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2026 Major-League Team-Performance Results

Position Players:

Sorted by Performance:

Sorted by Name:

In Performance Order by Position(s) Played, Current Season:

Alphabetically by Position(s) Played, Current Season:

In Performance Order by Position(s) Played, Career:

Alphabetically by Position(s) Played, Career:

Frequent-Use Position Players, by performance
Frequent-Use Position Players, by name
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Pitchers:

Sorted by Performance:

Sorted by Name:

In Performance Order by Role, Current Season:

Alphabetically by Role, Current Season:

In Performance Order by Role, Career:

Alphabetically by Role, Career:

Frequent-Use Starters and Relievers, by performance
Frequent-Use Starters and Relievers, by name
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Teams Ranked by Manifested Ability

The significance of the data in these Tables is not necessarily obvious at a glance. There is a complete explanation of all these Tables and the meaning of their entries available, and—although there are a few words farther below on this page—we much recommend that you read that full explanation before examining these Tables.

Seasonal Win Projections

“Manifested ability” means how well the teams have actually played so far this season; it does not mean “how good they really are”, which is quite another matter. The projected wins assume the teams will each play the full season at the same performance level as they have exhibited so far; early on, that may be unlikely, but the farther into the season it gets, the more likely that assumption is to be true. (Each team name is a click-on link to that team’s detailed performance page here; the link will open in a new browser tab or tab.)

Divisional Standings

Projected Standings

All Teams, by Performance
Team	TOP/TPP Projected Win Percentage	TOP/TPP Projected Seasonal Wins	TOP/TPP Projected Current Wins	Actual Current Wins
Dodgers	0.660	107	68	65
Brewers	0.637	103	65	64
Yankees	0.588	95	60	57
Pirates	0.583	94	60	53
Cubs	0.578	94	59	57
Braves	0.574	93	58	59
Rays	0.564	91	57	59
Marlins	0.553	90	57	52
Mariners	0.553	90	57	51
Tigers	0.549	89	56	48
Red Sox	0.535	87	54	52
White Sox	0.515	83	52	54
Cardinals	0.495	80	50	52
Nationals	0.495	80	51	52
Guardians	0.495	80	51	54
Rangers	0.490	79	50	51
Orioles	0.485	79	50	50
Diamondbacks	0.480	78	49	53
Phillies	0.476	77	49	56
Astros	0.471	76	49	50
Padres	0.471	76	48	50
Giants	0.471	76	48	42
Twins	0.466	75	48	50
Angels	0.456	74	47	41
Mets	0.456	74	47	43
Blue Jays	0.451	73	46	46
Royals	0.437	71	45	43
Reds	0.426	69	43	47
Athletics	0.402	65	41	43
Rockies	0.394	64	41	41

This Table merely sorts the results above by Division. It is not a “prediction” of how the races will end up: it is an assessment of how things would stand now if not for luck (as opposed to performance). It is a “prediction” only to the extent that if all teams continued to play from now till the end of the season at exactly the same level of performance they have exhibited so far, which is unlikely, this is how things would most probably turn out.

Actual Standings

Full Team Stat Projections

Explanation of Table Headings

Projected (not actual) Standings
National League	American League
East	Central	West	East	Central	West
Braves 0.574	Brewers 0.637	Dodgers 0.660	Yankees 0.588	Tigers 0.549	Mariners 0.553
Marlins 0.553	Pirates 0.583	Diamondbacks 0.480	Rays 0.564	White Sox 0.515	Rangers 0.490
Nationals 0.495	Cubs 0.578	Padres 0.471	Red Sox 0.535	Guardians 0.495	Astros 0.471
Phillies 0.476	Cardinals 0.495	Giants 0.471	Orioles 0.485	Twins 0.466	Angels 0.456
Mets 0.456	Reds 0.426	Rockies 0.394	Blue Jays 0.451	Royals 0.437	Athletics 0.402

Actual (not projected) Standings
National League	American League
East	Central	West	East	Central	West
Braves 0.584	Brewers 0.627	Dodgers 0.631	Rays 0.584	White Sox 0.535	Rangers 0.500
Phillies 0.544	Cubs 0.559	Diamondbacks 0.520	Yankees 0.559	Guardians 0.524	Mariners 0.495
Marlins 0.505	Pirates 0.515	Padres 0.490	Red Sox 0.515	Twins 0.485	Astros 0.481
Nationals 0.505	Cardinals 0.515	Giants 0.412	Orioles 0.485	Tigers 0.471	Athletics 0.422
Mets 0.417	Reds 0.465	Rockies 0.394	Blue Jays 0.451	Royals 0.417	Angels 0.398

The TOP and TPP columns are the team runs scored and allowed, respectively, calculated by the Owlcroft formulae from the actual team stats. The Games-Won columns are calculated from the respective indicated sources—actual runs scored and allowed, and calculated (“TOP/TPP”) runs scored and allowed. The “error” columns show the differences between calculated games-won values (rounded to whole numbers) and the actual team wins total.

