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SDG "Expected" Pitching Results, 2019


About These Stats:

The form of "projection" used is very simple: each man's career numbers are pro-rated by his actual number of batters faced to date this season; those data, labelled "proj:" are shown along with the man's actual stats from this year to date. At the bottom of the Table, each set of lines—"projected" and actual—is separately summed to get Team Totals for each dataset.

Note that "career to date" includes each man's stats for the current year: "to date" is literally correct. For veteran players, that matters little, but for rookies or players with litle prior major-league experience, it means that the "projection" will perforce nearly or exactly match the actual stats to date. That seems like the best way to deal with newly arrived players' stats.

Note that owing to rounding in the pro-rating process, projected total BFP (batters faced) may occasionally differ by 1.

Below the player/team table is a smaller table showing a few key team "rate" stats (such as batting average) actual and projected.

The Actual Data:

Through games of Monday, 16 September 2019.
All results are from true, unadjusted data.

Handedness Key:   + R   * L

(You can also look up the stat definitions.)

Pitchers, listed in alphabetical order:
Each name is a click-on link to that man's career stats.

(or see the data for Batting)


Man AB H 2B 3B HR BB SF SH HBP SO SB CS BFP
Allen, Logan 2019: 100 33 9 1 4 13 1 2 2 14 0 0 118
Allen, Logan proj: 101 33 9 1 4 12 1 2 2 16 0 1 118
Avila, Pedro 2019: 20 4 0 0 0 2 0 0 1 5 0 0 23
Avila, Pedro proj: 20 4 0 0 0 2 0 0 1 5 0 0 23
Baez, Michel 2019: 85 20 4 0 2 13 1 1 3 21 1 0 103
Baez, Michel proj: 85 20 4 0 2 13 1 1 3 21 1 0 103
Bednar, David 2019: 21 2 0 0 1 3 0 0 0 10 0 0 24
Bednar, David proj: 21 2 0 0 1 3 0 0 0 10 0 0 24
Bolanos, Ronald 2019: 54 13 4 1 3 7 1 0 0 11 0 0 62
Bolanos, Ronald proj: 54 13 4 1 3 7 1 0 0 11 0 0 62
Castillo, Jose 2019: 2 0 0 0 0 1 0 0 1 2 0 0 4
Castillo, Jose proj: 4 1 0 0 0 0 0 0 0 1 0 0 4
Diaz, Miguel 2019: 26 9 3 1 1 1 0 0 2 4 0 0 29
Diaz, Miguel proj: 24 7 2 0 1 4 0 0 0 6 0 0 28
Edwards Jr., Carl 2019: 10 4 0 0 0 4 0 0 0 2 0 0 14
Edwards Jr., Carl proj: 12 2 0 0 0 2 0 0 0 5 0 0 14
Erlin, Robbie 2019: 220 72 11 0 6 13 3 1 1 49 0 0 238
Erlin, Robbie proj: 222 62 11 2 6 11 2 2 1 45 3 1 238
France, Ty 2019: 8 2 0 0 1 0 0 0 0 0 0 0 8
France, Ty proj: 8 2 0 0 1 0 0 0 0 0 0 0 8
Guerra, Javy 2019: 19 6 1 0 3 3 0 0 0 4 0 0 22
Guerra, Javy proj: 19 6 1 0 3 3 0 0 0 4 0 0 22
Kinsler, Ian 2019: 3 1 0 0 0 2 0 0 1 0 0 0 6
Kinsler, Ian proj: 3 1 0 0 0 2 0 0 1 0 0 0 6
Lamet, Dinelson 2019: 233 53 13 0 8 25 2 2 4 81 5 1 266
Lamet, Dinelson proj: 231 50 12 1 9 28 2 1 4 78 4 1 266
Lauer, Eric 2019: 551 153 34 0 20 43 3 3 4 121 2 1 604
Lauer, Eric proj: 543 153 30 1 19 49 3 4 5 120 4 2 604
