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2026 Projected Team-Performances

All raw data supplied courtesy of Baseball-Reference.com.
They do a wonderful job, and deserve your support.

Through games of Thursday, 2 July 2026.
All results are from true, unadjusted data.

These tables use the data found on the Projected Team Batting and Projected Team Pitching pages, which—see the explanations on those pages for details—project expected team runs scored and yielded based on the players’ and pitchers’ career stats to date, pro-rated by their actual percentages of team play time. The runs-scored and runs-allowed stats from those are then here used to calculate “expected” wins. These tables are essentially the answer to “How good are they really?”

But…these results depend heavily on just which players and pitchers get how much play time each, things that can vary considerably depending on many things, notably injuries and managerial whim—so this is not an “ultimate measure” of a team’s potential unless player use was perfectly optimal (meaning, to slightly over-simplify, that the best players got the most time).

Teams Listed Alphabetically by Name
Team	Pct	Wins
Angels	0.469	76
Astros	0.469	76
Athletics	0.506	82
Blue Jays	0.543	88
Braves	0.562	91
Brewers	0.562	91
Cardinals	0.481	78
Cubs	0.568	92
Diamondbacks	0.512	83
Dodgers	0.654	106
Giants	0.519	84
Guardians	0.519	84
Mariners	0.574	93
Marlins	0.525	85
Mets	0.580	94
Nationals	0.426	69
Orioles	0.500	81
Padres	0.543	88
Phillies	0.562	91
Pirates	0.556	90
Rangers	0.512	83
Rays	0.506	82
Red Sox	0.537	87
Reds	0.500	81
Rockies	0.420	68
Royals	0.512	83
Tigers	0.556	90
Twins	0.457	74
White Sox	0.481	78
Yankees	0.580	94

Teams Listed by Projected Performance
Team	Pct	Wins
Dodgers	0.654	106
Yankees	0.580	94
Mets	0.580	94
Mariners	0.574	93
Cubs	0.568	92
Phillies	0.562	91
Brewers	0.562	91
Braves	0.562	91
Tigers	0.556	90
Pirates	0.556	90
Padres	0.543	88
Blue Jays	0.543	88
Red Sox	0.537	87
Marlins	0.525	85
Guardians	0.519	84
Giants	0.519	84
Royals	0.512	83
Rangers	0.512	83
Diamondbacks	0.512	83
Rays	0.506	82
Athletics	0.506	82
Reds	0.500	81
Orioles	0.500	81
White Sox	0.481	78
Cardinals	0.481	78
Astros	0.469	76
Angels	0.469	76
Twins	0.457	74
Nationals	0.426	69
Rockies	0.420	68

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