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2026 Major-League Team-Performance Results

Position Players:

Sorted by Performance:

Sorted by Name:

In Performance Order by Position(s) Played, Current Season:

Alphabetically by Position(s) Played, Current Season:

In Performance Order by Position(s) Played, Career:

Alphabetically by Position(s) Played, Career:

Frequent-Use Position Players, by performance
Frequent-Use Position Players, by name
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Pitchers:

Sorted by Performance:

Sorted by Name:

In Performance Order by Role, Current Season:

Alphabetically by Role, Current Season:

In Performance Order by Role, Career:

Alphabetically by Role, Career:

Frequent-Use Starters and Relievers, by performance
Frequent-Use Starters and Relievers, by name
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Teams Ranked by Manifested Ability

The significance of the data in these Tables is not necessarily obvious at a glance. There is a complete explanation of all these Tables and the meaning of their entries available, and—although there are a few words farther below on this page—we much recommend that you read that full explanation before examining these Tables.

Seasonal Win Projections

“Manifested ability” means how well the teams have actually played so far this season; it does not mean “how good they really are”, which is quite another matter. The projected wins assume the teams will each play the full season at the same performance level as they have exhibited so far; early on, that may be unlikely, but the farther into the season it gets, the more likely that assumption is to be true. (Each team name is a click-on link to that team’s detailed performance page here; the link will open in a new browser tab or tab.)

Divisional Standings

Projected Standings

All Teams, by Performance
Team	TOP/TPP Projected Win Percentage	TOP/TPP Projected Seasonal Wins	TOP/TPP Projected Current Wins	Actual Current Wins
Dodgers	0.642	104	104	100
Brewers	0.636	103	103	103
Cubs	0.599	97	97	89
Yankees	0.584	95	94	93
Rays	0.574	93	93	98
Tigers	0.562	91	91	76
Pirates	0.556	90	90	82
Red Sox	0.549	89	89	87
Braves	0.543	88	88	94
Marlins	0.537	87	87	80
Padres	0.531	86	86	91
White Sox	0.519	84	84	84
Diamondbacks	0.512	83	83	86
Guardians	0.512	83	83	85
Astros	0.500	81	81	81
Mets	0.494	80	80	74
Blue Jays	0.494	80	80	79
Phillies	0.494	80	80	88
Nationals	0.488	79	79	77
Mariners	0.481	78	78	76
Orioles	0.478	77	77	79
Twins	0.475	77	77	77
Cardinals	0.475	77	77	77
Rangers	0.475	77	77	80
Giants	0.463	75	75	65
Royals	0.444	72	72	69
Angels	0.438	71	71	62
Reds	0.401	65	65	75
Rockies	0.377	61	61	58
Athletics	0.377	61	61	64

This Table merely sorts the results above by Division. It is not a “prediction” of how the races will end up: it is an assessment of how things would stand now if not for luck (as opposed to performance). It is a “prediction” only to the extent that if all teams continued to play from now till the end of the season at exactly the same level of performance they have exhibited so far, which is unlikely, this is how things would most probably turn out.

Actual Standings

Full Team Stat Projections

Explanation of Table Headings

Projected (not actual) Standings
National League	American League
East	Central	West	East	Central	West
Braves 0.543	Brewers 0.636	Dodgers 0.642	Yankees 0.584	Tigers 0.562	Astros 0.500
Marlins 0.537	Cubs 0.599	Padres 0.531	Rays 0.574	White Sox 0.519	Mariners 0.481
Mets 0.494	Pirates 0.556	Diamondbacks 0.512	Red Sox 0.549	Guardians 0.512	Rangers 0.475
Phillies 0.494	Cardinals 0.475	Giants 0.463	Blue Jays 0.494	Twins 0.475	Angels 0.438
Nationals 0.488	Reds 0.401	Rockies 0.377	Orioles 0.478	Royals 0.444	Athletics 0.377

Actual (not projected) Standings
National League	American League
East	Central	West	East	Central	West
Braves 0.580	Brewers 0.636	Dodgers 0.617	Rays 0.605	Guardians 0.525	Astros 0.500
Phillies 0.543	Cubs 0.549	Padres 0.562	Yankees 0.578	White Sox 0.519	Rangers 0.494
Marlins 0.494	Pirates 0.506	Diamondbacks 0.531	Red Sox 0.537	Twins 0.475	Mariners 0.469
Nationals 0.475	Cardinals 0.475	Giants 0.401	Orioles 0.491	Tigers 0.469	Athletics 0.395
Mets 0.457	Reds 0.463	Rockies 0.358	Blue Jays 0.488	Royals 0.426	Angels 0.383

The TOP and TPP columns are the team runs scored and allowed, respectively, calculated by the Owlcroft formulae from the actual team stats. The Games-Won columns are calculated from the respective indicated sources—actual runs scored and allowed, and calculated (“TOP/TPP”) runs scored and allowed. The “error” columns show the differences between calculated games-won values (rounded to whole numbers) and the actual team wins total.

