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SDG "Expected" Pitching Results, 2017


About These Stats:

The form of "projection" used is very simple: each man's career numbers are pro-rated by his actual number of batters faced to date this season; those data, labelled "proj:" are shown along with the man's actual stats from this year to date. At the bottom of the Table, each set of lines—"projected" and actual—is separately summed to get Team Totals for each dataset.

Note that "career to date" includes each man's stats for the current year: "to date" is literally correct. For veteran players, that matters little, but for rookies or players with litle prior major-league experience, it means that the "projection" will perforce nearly or exactly match the actual stats to date. That seems like the best way to deal with newly arrived players' stats.

Note that owing to rounding in the pro-rating process, projected total BFP (batters faced) may occasionally differ by 1.

Below the player/team table is a smaller table showing a few key team "rate" stats (such as batting average) actual and projected.

The Actual Data:

Through games of Wednesday, 21 June 2017.
All results are from true, unadjusted data.

Handedness Key:   + R   * L

(You can also look up the stat definitions.)

Pitchers, listed in alphabetical order:
Each name is a click-on link to that man's career stats.

(or see the data for Batting)


Man AB H 2B 3B HR BB SF SH HBP SO SB CS BFP
Aybar, Erick 2017: 3 0 0 0 0 1 0 0 0 0 0 0 4
Aybar, Erick proj: 3 0 0 0 0 1 0 0 0 0 0 0 4
Bethancourt, Christian 2017: 17 6 1 1 1 8 0 0 0 2 1 0 25
Bethancourt, Christian proj: 16 5 1 1 1 8 0 0 1 2 1 0 25
Buchter, Ryan 2017: 100 20 6 0 5 15 0 0 1 32 0 1 116
Buchter, Ryan proj: 100 17 6 0 3 15 1 0 1 35 1 1 117
Cahill, Trevor 2017: 154 33 5 0 3 17 0 0 2 51 7 1 173
Cahill, Trevor proj: 152 39 7 1 4 16 1 2 2 30 4 1 173
Chacin, Jhoulys 2017: 320 83 15 0 13 29 2 2 4 72 2 1 357
Chacin, Jhoulys proj: 316 79 16 2 8 34 2 2 3 65 3 2 357
Cosart, Jarred 2017: 92 26 4 1 0 19 0 1 2 15 2 1 114
Cosart, Jarred proj: 99 25 4 1 2 13 1 0 1 17 1 1 114
Diaz, Miguel 2017: 121 31 4 2 7 18 2 1 2 25 0 1 144
Diaz, Miguel proj: 121 31 4 2 7 18 2 1 2 25 0 1 144
Esch, Jake 2017: 0 0 0 0 0 2 0 0 0 0 0 0 2
Esch, Jake proj: 2 1 0 0 0 0 0 0 0 0 0 0 2
Hand, Brad 2017: 142 29 3 1 4 12 1 1 4 49 3 0 160
Hand, Brad proj: 141 35 7 1 4 15 1 2 1 32 3 1 160
Lamet, Dinelson 2017: 96 23 8 0 8 9 0 0 2 37 1 0 107
Lamet, Dinelson proj: 96 23 8 0 8 9 0 0 2 37 1 0 107
Lee, Zach 2017: 32 8 2 0 1 8 1 0 0 6 0 0 41
Lee, Zach proj: 35 12 3 0 1 6 1 0 0 6 0 0 42
Maton, Phil 2017: 15 1 0 0 0 0 0 0 0 6 0 0 15
Maton, Phil proj: 15 1 0 0 0 0 0 0 0 6 0 0 15
Maurer, Brandon 2017: 111 30 8 0 3 6 1 0 1 28 1 0 119
Maurer, Brandon proj: 109 29 6 1 3 8 1 0 1 24 2 1 119
Perdomo, Luis 2017: 261 74 15 0 9 23 1 0 6 55 2 2 291
Perdomo, Luis proj: 264 80 13 1 10 21 2 0 4 49 4 1 291
Quackenbush, Kevin 2017: 70 18 3 0 1 14 1 0 1 19 0 0 86
Quackenbush, Kevin proj: 76 18 4 0 2 8 1 0 0 19 2 1 85
Richard, Clayton 2017: 361 108 20 2 10 25 2 6 3 67 3 7 397
Richard, Clayton proj: 359 100 19 2 10 31 2 3 2 58 5 3 397
Sardinas, Luis 2017: 4 1 0 0 0 0 0 0 0 0 0 0 4
Sardinas, Luis proj: 4 1 0 0 0 0 0 0 0 0 0 0 4
Stammen, Craig 2017: 162 38 7 0 9 13 0 1 1 41 4 0 177
Stammen, Craig proj: 160 42 10 1 4 13 1 2 1 32 4 1 177
Torres, Jose 2017: 121 27 4 1 7 8 0 1 4 35 5 0 134
Torres, Jose proj: 120 27 5 1 6 9 0 1 4 34 5 0 134
Valdez, Jose 2017: 22 5 1 0 1 1 1 0 2 7 0 0 26
Valdez, Jose proj: 22 5 1 0 1 3 0 0 0 5 0 0 25
Weaver, Jered 2017: 173 51 9 0 16 12 1 1 4 23 5 0 191
Weaver, Jered proj: 176 43 9 1 6 12 1 1 1 36 4 1 191
Yates, Kirby 2017: 85 20 4 0 3 8 0 0 0 34 4 0 93
Yates, Kirby proj: 82 21 4 0 4 9 0 0 1 26 3 1 92
2017 TEAM TOTALS: 2462 632 119 8 101 248 13 14 39 604 40 14 2776
PROJECTED: 2468 634 127 15 84 249 17 14 27 538 43 16 2775
difference: -6 -2 -8 -7 +17 -1 -4 0 +12 +66 -3 -2 +1
Man AB H 2B 3B HR BB SF SH HBP SO SB CS BFP


Assorted Team Stats:
Stat Actual Projected
Batting Average: .257 .257
Slugging Average: .435 .423
Walks (per PA): .089 .090
SOs (per PA): .218 .194
On-Base Average: .331 .328
Power Factor: 1.69 1.65
OPS: .766 .751
TPP Runs (to date): 355 341

Runs differential:
Actual TPP 14 more than Projected TPP.




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This page was last modified on Thursday, 22 June 2017, at 7:04 am Pacific Time.