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SEA "Expected" Pitching Results, 2018


About These Stats:

The form of "projection" used is very simple: each man's career numbers are pro-rated by his actual number of batters faced to date this season; those data, labelled "proj:" are shown along with the man's actual stats from this year to date. At the bottom of the Table, each set of lines—"projected" and actual—is separately summed to get Team Totals for each dataset.

Note that "career to date" includes each man's stats for the current year: "to date" is literally correct. For veteran players, that matters little, but for rookies or players with litle prior major-league experience, it means that the "projection" will perforce nearly or exactly match the actual stats to date. That seems like the best way to deal with newly arrived players' stats.

Note that owing to rounding in the pro-rating process, projected total BFP (batters faced) may occasionally differ by 1.

Below the player/team table is a smaller table showing a few key team "rate" stats (such as batting average) actual and projected.

The Actual Data:

Through games of Monday, 17 September 2018.
All results are from true, unadjusted data.

Handedness Key:   + R   * L

(You can also look up the stat definitions.)

Pitchers, listed in alphabetical order:
Each name is a click-on link to that man's career stats.

(or see the data for Batting)


Man AB H 2B 3B HR BB SF SH HBP SO SB CS BFP
Altavilla, Dan 2018: 68 11 2 0 2 15 0 0 2 23 2 0 85
Altavilla, Dan proj: 74 16 4 0 3 9 1 0 1 22 2 0 85
Armstrong, Shawn 2018: 32 4 2 0 0 0 2 0 1 10 0 0 35
Armstrong, Shawn proj: 31 7 1 0 1 3 0 0 0 8 0 0 34
Bergman, Christian 2018: 52 12 3 0 4 3 1 1 0 7 0 0 57
Bergman, Christian proj: 53 16 3 1 2 3 0 1 0 8 0 0 57
Bradford, Chasen 2018: 197 51 8 1 8 12 2 0 5 37 6 1 216
Bradford, Chasen proj: 196 49 9 1 7 15 2 0 3 39 4 1 216
Colome, Alex 2018: 160 32 2 0 6 11 0 0 3 48 0 0 174
Colome, Alex proj: 157 37 5 0 4 13 2 1 2 39 1 1 175
Cook, Ryan 2018: 56 13 2 0 3 7 1 1 2 21 4 0 67
Cook, Ryan proj: 58 13 2 0 1 7 1 0 1 16 2 0 67
Detwiler, Ross 2018: 20 8 0 0 1 2 1 0 0 2 0 0 23
Detwiler, Ross proj: 20 6 1 0 1 2 0 0 0 3 0 0 22
Diaz, Edwin 2018: 249 40 4 1 5 16 0 0 5 120 5 2 270
Diaz, Edwin proj: 243 46 6 0 7 22 1 0 4 105 7 1 270
Duke, Zach 2018: 37 10 5 0 1 6 0 1 1 5 0 0 45
Duke, Zach proj: 41 12 3 0 1 3 0 1 0 6 0 0 45
Elias, Roenis 2018: 150 37 11 2 0 14 3 0 1 27 6 0 168
Elias, Roenis proj: 148 37 8 1 4 15 1 1 3 33 2 1 168
Festa, Matt 2018: 23 8 2 0 0 1 0 0 1 1 1 0 25
Festa, Matt proj: 23 8 2 0 0 1 0 0 1 1 1 0 25
Goeddel, Erik 2018: 24 4 0 0 0 5 0 0 0 9 1 0 29
Goeddel, Erik proj: 26 6 1 0 1 3 0 0 0 7 1 0 29
Gonzales, Marco 2018: 608 169 39 2 17 30 4 1 6 136 4 5 649
