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PHI "Expected" Pitching Results, 2019


About These Stats:

The form of "projection" used is very simple: each man's career numbers are pro-rated by his actual number of batters faced to date this season; those data, labelled "proj:" are shown along with the man's actual stats from this year to date. At the bottom of the Table, each set of lines—"projected" and actual—is separately summed to get Team Totals for each dataset.

Note that "career to date" includes each man's stats for the current year: "to date" is literally correct. For veteran players, that matters little, but for rookies or players with litle prior major-league experience, it means that the "projection" will perforce nearly or exactly match the actual stats to date. That seems like the best way to deal with newly arrived players' stats.

Note that owing to rounding in the pro-rating process, projected total BFP (batters faced) may occasionally differ by 1.

Below the player/team table is a smaller table showing a few key team "rate" stats (such as batting average) actual and projected.

The Actual Data:

Through games of Monday, 30 September 2019.
All results are from true, unadjusted data.

Handedness Key:   + R   * L

(You can also look up the stat definitions.)

Pitchers, listed in alphabetical order:
Each name is a click-on link to that man's career stats.

(or see the data for Batting)


Man AB H 2B 3B HR BB SF SH HBP SO SB CS BFP
Altherr, Aaron 2019: 5 2 1 0 0 0 0 0 0 2 0 0 5
Altherr, Aaron proj: 5 2 1 0 0 0 0 0 0 2 0 0 5
Alvarez, Jose 2019: 232 66 10 0 8 18 3 1 1 51 0 3 255
Alvarez, Jose proj: 232 60 11 1 6 19 1 1 2 53 2 1 255
Anderson, Drew 2019: 24 6 0 0 1 6 0 0 0 6 0 0 30
Anderson, Drew 2019: 24 6 0 0 1 6 0 0 0 6 0 0 30
Anderson, Drew proj: 27 8 2 0 0 3 0 0 1 6 1 0 31
Anderson, Drew proj: 27 8 3 0 0 3 0 0 1 6 1 0 31
Arano, Victor 2019: 13 2 0 0 1 2 1 0 0 7 0 1 16
Arano, Victor proj: 15 3 1 0 0 1 0 0 0 4 0 0 16
Arrieta, Jake 2019: 527 149 22 1 21 51 4 5 7 110 12 6 594
Arrieta, Jake proj: 533 124 25 2 15 50 3 3 6 128 15 4 595
Davis, Austin 2019: 81 22 3 0 6 14 0 0 3 24 3 0 98
Davis, Austin proj: 84 22 6 1 4 10 2 0 2 24 3 0 98
De Los Santos, Enyel 2019: 41 13 0 0 4 5 0 0 0 9 0 0 46
De Los Santos, Enyel proj: 40 12 2 1 2 5 0 0 0 9 0 0 45
Dominguez, Seranthony 2019: 96 24 2 1 3 12 0 1 1 29 1 1 110
Dominguez, Seranthony proj: 97 18 3 0 2 11 0 0 2 33 1 0 110
Eflin, Zach 2019: 642 172 34 0 28 48 3 6 6 129 9 4 705
Eflin, Zach proj: 643 175 39 2 28 45 6 5 6 124 11 4 705
Eickhoff, Jerad 2019: 222 58 11 1 18 18 0 3 2 51 3 3 245
Eickhoff, Jerad proj: 222 58 13 1 9 17 3 2 2 52 4 2 246
Garcia, Edgar 2019: 143 38 5 0 11 26 2 1 0 45 1 2 172
Garcia, Edgar proj: 143 38 5 0 11 26 2 1 0 45 1 2 172
Hammer, JD 2019: 69 15 3 1 2 12 0 0 0 13 1 0 81
Hammer, JD proj: 69 15 3 1 2 12 0 0 0 13 1 0 81
Hughes, Jared 2019: 81 16 3 0 7 8 0 1 0 20 0 1 90
