Owing to the screen size of your device, you may obtain a better viewing experience by rotating your device a quarter-turn (to get the so-called "panorama" screen view).
owlcroft logo
An Owlcroft Company web site
Click here to email us.

The Owlcroft Baseball-Analysis Site

Baseball team and player performance examined realistically and accurately.

Search this site, or just roll your cursor over the colored boxes below the pictures.

  Advertisement:


  Advertisement:


TEX "Expected" Pitching Results, 2017


About These Stats:

The form of "projection" used is very simple: each man's career numbers are pro-rated by his actual number of batters faced to date this season; those data, labelled "proj:" are shown along with the man's actual stats from this year to date. At the bottom of the Table, each set of lines—"projected" and actual—is separately summed to get Team Totals for each dataset.

Note that "career to date" includes each man's stats for the current year: "to date" is literally correct. For veteran players, that matters little, but for rookies or players with litle prior major-league experience, it means that the "projection" will perforce nearly or exactly match the actual stats to date. That seems like the best way to deal with newly arrived players' stats.

Note that owing to rounding in the pro-rating process, projected total BFP (batters faced) may occasionally differ by 1.

Below the player/team table is a smaller table showing a few key team "rate" stats (such as batting average) actual and projected.

The Actual Data:

Through games of Wednesday, 21 June 2017.
All results are from true, unadjusted data.

Handedness Key:   + R   * L

(You can also look up the stat definitions.)

Pitchers, listed in alphabetical order:
Each name is a click-on link to that man's career stats.

(or see the data for Batting)


Man AB H 2B 3B HR BB SF SH HBP SO SB CS BFP
Alvarez, Dario 2017: 54 14 3 0 1 12 2 0 1 16 2 0 69
Alvarez, Dario proj: 59 17 2 0 3 7 1 0 2 20 1 0 69
Barnette, Tony 2017: 95 31 9 0 4 9 5 0 0 24 0 0 109
Barnette, Tony proj: 98 26 5 0 2 8 2 0 1 22 1 0 109
Bass, Anthony 2017: 30 14 4 0 1 0 1 0 0 1 0 0 31
Bass, Anthony proj: 28 7 2 0 1 3 0 0 0 5 1 0 31
Bibens-Dirkx, Austin 2017: 110 23 5 0 6 8 1 0 1 18 0 0 120
Bibens-Dirkx, Austin proj: 110 23 5 0 6 8 1 0 1 18 0 0 120
Bush, Matt 2017: 98 24 3 0 4 10 1 0 2 27 7 0 111
Bush, Matt proj: 101 21 3 0 3 8 1 0 1 28 3 0 111
Cashner, Andrew 2017: 260 71 12 1 5 31 2 1 2 33 5 4 296
Cashner, Andrew proj: 264 68 13 2 7 25 2 3 2 56 6 3 296
Claudio, Alex 2017: 126 29 5 0 4 7 0 0 1 19 0 0 134
Claudio, Alex proj: 124 31 6 1 3 8 1 0 1 23 0 0 134
Darvish, Yu 2017: 340 70 15 0 13 36 2 1 5 99 9 2 384
Darvish, Yu proj: 342 73 14 2 10 36 3 1 4 114 9 2 386
Dyson, Sam 2017: 79 31 5 0 6 12 0 0 0 7 2 1 91
Dyson, Sam proj: 81 22 3 0 2 8 0 1 1 17 2 0 91
Frieri, Ernesto 2017: 13 3 0 0 0 1 0 0 0 2 0 0 14
Frieri, Ernesto proj: 12 3 0 0 0 2 0 0 0 4 0 0 14
Gee, Dillon 2017: 53 17 3 0 4 6 0 0 2 10 0 1 61
Gee, Dillon proj: 55 15 3 0 2 4 0 1 1 10 1 0 61
Griffin, A.J. 2017: 152 38 7 0 12 12 2 0 1 35 1 1 167
Griffin, A.J. proj: 153 36 5 0 8 12 1 0 1 34 1 1 167
Hamels, Cole 2017: 114 25 2 1 4 12 1 0 4 15 0 1 131
Hamels, Cole proj: 120 29 6 0 4 9 1 1 1 30 3 1 132
Hauschild, Mike 2017: 36 14 2 0 5 2 0 0 1 7 1 0 39
Hauschild, Mike proj: 36 14 2 0 5 2 0 0 1 7 1 0 39
Jeffress, Jeremy 2017: 117 36 8 0 4 14 1 0 2 17 1 0 134
Jeffress, Jeremy proj: 118 31 5 0 2 13 1 1 1 26 1 1 134
Kela, Keone 2017: 95 13 1 0 3 13 0 0 1 37 2 1 109
Kela, Keone proj: 97 21 3 0 3 10 0 1 1 33 3 1 109
Leclerc, Jose 2017: 69 11 2 0 1 11 0 0 0 34 1 0 80
Leclerc, Jose proj: 66 12 5 0 1 13 1 0 0 27 1 0 80
Martinez, Nick 2017: 230 58 9 1 13 14 1 2 1 31 2 1 248
Martinez, Nick proj: 221 60 13 2 9 21 2 1 3 31 3 1 248
Perez, Martin 2017: 306 95 17 1 9 30 2 3 0 58 1 2 341
Perez, Martin proj: 307 86 17 2 7 28 2 2 2 49 2 2 341
Ross, Tyson 2017: 35 9 3 0 1 4 0 0 0 7 1 0 39
Ross, Tyson proj: 34 8 1 0 1 4 0 0 0 9 1 0 38
Scheppers, Tanner 2017: 8 2 1 0 0 2 0 0 0 2 1 0 10
Scheppers, Tanner proj: 9 2 0 0 0 1 0 0 0 2 0 0 10
2017 TEAM TOTALS: 2420 628 116 4 100 246 21 7 24 499 36 14 2718
PROJECTED: 2435 605 113 9 79 230 19 12 24 565 40 12 2720
difference: -15 +23 +3 -5 +21 +16 +2 -5 0 -66 -4 +2 -2
Man AB H 2B 3B HR BB SF SH HBP SO SB CS BFP


Assorted Team Stats:
Stat Actual Projected
Batting Average: .260 .248
Slugging Average: .435 .400
Walks (per PA): .091 .085
SOs (per PA): .184 .208
On-Base Average: .330 .316
Power Factor: 1.68 1.61
OPS: .765 .715
TPP Runs (to date): 345 309

Runs differential:
Actual TPP 36 more than Projected TPP.




  Advertisement:


  Advertisement:



Want detailed, careful, unhysterical analysis of the effects of "Performance-Enhancing Drugs" in baseball? Click here to visit the Steroids & Baseball web site.

All content copyright © 2002 - 2017 by The Owlcroft Company.

This web page is strictly compliant with the W3C (World Wide Web Consortium) Extensible HyperText Markup Language (XHTML) Protocol v1.0 (Transitional) and the W3C Cascading Style Sheets (CSS) Protocol v3 — because we care about interoperability. Click on the logos below to test us!



This page was last modified on Thursday, 22 June 2017, at 7:04 am Pacific Time.