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PIT "Expected" Pitching Results, 2019


About These Stats:

The form of "projection" used is very simple: each man's career numbers are pro-rated by his actual number of batters faced to date this season; those data, labelled "proj:" are shown along with the man's actual stats from this year to date. At the bottom of the Table, each set of lines—"projected" and actual—is separately summed to get Team Totals for each dataset.

Note that "career to date" includes each man's stats for the current year: "to date" is literally correct. For veteran players, that matters little, but for rookies or players with litle prior major-league experience, it means that the "projection" will perforce nearly or exactly match the actual stats to date. That seems like the best way to deal with newly arrived players' stats.

Note that owing to rounding in the pro-rating process, projected total BFP (batters faced) may occasionally differ by 1.

Below the player/team table is a smaller table showing a few key team "rate" stats (such as batting average) actual and projected.

The Actual Data:

Through games of Monday, 22 April 2019.
All results are from true, unadjusted data.

Handedness Key:   + R   * L

(You can also look up the stat definitions.)

Pitchers, listed in alphabetical order:
Each name is a click-on link to that man's career stats.

(or see the data for Batting)


Man AB H 2B 3B HR BB SF SH HBP SO SB CS BFP
Archer, Chris 2019: 83 17 2 0 3 9 0 0 1 26 1 2 93
Archer, Chris proj: 84 20 4 0 2 7 0 0 1 24 1 1 92
Brault, Steven 2019: 17 5 2 0 1 4 0 1 1 4 0 0 23
Brault, Steven proj: 20 5 1 0 1 3 0 0 0 4 0 0 23
Burdi, Nick 2019: 37 11 2 1 1 3 0 0 0 17 0 0 40
Burdi, Nick proj: 36 11 2 1 2 4 0 0 0 15 0 0 40
Crick, Kyle 2019: 16 4 0 1 0 0 0 0 0 5 0 0 16
Crick, Kyle proj: 14 3 0 0 0 2 0 0 0 4 0 0 16
Kela, Keone 2019: 31 8 3 0 3 3 0 0 0 9 0 0 34
Kela, Keone proj: 30 6 1 0 1 3 0 0 0 10 1 0 33
Kingham, Nick 2019: 23 5 2 0 1 2 0 0 0 6 0 0 25
Kingham, Nick proj: 22 6 2 0 1 2 0 0 0 5 0 0 24
Liriano, Francisco 2019: 29 6 1 0 0 4 0 0 0 10 0 0 33
Liriano, Francisco proj: 29 7 1 0 1 3 0 0 0 8 1 0 32
Lyles, Jordan 2019: 57 10 2 0 1 5 0 0 0 18 1 0 62
Lyles, Jordan proj: 56 16 3 0 2 5 0 0 1 10 1 0 62
Musgrove, Joe 2019: 100 18 8 0 1 6 0 0 1 26 2 1 107
Musgrove, Joe proj: 98 25 5 1 3 6 1 1 1 23 0 0 107
Rodriguez, Richard 2019: 39 8 0 0 4 4 0 0 1 9 0 1 44
Rodriguez, Richard proj: 40 9 1 0 2 3 0 0 1 12 0 0 44
Shuck, JB 2019: 4 1 0 0 0 1 0 0 0 0 0 0 5
Shuck, JB proj: 4 1 1 0 0 1 0 0 0 0 0 0 5
Taillon, Jameson 2019: 102 23 5 0 2 6 0 0 1 20 3 1 109
Taillon, Jameson proj: 100 26 6 1 3 7 0 1 1 23 2 0 109
Vazquez, Felipe 2019: 43 9 4 0 0 3 0 0 0 18 0 0 46
Vazquez, Felipe proj: 42 9 2 0 1 4 0 0 0 13 1 0 46
Williams, Trevor 2019: 89 20 5 0 2 5 1 1 3 17 1 0 99
Williams, Trevor proj: 89 22 5 0 2 8 1 1 1 18 1 1 100
2019 TEAM TOTALS: 670 145 36 2 19 55 1 2 8 185 8 5 736
PROJECTED: 664 166 34 3 21 58 2 3 6 169 8 2 733
difference: +6 -21 +2 -1 -2 -3 -1 -1 +2 +16 0 +3 +3
Man AB H 2B 3B HR BB SF SH HBP SO SB CS BFP


Assorted Team Stats:
Stat Actual Projected
Batting Average: .216 .250
Slugging Average: .361 .405
Walks (per PA): .075 .079
SOs (per PA): .251 .230
On-Base Average: .283 .314
Power Factor: 1.67 1.62
OPS: .644 .719
TPP Runs (to date): 68 84

Runs differential:
Actual TPP 16 less than Projected TPP.




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This page was last modified on Tuesday, 23 April 2019, at 6:52 am Pacific Time.