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SFO "Expected" Batting Results, 2016


About These Stats:

The form of "projection" used is very simple: each man's career numbers are pro-rated by his actual number of appearances to date this season; those data, labelled "proj:" are shown along with the man's actual stats from this year to date. At the bottom of the Table, each set of lines—"projected" and actual—is separately summed to get Team Totals for each dataset.

Note that "career to date" includes each man's stats for the current year: "to date" is literally correct. For veteran players, that matters little, but for rookies or players with litle prior major-league experience, it means that the "projection" will perforce nearly or exactly match the actual stats to date. That seems like the best way to deal with newly arrived players' stats.

Note that owing to rounding in the pro-rating process, projected total PA (plate appearances) may occasionally differ by 1.

Below the player/team table is a smaller table showing a few key team "rate" stats (such as batting average) actual and projected.

The Actual Data:

Through games of Tuesday, 30 August 2016.
All results are from true, unadjusted data.

Handedness Key:   + R   * L   # S

(You can also look up the stat definitions.)

Batters, listed in alphabetical order:
Each name is a click-on link to that man's career stats.

(or see the data for Pitching)


Man AB H 2B 3B HR BB SF SH HBP SO SB CS PA
Adrianza, Ehire 2016: 33 11 2 0 1 2 0 1 0 5 0 1 36
Adrianza, Ehire proj: 32 7 2 0 0 3 0 1 1 6 0 0 37
Belt, Brandon 2016: 451 124 33 7 14 82 4 0 3 121 0 4 540
Belt, Brandon proj: 473 129 31 5 16 59 3 0 4 130 7 3 539
Blanco, Gregor 2016: 240 54 10 4 1 29 1 1 1 51 6 3 273
Blanco, Gregor proj: 238 61 10 3 2 30 1 2 1 51 10 3 272
Brown, Trevor 2016: 150 37 5 0 5 10 0 0 1 37 0 1 161
Brown, Trevor proj: 149 36 6 0 4 10 1 0 1 36 1 2 161
Bumgarner, Madison 2016: 72 12 3 0 3 8 1 0 0 36 0 0 81
Bumgarner, Madison proj: 70 13 2 0 2 4 0 6 0 28 0 0 80
Cain, Matt 2016: 27 2 1 0 1 0 0 1 0 17 0 0 28
Cain, Matt proj: 24 3 0 0 0 1 0 3 0 12 0 0 28
Crawford, Brandon 2016: 457 126 24 9 12 46 9 0 4 94 4 0 516
Crawford, Brandon proj: 462 116 24 6 11 43 5 1 4 101 3 3 515
Cueto, Johnny 2016: 57 6 0 0 0 2 0 9 0 17 0 0 68
Cueto, Johnny proj: 56 6 0 0 0 2 0 10 0 18 0 0 68
Duffy, Matt 2016: 257 65 11 2 4 20 3 2 4 40 8 4 286
Duffy, Matt proj: 265 74 12 2 5 15 1 1 3 45 6 2 285
Gearrin, Cory 2016: 1 1 0 0 0 0 0 0 0 0 0 0 1
Gearrin, Cory proj: 1 1 0 0 0 0 0 0 0 0 0 0 1
Gillaspie, Conor 2016: 163 40 6 3 5 9 0 0 1 24 1 1 173
Gillaspie, Conor proj: 159 40 8 2 4 12 1 0 1 28 0 1 173
Green, Grant 2016: 46 12 2 0 1 3 1 0 0 8 0 0 50
