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STL "Expected" Batting Results, 2018


About These Stats:

The form of "projection" used is very simple: each man's career numbers are pro-rated by his actual number of appearances to date this season; those data, labelled "proj:" are shown along with the man's actual stats from this year to date. At the bottom of the Table, each set of lines—"projected" and actual—is separately summed to get Team Totals for each dataset.

Note that "career to date" includes each man's stats for the current year: "to date" is literally correct. For veteran players, that matters little, but for rookies or players with litle prior major-league experience, it means that the "projection" will perforce nearly or exactly match the actual stats to date. That seems like the best way to deal with newly arrived players' stats.

Note that owing to rounding in the pro-rating process, projected total PA (plate appearances) may occasionally differ by 1.

Below the player/team table is a smaller table showing a few key team "rate" stats (such as batting average) actual and projected.

The Actual Data:

Through games of Sunday, 30 September 2018.
All results are from true, unadjusted data.

Handedness Key:   + R   * L   # S

(You can also look up the stat definitions.)

Batters, listed in alphabetical order:
Each name is a click-on link to that man's career stats.

(or see the data for Pitching)


Man AB H 2B 3B HR BB SF SH HBP SO SB CS PA
Adams, Matt 2018: 57 9 1 0 3 3 0 0 0 18 0 0 60
Adams, Matt proj: 56 15 3 0 3 4 0 0 0 14 0 0 60
Bader, Harrison 2018: 379 100 20 2 12 31 4 2 11 125 15 3 427
Bader, Harrison proj: 382 99 19 2 12 30 4 2 10 123 14 3 428
Baron, Steven 2018: 5 1 0 0 0 0 0 0 0 2 0 0 5
Baron, Steven proj: 5 0 0 0 0 0 0 0 0 1 0 0 5
Bowman, Matt 2018: 1 0 0 0 0 0 0 0 0 0 0 0 1
Bowman, Matt proj: 1 0 0 0 0 0 0 1 0 0 0 0 2
Brebbia, John 2018: 2 0 0 0 0 0 0 0 0 1 0 0 2
Brebbia, John proj: 2 0 0 0 0 0 0 0 0 1 0 0 2
Carpenter, Matt 2018: 564 145 42 0 36 102 4 0 6 158 4 1 677
Carpenter, Matt proj: 571 157 41 4 21 91 6 2 7 128 3 3 677
DeJong, Paul 2018: 436 105 25 1 19 36 5 0 12 123 1 1 490
DeJong, Paul proj: 448 118 27 1 23 30 3 0 8 130 1 1 489
Flaherty, Jack 2018: 46 7 0 0 0 2 0 4 0 20 0 0 52
Flaherty, Jack proj: 47 6 0 0 0 2 0 4 0 20 0 0 53
Fowler, Dexter 2018: 289 52 10 0 8 38 4 0 3 75 5 2 334
Fowler, Dexter proj: 285 75 15 5 7 42 2 3 3 74 9 4 335
Gant, John 2018: 31 2 0 0 2 0 0 3 0 14 0 0 34
Gant, John proj: 30 1 0 0 1 0 0 4 0 11 0 0 34
Garcia, Adolis 2018: 17 2 1 0 0 0 0 0 0 7 0 0 17
Garcia, Adolis proj: 17 2 1 0 0 0 0 0 0 7 0 0 17
Garcia, Greg 2018: 181 40 6 0 3 20 2 1 4 37 3 1 208
Garcia, Greg proj: 175 44 8 0 2 26 1 2 4 41 1 1 208
Gomber, Austin 2018: 19 4 1 0 0 0 0 2 0 3 0 0 21
Gomber, Austin proj: 19 4 1 0 0 0 0 2 0 3 0 0 21
Gyorko, Jedd 2018: 351 92 19 1 11 44 4 0 3 77 2 0 402
Gyorko, Jedd proj: 364 90 16 1 16 33 3 0 2 89 2 1 402
Hicks, Jordan 2018: 1 0 0 0 0 0 0 0 0 1 0 0 1
Hicks, Jordan proj: 1 0 0 0 0 0 0 0 0 1 0 0 1
