Owing to the screen size of your device, you may obtain a better viewing experience by rotating your device a quarter-turn (to get the so-called "panorama" screen view).
owlcroft logo
An Owlcroft Company web site
Click here to email us.

The Owlcroft Baseball-Analysis Site

Baseball team and player performance examined realistically and accurately.

Search this site, or just roll your cursor over the colored boxes below the pictures.

  Advertisement:


  Advertisement:


SEA "Expected" Pitching Results, 2017


About These Stats:

The form of "projection" used is very simple: each man's career numbers are pro-rated by his actual number of batters faced to date this season; those data, labelled "proj:" are shown along with the man's actual stats from this year to date. At the bottom of the Table, each set of lines—"projected" and actual—is separately summed to get Team Totals for each dataset.

Note that "career to date" includes each man's stats for the current year: "to date" is literally correct. For veteran players, that matters little, but for rookies or players with litle prior major-league experience, it means that the "projection" will perforce nearly or exactly match the actual stats to date. That seems like the best way to deal with newly arrived players' stats.

Note that owing to rounding in the pro-rating process, projected total BFP (batters faced) may occasionally differ by 1.

Below the player/team table is a smaller table showing a few key team "rate" stats (such as batting average) actual and projected.

The Actual Data:

Through games of Wednesday, 21 June 2017.
All results are from true, unadjusted data.

Handedness Key:   + R   * L

(You can also look up the stat definitions.)

Pitchers, listed in alphabetical order:
Each name is a click-on link to that man's career stats.

(or see the data for Batting)


