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TOR "Expected" Pitching Results, 2019


About These Stats:

The form of "projection" used is very simple: each man's career numbers are pro-rated by his actual number of batters faced to date this season; those data, labelled "proj:" are shown along with the man's actual stats from this year to date. At the bottom of the Table, each set of lines—"projected" and actual—is separately summed to get Team Totals for each dataset.

Note that "career to date" includes each man's stats for the current year: "to date" is literally correct. For veteran players, that matters little, but for rookies or players with litle prior major-league experience, it means that the "projection" will perforce nearly or exactly match the actual stats to date. That seems like the best way to deal with newly arrived players' stats.

Note that owing to rounding in the pro-rating process, projected total BFP (batters faced) may occasionally differ by 1.

Below the player/team table is a smaller table showing a few key team "rate" stats (such as batting average) actual and projected.

The Actual Data:

Through games of Tuesday, 18 June 2019.
All results are from true, unadjusted data.

Handedness Key:   + R   * L

(You can also look up the stat definitions.)

Pitchers, listed in alphabetical order:
Each name is a click-on link to that man's career stats.

(or see the data for Batting)


Man AB H 2B 3B HR BB SF SH HBP SO SB CS BFP
Biagini, Joe 2019: 116 25 6 1 6 9 0 0 1 30 0 1 126
Biagini, Joe proj: 114 31 6 1 4 9 1 0 1 24 4 1 125
Buchholz, Clay 2019: 102 32 8 0 5 6 0 0 0 12 3 1 108
Buchholz, Clay proj: 97 24 5 0 3 9 1 0 1 20 1 1 108
Cordero, Jimmy 2019: 5 2 0 0 1 0 0 0 0 0 0 0 5
Cordero, Jimmy proj: 4 1 0 0 0 1 0 0 0 1 0 0 5
Feierabend, Ryan 2019: 28 11 2 0 2 1 0 0 0 4 1 1 29
Feierabend, Ryan proj: 26 9 2 0 1 2 0 0 0 4 0 0 28
Gaviglio, Sam 2019: 185 44 10 0 12 7 1 0 2 45 2 2 195
Gaviglio, Sam proj: 178 48 10 1 9 13 1 1 2 37 5 2 195
Giles, Ken 2019: 92 19 6 0 1 7 0 0 0 42 1 1 99
Giles, Ken proj: 90 20 4 1 2 7 0 1 0 33 1 0 98
Guerra, Javy 2019: 52 12 6 0 1 5 0 1 1 15 0 0 59
Guerra, Javy proj: 51 13 3 0 1 6 1 1 1 11 0 0 60
Hudson, Daniel 2019: 115 23 7 0 5 18 0 0 2 29 3 1 135
Hudson, Daniel proj: 122 30 6 1 3 11 1 1 1 28 2 1 136
Jackson, Edwin 2019: 118 46 15 0 12 12 0 0 2 17 2 1 132
Jackson, Edwin proj: 118 32 7 1 4 12 1 1 1 23 3 1 133
Kingham, Nick 2019: 15 7 2 0 2 1 0 0 0 2 0 0 16
Kingham, Nick proj: 14 4 1 0 1 1 0 0 0 3 0 0 15
Law, Derek 2019: 86 23 3 1 3 9 2 2 1 25 2 1 100
Law, Derek proj: 90 23 4 1 2 7 1 1 1 22 1 1 100
Luciano, Elvis 2019: 111 33 10 0 4 23 1 0 3 22 2 0 138
Luciano, Elvis proj: 111 33 10 0 4 23 1 0 3 22 2 0 138
Maile, Luke 2019: 7 1 0 0 0 0 0 0 1 3 0 0 8
Maile, Luke proj: 7 1 0 0 0 0 0 0 1 3 0 0 8
Mayza, Tim 2019: 95 20 5 0 2 16 1 1 0 30 1 0 113
Mayza, Tim proj: 100 25 6 0 3 11 0 0 1 32 2 1 112
Pannone, Thomas 2019: 136 35 5 1 6 19 2 0 2 36 1 0 159
Pannone, Thomas proj: 138 34 5 1 6 16 2 0 2 30 2 0 158
Phelps, David 2019: 3 0 0 0 0 1 0 0 0 1 0 0 4
Phelps, David proj: 4 1 0 0 0 0 0 0 0 1 0 0 4
Reid-Foley, Sean 2019: 10 4 0 0 1 2 1 0 1 3 0 0 14
Reid-Foley, Sean proj: 12 3 0 0 1 2 0 0 0 4 0 0 14
Richard, Clayton 2019: 79 23 7 1 4 13 1 0 2 12 0 1 95
Richard, Clayton proj: 86 24 5 1 3 8 0 1 1 14 1 1 96
Romano, Jordan 2019: 6 0 0 0 0 0 0 0 0 3 0 0 6
Romano, Jordan proj: 6 0 0 0 0 0 0 0 0 3 0 0 6
Rosscup, Zac 2019: 6 3 1 0 0 2 0 0 0 2 0 0 8
Rosscup, Zac proj: 7 2 0 0 0 1 0 0 0 2 0 0 8
Sanchez, Aaron 2019: 288 77 11 1 10 43 3 0 7 65 7 2 341
Sanchez, Aaron proj: 300 71 12 1 8 36 2 1 4 64 6 3 343
Shafer, Justin 2019: 28 8 1 0 2 8 0 0 0 7 0 0 36
Shafer, Justin proj: 28 7 1 0 1 7 0 0 0 4 0 0 35
Shoemaker, Matt 2019: 98 16 3 1 3 9 0 0 1 24 0 2 108
Shoemaker, Matt proj: 100 25 5 0 4 6 1 0 1 23 2 1 108
Stroman, Marcus 2019: 364 91 16 1 9 29 1 0 0 71 7 4 394
Stroman, Marcus proj: 363 95 17 1 9 27 1 0 2 75 5 2 393
Tepera, Ryan 2019: 43 12 2 0 4 6 1 1 0 9 0 0 51
Tepera, Ryan proj: 45 10 2 0 2 5 0 0 1 12 1 0 51
Thornton, Trent 2019: 291 70 14 2 11 37 1 0 1 80 1 3 330
Thornton, Trent proj: 291 70 14 2 11 37 1 0 1 80 1 3 330
Waguespack, Jacob 2019: 15 3 2 0 0 1 0 0 1 7 0 0 17
Waguespack, Jacob proj: 15 3 2 0 0 1 0 0 1 7 0 0 17
2019 TEAM TOTALS: 2494 640 142 9 106 284 15 5 28 596 33 21 2826
PROJECTED: 2517 639 127 12 82 258 15 8 26 582 39 18 2824
difference: -23 +1 +15 -3 +24 +26 0 -3 +2 +14 -6 +3 +2
Man AB H 2B 3B HR BB SF SH HBP SO SB CS BFP


Assorted Team Stats:
Stat Actual Projected
Batting Average: .257 .254
Slugging Average: .448 .412
Walks (per PA): .100 .091
SOs (per PA): .211 .206
On-Base Average: .337 .327
Power Factor: 1.75 1.62
OPS: .785 .738
TPP Runs (to date): 369 336

Runs differential:
Actual TPP 33 more than Projected TPP.




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This page was last modified on Wednesday, 19 June 2019, at 6:58 am Pacific Time.