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SFO "Expected" Batting Results, 2017


About These Stats:

The form of "projection" used is very simple: each man's career numbers are pro-rated by his actual number of appearances to date this season; those data, labelled "proj:" are shown along with the man's actual stats from this year to date. At the bottom of the Table, each set of lines—"projected" and actual—is separately summed to get Team Totals for each dataset.

Note that "career to date" includes each man's stats for the current year: "to date" is literally correct. For veteran players, that matters little, but for rookies or players with litle prior major-league experience, it means that the "projection" will perforce nearly or exactly match the actual stats to date. That seems like the best way to deal with newly arrived players' stats.

Note that owing to rounding in the pro-rating process, projected total PA (plate appearances) may occasionally differ by 1.

Below the player/team table is a smaller table showing a few key team "rate" stats (such as batting average) actual and projected.

The Actual Data:

Through games of Sunday, 1 October 2017.
All results are from true, unadjusted data.

Handedness Key:   + R   * L   # S

(You can also look up the stat definitions.)

Batters, listed in alphabetical order:
Each name is a click-on link to that man's career stats.

(or see the data for Pitching)


Man AB H 2B 3B HR BB SF SH HBP SO SB CS PA
Arroyo, Christian 2017: 125 24 5 0 3 8 1 0 1 32 1 2 135
Arroyo, Christian proj: 125 24 5 0 3 8 1 0 1 32 1 2 135
Belt, Brandon 2017: 382 92 27 3 18 66 1 0 2 104 3 2 451
Belt, Brandon proj: 392 105 26 4 14 53 2 0 3 108 5 2 450
Blach, Ty 2017: 44 10 2 0 1 4 1 4 0 21 0 0 53
Blach, Ty proj: 45 11 2 0 1 4 1 4 0 20 0 0 54
Bumgarner, Madison 2017: 34 7 0 0 3 2 0 0 0 11 0 0 36
Bumgarner, Madison proj: 31 6 1 0 1 2 0 2 0 13 0 0 35
Cain, Matt 2017: 32 5 2 0 0 0 0 2 0 20 0 0 34
Cain, Matt proj: 29 4 1 0 0 1 0 4 0 15 0 0 34
Calixte, Orlando 2017: 49 7 1 0 0 3 2 1 0 16 1 0 55
Calixte, Orlando proj: 49 7 1 0 0 3 2 1 0 15 1 0 55
Crawford, Brandon 2017: 518 131 34 1 14 42 9 0 1 113 3 5 570
Crawford, Brandon proj: 512 129 27 5 12 47 6 1 4 112 4 3 570
Cueto, Johnny 2017: 46 4 0 0 0 1 1 4 0 15 0 0 52
Cueto, Johnny proj: 43 5 0 0 0 1 0 7 0 14 0 0 51
Federowicz, Tim 2017: 13 3 0 0 2 1 0 0 0 4 0 0 14
Federowicz, Tim proj: 13 3 1 0 0 1 0 0 0 4 0 0 14
Gearrin, Cory 2017: 2 0 0 0 0 0 0 0 0 2 0 0 2
Gearrin, Cory proj: 2 1 0 0 0 0 0 0 0 1 0 0 2
Gillaspie, Conor 2017: 80 13 4 0 2 5 1 0 1 10 0 0 87
Gillaspie, Conor proj: 80 20 4 1 2 6 1 0 0 14 0 0 87
Gomez, Miguel 2017: 33 8 2 0 0 0 1 0 0 6 0 0 34
Gomez, Miguel proj: 33 8 2 0 0 0 1 0 0 6 0 0 34
Hernandez, Gorkys 2017: 310 79 20 1 0 31 2 2 3 73 12 4 348
Hernandez, Gorkys proj: 313 73 16 2 3 28 1 2 4 75 12 4 348
Hill, Aaron 2017: 68 9 2 1 1 11 1 0 0 13 0 0 80
Hill, Aaron proj: 73 19 4 0 2 6 1 0 1 11 1 0 81
Hundley, Nick 2017: 287 70 23 0 9 12 2 2 0 81 0 0 303
Hundley, Nick proj: 278 69 15 2 8 20 3 1 2 72 1 2 304
