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TOR "Expected" Pitching Results, 2018


About These Stats:

The form of "projection" used is very simple: each man's career numbers are pro-rated by his actual number of batters faced to date this season; those data, labelled "proj:" are shown along with the man's actual stats from this year to date. At the bottom of the Table, each set of lines—"projected" and actual—is separately summed to get Team Totals for each dataset.

Note that "career to date" includes each man's stats for the current year: "to date" is literally correct. For veteran players, that matters little, but for rookies or players with litle prior major-league experience, it means that the "projection" will perforce nearly or exactly match the actual stats to date. That seems like the best way to deal with newly arrived players' stats.

Note that owing to rounding in the pro-rating process, projected total BFP (batters faced) may occasionally differ by 1.

Below the player/team table is a smaller table showing a few key team "rate" stats (such as batting average) actual and projected.

The Actual Data:

Through games of Monday, 17 September 2018.
All results are from true, unadjusted data.

Handedness Key:   + R   * L

(You can also look up the stat definitions.)

Pitchers, listed in alphabetical order:
Each name is a click-on link to that man's career stats.

(or see the data for Batting)


Man AB H 2B 3B HR BB SF SH HBP SO SB CS BFP
Axford, John 2018: 188 44 7 0 6 20 1 0 2 50 3 2 211
Axford, John proj: 183 44 7 1 5 24 2 1 1 54 4 1 211
Barnes, Danny 2018: 154 44 14 1 6 22 1 0 1 35 14 1 178
Barnes, Danny proj: 158 38 10 0 6 18 1 0 1 39 8 1 178
Biagini, Joe 2018: 272 86 15 1 13 19 0 0 6 49 8 4 297
Biagini, Joe proj: 270 75 14 2 8 21 1 1 3 56 9 2 296
Borucki, Ryan 2018: 328 86 15 5 5 26 2 2 2 57 14 2 360
Borucki, Ryan proj: 328 86 15 5 5 26 2 2 2 57 14 2 360
Clippard, Tyler 2018: 242 55 14 0 13 23 2 2 2 79 8 2 271
Clippard, Tyler proj: 238 47 10 1 9 27 2 2 2 73 5 1 271
Cruz, Rhiner 2018: 13 3 2 0 0 2 0 0 0 4 0 0 15
Cruz, Rhiner proj: 13 4 1 0 0 2 0 0 0 2 0 0 15
Cumpton, Brandon 2018: 8 3 2 0 0 2 0 0 0 2 0 0 10
Cumpton, Brandon proj: 9 3 0 0 0 1 0 0 0 2 0 0 10
Drake, Oliver 2018: 9 4 2 1 0 0 0 0 0 2 0 0 9
Drake, Oliver proj: 8 2 1 0 0 1 0 0 0 2 0 0 9
Estrada, Marco 2018: 522 143 47 2 26 48 7 1 2 97 10 4 580
Estrada, Marco proj: 527 125 28 3 22 44 3 3 3 123 10 3 580
Garcia, Jaime 2018: 291 76 21 2 13 38 2 1 3 69 7 3 335
Garcia, Jaime proj: 303 79 16 1 8 26 2 3 2 65 5 2 336
Gaviglio, Sam 2018: 436 124 24 1 20 32 3 3 4 97 11 5 478
Gaviglio, Sam proj: 433 121 25 1 22 35 3 2 4 88 12 5 477
Giles, Ken 2018: 64 17 2 1 4 3 0 1 1 18 3 0 69
Giles, Ken proj: 63 14 3 0 1 5 0 0 0 22 1 0 68
Guerrieri, Taylor 2018: 26 6 0 0 1 2 0 0 0 4 1 0 28
Guerrieri, Taylor proj: 26 6 0 0 1 2 0 0 0 4 1 0 28
Guilmet, Preston 2018: 34 11 5 0 4 4 0 1 0 5 0 0 39
Guilmet, Preston proj: 35 11 3 0 2 3 1 0 0 7 0 0 39
