Skip to main content 

Owing to the screen size of your device, you may obtain a better viewing experience by rotating your device a quarter-turn (to get the so-called “panorama” screen view).


The Owlcroft Baseball-Analysis Site

Baseball team and player performance examined realistically and accurately.

(click for menu)
(click for menu)
You are here:  Home  »  dailies  »  teams  »  individual  »  projected  »   ( = this page)
(Click on any image above to see it at full size.)

You are here:  Home  »  dailies  »  teams  »  individual  »  projected  »   ( = this page)
You can get a site directory by clicking on the “hamburger” icon () in the upper right of this page.
Or you can search this site with Google (standard Google-search rules apply).
(Be aware that “sponsored” links to other sites will appear atop the actual results.)

Search term(s):



White Sox 2023 Projected Batting Performance


All raw data supplied courtesy of Baseball-Reference.com.
They do a wonderful job, and deserve your support.

2023 White Sox Projected Batting

Through games of Sunday, 1 October 2023.
All results are from true, unadjusted data.

Explanation of the Table

The Table below shows two lines for each player and for the team as a whole: Actual and Projected. The Actual lines are just what it says: the actual stats for this season to date; the Projected lines want a little explanation.

The projecting has two steps. The first is simple: for each man, we calculate the ratio of his current-season-to-date Plate Appearances to his career Plate Appearances, then multiply all his career stats by that ratio to get what one might call his “raw” career-performance data pro-rated to his current-year number of Plate Appearances. So, as a hypothetical example, a man with 5,000 career PAs and 250 PAs this season would have a ratio of 250/5000, or .050; so, if he had, say, 1215 career Hits, his raw projected Hits number for this season would be 1215 x .05, or 61 (if the calculated number is fractional, as with 60.75, we round it off to the nearest whole number).

That much is simple and, we hope, clear. The second adjustment takes a little explaining. It derives from the fact that—for a team or for an individual man—the number of Plate Appearances that will be had for a given number of Outs made (which is to say “innings played”) depends exactly on the on-base percentage: the higher the on-base percentage, the more PAs the man or team will have in any given number of innings.

To clarify: imagine a team with an abysmal .250 on-base percentage; that number means that, on average, one man in four that they send to the plate will get on safely. The converse of that is that three men in four will make out. (For simplicity’s sake in this elementary example, we ignore outs made on the bases.) So, in an average inning, that team, to make the three outs that constitute an inning, will send 4 men to the plate. If we next imagine a team with an equally absurd .500 on-base percentage, only half its batters make an out: thus, to make the three outs that define an inning, they would have—again, on average—to send 6 men to the plate. So (as should be intuitively obvious anyway), for a given number of innings, a higher OBP means more PAs.

The consequence of that is that each man’s “raw”stat projections, which were based on his PAs for this season, are slightly inaccurate, because his—and the team’s—PAs would be different (perhaps higher, perhaps lower) from what they are if all the men were performing at their career rates. To correct for that, we calculate each man’s career "outs rate" (all Outs made per plate appearance, which does include outs made on the bases) and multiply it by his percentage of the team’s total Plate Appearances; we then sum up those outs rates to get a projected team Outs rate, and from that—holding Outs made (which, again, is just innings played) constant—we can reckon the projected team PA total. We can then adjust each projected stat line by the ratio of expected team PAs to actual PAs (which normally yields a number fairly close to, but not equalling,1.0), giving us the true projected stats for each man and for the team.

(For this season for this team’s batting, the adjustment factor, rounded to three decimal places—the actual calculations use many more decimals— is 1.013)

Incidentally, that last adjustment is the reason that even rookies, whose whole “career” is just the current season, can have “adjusted” lines that differ slightly from their actual data lines, and why the TOP numbers here may differ slightly from those on other pages here.

You can see the overall “win-capability” of the team (its wins projected from these team numbers and the corresponding team pitching numbers) at our “Projected Team-Performances” page.

