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Baseball team and player performance examined realistically and accurately.

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TAM "Expected" Pitching Results, 2017


About These Stats:

The form of "projection" used is very simple: each man's career numbers are pro-rated by his actual number of batters faced to date this season; those data, labelled "proj:" are shown along with the man's actual stats from this year to date. At the bottom of the Table, each set of lines—"projected" and actual—is separately summed to get Team Totals for each dataset.

Note that "career to date" includes each man's stats for the current year: "to date" is literally correct. For veteran players, that matters little, but for rookies or players with litle prior major-league experience, it means that the "projection" will perforce nearly or exactly match the actual stats to date. That seems like the best way to deal with newly arrived players' stats.

Note that owing to rounding in the pro-rating process, projected total BFP (batters faced) may occasionally differ by 1.

Below the player/team table is a smaller table showing a few key team "rate" stats (such as batting average) actual and projected.

The Actual Data:

Through games of Sunday, 24 September 2017.
All results are from true, unadjusted data.

Handedness Key:   + R   * L

(You can also look up the stat definitions.)

Pitchers, listed in alphabetical order:
Each name is a click-on link to that man's career stats.

(or see the data for Batting)


Man AB H 2B 3B HR BB SF SH HBP SO SB CS BFP
Alvarado, Jose 2017: 104 22 3 1 1 8 1 2 0 27 2 0 115
Alvarado, Jose proj: 104 22 3 1 1 8 1 2 0 27 2 0 115
Andriese, Matt 2017: 320 85 20 0 15 26 1 0 4 73 5 2 351
Andriese, Matt proj: 325 86 17 1 12 21 3 0 2 70 7 2 351
Archer, Chris 2017: 767 191 36 4 27 58 2 1 5 243 6 2 833
Archer, Chris proj: 754 177 30 2 22 65 5 3 6 215 12 5 833
Boxberger, Brad 2017: 97 22 3 1 4 11 1 1 1 36 3 0 111
Boxberger, Brad proj: 95 20 3 0 4 13 1 1 1 34 3 1 111
Cedeno, Xavier 2017: 12 4 0 0 1 4 0 1 0 0 0 0 17
Cedeno, Xavier proj: 15 4 1 0 0 1 0 0 0 4 0 0 16
Cishek, Steve 2017: 78 12 1 0 0 6 0 0 2 23 0 0 86
Cishek, Steve proj: 76 17 3 0 1 8 1 1 1 22 1 0 87
Cobb, Alex 2017: 689 175 36 1 22 44 1 2 6 128 14 4 742
Cobb, Alex proj: 676 166 32 2 17 52 4 3 7 146 18 3 742
Colome, Alex 2017: 242 55 11 1 4 23 5 3 3 57 1 0 276
Colome, Alex proj: 248 60 8 0 5 22 3 1 2 59 1 1 276
De Leon, Jose 2017: 12 4 1 0 1 3 0 0 0 2 2 0 15
De Leon, Jose proj: 12 4 1 0 1 2 0 0 0 3 0 0 14
Diaz, Jumbo 2017: 118 32 8 1 4 15 2 1 0 28 3 0 136
Diaz, Jumbo proj: 121 29 6 1 5 13 1 1 1 33 2 0 137
