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STL "Expected" Batting Results, 2017


About These Stats:

The form of "projection" used is very simple: each man's career numbers are pro-rated by his actual number of appearances to date this season; those data, labelled "proj:" are shown along with the man's actual stats from this year to date. At the bottom of the Table, each set of lines—"projected" and actual—is separately summed to get Team Totals for each dataset.

Note that "career to date" includes each man's stats for the current year: "to date" is literally correct. For veteran players, that matters little, but for rookies or players with litle prior major-league experience, it means that the "projection" will perforce nearly or exactly match the actual stats to date. That seems like the best way to deal with newly arrived players' stats.

Note that owing to rounding in the pro-rating process, projected total PA (plate appearances) may occasionally differ by 1.

Below the player/team table is a smaller table showing a few key team "rate" stats (such as batting average) actual and projected.

The Actual Data:

Through games of Sunday, 24 September 2017.
All results are from true, unadjusted data.

Handedness Key:   + R   * L   # S

(You can also look up the stat definitions.)

Batters, listed in alphabetical order:
Each name is a click-on link to that man's career stats.

(or see the data for Pitching)


Man AB H 2B 3B HR BB SF SH HBP SO SB CS PA
Adams, Matt 2017: 48 14 2 0 1 4 1 0 0 17 0 0 53
Adams, Matt proj: 49 13 3 0 2 3 0 0 0 12 0 0 52
Bader, Harrison 2017: 74 19 3 0 3 4 1 0 1 18 2 0 80
Bader, Harrison proj: 74 19 3 0 3 4 1 0 1 18 2 0 80
Brebbia, John 2017: 1 0 0 0 0 0 0 0 0 0 0 0 1
Brebbia, John proj: 1 0 0 0 0 0 0 0 0 0 0 0 1
Carpenter, Matt 2017: 484 119 31 2 22 106 5 2 9 119 2 1 606
Carpenter, Matt proj: 512 143 37 4 16 79 6 2 7 109 3 3 606
Cecil, Brett 2017: 1 0 0 0 0 0 0 0 0 0 0 0 1
Cecil, Brett proj: 1 0 0 0 0 0 0 0 0 1 0 0 1
DeJong, Paul 2017: 393 110 22 1 24 20 1 0 4 120 1 0 418
DeJong, Paul proj: 393 110 22 1 24 20 1 0 4 120 1 0 418
Diaz, Aledmys 2017: 276 73 17 0 7 13 1 1 0 41 4 1 291
Diaz, Aledmys proj: 263 75 17 1 9 21 3 1 3 39 3 2 291
Flaherty, Jack 2017: 5 0 0 0 0 0 0 0 0 2 0 0 5
Flaherty, Jack proj: 5 0 0 0 0 0 0 0 0 2 0 0 5
Fowler, Dexter 2017: 405 108 22 8 18 62 4 0 3 95 7 3 474
Fowler, Dexter proj: 404 108 21 8 9 60 2 4 4 104 13 6 474
Fryer, Eric 2017: 71 11 3 0 0 11 0 0 1 18 0 0 83
Fryer, Eric proj: 73 17 3 0 0 9 0 0 0 18 0 1 82
Gant, John 2017: 2 0 0 0 0 0 0 0 0 0 0 0 2
Gant, John proj: 2 0 0 0 0 0 0 1 0 0 0 0 3
Garcia, Greg 2017: 226 58 9 2 2 36 1 5 6 58 2 1 274
Garcia, Greg proj: 228 59 11 1 3 37 1 3 6 54 1 1 275
Gonzales, Marco 2017: 1 1 0 0 0 0 0 0 0 0 0 0 1
Gonzales, Marco proj: 1 0 0 0 0 0 0 0 0 0 0 0 1
Grichuk, Randal 2017: 396 94 25 2 20 26 2 0 2 127 6 1 426
Grichuk, Randal proj: 396 99 26 4 20 25 1 0 3 127 5 3 425
Gyorko, Jedd 2017: 412 110 21 2 18 45 7 0 1 102 6 1 465
