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SEA "Expected" Pitching Results, 2018


About These Stats:

The form of "projection" used is very simple: each man's career numbers are pro-rated by his actual number of batters faced to date this season; those data, labelled "proj:" are shown along with the man's actual stats from this year to date. At the bottom of the Table, each set of lines—"projected" and actual—is separately summed to get Team Totals for each dataset.

Note that "career to date" includes each man's stats for the current year: "to date" is literally correct. For veteran players, that matters little, but for rookies or players with litle prior major-league experience, it means that the "projection" will perforce nearly or exactly match the actual stats to date. That seems like the best way to deal with newly arrived players' stats.

Note that owing to rounding in the pro-rating process, projected total BFP (batters faced) may occasionally differ by 1.

Below the player/team table is a smaller table showing a few key team "rate" stats (such as batting average) actual and projected.

The Actual Data:

Through games of Sunday, 30 September 2018.
All results are from true, unadjusted data.

Handedness Key:   + R   * L

(You can also look up the stat definitions.)

Pitchers, listed in alphabetical order:
Each name is a click-on link to that man's career stats.

(or see the data for Batting)


Man AB H 2B 3B HR BB SF SH HBP SO SB CS BFP
Altavilla, Dan 2018: 68 11 2 0 2 15 0 0 2 23 2 0 85
Altavilla, Dan proj: 74 16 4 0 3 9 1 0 1 22 2 0 85
Armstrong, Shawn 2018: 49 9 3 0 1 3 2 0 3 15 0 0 57
Armstrong, Shawn proj: 51 11 2 0 2 5 0 0 1 13 0 0 57
Bergman, Christian 2018: 52 12 3 0 4 3 1 1 0 7 0 0 57
Bergman, Christian proj: 53 16 3 1 2 3 0 1 0 8 0 0 57
Bradford, Chasen 2018: 210 55 8 1 9 14 2 0 5 38 6 1 231
Bradford, Chasen proj: 209 53 9 1 7 17 2 0 3 40 4 1 231
Colome, Alex 2018: 169 35 2 0 6 13 0 0 3 49 0 0 185
Colome, Alex proj: 166 40 6 0 4 14 2 1 2 41 1 1 185
Cook, Ryan 2018: 64 15 2 0 4 7 1 1 3 23 4 0 76
Cook, Ryan proj: 66 14 2 0 1 8 1 0 1 19 3 0 76
Detwiler, Ross 2018: 20 8 0 0 1 2 1 0 0 2 0 0 23
Detwiler, Ross proj: 20 6 1 0 1 2 0 0 0 3 0 0 22
Diaz, Edwin 2018: 257 41 4 1 5 17 0 0 6 124 5 2 280
Diaz, Edwin proj: 251 47 6 0 7 23 1 0 4 109 8 1 279
Duke, Zach 2018: 54 13 6 0 1 6 0 1 1 12 0 0 62
Duke, Zach proj: 56 16 3 0 1 4 0 1 0 9 1 0 61
Elias, Roenis 2018: 190 46 12 2 1 16 3 0 1 34 6 0 210
Elias, Roenis proj: 186 47 10 1 5 19 2 1 3 41 2 1 211
Festa, Matt 2018: 37 13 4 0 0 2 0 0 1 4 2 0 40
Festa, Matt proj: 37 13 4 0 0 2 0 0 1 4 2 0 40
Goeddel, Erik 2018: 24 4 0 0 0 5 0 0 0 9 1 0 29
Goeddel, Erik proj: 26 6 1 0 1 3 0 0 0 7 1 0 29
Gonzales, Marco 2018: 643 172 39 2 17 32 4 1 6 145 4 5 686
