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SFO "Expected" Batting Results, 2015


About These Stats:

The form of "projection" used is very simple: each man's career numbers are pro-rated by his actual number of appearances to date this season; those data, labelled "proj:" are shown along with the man's actual stats from this year to date. At the bottom of the Table, each set of lines—"projected" and actual—is separately summed to get Team Totals for each dataset.

Note that "career to date" includes each man's stats for the current year: "to date" is literally correct. For veteran players, that matters little, but for rookies or players with litle prior major-league experience, it means that the "projection" will perforce nearly or exactly match the actual stats to date. That seems like the best way to deal with newly arrived players' stats.

Note that owing to rounding in the pro-rating process, projected total PA (plate appearances) may occasionally differ by 1.

Below the player/team table is a smaller table showing a few key team "rate" stats (such as batting average) actual and projected.

The Actual Data:

Through games of Sunday, 4 October 2015.
All results are from true, unadjusted data.

Handedness Key:   + R   * L   # S

(You can also look up the stat definitions.)

Batters, listed in alphabetical order:
Each name is a click-on link to that man's career stats.

(or see the data for Pitching)


Man AB H 2B 3B HR BB SF SH HBP SO SB CS PA
Adrianza, Ehire 2015: 113 21 7 1 0 15 0 2 4 20 3 2 134
Adrianza, Ehire proj: 118 25 7 1 1 11 1 3 3 24 2 2 136
Aoki, Nori 2015: 355 102 12 3 5 30 0 1 6 25 14 5 392
Aoki, Nori proj: 349 100 16 3 4 30 2 4 6 30 14 6 391
Arias, Joaquin 2015: 58 12 1 0 1 0 0 1 0 12 1 0 59
Arias, Joaquin proj: 56 15 2 1 0 2 0 1 0 8 1 0 59
Belt, Brandon 2015: 492 138 33 5 18 56 4 0 4 147 9 3 556
Belt, Brandon proj: 493 134 31 4 17 54 3 0 5 136 9 3 555
Blanco, Gregor 2015: 327 95 19 3 5 40 3 0 2 59 13 5 372
Blanco, Gregor proj: 324 85 13 4 3 41 2 3 2 70 14 5 372
Brown, Trevor 2015: 39 9 3 0 0 3 1 0 0 8 1 1 43
Brown, Trevor proj: 39 9 3 0 0 3 1 0 0 8 1 1 43
Bumgarner, Madison 2015: 77 19 2 0 5 3 0 1 0 27 0 0 81
Bumgarner, Madison proj: 70 13 2 0 2 3 0 7 0 27 0 0 80
Byrd, Marlon 2015: 147 40 12 2 4 6 2 0 1 44 0 0 156
Byrd, Marlon proj: 142 39 8 1 4 10 1 0 2 31 1 1 155
Cain, Matt 2015: 16 0 0 0 0 0 1 3 0 9 0 0 20
Cain, Matt proj: 17 2 0 0 0 1 0 2 0 8 0 0 20
Crawford, Brandon 2015: 507 130 33 4 21 39 4 0 11 119 6 4 561
Crawford, Brandon proj: 504 124 26 5 11 46 5 1 5 111 3 4 561
De Aza, Alejandro 2015: 61 16 4 1 0 12 1 0 1 14 2 2 75
De Aza, Alejandro proj: 67 18 4 1 1 6 0 1 1 16 3 1 75
Duffy, Matt 2015: 573 169 28 6 12 30 2 2 5 96 12 0 612
Duffy, Matt proj: 573 167 27 5 11 28 2 3 6 100 11 1 612
Frandsen, Kevin 2015: 11 2 0 0 0 1 0 1 0 3 0 0 13
Frandsen, Kevin proj: 12 3 1 0 0 1 0 0 0 1 0 0 13
Heston, Chris 2015: 51 10 2 0 0 0 0 7 0 18 0 0 58
Heston, Chris proj: 51 10 2 0 0 0 0 7 0 19 0 0 58
Hudson, Tim 2015: 38 7 2 0 1 1 0 3 0 11 0 0 42
Hudson, Tim proj: 36 6 1 0 0 2 0 4 0 11 0 0 42
Ishikawa, Travis 2015: 5 0 0 0 0 1 0 0 0 3 0 0 6
Ishikawa, Travis proj: 5 1 0 0 0 0 0 0 0 1 0 0 5
