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Baseball team and player performance examined realistically and accurately.

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SFO "Expected" Batting Results, 2017


About These Stats:

The form of "projection" used is very simple: each man's career numbers are pro-rated by his actual number of appearances to date this season; those data, labelled "proj:" are shown along with the man's actual stats from this year to date. At the bottom of the Table, each set of lines—"projected" and actual—is separately summed to get Team Totals for each dataset.

Note that "career to date" includes each man's stats for the current year: "to date" is literally correct. For veteran players, that matters little, but for rookies or players with litle prior major-league experience, it means that the "projection" will perforce nearly or exactly match the actual stats to date. That seems like the best way to deal with newly arrived players' stats.

Note that owing to rounding in the pro-rating process, projected total PA (plate appearances) may occasionally differ by 1.

Below the player/team table is a smaller table showing a few key team "rate" stats (such as batting average) actual and projected.

The Actual Data:

Through games of Wednesday, 21 June 2017.
All results are from true, unadjusted data.

Handedness Key:   + R   * L   # S

(You can also look up the stat definitions.)

Batters, listed in alphabetical order:
Each name is a click-on link to that man's career stats.

(or see the data for Pitching)


Man AB H 2B 3B HR BB SF SH HBP SO SB CS PA
Arroyo, Christian 2017: 125 24 5 0 3 8 1 0 1 32 1 2 135
Arroyo, Christian proj: 125 24 5 0 3 8 1 0 1 32 1 2 135
Belt, Brandon 2017: 259 58 12 2 12 44 0 0 1 71 3 1 304
Belt, Brandon proj: 265 71 17 3 9 35 2 0 2 73 4 2 304
Blach, Ty 2017: 23 4 1 0 0 3 1 3 0 12 0 0 30
Blach, Ty proj: 24 5 1 0 0 3 1 3 0 11 0 0 31
Bumgarner, Madison 2017: 7 2 0 0 2 1 0 0 0 1 0 0 8
Bumgarner, Madison proj: 7 1 0 0 0 0 0 1 0 3 0 0 8
Cain, Matt 2017: 21 2 1 0 0 0 0 1 0 13 0 0 22
Cain, Matt proj: 19 2 0 0 0 1 0 2 0 10 0 0 22
Calixte, Orlando 2017: 25 4 1 0 0 3 1 0 0 10 0 0 29
Calixte, Orlando proj: 25 4 1 0 0 3 1 0 0 9 0 0 29
Crawford, Brandon 2017: 211 52 13 1 6 15 6 0 0 46 2 1 232
Crawford, Brandon proj: 208 52 11 2 5 19 3 0 2 45 2 1 232
Cueto, Johnny 2017: 27 1 0 0 0 1 1 3 0 7 0 0 32
Cueto, Johnny proj: 26 3 0 0 0 1 0 5 0 9 0 0 32
Federowicz, Tim 2017: 2 0 0 0 0 1 0 0 0 1 0 0 3
Federowicz, Tim proj: 3 1 0 0 0 0 0 0 0 1 0 0 3
Gillaspie, Conor 2017: 45 6 1 0 0 4 1 0 1 6 0 0 51
Gillaspie, Conor proj: 47 12 2 0 1 4 0 0 0 8 0 0 51
Hernandez, Gorkys 2017: 122 26 6 1 0 14 1 1 1 30 4 1 139