NOTE: A minus error means that the projection is that many games below the actual wins total, while a plus error means that the projection is that many games above the actual wins total. Since the projection is the normal expected result from the team’s stats, one could say that a + error signifies a team “under-performing”—probably just bad luck with sequencing—while a - error signifies team “over-performing” (also probably from sequencing).

“Sequencing”—the order in which events happen in an inning—matters a lot: there is a big difference between an inning with a walk followed by a home run and one with a home run followed by a walk. Tons of analytic work by hordes of analysts suggest that sequencing averages out: to think else means believing in “clutch” performance, which few indeed do still believe in (see this this article by Eno Sarris and this article by Phil Birnbaum.)

The final column—“Seasonal”—is the wins-from-calculations deviation in wins pro-rated out to a full 162 games; it is the current “luck rate” of the team. (Keep in mind that as the season wears on the size of these errors will, in almost all cases, steadily diminish as extremes of luck are averaged out.) Each team name is a click-on link to that team’s detailed performance page here; the link will open in a new browser tab.

Team Performance Stats Table

Table Error Data

These are the for results in the Table shown above. All deviations are per team.

Deviation (“error”) sizes will go down as the season goes on, and so can look pretty wild in the early weeks and even months. Errors will be modest by mid-season and small by late season.

Team (alphabetical by team name)	Games Played	Runs	Games Won
Scored	Yielded	Actual Wins	Wins Projected From:
TOP	Real	TPP	Real	R/OR	(Error)	TOP/TPP	(Error)	Seasonal
Angels	162	634	655	725	752	62	71	+9	71	+9	+9
Astros	162	737	734	735	766	81	78	-3	81	0	0
Athletics	162	705	699	931	937	64	60	-4	61	-3	-3
Blue Jays	162	657	648	668	694	79	76	-3	80	+1	+1
Braves	162	725	742	659	626	94	94	0	88	-6	-6
Brewers	162	806	832	592	618	103	103	0	103	0	0
Cardinals	162	689	720	724	749	77	78	+1	77	0	0
Cubs	162	860	850	688	703	89	95	+6	97	+8	+8
Diamondbacks	162	725	739	709	730	86	82	-4	83	-3	-3
Dodgers	162	808	801	587	600	100	102	+2	104	+4	+4
Giants	162	678	669	737	760	65	72	+7	75	+10	+10
Guardians	162	696	678	674	667	85	82	-3	83	-2	-2
Mariners	162	681	664	709	722	76	75	-1	78	+2	+2
Marlins	162	748	715	691	712	80	81	+1	87	+7	+7
Mets	162	697	699	704	731	74	78	+4	80	+6	+6
Nationals	162	783	821	808	815	77	82	+5	79	+2	+2
Orioles	161	695	718	725	739	79	78	-1	77	-2	-2
Padres	162	721	722	676	681	91	85	-6	86	-5	-5
Phillies	162	706	713	711	698	88	83	-5	80	-8	-8
Pirates	162	771	767	683	739	82	84	+2	90	+8	+8
Rangers	162	692	673	727	719	80	76	-4	77	-3	-3
Rays	162	737	736	631	650	98	90	-8	93	-5	-5
Reds	162	687	666	853	826	75	65	-10	65	-10	-10
Red Sox	162	707	689	633	611	87	90	+3	89	+2	+2
Rockies	162	751	752	980	944	58	64	+6	61	+3	+3
Royals	162	704	690	796	810	69	69	0	72	+3	+3
Tigers	162	728	723	637	652	76	89	+13	91	+15	+15
Twins	162	727	739	762	797	77	75	-2	77	0	0
White Sox	162	742	776	716	720	84	87	+3	84	0	0
Yankees	161	716	739	597	601	93	96	+3	94	+1	+1

“Error” Type (calculated vs. actual)	Absolute size of “Error”	Percentage size of “Error”	Cumulative “Error” (+ and - cancel)
Batting Runs, from TOP	14.8 runs	2.04%	-1.87 runs
Pitching Runs, from TPP	19.77 runs	2.73%	-10.03 runs
All Runs, from TOP/TPP	17.29 runs	2.39%	-5.95 runs
Games Won from R/OR	3.97 wins	---	0.37 wins
Games Won from TPP/TOP	4.27 wins	---	1.13 wins

This page was last modified on Tuesday, 29 September 2026, at 5:30 am Pacific Time.