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SDG "Expected" Pitching Results, 2018


About These Stats:

The form of "projection" used is very simple: each man's career numbers are pro-rated by his actual number of batters faced to date this season; those data, labelled "proj:" are shown along with the man's actual stats from this year to date. At the bottom of the Table, each set of lines—"projected" and actual—is separately summed to get Team Totals for each dataset.

Note that "career to date" includes each man's stats for the current year: "to date" is literally correct. For veteran players, that matters little, but for rookies or players with litle prior major-league experience, it means that the "projection" will perforce nearly or exactly match the actual stats to date. That seems like the best way to deal with newly arrived players' stats.

Note that owing to rounding in the pro-rating process, projected total BFP (batters faced) may occasionally differ by 1.

Below the player/team table is a smaller table showing a few key team "rate" stats (such as batting average) actual and projected.

The Actual Data:

Through games of Monday, 20 August 2018.
All results are from true, unadjusted data.

Handedness Key:   + R   * L

(You can also look up the stat definitions.)

Pitchers, listed in alphabetical order:
Each name is a click-on link to that man's career stats.

(or see the data for Batting)


Man AB H 2B 3B HR BB SF SH HBP SO SB CS BFP
Baumann, Buddy 2018: 3 2 0 0 0 2 0 1 0 0 1 0 6
Baumann, Buddy proj: 5 1 0 0 0 1 0 0 0 2 0 0 6
Brewer, Colten 2018: 14 5 1 0 0 2 0 0 0 3 0 0 16
Brewer, Colten proj: 14 5 1 0 0 2 0 0 0 3 0 0 16
Castillo, Jose 2018: 81 14 2 0 2 8 0 0 3 30 1 1 92
Castillo, Jose proj: 81 14 2 0 2 8 0 0 3 30 1 1 92
Cimber, Adam 2018: 177 42 10 3 2 10 2 1 2 51 4 1 192
Cimber, Adam proj: 176 45 10 3 3 11 2 1 3 45 4 1 193
Diaz, Miguel 2018: 16 3 2 0 0 2 0 0 0 8 0 0 18
Diaz, Miguel proj: 15 4 1 0 1 2 0 0 0 4 0 0 17
Erlin, Robbie 2018: 277 69 13 1 7 8 4 3 0 59 4 2 292
Erlin, Robbie proj: 272 71 13 3 7 14 3 3 1 54 5 1 293
Hand, Brad 2018: 163 33 11 1 5 15 0 1 7 65 0 1 186
Hand, Brad proj: 165 39 8 1 5 17 1 2 2 42 3 1 187
Hughes, Phil 2018: 92 30 4 0 7 5 0 0 0 24 1 0 97
Hughes, Phil proj: 90 24 5 0 3 6 1 0 1 18 1 0 98
Kennedy, Brett 2018: 63 26 3 1 5 4 1 2 0 9 1 0 70
Kennedy, Brett proj: 63 26 3 1 5 4 1 2 0 9 1 0 70
Lauer, Eric 2018: 354 111 19 2 13 37 2 3 2 75 5 2 398
Lauer, Eric proj: 354 111 19 2 13 37 2 3 2 75 5 2 398
Lockett, Walker 2018: 66 22 5 1 4 10 0 0 0 12 1 0 76
Lockett, Walker proj: 66 22 5 1 4 10 0 0 0 12 1 0 76
Lucchesi, Joey 2018: 351 87 14 1 15 34 2 2 4 99 4 5 393
Lucchesi, Joey proj: 351 87 14 1 15 34 2 2 4 99 4 5 393
Lyles, Jordan 2018: 274 71 8 2 12 19 3 3 1 62 4 1 300
Lyles, Jordan proj: 270 76 16 2 9 23 2 2 4 47 4 1 301
Makita, Kazuhisa 2018: 120 31 5 0 7 12 0 2 2 33 1 0 136
Makita, Kazuhisa proj: 120 31 5 0 7 12 0 2 2 33 1 0 136
Maton, Phil 2018: 145 37 8 2 1 16 1 2 2 42 0 1 166
Maton, Phil proj: 149 37 6 1 5 14 0 1 1 42 0 1 165
McGrath, Kyle 2018: 15 3 1 0 2 3 0 0 0 4 0 0 18
McGrath, Kyle proj: 16 3 1 0 1 2 0 0 0 4 0 0 18
Mitchell, Bryan 2018: 197 63 11 2 9 35 2 1 2 23 10 1 237
Mitchell, Bryan proj: 206 62 12 1 6 27 1 1 2 30 5 1 237
Nix, Jacob 2018: 29 9 1 0 1 4 0 0 1 5 0 0 34
Nix, Jacob proj: 29 9 1 0 1 4 0 0 1 5 0 0 34
Perdomo, Luis 2018: 172 60 19 0 4 21 2 1 3 33 3 0 199
Perdomo, Luis proj: 179 54 11 1 6 17 1 1 2 32 3 1 200
Richard, Clayton 2018: 585 150 32 5 17 58 3 5 10 105 5 2 661
Richard, Clayton proj: 597 166 32 3 17 52 3 5 4 99 8 5 661
Ross, Tyson 2018: 466 112 23 3 16 52 4 1 7 107 6 3 530
Ross, Tyson proj: 464 114 20 2 9 53 3 3 6 114 16 5 529
Spangenberg, Cory 2018: 9 4 1 0 0 3 0 0 0 0 0 0 12
Spangenberg, Cory proj: 9 4 1 0 0 3 0 0 0 0 0 0 12
Stammen, Craig 2018: 232 53 14 0 2 12 1 1 3 70 4 0 249
Stammen, Craig proj: 226 58 13 1 5 18 2 3 2 48 6 1 251
Stock, Robert 2018: 86 23 3 0 1 6 0 0 2 27 0 3 94
Stock, Robert proj: 86 23 3 0 1 6 0 0 2 27 0 3 94
Strahm, Matt 2018: 166 28 5 1 4 17 1 1 3 50 2 1 188
Strahm, Matt proj: 161 31 5 0 4 22 1 1 3 51 1 1 188
Webb, Tyler 2018: 21 6 2 0 2 3 0 0 0 4 0 0 24
Webb, Tyler proj: 21 6 1 0 1 2 0 0 0 5 0 0 23
Wingenter, Trey 2018: 21 3 0 0 1 3 1 0 0 8 2 0 25
Wingenter, Trey proj: 21 3 0 0 1 3 1 0 0 8 2 0 25
Yates, Kirby 2018: 176 34 4 0 4 13 2 0 4 66 2 1 195
Yates, Kirby proj: 174 40 6 0 8 17 1 0 3 61 5 1 195
2018 TEAM TOTALS: 4371 1131 221 25 143 414 31 30 58 1074 61 25 4904
PROJECTED: 4380 1166 214 23 139 421 27 32 48 999 76 31 4908
difference: -9 -35 +7 +2 +4 -7 +4 -2 +10 +75 -15 -6 -4
Man AB H 2B 3B HR BB SF SH HBP SO SB CS BFP


Assorted Team Stats:
Stat Actual Projected
Batting Average: .259 .266
Slugging Average: .419 .421
Walks (per PA): .084 .086
SOs (per PA): .219 .204
On-Base Average: .327 .333
Power Factor: 1.62 1.58
OPS: .746 .754
TPP Runs (to date): 594 610

Runs differential:
Actual TPP 16 less than Projected TPP.




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This page was last modified on Tuesday, 21 August 2018, at 7:11 am Pacific Time.