Hughes, Jared proj: 79 19 4 1 2 7 1 1 1 15 3 1 89
Hunter, Tommy 2019: 18 2 0 0 0 0 0 0 0 5 0 0 18
Hunter, Tommy proj: 17 4 1 0 1 1 0 0 0 3 0 0 18
Irvin, Cole 2019: 162 45 8 0 7 13 2 1 3 31 0 0 181
Irvin, Cole proj: 162 45 8 0 7 13 2 1 3 31 0 0 181
Morgan, Adam 2019: 107 20 3 1 4 10 0 0 3 29 1 2 120
Morgan, Adam proj: 110 29 6 1 5 8 1 0 1 24 2 1 120
Morin, Mike 2019: 105 26 5 0 3 8 1 2 2 15 0 2 118
Morin, Mike proj: 107 27 5 0 3 7 1 1 1 24 1 1 117
Neris, Hector 2019: 242 45 7 0 10 24 2 1 6 89 2 2 275
Neris, Hector proj: 246 54 10 1 10 22 1 1 4 84 3 1 274
Neshek, Pat 2019: 76 23 1 1 5 2 1 0 0 9 0 0 79
Neshek, Pat proj: 72 15 3 0 2 5 1 1 0 19 1 0 79
Nicasio, Juan 2019: 191 57 13 1 4 21 2 1 2 45 5 1 217
Nicasio, Juan proj: 195 53 12 2 6 18 1 2 2 46 3 1 218
Nola, Aaron 2019: 755 176 34 3 27 80 2 4 11 229 7 8 852
Nola, Aaron proj: 774 179 33 4 22 63 3 5 8 222 14 5 853
Parker, Blake 2019: 88 19 1 0 6 6 1 2 1 31 1 3 98
Parker, Blake proj: 89 20 4 0 4 7 1 0 1 27 2 1 98
Pivetta, Nick 2019: 370 103 18 5 20 39 4 4 4 89 6 1 421
Pivetta, Nick proj: 373 102 17 2 17 36 4 4 3 103 5 3 420
Quinn, Roman 2019: 16 7 1 0 0 3 0 0 0 1 0 0 19
Quinn, Roman proj: 16 7 2 0 1 3 0 0 1 1 0 0 20
Ramos, Edubray 2019: 61 19 2 1 5 7 0 0 1 11 0 1 69
Ramos, Edubray proj: 62 15 2 1 2 6 0 0 0 18 1 1 68
Rios, Yacksel 2019: 13 6 2 0 2 3 1 1 1 2 0 0 19
Rios, Yacksel proj: 16 5 1 0 1 2 0 0 0 4 0 0 18
Robertson, David 2019: 27 8 1 0 1 6 0 0 0 6 0 0 33
Robertson, David proj: 29 6 1 0 1 3 0 0 0 11 1 0 32
Rodriguez, Sean 2019: 4 0 0 0 0 0 0 0 0 1 0 0 4
Rodriguez, Sean proj: 4 0 0 0 0 0 0 0 0 1 0 0 4
Salas, Fernando 2019: 15 8 1 0 1 0 0 0 0 3 0 0 15
Salas, Fernando proj: 14 3 1 0 0 1 0 0 0 3 0 0 15
Smyly, Drew 2019: 239 62 12 3 13 21 0 2 1 68 5 3 263
Smyly, Drew proj: 239 60 13 1 10 20 2 1 1 62 6 3 263
Suarez, Ranger 2019: 187 52 8 0 6 12 2 3 1 42 0 2 205
Suarez, Ranger proj: 186 55 7 1 7 13 1 3 1 40 0 1 204
Vargas, Jason 2019: 211 60 14 0 7 24 5 4 5 43 5 2 249
Vargas, Jason proj: 226 59 12 1 8 18 2 1 2 41 4 1 249
Velasquez, Vince 2019: 458 120 22 4 26 43 3 3 9 130 4 2 516
Velasquez, Vince proj: 456 118 25 3 19 46 3 5 5 131 3 4 515
Vincent, Nick 2019: 50 11 2 0 1 4 1 0 1 17 0 0 56
Vincent, Nick proj: 51 12 2 0 1 3 0 1 0 14 0 0 55
2019 TEAM TOTALS: 5595 1458 249 23 259 552 40 46 71 1398 66 50 6304
PROJECTED: 5660 1430 283 27 208 504 41 39 56 1423 89 37 6300
difference: -65 +28 -34 -4 +51 +48 -1 +7 +15 -25 -23 +13 +4
Man AB H 2B 3B HR BB SF SH HBP SO SB CS BFP


Assorted Team Stats:
Stat Actual Projected
Batting Average: .261 .253
Slugging Average: .452 .422
Walks (per PA): .088 .080
SOs (per PA): .222 .226
On-Base Average: .330 .316
Power Factor: 1.74 1.67
OPS: .782 .738
TPP Runs (to date): 824 748

Runs differential:
Actual TPP 76 more than Projected TPP.




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This page was last modified on Tuesday, 1 October 2019, at 7:36 am Pacific Time.