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PIT "Expected" Pitching Results, 2019


About These Stats:

The form of "projection" used is very simple: each man's career numbers are pro-rated by his actual number of batters faced to date this season; those data, labelled "proj:" are shown along with the man's actual stats from this year to date. At the bottom of the Table, each set of lines—"projected" and actual—is separately summed to get Team Totals for each dataset.

Note that "career to date" includes each man's stats for the current year: "to date" is literally correct. For veteran players, that matters little, but for rookies or players with litle prior major-league experience, it means that the "projection" will perforce nearly or exactly match the actual stats to date. That seems like the best way to deal with newly arrived players' stats.

Note that owing to rounding in the pro-rating process, projected total BFP (batters faced) may occasionally differ by 1.

Below the player/team table is a smaller table showing a few key team "rate" stats (such as batting average) actual and projected.

The Actual Data:

Through games of Tuesday, 25 June 2019.
All results are from true, unadjusted data.

Handedness Key:   + R   * L

(You can also look up the stat definitions.)

Pitchers, listed in alphabetical order:
Each name is a click-on link to that man's career stats.

(or see the data for Batting)


Man AB H 2B 3B HR BB SF SH HBP SO SB CS BFP
Agrazal, Dario 2019: 18 6 0 0 0 0 0 0 1 3 1 0 19
Agrazal, Dario proj: 18 6 0 0 0 0 0 0 1 3 1 0 19
Archer, Chris 2019: 265 67 9 1 18 36 1 6 1 74 5 4 309
Archer, Chris proj: 279 67 12 1 9 25 2 1 2 79 4 2 309
Brault, Steven 2019: 200 55 13 0 6 27 0 3 4 44 4 0 234
Brault, Steven proj: 199 54 13 0 6 28 0 3 4 43 3 1 234
Burdi, Nick 2019: 37 11 2 1 1 3 0 0 0 17 0 0 40
Burdi, Nick proj: 36 11 2 1 2 4 0 0 0 15 0 0 40
Crick, Kyle 2019: 92 16 1 1 2 20 1 0 4 32 4 0 117
Crick, Kyle proj: 99 19 2 1 2 14 0 0 3 29 3 1 116
Davis, Rookie 2019: 40 12 4 0 3 8 1 2 0 10 0 0 51
Davis, Rookie proj: 43 15 4 0 3 6 1 1 0 9 1 0 51
DuRapau, Montana 2019: 43 15 1 0 3 4 0 0 1 12 0 1 48
DuRapau, Montana proj: 43 15 1 0 3 4 0 0 1 12 0 1 48
Feliz, Michael 2019: 72 16 5 0 2 12 0 0 1 24 4 1 85
Feliz, Michael proj: 75 19 4 0 3 9 1 0 1 26 1 0 86
Hartlieb, Geoff 2019: 81 28 7 1 5 10 1 0 0 19 0 1 92
Hartlieb, Geoff proj: 81 28 7 1 5 10 1 0 0 19 0 1 92
Holmes, Clay 2019: 88 20 3 0 2 14 0 0 3 24 1 0 105
Holmes, Clay proj: 86 22 4 0 2 17 0 0 2 20 2 0 105
Kela, Keone 2019: 46 11 5 0 3 4 0 0 0 11 0 0 50
Kela, Keone proj: 45 9 2 0 1 5 0 0 0 15 1 0 50
Keller, Mitch 2019: 54 21 4 1 1 6 0 1 0 15 2 2 61
Keller, Mitch proj: 54 21 4 1 1 6 0 1 0 15 2 2 61
Kingham, Nick 2019: 148 54 17 2 7 17 0 5 0 32 4 1 170
Kingham, Nick proj: 151 45 13 1 9 14 1 3 2 33 2 1 171
Liriano, Francisco 2019: 141 31 6 0 4 19 1 1 1 37 2 0 163
Liriano, Francisco proj: 143 35 6 1 4 17 1 1 1 38 3 1 163
Lyles, Jordan 2019: 240 55 12 2 7 24 1 0 0 66 2 1 265
Lyles, Jordan proj: 238 66 14 2 7 20 1 2 3 44 3 1 264
Lyons, Tyler 2019: 17 6 3 0 1 3 0 0 0 5 0 0 20
Lyons, Tyler proj: 18 4 1 0 1 2 0 0 0 5 0 0 20
McRae, Alex 2019: 53 16 2 0 6 6 0 0 2 15 0 0 61
McRae, Alex proj: 52 16 4 0 4 7 0 0 2 13 0 0 61
Musgrove, Joe 2019: 329 82 30 3 8 22 2 0 5 69 2 1 358
Musgrove, Joe proj: 329 85 20 3 11 20 2 2 5 74 1 1 358
Neverauskas, Dovydas 2019: 28 9 4 0 0 5 1 0 2 6 1 0 36
Neverauskas, Dovydas proj: 32 9 2 0 2 3 0 0 1 7 0 0 36
Rodriguez, Richard 2019: 129 33 2 0 9 16 0 0 1 26 1 1 146
Rodriguez, Richard proj: 131 32 4 0 6 12 0 0 2 37 1 0 145
Shuck, JB 2019: 4 1 0 0 0 1 0 0 0 0 0 0 5
Shuck, JB proj: 4 1 1 0 0 1 0 0 0 0 0 0 5
Stratton, Chris 2019: 39 13 4 0 2 2 0 0 0 8 0 1 41
Stratton, Chris proj: 36 10 2 0 1 4 0 0 0 7 0 0 40
Taillon, Jameson 2019: 147 34 9 2 4 8 1 0 2 30 3 1 158
Taillon, Jameson proj: 145 38 8 1 4 9 1 1 1 34 3 0 157
Vazquez, Felipe 2019: 126 27 8 0 3 9 1 0 3 51 1 0 139
Vazquez, Felipe proj: 126 26 6 0 2 11 1 0 2 40 2 0 140
Williams, Trevor 2019: 255 68 15 3 8 10 3 3 4 53 1 0 275
Williams, Trevor proj: 248 62 14 1 7 20 2 3 3 50 2 2 276
2019 TEAM TOTALS: 2692 707 166 17 105 286 14 21 35 683 38 15 3048
PROJECTED: 2711 715 150 14 95 268 14 18 36 667 35 14 3047
difference: -19 -8 +16 +3 +10 +18 0 +3 -1 +16 +3 +1 +1
Man AB H 2B 3B HR BB SF SH HBP SO SB CS BFP


Assorted Team Stats:
Stat Actual Projected
Batting Average: .263 .264
Slugging Average: .454 .435
Walks (per PA): .094 .088
SOs (per PA): .224 .219
On-Base Average: .337 .334
Power Factor: 1.73 1.65
OPS: .791 .769
TPP Runs (to date): 405 388

Runs differential:
Actual TPP 17 more than Projected TPP.




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This page was last modified on Wednesday, 26 June 2019, at 6:58 am Pacific Time.