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PIT "Expected" Pitching Results, 2017


About These Stats:

The form of "projection" used is very simple: each man's career numbers are pro-rated by his actual number of batters faced to date this season; those data, labelled "proj:" are shown along with the man's actual stats from this year to date. At the bottom of the Table, each set of lines—"projected" and actual—is separately summed to get Team Totals for each dataset.

Note that "career to date" includes each man's stats for the current year: "to date" is literally correct. For veteran players, that matters little, but for rookies or players with litle prior major-league experience, it means that the "projection" will perforce nearly or exactly match the actual stats to date. That seems like the best way to deal with newly arrived players' stats.

Note that owing to rounding in the pro-rating process, projected total BFP (batters faced) may occasionally differ by 1.

Below the player/team table is a smaller table showing a few key team "rate" stats (such as batting average) actual and projected.

The Actual Data:

Through games of Wednesday, 21 June 2017.
All results are from true, unadjusted data.

Handedness Key:   + R   * L

(You can also look up the stat definitions.)

Pitchers, listed in alphabetical order:
Each name is a click-on link to that man's career stats.

(or see the data for Batting)


Man AB H 2B 3B HR BB SF SH HBP SO SB CS BFP
Barbato, Johnny 2017: 88 22 6 0 4 13 0 0 2 17 0 0 103
Barbato, Johnny proj: 89 23 5 0 4 12 0 0 3 21 1 1 104
Bastardo, Antonio 2017: 35 15 3 0 4 7 0 0 0 5 2 0 42
Bastardo, Antonio proj: 36 8 2 0 1 5 0 0 0 12 1 0 41
Cole, Gerrit 2017: 351 91 20 3 16 22 0 4 1 74 10 1 378
Cole, Gerrit proj: 345 88 17 2 7 23 2 4 4 84 11 3 378
Glasnow, Tyler 2017: 230 75 20 3 12 29 1 3 2 50 13 5 265
Glasnow, Tyler proj: 228 69 17 4 10 30 1 3 4 53 16 4 266
Hudson, Daniel 2017: 116 31 6 0 5 12 1 1 1 28 3 2 131
Hudson, Daniel proj: 119 30 6 1 3 9 1 1 1 27 2 1 131
Kuhl, Chad 2017: 251 73 20 5 7 27 2 4 3 53 5 1 287
Kuhl, Chad proj: 256 71 21 3 7 23 2 3 3 52 4 1 287
LeBlanc, Wade 2017: 164 41 11 0 4 7 0 1 0 34 1 0 172
LeBlanc, Wade proj: 156 42 9 1 6 13 1 2 1 28 2 2 173
Lindblom, Josh 2017: 48 18 3 0 0 3 0 0 0 10 0 1 51
Lindblom, Josh proj: 45 11 2 0 1 5 0 0 1 11 1 1 51
Marinez, Jhan 2017: 67 17 5 0 1 6 1 2 1 17 0 0 77
Marinez, Jhan proj: 67 18 4 0 1 7 0 1 1 14 1 0 76
Neverauskas, Dovydas 2017: 21 8 1 0 1 1 0 0 1 2 0 0 23
Neverauskas, Dovydas proj: 21 8 1 0 1 1 0 0 1 2 0 0 23
Nicasio, Juan 2017: 114 26 9 0 0 10 0 1 1 32 1 1 126
Nicasio, Juan proj: 113 31 7 1 3 11 1 1 1 26 2 1 127
Nova, Ivan 2017: 364 89 20 1 10 9 0 3 2 54 3 1 378
Nova, Ivan proj: 344 93 21 1 11 25 3 2 5 65 5 2 379
Rivero, Felipe 2017: 134 19 3 0 2 8 0 0 2 41 0 1 144
Rivero, Felipe proj: 130 26 6 0 2 11 1 0 2 38 1 1 144
Santana, Edgar 2017: 19 6 4 0 0 4 0 0 0 7 0 0 23
Santana, Edgar proj: 19 6 4 0 0 4 0 0 0 7 0 0 23
Taillon, Jameson 2017: 172 47 10 1 4 16 0 3 2 39 3 0 193
Taillon, Jameson proj: 178 46 10 1 5 10 0 2 2 39 3 1 192
Watson, Tony 2017: 136 41 5 0 7 8 1 0 3 26 1 0 148
Watson, Tony proj: 133 29 5 0 4 10 1 1 2 33 3 0 147
Williams, Trevor 2017: 226 60 13 1 7 17 2 3 4 41 2 2 252
Williams, Trevor proj: 227 64 15 1 9 18 2 2 3 42 2 2 252
2017 TEAM TOTALS: 2536 679 159 14 84 199 8 25 25 530 44 15 2793
PROJECTED: 2506 663 152 15 75 217 15 22 34 554 55 20 2794
difference: +30 +16 +7 -1 +9 -18 -7 +3 -9 -24 -11 -5 -1
Man AB H 2B 3B HR BB SF SH HBP SO SB CS BFP


Assorted Team Stats:
Stat Actual Projected
Batting Average: .268 .265
Slugging Average: .441 .427
Walks (per PA): .071 .078
SOs (per PA): .190 .198
On-Base Average: .323 .327
Power Factor: 1.65 1.61
OPS: .764 .754
TPP Runs (to date): 351 344

Runs differential:
Actual TPP 7 more than Projected TPP.




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This page was last modified on Thursday, 22 June 2017, at 7:04 am Pacific Time.