Owing to the screen size of your device, you may obtain a better viewing experience by rotating your device a quarter-turn (to get the so-called "panorama" screen view).
owlcroft logo
An Owlcroft Company web site
Click here to email us.

The Owlcroft Baseball-Analysis Site

Baseball team and player performance examined realistically and accurately.

Search this site, or just roll your cursor over the colored boxes below the pictures.

  Advertisement:


  Advertisement:


SFO "Expected" Batting Results, 2016


About These Stats:

The form of "projection" used is very simple: each man's career numbers are pro-rated by his actual number of appearances to date this season; those data, labelled "proj:" are shown along with the man's actual stats from this year to date. At the bottom of the Table, each set of lines—"projected" and actual—is separately summed to get Team Totals for each dataset.

Note that "career to date" includes each man's stats for the current year: "to date" is literally correct. For veteran players, that matters little, but for rookies or players with litle prior major-league experience, it means that the "projection" will perforce nearly or exactly match the actual stats to date. That seems like the best way to deal with newly arrived players' stats.

Note that owing to rounding in the pro-rating process, projected total PA (plate appearances) may occasionally differ by 1.

Below the player/team table is a smaller table showing a few key team "rate" stats (such as batting average) actual and projected.

The Actual Data:

Through games of Tuesday, 27 September 2016.
All results are from true, unadjusted data.

Handedness Key:   + R   * L   # S

(You can also look up the stat definitions.)

Batters, listed in alphabetical order:
Each name is a click-on link to that man's career stats.

(or see the data for Pitching)


