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SDG "Expected" Pitching Results, 2017


About These Stats:

The form of "projection" used is very simple: each man's career numbers are pro-rated by his actual number of batters faced to date this season; those data, labelled "proj:" are shown along with the man's actual stats from this year to date. At the bottom of the Table, each set of lines—"projected" and actual—is separately summed to get Team Totals for each dataset.

Note that "career to date" includes each man's stats for the current year: "to date" is literally correct. For veteran players, that matters little, but for rookies or players with litle prior major-league experience, it means that the "projection" will perforce nearly or exactly match the actual stats to date. That seems like the best way to deal with newly arrived players' stats.

Note that owing to rounding in the pro-rating process, projected total BFP (batters faced) may occasionally differ by 1.

Below the player/team table is a smaller table showing a few key team "rate" stats (such as batting average) actual and projected.

The Actual Data:

Through games of Monday, 22 May 2017.
All results are from true, unadjusted data.

Handedness Key:   + R   * L

(You can also look up the stat definitions.)

Pitchers, listed in alphabetical order:
Each name is a click-on link to that man's career stats.

(or see the data for Batting)


Man AB H 2B 3B HR BB SF SH HBP SO SB CS BFP
Aybar, Erick 2017: 1 0 0 0 0 0 0 0 0 0 0 0 1
Aybar, Erick proj: 1 0 0 0 0 0 0 0 0 0 0 0 1
Bethancourt, Christian 2017: 17 6 1 1 1 8 0 0 0 2 1 0 25
Bethancourt, Christian proj: 16 5 1 1 1 8 0 0 1 2 1 0 25
Buchter, Ryan 2017: 64 12 4 0 4 6 0 0 0 17 0 1 70
Buchter, Ryan proj: 61 10 4 0 2 8 0 0 0 21 0 1 69
Cahill, Trevor 2017: 154 33 5 0 3 17 0 0 2 51 7 1 173
Cahill, Trevor proj: 152 39 7 1 4 16 1 2 2 30 4 1 173
Chacin, Jhoulys 2017: 200 48 10 0 7 18 1 0 2 43 1 1 221
Chacin, Jhoulys proj: 196 49 10 1 5 21 2 1 2 40 2 1 222
Cosart, Jarred 2017: 48 13 2 0 0 7 0 1 1 7 2 1 57
Cosart, Jarred proj: 50 12 2 0 1 7 0 0 0 8 1 0 57
Diaz, Miguel 2017: 75 21 3 1 5 12 2 0 2 13 0 1 91
Diaz, Miguel proj: 75 21 3 1 5 12 2 0 2 13 0 1 91
Esch, Jake 2017: 0 0 0 0 0 2 0 0 0 0 0 0 2
Esch, Jake proj: 2 1 0 0 0 0 0 0 0 0 0 0 2
Hand, Brad 2017: 85 14 2 1 2 9 0 1 2 31 1 0 97
Hand, Brad proj: 86 21 4 0 2 9 1 1 1 19 2 1 98
Lee, Zach 2017: 32 8 2 0 1 8 1 0 0 6 0 0 41
Lee, Zach proj: 35 12 3 0 1 6 1 0 0 6 0 0 42
Maurer, Brandon 2017: 69 20 3 0 2 4 0 0 0 22 1 0 73
Maurer, Brandon proj: 67 18 3 0 2 5 0 0 1 15 1 0 73
Perdomo, Luis 2017: 148 45 8 0 3 11 1 0 4 36 1 2 164
Perdomo, Luis proj: 150 46 7 1 5 11 1 0 2 28 3 0 164
Quackenbush, Kevin 2017: 39 11 1 0 1 6 0 0 0 11 0 0 45
Quackenbush, Kevin proj: 40 9 2 0 1 4 1 0 0 10 1 0 45
Richard, Clayton 2017: 239 69 13 1 7 18 1 3 1 45 3 3 262
Richard, Clayton proj: 237 65 12 1 7 21 1 2 1 38 4 2 262
Sardinas, Luis 2017: 4 1 0 0 0 0 0 0 0 0 0 0 4
Sardinas, Luis proj: 4 1 0 0 0 0 0 0 0 0 0 0 4
Stammen, Craig 2017: 98 27 5 0 6 8 0 0 1 24 3 0 107
Stammen, Craig proj: 97 26 6 1 2 8 1 1 1 19 3 0 108
Torres, Jose 2017: 82 17 3 1 3 3 0 1 2 25 5 0 88
Torres, Jose proj: 81 17 4 1 3 4 0 1 2 24 4 0 88
Valdez, Jose 2017: 10 2 0 0 0 1 0 0 0 3 0 0 11
Valdez, Jose proj: 9 2 0 0 0 2 0 0 0 2 0 0 11
Weaver, Jered 2017: 173 51 9 0 16 12 1 1 4 23 5 0 191
Weaver, Jered proj: 176 43 9 1 6 12 1 1 1 36 4 1 191
Yates, Kirby 2017: 32 7 1 0 0 4 0 0 0 10 2 0 36
Yates, Kirby proj: 32 8 1 0 2 3 0 0 1 9 1 0 36
2017 TEAM TOTALS: 1570 405 72 5 61 154 7 7 21 369 32 10 1759
PROJECTED: 1567 405 78 9 49 157 12 9 17 320 31 8 1762
difference: +3 0 -6 -4 +12 -3 -5 -2 +4 +49 +1 +2 -3
Man AB H 2B 3B HR BB SF SH HBP SO SB CS BFP


Assorted Team Stats:
Stat Actual Projected
Batting Average: .258 .258
Slugging Average: .427 .414
Walks (per PA): .088 .089
SOs (per PA): .210 .182
On-Base Average: .330 .329
Power Factor: 1.65 1.6
OPS: .756 .742
TPP Runs (to date): 222 215

Runs differential:
Actual TPP 7 more than Projected TPP.




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This page was last modified on Tuesday, 23 May 2017, at 6:59 am Pacific Time.