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SDG "Expected" Pitching Results, 2019


About These Stats:

The form of "projection" used is very simple: each man's career numbers are pro-rated by his actual number of batters faced to date this season; those data, labelled "proj:" are shown along with the man's actual stats from this year to date. At the bottom of the Table, each set of lines—"projected" and actual—is separately summed to get Team Totals for each dataset.

Note that "career to date" includes each man's stats for the current year: "to date" is literally correct. For veteran players, that matters little, but for rookies or players with litle prior major-league experience, it means that the "projection" will perforce nearly or exactly match the actual stats to date. That seems like the best way to deal with newly arrived players' stats.

Note that owing to rounding in the pro-rating process, projected total BFP (batters faced) may occasionally differ by 1.

Below the player/team table is a smaller table showing a few key team "rate" stats (such as batting average) actual and projected.

The Actual Data:

Through games of Saturday, 25 May 2019.
All results are from true, unadjusted data.

Handedness Key:   + R   * L

(You can also look up the stat definitions.)

Pitchers, listed in alphabetical order:
Each name is a click-on link to that man's career stats.

(or see the data for Batting)


Man AB H 2B 3B HR BB SF SH HBP SO SB CS BFP
Avila, Pedro 2019: 20 4 0 0 0 2 0 0 1 5 0 0 23
Avila, Pedro proj: 20 4 0 0 0 2 0 0 1 5 0 0 23
Erlin, Robbie 2019: 88 22 3 0 3 4 0 0 0 26 0 0 92
Erlin, Robbie proj: 86 23 4 1 2 4 1 1 0 18 1 0 92
Lauer, Eric 2019: 212 56 10 0 7 14 1 0 1 45 2 0 228
Lauer, Eric proj: 205 57 10 1 7 19 1 1 2 45 2 1 228
Loup, Aaron 2019: 11 2 1 0 0 1 1 0 1 5 0 0 14
Loup, Aaron proj: 12 3 1 0 0 1 0 0 0 3 0 0 13
Lucchesi, Joey 2019: 212 51 14 0 7 14 1 2 0 57 0 1 229
Lucchesi, Joey proj: 208 52 11 1 9 17 1 1 1 60 2 2 228
Margevicius, Nick 2019: 178 47 13 1 11 15 0 2 3 33 6 0 198
Margevicius, Nick proj: 178 47 13 1 11 15 0 2 3 33 6 0 198
Maton, Phil 2019: 66 18 3 1 3 3 0 1 1 13 0 0 71
Maton, Phil proj: 64 17 3 1 2 6 0 0 1 17 0 0 71
Paddack, Chris 2019: 179 28 6 0 4 11 1 1 3 56 0 1 195
Paddack, Chris proj: 179 28 6 0 4 11 1 1 3 56 0 1 195
Perdomo, Luis 2019: 26 4 0 1 1 2 0 0 0 7 1 0 28
Perdomo, Luis proj: 25 8 1 0 1 2 0 0 0 5 0 0 27
Quantrill, Cal 2019: 81 23 8 1 3 7 1 1 1 19 1 0 91
Quantrill, Cal proj: 81 23 8 1 3 7 1 1 1 19 1 0 91
Reyes, Gerardo 2019: 22 8 1 0 0 5 1 0 1 7 1 0 29
Reyes, Gerardo proj: 22 8 1 0 0 5 1 0 1 7 1 0 29
Stammen, Craig 2019: 101 22 6 0 4 2 2 0 1 21 0 0 106
Stammen, Craig proj: 96 24 6 0 2 7 1 1 1 21 2 0 106
Stock, Robert 2019: 26 7 2 0 1 6 0 0 0 9 1 0 32
Stock, Robert proj: 28 7 1 0 0 3 0 0 0 8 0 1 31
Strahm, Matt 2019: 191 48 11 0 6 8 1 2 4 41 5 1 206
Strahm, Matt proj: 182 39 8 0 5 18 1 1 3 53 2 1 205
Warren, Adam 2019: 75 16 2 0 6 11 0 1 0 18 0 0 87
Warren, Adam proj: 78 18 3 0 2 7 1 0 1 18 1 1 87
Wieck, Brad 2019: 62 16 5 0 4 4 1 0 1 19 1 1 68
Wieck, Brad proj: 64 14 4 0 4 3 1 0 1 21 1 1 69
Wingenter, Trey 2019: 54 7 2 0 2 10 1 0 2 23 2 2 67
Wingenter, Trey proj: 55 9 1 0 2 10 1 0 1 23 2 1 67
Wisler, Matt 2019: 69 17 3 0 3 5 0 1 0 20 0 1 75
Wisler, Matt proj: 68 18 4 0 3 6 1 0 0 13 1 0 75
Yates, Kirby 2019: 84 15 5 0 0 8 0 0 2 44 1 1 94
Yates, Kirby proj: 84 18 3 0 3 8 1 0 1 31 3 1 94
2019 TEAM TOTALS: 1757 411 95 4 65 132 11 11 22 468 21 8 1933
PROJECTED: 1735 417 88 6 60 151 13 9 21 456 25 10 1929
difference: +22 -6 +7 -2 +5 -19 -2 +2 +1 +12 -4 -2 +4
Man AB H 2B 3B HR BB SF SH HBP SO SB CS BFP


Assorted Team Stats:
Stat Actual Projected
Batting Average: .234 .240
Slugging Average: .404 .402
Walks (per PA): .068 .078
SOs (per PA): .242 .236
On-Base Average: .292 .305
Power Factor: 1.73 1.67
OPS: .696 .707
TPP Runs (to date): 204 211

Runs differential:
Actual TPP 7 less than Projected TPP.




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This page was last modified on Sunday, 26 May 2019, at 6:55 am Pacific Time.