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SEA "Expected" Pitching Results, 2017


About These Stats:

The form of "projection" used is very simple: each man's career numbers are pro-rated by his actual number of batters faced to date this season; those data, labelled "proj:" are shown along with the man's actual stats from this year to date. At the bottom of the Table, each set of lines—"projected" and actual—is separately summed to get Team Totals for each dataset.

Note that "career to date" includes each man's stats for the current year: "to date" is literally correct. For veteran players, that matters little, but for rookies or players with litle prior major-league experience, it means that the "projection" will perforce nearly or exactly match the actual stats to date. That seems like the best way to deal with newly arrived players' stats.

Note that owing to rounding in the pro-rating process, projected total BFP (batters faced) may occasionally differ by 1.

Below the player/team table is a smaller table showing a few key team "rate" stats (such as batting average) actual and projected.

The Actual Data:

Through games of Sunday, 1 October 2017.
All results are from true, unadjusted data.

Handedness Key:   + R   * L

(You can also look up the stat definitions.)

Pitchers, listed in alphabetical order:
Each name is a click-on link to that man's career stats.

(or see the data for Batting)


Man AB H 2B 3B HR BB SF SH HBP SO SB CS BFP
Albers, Andrew 2017: 165 43 7 0 6 10 1 0 2 37 0 0 178
Albers, Andrew proj: 166 46 9 0 6 9 1 1 1 27 1 1 178
Altavilla, Dan 2017: 178 43 10 0 9 20 4 0 1 52 5 0 203
Altavilla, Dan proj: 180 44 10 0 7 17 4 0 2 50 6 0 203
Bergman, Christian 2017: 207 61 5 1 12 15 1 4 3 33 2 1 230
Bergman, Christian proj: 214 67 13 3 9 12 1 2 1 32 2 1 230
Cishek, Steve 2017: 71 13 2 0 3 7 1 0 1 15 0 0 80
Cishek, Steve proj: 71 15 3 0 1 7 1 1 1 21 1 0 81
Cloyd, Tyler 2017: 4 2 1 0 0 0 0 0 0 1 0 0 4
Cloyd, Tyler proj: 4 1 0 0 0 0 0 0 0 1 0 0 4
Curtis, Zac 2017: 18 3 0 0 1 1 0 0 2 2 0 0 21
Curtis, Zac proj: 17 4 1 0 1 3 0 0 1 3 0 0 21
De Jong, Chase 2017: 110 31 5 1 5 13 1 1 0 13 3 2 125
De Jong, Chase proj: 110 31 5 1 5 13 1 1 0 13 3 2 125
Diaz, Edwin 2017: 240 44 6 0 10 32 2 1 3 89 12 2 278
Diaz, Edwin proj: 247 50 7 0 8 26 1 1 3 99 9 1 278
Fien, Casey 2017: 25 9 2 0 3 4 0 0 0 6 1 1 29
Fien, Casey proj: 27 7 1 0 1 1 0 0 0 6 0 0 28
Freeman, Mike 2017: 5 3 0 0 0 0 1 0 0 0 0 0 6
Freeman, Mike proj: 5 3 0 0 0 0 1 0 0 0 0 0 6
Gallardo, Yovani 2017: 509 138 26 2 24 60 3 4 2 94 5 0 578
Gallardo, Yovani proj: 516 130 25 3 15 52 4 5 2 120 8 3 579
Garton, Ryan 2017: 40 5 1 0 1 1 1 0 0 7 0 0 42
Garton, Ryan proj: 39 10 2 0 1 3 0 0 0 8 0 0 42
Gaviglio, Sam 2017: 233 63 14 1 15 21 2 1 2 40 6 3 259
Gaviglio, Sam proj: 233 63 15 1 13 22 2 1 2 41 7 2 260
Gonzales, Marco 2017: 156 53 5 1 5 11 1 0 1 30 2 1 169
Gonzales, Marco proj: 151 46 7 1 6 16 1 0 1 30 1 1 169
Hernandez, Felix 2017: 334 86 19 0 17 26 1 1 6 78 2 1 368
Hernandez, Felix proj: 336 80 14 1 8 26 2 2 3 84 7 2 369
Heston, Chris 2017: 29 14 1 1 3 5 0 0 0 3 0 0 34
Heston, Chris proj: 30 8 2 0 1 3 0 0 1 6 0 0 34
