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SEA "Expected" Pitching Results, 2017


About These Stats:

The form of "projection" used is very simple: each man's career numbers are pro-rated by his actual number of batters faced to date this season; those data, labelled "proj:" are shown along with the man's actual stats from this year to date. At the bottom of the Table, each set of lines—"projected" and actual—is separately summed to get Team Totals for each dataset.

Note that "career to date" includes each man's stats for the current year: "to date" is literally correct. For veteran players, that matters little, but for rookies or players with litle prior major-league experience, it means that the "projection" will perforce nearly or exactly match the actual stats to date. That seems like the best way to deal with newly arrived players' stats.

Note that owing to rounding in the pro-rating process, projected total BFP (batters faced) may occasionally differ by 1.

Below the player/team table is a smaller table showing a few key team "rate" stats (such as batting average) actual and projected.

The Actual Data:

Through games of Sunday, 23 July 2017.
All results are from true, unadjusted data.

Handedness Key:   + R   * L

(You can also look up the stat definitions.)

Pitchers, listed in alphabetical order:
Each name is a click-on link to that man's career stats.

(or see the data for Batting)


Man AB H 2B 3B HR BB SF SH HBP SO SB CS BFP
Altavilla, Dan 2017: 118 30 7 0 8 14 1 0 1 36 5 0 134
Altavilla, Dan proj: 120 30 7 0 6 11 1 0 1 34 5 0 133
Bergman, Christian 2017: 179 53 4 1 11 14 1 3 2 30 2 1 199
Bergman, Christian proj: 185 58 11 2 8 10 1 2 1 28 1 1 199
Cishek, Steve 2017: 65 13 2 0 3 6 1 0 1 14 0 0 73
Cishek, Steve proj: 65 14 3 0 1 6 0 1 1 19 1 0 73
Cloyd, Tyler 2017: 4 2 1 0 0 0 0 0 0 1 0 0 4
Cloyd, Tyler proj: 4 1 0 0 0 0 0 0 0 1 0 0 4
Curtis, Zac 2017: 18 3 0 0 1 1 0 0 2 2 0 0 21
Curtis, Zac proj: 16 4 1 0 1 3 0 0 1 3 0 0 20
De Jong, Chase 2017: 110 31 5 1 5 13 1 1 0 13 3 2 125
De Jong, Chase proj: 110 31 5 1 5 13 1 1 0 13 3 2 125
Diaz, Edwin 2017: 155 30 2 0 8 19 1 1 1 59 9 1 177
Diaz, Edwin proj: 159 34 4 0 6 15 0 0 2 66 6 0 176
Fien, Casey 2017: 25 9 2 0 3 4 0 0 0 6 1 1 29
Fien, Casey proj: 27 7 1 0 1 1 0 0 0 6 0 0 28
Freeman, Mike 2017: 5 3 0 0 0 0 1 0 0 0 0 0 6
Freeman, Mike proj: 5 3 0 0 0 0 1 0 0 0 0 0 6
Gallardo, Yovani 2017: 357 97 21 1 14 40 3 3 1 70 2 0 404
Gallardo, Yovani proj: 361 91 17 2 10 36 3 4 1 84 6 2 405
Gaviglio, Sam 2017: 233 63 14 1 15 21 2 1 2 40 6 3 259
Gaviglio, Sam proj: 233 63 14 1 15 21 2 1 2 40 6 3 259
Hernandez, Felix 2017: 248 69 15 0 13 16 0 0 4 60 2 0 268
Hernandez, Felix proj: 245 59 10 1 6 19 1 1 2 61 5 2 268
