Owing to the screen size of your device, you may obtain a better viewing experience by rotating your device a quarter-turn (to get the so-called "panorama" screen view).
owlcroft logo
An Owlcroft Company web site
Click here to email us.

The Owlcroft Baseball-Analysis Site

Baseball team and player performance examined realistically and accurately.

Search this site, or just roll your cursor over the colored boxes below the pictures.

  Advertisement:


  Advertisement:


PHI "Expected" Pitching Results, 2017


About These Stats:

The form of "projection" used is very simple: each man's career numbers are pro-rated by his actual number of batters faced to date this season; those data, labelled "proj:" are shown along with the man's actual stats from this year to date. At the bottom of the Table, each set of lines—"projected" and actual—is separately summed to get Team Totals for each dataset.

Note that "career to date" includes each man's stats for the current year: "to date" is literally correct. For veteran players, that matters little, but for rookies or players with litle prior major-league experience, it means that the "projection" will perforce nearly or exactly match the actual stats to date. That seems like the best way to deal with newly arrived players' stats.

Note that owing to rounding in the pro-rating process, projected total BFP (batters faced) may occasionally differ by 1.

Below the player/team table is a smaller table showing a few key team "rate" stats (such as batting average) actual and projected.

The Actual Data:

Through games of Thursday, 27 April 2017.
All results are from true, unadjusted data.

Handedness Key:   + R   * L

(You can also look up the stat definitions.)

Pitchers, listed in alphabetical order:
Each name is a click-on link to that man's career stats.

(or see the data for Batting)


Man AB H 2B 3B HR BB SF SH HBP SO SB CS BFP
Benoit, Joaquin 2017: 35 4 0 0 1 4 0 0 0 10 0 0 39
Benoit, Joaquin proj: 34 8 1 0 1 4 0 0 0 9 0 0 38
Buchholz, Clay 2017: 35 16 5 0 1 3 2 0 0 5 0 0 40
Buchholz, Clay proj: 36 9 2 0 1 3 0 0 0 7 0 0 39
Eflin, Zach 2017: 42 6 1 0 1 3 0 0 1 7 1 0 46
Eflin, Zach proj: 42 11 3 1 2 3 1 0 0 5 1 0 46
Eickhoff, Jerad 2017: 90 18 7 0 3 8 1 0 0 25 2 0 99
Eickhoff, Jerad proj: 91 22 5 1 3 6 1 1 1 21 1 1 100
Garcia, Luis 2017: 13 1 0 0 0 2 0 0 0 2 0 0 15
Garcia, Luis proj: 13 3 1 0 0 2 0 0 0 3 0 0 15
Gomez, Jeanmar 2017: 28 10 2 0 3 3 0 1 0 6 0 0 32
Gomez, Jeanmar proj: 29 8 2 0 1 2 0 0 0 5 1 0 31
Hellickson, Jeremy 2017: 108 21 4 0 2 3 1 1 2 11 1 0 115
Hellickson, Jeremy proj: 105 26 6 1 4 8 1 1 1 20 1 0 116
Morgan, Adam 2017: 29 11 2 0 6 2 0 0 0 8 1 0 31
Morgan, Adam proj: 29 8 2 0 1 2 0 0 0 5 0 0 31
Neris, Hector 2017: 43 9 0 0 1 3 0 0 1 13 0 0 47
Neris, Hector proj: 42 9 2 0 2 4 0 0 1 13 1 0 47
Neshek, Pat 2017: 27 5 1 0 0 2 0 1 0 6 0 0 30
Neshek, Pat proj: 27 5 1 0 1 2 0 0 0 7 0 0 29
Nola, Aaron 2017: 63 20 3 0 1 6 0 0 0 15 2 0 69
Nola, Aaron proj: 63 17 2 0 2 4 0 0 1 16 1 0 68
Ramos, Edubray 2017: 33 9 1 1 2 4 0 0 0 13 0 0 37
Ramos, Edubray proj: 34 8 2 0 1 3 0 0 0 10 0 1 37
Rodriguez, Joely 2017: 46 12 3 0 3 4 0 0 1 9 0 0 51
Rodriguez, Joely proj: 45 11 2 0 2 5 0 0 1 9 1 0 51
Velasquez, Vince 2017: 81 21 4 1 5 12 1 0 1 22 1 1 95
Velasquez, Vince proj: 84 22 4 1 3 8 1 1 0 25 1 1 94
2017 TEAM TOTALS: 673 163 33 2 29 59 5 3 6 152 8 1 746
PROJECTED: 674 167 35 4 24 56 4 3 5 155 8 3 742
difference: -1 -4 -2 -2 +5 +3 +1 0 +1 -3 0 -2 +4
Man AB H 2B 3B HR BB SF SH HBP SO SB CS BFP


Assorted Team Stats:
Stat Actual Projected
Batting Average: .242 .248
Slugging Average: .426 .418
Walks (per PA): .079 .075
SOs (per PA): .204 .208
On-Base Average: .306 .307
Power Factor: 1.76 1.69
OPS: .732 .726
TPP Runs (to date): 88 85

Runs differential:
Actual TPP 3 more than Projected TPP.




  Advertisement:


  Advertisement:



Want detailed, careful, unhysterical analysis of the effects of "Performance-Enhancing Drugs" in baseball? Click here to visit the Steroids & Baseball web site.

All content copyright © 2002 - 2017 by The Owlcroft Company.

This web page is strictly compliant with the W3C (World Wide Web Consortium) Extensible HyperText Markup Language (XHTML) Protocol v1.0 (Transitional) and the W3C Cascading Style Sheets (CSS) Protocol v3 — because we care about interoperability. Click on the logos below to test us!



This page was last modified on Friday, 28 April 2017, at 6:56 am Pacific Time.