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Baseball team and player performance examined realistically and accurately.

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TAM "Expected" Pitching Results, 2018


About These Stats:

The form of "projection" used is very simple: each man's career numbers are pro-rated by his actual number of batters faced to date this season; those data, labelled "proj:" are shown along with the man's actual stats from this year to date. At the bottom of the Table, each set of lines—"projected" and actual—is separately summed to get Team Totals for each dataset.

Note that "career to date" includes each man's stats for the current year: "to date" is literally correct. For veteran players, that matters little, but for rookies or players with litle prior major-league experience, it means that the "projection" will perforce nearly or exactly match the actual stats to date. That seems like the best way to deal with newly arrived players' stats.

Note that owing to rounding in the pro-rating process, projected total BFP (batters faced) may occasionally differ by 1.

Below the player/team table is a smaller table showing a few key team "rate" stats (such as batting average) actual and projected.

The Actual Data:

Through games of Monday, 20 August 2018.
All results are from true, unadjusted data.

Handedness Key:   + R   * L

(You can also look up the stat definitions.)

Pitchers, listed in alphabetical order:
Each name is a click-on link to that man's career stats.

(or see the data for Batting)


Man AB H 2B 3B HR BB SF SH HBP SO SB CS BFP
Alvarado, Jose 2018: 189 37 7 0 1 25 2 2 1 58 2 0 219
Alvarado, Jose proj: 192 39 7 1 1 22 2 3 1 56 3 0 220
Andriese, Matt 2018: 229 55 14 1 7 18 1 1 2 59 3 0 251
Andriese, Matt proj: 232 61 12 1 9 15 2 0 2 52 4 1 251
Archer, Chris 2018: 377 102 23 0 11 31 1 0 4 102 5 3 413
Archer, Chris proj: 374 89 16 1 11 32 2 1 3 106 6 2 412
Banda, Anthony 2018: 51 12 3 1 1 3 1 1 0 10 0 0 56
Banda, Anthony proj: 50 12 4 1 1 4 0 0 1 11 0 0 55
Beeks, Jalen 2018: 81 17 5 0 2 10 0 0 0 19 0 0 91
Beeks, Jalen proj: 80 20 7 1 2 10 0 0 1 17 0 0 91
Castillo, Diego 2018: 129 23 6 0 3 16 0 0 2 37 1 1 147
Castillo, Diego proj: 129 23 6 0 3 16 0 0 2 37 1 1 147
Chirinos, Yonny 2018: 197 51 12 1 4 15 5 0 5 44 1 0 222
Chirinos, Yonny proj: 197 51 12 1 4 15 5 0 5 44 1 0 222
Colome, Alex 2018: 88 24 6 1 1 8 1 0 0 23 1 0 97
Colome, Alex proj: 87 21 3 0 2 7 1 0 1 21 0 0 96
Eovaldi, Nathan 2018: 213 48 6 2 11 8 2 0 1 53 1 1 224
Eovaldi, Nathan proj: 204 55 10 1 5 16 1 1 1 39 1 1 223
Faria, Jake 2018: 214 51 12 0 8 28 3 0 3 46 3 0 248
Faria, Jake proj: 217 50 10 0 8 24 3 0 3 53 2 2 247
Field, Johnny 2018: 3 0 0 0 0 1 0 0 0 0 0 0 4
