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OAK "Expected" Pitching Results, 2018


About These Stats:

The form of "projection" used is very simple: each man's career numbers are pro-rated by his actual number of batters faced to date this season; those data, labelled "proj:" are shown along with the man's actual stats from this year to date. At the bottom of the Table, each set of lines—"projected" and actual—is separately summed to get Team Totals for each dataset.

Note that "career to date" includes each man's stats for the current year: "to date" is literally correct. For veteran players, that matters little, but for rookies or players with litle prior major-league experience, it means that the "projection" will perforce nearly or exactly match the actual stats to date. That seems like the best way to deal with newly arrived players' stats.

Note that owing to rounding in the pro-rating process, projected total BFP (batters faced) may occasionally differ by 1.

Below the player/team table is a smaller table showing a few key team "rate" stats (such as batting average) actual and projected.

The Actual Data:

Through games of Monday, 17 September 2018.
All results are from true, unadjusted data.

Handedness Key:   + R   * L

(You can also look up the stat definitions.)

Pitchers, listed in alphabetical order:
Each name is a click-on link to that man's career stats.

(or see the data for Batting)


Man AB H 2B 3B HR BB SF SH HBP SO SB CS BFP
Anderson, Brett 2018: 266 76 19 1 7 13 0 2 2 36 0 1 283
Anderson, Brett proj: 261 72 13 1 6 18 1 2 2 48 4 3 284
Bassitt, Chris 2018: 165 39 4 0 4 18 0 0 3 34 2 2 186
Bassitt, Chris proj: 165 42 9 0 3 17 0 0 3 32 3 2 185
Blackburn, Paul 2018: 109 33 8 1 2 6 2 0 2 19 3 2 119
Blackburn, Paul proj: 110 30 6 0 2 7 1 0 1 14 1 2 119
Bleich, Jeremy 2018: 3 2 2 0 0 0 0 0 1 1 0 0 4
Bleich, Jeremy proj: 3 2 2 0 0 0 0 0 1 1 0 0 4
Brooks, Aaron 2018: 3 0 0 0 0 0 0 0 0 1 0 0 3
Brooks, Aaron proj: 3 1 0 0 0 0 0 0 0 0 0 0 3
Buchter, Ryan 2018: 131 30 8 0 4 12 1 1 0 36 0 1 145
Buchter, Ryan proj: 127 24 7 0 4 15 1 0 1 39 1 1 144
Cahill, Trevor 2018: 369 84 19 2 7 40 3 3 4 93 14 7 419
Cahill, Trevor proj: 368 93 18 2 10 40 3 4 4 73 11 3 419
Casilla, Santiago 2018: 106 18 6 0 0 20 2 0 4 22 8 1 132
Casilla, Santiago proj: 115 27 5 0 3 13 1 1 2 28 3 1 132
Coulombe, Danny 2018: 86 24 3 0 5 11 1 0 0 26 1 2 98
Coulombe, Danny proj: 86 21 5 0 3 10 1 0 1 22 1 1 98
Dull, Ryan 2018: 84 22 1 1 3 6 0 1 0 20 0 2 91
Dull, Ryan proj: 83 18 3 0 4 6 1 0 1 22 1 1 91
Familia, Jeurys 2018: 103 21 3 0 2 14 0 0 0 36 0 0 117
Familia, Jeurys proj: 103 23 4 0 1 12 1 1 1 29 2 0 118
Fiers, Mike 2018: 159 34 6 0 10 10 0 0 2 44 3 1 171
Fiers, Mike proj: 156 39 8 1 6 12 1 1 2 37 3 1 172
Font, Wilmer 2018: 33 13 2 0 5 4 0 0 0 9 0 0 37
Font, Wilmer proj: 33 9 1 0 2 4 0 0 0 6 0 0 37
Gearrin, Cory 2018: 22 8 2 0 0 1 0 0 1 2 1 0 24
