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Baseball team and player performance examined realistically and accurately.

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2022 Projected Team-Performances


All raw data supplied courtesy of Baseball-Reference.com.
They do a wonderful job, and deserve your support.

Through games of Sunday, 25 September 2022.
All results are from true, unadjusted data.


2022 Expected Team Performances

These tables use the data found on the Projected Team Batting and Projected Team Pitching pages, which—see the explanations on those pages for details—project expected team runs scored and yielded based on the players’ and pitchers’ career stats to date, pro-rated by their actual percentages of team play time. The runs-scored and runs-allowed stats from those are then here used to calculate “expected” wins. These tables are essentially the answer to “How good are they really?”

But…these results depend heavily on just which players and pitchers get how much play time each, things that can vary considerably depending on many things, notably injuries and managerial whim—so this is not an “ultimate measure” of a team’s potential unless player use was perfectly optimal (meaning, to slightly over-simplify, that the best players got the most time).

(Team names are click-on links to their player/pitcher career stats.)


Teams Listed Alphabetically by Name
Team Pct Wins
Angels 0.494 80
Astros 0.636 103
Athletics 0.370 60
Blue Jays 0.605 98
Braves 0.642 104
Brewers 0.574 93
Cardinals 0.611 99
Cubs 0.475 77
Diamondbacks 0.494 80
Dodgers 0.704 114
Giants 0.519 84
Guardians 0.531 86
Mariners 0.556 90
Marlins 0.481 78
Mets 0.593 96
Nationals 0.463 75
Orioles 0.469 76
Padres 0.562 91
Phillies 0.586 95
Pirates 0.352 57
Rangers 0.469 76
Rays 0.519 84
Red Sox 0.512 83
Reds 0.463 75
Rockies 0.463 75
Royals 0.444 72
Tigers 0.444 72
Twins 0.519 84
White Sox 0.543 88
Yankees 0.636 103



Teams Listed by Projected Performance
Team Pct Wins
Dodgers 0.704 114
Braves 0.642 104
Yankees 0.636 103
Astros 0.636 103
Cardinals 0.611 99
Blue Jays 0.605 98
Mets 0.593 96
Phillies 0.586 95
Brewers 0.574 93
Padres 0.562 91
Mariners 0.556 90
White Sox 0.543 88
Guardians 0.531 86
Twins 0.519 84
Rays 0.519 84
Giants 0.519 84
Red Sox 0.512 83
Diamondbacks 0.494 80
Angels 0.494 80
Marlins 0.481 78
Cubs 0.475 77
Rangers 0.469 76
Orioles 0.469 76
Rockies 0.463 75
Reds 0.463 75
Nationals 0.463 75
Tigers 0.444 72
Royals 0.444 72
Athletics 0.370 60
Pirates 0.352 57




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This page was last modified on Monday, 26 September 2022, at 6:19 pm Pacific Time.