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Baseball team and player performance examined realistically and accurately.

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TOR "Expected" Pitching Results, 2017


About These Stats:

The form of "projection" used is very simple: each man's career numbers are pro-rated by his actual number of batters faced to date this season; those data, labelled "proj:" are shown along with the man's actual stats from this year to date. At the bottom of the Table, each set of lines—"projected" and actual—is separately summed to get Team Totals for each dataset.

Note that "career to date" includes each man's stats for the current year: "to date" is literally correct. For veteran players, that matters little, but for rookies or players with litle prior major-league experience, it means that the "projection" will perforce nearly or exactly match the actual stats to date. That seems like the best way to deal with newly arrived players' stats.

Note that owing to rounding in the pro-rating process, projected total BFP (batters faced) may occasionally differ by 1.

Below the player/team table is a smaller table showing a few key team "rate" stats (such as batting average) actual and projected.

The Actual Data:

Through games of Sunday, 24 September 2017.
All results are from true, unadjusted data.

Handedness Key:   + R   * L

(You can also look up the stat definitions.)

Pitchers, listed in alphabetical order:
Each name is a click-on link to that man's career stats.

(or see the data for Batting)


Man AB H 2B 3B HR BB SF SH HBP SO SB CS BFP
Anderson, Brett 2017: 93 30 8 0 3 6 2 0 0 16 5 0 101
Anderson, Brett proj: 93 26 5 0 2 7 0 1 1 18 2 1 102
Barnes, Danny 2017: 233 46 7 0 10 23 0 0 1 61 8 1 257
Barnes, Danny proj: 232 49 10 0 8 23 2 0 1 61 7 2 258
Beliveau, Jeff 2017: 60 17 4 0 4 6 2 1 1 17 0 0 70
Beliveau, Jeff proj: 61 16 3 0 3 7 1 1 1 16 1 0 71
Biagini, Joe 2017: 452 119 21 4 15 41 1 0 2 94 16 1 496
Biagini, Joe proj: 450 118 23 3 11 38 3 1 4 98 14 2 496
Bolsinger, Mike 2017: 161 48 11 0 9 27 5 0 3 39 5 0 196
Bolsinger, Mike proj: 172 48 9 1 7 19 2 2 1 40 4 2 196
Campos, Leonel 2017: 51 11 5 0 2 8 0 0 1 15 1 0 60
Campos, Leonel proj: 51 12 4 0 2 8 0 0 1 15 1 0 60
Cole, Taylor 2017: 8 6 1 0 0 1 0 0 1 1 0 0 10
Cole, Taylor proj: 8 6 1 0 0 1 0 0 1 1 0 0 10
Dermody, Matt 2017: 81 20 3 0 5 4 1 0 2 13 2 0 88
Dermody, Matt proj: 81 22 3 0 5 3 1 0 3 15 2 0 88
Estrada, Marco 2017: 711 177 47 4 30 70 6 0 2 174 8 4 789
Estrada, Marco proj: 718 166 35 4 29 59 4 4 4 173 14 5 789
Grilli, Jason 2017: 86 24 6 0 9 9 0 0 0 23 1 0 95
Grilli, Jason proj: 83 21 4 1 2 9 1 1 1 22 1 0 95
Happ, J.A. 2017: 550 141 21 3 18 46 4 1 0 133 8 2 601
Happ, J.A. proj: 538 135 30 3 17 53 4 4 2 121 7 3 601
Harrell, Lucas 2017: 29 10 1 0 1 4 0 0 0 6 0 0 33
Harrell, Lucas proj: 29 8 1 0 1 4 0 0 0 5 1 0 33
