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SEA "Expected" Pitching Results, 2017


About These Stats:

The form of "projection" used is very simple: each man's career numbers are pro-rated by his actual number of batters faced to date this season; those data, labelled "proj:" are shown along with the man's actual stats from this year to date. At the bottom of the Table, each set of lines—"projected" and actual—is separately summed to get Team Totals for each dataset.

Note that "career to date" includes each man's stats for the current year: "to date" is literally correct. For veteran players, that matters little, but for rookies or players with litle prior major-league experience, it means that the "projection" will perforce nearly or exactly match the actual stats to date. That seems like the best way to deal with newly arrived players' stats.

Note that owing to rounding in the pro-rating process, projected total BFP (batters faced) may occasionally differ by 1.

Below the player/team table is a smaller table showing a few key team "rate" stats (such as batting average) actual and projected.

The Actual Data:

Through games of Friday, 18 August 2017.
All results are from true, unadjusted data.

Handedness Key:   + R   * L

(You can also look up the stat definitions.)

Pitchers, listed in alphabetical order:
Each name is a click-on link to that man's career stats.

(or see the data for Batting)


Man AB H 2B 3B HR BB SF SH HBP SO SB CS BFP
Albers, Andrew 2017: 19 6 1 0 1 1 0 0 0 4 0 0 20
Albers, Andrew proj: 19 5 1 0 1 1 0 0 0 3 0 0 20
Altavilla, Dan 2017: 118 30 7 0 8 14 1 0 1 36 5 0 134
Altavilla, Dan proj: 120 30 7 0 6 11 1 0 1 34 5 0 133
Bergman, Christian 2017: 195 55 5 1 11 14 1 3 3 33 2 1 216
Bergman, Christian proj: 201 62 12 2 9 11 1 2 1 31 1 1 216
Cishek, Steve 2017: 71 13 2 0 3 7 1 0 1 15 0 0 80
Cishek, Steve proj: 71 15 3 0 1 7 1 1 1 20 1 0 81
Cloyd, Tyler 2017: 4 2 1 0 0 0 0 0 0 1 0 0 4
Cloyd, Tyler proj: 4 1 0 0 0 0 0 0 0 1 0 0 4
Curtis, Zac 2017: 18 3 0 0 1 1 0 0 2 2 0 0 21
Curtis, Zac proj: 16 4 1 0 1 3 0 0 1 3 0 0 20
De Jong, Chase 2017: 110 31 5 1 5 13 1 1 0 13 3 2 125
De Jong, Chase proj: 110 31 5 1 5 13 1 1 0 13 3 2 125
Diaz, Edwin 2017: 190 35 4 0 8 29 2 1 3 71 10 1 225
Diaz, Edwin proj: 198 41 6 0 7 22 1 1 3 81 7 1 225
Fien, Casey 2017: 25 9 2 0 3 4 0 0 0 6 1 1 29
Fien, Casey proj: 27 7 1 0 1 1 0 0 0 6 0 0 28
Freeman, Mike 2017: 5 3 0 0 0 0 1 0 0 0 0 0 6
Freeman, Mike proj: 5 3 0 0 0 0 1 0 0 0 0 0 6
Gallardo, Yovani 2017: 436 120 25 1 19 48 3 3 1 80 4 0 491
Gallardo, Yovani proj: 438 111 21 2 13 44 3 4 1 102 7 2 490
Gaviglio, Sam 2017: 233 63 14 1 15 21 2 1 2 40 6 3 259
Gaviglio, Sam proj: 233 63 14 1 15 21 2 1 2 40 6 3 259
Gonzales, Marco 2017: 56 20 2 1 3 2 0 0 0 6 0 0 58
Gonzales, Marco proj: 52 15 3 0 3 6 0 0 0 9 0 0 58
Hernandez, Felix 2017: 290 79 17 0 16 21 0 1 6 69 2 1 318
Hernandez, Felix proj: 290 70 12 1 7 22 2 1 3 73 6 2 318
Heston, Chris 2017: 29 14 1 1 3 5 0 0 0 3 0 0 34
