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SDG "Expected" Pitching Results, 2017


About These Stats:

The form of "projection" used is very simple: each man's career numbers are pro-rated by his actual number of batters faced to date this season; those data, labelled "proj:" are shown along with the man's actual stats from this year to date. At the bottom of the Table, each set of lines—"projected" and actual—is separately summed to get Team Totals for each dataset.

Note that "career to date" includes each man's stats for the current year: "to date" is literally correct. For veteran players, that matters little, but for rookies or players with litle prior major-league experience, it means that the "projection" will perforce nearly or exactly match the actual stats to date. That seems like the best way to deal with newly arrived players' stats.

Note that owing to rounding in the pro-rating process, projected total BFP (batters faced) may occasionally differ by 1.

Below the player/team table is a smaller table showing a few key team "rate" stats (such as batting average) actual and projected.

The Actual Data:

Through games of Sunday, 1 October 2017.
All results are from true, unadjusted data.

Handedness Key:   + R   * L

(You can also look up the stat definitions.)

Pitchers, listed in alphabetical order:
Each name is a click-on link to that man's career stats.

(or see the data for Batting)


Man AB H 2B 3B HR BB SF SH HBP SO SB CS BFP
Aybar, Erick 2017: 3 0 0 0 0 1 0 0 0 0 0 0 4
Aybar, Erick proj: 3 0 0 0 0 1 0 0 0 0 0 0 4
Baumann, Buddy 2017: 62 11 2 0 4 7 0 0 3 21 1 1 72
Baumann, Buddy proj: 62 12 2 0 3 7 0 0 3 20 1 1 72
Bethancourt, Christian 2017: 17 6 1 1 1 8 0 0 0 2 1 0 25
Bethancourt, Christian proj: 16 5 1 1 1 8 0 0 1 2 1 0 25
Buchter, Ryan 2017: 141 28 8 0 7 18 1 0 1 47 0 1 161
Buchter, Ryan proj: 140 24 7 1 4 18 2 0 2 45 1 1 162
Cahill, Trevor 2017: 235 58 13 1 6 24 0 1 3 72 10 2 263
Cahill, Trevor proj: 231 59 11 1 6 25 2 2 2 45 7 2 262
Capps, Carter 2017: 46 12 1 0 2 2 1 0 0 7 2 1 49
Capps, Carter proj: 44 11 2 0 1 4 0 0 0 14 2 0 48
Chacin, Jhoulys 2017: 667 157 31 2 19 72 6 6 14 153 5 3 765
Chacin, Jhoulys proj: 675 167 35 5 17 73 5 5 7 141 6 4 765
Cosart, Jarred 2017: 92 26 4 1 0 19 0 1 2 15 2 1 114
Cosart, Jarred proj: 99 25 4 1 2 13 1 0 1 17 1 1 114
Diaz, Miguel 2017: 160 44 7 2 11 25 2 2 3 33 1 2 192
Diaz, Miguel proj: 160 44 7 2 11 25 2 2 3 33 1 2 192
Esch, Jake 2017: 0 0 0 0 0 2 0 0 0 0 0 0 2
Esch, Jake proj: 2 1 0 0 0 0 0 0 0 0 0 0 2
Hand, Brad 2017: 282 54 7 1 9 20 1 1 7 104 3 0 311
Hand, Brad proj: 276 66 13 1 8 28 2 3 2 65 5 2 311
Lamet, Dinelson 2017: 419 88 22 2 18 54 5 1 6 139 7 3 485
Lamet, Dinelson proj: 419 88 22 2 18 54 5 1 6 139 7 3 485
