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STL "Expected" Batting Results, 2018


About These Stats:

The form of "projection" used is very simple: each man's career numbers are pro-rated by his actual number of appearances to date this season; those data, labelled "proj:" are shown along with the man's actual stats from this year to date. At the bottom of the Table, each set of lines—"projected" and actual—is separately summed to get Team Totals for each dataset.

Note that "career to date" includes each man's stats for the current year: "to date" is literally correct. For veteran players, that matters little, but for rookies or players with litle prior major-league experience, it means that the "projection" will perforce nearly or exactly match the actual stats to date. That seems like the best way to deal with newly arrived players' stats.

Note that owing to rounding in the pro-rating process, projected total PA (plate appearances) may occasionally differ by 1.

Below the player/team table is a smaller table showing a few key team "rate" stats (such as batting average) actual and projected.

The Actual Data:

Through games of Monday, 20 August 2018.
All results are from true, unadjusted data.

Handedness Key:   + R   * L   # S

(You can also look up the stat definitions.)

Batters, listed in alphabetical order:
Each name is a click-on link to that man's career stats.

(or see the data for Pitching)


Man AB H 2B 3B HR BB SF SH HBP SO SB CS PA
Bader, Harrison 2018: 263 74 12 2 9 23 1 1 5 84 12 2 293
Bader, Harrison proj: 265 72 11 2 9 21 2 1 5 82 11 2 294
Baron, Steven 2018: 5 1 0 0 0 0 0 0 0 2 0 0 5
Baron, Steven proj: 5 0 0 0 0 0 0 0 0 1 0 0 5
Bowman, Matt 2018: 1 0 0 0 0 0 0 0 0 0 0 0 1
Bowman, Matt proj: 1 0 0 0 0 0 0 1 0 0 0 0 2
Brebbia, John 2018: 2 0 0 0 0 0 0 0 0 1 0 0 2
Brebbia, John proj: 2 0 0 0 0 0 0 0 0 1 0 0 2
Carpenter, Matt 2018: 440 120 34 0 34 80 3 0 4 116 1 1 527
Carpenter, Matt proj: 445 123 32 3 17 70 5 1 6 98 2 2 527
DeJong, Paul 2018: 301 71 17 1 13 28 2 0 8 85 1 1 340
DeJong, Paul proj: 312 83 19 1 17 21 1 0 5 91 1 0 339
Flaherty, Jack 2018: 34 5 0 0 0 1 0 4 0 15 0 0 39
Flaherty, Jack proj: 35 4 0 0 0 1 0 3 0 15 0 0 39
Fowler, Dexter 2018: 289 52 10 0 8 38 4 0 3 75 5 2 334
Fowler, Dexter proj: 285 75 15 5 7 42 2 3 3 74 9 4 335
Gant, John 2018: 22 1 0 0 1 0 0 3 0 7 0 0 25
Gant, John proj: 21 1 0 0 1 0 0 4 0 5 0 0 25
Garcia, Adolis 2018: 11 1 0 0 0 0 0 0 0 5 0 0 11
Garcia, Adolis proj: 11 1 0 0 0 0 0 0 0 5 0 0 11
Garcia, Greg 2018: 150 34 6 0 3 16 2 1 4 33 1 1 173
Garcia, Greg proj: 146 36 7 0 2 21 1 1 4 35 1 1 173
Gomber, Austin 2018: 9 1 0 0 0 0 0 1 0 2 0 0 10
Gomber, Austin proj: 9 1 0 0 0 0 0 1 0 2 0 0 10
Gyorko, Jedd 2018: 287 73 13 1 11 34 2 0 3 62 1 0 326
Gyorko, Jedd proj: 295 73 12 1 13 26 2 0 2 72 1 1 325
Hicks, Jordan 2018: 1 0 0 0 0 0 0 0 0 1 0 0 1
Hicks, Jordan proj: 1 0 0 0 0 0 0 0 0 1 0 0 1
