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2026 Major-League Team-Performance Results

Position Players:

Sorted by Performance:

Sorted by Name:

In Performance Order by Position(s) Played, Current Season:

Alphabetically by Position(s) Played, Current Season:

In Performance Order by Position(s) Played, Career:

Alphabetically by Position(s) Played, Career:

Frequent-Use Position Players, by performance
Frequent-Use Position Players, by name
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Pitchers:

Sorted by Performance:

Sorted by Name:

In Performance Order by Role, Current Season:

Alphabetically by Role, Current Season:

In Performance Order by Role, Career:

Alphabetically by Role, Career:

Frequent-Use Starters and Relievers, by performance
Frequent-Use Starters and Relievers, by name
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Teams Ranked by Manifested Ability

The significance of the data in these Tables is not necessarily obvious at a glance. There is a complete explanation of all these Tables and the meaning of their entries available, and—although there are a few words farther below on this page—we much recommend that you read that full explanation before examining these Tables.

Seasonal Win Projections

“Manifested ability” means how well the teams have actually played so far this season; it does not mean “how good they really are”, which is quite another matter. The projected wins assume the teams will each play the full season at the same performance level as they have exhibited so far; early on, that may be unlikely, but the farther into the season it gets, the more likely that assumption is to be true. (Each team name is a click-on link to that team’s detailed performance page here; the link will open in a new browser tab or tab.)

Divisional Standings

Projected Standings

All Teams, by Performance
Team	TOP/TPP Projected Win Percentage	TOP/TPP Projected Seasonal Wins	TOP/TPP Projected Current Wins	Actual Current Wins
Brewers	0.633	103	88	86
Dodgers	0.623	101	86	82
Cubs	0.604	98	84	78
Yankees	0.583	94	81	79
Rays	0.572	93	79	83
Marlins	0.554	90	77	70
Braves	0.554	90	77	82
Red Sox	0.554	90	77	75
Pirates	0.547	89	76	68
Tigers	0.543	88	75	63
White Sox	0.514	83	71	73
Padres	0.511	83	71	73
Phillies	0.511	83	71	79
Guardians	0.507	82	70	70
Diamondbacks	0.500	81	70	73
Nationals	0.496	80	70	67
Cardinals	0.496	80	69	69
Twins	0.482	78	67	67
Astros	0.482	78	67	70
Mariners	0.482	78	67	65
Blue Jays	0.482	78	67	68
Mets	0.475	77	66	62
Giants	0.475	77	66	57
Orioles	0.475	77	66	69
Rangers	0.475	77	66	69
Royals	0.460	75	64	62
Angels	0.446	72	62	53
Reds	0.417	68	58	66
Rockies	0.388	63	54	53
Athletics	0.381	62	53	53

This Table merely sorts the results above by Division. It is not a “prediction” of how the races will end up: it is an assessment of how things would stand now if not for luck (as opposed to performance). It is a “prediction” only to the extent that if all teams continued to play from now till the end of the season at exactly the same level of performance they have exhibited so far, which is unlikely, this is how things would most probably turn out.

Actual Standings

Full Team Stat Projections

Explanation of Table Headings

Projected (not actual) Standings
National League	American League
East	Central	West	East	Central	West
Braves 0.554	Brewers 0.633	Dodgers 0.623	Yankees 0.583	Tigers 0.543	Astros 0.482
Marlins 0.554	Cubs 0.604	Padres 0.511	Rays 0.572	White Sox 0.514	Mariners 0.482
Phillies 0.511	Pirates 0.547	Diamondbacks 0.500	Red Sox 0.554	Guardians 0.507	Rangers 0.475
Nationals 0.496	Cardinals 0.496	Giants 0.475	Blue Jays 0.482	Twins 0.482	Angels 0.446
Mets 0.475	Reds 0.417	Rockies 0.388	Orioles 0.475	Royals 0.460	Athletics 0.381

Actual (not projected) Standings
National League	American League
East	Central	West	East	Central	West
Braves 0.590	Brewers 0.619	Dodgers 0.594	Rays 0.601	White Sox 0.529	Astros 0.504
Phillies 0.568	Cubs 0.561	Padres 0.525	Yankees 0.568	Guardians 0.507	Rangers 0.496
Marlins 0.504	Cardinals 0.496	Diamondbacks 0.521	Red Sox 0.540	Twins 0.482	Mariners 0.468
Nationals 0.475	Pirates 0.489	Giants 0.410	Orioles 0.496	Tigers 0.457	Athletics 0.381
Mets 0.446	Reds 0.475	Rockies 0.381	Blue Jays 0.489	Royals 0.446	Angels 0.381

The TOP and TPP columns are the team runs scored and allowed, respectively, calculated by the Owlcroft formulae from the actual team stats. The Games-Won columns are calculated from the respective indicated sources—actual runs scored and allowed, and calculated (“TOP/TPP”) runs scored and allowed. The “error” columns show the differences between calculated games-won values (rounded to whole numbers) and the actual team wins total.

