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PIT "Expected" Pitching Results, 2018


About These Stats:

The form of "projection" used is very simple: each man's career numbers are pro-rated by his actual number of batters faced to date this season; those data, labelled "proj:" are shown along with the man's actual stats from this year to date. At the bottom of the Table, each set of lines—"projected" and actual—is separately summed to get Team Totals for each dataset.

Note that "career to date" includes each man's stats for the current year: "to date" is literally correct. For veteran players, that matters little, but for rookies or players with litle prior major-league experience, it means that the "projection" will perforce nearly or exactly match the actual stats to date. That seems like the best way to deal with newly arrived players' stats.

Note that owing to rounding in the pro-rating process, projected total BFP (batters faced) may occasionally differ by 1.

Below the player/team table is a smaller table showing a few key team "rate" stats (such as batting average) actual and projected.

The Actual Data:

Through games of Monday, 17 September 2018.
All results are from true, unadjusted data.

Handedness Key:   + R   * L

(You can also look up the stat definitions.)

Pitchers, listed in alphabetical order:
Each name is a click-on link to that man's career stats.

(or see the data for Batting)


Man AB H 2B 3B HR BB SF SH HBP SO SB CS BFP
Anderson, Tanner 2018: 18 9 2 0 0 5 0 1 0 2 0 0 24
Anderson, Tanner proj: 18 9 2 0 0 5 0 1 0 2 0 0 24
Archer, Chris 2018: 157 43 13 1 7 15 2 1 1 43 3 0 176
Archer, Chris proj: 159 38 7 0 5 14 1 1 1 45 2 1 176
Brault, Steven 2018: 316 77 18 0 8 54 1 3 8 74 2 5 382
Brault, Steven proj: 324 88 23 0 9 46 1 4 6 68 4 3 381
Burdi, Nick 2018: 4 2 0 0 1 1 0 0 0 0 0 0 5
Burdi, Nick proj: 4 2 0 0 1 1 0 0 0 0 0 0 5
Crick, Kyle 2018: 211 45 7 0 3 23 1 1 7 58 8 2 243
Crick, Kyle proj: 210 43 6 1 3 26 1 1 5 55 6 2 243
Feliz, Michael 2018: 173 48 12 1 6 19 3 0 2 49 0 1 197
Feliz, Michael proj: 175 45 10 1 7 18 2 0 1 60 2 1 196
Glasnow, Tyler 2018: 208 47 11 1 5 34 0 0 1 72 8 3 243
Glasnow, Tyler proj: 208 53 11 2 8 31 1 1 2 59 12 4 243
Holmes, Clay 2018: 77 26 4 0 1 17 1 0 1 15 1 0 96
Holmes, Clay proj: 77 26 4 0 1 17 1 0 1 15 1 0 96
Kela, Keone 2018: 55 10 4 0 2 5 0 0 0 22 2 2 60
Kela, Keone proj: 54 11 2 0 2 6 0 0 0 18 2 0 60
Kingham, Nick 2018: 277 66 19 0 15 21 2 3 4 64 1 1 307
Kingham, Nick proj: 277 66 19 0 15 21 2 3 4 64 1 1 307
Kontos, George 2018: 78 23 4 1 4 5 2 1 3 9 4 1 89
Kontos, George proj: 81 19 4 0 2 6 1 1 0 18 2 1 89
Kuhl, Chad 2018: 324 89 13 3 14 33 6 6 4 81 3 6 373
Kuhl, Chad proj: 328 88 21 2 10 34 3 4 4 76 4 3 373
McRae, Alex 2018: 26 8 4 0 0 5 0 0 1 5 0 0 32
McRae, Alex proj: 26 8 4 0 0 5 0 0 1 5 0 0 32
Musgrove, Joe 2018: 447 113 19 3 12 23 5 3 8 100 2 1 486
Musgrove, Joe proj: 446 117 23 3 16 27 3 3 6 102 2 1 485
Neverauskas, Dovydas 2018: 80 24 4 1 6 10 1 0 1 21 1 0 92
Neverauskas, Dovydas proj: 82 22 3 1 5 8 0 0 1 18 1 0 91
Nova, Ivan 2018: 604 160 33 5 25 31 1 4 4 109 4 2 644
Nova, Ivan proj: 588 160 35 3 20 41 4 4 8 111 8 3 645
Rodriguez, Richard 2018: 231 51 7 1 5 17 1 0 5 79 1 0 254
Rodriguez, Richard proj: 230 56 9 1 8 18 1 0 5 73 1 0 254
Romero, Enny 2018: 20 7 3 0 0 3 1 0 0 5 0 0 24
Romero, Enny proj: 21 6 1 0 1 3 0 0 0 6 1 0 24
Sadler, Casey 2018: 22 9 5 0 0 3 0 0 0 3 0 0 25
Sadler, Casey proj: 22 7 3 0 0 2 1 0 0 4 0 0 25
Santana, Edgar 2018: 247 57 13 0 6 11 1 1 3 54 2 1 263
Santana, Edgar proj: 240 56 15 0 6 18 1 2 3 57 2 1 264
Smoker, Josh 2018: 26 11 6 0 2 5 0 0 0 2 0 0 31
Smoker, Josh proj: 27 8 2 0 1 4 0 0 0 8 1 0 31
Taillon, Jameson 2018: 655 163 28 4 18 42 1 4 6 156 12 2 708
Taillon, Jameson proj: 650 171 37 4 17 43 2 7 5 151 14 2 707
Vazquez, Felipe 2018: 250 59 10 0 4 22 0 0 1 81 4 0 273
Vazquez, Felipe proj: 247 52 10 0 4 22 1 0 3 76 3 1 273
Williams, Trevor 2018: 590 134 30 2 15 51 4 6 4 115 3 4 655
Williams, Trevor proj: 586 144 32 2 16 52 4 7 6 117 5 4 655
2018 TEAM TOTALS: 5096 1281 269 23 159 455 33 34 64 1219 61 31 5682
PROJECTED: 5080 1295 283 20 157 468 30 39 62 1208 74 28 5679
difference: +16 -14 -14 +3 +2 -13 +3 -5 +2 +11 -13 +3 +3
Man AB H 2B 3B HR BB SF SH HBP SO SB CS BFP


Assorted Team Stats:
Stat Actual Projected
Batting Average: .251 .255
Slugging Average: .407 .411
Walks (per PA): .080 .082
SOs (per PA): .215 .213
On-Base Average: .317 .321
Power Factor: 1.62 1.61
OPS: .724 .733
TPP Runs (to date): 647 663

Runs differential:
Actual TPP 16 less than Projected TPP.




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This page was last modified on Tuesday, 18 September 2018, at 7:06 am Pacific Time.