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PIT "Expected" Pitching Results, 2019


About These Stats:

The form of "projection" used is very simple: each man's career numbers are pro-rated by his actual number of batters faced to date this season; those data, labelled "proj:" are shown along with the man's actual stats from this year to date. At the bottom of the Table, each set of lines—"projected" and actual—is separately summed to get Team Totals for each dataset.

Note that "career to date" includes each man's stats for the current year: "to date" is literally correct. For veteran players, that matters little, but for rookies or players with litle prior major-league experience, it means that the "projection" will perforce nearly or exactly match the actual stats to date. That seems like the best way to deal with newly arrived players' stats.

Note that owing to rounding in the pro-rating process, projected total BFP (batters faced) may occasionally differ by 1.

Below the player/team table is a smaller table showing a few key team "rate" stats (such as batting average) actual and projected.

The Actual Data:

Through games of Monday, 30 September 2019.
All results are from true, unadjusted data.

Handedness Key:   + R   * L

(You can also look up the stat definitions.)

Pitchers, listed in alphabetical order:
Each name is a click-on link to that man's career stats.

(or see the data for Batting)


Man AB H 2B 3B HR BB SF SH HBP SO SB CS BFP
Agrazal, Dario 2019: 290 82 13 2 15 18 1 2 10 41 5 3 321
Agrazal, Dario proj: 290 82 13 2 15 18 1 2 10 41 5 3 321
Archer, Chris 2019: 458 114 18 2 25 55 3 6 4 143 9 6 526
Archer, Chris proj: 475 114 21 1 15 42 3 2 4 136 8 3 526
Brault, Steven 2019: 442 117 29 1 15 53 0 3 7 100 11 1 505
Brault, Steven proj: 435 116 29 0 13 57 1 4 8 95 9 3 505
Burdi, Nick 2019: 37 11 2 1 1 3 0 0 0 17 0 0 40
Burdi, Nick proj: 36 11 2 1 2 4 0 0 0 15 0 0 40
Crick, Kyle 2019: 183 41 6 1 10 35 1 0 7 61 7 0 226
Crick, Kyle proj: 191 40 6 1 6 28 1 1 6 57 6 1 227
Davis, Rookie 2019: 40 12 4 0 3 8 1 2 0 10 0 0 51
Davis, Rookie proj: 43 15 4 0 3 6 1 1 0 9 1 0 51
DuRapau, Montana 2019: 79 27 6 1 4 9 0 0 2 22 0 1 90
DuRapau, Montana proj: 79 27 6 1 4 9 0 0 2 22 0 1 90
Escobar, Luis 2019: 22 10 2 0 1 4 1 1 1 2 2 0 29
Escobar, Luis proj: 22 10 2 0 1 4 1 1 1 2 2 0 29
Feliz, Michael 2019: 208 44 7 1 11 27 1 1 2 73 5 2 239
Feliz, Michael proj: 211 51 11 1 9 24 2 0 1 73 3 1 238
Hartlieb, Geoff 2019: 148 52 10 2 8 18 4 1 0 38 0 2 171
Hartlieb, Geoff proj: 148 52 10 2 8 18 4 1 0 38 0 2 171
Holmes, Clay 2019: 195 45 9 1 5 36 0 0 9 56 4 1 240
Holmes, Clay proj: 194 49 9 1 5 38 1 0 7 50 5 1 240
Jerez, Williams 2019: 16 5 2 0 1 3 0 0 0 5 0 0 19
Jerez, Williams proj: 16 5 1 0 1 3 0 0 0 4 0 0 19
Kela, Keone 2019: 107 19 9 0 3 11 0 0 1 33 0 0 119
Kela, Keone proj: 106 21 5 0 3 11 0 1 1 36 3 1 119
