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Baseball team and player performance examined realistically and accurately.

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SDG "Expected" Pitching Results, 2017


About These Stats:

The form of "projection" used is very simple: each man's career numbers are pro-rated by his actual number of batters faced to date this season; those data, labelled "proj:" are shown along with the man's actual stats from this year to date. At the bottom of the Table, each set of lines—"projected" and actual—is separately summed to get Team Totals for each dataset.

Note that "career to date" includes each man's stats for the current year: "to date" is literally correct. For veteran players, that matters little, but for rookies or players with litle prior major-league experience, it means that the "projection" will perforce nearly or exactly match the actual stats to date. That seems like the best way to deal with newly arrived players' stats.

Note that owing to rounding in the pro-rating process, projected total BFP (batters faced) may occasionally differ by 1.

Below the player/team table is a smaller table showing a few key team "rate" stats (such as batting average) actual and projected.

The Actual Data:

Through games of Monday, 24 July 2017.
All results are from true, unadjusted data.

Handedness Key:   + R   * L

(You can also look up the stat definitions.)

Pitchers, listed in alphabetical order:
Each name is a click-on link to that man's career stats.

(or see the data for Batting)


Man AB H 2B 3B HR BB SF SH HBP SO SB CS BFP
Aybar, Erick 2017: 3 0 0 0 0 1 0 0 0 0 0 0 4
Aybar, Erick proj: 3 0 0 0 0 1 0 0 0 0 0 0 4
Baumann, Buddy 2017: 4 0 0 0 0 0 0 0 0 2 0 0 4
Baumann, Buddy proj: 4 1 0 0 0 0 0 0 0 1 0 0 4
Bethancourt, Christian 2017: 17 6 1 1 1 8 0 0 0 2 1 0 25
Bethancourt, Christian proj: 16 5 1 1 1 8 0 0 1 2 1 0 25
Buchter, Ryan 2017: 141 28 8 0 7 18 1 0 1 47 0 1 161
Buchter, Ryan proj: 139 24 8 0 4 20 1 0 1 49 1 1 161
Cahill, Trevor 2017: 235 58 13 1 6 24 0 1 3 72 10 2 263
Cahill, Trevor proj: 231 59 11 1 6 25 2 2 2 45 7 2 262
Chacin, Jhoulys 2017: 429 107 24 0 15 40 2 3 6 96 2 2 480
Chacin, Jhoulys proj: 425 106 22 3 11 45 3 3 4 88 4 3 480
Cosart, Jarred 2017: 92 26 4 1 0 19 0 1 2 15 2 1 114
Cosart, Jarred proj: 99 25 4 1 2 13 1 0 1 17 1 1 114
Diaz, Miguel 2017: 121 31 4 2 7 18 2 1 2 25 0 1 144
Diaz, Miguel proj: 121 31 4 2 7 18 2 1 2 25 0 1 144
Esch, Jake 2017: 0 0 0 0 0 2 0 0 0 0 0 0 2
Esch, Jake proj: 2 1 0 0 0 0 0 0 0 0 0 0 2
Hand, Brad 2017: 183 37 5 1 4 14 1 1 4 66 3 0 203
Hand, Brad proj: 180 44 9 1 5 19 1 2 1 41 3 1 203
Lamet, Dinelson 2017: 203 48 15 2 11 20 3 0 2 68 2 0 228
Lamet, Dinelson proj: 203 48 15 2 11 20 3 0 2 68 2 0 228
Lee, Zach 2017: 32 8 2 0 1 8 1 0 0 6 0 0 41
Lee, Zach proj: 35 12 3 0 1 6 1 0 0 6 0 0 42
Maton, Phil 2017: 64 14 2 0 2 2 0 0 1 18 0 1 67
Maton, Phil proj: 64 14 2 0 2 2 0 0 1 18 0 1 67
Maurer, Brandon 2017: 152 39 9 0 4 8 1 0 1 38 1 0 162
Maurer, Brandon proj: 148 39 8 1 4 11 1 0 1 32 2 1 161
Overton, Dillon 2017: 21 9 2 0 2 2 0 0 1 3 0 0 24
Overton, Dillon proj: 22 8 2 0 2 1 0 0 0 3 0 0 23
Perdomo, Luis 2017: 362 106 24 0 10 35 1 0 6 73 2 2 404
Perdomo, Luis proj: 366 111 20 2 13 31 2 0 5 67 5 1 404
Quackenbush, Kevin 2017: 107 32 4 0 5 16 1 0 1 23 0 0 125
Quackenbush, Kevin proj: 111 27 5 0 3 11 1 1 1 27 2 1 125
Richard, Clayton 2017: 510 168 32 5 17 37 4 6 5 90 4 9 562
Richard, Clayton proj: 508 143 27 3 15 44 3 4 3 82 7 5 562
Ruiz, Jose 2017: 3 0 0 0 0 1 0 0 0 1 0 0 4
Ruiz, Jose proj: 3 0 0 0 0 1 0 0 0 1 0 0 4
Sardinas, Luis 2017: 4 1 0 0 0 0 0 0 0 0 0 0 4
Sardinas, Luis proj: 4 1 0 0 0 0 0 0 0 0 0 0 4
Stammen, Craig 2017: 201 48 8 0 11 17 0 1 1 49 4 0 220
Stammen, Craig proj: 199 52 12 1 5 16 2 2 1 40 5 1 220
Torres, Jose 2017: 173 42 7 1 8 12 2 2 4 45 5 0 193
Torres, Jose proj: 172 42 8 1 7 13 2 2 4 45 5 0 193
Valdez, Jose 2017: 37 9 1 0 2 4 1 0 2 13 0 0 44
Valdez, Jose proj: 37 9 1 1 2 6 0 0 0 9 0 0 43
Weaver, Jered 2017: 173 51 9 0 16 12 1 1 4 23 5 0 191
Weaver, Jered proj: 176 43 9 1 6 12 1 1 1 36 4 1 191
Yates, Kirby 2017: 116 23 5 0 3 9 0 0 0 48 4 0 125
Yates, Kirby proj: 111 27 5 0 5 11 0 0 2 36 4 1 124
2017 TEAM TOTALS: 3383 891 179 14 132 327 21 17 46 823 45 19 3794
PROJECTED: 3379 872 176 21 112 334 26 18 33 738 53 21 3790
difference: +4 +19 +3 -7 +20 -7 -5 -1 +13 +85 -8 -2 +4
Man AB H 2B 3B HR BB SF SH HBP SO SB CS BFP


Assorted Team Stats:
Stat Actual Projected
Batting Average: .263 .258
Slugging Average: .442 .422
Walks (per PA): .086 .088
SOs (per PA): .217 .195
On-Base Average: .333 .327
Power Factor: 1.68 1.64
OPS: .775 .749
TPP Runs (to date): 490 462

Runs differential:
Actual TPP 28 more than Projected TPP.




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This page was last modified on Tuesday, 25 July 2017, at 7:06 am Pacific Time.