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Baseball team and player performance examined realistically and accurately.

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TAM "Expected" Pitching Results, 2017


About These Stats:

The form of "projection" used is very simple: each man's career numbers are pro-rated by his actual number of batters faced to date this season; those data, labelled "proj:" are shown along with the man's actual stats from this year to date. At the bottom of the Table, each set of lines—"projected" and actual—is separately summed to get Team Totals for each dataset.

Note that "career to date" includes each man's stats for the current year: "to date" is literally correct. For veteran players, that matters little, but for rookies or players with litle prior major-league experience, it means that the "projection" will perforce nearly or exactly match the actual stats to date. That seems like the best way to deal with newly arrived players' stats.

Note that owing to rounding in the pro-rating process, projected total BFP (batters faced) may occasionally differ by 1.

Below the player/team table is a smaller table showing a few key team "rate" stats (such as batting average) actual and projected.

The Actual Data:

Through games of Sunday, 1 October 2017.
All results are from true, unadjusted data.

Handedness Key:   + R   * L

(You can also look up the stat definitions.)

Pitchers, listed in alphabetical order:
Each name is a click-on link to that man's career stats.

(or see the data for Batting)


Man AB H 2B 3B HR BB SF SH HBP SO SB CS BFP
Alvarado, Jose 2017: 111 24 4 1 1 9 1 2 0 29 2 0 123
Alvarado, Jose proj: 111 24 4 1 1 9 1 2 0 29 2 0 123
Andriese, Matt 2017: 341 90 22 0 16 28 1 0 4 76 5 2 374
Andriese, Matt proj: 346 92 18 1 13 22 3 0 2 74 7 2 373
Archer, Chris 2017: 784 193 37 4 27 60 2 1 5 249 6 2 852
Archer, Chris proj: 772 181 31 2 22 67 5 3 6 220 12 5 853
Boxberger, Brad 2017: 107 23 3 1 4 11 1 1 1 40 3 0 121
Boxberger, Brad proj: 103 22 3 0 4 14 1 1 1 37 3 1 120
Cedeno, Xavier 2017: 16 7 0 0 3 4 0 1 0 0 0 0 21
Cedeno, Xavier proj: 19 5 1 0 1 2 0 0 0 5 0 0 21
Cishek, Steve 2017: 85 13 1 0 0 7 0 0 2 26 0 0 94
Cishek, Steve proj: 83 18 3 0 1 8 1 1 1 24 1 1 94
Cobb, Alex 2017: 689 175 36 1 22 44 1 2 6 128 14 4 742
Cobb, Alex proj: 676 166 32 2 17 52 4 3 7 146 18 3 742
Colome, Alex 2017: 246 57 12 1 4 23 6 3 3 58 1 0 281
Colome, Alex proj: 252 61 9 0 5 22 3 1 2 60 1 1 280
De Leon, Jose 2017: 12 4 1 0 1 3 0 0 0 2 2 0 15
De Leon, Jose proj: 12 4 1 0 1 2 0 0 0 3 0 0 14
Diaz, Jumbo 2017: 118 32 8 1 4 15 2 1 0 28 3 0 136
Diaz, Jumbo proj: 121 29 6 1 5 13 1 1 1 33 2 0 137
