Click here to search this site.  

2024 Projected Team-Performances

All raw data supplied courtesy of Baseball-Reference.com.
They do a wonderful job, and deserve your support.

Through games of Thursday, 25 April 2024.
All results are from true, unadjusted data.

These tables use the data found on the Projected Team Batting and Projected Team Pitching pages, which—see the explanations on those pages for details—project expected team runs scored and yielded based on the players’ and pitchers’ career stats to date, pro-rated by their actual percentages of team play time. The runs-scored and runs-allowed stats from those are then here used to calculate “expected” wins. These tables are essentially the answer to “How good are they really?”

But…these results depend heavily on just which players and pitchers get how much play time each, things that can vary considerably depending on many things, notably injuries and managerial whim—so this is not an “ultimate measure” of a team’s potential unless player use was perfectly optimal (meaning, to slightly over-simplify, that the best players got the most time).

Teams Listed Alphabetically by Name
Team	Pct	Wins
Angels	0.525	85
Astros	0.556	90
Athletics	0.426	69
Blue Jays	0.568	92
Braves	0.630	102
Brewers	0.494	80
Cardinals	0.525	85
Cubs	0.599	97
Diamondbacks	0.562	91
Dodgers	0.642	104
Giants	0.556	90
Guardians	0.549	89
Mariners	0.568	92
Marlins	0.444	72
Mets	0.556	90
Nationals	0.475	77
Orioles	0.568	92
Padres	0.574	93
Phillies	0.586	95
Pirates	0.543	88
Rangers	0.512	83
Rays	0.525	85
Red Sox	0.543	88
Reds	0.537	87
Rockies	0.414	67
Royals	0.519	84
Tigers	0.506	82
Twins	0.531	86
White Sox	0.395	64
Yankees	0.617	100

Teams Listed by Projected Performance
Team	Pct	Wins
Dodgers	0.642	104
Braves	0.630	102
Yankees	0.617	100
Cubs	0.599	97
Phillies	0.586	95
Padres	0.574	93
Orioles	0.568	92
Mariners	0.568	92
Blue Jays	0.568	92
Diamondbacks	0.562	91
Mets	0.556	90
Giants	0.556	90
Astros	0.556	90
Guardians	0.549	89
Red Sox	0.543	88
Pirates	0.543	88
Reds	0.537	87
Twins	0.531	86
Rays	0.525	85
Cardinals	0.525	85
Angels	0.525	85
Royals	0.519	84
Rangers	0.512	83
Tigers	0.506	82
Brewers	0.494	80
Nationals	0.475	77
Marlins	0.444	72
Athletics	0.426	69
Rockies	0.414	67
White Sox	0.395	64

Want detailed, careful, unhysterical analysis of the effects of “Performance-Enhancing Drugs” in baseball? Click here to visit the Steroids & Baseball web site.