Hudson, Dakota 2018: 1 0 0 0 0 0 0 0 0 0 0 0 1
Hudson, Dakota proj: 1 0 0 0 0 0 0 0 0 0 0 0 1
Kelly, Carson 2018: 35 4 0 0 0 3 0 3 1 7 0 0 42
Kelly, Carson proj: 38 6 1 0 0 3 0 1 1 6 0 0 43
Martinez, Carlos 2018: 33 8 2 0 1 0 1 2 0 11 0 0 36
Martinez, Carlos proj: 33 6 1 0 0 0 0 2 0 10 0 0 35
Martinez, Jose 2018: 534 163 30 0 17 49 3 2 2 104 0 3 590
Martinez, Jose proj: 530 164 28 1 20 54 3 2 1 106 3 2 590
Mayers, Mike 2018: 1 0 0 0 0 1 0 0 0 1 0 0 2
Mayers, Mike proj: 1 0 0 0 0 1 0 0 0 1 0 0 2
Mikolas, Miles 2018: 63 9 1 0 2 2 1 5 0 33 0 0 71
Mikolas, Miles proj: 63 8 1 0 2 2 1 6 0 32 0 0 72
Molina, Yadier 2018: 459 120 20 0 20 29 6 0 9 66 4 3 503
Molina, Yadier proj: 457 129 25 0 10 34 5 3 4 51 4 3 503
Munoz, Yairo 2018: 293 81 16 0 8 30 2 0 4 71 5 6 329
Munoz, Yairo proj: 293 81 16 0 8 30 2 0 4 71 5 6 329
O'Neill, Tyler 2018: 130 33 5 0 9 7 2 0 3 57 2 0 142
O'Neill, Tyler proj: 130 33 5 0 9 7 2 0 3 57 2 0 142
Ozuna, Marcell 2018: 582 163 16 2 23 38 4 0 3 110 3 0 628
Ozuna, Marcell proj: 579 160 26 4 23 43 3 0 2 133 3 2 627
Pena, Francisco 2018: 133 27 3 0 2 6 2 0 1 43 1 0 142
Pena, Francisco proj: 134 29 2 0 4 6 1 1 1 44 1 0 143
Pham, Tommy 2018: 351 87 11 0 14 42 1 0 2 97 10 6 396
Pham, Tommy proj: 340 95 15 4 16 48 2 1 5 101 12 4 396
Poncedeleon, Daniel 2018: 9 1 0 1 0 0 0 1 0 4 0 0 10
Poncedeleon, Daniel proj: 9 1 0 1 0 0 0 1 0 4 0 0 10
Reyes, Alex 2018: 1 0 0 0 0 0 0 0 0 1 0 0 1
Reyes, Alex proj: 1 0 0 0 0 0 0 0 0 0 0 0 1
Ross, Tyson 2018: 3 2 0 0 1 0 0 1 0 0 0 0 4
Ross, Tyson proj: 4 1 0 0 0 0 0 0 0 1 0 0 4
Shreve, Chasen 2018: 1 0 0 0 0 0 0 0 0 1 0 0 1
Shreve, Chasen proj: 1 0 0 0 0 0 0 0 0 1 0 0 1
Sosa, Edmundo 2018: 2 0 0 0 0 1 0 0 0 1 0 0 3
Sosa, Edmundo proj: 2 0 0 0 0 1 0 0 0 1 0 0 3
Voit, Luke 2018: 11 2 0 0 1 2 0 0 0 4 0 0 13
Voit, Luke proj: 12 3 1 0 1 1 0 0 0 3 0 0 13
Wacha, Michael 2018: 25 2 0 0 0 1 0 6 0 9 0 0 32
Wacha, Michael proj: 27 2 0 0 0 1 0 3 0 13 0 0 31
Wainwright, Adam 2018: 11 1 0 0 0 0 0 1 0 6 0 0 12
Wainwright, Adam proj: 11 2 1 0 0 0 0 1 0 3 0 0 12
Weaver, Luke 2018: 38 6 0 0 0 1 0 7 0 14 0 0 46
Weaver, Luke proj: 39 8 0 0 0 1 0 6 0 15 0 0 46
Wisdom, Patrick 2018: 50 13 1 0 4 6 0 0 2 19 2 1 58
Wisdom, Patrick proj: 50 13 1 0 4 6 0 0 2 19 2 1 58
Wong, Kolten 2018: 353 88 18 2 9 31 3 6 14 60 6 5 407
Wong, Kolten proj: 363 92 17 3 7 30 3 2 10 62 10 3 408
2018 TEAM TOTALS: 5498 1369 248 9 205 525 48 46 80 1380 63 32 6200
PROJECTED: 5521 1444 271 26 189 526 41 49 67 1377 72 34 6204
difference: -23 -75 -23 -17 +16 -1 +7 -3 +13 +3 -9 -2 -4
Man AB H 2B 3B HR BB SF SH HBP SO SB CS PA


Assorted Team Stats:
Stat Actual Projected
Batting Average: .249 .262
Slugging Average: .409 .423
Walks (per PA): .085 .085
SOs (per PA): .223 .222
On-Base Average: .318 .328
Power Factor: 1.64 1.62
OPS: .728 .751
TOP Runs (to date): 717 760

Runs differential:
Actual TOP 43 less than Projected TOP.




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This page was last modified on Monday, 1 October 2018, at 7:07 am Pacific Time.