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TOR "Expected" Pitching Results, 2018


About These Stats:

The form of "projection" used is very simple: each man's career numbers are pro-rated by his actual number of batters faced to date this season; those data, labelled "proj:" are shown along with the man's actual stats from this year to date. At the bottom of the Table, each set of lines—"projected" and actual—is separately summed to get Team Totals for each dataset.

Note that "career to date" includes each man's stats for the current year: "to date" is literally correct. For veteran players, that matters little, but for rookies or players with litle prior major-league experience, it means that the "projection" will perforce nearly or exactly match the actual stats to date. That seems like the best way to deal with newly arrived players' stats.

Note that owing to rounding in the pro-rating process, projected total BFP (batters faced) may occasionally differ by 1.

Below the player/team table is a smaller table showing a few key team "rate" stats (such as batting average) actual and projected.

The Actual Data:

Through games of Sunday, 30 September 2018.
All results are from true, unadjusted data.

Handedness Key:   + R   * L

(You can also look up the stat definitions.)

Pitchers, listed in alphabetical order:
Each name is a click-on link to that man's career stats.

(or see the data for Batting)


Man AB H 2B 3B HR BB SF SH HBP SO SB CS BFP
Axford, John 2018: 188 44 7 0 6 20 1 0 2 50 3 2 211
Axford, John proj: 183 44 7 1 5 24 2 1 1 54 4 1 211
Barnes, Danny 2018: 166 47 16 1 6 22 2 0 1 38 14 1 191
Barnes, Danny proj: 170 41 11 0 6 19 1 0 1 42 8 1 191
Biagini, Joe 2018: 297 96 17 1 14 24 1 0 6 53 10 4 328
Biagini, Joe proj: 298 83 16 2 9 24 2 1 4 61 10 2 329
Borucki, Ryan 2018: 375 96 18 5 7 33 2 3 2 67 16 3 415
Borucki, Ryan proj: 375 96 18 5 7 33 2 3 2 67 16 3 415
Clippard, Tyler 2018: 256 57 14 0 13 23 2 2 2 85 8 2 285
Clippard, Tyler proj: 250 50 10 1 9 29 2 2 2 77 5 2 285
Cruz, Rhiner 2018: 13 3 2 0 0 2 0 0 0 4 0 0 15
Cruz, Rhiner proj: 13 4 1 0 0 2 0 0 0 2 0 0 15
Cumpton, Brandon 2018: 8 3 2 0 0 2 0 0 0 2 0 0 10
Cumpton, Brandon proj: 9 3 0 0 0 1 0 0 0 2 0 0 10
Drake, Oliver 2018: 9 4 2 1 0 0 0 0 0 2 0 0 9
Drake, Oliver proj: 8 2 0 0 0 1 0 0 0 2 0 0 9
Estrada, Marco 2018: 567 154 49 2 29 50 7 1 2 103 10 4 627
Estrada, Marco proj: 570 135 31 3 24 47 4 3 3 133 11 4 627
Garcia, Jaime 2018: 291 76 21 2 13 38 2 1 3 69 7 3 335
Garcia, Jaime proj: 303 79 16 1 8 26 2 3 2 65 5 2 336
Gaviglio, Sam 2018: 498 140 25 3 21 38 4 4 4 105 17 5 548
Gaviglio, Sam proj: 496 137 27 3 24 41 4 3 4 98 17 5 548
Giles, Ken 2018: 77 18 2 1 4 4 0 1 1 22 3 0 83
Giles, Ken proj: 76 17 3 0 1 6 0 0 0 27 1 0 82
Guerrieri, Taylor 2018: 37 9 0 0 1 4 0 0 3 8 1 0 44
Guerrieri, Taylor proj: 37 9 0 0 1 4 0 0 3 8 1 0 44
Guilmet, Preston 2018: 34 11 5 0 4 4 0 1 0 5 0 0 39
Guilmet, Preston proj: 35 11 3 0 2 3 1 0 0 7 0 0 39