Iwakuma, Hisashi 2017: 114 27 7 0 7 12 0 0 2 16 1 2 128
Iwakuma, Hisashi proj: 120 30 6 0 4 7 1 1 1 26 1 1 130
Lawrence, Casey 2017: 176 56 4 1 9 14 1 0 1 45 6 0 192
Lawrence, Casey proj: 171 56 7 1 8 18 1 1 1 38 7 0 192
Leake, Mike 2017: 124 32 11 0 1 2 0 0 2 27 1 1 128
Leake, Mike proj: 118 32 6 1 4 7 1 1 1 21 1 1 128
Machi, Jean 2017: 26 7 1 0 1 4 1 0 0 4 1 0 31
Machi, Jean proj: 28 7 1 0 1 2 0 0 0 6 0 0 30
Marshall, Evan 2017: 33 12 3 0 1 5 0 0 0 4 0 0 38
Marshall, Evan proj: 34 11 3 0 1 3 0 0 0 7 0 0 37
Martin, Cody 2017: 11 5 1 0 0 2 0 0 0 0 2 0 13
Martin, Cody proj: 11 4 0 0 1 1 0 0 0 2 0 0 12
Miranda, Ariel 2017: 600 140 27 3 37 63 8 2 5 137 1 2 678
Miranda, Ariel proj: 605 139 29 3 37 60 7 1 4 135 1 2 677
Moore, Andrew 2017: 230 60 13 0 14 8 4 0 1 31 2 1 243
Moore, Andrew proj: 230 60 13 0 14 8 4 0 1 31 2 1 243
Overton, Dillon 2017: 75 21 5 0 4 2 2 0 0 8 1 1 79
Overton, Dillon proj: 73 27 6 0 6 4 1 0 1 10 1 1 79
Pagan, Emilio 2017: 184 39 5 1 7 8 2 1 1 56 2 0 196
Pagan, Emilio proj: 184 39 5 1 7 8 2 1 1 56 2 0 196
Paxton, James 2017: 506 113 24 0 9 37 5 1 3 156 4 3 552
Paxton, James proj: 505 122 24 2 10 40 5 1 2 128 6 2 553
Pazos, James 2017: 206 51 8 0 7 24 4 1 5 65 8 1 240
Pazos, James proj: 206 53 9 0 8 24 3 2 4 61 7 1 239
Phelps, David 2017: 34 9 1 0 0 5 1 0 1 11 0 0 41
Phelps, David proj: 36 9 1 0 1 4 0 0 0 9 0 0 40
Povse, Max 2017: 20 9 2 0 1 1 0 0 0 2 0 0 21
Povse, Max proj: 20 9 2 0 1 1 0 0 0 2 0 0 21
Ramirez, Erasmo 2017: 235 57 16 0 12 15 5 1 1 54 2 2 257
Ramirez, Erasmo proj: 233 59 11 0 9 18 2 1 3 48 3 1 257
Ruiz, Carlos 2017: 5 2 1 0 1 2 0 0 0 1 0 0 7
Ruiz, Carlos proj: 5 2 1 0 1 2 0 0 0 1 0 0 7
Rzepczynski, Marc 2017: 116 29 4 0 2 20 0 0 1 25 3 1 137
Rzepczynski, Marc proj: 119 30 5 0 3 15 1 1 2 30 2 1 138
Scribner, Evan 2017: 33 13 3 0 3 0 0 1 0 6 1 0 34
Scribner, Evan proj: 32 8 2 0 1 1 0 0 0 8 1 0 33
Simmons, Shae 2017: 24 4 1 0 1 4 2 0 0 8 0 0 30
Simmons, Shae proj: 26 5 2 0 0 3 1 0 0 7 0 0 30
Vieira, Thyago 2017: 3 0 0 0 0 0 0 0 0 1 0 0 3
Vieira, Thyago proj: 3 0 0 0 0 0 0 0 0 1 0 0 3
Vincent, Nick 2017: 241 62 14 0 3 13 4 4 0 50 1 1 262
Vincent, Nick proj: 240 56 11 0 5 16 1 3 1 65 2 1 261
Weber, Ryan 2017: 14 3 1 0 0 0 0 0 0 0 1 0 14
Weber, Ryan proj: 13 4 1 0 1 1 0 0 0 2 0 0 14
Whalen, Rob 2017: 27 7 0 0 1 2 0 0 2 2 2 0 31
Whalen, Rob proj: 26 6 1 1 1 3 0 0 1 6 2 0 30
Zych, Tony 2017: 144 30 6 0 2 21 2 1 5 35 3 0 173
Zych, Tony proj: 147 32 7 1 2 19 2 1 4 45 3 2 173
2017 TEAM TOTALS: 5505 1399 262 12 237 490 60 24 53 1244 80 26 6132
PROJECTED: 5531 1405 267 20 208 475 51 28 45 1286 86 27 6130
difference: -26 -6 -5 -8 +29 +15 +9 -4 +8 -42 -6 -1 +2
Man AB H 2B 3B HR BB SF SH HBP SO SB CS BFP


Assorted Team Stats:
Stat Actual Projected
Batting Average: .254 .254
Slugging Average: .435 .422
Walks (per PA): .080 .077
SOs (per PA): .203 .210
On-Base Average: .317 .314
Power Factor: 1.71 1.66
OPS: .752 .736
TPP Runs (to date): 753 728

Runs differential:
Actual TPP 25 more than Projected TPP.




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This page was last modified on Monday, 2 October 2017, at 7:15 am Pacific Time.