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SDG "Expected" Pitching Results, 2019


About These Stats:

The form of "projection" used is very simple: each man's career numbers are pro-rated by his actual number of batters faced to date this season; those data, labelled "proj:" are shown along with the man's actual stats from this year to date. At the bottom of the Table, each set of lines—"projected" and actual—is separately summed to get Team Totals for each dataset.

Note that "career to date" includes each man's stats for the current year: "to date" is literally correct. For veteran players, that matters little, but for rookies or players with litle prior major-league experience, it means that the "projection" will perforce nearly or exactly match the actual stats to date. That seems like the best way to deal with newly arrived players' stats.

Note that owing to rounding in the pro-rating process, projected total BFP (batters faced) may occasionally differ by 1.

Below the player/team table is a smaller table showing a few key team "rate" stats (such as batting average) actual and projected.

The Actual Data:

Through games of Monday, 30 September 2019.
All results are from true, unadjusted data.

Handedness Key:   + R   * L

(You can also look up the stat definitions.)

Pitchers, listed in alphabetical order:
Each name is a click-on link to that man's career stats.

(or see the data for Batting)


Man AB H 2B 3B HR BB SF SH HBP SO SB CS BFP
Allen, Logan 2019: 100 33 9 1 4 13 1 2 2 14 0 0 118
Allen, Logan proj: 101 33 9 1 4 12 1 2 2 16 0 1 118
Avila, Pedro 2019: 20 4 0 0 0 2 0 0 1 5 0 0 23
Avila, Pedro proj: 20 4 0 0 0 2 0 0 1 5 0 0 23
Baez, Michel 2019: 112 25 7 0 3 14 1 1 3 28 1 0 131
Baez, Michel proj: 112 25 7 0 3 14 1 1 3 28 1 0 131
Bednar, David 2019: 40 10 3 0 3 5 1 2 0 14 1 0 48
Bednar, David proj: 40 10 3 0 3 5 1 2 0 14 1 0 48
Bolanos, Ronald 2019: 74 17 6 1 3 12 1 0 1 19 0 0 88
Bolanos, Ronald proj: 74 17 6 1 3 12 1 0 1 19 0 0 88
Castillo, Jose 2019: 2 0 0 0 0 1 0 0 1 2 0 0 4
Castillo, Jose proj: 4 1 0 0 0 0 0 0 0 1 0 0 4
Diaz, Miguel 2019: 26 9 3 1 1 1 0 0 2 4 0 0 29
Diaz, Miguel proj: 24 7 2 0 1 4 0 0 0 6 0 0 28
Edwards Jr., Carl 2019: 10 4 0 0 0 4 0 0 0 2 0 0 14
Edwards Jr., Carl proj: 12 2 0 0 0 2 0 0 0 5 0 0 14
Erlin, Robbie 2019: 231 72 11 0 6 15 3 1 1 52 0 0 251
Erlin, Robbie proj: 234 65 11 2 7 12 3 2 1 48 3 1 252
France, Ty 2019: 8 2 0 0 1 0 0 0 0 0 0 0 8
France, Ty proj: 8 2 0 0 1 0 0 0 0 0 0 0 8
Guerra, Javy 2019: 32 7 2 0 3 3 1 0 0 6 0 0 36
Guerra, Javy proj: 32 7 2 0 3 3 1 0 0 6 0 0 36
Kinsler, Ian 2019: 3 1 0 0 0 2 0 0 1 0 0 0 6
Kinsler, Ian proj: 3 1 0 0 0 2 0 0 1 0 0 0 6
Lamet, Dinelson 2019: 274 62 14 0 12 30 2 2 5 105 5 2 313
Lamet, Dinelson proj: 272 59 14 1 12 33 3 1 4 96 5 2 313
Lauer, Eric 2019: 589 158 35 0 20 51 3 3 5 138 2 1 651
Lauer, Eric proj: 583 161 32 1 20 55 3 4 6 134 4 2 651
