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SFO "Expected" Batting Results, 2016


About These Stats:

The form of "projection" used is very simple: each man's career numbers are pro-rated by his actual number of appearances to date this season; those data, labelled "proj:" are shown along with the man's actual stats from this year to date. At the bottom of the Table, each set of lines—"projected" and actual—is separately summed to get Team Totals for each dataset.

Note that "career to date" includes each man's stats for the current year: "to date" is literally correct. For veteran players, that matters little, but for rookies or players with litle prior major-league experience, it means that the "projection" will perforce nearly or exactly match the actual stats to date. That seems like the best way to deal with newly arrived players' stats.

Note that owing to rounding in the pro-rating process, projected total PA (plate appearances) may occasionally differ by 1.

Below the player/team table is a smaller table showing a few key team "rate" stats (such as batting average) actual and projected.

The Actual Data:

Through games of Tuesday, 3 May 2016.
All results are from true, unadjusted data.

Handedness Key:   + R   * L   # S

(You can also look up the stat definitions.)

Batters, listed in alphabetical order:
Each name is a click-on link to that man's career stats.

(or see the data for Pitching)


Man AB H 2B 3B HR BB SF SH HBP SO SB CS PA
Adrianza, Ehire 2016: 10 3 1 0 1 1 0 1 0 1 0 0 12
Adrianza, Ehire proj: 11 2 1 0 0 1 0 0 0 2 0 0 12
Belt, Brandon 2016: 90 28 5 2 3 21 2 0 0 16 0 3 113
Belt, Brandon proj: 100 27 6 1 3 12 1 0 1 27 2 1 114
Blanco, Gregor 2016: 36 12 1 3 0 3 0 0 0 5 1 0 39
Blanco, Gregor proj: 34 9 1 0 0 4 0 0 0 7 1 0 38
Brown, Trevor 2016: 31 8 1 0 3 4 0 0 0 7 0 0 35
Brown, Trevor proj: 31 8 2 0 1 3 0 0 0 7 0 0 34
Bumgarner, Madison 2016: 14 2 0 0 1 1 0 0 0 8 0 0 15
Bumgarner, Madison proj: 13 2 0 0 0 1 0 1 0 5 0 0 15
Cain, Matt 2016: 9 0 0 0 0 0 0 0 0 9 0 0 9
Cain, Matt proj: 8 1 0 0 0 0 0 1 0 4 0 0 9
Crawford, Brandon 2016: 89 23 6 0 3 14 2 0 1 20 2 0 106
Crawford, Brandon proj: 95 23 5 1 2 9 1 0 1 21 1 1 106
Cueto, Johnny 2016: 15 2 0 0 0 1 0 1 0 5 0 0 17
Cueto, Johnny proj: 14 2 0 0 0 0 0 2 0 5 0 0 16
Duffy, Matt 2016: 108 26 4 1 2 7 1 0 1 16 2 0 117
Duffy, Matt proj: 109 31 5 1 2 6 0 0 1 19 2 0 116
Gillaspie, Conor 2016: 6 2 1 0 0 0 0 0 0 1 0 0 6
Gillaspie, Conor proj: 5 1 0 0 0 0 0 0 0 1 0 0 5
Mazzaro, Vin 2016: 1 0 0 0 0 0 0 0 0 1 0 0 1
Mazzaro, Vin proj: 1 0 0 0 0 0 0 0 0 0 0 0 1
Pagan, Angel 2016: 92 29 5 1 2 8 1 0 0 15 2 1 101
Pagan, Angel proj: 92 26 5 1 1 7 1 1 0 15 4 1 101
Panik, Joe 2016: 93 26 4 3 3 9 1 0 0 11 1 0 103
Panik, Joe proj: 93 28 5 1 2 8 1 1 1 11 1 0 104
Peavy, Jake 2016: 6 3 0 0 0 1 0 1 0 1 0 0 8
Peavy, Jake proj: 7 1 0 0 0 0 0 1 0 2 0 0 8
Pence, Hunter 2016: 100 29 5 1 5 18 3 0 1 23 0 0 122
Pence, Hunter proj: 112 32 6 1 4 9 1 0 0 22 2 1 122
Posey, Buster 2016: 89 28 5 0 4 10 1 0 0 11 1 0 100
Posey, Buster proj: 89 28 5 0 3 9 1 0 1 12 0 0 100
Samardzija, Jeff 2016: 20 4 2 0 0 0 0 0 0 7 0 0 20
Samardzija, Jeff proj: 17 2 1 0 0 1 0 2 0 7 0 0 20
Span, Denard 2016: 104 25 3 1 1 14 1 1 1 10 4 4 121
Span, Denard proj: 108 31 5 2 1 11 0 1 1 14 4 1 121
Tomlinson, Kelby 2016: 35 8 0 0 0 2 0 0 0 8 3 0 37
Tomlinson, Kelby proj: 34 10 1 0 0 3 0 0 0 8 1 1 37
Williamson, Mac 2016: 5 0 0 0 0 0 0 0 1 2 0 0 6
Williamson, Mac proj: 6 1 0 0 0 0 0 0 0 2 0 0 6
2016 TEAM TOTALS: 953 258 43 12 28 114 12 4 5 177 16 8 1088
PROJECTED: 979 265 48 8 19 84 6 10 6 191 18 6 1085
difference: -26 -7 -5 +4 +9 +30 +6 -6 -1 -14 -2 +2 +3
Man AB H 2B 3B HR BB SF SH HBP SO SB CS PA


Assorted Team Stats:
Stat Actual Projected
Batting Average: .271 .271
Slugging Average: .429 .394
Walks (per PA): .105 .077
SOs (per PA): .163 .176
On-Base Average: .347 .327
Power Factor: 1.59 1.46
OPS: .776 .721
TOP Runs (to date): 142 126

Runs differential:
Actual TOP 16 more than Projected TOP.




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This page was last modified on Wednesday, 4 May 2016, at 6:37 am Pacific Time.