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TAM "Expected" Pitching Results, 2017


About These Stats:

The form of "projection" used is very simple: each man's career numbers are pro-rated by his actual number of batters faced to date this season; those data, labelled "proj:" are shown along with the man's actual stats from this year to date. At the bottom of the Table, each set of lines—"projected" and actual—is separately summed to get Team Totals for each dataset.

Note that "career to date" includes each man's stats for the current year: "to date" is literally correct. For veteran players, that matters little, but for rookies or players with litle prior major-league experience, it means that the "projection" will perforce nearly or exactly match the actual stats to date. That seems like the best way to deal with newly arrived players' stats.

Note that owing to rounding in the pro-rating process, projected total BFP (batters faced) may occasionally differ by 1.

Below the player/team table is a smaller table showing a few key team "rate" stats (such as batting average) actual and projected.

The Actual Data:

Through games of Wednesday, 21 June 2017.
All results are from true, unadjusted data.

Handedness Key:   + R   * L

(You can also look up the stat definitions.)

Pitchers, listed in alphabetical order:
Each name is a click-on link to that man's career stats.

(or see the data for Batting)


Man AB H 2B 3B HR BB SF SH HBP SO SB CS BFP
Alvarado, Jose 2017: 69 16 3 1 1 6 1 2 0 14 1 0 78
Alvarado, Jose proj: 69 16 3 1 1 6 1 2 0 14 1 0 78
Andriese, Matt 2017: 236 59 14 0 10 21 1 0 3 55 3 1 261
Andriese, Matt proj: 241 63 12 0 9 16 2 0 1 52 5 1 260
Archer, Chris 2017: 371 85 19 3 9 31 1 0 3 122 3 2 406
Archer, Chris proj: 367 85 15 1 10 32 2 2 3 104 6 3 406
Cedeno, Xavier 2017: 11 4 0 0 1 4 0 1 0 0 0 0 16
Cedeno, Xavier proj: 14 4 0 0 0 1 0 0 0 4 0 0 15
Cobb, Alex 2017: 368 103 27 1 10 27 0 1 5 66 7 3 401
Cobb, Alex proj: 364 90 18 1 8 29 2 2 4 80 10 2 401
Colome, Alex 2017: 121 27 5 0 2 10 3 2 0 31 1 0 136
Colome, Alex proj: 123 30 4 0 3 10 2 1 1 30 1 1 137
De Leon, Jose 2017: 12 4 1 0 1 3 0 0 0 2 2 0 15
De Leon, Jose proj: 12 4 1 0 1 2 0 0 0 3 0 0 14
Diaz, Jumbo 2017: 92 24 7 1 2 14 1 1 0 22 3 0 108
Diaz, Jumbo proj: 96 23 5 1 3 10 1 1 1 26 2 0 109
Faria, Jacob 2017: 72 15 2 0 0 4 0 0 0 22 1 1 76
Faria, Jacob proj: 72 15 2 0 0 4 0 0 0 22 1 1 76
Farquhar, Danny 2017: 114 25 3 0 2 21 4 2 4 32 1 0 145
Farquhar, Danny proj: 127 30 6 0 4 14 1 1 2 40 1 1 145
Garton, Ryan 2017: 42 13 3 0 3 5 0 1 0 9 1 0 48
Garton, Ryan proj: 44 12 2 0 2 4 0 0 0 9 0 0 48
Hu, Chih-Wei 2017: 27 3 0 0 1 4 1 0 0 9 1 0 32
Hu, Chih-Wei proj: 27 3 0 0 1 4 1 0 0 9 1 0 32
Hunter, Tommy 2017: 78 19 5 1 2 7 0 0 0 21 3 1 85
Hunter, Tommy proj: 79 21 4 0 3 5 0 0 1 13 1 1 85
Marks, Justin 2017: 6 2 0 0 1 1 0 0 0 1 0 0 7
Marks, Justin proj: 6 1 0 0 0 1 0 0 0 1 0 0 7
Moreno, Diego 2017: 23 6 2 0 1 2 0 0 1 6 1 0 26
Moreno, Diego proj: 23 5 2 0 1 2 0 0 1 5 1 0 26
Odorizzi, Jake 2017: 259 60 13 0 15 24 3 1 1 59 4 3 288
Odorizzi, Jake proj: 262 62 13 2 9 21 2 1 2 63 3 2 288
Pruitt, Austin 2017: 129 44 8 2 2 8 0 0 3 26 6 0 140
Pruitt, Austin proj: 129 44 8 2 2 8 0 0 3 26 6 0 140
Ramirez, Erasmo 2017: 227 60 15 0 9 14 2 1 1 47 3 0 245
Ramirez, Erasmo proj: 222 56 10 0 8 17 2 1 3 45 3 1 245
Snell, Blake 2017: 163 43 8 0 6 25 0 1 0 34 1 0 189
Snell, Blake proj: 163 44 8 0 4 24 1 1 0 42 2 1 189
Stanek, Ryne 2017: 40 14 2 0 4 5 1 0 0 11 2 0 46
Stanek, Ryne proj: 40 14 2 0 4 5 1 0 0 11 2 0 46
Whitley, Chase 2017: 111 20 7 0 0 10 1 1 0 22 0 0 123
Whitley, Chase proj: 113 30 6 1 3 7 1 0 1 23 2 1 122
2017 TEAM TOTALS: 2571 646 144 9 82 246 19 14 21 611 44 11 2871
PROJECTED: 2593 652 121 9 76 222 19 12 23 622 48 15 2869
difference: -22 -6 +23 0 +6 +24 0 +2 -2 -11 -4 -4 +2
Man AB H 2B 3B HR BB SF SH HBP SO SB CS BFP


Assorted Team Stats:
Stat Actual Projected
Batting Average: .251 .251
Slugging Average: .410 .393
Walks (per PA): .086 .077
SOs (per PA): .213 .217
On-Base Average: .318 .313
Power Factor: 1.63 1.56
OPS: .728 .706
TPP Runs (to date): 333 318

Runs differential:
Actual TPP 15 more than Projected TPP.




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This page was last modified on Thursday, 22 June 2017, at 7:04 am Pacific Time.