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TAM "Expected" Pitching Results, 2018


About These Stats:

The form of "projection" used is very simple: each man's career numbers are pro-rated by his actual number of batters faced to date this season; those data, labelled "proj:" are shown along with the man's actual stats from this year to date. At the bottom of the Table, each set of lines—"projected" and actual—is separately summed to get Team Totals for each dataset.

Note that "career to date" includes each man's stats for the current year: "to date" is literally correct. For veteran players, that matters little, but for rookies or players with litle prior major-league experience, it means that the "projection" will perforce nearly or exactly match the actual stats to date. That seems like the best way to deal with newly arrived players' stats.

Note that owing to rounding in the pro-rating process, projected total BFP (batters faced) may occasionally differ by 1.

Below the player/team table is a smaller table showing a few key team "rate" stats (such as batting average) actual and projected.

The Actual Data:

Through games of Wednesday, 25 April 2018.
All results are from true, unadjusted data.

Handedness Key:   + R   * L

(You can also look up the stat definitions.)

Pitchers, listed in alphabetical order:
Each name is a click-on link to that man's career stats.

(or see the data for Batting)


Man AB H 2B 3B HR BB SF SH HBP SO SB CS BFP
Alvarado, Jose 2018: 39 7 0 0 0 4 0 0 0 14 0 0 43
Alvarado, Jose proj: 39 8 1 0 0 3 0 1 0 11 1 0 43
Andriese, Matt 2018: 53 15 5 0 1 2 0 0 0 15 1 0 55
Andriese, Matt proj: 51 14 3 0 2 3 0 0 0 11 1 0 54
Archer, Chris 2018: 108 30 10 0 5 10 1 0 1 29 1 1 120
Archer, Chris proj: 109 26 5 0 3 9 1 0 1 31 2 1 120
Chirinos, Yonny 2018: 88 19 3 1 2 7 3 0 3 21 0 0 101
Chirinos, Yonny proj: 88 19 3 1 2 7 3 0 3 21 0 0 101
Colome, Alex 2018: 39 14 4 0 1 6 0 0 0 9 0 0 45
Colome, Alex proj: 40 10 1 0 1 4 1 0 0 10 0 0 45
Faria, Jacob 2018: 83 20 7 0 3 14 1 0 1 20 2 0 99
Faria, Jacob proj: 87 20 4 0 3 10 1 0 1 23 1 1 99
Hu, Chih-Wei 2018: 11 3 0 0 1 1 0 0 0 2 0 0 12
Hu, Chih-Wei proj: 11 2 0 0 1 1 0 0 0 3 0 0 12
Kittredge, Andrew 2018: 42 13 4 0 2 3 0 1 0 5 0 0 46
Kittredge, Andrew proj: 41 11 3 0 2 4 0 1 0 8 0 0 46
Pruitt, Austin 2018: 56 14 3 0 2 5 1 1 0 8 0 0 63
Pruitt, Austin proj: 58 17 4 0 2 4 0 0 1 11 1 0 63
Robertson, Daniel 2018: 3 0 0 0 0 0 0 0 0 0 0 0 3
Robertson, Daniel proj: 3 0 0 0 0 0 0 0 0 0 0 0 3
Roe, Chaz 2018: 29 6 1 0 2 4 0 0 1 11 0 2 34
Roe, Chaz proj: 29 7 1 1 1 4 0 0 0 9 0 0 33
Romo, Sergio 2018: 24 7 0 0 1 6 0 1 0 9 2 0 31
Romo, Sergio proj: 29 6 1 0 1 2 0 0 0 9 1 0 31
Snell, Blake 2018: 98 18 4 0 3 10 1 1 0 32 1 0 110
Snell, Blake proj: 96 23 5 0 2 12 0 1 0 26 1 1 109
Venters, Jonny 2018: 1 0 0 0 0 0 0 0 0 0 0 0 1
Venters, Jonny proj: 1 0 0 0 0 0 0 0 0 0 0 0 1
Weber, Ryan 2018: 2 1 1 0 0 1 1 0 0 0 1 0 4
Weber, Ryan proj: 4 1 0 0 0 0 0 0 0 1 0 0 4
Wood, Hunter 2018: 11 4 0 0 0 1 0 0 0 1 0 0 12
Wood, Hunter proj: 11 4 0 0 0 1 0 0 0 1 0 0 12
Yarbrough, Ryan 2018: 60 12 5 0 1 10 0 0 2 10 2 0 72
Yarbrough, Ryan proj: 60 12 5 0 1 10 0 0 2 10 2 0 72
2018 TEAM TOTALS: 747 183 47 1 24 84 8 4 8 186 10 3 851
PROJECTED: 757 180 36 2 21 74 6 3 8 185 10 3 848
difference: -10 +3 +11 -1 +3 +10 +2 +1 0 +1 0 0 +3
Man AB H 2B 3B HR BB SF SH HBP SO SB CS BFP


Assorted Team Stats:
Stat Actual Projected
Batting Average: .245 .238
Slugging Average: .407 .374
Walks (per PA): .099 .087
SOs (per PA): .219 .217
On-Base Average: .323 .309
Power Factor: 1.66 1.57
OPS: .730 .683
TPP Runs (to date): 98 88

Runs differential:
Actual TPP 10 more than Projected TPP.




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This page was last modified on Thursday, 26 April 2018, at 6:53 am Pacific Time.