Man AB H 2B 3B HR BB SF SH HBP SO SB CS PA
Adrianza, Ehire 2016: 63 16 2 0 2 2 0 4 2 13 0 1 71
Adrianza, Ehire proj: 62 14 3 0 1 5 0 2 2 13 1 1 71
Belt, Brandon 2016: 525 143 39 8 16 99 4 0 4 145 0 4 632
Belt, Brandon proj: 552 150 36 6 19 71 4 0 5 152 8 3 632
Blach, Ty 2016: 1 0 0 0 0 0 0 0 0 0 0 0 1
Blach, Ty proj: 1 0 0 0 0 0 0 0 0 0 0 0 1
Blanco, Gregor 2016: 241 54 10 4 1 29 1 1 1 51 6 3 274
Blanco, Gregor proj: 239 62 10 3 2 30 1 2 1 52 10 4 273
Brown, Trevor 2016: 173 41 7 0 5 10 0 0 1 39 0 1 184
Brown, Trevor proj: 172 41 8 0 4 11 1 0 1 38 1 2 185
Bumgarner, Madison 2016: 82 14 5 0 3 10 1 0 0 42 0 0 93
Bumgarner, Madison proj: 81 15 3 0 3 5 1 6 0 33 0 0 93
Cain, Matt 2016: 27 2 1 0 1 0 0 1 0 17 0 0 28
Cain, Matt proj: 24 3 0 0 0 1 0 3 0 12 0 0 28
Crawford, Brandon 2016: 534 145 28 11 12 54 9 0 4 109 6 0 601
Crawford, Brandon proj: 538 135 28 7 12 51 6 1 5 117 4 3 601
Cueto, Johnny 2016: 68 7 0 0 0 2 1 10 0 23 0 0 81
Cueto, Johnny proj: 67 7 0 0 0 2 0 12 0 22 0 0 81
Duffy, Matt 2016: 257 65 11 2 4 20 3 2 4 40 8 4 286
Duffy, Matt proj: 265 74 12 2 5 15 2 1 3 45 5 2 286
Gearrin, Cory 2016: 1 1 0 0 0 0 0 0 0 0 0 0 1
Gearrin, Cory proj: 1 1 0 0 0 0 0 0 0 0 0 0 1
Gillaspie, Conor 2016: 182 45 6 4 6 10 0 0 1 26 1 1 193
Gillaspie, Conor proj: 177 45 9 2 4 13 1 0 1 31 0 1 192
Green, Grant 2016: 46 12 2 0 1 3 1 0 0 8 0 0 50
Green, Grant proj: 47 12 2 0 1 2 1 0 0 12 0 1 50
Hernandez, Gorkys 2016: 46 13 4 0 2 3 0 0 0 9 0 1 49
Hernandez, Gorkys proj: 45 9 1 1 1 3 0 0 1 11 2 1 49
Law, Derek 2016: 1 0 0 0 0 0 0 0 0 0 0 0 1
Law, Derek proj: 1 0 0 0 0 0 0 0 0 0 0 0 1
Lopez, Javier 2016: 1 0 0 0 0 0 0 0 0 1 0 0 1
Lopez, Javier proj: 1 0 0 0 0 0 0 0 0 0 0 0 1
Mazzaro, Vin 2016: 1 0 0 0 0 0 0 0 0 1 0 0 1
Mazzaro, Vin proj: 1 0 0 0 0 0 0 0 0 0 0 0 1
Moore, Matt 2016: 20 0 0 0 0 0 0 4 0 10 0 0 24
Moore, Matt proj: 20 1 0 0 0 0 0 4 0 8 0 0 24
Nunez, Eduardo 2016: 182 49 9 3 4 14 1 0 2 30 13 4 199
Nunez, Eduardo proj: 184 50 9 2 4 10 2 2 1 27 11 3 199
Okert, Steven 2016: 1 0 0 0 0 0 0 0 0 1 0 0 1
Okert, Steven proj: 1 0 0 0 0 0 0 0 0 1 0 0 1
Pagan, Angel 2016: 478 130 23 4 11 39 2 0 0 65 14 4 522
Pagan, Angel proj: 478 133 26 6 7 37 4 2 0 75 21 6 521
Panik, Joe 2016: 449 109 21 7 10 49 5 3 4 46 5 0 510
Panik, Joe proj: 456 129 24 5 8 43 4 3 4 50 3 1 510
Parker, Jarrett 2016: 127 30 3 1 5 19 0 0 4 44 0 1 150
Parker, Jarrett proj: 129 35 4 1 8 18 0 0 3 48 1 1 150
Peavy, Jake 2016: 27 5 0 0 0 2 0 2 0 12 0 0 31
Peavy, Jake proj: 27 5 1 0 0 1 0 3 0 9 0 0 31
Pena, Ramiro 2016: 87 26 6 1 1 2 0 0 2 16 0 0 91
Pena, Ramiro proj: 84 21 3 1 1 5 1 2 1 17 2 1 93
Pence, Hunter 2016: 374 110 22 1 13 42 3 0 1 88 1 1 420
Pence, Hunter proj: 385 109 20 3 15 32 2 0 2 78 8 4 421
Posey, Buster 2016: 521 150 33 2 14 60 7 0 3 64 6 0 591
Posey, Buster proj: 525 161 31 1 19 55 7 0 4 71 2 1 591
Samardzija, Jeff 2016: 62 10 5 0 0 1 2 2 0 27 0 0 67
Samardzija, Jeff proj: 58 8 3 0 1 2 1 6 0 24 0 0 67
Span, Denard 2016: 557 146 23 4 11 52 2 6 4 75 12 6 621
Span, Denard proj: 555 158 27 7 6 54 2 6 3 72 21 6 620
Stratton, Chris 2016: 1 0 0 0 0 0 0 0 0 0 0 0 1
Stratton, Chris proj: 1 0 0 0 0 0 0 0 0 0 0 0 1
Suarez, Albert 2016: 21 4 2 0 0 0 0 3 0 11 0 0 24
Suarez, Albert proj: 21 4 2 0 0 0 0 3 0 11 0 0 24
Tejada, Ruben 2016: 32 5 3 0 0 5 0 1 0 5 0 0 38
Tejada, Ruben proj: 34 8 2 0 0 3 0 0 1 6 0 0 38
Tomlinson, Kelby 2016: 101 29 3 0 0 12 0 1 1 17 5 1 115
Tomlinson, Kelby proj: 104 31 3 1 1 10 0 0 1 21 4 2 115
Williamson, Mac 2016: 112 25 3 0 6 13 0 0 2 35 0 1 127
Williamson, Mac proj: 114 25 2 1 5 10 1 0 2 34 0 1 127
2016 TEAM TOTALS: 5401 1386 271 52 128 552 42 40 40 1070 77 33 6079
PROJECTED: 5450 1446 269 49 127 489 41 58 41 1090 104 44 6079
difference: -49 -60 +2 +3 +1 +63 +1 -18 -1 -20 -27 -11 0
Man AB H 2B 3B HR BB SF SH HBP SO SB CS PA


Assorted Team Stats:
Stat Actual Projected
Batting Average: .257 .265
Slugging Average: .397 .403
Walks (per PA): .091 .080
SOs (per PA): .176 .179
On-Base Average: .325 .325
Power Factor: 1.55 1.52
OPS: .723 .728
TOP Runs (to date): 698 710

Runs differential:
Actual TOP 12 less than Projected TOP.




  Advertisement:


  Advertisement:



Want detailed, careful, unhysterical analysis of the effects of "Performance-Enhancing Drugs" in baseball? Click here to visit the Steroids & Baseball web site.

All content copyright © 2002 - 2016 by The Owlcroft Company.

This web page is strictly compliant with the W3C (World Wide Web Consortium) Extensible HyperText Markup Language (XHTML) Protocol v1.0 (Transitional) and the W3C Cascading Style Sheets (CSS) Protocol v3 — because we care about interoperability. Click on the logos below to test us!



This page was last modified on Wednesday, 28 September 2016, at 7:19 am Pacific Time.