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2025 Major-League Team-Performance Results

Position Players:

Sorted by Performance:

Sorted by Name:

In Performance Order by Position(s) Played, Current Season:

Alphabetically by Position(s) Played, Current Season:

In Performance Order by Position(s) Played, Career:

Alphabetically by Position(s) Played, Career:

Frequent-Use Position Players, by performance
Frequent-Use Position Players, by name
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Pitchers:

Sorted by Performance:

Sorted by Name:

In Performance Order by Role, Current Season:

Alphabetically by Role, Current Season:

In Performance Order by Role, Career:

Alphabetically by Role, Career:

Frequent-Use Starters and Relievers, by performance
Frequent-Use Starters and Relievers, by name
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Teams Ranked by Manifested Ability

The significance of the data in these Tables is not necessarily obvious at a glance. There is a complete explanation of all these Tables and the meaning of their entries available, and—although there are a few words farther below on this page—we much recommend that you read that full explanation before examining these Tables.

Seasonal Win Projections

“Manifested ability” means how well the teams have actually played so far this season; it does not mean “how good they really are”, which is quite another matter. The projected wins assume the teams will each play the full season at the same performance level as they have exhibited so far; early on, that may be unlikely, but the farther into the season it gets, the more likely that assumption is to be true. (Each team name is a click-on link to that team’s detailed performance page here; the link will open in a new browser tab or tab.)

Divisional Standings

Projected Standings

All Teams, by Performance
Team	TOP/TPP Projected Win Percentage	TOP/TPP Projected Seasonal Wins	TOP/TPP Projected Current Wins	Actual Current Wins
Yankees	0.656	106	59	49
Cubs	0.633	103	57	54
Tigers	0.604	98	55	57
Astros	0.589	95	53	55
Phillies	0.578	94	52	53
Dodgers	0.571	93	52	56
Mets	0.571	93	52	52
Rays	0.567	92	51	49
Red Sox	0.560	91	51	46
Rangers	0.556	90	50	44
Mariners	0.556	90	50	48
Brewers	0.544	88	49	50
Diamondbacks	0.533	86	48	44
Braves	0.528	86	47	39
Blue Jays	0.522	85	47	52
Padres	0.517	84	46	48
Giants	0.516	84	47	49
Cardinals	0.516	84	47	48
Reds	0.511	83	46	46
Twins	0.489	79	44	43
Royals	0.484	78	44	43
Pirates	0.484	78	44	38
Marlins	0.443	72	39	40
Angels	0.427	69	38	43
Guardians	0.409	66	36	40
Orioles	0.404	65	36	40
Nationals	0.400	65	36	37
Athletics	0.380	62	35	37
White Sox	0.367	59	33	30
Rockies	0.289	47	26	21

This Table merely sorts the results above by Division. It is not a “prediction” of how the races will end up: it is an assessment of how things would stand now if not for luck (as opposed to performance). It is a “prediction” only to the extent that if all teams continued to play from now till the end of the season at exactly the same level of performance they have exhibited so far, which is unlikely, this is how things would most probably turn out.

Actual Standings

Full Team Stat Projections

Explanation of Table Headings

Projected (not actual) Standings
National League	American League
East	Central	West	East	Central	West
Phillies 0.578	Cubs 0.633	Dodgers 0.571	Yankees 0.656	Tigers 0.604	Astros 0.589
Mets 0.571	Brewers 0.544	Diamondbacks 0.533	Rays 0.567	Twins 0.489	Mariners 0.556
Braves 0.528	Cardinals 0.516	Padres 0.517	Red Sox 0.560	Royals 0.484	Rangers 0.556
Marlins 0.443	Reds 0.511	Giants 0.516	Blue Jays 0.522	Guardians 0.409	Angels 0.427
Nationals 0.400	Pirates 0.484	Rockies 0.289	Orioles 0.404	White Sox 0.367	Athletics 0.380

Actual (not projected) Standings
National League	American League
East	Central	West	East	Central	West
Phillies 0.589	Cubs 0.600	Dodgers 0.615	Blue Jays 0.578	Tigers 0.626	Astros 0.611
Mets 0.571	Brewers 0.556	Padres 0.539	Yankees 0.544	Twins 0.478	Mariners 0.533
Marlins 0.455	Cardinals 0.527	Giants 0.538	Rays 0.544	Royals 0.473	Rangers 0.489
Braves 0.438	Reds 0.511	Diamondbacks 0.489	Red Sox 0.505	Guardians 0.455	Angels 0.483
Nationals 0.411	Pirates 0.418	Rockies 0.233	Orioles 0.449	White Sox 0.333	Athletics 0.402

The TOP and TPP columns are the team runs scored and allowed, respectively, calculated by the Owlcroft formulae from the actual team stats. The Games-Won columns are calculated from the respective indicated sources—actual runs scored and allowed, and calculated (“TOP/TPP”) runs scored and allowed. The “error” columns show the differences between calculated games-won values (rounded to whole numbers) and the actual team wins total.

