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Baseball team and player performance examined realistically and accurately.

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2022 Projected Team-Performances


All raw data supplied courtesy of Baseball-Reference.com.
They do a wonderful job, and deserve your support.

Through games of Friday, 20 May 2022.
All results are from true, unadjusted data.


2022 Expected Team Performances

These tables use the data found on the Projected Team Batting and Projected Team Pitching pages, which—see the explanations on those pages for details—project expected team runs scored and yielded based on the players’ and pitchers’ career stats to date, pro-rated by their actual percentages of team play time. The runs-scored and runs-allowed stats from those are then here used to calculate “expected” wins. These tables are essentially the answer to “How good are they really?”

But…these results depend heavily on just which players and pitchers get how much play time each, things that can vary considerably depending on many things, notably injuries and managerial whim—so this is not an “ultimate measure” of a team’s potential unless player use was perfectly optimal (meaning, to slightly over-simplify, that the best players got the most time).

(Team names are click-on links to their player/pitcher career stats.)


Teams Listed Alphabetically by Name
Team Pct Wins
Angels 0.562 91
Astros 0.636 103
Athletics 0.383 62
Blue Jays 0.605 98
Braves 0.599 97
Brewers 0.623 101
Cardinals 0.623 101
Cubs 0.549 89
Diamondbacks 0.481 78
Dodgers 0.716 116
Giants 0.568 92
Guardians 0.519 84
Mariners 0.488 79
Marlins 0.556 90
Mets 0.611 99
Nationals 0.500 81
Orioles 0.457 74
Padres 0.556 90
Phillies 0.568 92
Pirates 0.364 59
Rangers 0.481 78
Rays 0.519 84
Red Sox 0.537 87
Reds 0.438 71
Rockies 0.481 78
Royals 0.488 79
Tigers 0.481 78
Twins 0.543 88
White Sox 0.531 86
Yankees 0.623 101



Teams Listed by Projected Performance
Team Pct Wins
Dodgers 0.716 116
Astros 0.636 103
Yankees 0.623 101
Cardinals 0.623 101
Brewers 0.623 101
Mets 0.611 99
Blue Jays 0.605 98
Braves 0.599 97
Phillies 0.568 92
Giants 0.568 92
Angels 0.562 91
Padres 0.556 90
Marlins 0.556 90
Cubs 0.549 89
Twins 0.543 88
Red Sox 0.537 87
White Sox 0.531 86
Rays 0.519 84
Guardians 0.519 84
Nationals 0.500 81
Royals 0.488 79
Mariners 0.488 79
Tigers 0.481 78
Rockies 0.481 78
Rangers 0.481 78
Diamondbacks 0.481 78
Orioles 0.457 74
Reds 0.438 71
Athletics 0.383 62
Pirates 0.364 59




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This page was last modified on Saturday, 21 May 2022, at 1:22 pm Pacific Time.