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2026 Major-League Team-Performance Results

Position Players:

Sorted by Performance:

Sorted by Name:

In Performance Order by Position(s) Played, Current Season:

Alphabetically by Position(s) Played, Current Season:

In Performance Order by Position(s) Played, Career:

Alphabetically by Position(s) Played, Career:

Frequent-Use Position Players, by performance
Frequent-Use Position Players, by name
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Pitchers:

Sorted by Performance:

Sorted by Name:

In Performance Order by Role, Current Season:

Alphabetically by Role, Current Season:

In Performance Order by Role, Career:

Alphabetically by Role, Career:

Frequent-Use Starters and Relievers, by performance
Frequent-Use Starters and Relievers, by name
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Teams Ranked by Manifested Ability

The significance of the data in these Tables is not necessarily obvious at a glance. There is a complete explanation of all these Tables and the meaning of their entries available, and—although there are a few words farther below on this page—we much recommend that you read that full explanation before examining these Tables.

Seasonal Win Projections

“Manifested ability” means how well the teams have actually played so far this season; it does not mean “how good they really are”, which is quite another matter. The projected wins assume the teams will each play the full season at the same performance level as they have exhibited so far; early on, that may be unlikely, but the farther into the season it gets, the more likely that assumption is to be true. (Each team name is a click-on link to that team’s detailed performance page here; the link will open in a new browser tab or tab.)

Divisional Standings

Projected Standings

All Teams, by Performance
Team	TOP/TPP Projected Win Percentage	TOP/TPP Projected Seasonal Wins	TOP/TPP Projected Current Wins	Actual Current Wins
Dodgers	0.628	102	76	73
Brewers	0.628	102	76	74
Cubs	0.595	96	72	71
Rays	0.583	94	70	74
Yankees	0.583	94	70	68
Tigers	0.583	94	70	59
Braves	0.570	92	69	73
Marlins	0.562	91	68	62
Red Sox	0.558	90	67	64
Pirates	0.541	88	66	58
White Sox	0.513	83	61	62
Diamondbacks	0.508	82	62	64
Mariners	0.504	82	61	56
Padres	0.500	81	61	65
Nationals	0.500	81	61	59
Astros	0.492	80	60	62
Guardians	0.488	79	59	59
Cardinals	0.488	79	59	61
Phillies	0.484	78	59	64
Rangers	0.479	78	58	60
Giants	0.479	78	58	50
Twins	0.475	77	58	60
Mets	0.475	77	58	53
Orioles	0.471	76	57	58
Blue Jays	0.467	76	57	59
Angels	0.438	71	53	47
Reds	0.429	69	51	57
Royals	0.426	69	52	49
Rockies	0.388	63	47	48
Athletics	0.372	60	45	47

This Table merely sorts the results above by Division. It is not a “prediction” of how the races will end up: it is an assessment of how things would stand now if not for luck (as opposed to performance). It is a “prediction” only to the extent that if all teams continued to play from now till the end of the season at exactly the same level of performance they have exhibited so far, which is unlikely, this is how things would most probably turn out.

Actual Standings

Full Team Stat Projections

Explanation of Table Headings

Projected (not actual) Standings
National League	American League
East	Central	West	East	Central	West
Braves 0.570	Brewers 0.628	Dodgers 0.628	Yankees 0.583	Tigers 0.583	Mariners 0.504
Marlins 0.562	Cubs 0.595	Diamondbacks 0.508	Rays 0.583	White Sox 0.513	Astros 0.492
Nationals 0.500	Pirates 0.541	Padres 0.500	Red Sox 0.558	Guardians 0.488	Rangers 0.479
Phillies 0.484	Cardinals 0.488	Giants 0.479	Orioles 0.471	Twins 0.475	Angels 0.438
Mets 0.475	Reds 0.429	Rockies 0.388	Blue Jays 0.467	Royals 0.426	Athletics 0.372

Actual (not projected) Standings
National League	American League
East	Central	West	East	Central	West
Braves 0.603	Brewers 0.612	Dodgers 0.603	Rays 0.617	White Sox 0.521	Astros 0.508
Phillies 0.525	Cubs 0.587	Padres 0.533	Yankees 0.567	Tigers 0.492	Rangers 0.496
Marlins 0.512	Cardinals 0.504	Diamondbacks 0.525	Red Sox 0.533	Twins 0.492	Mariners 0.463
Nationals 0.484	Reds 0.479	Giants 0.413	Blue Jays 0.484	Guardians 0.488	Athletics 0.388
Mets 0.434	Pirates 0.475	Rockies 0.397	Orioles 0.479	Royals 0.402	Angels 0.388

The TOP and TPP columns are the team runs scored and allowed, respectively, calculated by the Owlcroft formulae from the actual team stats. The Games-Won columns are calculated from the respective indicated sources—actual runs scored and allowed, and calculated (“TOP/TPP”) runs scored and allowed. The “error” columns show the differences between calculated games-won values (rounded to whole numbers) and the actual team wins total.