Heston, Chris proj: 30 8 2 0 1 3 0 0 1 6 0 0 34
Iwakuma, Hisashi 2017: 114 27 7 0 7 12 0 0 2 16 1 2 128
Iwakuma, Hisashi proj: 120 30 6 0 4 7 1 1 1 26 1 1 130
Lawrence, Casey 2017: 127 40 2 1 7 5 0 0 0 34 2 0 132
Lawrence, Casey proj: 120 39 5 1 6 10 1 1 0 27 3 0 132
Machi, Jean 2017: 26 7 1 0 1 4 1 0 0 4 1 0 31
Machi, Jean proj: 28 7 1 0 1 2 0 0 0 6 0 0 30
Marshall, Evan 2017: 33 12 3 0 1 5 0 0 0 4 0 0 38
Marshall, Evan proj: 34 11 3 0 1 3 0 0 0 7 0 0 37
Martin, Cody 2017: 11 5 1 0 0 2 0 0 0 0 2 0 13
Martin, Cody proj: 11 4 0 0 1 1 0 0 0 2 0 0 12
Miranda, Ariel 2017: 504 115 21 3 30 48 7 2 3 115 1 2 564
Miranda, Ariel proj: 507 115 23 3 30 47 6 1 2 113 1 2 563
Moore, Andrew 2017: 153 44 9 0 11 5 3 0 1 17 2 0 162
Moore, Andrew proj: 153 44 9 0 11 5 3 0 1 17 2 0 162
Overton, Dillon 2017: 75 21 5 0 4 2 2 0 0 8 1 1 79
Overton, Dillon proj: 73 27 6 0 6 4 1 0 1 10 1 1 79
Pagan, Emilio 2017: 114 20 3 0 2 6 1 1 1 34 0 0 123
Pagan, Emilio proj: 114 20 3 0 2 6 1 1 1 34 0 0 123
Paxton, James 2017: 440 96 21 0 7 33 5 1 3 138 4 3 482
Paxton, James proj: 440 106 21 2 8 35 4 1 1 112 5 2 481
Pazos, James 2017: 177 41 8 0 4 21 3 1 5 55 8 0 207
Pazos, James proj: 177 43 8 0 5 21 3 2 4 52 7 0 207
Phelps, David 2017: 27 6 0 0 0 1 0 0 0 11 0 0 28
Phelps, David proj: 25 6 1 0 1 3 0 0 0 6 0 0 28
Povse, Max 2017: 20 9 2 0 1 1 0 0 0 2 0 0 21
Povse, Max proj: 20 9 2 0 1 1 0 0 0 2 0 0 21
Ramirez, Erasmo 2017: 79 18 4 0 5 3 1 0 0 12 1 0 83
Ramirez, Erasmo proj: 75 19 3 0 3 6 1 0 1 15 1 0 83
Ruiz, Carlos 2017: 5 2 1 0 1 2 0 0 0 1 0 0 7
Ruiz, Carlos proj: 5 2 1 0 1 2 0 0 0 1 0 0 7
Rzepczynski, Marc 2017: 88 18 3 0 2 15 0 0 1 21 1 0 104
Rzepczynski, Marc proj: 90 23 4 0 2 11 1 1 1 23 2 1 104
Scribner, Evan 2017: 33 13 3 0 3 0 0 1 0 6 1 0 34
Scribner, Evan proj: 32 8 2 0 1 1 0 0 0 8 1 0 33
Vieira, Thyago 2017: 3 0 0 0 0 0 0 0 0 1 0 0 3
Vieira, Thyago proj: 3 0 0 0 0 0 0 0 0 1 0 0 3
Vincent, Nick 2017: 183 42 9 0 2 9 3 2 0 38 0 0 197
Vincent, Nick proj: 181 41 8 0 4 12 1 2 1 50 1 1 197
Weber, Ryan 2017: 14 3 1 0 0 0 0 0 0 0 1 0 14
Weber, Ryan proj: 13 4 1 0 1 1 0 0 0 2 0 0 14
Whalen, Rob 2017: 27 7 0 0 1 2 0 0 2 2 2 0 31
Whalen, Rob proj: 26 6 1 1 1 3 0 0 1 6 2 0 30
Zych, Tony 2017: 143 30 6 0 2 21 2 1 5 35 3 0 172
Zych, Tony proj: 146 32 7 1 2 19 2 1 4 45 3 2 172
2017 TEAM TOTALS: 4195 1059 196 10 187 377 40 19 42 933 64 17 4673
PROJECTED: 4207 1062 203 15 162 365 38 22 33 987 66 21 4665
difference: -12 -3 -7 -5 +25 +12 +2 -3 +9 -54 -2 -4 +8
Man AB H 2B 3B HR BB SF SH HBP SO SB CS BFP


Assorted Team Stats:
Stat Actual Projected
Batting Average: .252 .252
Slugging Average: .438 .423
Walks (per PA): .081 .078
SOs (per PA): .200 .211
On-Base Average: .316 .313
Power Factor: 1.73 1.68
OPS: .754 .736
TPP Runs (to date): 580 553

Runs differential:
Actual TPP 27 more than Projected TPP.




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This page was last modified on Saturday, 19 August 2017, at 7:11 am Pacific Time.