Owing to the screen size of your device, you may obtain a better viewing experience by rotating your device a quarter-turn (to get the so-called "panorama" screen view).
owlcroft logo
An Owlcroft Company web site
Click here to email us.

The Owlcroft Baseball-Analysis Site

Baseball team and player performance examined realistically and accurately.

Search this site, or just roll your cursor over the colored boxes below the pictures.

  Advertisement:


  Advertisement:


TOR "Expected" Pitching Results, 2017


About These Stats:

The form of "projection" used is very simple: each man's career numbers are pro-rated by his actual number of batters faced to date this season; those data, labelled "proj:" are shown along with the man's actual stats from this year to date. At the bottom of the Table, each set of lines—"projected" and actual—is separately summed to get Team Totals for each dataset.

Note that "career to date" includes each man's stats for the current year: "to date" is literally correct. For veteran players, that matters little, but for rookies or players with litle prior major-league experience, it means that the "projection" will perforce nearly or exactly match the actual stats to date. That seems like the best way to deal with newly arrived players' stats.

Note that owing to rounding in the pro-rating process, projected total BFP (batters faced) may occasionally differ by 1.

Below the player/team table is a smaller table showing a few key team "rate" stats (such as batting average) actual and projected.

The Actual Data:

Through games of Monday, 24 July 2017.
All results are from true, unadjusted data.

Handedness Key:   + R   * L

(You can also look up the stat definitions.)

Pitchers, listed in alphabetical order:
Each name is a click-on link to that man's career stats.

(or see the data for Batting)


Man AB H 2B 3B HR BB SF SH HBP SO SB CS BFP
Barnes, Danny 2017: 159 30 4 0 7 14 0 0 1 47 6 1 174
Barnes, Danny proj: 158 33 7 0 5 14 2 0 1 46 5 2 175
Beliveau, Jeff 2017: 60 17 4 0 4 6 2 1 1 17 0 0 70
Beliveau, Jeff proj: 61 16 3 0 3 7 1 1 1 16 1 0 71
Biagini, Joe 2017: 325 81 16 2 8 27 1 0 2 70 10 1 355
Biagini, Joe proj: 323 82 17 2 6 25 2 1 4 72 9 2 355
Bolsinger, Mike 2017: 147 41 10 0 7 23 4 0 3 38 4 0 177
Bolsinger, Mike proj: 156 43 8 1 6 17 2 1 1 37 3 2 177
Campos, Leonel 2017: 32 7 3 0 1 3 0 0 1 10 0 0 36
Campos, Leonel proj: 31 7 2 0 1 5 0 0 0 9 0 0 36
Dermody, Matt 2017: 5 4 0 0 3 1 0 0 0 0 0 0 6
Dermody, Matt proj: 5 3 0 0 1 0 0 0 0 1 0 0 5
Estrada, Marco 2017: 432 117 33 4 18 46 4 0 1 118 6 3 483
Estrada, Marco proj: 439 102 21 3 17 36 2 3 2 107 9 3 482
Grilli, Jason 2017: 86 24 6 0 9 9 0 0 0 23 1 0 95
Grilli, Jason proj: 83 20 4 1 2 9 1 1 1 22 1 0 95
Happ, J.A. 2017: 294 76 13 1 15 19 1 1 0 65 3 0 315
Happ, J.A. proj: 282 71 16 1 9 28 2 2 1 63 4 1 315
Harrell, Lucas 2017: 29 10 1 0 1 4 0 0 0 6 0 0 33
Harrell, Lucas proj: 29 8 1 0 1 4 0 0 0 5 1 0 33
Howell, J.P. 2017: 37 12 6 0 1 7 0 0 0 5 0 0 44
Howell, J.P. proj: 38 9 2 0 1 4 0 0 1 9 1 0 43
Latos, Mat 2017: 61 19 6 0 5 8 0 0 1 10 1 1 70
Latos, Mat proj: 63 15 3 0 2 5 0 1 0 15 2 0 69
Lawrence, Casey 2017: 59 21 5 0 2 11 1 1 0 7 3 0 72
Lawrence, Casey proj: 64 22 3 0 2 7 0 0 0 11 2 0 71
Leone, Dominic 2017: 154 30 12 1 4 19 3 0 0 47 1 0 176
Leone, Dominic proj: 154 39 10 1 5 18 3 0 1 40 2 2 176
Liriano, Francisco 2017: 302 86 22 3 11 42 3 2 2 70 7 3 351
Liriano, Francisco proj: 308 74 14 1 8 36 2 2 3 84 6 2 351
Loup, Aaron 2017: 139 37 7 0 3 18 0 4 5 36 2 0 166
Loup, Aaron proj: 147 37 7 1 3 11 2 2 4 34 3 2 166
Osuna, Roberto 2017: 142 25 5 0 2 4 1 1 0 56 4 0 148
Osuna, Roberto proj: 138 27 6 1 4 7 1 1 1 45 3 1 148
Sanchez, Aaron 2017: 146 42 7 0 6 20 0 0 1 24 5 1 167
Sanchez, Aaron proj: 149 33 6 0 4 16 0 1 1 31 3 1 167
Smith, Chris 2017: 8 2 1 0 0 1 0 0 0 0 0 0 9
Smith, Chris proj: 8 2 1 0 0 1 0 0 0 0 0 0 9
Smith, Joe 2017: 122 30 5 0 3 8 1 1 1 49 2 1 133
Smith, Joe proj: 118 27 4 0 2 12 0 1 2 28 2 1 133
Sparkman, Glenn 2017: 11 9 3 0 0 1 0 0 0 1 2 0 12
Sparkman, Glenn proj: 11 9 3 0 0 1 0 0 0 1 2 0 12
Stroman, Marcus 2017: 474 123 17 0 13 37 1 0 4 105 9 4 516
Stroman, Marcus proj: 479 123 22 1 11 32 1 1 3 103 7 3 516
Tepera, Ryan 2017: 175 32 8 1 3 20 0 1 5 54 6 2 201
Tepera, Ryan proj: 178 35 6 0 6 17 0 1 5 46 3 1 201
Valdez, Cesar 2017: 38 9 4 0 1 3 0 0 1 9 0 1 42
Valdez, Cesar proj: 38 12 3 0 2 4 0 0 0 6 0 0 42
2017 TEAM TOTALS: 3437 884 198 12 127 351 22 12 29 867 72 18 3851
PROJECTED: 3460 849 169 13 101 316 21 19 32 831 69 23 3848
difference: -23 +35 +29 -1 +26 +35 +1 -7 -3 +36 +3 -5 +3
Man AB H 2B 3B HR BB SF SH HBP SO SB CS BFP


Assorted Team Stats:
Stat Actual Projected
Batting Average: .257 .245
Slugging Average: .433 .389
Walks (per PA): .091 .082
SOs (per PA): .225 .216
On-Base Average: .328 .311
Power Factor: 1.68 1.59
OPS: .761 .700
TPP Runs (to date): 485 421

Runs differential:
Actual TPP 64 more than Projected TPP.




  Advertisement:


  Advertisement:



Want detailed, careful, unhysterical analysis of the effects of "Performance-Enhancing Drugs" in baseball? Click here to visit the Steroids & Baseball web site.

All content copyright © 2002 - 2017 by The Owlcroft Company.

This web page is strictly compliant with the W3C (World Wide Web Consortium) Extensible HyperText Markup Language (XHTML) Protocol v1.0 (Transitional) and the W3C Cascading Style Sheets (CSS) Protocol v3 — because we care about interoperability. Click on the logos below to test us!



This page was last modified on Tuesday, 25 July 2017, at 7:06 am Pacific Time.