Hudson, Dakota 2018: 1 0 0 0 0 0 0 0 0 0 0 0 1
Hudson, Dakota proj: 1 0 0 0 0 0 0 0 0 0 0 0 1
Kelly, Carson 2018: 25 2 0 0 0 1 0 2 1 6 0 0 29
Kelly, Carson proj: 26 4 1 0 0 1 0 0 1 5 0 0 28
Martinez, Carlos 2018: 33 8 2 0 1 0 1 2 0 11 0 0 36
Martinez, Carlos proj: 33 6 1 0 0 0 0 2 0 10 0 0 35
Martinez, Jose 2018: 405 125 22 0 15 39 3 0 2 69 0 3 449
Martinez, Jose proj: 402 125 21 1 17 42 3 1 1 75 2 2 449
Mayers, Mike 2018: 1 0 0 0 0 1 0 0 0 1 0 0 2
Mayers, Mike proj: 1 0 0 0 0 1 0 0 0 1 0 0 2
Mikolas, Miles 2018: 45 6 1 0 1 2 1 4 0 25 0 0 52
Mikolas, Miles proj: 45 5 1 0 1 2 1 5 0 24 0 0 53
Molina, Yadier 2018: 356 98 17 0 15 21 6 0 7 53 4 2 390
Molina, Yadier proj: 355 101 19 0 8 26 4 2 3 39 3 2 390
Munoz, Yairo 2018: 208 59 12 0 6 20 1 0 1 54 5 5 230
Munoz, Yairo proj: 208 59 12 0 6 20 1 0 1 54 5 5 230
O'Neill, Tyler 2018: 67 19 2 0 3 3 2 0 1 28 2 0 73
O'Neill, Tyler proj: 67 19 2 0 3 3 2 0 1 28 2 0 73
Ozuna, Marcell 2018: 480 131 13 2 15 31 3 0 2 89 2 0 517
Ozuna, Marcell proj: 476 131 22 3 18 36 3 0 2 110 2 2 517
Pena, Francisco 2018: 110 22 2 0 2 5 1 0 1 33 1 0 117
Pena, Francisco proj: 110 24 1 0 3 5 1 1 1 35 1 0 118
Pham, Tommy 2018: 351 87 11 0 14 42 1 0 2 97 10 6 396
Pham, Tommy proj: 341 91 14 2 15 47 2 1 5 101 12 5 396
Poncedeleon, Daniel 2018: 6 0 0 0 0 0 0 0 0 2 0 0 6
Poncedeleon, Daniel proj: 6 0 0 0 0 0 0 0 0 2 0 0 6
Reyes, Alex 2018: 1 0 0 0 0 0 0 0 0 1 0 0 1
Reyes, Alex proj: 1 0 0 0 0 0 0 0 0 0 0 0 1
Ross, Tyson 2018: 1 0 0 0 0 0 0 0 0 0 0 0 1
Ross, Tyson proj: 1 0 0 0 0 0 0 0 0 0 0 0 1
Shreve, Chasen 2018: 1 0 0 0 0 0 0 0 0 1 0 0 1
Shreve, Chasen proj: 1 0 0 0 0 0 0 0 0 1 0 0 1
Voit, Luke 2018: 11 2 0 0 1 2 0 0 0 4 0 0 13
Voit, Luke proj: 12 3 1 0 0 1 0 0 0 3 0 0 13
Wacha, Michael 2018: 25 2 0 0 0 1 0 6 0 9 0 0 32
Wacha, Michael proj: 27 2 0 0 0 1 0 3 0 13 0 0 31
Wainwright, Adam 2018: 6 0 0 0 0 0 0 0 0 4 0 0 6
Wainwright, Adam proj: 5 1 0 0 0 0 0 0 0 2 0 0 5
Weaver, Luke 2018: 36 6 0 0 0 1 0 7 0 14 0 0 44
Weaver, Luke proj: 37 8 0 0 0 1 0 6 0 15 0 0 44
Wisdom, Patrick 2018: 12 4 0 0 1 2 0 0 0 2 0 0 14
Wisdom, Patrick proj: 12 4 0 0 1 2 0 0 0 2 0 0 14
Wong, Kolten 2018: 292 70 15 2 8 24 2 5 13 50 4 3 336
Wong, Kolten proj: 300 76 14 3 6 24 2 2 8 52 9 3 336
2018 TEAM TOTALS: 4288 1074 189 8 161 415 35 36 57 1041 49 26 4833
PROJECTED: 4300 1128 205 21 144 414 32 38 48 1054 61 29 4832
difference: -12 -54 -16 -13 +17 +1 +3 -2 +9 -13 -12 -3 +1
Man AB H 2B 3B HR BB SF SH HBP SO SB CS PA


Assorted Team Stats:
Stat Actual Projected
Batting Average: .250 .262
Slugging Average: .411 .420
Walks (per PA): .086 .086
SOs (per PA): .215 .218
On-Base Average: .320 .329
Power Factor: 1.64 1.6
OPS: .731 .749
TOP Runs (to date): 564 591

Runs differential:
Actual TOP 27 less than Projected TOP.




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This page was last modified on Tuesday, 21 August 2018, at 7:11 am Pacific Time.