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SFO "Expected" Batting Results, 2016


About These Stats:

The form of "projection" used is very simple: each man's career numbers are pro-rated by his actual number of appearances to date this season; those data, labelled "proj:" are shown along with the man's actual stats from this year to date. At the bottom of the Table, each set of lines—"projected" and actual—is separately summed to get Team Totals for each dataset.

Note that "career to date" includes each man's stats for the current year: "to date" is literally correct. For veteran players, that matters little, but for rookies or players with litle prior major-league experience, it means that the "projection" will perforce nearly or exactly match the actual stats to date. That seems like the best way to deal with newly arrived players' stats.

Note that owing to rounding in the pro-rating process, projected total PA (plate appearances) may occasionally differ by 1.

Below the player/team table is a smaller table showing a few key team "rate" stats (such as batting average) actual and projected.

The Actual Data:

Through games of Thursday, 28 July 2016.
All results are from true, unadjusted data.

Handedness Key:   + R   * L   # S

(You can also look up the stat definitions.)

Batters, listed in alphabetical order:
Each name is a click-on link to that man's career stats.

(or see the data for Pitching)


Man AB H 2B 3B HR BB SF SH HBP SO SB CS PA
Adrianza, Ehire 2016: 10 3 1 0 1 1 0 1 0 1 0 0 12
Adrianza, Ehire proj: 11 2 1 0 0 1 0 0 0 2 0 0 12
Belt, Brandon 2016: 349 99 27 5 11 63 3 0 2 86 0 4 417
Belt, Brandon proj: 366 100 24 4 13 45 3 0 3 99 5 2 417
Blanco, Gregor 2016: 208 49 10 4 1 25 1 1 1 39 5 3 237
Blanco, Gregor proj: 206 54 8 3 2 26 1 2 1 44 8 3 236
Brown, Trevor 2016: 119 31 5 0 5 6 0 0 1 27 0 0 126
Brown, Trevor proj: 118 30 6 0 4 7 1 0 1 26 1 1 127
Bumgarner, Madison 2016: 55 9 2 0 2 6 1 0 0 26 0 0 62
Bumgarner, Madison proj: 54 10 2 0 2 3 0 5 0 21 0 0 62
Cain, Matt 2016: 20 2 1 0 1 0 0 1 0 12 0 0 21
Cain, Matt proj: 18 2 0 0 0 1 0 2 0 9 0 0 21
Crawford, Brandon 2016: 349 95 17 6 9 37 7 0 4 76 3 0 397
Crawford, Brandon proj: 355 89 18 4 8 33 4 1 4 78 2 2 397
Cueto, Johnny 2016: 46 3 0 0 0 2 0 6 0 15 0 0 54
Cueto, Johnny proj: 45 5 0 0 0 1 0 8 0 14 0 0 54
Duffy, Matt 2016: 257 65 11 2 4 20 3 2 4 40 8 4 286
Duffy, Matt proj: 265 74 12 2 5 15 1 1 3 45 6 1 285
Gearrin, Cory 2016: 1 1 0 0 0 0 0 0 0 0 0 0 1
Gearrin, Cory proj: 1 1 0 0 0 0 0 0 0 0 0 0 1
Gillaspie, Conor 2016: 119 31 4 1 4 7 0 0 1 16 1 1 127
Gillaspie, Conor proj: 117 30 6 1 3 9 1 0 1 20 0 1 128
Green, Grant 2016: 46 12 2 0 1 3 1 0 0 8 0 0 50
Green, Grant proj: 47 12 2 0 1 2 1 0 0 12 0 1 50
Law, Derek 2016: 1 0 0 0 0 0 0 0 0 0 0 0 1
Law, Derek proj: 1 0 0 0 0 0 0 0 0 0 0 0 1
Lopez, Javier 2016: 1 0 0 0 0 0 0 0 0 1 0 0 1
Lopez, Javier proj: 1 0 0 0 0 0 0 0 0 0 0 0 1
Mazzaro, Vin 2016: 1 0 0 0 0 0 0 0 0 1 0 0 1
Mazzaro, Vin proj: 1 0 0 0 0 0 0 0 0 0 0 0 1
Pagan, Angel 2016: 267 76 14 3 6 18 2 0 0 42 9 1 289
Pagan, Angel proj: 265 74 14 4 4 20 2 1 0 42 12 3 288
Panik, Joe 2016: 277 70 10 5 7 26 2 2 1 31 5 0 308
Panik, Joe proj: 278 81 14 3 5 24 2 2 2 32 2 1 308
Parker, Jarrett 2016: 109 27 3 0 5 19 0 0 3 38 0 1 131
Parker, Jarrett proj: 112 31 4 0 8 17 0 0 2 42 1 1 131
Peavy, Jake 2016: 27 5 0 0 0 1 0 2 0 12 0 0 30
Peavy, Jake proj: 26 4 1 0 0 1 0 3 0 8 0 0 30
Pena, Ramiro 2016: 86 26 6 1 1 2 0 0 2 16 0 0 90
Pena, Ramiro proj: 83 21 3 1 1 5 1 2 1 17 2 1 92
Pence, Hunter 2016: 181 54 11 1 7 23 3 0 1 39 0 0 208
Pence, Hunter proj: 190 54 10 2 7 16 1 0 1 38 4 2 208
Posey, Buster 2016: 337 96 21 1 12 38 4 0 2 43 6 0 381
Posey, Buster proj: 339 104 20 1 13 35 4 0 3 46 2 1 381
Samardzija, Jeff 2016: 42 7 3 0 0 1 0 1 0 15 0 0 44
Samardzija, Jeff proj: 38 5 1 0 0 1 0 4 0 15 0 0 43
Span, Denard 2016: 367 93 14 3 4 40 1 5 3 53 9 5 416
Span, Denard proj: 371 106 18 5 4 36 2 4 2 48 14 4 415
Stratton, Chris 2016: 1 0 0 0 0 0 0 0 0 0 0 0 1
Stratton, Chris proj: 1 0 0 0 0 0 0 0 0 0 0 0 1
Suarez, Albert 2016: 13 2 0 0 0 0 0 3 0 7 0 0 16
Suarez, Albert proj: 13 2 0 0 0 0 0 3 0 7 0 0 16
Tejada, Ruben 2016: 32 5 3 0 0 5 0 1 0 5 0 0 38
Tejada, Ruben proj: 34 8 2 0 0 3 0 0 1 6 0 0 38
Tomlinson, Kelby 2016: 76 22 3 0 0 10 0 1 1 13 5 1 88
Tomlinson, Kelby proj: 80 24 3 1 1 8 0 0 1 17 3 2 89
Williamson, Mac 2016: 97 24 3 0 6 11 0 0 2 27 0 1 110
Williamson, Mac proj: 99 24 2 1 5 8 1 0 2 27 0 1 110
2016 TEAM TOTALS: 3494 907 171 32 87 364 28 26 28 689 51 21 3943
PROJECTED: 3535 947 171 32 86 317 25 38 28 715 62 27 3943
difference: -41 -40 0 0 +1 +47 +3 -12 0 -26 -11 -6 0
Man AB H 2B 3B HR BB SF SH HBP SO SB CS PA


Assorted Team Stats:
Stat Actual Projected
Batting Average: .260 .268
Slugging Average: .402 .407
Walks (per PA): .092 .080
SOs (per PA): .175 .181
On-Base Average: .329 .328
Power Factor: 1.55 1.52
OPS: .731 .735
TOP Runs (to date): 463 469

Runs differential:
Actual TOP 6 less than Projected TOP.




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This page was last modified on Friday, 29 July 2016, at 6:39 am Pacific Time.