NOTE: A minus error means that the projection is that many games below the actual wins total, while a plus error means that the projection is that many games above the actual wins total. Since the projection is the normal expected result from the team’s stats, one could say that a + error signifies a team “under-performing”—probably just bad luck with sequencing—while a - error signifies team “over-performing” (also probably from sequencing).

“Sequencing”—the order in which events happen in an inning—matters a lot: there is a big difference between an inning with a walk followed by a home run and one with a home run followed by a walk. Tons of analytic work by hordes of analysts suggest that sequencing averages out: to think else means believing in “clutch” performance, which few indeed do still believe in (see this this article by Eno Sarris and this article by Phil Birnbaum.)

The final column—“Seasonal”—is the wins-from-calculations deviation in wins pro-rated out to a full 162 games; it is the current “luck rate” of the team. (Keep in mind that as the season wears on the size of these errors will, in almost all cases, steadily diminish as extremes of luck are averaged out.) Each team name is a click-on link to that team’s detailed performance page here; the link will open in a new browser tab.

Team Performance Stats Table

Table Error Data

These are the for results in the Table shown above. All deviations are per team.

Deviation (“error”) sizes will go down as the season goes on, and so can look pretty wild in the early weeks and even months. Errors will be modest by mid-season and small by late season.

Team (alphabetical by team name)	Games Played	Runs	Games Won
Scored	Yielded	Actual Wins	Wins Projected From:
TOP	Real	TPP	Real	R/OR	(Error)	TOP/TPP	(Error)	Seasonal
Angels	121	484	493	554	583	47	51	+4	53	+6	+8
Astros	122	554	559	567	586	62	58	-4	60	-2	-3
Athletics	121	525	524	699	704	47	44	-3	45	-2	-3
Blue Jays	122	482	482	517	536	59	55	-4	57	-2	-3
Braves	121	570	591	485	467	73	73	0	69	-4	-5
Brewers	121	577	592	432	462	74	74	0	76	+2	+3
Cardinals	121	515	529	530	530	61	60	-1	59	-2	-3
Cubs	121	645	634	521	519	71	72	+1	72	+1	+1
Diamondbacks	122	538	552	532	541	64	62	-2	62	-2	-3
Dodgers	121	601	606	453	464	73	75	+2	76	+3	+4
Giants	121	515	493	539	557	50	54	+4	58	+8	+11
Guardians	121	500	483	518	510	59	57	-2	59	0	0
Mariners	121	492	468	485	495	56	57	+1	61	+5	+7
Marlins	121	562	534	493	511	62	63	+1	68	+6	+8
Mets	122	508	510	535	557	53	56	+3	58	+5	+7
Nationals	122	627	655	627	639	59	62	+3	61	+2	+3
Orioles	121	527	543	559	579	58	57	-1	57	-1	-1
Padres	122	515	522	518	521	65	61	-4	61	-4	-5
Phillies	122	538	535	553	542	64	60	-4	59	-5	-7
Pirates	122	599	604	544	591	58	62	+4	66	+8	+11
Rangers	121	517	497	541	531	60	57	-3	58	-2	-3
Rays	120	559	549	470	487	74	67	-7	70	-4	-5
Reds	119	508	487	589	565	57	51	-6	51	-6	-8
Red Sox	120	531	531	470	452	64	69	+5	67	+3	+4
Rockies	121	566	577	727	693	48	50	+2	47	-1	-1
Royals	122	515	503	602	617	49	50	+1	52	+3	+4
Tigers	120	550	549	458	462	59	69	+10	70	+11	+15
Twins	122	561	571	587	603	60	58	-2	58	-2	-3
White Sox	119	534	566	516	525	62	64	+2	61	-1	-1
Yankees	120	534	545	444	455	68	70	+2	70	+2	+3

“Error” Type (calculated vs. actual)	Absolute size of “Error”	Percentage size of “Error”	Cumulative “Error” (+ and - cancel)
Batting Runs, from TOP	12.5 runs	2.32%	-1.17 runs
Pitching Runs, from TPP	15.63 runs	2.87%	-7.3 runs
All Runs, from TOP/TPP	14.07 runs	2.6%	-4.24 runs
Games Won from R/OR	2.93 wins	---	0.07 wins
Games Won from TPP/TOP	3.5 wins	---	0.83 wins

This page was last modified on Thursday, 13 August 2026, at 5:31 am Pacific Time.