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TAM "Expected" Pitching Results, 2019


About These Stats:

The form of "projection" used is very simple: each man's career numbers are pro-rated by his actual number of batters faced to date this season; those data, labelled "proj:" are shown along with the man's actual stats from this year to date. At the bottom of the Table, each set of lines—"projected" and actual—is separately summed to get Team Totals for each dataset.

Note that "career to date" includes each man's stats for the current year: "to date" is literally correct. For veteran players, that matters little, but for rookies or players with litle prior major-league experience, it means that the "projection" will perforce nearly or exactly match the actual stats to date. That seems like the best way to deal with newly arrived players' stats.

Note that owing to rounding in the pro-rating process, projected total BFP (batters faced) may occasionally differ by 1.

Below the player/team table is a smaller table showing a few key team "rate" stats (such as batting average) actual and projected.

The Actual Data:

Through games of Sunday, 21 April 2019.
All results are from true, unadjusted data.

Handedness Key:   + R   * L

(You can also look up the stat definitions.)

Pitchers, listed in alphabetical order:
Each name is a click-on link to that man's career stats.

(or see the data for Batting)


Man AB H 2B 3B HR BB SF SH HBP SO SB CS BFP
Alvarado, Jose 2019: 38 7 1 0 0 6 2 1 0 17 0 0 47
Alvarado, Jose proj: 41 8 2 0 0 5 1 1 0 14 0 0 48
Beeks, Jalen 2019: 58 18 7 0 1 6 1 1 0 13 1 0 66
Beeks, Jalen proj: 58 16 5 0 2 7 0 0 1 13 0 0 66
Castillo, Diego 2019: 44 9 1 0 2 4 0 0 0 15 1 0 48
Castillo, Diego proj: 44 8 1 0 1 4 0 0 0 14 0 0 48
Chirinos, Yonny 2019: 66 12 3 0 2 4 0 0 0 19 0 1 70
Chirinos, Yonny proj: 63 15 3 0 1 5 1 0 1 15 0 0 70
Faria, Jake 2019: 6 1 1 0 0 1 0 0 0 1 0 0 7
Faria, Jake proj: 6 1 0 0 0 1 0 0 0 1 0 0 7
Font, Wilmer 2019: 39 11 4 0 2 4 0 0 0 14 1 0 43
Font, Wilmer proj: 38 10 2 0 3 5 0 0 0 8 0 0 43
Glasnow, Tyler 2019: 105 21 1 0 2 6 0 0 0 29 6 2 111
Glasnow, Tyler proj: 96 24 5 1 4 13 0 1 1 27 6 2 111
Kolarek, Adam 2019: 36 10 2 1 0 3 0 0 1 5 0 0 40
Kolarek, Adam proj: 36 10 3 0 0 2 0 0 1 5 0 0 39
Morton, Charlie 2019: 95 19 4 0 2 12 0 0 3 34 1 1 110
Morton, Charlie proj: 97 25 5 1 2 10 1 1 2 21 2 1 111
Pagan, Emilio 2019: 11 0 0 0 0 1 1 0 0 4 0 0 13
Pagan, Emilio proj: 12 3 0 0 1 1 0 0 0 3 0 0 13
Roe, Chaz 2019: 25 7 2 0 1 4 0 0 0 7 0 0 29
Roe, Chaz proj: 25 6 1 0 1 3 0 0 0 7 1 0 28
Sadler, Casey 2019: 6 2 0 0 0 0 0 0 0 0 0 0 6
Sadler, Casey proj: 5 2 1 0 0 1 0 0 0 1 0 0 6
Snell, Blake 2019: 85 15 2 0 4 4 0 0 0 36 1 3 89
Snell, Blake proj: 79 17 4 0 2 9 0 0 0 24 1 1 88
Stanek, Ryne 2019: 44 8 1 0 1 3 0 0 0 13 0 0 47
Stanek, Ryne proj: 42 9 2 0 2 5 0 0 0 14 1 0 47
Wood, Hunter 2019: 23 6 0 0 0 1 0 0 0 6 1 0 24
Wood, Hunter proj: 22 6 0 0 0 2 0 0 0 6 0 0 24
Yarbrough, Ryan 2019: 46 10 2 0 2 2 0 0 1 12 0 0 49
Yarbrough, Ryan proj: 44 11 3 0 1 4 0 0 1 10 1 0 49
2019 TEAM TOTALS: 727 156 31 1 19 61 4 2 5 225 12 7 799
PROJECTED: 708 171 37 2 20 77 3 3 7 183 12 4 798
difference: +19 -15 -6 -1 -1 -16 +1 -1 -2 +42 0 +3 +1
Man AB H 2B 3B HR BB SF SH HBP SO SB CS BFP


Assorted Team Stats:
Stat Actual Projected
Batting Average: .215 .242
Slugging Average: .338 .384
Walks (per PA): .076 .096
SOs (per PA): .282 .229
On-Base Average: .278 .320
Power Factor: 1.58 1.59
OPS: .616 .704
TPP Runs (to date): 69 88

Runs differential:
Actual TPP 19 less than Projected TPP.




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This page was last modified on Monday, 22 April 2019, at 6:52 am Pacific Time.