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Baseball team and player performance examined realistically and accurately.

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2023 Projected Team-Performances


All raw data supplied courtesy of Baseball-Reference.com.
They do a wonderful job, and deserve your support.

Through games of Thursday, 8 June 2023.
All results are from true, unadjusted data.


2023 Expected Team Performances

These tables use the data found on the Projected Team Batting and Projected Team Pitching pages, which—see the explanations on those pages for details—project expected team runs scored and yielded based on the players’ and pitchers’ career stats to date, pro-rated by their actual percentages of team play time. The runs-scored and runs-allowed stats from those are then here used to calculate “expected” wins. These tables are essentially the answer to “How good are they really?”

But…these results depend heavily on just which players and pitchers get how much play time each, things that can vary considerably depending on many things, notably injuries and managerial whim—so this is not an “ultimate measure” of a team’s potential unless player use was perfectly optimal (meaning, to slightly over-simplify, that the best players got the most time).

(Team names are click-on links to their player/pitcher career stats.)


Teams Listed Alphabetically by Name
Team Pct Wins
Angels 0.574 93
Astros 0.599 97
Athletics 0.364 59
Blue Jays 0.599 97
Braves 0.630 102
Brewers 0.519 84
Cardinals 0.599 97
Cubs 0.512 83
Diamondbacks 0.531 86
Dodgers 0.673 109
Giants 0.562 91
Guardians 0.549 89
Mariners 0.568 92
Marlins 0.525 85
Mets 0.580 94
Nationals 0.432 70
Orioles 0.488 79
Padres 0.623 101
Phillies 0.568 92
Pirates 0.494 80
Rangers 0.525 85
Rays 0.531 86
Red Sox 0.574 93
Reds 0.457 74
Rockies 0.414 67
Royals 0.457 74
Tigers 0.438 71
Twins 0.556 90
White Sox 0.512 83
Yankees 0.549 89



Teams Listed by Projected Performance
Team Pct Wins
Dodgers 0.673 109
Braves 0.630 102
Padres 0.623 101
Cardinals 0.599 97
Blue Jays 0.599 97
Astros 0.599 97
Mets 0.580 94
Red Sox 0.574 93
Angels 0.574 93
Phillies 0.568 92
Mariners 0.568 92
Giants 0.562 91
Twins 0.556 90
Yankees 0.549 89
Guardians 0.549 89
Rays 0.531 86
Diamondbacks 0.531 86
Rangers 0.525 85
Marlins 0.525 85
Brewers 0.519 84
White Sox 0.512 83
Cubs 0.512 83
Pirates 0.494 80
Orioles 0.488 79
Royals 0.457 74
Reds 0.457 74
Tigers 0.438 71
Nationals 0.432 70
Rockies 0.414 67
Athletics 0.364 59




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This page was last modified on Saturday, 10 June 2023, at 2:26 pm Pacific Time.