House, T.J. 2017: 9 3 1 0 0 1 0 0 0 1 0 0 10
House, T.J. proj: 9 3 0 0 0 1 0 0 0 2 0 0 10
Howell, J.P. 2017: 45 13 6 0 2 7 0 0 0 6 0 0 52
Howell, J.P. proj: 45 11 2 0 1 5 0 0 1 11 1 0 51
Koehler, Tom 2017: 59 13 3 0 1 5 1 0 2 15 0 0 67
Koehler, Tom proj: 59 15 3 0 2 6 0 0 1 12 1 1 66
Latos, Mat 2017: 61 19 6 0 5 8 0 0 1 10 1 1 70
Latos, Mat proj: 63 15 3 0 2 5 0 1 0 15 2 0 69
Lawrence, Casey 2017: 59 21 5 0 2 11 1 1 0 7 3 0 72
Lawrence, Casey proj: 64 21 3 0 3 7 1 0 0 14 2 0 72
Leone, Dominic 2017: 247 50 16 3 5 23 3 0 0 77 5 0 273
Leone, Dominic proj: 242 60 15 2 7 25 4 0 2 65 5 2 273
Liriano, Francisco 2017: 325 91 22 3 11 43 3 2 2 74 7 3 375
Liriano, Francisco proj: 329 80 15 2 9 38 2 2 3 89 7 2 374
Loup, Aaron 2017: 221 59 10 0 4 27 0 5 6 63 4 1 259
Loup, Aaron proj: 229 57 11 2 5 18 2 3 6 55 4 3 258
Mayza, Tim 2017: 64 24 6 0 3 4 0 0 0 21 2 1 68
Mayza, Tim proj: 64 24 6 0 3 4 0 0 0 21 2 1 68
Osuna, Roberto 2017: 228 46 7 1 3 9 2 1 3 82 6 0 243
Osuna, Roberto proj: 226 45 10 1 6 12 2 1 2 72 4 1 243
Ramirez, Carlos 2017: 38 4 2 0 2 3 0 0 1 10 1 0 42
Ramirez, Carlos proj: 38 4 2 0 2 3 0 0 1 10 1 0 42
Rowley, Chris 2017: 75 23 2 3 4 10 0 0 0 11 1 0 85
Rowley, Chris proj: 75 23 2 3 4 10 0 0 0 11 1 0 85
Sanchez, Aaron 2017: 146 42 7 0 6 20 0 0 1 24 5 1 167
Sanchez, Aaron proj: 149 33 6 0 4 16 0 1 1 31 3 1 167
Santos, Luis 2017: 54 13 5 0 3 4 0 0 0 11 0 0 58
Santos, Luis proj: 54 13 5 0 3 4 0 0 0 11 0 0 58
Smith, Chris 2017: 22 7 3 1 1 1 0 0 0 1 0 0 23
Smith, Chris proj: 22 7 3 1 1 1 0 0 0 1 0 0 23
Smith, Joe 2017: 131 30 5 0 3 10 1 1 1 51 2 1 144
Smith, Joe proj: 128 29 5 1 3 12 0 1 2 30 2 1 143
Sparkman, Glenn 2017: 11 9 3 0 0 1 0 0 0 1 2 0 12
Sparkman, Glenn proj: 11 9 3 0 0 1 0 0 0 1 2 0 12
Stroman, Marcus 2017: 746 195 33 1 20 61 4 0 6 162 10 5 817
Stroman, Marcus proj: 756 194 35 2 18 53 3 1 5 162 10 4 818
Tepera, Ryan 2017: 274 57 12 1 7 31 1 1 8 78 11 2 315
Tepera, Ryan proj: 278 58 10 1 10 27 1 1 8 70 7 1 315
Tepesch, Nick 2017: 56 17 3 0 5 7 0 1 3 7 0 0 67
Tepesch, Nick proj: 60 17 4 0 2 5 1 0 1 9 1 0 67
Valdez, Cesar 2017: 88 27 11 1 3 7 0 0 1 16 0 2 96
Valdez, Cesar proj: 87 28 7 1 4 9 0 0 1 14 0 1 97
2017 TEAM TOTALS: 5474 1412 303 25 196 538 37 14 48 1320 114 25 6111
PROJECTED: 5504 1373 278 28 176 493 34 25 54 1291 109 33 6110
difference: -30 +39 +25 -3 +20 +45 +3 -11 -6 +29 +5 -8 +1
Man AB H 2B 3B HR BB SF SH HBP SO SB CS BFP


Assorted Team Stats:
Stat Actual Projected
Batting Average: .258 .249
Slugging Average: .430 .406
Walks (per PA): .088 .081
SOs (per PA): .216 .211
On-Base Average: .327 .314
Power Factor: 1.67 1.63
OPS: .757 .720
TPP Runs (to date): 766 702

Runs differential:
Actual TPP 64 more than Projected TPP.




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This page was last modified on Monday, 25 September 2017, at 7:16 am Pacific Time.