Owing to the screen size of your device, you may obtain a better viewing experience by rotating your device a quarter-turn (to get the so-called "panorama" screen view).
owlcroft logo
An Owlcroft Company web site
Click here to email us.

The Owlcroft Baseball-Analysis Site

Baseball team and player performance examined realistically and accurately.

Search this site, or just roll your cursor over the colored boxes below the pictures.

  Advertisement:


  Advertisement:


STL "Expected" Pitching Results, 2019


About These Stats:

The form of "projection" used is very simple: each man's career numbers are pro-rated by his actual number of batters faced to date this season; those data, labelled "proj:" are shown along with the man's actual stats from this year to date. At the bottom of the Table, each set of lines—"projected" and actual—is separately summed to get Team Totals for each dataset.

Note that "career to date" includes each man's stats for the current year: "to date" is literally correct. For veteran players, that matters little, but for rookies or players with litle prior major-league experience, it means that the "projection" will perforce nearly or exactly match the actual stats to date. That seems like the best way to deal with newly arrived players' stats.

Note that owing to rounding in the pro-rating process, projected total BFP (batters faced) may occasionally differ by 1.

Below the player/team table is a smaller table showing a few key team "rate" stats (such as batting average) actual and projected.

The Actual Data:

Through games of Tuesday, 18 June 2019.
All results are from true, unadjusted data.

Handedness Key:   + R   * L

(You can also look up the stat definitions.)

Pitchers, listed in alphabetical order:
Each name is a click-on link to that man's career stats.

(or see the data for Batting)


Man AB H 2B 3B HR BB SF SH HBP SO SB CS BFP
Brebbia, John 2019: 136 27 6 0 4 13 0 0 2 44 1 0 151
Brebbia, John proj: 137 28 7 1 5 11 1 1 2 41 2 1 152
Cabrera, Genesis 2019: 48 15 3 0 2 6 0 1 1 8 0 0 56
Cabrera, Genesis proj: 48 15 3 0 2 6 0 1 1 8 0 0 56
Flaherty, Jack 2019: 300 69 11 1 15 26 2 3 2 89 0 1 333
Flaherty, Jack proj: 295 64 10 1 12 30 2 2 4 93 1 1 333
Gallegos, Giovanny 2019: 112 19 4 0 4 6 1 0 1 47 1 1 120
Gallegos, Giovanny proj: 111 24 5 0 4 7 1 1 0 38 1 1 120
Gant, John 2019: 131 20 4 0 3 9 0 0 0 36 1 0 140
Gant, John proj: 123 28 6 1 3 15 1 1 1 29 2 0 141
Gregerson, Luke 2019: 26 11 2 0 0 1 0 0 0 2 0 1 27
Gregerson, Luke proj: 25 5 1 0 1 2 0 0 0 7 1 0 27
Gyorko, Jedd 2019: 1 0 0 0 0 0 0 0 0 1 0 0 1
Gyorko, Jedd proj: 1 0 0 0 0 0 0 0 0 0 0 0 1
Helsley, Ryan 2019: 35 5 1 1 2 5 0 1 0 12 1 0 41
Helsley, Ryan proj: 35 5 1 1 2 5 0 1 0 12 1 0 41
Hicks, Jordan 2019: 84 15 3 0 1 11 0 0 1 27 0 0 96
Hicks, Jordan proj: 81 16 2 0 1 12 0 0 2 21 1 0 95
Hudson, Dakota 2019: 307 84 15 0 9 36 2 1 2 54 2 0 348
Hudson, Dakota proj: 302 77 14 0 7 40 3 1 2 55 1 0 348
Leone, Dominic 2019: 86 24 6 0 5 11 0 1 0 27 0 0 98
Leone, Dominic proj: 87 22 5 1 3 9 1 0 1 24 1 1 98
Martinez, Carlos 2019: 39 7 2 0 1 4 1 1 1 11 0 0 46
Martinez, Carlos proj: 41 10 2 0 1 4 0 0 1 11 0 0 46
Mayers, Mike 2019: 35 10 2 1 2 5 0 0 1 8 0 0 41
Mayers, Mike proj: 36 12 3 0 2 3 1 0 0 8 0 0 40
Mikolas, Miles 2019: 326 87 15 5 14 15 1 2 4 61 2 2 348
Mikolas, Miles proj: 322 82 12 2 9 17 2 3 4 60 2 1 348
Miller, Andrew 2019: 87 22 1 0 5 11 0 0 4 34 1 0 102
Miller, Andrew proj: 88 21 4 0 2 11 1 1 2 28 2 0 103
Ponce de Leon, Daniel 2019: 30 4 0 0 1 7 0 0 0 10 0 0 37
Ponce de Leon, Daniel proj: 32 6 1 0 1 4 0 0 0 9 0 0 36
Reyes, Alex 2019: 10 2 0 0 1 6 1 0 0 1 0 0 17
Reyes, Alex proj: 14 3 0 0 0 2 0 0 0 4 0 0 16
Wacha, Michael 2019: 236 69 14 1 14 35 5 2 1 56 4 0 279
Wacha, Michael proj: 250 63 13 1 7 23 2 2 1 58 3 1 278
Wainwright, Adam 2019: 259 68 18 1 9 31 3 5 4 61 1 1 302
Wainwright, Adam proj: 275 69 15 1 6 20 2 3 2 61 2 1 302
Webb, Tyler 2019: 82 15 3 1 3 13 2 2 2 21 0 0 101
Webb, Tyler proj: 85 20 4 0 4 12 1 1 1 20 0 0 100
2019 TEAM TOTALS: 2370 573 110 11 95 251 18 19 26 610 14 6 2684
PROJECTED: 2388 570 108 9 72 233 18 18 24 587 20 7 2681
difference: -18 +3 +2 +2 +23 +18 0 +1 +2 +23 -6 -1 +3
Man AB H 2B 3B HR BB SF SH HBP SO SB CS BFP


Assorted Team Stats:
Stat Actual Projected
Batting Average: .242 .239
Slugging Average: .418 .382
Walks (per PA): .094 .087
SOs (per PA): .227 .219
On-Base Average: .317 .308
Power Factor: 1.73 1.6
OPS: .734 .690
TPP Runs (to date): 315 284

Runs differential:
Actual TPP 31 more than Projected TPP.




  Advertisement:


  Advertisement:



Want detailed, careful, unhysterical analysis of the effects of "Performance-Enhancing Drugs" in baseball? Click here to visit the Steroids & Baseball web site.

All content copyright © 2002 - 2019 by The Owlcroft Company.

This web page is strictly compliant with the W3C (World Wide Web Consortium) Extensible HyperText Markup Language (XHTML) Protocol v1.0 (Transitional) and the W3C Cascading Style Sheets (CSS) Protocol v3 — because we care about interoperability. Click on the logos below to test us!



This page was last modified on Wednesday, 19 June 2019, at 6:58 am Pacific Time.