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2026 Major-League Team-Performance Results

Position Players:

Sorted by Performance:

Sorted by Name:

In Performance Order by Position(s) Played, Current Season:

Alphabetically by Position(s) Played, Current Season:

In Performance Order by Position(s) Played, Career:

Alphabetically by Position(s) Played, Career:

Frequent-Use Position Players, by performance
Frequent-Use Position Players, by name
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Pitchers:

Sorted by Performance:

Sorted by Name:

In Performance Order by Role, Current Season:

Alphabetically by Role, Current Season:

In Performance Order by Role, Career:

Alphabetically by Role, Career:

Frequent-Use Starters and Relievers, by performance
Frequent-Use Starters and Relievers, by name
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Teams Ranked by Manifested Ability

The significance of the data in these Tables is not necessarily obvious at a glance. There is a complete explanation of all these Tables and the meaning of their entries available, and—although there are a few words farther below on this page—we much recommend that you read that full explanation before examining these Tables.

Seasonal Win Projections

“Manifested ability” means how well the teams have actually played so far this season; it does not mean “how good they really are”, which is quite another matter. The projected wins assume the teams will each play the full season at the same performance level as they have exhibited so far; early on, that may be unlikely, but the farther into the season it gets, the more likely that assumption is to be true. (Each team name is a click-on link to that team’s detailed performance page here; the link will open in a new browser tab or tab.)

Divisional Standings

Projected Standings

All Teams, by Performance
Team	TOP/TPP Projected Win Percentage	TOP/TPP Projected Seasonal Wins	TOP/TPP Projected Current Wins	Actual Current Wins
Dodgers	0.693	112	61	57
Brewers	0.647	105	55	53
Yankees	0.605	98	52	48
Cubs	0.586	95	51	49
Pirates	0.580	94	51	44
Braves	0.576	93	49	50
Rays	0.560	91	47	51
Mariners	0.557	90	49	45
Marlins	0.545	88	48	46
Tigers	0.534	87	47	38
White Sox	0.512	83	44	45
Rangers	0.511	83	45	45
Cardinals	0.500	81	42	45
Phillies	0.489	79	43	49
Blue Jays	0.483	78	42	41
Red Sox	0.482	78	41	37
Guardians	0.477	77	42	46
Giants	0.477	77	41	36
Nationals	0.477	77	42	45
Astros	0.472	76	42	43
Orioles	0.466	75	41	40
Twins	0.466	75	41	42
Diamondbacks	0.465	75	40	43
Mets	0.460	75	40	36
Angels	0.455	74	40	36
Padres	0.453	73	39	43
Athletics	0.448	73	39	41
Royals	0.432	70	38	35
Reds	0.407	66	35	40
Rockies	0.386	63	34	35

This Table merely sorts the results above by Division. It is not a “prediction” of how the races will end up: it is an assessment of how things would stand now if not for luck (as opposed to performance). It is a “prediction” only to the extent that if all teams continued to play from now till the end of the season at exactly the same level of performance they have exhibited so far, which is unlikely, this is how things would most probably turn out.

Actual Standings

Full Team Stat Projections

Explanation of Table Headings

Projected (not actual) Standings
National League	American League
East	Central	West	East	Central	West
Braves 0.576	Brewers 0.647	Dodgers 0.693	Yankees 0.605	Tigers 0.534	Mariners 0.557
Marlins 0.545	Cubs 0.586	Giants 0.477	Rays 0.560	White Sox 0.512	Rangers 0.511
Phillies 0.489	Pirates 0.580	Diamondbacks 0.465	Blue Jays 0.483	Guardians 0.477	Astros 0.472
Nationals 0.477	Cardinals 0.500	Padres 0.453	Red Sox 0.482	Twins 0.466	Angels 0.455
Mets 0.460	Reds 0.407	Rockies 0.386	Orioles 0.466	Royals 0.432	Athletics 0.448

Actual (not projected) Standings
National League	American League
East	Central	West	East	Central	West
Braves 0.588	Brewers 0.624	Dodgers 0.648	Rays 0.607	White Sox 0.523	Mariners 0.511
Phillies 0.557	Cubs 0.563	Diamondbacks 0.500	Yankees 0.558	Guardians 0.523	Rangers 0.511
Marlins 0.523	Cardinals 0.536	Padres 0.500	Blue Jays 0.471	Twins 0.477	Astros 0.483
Nationals 0.511	Pirates 0.500	Giants 0.419	Orioles 0.455	Tigers 0.432	Athletics 0.471
Mets 0.414	Reds 0.465	Rockies 0.398	Red Sox 0.435	Royals 0.398	Angels 0.409

The TOP and TPP columns are the team runs scored and allowed, respectively, calculated by the Owlcroft formulae from the actual team stats. The Games-Won columns are calculated from the respective indicated sources—actual runs scored and allowed, and calculated (“TOP/TPP”) runs scored and allowed. The “error” columns show the differences between calculated games-won values (rounded to whole numbers) and the actual team wins total.

