Owing to the screen size of your device, you may obtain a better viewing experience by rotating your device a quarter-turn (to get the so-called "panorama" screen view).
owlcroft logo
An Owlcroft Company web site
Click here to email us.

The Owlcroft Baseball-Analysis Site

Baseball team and player performance examined realistically and accurately.

Search this site, or just roll your cursor over the colored boxes below the pictures.

  Advertisement:


  Advertisement:


TOR "Expected" Pitching Results, 2017


About These Stats:

The form of "projection" used is very simple: each man's career numbers are pro-rated by his actual number of batters faced to date this season; those data, labelled "proj:" are shown along with the man's actual stats from this year to date. At the bottom of the Table, each set of lines—"projected" and actual—is separately summed to get Team Totals for each dataset.

Note that "career to date" includes each man's stats for the current year: "to date" is literally correct. For veteran players, that matters little, but for rookies or players with litle prior major-league experience, it means that the "projection" will perforce nearly or exactly match the actual stats to date. That seems like the best way to deal with newly arrived players' stats.

Note that owing to rounding in the pro-rating process, projected total BFP (batters faced) may occasionally differ by 1.

Below the player/team table is a smaller table showing a few key team "rate" stats (such as batting average) actual and projected.

The Actual Data:

Through games of Wednesday, 21 June 2017.
All results are from true, unadjusted data.

Handedness Key:   + R   * L

(You can also look up the stat definitions.)

Pitchers, listed in alphabetical order:
Each name is a click-on link to that man's career stats.

(or see the data for Batting)


Man AB H 2B 3B HR BB SF SH HBP SO SB CS BFP
Barnes, Danny 2017: 113 20 1 0 4 9 0 0 0 37 5 1 122
Barnes, Danny proj: 111 23 4 0 3 9 1 0 0 35 3 1 121
Beliveau, Jeff 2017: 24 5 1 0 1 2 1 0 0 8 0 0 27
Beliveau, Jeff proj: 24 6 1 0 1 3 0 0 0 6 0 0 27
Biagini, Joe 2017: 244 60 13 1 5 14 1 0 2 53 7 0 261
Biagini, Joe proj: 239 61 14 1 4 15 2 1 3 54 7 1 260
Bolsinger, Mike 2017: 99 27 6 0 3 19 2 0 3 21 3 0 123
Bolsinger, Mike proj: 108 30 5 1 4 12 1 1 1 25 2 1 123
Campos, Leonel 2017: 32 7 3 0 1 3 0 0 1 10 0 0 36
Campos, Leonel proj: 31 7 2 0 1 5 0 0 0 9 0 0 36
Dermody, Matt 2017: 5 4 0 0 3 1 0 0 0 0 0 0 6
Dermody, Matt proj: 5 3 0 0 1 0 0 0 0 1 0 0 5
Estrada, Marco 2017: 342 94 26 1 14 24 1 0 1 96 4 1 368
Estrada, Marco proj: 336 78 16 2 13 26 2 2 2 82 7 2 368
Grilli, Jason 2017: 85 23 5 0 9 9 0 0 0 23 1 0 94
Grilli, Jason proj: 82 20 4 1 2 9 1 1 1 22 1 0 94
Happ, J.A. 2017: 155 39 7 1 8 7 0 1 0 44 2 0 163
Happ, J.A. proj: 146 37 8 1 5 14 1 1 1 33 2 1 163
Howell, J.P. 2017: 37 12 6 0 1 7 0 0 0 5 0 0 44
Howell, J.P. proj: 38 9 2 0 1 4 0 0 1 9 1 0 43
Latos, Mat 2017: 61 19 6 0 5 8 0 0 1 10 1 1 70
Latos, Mat proj: 63 15 3 0 2 5 0 1 0 15 2 0 69
Lawrence, Casey 2017: 59 21 5 0 2 11 1 1 0 7 3 0 72
Lawrence, Casey proj: 64 22 3 0 2 7 0 0 0 11 2 0 71
Leone, Dominic 2017: 117 24 10 1 4 14 3 0 0 36 1 0 134
Leone, Dominic proj: 117 31 7 1 4 13 2 0 1 30 2 1 133
Liriano, Francisco 2017: 196 53 13 3 7 30 2 2 2 52 3 1 232
Liriano, Francisco proj: 204 49 9 1 5 24 1 1 2 56 4 1 232
Loup, Aaron 2017: 103 27 5 0 2 11 0 3 4 28 2 0 121
Loup, Aaron proj: 108 27 5 1 2 8 1 1 3 25 2 1 121
Osuna, Roberto 2017: 103 19 4 0 2 3 1 1 0 37 3 0 108
Osuna, Roberto proj: 101 20 5 0 3 5 1 0 1 31 2 0 108
Sanchez, Aaron 2017: 93 22 4 0 4 9 0 0 1 18 1 1 103
Sanchez, Aaron proj: 92 20 4 0 2 9 0 0 1 20 2 1 102
Smith, Joe 2017: 117 28 4 0 3 8 1 1 1 47 2 1 128
Smith, Joe proj: 114 26 4 0 2 11 0 1 2 27 2 1 128
Stroman, Marcus 2017: 336 90 12 0 10 21 0 0 3 71 7 3 360
Stroman, Marcus proj: 336 86 15 1 8 21 1 0 2 71 5 2 360
Tepera, Ryan 2017: 126 21 3 1 1 15 0 1 4 39 5 2 146
Tepera, Ryan proj: 129 25 3 0 4 12 0 1 4 32 2 1 146
Valdez, Cesar 2017: 3 0 0 0 0 1 0 0 0 0 0 0 4
Valdez, Cesar proj: 4 1 0 0 0 0 0 0 0 0 0 0 4
2017 TEAM TOTALS: 2450 615 134 8 89 226 13 10 23 642 50 11 2722
PROJECTED: 2452 596 114 10 69 212 14 11 25 594 48 14 2714
difference: -2 +19 +20 -2 +20 +14 -1 -1 -2 +48 +2 -3 +8
Man AB H 2B 3B HR BB SF SH HBP SO SB CS BFP


Assorted Team Stats:
Stat Actual Projected
Batting Average: .251 .243
Slugging Average: .421 .382
Walks (per PA): .083 .078
SOs (per PA): .236 .218
On-Base Average: .317 .307
Power Factor: 1.68 1.57
OPS: .739 .689
TPP Runs (to date): 326 290

Runs differential:
Actual TPP 36 more than Projected TPP.




  Advertisement:


  Advertisement:



Want detailed, careful, unhysterical analysis of the effects of "Performance-Enhancing Drugs" in baseball? Click here to visit the Steroids & Baseball web site.

All content copyright © 2002 - 2017 by The Owlcroft Company.

This web page is strictly compliant with the W3C (World Wide Web Consortium) Extensible HyperText Markup Language (XHTML) Protocol v1.0 (Transitional) and the W3C Cascading Style Sheets (CSS) Protocol v3 — because we care about interoperability. Click on the logos below to test us!



This page was last modified on Thursday, 22 June 2017, at 7:04 am Pacific Time.