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2024 Projected Team-Performances

All raw data supplied courtesy of Baseball-Reference.com.
They do a wonderful job, and deserve your support.

Through games of Monday, 30 September 2024.
All results are from true, unadjusted data.

These tables use the data found on the Projected Team Batting and Projected Team Pitching pages, which—see the explanations on those pages for details—project expected team runs scored and yielded based on the players’ and pitchers’ career stats to date, pro-rated by their actual percentages of team play time. The runs-scored and runs-allowed stats from those are then here used to calculate “expected” wins. These tables are essentially the answer to “How good are they really?”

But…these results depend heavily on just which players and pitchers get how much play time each, things that can vary considerably depending on many things, notably injuries and managerial whim—so this is not an “ultimate measure” of a team’s potential unless player use was perfectly optimal (meaning, to slightly over-simplify, that the best players got the most time).

Teams Listed Alphabetically by Name
Team	Pct	Wins
Angels	0.444	72
Astros	0.568	92
Athletics	0.438	71
Blue Jays	0.537	87
Braves	0.593	96
Brewers	0.531	86
Cardinals	0.549	89
Cubs	0.543	88
Diamondbacks	0.543	88
Dodgers	0.623	101
Giants	0.519	84
Guardians	0.549	89
Mariners	0.586	95
Marlins	0.395	64
Mets	0.568	92
Nationals	0.451	73
Orioles	0.549	89
Padres	0.562	91
Phillies	0.574	93
Pirates	0.512	83
Rangers	0.494	80
Rays	0.500	81
Red Sox	0.531	86
Reds	0.506	82
Rockies	0.389	63
Royals	0.512	83
Tigers	0.525	85
Twins	0.531	86
White Sox	0.377	61
Yankees	0.605	98

Teams Listed by Projected Performance
Team	Pct	Wins
Dodgers	0.623	101
Yankees	0.605	98
Braves	0.593	96
Mariners	0.586	95
Phillies	0.574	93
Mets	0.568	92
Astros	0.568	92
Padres	0.562	91
Orioles	0.549	89
Guardians	0.549	89
Cardinals	0.549	89
Diamondbacks	0.543	88
Cubs	0.543	88
Blue Jays	0.537	87
Twins	0.531	86
Red Sox	0.531	86
Brewers	0.531	86
Tigers	0.525	85
Giants	0.519	84
Royals	0.512	83
Pirates	0.512	83
Reds	0.506	82
Rays	0.500	81
Rangers	0.494	80
Nationals	0.451	73
Angels	0.444	72
Athletics	0.438	71
Marlins	0.395	64
Rockies	0.389	63
White Sox	0.377	61

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