Gearrin, Cory proj: 21 5 1 0 0 2 0 0 1 5 1 0 24
Gossett, Daniel 2018: 93 25 6 0 5 8 0 0 1 12 2 0 102
Gossett, Daniel proj: 93 28 7 0 5 8 0 0 0 17 1 0 101
Graveman, Kendall 2018: 144 44 5 1 9 13 0 0 1 27 1 3 158
Graveman, Kendall proj: 145 40 7 1 5 11 1 0 1 24 2 1 158
Hatcher, Chris 2018: 142 39 4 0 5 17 0 0 1 30 0 1 160
Hatcher, Chris proj: 144 38 7 1 5 14 1 1 1 37 1 0 161
Hendriks, Liam 2018: 71 21 4 0 3 9 1 0 1 17 5 0 82
Hendriks, Liam proj: 75 21 4 1 2 5 1 0 1 17 2 0 82
Jackson, Edwin 2018: 304 67 18 0 11 29 0 2 1 59 2 6 336
Jackson, Edwin proj: 299 81 17 2 9 30 2 3 1 59 6 2 335
Kelley, Shawn 2018: 42 4 0 0 0 3 0 0 0 14 0 0 45
Kelley, Shawn proj: 41 9 2 0 2 3 0 0 0 12 0 0 44
Kiekhefer, Dean 2018: 5 4 0 0 1 0 0 1 0 0 0 0 6
Kiekhefer, Dean proj: 5 2 0 0 0 0 0 0 0 1 0 0 5
Lucas, Josh 2018: 56 16 5 0 1 9 0 0 1 14 1 0 66
Lucas, Josh proj: 56 15 3 1 2 9 0 0 1 14 1 1 66
Manaea, Sean 2018: 608 141 24 3 21 32 2 4 8 108 5 4 654
Manaea, Sean proj: 599 149 29 3 20 42 3 3 7 125 6 4 654
Mengden, Daniel 2018: 408 97 24 1 15 23 2 4 3 64 4 2 440
Mengden, Daniel proj: 401 101 22 2 14 30 2 3 3 77 2 3 439
Montas, Frankie 2018: 254 74 20 3 5 21 3 2 2 43 0 1 282
Montas, Frankie proj: 248 72 15 2 9 28 2 1 3 56 1 1 282
Pagan, Emilio 2018: 221 53 12 3 12 18 1 0 3 58 5 1 243
Pagan, Emilio proj: 224 51 9 2 11 14 2 1 2 63 4 1 243
Petit, Yusmeiro 2018: 326 73 15 1 13 18 5 1 0 72 7 3 350
Petit, Yusmeiro proj: 324 81 16 2 13 21 2 2 0 75 6 2 349
Ramirez, Carlos 2018: 18 2 0 0 0 4 1 0 1 2 1 0 24
Ramirez, Carlos proj: 20 2 1 0 1 3 0 0 1 5 1 0 24
Rodney, Fernando 2018: 62 16 4 0 2 7 0 0 1 17 2 1 70
Rodney, Fernando proj: 60 14 3 0 1 8 0 1 1 16 2 0 70
Smolinski, Jake 2018: 5 2 1 0 1 0 0 0 0 0 0 0 5
Smolinski, Jake proj: 5 2 1 0 1 0 0 0 0 0 0 0 5
Treinen, Blake 2018: 268 42 6 0 2 21 0 1 1 94 6 0 291
Treinen, Blake proj: 261 62 9 1 4 26 1 1 2 69 3 1 291
Triggs, Andrew 2018: 160 37 8 0 7 18 1 0 3 43 5 0 182
Triggs, Andrew proj: 165 42 7 1 5 13 1 1 3 38 5 1 183
Trivino, Lou 2018: 250 47 5 0 6 31 1 1 1 79 10 2 284
Trivino, Lou proj: 250 47 5 0 6 31 1 1 1 79 10 2 284
Wendelken, J.B. 2018: 38 6 2 0 1 4 0 0 0 10 0 0 42
Wendelken, J.B. proj: 37 10 1 0 2 5 0 0 0 9 0 0 42
2018 TEAM TOTALS: 5114 1214 246 17 169 440 26 23 48 1142 88 43 5651
PROJECTED: 5086 1273 247 23 161 457 30 27 48 1149 84 34 5648
difference: +28 -59 -1 -6 +8 -17 -4 -4 0 -7 +4 +9 +3
Man AB H 2B 3B HR BB SF SH HBP SO SB CS BFP


Assorted Team Stats:
Stat Actual Projected
Batting Average: .237 .250
Slugging Average: .391 .403
Walks (per PA): .078 .081
SOs (per PA): .202 .203
On-Base Average: .301 .315
Power Factor: 1.65 1.61
OPS: .692 .718
TPP Runs (to date): 600 642

Runs differential:
Actual TPP 42 less than Projected TPP.




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This page was last modified on Tuesday, 18 September 2018, at 7:06 am Pacific Time.