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TEX "Expected" Pitching Results, 2017


About These Stats:

The form of "projection" used is very simple: each man's career numbers are pro-rated by his actual number of batters faced to date this season; those data, labelled "proj:" are shown along with the man's actual stats from this year to date. At the bottom of the Table, each set of lines—"projected" and actual—is separately summed to get Team Totals for each dataset.

Note that "career to date" includes each man's stats for the current year: "to date" is literally correct. For veteran players, that matters little, but for rookies or players with litle prior major-league experience, it means that the "projection" will perforce nearly or exactly match the actual stats to date. That seems like the best way to deal with newly arrived players' stats.

Note that owing to rounding in the pro-rating process, projected total BFP (batters faced) may occasionally differ by 1.

Below the player/team table is a smaller table showing a few key team "rate" stats (such as batting average) actual and projected.

The Actual Data:

Through games of Sunday, 23 July 2017.
All results are from true, unadjusted data.

Handedness Key:   + R   * L

(You can also look up the stat definitions.)

Pitchers, listed in alphabetical order:
Each name is a click-on link to that man's career stats.

(or see the data for Batting)


Man AB H 2B 3B HR BB SF SH HBP SO SB CS BFP
Alvarez, Dario 2017: 65 19 3 0 1 14 2 0 1 17 2 0 82
Alvarez, Dario proj: 70 21 2 0 4 8 1 0 2 23 1 0 81
Barnette, Tony 2017: 120 36 9 0 5 9 5 0 0 35 1 0 134
Barnette, Tony proj: 121 32 6 0 3 9 2 0 1 30 1 0 133
Bass, Anthony 2017: 30 14 4 0 1 0 1 0 0 1 0 0 31
Bass, Anthony proj: 28 7 2 0 1 3 0 0 0 5 1 0 31
Bibens-Dirkx, Austin 2017: 172 42 7 0 11 11 1 0 2 26 2 0 186
Bibens-Dirkx, Austin proj: 172 42 7 0 11 11 1 0 2 26 2 0 186
Bush, Matt 2017: 148 41 4 1 5 14 1 0 2 41 9 1 165
Bush, Matt proj: 150 34 4 0 4 11 2 0 1 41 4 0 164
Cashner, Andrew 2017: 350 90 16 1 7 41 3 1 2 47 6 4 397
Cashner, Andrew proj: 354 90 18 3 9 34 3 4 3 75 8 4 398
Claiborne, Preston 2017: 10 5 4 0 0 0 0 0 0 2 0 0 10
Claiborne, Preston proj: 9 3 1 0 0 1 0 0 0 2 0 0 10
Claudio, Alex 2017: 187 43 8 0 4 10 1 0 1 33 0 0 199
Claudio, Alex proj: 185 46 9 1 4 11 2 0 1 35 0 0 199
Darvish, Yu 2017: 490 106 23 0 18 43 3 1 5 143 16 2 542
Darvish, Yu proj: 484 105 21 2 14 49 4 1 5 161 13 2 543
Dyson, Sam 2017: 79 31 5 0 6 12 0 0 0 7 2 1 91
Dyson, Sam proj: 81 21 3 0 2 8 0 1 1 17 2 1 91
Frieri, Ernesto 2017: 24 6 1 0 0 6 0 1 0 5 0 1 31
Frieri, Ernesto proj: 27 6 1 0 1 3 0 0 1 9 1 0 31
Gee, Dillon 2017: 53 17 3 0 4 6 0 0 2 10 0 1 61
Gee, Dillon proj: 55 15 3 0 2 4 0 1 1 10 1 0 61
Griffin, A.J. 2017: 152 38 7 0 12 12 2 0 1 35 1 1 167
Griffin, A.J. proj: 153 36 5 0 8 12 1 0 1 34 1 1 167
Grilli, Jason 2017: 16 1 0 0 0 1 0 0 1 6 0 0 18
Grilli, Jason proj: 16 4 1 0 0 2 0 0 0 4 0 0 18
Hamels, Cole 2017: 231 51 6 1 8 20 1 0 6 36 0 1 258
Hamels, Cole proj: 236 56 12 1 7 17 1 2 2 60 6 2 258
Hauschild, Mike 2017: 36 14 2 0 5 2 0 0 1 7 1 0 39
Hauschild, Mike proj: 36 14 2 0 5 2 0 0 1 7 1 0 39
Jeffress, Jeremy 2017: 135 43 9 0 5 15 1 0 2 23 1 0 153
Jeffress, Jeremy proj: 135 36 6 0 2 15 1 1 2 30 1 1 154
Kela, Keone 2017: 108 15 2 0 3 14 0 0 1 43 3 1 123
Kela, Keone proj: 109 23 4 0 3 12 0 1 1 37 3 1 123
Leclerc, Jose 2017: 103 16 3 0 3 20 0 0 1 44 2 1 124
Leclerc, Jose proj: 101 18 7 0 2 22 1 0 1 39 1 1 125
Martinez, Nick 2017: 279 74 11 1 16 19 1 2 1 38 2 1 302
Martinez, Nick proj: 270 74 15 2 11 25 2 1 4 38 3 1 302
Perez, Martin 2017: 403 126 26 1 11 38 2 4 1 68 1 4 448
Perez, Martin proj: 403 113 23 2 9 37 3 3 2 64 2 2 448
Ross, Tyson 2017: 123 30 7 0 5 20 1 0 4 27 6 0 148
Ross, Tyson proj: 130 32 5 1 2 15 1 1 2 33 5 2 149
Scheppers, Tanner 2017: 17 5 2 0 0 3 0 0 1 5 1 0 21
Scheppers, Tanner proj: 18 5 1 0 1 2 0 0 0 4 0 0 20
2017 TEAM TOTALS: 3331 863 162 5 130 330 25 9 35 699 56 19 3730
PROJECTED: 3343 833 158 12 105 313 25 16 34 784 57 18 3731
difference: -12 +30 +4 -7 +25 +17 0 -7 +1 -85 -1 +1 -1
Man AB H 2B 3B HR BB SF SH HBP SO SB CS BFP


Assorted Team Stats:
Stat Actual Projected
Batting Average: .259 .249
Slugging Average: .428 .398
Walks (per PA): .088 .084
SOs (per PA): .187 .210
On-Base Average: .329 .316
Power Factor: 1.65 1.6
OPS: .757 .714
TPP Runs (to date): 467 422

Runs differential:
Actual TPP 45 more than Projected TPP.




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This page was last modified on Monday, 24 July 2017, at 7:05 am Pacific Time.