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SDG "Expected" Pitching Results, 2017


About These Stats:

The form of "projection" used is very simple: each man's career numbers are pro-rated by his actual number of batters faced to date this season; those data, labelled "proj:" are shown along with the man's actual stats from this year to date. At the bottom of the Table, each set of lines—"projected" and actual—is separately summed to get Team Totals for each dataset.

Note that "career to date" includes each man's stats for the current year: "to date" is literally correct. For veteran players, that matters little, but for rookies or players with litle prior major-league experience, it means that the "projection" will perforce nearly or exactly match the actual stats to date. That seems like the best way to deal with newly arrived players' stats.

Note that owing to rounding in the pro-rating process, projected total BFP (batters faced) may occasionally differ by 1.

Below the player/team table is a smaller table showing a few key team "rate" stats (such as batting average) actual and projected.

The Actual Data:

Through games of Thursday, 27 April 2017.
All results are from true, unadjusted data.

Handedness Key:   + R   * L

(You can also look up the stat definitions.)

Pitchers, listed in alphabetical order:
Each name is a click-on link to that man's career stats.

(or see the data for Batting)


Man AB H 2B 3B HR BB SF SH HBP SO SB CS BFP
Aybar, Erick 2017: 1 0 0 0 0 0 0 0 0 0 0 0 1
Aybar, Erick proj: 1 0 0 0 0 0 0 0 0 0 0 0 1
Bethancourt, Christian 2017: 17 6 1 1 1 8 0 0 0 2 1 0 25
Bethancourt, Christian proj: 16 5 1 1 1 8 0 0 1 2 1 0 25
Buchter, Ryan 2017: 32 7 3 0 2 3 0 0 0 8 0 1 35
Buchter, Ryan proj: 30 5 2 0 1 4 0 0 0 11 0 0 34
Cahill, Trevor 2017: 91 21 3 0 2 11 0 0 1 30 4 0 103
Cahill, Trevor proj: 91 23 4 1 2 10 1 1 1 17 3 1 104
Chacin, Jhoulys 2017: 112 30 8 0 4 10 1 0 1 21 1 1 124
Chacin, Jhoulys proj: 110 27 6 1 3 12 1 1 1 22 1 1 125
Cosart, Jarred 2017: 30 8 2 0 0 6 0 0 0 4 2 0 36
Cosart, Jarred proj: 31 8 1 0 1 4 0 0 0 5 0 0 35
Diaz, Miguel 2017: 39 8 2 1 3 1 2 0 0 6 0 0 42
Diaz, Miguel proj: 39 8 2 1 3 1 2 0 0 6 0 0 42
Esch, Jake 2017: 0 0 0 0 0 2 0 0 0 0 0 0 2
Esch, Jake proj: 2 1 0 0 0 0 0 0 0 0 0 0 2
Hand, Brad 2017: 36 5 2 0 1 2 0 0 1 11 0 0 39
Hand, Brad proj: 34 8 2 0 1 4 0 0 0 7 1 0 38
Lee, Zach 2017: 32 8 2 0 1 8 1 0 0 6 0 0 41
Lee, Zach proj: 35 12 3 0 1 6 1 0 0 6 0 0 42
Maurer, Brandon 2017: 31 6 1 0 1 1 0 0 0 12 1 0 32
Maurer, Brandon proj: 29 8 1 0 1 2 0 0 0 6 0 0 31
Perdomo, Luis 2017: 41 11 2 0 1 4 0 0 0 8 0 0 45
Perdomo, Luis proj: 41 13 2 0 2 3 0 0 0 7 1 0 44
Quackenbush, Kevin 2017: 20 5 0 0 0 0 0 0 0 8 0 0 20
Quackenbush, Kevin proj: 18 4 1 0 0 2 0 0 0 4 0 0 20
Richard, Clayton 2017: 117 36 4 1 5 10 0 2 0 20 2 2 129
Richard, Clayton proj: 117 32 6 1 3 10 1 1 1 18 2 1 130
Stammen, Craig 2017: 45 16 2 0 4 5 0 0 0 9 3 0 50
Stammen, Craig proj: 45 12 3 0 1 4 0 1 0 9 1 0 50
Torres, Jose 2017: 41 8 2 0 2 1 0 0 2 15 4 0 44
Torres, Jose proj: 40 8 3 0 2 2 0 0 2 14 3 0 44
Weaver, Jered 2017: 108 25 4 0 10 6 0 0 1 14 2 0 115
Weaver, Jered proj: 106 26 5 0 3 7 1 0 1 22 3 1 115
Yates, Kirby 2017: 5 1 1 0 0 1 0 0 0 0 1 0 6
Yates, Kirby proj: 5 1 0 0 0 1 0 0 0 2 0 0 6
2017 TEAM TOTALS: 798 201 39 3 37 79 4 2 6 174 21 4 889
PROJECTED: 790 201 42 5 25 80 7 4 7 158 16 4 888
difference: +8 0 -3 -2 +12 -1 -3 -2 -1 +16 +5 0 +1
Man AB H 2B 3B HR BB SF SH HBP SO SB CS BFP


Assorted Team Stats:
Stat Actual Projected
Batting Average: .252 .254
Slugging Average: .447 .415
Walks (per PA): .089 .090
SOs (per PA): .196 .178
On-Base Average: .322 .324
Power Factor: 1.78 1.63
OPS: .769 .740
TPP Runs (to date): 116 107

Runs differential:
Actual TPP 9 more than Projected TPP.




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This page was last modified on Friday, 28 April 2017, at 6:56 am Pacific Time.