NOTE: A minus error means that the projection is that many games below the actual wins total, while a plus error means that the projection is that many games above the actual wins total. Since the projection is the normal expected result from the team’s stats, one could say that a + error signifies a team “under-performing”—probably just bad luck with sequencing—while a - error signifies team “over-performing” (also probably from sequencing).

“Sequencing”—the order in which events happen in an inning—matters a lot: there is a big difference between an inning with a walk followed by a home run and one with a home run followed by a walk. Tons of analytic work by hordes of analysts suggest that sequencing averages out: to think else means believing in “clutch” performance, which few indeed do still believe in (see this this article by Eno Sarris and this article by Phil Birnbaum.)

The final column—“Seasonal”—is the wins-from-calculations deviation in wins pro-rated out to a full 162 games; it is the current “luck rate” of the team. (Keep in mind that as the season wears on the size of these errors will, in almost all cases, steadily diminish as extremes of luck are averaged out.) Each team name is a click-on link to that team’s detailed performance page here; the link will open in a new browser tab.

Team Performance Stats Table

Table Error Data

These are the for results in the Table shown above. All deviations are per team.

Deviation (“error”) sizes will go down as the season goes on, and so can look pretty wild in the early weeks and even months. Errors will be modest by mid-season and small by late season.

Team (alphabetical by team name)	Games Played	Runs				Games Won
		Scored		Yielded		Actual Wins	Wins Projected From:
		TOP	Real	TPP	Real	Actual Wins	R/OR	(Error)	TOP/TPP	(Error)	Seasonal
Angels	89	372	379	438	428	43	40	-3	38	-5	-9
Astros	90	417	396	339	325	55	53	-2	53	-2	-4
Athletics	92	402	384	520	524	37	33	-4	35	-2	-4
Blue Jays	90	412	412	391	400	52	46	-6	47	-5	-9
Braves	89	379	357	358	353	39	45	+6	47	+8	+15
Brewers	90	404	420	364	363	50	51	+1	49	-1	-2
Cardinals	91	397	414	383	399	48	47	-1	47	-1	-2
Cubs	90	493	492	365	366	54	57	+3	57	+3	+5
Diamondbacks	90	459	461	428	461	44	45	+1	48	+4	+7
Dodgers	91	489	500	416	423	56	52	-4	52	-4	-7
Giants	91	365	381	352	351	49	49	0	47	-2	-4
Guardians	88	320	312	393	371	40	37	-3	36	-4	-7
Mariners	90	422	402	373	380	48	47	-1	50	+2	+4
Marlins	88	375	370	425	441	40	37	-3	39	-1	-2
Mets	91	433	402	369	358	52	50	-2	52	0	0
Nationals	90	375	397	465	483	37	37	0	36	-1	-2
Orioles	89	375	371	463	453	40	36	-4	36	-4	-7
Padres	89	365	363	350	351	48	46	-2	46	-2	-4
Phillies	90	425	413	362	358	53	51	-2	52	-1	-2
Pirates	91	325	310	337	347	38	41	+3	44	+6	+11
Rangers	90	351	340	310	315	44	48	+4	50	+6	+11
Rays	90	419	431	367	362	49	52	+3	51	+2	+4
Reds	90	391	415	386	383	46	48	+2	46	0	0
Red Sox	91	445	448	393	415	46	49	+3	51	+5	+9
Rockies	90	330	321	536	550	21	24	+3	26	+5	+9
Royals	91	329	304	344	334	43	42	-1	44	+1	+2
Tigers	91	439	456	345	350	57	56	-1	55	-2	-4
Twins	90	381	374	387	392	43	43	0	44	+1	+2
White Sox	90	323	311	438	395	30	35	+5	33	+3	+5
Yankees	90	494	462	349	367	49	54	+5	59	+10	+18

“Error” Type (calculated vs. actual)	Absolute size of “Error”	Percentage size of “Error”	Cumulative “Error” (+ and - cancel)
Batting Runs, from TOP	13.4 runs	3.48%	3.6 runs
Pitching Runs, from TPP	11 runs	2.75%	-1.73 runs
All Runs, from TOP/TPP	12.2 runs	3.12%	0.94 runs
Games Won from R/OR	2.6 wins	---	0 wins
Games Won from TPP/TOP	3.1 wins	---	0.63 wins