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Baseball team and player performance examined realistically and accurately.

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PIT "Expected" Pitching Results, 2017


About These Stats:

The form of "projection" used is very simple: each man's career numbers are pro-rated by his actual number of batters faced to date this season; those data, labelled "proj:" are shown along with the man's actual stats from this year to date. At the bottom of the Table, each set of lines—"projected" and actual—is separately summed to get Team Totals for each dataset.

Note that "career to date" includes each man's stats for the current year: "to date" is literally correct. For veteran players, that matters little, but for rookies or players with litle prior major-league experience, it means that the "projection" will perforce nearly or exactly match the actual stats to date. That seems like the best way to deal with newly arrived players' stats.

Note that owing to rounding in the pro-rating process, projected total BFP (batters faced) may occasionally differ by 1.

Below the player/team table is a smaller table showing a few key team "rate" stats (such as batting average) actual and projected.

The Actual Data:

Through games of Sunday, 1 October 2017.
All results are from true, unadjusted data.

Handedness Key:   + R   * L

(You can also look up the stat definitions.)

Pitchers, listed in alphabetical order:
Each name is a click-on link to that man's career stats.

(or see the data for Batting)


Man AB H 2B 3B HR BB SF SH HBP SO SB CS BFP
Barbato, Johnny 2017: 110 25 8 0 4 18 0 0 2 23 0 0 130
Barbato, Johnny proj: 111 26 6 0 4 16 0 0 3 26 1 1 130
Bastardo, Antonio 2017: 43 16 3 0 5 9 0 0 0 8 3 0 52
Bastardo, Antonio proj: 45 9 2 0 1 6 0 0 0 15 1 0 51
Benoit, Joaquin 2017: 34 11 1 1 2 6 1 0 1 3 0 0 42
Benoit, Joaquin proj: 37 8 1 0 1 4 0 0 0 10 0 0 41
Brault, Steven 2017: 143 41 12 0 3 14 1 2 2 23 2 0 162
Brault, Steven proj: 142 42 12 0 4 15 0 2 2 26 3 0 161
Cole, Gerrit 2017: 784 199 36 6 31 55 1 5 4 196 17 2 849
Cole, Gerrit proj: 775 197 36 4 18 53 4 8 8 193 24 6 848
Glasnow, Tyler 2017: 254 81 20 3 13 44 1 4 2 56 15 8 305
Glasnow, Tyler proj: 254 77 18 4 11 42 1 4 4 60 18 6 305
Hudson, Daniel 2017: 230 57 12 2 7 33 2 1 5 66 5 3 271
Hudson, Daniel proj: 246 62 13 2 6 20 2 1 2 56 4 2 271
Kontos, George 2017: 51 9 3 0 1 3 0 1 0 15 1 0 55
Kontos, George proj: 50 12 2 0 1 4 0 0 0 11 1 0 54
Kuhl, Chad 2017: 592 159 41 5 17 72 4 6 6 142 9 3 680
Kuhl, Chad proj: 600 161 44 4 17 64 4 6 7 135 9 3 681
LeBlanc, Wade 2017: 263 64 16 1 10 17 1 1 1 54 1 0 283
LeBlanc, Wade proj: 256 69 14 1 10 22 1 3 2 47 3 3 284
Leathersich, Jack 2017: 15 3 1 0 0 2 1 0 0 6 2 0 18
Leathersich, Jack proj: 14 4 1 0 0 3 0 0 0 5 1 0 17
Lindblom, Josh 2017: 48 18 3 0 0 3 0 0 0 10 0 1 51
Lindblom, Josh proj: 45 11 2 0 1 5 0 0 1 11 1 1 51
Marinez, Jhan 2017: 128 34 10 0 4 12 1 3 4 26 0 0 148
Marinez, Jhan proj: 129 35 9 1 3 14 1 2 3 26 1 1 149
Neverauskas, Dovydas 2017: 95 24 3 1 4 8 0 1 1 17 1 1 105
Neverauskas, Dovydas proj: 95 24 3 1 4 8 0 1 1 17 1 1 105
Nicasio, Juan 2017: 222 49 12 0 4 18 0 1 2 60 1 2 243
Nicasio, Juan proj: 218 58 14 2 6 21 1 2 2 51 4 2 244
Nova, Ivan 2017: 732 203 40 5 29 36 3 7 7 131 10 3 785
Nova, Ivan proj: 713 195 43 4 23 52 5 4 10 136 11 4 784
Rivero, Felipe 2017: 275 47 6 0 4 20 1 0 4 88 4 1 300
Rivero, Felipe proj: 271 54 11 0 5 24 1 0 4 82 3 1 300
Runzler, Dan 2017: 18 7 2 0 2 2 0 0 0 4 0 0 20
Runzler, Dan proj: 17 4 1 0 0 3 0 0 0 5 1 0 20
Sanchez, Angel 2017: 52 16 3 0 5 1 1 0 0 10 0 0 54
Sanchez, Angel proj: 52 16 3 0 5 1 1 0 0 10 0 0 54
Santana, Edgar 2017: 67 16 6 0 2 12 0 1 1 20 1 0 81
Santana, Edgar proj: 67 16 6 0 2 12 0 1 1 20 1 0 81
Schugel, A.J. 2017: 120 31 5 1 3 14 1 1 0 27 0 1 136
Schugel, A.J. proj: 124 31 5 1 3 11 0 0 0 27 1 1 135
Taillon, Jameson 2017: 525 152 38 4 11 46 4 8 4 125 15 0 587
Taillon, Jameson proj: 536 147 36 3 14 37 3 7 4 123 13 1 587
Watson, Tony 2017: 187 57 9 0 7 14 2 3 3 35 1 0 209
Watson, Tony proj: 187 42 7 0 5 15 2 3 3 45 4 1 210
Williams, Trevor 2017: 569 145 30 2 14 52 4 8 9 117 7 3 642
Williams, Trevor proj: 571 150 33 2 16 52 4 7 8 117 6 4 642
2017 TEAM TOTALS: 5557 1464 320 31 182 511 29 53 58 1262 95 28 6208
PROJECTED: 5555 1450 322 29 160 504 30 51 65 1254 112 38 6205
difference: +2 +14 -2 +2 +22 +7 -1 +2 -7 +8 -17 -10 +3
Man AB H 2B 3B HR BB SF SH HBP SO SB CS BFP


Assorted Team Stats:
Stat Actual Projected
Batting Average: .263 .261
Slugging Average: .430 .416
Walks (per PA): .082 .081
SOs (per PA): .203 .202
On-Base Average: .327 .325
Power Factor: 1.63 1.59
OPS: .758 .741
TPP Runs (to date): 774 744

Runs differential:
Actual TPP 30 more than Projected TPP.




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This page was last modified on Monday, 2 October 2017, at 7:15 am Pacific Time.