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TEX "Expected" Pitching Results, 2017


About These Stats:

The form of "projection" used is very simple: each man's career numbers are pro-rated by his actual number of batters faced to date this season; those data, labelled "proj:" are shown along with the man's actual stats from this year to date. At the bottom of the Table, each set of lines—"projected" and actual—is separately summed to get Team Totals for each dataset.

Note that "career to date" includes each man's stats for the current year: "to date" is literally correct. For veteran players, that matters little, but for rookies or players with litle prior major-league experience, it means that the "projection" will perforce nearly or exactly match the actual stats to date. That seems like the best way to deal with newly arrived players' stats.

Note that owing to rounding in the pro-rating process, projected total BFP (batters faced) may occasionally differ by 1.

Below the player/team table is a smaller table showing a few key team "rate" stats (such as batting average) actual and projected.

The Actual Data:

Through games of Monday, 22 May 2017.
All results are from true, unadjusted data.

Handedness Key:   + R   * L

(You can also look up the stat definitions.)

Pitchers, listed in alphabetical order:
Each name is a click-on link to that man's career stats.

(or see the data for Batting)


Man AB H 2B 3B HR BB SF SH HBP SO SB CS BFP
Alvarez, Dario 2017: 39 11 2 0 1 6 2 0 0 11 1 0 47
Alvarez, Dario proj: 41 12 1 0 3 4 1 0 1 14 1 0 47
Barnette, Tony 2017: 63 20 7 0 1 4 4 0 0 12 0 0 71
Barnette, Tony proj: 64 17 3 0 1 4 1 0 1 14 1 0 70
Bass, Anthony 2017: 30 14 4 0 1 0 1 0 0 1 0 0 31
Bass, Anthony proj: 28 7 2 0 1 3 0 0 0 5 1 0 31
Bibens-Dirkx, Austin 2017: 19 2 0 0 0 2 0 0 1 3 0 0 22
Bibens-Dirkx, Austin proj: 19 2 0 0 0 2 0 0 1 3 0 0 22
Bush, Matt 2017: 59 11 1 0 1 5 1 0 1 21 3 0 66
Bush, Matt proj: 60 12 2 0 1 4 1 0 0 18 1 0 65
Cashner, Andrew 2017: 143 33 6 1 4 21 0 0 2 19 3 4 166
Cashner, Andrew proj: 148 38 7 1 4 14 1 2 1 32 4 2 166
Claudio, Alex 2017: 72 16 3 0 3 4 0 0 0 9 0 0 76
Claudio, Alex proj: 70 18 3 0 2 4 1 0 0 13 0 0 75
Darvish, Yu 2017: 226 46 8 0 8 27 2 1 0 68 4 1 256
Darvish, Yu proj: 228 49 9 1 6 24 2 0 2 77 6 1 256
Dyson, Sam 2017: 63 23 4 0 4 8 0 0 0 5 2 1 71
Dyson, Sam proj: 64 17 2 0 1 6 0 1 1 13 2 0 72
Griffin, A.J. 2017: 145 35 6 0 11 10 2 0 1 33 1 1 158
Griffin, A.J. proj: 144 34 5 0 7 11 1 0 1 32 1 1 157
Hamels, Cole 2017: 114 25 2 1 4 12 1 0 4 15 0 1 131
Hamels, Cole proj: 120 29 6 0 4 9 1 1 1 30 3 1 132
Hauschild, Mike 2017: 36 14 2 0 5 2 0 0 1 7 1 0 39
Hauschild, Mike proj: 36 14 2 0 5 2 0 0 1 7 1 0 39
Jeffress, Jeremy 2017: 69 24 3 0 2 8 1 0 0 8 0 0 78
Jeffress, Jeremy proj: 69 18 3 0 1 8 0 1 1 16 1 0 79
Kela, Keone 2017: 54 7 1 0 2 8 0 0 1 21 0 1 63
Kela, Keone proj: 56 12 2 0 2 6 0 0 1 19 1 0 63
Leclerc, Jose 2017: 42 6 1 0 0 5 0 0 0 18 1 0 47
Leclerc, Jose proj: 39 7 3 0 0 7 0 0 0 14 0 0 46
Martinez, Nick 2017: 140 37 6 0 7 7 0 1 1 19 0 0 149
Martinez, Nick proj: 133 37 8 1 5 13 1 0 2 19 2 1 149
Perez, Martin 2017: 200 59 10 1 4 21 1 3 0 36 0 1 225
Perez, Martin proj: 202 56 11 1 4 19 2 2 1 32 1 1 226
2017 TEAM TOTALS: 1514 383 66 3 58 150 15 5 12 306 16 10 1696
PROJECTED: 1521 379 69 4 47 140 12 7 15 358 26 7 1695
difference: -7 +4 -3 -1 +11 +10 +3 -2 -3 -52 -10 +3 +1
Man AB H 2B 3B HR BB SF SH HBP SO SB CS BFP


Assorted Team Stats:
Stat Actual Projected
Batting Average: .253 .249
Slugging Average: .415 .393
Walks (per PA): .088 .083
SOs (per PA): .180 .211
On-Base Average: .321 .315
Power Factor: 1.64 1.58
OPS: .737 .708
TPP Runs (to date): 200 189

Runs differential:
Actual TPP 11 more than Projected TPP.




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This page was last modified on Tuesday, 23 May 2017, at 6:59 am Pacific Time.