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TEX "Expected" Pitching Results, 2018


About These Stats:

The form of "projection" used is very simple: each man's career numbers are pro-rated by his actual number of batters faced to date this season; those data, labelled "proj:" are shown along with the man's actual stats from this year to date. At the bottom of the Table, each set of lines—"projected" and actual—is separately summed to get Team Totals for each dataset.

Note that "career to date" includes each man's stats for the current year: "to date" is literally correct. For veteran players, that matters little, but for rookies or players with litle prior major-league experience, it means that the "projection" will perforce nearly or exactly match the actual stats to date. That seems like the best way to deal with newly arrived players' stats.

Note that owing to rounding in the pro-rating process, projected total BFP (batters faced) may occasionally differ by 1.

Below the player/team table is a smaller table showing a few key team "rate" stats (such as batting average) actual and projected.

The Actual Data:

Through games of Tuesday, 22 May 2018.
All results are from true, unadjusted data.

Handedness Key:   + R   * L

(You can also look up the stat definitions.)

Pitchers, listed in alphabetical order:
Each name is a click-on link to that man's career stats.

(or see the data for Batting)


Man AB H 2B 3B HR BB SF SH HBP SO SB CS BFP
Barnette, Tony 2018: 45 7 3 0 1 3 0 0 2 13 0 0 50
Barnette, Tony proj: 45 11 2 0 1 4 1 0 1 11 0 0 51
Bush, Matt 2018: 47 10 5 1 2 10 2 0 1 13 1 0 60
Bush, Matt proj: 54 12 2 0 1 5 1 0 1 15 1 0 61
Chavez, Jesse 2018: 120 35 6 1 6 6 1 0 0 30 1 0 127
Chavez, Jesse proj: 115 31 5 0 4 10 1 1 1 26 1 1 128
Claudio, Alex 2018: 97 37 8 0 1 2 1 2 2 9 4 1 104
Claudio, Alex proj: 97 26 4 0 2 5 1 0 1 17 1 0 104
Colon, Bartolo 2018: 209 47 6 2 13 5 4 0 2 36 0 1 220
Colon, Bartolo proj: 202 54 11 1 6 14 1 2 1 38 1 1 220
Diekman, Jake 2018: 66 14 3 0 1 14 1 0 1 22 2 0 82
Diekman, Jake proj: 70 16 3 0 1 10 1 0 1 23 1 0 82
Fister, Doug 2018: 172 46 10 0 6 15 1 0 5 33 2 0 193
Fister, Doug proj: 178 47 8 1 4 11 1 1 2 32 1 1 193
Gardewine, Nick 2018: 21 7 2 1 0 0 1 0 1 4 0 0 23
Gardewine, Nick proj: 20 6 1 0 0 3 0 0 0 3 1 0 23
Hamels, Cole 2018: 222 49 11 0 11 23 2 0 8 64 4 0 255
Hamels, Cole proj: 233 55 12 1 7 17 1 2 2 59 6 2 255
Jepsen, Kevin 2018: 63 15 2 1 4 11 1 1 1 8 0 0 77
Jepsen, Kevin proj: 68 17 3 0 2 7 1 1 0 16 1 0 77
Jurado, Ariel 2018: 20 6 3 1 0 2 0 0 0 2 0 0 22
Jurado, Ariel proj: 20 6 3 1 0 2 0 0 0 2 0 0 22
Kela, Keone 2018: 64 16 3 1 2 6 1 1 0 19 1 0 72
Kela, Keone proj: 64 14 2 0 2 7 0 0 0 21 2 0 71
Leclerc, Jose 2018: 50 7 4 0 0 10 0 3 0 19 2 0 63
Leclerc, Jose proj: 50 8 3 0 1 12 0 1 1 18 1 0 64
Mann, Brandon 2018: 16 2 1 0 0 2 1 0 1 1 1 0 20
Mann, Brandon proj: 16 2 1 0 0 2 1 0 1 1 1 0 20
Martin, Chris 2018: 60 17 2 0 2 3 0 0 0 15 2 0 63
Martin, Chris proj: 59 18 3 0 2 4 0 0 0 13 1 0 63
Mendez, Yohander 2018: 3 1 0 0 0 0 0 0 0 0 0 0 3
Mendez, Yohander proj: 3 1 0 0 0 0 0 0 0 0 0 0 3
Minor, Mike 2018: 190 53 15 4 8 11 2 1 6 46 4 2 210
Minor, Mike proj: 191 48 11 1 6 14 1 2 1 45 2 1 209
Moore, Matt 2018: 183 63 16 1 6 21 2 0 4 33 1 0 210
Moore, Matt proj: 185 48 10 1 6 20 1 1 2 43 2 1 209
Perez, Martin 2018: 103 41 5 1 7 12 2 0 2 13 1 0 119
Perez, Martin proj: 107 31 6 1 3 10 1 1 1 17 1 1 120
2018 TEAM TOTALS: 1751 473 105 14 70 156 22 8 36 380 26 4 1973
PROJECTED: 1777 451 90 7 48 157 13 12 16 400 24 8 1975
difference: -26 +22 +15 +7 +22 -1 +9 -4 +20 -20 +2 -4 -2
Man AB H 2B 3B HR BB SF SH HBP SO SB CS BFP


Assorted Team Stats:
Stat Actual Projected
Batting Average: .270 .254
Slugging Average: .466 .393
Walks (per PA): .079 .080
SOs (per PA): .193 .203
On-Base Average: .337 .316
Power Factor: 1.73 1.55
OPS: .803 .709
TPP Runs (to date): 271 219

Runs differential:
Actual TPP 52 more than Projected TPP.




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This page was last modified on Wednesday, 23 May 2018, at 7:05 am Pacific Time.