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Baseball team and player performance examined realistically and accurately.

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TAM "Expected" Pitching Results, 2018


About These Stats:

The form of "projection" used is very simple: each man's career numbers are pro-rated by his actual number of batters faced to date this season; those data, labelled "proj:" are shown along with the man's actual stats from this year to date. At the bottom of the Table, each set of lines—"projected" and actual—is separately summed to get Team Totals for each dataset.

Note that "career to date" includes each man's stats for the current year: "to date" is literally correct. For veteran players, that matters little, but for rookies or players with litle prior major-league experience, it means that the "projection" will perforce nearly or exactly match the actual stats to date. That seems like the best way to deal with newly arrived players' stats.

Note that owing to rounding in the pro-rating process, projected total BFP (batters faced) may occasionally differ by 1.

Below the player/team table is a smaller table showing a few key team "rate" stats (such as batting average) actual and projected.

The Actual Data:

Through games of Sunday, 30 September 2018.
All results are from true, unadjusted data.

Handedness Key:   + R   * L

(You can also look up the stat definitions.)

Pitchers, listed in alphabetical order:
Each name is a click-on link to that man's career stats.

(or see the data for Batting)


Man AB H 2B 3B HR BB SF SH HBP SO SB CS BFP
Alvarado, Jose 2018: 229 42 10 1 1 29 2 2 1 80 2 0 263
Alvarado, Jose proj: 232 45 10 1 1 26 2 3 1 74 3 0 264
Andriese, Matt 2018: 229 55 14 1 7 18 1 1 2 59 3 0 251
Andriese, Matt proj: 232 62 13 1 9 16 2 0 1 51 5 1 251
Archer, Chris 2018: 377 102 23 0 11 31 1 0 4 102 5 3 413
Archer, Chris proj: 374 89 16 1 11 32 2 1 3 106 6 2 412
Banda, Anthony 2018: 51 12 3 1 1 3 1 1 0 10 0 0 56
Banda, Anthony proj: 50 12 4 1 1 4 0 0 1 11 0 0 55
Beeks, Jalen 2018: 165 41 9 0 5 20 1 1 2 37 0 0 189
Beeks, Jalen proj: 164 44 11 1 5 20 1 1 3 36 0 0 189
Castillo, Diego 2018: 202 36 7 0 6 18 0 0 2 65 1 2 222
Castillo, Diego proj: 202 36 7 0 6 18 0 0 2 65 1 2 222
Chirinos, Yonny 2018: 331 84 16 2 7 25 7 2 5 75 1 0 370
Chirinos, Yonny proj: 331 84 16 2 7 25 7 2 5 75 1 0 370
Colome, Alex 2018: 88 24 6 1 1 8 1 0 0 23 1 0 97
Colome, Alex proj: 87 21 3 0 2 7 1 0 1 22 0 0 96
Eovaldi, Nathan 2018: 213 48 6 2 11 8 2 0 1 53 1 1 224
Eovaldi, Nathan proj: 204 55 10 1 5 16 1 1 1 39 1 1 223
Faria, Jake 2018: 242 60 14 2 9 33 3 0 3 50 3 1 281
Faria, Jake proj: 246 58 12 1 9 28 3 0 4 59 3 2 281
Field, Johnny 2018: 3 0 0 0 0 1 0 0 0 0 0 0 4
Field, Johnny proj: 3 0 0 0 0 1 0 0 0 0 0 0 4
