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STL "Expected" Batting Results, 2017


About These Stats:

The form of "projection" used is very simple: each man's career numbers are pro-rated by his actual number of appearances to date this season; those data, labelled "proj:" are shown along with the man's actual stats from this year to date. At the bottom of the Table, each set of lines—"projected" and actual—is separately summed to get Team Totals for each dataset.

Note that "career to date" includes each man's stats for the current year: "to date" is literally correct. For veteran players, that matters little, but for rookies or players with litle prior major-league experience, it means that the "projection" will perforce nearly or exactly match the actual stats to date. That seems like the best way to deal with newly arrived players' stats.

Note that owing to rounding in the pro-rating process, projected total PA (plate appearances) may occasionally differ by 1.

Below the player/team table is a smaller table showing a few key team "rate" stats (such as batting average) actual and projected.

The Actual Data:

Through games of Monday, 22 May 2017.
All results are from true, unadjusted data.

Handedness Key:   + R   * L   # S

(You can also look up the stat definitions.)

Batters, listed in alphabetical order:
Each name is a click-on link to that man's career stats.

(or see the data for Pitching)


Man AB H 2B 3B HR BB SF SH HBP SO SB CS PA
Adams, Matt 2017: 48 14 2 0 1 4 1 0 0 17 0 0 53
Adams, Matt proj: 49 13 3 0 2 3 0 0 0 12 0 0 52
Carpenter, Matt 2017: 132 31 5 1 9 32 3 0 1 37 0 1 168
Carpenter, Matt proj: 143 40 10 1 4 21 2 0 2 30 1 1 168
Diaz, Aledmys 2017: 165 43 8 0 5 7 1 0 0 21 4 1 173
Diaz, Aledmys proj: 156 45 10 1 6 13 2 1 2 22 2 1 174
Fowler, Dexter 2017: 132 29 4 4 6 19 2 0 1 34 1 0 154
Fowler, Dexter proj: 131 35 7 3 3 19 1 1 1 34 4 2 153
Fryer, Eric 2017: 27 5 2 0 0 3 0 0 0 7 0 0 30
Fryer, Eric proj: 26 7 1 0 0 3 0 0 0 6 0 0 29
Garcia, Greg 2017: 58 17 4 0 0 10 0 2 1 12 2 0 71
Garcia, Greg proj: 59 16 3 0 1 10 0 0 1 13 0 0 70
Grichuk, Randal 2017: 147 35 13 0 4 11 1 0 1 44 5 1 160
Grichuk, Randal proj: 149 37 10 2 7 10 0 0 1 47 2 1 160
Gyorko, Jedd 2017: 127 42 8 2 7 9 0 0 1 33 2 0 137
Gyorko, Jedd proj: 126 31 5 0 6 10 1 0 1 31 0 0 138
Leake, Mike 2017: 19 4 1 0 0 0 0 1 0 3 0 0 20
Leake, Mike proj: 18 4 1 0 0 0 0 2 0 7 0 0 20
Lynn, Lance 2017: 15 1 0 0 0 0 0 1 1 8 0 0 17
Lynn, Lance proj: 14 1 0 0 0 1 0 2 0 8 0 0 17
Martinez, Carlos 2017: 19 4 2 0 0 0 0 1 0 4 0 0 20
Martinez, Carlos proj: 18 4 1 0 0 0 0 1 0 6 0 0 19
Martinez, Jose 2017: 48 15 4 0 1 3 0 1 0 9 1 0 52
Martinez, Jose proj: 48 16 4 0 1 4 0 1 0 7 1 0 53
Molina, Yadier 2017: 138 36 8 0 3 9 4 1 2 22 3 1 154
Molina, Yadier proj: 140 40 8 0 3 11 1 1 1 15 1 1 154
Peralta, Jhonny 2017: 30 7 0 0 0 3 0 0 0 9 0 0 33
Peralta, Jhonny proj: 30 8 2 0 1 3 0 0 0 7 0 0 33
Pham, Tommy 2017: 51 15 4 0 3 5 2 0 2 18 3 2 60
Pham, Tommy proj: 52 13 3 1 2 6 0 0 1 19 1 1 59
Piscotty, Stephen 2017: 85 21 5 0 2 16 1 0 3 19 2 4 105
Piscotty, Stephen proj: 94 26 6 1 3 9 1 0 2 22 1 1 106
Sierra, Magneuris 2017: 30 11 0 0 0 2 0 0 0 7 1 2 32
Sierra, Magneuris proj: 30 11 0 0 0 2 0 0 0 7 1 2 32
Socolovich, Miguel 2017: 1 0 0 0 0 0 0 0 0 0 0 0 1
Socolovich, Miguel proj: 1 0 0 0 0 0 0 0 0 0 0 0 1
Wacha, Michael 2017: 11 1 0 0 0 0 0 2 0 7 0 0 13
Wacha, Michael proj: 11 1 0 0 0 1 0 1 0 6 0 0 13
Wainwright, Adam 2017: 17 5 1 0 1 0 0 2 0 5 0 0 19
Wainwright, Adam proj: 17 3 1 0 0 1 0 1 0 5 0 0 19
Wong, Kolten 2017: 124 35 11 2 1 15 1 1 4 20 3 1 145
Wong, Kolten proj: 131 33 5 1 3 10 1 1 3 22 4 1 146
2017 TEAM TOTALS: 1424 371 82 9 43 148 16 12 17 336 27 13 1617
PROJECTED: 1443 384 80 10 42 137 9 12 15 326 18 11 1616
difference: -19 -13 +2 -1 +1 +11 +7 0 +2 +10 +9 +2 +1
Man AB H 2B 3B HR BB SF SH HBP SO SB CS PA


Assorted Team Stats:
Stat Actual Projected
Batting Average: .261 .266
Slugging Average: .421 .423
Walks (per PA): .092 .085
SOs (per PA): .208 .202
On-Base Average: .331 .332
Power Factor: 1.62 1.59
OPS: .753 .754
TOP Runs (to date): 197 198

Runs differential:
Actual TOP 1 less than Projected TOP.




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This page was last modified on Tuesday, 23 May 2017, at 6:59 am Pacific Time.