Heston, Chris 2017: 29 14 1 1 3 5 0 0 0 3 0 0 34
Heston, Chris proj: 30 8 2 0 1 3 0 0 1 6 0 0 34
Iwakuma, Hisashi 2017: 114 27 7 0 7 12 0 0 2 16 1 2 128
Iwakuma, Hisashi proj: 120 30 6 0 4 7 1 1 1 26 1 1 130
Lawrence, Casey 2017: 71 23 2 1 3 3 0 0 0 16 1 0 74
Lawrence, Casey proj: 66 22 4 1 3 7 1 1 0 12 2 0 75
Machi, Jean 2017: 26 7 1 0 1 4 1 0 0 4 1 0 31
Machi, Jean proj: 28 7 1 0 1 2 0 0 0 6 0 0 30
Marshall, Evan 2017: 33 12 3 0 1 5 0 0 0 4 0 0 38
Marshall, Evan proj: 34 11 3 0 1 3 0 0 0 7 0 0 37
Miranda, Ariel 2017: 424 94 17 2 22 39 3 2 2 88 1 2 470
Miranda, Ariel proj: 426 94 19 2 23 38 3 1 1 88 1 2 469
Moore, Andrew 2017: 118 32 6 0 9 3 2 0 1 13 2 0 124
Moore, Andrew proj: 118 32 6 0 9 3 2 0 1 13 2 0 124
Overton, Dillon 2017: 75 21 5 0 4 2 2 0 0 8 1 1 79
Overton, Dillon proj: 73 27 6 0 6 4 1 0 1 10 1 1 79
Pagan, Emilio 2017: 70 12 2 0 1 6 1 0 0 20 0 0 77
Pagan, Emilio proj: 70 12 2 0 1 6 1 0 0 20 0 0 77
Paxton, James 2017: 347 77 20 0 5 31 5 1 1 107 4 3 385
Paxton, James proj: 351 85 17 1 7 29 4 1 1 87 4 1 386
Pazos, James 2017: 143 34 7 0 4 17 2 1 4 44 6 0 167
Pazos, James proj: 143 36 7 0 5 17 2 2 3 41 5 0 167
Phelps, David 2017: 4 0 0 0 0 0 0 0 0 2 0 0 4
Phelps, David proj: 4 1 0 0 0 0 0 0 0 1 0 0 4
Povse, Max 2017: 20 9 2 0 1 1 0 0 0 2 0 0 21
Povse, Max proj: 20 9 2 0 1 1 0 0 0 2 0 0 21
Ruiz, Carlos 2017: 5 2 1 0 1 2 0 0 0 1 0 0 7
Ruiz, Carlos proj: 5 2 1 0 1 2 0 0 0 1 0 0 7
Rzepczynski, Marc 2017: 66 14 3 0 1 12 0 0 0 15 1 0 78
Rzepczynski, Marc proj: 68 17 3 0 1 8 0 0 1 17 1 1 77
Scribner, Evan 2017: 33 13 3 0 3 0 0 1 0 6 1 0 34
Scribner, Evan proj: 32 8 2 0 1 1 0 0 0 8 1 0 33
Vincent, Nick 2017: 150 37 8 0 1 8 3 1 0 33 0 0 162
Vincent, Nick proj: 149 34 7 0 3 10 1 2 1 42 1 1 163
Weber, Ryan 2017: 14 3 1 0 0 0 0 0 0 0 1 0 14
Weber, Ryan proj: 13 4 1 0 1 1 0 0 0 2 0 0 14
Whalen, Rob 2017: 27 7 0 0 1 2 0 0 2 2 2 0 31
Whalen, Rob proj: 26 6 1 1 1 3 0 0 1 6 2 0 30
Zych, Tony 2017: 109 21 5 0 2 16 1 1 4 27 2 0 131
Zych, Tony proj: 112 24 5 0 1 14 1 0 3 35 2 1 130
2017 TEAM TOTALS: 3395 862 167 8 151 316 31 16 30 742 54 16 3788
PROJECTED: 3418 864 168 12 130 294 27 18 26 785 56 18 3783
difference: -23 -2 -1 -4 +21 +22 +4 -2 +4 -43 -2 -2 +5
Man AB H 2B 3B HR BB SF SH HBP SO SB CS BFP


Assorted Team Stats:
Stat Actual Projected
Batting Average: .254 .253
Slugging Average: .441 .423
Walks (per PA): .083 .078
SOs (per PA): .196 .207
On-Base Average: .319 .313
Power Factor: 1.74 1.67
OPS: .760 .736
TPP Runs (to date): 475 449

Runs differential:
Actual TPP 26 more than Projected TPP.




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This page was last modified on Monday, 24 July 2017, at 7:05 am Pacific Time.