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STL "Expected" Batting Results, 2017


About These Stats:

The form of "projection" used is very simple: each man's career numbers are pro-rated by his actual number of appearances to date this season; those data, labelled "proj:" are shown along with the man's actual stats from this year to date. At the bottom of the Table, each set of lines—"projected" and actual—is separately summed to get Team Totals for each dataset.

Note that "career to date" includes each man's stats for the current year: "to date" is literally correct. For veteran players, that matters little, but for rookies or players with litle prior major-league experience, it means that the "projection" will perforce nearly or exactly match the actual stats to date. That seems like the best way to deal with newly arrived players' stats.

Note that owing to rounding in the pro-rating process, projected total PA (plate appearances) may occasionally differ by 1.

Below the player/team table is a smaller table showing a few key team "rate" stats (such as batting average) actual and projected.

The Actual Data:

Through games of Sunday, 1 October 2017.
All results are from true, unadjusted data.

Handedness Key:   + R   * L   # S

(You can also look up the stat definitions.)

Batters, listed in alphabetical order:
Each name is a click-on link to that man's career stats.

(or see the data for Pitching)


Man AB H 2B 3B HR BB SF SH HBP SO SB CS PA
Adams, Matt 2017: 48 14 2 0 1 4 1 0 0 17 0 0 53
Adams, Matt proj: 49 13 3 0 2 3 0 0 0 12 0 0 52
Bader, Harrison 2017: 85 20 3 0 3 5 1 0 1 24 2 1 92
Bader, Harrison proj: 85 20 3 0 3 5 1 0 1 24 2 1 92
Brebbia, John 2017: 1 0 0 0 0 0 0 0 0 0 0 0 1
Brebbia, John proj: 1 0 0 0 0 0 0 0 0 0 0 0 1
Carpenter, Matt 2017: 497 120 31 2 23 109 5 2 9 125 2 1 622
Carpenter, Matt proj: 526 146 38 4 17 81 6 2 7 113 3 3 622
Cecil, Brett 2017: 1 0 0 0 0 0 0 0 0 0 0 0 1
Cecil, Brett proj: 1 0 0 0 0 0 0 0 0 1 0 0 1
DeJong, Paul 2017: 417 119 26 1 25 21 1 0 4 124 1 0 443
DeJong, Paul proj: 417 119 26 1 25 21 1 0 4 124 1 0 443
Diaz, Aledmys 2017: 286 74 17 0 7 13 1 1 0 42 4 1 301
Diaz, Aledmys proj: 273 77 18 1 9 21 3 1 3 40 3 2 301
Flaherty, Jack 2017: 6 0 0 0 0 0 0 0 0 2 0 0 6
Flaherty, Jack proj: 6 0 0 0 0 0 0 0 0 2 0 0 6
Fowler, Dexter 2017: 420 111 22 9 18 63 4 0 4 101 7 3 491
Fowler, Dexter proj: 419 112 22 8 10 62 2 4 4 108 14 6 491
Fryer, Eric 2017: 71 11 3 0 0 11 0 0 1 18 0 0 83
Fryer, Eric proj: 73 17 3 0 0 9 0 0 0 18 0 1 82
Gant, John 2017: 3 0 0 0 0 0 0 0 0 0 0 0 3
Gant, John proj: 2 0 0 0 0 0 0 1 0 0 0 0 3
Garcia, Greg 2017: 241 61 9 2 2 37 1 5 6 64 2 1 290
Garcia, Greg proj: 242 62 12 1 3 38 1 3 6 59 1 1 290
Gonzales, Marco 2017: 1 1 0 0 0 0 0 0 0 0 0 0 1
Gonzales, Marco proj: 1 0 0 0 0 0 0 0 0 0 0 0 1
Grichuk, Randal 2017: 412 98 25 3 22 26 2 0 2 133 6 1 442
Grichuk, Randal proj: 412 102 26 4 21 26 1 0 3 132 5 3 442
Gyorko, Jedd 2017: 426 116 21 2 20 47 7 0 1 105 6 2 481