Keller, Mitch 2019: 207 72 17 3 6 16 2 1 1 65 2 3 227
Keller, Mitch proj: 207 72 17 3 6 16 2 1 1 65 2 3 227
Kingham, Nick 2019: 148 54 17 2 7 17 0 5 0 32 4 1 170
Kingham, Nick proj: 151 44 12 1 8 14 1 3 1 33 1 1 170
Liriano, Francisco 2019: 259 60 15 0 8 35 2 2 3 63 3 0 301
Liriano, Francisco proj: 263 64 12 1 7 32 2 2 2 70 5 2 301
Lyles, Jordan 2019: 325 88 23 4 16 33 1 1 1 90 2 1 361
Lyles, Jordan proj: 324 89 18 2 11 28 2 3 4 63 4 1 361
Lyons, Tyler 2019: 17 6 3 0 1 3 0 0 0 5 0 0 20
Lyons, Tyler proj: 18 4 1 0 1 2 0 0 0 5 0 0 20
Markel, Parker 2019: 67 16 5 0 3 13 0 0 2 21 0 0 82
Markel, Parker proj: 67 19 5 0 4 13 0 0 2 18 0 1 82
Marvel, James 2019: 74 25 9 0 4 6 0 2 2 9 0 0 84
Marvel, James proj: 74 25 9 0 4 6 0 2 2 9 0 0 84
McRae, Alex 2019: 113 36 6 0 9 16 0 0 3 19 1 0 132
McRae, Alex proj: 112 35 8 0 7 17 0 0 3 19 1 0 132
Musgrove, Joe 2019: 663 168 48 5 21 39 6 1 9 157 2 3 718
Musgrove, Joe proj: 661 171 40 5 22 40 5 3 9 153 2 2 718
Neverauskas, Dovydas 2019: 43 15 6 0 2 7 1 0 2 10 1 0 53
Neverauskas, Dovydas proj: 47 13 3 0 3 5 0 0 1 10 1 0 53
Osuna, Jose 2019: 9 3 0 0 1 0 0 0 0 0 0 0 9
Osuna, Jose proj: 9 3 0 0 1 0 0 0 0 0 0 0 9
Ramirez, Yefry 2019: 61 19 5 0 2 7 0 0 2 16 1 0 70
Ramirez, Yefry proj: 59 16 3 0 3 9 1 0 1 15 1 1 70
Rios, Yacksel 2019: 38 10 2 0 2 5 1 0 2 10 0 0 46
Rios, Yacksel proj: 40 11 2 0 2 5 0 0 1 10 1 0 46
Rodriguez, Richard 2019: 259 65 5 0 14 23 1 0 2 63 2 1 285
Rodriguez, Richard proj: 258 63 7 0 11 22 1 0 4 74 1 0 285
Shuck, JB 2019: 4 1 0 0 0 1 0 0 0 0 0 0 5
Shuck, JB proj: 4 1 1 0 0 1 0 0 0 0 0 0 5
Stallings, Jacob 2019: 3 0 0 0 0 0 0 0 0 0 0 0 3
Stallings, Jacob proj: 3 0 0 0 0 0 0 0 0 0 0 0 3
Stratton, Chris 2019: 185 50 14 0 7 15 0 0 0 47 2 1 200
Stratton, Chris proj: 178 50 10 2 6 19 2 1 0 38 1 1 200
Taillon, Jameson 2019: 147 34 9 2 4 8 1 0 2 30 3 1 158
Taillon, Jameson proj: 145 38 8 1 4 9 1 1 1 34 3 0 157
Vazquez, Felipe 2019: 218 43 9 1 5 13 1 0 4 90 1 0 236
Vazquez, Felipe proj: 215 44 9 0 4 18 1 0 3 70 2 1 237
Wang, Wei-Chung 2019: 16 5 1 0 0 3 0 0 0 2 0 0 19
Wang, Wei-Chung proj: 17 5 1 0 1 2 0 0 0 3 0 0 19
Williams, Trevor 2019: 571 162 40 5 27 44 8 6 7 113 4 2 636
Williams, Trevor proj: 570 147 34 3 19 49 5 6 6 114 4 4 636
2019 TEAM TOTALS: 5652 1511 351 34 241 584 36 34 85 1443 71 29 6391
PROJECTED: 5668 1507 319 28 209 569 38 35 81 1381 71 33 6391
difference: -16 +4 +32 +6 +32 +15 -2 -1 +4 +62 0 -4 0
Man AB H 2B 3B HR BB SF SH HBP SO SB CS BFP


Assorted Team Stats:
Stat Actual Projected
Batting Average: .267 .266
Slugging Average: .469 .443
Walks (per PA): .091 .089
SOs (per PA): .226 .216
On-Base Average: .341 .338
Power Factor: 1.76 1.66
OPS: .810 .780
TPP Runs (to date): 883 830

Runs differential:
Actual TPP 53 more than Projected TPP.




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This page was last modified on Tuesday, 1 October 2019, at 7:36 am Pacific Time.