 2017: 256 66 15 0 13 29 2 4 3 59 3 5 294
Cotton, Jharel proj: 264 62 13 0 12 24 1 3 2 59 4 4 294
Coulombe, Daniel 2017: 88 18 5 1 2 9 1 0 3 20 2 2 101
Coulombe, Daniel proj: 89 20 5 0 2 10 1 1 1 23 1 1 102
Doolittle, Sean 2017: 41 6 0 0 2 1 1 0 0 18 0 0 43
Doolittle, Sean proj: 40 8 2 0 1 2 0 0 0 13 1 0 42
Dull, Ryan 2017: 60 14 1 0 2 9 1 0 1 18 0 0 71
Dull, Ryan proj: 65 13 2 0 3 5 1 0 0 18 0 0 71
Gossett, Daniel 2017: 43 12 4 0 3 1 0 0 0 7 0 0 44
Gossett, Daniel proj: 43 12 4 0 3 1 0 0 0 7 0 0 44
Graveman, Kendall 2017: 178 46 10 1 6 14 0 0 2 32 3 0 194
Graveman, Kendall proj: 178 48 9 0 6 13 1 0 2 29 2 1 194
Gray, Sonny 2017: 227 61 12 1 6 21 2 0 1 58 8 1 251
Gray, Sonny proj: 228 54 9 1 5 20 2 1 1 52 2 1 252
Hahn, Jesse 2017: 252 63 11 3 1 24 3 3 2 54 4 1 284
Hahn, Jesse proj: 253 63 10 1 4 24 2 2 3 50 4 1 284
Hendriks, Liam 2017: 127 31 4 1 3 11 1 0 0 42 6 0 139
Hendriks, Liam proj: 128 36 6 1 4 8 1 0 1 28 4 1 138
Madson, Ryan 2017: 102 21 3 0 2 6 0 1 1 28 7 1 110
Madson, Ryan proj: 99 25 5 0 3 8 1 1 1 23 2 1 110
Manaea, Sean 2017: 271 56 10 2 7 28 0 0 5 81 3 3 304
Manaea, Sean proj: 276 65 13 1 9 22 1 1 3 69 2 2 303
Mengden, Daniel 2017: 35 13 4 0 4 3 2 0 0 3 0 1 40
Mengden, Daniel proj: 35 10 2 0 1 4 0 0 0 8 0 0 39
Montas, Frankie 2017: 117 36 3 0 9 15 0 0 3 30 2 0 135
Montas, Frankie proj: 117 34 4 0 7 16 0 0 2 34 1 1 135
Neal, Zach 2017: 61 19 2 2 5 1 0 0 0 10 2 0 62
Neal, Zach proj: 60 16 4 1 3 1 0 0 0 7 1 0 61
Smith, Josh 2017: 79 22 8 2 2 11 1 0 0 11 0 1 91
Smith, Josh proj: 79 22 5 0 3 10 1 0 1 16 2 1 91
Triggs, Andrew 2017: 256 68 8 1 9 19 3 1 4 50 15 4 283
Triggs, Andrew proj: 259 67 10 2 8 17 2 1 4 57 9 3 283
Valdez, Cesar 2017: 40 14 3 0 4 4 0 0 0 5 0 1 44
Valdez, Cesar proj: 39 13 2 0 2 5 0 0 0 5 0 0 44
Wahl, Bobby 2017: 31 8 3 0 0 4 0 0 1 8 1 0 36
Wahl, Bobby proj: 31 8 3 0 0 4 0 0 1 8 1 0 36
2017 TEAM TOTALS: 2448 623 117 14 88 235 23 10 33 576 62 21 2749
PROJECTED: 2477 625 117 7 83 215 17 11 26 552 40 18 2746
difference: -29 -2 0 +7 +5 +20 +6 -1 +7 +24 +22 +3 +3
Man AB H 2B 3B HR BB SF SH HBP SO SB CS BFP


Assorted Team Stats:
Stat Actual Projected
Batting Average: .254 .252
Slugging Average: .422 .406
Walks (per PA): .085 .078
SOs (per PA): .210 .201
On-Base Average: .324 .315
Power Factor: 1.66 1.61
OPS: .746 .721
TPP Runs (to date): 337 314

Runs differential:
Actual TPP 23 more than Projected TPP.




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This page was last modified on Thursday, 22 June 2017, at 7:04 am Pacific Time.