Happ, J.A. 2018: 434 99 17 0 17 35 1 1 4 130 5 1 475
Happ, J.A. proj: 426 106 23 2 14 41 3 3 2 99 5 2 475
Hauschild, Mike 2018: 29 7 2 0 0 4 1 0 2 5 1 0 36
Hauschild, Mike proj: 31 10 2 0 2 3 0 0 1 6 1 0 35
Leiter Jr., Mark 2018: 23 7 0 0 2 2 0 0 1 7 0 0 26
Leiter Jr., Mark proj: 23 6 1 0 1 2 0 0 0 5 1 0 25
Loup, Aaron 2018: 147 44 12 0 4 13 3 0 3 42 3 1 166
Loup, Aaron proj: 147 38 8 1 3 12 2 2 4 36 3 2 167
Manuel Fernandez, Jose 2018: 22 5 1 0 0 0 0 0 0 2 0 1 22
Manuel Fernandez, Jose proj: 22 5 1 0 0 0 0 0 0 2 0 1 22
Mayza, Tim 2018: 124 30 8 0 3 14 0 0 2 35 4 1 140
Mayza, Tim proj: 127 35 9 0 4 12 0 0 1 40 4 1 140
McGuire, Deck 2018: 34 9 3 1 2 5 0 0 0 7 0 0 39
McGuire, Deck proj: 33 8 1 0 2 4 1 0 1 7 0 0 39
Morales, Kendrys 2018: 3 0 0 0 0 1 0 0 0 0 0 0 4
Morales, Kendrys proj: 3 0 0 0 0 1 0 0 0 0 0 0 4
Oh, Seunghwan 2018: 173 37 7 1 5 10 3 0 3 55 0 0 189
Oh, Seunghwan proj: 173 39 7 0 5 11 2 1 2 52 0 0 189
Osuna, Roberto 2018: 60 16 3 0 0 1 0 0 2 13 1 0 63
Osuna, Roberto proj: 59 12 3 0 1 3 1 0 1 18 1 0 64
Pannone, Thomas 2018: 114 24 3 1 5 9 1 1 2 21 2 0 127
Pannone, Thomas proj: 114 24 3 1 5 9 1 1 2 21 2 0 127
Paulino, David 2018: 11 4 1 0 1 1 1 0 0 4 0 0 13
Paulino, David proj: 12 4 1 0 1 1 0 0 0 3 0 0 13
Petricka, Jake 2018: 165 52 13 2 6 14 0 1 3 35 2 0 183
Petricka, Jake proj: 161 46 9 1 3 17 1 2 2 32 2 1 183
Ramirez, Carlos 2018: 8 1 0 0 0 5 0 0 0 3 0 0 13
Ramirez, Carlos proj: 11 1 0 0 0 2 0 0 0 3 0 0 13
Reid-Foley, Sean 2018: 98 24 2 0 6 16 1 0 1 32 1 0 116
Reid-Foley, Sean proj: 98 24 2 0 6 16 1 0 1 32 1 0 116
Rowley, Chris 2018: 5 2 0 0 1 1 0 0 0 0 0 0 6
Rowley, Chris proj: 5 2 0 0 0 1 0 0 0 1 0 0 6
Sanchez, Aaron 2018: 391 102 20 2 10 55 3 0 6 85 9 3 455
Sanchez, Aaron proj: 403 93 17 1 10 45 1 1 4 85 8 3 454
Santos, Luis 2018: 78 26 8 1 4 10 2 0 1 24 0 4 91
Santos, Luis proj: 81 23 7 1 5 8 1 0 1 23 1 2 91
Shafer, Justin 2018: 31 6 2 0 1 7 0 0 1 2 0 0 39
Shafer, Justin proj: 31 6 2 0 1 7 0 0 1 2 0 0 39
Smith, Murphy 2018: 13 5 1 0 0 1 1 0 1 0 0 0 16
Smith, Murphy proj: 13 5 1 0 0 1 1 0 1 0 0 0 16
Stroman, Marcus 2018: 406 115 21 3 9 36 3 2 2 77 4 0 449
Stroman, Marcus proj: 414 108 20 1 10 30 2 1 3 87 5 2 450
Tepera, Ryan 2018: 221 54 14 1 9 22 3 0 4 63 6 3 250
Tepera, Ryan proj: 221 48 10 1 8 21 1 1 6 59 5 2 250
2018 TEAM TOTALS: 5177 1371 308 26 196 503 41 16 61 1210 117 37 5798
PROJECTED: 5202 1298 260 23 170 482 35 26 51 1207 108 33 5796
difference: -25 +73 +48 +3 +26 +21 +6 -10 +10 +3 +9 +4 +2
Man AB H 2B 3B HR BB SF SH HBP SO SB CS BFP


Assorted Team Stats:
Stat Actual Projected
Batting Average: .265 .250
Slugging Average: .448 .406
Walks (per PA): .087 .083
SOs (per PA): .209 .208
On-Base Average: .334 .316
Power Factor: 1.69 1.63
OPS: .782 .722
TPP Runs (to date): 762 670

Runs differential:
Actual TPP 92 more than Projected TPP.




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This page was last modified on Tuesday, 18 September 2018, at 7:06 am Pacific Time.