Kontos, George 2015: 2 0 0 0 0 0 0 1 0 2 0 0 3
Kontos, George proj: 2 0 0 0 0 0 0 1 0 1 0 0 3
Leake, Mike 2015: 17 1 0 0 1 0 0 0 0 11 0 0 17
Leake, Mike proj: 15 3 1 0 0 0 0 1 0 6 0 0 16
Lincecum, Tim 2015: 21 3 1 0 0 2 0 2 0 10 0 0 25
Lincecum, Tim proj: 20 2 0 0 0 1 0 3 0 11 0 0 24
Lollis, Ryan 2015: 12 2 0 0 0 1 0 0 0 1 1 0 13
Lollis, Ryan proj: 12 2 0 0 0 1 0 0 0 1 1 0 13
Machi, Jean 2015: 3 0 0 0 0 0 0 0 0 2 0 0 3
Machi, Jean proj: 3 0 0 0 0 0 0 1 0 2 0 0 4
Maxwell, Justin 2015: 249 52 8 2 7 20 1 1 3 76 2 1 274
Maxwell, Justin proj: 243 54 11 2 9 26 2 0 3 85 6 2 274
McGehee, Casey 2015: 127 27 5 0 2 11 0 0 0 28 0 1 138
McGehee, Casey proj: 125 32 6 0 3 11 1 0 0 23 0 0 137
Noonan, Nick 2015: 22 2 1 0 1 2 0 0 0 8 0 0 24
Noonan, Nick proj: 23 4 1 0 0 1 0 0 0 6 0 0 24
Osich, Josh 2015: 1 0 0 0 0 0 0 2 0 1 0 0 3
Osich, Josh proj: 1 0 0 0 0 0 0 2 0 1 0 0 3
Pagan, Angel 2015: 512 134 21 3 3 32 6 0 1 93 12 4 551
Pagan, Angel proj: 504 141 28 7 7 39 4 3 1 80 23 7 551
Panik, Joe 2015: 382 119 27 2 8 38 4 3 5 42 3 2 432
Panik, Joe proj: 391 121 22 2 5 32 3 2 3 45 2 1 431
Parker, Jarrett 2015: 49 17 2 0 6 5 0 0 0 21 1 1 54
Parker, Jarrett proj: 49 17 2 0 6 5 0 0 0 21 1 1 54
Peavy, Jake 2015: 36 7 2 0 1 1 0 4 0 17 0 0 41
Peavy, Jake proj: 36 6 1 0 0 1 0 4 0 11 0 0 41
Pence, Hunter 2015: 207 57 13 1 9 16 0 0 0 48 4 1 223
Pence, Hunter proj: 205 58 11 2 8 16 1 0 1 41 4 2 223
Perez, Juan 2015: 39 11 3 0 0 1 0 0 0 6 1 0 40
Perez, Juan proj: 37 8 2 0 0 2 0 0 0 8 0 0 39
Petit, Yusmeiro 2015: 9 0 0 0 0 0 0 1 0 3 0 0 10
Petit, Yusmeiro proj: 9 0 0 0 0 0 0 0 0 4 0 0 9
Posey, Buster 2015: 557 177 28 0 19 56 7 0 3 52 2 0 623
Posey, Buster proj: 554 172 32 1 21 57 7 0 5 76 2 1 623
Romo, Sergio 2015: 2 0 0 0 0 0 0 0 0 1 0 0 2
Romo, Sergio proj: 2 0 0 0 0 0 0 0 0 1 0 0 2
Sanchez, Hector 2015: 56 10 4 0 1 2 0 1 0 14 0 0 59
Sanchez, Hector proj: 55 13 3 0 1 2 1 0 1 14 0 0 59
Strickland, Hunter 2015: 1 0 0 0 0 0 0 0 0 1 0 0 1
Strickland, Hunter proj: 1 0 0 0 0 0 0 0 0 1 0 0 1
Susac, Andrew 2015: 133 29 7 2 3 14 0 0 1 43 0 0 148
Susac, Andrew proj: 135 32 9 1 4 13 0 0 1 43 0 0 149
Tomlinson, Kelby 2015: 178 54 6 3 2 14 0 0 1 40 5 4 193
Tomlinson, Kelby proj: 178 54 6 3 2 14 0 0 1 40 5 4 193
Vogelsong, Ryan 2015: 36 5 1 0 1 1 0 8 0 13 0 0 45
Vogelsong, Ryan proj: 37 5 1 0 0 2 0 5 1 15 0 0 45
Williams, Jackson 2015: 10 2 1 0 0 4 0 0 0 1 1 0 14
Williams, Jackson proj: 11 2 0 0 0 3 0 0 0 2 0 0 14
Williamson, Mac 2015: 32 7 0 1 0 0 1 0 1 8 0 0 34
Williamson, Mac proj: 32 7 0 1 0 0 1 0 1 8 0 0 34
2015 TEAM TOTALS: 5563 1486 288 39 136 457 37 44 49 1157 93 36 6150
PROJECTED: 5536 1484 279 44 120 464 37 58 48 1147 103 42 6143
difference: +27 +2 +9 -5 +16 -7 0 -14 +1 +10 -10 -6 +7
Man AB H 2B 3B HR BB SF SH HBP SO SB CS PA


Assorted Team Stats:
Stat Actual Projected
Batting Average: .267 .268
Slugging Average: .406 .399
Walks (per PA): .074 .075
SOs (per PA): .188 .187
On-Base Average: .324 .325
Power Factor: 1.52 1.49
OPS: .730 .724
TOP Runs (to date): 720 711

Runs differential:
Actual TOP 9 more than Projected TOP.




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This page was last modified on Monday, 5 October 2015, at 6:40 am Pacific Time.