Happ, J.A. 2018: 434 99 17 0 17 35 1 1 4 130 5 1 475
Happ, J.A. proj: 426 106 23 2 14 41 3 3 2 99 5 2 475
Hauschild, Mike 2018: 29 7 2 0 0 4 1 0 2 5 1 0 36
Hauschild, Mike proj: 31 10 2 0 2 3 0 0 1 6 1 0 35
Leiter Jr., Mark 2018: 33 13 0 1 2 4 1 0 1 9 2 0 39
Leiter Jr., Mark proj: 35 9 2 0 2 3 0 0 1 8 1 0 39
Loup, Aaron 2018: 147 44 12 0 4 13 3 0 3 42 3 1 166
Loup, Aaron proj: 147 37 8 1 3 12 2 2 4 36 3 2 167
Manuel Fernandez, Jose 2018: 41 10 2 0 2 4 0 0 0 6 0 1 45
Manuel Fernandez, Jose proj: 41 10 2 0 2 4 0 0 0 6 0 1 45
Mayza, Tim 2018: 135 33 8 0 3 14 0 0 2 40 4 1 151
Mayza, Tim proj: 138 37 9 0 4 12 0 0 1 44 4 1 151
McGuire, Deck 2018: 34 9 3 1 2 5 0 0 0 7 0 0 39
McGuire, Deck proj: 33 8 1 0 2 5 1 0 1 7 0 0 40
Morales, Kendrys 2018: 3 0 0 0 0 1 0 0 0 0 0 0 4
Morales, Kendrys proj: 3 0 0 0 0 1 0 0 0 0 0 0 4
Oh, Seunghwan 2018: 173 37 7 1 5 10 3 0 3 55 0 0 189
Oh, Seunghwan proj: 173 39 6 0 5 11 2 1 2 52 0 0 189
Osuna, Roberto 2018: 60 16 3 0 0 1 0 0 2 13 1 0 63
Osuna, Roberto proj: 59 12 3 0 1 3 1 0 1 18 1 0 64
Pannone, Thomas 2018: 160 37 5 2 7 15 3 1 2 29 3 0 181
Pannone, Thomas proj: 160 37 5 2 7 15 3 1 2 29 3 0 181
Paulino, David 2018: 25 6 1 0 1 2 1 0 0 6 0 0 28
Paulino, David proj: 26 7 2 0 1 2 0 0 0 6 0 0 28
Petricka, Jake 2018: 186 59 14 2 6 16 0 1 5 41 3 0 208
Petricka, Jake proj: 183 53 10 1 4 19 1 2 2 36 3 1 207
Ramirez, Carlos 2018: 8 1 0 0 0 5 0 0 0 3 0 0 13
Ramirez, Carlos proj: 11 1 0 0 0 2 0 0 0 3 0 0 13
Reid-Foley, Sean 2018: 127 31 5 1 6 21 1 0 1 42 2 0 150
Reid-Foley, Sean proj: 127 31 5 1 6 21 1 0 1 42 2 0 150
Rowley, Chris 2018: 5 2 0 0 1 1 0 0 0 0 0 0 6
Rowley, Chris proj: 5 2 0 0 0 1 0 0 0 1 0 0 6
Sanchez, Aaron 2018: 405 106 20 3 11 58 4 0 7 86 10 4 474
Sanchez, Aaron proj: 419 97 18 1 10 48 2 1 4 88 9 4 474
Santos, Luis 2018: 78 26 8 1 4 10 2 0 1 24 0 4 91
Santos, Luis proj: 81 23 7 1 5 8 1 0 1 23 1 2 91
Shafer, Justin 2018: 31 6 2 0 1 7 0 0 1 2 0 0 39
Shafer, Justin proj: 31 6 2 0 1 7 0 0 1 2 0 0 39
Smith, Murphy 2018: 13 5 1 0 0 1 1 0 1 0 0 0 16
Smith, Murphy proj: 13 5 1 0 0 1 1 0 1 0 0 0 16
Stroman, Marcus 2018: 406 115 21 3 9 36 3 2 2 77 4 0 449
Stroman, Marcus proj: 414 108 20 1 10 30 2 1 3 87 5 2 450
Tepera, Ryan 2018: 232 55 14 1 9 24 3 0 4 68 8 3 263
Tepera, Ryan proj: 232 50 10 1 8 23 1 1 6 63 6 2 263
2018 TEAM TOTALS: 5581 1475 325 32 208 551 48 18 67 1298 135 39 6265
PROJECTED: 5611 1399 279 27 183 532 41 28 56 1301 122 37 6268
difference: -30 +76 +46 +5 +25 +19 +7 -10 +11 -3 +13 +2 -3
Man AB H 2B 3B HR BB SF SH HBP SO SB CS BFP


Assorted Team Stats:
Stat Actual Projected
Batting Average: .264 .249
Slugging Average: .446 .407
Walks (per PA): .088 .085
SOs (per PA): .207 .208
On-Base Average: .334 .317
Power Factor: 1.69 1.63
OPS: .780 .724
TPP Runs (to date): 824 728

Runs differential:
Actual TPP 96 more than Projected TPP.




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This page was last modified on Monday, 1 October 2018, at 7:06 am Pacific Time.