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TEX "Expected" Pitching Results, 2018


About These Stats:

The form of "projection" used is very simple: each man's career numbers are pro-rated by his actual number of batters faced to date this season; those data, labelled "proj:" are shown along with the man's actual stats from this year to date. At the bottom of the Table, each set of lines—"projected" and actual—is separately summed to get Team Totals for each dataset.

Note that "career to date" includes each man's stats for the current year: "to date" is literally correct. For veteran players, that matters little, but for rookies or players with litle prior major-league experience, it means that the "projection" will perforce nearly or exactly match the actual stats to date. That seems like the best way to deal with newly arrived players' stats.

Note that owing to rounding in the pro-rating process, projected total BFP (batters faced) may occasionally differ by 1.

Below the player/team table is a smaller table showing a few key team "rate" stats (such as batting average) actual and projected.

The Actual Data:

Through games of Monday, 17 September 2018.
All results are from true, unadjusted data.

Handedness Key:   + R   * L

(You can also look up the stat definitions.)

Pitchers, listed in alphabetical order:
Each name is a click-on link to that man's career stats.

(or see the data for Batting)


Man AB H 2B 3B HR BB SF SH HBP SO SB CS BFP
Barnette, Tony 2018: 97 19 8 0 2 5 0 0 2 26 1 0 104
Barnette, Tony proj: 94 24 6 0 2 7 1 0 1 23 1 0 103
Bibens-Dirkx, Austin 2018: 182 56 12 1 9 14 0 2 5 33 1 1 203
Bibens-Dirkx, Austin proj: 184 53 10 1 9 14 1 1 3 29 2 0 203
Bush, Matt 2018: 90 23 8 1 3 14 2 0 2 19 1 0 108
Bush, Matt proj: 97 23 4 1 3 9 1 0 1 25 2 0 108
Butler, Eddie 2018: 116 37 5 1 10 10 2 0 2 14 0 1 130
Butler, Eddie proj: 114 35 8 1 5 13 1 1 1 16 2 1 130
Chavez, Jesse 2018: 221 58 9 1 10 12 1 0 0 50 1 1 234
Chavez, Jesse proj: 212 57 10 1 8 17 2 1 1 49 2 1 233
Claudio, Alex 2018: 257 86 20 3 3 12 3 3 3 37 5 3 278
Claudio, Alex proj: 258 71 13 1 4 14 3 1 2 46 2 1 278
Colon, Bartolo 2018: 579 165 35 9 30 25 8 1 3 81 1 1 616
Colon, Bartolo proj: 565 151 30 3 18 40 4 5 3 107 4 3 617
Curtis, Zac 2018: 13 3 1 0 1 5 1 0 0 4 0 0 19
Curtis, Zac proj: 14 3 1 0 0 4 0 0 1 3 0 0 19
Diekman, Jake 2018: 144 31 7 1 2 23 2 0 3 48 2 1 172
Diekman, Jake proj: 146 33 7 1 3 21 2 1 2 48 2 1 172
Fister, Doug 2018: 263 73 14 0 11 19 1 0 6 40 2 0 289
Fister, Doug proj: 267 70 13 1 7 16 2 1 3 47 1 1 289
Gallardo, Yovani 2018: 298 82 16 5 12 36 1 1 1 48 0 2 337
Gallardo, Yovani proj: 300 76 15 2 9 31 2 3 1 69 4 2 337
Gardewine, Nick 2018: 21 7 2 1 0 0 1 0 1 4 0 0 23
