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Baseball team and player performance examined realistically and accurately.

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SFO "Expected" Batting Results, 2018


About These Stats:

The form of "projection" used is very simple: each man's career numbers are pro-rated by his actual number of appearances to date this season; those data, labelled "proj:" are shown along with the man's actual stats from this year to date. At the bottom of the Table, each set of lines—"projected" and actual—is separately summed to get Team Totals for each dataset.

Note that "career to date" includes each man's stats for the current year: "to date" is literally correct. For veteran players, that matters little, but for rookies or players with litle prior major-league experience, it means that the "projection" will perforce nearly or exactly match the actual stats to date. That seems like the best way to deal with newly arrived players' stats.

Note that owing to rounding in the pro-rating process, projected total PA (plate appearances) may occasionally differ by 1.

Below the player/team table is a smaller table showing a few key team "rate" stats (such as batting average) actual and projected.

The Actual Data:

Through games of Sunday, 24 June 2018.
All results are from true, unadjusted data.

Handedness Key:   + R   * L   # S

(You can also look up the stat definitions.)

Batters, listed in alphabetical order:
Each name is a click-on link to that man's career stats.

(or see the data for Pitching)


Man AB H 2B 3B HR BB SF SH HBP SO SB CS PA
Beede, Tyler 2018: 2 0 0 0 0 0 0 0 0 2 0 0 2
Beede, Tyler proj: 2 0 0 0 0 0 0 0 0 2 0 0 2
Belt, Brandon 2018: 225 68 13 1 12 31 2 0 4 58 2 0 262
Belt, Brandon proj: 228 62 15 2 8 31 1 0 2 62 3 1 262
Blach, Ty 2018: 23 1 0 0 0 2 0 3 0 11 0 0 28
Blach, Ty proj: 23 4 1 0 0 2 0 2 0 11 0 0 27
Blanco, Gregor 2018: 120 29 4 3 1 8 0 1 0 37 3 2 129
Blanco, Gregor proj: 113 29 5 2 1 14 1 1 1 25 5 2 130
Bumgarner, Madison 2018: 9 0 0 0 0 0 1 0 0 5 0 0 10
Bumgarner, Madison proj: 9 2 0 0 0 1 0 1 0 4 0 0 11
Crawford, Brandon 2018: 263 81 20 2 8 22 4 0 4 58 2 4 293
Crawford, Brandon proj: 263 67 14 3 6 24 3 0 2 57 2 2 292
Cueto, Johnny 2018: 8 0 0 0 0 0 0 1 0 1 0 0 9
Cueto, Johnny proj: 7 1 0 0 0 0 0 1 0 2 0 0 8
Gomez, Miguel 2018: 15 4 0 0 0 0 0 0 0 5 0 0 15
Gomez, Miguel proj: 15 4 1 0 0 0 0 0 0 3 0 0 15
Gomez, Roberto 2018: 2 0 0 0 0 0 0 0 0 2 0 0 2
Gomez, Roberto proj: 2 0 0 0 0 0 0 0 0 2 0 0 2
Hanson, Alen 2018: 101 30 10 2 5 5 2 0 0 21 4 0 108
Hanson, Alen proj: 101 24 6 1 3 5 1 0 0 22 5 1 107
Hernandez, Gorkys 2018: 194 55 7 1 9 14 2 1 2 62 4 1 213
