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The Owlcroft Baseball-Analysis Site
Baseball team and player performance examined realistically and accurately.
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Through games of Saturday, 30 September 2023.
All results are from true, unadjusted data.
2023 Expected Team Performances
These tables use the data found on the Projected Team Batting and Projected Team Pitching pages, which—see the explanations on those pages for details—project expected team runs scored and yielded based on the players’ and pitchers’ career stats to date, pro-rated by their actual percentages of team play time. The runs-scored and runs-allowed stats from those are then here used to calculate “expected” wins. These tables are essentially the answer to “How good are they really?”
But…these results depend heavily on just which players and pitchers get how much play time each, things that can vary considerably depending on many things, notably injuries and managerial whim—so this is not an “ultimate measure” of a team’s potential unless player use was perfectly optimal (meaning, to slightly over-simplify, that the best players got the most time).
(Team names are click-on links to their player/pitcher career stats.)
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This page was last modified on Sunday, 26 November 2023, at 1:57 am Pacific Time.
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