Green, Grant proj: 47 12 2 0 1 2 1 0 0 12 0 1 50
Hernandez, Gorkys 2016: 12 2 1 0 0 0 0 0 0 3 0 0 12
Hernandez, Gorkys proj: 11 2 0 0 0 1 0 0 0 3 1 0 12
Law, Derek 2016: 1 0 0 0 0 0 0 0 0 0 0 0 1
Law, Derek proj: 1 0 0 0 0 0 0 0 0 0 0 0 1
Lopez, Javier 2016: 1 0 0 0 0 0 0 0 0 1 0 0 1
Lopez, Javier proj: 1 0 0 0 0 0 0 0 0 0 0 0 1
Mazzaro, Vin 2016: 1 0 0 0 0 0 0 0 0 1 0 0 1
Mazzaro, Vin proj: 1 0 0 0 0 0 0 0 0 0 0 0 1
Moore, Matt 2016: 9 0 0 0 0 0 0 2 0 4 0 0 11
Moore, Matt proj: 9 1 0 0 0 0 0 2 0 3 0 0 11
Nunez, Eduardo 2016: 99 24 6 3 2 9 0 0 1 18 5 3 109
Nunez, Eduardo proj: 101 27 5 1 2 6 1 1 1 15 6 2 110
Pagan, Angel 2016: 377 111 21 3 9 32 2 0 0 55 13 4 414
Pagan, Angel proj: 379 107 21 5 6 30 3 2 0 60 17 5 414
Panik, Joe 2016: 370 93 16 6 10 43 4 3 1 38 5 0 421
Panik, Joe proj: 377 109 20 4 7 36 3 3 2 42 3 1 421
Parker, Jarrett 2016: 114 29 3 1 5 19 0 0 4 38 0 1 137
Parker, Jarrett proj: 117 33 4 1 8 17 0 0 3 42 1 1 137
Peavy, Jake 2016: 27 5 0 0 0 2 0 2 0 12 0 0 31
Peavy, Jake proj: 27 5 1 0 0 1 0 3 0 9 0 0 31
Pena, Ramiro 2016: 87 26 6 1 1 2 0 0 2 16 0 0 91
Pena, Ramiro proj: 84 21 3 1 1 5 1 2 1 17 2 1 93
Pence, Hunter 2016: 278 78 16 1 8 30 3 0 1 67 0 0 312
Pence, Hunter proj: 286 81 15 3 11 23 2 0 1 58 6 3 312
Posey, Buster 2016: 423 125 28 1 12 53 5 0 3 53 6 0 484
Posey, Buster proj: 430 132 25 1 15 45 5 0 4 58 2 1 484
Samardzija, Jeff 2016: 54 8 4 0 0 1 0 2 0 23 0 0 57
Samardzija, Jeff proj: 49 7 2 0 0 2 0 5 0 20 0 0 56
Span, Denard 2016: 483 133 21 4 9 42 2 6 4 62 12 5 537
Span, Denard proj: 480 137 23 7 5 46 2 6 3 61 18 5 537
Stratton, Chris 2016: 1 0 0 0 0 0 0 0 0 0 0 0 1
Stratton, Chris proj: 1 0 0 0 0 0 0 0 0 0 0 0 1
Suarez, Albert 2016: 14 3 1 0 0 0 0 3 0 7 0 0 17
Suarez, Albert proj: 14 3 1 0 0 0 0 3 0 7 0 0 17
Tejada, Ruben 2016: 32 5 3 0 0 5 0 1 0 5 0 0 38
Tejada, Ruben proj: 34 8 2 0 0 3 0 0 1 6 0 0 38
Tomlinson, Kelby 2016: 76 22 3 0 0 10 0 1 1 13 5 1 88
Tomlinson, Kelby proj: 80 24 3 1 1 8 0 0 1 17 3 2 89
Williamson, Mac 2016: 98 24 3 0 6 13 0 0 2 27 0 1 113
Williamson, Mac proj: 100 24 2 1 5 10 1 0 2 27 0 1 113
2016 TEAM TOTALS: 4511 1178 229 45 109 472 35 34 33 893 65 29 5089
PROJECTED: 4558 1219 224 43 106 414 31 51 34 912 86 37 5088
difference: -47 -41 +5 +2 +3 +58 +4 -17 -1 -19 -21 -8 +1
Man AB H 2B 3B HR BB SF SH HBP SO SB CS PA


Assorted Team Stats:
Stat Actual Projected
Batting Average: .261 .267
Slugging Average: .404 .405
Walks (per PA): .093 .081
SOs (per PA): .175 .179
On-Base Average: .331 .328
Power Factor: 1.55 1.52
OPS: .735 .733
TOP Runs (to date): 602 603

Runs differential:
Actual TOP 1 less than Projected TOP.




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This page was last modified on Wednesday, 31 August 2016, at 7:08 am Pacific Time.