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TEX "Expected" Pitching Results, 2018


About These Stats:

The form of "projection" used is very simple: each man's career numbers are pro-rated by his actual number of batters faced to date this season; those data, labelled "proj:" are shown along with the man's actual stats from this year to date. At the bottom of the Table, each set of lines—"projected" and actual—is separately summed to get Team Totals for each dataset.

Note that "career to date" includes each man's stats for the current year: "to date" is literally correct. For veteran players, that matters little, but for rookies or players with litle prior major-league experience, it means that the "projection" will perforce nearly or exactly match the actual stats to date. That seems like the best way to deal with newly arrived players' stats.

Note that owing to rounding in the pro-rating process, projected total BFP (batters faced) may occasionally differ by 1.

Below the player/team table is a smaller table showing a few key team "rate" stats (such as batting average) actual and projected.

The Actual Data:

Through games of Sunday, 30 September 2018.
All results are from true, unadjusted data.

Handedness Key:   + R   * L

(You can also look up the stat definitions.)

Pitchers, listed in alphabetical order:
Each name is a click-on link to that man's career stats.

(or see the data for Batting)


Man AB H 2B 3B HR BB SF SH HBP SO SB CS BFP
Barnette, Tony 2018: 97 19 8 0 2 5 0 0 2 26 1 0 104
Barnette, Tony proj: 94 24 6 0 2 7 1 0 1 23 1 0 103
Bibens-Dirkx, Austin 2018: 182 56 12 1 9 14 0 2 5 33 1 1 203
Bibens-Dirkx, Austin proj: 184 53 10 1 9 14 1 1 3 29 2 0 203
Bush, Matt 2018: 90 23 8 1 3 14 2 0 2 19 1 0 108
Bush, Matt proj: 97 23 4 1 3 9 1 0 1 25 2 0 108
Butler, Eddie 2018: 136 43 6 1 10 12 3 0 2 18 0 1 153
Butler, Eddie proj: 134 41 9 1 5 15 1 2 1 19 2 1 153
Chavez, Jesse 2018: 221 58 9 1 10 12 1 0 0 50 1 1 234
Chavez, Jesse proj: 213 56 10 1 8 17 2 1 1 49 2 1 234
Claudio, Alex 2018: 277 91 20 3 4 13 3 3 3 41 5 3 299
Claudio, Alex proj: 277 76 14 2 5 15 3 1 2 49 2 1 298
Colon, Bartolo 2018: 591 172 35 10 32 25 8 1 3 81 1 1 628
Colon, Bartolo proj: 576 154 31 3 19 41 4 5 3 109 4 3 629
Curtis, Zac 2018: 24 6 2 0 1 9 2 0 0 8 0 0 35
Curtis, Zac proj: 26 6 2 0 1 7 1 0 1 7 0 0 35
Diekman, Jake 2018: 144 31 7 1 2 23 2 0 3 48 2 1 172
Diekman, Jake proj: 146 33 7 1 2 21 2 1 2 48 2 1 172
Fister, Doug 2018: 263 73 14 0 11 19 1 0 6 40 2 0 289
Fister, Doug proj: 267 70 13 1 7 16 2 1 3 47 1 1 289
Gallardo, Yovani 2018: 356 99 21 5 13 43 1 1 2 56 2 2 403
Gallardo, Yovani proj: 359 92 17 2 11 37 2 3 1 82 5 2 402
Gardewine, Nick 2018: 21 7 2 1 0 0 1 0 1 4 0 0 23
