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2025 Major-League Team-Performance Results

Position Players:

Sorted by Performance:

Sorted by Name:

In Performance Order by Position(s) Played, Current Season:

Alphabetically by Position(s) Played, Current Season:

In Performance Order by Position(s) Played, Career:

Alphabetically by Position(s) Played, Career:

Frequent-Use Position Players, by performance
Frequent-Use Position Players, by name
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Pitchers:

Sorted by Performance:

Sorted by Name:

In Performance Order by Role, Current Season:

Alphabetically by Role, Current Season:

In Performance Order by Role, Career:

Alphabetically by Role, Career:

Frequent-Use Starters and Relievers, by performance
Frequent-Use Starters and Relievers, by name
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Teams Ranked by Manifested Ability

The significance of the data in these Tables is not necessarily obvious at a glance. There is a complete explanation of all these Tables and the meaning of their entries available, and—although there are a few words farther below on this page—we much recommend that you read that full explanation before examining these Tables.

Seasonal Win Projections

“Manifested ability” means how well the teams have actually played so far this season; it does not mean “how good they really are”, which is quite another matter. The projected wins assume the teams will each play the full season at the same performance level as they have exhibited so far; early on, that may be unlikely, but the farther into the season it gets, the more likely that assumption is to be true. (Each team name is a click-on link to that team’s detailed performance page here; the link will open in a new browser tab or tab.)

Divisional Standings

Projected Standings

All Teams, by Performance
Team	TOP/TPP Projected Win Percentage	TOP/TPP Projected Seasonal Wins	TOP/TPP Projected Current Wins	Actual Current Wins
Yankees	0.630	102	102	94
Cubs	0.611	99	99	92
Brewers	0.605	98	98	97
Dodgers	0.599	97	97	93
Phillies	0.593	96	96	96
Red Sox	0.568	92	92	89
Mariners	0.568	92	92	90
Mets	0.562	91	91	83
Rangers	0.549	89	89	81
Padres	0.549	89	89	90
Blue Jays	0.543	88	88	94
Tigers	0.543	88	88	87
Diamondbacks	0.525	85	85	80
Astros	0.525	85	85	87
Rays	0.525	85	85	77
Royals	0.519	84	84	82
Reds	0.512	83	83	83
Braves	0.506	82	82	76
Giants	0.500	81	81	81
Athletics	0.475	77	77	76
Guardians	0.475	77	77	88
Pirates	0.475	77	77	71
Marlins	0.469	76	76	79
Twins	0.463	75	75	70
Cardinals	0.444	72	72	78
Orioles	0.438	71	71	75
White Sox	0.407	66	66	60
Angels	0.401	65	65	72
Nationals	0.370	60	60	66
Rockies	0.272	44	44	43

This Table merely sorts the results above by Division. It is not a “prediction” of how the races will end up: it is an assessment of how things would stand now if not for luck (as opposed to performance). It is a “prediction” only to the extent that if all teams continued to play from now till the end of the season at exactly the same level of performance they have exhibited so far, which is unlikely, this is how things would most probably turn out.

Actual Standings

Full Team Stat Projections

Explanation of Table Headings

Projected (not actual) Standings
National League	American League
East	Central	West	East	Central	West
Phillies 0.593	Cubs 0.611	Dodgers 0.599	Yankees 0.630	Tigers 0.543	Mariners 0.568
Mets 0.562	Brewers 0.605	Padres 0.549	Red Sox 0.568	Royals 0.519	Rangers 0.549
Braves 0.506	Reds 0.512	Diamondbacks 0.525	Blue Jays 0.543	Guardians 0.475	Astros 0.525
Marlins 0.469	Pirates 0.475	Giants 0.500	Rays 0.525	Twins 0.463	Athletics 0.475
Nationals 0.370	Cardinals 0.444	Rockies 0.272	Orioles 0.438	White Sox 0.407	Angels 0.401

Actual (not projected) Standings
National League	American League
East	Central	West	East	Central	West
Phillies 0.593	Brewers 0.599	Dodgers 0.574	Yankees 0.580	Guardians 0.543	Mariners 0.556
Mets 0.512	Cubs 0.568	Padres 0.556	Blue Jays 0.580	Tigers 0.537	Astros 0.537
Marlins 0.488	Reds 0.512	Giants 0.500	Red Sox 0.549	Royals 0.506	Rangers 0.500
Braves 0.469	Cardinals 0.481	Diamondbacks 0.494	Rays 0.475	Twins 0.432	Athletics 0.469
Nationals 0.407	Pirates 0.438	Rockies 0.265	Orioles 0.463	White Sox 0.370	Angels 0.444

The TOP and TPP columns are the team runs scored and allowed, respectively, calculated by the Owlcroft formulae from the actual team stats. The Games-Won columns are calculated from the respective indicated sources—actual runs scored and allowed, and calculated (“TOP/TPP”) runs scored and allowed. The “error” columns show the differences between calculated games-won values (rounded to whole numbers) and the actual team wins total.

