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Guardians 2026 Projected Batting Performance


All raw data supplied courtesy of Baseball-Reference.com.
They do a wonderful job, and deserve your support.

2026 Guardians Projected Batting

Through games of Monday, 21 September 2026.
All results are from true, unadjusted data.

Explanation of the Table

The Table below shows two lines for each player and for the team as a whole: Actual and Projected. The Actual lines are just what it says: the actual stats for this season to date; the Projected lines want a little explanation.

The projecting has two steps. The first is simple: for each man, we calculate the ratio of his current-season-to-date Plate Appearances to his career Plate Appearances, then multiply all his career stats by that ratio to get what one might call his “raw” career-performance data pro-rated to his current-year number of Plate Appearances. So, as a hypothetical example, a man with 5,000 career PAs and 250 PAs this season would have a ratio of 250/5000, or .050; so, if he had, say, 1215 career Hits, his raw projected Hits number for this season would be 1215 x .05, or 61 (if the calculated number is fractional, as with 60.75, we round it off to the nearest whole number).

That much is simple and, we hope, clear. The second adjustment takes a little explaining. It derives from the fact that—for a team or for an individual man—the number of Plate Appearances that will be had for a given number of Outs made (which is to say “innings played”) depends exactly on the on-base percentage: the higher the on-base percentage, the more PAs the man or team will have in any given number of innings.

To clarify: imagine a team with an abysmal .250 on-base percentage; that number means that, on average, one man in four that they send to the plate will get on safely. The converse of that is that three men in four will make out. (For simplicity’s sake in this elementary example, we ignore outs made on the bases.) So, in an average inning, that team, to make the three outs that constitute an inning, will send 4 men to the plate. If we next imagine a team with an equally absurd .500 on-base percentage, only half its batters make an out: thus, to make the three outs that define an inning, they would have—again, on average—to send 6 men to the plate. So (as should be intuitively obvious anyway), for a given number of innings, a higher OBP means more PAs.

The consequence of that is that each man’s “raw”stat projections, which were based on his PAs for this season, are slightly inaccurate, because his—and the team’s—PAs would be different (perhaps higher, perhaps lower) from what they are if all the men were performing at their career rates. To correct for that, we calculate each man’s career "outs rate" (all Outs made per plate appearance, which does include outs made on the bases) and multiply it by his percentage of the team’s total Plate Appearances; we then sum up those outs rates to get a projected team Outs rate, and from that—holding Outs made (which, again, is just innings played) constant—we can reckon the projected team PA total. We can then adjust each projected stat line by the ratio of expected team PAs to actual PAs (which normally yields a number fairly close to, but not equalling,1.0), giving us the true projected stats for each man and for the team.

(For this season for this team’s batting, the adjustment factor, rounded to three decimal places—the actual calculations use many more decimals— is 0.986)

Incidentally, that last adjustment is the reason that even rookies, whose whole “career” is just the current season, can have “adjusted” lines that differ slightly from their actual data lines, and why the TOP numbers here may differ slightly from those on other pages here.

You can see the overall “win-capability” of the team (its wins projected from these team numbers and the corresponding team pitching numbers) at our “Projected Team-Performances” page.

