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TAM "Expected" Pitching Results, 2018


About These Stats:

The form of "projection" used is very simple: each man's career numbers are pro-rated by his actual number of batters faced to date this season; those data, labelled "proj:" are shown along with the man's actual stats from this year to date. At the bottom of the Table, each set of lines—"projected" and actual—is separately summed to get Team Totals for each dataset.

Note that "career to date" includes each man's stats for the current year: "to date" is literally correct. For veteran players, that matters little, but for rookies or players with litle prior major-league experience, it means that the "projection" will perforce nearly or exactly match the actual stats to date. That seems like the best way to deal with newly arrived players' stats.

Note that owing to rounding in the pro-rating process, projected total BFP (batters faced) may occasionally differ by 1.

Below the player/team table is a smaller table showing a few key team "rate" stats (such as batting average) actual and projected.

The Actual Data:

Through games of Saturday, 23 June 2018.
All results are from true, unadjusted data.

Handedness Key:   + R   * L

(You can also look up the stat definitions.)

Pitchers, listed in alphabetical order:
Each name is a click-on link to that man's career stats.

(or see the data for Batting)


Man AB H 2B 3B HR BB SF SH HBP SO SB CS BFP
Alvarado, Jose 2018: 113 24 4 0 1 15 2 1 1 34 2 0 132
Alvarado, Jose proj: 116 25 4 1 1 12 2 2 1 33 2 0 133
Andriese, Matt 2018: 169 41 12 1 4 9 1 0 2 42 2 0 181
Andriese, Matt proj: 168 44 9 0 6 11 1 0 1 37 3 1 181
Archer, Chris 2018: 291 76 19 0 9 26 1 0 3 76 5 3 321
Archer, Chris proj: 291 69 12 1 8 25 2 1 2 82 5 2 321
Banda, Anthony 2018: 51 12 3 1 1 3 1 1 0 10 0 0 56
Banda, Anthony proj: 50 12 4 1 1 4 0 0 1 11 0 0 55
Castillo, Diego 2018: 33 5 0 0 0 3 0 0 0 12 0 1 36
Castillo, Diego proj: 33 5 0 0 0 3 0 0 0 12 0 1 36
Chirinos, Yonny 2018: 98 25 4 1 2 9 4 0 4 24 0 0 115
Chirinos, Yonny proj: 98 25 4 1 2 9 4 0 4 24 0 0 115
Colome, Alex 2018: 88 24 6 1 1 8 1 0 0 23 1 0 97
Colome, Alex proj: 87 21 3 0 2 8 1 0 1 21 1 0 97
Eovaldi, Nathan 2018: 109 23 3 1 8 3 1 0 0 21 0 0 113
Eovaldi, Nathan proj: 103 28 5 1 3 8 1 1 1 19 0 0 114
Faria, Jacob 2018: 175 41 12 0 7 22 3 0 3 37 3 0 203
Faria, Jacob proj: 178 41 9 0 7 19 3 0 3 44 2 1 203
Field, Johnny 2018: 3 0 0 0 0 1 0 0 0 0 0 0 4
Field, Johnny proj: 3 0 0 0 0 1 0 0 0 0 0 0 4
Font, Wilmer 2018: 79 14 2 1 2 9 0 0 1 17 1 0 89
Font, Wilmer proj: 79 22 3 0 6 10 0 0 0 15 0 0 89
Hu, Chih-Wei 2018: 11 3 0 0 1 1 0 0 0 2 0 0 12
Hu, Chih-Wei proj: 11 2 0 0 1 1 0 0 0 3 0 0 12
Kittredge, Andrew 2018: 73 26 7 0 3 7 1 1 0 11 0 0 82
Kittredge, Andrew proj: 73 22 6 0 3 7 1 1 0 14 0 0 82
Nuno, Vidal 2018: 43 6 0 0 1 7 1 0 0 7 0 1 51
Nuno, Vidal proj: 46 12 3 0 2 3 1 0 0 10 0 0 50
Pruitt, Austin 2018: 193 48 8 2 6 10 2 1 1 30 0 1 207
Pruitt, Austin proj: 192 54 11 1 6 11 1 1 2 34 3 0 207
Robertson, Daniel 2018: 3 0 0 0 0 0 0 0 0 0 0 0 3
Robertson, Daniel proj: 3 0 0 0 0 0 0 0 0 0 0 0 3
Roe, Chaz 2018: 108 22 4 0 3 10 0 0 4 35 2 2 122
Roe, Chaz proj: 106 25 5 2 3 13 1 1 1 32 2 1 122
Romo, Sergio 2018: 117 30 5 0 4 13 1 2 2 36 5 0 135
Romo, Sergio proj: 124 26 5 0 3 8 0 1 1 38 3 1 134
Schultz, Jaime 2018: 3 0 0 0 0 0 0 0 0 3 0 0 3
Schultz, Jaime proj: 3 0 0 0 0 0 0 0 0 3 0 0 3
Snell, Blake 2018: 337 64 15 1 11 36 1 2 1 103 5 0 377
Snell, Blake proj: 332 77 17 1 9 42 1 2 0 91 4 1 377
Stanek, Ryne 2018: 77 10 3 0 2 11 0 0 0 25 0 0 88
Stanek, Ryne proj: 76 17 3 0 4 11 0 0 0 26 2 0 87
Venters, Jonny 2018: 50 10 3 0 1 6 0 0 0 11 0 0 56
Venters, Jonny proj: 48 10 1 0 1 6 0 1 1 15 1 0 56
Weber, Ryan 2018: 2 1 1 0 0 1 1 0 0 0 1 0 4
Weber, Ryan proj: 4 1 0 0 0 0 0 0 0 1 0 0 4
Wood, Hunter 2018: 11 4 0 0 0 1 0 0 0 1 0 0 12
Wood, Hunter proj: 11 4 0 0 0 1 0 0 0 1 0 0 12
Yarbrough, Ryan 2018: 279 67 16 0 10 26 1 0 3 67 7 0 309
Yarbrough, Ryan proj: 279 67 16 0 10 26 1 0 3 67 7 0 309
2018 TEAM TOTALS: 2516 576 127 9 77 237 22 8 25 627 34 8 2808
PROJECTED: 2514 609 120 9 78 239 20 11 22 633 35 8 2806
difference: +2 -33 +7 0 -1 -2 +2 -3 +3 -6 -1 0 +2
Man AB H 2B 3B HR BB SF SH HBP SO SB CS BFP


Assorted Team Stats:
Stat Actual Projected
Batting Average: .229 .242
Slugging Average: .378 .390
Walks (per PA): .084 .085
SOs (per PA): .223 .225
On-Base Average: .298 .310
Power Factor: 1.65 1.61
OPS: .677 .700
TPP Runs (to date): 287 306

Runs differential:
Actual TPP 19 less than Projected TPP.




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This page was last modified on Sunday, 24 June 2018, at 6:58 am Pacific Time.