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SFO "Expected" Batting Results, 2016


About These Stats:

The form of "projection" used is very simple: each man's career numbers are pro-rated by his actual number of appearances to date this season; those data, labelled "proj:" are shown along with the man's actual stats from this year to date. At the bottom of the Table, each set of lines—"projected" and actual—is separately summed to get Team Totals for each dataset.

Note that "career to date" includes each man's stats for the current year: "to date" is literally correct. For veteran players, that matters little, but for rookies or players with litle prior major-league experience, it means that the "projection" will perforce nearly or exactly match the actual stats to date. That seems like the best way to deal with newly arrived players' stats.

Note that owing to rounding in the pro-rating process, projected total PA (plate appearances) may occasionally differ by 1.

Below the player/team table is a smaller table showing a few key team "rate" stats (such as batting average) actual and projected.

The Actual Data:

Through games of Tuesday, 24 May 2016.
All results are from true, unadjusted data.

Handedness Key:   + R   * L   # S

(You can also look up the stat definitions.)

Batters, listed in alphabetical order:
Each name is a click-on link to that man's career stats.

(or see the data for Pitching)


Man AB H 2B 3B HR BB SF SH HBP SO SB CS PA
Adrianza, Ehire 2016: 10 3 1 0 1 1 0 1 0 1 0 0 12
Adrianza, Ehire proj: 11 2 1 0 0 1 0 0 0 2 0 0 12
Belt, Brandon 2016: 153 43 8 3 4 34 2 0 1 30 0 4 190
Belt, Brandon proj: 167 46 10 2 6 20 1 0 2 45 3 1 190
Blanco, Gregor 2016: 81 19 2 3 0 9 0 0 0 11 2 1 90
Blanco, Gregor proj: 78 20 3 1 1 10 0 1 0 17 3 1 89
Brown, Trevor 2016: 52 13 1 0 4 4 0 0 0 11 0 0 56
Brown, Trevor proj: 51 12 2 0 2 4 1 0 0 11 1 1 56
Bumgarner, Madison 2016: 26 4 1 0 1 2 0 0 0 12 0 0 28
Bumgarner, Madison proj: 24 4 1 0 1 1 0 2 0 9 0 0 27
Cain, Matt 2016: 17 1 1 0 0 0 0 1 0 11 0 0 18
Cain, Matt proj: 15 2 0 0 0 1 0 2 0 8 0 0 18
Crawford, Brandon 2016: 160 41 9 1 6 18 3 0 1 37 2 0 182
Crawford, Brandon proj: 163 40 8 2 4 15 2 0 2 36 1 1 182
Cueto, Johnny 2016: 23 2 0 0 0 1 0 4 0 10 0 0 28
Cueto, Johnny proj: 23 2 0 0 0 1 0 4 0 8 0 0 28
Duffy, Matt 2016: 179 44 8 2 2 15 1 0 1 23 5 2 196
Duffy, Matt proj: 183 51 9 2 3 10 1 1 2 30 4 1 197
Gillaspie, Conor 2016: 25 6 1 0 1 4 0 0 0 5 0 0 29
Gillaspie, Conor proj: 27 7 1 0 1 2 0 0 0 5 0 0 29
Law, Derek 2016: 1 0 0 0 0 0 0 0 0 0 0 0 1
Law, Derek proj: 1 0 0 0 0 0 0 0 0 0 0 0 1
Mazzaro, Vin 2016: 1 0 0 0 0 0 0 0 0 1 0 0 1
Mazzaro, Vin proj: 1 0 0 0 0 0 0 0 0 0 0 0 1
Pagan, Angel 2016: 120 33 5 1 2 12 1 0 0 18 5 1 133
Pagan, Angel proj: 122 34 7 2 2 9 1 1 0 19 5 2 133
Panik, Joe 2016: 162 41 7 3 5 18 1 0 0 23 3 0 181
Panik, Joe proj: 164 49 9 1 3 14 1 1 1 20 1 0 181
Parker, Jarrett 2016: 8 2 0 0 1 1 0 0 1 2 0 0 10
Parker, Jarrett proj: 9 3 0 0 1 1 0 0 0 4 0 0 10
Peavy, Jake 2016: 12 3 0 0 0 1 0 1 0 5 0 0 14
Peavy, Jake proj: 12 2 0 0 0 1 0 1 0 4 0 0 14
Pence, Hunter 2016: 160 47 8 1 7 23 3 0 1 36 0 0 187
Pence, Hunter proj: 171 49 9 2 7 14 1 0 1 34 4 2 187
Posey, Buster 2016: 155 41 10 0 5 16 3 0 0 20 1 0 174
Posey, Buster proj: 155 48 9 0 6 16 2 0 1 21 0 0 174
Samardzija, Jeff 2016: 28 4 2 0 0 1 0 1 0 11 0 0 30
Samardzija, Jeff proj: 26 3 1 0 0 1 0 3 0 10 0 0 30
Span, Denard 2016: 179 46 7 2 1 24 1 3 3 20 6 4 210
Span, Denard proj: 187 54 9 3 2 18 1 2 1 24 7 2 209
Tomlinson, Kelby 2016: 57 19 2 0 0 6 0 1 0 10 4 1 64
Tomlinson, Kelby proj: 59 18 2 1 0 5 0 0 0 12 2 1 64
Williamson, Mac 2016: 16 3 1 0 0 0 0 0 1 6 0 0 17
Williamson, Mac proj: 16 3 0 0 0 0 0 0 1 5 0 0 17
2016 TEAM TOTALS: 1625 415 74 16 40 190 15 12 9 303 28 13 1851
PROJECTED: 1665 449 81 16 39 144 11 18 11 324 31 12 1849
difference: -40 -34 -7 0 +1 +46 +4 -6 -2 -21 -3 +1 +2
Man AB H 2B 3B HR BB SF SH HBP SO SB CS PA


Assorted Team Stats:
Stat Actual Projected
Batting Average: .255 .270
Slugging Average: .394 .408
Walks (per PA): .103 .078
SOs (per PA): .164 .175
On-Base Average: .332 .327
Power Factor: 1.54 1.51
OPS: .726 .734
TOP Runs (to date): 216 221

Runs differential:
Actual TOP 5 less than Projected TOP.




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This page was last modified on Wednesday, 25 May 2016, at 6:37 am Pacific Time.