Faria, Jacob 2017: 316 71 13 1 11 31 4 1 5 84 3 4 357
Faria, Jacob proj: 316 71 13 1 11 31 4 1 5 84 3 4 357
Farquhar, Danny 2017: 122 28 3 0 2 22 4 2 4 33 1 0 154
Farquhar, Danny proj: 135 32 6 0 4 15 1 1 2 41 1 1 154
Garton, Ryan 2017: 42 13 3 0 3 5 0 1 0 9 1 0 48
Garton, Ryan proj: 44 11 2 0 2 3 0 0 0 9 0 0 47
Hu, Chih-Wei 2017: 35 5 1 0 2 4 1 0 0 9 1 0 40
Hu, Chih-Wei proj: 35 5 1 0 2 4 1 0 0 9 1 0 40
Hunter, Tommy 2017: 213 43 8 1 6 14 0 0 1 64 4 1 228
Hunter, Tommy proj: 212 56 10 1 8 12 1 1 1 36 3 2 227
Jennings, Dan 2017: 70 18 1 0 2 12 0 0 0 13 1 1 82
Jennings, Dan proj: 72 18 3 1 1 9 1 1 0 15 1 0 83
Kittredge, Andrew 2017: 59 13 3 0 2 6 0 1 0 14 0 0 66
Kittredge, Andrew proj: 59 13 3 0 2 6 0 1 0 14 0 0 66
Kolarek, Adam 2017: 31 9 2 0 2 4 0 1 4 4 0 1 40
Kolarek, Adam proj: 31 9 2 0 2 4 0 1 4 4 0 1 40
Marks, Justin 2017: 6 2 0 0 1 1 0 0 0 1 0 0 7
Marks, Justin proj: 6 1 0 0 0 1 0 0 0 1 0 0 7
Moreno, Diego 2017: 23 6 2 0 1 2 0 0 1 6 1 0 26
Moreno, Diego proj: 23 5 2 0 1 2 0 0 1 5 1 0 26
Odorizzi, Jake 2017: 532 117 21 2 30 61 7 2 2 127 7 4 604
Odorizzi, Jake proj: 546 128 25 4 21 47 5 2 3 132 6 4 603
Pruitt, Austin 2017: 343 103 23 2 11 22 0 1 5 66 8 0 371
Pruitt, Austin proj: 343 103 23 2 11 22 0 1 5 66 8 0 371
Ramirez, Erasmo 2017: 262 66 15 0 10 16 2 1 1 55 3 0 282
Ramirez, Erasmo proj: 256 64 12 0 9 19 2 1 3 53 3 1 281
Roe, Chaz 2017: 28 4 1 0 1 3 0 0 0 12 1 0 31
Roe, Chaz proj: 27 6 1 1 1 4 0 0 0 8 0 0 31
Romo, Sergio 2017: 107 19 3 0 2 7 1 0 1 28 4 0 116
Romo, Sergio proj: 107 22 5 0 3 6 0 1 1 33 2 1 115
Snell, Blake 2017: 483 113 26 2 15 59 1 4 0 119 5 2 547
Snell, Blake proj: 478 119 25 2 12 63 2 3 0 125 6 3 546
Stanek, Ryne 2017: 82 26 4 0 6 12 1 0 0 29 4 1 95
Stanek, Ryne proj: 82 26 4 0 6 12 1 0 0 29 4 1 95
Sucre, Jesus 2017: 4 2 2 0 0 2 1 0 0 0 0 0 7
Sucre, Jesus proj: 6 3 1 0 0 1 0 0 0 0 0 0 7
Whitley, Chase 2017: 216 48 15 0 4 16 2 1 3 43 3 0 238
Whitley, Chase proj: 219 58 12 1 6 14 1 1 3 45 4 2 238
2017 TEAM TOTALS: 5483 1324 270 17 193 503 38 26 48 1352 83 22 6098
PROJECTED: 5492 1352 258 20 172 486 38 27 48 1340 89 33 6091
difference: -9 -28 +12 -3 +21 +17 0 -1 0 +12 -6 -11 +7
Man AB H 2B 3B HR BB SF SH HBP SO SB CS BFP


Assorted Team Stats:
Stat Actual Projected
Batting Average: .241 .246
Slugging Average: .403 .394
Walks (per PA): .082 .080
SOs (per PA): .222 .220
On-Base Average: .307 .310
Power Factor: 1.67 1.6
OPS: .710 .704
TPP Runs (to date): 680 669

Runs differential:
Actual TPP 11 more than Projected TPP.




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This page was last modified on Monday, 2 October 2017, at 7:15 am Pacific Time.