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PIT "Expected" Pitching Results, 2018


About These Stats:

The form of "projection" used is very simple: each man's career numbers are pro-rated by his actual number of batters faced to date this season; those data, labelled "proj:" are shown along with the man's actual stats from this year to date. At the bottom of the Table, each set of lines—"projected" and actual—is separately summed to get Team Totals for each dataset.

Note that "career to date" includes each man's stats for the current year: "to date" is literally correct. For veteran players, that matters little, but for rookies or players with litle prior major-league experience, it means that the "projection" will perforce nearly or exactly match the actual stats to date. That seems like the best way to deal with newly arrived players' stats.

Note that owing to rounding in the pro-rating process, projected total BFP (batters faced) may occasionally differ by 1.

Below the player/team table is a smaller table showing a few key team "rate" stats (such as batting average) actual and projected.

The Actual Data:

Through games of Sunday, 30 September 2018.
All results are from true, unadjusted data.

Handedness Key:   + R   * L

(You can also look up the stat definitions.)

Pitchers, listed in alphabetical order:
Each name is a click-on link to that man's career stats.

(or see the data for Batting)


Man AB H 2B 3B HR BB SF SH HBP SO SB CS BFP
Anderson, Tanner 2018: 45 15 3 0 1 8 0 2 1 6 1 0 56
Anderson, Tanner proj: 45 15 3 0 1 8 0 2 1 6 1 0 56
Archer, Chris 2018: 202 53 16 1 8 18 2 1 2 60 4 1 225
Archer, Chris proj: 204 49 9 1 6 18 1 1 2 58 3 1 226
Brault, Steven 2018: 344 84 18 0 10 57 1 3 8 82 4 5 413
Brault, Steven proj: 352 95 23 0 10 49 1 4 7 75 6 3 413
Burdi, Nick 2018: 8 3 0 0 1 2 0 0 0 2 0 0 10
Burdi, Nick proj: 8 3 0 0 1 2 0 0 0 2 0 0 10
Crick, Kyle 2018: 223 45 7 0 3 23 1 1 7 65 8 2 255
Crick, Kyle proj: 222 44 6 1 3 26 1 1 5 61 6 2 255
Feliz, Michael 2018: 188 49 12 1 6 23 3 0 3 55 1 1 217
Feliz, Michael proj: 192 48 11 1 8 21 3 0 1 66 2 1 217
Glasnow, Tyler 2018: 208 47 11 1 5 34 0 0 1 72 8 3 243
Glasnow, Tyler proj: 208 53 12 2 8 30 1 1 2 60 12 4 242
Holmes, Clay 2018: 103 30 5 0 2 23 1 0 2 21 4 0 129
Holmes, Clay proj: 103 30 5 0 2 23 1 0 2 21 4 0 129
Kela, Keone 2018: 55 10 4 0 2 5 0 0 0 22 2 2 60
Kela, Keone proj: 54 11 2 0 2 6 0 0 0 18 2 0 60
Kingham, Nick 2018: 305 79 21 1 18 26 2 4 5 69 1 1 342
Kingham, Nick proj: 305 79 21 1 18 26 2 4 5 69 1 1 342
Kontos, George 2018: 78 23 4 1 4 5 2 1 3 9 4 1 89
Kontos, George proj: 81 19 4 0 2 6 1 1 0 18 2 1 89
Kuhl, Chad 2018: 324 89 13 3 14 33 6 6 4 81 3 6 373
Kuhl, Chad proj: 328 88 21 2 10 34 3 4 4 76 4 3 373
McRae, Alex 2018: 26 8 4 0 0 5 0 0 1 5 0 0 32
McRae, Alex proj: 26 8 4 0 0 5 0 0 1 5 0 0 32
Musgrove, Joe 2018: 447 113 19 3 12 23 5 3 8 100 2 1 486
Musgrove, Joe proj: 446 117 23 3 16 27 3 3 6 102 2 1 485
Neverauskas, Dovydas 2018: 107 30 5 1 9 10 1 0 1 27 1 0 119
Neverauskas, Dovydas proj: 107 29 4 1 7 10 1 1 1 23 1 1 120
Nova, Ivan 2018: 638 171 34 5 26 35 2 4 4 114 5 2 683
Nova, Ivan proj: 623 170 37 3 21 44 4 4 8 117 9 4 683
Rodriguez, Richard 2018: 253 55 7 1 5 19 1 1 5 88 1 0 279
Rodriguez, Richard proj: 252 60 9 1 8 20 1 1 5 82 1 0 279
Romero, Enny 2018: 20 7 3 0 0 3 1 0 0 5 0 0 24
Romero, Enny proj: 21 6 1 0 1 3 0 0 0 6 1 0 24
Sadler, Casey 2018: 22 9 5 0 0 3 0 0 0 3 0 0 25
Sadler, Casey proj: 22 7 3 0 0 2 1 0 0 4 0 0 25
Santana, Edgar 2018: 254 61 14 0 7 12 1 1 3 54 2 1 271
Santana, Edgar proj: 247 59 15 0 7 18 1 2 3 57 2 1 271
Smoker, Josh 2018: 26 11 6 0 2 5 0 0 0 2 0 0 31
Smoker, Josh proj: 27 8 2 0 1 4 0 0 0 8 1 0 31
Taillon, Jameson 2018: 727 179 31 5 20 46 2 4 6 179 12 3 785
Taillon, Jameson proj: 721 189 40 4 19 48 3 7 6 171 15 2 785
Vazquez, Felipe 2018: 271 63 12 0 4 24 0 0 1 89 4 0 296
Vazquez, Felipe proj: 268 56 11 0 5 23 1 0 3 83 3 1 295
Williams, Trevor 2018: 632 146 33 3 15 55 4 6 4 126 3 6 701
Williams, Trevor proj: 628 155 34 2 16 56 4 7 6 127 5 5 701
2018 TEAM TOTALS: 5506 1380 287 26 174 497 35 37 69 1336 70 35 6144
PROJECTED: 5490 1398 300 22 172 509 33 43 68 1315 83 31 6143
difference: +16 -18 -13 +4 +2 -12 +2 -6 +1 +21 -13 +4 +1
Man AB H 2B 3B HR BB SF SH HBP SO SB CS BFP


Assorted Team Stats:
Stat Actual Projected
Batting Average: .251 .255
Slugging Average: .407 .411
Walks (per PA): .081 .083
SOs (per PA): .217 .214
On-Base Average: .317 .322
Power Factor: 1.62 1.62
OPS: .724 .733
TPP Runs (to date): 701 719

Runs differential:
Actual TPP 18 less than Projected TPP.




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This page was last modified on Monday, 1 October 2018, at 7:06 am Pacific Time.