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Tigers 2026 Projected Batting Performance


All raw data supplied courtesy of Baseball-Reference.com.
They do a wonderful job, and deserve your support.

2026 Tigers Projected Batting

Through games of Monday, 21 September 2026.
All results are from true, unadjusted data.

Explanation of the Table

The Table below shows two lines for each player and for the team as a whole: Actual and Projected. The Actual lines are just what it says: the actual stats for this season to date; the Projected lines want a little explanation.

The projecting has two steps. The first is simple: for each man, we calculate the ratio of his current-season-to-date Plate Appearances to his career Plate Appearances, then multiply all his career stats by that ratio to get what one might call his “raw” career-performance data pro-rated to his current-year number of Plate Appearances. So, as a hypothetical example, a man with 5,000 career PAs and 250 PAs this season would have a ratio of 250/5000, or .050; so, if he had, say, 1215 career Hits, his raw projected Hits number for this season would be 1215 x .05, or 61 (if the calculated number is fractional, as with 60.75, we round it off to the nearest whole number).

That much is simple and, we hope, clear. The second adjustment takes a little explaining. It derives from the fact that—for a team or for an individual man—the number of Plate Appearances that will be had for a given number of Outs made (which is to say “innings played”) depends exactly on the on-base percentage: the higher the on-base percentage, the more PAs the man or team will have in any given number of innings.

To clarify: imagine a team with an abysmal .250 on-base percentage; that number means that, on average, one man in four that they send to the plate will get on safely. The converse of that is that three men in four will make out. (For simplicity’s sake in this elementary example, we ignore outs made on the bases.) So, in an average inning, that team, to make the three outs that constitute an inning, will send 4 men to the plate. If we next imagine a team with an equally absurd .500 on-base percentage, only half its batters make an out: thus, to make the three outs that define an inning, they would have—again, on average—to send 6 men to the plate. So (as should be intuitively obvious anyway), for a given number of innings, a higher OBP means more PAs.

The consequence of that is that each man’s “raw”stat projections, which were based on his PAs for this season, are slightly inaccurate, because his—and the team’s—PAs would be different (perhaps higher, perhaps lower) from what they are if all the men were performing at their career rates. To correct for that, we calculate each man’s career "outs rate" (all Outs made per plate appearance, which does include outs made on the bases) and multiply it by his percentage of the team’s total Plate Appearances; we then sum up those outs rates to get a projected team Outs rate, and from that—holding Outs made (which, again, is just innings played) constant—we can reckon the projected team PA total. We can then adjust each projected stat line by the ratio of expected team PAs to actual PAs (which normally yields a number fairly close to, but not equalling,1.0), giving us the true projected stats for each man and for the team.

(For this season for this team’s batting, the adjustment factor, rounded to three decimal places—the actual calculations use many more decimals— is 0.996)

Incidentally, that last adjustment is the reason that even rookies, whose whole “career” is just the current season, can have “adjusted” lines that differ slightly from their actual data lines, and why the TOP numbers here may differ slightly from those on other pages here.

You can see the overall “win-capability” of the team (its wins projected from these team numbers and the corresponding team pitching numbers) at our “Projected Team-Performances” page.