NOTE: A minus error means that the projection is that many games below the actual wins total, while a plus error means that the projection is that many games above the actual wins total. Since the projection is the normal expected result from the team’s stats, one could say that a + error signifies a team “under-performing”—probably just bad luck with sequencing—while a - error signifies team “over-performing” (also probably from sequencing).

“Sequencing”—the order in which events happen in an inning—matters a lot: there is a big difference between an inning with a walk followed by a home run and one with a home run followed by a walk. Tons of analytic work by hordes of analysts suggest that sequencing averages out: to think else means believing in “clutch” performance, which few indeed do still believe in (see this this article by Eno Sarris and this article by Phil Birnbaum.)

The final column—“Seasonal”—is the wins-from-calculations deviation in wins pro-rated out to a full 162 games; it is the current “luck rate” of the team. (Keep in mind that as the season wears on the size of these errors will, in almost all cases, steadily diminish as extremes of luck are averaged out.) Each team name is a click-on link to that team’s detailed performance page here; the link will open in a new browser tab.

Team Performance Stats Table

Table Error Data

These are the for results in the Table shown above. All deviations are per team.

Deviation (“error”) sizes will go down as the season goes on, and so can look pretty wild in the early weeks and even months. Errors will be modest by mid-season and small by late season.

Team (alphabetical by team name)	Games Played	Runs	Games Won
Scored	Yielded	Actual Wins	Wins Projected From:
TOP	Real	TPP	Real	R/OR	(Error)	TOP/TPP	(Error)	Seasonal
Angels	162	666	673	832	837	72	65	-7	65	-7	-7
Astros	162	706	686	671	665	87	83	-4	85	-2	-2
Athletics	162	756	733	801	817	76	73	-3	77	+1	+1
Blue Jays	162	783	798	710	721	94	89	-5	88	-6	-6
Braves	162	731	724	723	734	76	80	+4	82	+6	+6
Brewers	162	791	806	626	634	97	99	+2	98	+1	+1
Cardinals	162	658	689	739	754	78	74	-4	72	-6	-6
Cubs	162	812	793	637	649	92	96	+4	99	+7	+7
Diamondbacks	162	794	791	750	785	80	82	+2	85	+5	+5
Dodgers	162	817	825	662	683	93	95	+2	97	+4	+4
Giants	162	678	705	677	684	81	83	+2	81	0	0
Guardians	162	620	643	654	649	88	80	-8	77	-11	-11
Mariners	162	773	766	669	694	90	88	-2	92	+2	+2
Marlins	162	709	709	761	798	79	72	-7	76	-3	-3
Mets	162	801	766	699	715	83	86	+3	91	+8	+8
Nationals	162	649	687	869	899	66	61	-5	60	-6	-6
Orioles	162	677	677	779	788	75	70	-5	71	-4	-4
Padres	162	701	702	626	621	90	90	0	89	-1	-1
Phillies	162	804	778	654	648	96	95	-1	96	0	0
Pirates	162	598	583	634	645	71	73	+2	77	+6	+6
Rangers	162	669	684	602	605	81	90	+9	89	+8	+8
Rays	162	713	714	673	683	77	84	+7	85	+8	+8
Reds	162	697	716	677	681	83	85	+2	83	0	0
Red Sox	162	780	786	677	676	89	92	+3	92	+3	+3
Rockies	162	601	597	1022	1021	43	44	+1	44	+1	+1
Royals	162	666	651	636	637	82	83	+1	84	+2	+2
Tigers	162	736	758	670	691	87	88	+1	88	+1	+1
Twins	162	696	678	756	773	70	71	+1	75	+5	+5
White Sox	162	631	647	773	742	60	71	+11	66	+6	+6
Yankees	162	872	849	658	685	94	97	+3	102	+8	+8

“Error” Type (calculated vs. actual)	Absolute size of “Error”	Percentage size of “Error”	Cumulative “Error” (+ and - cancel)
Batting Runs, from TOP	15.3 runs	2.13%	-0.97 runs
Pitching Runs, from TPP	13.57 runs	1.85%	-9.9 runs
All Runs, from TOP/TPP	14.44 runs	1.99%	-5.44 runs
Games Won from R/OR	3.7 wins	---	0.3 wins
Games Won from TPP/TOP	4.27 wins	---	1.2 wins

This page was last modified on Monday, 29 September 2025, at 12:00 pm Pacific Time.