Lee, Zach 2017: 32 8 2 0 1 8 1 0 0 6 0 0 41
Lee, Zach proj: 35 12 3 0 1 6 1 0 0 6 0 0 42
Lloyd, Kyle 2017: 18 6 2 0 1 2 0 0 0 2 1 0 20
Lloyd, Kyle proj: 18 6 2 0 1 2 0 0 0 2 1 0 20
Lyles, Jordan 2017: 102 35 9 1 5 10 0 1 0 22 1 0 113
Lyles, Jordan proj: 101 29 6 1 3 9 1 1 1 17 1 0 113
Maton, Phil 2017: 165 41 4 1 10 14 0 0 1 46 1 1 180
Maton, Phil proj: 165 41 4 1 10 14 0 0 1 46 1 1 180
Maurer, Brandon 2017: 152 39 9 0 4 8 1 0 1 38 1 0 162
Maurer, Brandon proj: 148 40 8 1 4 11 1 0 1 32 2 1 161
Mazzoni, Cory 2017: 41 17 1 0 5 4 0 0 1 4 1 0 46
Mazzoni, Cory proj: 41 19 4 0 3 4 0 0 0 6 1 0 45
McGrath, Kyle 2017: 67 14 2 0 2 6 2 0 0 16 2 2 75
McGrath, Kyle proj: 67 14 2 0 2 6 2 0 0 16 2 2 75
Melville, Tim 2017: 9 3 1 0 0 3 0 0 0 3 0 0 12
Melville, Tim proj: 9 3 1 0 1 2 0 0 0 2 0 0 11
Overton, Dillon 2017: 21 9 2 0 2 2 0 0 1 3 0 0 24
Overton, Dillon proj: 22 8 2 0 2 1 0 0 0 3 0 0 23
Perdomo, Luis 2017: 638 182 39 0 17 65 2 3 8 118 8 4 716
Perdomo, Luis proj: 646 192 35 2 21 58 3 2 8 116 10 2 717
Quackenbush, Kevin 2017: 107 32 4 0 5 16 1 0 1 23 0 0 125
Quackenbush, Kevin proj: 111 27 5 0 3 11 1 1 1 27 2 1 125
Richard, Clayton 2017: 780 240 48 8 24 59 5 6 8 151 4 10 858
Richard, Clayton proj: 776 218 41 4 22 66 4 6 5 128 10 7 857
Ruiz, Jose 2017: 3 0 0 0 0 1 0 0 0 1 0 0 4
Ruiz, Jose proj: 3 0 0 0 0 1 0 0 0 1 0 0 4
Sardinas, Luis 2017: 4 1 0 0 0 0 0 0 0 0 0 0 4
Sardinas, Luis proj: 4 1 0 0 0 0 0 0 0 0 0 0 4
Stammen, Craig 2017: 297 68 10 0 12 28 0 2 2 74 5 1 329
Stammen, Craig proj: 297 77 17 2 8 24 2 4 2 61 8 1 329
Torres, Jose 2017: 258 63 14 1 13 16 3 3 4 63 5 0 284
Torres, Jose proj: 257 63 15 1 12 17 3 3 4 63 5 0 284
Valdez, Jose 2017: 68 20 4 2 7 4 1 0 2 16 0 0 75
Valdez, Jose proj: 65 16 3 2 5 9 0 0 1 15 0 0 75
Weaver, Jered 2017: 173 51 9 0 16 12 1 1 4 23 5 0 191
Weaver, Jered proj: 176 43 9 1 6 12 1 1 1 36 4 1 191
Wood, Travis 2017: 210 62 12 0 15 25 1 4 1 36 1 2 241
Wood, Travis proj: 214 53 12 1 7 21 2 2 2 46 2 1 241
Yates, Kirby 2017: 204 42 7 0 10 19 1 0 2 87 9 0 226
Yates, Kirby proj: 201 48 8 0 11 20 1 0 3 69 7 1 225
2017 TEAM TOTALS: 5473 1417 275 23 226 554 35 32 75 1325 76 34 6169
PROJECTED: 5483 1412 281 30 193 550 41 33 57 1213 88 34 6164
difference: -10 +5 -6 -7 +33 +4 -6 -1 +18 +112 -12 0 +5
Man AB H 2B 3B HR BB SF SH HBP SO SB CS BFP


Assorted Team Stats:
Stat Actual Projected
Batting Average: .259 .258
Slugging Average: .441 .425
Walks (per PA): .090 .089
SOs (per PA): .215 .197
On-Base Average: .332 .328
Power Factor: 1.71 1.65
OPS: .773 .753
TPP Runs (to date): 795 760

Runs differential:
Actual TPP 35 more than Projected TPP.




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This page was last modified on Monday, 2 October 2017, at 7:15 am Pacific Time.