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Baseball team and player performance examined realistically and accurately.

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PHI "Expected" Pitching Results, 2017


About These Stats:

The form of "projection" used is very simple: each man's career numbers are pro-rated by his actual number of batters faced to date this season; those data, labelled "proj:" are shown along with the man's actual stats from this year to date. At the bottom of the Table, each set of lines—"projected" and actual—is separately summed to get Team Totals for each dataset.

Note that "career to date" includes each man's stats for the current year: "to date" is literally correct. For veteran players, that matters little, but for rookies or players with litle prior major-league experience, it means that the "projection" will perforce nearly or exactly match the actual stats to date. That seems like the best way to deal with newly arrived players' stats.

Note that owing to rounding in the pro-rating process, projected total BFP (batters faced) may occasionally differ by 1.

Below the player/team table is a smaller table showing a few key team "rate" stats (such as batting average) actual and projected.

The Actual Data:

Through games of Friday, 18 August 2017.
All results are from true, unadjusted data.

Handedness Key:   + R   * L

(You can also look up the stat definitions.)

Pitchers, listed in alphabetical order:
Each name is a click-on link to that man's career stats.

(or see the data for Batting)


Man AB H 2B 3B HR BB SF SH HBP SO SB CS BFP
Anderson, Drew 2017: 4 2 0 0 0 0 1 0 0 1 2 0 5
Anderson, Drew proj: 4 2 0 0 0 0 1 0 0 1 2 0 5
Beato, Pedro 2017: 2 0 0 0 0 0 0 0 0 1 0 0 2
Beato, Pedro proj: 2 0 0 0 0 0 0 0 0 0 0 0 2
Benoit, Joaquin 2017: 155 32 8 1 5 16 0 0 0 43 2 1 171
Benoit, Joaquin proj: 151 34 6 1 5 17 2 1 1 40 2 1 172
Blanco, Andres 2017: 2 1 0 0 1 0 0 0 0 0 0 0 2
Blanco, Andres proj: 2 1 0 0 1 0 0 0 0 0 0 0 2
Buchholz, Clay 2017: 35 16 5 0 1 3 2 0 0 5 0 0 40
Buchholz, Clay proj: 36 9 2 0 1 3 0 0 0 7 0 0 39
Eflin, Zach 2017: 256 79 14 0 16 12 5 2 5 35 1 1 280
Eflin, Zach proj: 256 74 16 2 14 15 5 2 3 33 4 2 281
Eickhoff, Jerad 2017: 455 123 32 0 13 47 9 2 4 106 14 3 517
Eickhoff, Jerad proj: 469 118 28 3 16 34 7 3 4 109 8 3 517
Fien, Casey 2017: 30 14 3 0 2 2 0 1 0 4 0 0 33
Fien, Casey proj: 31 8 1 0 1 2 0 0 0 7 0 0 33
Garcia, Luis 2017: 192 44 8 0 3 20 1 1 0 40 2 0 214
Garcia, Luis proj: 184 48 10 1 4 27 1 1 1 41 3 1 214
Gomez, Jeanmar 2017: 89 31 4 0 7 7 0 2 2 21 0 0 100
Gomez, Jeanmar proj: 90 25 5 0 3 8 1 1 1 14 2 1 101
Hellickson, Jeremy 2017: 426 111 28 3 22 30 5 5 6 65 4 3 472
Hellickson, Jeremy proj: 429 107 24 3 16 34 3 2 4 83 5 2 472
Leiter Jr., Mark 2017: 195 45 7 2 10 22 1 1 5 46 5 1 224
Leiter Jr., Mark proj: 195 45 7 2 10 22 1 1 5 46 5 1 224
Lively, Ben 2017: 162 46 13 2 4 13 2 2 2 17 1 1 181
Lively, Ben proj: 162 46 13 2 4 13 2 2 2 17 1 1 181
Milner, Hoby 2017: 63 18 3 0 2 7 1 0 2 9 0 0 73
Milner, Hoby proj: 63 18 3 0 2 7 1 0 2 9 0 0 73
Morgan, Adam 2017: 141 39 7 2 9 12 0 0 0 40 6 0 153
Morgan, Adam proj: 141 41 9 1 7 9 1 1 1 28 3 1 153
Neris, Hector 2017: 211 53 8 0 6 20 2 1 3 59 2 1 237
Neris, Hector proj: 212 48 9 0 7 19 1 1 3 65 3 1 236
Neshek, Pat 2017: 141 28 5 0 2 5 1 1 0 45 2 1 148
Neshek, Pat proj: 134 27 5 1 4 11 2 1 1 37 1 1 149
Nola, Aaron 2017: 469 109 21 1 11 38 0 1 1 128 14 1 509
Nola, Aaron proj: 467 116 19 3 12 33 2 3 3 123 9 2 508
Pinto, Ricardo 2017: 81 25 2 0 4 14 2 2 1 17 1 1 100
Pinto, Ricardo proj: 81 25 2 0 4 14 2 2 1 17 1 1 100
Pivetta, Nick 2017: 358 98 21 3 19 40 4 3 3 99 7 3 408
Pivetta, Nick proj: 358 98 21 3 19 40 4 3 3 99 7 3 408
Ramos, Edubray 2017: 151 42 4 2 3 22 1 1 0 47 1 2 175
Ramos, Edubray proj: 156 41 6 1 4 17 1 1 0 45 2 3 175
Rodriguez, Joely 2017: 114 37 9 0 4 15 0 1 4 18 0 0 134
Rodriguez, Joely proj: 115 35 8 0 3 15 0 1 4 19 1 0 135
Therrien, Jesen 2017: 34 9 2 0 2 1 0 0 0 8 0 0 35
Therrien, Jesen proj: 34 9 2 0 2 1 0 0 0 8 0 0 35
Thompson, Jake 2017: 60 20 3 1 4 7 2 0 1 10 1 0 70
Thompson, Jake proj: 59 17 3 1 3 8 1 0 1 10 0 0 69
Velasquez, Vince 2017: 274 74 15 1 15 34 2 2 3 68 1 4 315
Velasquez, Vince proj: 279 73 15 1 12 29 2 3 2 80 3 3 315
2017 TEAM TOTALS: 4100 1096 222 18 165 387 41 28 42 932 66 23 4598
PROJECTED: 4110 1065 214 25 154 378 40 29 42 938 62 27 4599
difference: -10 +31 +8 -7 +11 +9 +1 -1 0 -6 +4 -4 -1
Man AB H 2B 3B HR BB SF SH HBP SO SB CS BFP


Assorted Team Stats:
Stat Actual Projected
Batting Average: .267 .259
Slugging Average: .451 .436
Walks (per PA): .084 .082
SOs (per PA): .203 .204
On-Base Average: .332 .323
Power Factor: 1.69 1.68
OPS: .783 .759
TPP Runs (to date): 604 570

Runs differential:
Actual TPP 34 more than Projected TPP.




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This page was last modified on Saturday, 19 August 2017, at 7:11 am Pacific Time.