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TEX "Expected" Pitching Results, 2017


About These Stats:

The form of "projection" used is very simple: each man's career numbers are pro-rated by his actual number of batters faced to date this season; those data, labelled "proj:" are shown along with the man's actual stats from this year to date. At the bottom of the Table, each set of lines—"projected" and actual—is separately summed to get Team Totals for each dataset.

Note that "career to date" includes each man's stats for the current year: "to date" is literally correct. For veteran players, that matters little, but for rookies or players with litle prior major-league experience, it means that the "projection" will perforce nearly or exactly match the actual stats to date. That seems like the best way to deal with newly arrived players' stats.

Note that owing to rounding in the pro-rating process, projected total BFP (batters faced) may occasionally differ by 1.

Below the player/team table is a smaller table showing a few key team "rate" stats (such as batting average) actual and projected.

The Actual Data:

Through games of Friday, 18 August 2017.
All results are from true, unadjusted data.

Handedness Key:   + R   * L

(You can also look up the stat definitions.)

Pitchers, listed in alphabetical order:
Each name is a click-on link to that man's career stats.

(or see the data for Batting)


Man AB H 2B 3B HR BB SF SH HBP SO SB CS BFP
Alvarez, Dario 2017: 65 19 3 0 1 14 2 0 1 17 2 0 82
Alvarez, Dario proj: 70 21 2 0 4 8 1 0 2 23 1 0 81
Barnette, Tony 2017: 157 43 11 0 5 13 6 0 1 46 1 0 177
Barnette, Tony proj: 159 41 8 0 4 12 3 0 2 40 2 0 176
Bass, Anthony 2017: 30 14 4 0 1 0 1 0 0 1 0 0 31
Bass, Anthony proj: 28 7 2 0 1 3 0 0 0 5 1 0 31
Bibens-Dirkx, Austin 2017: 212 53 9 1 13 16 1 0 3 30 3 0 232
Bibens-Dirkx, Austin proj: 212 53 9 1 13 16 1 0 3 30 3 0 232
Bush, Matt 2017: 187 46 5 2 5 18 1 0 2 53 9 1 208
Bush, Matt proj: 190 42 6 1 4 15 2 0 1 53 5 0 208
Cashner, Andrew 2017: 442 113 18 1 10 48 3 2 6 61 7 4 501
Cashner, Andrew proj: 447 114 22 3 11 42 3 5 4 93 10 4 501
Claiborne, Preston 2017: 10 5 4 0 0 0 0 0 0 2 0 0 10
Claiborne, Preston proj: 9 3 1 0 0 1 0 0 0 2 0 0 10
Claudio, Alex 2017: 237 55 10 0 5 13 1 0 1 46 0 0 252
Claudio, Alex proj: 234 58 11 1 5 14 2 0 1 46 0 0 251
Darvish, Yu 2017: 510 115 25 1 20 45 3 1 5 148 16 2 564
Darvish, Yu proj: 504 110 21 3 15 51 4 1 5 167 14 2 565
Dyson, Sam 2017: 79 31 5 0 6 12 0 0 0 7 2 1 91
Dyson, Sam proj: 81 21 3 0 2 8 0 1 1 17 2 1 91
Frieri, Ernesto 2017: 24 6 1 0 0 6 0 1 0 5 0 1 31
Frieri, Ernesto proj: 27 6 1 0 1 3 0 0 1 9 1 0 31
Gee, Dillon 2017: 53 17 3 0 4 6 0 0 2 10 0 1 61
Gee, Dillon proj: 55 15 3 0 2 4 0 1 1 10 1 0 61
Griffin, A.J. 2017: 208 49 11 0 15 18 2 0 1 46 1 1 229
Griffin, A.J. proj: 209 49 8 1 11 17 1 0 2 47 1 1 229
Grilli, Jason 2017: 45 10 3 0 2 7 0 0 1 16 0 1 53
Grilli, Jason proj: 46 11 2 0 1 5 0 0 1 12 0 0 52
Hamels, Cole 2017: 356 78 15 2 11 31 1 0 8 62 3 4 396
Hamels, Cole proj: 362 86 18 1 11 26 2 3 3 91 9 3 396
Hauschild, Mike 2017: 36 14 2 0 5 2 0 0 1 7 1 0 39
Hauschild, Mike proj: 36 14 2 0 5 2 0 0 1 7 1 0 39
Jeffress, Jeremy 2017: 161 49 10 0 8 19 1 0 2 29 1 0 183
Jeffress, Jeremy proj: 160 42 7 1 3 18 1 2 2 36 1 1 183
Kela, Keone 2017: 117 15 2 0 3 16 0 0 1 46 3 1 134
Kela, Keone proj: 119 25 4 0 3 13 0 1 1 40 3 1 134
Leclerc, Jose 2017: 128 20 5 0 4 26 0 0 1 51 2 1 155
Leclerc, Jose proj: 126 22 8 0 3 27 1 0 1 46 1 1 155
Marinez, Jhan 2017: 8 2 2 0 0 1 0 0 1 2 0 0 10
Marinez, Jhan proj: 9 2 1 0 0 1 0 0 0 2 0 0 10
Martinez, Nick 2017: 320 87 13 1 20 23 1 2 2 43 3 1 348
Martinez, Nick proj: 311 86 17 2 13 29 2 1 5 44 4 2 348
Nicholas, Brett 2017: 7 5 3 0 0 0 1 0 0 0 0 0 8
Nicholas, Brett proj: 7 5 3 0 0 0 1 0 0 0 0 0 8
Perez, Martin 2017: 521 160 31 1 18 45 2 4 3 83 1 5 575
Perez, Martin proj: 518 146 29 3 13 46 4 4 3 81 3 3 575
Rodriguez, Ricky 2017: 12 4 0 0 1 1 0 0 0 3 0 0 13
Rodriguez, Ricky proj: 12 3 1 0 0 1 0 0 0 1 0 0 13
Ross, Tyson 2017: 160 39 9 0 6 31 1 0 6 31 9 0 198
Ross, Tyson proj: 173 43 7 1 3 20 1 1 2 44 7 2 197
Scheppers, Tanner 2017: 17 5 2 0 0 3 0 0 1 5 1 0 21
Scheppers, Tanner proj: 18 5 1 0 1 2 0 0 0 4 0 0 20
2017 TEAM TOTALS: 4102 1054 206 9 163 414 27 10 49 850 65 24 4602
PROJECTED: 4122 1030 197 18 129 384 29 20 42 950 70 21 4597
difference: -20 +24 +9 -9 +34 +30 -2 -10 +7 -100 -5 +3 +5
Man AB H 2B 3B HR BB SF SH HBP SO SB CS BFP


Assorted Team Stats:
Stat Actual Projected
Batting Average: .257 .250
Slugging Average: .431 .400
Walks (per PA): .090 .083
SOs (per PA): .185 .206
On-Base Average: .330 .317
Power Factor: 1.68 1.6
OPS: .760 .717
TPP Runs (to date): 579 524

Runs differential:
Actual TPP 55 more than Projected TPP.




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This page was last modified on Saturday, 19 August 2017, at 7:11 am Pacific Time.