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2024 Projected Team-Performances

All raw data supplied courtesy of Baseball-Reference.com.
They do a wonderful job, and deserve your support.

Through games of Thursday, 5 September 2024.
All results are from true, unadjusted data.

These tables use the data found on the Projected Team Batting and Projected Team Pitching pages, which—see the explanations on those pages for details—project expected team runs scored and yielded based on the players’ and pitchers’ career stats to date, pro-rated by their actual percentages of team play time. The runs-scored and runs-allowed stats from those are then here used to calculate “expected” wins. These tables are essentially the answer to “How good are they really?”

But…these results depend heavily on just which players and pitchers get how much play time each, things that can vary considerably depending on many things, notably injuries and managerial whim—so this is not an “ultimate measure” of a team’s potential unless player use was perfectly optimal (meaning, to slightly over-simplify, that the best players got the most time).

Teams Listed Alphabetically by Name
Team	Pct	Wins
Angels	0.457	74
Astros	0.568	92
Athletics	0.451	73
Blue Jays	0.543	88
Braves	0.586	95
Brewers	0.537	87
Cardinals	0.562	91
Cubs	0.556	90
Diamondbacks	0.543	88
Dodgers	0.617	100
Giants	0.519	84
Guardians	0.537	87
Mariners	0.574	93
Marlins	0.395	64
Mets	0.568	92
Nationals	0.457	74
Orioles	0.556	90
Padres	0.549	89
Phillies	0.580	94
Pirates	0.512	83
Rangers	0.494	80
Rays	0.506	82
Red Sox	0.537	87
Reds	0.519	84
Rockies	0.395	64
Royals	0.512	83
Tigers	0.506	82
Twins	0.556	90
White Sox	0.370	60
Yankees	0.611	99

Teams Listed by Projected Performance
Team	Pct	Wins
Dodgers	0.617	100
Yankees	0.611	99
Braves	0.586	95
Phillies	0.580	94
Mariners	0.574	93
Mets	0.568	92
Astros	0.568	92
Cardinals	0.562	91
Twins	0.556	90
Orioles	0.556	90
Cubs	0.556	90
Padres	0.549	89
Diamondbacks	0.543	88
Blue Jays	0.543	88
Red Sox	0.537	87
Guardians	0.537	87
Brewers	0.537	87
Reds	0.519	84
Giants	0.519	84
Royals	0.512	83
Pirates	0.512	83
Tigers	0.506	82
Rays	0.506	82
Rangers	0.494	80
Nationals	0.457	74
Angels	0.457	74
Athletics	0.451	73
Rockies	0.395	64
Marlins	0.395	64
White Sox	0.370	60

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