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2026 Major-League Team-Performance Results

Position Players:

Sorted by Performance:

Sorted by Name:

In Performance Order by Position(s) Played, Current Season:

Alphabetically by Position(s) Played, Current Season:

In Performance Order by Position(s) Played, Career:

Alphabetically by Position(s) Played, Career:

Frequent-Use Position Players, by performance
Frequent-Use Position Players, by name
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Pitchers:

Sorted by Performance:

Sorted by Name:

In Performance Order by Role, Current Season:

Alphabetically by Role, Current Season:

In Performance Order by Role, Career:

Alphabetically by Role, Career:

Frequent-Use Starters and Relievers, by performance
Frequent-Use Starters and Relievers, by name
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Teams Ranked by Manifested Ability

The significance of the data in these Tables is not necessarily obvious at a glance. There is a complete explanation of all these Tables and the meaning of their entries available, and—although there are a few words farther below on this page—we much recommend that you read that full explanation before examining these Tables.

Seasonal Win Projections

“Manifested ability” means how well the teams have actually played so far this season; it does not mean “how good they really are”, which is quite another matter. The projected wins assume the teams will each play the full season at the same performance level as they have exhibited so far; early on, that may be unlikely, but the farther into the season it gets, the more likely that assumption is to be true. (Each team name is a click-on link to that team’s detailed performance page here; the link will open in a new browser tab or tab.)

Divisional Standings

Projected Standings

All Teams, by Performance
Team	TOP/TPP Projected Win Percentage	TOP/TPP Projected Seasonal Wins	TOP/TPP Projected Current Wins	Actual Current Wins
Dodgers	0.673	109	66	62
Brewers	0.643	104	63	61
Yankees	0.588	95	57	54
Pirates	0.586	95	58	51
Braves	0.577	93	56	56
Cubs	0.571	93	56	55
Marlins	0.566	92	56	52
Tigers	0.551	89	54	46
Rays	0.546	88	53	56
Red Sox	0.536	87	52	49
Mariners	0.535	87	53	49
White Sox	0.515	83	50	51
Cardinals	0.505	82	49	51
Rangers	0.490	79	48	50
Giants	0.490	79	48	42
Phillies	0.485	79	48	55
Nationals	0.485	79	48	49
Guardians	0.485	79	48	52
Twins	0.485	79	48	49
Blue Jays	0.480	78	47	46
Orioles	0.475	77	47	48
Diamondbacks	0.469	76	46	50
Astros	0.460	75	46	47
Padres	0.449	73	44	48
Mets	0.444	72	44	41
Angels	0.444	72	44	38
Royals	0.434	70	43	40
Reds	0.423	69	41	44
Athletics	0.408	66	40	42
Rockies	0.390	63	39	40

This Table merely sorts the results above by Division. It is not a “prediction” of how the races will end up: it is an assessment of how things would stand now if not for luck (as opposed to performance). It is a “prediction” only to the extent that if all teams continued to play from now till the end of the season at exactly the same level of performance they have exhibited so far, which is unlikely, this is how things would most probably turn out.

Actual Standings

Full Team Stat Projections

Explanation of Table Headings

Projected (not actual) Standings
National League	American League
East	Central	West	East	Central	West
Braves 0.577	Brewers 0.643	Dodgers 0.673	Yankees 0.588	Tigers 0.551	Mariners 0.535
Marlins 0.566	Pirates 0.586	Giants 0.490	Rays 0.546	White Sox 0.515	Rangers 0.490
Phillies 0.485	Cubs 0.571	Diamondbacks 0.469	Red Sox 0.536	Guardians 0.485	Astros 0.460
Nationals 0.485	Cardinals 0.505	Padres 0.449	Blue Jays 0.480	Twins 0.485	Angels 0.444
Mets 0.444	Reds 0.423	Rockies 0.390	Orioles 0.475	Royals 0.434	Athletics 0.408

Actual (not projected) Standings
National League	American League
East	Central	West	East	Central	West
Braves 0.577	Brewers 0.622	Dodgers 0.633	Rays 0.577	White Sox 0.526	Rangers 0.510
Phillies 0.556	Cubs 0.561	Diamondbacks 0.510	Yankees 0.557	Guardians 0.525	Mariners 0.495
Marlins 0.525	Cardinals 0.526	Padres 0.490	Red Sox 0.505	Twins 0.495	Astros 0.470
Nationals 0.495	Pirates 0.515	Giants 0.429	Orioles 0.485	Tigers 0.469	Athletics 0.429
Mets 0.414	Reds 0.454	Rockies 0.400	Blue Jays 0.469	Royals 0.404	Angels 0.384

The TOP and TPP columns are the team runs scored and allowed, respectively, calculated by the Owlcroft formulae from the actual team stats. The Games-Won columns are calculated from the respective indicated sources—actual runs scored and allowed, and calculated (“TOP/TPP”) runs scored and allowed. The “error” columns show the differences between calculated games-won values (rounded to whole numbers) and the actual team wins total.