Hernandez, Gorkys proj: 192 48 9 1 4 16 1 1 2 50 6 2 212
Holland, Derek 2018: 25 1 0 0 0 0 0 1 0 18 0 0 26
Holland, Derek proj: 23 2 0 0 0 1 0 2 0 14 0 0 26
Hundley, Nick 2018: 123 32 6 1 8 6 0 0 0 34 0 0 129
Hundley, Nick proj: 118 30 7 1 4 8 1 0 1 31 1 1 128
Jackson, Austin 2018: 141 34 7 0 0 14 1 0 1 57 2 1 157
Jackson, Austin proj: 141 39 7 2 2 13 1 1 1 37 4 2 157
Law, Derek 2018: 1 1 0 0 0 0 0 0 0 0 0 0 1
Law, Derek proj: 1 1 0 0 0 0 0 0 0 0 0 0 1
Longoria, Evan 2018: 256 63 16 1 10 10 2 0 2 57 1 0 270
Longoria, Evan proj: 240 65 15 1 11 24 3 0 2 54 2 1 269
McCutchen, Andrew 2018: 285 75 21 2 8 36 3 0 4 74 6 3 328
McCutchen, Andrew proj: 283 82 17 2 11 38 3 0 3 59 9 4 327
Moronta, Reyes 2018: 1 0 0 0 0 0 0 0 0 1 0 0 1
Moronta, Reyes proj: 1 0 0 0 0 0 0 0 0 1 0 0 1
Panik, Joe 2018: 166 41 6 1 3 17 1 1 3 11 0 2 188
Panik, Joe proj: 168 47 9 2 3 16 2 1 2 18 1 0 189
Pence, Hunter 2018: 92 18 3 0 0 7 1 0 0 32 2 0 100
Pence, Hunter proj: 92 26 5 1 3 8 1 0 0 19 2 1 101
Posey, Buster 2018: 239 69 16 1 5 26 2 0 3 32 3 1 270
Posey, Buster proj: 239 73 14 1 8 26 3 0 2 32 1 0 270
Rodriguez, Dereck 2018: 9 1 1 0 0 0 0 1 0 6 0 0 10
Rodriguez, Dereck proj: 9 1 1 0 0 0 0 1 0 6 0 0 10
Samardzija, Jeff 2018: 9 1 0 0 0 0 0 0 0 6 0 0 9
Samardzija, Jeff proj: 8 1 0 0 0 0 0 1 0 3 0 0 9
Sandoval, Pablo 2018: 147 40 6 0 6 16 1 0 0 38 0 0 164
Sandoval, Pablo proj: 150 42 9 1 5 12 2 0 1 23 0 0 165
Slater, Austin 2018: 12 3 0 0 0 4 1 0 1 4 2 0 18
Slater, Austin proj: 16 4 0 0 0 1 0 0 0 4 0 0 17
Snelten, D.J. 2018: 1 0 0 0 0 0 0 0 0 1 0 0 1
Snelten, D.J. proj: 1 0 0 0 0 0 0 0 0 1 0 0 1
Stratton, Chris 2018: 28 3 0 0 0 0 0 6 0 16 0 0 34
Stratton, Chris proj: 29 3 0 0 0 0 0 5 0 13 0 0 34
Suarez, Andrew 2018: 22 0 0 0 0 1 0 1 0 15 0 0 24
Suarez, Andrew proj: 22 0 0 0 0 1 0 1 0 15 0 0 24
Tomlinson, Kelby 2018: 111 24 4 1 0 8 0 0 2 29 0 1 121
Tomlinson, Kelby proj: 109 29 3 1 1 11 1 1 1 25 4 1 123
Williamson, Mac 2018: 94 20 4 0 4 11 0 0 0 27 1 1 105
Williamson, Mac proj: 95 21 3 0 4 9 0 0 1 29 1 1 105
2018 TEAM TOTALS: 2724 694 144 16 79 238 23 16 26 720 32 16 3027
PROJECTED: 2700 707 141 21 74 261 24 19 21 624 46 19 3025
difference: +24 -13 +3 -5 +5 -23 -1 -3 +5 +96 -14 -3 +2
Man AB H 2B 3B HR BB SF SH HBP SO SB CS PA


Assorted Team Stats:
Stat Actual Projected
Batting Average: .255 .262
Slugging Average: .406 .412
Walks (per PA): .079 .086
SOs (per PA): .238 .206
On-Base Average: .316 .327
Power Factor: 1.6 1.57
OPS: .723 .739
TOP Runs (to date): 343 360

Runs differential:
Actual TOP 17 less than Projected TOP.




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This page was last modified on Monday, 25 June 2018, at 7:05 am Pacific Time.