Owing to the screen size of your device, you may obtain a better viewing experience by rotating your device a quarter-turn (to get the so-called "panorama" screen view).
owlcroft logo
An Owlcroft Company web site
Click here to email us.

The Owlcroft Baseball-Analysis Site

Baseball team and player performance examined realistically and accurately.

Search this site, or just roll your cursor over the colored boxes below the pictures.

  Advertisement:


  Advertisement:


TEX "Expected" Pitching Results, 2018


About These Stats:

The form of "projection" used is very simple: each man's career numbers are pro-rated by his actual number of batters faced to date this season; those data, labelled "proj:" are shown along with the man's actual stats from this year to date. At the bottom of the Table, each set of lines—"projected" and actual—is separately summed to get Team Totals for each dataset.

Note that "career to date" includes each man's stats for the current year: "to date" is literally correct. For veteran players, that matters little, but for rookies or players with litle prior major-league experience, it means that the "projection" will perforce nearly or exactly match the actual stats to date. That seems like the best way to deal with newly arrived players' stats.

Note that owing to rounding in the pro-rating process, projected total BFP (batters faced) may occasionally differ by 1.

Below the player/team table is a smaller table showing a few key team "rate" stats (such as batting average) actual and projected.

The Actual Data:

Through games of Friday, 20 July 2018.
All results are from true, unadjusted data.

Handedness Key:   + R   * L

(You can also look up the stat definitions.)

Pitchers, listed in alphabetical order:
Each name is a click-on link to that man's career stats.

(or see the data for Batting)


Man AB H 2B 3B HR BB SF SH HBP SO SB CS BFP
Barnette, Tony 2018: 97 19 8 0 2 5 0 0 2 26 1 0 104
Barnette, Tony proj: 94 24 6 0 2 7 1 0 1 23 1 0 103
Bibens-Dirkx, Austin 2018: 130 36 8 0 3 9 0 2 4 26 1 1 145
Bibens-Dirkx, Austin proj: 132 36 7 0 6 9 1 1 2 21 1 0 145
Bush, Matt 2018: 90 23 8 1 3 14 2 0 2 19 1 0 108
Bush, Matt proj: 97 23 4 1 3 9 1 0 1 25 2 0 108
Chavez, Jesse 2018: 221 58 9 1 10 12 1 0 0 50 1 1 234
Chavez, Jesse proj: 212 57 10 1 8 18 1 1 1 48 2 1 233
Claudio, Alex 2018: 172 59 14 1 1 7 2 2 2 23 5 2 185
Claudio, Alex proj: 172 46 9 1 3 9 2 1 1 31 1 0 185
Colon, Bartolo 2018: 419 112 21 4 22 17 6 0 2 62 0 1 444
Colon, Bartolo proj: 407 108 21 2 13 29 3 4 2 77 3 2 445
Diekman, Jake 2018: 129 30 6 1 2 19 2 0 1 41 2 1 151
Diekman, Jake proj: 129 29 6 1 2 18 2 1 2 42 2 1 152
Fister, Doug 2018: 263 73 14 0 11 19 1 0 6 40 2 0 289
Fister, Doug proj: 267 70 13 1 7 16 2 1 3 47 1 1 289
Gallardo, Yovani 2018: 110 31 6 2 4 9 1 0 0 18 0 1 120
Gallardo, Yovani proj: 107 27 5 1 3 11 1 1 0 25 2 1 120
Gardewine, Nick 2018: 21 7 2 1 0 0 1 0 1 4 0 0 23
Gardewine, Nick proj: 20 6 1 0 0 3 0 0 0 3 1 0 23
Gearrin, Cory 2018: 14 1 0 0 0 2 0 0 0 3 2 0 16
Gearrin, Cory proj: 14 3 1 0 0 2 0 0 0 4 0 0 16
Hamels, Cole 2018: 422 106 21 2 21 40 3 0 11 109 14 1 476
Hamels, Cole proj: 434 104 22 2 13 32 2 3 4 110 11 3 475
Jepsen, Kevin 2018: 63 15 2 1 4 11 1 1 1 8 0 0 77
Jepsen, Kevin proj: 68 17 3 0 2 7 1 1 0 16 1 0 77
Jurado, Ariel 2018: 20 6 3 1 0 2 0 0 0 2 0 0 22
Jurado, Ariel proj: 20 6 3 1 0 2 0 0 0 2 0 0 22
Kela, Keone 2018: 125 25 5 1 2 12 1 1 0 41 4 0 139
Kela, Keone proj: 124 25 4 0 3 13 0 1 1 42 3 1 139
Leclerc, Jose 2018: 112 15 6 0 0 18 0 4 2 49 4 1 136
Leclerc, Jose proj: 109 17 6 0 1 24 0 1 2 42 3 1 136
Mann, Brandon 2018: 20 4 1 0 1 2 1 0 1 1 1 0 24
Mann, Brandon proj: 20 4 1 0 1 2 1 0 1 1 1 0 24
Martin, Chris 2018: 98 27 4 0 2 5 1 0 3 21 3 0 107
Martin, Chris proj: 99 30 5 0 2 6 0 0 2 21 2 0 107
Mendez, Yohander 2018: 19 8 1 0 1 2 0 0 0 1 1 0 21
Mendez, Yohander proj: 19 6 2 0 1 2 0 0 0 2 1 0 21
Minor, Mike 2018: 381 98 29 5 16 24 5 1 6 79 4 2 417
Minor, Mike proj: 380 96 23 2 12 28 3 3 3 88 4 2 417
Moore, Matt 2018: 298 99 30 2 9 32 3 1 5 54 1 0 339
Moore, Matt proj: 299 78 16 2 9 33 2 2 3 70 4 1 339
Perez, Martin 2018: 149 56 7 1 9 16 3 0 2 21 2 1 170
Perez, Martin proj: 153 44 8 1 4 14 1 1 1 24 1 1 170
Rodriguez, Ricardo 2018: 30 11 3 0 0 1 0 0 0 3 0 0 31
Rodriguez, Ricardo proj: 28 8 2 0 1 2 0 0 0 4 1 0 30
2018 TEAM TOTALS: 3403 919 208 24 123 278 34 12 51 701 49 12 3778
PROJECTED: 3404 864 178 16 96 296 24 22 30 768 48 15 3776
difference: -1 +55 +30 +8 +27 -18 +10 -10 +21 -67 +1 -3 +2
Man AB H 2B 3B HR BB SF SH HBP SO SB CS BFP


Assorted Team Stats:
Stat Actual Projected
Batting Average: .270 .254
Slugging Average: .454 .400
Walks (per PA): .074 .078
SOs (per PA): .186 .203
On-Base Average: .330 .315
Power Factor: 1.68 1.58
OPS: .784 .715
TPP Runs (to date): 496 425

Runs differential:
Actual TPP 71 more than Projected TPP.




  Advertisement:


  Advertisement:



Want detailed, careful, unhysterical analysis of the effects of "Performance-Enhancing Drugs" in baseball? Click here to visit the Steroids & Baseball web site.

All content copyright © 2002 - 2018 by The Owlcroft Company.

This web page is strictly compliant with the W3C (World Wide Web Consortium) Extensible HyperText Markup Language (XHTML) Protocol v1.0 (Transitional) and the W3C Cascading Style Sheets (CSS) Protocol v3 — because we care about interoperability. Click on the logos below to test us!



This page was last modified on Saturday, 21 July 2018, at 6:59 am Pacific Time.