Loup, Aaron 2019: 11 2 1 0 0 1 1 0 1 5 0 0 14
Loup, Aaron proj: 12 3 1 0 0 1 0 0 0 3 0 0 13
Lucchesi, Joey 2019: 580 135 30 3 22 52 4 4 2 145 5 2 642
Lucchesi, Joey proj: 579 140 28 3 24 51 4 4 3 156 7 4 641
Margevicius, Nick 2019: 237 72 18 1 12 17 0 3 3 42 6 0 260
Margevicius, Nick proj: 237 72 18 1 12 17 0 3 3 42 6 0 260
Maton, Phil 2019: 106 34 8 1 6 6 0 2 1 20 0 0 115
Maton, Phil proj: 103 27 5 1 4 10 0 1 1 27 1 0 115
Morejon, Adrian 2019: 39 15 6 0 1 3 0 0 0 9 1 0 42
Morejon, Adrian proj: 39 15 6 0 1 3 0 0 0 9 1 0 42
Munoz, Andres 2019: 85 16 6 0 2 11 0 1 0 30 1 0 97
Munoz, Andres proj: 85 16 6 0 2 11 0 1 0 30 1 0 97
Paddack, Chris 2019: 508 106 21 1 22 30 3 4 6 144 0 1 551
Paddack, Chris proj: 508 106 21 1 22 30 3 4 6 144 0 1 551
Perdomo, Luis 2019: 248 63 11 1 5 15 0 2 2 51 3 4 267
Perdomo, Luis proj: 241 71 14 1 7 21 1 1 3 45 4 1 267
Quantrill, Cal 2019: 391 104 17 2 15 28 2 2 3 83 10 0 426
Quantrill, Cal proj: 391 104 17 2 15 28 2 2 3 83 10 0 426
Reyes, Gerardo 2019: 82 21 3 2 2 11 2 1 3 32 1 0 99
Reyes, Gerardo proj: 82 21 3 2 2 11 2 1 3 32 1 0 99
Richards, Garrett 2019: 16 5 2 1 0 0 0 0 0 5 0 0 16
Richards, Garrett proj: 14 3 1 0 0 1 0 0 0 3 0 0 15
Stammen, Craig 2019: 301 77 17 1 13 15 3 0 2 68 0 1 321
Stammen, Craig proj: 292 74 17 1 7 22 2 3 2 63 6 1 321
Stock, Robert 2019: 47 14 3 0 2 8 0 0 1 15 1 0 56
Stock, Robert proj: 50 13 2 0 1 5 0 0 1 13 1 1 56
Strahm, Matt 2019: 428 113 25 1 21 22 1 4 7 111 8 1 462
Strahm, Matt proj: 413 95 19 1 16 37 1 3 7 120 5 2 461
Warren, Adam 2019: 109 28 3 1 9 12 0 2 1 25 2 1 124
Warren, Adam proj: 111 26 5 0 3 10 1 1 1 26 1 1 124
Wieck, Brad 2019: 99 26 6 0 7 9 1 0 1 31 1 1 110
Wieck, Brad proj: 102 22 5 0 7 7 1 0 1 38 1 1 111
Wingenter, Trey 2019: 175 32 7 1 5 26 2 0 4 70 5 2 207
Wingenter, Trey 2019: 175 32 7 1 5 26 2 0 4 70 5 2 207
Wingenter, Trey proj: 175 32 6 1 6 27 2 0 4 70 6 2 208
Wingenter, Trey proj: 175 32 7 1 5 26 2 0 4 70 5 2 207
Wisler, Matt 2019: 117 34 5 1 5 10 1 1 0 34 0 1 129
Wisler, Matt proj: 117 32 7 1 5 9 1 1 1 23 2 0 129
Yardley, Eric 2019: 23 8 1 0 1 2 0 2 0 4 0 0 27
Yardley, Eric proj: 23 8 1 0 1 2 0 2 0 4 0 0 27
Yates, Kirby 2019: 214 40 11 0 2 12 1 1 7 99 3 1 235
Yates, Kirby proj: 211 45 8 0 8 18 1 0 4 80 6 1 234
2019 TEAM TOTALS: 5343 1349 287 21 206 446 34 38 67 1417 60 19 5928
PROJECTED: 5307 1313 270 22 197 483 33 37 64 1403 76 22 5924
difference: +36 +36 +17 -1 +9 -37 +1 +1 +3 +14 -16 -3 +4
Man AB H 2B 3B HR BB SF SH HBP SO SB CS BFP


Assorted Team Stats:
Stat Actual Projected
Batting Average: .252 .247
Slugging Average: .430 .418
Walks (per PA): .075 .081
SOs (per PA): .239 .237
On-Base Average: .314 .314
Power Factor: 1.7 1.69
OPS: .744 .732
TPP Runs (to date): 709 695

Runs differential:
Actual TPP 14 more than Projected TPP.




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This page was last modified on Tuesday, 17 September 2019, at 7:06 am Pacific Time.