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SFO "Expected" Batting Results, 2015


About These Stats:

The form of "projection" used is very simple: each man's career numbers are pro-rated by his actual number of appearances to date this season; those data, labelled "proj:" are shown along with the man's actual stats from this year to date. At the bottom of the Table, each set of lines—"projected" and actual—is separately summed to get Team Totals for each dataset.

Note that "career to date" includes each man's stats for the current year: "to date" is literally correct. For veteran players, that matters little, but for rookies or players with litle prior major-league experience, it means that the "projection" will perforce nearly or exactly match the actual stats to date. That seems like the best way to deal with newly arrived players' stats.

Note that owing to rounding in the pro-rating process, projected total PA (plate appearances) may occasionally differ by 1.

Below the player/team table is a smaller table showing a few key team "rate" stats (such as batting average) actual and projected.

The Actual Data:

Through games of Sunday, 30 August 2015.
All results are from true, unadjusted data.

Handedness Key:   + R   * L   # S

(You can also look up the stat definitions.)

Batters, listed in alphabetical order:
Each name is a click-on link to that man's career stats.

(or see the data for Pitching)


Man AB H 2B 3B HR BB SF SH HBP SO SB CS PA
Adrianza, Ehire 2015: 79 14 5 0 0 7 0 2 3 14 2 1 91
Adrianza, Ehire proj: 81 17 5 0 0 5 0 2 2 17 1 1 90
Aoki, Nori 2015: 347 102 12 3 5 29 0 1 6 24 14 5 383
Aoki, Nori proj: 341 98 16 3 4 30 2 4 6 29 14 6 383
Arias, Joaquin 2015: 58 12 1 0 1 0 0 1 0 12 1 0 59
Arias, Joaquin proj: 56 15 2 1 0 2 0 1 0 8 1 0 59
Belt, Brandon 2015: 434 123 29 4 17 50 3 0 4 128 9 3 491
Belt, Brandon proj: 436 118 27 4 15 48 3 0 4 119 8 2 491
Blanco, Gregor 2015: 297 87 19 3 3 39 3 0 2 56 12 4 341
Blanco, Gregor proj: 296 78 12 4 2 38 2 3 2 65 12 4 341
Bumgarner, Madison 2015: 61 16 1 0 5 2 0 1 0 22 0 0 64
Bumgarner, Madison proj: 55 10 1 0 2 3 0 6 0 21 0 0 64
Byrd, Marlon 2015: 36 10 3 1 3 3 0 0 0 14 0 0 39
Byrd, Marlon proj: 36 10 2 0 1 2 0 0 1 8 0 0 39
Cain, Matt 2015: 16 0 0 0 0 0 1 2 0 9 0 0 19
Cain, Matt proj: 16 2 0 0 0 1 0 2 0 8 0 0 19
Crawford, Brandon 2015: 434 115 29 4 19 30 4 0 10 102 4 4 478
Crawford, Brandon proj: 429 106 22 5 9 39 4 1 4 95 3 3 477
Duffy, Matt 2015: 437 132 23 5 10 22 2 2 5 76 7 0 468
Duffy, Matt proj: 437 130 22 4 9 20 2 3 6 79 6 1 468
Heston, Chris 2015: 45 10 2 0 0 0 0 6 0 14 0 0 51
Heston, Chris proj: 45 10 2 0 0 0 0 6 0 15 0 0 51
Hudson, Tim 2015: 32 5 2 0 0 1 0 2 0 9 0 0 35
Hudson, Tim proj: 30 5 1 0 0 1 0 3 0 9 0 0 34
Ishikawa, Travis 2015: 5 0 0 0 0 1 0 0 0 3 0 0 6
Ishikawa, Travis proj: 5 1 0 0 0 0 0 0 0 1 0 0 5