Gonzales, Marco proj: 598 172 35 3 19 41 5 1 5 129 4 5 650
Grimm, Justin 2018: 4 2 1 0 1 0 0 0 0 0 0 0 4
Grimm, Justin proj: 4 1 0 0 0 0 0 0 0 1 0 0 4
Hernandez, Felix 2018: 591 156 35 2 25 57 4 3 11 121 10 1 666
Hernandez, Felix proj: 606 146 26 2 15 47 3 3 6 150 13 4 665
Lawrence, Casey 2018: 72 21 9 1 1 7 0 0 2 11 1 0 81
Lawrence, Casey proj: 72 23 4 0 3 8 0 0 1 15 2 0 81
LeBlanc, Wade 2018: 573 137 27 1 23 37 3 1 2 119 4 4 616
LeBlanc, Wade proj: 560 147 31 3 21 45 3 5 3 105 6 6 616
Leake, Mike 2018: 703 193 42 4 22 34 3 1 5 114 2 5 746
Leake, Mike proj: 688 186 38 3 21 41 5 5 6 120 7 4 745
Miranda, Ariel 2018: 20 6 1 0 0 4 0 0 0 5 0 0 24
Miranda, Ariel proj: 21 5 1 0 1 2 0 0 0 5 0 0 23
Morin, Mike 2018: 16 6 2 1 0 1 1 0 0 6 0 1 18
Morin, Mike proj: 16 4 1 0 0 1 0 0 0 4 0 0 17
Motter, Taylor 2018: 4 1 0 0 1 1 0 0 1 1 0 0 6
Motter, Taylor proj: 5 2 0 0 1 1 0 0 1 1 0 0 7
Nicasio, Juan 2018: 172 53 13 1 6 5 4 0 2 53 1 2 183
Nicasio, Juan proj: 164 44 10 2 5 15 1 2 1 39 3 1 183
Paxton, James 2018: 560 124 23 2 21 42 2 2 1 194 5 3 607
Paxton, James proj: 556 132 25 2 13 43 4 2 2 155 6 2 607
Pazos, James 2018: 169 42 10 0 2 14 1 0 5 41 2 0 189
Pazos, James proj: 165 42 8 0 4 17 2 1 4 45 4 0 189
Ramirez, Erasmo 2018: 172 48 10 1 13 10 4 0 2 31 0 0 188
Ramirez, Erasmo proj: 171 43 8 0 7 13 2 1 2 35 2 0 189
Romine, Andrew 2018: 14 5 1 0 1 2 0 0 1 0 0 0 17
Romine, Andrew proj: 13 5 1 0 2 3 1 0 1 1 0 0 18
Rumbelow, Nick 2018: 55 18 2 0 6 3 1 0 1 9 3 0 60
Rumbelow, Nick proj: 55 16 2 0 4 4 0 0 0 11 2 0 59
Rzepczynski, Marc 2018: 38 13 4 0 2 9 0 0 0 10 2 0 47
Rzepczynski, Marc proj: 41 10 2 0 1 5 0 0 1 10 1 0 47
Tuivailala, Sam 2018: 20 6 1 1 0 1 0 0 0 4 1 1 21
Tuivailala, Sam proj: 19 5 1 0 1 2 0 0 0 4 0 0 21
Vincent, Nick 2018: 205 45 7 2 7 13 2 1 3 53 2 0 224
Vincent, Nick proj: 205 47 9 1 5 13 1 2 2 55 2 1 223
Warren, Adam 2018: 70 17 5 0 2 8 0 0 1 11 2 1 79
Warren, Adam proj: 71 17 3 0 2 7 1 0 1 16 1 0 80
Whalen, Rob 2018: 13 1 0 0 0 1 0 0 0 0 0 0 14
Whalen, Rob proj: 12 3 0 0 0 1 0 0 0 2 1 0 13
2018 TEAM TOTALS: 5147 1293 273 22 180 371 39 12 64 1229 64 26 5633
PROJECTED: 5112 1303 250 19 157 405 36 26 51 1190 74 27 5630
difference: +35 -10 +23 +3 +23 -34 +3 -14 +13 +39 -10 -1 +3
Man AB H 2B 3B HR BB SF SH HBP SO SB CS BFP


Assorted Team Stats:
Stat Actual Projected
Batting Average: .251 .255
Slugging Average: .418 .403
Walks (per PA): .066 .072
SOs (per PA): .218 .211
On-Base Average: .307 .312
Power Factor: 1.66 1.58
OPS: .724 .716
TPP Runs (to date): 641 635

Runs differential:
Actual TPP 6 more than Projected TPP.




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This page was last modified on Tuesday, 18 September 2018, at 7:06 am Pacific Time.