Field, Johnny proj: 3 0 0 0 0 1 0 0 0 0 0 0 4
Font, Wilmer 2018: 95 15 3 1 2 11 0 0 1 20 1 0 107
Font, Wilmer proj: 94 25 4 0 6 12 0 0 0 19 0 0 106
Glasnow, Tyler 2018: 62 9 3 0 3 6 0 0 0 24 5 1 68
Glasnow, Tyler proj: 58 15 4 1 2 9 0 0 1 17 3 1 68
Gomez, Carlos 2018: 1 0 0 0 0 4 0 0 0 0 0 0 5
Gomez, Carlos proj: 1 0 0 0 0 4 0 0 0 0 0 0 5
Hu, Chih-Wei 2018: 38 7 1 0 2 1 0 0 0 9 0 0 39
Hu, Chih-Wei proj: 36 6 1 0 2 2 0 0 0 9 0 0 38
Kittredge, Andrew 2018: 104 34 9 0 4 11 1 1 1 16 0 0 118
Kittredge, Andrew proj: 105 30 8 0 4 11 1 1 1 19 0 0 119
Kolarek, Adam 2018: 69 21 7 0 0 3 1 0 1 11 0 0 74
Kolarek, Adam proj: 65 19 6 0 1 5 1 1 3 10 0 1 75
Milner, Hoby 2018: 6 2 1 0 1 2 0 0 0 2 0 0 8
Milner, Hoby proj: 7 2 0 0 0 1 0 0 0 1 0 0 8
Nuno, Vidal 2018: 84 14 3 0 3 9 1 0 0 17 1 1 94
Nuno, Vidal proj: 86 22 5 0 4 6 1 0 1 18 1 0 94
Pruitt, Austin 2018: 231 61 9 2 7 14 3 1 1 38 0 1 250
Pruitt, Austin proj: 231 66 13 2 7 14 1 1 2 42 3 0 249
Robertson, Daniel 2018: 3 0 0 0 0 0 0 0 0 0 0 0 3
Robertson, Daniel proj: 3 0 0 0 0 0 0 0 0 0 0 0 3
Roe, Chaz 2018: 131 25 4 0 4 13 0 1 6 43 4 2 151
Roe, Chaz proj: 130 30 6 2 4 16 1 1 2 40 3 1 150
Romo, Sergio 2018: 203 48 6 0 6 17 2 2 2 61 6 0 226
Romo, Sergio proj: 209 44 9 1 6 13 1 2 2 64 4 1 227
Schultz, Jaime 2018: 63 10 2 0 3 12 2 0 2 23 0 2 79
Schultz, Jaime proj: 63 10 2 0 3 12 2 0 2 23 0 2 79
Snell, Blake 2018: 468 85 23 1 13 50 1 2 1 149 7 1 522
Snell, Blake proj: 461 103 23 1 12 57 1 3 0 130 6 2 522
Stanek, Ryne 2018: 181 34 7 1 6 21 0 0 0 62 0 0 202
Stanek, Ryne proj: 179 41 7 1 8 22 1 0 0 62 3 1 202
Sucre, Jesus 2018: 6 4 0 0 0 0 1 0 0 0 0 0 7
Sucre, Jesus proj: 6 3 1 0 0 1 1 0 0 0 0 0 8
Venters, Jonny 2018: 52 11 3 0 1 6 0 0 0 11 0 0 58
Venters, Jonny proj: 50 10 1 0 1 7 0 1 1 15 1 0 59
Weber, Ryan 2018: 21 5 1 1 0 2 1 0 1 1 1 1 25
Weber, Ryan proj: 23 6 1 0 1 1 0 0 0 4 0 0 24
Wood, Hunter 2018: 110 32 4 2 3 14 1 1 0 33 2 1 126
Wood, Hunter proj: 110 32 4 2 3 14 1 1 0 33 2 1 126
Yarbrough, Ryan 2018: 461 111 29 0 16 40 1 1 7 107 7 1 510
Yarbrough, Ryan proj: 461 111 29 0 16 40 1 1 7 107 7 1 510
2018 TEAM TOTALS: 4160 948 209 14 123 399 31 13 41 1078 51 16 4644
PROJECTED: 4143 996 211 17 126 409 29 17 42 1049 51 18 4640
difference: +17 -48 -2 -3 -3 -10 +2 -4 -1 +29 0 -2 +4
Man AB H 2B 3B HR BB SF SH HBP SO SB CS BFP


Assorted Team Stats:
Stat Actual Projected
Batting Average: .228 .240
Slugging Average: .374 .391
Walks (per PA): .086 .088
SOs (per PA): .232 .226
On-Base Average: .299 .312
Power Factor: 1.64 1.63
OPS: .672 .703
TPP Runs (to date): 467 505

Runs differential:
Actual TPP 38 less than Projected TPP.




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This page was last modified on Tuesday, 21 August 2018, at 7:11 am Pacific Time.