The Table

Player (alphabetical by last name) G PA AB H 2B 3B HR TB BB SH SF HBP CI TOP
Jo Adell, actual: 42 177 158 39 9 0 6 66 13 0 2 4 0 788
Jo Adell, projected: 42 175 160 36 6 1 7 66 10 0 1 3 0 603
Gabriel Arias, actual: 42 134 127 31 3 0 5 49 7 0 0 0 0 618
Gabriel Arias, projected: 42 132 122 27 6 0 3 44 9 0 1 1 0 492
Patrick Bailey, actual: 77 242 215 49 8 1 7 80 20 3 3 1 0 622
Patrick Bailey, projected: 77 239 216 49 9 1 4 72 18 2 3 1 0 502
Travis Bazzana, actual: 118 494 427 105 20 2 15 174 55 0 5 7 0 816
Travis Bazzana, projected: 118 487 421 104 20 2 15 172 54 0 5 7 0 810
Juan Brito, actual: 15 56 51 9 4 0 0 13 4 0 0 1 0 275
Juan Brito, projected: 15 55 51 12 3 0 1 19 3 0 1 1 0 536
Chase DeLauter, actual: 128 535 475 138 28 3 15 217 57 0 3 0 0 951
Chase DeLauter, projected: 128 528 468 136 28 3 15 214 56 0 3 0 0 937
Player (alphabetical by last name) G PA AB H 2B 3B HR TB BB SH SF HBP CI TOP
Stuart Fairchild, actual: 14 27 19 3 0 0 0 3 7 0 0 1 0 810
Stuart Fairchild, projected: 14 27 23 5 1 0 1 9 2 0 0 1 0 679
David Fry, actual: 87 198 169 32 6 0 7 59 28 0 0 1 0 577
David Fry, projected: 87 195 171 38 8 0 7 69 20 0 1 4 0 655
Ángel Genao, actual: 37 132 121 26 4 0 2 36 10 0 0 1 0 447
Ángel Genao, projected: 37 130 119 26 4 0 2 36 10 0 0 1 0 458
Petey Halpin, actual: 77 185 170 37 4 1 4 55 7 5 1 2 0 443
Petey Halpin, projected: 77 182 166 37 4 1 4 54 9 5 1 2 0 449
Austin Hedges, actual: 75 236 207 52 10 0 5 77 22 4 2 1 0 645
Austin Hedges, projected: 75 233 209 40 6 0 7 66 15 4 2 2 0 404
Rhys Hoskins, actual: 95 317 263 47 13 0 13 99 47 0 4 3 0 672
Rhys Hoskins, projected: 95 313 265 62 15 1 15 124 41 0 3 4 0 901
Player (alphabetical by last name) G PA AB H 2B 3B HR TB BB SH SF HBP CI TOP
Cooper Ingle, actual: 7 24 21 2 0 0 0 2 3 0 0 0 0 120
Cooper Ingle, projected: 7 24 21 2 0 0 0 2 3 0 0 0 0 120
C.J. Kayfus, actual: 9 25 22 4 1 0 1 8 2 0 0 1 0 586
C.J. Kayfus, projected: 9 25 22 5 2 0 1 9 2 0 0 0 0 686
Steven Kwan, actual: 146 613 521 146 21 2 3 180 80 4 3 4 1 864
Steven Kwan, projected: 146 605 534 150 24 4 7 204 60 2 4 4 0 827
Nathaniel Lowe, actual: 38 139 123 28 5 0 5 48 9 0 5 2 0 711
Nathaniel Lowe, projected: 38 137 121 32 6 0 4 52 15 0 1 1 0 836
Kyle Manzardo, actual: 102 356 312 67 10 1 13 118 36 0 2 6 0 661
Kyle Manzardo, projected: 102 351 312 71 14 1 15 132 31 0 3 5 0 704
Ángel Martínez, actual: 108 393 367 93 22 2 17 170 12 6 1 7 0 648
Ángel Martínez, projected: 108 388 357 84 19 1 11 141 19 4 3 5 0 543
Player (alphabetical by last name) G PA AB H 2B 3B HR TB BB SH SF HBP CI TOP
Bo Naylor, actual: 28 90 84 12 2 0 2 20 6 0 0 0 0 248
Bo Naylor, projected: 28 89 79 16 4 0 3 29 9 0 1 0 0 558
José Ramírez, actual: 120 520 452 107 27 0 12 170 58 0 6 3 1 789
José Ramírez, projected: 120 513 452 125 30 3 21 224 51 1 4 3 0 980
Brayan Rocchio, actual: 148 572 515 129 24 2 13 196 37 5 4 11 0 655
Brayan Rocchio, projected: 148 564 503 117 25 2 10 175 41 4 6 10 0 557
Daniel Schneemann, actual: 90 282 258 53 11 0 6 82 24 0 0 0 0 458
Daniel Schneemann, projected: 90 278 250 52 12 1 7 86 26 0 1 1 0 535
George Valera, actual: 13 38 37 8 3 0 0 11 1 0 0 0 0 361
George Valera, projected: 13 37 34 7 2 0 1 12 3 0 0 0 0 522
Kahlil Watson, actual: 27 91 88 21 6 0 1 30 3 0 0 0 0 470
Kahlil Watson, projected: 27 90 87 21 6 0 1 30 3 0 0 0 0 455
Player (alphabetical by last name) G PA AB H 2B 3B HR TB BB SH SF HBP CI TOP
Guardians, Actual: 156 5876 5202 1238 241 14 152 1963 548 27 41 56 2 660
Guardians, Projected: 156 5797 5163 1254 254 21 162 2041 510 22 44 56 0 654


Assorted Team Stats:
Stat Actual Projected
Batting Average: 0.238 0.243
Slugging Average: 0.377 0.395
Walks (per PA): 0.093 0.088
SOs (per PA): 0.210 0.208
On-Base Average: 0.315 0.315
Power Factor: 1.586 1.628
OPS: 0.692 0.711
Runs Expected from Actual Stats: 660
Runs Expected from Projected Stats: 654
Actual Runs Scored: 649

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This page was last modified on Tuesday, 22 September 2026, at 5:32 am Pacific Time.