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2025 Projected Team-Performances


All raw data supplied courtesy of Baseball-Reference.com.
They do a wonderful job, and deserve your support.

Through games of Monday, 12 May 2025.
All results are from true, unadjusted data.


2025 Expected Team Performances

These tables use the data found on the Projected Team Batting and Projected Team Pitching pages, which—see the explanations on those pages for details—project expected team runs scored and yielded based on the players’ and pitchers’ career stats to date, pro-rated by their actual percentages of team play time. The runs-scored and runs-allowed stats from those are then here used to calculate “expected” wins. These tables are essentially the answer to “How good are they really?”

But…these results depend heavily on just which players and pitchers get how much play time each, things that can vary considerably depending on many things, notably injuries and managerial whim—so this is not an “ultimate measure” of a team’s potential unless player use was perfectly optimal (meaning, to slightly over-simplify, that the best players got the most time).

(Team names are click-on links to their player/pitcher career stats.)


Teams Listed Alphabetically by Name
Team Pct Wins
Angels 0.481 78
Astros 0.549 89
Athletics 0.457 74
Blue Jays 0.531 86
Braves 0.599 97
Brewers 0.463 75
Cardinals 0.537 87
Cubs 0.562 91
Diamondbacks 0.562 91
Dodgers 0.660 107
Giants 0.568 92
Guardians 0.500 81
Mariners 0.512 83
Marlins 0.352 57
Mets 0.593 96
Nationals 0.438 71
Orioles 0.500 81
Padres 0.525 85
Phillies 0.617 100
Pirates 0.512 83
Rangers 0.500 81
Rays 0.506 82
Red Sox 0.605 98
Reds 0.481 78
Rockies 0.377 61
Royals 0.543 88
Tigers 0.531 86
Twins 0.519 84
White Sox 0.401 65
Yankees 0.580 94



Teams Listed by Projected Performance
Team Pct Wins
Dodgers 0.660 107
Phillies 0.617 100
Red Sox 0.605 98
Braves 0.599 97
Mets 0.593 96
Yankees 0.580 94
Giants 0.568 92
Diamondbacks 0.562 91
Cubs 0.562 91
Astros 0.549 89
Royals 0.543 88
Cardinals 0.537 87
Tigers 0.531 86
Blue Jays 0.531 86
Padres 0.525 85
Twins 0.519 84
Pirates 0.512 83
Mariners 0.512 83
Rays 0.506 82
Rangers 0.500 81
Orioles 0.500 81
Guardians 0.500 81
Reds 0.481 78
Angels 0.481 78
Brewers 0.463 75
Athletics 0.457 74
Nationals 0.438 71
White Sox 0.401 65
Rockies 0.377 61
Marlins 0.352 57


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This page was last modified on Tuesday, 13 May 2025, at 4:00 am Pacific Time.