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Baseball team and player performance examined realistically and accurately.

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PIT "Expected" Pitching Results, 2017


About These Stats:

The form of "projection" used is very simple: each man's career numbers are pro-rated by his actual number of batters faced to date this season; those data, labelled "proj:" are shown along with the man's actual stats from this year to date. At the bottom of the Table, each set of lines—"projected" and actual—is separately summed to get Team Totals for each dataset.

Note that "career to date" includes each man's stats for the current year: "to date" is literally correct. For veteran players, that matters little, but for rookies or players with litle prior major-league experience, it means that the "projection" will perforce nearly or exactly match the actual stats to date. That seems like the best way to deal with newly arrived players' stats.

Note that owing to rounding in the pro-rating process, projected total BFP (batters faced) may occasionally differ by 1.

Below the player/team table is a smaller table showing a few key team "rate" stats (such as batting average) actual and projected.

The Actual Data:

Through games of Sunday, 24 September 2017.
All results are from true, unadjusted data.

Handedness Key:   + R   * L

(You can also look up the stat definitions.)

Pitchers, listed in alphabetical order:
Each name is a click-on link to that man's career stats.

(or see the data for Batting)


Man AB H 2B 3B HR BB SF SH HBP SO SB CS BFP
Barbato, Johnny 2017: 105 25 8 0 4 16 0 0 2 22 0 0 123
Barbato, Johnny proj: 106 26 6 0 4 14 0 0 3 25 1 1 123
Bastardo, Antonio 2017: 43 16 3 0 5 9 0 0 0 8 3 0 52
Bastardo, Antonio proj: 45 9 2 0 1 6 0 0 0 15 1 0 51
Benoit, Joaquin 2017: 34 11 1 1 2 6 1 0 1 3 0 0 42
Benoit, Joaquin proj: 37 8 1 0 1 4 0 0 0 10 0 0 41
Brault, Steven 2017: 120 33 10 0 2 10 1 2 2 18 0 0 135
Brault, Steven proj: 118 35 10 0 3 12 0 2 2 21 2 0 134
Cole, Gerrit 2017: 763 191 34 6 31 54 1 5 4 189 16 2 827
Cole, Gerrit proj: 755 191 35 4 17 52 4 8 8 188 23 6 827
Glasnow, Tyler 2017: 243 79 20 3 13 39 1 3 2 54 15 7 288
Glasnow, Tyler proj: 243 74 18 4 11 38 1 3 4 57 18 5 289
Hudson, Daniel 2017: 223 52 11 2 7 33 2 1 4 66 5 3 263
Hudson, Daniel proj: 238 60 12 2 6 19 2 1 2 55 3 2 262
Kontos, George 2017: 44 9 3 0 1 3 0 1 0 12 1 0 48
Kontos, George proj: 44 10 2 0 1 3 0 0 0 10 1 0 47
Kuhl, Chad 2017: 571 151 39 5 17 71 4 6 5 137 9 3 657
Kuhl, Chad proj: 579 154 42 4 16 62 4 5 6 130 9 3 656
LeBlanc, Wade 2017: 262 64 16 1 10 17 1 1 1 53 1 0 282
LeBlanc, Wade proj: 255 69 14 1 10 21 1 3 2 47 3 3 282
Leathersich, Jack 2017: 9 1 0 0 0 2 0 0 0 4 2 0 11
Leathersich, Jack proj: 9 2 1 0 0 2 0 0 0 3 1 0 11
Lindblom, Josh 2017: 48 18 3 0 0 3 0 0 0 10 0 1 51
Lindblom, Josh proj: 45 11 2 0 1 5 0 0 1 11 1 1 51
Marinez, Jhan 2017: 128 34 10 0 4 12 1 3 4 26 0 0 148
Marinez, Jhan proj: 129 35 9 1 3 14 1 2 3 26 1 1 149
Neverauskas, Dovydas 2017: 83 19 2 0 3 7 0 1 1 15 1 1 92
Neverauskas, Dovydas proj: 83 19 2 0 3 7 0 1 1 15 1 1 92
Nicasio, Juan 2017: 222 49 12 0 4 18 0 1 2 60 1 2 243
Nicasio, Juan proj: 218 58 14 2 6 21 1 2 2 50 3 2 244
Nova, Ivan 2017: 723 199 39 5 29 35 3 6 7 129 10 3 774
Nova, Ivan proj: 703 192 42 4 23 51 5 4 10 134 11 4 773
Rivero, Felipe 2017: 268 46 5 0 4 20 1 0 4 86 4 1 293
Rivero, Felipe proj: 264 53 11 0 5 23 1 0 4 80 3 1 292
Runzler, Dan 2017: 9 3 2 0 0 2 0 0 0 3 0 0 11
Runzler, Dan proj: 9 2 0 0 0 2 0 0 0 3 0 0 11
Sanchez, Angel 2017: 42 15 3 0 5 1 1 0 0 6 0 0 44
Sanchez, Angel proj: 42 15 3 0 5 1 1 0 0 6 0 0 44
Santana, Edgar 2017: 60 15 6 0 2 11 0 1 1 19 1 0 73
Santana, Edgar proj: 60 15 6 0 2 11 0 1 1 19 1 0 73
Schugel, A.J. 2017: 118 29 5 1 2 13 1 1 0 27 0 1 133
Schugel, A.J. proj: 121 30 5 1 3 11 0 0 0 27 1 1 132
Taillon, Jameson 2017: 500 148 38 4 11 45 4 8 4 120 15 0 561
Taillon, Jameson proj: 512 142 35 3 14 36 3 7 4 117 13 1 562
Watson, Tony 2017: 187 57 9 0 7 14 2 3 3 35 1 0 209
Watson, Tony proj: 187 42 7 0 5 15 2 3 3 45 4 1 210
Williams, Trevor 2017: 548 142 29 2 13 51 4 8 8 111 7 3 619
Williams, Trevor proj: 550 147 32 2 15 51 4 7 7 111 6 4 619
2017 TEAM TOTALS: 5353 1406 308 30 176 492 28 51 55 1213 92 27 5979
PROJECTED: 5352 1399 311 28 155 481 30 49 63 1205 107 37 5975
difference: +1 +7 -3 +2 +21 +11 -2 +2 -8 +8 -15 -10 +4
Man AB H 2B 3B HR BB SF SH HBP SO SB CS BFP


Assorted Team Stats:
Stat Actual Projected
Batting Average: .263 .261
Slugging Average: .430 .417
Walks (per PA): .082 .080
SOs (per PA): .203 .202
On-Base Average: .327 .325
Power Factor: 1.64 1.59
OPS: .757 .742
TPP Runs (to date): 743 717

Runs differential:
Actual TPP 26 more than Projected TPP.




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This page was last modified on Monday, 25 September 2017, at 7:16 am Pacific Time.