Gyorko, Jedd proj: 438 107 18 1 20 37 4 0 3 109 2 1 482
Huffman, Chad 2017: 14 4 0 1 0 1 0 0 0 6 0 0 15
Huffman, Chad proj: 13 3 0 0 0 1 0 0 0 5 0 0 14
Kelly, Carson 2017: 69 12 3 0 0 5 0 0 1 11 0 0 75
Kelly, Carson proj: 69 12 3 0 0 4 0 0 2 11 0 0 75
Leake, Mike 2017: 47 8 1 0 0 3 0 5 0 15 0 0 55
Leake, Mike proj: 49 10 2 0 1 2 0 5 0 19 0 0 56
Lynn, Lance 2017: 54 4 2 0 0 1 0 5 1 25 0 0 61
Lynn, Lance proj: 52 4 1 0 0 2 0 7 0 29 0 0 61
Lyons, Tyler 2017: 1 0 0 0 0 1 0 0 0 1 0 0 2
Lyons, Tyler proj: 2 0 0 0 0 0 0 0 0 1 0 0 2
Martinez, Carlos 2017: 62 11 3 0 0 1 0 5 1 19 0 0 69
Martinez, Carlos proj: 62 12 2 0 0 1 0 5 1 20 0 0 69
Martinez, Jose 2017: 272 84 13 1 14 32 2 1 0 60 4 0 307
Martinez, Jose proj: 272 86 13 1 13 32 2 1 0 58 4 0 307
Mejia, Alex 2017: 46 5 0 0 1 2 0 1 0 13 0 0 49
Mejia, Alex proj: 46 5 0 0 1 2 0 1 0 13 0 0 49
Molina, Yadier 2017: 501 137 27 1 18 28 9 1 4 74 9 4 543
Molina, Yadier proj: 494 140 27 1 10 37 5 3 4 53 5 3 543
Nicasio, Juan 2017: 1 0 0 0 0 0 0 0 0 0 0 0 1
Nicasio, Juan proj: 1 0 0 0 0 0 0 0 0 0 0 0 1
Peralta, Jhonny 2017: 54 11 0 0 0 4 0 0 0 13 0 0 58
Peralta, Jhonny proj: 52 14 3 0 2 5 0 0 0 11 0 0 57
Pham, Tommy 2017: 444 136 22 2 23 71 3 2 10 117 25 7 530
Pham, Tommy proj: 452 127 21 4 22 66 2 2 8 138 17 5 530
Piscotty, Stephen 2017: 341 80 16 1 9 52 3 0 5 87 3 6 401
Piscotty, Stephen proj: 355 95 20 2 12 38 2 0 6 85 4 4 401
Rosario, Alberto 2017: 3 0 0 0 0 0 0 0 0 1 0 0 3
Rosario, Alberto proj: 3 0 0 0 0 0 0 0 0 0 0 0 3
Sierra, Magneuris 2017: 60 19 0 0 0 4 0 0 0 14 2 2 64
Sierra, Magneuris proj: 60 19 0 0 0 4 0 0 0 14 2 2 64
Socolovich, Miguel 2017: 1 0 0 0 0 0 0 0 0 0 0 0 1
Socolovich, Miguel proj: 1 0 0 0 0 0 0 0 0 0 0 0 1
Valera, Breyvic 2017: 10 1 0 0 0 1 0 0 0 0 0 0 11
Valera, Breyvic proj: 10 1 0 0 0 1 0 0 0 0 0 0 11
Voit, Luke 2017: 114 28 9 0 4 7 0 0 3 31 0 0 124
Voit, Luke proj: 114 28 9 0 4 7 0 0 3 31 0 0 124
Wacha, Michael 2017: 46 2 0 0 0 1 1 7 0 22 0 0 55
Wacha, Michael proj: 48 4 0 0 0 2 0 5 0 23 0 0 55
Wainwright, Adam 2017: 42 11 2 0 2 1 0 7 0 15 0 0 50
Wainwright, Adam proj: 45 9 2 0 1 2 0 4 0 14 0 0 51
Weaver, Luke 2017: 19 3 0 0 0 1 0 3 0 9 0 0 23
Weaver, Luke proj: 20 5 0 0 0 1 0 2 0 8 0 0 23
Wong, Kolten 2017: 354 101 27 3 4 41 3 1 12 60 8 2 411
Wong, Kolten proj: 368 94 17 4 7 30 3 1 9 63 12 3 411
2017 TEAM TOTALS: 5470 1402 284 28 196 593 44 46 65 1348 81 31 6218
PROJECTED: 5533 1443 289 32 183 540 33 47 64 1338 75 35 6217
difference: -63 -41 -5 -4 +13 +53 +11 -1 +1 +10 +6 -4 +1
Man AB H 2B 3B HR BB SF SH HBP SO SB CS PA


Assorted Team Stats:
Stat Actual Projected
Batting Average: .256 .261
Slugging Average: .426 .424
Walks (per PA): .095 .087
SOs (per PA): .217 .215
On-Base Average: .331 .329
Power Factor: 1.66 1.63
OPS: .757 .753
TOP Runs (to date): 773 763

Runs differential:
Actual TOP 10 more than Projected TOP.




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This page was last modified on Monday, 2 October 2017, at 7:16 am Pacific Time.