Hwang, Jae-Gyun 2017: 52 8 1 0 1 5 0 0 0 15 0 0 57
Hwang, Jae-Gyun proj: 52 8 1 0 1 5 0 0 0 15 0 0 57
Jones, Ryder 2017: 150 26 5 2 2 10 0 0 4 52 1 0 164
Jones, Ryder proj: 150 26 5 2 2 10 0 0 4 52 1 0 164
Kontos, George 2017: 2 0 0 0 0 0 0 0 0 1 0 0 2
Kontos, George proj: 1 0 0 0 0 0 0 1 0 1 0 0 2
Marrero, Chris 2017: 38 5 0 0 1 2 1 0 0 9 0 0 41
Marrero, Chris proj: 38 8 1 0 0 1 1 0 0 9 0 0 40
Moncrief, Carlos 2017: 38 8 1 0 0 3 2 0 0 15 0 0 43
Moncrief, Carlos proj: 38 8 1 0 0 3 2 0 0 15 0 0 43
Moore, Matt 2017: 47 6 0 0 0 2 0 4 0 19 0 0 53
Moore, Matt proj: 46 5 0 0 0 1 0 5 0 19 0 0 52
Morse, Michael 2017: 36 7 1 0 1 3 1 0 0 14 0 0 40
Morse, Michael proj: 37 10 2 0 1 3 0 0 1 9 0 0 41
Nunez, Eduardo 2017: 302 93 21 0 4 12 2 1 1 29 18 5 318
Nunez, Eduardo proj: 295 83 16 2 6 16 3 2 2 41 18 5 318
Okert, Steven 2017: 1 0 0 0 0 0 0 0 0 1 0 0 1
Okert, Steven proj: 1 0 0 0 0 0 0 0 0 1 0 0 1
Panik, Joe 2017: 511 147 28 5 10 46 8 3 5 54 4 1 573
Panik, Joe proj: 512 145 27 5 9 47 6 3 4 55 4 1 572
Parker, Jarrett 2017: 166 41 12 2 4 10 0 0 1 54 2 1 177
Parker, Jarrett proj: 158 41 8 1 7 16 0 0 3 55 1 1 177
Pence, Hunter 2017: 493 128 13 5 13 40 4 0 2 102 2 3 539
Pence, Hunter proj: 494 139 25 4 19 41 3 0 2 101 9 4 540
Posey, Buster 2017: 494 158 34 0 12 61 5 0 8 66 6 1 568
Posey, Buster proj: 503 155 30 1 17 54 6 0 5 68 3 1 568
Ruggiano, Justin 2017: 60 13 1 0 2 1 1 0 1 17 1 1 63
Ruggiano, Justin proj: 57 15 3 0 2 5 0 0 1 17 2 1 63
Samardzija, Jeff 2017: 64 6 2 0 1 0 0 3 0 25 0 0 67
Samardzija, Jeff proj: 59 8 2 0 1 1 1 5 0 24 0 0 66
Sandoval, Pablo 2017: 160 36 9 0 5 8 2 0 1 29 0 0 171
Sandoval, Pablo proj: 156 44 9 1 5 12 2 0 1 23 0 1 171
Slater, Austin 2017: 117 33 3 1 3 8 0 0 2 29 0 0 127
Slater, Austin proj: 117 33 3 1 3 8 0 0 2 29 0 0 127
Span, Denard 2017: 497 135 31 5 12 40 1 1 3 69 12 7 542
Span, Denard proj: 486 138 24 6 6 46 2 5 3 63 17 5 542
Stratton, Chris 2017: 14 2 0 0 0 0 0 2 0 3 0 0 16
Stratton, Chris proj: 14 2 0 0 0 0 0 2 0 3 0 0 16
Stubbs, Drew 2017: 22 2 0 0 0 2 0 0 0 9 0 0 24
Stubbs, Drew proj: 21 5 1 0 1 2 0 0 0 7 1 0 23
Suarez, Albert 2017: 2 0 0 0 0 0 0 0 0 0 0 0 2
Suarez, Albert proj: 2 0 0 0 0 0 0 0 0 1 0 0 2
Tomlinson, Kelby 2017: 194 50 4 2 1 23 3 2 0 46 9 1 222
Tomlinson, Kelby proj: 198 56 6 2 1 20 1 1 1 43 8 2 221
Williamson, Mac 2017: 68 16 2 0 3 5 0 0 0 25 1 1 73
Williamson, Mac proj: 66 15 2 0 3 6 0 0 1 21 0 1 73
2017 TEAM TOTALS: 5551 1382 290 28 128 467 52 31 36 1204 76 34 6137
PROJECTED: 5519 1428 271 39 130 477 46 46 45 1184 89 35 6133
difference: +32 -46 +19 -11 -2 -10 +6 -15 -9 +20 -13 -1 +4
Man AB H 2B 3B HR BB SF SH HBP SO SB CS PA


Assorted Team Stats:
Stat Actual Projected
Batting Average: .249 .259
Slugging Average: .380 .393
Walks (per PA): .076 .078
SOs (per PA): .196 .193
On-Base Average: .307 .318
Power Factor: 1.53 1.52
OPS: .688 .711
TOP Runs (to date): 639 685

Runs differential:
Actual TOP 46 less than Projected TOP.




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This page was last modified on Monday, 2 October 2017, at 7:16 am Pacific Time.