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2025 Projected Team-Performances


All raw data supplied courtesy of Baseball-Reference.com.
They do a wonderful job, and deserve your support.

Through games of Sunday, 28 September 2025.
All results are from true, unadjusted data.


2025 Expected Team Performances

These tables use the data found on the Projected Team Batting and Projected Team Pitching pages, which—see the explanations on those pages for details—project expected team runs scored and yielded based on the players’ and pitchers’ career stats to date, pro-rated by their actual percentages of team play time. The runs-scored and runs-allowed stats from those are then here used to calculate “expected” wins. These tables are essentially the answer to “How good are they really?”

But…these results depend heavily on just which players and pitchers get how much play time each, things that can vary considerably depending on many things, notably injuries and managerial whim—so this is not an “ultimate measure” of a team’s potential unless player use was perfectly optimal (meaning, to slightly over-simplify, that the best players got the most time).

(Team names are click-on links to their player/pitcher career stats.)


Teams Listed Alphabetically by Name
Team Pct Wins
Angels 0.463 75
Astros 0.519 84
Athletics 0.494 80
Blue Jays 0.525 85
Braves 0.549 89
Brewers 0.549 89
Cardinals 0.494 80
Cubs 0.568 92
Diamondbacks 0.500 81
Dodgers 0.654 106
Giants 0.531 86
Guardians 0.500 81
Mariners 0.556 90
Marlins 0.438 71
Mets 0.574 93
Nationals 0.407 66
Orioles 0.457 74
Padres 0.562 91
Phillies 0.611 99
Pirates 0.519 84
Rangers 0.519 84
Rays 0.506 82
Red Sox 0.574 93
Reds 0.500 81
Rockies 0.327 53
Royals 0.525 85
Tigers 0.531 86
Twins 0.463 75
White Sox 0.420 68
Yankees 0.593 96



Teams Listed by Projected Performance
Team Pct Wins
Dodgers 0.654 106
Phillies 0.611 99
Yankees 0.593 96
Red Sox 0.574 93
Mets 0.574 93
Cubs 0.568 92
Padres 0.562 91
Mariners 0.556 90
Brewers 0.549 89
Braves 0.549 89
Tigers 0.531 86
Giants 0.531 86
Royals 0.525 85
Blue Jays 0.525 85
Rangers 0.519 84
Pirates 0.519 84
Astros 0.519 84
Rays 0.506 82
Reds 0.500 81
Guardians 0.500 81
Diamondbacks 0.500 81
Cardinals 0.494 80
Athletics 0.494 80
Twins 0.463 75
Angels 0.463 75
Orioles 0.457 74
Marlins 0.438 71
White Sox 0.420 68
Nationals 0.407 66
Rockies 0.327 53


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This page was last modified on Monday, 29 September 2025, at 12:00 pm Pacific Time.