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Baseball team and player performance examined realistically and accurately.

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PHI "Expected" Pitching Results, 2019


About These Stats:

The form of "projection" used is very simple: each man's career numbers are pro-rated by his actual number of batters faced to date this season; those data, labelled "proj:" are shown along with the man's actual stats from this year to date. At the bottom of the Table, each set of lines—"projected" and actual—is separately summed to get Team Totals for each dataset.

Note that "career to date" includes each man's stats for the current year: "to date" is literally correct. For veteran players, that matters little, but for rookies or players with litle prior major-league experience, it means that the "projection" will perforce nearly or exactly match the actual stats to date. That seems like the best way to deal with newly arrived players' stats.

Note that owing to rounding in the pro-rating process, projected total BFP (batters faced) may occasionally differ by 1.

Below the player/team table is a smaller table showing a few key team "rate" stats (such as batting average) actual and projected.

The Actual Data:

Through games of Friday, 23 August 2019.
All results are from true, unadjusted data.

Handedness Key:   + R   * L

(You can also look up the stat definitions.)

Pitchers, listed in alphabetical order:
Each name is a click-on link to that man's career stats.

(or see the data for Batting)


Man AB H 2B 3B HR BB SF SH HBP SO SB CS BFP
Altherr, Aaron 2019: 5 2 1 0 0 0 0 0 0 2 0 0 5
Altherr, Aaron proj: 5 2 1 0 0 0 0 0 0 2 0 0 5
Alvarez, Jose 2019: 186 51 9 0 5 14 1 0 1 38 0 3 202
Alvarez, Jose proj: 184 47 9 1 5 15 1 1 2 42 1 1 203
Anderson, Drew 2019: 24 6 0 0 1 6 0 0 0 6 0 0 30
Anderson, Drew 2019: 24 6 0 0 1 6 0 0 0 6 0 0 30
Anderson, Drew proj: 27 8 2 0 0 3 0 0 1 6 1 0 31
Anderson, Drew proj: 27 8 3 0 0 3 0 0 1 6 1 0 31
Arano, Victor 2019: 13 2 0 0 1 2 1 0 0 7 0 1 16
Arano, Victor proj: 15 3 1 0 0 1 0 0 0 4 0 0 16
Arrieta, Jake 2019: 527 149 22 1 21 51 4 5 7 110 12 6 594
Arrieta, Jake proj: 533 124 25 2 15 50 3 3 6 128 15 4 595
Davis, Austin 2019: 48 15 2 0 4 11 0 0 3 14 3 0 62
Davis, Austin proj: 52 15 4 1 2 7 1 0 1 15 2 0 61
De Los Santos, Enyel 2019: 41 13 0 0 4 5 0 0 0 9 0 0 46
De Los Santos, Enyel proj: 40 12 2 1 2 5 0 0 0 9 0 0 45
Dominguez, Seranthony 2019: 96 24 2 1 3 12 0 1 1 29 1 1 110
Dominguez, Seranthony proj: 97 18 3 0 2 11 0 0 2 33 1 0 110
Eflin, Zach 2019: 487 135 32 0 21 36 3 5 5 101 8 3 536
Eflin, Zach proj: 488 135 32 2 21 33 5 4 5 95 9 3 535
Eickhoff, Jerad 2019: 222 58 11 1 18 18 0 3 2 51 3 3 245
Eickhoff, Jerad proj: 222 58 13 1 9 17 3 2 2 52 4 2 246
Garcia, Edgar 2019: 98 27 1 0 8 18 2 1 0 29 1 1 119
Garcia, Edgar proj: 98 27 1 0 8 18 2 1 0 29 1 1 119
