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Baseball team and player performance examined realistically and accurately.

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OAK "Expected" Pitching Results, 2017


About These Stats:

The form of "projection" used is very simple: each man's career numbers are pro-rated by his actual number of batters faced to date this season; those data, labelled "proj:" are shown along with the man's actual stats from this year to date. At the bottom of the Table, each set of lines—"projected" and actual—is separately summed to get Team Totals for each dataset.

Note that "career to date" includes each man's stats for the current year: "to date" is literally correct. For veteran players, that matters little, but for rookies or players with litle prior major-league experience, it means that the "projection" will perforce nearly or exactly match the actual stats to date. That seems like the best way to deal with newly arrived players' stats.

Note that owing to rounding in the pro-rating process, projected total BFP (batters faced) may occasionally differ by 1.

Below the player/team table is a smaller table showing a few key team "rate" stats (such as batting average) actual and projected.

The Actual Data:

Through games of Monday, 24 July 2017.
All results are from true, unadjusted data.

Handedness Key:   + R   * L

(You can also look up the stat definitions.)

Pitchers, listed in alphabetical order:
Each name is a click-on link to that man's career stats.

(or see the data for Batting)


Man AB H 2B 3B HR BB SF SH HBP SO SB CS BFP
Alcantara, Raul 2017: 31 10 4 0 3 5 1 0 2 2 0 0 39
Alcantara, Raul proj: 34 11 3 0 3 2 1 0 2 4 1 0 39
Axford, John 2017: 87 27 4 0 3 17 2 1 2 21 2 0 109
Axford, John proj: 94 23 3 0 2 13 1 1 1 28 2 0 110
Blackburn, Paul 2017: 92 22 3 0 3 7 0 0 1 9 1 2 100
Blackburn, Paul proj: 92 22 3 0 3 7 0 0 1 9 1 2 100
Brady, Michael 2017: 42 11 5 1 2 2 2 1 2 10 0 1 49
Brady, Michael proj: 42 11 5 1 2 2 2 1 2 10 0 1 49
Casilla, Santiago 2017: 141 37 7 1 3 13 4 1 2 34 8 0 161
Casilla, Santiago proj: 141 33 6 1 3 16 1 1 2 34 3 1 161
Castro, Simon 2017: 8 3 0 0 2 0 0 0 0 4 0 0 8
Castro, Simon proj: 7 2 0 0 0 1 0 0 0 2 0 0 8
Cotton, Jharel 2017: 293 76 19 0 13 32 2 4 3 67 3 5 334
Cotton, Jharel proj: 300 72 16 0 13 27 1 3 2 67 4 4 333
Coulombe, Daniel 2017: 124 29 8 1 3 10 1 0 4 27 2 3 139
Coulombe, Daniel proj: 123 29 7 0 3 12 1 1 1 32 1 1 138
Doolittle, Sean 2017: 76 12 1 0 3 2 1 0 0 31 3 0 79
Doolittle, Sean proj: 74 15 3 0 2 4 0 1 0 24 2 0 79
Dull, Ryan 2017: 60 14 1 0 2 9 1 0 1 18 0 0 71
Dull, Ryan proj: 65 13 2 0 3 5 1 0 0 18 0 0 71
Gossett, Daniel 2017: 180 50 10 0 11 8 1 1 0 29 0 0 190
Gossett, Daniel proj: 180 50 10 0 11 8 1 1 0 29 0 0 190
Graveman, Kendall 2017: 178 46 10 1 6 14 0 0 2 32 3 0 194
Graveman, Kendall proj: 178 48 9 0 6 13 1 0 2 29 2 1 194
Gray, Sonny 2017: 343 79 19 1 8 28 2 0 1 85 9 2 374
Gray, Sonny proj: 340 80 14 1 8 29 3 1 2 78 4 1 375
Hahn, Jesse 2017: 277 78 15 3 4 27 6 3 3 55 4 1 316
Hahn, Jesse proj: 281 72 12 2 5 26 3 2 4 54 4 2 316
Hendriks, Liam 2017: 162 41 8 1 5 14 1 0 0 52 7 0 177
Hendriks, Liam proj: 163 46 9 1 5 10 1 0 1 36 5 1 175
Madson, Ryan 2017: 133 25 4 0 2 6 1 2 2 39 7 1 144
Madson, Ryan proj: 130 33 6 0 3 10 1 2 2 30 3 1 145
Manaea, Sean 2017: 398 94 19 4 9 38 1 0 6 103 6 4 443
Manaea, Sean proj: 403 98 20 3 12 32 2 2 4 97 4 3 443
Mengden, Daniel 2017: 35 13 4 0 4 3 2 0 0 3 0 1 40
Mengden, Daniel proj: 35 10 2 0 1 4 0 0 0 8 0 0 39
Montas, Frankie 2017: 121 37 3 0 10 16 0 0 3 32 2 0 140
Montas, Frankie proj: 121 35 4 0 7 17 0 0 2 35 1 1 140
Neal, Zach 2017: 63 19 2 2 5 1 1 0 0 10 2 0 65
Neal, Zach proj: 63 17 4 1 3 1 1 0 0 7 1 0 65
Smith, Chris 2017: 71 15 5 0 3 6 1 0 0 10 0 1 78
Smith, Chris proj: 69 15 4 0 4 8 1 0 0 15 0 0 78
Smith, Josh 2017: 102 29 12 2 2 13 1 0 0 17 2 1 116
Smith, Josh proj: 101 28 7 0 4 13 1 0 1 21 3 1 116
Treinen, Blake 2017: 15 1 0 0 0 1 0 0 0 4 0 0 16
Treinen, Blake proj: 14 4 1 0 0 2 0 0 0 3 0 0 16
Triggs, Andrew 2017: 256 68 8 1 9 19 3 1 4 50 15 4 283
Triggs, Andrew proj: 259 67 10 2 8 17 2 1 4 57 9 3 283
Valdez, Cesar 2017: 40 14 3 0 4 4 0 0 0 5 0 1 44
Valdez, Cesar proj: 39 13 3 0 2 4 0 0 0 6 0 0 43
Wahl, Bobby 2017: 31 8 3 0 0 4 0 0 1 8 1 0 36
Wahl, Bobby proj: 31 8 3 0 0 4 0 0 1 8 1 0 36
2017 TEAM TOTALS: 3359 858 177 18 119 299 34 14 39 757 77 27 3745
PROJECTED: 3379 855 166 12 113 287 25 17 34 741 51 23 3742
difference: -20 +3 +11 +6 +6 +12 +9 -3 +5 +16 +26 +4 +3
Man AB H 2B 3B HR BB SF SH HBP SO SB CS BFP


Assorted Team Stats:
Stat Actual Projected
Batting Average: .255 .253
Slugging Average: .425 .410
Walks (per PA): .080 .077
SOs (per PA): .202 .198
On-Base Average: .319 .314
Power Factor: 1.66 1.62
OPS: .744 .724
TPP Runs (to date): 453 429

Runs differential:
Actual TPP 24 more than Projected TPP.




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This page was last modified on Tuesday, 25 July 2017, at 7:06 am Pacific Time.