Font, Wilmer 2018: 95 15 3 1 2 11 0 0 1 20 1 0 107
Font, Wilmer proj: 94 25 4 0 6 12 0 0 0 19 0 0 106
Glasnow, Tyler 2018: 202 42 7 0 10 19 1 0 3 64 13 2 225
Glasnow, Tyler proj: 193 49 11 2 8 28 1 1 2 55 12 3 225
Gomez, Carlos 2018: 1 0 0 0 0 4 0 0 0 0 0 0 5
Gomez, Carlos proj: 1 0 0 0 0 4 0 0 0 0 0 0 5
Hu, Chih-Wei 2018: 47 7 1 0 2 3 0 0 0 12 0 0 50
Hu, Chih-Wei proj: 46 7 1 0 2 4 1 0 0 12 1 0 51
Kittredge, Andrew 2018: 160 54 12 1 7 17 2 1 1 30 0 0 181
Kittredge, Andrew proj: 160 49 11 1 7 17 1 1 1 32 0 0 180
Kolarek, Adam 2018: 134 38 12 0 0 5 1 0 1 19 0 0 141
Kolarek, Adam proj: 129 37 11 0 2 7 1 1 4 18 0 1 142
Milner, Hoby 2018: 11 3 1 0 2 2 0 0 0 4 0 0 13
Milner, Hoby proj: 11 3 1 0 0 2 0 0 0 2 0 0 13
Nuno, Vidal 2018: 121 24 4 0 5 10 1 0 2 29 1 1 134
Nuno, Vidal proj: 122 32 7 0 5 9 1 0 1 26 1 1 133
Pruitt, Austin 2018: 269 72 10 3 7 16 4 1 1 42 2 1 291
Pruitt, Austin proj: 269 77 15 2 8 17 2 1 3 47 4 0 292
Robertson, Daniel 2018: 3 0 0 0 0 0 0 0 0 0 0 0 3
Robertson, Daniel proj: 3 0 0 0 0 0 0 0 0 0 0 0 3
Roe, Chaz 2018: 178 35 7 0 6 16 0 1 8 53 9 2 203
Roe, Chaz proj: 176 40 8 2 5 21 2 1 3 52 5 2 203
Romo, Sergio 2018: 258 65 7 0 11 20 2 2 2 75 6 0 284
Romo, Sergio proj: 262 55 11 1 7 16 1 2 3 80 5 2 284
Schultz, Jaime 2018: 103 18 5 0 6 17 2 0 3 35 0 2 125
Schultz, Jaime proj: 103 18 5 0 6 17 2 0 3 35 0 2 125
Snell, Blake 2018: 630 112 27 1 16 64 3 2 1 221 13 4 700
Snell, Blake proj: 620 135 30 2 15 74 3 3 0 186 10 4 700
Stanek, Ryne 2018: 235 45 9 1 8 27 0 0 1 81 3 3 263
Stanek, Ryne proj: 233 52 10 1 10 29 1 0 1 81 5 3 264
Sucre, Jesus 2018: 6 4 0 0 0 0 1 0 0 0 0 0 7
Sucre, Jesus proj: 6 3 1 0 0 1 1 0 0 0 0 0 8
Venters, Jonny 2018: 52 11 3 0 1 6 0 0 0 11 0 0 58
Venters, Jonny proj: 50 10 1 0 1 7 0 1 1 15 1 0 59
Weber, Ryan 2018: 21 5 1 1 0 2 1 0 1 1 1 1 25
Weber, Ryan proj: 23 6 1 0 1 1 0 0 0 4 0 0 24
Wood, Hunter 2018: 159 42 4 2 4 18 1 1 0 42 2 1 179
Wood, Hunter proj: 159 42 4 2 4 18 1 1 0 42 2 1 179
Yarbrough, Ryan 2018: 568 140 41 0 18 50 1 1 8 128 8 2 628
Yarbrough, Ryan proj: 568 140 41 0 18 50 1 1 8 128 8 2 628
2018 TEAM TOTALS: 5383 1236 262 20 164 501 39 16 53 1421 76 26 5992
PROJECTED: 5353 1286 275 22 161 527 38 21 52 1372 74 29 5991
difference: +30 -50 -13 -2 +3 -26 +1 -5 +1 +49 +2 -3 +1
Man AB H 2B 3B HR BB SF SH HBP SO SB CS BFP


Assorted Team Stats:
Stat Actual Projected
Batting Average: .230 .240
Slugging Average: .377 .390
Walks (per PA): .084 .088
SOs (per PA): .237 .229
On-Base Average: .299 .311
Power Factor: 1.64 1.62
OPS: .676 .701
TPP Runs (to date): 610 649

Runs differential:
Actual TPP 39 less than Projected TPP.




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This page was last modified on Monday, 1 October 2018, at 7:06 am Pacific Time.