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STL "Expected" Batting Results, 2017


About These Stats:

The form of "projection" used is very simple: each man's career numbers are pro-rated by his actual number of appearances to date this season; those data, labelled "proj:" are shown along with the man's actual stats from this year to date. At the bottom of the Table, each set of lines—"projected" and actual—is separately summed to get Team Totals for each dataset.

Note that "career to date" includes each man's stats for the current year: "to date" is literally correct. For veteran players, that matters little, but for rookies or players with litle prior major-league experience, it means that the "projection" will perforce nearly or exactly match the actual stats to date. That seems like the best way to deal with newly arrived players' stats.

Note that owing to rounding in the pro-rating process, projected total PA (plate appearances) may occasionally differ by 1.

Below the player/team table is a smaller table showing a few key team "rate" stats (such as batting average) actual and projected.

The Actual Data:

Through games of Tuesday, 25 April 2017.
All results are from true, unadjusted data.

Handedness Key:   + R   * L   # S

(You can also look up the stat definitions.)

Batters, listed in alphabetical order:
Each name is a click-on link to that man's career stats.

(or see the data for Pitching)


Man AB H 2B 3B HR BB SF SH HBP SO SB CS PA
Adams, Matt 2017: 29 5 0 0 0 4 0 0 0 13 0 0 33
Adams, Matt proj: 31 8 2 0 1 2 0 0 0 8 0 0 33
Carpenter, Matt 2017: 55 13 1 0 2 11 2 0 1 17 0 1 69
Carpenter, Matt proj: 59 17 4 1 2 8 1 0 1 12 0 0 69
Diaz, Aledmys 2017: 77 18 4 0 4 1 0 0 0 8 3 1 78
Diaz, Aledmys proj: 70 20 5 0 3 6 1 0 1 10 1 1 78
Fowler, Dexter 2017: 76 14 2 1 2 6 1 0 1 23 1 0 84
Fowler, Dexter proj: 72 19 4 1 2 11 0 1 1 19 2 1 85
Fryer, Eric 2017: 15 4 2 0 0 2 0 0 0 4 0 0 17
Fryer, Eric proj: 15 4 1 0 0 2 0 0 0 4 0 0 17
Garcia, Greg 2017: 34 8 3 0 0 4 0 0 1 9 1 0 39
Garcia, Greg proj: 33 8 2 0 0 5 0 0 1 7 0 0 39
Grichuk, Randal 2017: 70 16 6 0 2 4 0 0 0 24 1 0 74
Grichuk, Randal proj: 69 17 5 1 3 4 0 0 1 22 1 1 74
Gyorko, Jedd 2017: 47 16 4 1 3 5 0 0 1 13 1 0 53
Gyorko, Jedd proj: 48 12 2 0 2 4 0 0 0 12 0 0 52
Leake, Mike 2017: 9 2 0 0 0 0 0 1 0 3 0 0 10
Leake, Mike proj: 9 2 0 0 0 0 0 1 0 4 0 0 10
Lynn, Lance 2017: 7 0 0 0 0 0 0 1 0 3 0 0 8
Lynn, Lance proj: 7 1 0 0 0 0 0 1 0 4 0 0 8
Martinez, Carlos 2017: 6 0 0 0 0 0 0 0 0 1 0 0 6
Martinez, Carlos proj: 5 1 0 0 0 0 0 0 0 2 0 0 5
Martinez, Jose 2017: 32 12 2 0 1 3 0 1 0 3 1 0 36
Martinez, Jose proj: 32 13 2 0 1 3 0 1 0 3 1 0 36
Molina, Yadier 2017: 60 16 2 0 1 4 2 0 1 9 0 0 67
Molina, Yadier proj: 61 17 3 0 1 5 1 0 1 6 1 0 68
Peralta, Jhonny 2017: 25 3 0 0 0 2 0 0 0 9 0 0 27
Peralta, Jhonny proj: 24 6 1 0 1 2 0 0 0 5 0 0 26
Piscotty, Stephen 2017: 60 14 3 0 2 9 0 0 2 15 0 2 71
Piscotty, Stephen proj: 64 18 4 1 2 6 0 0 1 15 1 1 71
Wacha, Michael 2017: 6 1 0 0 0 0 0 1 0 5 0 0 7
Wacha, Michael proj: 6 1 0 0 0 0 0 1 0 3 0 0 7
Wainwright, Adam 2017: 7 3 0 0 1 0 0 0 0 0 0 0 7
Wainwright, Adam proj: 6 1 0 0 0 0 0 0 0 2 0 0 6
Wong, Kolten 2017: 52 12 4 1 1 7 0 1 1 7 2 0 61
Wong, Kolten proj: 55 14 2 1 1 4 0 0 1 9 2 0 60
2017 TEAM TOTALS: 667 157 33 3 19 62 5 5 8 166 10 4 747
PROJECTED: 666 179 37 5 19 62 3 5 8 147 9 4 744
difference: +1 -22 -4 -2 0 0 +2 0 0 +19 +1 0 +3
Man AB H 2B 3B HR BB SF SH HBP SO SB CS PA


Assorted Team Stats:
Stat Actual Projected
Batting Average: .235 .269
Slugging Average: .379 .425
Walks (per PA): .083 .083
SOs (per PA): .222 .197
On-Base Average: .304 .335
Power Factor: 1.61 1.58
OPS: .683 .760
TOP Runs (to date): 77 93

Runs differential:
Actual TOP 16 less than Projected TOP.




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This page was last modified on Wednesday, 26 April 2017, at 6:55 am Pacific Time.