The Table

Player (alphabetical by last name) G PA AB H 2B 3B HR TB BB SH SF HBP CI TOP
Javier Báez, actual: 56 188 179 43 11 1 3 65 6 0 1 2 0 427
Javier Báez, projected: 56 187 176 44 9 1 7 76 8 0 1 2 0 672
Brett Callahan, actual: 29 71 64 14 3 1 1 22 5 0 1 1 0 629
Brett Callahan, projected: 29 71 64 14 3 1 1 22 5 0 1 1 0 590
Kerry Carpenter, actual: 81 259 231 48 5 2 13 96 18 0 3 5 2 690
Kerry Carpenter, projected: 81 258 235 61 10 2 13 116 16 0 2 4 1 841
Max Clark, actual: 46 184 160 44 10 3 3 69 17 2 1 4 0 856
Max Clark, projected: 46 183 159 44 10 3 3 69 17 2 1 4 0 841
Trei Cruz, actual: 2 5 5 0 0 0 0 0 0 0 0 0 0 0
Trei Cruz, projected: 2 5 5 0 0 0 0 0 0 0 0 0 0 0
Dillon Dingler, actual: 142 594 539 132 27 2 27 244 33 0 5 15 2 771
Dillon Dingler, projected: 142 592 544 137 27 3 21 234 30 0 3 12 2 709
Player (alphabetical by last name) G PA AB H 2B 3B HR TB BB SH SF HBP CI TOP
Riley Greene, actual: 136 574 497 141 31 2 21 239 67 0 5 5 0 1018
Riley Greene, projected: 136 572 510 137 27 4 21 234 54 0 4 4 0 862
Jahmai Jones, actual: 57 105 95 13 2 0 2 21 10 0 0 0 0 235
Jahmai Jones, projected: 57 105 93 21 5 1 3 37 9 0 0 2 0 672
Corey Julks, actual: 4 7 7 2 1 0 0 3 0 0 0 0 0 592
Corey Julks, projected: 4 7 6 2 0 0 0 2 0 0 0 0 0 473
Jace Jung, actual: 4 9 7 1 0 0 0 1 2 0 0 0 0 405
Jace Jung, projected: 4 9 8 1 0 0 0 2 1 0 0 0 0 161
Colt Keith, actual: 140 423 384 99 19 4 10 156 32 0 2 5 0 709
Colt Keith, projected: 140 421 383 99 16 3 10 152 34 0 2 3 0 705
Hao-Yu Lee, actual: 109 340 310 83 18 2 10 135 26 1 3 0 0 754
Hao-Yu Lee, projected: 109 339 309 83 18 2 10 134 26 1 3 0 0 741
Player (alphabetical by last name) G PA AB H 2B 3B HR TB BB SH SF HBP CI TOP
Ben Malgeri, actual: 55 128 108 26 4 0 4 42 17 0 1 2 0 886
Ben Malgeri, projected: 55 127 108 26 4 0 4 42 17 0 1 2 0 865
Kevin McGonigle, actual: 151 684 583 160 26 5 17 247 94 0 4 3 0 1016
Kevin McGonigle, projected: 151 681 581 159 26 5 17 246 94 0 4 3 0 999
Zach McKinstry, actual: 125 416 367 74 15 4 4 109 41 3 2 3 0 511
Zach McKinstry, projected: 125 414 371 84 17 5 8 135 35 2 3 4 0 605
Parker Meadows, actual: 12 39 36 9 1 1 0 12 2 0 0 1 0 697
Parker Meadows, projected: 12 39 35 8 1 1 1 13 4 0 0 0 0 746
James Outman, actual: 45 100 93 17 0 1 5 34 5 0 0 2 0 510
James Outman, projected: 45 100 87 18 3 1 4 33 10 0 0 2 0 686
John Peck, actual: 20 66 55 10 1 0 0 11 8 0 1 2 0 463
John Peck, projected: 20 66 55 10 1 0 0 11 8 0 1 2 0 428
Player (alphabetical by last name) G PA AB H 2B 3B HR TB BB SH SF HBP CI TOP
Wenceel Pérez, actual: 53 175 161 29 4 1 7 56 14 0 0 0 0 478
Wenceel Pérez, projected: 53 174 159 37 7 2 5 63 14 0 1 1 0 614
Jake Rogers, actual: 34 110 93 15 2 1 3 28 13 1 2 1 0 502
Jake Rogers, projected: 34 110 98 19 4 1 4 36 10 1 1 1 0 531
Zack Short, actual: 23 46 36 6 2 0 0 8 7 0 2 1 0 524
Zack Short, projected: 23 46 39 7 1 0 1 11 5 1 1 0 0 424
Spencer Torkelson, actual: 154 594 514 118 27 0 25 220 67 0 4 8 1 744
Spencer Torkelson, projected: 154 592 520 118 27 1 23 216 60 0 4 7 0 685
Gleyber Torres, actual: 95 415 354 92 13 0 8 129 56 0 2 3 0 803
Gleyber Torres, projected: 95 413 365 96 17 0 14 156 42 1 4 2 0 803
Eduardo Valencia, actual: 37 119 113 40 13 0 6 71 3 0 0 2 1 1302
Eduardo Valencia, projected: 37 119 113 40 13 0 6 71 3 0 0 2 1 1302
Player (alphabetical by last name) G PA AB H 2B 3B HR TB BB SH SF HBP CI TOP
Matt Vierling, actual: 92 291 266 55 13 3 5 89 19 1 5 0 0 444
Matt Vierling, projected: 92 290 263 66 12 2 6 101 21 0 3 2 0 636
Gage Workman, actual: 16 38 38 6 3 0 2 15 0 0 0 0 0 381
Gage Workman, projected: 16 38 37 7 3 0 1 14 1 0 0 0 0 301
Tigers, Actual: 157 5980 5295 1277 251 33 176 2122 562 8 44 65 6 705
Tigers, Projected: 157 5958 5323 1338 261 38 183 2226 524 8 40 60 4 723


Assorted Team Stats:
Stat Actual Projected
Batting Average: 0.241 0.251
Slugging Average: 0.401 0.418
Walks (per PA): 0.094 0.088
SOs (per PA): 0.228 0.234
On-Base Average: 0.319 0.323
Power Factor: 1.662 1.664
OPS: 0.720 0.741
Runs Expected from Actual Stats: 705
Runs Expected from Projected Stats: 723
Actual Runs Scored: 706

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This page was last modified on Tuesday, 22 September 2026, at 5:32 am Pacific Time.