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Baseball team and player performance examined realistically and accurately.

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SDG "Expected" Pitching Results, 2018


About These Stats:

The form of "projection" used is very simple: each man's career numbers are pro-rated by his actual number of batters faced to date this season; those data, labelled "proj:" are shown along with the man's actual stats from this year to date. At the bottom of the Table, each set of lines—"projected" and actual—is separately summed to get Team Totals for each dataset.

Note that "career to date" includes each man's stats for the current year: "to date" is literally correct. For veteran players, that matters little, but for rookies or players with litle prior major-league experience, it means that the "projection" will perforce nearly or exactly match the actual stats to date. That seems like the best way to deal with newly arrived players' stats.

Note that owing to rounding in the pro-rating process, projected total BFP (batters faced) may occasionally differ by 1.

Below the player/team table is a smaller table showing a few key team "rate" stats (such as batting average) actual and projected.

The Actual Data:

Through games of Sunday, 30 September 2018.
All results are from true, unadjusted data.

Handedness Key:   + R   * L

(You can also look up the stat definitions.)

Pitchers, listed in alphabetical order:
Each name is a click-on link to that man's career stats.

(or see the data for Batting)


Man AB H 2B 3B HR BB SF SH HBP SO SB CS BFP
Baumann, Buddy 2018: 3 2 0 0 0 2 0 1 0 0 1 0 6
Baumann, Buddy proj: 5 1 0 0 0 1 0 0 0 2 0 0 6
Brewer, Colten 2018: 42 15 3 0 0 7 0 0 0 10 1 0 49
Brewer, Colten proj: 42 15 3 0 0 7 0 0 0 10 1 0 49
Castillo, Jose 2018: 135 23 4 0 3 12 0 0 3 52 3 1 150
Castillo, Jose proj: 135 23 4 0 3 12 0 0 3 52 3 1 150
Cimber, Adam 2018: 177 42 10 3 2 10 2 1 2 51 4 1 192
Cimber, Adam proj: 174 46 13 2 3 11 1 1 4 39 3 1 191
Diaz, Miguel 2018: 71 16 7 0 2 12 2 0 0 30 2 0 85
Diaz, Miguel proj: 71 18 4 1 4 11 1 1 1 19 1 1 85
Erlin, Robbie 2018: 419 112 20 2 12 12 5 3 0 88 5 3 439
Erlin, Robbie proj: 411 110 20 4 12 20 4 3 1 82 6 2 439
Hand, Brad 2018: 163 33 11 1 5 15 0 1 7 65 0 1 186
Hand, Brad proj: 165 38 8 1 5 17 1 2 2 43 3 1 187
Hughes, Phil 2018: 92 30 4 0 7 5 0 0 0 24 1 0 97
Hughes, Phil proj: 90 24 5 0 3 6 1 0 1 18 1 0 98
Kennedy, Brett 2018: 109 36 4 1 6 12 1 4 2 18 4 0 128
Kennedy, Brett proj: 109 36 4 1 6 12 1 4 2 18 4 0 128
Lauer, Eric 2018: 446 127 21 2 15 46 2 4 6 100 5 2 504
Lauer, Eric proj: 446 127 21 2 15 46 2 4 6 100 5 2 504
Lockett, Walker 2018: 66 22 5 1 4 10 0 0 0 12 1 0 76