Kontos, George 2015: 1 0 0 0 0 0 0 1 0 1 0 0 2
Kontos, George proj: 1 0 0 0 0 0 0 1 0 1 0 0 2
Leake, Mike 2015: 5 0 0 0 0 0 0 0 0 4 0 0 5
Leake, Mike proj: 4 1 0 0 0 0 0 0 0 2 0 0 4
Lincecum, Tim 2015: 21 3 1 0 0 2 0 2 0 10 0 0 25
Lincecum, Tim proj: 20 2 0 0 0 1 0 3 0 11 0 0 24
Lollis, Ryan 2015: 12 2 0 0 0 1 0 0 0 1 1 0 13
Lollis, Ryan proj: 12 2 0 0 0 1 0 0 0 1 1 0 13
Machi, Jean 2015: 3 0 0 0 0 0 0 0 0 2 0 0 3
Machi, Jean proj: 3 0 0 0 0 0 0 1 0 2 0 0 4
Maxwell, Justin 2015: 249 52 8 2 7 20 1 1 3 76 2 1 274
Maxwell, Justin proj: 243 54 11 2 9 26 2 0 3 85 6 2 274
McGehee, Casey 2015: 127 27 5 0 2 11 0 0 0 28 0 1 138
McGehee, Casey proj: 125 32 6 0 3 11 1 0 0 23 0 0 137
Osich, Josh 2015: 1 0 0 0 0 0 0 1 0 1 0 0 2
Osich, Josh proj: 1 0 0 0 0 0 0 1 0 1 0 0 2
Pagan, Angel 2015: 399 103 14 3 0 20 5 0 0 71 6 2 424
Pagan, Angel proj: 388 109 21 6 5 30 3 2 0 61 17 5 423
Panik, Joe 2015: 375 116 25 2 7 37 4 3 4 42 3 2 423
Panik, Joe proj: 384 118 21 2 5 32 3 2 2 45 2 1 423
Parker, Jarrett 2015: 9 1 0 0 0 0 0 0 0 5 0 0 9
Parker, Jarrett proj: 9 1 0 0 0 0 0 0 0 5 0 0 9
Peavy, Jake 2015: 21 3 0 0 0 1 0 3 0 10 0 0 25
Peavy, Jake proj: 22 4 1 0 0 1 0 2 0 7 0 0 25
Pence, Hunter 2015: 207 57 13 1 9 16 0 0 0 48 4 1 223
Pence, Hunter proj: 205 58 11 2 8 16 1 0 1 41 4 2 223
Perez, Juan 2015: 18 7 1 0 0 1 0 0 0 2 1 0 19
Perez, Juan proj: 17 4 1 0 0 1 0 0 0 4 0 0 18
Petit, Yusmeiro 2015: 9 0 0 0 0 0 0 1 0 3 0 0 10
Petit, Yusmeiro proj: 9 0 0 0 0 0 0 0 0 4 0 0 9
Posey, Buster 2015: 448 142 22 0 16 43 7 0 2 45 2 0 500
Posey, Buster proj: 445 138 26 1 17 45 6 0 4 62 1 1 500
Romo, Sergio 2015: 2 0 0 0 0 0 0 0 0 1 0 0 2
Romo, Sergio proj: 2 0 0 0 0 0 0 0 0 1 0 0 2
Sanchez, Hector 2015: 52 8 3 0 1 2 0 0 0 14 0 0 54
Sanchez, Hector proj: 51 12 3 0 1 2 1 0 1 13 0 0 55
Strickland, Hunter 2015: 1 0 0 0 0 0 0 0 0 1 0 0 1
Strickland, Hunter proj: 1 0 0 0 0 0 0 0 0 1 0 0 1
Susac, Andrew 2015: 129 29 7 2 3 14 0 0 1 40 0 0 144
Susac, Andrew proj: 131 32 9 1 4 13 0 0 1 41 0 0 145
Tomlinson, Kelby 2015: 61 20 2 2 1 7 0 0 0 14 0 1 68
Tomlinson, Kelby proj: 61 20 2 2 1 7 0 0 0 14 0 1 68
Vogelsong, Ryan 2015: 34 4 1 0 0 1 0 8 0 12 0 0 43
Vogelsong, Ryan proj: 36 5 1 0 0 2 0 5 0 15 0 0 43
2015 TEAM TOTALS: 4465 1200 228 32 109 360 30 37 40 914 68 25 4932
PROJECTED: 4433 1192 225 37 95 377 30 48 37 914 76 29 4925
difference: +32 +8 +3 -5 +14 -17 0 -11 +3 0 -8 -4 +7
Man AB H 2B 3B HR BB SF SH HBP SO SB CS PA


Assorted Team Stats:
Stat Actual Projected
Batting Average: .269 .269
Slugging Average: .407 .401
Walks (per PA): .073 .076
SOs (per PA): .185 .185
On-Base Average: .324 .326
Power Factor: 1.52 1.49
OPS: .732 .727
TOP Runs (to date): 580 574

Runs differential:
Actual TOP 6 more than Projected TOP.




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This page was last modified on Monday, 31 August 2015, at 6:09 am Pacific Time.