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TOR "Expected" Pitching Results, 2018


About These Stats:

The form of "projection" used is very simple: each man's career numbers are pro-rated by his actual number of batters faced to date this season; those data, labelled "proj:" are shown along with the man's actual stats from this year to date. At the bottom of the Table, each set of lines—"projected" and actual—is separately summed to get Team Totals for each dataset.

Note that "career to date" includes each man's stats for the current year: "to date" is literally correct. For veteran players, that matters little, but for rookies or players with litle prior major-league experience, it means that the "projection" will perforce nearly or exactly match the actual stats to date. That seems like the best way to deal with newly arrived players' stats.

Note that owing to rounding in the pro-rating process, projected total BFP (batters faced) may occasionally differ by 1.

Below the player/team table is a smaller table showing a few key team "rate" stats (such as batting average) actual and projected.

The Actual Data:

Through games of Friday, 20 July 2018.
All results are from true, unadjusted data.

Handedness Key:   + R   * L

(You can also look up the stat definitions.)

Pitchers, listed in alphabetical order:
Each name is a click-on link to that man's career stats.

(or see the data for Batting)


Man AB H 2B 3B HR BB SF SH HBP SO SB CS BFP
Axford, John 2018: 167 38 6 0 5 18 1 0 2 44 2 2 188
Axford, John proj: 163 39 6 1 4 21 1 1 1 48 3 1 187
Barnes, Danny 2018: 114 30 7 1 5 17 1 0 1 27 10 1 133
Barnes, Danny proj: 118 27 6 0 5 13 1 0 1 30 5 1 133
Biagini, Joe 2018: 179 55 9 1 7 14 0 0 3 33 6 3 196
Biagini, Joe proj: 178 48 9 1 5 15 1 0 2 37 6 1 196
Borucki, Ryan 2018: 94 27 6 2 0 10 0 0 0 21 1 0 104
Borucki, Ryan proj: 94 27 6 2 0 10 0 0 0 21 1 0 104
Clippard, Tyler 2018: 169 37 11 0 9 16 1 2 1 55 5 2 189
Clippard, Tyler proj: 166 33 7 1 6 19 2 2 1 51 3 1 190
Cruz, Rhiner 2018: 13 3 2 0 0 2 0 0 0 4 0 0 15
Cruz, Rhiner proj: 13 4 1 0 0 2 0 0 0 2 0 0 15
Estrada, Marco 2018: 350 93 35 0 15 25 2 0 0 70 5 4 377
Estrada, Marco proj: 344 81 18 2 14 28 2 2 2 81 6 2 378
Garcia, Jaime 2018: 245 68 17 2 12 34 2 1 3 56 7 3 285
Garcia, Jaime proj: 258 67 14 1 7 22 2 2 1 55 4 2 285
Gaviglio, Sam 2018: 252 64 11 0 12 19 2 2 4 61 8 3 279
Gaviglio, Sam proj: 251 66 14 0 13 21 2 1 3 52 8 3 278
Guilmet, Preston 2018: 34 11 5 0 4 4 0 1 0 5 0 0 39
Guilmet, Preston proj: 35 11 3 0 2 3 1 0 0 7 0 0 39
Happ, J.A. 2018: 415 95 16 0 17 35 1 1 4 121 5 1 456
Happ, J.A. proj: 409 102 22 2 13 40 3 3 2 94 5 2 457
Loup, Aaron 2018: 130 39 12 0 3 12 3 0 3 36 2 1 148
Loup, Aaron proj: 131 33 7 1 3 11 2 2 3 32 2 2 149
Mayza, Tim 2018: 62 17 5 0 3 6 0 0 1 17 1 1 69
Mayza, Tim proj: 64 19 5 0 3 5 0 0 0 21 1 1 69
McGuire, Deck 2018: 34 9 3 1 2 5 0 0 0 7 0 0 39
McGuire, Deck proj: 34 8 2 0 2 4 0 0 1 8 0 0 39
Morales, Kendrys 2018: 3 0 0 0 0 1 0 0 0 0 0 0 4
Morales, Kendrys proj: 3 0 0 0 0 1 0 0 0 0 0 0 4
Oh, Seunghwan 2018: 167 37 7 1 5 10 3 0 3 54 0 0 183
Oh, Seunghwan proj: 168 39 6 0 5 10 2 1 2 51 0 0 183
Osuna, Roberto 2018: 60 16 3 0 0 1 0 0 2 13 1 0 63
Osuna, Roberto proj: 59 12 3 0 1 3 1 0 1 18 1 0 64
Petricka, Jake 2018: 75 23 5 1 2 7 0 0 0 12 1 0 82
Petricka, Jake proj: 72 20 4 0 1 8 1 1 0 14 1 0 82
Ramirez, Carlos 2018: 8 1 0 0 0 5 0 0 0 3 0 0 13
Ramirez, Carlos proj: 11 1 0 0 0 2 0 0 0 3 0 0 13
Rowley, Chris 2018: 5 2 0 0 1 1 0 0 0 0 0 0 6
Rowley, Chris proj: 5 2 0 0 0 1 0 0 0 1 0 0 6
Sanchez, Aaron 2018: 305 75 15 2 8 45 2 0 6 67 8 1 358
Sanchez, Aaron proj: 317 72 13 1 8 36 1 1 3 67 7 2 358
Santos, Luis 2018: 32 11 4 0 1 4 1 0 0 9 0 1 37
Santos, Luis proj: 34 9 3 0 2 3 0 0 0 9 0 0 37
Stroman, Marcus 2018: 261 73 12 0 8 26 2 2 0 52 3 0 291
Stroman, Marcus proj: 268 70 12 1 7 20 1 0 2 57 3 1 291
Tepera, Ryan 2018: 145 35 10 0 5 13 1 0 1 45 5 3 160
Tepera, Ryan proj: 142 31 6 0 5 13 0 0 3 38 4 1 158
2018 TEAM TOTALS: 3319 859 201 11 124 330 22 9 34 812 70 26 3714
PROJECTED: 3337 821 167 13 106 311 23 16 28 797 60 20 3715
difference: -18 +38 +34 -2 +18 +19 -1 -7 +6 +15 +10 +6 -1
Man AB H 2B 3B HR BB SF SH HBP SO SB CS BFP


Assorted Team Stats:
Stat Actual Projected
Batting Average: .259 .246
Slugging Average: .438 .399
Walks (per PA): .089 .084
SOs (per PA): .219 .215
On-Base Average: .329 .312
Power Factor: 1.69 1.62
OPS: .767 .711
TPP Runs (to date): 470 416

Runs differential:
Actual TPP 54 more than Projected TPP.




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This page was last modified on Saturday, 21 July 2018, at 6:59 am Pacific Time.