Owing to the screen size of your device, you may obtain a better viewing experience by rotating your device a quarter-turn (to get the so-called "panorama" screen view).
owlcroft logo
An Owlcroft Company web site
Click here to email us.

The Owlcroft Baseball-Analysis Site

Baseball team and player performance examined realistically and accurately.

Search this site, or just roll your cursor over the colored boxes below the pictures.

  Advertisement:


  Advertisement:


PIT "Expected" Pitching Results, 2018


About These Stats:

The form of "projection" used is very simple: each man's career numbers are pro-rated by his actual number of batters faced to date this season; those data, labelled "proj:" are shown along with the man's actual stats from this year to date. At the bottom of the Table, each set of lines—"projected" and actual—is separately summed to get Team Totals for each dataset.

Note that "career to date" includes each man's stats for the current year: "to date" is literally correct. For veteran players, that matters little, but for rookies or players with litle prior major-league experience, it means that the "projection" will perforce nearly or exactly match the actual stats to date. That seems like the best way to deal with newly arrived players' stats.

Note that owing to rounding in the pro-rating process, projected total BFP (batters faced) may occasionally differ by 1.

Below the player/team table is a smaller table showing a few key team "rate" stats (such as batting average) actual and projected.

The Actual Data:

Through games of Wednesday, 25 April 2018.
All results are from true, unadjusted data.

Handedness Key:   + R   * L

(You can also look up the stat definitions.)

Pitchers, listed in alphabetical order:
Each name is a click-on link to that man's career stats.

(or see the data for Batting)


Man AB H 2B 3B HR BB SF SH HBP SO SB CS BFP
Brault, Steven 2018: 86 19 4 0 2 12 0 1 2 15 0 0 101
Brault, Steven proj: 88 25 7 0 2 10 0 1 1 16 1 0 100
Crick, Kyle 2018: 20 4 0 0 1 1 0 1 0 8 1 0 22
Crick, Kyle proj: 19 4 0 0 0 3 0 0 0 5 0 0 22
Feliz, Michael 2018: 39 8 3 1 1 5 0 0 0 14 0 0 44
Feliz, Michael proj: 39 10 2 0 2 4 0 0 0 14 1 0 43
Glasnow, Tyler 2018: 48 10 1 1 1 9 0 0 0 18 3 0 57
Glasnow, Tyler proj: 48 14 3 1 2 8 0 1 1 12 3 1 58
Holmes, Clay 2018: 7 2 0 0 0 2 0 0 0 2 0 0 9
Holmes, Clay proj: 7 2 0 0 0 2 0 0 0 2 0 0 9
Kontos, George 2018: 43 13 1 1 2 2 0 1 1 2 1 1 47
Kontos, George proj: 43 10 2 0 1 3 0 0 0 9 1 0 46
Kuhl, Chad 2018: 108 34 4 3 3 8 2 1 2 25 2 0 121
Kuhl, Chad proj: 107 29 7 1 3 11 1 1 1 24 2 1 121
Neverauskas, Dovydas 2018: 30 11 4 0 2 3 0 0 1 2 0 0 34
Neverauskas, Dovydas proj: 31 9 2 0 1 3 0 0 0 5 0 0 34
Nova, Ivan 2018: 117 29 9 0 4 4 1 0 2 25 0 0 124
Nova, Ivan proj: 113 31 7 1 4 8 1 1 2 22 2 1 125
Rodriguez, Richard 2018: 20 6 1 1 0 0 0 0 0 10 1 0 20
Rodriguez, Richard proj: 18 7 2 0 2 1 0 0 0 5 0 0 19
Romero, Enny 2018: 20 7 3 0 0 3 1 0 0 5 0 0 24
Romero, Enny proj: 21 6 1 0 1 3 0 0 0 6 1 0 24
Santana, Edgar 2018: 40 9 2 0 1 3 0 0 0 9 0 0 43
Santana, Edgar proj: 37 9 3 0 1 5 0 0 0 10 0 0 42
Smoker, Josh 2018: 19 9 5 0 1 2 0 0 0 0 0 0 21
Smoker, Josh proj: 18 5 1 0 1 2 0 0 0 6 0 0 20
Taillon, Jameson 2018: 99 23 3 0 4 7 0 0 2 24 2 0 108
Taillon, Jameson proj: 99 27 6 0 3 7 0 1 1 23 2 0 108
Vazquez, Felipe 2018: 38 9 3 0 0 4 0 0 0 12 0 0 42
Vazquez, Felipe proj: 38 8 2 0 1 3 0 0 1 12 0 0 42
Williams, Trevor 2018: 100 19 6 0 1 15 1 0 0 21 0 3 116
Williams, Trevor proj: 103 26 6 0 3 10 1 1 1 21 1 1 116
2018 TEAM TOTALS: 834 212 49 7 23 80 5 4 10 192 10 4 933
PROJECTED: 829 222 51 3 27 83 3 6 8 192 14 4 929
difference: +5 -10 -2 +4 -4 -3 +2 -2 +2 0 -4 0 +4
Man AB H 2B 3B HR BB SF SH HBP SO SB CS BFP


Assorted Team Stats:
Stat Actual Projected
Batting Average: .254 .268
Slugging Average: .412 .434
Walks (per PA): .086 .089
SOs (per PA): .206 .206
On-Base Average: .324 .337
Power Factor: 1.62 1.62
OPS: .736 .771
TPP Runs (to date): 109 119

Runs differential:
Actual TPP 10 less than Projected TPP.




  Advertisement:


  Advertisement:



Want detailed, careful, unhysterical analysis of the effects of "Performance-Enhancing Drugs" in baseball? Click here to visit the Steroids & Baseball web site.

All content copyright © 2002 - 2018 by The Owlcroft Company.

This web page is strictly compliant with the W3C (World Wide Web Consortium) Extensible HyperText Markup Language (XHTML) Protocol v1.0 (Transitional) and the W3C Cascading Style Sheets (CSS) Protocol v3 — because we care about interoperability. Click on the logos below to test us!



This page was last modified on Thursday, 26 April 2018, at 6:53 am Pacific Time.