NOTE: A minus error means that the projection is that many games below the actual wins total, while a plus error means that the projection is that many games above the actual wins total. Since the projection is the normal expected result from the team’s stats, one could say that a + error signifies a team “under-performing”—probably just bad luck with sequencing—while a - error signifies team “over-performing” (also probably from sequencing).

“Sequencing”—the order in which events happen in an inning—matters a lot: there is a big difference between an inning with a walk followed by a home run and one with a home run followed by a walk. Tons of analytic work by hordes of analysts suggest that sequencing averages out: to think else means believing in “clutch” performance, which few indeed do still believe in (see this this article by Eno Sarris and this article by Phil Birnbaum.)

The final column—“Seasonal”—is the wins-from-calculations deviation in wins pro-rated out to a full 162 games; it is the current “luck rate” of the team. (Keep in mind that as the season wears on the size of these errors will, in almost all cases, steadily diminish as extremes of luck are averaged out.) Each team name is a click-on link to that team’s detailed performance page here; the link will open in a new browser tab.

Team Performance Stats Table

Table Error Data

These are the for results in the Table shown above. All deviations are per team.

Deviation (“error”) sizes will go down as the season goes on, and so can look pretty wild in the early weeks and even months. Errors will be modest by mid-season and small by late season.

Team (alphabetical by team name)	Games Played	Runs				Games Won
		Scored		Yielded		Actual Wins	Wins Projected From:
		TOP	Real	TPP	Real	Actual Wins	R/OR	(Error)	TOP/TPP	(Error)	Seasonal
Angels	103	430	442	474	500	41	46	+5	47	+6	+9
Astros	104	466	473	500	518	50	48	-2	49	-1	-2
Athletics	102	467	458	581	580	43	40	-3	41	-2	-3
Blue Jays	102	399	402	443	465	46	44	-2	46	0	0
Braves	101	483	502	406	397	59	61	+2	58	-1	-2
Brewers	102	494	514	361	381	64	65	+1	65	+1	+2
Cardinals	101	435	448	441	448	52	51	-1	50	-2	-3
Cubs	102	533	520	451	455	57	57	0	59	+2	+3
Diamondbacks	102	436	456	453	459	53	51	-2	49	-4	-6
Dodgers	103	526	535	366	378	65	67	+2	68	+3	+5
Giants	102	438	417	464	481	42	44	+2	48	+6	+10
Guardians	103	425	416	434	420	54	51	-3	51	-3	-5
Mariners	103	429	415	386	398	51	53	+2	57	+6	+9
Marlins	103	481	457	427	446	52	53	+1	57	+5	+8
Mets	103	417	419	457	483	43	45	+2	47	+4	+6
Nationals	103	528	567	531	541	52	54	+2	51	-1	-2
Orioles	103	457	472	471	485	50	50	0	50	0	0
Padres	102	417	421	443	450	50	48	-2	48	-2	-3
Phillies	103	454	448	476	463	56	50	-6	49	-7	-11
Pirates	103	542	543	449	492	53	56	+3	60	+7	+11
Rangers	102	447	427	453	457	51	48	-3	50	-1	-2
Rays	101	469	458	410	426	59	54	-5	57	-2	-3
Reds	101	441	423	518	486	47	44	-3	43	-4	-6
Red Sox	101	427	426	396	381	52	56	+4	54	+2	+3
Rockies	104	489	495	623	596	41	43	+2	41	0	0
Royals	103	449	438	520	534	43	42	-1	45	+2	+3
Tigers	102	445	433	402	405	48	54	+6	56	+8	+13
Twins	103	483	495	520	527	50	49	-1	48	-2	-3
White Sox	101	455	483	443	439	54	55	+1	52	-2	-3
Yankees	102	467	480	386	392	57	60	+3	60	+3	+5

“Error” Type (calculated vs. actual)	Absolute size of “Error”	Percentage size of “Error”	Cumulative “Error” (+ and - cancel)
Batting Runs, from TOP	13.07 runs	2.8%	-1.8 runs
Pitching Runs, from TPP	14.27 runs	3.07%	-6.6 runs
All Runs, from TOP/TPP	13.67 runs	2.94%	-4.2 runs
Games Won from R/OR	2.4 wins	---	0.13 wins
Games Won from TPP/TOP	2.97 wins	---	0.7 wins