Hernandez, Gorkys proj: 125 26 5 1 2 11 0 1 1 31 4 1 138
Hill, Aaron 2017: 66 9 2 1 1 11 1 0 0 13 0 0 78
Hill, Aaron proj: 71 19 4 0 2 6 1 0 1 11 1 0 79
Hundley, Nick 2017: 114 27 12 0 2 4 2 1 0 34 0 0 121
Hundley, Nick proj: 111 28 6 1 3 8 1 0 1 28 1 1 121
Kontos, George 2017: 1 0 0 0 0 0 0 0 0 0 0 0 1
Kontos, George proj: 1 0 0 0 0 0 0 0 0 0 0 0 1
Marrero, Chris 2017: 38 5 0 0 1 2 1 0 0 9 0 0 41
Marrero, Chris proj: 38 8 1 0 0 1 1 0 0 9 0 0 40
Moore, Matt 2017: 22 2 0 0 0 1 0 4 0 9 0 0 27
Moore, Matt proj: 23 2 0 0 0 0 0 4 0 9 0 0 27
Morse, Michael 2017: 36 7 1 0 1 3 1 0 0 14 0 0 40
Morse, Michael proj: 37 10 2 0 1 3 0 0 1 9 0 0 41
Nunez, Eduardo 2017: 254 76 17 0 4 10 2 1 0 23 17 3 267
Nunez, Eduardo proj: 247 68 13 2 5 14 2 2 1 35 15 4 266
Okert, Steven 2017: 1 0 0 0 0 0 0 0 0 1 0 0 1
Okert, Steven proj: 1 0 0 0 0 0 0 0 0 1 0 0 1
Panik, Joe 2017: 240 65 15 2 4 21 4 0 4 31 3 0 269
Panik, Joe proj: 241 67 13 2 4 22 2 1 2 27 2 0 268
Parker, Jarrett 2017: 21 3 0 1 0 2 0 0 0 10 0 0 23
Parker, Jarrett proj: 20 5 1 0 1 3 0 0 1 8 0 0 24
Pence, Hunter 2017: 195 49 5 1 5 12 3 0 1 42 0 1 211
Pence, Hunter proj: 193 55 10 2 7 16 1 0 1 39 4 2 211
Posey, Buster 2017: 222 75 12 0 9 28 1 0 6 25 1 0 257
Posey, Buster proj: 228 70 13 1 8 24 3 0 2 31 1 0 257
Ruggiano, Justin 2017: 60 13 1 0 2 1 1 0 1 17 1 1 63
Ruggiano, Justin proj: 57 15 3 0 2 5 0 0 1 17 2 1 63
Samardzija, Jeff 2017: 31 3 1 0 1 0 0 1 0 13 0 0 32
Samardzija, Jeff proj: 28 4 1 0 0 1 0 3 0 12 0 0 32
Slater, Austin 2017: 58 18 1 1 2 3 0 0 2 12 0 0 63
Slater, Austin proj: 58 18 1 1 2 3 0 0 2 12 0 0 63
Span, Denard 2017: 197 54 13 3 4 13 0 0 2 27 3 2 212
Span, Denard proj: 190 54 9 3 2 18 1 2 1 25 7 2 212
Stubbs, Drew 2017: 22 2 0 0 0 2 0 0 0 9 0 0 24
Stubbs, Drew proj: 21 5 1 0 1 2 0 0 0 7 1 0 23
Tomlinson, Kelby 2017: 55 15 0 0 0 4 0 1 0 11 3 0 60
Tomlinson, Kelby proj: 55 16 2 0 0 5 0 0 0 11 2 1 60
Williamson, Mac 2017: 31 5 0 0 1 3 0 0 0 12 1 0 34
Williamson, Mac proj: 31 6 1 0 1 3 0 0 1 10 0 0 35
2017 TEAM TOTALS: 2531 607 120 13 60 214 28 16 20 541 39 12 2809
PROJECTED: 2525 651 123 18 59 219 20 24 21 533 47 17 2809
difference: +6 -44 -3 -5 +1 -5 +8 -8 -1 +8 -8 -5 0
Man AB H 2B 3B HR BB SF SH HBP SO SB CS PA


Assorted Team Stats:
Stat Actual Projected
Batting Average: .240 .258
Slugging Average: .369 .391
Walks (per PA): .076 .078
SOs (per PA): .193 .190
On-Base Average: .299 .317
Power Factor: 1.54 1.52
OPS: .668 .708
TOP Runs (to date): 281 313

Runs differential:
Actual TOP 32 less than Projected TOP.




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This page was last modified on Thursday, 22 June 2017, at 7:04 am Pacific Time.