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TOR "Expected" Pitching Results, 2019


About These Stats:

The form of "projection" used is very simple: each man's career numbers are pro-rated by his actual number of batters faced to date this season; those data, labelled "proj:" are shown along with the man's actual stats from this year to date. At the bottom of the Table, each set of lines—"projected" and actual—is separately summed to get Team Totals for each dataset.

Note that "career to date" includes each man's stats for the current year: "to date" is literally correct. For veteran players, that matters little, but for rookies or players with litle prior major-league experience, it means that the "projection" will perforce nearly or exactly match the actual stats to date. That seems like the best way to deal with newly arrived players' stats.

Note that owing to rounding in the pro-rating process, projected total BFP (batters faced) may occasionally differ by 1.

Below the player/team table is a smaller table showing a few key team "rate" stats (such as batting average) actual and projected.

The Actual Data:

Through games of Sunday, 21 April 2019.
All results are from true, unadjusted data.

Handedness Key:   + R   * L

(You can also look up the stat definitions.)

Pitchers, listed in alphabetical order:
Each name is a click-on link to that man's career stats.

(or see the data for Batting)


Man AB H 2B 3B HR BB SF SH HBP SO SB CS BFP
Biagini, Joe 2019: 40 6 2 1 2 3 0 0 0 12 0 0 43
Biagini, Joe proj: 39 11 2 0 1 3 0 0 0 8 1 0 42
Buchholz, Clay 2019: 42 12 2 0 1 3 0 0 0 6 2 1 45
Buchholz, Clay proj: 40 10 2 0 1 4 0 0 0 8 0 0 44
Gaviglio, Sam 2019: 51 7 2 0 1 2 0 0 1 16 1 0 54
Gaviglio, Sam proj: 49 13 3 0 2 4 0 0 0 10 2 0 53
Giles, Ken 2019: 45 12 3 0 1 5 0 0 0 17 1 0 50
Giles, Ken proj: 46 10 2 0 1 4 0 0 0 16 1 0 50
Guerra, Javy 2019: 37 9 5 0 1 4 0 1 1 12 0 0 43
Guerra, Javy proj: 37 10 2 0 1 4 0 1 1 8 0 0 43
Hudson, Daniel 2019: 36 7 1 0 2 3 0 0 1 11 1 0 40
Hudson, Daniel proj: 36 9 2 0 1 3 0 0 0 8 1 0 39
Luciano, Elvis 2019: 33 10 2 0 1 8 1 0 1 8 0 0 43
Luciano, Elvis proj: 33 10 2 0 1 8 1 0 1 8 0 0 43
Mayza, Tim 2019: 31 7 3 0 2 6 1 1 0 11 0 0 39
Mayza, Tim proj: 35 9 2 0 1 3 0 0 0 11 1 0 38
Pannone, Thomas 2019: 46 9 2 0 0 3 0 0 1 17 1 0 50
Pannone, Thomas proj: 45 10 2 0 2 4 1 0 1 10 1 0 51
Reid-Foley, Sean 2019: 10 4 0 0 1 2 1 0 1 3 0 0 14
Reid-Foley, Sean proj: 12 3 0 0 1 2 0 0 0 4 0 0 14
Sanchez, Aaron 2019: 90 19 3 0 2 16 1 0 3 23 0 0 110
Sanchez, Aaron proj: 97 22 4 0 2 11 0 0 1 21 2 1 109
Shoemaker, Matt 2019: 98 16 3 1 3 9 0 0 1 24 0 2 108
Shoemaker, Matt proj: 100 25 5 0 4 6 1 0 1 23 2 1 108
Stroman, Marcus 2019: 115 26 7 1 0 12 0 0 0 29 2 1 127
Stroman, Marcus proj: 117 30 6 0 3 9 0 0 1 25 1 1 127
Tepera, Ryan 2019: 5 1 0 0 0 2 1 0 0 1 0 0 8
Tepera, Ryan proj: 7 2 0 0 0 1 0 0 0 2 0 0 8
Thornton, Trent 2019: 72 19 5 1 4 7 0 0 0 21 0 0 79
Thornton, Trent proj: 72 19 5 1 4 7 0 0 0 21 0 0 79
2019 TEAM TOTALS: 751 164 40 4 21 85 5 2 10 211 8 4 853
PROJECTED: 765 193 39 1 25 73 3 1 6 183 12 3 848
difference: -14 -29 +1 +3 -4 +12 +2 +1 +4 +28 -4 +1 +5
Man AB H 2B 3B HR BB SF SH HBP SO SB CS BFP


Assorted Team Stats:
Stat Actual Projected
Batting Average: .218 .252
Slugging Average: .366 .404
Walks (per PA): .100 .086
SOs (per PA): .247 .215
On-Base Average: .304 .321
Power Factor: 1.68 1.6
OPS: .670 .725
TPP Runs (to date): 85 99

Runs differential:
Actual TPP 14 less than Projected TPP.




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This page was last modified on Monday, 22 April 2019, at 6:52 am Pacific Time.