Hammer, JD 2019: 69 15 3 1 2 12 0 0 0 13 1 0 81
Hammer, JD proj: 69 15 3 1 2 12 0 0 0 13 1 0 81
Hughes, Jared 2019: 18 6 1 0 3 1 0 0 0 1 0 0 19
Hughes, Jared proj: 17 4 1 0 0 2 0 0 0 3 1 0 19
Hunter, Tommy 2019: 18 2 0 0 0 0 0 0 0 5 0 0 18
Hunter, Tommy proj: 17 4 1 0 1 1 0 0 0 3 0 0 18
Irvin, Cole 2019: 120 37 7 0 7 10 2 1 3 24 0 0 136
Irvin, Cole proj: 120 37 7 0 7 10 2 1 3 24 0 0 136
Morgan, Adam 2019: 107 20 3 1 4 10 0 0 3 29 1 2 120
Morgan, Adam proj: 110 29 6 1 5 8 1 0 1 24 2 1 120
Morin, Mike 2019: 54 11 3 0 1 0 0 1 0 10 0 1 55
Morin, Mike proj: 50 13 3 0 1 3 1 0 1 12 0 0 55
Neris, Hector 2019: 193 35 7 0 8 17 1 1 6 72 1 1 218
Neris, Hector proj: 195 43 8 1 8 17 1 1 4 66 2 1 218
Neshek, Pat 2019: 76 23 1 1 5 2 1 0 0 9 0 0 79
Neshek, Pat proj: 72 15 3 0 2 5 1 1 0 19 1 0 79
Nicasio, Juan 2019: 185 55 13 1 4 20 2 1 2 43 5 0 210
Nicasio, Juan proj: 188 51 12 2 6 17 1 2 1 45 3 1 209
Nola, Aaron 2019: 604 138 25 2 22 61 1 1 9 180 6 6 676
Nola, Aaron proj: 616 142 25 3 18 49 2 3 6 175 12 4 676
Parker, Blake 2019: 34 6 0 0 2 1 0 0 0 14 0 1 35
Parker, Blake proj: 32 7 1 0 1 3 0 0 0 10 1 0 35
Pivetta, Nick 2019: 352 100 18 4 19 35 4 4 3 83 6 1 398
Pivetta, Nick proj: 354 97 17 2 16 34 4 4 3 98 5 3 399
Quinn, Roman 2019: 16 7 1 0 0 3 0 0 0 1 0 0 19
Quinn, Roman proj: 16 7 2 0 1 3 0 0 1 1 0 0 20
Ramos, Edubray 2019: 57 18 2 1 4 5 0 0 1 9 0 1 63
Ramos, Edubray proj: 57 14 2 0 2 6 0 0 0 16 1 1 63
Rios, Yacksel 2019: 13 6 2 0 2 3 1 1 1 2 0 0 19
Rios, Yacksel proj: 16 5 1 0 1 2 0 0 0 4 0 0 18
Robertson, David 2019: 27 8 1 0 1 6 0 0 0 6 0 0 33
Robertson, David proj: 29 6 1 0 1 3 0 0 0 11 1 0 32
Rodriguez, Sean 2019: 4 0 0 0 0 0 0 0 0 1 0 0 4
Rodriguez, Sean proj: 4 0 0 0 0 0 0 0 0 1 0 0 4
Salas, Fernando 2019: 15 8 1 0 1 0 0 0 0 3 0 0 15
Salas, Fernando proj: 14 3 1 0 0 1 0 0 0 3 0 0 15
Smyly, Drew 2019: 121 31 7 2 7 12 0 1 1 34 0 2 135
Smyly, Drew proj: 123 30 7 1 5 10 1 0 0 31 3 1 134
Suarez, Ranger 2019: 133 40 7 0 6 10 1 2 1 32 0 2 147
Suarez, Ranger proj: 133 42 6 1 6 11 1 2 1 29 0 1 148
Vargas, Jason 2019: 78 20 3 0 3 9 2 4 2 11 2 1 95
Vargas, Jason proj: 86 23 4 0 3 7 1 1 1 15 2 1 96
Velasquez, Vince 2019: 350 88 17 3 21 35 2 2 6 98 3 2 395
Velasquez, Vince proj: 349 89 19 2 15 36 2 4 4 100 3 3 395
2019 TEAM TOTALS: 4415 1162 202 19 209 431 28 34 57 1082 53 38 4965
PROJECTED: 4455 1133 226 22 165 403 33 30 46 1124 73 28 4967
difference: -40 +29 -24 -3 +44 +28 -5 +4 +11 -42 -20 +10 -2
Man AB H 2B 3B HR BB SF SH HBP SO SB CS BFP


Assorted Team Stats:
Stat Actual Projected
Batting Average: .263 .254
Slugging Average: .460 .426
Walks (per PA): .087 .081
SOs (per PA): .218 .226
On-Base Average: .332 .319
Power Factor: 1.75 1.68
OPS: .792 .745
TPP Runs (to date): 663 599

Runs differential:
Actual TPP 64 more than Projected TPP.




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This page was last modified on Saturday, 24 August 2019, at 7:02 am Pacific Time.