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SEA "Expected" Pitching Results, 2017


About These Stats:

The form of "projection" used is very simple: each man's career numbers are pro-rated by his actual number of batters faced to date this season; those data, labelled "proj:" are shown along with the man's actual stats from this year to date. At the bottom of the Table, each set of lines—"projected" and actual—is separately summed to get Team Totals for each dataset.

Note that "career to date" includes each man's stats for the current year: "to date" is literally correct. For veteran players, that matters little, but for rookies or players with litle prior major-league experience, it means that the "projection" will perforce nearly or exactly match the actual stats to date. That seems like the best way to deal with newly arrived players' stats.

Note that owing to rounding in the pro-rating process, projected total BFP (batters faced) may occasionally differ by 1.

Below the player/team table is a smaller table showing a few key team "rate" stats (such as batting average) actual and projected.

The Actual Data:

Through games of Monday, 22 May 2017.
All results are from true, unadjusted data.

Handedness Key:   + R   * L

(You can also look up the stat definitions.)

Pitchers, listed in alphabetical order:
Each name is a click-on link to that man's career stats.

(or see the data for Batting)


Man AB H 2B 3B HR BB SF SH HBP SO SB CS BFP
Altavilla, Dan 2017: 62 19 5 0 4 9 1 0 0 18 2 0 72
Altavilla, Dan proj: 64 18 4 0 2 6 1 0 1 17 2 0 72
Bergman, Christian 2017: 54 10 1 0 1 4 1 3 1 12 1 0 63
Bergman, Christian proj: 59 18 4 1 2 3 0 1 0 9 0 0 63
Cishek, Steve 2017: 8 3 0 0 1 1 0 0 0 2 0 0 9
Cishek, Steve proj: 8 2 0 0 0 1 0 0 0 2 0 0 9
Curtis, Zac 2017: 5 0 0 0 0 0 0 0 1 1 0 0 6
Curtis, Zac proj: 5 1 0 0 0 1 0 0 0 1 0 0 6
De Jong, Chase 2017: 98 30 4 1 5 11 1 1 0 11 3 2 111
De Jong, Chase proj: 98 30 4 1 5 11 1 1 0 11 3 2 111
Diaz, Edwin 2017: 65 13 1 0 4 10 0 0 1 22 3 0 76
Diaz, Edwin proj: 68 15 2 0 2 6 0 0 1 29 2 0 75
Fien, Casey 2017: 25 9 2 0 3 4 0 0 0 6 1 1 29
Fien, Casey proj: 27 7 1 0 1 1 0 0 0 6 0 0 28
Freeman, Mike 2017: 5 3 0 0 0 0 1 0 0 0 0 0 6
Freeman, Mike proj: 5 3 0 0 0 0 1 0 0 0 0 0 6
Gallardo, Yovani 2017: 195 55 8 0 7 19 2 1 1 36 0 0 218
Gallardo, Yovani proj: 195 49 9 1 5 19 1 2 1 46 3 1 218
Gaviglio, Sam 2017: 26 5 2 1 1 1 0 0 1 6 2 0 28
Gaviglio, Sam proj: 26 5 2 1 1 1 0 0 1 6 2 0 28
Hernandez, Felix 2017: 113 39 5 0 6 3 0 0 2 22 1 0 118
Hernandez, Felix proj: 108 26 4 0 2 8 1 1 1 27 2 1 119
Heston, Chris 2017: 29 14 1 1 3 5 0 0 0 3 0 0 34
Heston, Chris proj: 30 8 2 0 1 3 0 0 1 6 0 0 34
Iwakuma, Hisashi 2017: 114 27 7 0 7 12 0 0 2 16 1 2 128
Iwakuma, Hisashi proj: 120 30 6 0 4 7 1 1 1 26 1 1 130
Lawrence, Casey 2017: 14 4 1 0 1 0 0 0 0 3 0 0 14
Lawrence, Casey proj: 12 4 1 0 0 2 0 0 0 2 0 0 14
Machi, Jean 2017: 26 7 1 0 1 4 1 0 0 4 1 0 31
Machi, Jean proj: 28 7 1 0 1 2 0 0 0 6 0 0 30
Marshall, Evan 2017: 33 12 3 0 1 5 0 0 0 4 0 0 38
Marshall, Evan proj: 34 11 3 0 1 3 0 0 0 7 0 0 37
Miranda, Ariel 2017: 185 45 5 0 9 16 1 2 1 47 1 1 205
Miranda, Ariel proj: 186 43 8 0 10 16 1 1 0 43 0 1 204
Overton, Dillon 2017: 75 21 5 0 4 2 2 0 0 8 1 1 79
Overton, Dillon proj: 74 26 6 0 6 3 2 0 0 10 1 1 79
Pagan, Emilio 2017: 11 4 0 0 1 1 1 0 0 2 0 0 13
Pagan, Emilio proj: 11 4 0 0 1 1 1 0 0 2 0 0 13
Paxton, James 2017: 137 26 9 0 0 11 2 0 0 45 0 0 150
Paxton, James proj: 137 33 7 1 2 11 1 0 0 33 2 0 149
Pazos, James 2017: 73 16 5 0 1 8 2 0 2 27 4 0 85
Pazos, James proj: 73 18 5 0 2 8 1 1 1 23 3 0 84
Rzepczynski, Marc 2017: 38 4 1 0 1 6 0 0 0 11 0 0 44
Rzepczynski, Marc proj: 38 10 2 0 1 5 0 0 1 10 1 0 44
Scribner, Evan 2017: 33 13 3 0 3 0 0 1 0 6 1 0 34
Scribner, Evan proj: 32 8 2 0 1 1 0 0 0 8 1 0 33
Vincent, Nick 2017: 71 15 6 0 1 3 1 1 0 16 0 0 76
Vincent, Nick proj: 70 16 3 0 2 5 0 1 0 20 0 0 76
Weber, Ryan 2017: 14 3 1 0 0 0 0 0 0 0 1 0 14
Weber, Ryan proj: 13 4 1 0 1 1 0 0 0 2 0 0 14
Zych, Tony 2017: 43 10 2 0 1 6 1 1 2 9 0 0 53
Zych, Tony proj: 45 10 2 0 1 5 1 0 1 15 1 1 52
2017 TEAM TOTALS: 1552 407 78 3 66 141 17 10 14 337 23 7 1734
PROJECTED: 1566 406 79 5 54 130 13 9 10 367 24 8 1728
difference: -14 +1 -1 -2 +12 +11 +4 +1 +4 -30 -1 -1 +6
Man AB H 2B 3B HR BB SF SH HBP SO SB CS BFP


Assorted Team Stats:
Stat Actual Projected
Batting Average: .262 .259
Slugging Average: .444 .420
Walks (per PA): .081 .075
SOs (per PA): .194 .212
On-Base Average: .324 .316
Power Factor: 1.69 1.62
OPS: .768 .736
TPP Runs (to date): 221 204

Runs differential:
Actual TPP 17 more than Projected TPP.




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This page was last modified on Tuesday, 23 May 2017, at 6:59 am Pacific Time.