NOTE: A minus error means that the projection is that many games below the actual wins total, while a plus error means that the projection is that many games above the actual wins total. Since the projection is the normal expected result from the team’s stats, one could say that a + error signifies a team “under-performing”—probably just bad luck with sequencing—while a - error signifies team “over-performing” (also probably from sequencing).

“Sequencing”—the order in which events happen in an inning—matters a lot: there is a big difference between an inning with a walk followed by a home run and one with a home run followed by a walk. Tons of analytic work by hordes of analysts suggest that sequencing averages out: to think else means believing in “clutch” performance, which few indeed do still believe in (see this this article by Eno Sarris and this article by Phil Birnbaum.)

The final column—“Seasonal”—is the wins-from-calculations deviation in wins pro-rated out to a full 162 games; it is the current “luck rate” of the team. (Keep in mind that as the season wears on the size of these errors will, in almost all cases, steadily diminish as extremes of luck are averaged out.) Each team name is a click-on link to that team’s detailed performance page here; the link will open in a new browser tab.

Team Performance Stats Table

Table Error Data

These are the for results in the Table shown above. All deviations are per team.

Deviation (“error”) sizes will go down as the season goes on, and so can look pretty wild in the early weeks and even months. Errors will be modest by mid-season and small by late season.

Team (alphabetical by team name)	Games Played	Runs	Games Won
Scored	Yielded	Actual Wins	Wins Projected From:
TOP	Real	TPP	Real	R/OR	(Error)	TOP/TPP	(Error)	Seasonal
Angels	139	547	568	617	645	53	61	+8	62	+9	+10
Astros	139	622	631	651	675	70	65	-5	67	-3	-3
Athletics	139	605	602	792	803	53	51	-2	53	0	0
Blue Jays	139	556	549	578	604	68	63	-5	67	-1	-1
Braves	139	632	644	564	535	82	81	-1	77	-5	-6
Brewers	139	681	695	505	527	86	87	+1	88	+2	+2
Cardinals	139	604	623	613	633	69	68	-1	69	0	0
Cubs	139	757	746	603	610	78	82	+4	84	+6	+7
Diamondbacks	140	614	627	616	629	73	70	-3	70	-3	-3
Dodgers	138	674	678	515	530	82	84	+2	86	+4	+5
Giants	139	599	579	628	650	57	62	+5	66	+9	+10
Guardians	138	579	563	572	560	70	69	-1	70	0	0
Mariners	139	570	547	595	617	65	62	-3	67	+2	+2
Marlins	139	638	603	566	588	70	71	+1	77	+7	+8
Mets	139	573	567	607	623	62	63	+1	66	+4	+5
Nationals	141	704	735	706	712	67	73	+6	70	+3	+3
Orioles	139	603	630	635	649	69	68	-1	66	-3	-3
Padres	139	589	591	577	577	73	71	-2	71	-2	-2
Phillies	139	626	631	610	594	79	73	-6	71	-8	-9
Pirates	139	673	682	604	655	68	72	+4	76	+8	+9
Rangers	139	596	570	628	611	69	65	-4	66	-3	-3
Rays	138	633	624	543	567	83	75	-8	79	-4	-5
Reds	139	597	574	718	686	66	58	-8	58	-8	-9
Red Sox	139	627	624	557	542	75	78	+3	77	+2	+2
Rockies	139	644	649	829	790	53	57	+4	54	+1	+1
Royals	139	604	593	657	679	62	61	-1	64	+2	+2
Tigers	138	601	599	550	557	63	74	+11	75	+12	+14
Twins	139	643	652	664	685	67	66	-1	67	0	0
White Sox	138	627	660	612	615	73	73	0	71	-2	-2
Yankees	139	616	630	515	518	79	82	+3	81	+2	+2

“Error” Type (calculated vs. actual)	Absolute size of “Error”	Percentage size of “Error”	Cumulative “Error” (+ and - cancel)
Batting Runs, from TOP	14.07 runs	2.28%	-1.07 runs
Pitching Runs, from TPP	18.63 runs	2.98%	-7.97 runs
All Runs, from TOP/TPP	16.35 runs	2.63%	-4.52 runs
Games Won from R/OR	3.5 wins	---	0.03 wins
Games Won from TPP/TOP	3.83 wins	---	1.03 wins

This page was last modified on Wednesday, 2 September 2026, at 2:48 pm Pacific Time.