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SFO "Expected" Batting Results, 2016


About These Stats:

The form of "projection" used is very simple: each man's career numbers are pro-rated by his actual number of appearances to date this season; those data, labelled "proj:" are shown along with the man's actual stats from this year to date. At the bottom of the Table, each set of lines—"projected" and actual—is separately summed to get Team Totals for each dataset.

Note that "career to date" includes each man's stats for the current year: "to date" is literally correct. For veteran players, that matters little, but for rookies or players with litle prior major-league experience, it means that the "projection" will perforce nearly or exactly match the actual stats to date. That seems like the best way to deal with newly arrived players' stats.

Note that owing to rounding in the pro-rating process, projected total PA (plate appearances) may occasionally differ by 1.

Below the player/team table is a smaller table showing a few key team "rate" stats (such as batting average) actual and projected.

The Actual Data:

Through games of Tuesday, 4 October 2016.
All results are from true, unadjusted data.

Handedness Key:   + R   * L   # S

(You can also look up the stat definitions.)

Batters, listed in alphabetical order:
Each name is a click-on link to that man's career stats.

(or see the data for Pitching)


Man AB H 2B 3B HR BB SF SH HBP SO SB CS PA
Adrianza, Ehire 2016: 63 16 2 0 2 2 0 4 2 13 0 1 71
Adrianza, Ehire proj: 62 14 3 0 1 5 0 2 2 13 1 1 71
Beckham, Gordon 2016: 5 0 0 0 0 0 1 0 0 2 0 0 6
Beckham, Gordon proj: 5 1 0 0 0 0 0 0 0 1 0 0 5
Belt, Brandon 2016: 542 149 41 8 17 104 4 0 5 148 0 4 655
Belt, Brandon proj: 572 156 37 6 19 74 4 0 5 157 8 3 655
Blach, Ty 2016: 4 2 0 0 0 0 0 0 0 0 0 0 4
Blach, Ty proj: 4 2 0 0 0 0 0 0 0 0 0 0 4
Blanco, Gregor 2016: 241 54 10 4 1 29 1 1 1 51 6 3 274
Blanco, Gregor proj: 239 62 10 3 2 30 1 2 1 52 10 4 273
Brown, Trevor 2016: 173 41 7 0 5 10 0 0 1 39 0 1 184
Brown, Trevor proj: 172 41 8 0 4 11 1 0 1 38 1 2 185
Bumgarner, Madison 2016: 86 16 6 0 3 10 1 0 0 43 0 0 97
Bumgarner, Madison proj: 84 15 3 0 3 5 1 7 0 34 0 0 97
Cain, Matt 2016: 27 2 1 0 1 0 0 1 0 17 0 0 28
Cain, Matt proj: 24 3 0 0 0 1 0 3 0 12 0 0 28
Crawford, Brandon 2016: 553 152 28 11 12 57 9 0 4 115 7 0 623
Crawford, Brandon proj: 558 140 28 7 12 53 6 1 5 122 4 3 623
Cueto, Johnny 2016: 70 8 0 0 0 2 1 11 0 24 0 0 84
Cueto, Johnny proj: 69 7 0 0 0 2 0 12 0 23 0 0 83
Duffy, Matt 2016: 257 65 11 2 4 20 3 2 4 40 8 4 286
Duffy, Matt proj: 265 74 12 2 5 15 2 1 3 45 5 2 286
Gearrin, Cory 2016: 1 1 0 0 0 0 0 0 0 0 0 0 1
Gearrin, Cory proj: 1 1 0 0 0 0 0 0 0 0 0 0 1
Gillaspie, Conor 2016: 191 50 8 4 6 12 1 0 1 28 1 2 205
Gillaspie, Conor proj: 188 48 10 2 4 14 2 0 1 33 0 1 205
Green, Grant 2016: 46 12 2 0 1 3 1 0 0 8 0 0 50
