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PHI "Expected" Pitching Results, 2018


About These Stats:

The form of "projection" used is very simple: each man's career numbers are pro-rated by his actual number of batters faced to date this season; those data, labelled "proj:" are shown along with the man's actual stats from this year to date. At the bottom of the Table, each set of lines—"projected" and actual—is separately summed to get Team Totals for each dataset.

Note that "career to date" includes each man's stats for the current year: "to date" is literally correct. For veteran players, that matters little, but for rookies or players with litle prior major-league experience, it means that the "projection" will perforce nearly or exactly match the actual stats to date. That seems like the best way to deal with newly arrived players' stats.

Note that owing to rounding in the pro-rating process, projected total BFP (batters faced) may occasionally differ by 1.

Below the player/team table is a smaller table showing a few key team "rate" stats (such as batting average) actual and projected.

The Actual Data:

Through games of Sunday, 30 September 2018.
All results are from true, unadjusted data.

Handedness Key:   + R   * L

(You can also look up the stat definitions.)

Pitchers, listed in alphabetical order:
Each name is a click-on link to that man's career stats.

(or see the data for Batting)


Man AB H 2B 3B HR BB SF SH HBP SO SB CS BFP
Anderson, Drew 2018: 55 17 7 0 0 2 0 0 2 11 3 0 59
Anderson, Drew 2018: 55 17 7 0 0 2 0 0 2 11 3 0 59
Anderson, Drew proj: 54 19 7 0 0 2 1 0 2 11 4 0 59
Anderson, Drew proj: 55 17 7 0 0 2 0 0 2 11 3 0 59
Arano, Victor 2018: 226 54 10 2 6 17 2 0 1 60 5 2 246
Arano, Victor proj: 226 51 9 3 5 18 2 0 1 62 5 2 247
Arrieta, Jake 2018: 651 165 34 1 21 57 8 1 7 138 15 6 724
Arrieta, Jake proj: 650 147 30 3 17 61 4 3 7 159 19 4 725
Avilan, Luis 2018: 21 4 2 0 1 4 0 0 0 5 1 0 25
Avilan, Luis proj: 22 5 1 0 0 2 0 0 0 5 0 0 24
Curtis, Zac 2018: 32 6 1 0 0 10 1 0 1 10 0 0 44
Curtis, Zac proj: 33 7 2 0 1 8 1 0 1 8 0 0 43
Davis, Austin 2018: 132 35 13 2 4 12 4 1 2 38 5 0 151
Davis, Austin proj: 132 35 13 2 4 12 4 1 2 38 5 0 151
De Los Santos, Enyel 2018: 70 19 5 2 2 8 1 1 1 15 0 1 81
De Los Santos, Enyel proj: 70 19 5 2 2 8 1 1 1 15 0 1 81
Dominguez, Seranthony 2018: 204 32 7 0 4 22 1 0 4 74 1 0 231
Dominguez, Seranthony proj: 204 32 7 0 4 22 1 0 4 74 1 0 231
Eflin, Zach 2018: 499 130 34 2 16 37 4 5 3 123 10 3 548
Eflin, Zach proj: 500 137 32 3 22 33 6 4 4 94 9 3 547
Eickhoff, Jerad 2018: 26 10 4 0 1 0 0 0 0 11 0 0 26
Eickhoff, Jerad proj: 24 6 1 0 1 2 0 0 0 6 0 0 26
Florimon, Pedro 2018: 7 1 0 0 1 1 0 0 0 0 0 0 8
Florimon, Pedro proj: 7 1 0 0 1 1 0 0 0 0 0 0 8
