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TOR "Expected" Batting Results, 2017


About These Stats:

The form of "projection" used is very simple: each man's career numbers are pro-rated by his actual number of appearances to date this season; those data, labelled "proj:" are shown along with the man's actual stats from this year to date. At the bottom of the Table, each set of lines—"projected" and actual—is separately summed to get Team Totals for each dataset.

Note that "career to date" includes each man's stats for the current year: "to date" is literally correct. For veteran players, that matters little, but for rookies or players with litle prior major-league experience, it means that the "projection" will perforce nearly or exactly match the actual stats to date. That seems like the best way to deal with newly arrived players' stats.

Note that owing to rounding in the pro-rating process, projected total PA (plate appearances) may occasionally differ by 1.

Below the player/team table is a smaller table showing a few key team "rate" stats (such as batting average) actual and projected.

The Actual Data:

Through games of Thursday, 27 April 2017.
All results are from true, unadjusted data.

Handedness Key:   + R   * L   # S

(You can also look up the stat definitions.)

Batters, listed in alphabetical order:
Each name is a click-on link to that man's career stats.

(or see the data for Pitching)


Man AB H 2B 3B HR BB SF SH HBP SO SB CS PA
Barney, Darwin 2017: 39 12 1 0 0 2 0 0 0 11 1 0 41
Barney, Darwin proj: 38 9 2 0 0 2 0 0 0 5 0 0 40
Bautista, Jose 2017: 80 13 2 0 1 14 1 0 2 29 0 0 97
Bautista, Jose proj: 81 21 4 0 5 14 1 0 1 18 1 0 97
Carrera, Ezequiel 2017: 57 17 1 1 1 2 0 2 0 13 1 1 61
Carrera, Ezequiel proj: 55 14 2 1 1 4 0 1 1 13 2 1 61
Coghlan, Chris 2017: 24 5 1 0 0 3 1 0 1 9 0 0 29
Coghlan, Chris proj: 26 7 2 0 1 3 0 0 0 5 0 0 29
Donaldson, Josh 2017: 29 9 2 0 2 6 0 0 0 12 0 0 35
Donaldson, Josh proj: 30 8 2 0 2 4 0 0 0 6 0 0 34
Estrada, Marco 2017: 2 0 0 0 0 0 0 0 0 2 0 0 2
Estrada, Marco proj: 2 0 0 0 0 0 0 0 0 1 0 0 2
Goins, Ryan 2017: 36 9 3 0 1 3 0 0 0 7 0 0 39
Goins, Ryan proj: 36 8 2 0 0 2 0 1 0 8 0 0 39
Latos, Mat 2017: 3 0 0 0 0 0 0 0 0 0 0 0 3
Latos, Mat proj: 3 0 0 0 0 0 0 0 0 1 0 0 3
Lawrence, Casey 2017: 1 0 0 0 0 0 0 1 0 0 0 0 2
Lawrence, Casey proj: 1 0 0 0 0 0 0 1 0 0 0 0 2
Martin, Russell 2017: 58 11 1 0 3 13 0 0 1 22 0 1 72
Martin, Russell proj: 62 16 3 0 2 8 0 0 1 13 1 1 71
Morales, Kendrys 2017: 85 20 2 0 4 6 0 0 1 18 0 0 92
Morales, Kendrys proj: 84 23 5 0 4 7 1 0 1 16 0 0 93
Pearce, Steve 2017: 49 8 0 0 0 3 0 0 0 16 0 0 52
Pearce, Steve proj: 46 12 3 0 2 5 0 0 1 10 0 0 52
Pillar, Kevin 2017: 91 27 5 1 3 4 0 1 1 15 2 3 97
Pillar, Kevin proj: 91 24 5 0 2 4 1 1 1 16 3 1 98
Saltalamacchia, Jarrod 2017: 25 1 0 0 0 1 0 0 0 16 0 0 26
Saltalamacchia, Jarrod proj: 23 5 1 0 1 2 0 0 0 8 0 0 25
Smoak, Justin 2017: 65 17 4 1 3 4 1 0 0 16 0 0 70
Smoak, Justin proj: 62 14 3 0 3 7 0 0 0 17 0 0 69
Stroman, Marcus 2017: 1 1 1 0 0 0 0 0 0 0 0 0 1
Stroman, Marcus proj: 1 0 0 0 0 0 0 0 0 0 0 0 1
Travis, Devon 2017: 70 9 1 0 1 5 0 0 0 15 2 0 75
Travis, Devon proj: 70 20 5 0 2 4 0 0 0 15 1 0 74
Tulowitzki, Troy 2017: 57 15 4 0 1 3 1 0 0 6 0 0 61
Tulowitzki, Troy proj: 54 16 3 0 3 6 1 0 1 10 1 0 62
2017 TEAM TOTALS: 772 174 28 3 20 69 4 4 6 207 6 5 855
PROJECTED: 765 197 42 1 28 72 4 4 7 162 9 3 852
difference: +7 -23 -14 +2 -8 -3 0 0 -1 +45 -3 +2 +3
Man AB H 2B 3B HR BB SF SH HBP SO SB CS PA


Assorted Team Stats:
Stat Actual Projected
Batting Average: .225 .258
Slugging Average: .347 .425
Walks (per PA): .081 .084
SOs (per PA): .242 .189
On-Base Average: .291 .324
Power Factor: 1.54 1.65
OPS: .638 .749
TOP Runs (to date): 79 104

Runs differential:
Actual TOP 25 less than Projected TOP.




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This page was last modified on Friday, 28 April 2017, at 6:56 am Pacific Time.