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2026 Projected Team-Performances

All raw data supplied courtesy of Baseball-Reference.com.
They do a wonderful job, and deserve your support.

Through games of Friday, 15 May 2026.
All results are from true, unadjusted data.

These tables use the data found on the Projected Team Batting and Projected Team Pitching pages, which—see the explanations on those pages for details—project expected team runs scored and yielded based on the players’ and pitchers’ career stats to date, pro-rated by their actual percentages of team play time. The runs-scored and runs-allowed stats from those are then here used to calculate “expected” wins. These tables are essentially the answer to “How good are they really?”

But…these results depend heavily on just which players and pitchers get how much play time each, things that can vary considerably depending on many things, notably injuries and managerial whim—so this is not an “ultimate measure” of a team’s potential unless player use was perfectly optimal (meaning, to slightly over-simplify, that the best players got the most time).

Teams Listed Alphabetically by Name
Team	Pct	Wins
Angels	0.457	74
Astros	0.463	75
Athletics	0.537	87
Blue Jays	0.525	85
Braves	0.574	93
Brewers	0.549	89
Cardinals	0.488	79
Cubs	0.580	94
Diamondbacks	0.494	80
Dodgers	0.679	110
Giants	0.525	85
Guardians	0.531	86
Mariners	0.580	94
Marlins	0.488	79
Mets	0.599	97
Nationals	0.395	64
Orioles	0.500	81
Padres	0.580	94
Phillies	0.574	93
Pirates	0.556	90
Rangers	0.537	87
Rays	0.500	81
Red Sox	0.568	92
Reds	0.525	85
Rockies	0.414	67
Royals	0.531	86
Tigers	0.543	88
Twins	0.488	79
White Sox	0.469	76
Yankees	0.611	99

Teams Listed by Projected Performance
Team	Pct	Wins
Dodgers	0.679	110
Yankees	0.611	99
Mets	0.599	97
Padres	0.580	94
Mariners	0.580	94
Cubs	0.580	94
Phillies	0.574	93
Braves	0.574	93
Red Sox	0.568	92
Pirates	0.556	90
Brewers	0.549	89
Tigers	0.543	88
Rangers	0.537	87
Athletics	0.537	87
Royals	0.531	86
Guardians	0.531	86
Reds	0.525	85
Giants	0.525	85
Blue Jays	0.525	85
Rays	0.500	81
Orioles	0.500	81
Diamondbacks	0.494	80
Twins	0.488	79
Marlins	0.488	79
Cardinals	0.488	79
White Sox	0.469	76
Astros	0.463	75
Angels	0.457	74
Rockies	0.414	67
Nationals	0.395	64

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