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SFO "Expected" Pitching Results, 2019


About These Stats:

The form of "projection" used is very simple: each man's career numbers are pro-rated by his actual number of batters faced to date this season; those data, labelled "proj:" are shown along with the man's actual stats from this year to date. At the bottom of the Table, each set of lines—"projected" and actual—is separately summed to get Team Totals for each dataset.

Note that "career to date" includes each man's stats for the current year: "to date" is literally correct. For veteran players, that matters little, but for rookies or players with litle prior major-league experience, it means that the "projection" will perforce nearly or exactly match the actual stats to date. That seems like the best way to deal with newly arrived players' stats.

Note that owing to rounding in the pro-rating process, projected total BFP (batters faced) may occasionally differ by 1.

Below the player/team table is a smaller table showing a few key team "rate" stats (such as batting average) actual and projected.

The Actual Data:

Through games of Monday, 30 September 2019.
All results are from true, unadjusted data.

Handedness Key:   + R   * L

(You can also look up the stat definitions.)

Pitchers, listed in alphabetical order:
Each name is a click-on link to that man's career stats.

(or see the data for Batting)


Man AB H 2B 3B HR BB SF SH HBP SO SB CS BFP
Abad, Fernando 2019: 46 9 0 0 2 3 0 0 0 9 1 0 49
Abad, Fernando proj: 44 11 2 0 1 4 0 0 0 10 0 0 48
Anderson, Shaun 2019: 382 111 24 1 13 38 1 4 2 70 2 3 427
Anderson, Shaun proj: 382 111 24 1 13 38 1 4 2 70 2 3 427
Barraclough, Kyle 2019: 30 5 2 0 1 9 0 1 0 10 2 0 40
Barraclough, Kyle proj: 33 7 1 0 1 6 0 0 0 12 1 0 39
Beede, Tyler 2019: 468 127 19 2 22 46 3 1 5 113 5 2 523
Beede, Tyler proj: 464 126 21 2 20 50 3 1 6 113 7 2 524
Bergen, Travis 2019: 75 18 7 0 4 9 0 0 1 18 3 1 85
Bergen, Travis proj: 75 18 7 0 4 9 0 0 1 18 3 1 85
Blach, Ty 2019: 32 14 2 0 2 4 0 0 0 3 0 0 36
Blach, Ty proj: 33 9 2 0 1 3 0 0 0 5 0 0 36
Black, Ray 2019: 10 4 0 0 1 1 0 0 0 5 0 0 11
Black, Ray proj: 9 2 0 0 1 1 0 0 0 3 0 0 10
Bumgarner, Madison 2019: 781 191 41 5 30 43 5 5 10 203 14 3 844
Bumgarner, Madison proj: 778 182 37 4 22 48 5 7 7 202 12 6 845
Coonrod, Sam 2019: 94 19 2 0 3 15 0 1 4 20 3 1 114
Coonrod, Sam proj: 94 19 2 0 3 15 0 1 4 20 3 1 114
Cueto, Johnny 2019: 56 11 3 1 3 9 0 2 0 13 1 0 67
Cueto, Johnny proj: 61 15 3 0 2 5 0 1 1 14 0 0 68
Dyson, Sam 2019: 183 39 7 1 3 7 0 3 3 47 4 2 196
Dyson, Sam proj: 176 44 8 1 4 16 1 2 2 38 6 2 197
Franco, Enderson 2019: 19 4 1 0 1 1 0 0 0 4 0 0 20
Franco, Enderson proj: 19 4 1 0 1 1 0 0 0 4 0 0 20
