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PHI "Expected" Pitching Results, 2017


About These Stats:

The form of "projection" used is very simple: each man's career numbers are pro-rated by his actual number of batters faced to date this season; those data, labelled "proj:" are shown along with the man's actual stats from this year to date. At the bottom of the Table, each set of lines—"projected" and actual—is separately summed to get Team Totals for each dataset.

Note that "career to date" includes each man's stats for the current year: "to date" is literally correct. For veteran players, that matters little, but for rookies or players with litle prior major-league experience, it means that the "projection" will perforce nearly or exactly match the actual stats to date. That seems like the best way to deal with newly arrived players' stats.

Note that owing to rounding in the pro-rating process, projected total BFP (batters faced) may occasionally differ by 1.

Below the player/team table is a smaller table showing a few key team "rate" stats (such as batting average) actual and projected.

The Actual Data:

Through games of Sunday, 1 October 2017.
All results are from true, unadjusted data.

Handedness Key:   + R   * L

(You can also look up the stat definitions.)

Pitchers, listed in alphabetical order:
Each name is a click-on link to that man's career stats.

(or see the data for Batting)


Man AB H 2B 3B HR BB SF SH HBP SO SB CS BFP
Alvarez, Henderson 2017: 56 14 3 1 2 11 0 0 0 6 0 0 67
Alvarez, Henderson proj: 62 17 3 0 2 4 0 0 1 8 0 0 67
Anderson, Drew 2017: 12 6 2 0 0 1 1 0 0 2 2 0 14
Anderson, Drew proj: 12 6 2 0 0 1 1 0 0 2 2 0 14
Arano, Victor 2017: 38 6 1 1 0 4 0 0 0 13 1 0 42
Arano, Victor proj: 38 6 1 1 0 4 0 0 0 13 1 0 42
Beato, Pedro 2017: 2 0 0 0 0 0 0 0 0 1 0 0 2
Beato, Pedro proj: 2 0 0 0 0 0 0 0 0 0 0 0 2
Benoit, Joaquin 2017: 155 32 8 1 5 16 0 0 0 43 2 1 171
Benoit, Joaquin proj: 151 34 6 1 5 17 2 1 1 40 2 1 172
Blanco, Andres 2017: 2 1 0 0 1 0 0 0 0 0 0 0 2
Blanco, Andres proj: 2 1 0 0 1 0 0 0 0 0 0 0 2
Buchholz, Clay 2017: 35 16 5 0 1 3 2 0 0 5 0 0 40
Buchholz, Clay proj: 36 9 2 0 1 3 0 0 0 7 0 0 39
Curtis, Zac 2017: 12 3 2 0 0 2 0 1 0 4 0 0 15
Curtis, Zac proj: 12 3 1 0 0 2 0 0 1 2 0 0 15
Eflin, Zach 2017: 256 79 14 0 16 12 5 2 5 35 1 1 280
Eflin, Zach proj: 256 74 16 2 14 15 5 2 3 33 4 2 281
Eickhoff, Jerad 2017: 506 142 35 0 16 53 9 3 5 118 15 4 576
Eickhoff, Jerad proj: 522 134 31 3 18 39 7 3 5 121 9 4 576
Fien, Casey 2017: 30 14 3 0 2 2 0 1 0 4 0 0 33
Fien, Casey proj: 31 8 1 0 1 2 0 0 0 7 0 0 33
Garcia, Luis 2017: 266 61 9 0 3 26 2 1 0 60 5 0 295
Garcia, Luis proj: 255 65 13 1 5 36 2 2 1 58 5 1 296
