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STL "Expected" Batting Results, 2017


About These Stats:

The form of "projection" used is very simple: each man's career numbers are pro-rated by his actual number of appearances to date this season; those data, labelled "proj:" are shown along with the man's actual stats from this year to date. At the bottom of the Table, each set of lines—"projected" and actual—is separately summed to get Team Totals for each dataset.

Note that "career to date" includes each man's stats for the current year: "to date" is literally correct. For veteran players, that matters little, but for rookies or players with litle prior major-league experience, it means that the "projection" will perforce nearly or exactly match the actual stats to date. That seems like the best way to deal with newly arrived players' stats.

Note that owing to rounding in the pro-rating process, projected total PA (plate appearances) may occasionally differ by 1.

Below the player/team table is a smaller table showing a few key team "rate" stats (such as batting average) actual and projected.

The Actual Data:

Through games of Wednesday, 21 June 2017.
All results are from true, unadjusted data.

Handedness Key:   + R   * L   # S

(You can also look up the stat definitions.)

Batters, listed in alphabetical order:
Each name is a click-on link to that man's career stats.

(or see the data for Pitching)


Man AB H 2B 3B HR BB SF SH HBP SO SB CS PA
Adams, Matt 2017: 48 14 2 0 1 4 1 0 0 17 0 0 53
Adams, Matt proj: 49 13 3 0 2 3 0 0 0 12 0 0 52
Carpenter, Matt 2017: 232 56 13 1 13 48 3 0 4 59 1 1 287
Carpenter, Matt proj: 244 69 18 2 8 36 3 1 3 52 1 1 287
DeJong, Paul 2017: 65 17 4 0 3 1 0 0 0 24 0 0 66
DeJong, Paul proj: 65 17 4 0 3 1 0 0 0 24 0 0 66
Diaz, Aledmys 2017: 257 67 16 0 7 13 1 0 0 35 4 1 271
Diaz, Aledmys proj: 245 70 16 1 9 20 3 1 3 35 3 2 272
Fowler, Dexter 2017: 237 59 10 4 13 33 2 0 1 57 3 2 273
Fowler, Dexter proj: 233 62 12 4 5 34 1 2 2 60 8 3 272
Fryer, Eric 2017: 56 10 3 0 0 4 0 0 1 14 0 0 61
Fryer, Eric proj: 54 13 2 0 0 6 0 0 0 13 0 1 60
Gant, John 2017: 1 0 0 0 0 0 0 0 0 0 0 0 1
Gant, John proj: 1 0 0 0 0 0 0 0 0 0 0 0 1
Garcia, Greg 2017: 96 20 4 0 1 16 0 3 2 23 2 0 117
Garcia, Greg proj: 97 24 5 0 1 16 0 1 2 22 1 0 116
Gonzales, Marco 2017: 1 1 0 0 0 0 0 0 0 0 0 0 1
Gonzales, Marco proj: 1 0 0 0 0 0 0 0 0 0 0 0 1
Grichuk, Randal 2017: 167 37 14 0 4 12 1 0 1 54 5 1 181
Grichuk, Randal proj: 168 42 12 2 8 11 0 0 1 54 2 1 180
Gyorko, Jedd 2017: 222 66 11 2 11 17 2 0 1 55 3 0 242
Gyorko, Jedd proj: 222 54 9 0 10 17 1 0 2 55 1 0 242
Huffman, Chad 2017: 12 4 0 1 0 1 0 0 0 4 0 0 13
Huffman, Chad proj: 11 3 0 0 0 1 0 0 0 3 0 0 12
Leake, Mike 2017: 30 4 1 0 0 2 0 2 0 10 0 0 34
Leake, Mike proj: 30 6 1 0 0 1 0 3 0 12 0 0 34
Lynn, Lance 2017: 22 1 0 0 0 1 0 2 1 11 0 0 26
Lynn, Lance proj: 22 2 0 0 0 1 0 3 0 13 0 0 26
Lyons, Tyler 2017: 1 0 0 0 0 1 0 0 0 1 0 0 2
Lyons, Tyler proj: 2 0 0 0 0 0 0 0 0 1 0 0 2
Martinez, Carlos 2017: 27 5 2 0 0 0 0 2 1 6 0 0 30
Martinez, Carlos proj: 27 5 1 0 0 0 0 2 1 8 0 0 30
Martinez, Jose 2017: 93 26 6 1 4 5 1 1 0 23 1 0 100
Martinez, Jose proj: 92 28 6 1 3 6 1 1 0 20 1 0 100
Molina, Yadier 2017: 227 59 9 0 9 11 5 1 2 35 5 2 246
Molina, Yadier proj: 224 63 12 0 4 17 2 2 2 24 2 1 247
Peralta, Jhonny 2017: 54 11 0 0 0 4 0 0 0 13 0 0 58
Peralta, Jhonny proj: 52 14 3 0 2 5 0 0 0 11 0 0 57
Pham, Tommy 2017: 140 40 6 0 9 18 2 0 3 40 6 2 163
Pham, Tommy proj: 142 37 6 2 7 18 1 0 2 48 3 1 163
Piscotty, Stephen 2017: 164 41 10 0 6 28 3 0 3 34 2 5 198
Piscotty, Stephen proj: 176 49 11 1 6 18 1 0 3 40 2 2 198
Sierra, Magneuris 2017: 32 12 0 0 0 3 0 0 0 8 1 2 35
Sierra, Magneuris proj: 32 12 0 0 0 3 0 0 0 8 1 2 35
Socolovich, Miguel 2017: 1 0 0 0 0 0 0 0 0 0 0 0 1
Socolovich, Miguel proj: 1 0 0 0 0 0 0 0 0 0 0 0 1
Wacha, Michael 2017: 20 1 0 0 0 0 0 3 0 10 0 0 23
Wacha, Michael proj: 20 2 0 0 0 1 0 2 0 10 0 0 23
Wainwright, Adam 2017: 24 6 1 0 2 0 0 2 0 7 0 0 26
Wainwright, Adam proj: 23 5 1 0 0 1 0 2 0 7 0 0 26
Wong, Kolten 2017: 153 46 15 2 1 19 1 1 5 25 3 1 179
Wong, Kolten proj: 161 41 7 2 3 12 1 1 4 28 5 1 179
2017 TEAM TOTALS: 2382 603 127 11 84 241 22 17 25 565 36 17 2687
PROJECTED: 2394 631 129 15 71 228 14 21 25 560 30 15 2682
difference: -12 -28 -2 -4 +13 +13 +8 -4 0 +5 +6 +2 +5
Man AB H 2B 3B HR BB SF SH HBP SO SB CS PA


Assorted Team Stats:
Stat Actual Projected
Batting Average: .253 .264
Slugging Average: .421 .419
Walks (per PA): .090 .085
SOs (per PA): .210 .208
On-Base Average: .323 .330
Power Factor: 1.67 1.59
OPS: .745 .749
TOP Runs (to date): 322 325

Runs differential:
Actual TOP 3 less than Projected TOP.




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This page was last modified on Thursday, 22 June 2017, at 7:04 am Pacific Time.