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PIT "Expected" Pitching Results, 2017


About These Stats:

The form of "projection" used is very simple: each man's career numbers are pro-rated by his actual number of batters faced to date this season; those data, labelled "proj:" are shown along with the man's actual stats from this year to date. At the bottom of the Table, each set of lines—"projected" and actual—is separately summed to get Team Totals for each dataset.

Note that "career to date" includes each man's stats for the current year: "to date" is literally correct. For veteran players, that matters little, but for rookies or players with litle prior major-league experience, it means that the "projection" will perforce nearly or exactly match the actual stats to date. That seems like the best way to deal with newly arrived players' stats.

Note that owing to rounding in the pro-rating process, projected total BFP (batters faced) may occasionally differ by 1.

Below the player/team table is a smaller table showing a few key team "rate" stats (such as batting average) actual and projected.

The Actual Data:

Through games of Monday, 24 July 2017.
All results are from true, unadjusted data.

Handedness Key:   + R   * L

(You can also look up the stat definitions.)

Pitchers, listed in alphabetical order:
Each name is a click-on link to that man's career stats.

(or see the data for Batting)


Man AB H 2B 3B HR BB SF SH HBP SO SB CS BFP
Barbato, Johnny 2017: 88 22 6 0 4 13 0 0 2 17 0 0 103
Barbato, Johnny proj: 89 23 5 0 4 12 0 0 3 21 1 1 104
Bastardo, Antonio 2017: 43 16 3 0 5 9 0 0 0 8 3 0 52
Bastardo, Antonio proj: 45 9 2 0 1 6 0 0 0 15 1 0 51
Brault, Steven 2017: 4 2 1 0 0 1 0 1 0 0 0 0 6
Brault, Steven proj: 5 2 0 0 0 1 0 0 0 1 0 0 6
Cole, Gerrit 2017: 496 129 23 4 20 31 0 4 1 112 11 1 532
Cole, Gerrit proj: 486 124 23 3 10 33 3 5 5 119 15 4 532
Glasnow, Tyler 2017: 230 75 20 3 12 29 1 3 2 50 13 5 265
Glasnow, Tyler proj: 228 69 17 4 10 30 1 3 4 53 16 4 266
Hudson, Daniel 2017: 147 38 8 0 6 17 2 1 1 37 4 3 168
Hudson, Daniel proj: 153 39 8 1 4 12 1 1 1 34 2 1 168
Kuhl, Chad 2017: 371 104 29 5 9 39 3 4 4 80 6 1 421
Kuhl, Chad proj: 376 103 30 3 9 34 3 3 5 78 6 2 421
LeBlanc, Wade 2017: 200 52 13 0 7 13 0 1 0 39 1 0 214
LeBlanc, Wade proj: 193 52 11 1 7 16 1 2 1 35 2 2 213
Lindblom, Josh 2017: 48 18 3 0 0 3 0 0 0 10 0 1 51
Lindblom, Josh proj: 45 11 2 0 1 5 0 0 1 11 1 1 51
Marinez, Jhan 2017: 120 32 10 0 3 12 1 3 3 26 0 0 139
Marinez, Jhan proj: 121 33 8 1 3 13 1 2 3 25 1 1 140
Neverauskas, Dovydas 2017: 21 8 1 0 1 1 0 0 1 2 0 0 23
Neverauskas, Dovydas proj: 21 8 1 0 1 1 0 0 1 2 0 0 23
Nicasio, Juan 2017: 170 39 11 0 2 15 0 1 1 46 1 2 187
Nicasio, Juan proj: 167 45 11 2 5 16 1 2 1 39 3 1 187
Nova, Ivan 2017: 508 136 28 1 18 17 1 3 5 78 4 2 534
Nova, Ivan proj: 486 132 30 2 15 35 4 3 7 91 7 3 535
Rivero, Felipe 2017: 182 24 3 0 2 13 1 0 3 60 2 1 199
Rivero, Felipe proj: 179 35 8 0 3 16 1 0 3 54 2 1 199
Santana, Edgar 2017: 32 10 5 0 1 5 0 0 1 12 0 0 38
Santana, Edgar proj: 32 10 5 0 1 5 0 0 1 12 0 0 38
Schugel, A.J. 2017: 31 8 1 1 0 2 0 0 0 6 0 0 33
Schugel, A.J. proj: 31 8 1 0 1 2 0 0 0 7 0 0 33
Taillon, Jameson 2017: 280 76 19 2 5 24 0 4 3 72 6 0 311
Taillon, Jameson proj: 287 75 18 1 8 17 0 3 3 67 6 1 310
Watson, Tony 2017: 180 55 7 0 7 13 2 2 3 33 1 0 200
Watson, Tony proj: 180 40 7 0 5 14 2 2 3 43 4 1 201
Williams, Trevor 2017: 339 91 19 2 9 24 2 5 4 63 4 2 374
Williams, Trevor proj: 340 95 21 2 11 25 2 4 3 64 3 3 374
2017 TEAM TOTALS: 3490 935 210 18 111 281 13 32 34 751 56 18 3850
PROJECTED: 3464 913 208 20 99 293 20 30 45 771 70 26 3852
difference: +26 +22 +2 -2 +12 -12 -7 +2 -11 -20 -14 -8 -2
Man AB H 2B 3B HR BB SF SH HBP SO SB CS BFP


Assorted Team Stats:
Stat Actual Projected
Batting Average: .268 .264
Slugging Average: .434 .421
Walks (per PA): .073 .076
SOs (per PA): .195 .200
On-Base Average: .325 .325
Power Factor: 1.62 1.6
OPS: .758 .746
TPP Runs (to date): 479 465

Runs differential:
Actual TPP 14 more than Projected TPP.




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This page was last modified on Tuesday, 25 July 2017, at 7:06 am Pacific Time.