NOTE: A minus error means that the projection is that many games below the actual wins total, while a plus error means that the projection is that many games above the actual wins total. Since the projection is the normal expected result from the team’s stats, one could say that a + error signifies a team “under-performing”—probably just bad luck with sequencing—while a - error signifies team “over-performing” (also probably from sequencing).

“Sequencing”—the order in which events happen in an inning—matters a lot: there is a big difference between an inning with a walk followed by a home run and one with a home run followed by a walk. Tons of analytic work by hordes of analysts suggest that sequencing averages out: to think else means believing in “clutch” performance, which few indeed do still believe in (see this this article by Eno Sarris and this article by Phil Birnbaum.)

The final column—“Seasonal”—is the wins-from-calculations deviation in wins pro-rated out to a full 162 games; it is the current “luck rate” of the team. (Keep in mind that as the season wears on the size of these errors will, in almost all cases, steadily diminish as extremes of luck are averaged out.) Each team name is a click-on link to that team’s detailed performance page here; the link will open in a new browser tab.

Team Performance Stats Table

Table Error Data

These are the for results in the Table shown above. All deviations are per team.

Deviation (“error”) sizes will go down as the season goes on, and so can look pretty wild in the early weeks and even months. Errors will be modest by mid-season and small by late season.

Team (alphabetical by team name)	Games Played	Runs				Games Won
		Scored		Yielded		Actual Wins	Wins Projected From:
		TOP	Real	TPP	Real	Actual Wins	R/OR	(Error)	TOP/TPP	(Error)	Seasonal
Angels	99	414	431	469	494	38	43	+5	44	+6	+10
Astros	100	446	453	483	503	47	45	-2	46	-1	-2
Athletics	98	445	441	549	552	42	39	-3	40	-2	-3
Blue Jays	98	395	397	417	439	46	44	-2	47	+1	+2
Braves	97	458	481	383	376	56	59	+3	56	0	0
Brewers	98	480	499	346	370	61	62	+1	63	+2	+3
Cardinals	97	426	437	426	432	51	49	-2	49	-2	-3
Cubs	98	506	492	434	439	55	54	-1	56	+1	+2
Diamondbacks	98	405	425	429	437	50	48	-2	46	-4	-7
Dodgers	98	504	508	344	358	62	64	+2	66	+4	+7
Giants	98	430	405	443	463	42	43	+1	48	+6	+10
Guardians	99	397	391	412	397	52	49	-3	48	-4	-7
Mariners	99	408	396	376	386	49	51	+2	53	+4	+7
Marlins	99	468	446	407	425	52	52	0	56	+4	+7
Mets	99	395	403	442	470	41	43	+2	44	+3	+5
Nationals	99	501	540	514	528	49	51	+2	48	-1	-2
Orioles	99	436	454	458	470	48	48	0	47	-1	-2
Padres	98	383	386	426	435	48	44	-4	44	-4	-7
Phillies	99	436	431	452	439	55	49	-6	48	-7	-11
Pirates	99	528	526	438	478	51	54	+3	58	+7	+11
Rangers	98	425	407	433	435	50	46	-4	48	-2	-3
Rays	97	441	434	402	415	56	51	-5	53	-3	-5
Reds	97	426	405	499	467	44	42	-2	41	-3	-5
Red Sox	97	412	407	377	367	49	53	+4	52	+3	+5
Rockies	100	470	478	594	565	40	42	+2	39	-1	-2
Royals	99	432	424	497	506	40	41	+1	43	+3	+5
Tigers	98	428	416	379	384	46	53	+7	54	+8	+13
Twins	99	466	478	483	493	49	48	-1	48	-1	-2
White Sox	97	443	466	428	424	51	53	+2	50	-1	-2
Yankees	97	451	463	371	373	54	58	+4	57	+3	+5

“Error” Type (calculated vs. actual)	Absolute size of “Error”	Percentage size of “Error”	Cumulative “Error” (+ and - cancel)
Batting Runs, from TOP	12.9 runs	2.88%	-2.17 runs
Pitching Runs, from TPP	14.3 runs	3.19%	-6.97 runs
All Runs, from TOP/TPP	13.6 runs	3.04%	-4.57 runs
Games Won from R/OR	2.6 wins	---	0.13 wins
Games Won from TPP/TOP	3.07 wins	---	0.6 wins