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PHI "Expected" Pitching Results, 2017


About These Stats:

The form of "projection" used is very simple: each man's career numbers are pro-rated by his actual number of batters faced to date this season; those data, labelled "proj:" are shown along with the man's actual stats from this year to date. At the bottom of the Table, each set of lines—"projected" and actual—is separately summed to get Team Totals for each dataset.

Note that "career to date" includes each man's stats for the current year: "to date" is literally correct. For veteran players, that matters little, but for rookies or players with litle prior major-league experience, it means that the "projection" will perforce nearly or exactly match the actual stats to date. That seems like the best way to deal with newly arrived players' stats.

Note that owing to rounding in the pro-rating process, projected total BFP (batters faced) may occasionally differ by 1.

Below the player/team table is a smaller table showing a few key team "rate" stats (such as batting average) actual and projected.

The Actual Data:

Through games of Monday, 22 May 2017.
All results are from true, unadjusted data.

Handedness Key:   + R   * L

(You can also look up the stat definitions.)

Pitchers, listed in alphabetical order:
Each name is a click-on link to that man's career stats.

(or see the data for Batting)


Man AB H 2B 3B HR BB SF SH HBP SO SB CS BFP
Benoit, Joaquin 2017: 62 10 2 0 2 12 0 0 0 16 1 0 74
Benoit, Joaquin proj: 65 14 3 0 2 7 1 0 1 17 1 0 74
Buchholz, Clay 2017: 35 16 5 0 1 3 2 0 0 5 0 0 40
Buchholz, Clay proj: 36 9 2 0 1 3 0 0 0 7 0 0 39
Eflin, Zach 2017: 138 39 8 0 4 6 5 1 5 18 1 0 155
Eflin, Zach proj: 140 38 9 1 6 8 3 1 2 18 3 1 154
Eickhoff, Jerad 2017: 206 56 13 0 6 18 3 1 0 47 3 0 228
Eickhoff, Jerad proj: 209 52 12 2 8 13 3 1 1 48 2 1 227
Garcia, Luis 2017: 45 13 2 0 2 4 0 0 0 5 1 0 49
Garcia, Luis proj: 42 11 2 0 1 7 0 0 0 9 1 0 49
Gomez, Jeanmar 2017: 45 15 2 0 4 5 0 2 0 11 0 0 52
Gomez, Jeanmar proj: 47 13 3 0 1 4 1 0 0 7 1 0 52
Hellickson, Jeremy 2017: 186 42 7 2 9 9 1 3 3 20 1 1 202
Hellickson, Jeremy proj: 184 45 10 1 6 14 1 1 1 36 2 1 201
Leiter Jr., Mark 2017: 37 5 0 1 1 9 0 1 0 6 2 0 47
Leiter Jr., Mark proj: 37 5 0 1 1 9 0 1 0 6 2 0 47
Morgan, Adam 2017: 29 11 2 0 6 2 0 0 0 8 1 0 31
Morgan, Adam proj: 29 8 2 0 1 2 0 0 0 5 0 0 31
Neris, Hector 2017: 76 19 1 0 4 5 0 0 2 18 0 0 83
Neris, Hector proj: 75 16 3 0 3 6 0 0 1 23 1 0 82
Neshek, Pat 2017: 59 11 1 0 1 3 0 1 0 14 0 0 63
Neshek, Pat proj: 57 11 2 0 2 5 1 1 0 15 1 0 64
Nola, Aaron 2017: 87 24 3 0 1 8 0 0 1 20 3 0 96
Nola, Aaron proj: 88 23 3 1 2 6 1 1 1 22 1 0 97
Pivetta, Nick 2017: 80 26 9 0 5 9 0 0 1 21 0 2 90
Pivetta, Nick proj: 80 26 9 0 5 9 0 0 1 21 0 2 90
Ramos, Edubray 2017: 75 21 2 1 3 11 1 0 0 23 0 1 87
Ramos, Edubray proj: 79 20 3 0 3 8 0 0 0 22 1 1 87
Rodriguez, Joely 2017: 91 29 7 0 4 11 0 1 3 13 0 0 106
Rodriguez, Joely proj: 91 27 6 0 3 11 0 1 3 15 1 0 106
Thompson, Jake 2017: 19 6 0 1 1 4 2 0 0 3 0 0 25
Thompson, Jake proj: 21 6 1 0 1 3 0 0 0 3 0 0 24
Velasquez, Vince 2017: 167 42 8 1 9 20 2 0 2 45 1 1 191
Velasquez, Vince proj: 170 43 9 1 7 17 1 2 1 50 2 2 191
2017 TEAM TOTALS: 1437 385 72 6 63 139 16 10 17 293 14 5 1619
PROJECTED: 1450 367 79 7 53 132 12 9 12 324 19 8 1615
difference: -13 +18 -7 -1 +10 +7 +4 +1 +5 -31 -5 -3 +4
Man AB H 2B 3B HR BB SF SH HBP SO SB CS BFP


Assorted Team Stats:
Stat Actual Projected
Batting Average: .268 .253
Slugging Average: .458 .427
Walks (per PA): .086 .082
SOs (per PA): .181 .200
On-Base Average: .334 .316
Power Factor: 1.71 1.69
OPS: .792 .743
TPP Runs (to date): 217 193

Runs differential:
Actual TPP 24 more than Projected TPP.




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This page was last modified on Tuesday, 23 May 2017, at 6:59 am Pacific Time.