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PHI "Expected" Pitching Results, 2017


About These Stats:

The form of "projection" used is very simple: each man's career numbers are pro-rated by his actual number of batters faced to date this season; those data, labelled "proj:" are shown along with the man's actual stats from this year to date. At the bottom of the Table, each set of lines—"projected" and actual—is separately summed to get Team Totals for each dataset.

Note that "career to date" includes each man's stats for the current year: "to date" is literally correct. For veteran players, that matters little, but for rookies or players with litle prior major-league experience, it means that the "projection" will perforce nearly or exactly match the actual stats to date. That seems like the best way to deal with newly arrived players' stats.

Note that owing to rounding in the pro-rating process, projected total BFP (batters faced) may occasionally differ by 1.

Below the player/team table is a smaller table showing a few key team "rate" stats (such as batting average) actual and projected.

The Actual Data:

Through games of Sunday, 23 July 2017.
All results are from true, unadjusted data.

Handedness Key:   + R   * L

(You can also look up the stat definitions.)

Pitchers, listed in alphabetical order:
Each name is a click-on link to that man's career stats.

(or see the data for Batting)


Man AB H 2B 3B HR BB SF SH HBP SO SB CS BFP
Benoit, Joaquin 2017: 147 31 7 1 5 16 0 0 0 40 2 1 163
Benoit, Joaquin proj: 144 32 6 1 5 16 1 1 1 39 2 1 163
Blanco, Andres 2017: 2 1 0 0 1 0 0 0 0 0 0 0 2
Blanco, Andres proj: 2 1 0 0 1 0 0 0 0 0 0 0 2
Buchholz, Clay 2017: 35 16 5 0 1 3 2 0 0 5 0 0 40
Buchholz, Clay proj: 36 9 2 0 1 3 0 0 0 7 0 0 39
Eflin, Zach 2017: 185 58 9 0 11 9 5 2 5 25 1 1 206
Eflin, Zach proj: 187 54 11 2 10 11 4 1 3 24 3 1 206
Eickhoff, Jerad 2017: 370 101 24 0 12 37 5 2 3 87 8 2 417
Eickhoff, Jerad proj: 380 96 22 3 14 27 5 2 3 88 5 3 417
Fien, Casey 2017: 30 14 3 0 2 2 0 1 0 4 0 0 33
Fien, Casey proj: 31 8 1 0 1 2 0 0 0 7 0 0 33
Garcia, Luis 2017: 146 30 7 0 2 13 1 0 0 31 1 0 160
Garcia, Luis proj: 138 35 8 1 3 20 1 1 0 31 2 1 160
Gomez, Jeanmar 2017: 89 31 4 0 7 7 0 2 2 21 0 0 100
Gomez, Jeanmar proj: 90 25 5 0 3 8 1 1 1 14 2 1 101
Hellickson, Jeremy 2017: 426 111 28 3 22 30 5 5 6 65 4 3 472
Hellickson, Jeremy proj: 429 107 24 3 16 34 3 2 4 83 5 2 472
Leiter Jr., Mark 2017: 134 29 4 2 6 19 1 1 2 28 3 0 157
Leiter Jr., Mark proj: 134 29 4 2 6 19 1 1 2 28 3 0 157
Lively, Ben 2017: 162 46 13 2 4 13 2 2 2 17 1 1 181
Lively, Ben proj: 162 46 13 2 4 13 2 2 2 17 1 1 181
Milner, Hoby 2017: 20 6 0 0 0 2 0 0 1 5 0 0 23
Milner, Hoby proj: 20 6 0 0 0 2 0 0 1 5 0 0 23
Morgan, Adam 2017: 99 29 6 1 8 9 0 0 0 27 4 0 108
Morgan, Adam proj: 100 29 7 0 5 6 1 0 1 19 2 1 108
Neris, Hector 2017: 163 39 5 0 5 13 2 0 2 46 0 0 180
Neris, Hector proj: 162 36 7 0 6 14 1 1 2 50 2 0 180
Neshek, Pat 2017: 141 28 5 0 2 5 1 1 0 45 2 1 148
Neshek, Pat proj: 133 27 4 1 4 11 1 1 1 37 1 1 147
Nola, Aaron 2017: 351 82 12 1 10 29 0 1 1 97 11 0 382
Nola, Aaron proj: 350 88 13 2 10 25 2 2 3 92 7 1 382
Pinto, Ricardo 2017: 47 11 0 0 2 8 1 1 0 11 1 1 57
Pinto, Ricardo proj: 47 11 0 0 2 8 1 1 0 11 1 1 57
Pivetta, Nick 2017: 264 69 16 1 16 32 1 1 2 71 0 2 300
Pivetta, Nick proj: 264 69 16 1 16 32 1 1 2 71 0 2 300
Ramos, Edubray 2017: 124 34 3 2 3 22 1 1 0 38 0 1 148
Ramos, Edubray proj: 131 34 5 1 4 16 0 1 0 37 1 2 148
Rodriguez, Joely 2017: 114 37 9 0 4 15 0 1 4 18 0 0 134
Rodriguez, Joely proj: 115 35 8 0 3 15 0 1 4 19 1 0 135
Thompson, Jake 2017: 19 6 0 1 1 4 2 0 0 3 0 0 25
Thompson, Jake proj: 21 6 1 0 1 3 0 0 0 3 0 0 24
Velasquez, Vince 2017: 214 56 10 1 12 22 2 1 2 57 1 4 241
Velasquez, Vince proj: 215 55 11 1 9 21 2 2 1 63 2 3 241
2017 TEAM TOTALS: 3282 865 170 15 136 310 31 22 32 741 39 17 3677
PROJECTED: 3291 838 168 20 124 306 27 21 31 745 40 21 3676
difference: -9 +27 +2 -5 +12 +4 +4 +1 +1 -4 -1 -4 +1
Man AB H 2B 3B HR BB SF SH HBP SO SB CS BFP


Assorted Team Stats:
Stat Actual Projected
Batting Average: .264 .255
Slugging Average: .449 .431
Walks (per PA): .084 .083
SOs (per PA): .202 .203
On-Base Average: .328 .320
Power Factor: 1.7 1.69
OPS: .777 .751
TPP Runs (to date): 475 446

Runs differential:
Actual TPP 29 more than Projected TPP.




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This page was last modified on Monday, 24 July 2017, at 7:05 am Pacific Time.