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The Owlcroft Baseball-Analysis Site

Baseball team and player performance examined realistically and accurately.

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2024 Projected Team-Performances


All raw data supplied courtesy of Baseball-Reference.com.
They do a wonderful job, and deserve your support.

Through games of Saturday, 13 April 2024.
All results are from true, unadjusted data.


2024 Expected Team Performances

These tables use the data found on the Projected Team Batting and Projected Team Pitching pages, which—see the explanations on those pages for details—project expected team runs scored and yielded based on the players’ and pitchers’ career stats to date, pro-rated by their actual percentages of team play time. The runs-scored and runs-allowed stats from those are then here used to calculate “expected” wins. These tables are essentially the answer to “How good are they really?”

But…these results depend heavily on just which players and pitchers get how much play time each, things that can vary considerably depending on many things, notably injuries and managerial whim—so this is not an “ultimate measure” of a team’s potential unless player use was perfectly optimal (meaning, to slightly over-simplify, that the best players got the most time).

(Team names are click-on links to their player/pitcher career stats.)


Teams Listed Alphabetically by Name
Team Pct Wins
Angels 0.549 89
Astros 0.543 88
Athletics 0.389 63
Blue Jays 0.549 89
Braves 0.630 102
Brewers 0.512 83
Cardinals 0.494 80
Cubs 0.599 97
Diamondbacks 0.537 87
Dodgers 0.642 104
Giants 0.562 91
Guardians 0.568 92
Mariners 0.531 86
Marlins 0.457 74
Mets 0.556 90
Nationals 0.475 77
Orioles 0.568 92
Padres 0.605 98
Phillies 0.593 96
Pirates 0.519 84
Rangers 0.531 86
Rays 0.512 83
Red Sox 0.568 92
Reds 0.537 87
Rockies 0.395 64
Royals 0.525 85
Tigers 0.549 89
Twins 0.537 87
White Sox 0.457 74
Yankees 0.630 102



Teams Listed by Projected Performance
Team Pct Wins
Dodgers 0.642 104
Yankees 0.630 102
Braves 0.630 102
Padres 0.605 98
Cubs 0.599 97
Phillies 0.593 96
Red Sox 0.568 92
Orioles 0.568 92
Guardians 0.568 92
Giants 0.562 91
Mets 0.556 90
Tigers 0.549 89
Blue Jays 0.549 89
Angels 0.549 89
Astros 0.543 88
Twins 0.537 87
Reds 0.537 87
Diamondbacks 0.537 87
Rangers 0.531 86
Mariners 0.531 86
Royals 0.525 85
Pirates 0.519 84
Rays 0.512 83
Brewers 0.512 83
Cardinals 0.494 80
Nationals 0.475 77
White Sox 0.457 74
Marlins 0.457 74
Rockies 0.395 64
Athletics 0.389 63




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This page was last modified on Sunday, 14 April 2024, at 7:05 am Pacific Time.