Garcia, Luis 2018: 181 49 10 3 4 18 1 0 4 51 4 0 204
Garcia, Luis proj: 177 46 9 1 3 23 1 1 1 42 3 1 203
Hunter, Tommy 2018: 250 65 20 3 6 15 1 1 3 51 6 1 270
Hunter, Tommy proj: 251 66 12 1 9 15 1 1 2 44 4 2 270
Hutchison, Drew 2018: 77 21 2 1 4 13 2 1 1 19 0 0 94
Hutchison, Drew proj: 84 23 5 0 3 7 1 0 1 19 2 1 93
Kingery, Scott 2018: 8 4 2 0 0 0 0 0 0 0 0 0 8
Kingery, Scott proj: 8 4 2 0 0 0 0 0 0 0 0 0 8
Leiter Jr., Mark 2018: 74 22 5 0 5 8 1 0 1 13 2 0 84
Leiter Jr., Mark proj: 75 20 3 0 4 7 1 0 1 17 2 0 84
Lively, Ben 2018: 101 34 7 1 4 10 1 0 3 22 2 1 115
Lively, Ben proj: 103 29 8 1 4 9 1 0 2 18 1 1 115
Loup, Aaron 2018: 15 4 0 0 0 1 0 0 1 2 1 0 17
Loup, Aaron proj: 15 4 1 0 0 1 0 0 0 4 0 0 16
Milner, Hoby 2018: 21 6 0 0 1 3 0 0 1 4 0 0 25
Milner, Hoby proj: 21 6 1 0 1 3 0 0 1 4 0 0 25
Morgan, Adam 2018: 190 49 5 0 5 22 2 0 0 50 8 2 214
Morgan, Adam proj: 196 54 11 1 9 14 1 1 1 42 4 1 213
Neris, Hector 2018: 184 46 9 1 11 16 0 2 1 76 2 0 203
Neris, Hector proj: 182 42 8 1 7 16 1 1 3 61 3 0 203
Neshek, Pat 2018: 94 23 5 1 2 5 1 1 0 15 0 0 101
Neshek, Pat proj: 92 19 3 1 3 7 1 1 0 25 1 1 101
Nola, Aaron 2018: 756 149 31 2 17 58 4 6 7 224 16 5 831
Nola, Aaron proj: 761 176 31 4 20 55 3 5 6 213 17 4 830
Pivetta, Nick 2018: 625 163 25 2 24 51 5 8 5 188 6 7 694
Pivetta, Nick proj: 617 167 28 3 27 59 7 7 5 178 8 7 695
Quinn, Roman 2018: 11 6 2 0 1 2 0 0 1 0 0 0 14
Quinn, Roman proj: 11 6 2 0 1 2 0 0 1 0 0 0 14
Ramos, Edubray 2018: 156 34 1 1 4 15 1 1 1 42 3 2 174
Ramos, Edubray proj: 156 37 4 1 4 16 1 1 0 46 2 2 174
Rios, Yacksel 2018: 147 43 7 2 6 15 1 0 2 36 6 0 165
Rios, Yacksel proj: 146 40 6 2 7 17 1 1 1 37 4 0 166
Suarez, Ranger 2018: 62 21 2 1 3 6 0 1 0 11 0 0 69
Suarez, Ranger proj: 62 21 2 1 3 6 0 1 0 11 0 0 69
Thompson, Jake 2018: 61 14 6 0 1 11 1 3 0 14 1 0 76
Thompson, Jake proj: 64 17 4 0 3 9 1 1 1 12 1 0 76
Valentin, Jesmuel 2018: 5 2 1 0 1 2 0 0 0 1 0 0 7
Valentin, Jesmuel proj: 5 2 1 0 1 2 0 0 0 1 0 0 7
Velasquez, Vince 2018: 553 138 35 5 16 59 3 7 8 161 2 5 630
Velasquez, Vince proj: 557 143 31 4 21 58 4 7 5 160 4 6 631
2018 TEAM TOTALS: 5549 1383 299 32 171 502 45 39 62 1476 102 35 6197
PROJECTED: 5560 1398 286 34 187 497 45 37 55 1417 102 36 6194
difference: -11 -15 +13 -2 -16 +5 0 +2 +7 +59 0 -1 +3
Man AB H 2B 3B HR BB SF SH HBP SO SB CS BFP


Assorted Team Stats:
Stat Actual Projected
Batting Average: .249 .251
Slugging Average: .407 .416
Walks (per PA): .081 .080
SOs (per PA): .238 .229
On-Base Average: .314 .315
Power Factor: 1.63 1.65
OPS: .721 .731
TPP Runs (to date): 706 724

Runs differential:
Actual TPP 18 less than Projected TPP.




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This page was last modified on Monday, 1 October 2018, at 7:06 am Pacific Time.