Faria, Jacob 2017: 304 67 13 1 9 29 4 1 5 82 3 4 343
Faria, Jacob proj: 304 67 13 1 9 29 4 1 5 82 3 4 343
Farquhar, Danny 2017: 122 28 3 0 2 22 4 2 4 33 1 0 154
Farquhar, Danny proj: 135 32 6 0 4 15 1 1 2 41 1 1 154
Garton, Ryan 2017: 42 13 3 0 3 5 0 1 0 9 1 0 48
Garton, Ryan proj: 44 12 2 0 2 3 0 0 0 9 0 0 47
Hu, Chih-Wei 2017: 31 4 1 0 1 4 1 0 0 9 1 0 36
Hu, Chih-Wei proj: 31 4 1 0 1 4 1 0 0 9 1 0 36
Hunter, Tommy 2017: 205 40 8 1 6 12 0 0 0 62 4 1 217
Hunter, Tommy proj: 202 53 9 1 8 12 1 1 1 34 3 1 217
Jennings, Dan 2017: 60 17 1 0 2 12 0 0 0 10 1 1 72
Jennings, Dan proj: 63 16 2 1 1 8 1 0 0 13 1 0 72
Kittredge, Andrew 2017: 50 11 2 0 2 5 0 1 0 11 0 0 56
Kittredge, Andrew proj: 50 11 2 0 2 5 0 1 0 11 0 0 56
Kolarek, Adam 2017: 31 9 2 0 2 4 0 1 4 4 0 1 40
Kolarek, Adam proj: 31 9 2 0 2 4 0 1 4 4 0 1 40
Marks, Justin 2017: 6 2 0 0 1 1 0 0 0 1 0 0 7
Marks, Justin proj: 6 1 0 0 0 1 0 0 0 1 0 0 7
Moreno, Diego 2017: 23 6 2 0 1 2 0 0 1 6 1 0 26
Moreno, Diego proj: 23 5 2 0 1 2 0 0 1 5 1 0 26
Odorizzi, Jake 2017: 520 115 20 2 30 60 7 2 2 123 7 3 591
Odorizzi, Jake proj: 534 126 25 4 20 46 5 2 3 128 6 4 590
Pruitt, Austin 2017: 338 101 23 2 11 20 0 1 5 66 8 0 364
Pruitt, Austin proj: 338 101 23 2 11 20 0 1 5 66 8 0 364
Ramirez, Erasmo 2017: 262 66 15 0 10 16 2 1 1 55 3 0 282
Ramirez, Erasmo proj: 257 64 12 0 10 19 2 1 3 53 3 1 282
Roe, Chaz 2017: 15 2 1 0 0 2 0 0 0 6 0 0 17
Roe, Chaz proj: 15 4 1 0 0 2 0 0 0 4 0 0 17
Romo, Sergio 2017: 101 18 2 0 2 6 1 0 1 26 4 0 109
Romo, Sergio proj: 101 21 4 0 3 6 0 1 1 31 2 1 109
Snell, Blake 2017: 452 107 26 2 14 55 1 4 0 105 4 2 512
Snell, Blake proj: 448 112 24 2 11 59 2 3 0 114 5 3 512
Stanek, Ryne 2017: 73 25 4 0 6 11 1 0 0 25 4 1 85
Stanek, Ryne proj: 73 25 4 0 6 11 1 0 0 25 4 1 85
Sucre, Jesus 2017: 4 2 2 0 0 2 1 0 0 0 0 0 7
Sucre, Jesus proj: 6 3 1 0 0 1 0 0 0 0 0 0 7
Whitley, Chase 2017: 213 48 15 0 4 16 2 1 3 42 3 0 235
Whitley, Chase proj: 216 58 12 1 6 14 1 1 3 44 4 2 235
2017 TEAM TOTALS: 5291 1283 262 17 185 482 37 26 47 1292 81 21 5883
PROJECTED: 5303 1309 249 19 165 466 38 26 48 1287 88 31 5881
difference: -12 -26 +13 -2 +20 +16 -1 0 -1 +5 -7 -10 +2
Man AB H 2B 3B HR BB SF SH HBP SO SB CS BFP


Assorted Team Stats:
Stat Actual Projected
Batting Average: .242 .247
Slugging Average: .403 .394
Walks (per PA): .082 .079
SOs (per PA): .220 .219
On-Base Average: .308 .310
Power Factor: 1.66 1.6
OPS: .711 .704
TPP Runs (to date): 658 647

Runs differential:
Actual TPP 11 more than Projected TPP.




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This page was last modified on Monday, 25 September 2017, at 7:16 am Pacific Time.