Man AB H 2B 3B HR BB SF SH HBP SO SB CS BFP
Altavilla, Dan 2017: 106 29 7 0 8 12 1 0 1 33 5 0 120
Altavilla, Dan proj: 108 29 6 0 6 9 1 0 1 31 5 0 119
Bergman, Christian 2017: 179 53 4 1 11 14 1 3 2 30 2 1 199
Bergman, Christian proj: 185 58 11 2 8 10 1 2 1 28 1 1 199
Cishek, Steve 2017: 41 8 0 0 2 3 0 0 1 7 0 0 45
Cishek, Steve proj: 40 9 2 0 1 4 0 0 0 12 1 0 44
Cloyd, Tyler 2017: 4 2 1 0 0 0 0 0 0 1 0 0 4
Cloyd, Tyler proj: 4 1 0 0 0 0 0 0 0 1 0 0 4
Curtis, Zac 2017: 18 4 0 0 1 1 0 0 2 2 0 0 21
Curtis, Zac proj: 16 4 1 0 1 3 0 0 1 3 0 0 20
De Jong, Chase 2017: 110 31 5 1 5 13 1 1 0 13 3 2 125
De Jong, Chase proj: 110 31 5 1 5 13 1 1 0 13 3 2 125
Diaz, Edwin 2017: 110 20 1 0 6 14 0 0 1 38 6 1 125
Diaz, Edwin proj: 113 24 3 0 4 11 0 0 1 46 4 0 125
Fien, Casey 2017: 25 9 2 0 3 4 0 0 0 6 1 1 29
Fien, Casey proj: 27 7 1 0 1 1 0 0 0 6 0 0 28
Freeman, Mike 2017: 5 3 0 0 0 0 1 0 0 0 0 0 6
Freeman, Mike proj: 5 3 0 0 0 0 1 0 0 0 0 0 6
Gallardo, Yovani 2017: 299 87 18 0 11 32 3 3 1 57 0 0 338
Gallardo, Yovani proj: 302 76 15 1 8 30 2 3 1 71 5 2 338
Gaviglio, Sam 2017: 144 35 6 1 9 12 1 1 1 25 4 1 159
Gaviglio, Sam proj: 144 35 6 1 9 12 1 1 1 25 4 1 159
Hernandez, Felix 2017: 113 39 5 0 6 3 0 0 2 22 1 0 118
Hernandez, Felix proj: 108 26 4 0 2 8 1 1 1 27 2 1 119
Heston, Chris 2017: 29 14 1 1 3 5 0 0 0 3 0 0 34
Heston, Chris proj: 30 8 2 0 1 3 0 0 1 6 0 0 34
Iwakuma, Hisashi 2017: 114 27 7 0 7 12 0 0 2 16 1 2 128
Iwakuma, Hisashi proj: 120 30 6 0 4 7 1 1 1 26 1 1 130
Lawrence, Casey 2017: 71 23 2 1 3 3 0 0 0 16 1 0 74
Lawrence, Casey proj: 66 22 4 1 3 7 1 1 0 12 2 0 75
Machi, Jean 2017: 26 7 1 0 1 4 1 0 0 4 1 0 31
Machi, Jean proj: 28 7 1 0 1 2 0 0 0 6 0 0 30
Marshall, Evan 2017: 33 12 3 0 1 5 0 0 0 4 0 0 38
Marshall, Evan proj: 34 11 3 0 1 3 0 0 0 7 0 0 37
Miranda, Ariel 2017: 317 71 10 1 16 32 1 2 2 68 1 2 354
Miranda, Ariel proj: 320 71 13 1 17 30 2 1 1 68 1 2 354
Overton, Dillon 2017: 75 21 5 0 4 2 2 0 0 8 1 1 79
Overton, Dillon proj: 74 26 6 0 6 3 2 0 0 10 1 1 79
Pagan, Emilio 2017: 35 5 0 0 1 2 1 0 0 11 0 0 38
Pagan, Emilio proj: 35 5 0 0 1 2 1 0 0 11 0 0 38
Paxton, James 2017: 236 58 15 0 4 22 2 0 0 70 1 1 260
Paxton, James proj: 237 59 12 1 5 20 2 1 0 57 3 1 260
Pazos, James 2017: 112 21 6 0 2 11 2 0 3 38 5 0 128
Pazos, James proj: 112 24 6 0 3 12 2 1 2 34 4 0 129
Ruiz, Carlos 2017: 5 2 1 0 1 2 0 0 0 1 0 0 7
Ruiz, Carlos proj: 5 2 1 0 1 2 0 0 0 1 0 0 7
Rzepczynski, Marc 2017: 54 10 2 0 1 9 0 0 0 13 0 0 63
Rzepczynski, Marc proj: 55 14 3 0 1 7 0 0 1 14 1 1 63
Scribner, Evan 2017: 33 13 3 0 3 0 0 1 0 6 1 0 34
Scribner, Evan proj: 32 8 2 0 1 1 0 0 0 8 1 0 33
Vincent, Nick 2017: 110 25 7 0 1 5 1 1 0 22 0 0 117
Vincent, Nick proj: 108 24 5 0 2 7 0 1 1 30 1 0 117
Weber, Ryan 2017: 14 3 1 0 0 0 0 0 0 0 1 0 14
Weber, Ryan proj: 13 4 1 0 1 1 0 0 0 2 0 0 14
Whalen, Rob 2017: 27 7 0 0 1 2 0 0 2 2 2 0 31
Whalen, Rob proj: 26 6 1 1 1 3 0 0 1 6 2 0 30
Zych, Tony 2017: 75 16 3 0 2 9 1 1 3 16 1 0 89
Zych, Tony proj: 77 17 4 0 1 9 1 0 2 24 1 1 89
2017 TEAM TOTALS: 2520 655 116 6 113 233 19 13 23 532 38 12 2808
PROJECTED: 2534 641 124 9 95 220 20 14 17 585 43 14 2805
difference: -14 +14 -8 -3 +18 +13 -1 -1 +6 -53 -5 -2 +3
Man AB H 2B 3B HR BB SF SH HBP SO SB CS BFP


Assorted Team Stats:
Stat Actual Projected
Batting Average: .260 .253
Slugging Average: .445 .421
Walks (per PA): .083 .078
SOs (per PA): .189 .208
On-Base Average: .324 .313
Power Factor: 1.71 1.67
OPS: .770 .734
TPP Runs (to date): 362 332

Runs differential:
Actual TPP 30 more than Projected TPP.




  Advertisement:


  Advertisement:



Want detailed, careful, unhysterical analysis of the effects of "Performance-Enhancing Drugs" in baseball? Click here to visit the Steroids & Baseball web site.

All content copyright © 2002 - 2017 by The Owlcroft Company.

This web page is strictly compliant with the W3C (World Wide Web Consortium) Extensible HyperText Markup Language (XHTML) Protocol v1.0 (Transitional) and the W3C Cascading Style Sheets (CSS) Protocol v3 — because we care about interoperability. Click on the logos below to test us!



This page was last modified on Thursday, 22 June 2017, at 7:04 am Pacific Time.