Green, Grant proj: 47 12 2 0 1 2 1 0 0 12 0 1 50
Hernandez, Gorkys 2016: 54 14 5 0 2 3 0 0 0 11 0 1 57
Hernandez, Gorkys proj: 52 11 2 1 1 4 0 0 1 13 2 1 57
Law, Derek 2016: 1 0 0 0 0 0 0 0 0 0 0 0 1
Law, Derek proj: 1 0 0 0 0 0 0 0 0 0 0 0 1
Lopez, Javier 2016: 1 0 0 0 0 0 0 0 0 1 0 0 1
Lopez, Javier proj: 1 0 0 0 0 0 0 0 0 0 0 0 1
Mazzaro, Vin 2016: 1 0 0 0 0 0 0 0 0 1 0 0 1
Mazzaro, Vin proj: 1 0 0 0 0 0 0 0 0 0 0 0 1
Moore, Matt 2016: 24 1 0 0 0 0 0 4 0 11 0 0 28
Moore, Matt proj: 24 2 0 0 0 0 0 4 0 10 0 0 28
Nunez, Eduardo 2016: 182 49 9 3 4 14 1 0 2 30 13 4 199
Nunez, Eduardo proj: 184 50 9 2 4 10 2 2 1 27 11 3 199
Okert, Steven 2016: 1 0 0 0 0 0 0 0 0 1 0 0 1
Okert, Steven proj: 1 0 0 0 0 0 0 0 0 1 0 0 1
Pagan, Angel 2016: 495 137 24 5 12 42 3 0 0 66 15 4 543
Pagan, Angel proj: 497 139 27 7 8 39 4 3 0 78 21 6 543
Panik, Joe 2016: 464 111 21 7 10 50 5 3 4 47 5 0 526
Panik, Joe proj: 471 132 25 5 8 44 4 3 4 52 3 1 526
Parker, Jarrett 2016: 127 30 3 1 5 19 0 0 5 44 0 1 151
Parker, Jarrett proj: 130 35 4 1 8 18 0 0 4 48 1 1 152
Peavy, Jake 2016: 27 5 0 0 0 2 0 2 0 12 0 0 31
Peavy, Jake proj: 27 5 1 0 0 1 0 3 0 9 0 0 31
Pena, Ramiro 2016: 87 26 6 1 1 2 0 0 2 16 0 0 91
Pena, Ramiro proj: 84 21 3 1 1 5 1 2 1 17 2 1 93
Pence, Hunter 2016: 395 114 23 1 13 43 3 0 1 95 1 1 442
Pence, Hunter proj: 405 115 21 4 16 33 2 0 2 82 8 4 442
Posey, Buster 2016: 539 155 33 2 14 64 8 0 3 68 6 1 614
Posey, Buster proj: 545 167 32 1 19 57 7 0 4 74 2 1 613
Samardzija, Jeff 2016: 64 10 5 0 0 1 2 2 0 28 0 0 69
Samardzija, Jeff proj: 60 8 3 0 1 2 1 6 0 25 0 0 69
Span, Denard 2016: 572 152 23 5 11 53 2 6 4 79 12 7 637
Span, Denard proj: 569 162 27 8 6 55 2 7 4 74 21 6 637
Stratton, Chris 2016: 1 0 0 0 0 0 0 0 0 0 0 0 1
Stratton, Chris proj: 1 0 0 0 0 0 0 0 0 0 0 0 1
Suarez, Albert 2016: 21 4 2 0 0 0 0 3 0 11 0 0 24
Suarez, Albert proj: 21 4 2 0 0 0 0 3 0 11 0 0 24
Tejada, Ruben 2016: 32 5 3 0 0 5 0 1 0 5 0 0 38
Tejada, Ruben proj: 34 8 2 0 0 3 0 0 1 6 0 0 38
Tomlinson, Kelby 2016: 106 31 4 0 0 12 0 1 1 18 5 1 120
Tomlinson, Kelby proj: 109 33 4 1 1 10 0 0 1 22 4 2 120
Williamson, Mac 2016: 112 25 3 0 6 13 0 0 2 35 0 1 127
Williamson, Mac proj: 114 25 2 1 5 10 1 0 2 34 0 1 127
2016 TEAM TOTALS: 5565 1437 280 54 130 572 46 41 42 1107 79 36 6270
PROJECTED: 5621 1493 277 52 129 503 42 61 43 1125 104 44 6270
difference: -56 -56 +3 +2 +1 +69 +4 -20 -1 -18 -25 -8 0
Man AB H 2B 3B HR BB SF SH HBP SO SB CS PA


Assorted Team Stats:
Stat Actual Projected
Batting Average: .258 .266
Slugging Average: .398 .402
Walks (per PA): .091 .080
SOs (per PA): .177 .179
On-Base Average: .327 .325
Power Factor: 1.54 1.51
OPS: .725 .727
TOP Runs (to date): 723 732

Runs differential:
Actual TOP 9 less than Projected TOP.




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This page was last modified on Wednesday, 5 October 2016, at 7:11 am Pacific Time.