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2025 Projected Team-Performances

All raw data supplied courtesy of Baseball-Reference.com.
They do a wonderful job, and deserve your support.

Through games of Monday, 12 May 2025.
All results are from true, unadjusted data.

These tables use the data found on the Projected Team Batting and Projected Team Pitching pages, which—see the explanations on those pages for details—project expected team runs scored and yielded based on the players’ and pitchers’ career stats to date, pro-rated by their actual percentages of team play time. The runs-scored and runs-allowed stats from those are then here used to calculate “expected” wins. These tables are essentially the answer to “How good are they really?”

But…these results depend heavily on just which players and pitchers get how much play time each, things that can vary considerably depending on many things, notably injuries and managerial whim—so this is not an “ultimate measure” of a team’s potential unless player use was perfectly optimal (meaning, to slightly over-simplify, that the best players got the most time).

Teams Listed Alphabetically by Name
Team	Pct	Wins
Angels	0.481	78
Astros	0.549	89
Athletics	0.457	74
Blue Jays	0.531	86
Braves	0.599	97
Brewers	0.463	75
Cardinals	0.537	87
Cubs	0.562	91
Diamondbacks	0.562	91
Dodgers	0.660	107
Giants	0.568	92
Guardians	0.500	81
Mariners	0.512	83
Marlins	0.352	57
Mets	0.593	96
Nationals	0.438	71
Orioles	0.500	81
Padres	0.525	85
Phillies	0.617	100
Pirates	0.512	83
Rangers	0.500	81
Rays	0.506	82
Red Sox	0.605	98
Reds	0.481	78
Rockies	0.377	61
Royals	0.543	88
Tigers	0.531	86
Twins	0.519	84
White Sox	0.401	65
Yankees	0.580	94

Teams Listed by Projected Performance
Team	Pct	Wins
Dodgers	0.660	107
Phillies	0.617	100
Red Sox	0.605	98
Braves	0.599	97
Mets	0.593	96
Yankees	0.580	94
Giants	0.568	92
Diamondbacks	0.562	91
Cubs	0.562	91
Astros	0.549	89
Royals	0.543	88
Cardinals	0.537	87
Tigers	0.531	86
Blue Jays	0.531	86
Padres	0.525	85
Twins	0.519	84
Pirates	0.512	83
Mariners	0.512	83
Rays	0.506	82
Rangers	0.500	81
Orioles	0.500	81
Guardians	0.500	81
Reds	0.481	78
Angels	0.481	78
Brewers	0.463	75
Athletics	0.457	74
Nationals	0.438	71
White Sox	0.401	65
Rockies	0.377	61
Marlins	0.352	57

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