Gonzales, Marco proj: 633 178 36 3 20 43 5 1 5 137 4 5 687
Grimm, Justin 2018: 15 2 1 0 1 0 1 0 0 3 0 0 16
Grimm, Justin proj: 14 4 1 0 0 2 0 0 0 4 0 0 16
Hernandez, Felix 2018: 607 159 35 2 27 59 4 3 12 125 10 1 685
Hernandez, Felix proj: 624 150 27 2 15 49 3 3 6 154 13 4 685
Lawrence, Casey 2018: 94 28 10 1 2 10 0 0 2 14 1 0 106
Lawrence, Casey proj: 94 30 5 1 4 10 1 0 1 19 3 0 106
LeBlanc, Wade 2018: 614 151 32 1 24 40 4 1 3 130 4 4 662
LeBlanc, Wade proj: 602 159 33 3 23 48 4 5 4 114 6 6 663
Leake, Mike 2018: 740 207 44 5 23 34 3 1 6 119 2 5 784
Leake, Mike proj: 723 196 40 3 23 43 6 6 7 126 8 4 785
Miranda, Ariel 2018: 20 6 1 0 0 4 0 0 0 5 0 0 24
Miranda, Ariel proj: 21 5 1 0 1 2 0 0 0 5 0 0 23
Morin, Mike 2018: 16 6 2 1 0 1 1 0 0 6 0 1 18
Morin, Mike proj: 16 4 1 0 0 1 0 0 0 4 0 0 17
Motter, Taylor 2018: 4 1 0 0 1 1 0 0 1 1 0 0 6
Motter, Taylor proj: 5 2 0 0 1 1 0 0 1 1 0 0 7
Nicasio, Juan 2018: 172 53 13 1 6 5 4 0 2 53 1 2 183
Nicasio, Juan proj: 164 44 10 2 5 15 1 2 1 39 3 1 183
Paxton, James 2018: 598 134 24 2 23 42 2 2 1 208 5 3 645
Paxton, James proj: 592 140 27 2 15 45 5 2 2 166 6 2 646
Pazos, James 2018: 189 47 10 0 4 15 2 0 5 45 2 0 211
Pazos, James proj: 185 47 9 0 6 19 3 1 4 50 4 0 212
Ramirez, Erasmo 2018: 183 52 11 1 14 12 4 0 3 33 0 0 202
Ramirez, Erasmo proj: 183 47 9 0 7 14 2 1 2 37 2 1 202
Romine, Andrew 2018: 14 5 1 0 1 2 0 0 1 0 0 0 17
Romine, Andrew proj: 13 5 1 0 2 3 1 0 1 1 0 0 18
Rumbelow, Nick 2018: 69 19 3 0 6 6 1 0 1 16 4 0 77
Rumbelow, Nick proj: 70 19 3 1 4 6 1 0 1 16 3 0 78
Rzepczynski, Marc 2018: 38 13 4 0 2 9 0 0 0 10 2 0 47
Rzepczynski, Marc proj: 41 10 2 0 1 5 0 0 1 10 1 0 47
Tuivailala, Sam 2018: 20 6 1 1 0 1 0 0 0 4 1 1 21
Tuivailala, Sam proj: 19 5 1 0 1 2 0 0 0 4 0 0 21
Vincent, Nick 2018: 218 50 7 2 7 15 2 1 3 56 2 0 239
Vincent, Nick proj: 219 51 10 1 5 15 1 2 2 59 2 1 239
Warren, Adam 2018: 86 22 5 0 3 8 0 0 1 15 2 1 95
Warren, Adam proj: 85 20 4 0 2 8 1 0 1 20 1 1 95
Whalen, Rob 2018: 13 1 0 0 0 1 0 0 0 0 0 0 14
Whalen, Rob proj: 12 3 0 0 0 1 0 0 0 2 1 0 13
2018 TEAM TOTALS: 5547 1396 289 23 195 400 42 12 72 1328 66 26 6073
PROJECTED: 5510 1404 271 21 169 441 43 27 55 1284 81 29 6076
difference: +37 -8 +18 +2 +26 -41 -1 -15 +17 +44 -15 -3 -3
Man AB H 2B 3B HR BB SF SH HBP SO SB CS BFP


Assorted Team Stats:
Stat Actual Projected
Batting Average: .252 .255
Slugging Average: .418 .404
Walks (per PA): .066 .073
SOs (per PA): .219 .211
On-Base Average: .308 .313
Power Factor: 1.66 1.58
OPS: .725 .716
TPP Runs (to date): 693 686

Runs differential:
Actual TPP 7 more than Projected TPP.




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This page was last modified on Monday, 1 October 2018, at 7:06 am Pacific Time.