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PIT "Expected" Pitching Results, 2018


About These Stats:

The form of "projection" used is very simple: each man's career numbers are pro-rated by his actual number of batters faced to date this season; those data, labelled "proj:" are shown along with the man's actual stats from this year to date. At the bottom of the Table, each set of lines—"projected" and actual—is separately summed to get Team Totals for each dataset.

Note that "career to date" includes each man's stats for the current year: "to date" is literally correct. For veteran players, that matters little, but for rookies or players with litle prior major-league experience, it means that the "projection" will perforce nearly or exactly match the actual stats to date. That seems like the best way to deal with newly arrived players' stats.

Note that owing to rounding in the pro-rating process, projected total BFP (batters faced) may occasionally differ by 1.

Below the player/team table is a smaller table showing a few key team "rate" stats (such as batting average) actual and projected.

The Actual Data:

Through games of Friday, 20 July 2018.
All results are from true, unadjusted data.

Handedness Key:   + R   * L

(You can also look up the stat definitions.)

Pitchers, listed in alphabetical order:
Each name is a click-on link to that man's career stats.

(or see the data for Batting)


Man AB H 2B 3B HR BB SF SH HBP SO SB CS BFP
Anderson, Tanner 2018: 16 9 2 0 0 4 0 1 0 1 0 0 21
Anderson, Tanner proj: 16 9 2 0 0 4 0 1 0 1 0 0 21
Brault, Steven 2018: 241 57 12 0 6 40 1 2 6 59 1 3 290
Brault, Steven proj: 248 67 17 0 7 33 1 3 5 52 3 2 290
Crick, Kyle 2018: 138 28 5 0 1 16 0 1 0 37 6 0 155
Crick, Kyle proj: 136 27 4 1 2 18 0 1 1 35 4 1 156
Feliz, Michael 2018: 148 39 8 1 5 18 1 0 1 45 0 1 168
Feliz, Michael proj: 150 38 8 1 6 16 2 0 0 53 2 0 168
Glasnow, Tyler 2018: 196 47 11 1 5 30 0 0 1 70 8 2 227
Glasnow, Tyler proj: 192 53 12 2 7 31 0 2 2 53 11 4 227
Holmes, Clay 2018: 45 11 3 0 0 8 0 0 0 10 0 0 53
Holmes, Clay proj: 45 11 3 0 0 8 0 0 0 10 0 0 53
Kingham, Nick 2018: 196 45 11 0 10 12 1 1 3 51 1 1 213
Kingham, Nick proj: 196 45 11 0 10 12 1 1 3 51 1 1 213
Kontos, George 2018: 78 23 4 1 4 5 2 1 3 9 4 1 89
Kontos, George proj: 81 19 4 0 2 6 1 1 0 18 2 1 89
Kuhl, Chad 2018: 324 89 13 3 14 33 6 6 4 81 3 6 373
Kuhl, Chad proj: 328 88 21 2 10 34 3 4 4 76 4 3 373
Musgrove, Joe 2018: 210 57 10 2 5 16 1 1 5 50 2 0 233
Musgrove, Joe proj: 213 57 12 2 8 15 1 1 3 50 1 0 233
Neverauskas, Dovydas 2018: 59 20 4 1 4 9 0 0 1 16 0 0 69
Neverauskas, Dovydas proj: 61 17 3 1 3 7 0 0 1 13 0 0 69
Nova, Ivan 2018: 412 114 25 4 19 17 1 4 4 79 3 2 438
Nova, Ivan proj: 399 109 24 2 14 28 3 3 6 76 6 2 439
Rodriguez, Richard 2018: 145 33 4 1 3 8 1 0 1 50 1 0 155
Rodriguez, Richard proj: 143 38 6 1 6 9 1 0 2 44 1 0 155
Romero, Enny 2018: 20 7 3 0 0 3 1 0 0 5 0 0 24
Romero, Enny proj: 21 6 1 0 1 3 0 0 0 6 1 0 24
Santana, Edgar 2018: 165 38 8 0 5 5 0 0 1 39 1 1 171
Santana, Edgar proj: 157 37 10 0 5 12 0 1 1 40 1 1 171
Smoker, Josh 2018: 26 11 6 0 2 5 0 0 0 2 0 0 31
Smoker, Josh proj: 27 8 2 0 1 4 0 0 0 8 1 0 31
Taillon, Jameson 2018: 430 105 20 2 12 31 1 1 3 109 8 0 466
Taillon, Jameson proj: 427 113 26 2 11 30 2 4 3 101 10 1 466
Vazquez, Felipe 2018: 161 36 5 0 1 17 0 0 0 57 3 0 178
Vazquez, Felipe proj: 161 33 6 0 3 15 1 0 2 50 2 1 179
Williams, Trevor 2018: 369 89 21 2 12 35 3 6 3 71 3 3 416
Williams, Trevor proj: 370 94 21 1 11 34 3 5 4 74 4 3 416
2018 TEAM TOTALS: 3379 858 175 18 108 312 19 24 36 841 44 20 3770
PROJECTED: 3371 869 193 15 107 319 19 27 37 811 54 20 3773
difference: +8 -11 -18 +3 +1 -7 0 -3 -1 +30 -10 0 -3
Man AB H 2B 3B HR BB SF SH HBP SO SB CS BFP


Assorted Team Stats:
Stat Actual Projected
Batting Average: .254 .258
Slugging Average: .412 .419
Walks (per PA): .083 .085
SOs (per PA): .223 .215
On-Base Average: .320 .325
Power Factor: 1.62 1.63
OPS: .732 .744
TPP Runs (to date): 440 453

Runs differential:
Actual TPP 13 less than Projected TPP.




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This page was last modified on Saturday, 21 July 2018, at 6:59 am Pacific Time.