Gyorko, Jedd proj: 423 103 18 1 19 36 4 0 3 105 2 1 466
Huffman, Chad 2017: 14 4 0 1 0 1 0 0 0 6 0 0 15
Huffman, Chad proj: 13 3 0 0 0 1 0 0 0 5 0 0 14
Kelly, Carson 2017: 49 9 3 0 0 4 0 0 1 8 0 0 54
Kelly, Carson proj: 49 9 3 0 0 3 0 0 2 8 0 0 54
Leake, Mike 2017: 47 8 1 0 0 3 0 5 0 15 0 0 55
Leake, Mike proj: 49 10 2 0 1 2 0 5 0 19 0 0 56
Lynn, Lance 2017: 53 3 2 0 0 1 0 5 1 25 0 0 60
Lynn, Lance proj: 51 4 1 0 0 2 0 7 0 28 0 0 60
Lyons, Tyler 2017: 1 0 0 0 0 1 0 0 0 1 0 0 2
Lyons, Tyler proj: 2 0 0 0 0 0 0 0 0 1 0 0 2
Martinez, Carlos 2017: 60 11 3 0 0 1 0 5 1 19 0 0 67
Martinez, Carlos proj: 60 11 2 0 0 1 0 5 1 19 0 0 67
Martinez, Jose 2017: 256 79 12 1 13 29 2 1 0 55 4 0 288
Martinez, Jose proj: 256 81 12 1 12 29 2 1 0 53 4 0 288
Mejia, Alex 2017: 40 5 0 0 1 2 0 1 0 13 0 0 43
Mejia, Alex proj: 40 5 0 0 1 2 0 1 0 13 0 0 43
Molina, Yadier 2017: 498 137 27 1 18 28 9 1 4 74 9 4 540
Molina, Yadier proj: 491 139 27 1 10 37 5 3 4 53 5 3 540
Nicasio, Juan 2017: 1 0 0 0 0 0 0 0 0 0 0 0 1
Nicasio, Juan proj: 1 0 0 0 0 0 0 0 0 0 0 0 1
Peralta, Jhonny 2017: 54 11 0 0 0 4 0 0 0 13 0 0 58
Peralta, Jhonny proj: 52 14 3 0 2 5 0 0 0 11 0 0 57
Pham, Tommy 2017: 426 132 22 2 22 65 3 2 9 113 23 7 505
Pham, Tommy proj: 433 122 21 4 21 61 2 2 7 133 16 5 505
Piscotty, Stephen 2017: 328 79 16 1 9 49 3 0 5 84 3 6 385
Piscotty, Stephen proj: 341 92 20 2 11 36 2 0 5 81 4 4 384
Rosario, Alberto 2017: 1 0 0 0 0 0 0 0 0 0 0 0 1
Rosario, Alberto proj: 1 0 0 0 0 0 0 0 0 0 0 0 1
Sierra, Magneuris 2017: 56 19 0 0 0 3 0 0 0 12 2 2 59
Sierra, Magneuris proj: 56 19 0 0 0 3 0 0 0 12 2 2 59
Socolovich, Miguel 2017: 1 0 0 0 0 0 0 0 0 0 0 0 1
Socolovich, Miguel proj: 1 0 0 0 0 0 0 0 0 0 0 0 1
Valera, Breyvic 2017: 6 1 0 0 0 1 0 0 0 0 0 0 7
Valera, Breyvic proj: 6 1 0 0 0 1 0 0 0 0 0 0 7
Voit, Luke 2017: 107 26 9 0 3 6 0 0 3 30 0 0 116
Voit, Luke proj: 107 26 9 0 3 6 0 0 3 30 0 0 116
Wacha, Michael 2017: 44 2 0 0 0 1 1 7 0 21 0 0 53
Wacha, Michael proj: 46 4 0 0 0 2 0 5 0 23 0 0 53
Wainwright, Adam 2017: 42 11 2 0 2 1 0 7 0 15 0 0 50
Wainwright, Adam proj: 45 9 2 0 1 2 0 4 0 14 0 0 51
Weaver, Luke 2017: 17 3 0 0 0 1 0 3 0 7 0 0 21
Weaver, Luke proj: 19 5 0 0 0 1 0 2 0 7 0 0 22
Wong, Kolten 2017: 351 101 27 3 4 41 3 1 12 59 8 2 408
Wong, Kolten proj: 366 94 17 4 7 29 3 1 9 63 12 3 408
2017 TEAM TOTALS: 5247 1358 279 26 187 569 44 46 63 1287 79 29 5969
PROJECTED: 5310 1394 280 32 174 517 33 47 62 1282 73 34 5969
difference: -63 -36 -1 -6 +13 +52 +11 -1 +1 +5 +6 -5 0
Man AB H 2B 3B HR BB SF SH HBP SO SB CS PA


Assorted Team Stats:
Stat Actual Projected
Batting Average: .259 .263
Slugging Average: .429 .426
Walks (per PA): .095 .087
SOs (per PA): .216 .215
On-Base Average: .333 .331
Power Factor: 1.66 1.62
OPS: .762 .756
TOP Runs (to date): 750 738

Runs differential:
Actual TOP 12 more than Projected TOP.




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This page was last modified on Monday, 25 September 2017, at 7:16 am Pacific Time.