Gomez, Jeanmar 2017: 89 31 4 0 7 7 0 2 2 21 0 0 100
Gomez, Jeanmar proj: 90 25 5 0 3 8 1 1 1 14 2 1 101
Hellickson, Jeremy 2017: 426 111 28 3 22 30 5 5 6 65 4 3 472
Hellickson, Jeremy proj: 429 107 24 2 16 34 3 2 4 82 5 2 472
Leiter Jr., Mark 2017: 354 90 15 2 18 31 2 1 7 84 10 2 395
Leiter Jr., Mark proj: 354 90 15 2 18 31 2 1 7 84 10 2 395
Lively, Ben 2017: 335 90 27 3 13 24 3 2 8 52 3 2 372
Lively, Ben proj: 335 90 27 3 13 24 3 2 8 52 3 2 372
Milner, Hoby 2017: 116 30 7 0 2 16 1 2 4 22 0 1 139
Milner, Hoby proj: 116 30 7 0 2 16 1 2 4 22 0 1 139
Morgan, Adam 2017: 211 51 7 2 10 18 0 0 0 63 7 0 229
Morgan, Adam proj: 212 59 13 1 10 13 1 1 2 44 4 1 229
Neris, Hector 2017: 285 68 10 1 9 26 2 1 6 86 4 1 320
Neris, Hector proj: 286 64 12 1 10 26 2 1 5 90 4 1 320
Neshek, Pat 2017: 141 28 5 0 2 5 1 1 0 45 2 1 148
Neshek, Pat proj: 134 27 5 1 4 10 1 1 1 37 1 1 147
Nicasio, Juan 2017: 4 0 0 0 0 0 0 0 0 1 0 0 4
Nicasio, Juan proj: 4 1 0 0 0 0 0 0 0 1 0 0 4
Nola, Aaron 2017: 640 154 29 4 18 49 0 2 2 184 21 2 693
Nola, Aaron proj: 637 160 26 5 18 45 2 4 5 173 14 3 693
Pinto, Ricardo 2017: 124 39 6 1 7 17 2 3 1 25 1 1 147
Pinto, Ricardo proj: 124 39 6 1 7 17 2 3 1 25 1 1 147
Pivetta, Nick 2017: 512 144 27 3 25 57 7 4 4 140 8 5 584
Pivetta, Nick proj: 512 144 27 3 25 57 7 4 4 140 8 5 584
Ramos, Edubray 2017: 225 57 7 3 4 28 1 2 0 75 2 2 256
Ramos, Edubray proj: 230 57 9 2 6 24 1 2 0 71 2 3 257
Rios, Yacksel 2017: 63 15 2 1 4 9 0 1 0 17 0 0 73
Rios, Yacksel proj: 63 15 2 1 4 9 0 1 0 17 0 0 73
Rodriguez, Joely 2017: 114 37 9 0 4 15 0 1 4 18 0 0 134
Rodriguez, Joely proj: 115 35 8 0 3 15 0 1 4 19 1 0 135
Siegrist, Kevin 2017: 19 4 2 0 1 2 0 0 0 7 0 0 21
Siegrist, Kevin proj: 18 4 1 0 1 2 0 0 0 6 0 0 20
Therrien, Jesen 2017: 78 24 4 0 5 7 0 0 1 10 0 0 86
Therrien, Jesen proj: 78 24 4 0 5 7 0 0 1 10 0 0 86
Thompson, Jake 2017: 181 50 10 1 9 22 2 0 5 35 2 0 210
Thompson, Jake proj: 179 48 10 1 9 23 2 1 4 31 1 0 209
Velasquez, Vince 2017: 274 74 15 1 15 34 2 2 3 68 1 4 315
Velasquez, Vince proj: 279 73 15 1 12 29 2 3 2 80 3 3 315
2017 TEAM TOTALS: 5561 1471 296 28 221 527 47 37 63 1309 91 30 6235
PROJECTED: 5574 1449 292 32 213 513 47 38 65 1289 82 34 6237
difference: -13 +22 +4 -4 +8 +14 0 -1 -2 +20 +9 -4 -2
Man AB H 2B 3B HR BB SF SH HBP SO SB CS BFP


Assorted Team Stats:
Stat Actual Projected
Batting Average: .265 .260
Slugging Average: .447 .438
Walks (per PA): .085 .082
SOs (per PA): .210 .207
On-Base Average: .331 .325
Power Factor: 1.69 1.69
OPS: .778 .763
TPP Runs (to date): 812 783

Runs differential:
Actual TPP 29 more than Projected TPP.




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This page was last modified on Monday, 2 October 2017, at 7:15 am Pacific Time.