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TAM "Expected" Pitching Results, 2017


About These Stats:

The form of "projection" used is very simple: each man's career numbers are pro-rated by his actual number of batters faced to date this season; those data, labelled "proj:" are shown along with the man's actual stats from this year to date. At the bottom of the Table, each set of lines—"projected" and actual—is separately summed to get Team Totals for each dataset.

Note that "career to date" includes each man's stats for the current year: "to date" is literally correct. For veteran players, that matters little, but for rookies or players with litle prior major-league experience, it means that the "projection" will perforce nearly or exactly match the actual stats to date. That seems like the best way to deal with newly arrived players' stats.

Note that owing to rounding in the pro-rating process, projected total BFP (batters faced) may occasionally differ by 1.

Below the player/team table is a smaller table showing a few key team "rate" stats (such as batting average) actual and projected.

The Actual Data:

Through games of Monday, 22 May 2017.
All results are from true, unadjusted data.

Handedness Key:   + R   * L

(You can also look up the stat definitions.)

Pitchers, listed in alphabetical order:
Each name is a click-on link to that man's career stats.

(or see the data for Batting)


Man AB H 2B 3B HR BB SF SH HBP SO SB CS BFP
Alvarado, Jose 2017: 29 4 0 1 0 1 1 1 0 3 0 0 32
Alvarado, Jose proj: 29 4 0 1 0 1 1 1 0 3 0 0 32
Andriese, Matt 2017: 194 47 10 0 9 19 1 0 2 47 3 1 216
Andriese, Matt proj: 200 52 9 0 7 13 2 0 1 43 4 1 216
Archer, Chris 2017: 243 55 11 2 6 24 0 0 2 77 2 0 269
Archer, Chris proj: 243 56 9 1 7 22 2 1 2 68 4 2 270
Cedeno, Xavier 2017: 11 4 0 0 1 4 0 1 0 0 0 0 16
Cedeno, Xavier proj: 14 4 0 0 0 1 0 0 0 4 0 0 15
Cobb, Alex 2017: 218 56 15 0 6 14 0 1 3 38 3 1 236
Cobb, Alex proj: 214 52 10 0 5 17 1 1 3 47 6 1 236
Colome, Alex 2017: 67 12 1 0 1 6 3 0 0 17 0 0 76
Colome, Alex proj: 69 16 2 0 2 6 1 0 1 16 0 0 77
Diaz, Jumbo 2017: 76 21 6 1 2 12 1 1 0 17 2 0 90
Diaz, Jumbo proj: 80 19 4 1 3 8 1 1 1 22 2 0 91
Farquhar, Danny 2017: 65 11 1 0 1 10 1 0 2 17 0 0 78
Farquhar, Danny proj: 69 16 3 0 2 7 0 0 1 22 1 0 77
Garton, Ryan 2017: 10 5 1 0 0 1 0 0 0 1 0 0 11
Garton, Ryan proj: 10 3 0 0 0 1 0 0 0 2 0 0 11
Hu, Chih-Wei 2017: 6 1 0 0 0 1 1 0 0 1 0 0 8
Hu, Chih-Wei proj: 6 1 0 0 0 1 1 0 0 1 0 0 8
Hunter, Tommy 2017: 30 6 1 0 0 2 0 0 0 6 1 1 32
Hunter, Tommy proj: 30 8 1 0 1 2 0 0 0 5 0 0 32
Marks, Justin 2017: 6 2 0 0 1 1 0 0 0 1 0 0 7
Marks, Justin proj: 6 1 0 0 0 1 0 0 0 1 0 0 7
Moreno, Diego 2017: 23 6 2 0 1 2 0 0 1 6 1 0 26
Moreno, Diego proj: 23 5 2 0 1 2 0 0 1 5 1 0 26
Odorizzi, Jake 2017: 153 31 10 0 8 10 2 1 1 37 2 2 167
Odorizzi, Jake proj: 152 36 8 1 5 12 1 1 1 37 2 1 167
Pruitt, Austin 2017: 95 35 7 1 2 5 0 0 3 18 5 0 103
Pruitt, Austin proj: 95 35 7 1 2 5 0 0 3 18 5 0 103
Ramirez, Erasmo 2017: 106 22 6 0 3 5 0 1 0 23 1 0 112
Ramirez, Erasmo proj: 102 25 4 0 3 8 1 1 1 21 1 0 113
Snell, Blake 2017: 163 43 8 0 6 25 0 1 0 34 1 0 189
Snell, Blake proj: 163 44 8 0 4 24 1 1 0 42 2 1 189
Stanek, Ryne 2017: 12 3 0 0 1 4 0 0 0 2 1 0 16
Stanek, Ryne proj: 12 3 0 0 1 4 0 0 0 2 1 0 16
Whitley, Chase 2017: 68 8 5 0 0 7 0 0 0 14 0 0 75
Whitley, Chase proj: 69 18 4 0 2 5 0 0 1 14 1 1 75
2017 TEAM TOTALS: 1575 372 84 5 48 153 10 7 14 359 22 5 1759
PROJECTED: 1586 398 71 5 45 140 12 7 16 373 30 7 1761
difference: -11 -26 +13 0 +3 +13 -2 0 -2 -14 -8 -2 -2
Man AB H 2B 3B HR BB SF SH HBP SO SB CS BFP


Assorted Team Stats:
Stat Actual Projected
Batting Average: .236 .251
Slugging Average: .387 .387
Walks (per PA): .087 .080
SOs (per PA): .204 .212
On-Base Average: .306 .315
Power Factor: 1.64 1.54
OPS: .694 .702
TPP Runs (to date): 188 195

Runs differential:
Actual TPP 7 less than Projected TPP.




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This page was last modified on Tuesday, 23 May 2017, at 6:59 am Pacific Time.