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Baseball team and player performance examined realistically and accurately.

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STL "Expected" Batting Results, 2017


About These Stats:

The form of "projection" used is very simple: each man's career numbers are pro-rated by his actual number of appearances to date this season; those data, labelled "proj:" are shown along with the man's actual stats from this year to date. At the bottom of the Table, each set of lines—"projected" and actual—is separately summed to get Team Totals for each dataset.

Note that "career to date" includes each man's stats for the current year: "to date" is literally correct. For veteran players, that matters little, but for rookies or players with litle prior major-league experience, it means that the "projection" will perforce nearly or exactly match the actual stats to date. That seems like the best way to deal with newly arrived players' stats.

Note that owing to rounding in the pro-rating process, projected total PA (plate appearances) may occasionally differ by 1.

Below the player/team table is a smaller table showing a few key team "rate" stats (such as batting average) actual and projected.

The Actual Data:

Through games of Monday, 24 July 2017.
All results are from true, unadjusted data.

Handedness Key:   + R   * L   # S

(You can also look up the stat definitions.)

Batters, listed in alphabetical order:
Each name is a click-on link to that man's career stats.

(or see the data for Pitching)


Man AB H 2B 3B HR BB SF SH HBP SO SB CS PA
Adams, Matt 2017: 48 14 2 0 1 4 1 0 0 17 0 0 53
Adams, Matt proj: 49 13 3 0 2 3 0 0 0 12 0 0 52
Brebbia, John 2017: 1 0 0 0 0 0 0 0 0 0 0 0 1
Brebbia, John proj: 1 0 0 0 0 0 0 0 0 0 0 0 1
Carpenter, Matt 2017: 323 80 21 1 14 66 5 1 5 72 2 1 400
Carpenter, Matt proj: 340 95 25 3 10 51 4 1 4 71 2 2 400
DeJong, Paul 2017: 174 50 13 0 12 4 1 0 0 57 0 0 179
DeJong, Paul proj: 174 50 13 0 12 4 1 0 0 57 0 0 179
Diaz, Aledmys 2017: 273 71 16 0 7 13 1 1 0 41 4 1 288
Diaz, Aledmys proj: 261 74 17 1 9 21 3 1 3 39 3 2 289
Fowler, Dexter 2017: 290 70 11 4 14 40 2 0 1 67 4 3 333
Fowler, Dexter proj: 284 76 15 5 6 42 1 3 3 74 9 4 333
Fryer, Eric 2017: 71 11 3 0 0 11 0 0 1 18 0 0 83
Fryer, Eric proj: 73 17 3 0 0 9 0 0 0 18 0 1 82
Gant, John 2017: 1 0 0 0 0 0 0 0 0 0 0 0 1
Gant, John proj: 1 0 0 0 0 0 0 0 0 0 0 0 1
Garcia, Greg 2017: 139 32 5 0 2 22 0 4 4 34 2 0 169
Garcia, Greg proj: 141 35 7 0 2 23 0 2 4 32 1 0 170
Gonzales, Marco 2017: 1 1 0 0 0 0 0 0 0 0 0 0 1
Gonzales, Marco proj: 1 0 0 0 0 0 0 0 0 0 0 0 1
Grichuk, Randal 2017: 238 54 16 0 13 17 1 0 1 78 5 1 257
