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PHI "Expected" Pitching Results, 2017


About These Stats:

The form of "projection" used is very simple: each man's career numbers are pro-rated by his actual number of batters faced to date this season; those data, labelled "proj:" are shown along with the man's actual stats from this year to date. At the bottom of the Table, each set of lines—"projected" and actual—is separately summed to get Team Totals for each dataset.

Note that "career to date" includes each man's stats for the current year: "to date" is literally correct. For veteran players, that matters little, but for rookies or players with litle prior major-league experience, it means that the "projection" will perforce nearly or exactly match the actual stats to date. That seems like the best way to deal with newly arrived players' stats.

Note that owing to rounding in the pro-rating process, projected total BFP (batters faced) may occasionally differ by 1.

Below the player/team table is a smaller table showing a few key team "rate" stats (such as batting average) actual and projected.

The Actual Data:

Through games of Wednesday, 21 June 2017.
All results are from true, unadjusted data.

Handedness Key:   + R   * L

(You can also look up the stat definitions.)

Pitchers, listed in alphabetical order:
Each name is a click-on link to that man's career stats.

(or see the data for Batting)


Man AB H 2B 3B HR BB SF SH HBP SO SB CS BFP
Benoit, Joaquin 2017: 99 19 3 0 4 13 0 0 0 25 2 1 112
Benoit, Joaquin proj: 99 22 4 1 3 11 1 1 1 26 1 1 113
Blanco, Andres 2017: 2 1 0 0 1 0 0 0 0 0 0 0 2
Blanco, Andres proj: 2 1 0 0 1 0 0 0 0 0 0 0 2
Buchholz, Clay 2017: 35 16 5 0 1 3 2 0 0 5 0 0 40
Buchholz, Clay proj: 36 9 2 0 1 3 0 0 0 7 0 0 39
Eflin, Zach 2017: 185 58 9 0 11 9 5 2 5 25 1 1 206
Eflin, Zach proj: 187 54 11 2 10 11 4 1 3 24 3 1 206
Eickhoff, Jerad 2017: 308 86 23 0 9 30 5 1 1 65 6 1 345
Eickhoff, Jerad proj: 315 79 19 2 11 22 4 2 2 71 4 2 345
Fien, Casey 2017: 30 14 3 0 2 2 0 1 0 4 0 0 33
Fien, Casey proj: 31 8 1 0 1 2 0 0 0 7 0 0 33
Garcia, Luis 2017: 100 24 5 0 2 8 1 0 0 20 1 0 109
Garcia, Luis proj: 93 25 5 0 2 14 1 1 0 21 2 0 109
Gomez, Jeanmar 2017: 89 31 4 0 7 7 0 2 2 21 0 0 100
Gomez, Jeanmar proj: 90 25 5 0 3 8 1 1 1 14 2 1 101
Hellickson, Jeremy 2017: 320 85 17 3 16 25 5 5 6 38 1 2 361
Hellickson, Jeremy proj: 328 82 18 2 12 26 2 2 3 63 4 1 361
Leiter Jr., Mark 2017: 68 11 1 1 2 14 0 1 0 12 2 0 83
Leiter Jr., Mark proj: 68 11 1 1 2 14 0 1 0 12 2 0 83
Lively, Ben 2017: 100 29 9 0 3 8 1 1 2 11 1 1 112
Lively, Ben proj: 100 29 9 0 3 8 1 1 2 11 1 1 112
Morgan, Adam 2017: 59 21 4 0 7 4 0 0 0 15 1 0 63
Morgan, Adam proj: 58 17 4 0 3 3 0 0 1 11 1 0 62
Neris, Hector 2017: 119 30 3 0 5 11 0 0 2 34 0 0 132
Neris, Hector proj: 119 26 5 0 5 11 0 0 2 37 1 0 132
Neshek, Pat 2017: 95 18 3 0 1 4 1 1 0 25 0 1 101
Neshek, Pat proj: 91 18 3 1 3 8 1 1 1 25 1 1 102
Nola, Aaron 2017: 198 53 6 0 6 16 0 1 1 47 7 0 216
Nola, Aaron proj: 198 52 7 1 6 14 1 1 2 50 4 1 216
Pinto, Ricardo 2017: 10 6 0 0 1 3 1 1 0 2 0 0 15
Pinto, Ricardo proj: 10 6 0 0 1 3 1 1 0 2 0 0 15
Pivetta, Nick 2017: 162 44 12 1 7 19 0 1 1 46 0 2 183
Pivetta, Nick proj: 162 44 12 1 7 19 0 1 1 46 0 2 183
Ramos, Edubray 2017: 119 32 3 2 3 20 1 1 0 37 0 1 141
Ramos, Edubray proj: 125 32 5 1 4 15 0 1 0 36 1 2 141
Rodriguez, Joely 2017: 114 37 9 0 4 15 0 1 4 18 0 0 134
Rodriguez, Joely proj: 115 35 8 0 3 15 0 1 4 19 1 0 135
Thompson, Jake 2017: 19 6 0 1 1 4 2 0 0 3 0 0 25
Thompson, Jake proj: 21 6 1 0 1 3 0 0 0 3 0 0 24
Velasquez, Vince 2017: 194 52 10 1 11 21 2 1 2 53 1 2 220
Velasquez, Vince proj: 196 51 10 1 8 19 2 2 1 58 2 2 220
2017 TEAM TOTALS: 2425 673 129 9 104 236 26 20 26 506 23 12 2733
PROJECTED: 2444 632 130 13 90 229 19 18 24 543 30 15 2734
difference: -19 +41 -1 -4 +14 +7 +7 +2 +2 -37 -7 -3 -1
Man AB H 2B 3B HR BB SF SH HBP SO SB CS BFP


Assorted Team Stats:
Stat Actual Projected
Batting Average: .278 .259
Slugging Average: .467 .433
Walks (per PA): .086 .084
SOs (per PA): .185 .199
On-Base Average: .342 .324
Power Factor: 1.68 1.67
OPS: .809 .757
TPP Runs (to date): 378 336

Runs differential:
Actual TPP 42 more than Projected TPP.




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This page was last modified on Thursday, 22 June 2017, at 7:04 am Pacific Time.