Owing to the screen size of your device, you may obtain a better viewing experience by rotating your device a quarter-turn (to get the so-called "panorama" screen view).
owlcroft logo
An Owlcroft Company web site
Click here to email us.

The Owlcroft Baseball-Analysis Site

Baseball team and player performance examined realistically and accurately.

Search this site, or just roll your cursor over the colored boxes below the pictures.

  Advertisement:


  Advertisement:


SDG "Expected" Pitching Results, 2017


About These Stats:

The form of "projection" used is very simple: each man's career numbers are pro-rated by his actual number of batters faced to date this season; those data, labelled "proj:" are shown along with the man's actual stats from this year to date. At the bottom of the Table, each set of lines—"projected" and actual—is separately summed to get Team Totals for each dataset.

Note that "career to date" includes each man's stats for the current year: "to date" is literally correct. For veteran players, that matters little, but for rookies or players with litle prior major-league experience, it means that the "projection" will perforce nearly or exactly match the actual stats to date. That seems like the best way to deal with newly arrived players' stats.

Note that owing to rounding in the pro-rating process, projected total BFP (batters faced) may occasionally differ by 1.

Below the player/team table is a smaller table showing a few key team "rate" stats (such as batting average) actual and projected.

The Actual Data:

Through games of Sunday, 24 September 2017.
All results are from true, unadjusted data.

Handedness Key:   + R   * L

(You can also look up the stat definitions.)

Pitchers, listed in alphabetical order:
Each name is a click-on link to that man's career stats.

(or see the data for Batting)