The Table

Player (alphabetical by last name) PA AB H 2B 3B HR TB BB SH SF HBP CI TOP
Hanser Alberto, actual: 90 82 18 5 0 3 32 4 2 1 1 0 526
Hanser Alberto, projected: 91 87 23 5 0 1 33 2 1 0 1 0 528
Tim Anderson, actual: 524 493 121 18 2 1 146 26 0 2 3 0 431
Tim Anderson, projected: 531 505 142 25 3 14 213 20 1 2 3 0 709
Elvis Andrus, actual: 406 374 94 20 1 6 134 25 1 2 4 0 559
Elvis Andrus, projected: 411 372 100 18 2 5 138 29 5 3 3 0 670
Andrew Benintendi, actual: 621 562 147 34 2 5 200 52 1 3 3 0 628
Andrew Benintendi, projected: 629 558 154 34 3 13 233 60 2 6 4 0 835
Jake Burger, actual: 323 294 63 15 1 25 155 22 0 2 5 0 787
Jake Burger, projected: 327 299 75 17 1 18 150 20 0 2 6 0 805
Óscar Colás, actual: 263 245 53 9 0 5 77 12 2 2 2 0 400
Óscar Colás, projected: 266 248 54 9 0 5 78 12 2 2 2 0 396
Clint Frazier, actual: 76 66 13 1 1 0 16 10 0 0 0 0 441
Clint Frazier, projected: 77 67 16 4 0 2 28 8 0 0 1 0 685
Romy González, actual: 97 93 18 4 2 3 35 2 1 1 0 0 444
Romy González, projected: 98 95 21 5 1 2 34 2 0 1 0 0 421
Yasmani Grandal, actual: 405 363 85 14 0 8 123 36 0 2 4 0 560
Yasmani Grandal, projected: 410 347 82 15 1 16 148 58 0 3 2 0 810
Billy Hamilton, actual: 2 2 0 0 0 0 0 0 0 0 0 0 0
Billy Hamilton, projected: 2 2 0 0 0 0 1 0 0 0 0 0 0
Adam Haseley, actual: 39 36 8 2 0 0 10 3 0 0 0 0 385
Adam Haseley, projected: 40 36 9 2 0 0 13 3 0 0 1 0 565
Player (alphabetical by last name) PA AB H 2B 3B HR TB BB SH SF HBP CI TOP
Eloy Jiménez, actual: 489 456 124 23 0 18 201 30 0 2 1 0 724
Eloy Jiménez, projected: 495 458 126 21 1 25 223 32 0 3 3 0 840
Korey Lee, actual: 70 65 5 1 0 1 9 5 0 0 0 0 129
Korey Lee, projected: 71 66 7 2 0 1 11 4 0 0 0 0 158
Jake Marisnick, actual: 2 2 0 0 0 0 0 0 0 0 0 0 0
Jake Marisnick, projected: 2 2 0 0 0 0 1 0 0 0 0 0 0
Yoán Moncada, actual: 357 334 87 20 1 11 142 20 0 1 2 0 676
Yoán Moncada, projected: 362 322 82 18 2 11 137 35 0 1 3 0 773
Tyler Naquin, actual: 8 8 0 0 0 0 0 0 0 0 0 0 0
Tyler Naquin, projected: 8 7 2 0 0 0 3 1 0 0 0 0 488
Carlos Pérez, actual: 53 49 10 4 0 1 17 4 0 0 0 0 421
Carlos Pérez, projected: 54 51 11 5 0 1 17 3 0 0 0 0 427
Zach Remillard, actual: 160 147 37 7 0 1 47 8 4 0 1 0 443
Zach Remillard, projected: 162 149 37 7 0 1 48 8 4 0 1 0 429
Luis Robert Jr., actual: 595 546 144 36 1 38 296 30 0 2 12 5 900
Luis Robert Jr., projected: 603 557 156 33 1 29 279 32 0 3 8 3 888
Gavin Sheets, actual: 344 311 63 10 0 10 103 28 0 4 1 0 491
Gavin Sheets, projected: 349 317 72 14 0 13 127 27 0 3 2 0 613
Lenyn Sosa, actual: 173 164 33 6 0 6 57 5 3 1 0 0 389
Lenyn Sosa, projected: 175 167 31 6 0 6 55 5 3 1 0 0 346
Trayce Thompson, actual: 92 82 14 2 0 1 19 9 0 0 1 0 353
Trayce Thompson, projected: 93 82 17 4 0 4 34 10 0 0 0 0 623
Player (alphabetical by last name) PA AB H 2B 3B HR TB BB SH SF HBP CI TOP
Andrew Vaughn, actual: 615 566 146 30 2 21 243 36 0 2 11 0 700
Andrew Vaughn, projected: 623 568 145 30 1 20 238 41 0 5 10 0 702
Seby Zavala, actual: 176 161 25 3 0 7 49 10 2 2 1 0 361
Seby Zavala, projected: 178 159 33 7 0 5 55 13 3 1 2 0 494
White Sox, Actual: 5980 5501 1308 264 13 171 2111 377 16 29 52 5 600
White Sox, Projected: 6057 5521 1395 281 16 192 2297 425 21 36 52 3 685
Player (alphabetical by last name) PA AB H 2B 3B HR TB BB SH SF HBP CI TOP


Assorted Team Stats:
Stat Actual Projected
Batting Average: 0.238 0.253
Slugging Average: 0.384 0.416
Walks (per PA): 0.063 0.070
SOs (per PA): 0.238 0.234
On-Base Average: 0.291 0.310
Power Factor: 1.614 1.647
OPS: 0.675 0.726
TOP Runs (to date): 641 691

Runs differential:
Actual Runs -50 less than Projected Runs.





  Advertisement:


  Advertisement:



Want detailed, careful, unhysterical analysis of the effects of “Performance-Enhancing Drugs” in baseball? Click here to visit the Steroids & Baseball web site.

All content copyright © 2002 - 2024 by The Owlcroft Company.

This web page is strictly compliant with the WHATWG (Web Hypertext Application Technology Working Group) HyperText Markup Language (HTML5) Protocol versionless “Living Standard” and the W3C (World Wide Web Consortium) Cascading Style Sheets (CSS3) Protocol v3  — because we care about interoperability. Click on the logos below to test us!



This page was last modified on Sunday, 4 February 2024, at 6:24 pm Pacific Time.