Gott, Trevor 2019: 190 41 5 1 4 17 4 1 2 57 3 2 214
Gott, Trevor proj: 187 47 6 1 4 19 3 1 3 42 3 2 213
Gustave, Jandel 2019: 86 18 4 0 1 9 3 1 0 14 0 0 99
Gustave, Jandel proj: 86 19 4 0 2 11 2 1 0 17 1 1 100
Holland, Derek 2019: 261 68 11 1 17 35 2 6 4 71 4 2 308
Holland, Derek proj: 276 72 16 1 11 26 2 2 2 60 3 2 308
Jerez, Williams 2019: 23 7 0 1 1 6 0 0 0 4 0 1 29
Jerez, Williams proj: 25 7 1 0 1 4 0 0 0 6 0 0 29
Melancon, Mark 2019: 176 49 7 1 3 16 1 0 2 44 3 0 195
Melancon, Mark proj: 181 43 6 1 3 11 1 0 2 44 2 1 195
Menez, Conner 2019: 59 13 2 0 4 12 1 1 0 22 1 1 73
Menez, Conner proj: 59 13 2 0 4 12 1 1 0 22 1 1 73
Moronta, Reyes 2019: 208 41 9 0 4 33 1 1 3 70 8 0 246
Moronta, Reyes proj: 208 37 7 0 4 33 2 1 1 73 7 0 245
Peralta, Wandy 2019: 20 4 1 0 1 1 0 0 0 5 0 0 21
Peralta, Wandy proj: 18 5 1 0 1 2 0 0 0 4 0 0 20
Pomeranz, Drew 2019: 312 89 12 3 17 36 1 2 4 92 7 3 355
Pomeranz, Drew proj: 313 77 14 1 11 35 2 2 2 84 5 2 354
Rodriguez, Dereck 2019: 398 108 21 2 21 36 0 3 2 71 6 3 439
Rodriguez, Dereck proj: 397 98 24 3 14 34 1 2 4 76 4 1 438
Rogers, Tyler 2019: 65 12 3 0 0 3 0 1 1 16 0 0 70
Rogers, Tyler proj: 65 12 3 0 0 3 0 1 1 16 0 0 70
Samardzija, Jeff 2019: 677 152 24 9 28 49 4 4 6 140 14 4 740
Samardzija, Jeff proj: 672 167 31 7 22 53 5 4 6 157 14 5 740
Selman, Sam 2019: 35 6 1 0 2 6 0 1 2 10 2 0 44
Selman, Sam proj: 35 6 1 0 2 6 0 1 2 10 2 0 44
Smith, Burch 2019: 36 10 1 1 0 4 0 1 0 6 0 0 41
Smith, Burch proj: 35 10 2 0 2 5 0 0 0 9 0 0 40
Smith, Will 2019: 235 46 4 2 10 21 1 0 0 96 1 1 257
Smith, Will proj: 230 55 10 2 7 22 2 1 1 74 3 1 256
Suarez, Andrew 2019: 129 39 10 1 7 14 4 0 1 25 1 1 148
Suarez, Andrew proj: 134 37 6 1 5 11 2 1 1 28 1 1 149
Venditte, Pat 2019: 14 4 0 0 1 2 0 0 3 2 0 0 19
Venditte, Pat proj: 16 4 1 0 1 2 0 0 0 3 0 0 18
Vincent, Nick 2019: 126 36 6 1 7 8 1 0 3 30 0 1 138
Vincent, Nick proj: 126 30 6 0 3 8 1 1 1 34 1 1 137
Watson, Tony 2019: 212 56 6 2 9 12 0 2 5 41 1 1 231
Watson, Tony proj: 208 47 8 1 6 15 2 3 3 51 4 1 231
Webb, Logan 2019: 158 44 9 2 5 14 1 0 1 37 2 1 174
Webb, Logan proj: 158 44 9 2 5 14 1 0 1 37 2 1 174
2019 TEAM TOTALS: 5596 1395 244 37 227 519 33 41 64 1368 88 33 6253
PROJECTED: 5597 1378 266 28 181 522 37 38 53 1356 87 35 6247
difference: -1 +17 -22 +9 +46 -3 -4 +3 +11 +12 +1 -2 +6
Man AB H 2B 3B HR BB SF SH HBP SO SB CS BFP


Assorted Team Stats:
Stat Actual Projected
Batting Average: .249 .246
Slugging Average: .428 .401
Walks (per PA): .083 .083
SOs (per PA): .219 .217
On-Base Average: .316 .313
Power Factor: 1.72 1.63
OPS: .744 .713
TPP Runs (to date): 760 702

Runs differential:
Actual TPP 58 more than Projected TPP.




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This page was last modified on Tuesday, 1 October 2019, at 7:36 am Pacific Time.