Gardewine, Nick proj: 20 6 1 0 0 3 0 0 0 3 1 0 23
Gearrin, Cory 2018: 74 13 2 0 2 6 0 0 2 20 3 0 82
Gearrin, Cory proj: 71 17 3 1 1 8 0 0 2 19 2 0 81
Hamels, Cole 2018: 445 115 23 2 23 42 3 0 12 114 14 1 502
Hamels, Cole proj: 458 109 23 2 14 34 2 3 4 116 11 4 501
Hutchison, Drew 2018: 87 29 5 0 5 13 2 2 1 12 6 0 105
Hutchison, Drew proj: 94 26 6 0 4 8 1 0 1 22 3 1 104
Jepsen, Kevin 2018: 63 15 2 1 4 11 1 1 1 8 0 0 77
Jepsen, Kevin proj: 68 17 3 0 2 7 1 1 0 16 1 0 77
Jurado, Ariel 2018: 181 58 10 1 7 17 0 1 0 17 1 0 199
Jurado, Ariel proj: 181 58 10 1 7 17 0 1 0 17 1 0 199
Kela, Keone 2018: 136 28 5 1 3 14 1 1 0 44 4 0 152
Kela, Keone proj: 136 28 5 0 4 14 0 1 1 46 4 1 152
Leclerc, Jose 2018: 181 23 8 1 1 24 0 4 3 84 4 1 212
Leclerc, Jose proj: 173 25 9 0 2 34 0 2 3 71 4 1 212
Mann, Brandon 2018: 26 7 3 0 1 4 2 0 1 2 1 0 33
Mann, Brandon proj: 26 7 3 0 1 4 2 0 1 2 1 0 33
Martin, Chris 2018: 151 42 8 0 4 5 1 0 3 32 4 0 160
Martin, Chris proj: 150 45 9 0 4 7 0 0 2 31 3 0 159
Mendez, Yohander 2018: 68 15 2 0 2 9 0 0 0 11 1 0 77
Mendez, Yohander proj: 69 17 4 0 3 7 0 0 1 9 2 0 77
Minor, Mike 2018: 568 132 36 5 24 35 6 1 8 128 9 2 618
Minor, Mike proj: 564 140 33 3 19 41 5 5 4 132 7 3 619
Moore, Matt 2018: 397 122 35 2 18 39 3 1 5 81 2 0 445
Moore, Matt proj: 394 102 21 2 13 42 3 2 4 92 5 2 445
Pelham, C.D. 2018: 17 7 1 1 0 2 0 0 0 3 2 0 19
Pelham, C.D. proj: 17 7 1 1 0 2 0 0 0 3 2 0 19
Perez, Martin 2018: 331 111 15 3 16 31 5 1 2 49 2 2 370
Perez, Martin proj: 333 96 18 2 9 30 3 2 2 52 2 2 370
Rua, Ryan 2018: 3 0 0 0 0 0 0 0 0 1 0 0 3
Rua, Ryan proj: 3 0 0 0 0 0 0 0 0 1 0 0 3
Sadzeck, Connor 2018: 19 3 0 0 0 5 0 0 0 4 1 0 24
Sadzeck, Connor proj: 19 3 0 0 0 5 0 0 0 4 1 0 24
Sampson, Adrian 2018: 42 12 1 0 3 2 0 0 1 5 0 2 45
Sampson, Adrian proj: 42 14 1 0 3 2 0 0 1 5 0 1 45
Springs, Jeffrey 2018: 95 23 3 0 4 11 0 1 1 23 1 0 108
Springs, Jeffrey proj: 95 23 3 0 4 11 0 1 1 23 1 0 108
Tocci, Carlos 2018: 2 0 0 0 0 0 0 0 0 0 0 0 2
Tocci, Carlos proj: 2 0 0 0 0 0 0 0 0 0 0 0 2
2018 TEAM TOTALS: 5167 1395 296 40 210 445 46 20 68 1042 69 18 5746
PROJECTED: 5166 1336 270 24 158 462 36 32 46 1126 73 25 5742
difference: +1 +59 +26 +16 +52 -17 +10 -12 +22 -84 -4 -7 +4
Man AB H 2B 3B HR BB SF SH HBP SO SB CS BFP


Assorted Team Stats:
Stat Actual Projected
Batting Average: .270 .259
Slugging Average: .465 .412
Walks (per PA): .077 .080
SOs (per PA): .181 .196
On-Base Average: .332 .321
Power Factor: 1.72 1.59
OPS: .797 .733
TPP Runs (to date): 778 675

Runs differential:
Actual TPP 103 more than Projected TPP.




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This page was last modified on Tuesday, 18 September 2018, at 7:06 am Pacific Time.