Grichuk, Randal proj: 239 59 16 2 12 15 1 0 2 77 3 2 257
Gyorko, Jedd 2017: 310 88 17 2 14 34 6 0 1 75 6 0 351
Gyorko, Jedd proj: 320 78 13 1 15 26 3 0 2 79 2 1 351
Huffman, Chad 2017: 14 4 0 1 0 1 0 0 0 6 0 0 15
Huffman, Chad proj: 13 3 0 0 0 1 0 0 0 5 0 0 14
Kelly, Carson 2017: 6 1 1 0 0 0 0 0 0 0 0 0 6
Kelly, Carson proj: 6 1 1 0 0 0 0 0 0 1 0 0 6
Leake, Mike 2017: 41 7 1 0 0 3 0 3 0 14 0 0 47
Leake, Mike proj: 42 8 2 0 1 1 0 4 0 16 0 0 47
Lynn, Lance 2017: 35 3 2 0 0 1 0 3 1 14 0 0 40
Lynn, Lance proj: 34 3 1 0 0 2 0 4 0 19 0 0 40
Lyons, Tyler 2017: 1 0 0 0 0 1 0 0 0 1 0 0 2
Lyons, Tyler proj: 2 0 0 0 0 0 0 0 0 1 0 0 2
Martinez, Carlos 2017: 36 6 2 0 0 0 0 4 1 9 0 0 41
Martinez, Carlos proj: 37 7 1 0 0 0 0 3 1 11 0 0 41
Martinez, Jose 2017: 130 36 6 1 6 11 1 1 0 33 1 0 143
Martinez, Jose proj: 130 38 6 1 5 12 1 1 0 30 1 0 144
Mejia, Alex 2017: 14 3 0 0 1 0 0 0 0 3 0 0 14
Mejia, Alex proj: 14 3 0 0 1 0 0 0 0 3 0 0 14
Molina, Yadier 2017: 316 85 14 0 10 15 6 1 3 49 6 4 341
Molina, Yadier proj: 310 88 17 0 6 23 3 2 3 33 3 2 341
Peralta, Jhonny 2017: 54 11 0 0 0 4 0 0 0 13 0 0 58
Peralta, Jhonny proj: 52 14 3 0 2 5 0 0 0 11 0 0 57
Pham, Tommy 2017: 247 76 12 1 14 33 2 0 4 70 13 4 286
Pham, Tommy proj: 249 68 12 3 12 32 1 0 3 82 8 3 285
Piscotty, Stephen 2017: 229 54 13 0 6 36 3 0 5 55 3 5 273
Piscotty, Stephen proj: 242 66 15 2 8 25 2 0 4 57 3 3 273
Sierra, Magneuris 2017: 52 19 0 0 0 3 0 0 0 9 2 2 55
Sierra, Magneuris proj: 52 19 0 0 0 3 0 0 0 9 2 2 55
Socolovich, Miguel 2017: 1 0 0 0 0 0 0 0 0 0 0 0 1
Socolovich, Miguel proj: 1 0 0 0 0 0 0 0 0 0 0 0 1
Voit, Luke 2017: 59 15 6 0 3 5 0 0 2 14 0 0 66
Voit, Luke proj: 59 15 6 0 3 5 0 0 2 14 0 0 66
Wacha, Michael 2017: 31 2 0 0 0 0 0 4 0 16 0 0 35
Wacha, Michael proj: 31 3 0 0 0 1 0 3 0 15 0 0 35
Wainwright, Adam 2017: 39 9 2 0 2 1 0 3 0 14 0 0 43
Wainwright, Adam proj: 38 8 2 0 1 1 0 3 0 12 0 0 42
Wong, Kolten 2017: 181 54 16 2 1 22 1 1 6 30 3 1 211
Wong, Kolten proj: 190 48 8 2 4 15 2 1 4 33 6 2 212
2017 TEAM TOTALS: 3355 856 179 12 120 347 30 26 35 809 51 22 3793
PROJECTED: 3386 889 186 20 111 320 22 28 35 811 43 24 3791
difference: -31 -33 -7 -8 +9 +27 +8 -2 0 -2 +8 -2 +2
Man AB H 2B 3B HR BB SF SH HBP SO SB CS PA


Assorted Team Stats:
Stat Actual Projected
Batting Average: .255 .263
Slugging Average: .423 .428
Walks (per PA): .091 .084
SOs (per PA): .213 .214
On-Base Average: .326 .328
Power Factor: 1.66 1.63
OPS: .749 .756
TOP Runs (to date): 460 465

Runs differential:
Actual TOP 5 less than Projected TOP.




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This page was last modified on Tuesday, 25 July 2017, at 7:06 am Pacific Time.