Lockett, Walker proj: 66 22 5 1 4 10 0 0 0 12 1 0 76
Lucchesi, Joey 2018: 494 125 22 3 23 43 4 3 4 145 8 6 548
Lucchesi, Joey proj: 494 125 22 3 23 43 4 3 4 145 8 6 548
Lyles, Jordan 2018: 274 71 8 2 12 19 3 3 1 62 4 1 300
Lyles, Jordan proj: 269 76 15 2 9 23 2 2 4 48 4 1 300
Makita, Kazuhisa 2018: 133 32 6 0 7 12 0 2 2 37 1 0 149
Makita, Kazuhisa proj: 133 32 6 0 7 12 0 2 2 37 1 0 149
Maton, Phil 2018: 186 50 10 3 3 23 1 2 2 55 2 1 214
Maton, Phil proj: 191 49 8 2 7 20 1 1 2 55 2 1 215
McGrath, Kyle 2018: 15 3 1 0 2 3 0 0 0 4 0 0 18
McGrath, Kyle proj: 16 3 1 0 1 2 0 0 0 4 0 0 18
Mitchell, Bryan 2018: 289 85 14 2 12 43 2 1 2 38 11 1 337
Mitchell, Bryan proj: 295 86 16 2 8 37 1 1 3 44 6 2 337
Nix, Jacob 2018: 171 52 13 2 8 13 2 0 4 21 3 0 190
Nix, Jacob proj: 171 52 13 2 8 13 2 0 4 21 3 0 190
Perdomo, Luis 2018: 189 62 19 0 4 22 2 1 3 39 3 0 217
Perdomo, Luis proj: 195 59 12 1 6 18 1 1 2 36 3 1 217
Richard, Clayton 2018: 604 159 35 5 19 60 3 5 10 108 5 2 682
Richard, Clayton proj: 615 172 33 4 18 54 3 5 5 102 8 5 682
Ross, Tyson 2018: 466 112 23 3 16 52 4 1 7 107 6 3 530
Ross, Tyson proj: 463 115 20 2 9 53 4 3 6 114 15 5 529
Spangenberg, Cory 2018: 9 4 1 0 0 3 0 0 0 0 0 0 12
Spangenberg, Cory proj: 9 4 1 0 0 3 0 0 0 0 0 0 12
Stammen, Craig 2018: 294 65 18 0 3 17 1 2 3 88 5 0 317
Stammen, Craig proj: 287 73 17 2 7 23 2 3 2 62 7 1 317
Stock, Robert 2018: 150 37 5 0 1 13 0 1 2 38 1 4 166
Stock, Robert proj: 150 37 5 0 1 13 0 1 2 38 1 4 166
Strahm, Matt 2018: 219 39 8 1 6 21 1 1 3 69 3 2 245
Strahm, Matt proj: 212 41 8 1 6 27 1 2 4 68 2 2 246
Webb, Tyler 2018: 21 6 2 0 2 3 0 0 0 4 0 0 24
Webb, Tyler proj: 21 6 1 0 1 3 0 0 0 4 0 0 24
Wick, Rowan 2018: 37 13 3 1 1 1 0 0 0 7 1 0 38
Wick, Rowan proj: 37 13 3 1 1 1 0 0 0 7 1 0 38
Wieck, Brad 2018: 24 3 1 0 1 0 0 0 0 10 0 0 24
Wieck, Brad proj: 24 3 1 0 1 0 0 0 0 10 0 0 24
Wingenter, Trey 2018: 68 13 1 0 3 11 1 0 1 27 3 1 81
Wingenter, Trey proj: 68 13 1 0 3 11 1 0 1 27 3 1 81
Yates, Kirby 2018: 226 41 4 0 6 17 3 0 4 90 5 1 250
Yates, Kirby proj: 223 50 7 0 10 21 2 0 4 80 7 1 250
2018 TEAM TOTALS: 5592 1430 283 32 185 519 39 36 68 1399 88 30 6254
PROJECTED: 5587 1469 277 34 181 530 35 39 65 1297 99 38 6256
difference: +5 -39 +6 -2 +4 -11 +4 -3 +3 +102 -11 -8 -2
Man AB H 2B 3B HR BB SF SH HBP SO SB CS BFP


Assorted Team Stats:
Stat Actual Projected
Batting Average: .256 .263
Slugging Average: .417 .422
Walks (per PA): .083 .085
SOs (per PA): .224 .207
On-Base Average: .323 .330
Power Factor: 1.63 1.6
OPS: .740 .752
TPP Runs (to date): 748 773

Runs differential:
Actual TPP 25 less than Projected TPP.




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This page was last modified on Monday, 1 October 2018, at 7:06 am Pacific Time.