Man AB H 2B 3B HR BB SF SH HBP SO SB CS BFP
Aybar, Erick 2017: 3 0 0 0 0 1 0 0 0 0 0 0 4
Aybar, Erick proj: 3 0 0 0 0 1 0 0 0 0 0 0 4
Baumann, Buddy 2017: 60 11 2 0 4 6 0 0 2 19 1 0 68
Baumann, Buddy proj: 60 11 2 0 3 6 0 0 2 18 1 1 68
Bethancourt, Christian 2017: 17 6 1 1 1 8 0 0 0 2 1 0 25
Bethancourt, Christian proj: 16 5 1 1 1 8 0 0 1 2 1 0 25
Buchter, Ryan 2017: 141 28 8 0 7 18 1 0 1 47 0 1 161
Buchter, Ryan proj: 139 24 7 1 4 18 2 0 2 45 1 1 161
Cahill, Trevor 2017: 235 58 13 1 6 24 0 1 3 72 10 2 263
Cahill, Trevor proj: 231 59 11 1 6 25 2 2 2 45 7 2 262
Capps, Carter 2017: 46 12 1 0 2 2 1 0 0 7 2 1 49
Capps, Carter proj: 44 11 2 0 1 4 0 0 0 14 2 0 48
Chacin, Jhoulys 2017: 644 152 31 2 19 70 6 6 14 147 5 3 740
Chacin, Jhoulys proj: 653 162 34 4 17 71 5 5 6 136 6 4 740
Cosart, Jarred 2017: 92 26 4 1 0 19 0 1 2 15 2 1 114
Cosart, Jarred proj: 99 25 4 1 2 13 1 0 1 17 1 1 114
Diaz, Miguel 2017: 147 39 5 2 9 23 2 2 3 32 1 2 177
Diaz, Miguel proj: 147 39 5 2 9 23 2 2 3 32 1 2 177
Esch, Jake 2017: 0 0 0 0 0 2 0 0 0 0 0 0 2
Esch, Jake proj: 2 1 0 0 0 0 0 0 0 0 0 0 2
Hand, Brad 2017: 276 53 7 1 9 20 1 1 7 102 3 0 305
Hand, Brad proj: 270 65 13 1 8 28 2 3 2 64 5 2 305
Lamet, Dinelson 2017: 400 84 20 2 17 48 5 1 6 132 6 3 460
Lamet, Dinelson proj: 400 84 20 2 17 48 5 1 6 132 6 3 460
Lee, Zach 2017: 32 8 2 0 1 8 1 0 0 6 0 0 41
Lee, Zach proj: 35 12 3 0 1 6 1 0 0 6 0 0 42
Lloyd, Kyle 2017: 18 6 2 0 1 2 0 0 0 2 1 0 20
Lloyd, Kyle proj: 18 6 2 0 1 2 0 0 0 2 1 0 20
Lyles, Jordan 2017: 81 25 5 0 5 9 0 1 0 17 1 0 91
Lyles, Jordan proj: 82 23 5 1 3 7 0 1 1 14 1 0 91
Maton, Phil 2017: 163 40 4 1 9 14 0 0 1 45 1 1 178
Maton, Phil proj: 163 40 4 1 9 14 0 0 1 45 1 1 178
Maurer, Brandon 2017: 152 39 9 0 4 8 1 0 1 38 1 0 162
Maurer, Brandon proj: 148 40 8 1 4 11 1 0 1 32 2 1 161
Mazzoni, Cory 2017: 26 12 0 0 4 2 0 0 1 2 1 0 29
Mazzoni, Cory proj: 26 12 3 0 2 2 0 0 0 4 1 0 28
McGrath, Kyle 2017: 57 10 1 0 2 4 2 0 0 15 2 1 63
McGrath, Kyle proj: 57 10 1 0 2 4 2 0 0 15 2 1 63
Melville, Tim 2017: 1 0 0 0 0 2 0 0 0 0 0 0 3
Melville, Tim proj: 2 1 0 0 0 1 0 0 0 0 0 0 3
Overton, Dillon 2017: 21 9 2 0 2 2 0 0 1 3 0 0 24
Overton, Dillon proj: 22 8 2 0 2 1 0 0 0 3 0 0 23
Perdomo, Luis 2017: 611 175 37 0 17 64 2 3 8 114 6 4 688
Perdomo, Luis proj: 620 184 33 2 20 56 3 2 8 112 9 2 689
Quackenbush, Kevin 2017: 107 32 4 0 5 16 1 0 1 23 0 0 125
Quackenbush, Kevin proj: 111 27 5 0 3 11 1 1 1 27 2 1 125
Richard, Clayton 2017: 757 232 46 8 23 56 4 6 8 144 4 10 831
Richard, Clayton proj: 752 211 40 4 22 64 4 6 5 123 10 7 831
Ruiz, Jose 2017: 3 0 0 0 0 1 0 0 0 1 0 0 4
Ruiz, Jose proj: 3 0 0 0 0 1 0 0 0 1 0 0 4
Sardinas, Luis 2017: 4 1 0 0 0 0 0 0 0 0 0 0 4
Sardinas, Luis proj: 4 1 0 0 0 0 0 0 0 0 0 0 4
Stammen, Craig 2017: 291 66 10 0 12 26 0 1 2 74 5 1 320
Stammen, Craig proj: 289 75 17 2 7 23 2 3 2 59 7 1 319
Torres, Jose 2017: 253 61 13 1 13 16 3 3 4 63 5 0 279
Torres, Jose proj: 252 61 14 1 12 17 3 3 4 63 5 0 279
Valdez, Jose 2017: 68 20 4 2 7 4 1 0 2 16 0 0 75
Valdez, Jose proj: 65 16 3 2 5 9 0 0 1 15 0 0 75
Weaver, Jered 2017: 173 51 9 0 16 12 1 1 4 23 5 0 191
Weaver, Jered proj: 176 43 9 1 6 12 1 1 1 36 4 1 191
Wood, Travis 2017: 194 57 9 0 14 21 0 3 1 34 1 2 219
Wood, Travis proj: 195 48 11 1 6 19 1 2 2 41 2 1 219
Yates, Kirby 2017: 199 40 7 0 8 19 1 0 2 86 9 0 221
Yates, Kirby proj: 196 47 8 0 10 20 1 0 3 67 7 1 220
2017 TEAM TOTALS: 5272 1353 256 22 217 527 33 30 74 1281 73 32 5936
PROJECTED: 5280 1351 267 29 183 525 39 32 55 1170 85 33 5931
difference: -8 +2 -11 -7 +34 +2 -6 -2 +19 +111 -12 -1 +5
Man AB H 2B 3B HR BB SF SH HBP SO SB CS BFP


Assorted Team Stats:
Stat Actual Projected
Batting Average: .257 .256
Slugging Average: .437 .421
Walks (per PA): .089 .088
SOs (per PA): .216 .197
On-Base Average: .329 .326
Power Factor: 1.7 1.65
OPS: .766 .747
TPP Runs (to date): 754 722

Runs differential:
Actual TPP 32 more than Projected TPP.




  Advertisement:


  Advertisement:



Want detailed, careful, unhysterical analysis of the effects of "Performance-Enhancing Drugs" in baseball? Click here to visit the Steroids & Baseball web site.

All content copyright © 2002 - 2017 by The Owlcroft Company.

This web page is strictly compliant with the W3C (World Wide Web Consortium) Extensible HyperText Markup Language (XHTML) Protocol v1.0 (Transitional) and the W3C Cascading Style Sheets (CSS) Protocol v3 — because we care about interoperability. Click on the logos below to test us!



This page was last modified on Monday, 25 September 2017, at 7:16 am Pacific Time.