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Baseball team and player performance examined realistically and accurately.
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2024 Projected Team-Performances


All raw data supplied courtesy of Baseball-Reference.com.
They do a wonderful job, and deserve your support.

Through games of Monday, 30 September 2024.
All results are from true, unadjusted data.


2024 Expected Team Performances

These tables use the data found on the Projected Team Batting and Projected Team Pitching pages, which—see the explanations on those pages for details—project expected team runs scored and yielded based on the players’ and pitchers’ career stats to date, pro-rated by their actual percentages of team play time. The runs-scored and runs-allowed stats from those are then here used to calculate “expected” wins. These tables are essentially the answer to “How good are they really?”

But…these results depend heavily on just which players and pitchers get how much play time each, things that can vary considerably depending on many things, notably injuries and managerial whim—so this is not an “ultimate measure” of a team’s potential unless player use was perfectly optimal (meaning, to slightly over-simplify, that the best players got the most time).

(Team names are click-on links to their player/pitcher career stats.)


Teams Listed Alphabetically by Name
Team Pct Wins
Angels 0.444 72
Astros 0.568 92
Athletics 0.438 71
Blue Jays 0.537 87
Braves 0.593 96
Brewers 0.531 86
Cardinals 0.549 89
Cubs 0.543 88
Diamondbacks 0.543 88
Dodgers 0.623 101
Giants 0.519 84
Guardians 0.549 89
Mariners 0.586 95
Marlins 0.395 64
Mets 0.568 92
Nationals 0.451 73
Orioles 0.549 89
Padres 0.562 91
Phillies 0.574 93
Pirates 0.512 83
Rangers 0.494 80
Rays 0.500 81
Red Sox 0.531 86
Reds 0.506 82
Rockies 0.389 63
Royals 0.512 83
Tigers 0.525 85
Twins 0.531 86
White Sox 0.377 61
Yankees 0.605 98



Teams Listed by Projected Performance
Team Pct Wins
Dodgers 0.623 101
Yankees 0.605 98
Braves 0.593 96
Mariners 0.586 95
Phillies 0.574 93
Mets 0.568 92
Astros 0.568 92
Padres 0.562 91
Orioles 0.549 89
Guardians 0.549 89
Cardinals 0.549 89
Diamondbacks 0.543 88
Cubs 0.543 88
Blue Jays 0.537 87
Twins 0.531 86
Red Sox 0.531 86
Brewers 0.531 86
Tigers 0.525 85
Giants 0.519 84
Royals 0.512 83
Pirates 0.512 83
Reds 0.506 82
Rays 0.500 81
Rangers 0.494 80
Nationals 0.451 73
Angels 0.444 72
Athletics 0.438 71
Marlins 0.395 64
Rockies 0.389 63
White Sox 0.377 61



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This page was last modified on Saturday, 5 October 2024, at 4:38 pm Pacific Time.