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PHI "Expected" Pitching Results, 2019


About These Stats:

The form of "projection" used is very simple: each man's career numbers are pro-rated by his actual number of batters faced to date this season; those data, labelled "proj:" are shown along with the man's actual stats from this year to date. At the bottom of the Table, each set of lines—"projected" and actual—is separately summed to get Team Totals for each dataset.

Note that "career to date" includes each man's stats for the current year: "to date" is literally correct. For veteran players, that matters little, but for rookies or players with litle prior major-league experience, it means that the "projection" will perforce nearly or exactly match the actual stats to date. That seems like the best way to deal with newly arrived players' stats.

Note that owing to rounding in the pro-rating process, projected total BFP (batters faced) may occasionally differ by 1.

Below the player/team table is a smaller table showing a few key team "rate" stats (such as batting average) actual and projected.

The Actual Data:

Through games of Saturday, 25 May 2019.
All results are from true, unadjusted data.

Handedness Key:   + R   * L

(You can also look up the stat definitions.)

Pitchers, listed in alphabetical order:
Each name is a click-on link to that man's career stats.

(or see the data for Batting)


Man AB H 2B 3B HR BB SF SH HBP SO SB CS BFP
Altherr, Aaron 2019: 5 2 1 0 0 0 0 0 0 2 0 0 5
Altherr, Aaron proj: 5 2 1 0 0 0 0 0 0 2 0 0 5
Alvarez, Jose 2019: 81 24 4 0 4 6 1 0 1 15 0 2 89
Alvarez, Jose proj: 81 21 4 1 2 7 0 0 1 18 1 0 89
Anderson, Drew 2019: 24 6 0 0 1 6 0 0 0 6 0 0 30
Anderson, Drew 2019: 24 6 0 0 1 6 0 0 0 6 0 0 30
Anderson, Drew proj: 27 8 2 0 0 3 0 0 1 6 1 0 31
Anderson, Drew proj: 27 8 3 0 0 3 0 0 1 6 1 0 31
Arano, Victor 2019: 13 2 0 0 1 2 1 0 0 7 0 1 16
Arano, Victor proj: 15 3 1 0 0 1 0 0 0 4 0 0 16
Arrieta, Jake 2019: 258 65 5 1 9 26 2 2 3 59 7 3 291
Arrieta, Jake proj: 261 59 12 1 7 24 2 1 3 64 8 2 291
Davis, Austin 2019: 28 8 2 0 1 5 0 0 1 8 2 0 34
Davis, Austin proj: 29 8 3 0 1 3 1 0 1 8 1 0 34
De Los Santos, Enyel 2019: 20 5 0 0 2 0 0 0 0 5 0 0 20
De Los Santos, Enyel proj: 18 5 1 0 1 2 0 0 0 4 0 0 20
Dominguez, Seranthony 2019: 83 21 2 1 3 11 0 1 1 26 1 0 96
Dominguez, Seranthony proj: 84 16 3 0 2 10 0 0 1 29 1 0 95
Eflin, Zach 2019: 236 58 7 0 8 13 1 2 3 47 2 3 255
Eflin, Zach proj: 233 63 14 1 10 15 3 2 2 44 4 2 255
Eickhoff, Jerad 2019: 153 35 7 1 7 15 0 2 1 39 2 3 171
Eickhoff, Jerad proj: 155 40 9 1 6 12 2 1 1 37 3 1 171
Garcia, Edgar 2019: 34 10 0 0 1 7 1 1 0 8 1 1 43
Garcia, Edgar proj: 34 10 0 0 1 7 1 1 0 8 1 1 43
Irvin, Cole 2019: 70 17 4 0 3 5 0 0 1 13 0 0 76
Irvin, Cole proj: 70 17 4 0 3 5 0 0 1 13 0 0 76
Morgan, Adam 2019: 61 8 1 1 2 5 0 0 3 18 1 1 69
Morgan, Adam proj: 63 17 3 0 3 5 0 0 1 14 1 0 69
Neris, Hector 2019: 80 14 3 0 2 7 1 1 2 32 1 0 91
Neris, Hector proj: 82 18 4 0 3 7 0 0 1 28 1 0 90
Neshek, Pat 2019: 73 22 1 1 4 1 1 0 0 9 0 0 75
Neshek, Pat proj: 68 14 2 0 2 5 1 1 0 18 1 0 75
Nicasio, Juan 2019: 85 24 3 1 1 11 2 1 2 20 2 0 101
Nicasio, Juan proj: 91 24 6 1 3 8 1 1 1 21 1 1 102
Nola, Aaron 2019: 225 64 10 2 9 25 1 1 3 66 3 4 255
Nola, Aaron proj: 233 55 10 1 6 18 1 1 2 66 5 1 255
Pivetta, Nick 2019: 81 31 4 2 5 8 2 1 1 16 1 0 93
Pivetta, Nick proj: 83 23 4 0 4 8 1 1 1 23 1 1 94
Ramos, Edubray 2019: 38 12 1 0 1 4 0 0 1 7 0 1 43
Ramos, Edubray proj: 39 9 1 0 1 4 0 0 0 11 0 1 43
Robertson, David 2019: 27 8 1 0 1 6 0 0 0 6 0 0 33
Robertson, David proj: 29 6 1 0 1 3 0 0 0 11 1 0 32
Velasquez, Vince 2019: 121 27 7 1 7 16 0 0 1 36 1 1 138
Velasquez, Vince proj: 122 31 7 1 5 13 1 1 1 35 1 1 138
2019 TEAM TOTALS: 1820 469 63 11 73 185 13 12 24 451 24 20 2054
PROJECTED: 1849 457 95 7 61 163 14 10 19 470 33 11 2055
difference: -29 +12 -32 +4 +12 +22 -1 +2 +5 -19 -9 +9 -1
Man AB H 2B 3B HR BB SF SH HBP SO SB CS BFP


Assorted Team Stats:
Stat Actual Projected
Batting Average: .258 .247
Slugging Average: .425 .405
Walks (per PA): .090 .079
SOs (per PA): .220 .229
On-Base Average: .330 .311
Power Factor: 1.65 1.64
OPS: .755 .716
TPP Runs (to date): 255 232

Runs differential:
Actual TPP 23 more than Projected TPP.




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This page was last modified on Sunday, 26 May 2019, at 6:55 am Pacific Time.