Loup, Aaron 2019: 11 2 1 0 0 1 1 0 1 5 0 0 14
Loup, Aaron proj: 12 3 1 0 0 1 0 0 0 3 0 0 13
Lucchesi, Joey 2019: 619 144 32 3 23 56 4 5 2 158 5 2 686
Lucchesi, Joey proj: 619 150 30 3 26 55 4 4 3 168 7 4 685
Margevicius, Nick 2019: 238 73 19 1 12 19 0 3 3 42 6 0 263
Margevicius, Nick proj: 238 73 19 1 12 19 0 3 3 42 6 0 263
Maton, Phil 2019: 106 34 8 1 6 6 0 2 1 20 0 0 115
Maton, Phil proj: 103 27 5 1 4 10 0 1 1 28 1 0 115
Morejon, Adrian 2019: 39 15 6 0 1 3 0 0 0 9 1 0 42
Morejon, Adrian proj: 39 15 6 0 1 3 0 0 0 9 1 0 42
Munoz, Andres 2019: 85 16 6 0 2 11 0 1 0 30 1 0 97
Munoz, Andres proj: 85 16 6 0 2 11 0 1 0 30 1 0 97
Paddack, Chris 2019: 524 107 21 1 23 31 3 4 6 153 0 1 568
Paddack, Chris proj: 524 107 21 1 23 31 3 4 6 153 0 1 568
Perdomo, Luis 2019: 274 69 13 1 6 18 0 2 2 55 4 4 296
Perdomo, Luis proj: 267 78 15 1 8 24 1 1 3 50 4 1 296
Quantrill, Cal 2019: 407 106 18 3 15 28 3 2 3 89 10 0 443
Quantrill, Cal proj: 407 106 18 3 15 28 3 2 3 89 10 0 443
Reyes, Gerardo 2019: 100 24 4 2 3 11 2 1 3 38 1 0 117
Reyes, Gerardo proj: 100 24 4 2 3 11 2 1 3 38 1 0 117
Richards, Garrett 2019: 34 10 3 2 2 6 0 1 0 11 0 0 41
Richards, Garrett proj: 37 9 2 0 1 4 0 0 0 9 1 0 41
Stammen, Craig 2019: 319 80 17 1 13 15 3 0 2 73 1 1 339
Stammen, Craig proj: 308 78 18 2 8 23 2 3 2 67 7 1 338
Stock, Robert 2019: 47 14 3 0 2 8 0 0 1 15 1 0 56
Stock, Robert proj: 50 13 2 0 1 5 0 0 1 13 1 1 56
Strahm, Matt 2019: 453 121 27 1 22 22 1 4 7 118 8 1 487
Strahm, Matt proj: 437 102 21 1 17 38 2 4 7 127 6 3 488
Warren, Adam 2019: 109 28 3 1 9 12 0 2 1 25 2 1 124
Warren, Adam proj: 111 26 5 0 3 10 1 1 1 26 1 1 124
Wieck, Brad 2019: 99 26 6 0 7 9 1 0 1 31 1 1 110
Wieck, Brad proj: 99 20 5 0 6 8 1 0 2 38 1 1 110
Wingenter, Trey 2019: 182 34 8 1 5 28 2 1 5 72 5 2 218
Wingenter, Trey 2019: 182 34 8 1 5 28 2 1 5 72 5 2 218
Wingenter, Trey proj: 182 34 7 1 6 28 2 1 4 72 6 2 217
Wingenter, Trey proj: 182 34 8 1 5 28 2 1 5 72 5 2 218
Wisler, Matt 2019: 117 34 5 1 5 10 1 1 0 34 0 1 129
Wisler, Matt proj: 117 32 7 1 5 10 1 1 1 23 2 0 130
Yardley, Eric 2019: 46 12 1 0 1 3 0 2 1 7 0 0 52
Yardley, Eric proj: 46 12 1 0 1 3 0 2 1 7 0 0 52
Yates, Kirby 2019: 221 41 11 0 2 13 1 1 7 101 3 1 243
Yates, Kirby proj: 218 47 8 0 8 19 1 0 4 82 6 1 242
2019 TEAM TOTALS: 5733 1428 310 23 220 491 37 44 73 1547 63 20 6378
PROJECTED: 5700 1400 295 24 212 525 39 42 69 1524 81 24 6375
difference: +33 +28 +15 -1 +8 -34 -2 +2 +4 +23 -18 -4 +3
Man AB H 2B 3B HR BB SF SH HBP SO SB CS BFP


Assorted Team Stats:
Stat Actual Projected
Batting Average: .249 .246
Slugging Average: .426 .417
Walks (per PA): .077 .082
SOs (per PA): .243 .239
On-Base Average: .312 .313
Power Factor: 1.71 1.7
OPS: .739 .730
TPP Runs (to date): 753 742

Runs differential:
Actual TPP 11 more than Projected TPP.




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This page was last modified on Tuesday, 1 October 2019, at 7:36 am Pacific Time.