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Baseball team and player performance examined realistically and accurately.

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2022 Projected Team-Performances


All raw data supplied courtesy of Baseball-Reference.com.
They do a wonderful job, and deserve your support.

Through games of Friday, 3 February 2023.
All results are from true, unadjusted data.


2022 Expected Team Performances

These tables use the data found on the Projected Team Batting and Projected Team Pitching pages, which—see the explanations on those pages for details—project expected team runs scored and yielded based on the players’ and pitchers’ career stats to date, pro-rated by their actual percentages of team play time. The runs-scored and runs-allowed stats from those are then here used to calculate “expected” wins. These tables are essentially the answer to “How good are they really?”

But…these results depend heavily on just which players and pitchers get how much play time each, things that can vary considerably depending on many things, notably injuries and managerial whim—so this is not an “ultimate measure” of a team’s potential unless player use was perfectly optimal (meaning, to slightly over-simplify, that the best players got the most time).

(Team names are click-on links to their player/pitcher career stats.)


Teams Listed Alphabetically by Name
Team Pct Wins
Angels 0.500 81
Astros 0.642 104
Athletics 0.370 60
Blue Jays 0.605 98
Braves 0.642 104
Brewers 0.574 93
Cardinals 0.605 98
Cubs 0.488 79
Diamondbacks 0.494 80
Dodgers 0.698 113
Giants 0.519 84
Guardians 0.537 87
Mariners 0.562 91
Marlins 0.488 79
Mets 0.593 96
Nationals 0.457 74
Orioles 0.463 75
Padres 0.562 91
Phillies 0.586 95
Pirates 0.358 58
Rangers 0.463 75
Rays 0.512 83
Red Sox 0.506 82
Reds 0.451 73
Rockies 0.457 74
Royals 0.438 71
Tigers 0.438 71
Twins 0.525 85
White Sox 0.537 87
Yankees 0.636 103



Teams Listed by Projected Performance
Team Pct Wins
Dodgers 0.698 113
Braves 0.642 104
Astros 0.642 104
Yankees 0.636 103
Cardinals 0.605 98
Blue Jays 0.605 98
Mets 0.593 96
Phillies 0.586 95
Brewers 0.574 93
Padres 0.562 91
Mariners 0.562 91
White Sox 0.537 87
Guardians 0.537 87
Twins 0.525 85
Giants 0.519 84
Rays 0.512 83
Red Sox 0.506 82
Angels 0.500 81
Diamondbacks 0.494 80
Marlins 0.488 79
Cubs 0.488 79
Rangers 0.463 75
Orioles 0.463 75
Rockies 0.457 74
Nationals 0.457 74
Reds 0.451 73
Tigers 0.438 71
Royals 0.438 71
Athletics 0.370 60
Pirates 0.358 58




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This page was last modified on Saturday, 4 February 2023, at 2:01 pm Pacific Time.