Gardewine, Nick proj: 20 6 1 0 0 3 0 0 0 3 1 0 23
Gearrin, Cory 2018: 74 13 2 0 2 6 0 0 2 20 3 0 82
Gearrin, Cory proj: 71 17 3 1 1 8 0 0 2 19 2 0 81
Hamels, Cole 2018: 445 115 23 2 23 42 3 0 12 114 14 1 502
Hamels, Cole proj: 458 109 23 2 14 34 2 3 4 116 11 4 501
Hutchison, Drew 2018: 87 29 5 0 5 13 2 2 1 12 6 0 105
Hutchison, Drew proj: 94 26 6 0 4 8 1 0 1 22 3 1 104
Jepsen, Kevin 2018: 63 15 2 1 4 11 1 1 1 8 0 0 77
Jepsen, Kevin proj: 68 17 3 0 2 7 1 1 0 16 1 0 77
Jurado, Ariel 2018: 222 66 11 2 7 18 0 1 0 22 1 0 241
Jurado, Ariel proj: 222 66 11 2 7 18 0 1 0 22 1 0 241
Kela, Keone 2018: 136 28 5 1 3 14 1 1 0 44 4 0 152
Kela, Keone proj: 136 28 5 0 4 14 0 1 1 46 4 1 152
Leclerc, Jose 2018: 191 24 8 1 1 25 0 4 3 85 4 1 223
Leclerc, Jose proj: 182 26 9 0 2 36 0 2 3 73 4 1 223
Mann, Brandon 2018: 28 7 3 0 1 4 2 0 2 3 1 0 36
Mann, Brandon proj: 28 7 3 0 1 4 2 0 2 3 1 0 36
Martin, Chris 2018: 168 46 9 0 5 5 1 0 3 37 4 0 177
Martin, Chris proj: 167 49 10 1 5 8 1 0 2 35 3 0 178
Mendez, Yohander 2018: 106 28 6 0 4 15 0 0 0 18 1 0 121
Mendez, Yohander proj: 108 29 8 0 4 13 0 0 1 16 3 0 122
Minor, Mike 2018: 587 138 38 5 25 38 6 1 8 132 9 2 640
Minor, Mike proj: 584 145 35 3 19 43 5 5 4 137 7 3 641
Moore, Matt 2018: 420 128 38 2 19 41 4 1 5 86 2 0 471
Moore, Matt proj: 417 108 23 2 14 45 3 2 4 97 5 2 471
Pelham, C.D. 2018: 34 12 4 1 0 4 0 0 0 7 3 0 38
Pelham, C.D. proj: 34 12 4 1 0 4 0 0 0 7 3 0 38
Perez, Martin 2018: 353 116 16 3 16 36 5 1 2 52 2 2 397
Perez, Martin proj: 357 103 19 2 10 32 3 2 2 55 2 2 396
Rua, Ryan 2018: 3 0 0 0 0 0 0 0 0 1 0 0 3
Rua, Ryan proj: 3 0 0 0 0 0 0 0 0 1 0 0 3
Sadzeck, Connor 2018: 33 6 1 0 0 11 0 0 1 7 2 0 45
Sadzeck, Connor proj: 33 6 1 0 0 11 0 0 1 7 2 0 45
Sampson, Adrian 2018: 89 24 2 1 6 4 1 0 2 15 0 2 96
Sampson, Adrian proj: 89 26 2 1 7 4 1 0 2 14 0 2 96
Springs, Jeffrey 2018: 125 32 5 1 4 14 0 1 1 31 2 0 141
Springs, Jeffrey proj: 125 32 5 1 4 14 0 1 1 31 2 0 141
Tocci, Carlos 2018: 2 0 0 0 0 0 0 0 0 0 0 0 2
Tocci, Carlos proj: 2 0 0 0 0 0 0 0 0 0 0 0 2
2018 TEAM TOTALS: 5568 1505 322 44 222 490 50 20 72 1118 74 18 6200
PROJECTED: 5571 1440 294 29 170 505 39 33 49 1207 78 26 6197
difference: -3 +65 +28 +15 +52 -15 +11 -13 +23 -89 -4 -8 +3
Man AB H 2B 3B HR BB SF SH HBP SO SB CS BFP


Assorted Team Stats:
Stat Actual Projected
Batting Average: .270 .258
Slugging Average: .464 .413
Walks (per PA): .079 .081
SOs (per PA): .180 .195
On-Base Average: .333 .322
Power Factor: 1.71 1.6
OPS: .797 .735
TPP Runs (to date): 840 732

Runs differential:
Actual TPP 108 more than Projected TPP.




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This page was last modified on Monday, 1 October 2018, at 7:06 am Pacific Time.