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2024 Projected Team-Performances


All raw data supplied courtesy of Baseball-Reference.com.
They do a wonderful job, and deserve your support.

Through games of Thursday, 5 September 2024.
All results are from true, unadjusted data.


2024 Expected Team Performances

These tables use the data found on the Projected Team Batting and Projected Team Pitching pages, which—see the explanations on those pages for details—project expected team runs scored and yielded based on the players’ and pitchers’ career stats to date, pro-rated by their actual percentages of team play time. The runs-scored and runs-allowed stats from those are then here used to calculate “expected” wins. These tables are essentially the answer to “How good are they really?”

But…these results depend heavily on just which players and pitchers get how much play time each, things that can vary considerably depending on many things, notably injuries and managerial whim—so this is not an “ultimate measure” of a team’s potential unless player use was perfectly optimal (meaning, to slightly over-simplify, that the best players got the most time).

(Team names are click-on links to their player/pitcher career stats.)


Teams Listed Alphabetically by Name
Team Pct Wins
Angels 0.457 74
Astros 0.568 92
Athletics 0.451 73
Blue Jays 0.543 88
Braves 0.586 95
Brewers 0.537 87
Cardinals 0.562 91
Cubs 0.556 90
Diamondbacks 0.543 88
Dodgers 0.617 100
Giants 0.519 84
Guardians 0.537 87
Mariners 0.574 93
Marlins 0.395 64
Mets 0.568 92
Nationals 0.457 74
Orioles 0.556 90
Padres 0.549 89
Phillies 0.580 94
Pirates 0.512 83
Rangers 0.494 80
Rays 0.506 82
Red Sox 0.537 87
Reds 0.519 84
Rockies 0.395 64
Royals 0.512 83
Tigers 0.506 82
Twins 0.556 90
White Sox 0.370 60
Yankees 0.611 99



Teams Listed by Projected Performance
Team Pct Wins
Dodgers 0.617 100
Yankees 0.611 99
Braves 0.586 95
Phillies 0.580 94
Mariners 0.574 93
Mets 0.568 92
Astros 0.568 92
Cardinals 0.562 91
Twins 0.556 90
Orioles 0.556 90
Cubs 0.556 90
Padres 0.549 89
Diamondbacks 0.543 88
Blue Jays 0.543 88
Red Sox 0.537 87
Guardians 0.537 87
Brewers 0.537 87
Reds 0.519 84
Giants 0.519 84
Royals 0.512 83
Pirates 0.512 83
Tigers 0.506 82
Rays 0.506 82
Rangers 0.494 80
Nationals 0.457 74
Angels 0.457 74
Athletics 0.451 73
Rockies 0.395 64
Marlins 0.395 64
White Sox 0.370 60




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This page was last modified on Saturday, 7 September 2024, at 7:53 am Pacific Time.