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PIT "Expected" Pitching Results, 2017


About These Stats:

The form of "projection" used is very simple: each man's career numbers are pro-rated by his actual number of batters faced to date this season; those data, labelled "proj:" are shown along with the man's actual stats from this year to date. At the bottom of the Table, each set of lines—"projected" and actual—is separately summed to get Team Totals for each dataset.

Note that "career to date" includes each man's stats for the current year: "to date" is literally correct. For veteran players, that matters little, but for rookies or players with litle prior major-league experience, it means that the "projection" will perforce nearly or exactly match the actual stats to date. That seems like the best way to deal with newly arrived players' stats.

Note that owing to rounding in the pro-rating process, projected total BFP (batters faced) may occasionally differ by 1.

Below the player/team table is a smaller table showing a few key team "rate" stats (such as batting average) actual and projected.

The Actual Data:

Through games of Monday, 22 May 2017.
All results are from true, unadjusted data.

Handedness Key:   + R   * L

(You can also look up the stat definitions.)

Pitchers, listed in alphabetical order:
Each name is a click-on link to that man's career stats.

(or see the data for Batting)


Man AB H 2B 3B HR BB SF SH HBP SO SB CS BFP
Barbato, Johnny 2017: 45 9 2 0 2 6 0 0 2 11 0 0 53
Barbato, Johnny proj: 46 11 1 0 2 5 0 0 2 13 0 0 53
Bastardo, Antonio 2017: 35 15 3 0 4 7 0 0 0 5 2 0 42
Bastardo, Antonio proj: 36 8 2 0 1 5 0 0 0 12 1 0 41
Cole, Gerrit 2017: 232 56 12 1 9 13 0 3 1 52 9 1 249
Cole, Gerrit proj: 227 57 11 1 4 15 1 3 3 56 8 2 249
Glasnow, Tyler 2017: 146 43 11 3 6 24 0 2 2 37 11 3 174
Glasnow, Tyler proj: 146 41 9 3 5 23 0 2 3 38 12 2 174
Hudson, Daniel 2017: 71 23 4 0 2 8 1 0 1 18 3 1 81
Hudson, Daniel proj: 74 19 4 0 2 6 1 0 1 16 1 1 82
Kuhl, Chad 2017: 160 47 14 3 3 17 0 1 2 33 5 0 180
Kuhl, Chad proj: 162 45 13 1 4 14 1 1 2 32 3 1 180
LeBlanc, Wade 2017: 99 21 5 0 2 6 0 1 0 20 1 0 106
LeBlanc, Wade proj: 96 26 5 1 4 8 1 1 1 17 1 1 107
Lindblom, Josh 2017: 48 18 3 0 0 3 0 0 0 10 0 1 51
Lindblom, Josh proj: 45 11 2 0 1 5 0 0 1 11 1 1 51
Marinez, Jhan 2017: 10 2 0 0 0 2 0 0 0 0 0 0 12
Marinez, Jhan proj: 10 3 1 0 0 1 0 0 0 2 0 0 11
Neverauskas, Dovydas 2017: 7 2 1 0 0 0 0 0 0 1 0 0 7
Neverauskas, Dovydas proj: 7 2 1 0 0 0 0 0 0 1 0 0 7
Nicasio, Juan 2017: 72 16 5 0 0 7 0 1 1 15 1 1 81
Nicasio, Juan proj: 72 20 5 1 2 7 0 1 1 16 1 1 81
Nova, Ivan 2017: 238 61 14 1 5 4 0 1 2 36 3 0 245
Nova, Ivan proj: 222 60 14 1 7 16 2 1 3 42 3 1 244
Rivero, Felipe 2017: 83 14 1 0 2 4 0 0 2 25 0 1 89
Rivero, Felipe proj: 80 17 4 0 2 7 0 0 1 24 1 1 88
Taillon, Jameson 2017: 133 34 6 1 4 13 0 1 2 30 2 0 149
Taillon, Jameson proj: 138 35 8 1 4 8 0 1 1 30 3 1 148
Watson, Tony 2017: 80 22 1 0 3 7 0 0 3 14 1 0 90
Watson, Tony proj: 81 17 3 0 2 6 1 1 1 20 2 0 90
Williams, Trevor 2017: 101 27 4 0 5 11 2 0 0 16 0 1 114
Williams, Trevor proj: 102 30 7 0 6 10 1 0 0 18 0 1 113
2017 TEAM TOTALS: 1560 410 86 9 47 132 3 10 18 323 38 9 1723
PROJECTED: 1544 402 90 9 46 136 8 11 20 348 37 13 1719
difference: +16 +8 -4 0 +1 -4 -5 -1 -2 -25 +1 -4 +4
Man AB H 2B 3B HR BB SF SH HBP SO SB CS BFP


Assorted Team Stats:
Stat Actual Projected
Batting Average: .263 .260
Slugging Average: .420 .420
Walks (per PA): .077 .079
SOs (per PA): .187 .202
On-Base Average: .325 .325
Power Factor: 1.6 1.61
OPS: .745 .744
TPP Runs (to date): 212 208

Runs differential:
Actual TPP 4 more than Projected TPP.




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This page was last modified on Tuesday, 23 May 2017, at 6:59 am Pacific Time.