NOTE: A minus error means that the projection is that many games below the actual wins total, while a plus error means that the projection is that many games above the actual wins total. Since the projection is the normal expected result from the team’s stats, one could say that a + error signifies a team “under-performing”—probably just bad luck with sequencing—while a - error signifies team “over-performing” (also probably from sequencing).

“Sequencing”—the order in which events happen in an inning—matters a lot: there is a big difference between an inning with a walk followed by a home run and one with a home run followed by a walk. Tons of analytic work by hordes of analysts suggest that sequencing averages out: to think else means believing in “clutch” performance, which few indeed do still believe in (see this this article by Eno Sarris and this article by Phil Birnbaum.)

The final column—“Seasonal”—is the wins-from-calculations deviation in wins pro-rated out to a full 162 games; it is the current “luck rate” of the team. (Keep in mind that as the season wears on the size of these errors will, in almost all cases, steadily diminish as extremes of luck are averaged out.) Each team name is a click-on link to that team’s detailed performance page here; the link will open in a new browser tab.

Team Performance Stats Table

Table Error Data

These are the for results in the Table shown above. All deviations are per team.

Deviation (“error”) sizes will go down as the season goes on, and so can look pretty wild in the early weeks and even months. Errors will be modest by mid-season and small by late season.

Team (alphabetical by team name)	Games Played	Runs				Games Won
		Scored		Yielded		Actual Wins	Wins Projected From:
		TOP	Real	TPP	Real	Actual Wins	R/OR	(Error)	TOP/TPP	(Error)	Seasonal
Angels	88	376	391	413	437	36	39	+3	40	+4	+7
Astros	89	396	400	424	446	43	40	-3	42	-1	-2
Athletics	87	407	401	461	460	41	38	-3	39	-2	-4
Blue Jays	87	358	354	373	383	41	40	-1	42	+1	+2
Braves	85	385	403	327	319	50	52	+2	49	-1	-2
Brewers	85	415	436	302	312	53	55	+2	55	+2	+4
Cardinals	84	379	379	376	383	45	42	-3	42	-3	-6
Cubs	87	461	448	378	385	49	50	+1	51	+2	+4
Diamondbacks	86	356	367	388	393	43	40	-3	40	-3	-6
Dodgers	88	477	474	306	312	57	60	+3	61	+4	+7
Giants	86	369	349	391	404	36	37	+1	41	+5	+9
Guardians	88	353	351	368	358	46	43	-3	42	-4	-7
Mariners	88	373	357	329	343	45	46	+1	49	+4	+7
Marlins	88	401	390	362	379	46	45	-1	48	+2	+4
Mets	87	336	346	368	395	36	38	+2	40	+4	+7
Nationals	88	424	470	446	453	45	45	0	42	-3	-6
Orioles	88	388	403	419	436	40	41	+1	41	+1	+2
Padres	86	338	340	377	381	43	38	-5	39	-4	-8
Phillies	88	392	394	401	389	49	45	-4	43	-6	-11
Pirates	88	460	452	384	427	44	46	+2	51	+7	+13
Rangers	88	381	364	373	366	45	44	-1	45	0	0
Rays	84	389	385	340	348	51	46	-5	47	-4	-8
Reds	86	371	364	455	419	40	37	-3	35	-5	-9
Red Sox	85	343	337	355	344	37	42	+5	41	+4	+8
Rockies	88	413	417	525	507	35	36	+1	34	-1	-2
Royals	88	372	363	436	446	35	36	+1	38	+3	+6
Tigers	88	384	370	358	365	38	45	+7	47	+9	+17
Twins	88	413	429	442	455	42	42	0	41	-1	-2
White Sox	86	402	415	390	391	45	45	0	44	-1	-2
Yankees	86	406	417	321	330	48	52	+4	52	+4	+8

“Error” Type (calculated vs. actual)	Absolute size of “Error”	Percentage size of “Error”	Cumulative “Error” (+ and - cancel)
Batting Runs, from TOP	10.93 runs	2.74%	-1.6 runs
Pitching Runs, from TPP	12.8 runs	3.21%	-5.93 runs
All Runs, from TOP/TPP	11.87 runs	2.98%	-3.77 runs
Games Won from R/OR	2.37 wins	---	0.03 wins
Games Won from TPP/TOP	3.17 wins	---	0.57 wins