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Astros 2026 Projected Batting Performance


All raw data supplied courtesy of Baseball-Reference.com.
They do a wonderful job, and deserve your support.

2026 Astros Projected Batting

Through games of Sunday, 12 July 2026.
All results are from true, unadjusted data.

Explanation of the Table

The Table below shows two lines for each player and for the team as a whole: Actual and Projected. The Actual lines are just what it says: the actual stats for this season to date; the Projected lines want a little explanation.

The projecting has two steps. The first is simple: for each man, we calculate the ratio of his current-season-to-date Plate Appearances to his career Plate Appearances, then multiply all his career stats by that ratio to get what one might call his “raw” career-performance data pro-rated to his current-year number of Plate Appearances. So, as a hypothetical example, a man with 5,000 career PAs and 250 PAs this season would have a ratio of 250/5000, or .050; so, if he had, say, 1215 career Hits, his raw projected Hits number for this season would be 1215 x .05, or 61 (if the calculated number is fractional, as with 60.75, we round it off to the nearest whole number).

That much is simple and, we hope, clear. The second adjustment takes a little explaining. It derives from the fact that—for a team or for an individual man—the number of Plate Appearances that will be had for a given number of Outs made (which is to say “innings played”) depends exactly on the on-base percentage: the higher the on-base percentage, the more PAs the man or team will have in any given number of innings.

To clarify: imagine a team with an abysmal .250 on-base percentage; that number means that, on average, one man in four that they send to the plate will get on safely. The converse of that is that three men in four will make out. (For simplicity’s sake in this elementary example, we ignore outs made on the bases.) So, in an average inning, that team, to make the three outs that constitute an inning, will send 4 men to the plate. If we next imagine a team with an equally absurd .500 on-base percentage, only half its batters make an out: thus, to make the three outs that define an inning, they would have—again, on average—to send 6 men to the plate. So (as should be intuitively obvious anyway), for a given number of innings, a higher OBP means more PAs.

The consequence of that is that each man’s “raw”stat projections, which were based on his PAs for this season, are slightly inaccurate, because his—and the team’s—PAs would be different (perhaps higher, perhaps lower) from what they are if all the men were performing at their career rates. To correct for that, we calculate each man’s career "outs rate" (all Outs made per plate appearance, which does include outs made on the bases) and multiply it by his percentage of the team’s total Plate Appearances; we then sum up those outs rates to get a projected team Outs rate, and from that—holding Outs made (which, again, is just innings played) constant—we can reckon the projected team PA total. We can then adjust each projected stat line by the ratio of expected team PAs to actual PAs (which normally yields a number fairly close to, but not equalling,1.0), giving us the true projected stats for each man and for the team.

(For this season for this team’s batting, the adjustment factor, rounded to three decimal places—the actual calculations use many more decimals— is 0.989)

Incidentally, that last adjustment is the reason that even rookies, whose whole “career” is just the current season, can have “adjusted” lines that differ slightly from their actual data lines, and why the TOP numbers here may differ slightly from those on other pages here.

You can see the overall “win-capability” of the team (its wins projected from these team numbers and the corresponding team pitching numbers) at our “Projected Team-Performances” page.

The Table

Player (alphabetical by last name) G PA AB H 2B 3B HR TB BB SH SF HBP CI TOP
Nick Allen, actual: 46 97 87 21 3 0 1 27 6 1 2 1 0 530
Nick Allen, projected: 46 96 87 19 3 0 1 24 6 2 1 0 0 372
Jose Altuve, actual: 74 317 285 67 13 1 11 115 29 1 1 1 0 640
Jose Altuve, projected: 74 313 284 85 16 1 9 132 24 1 2 3 0 920
Yordan Alvarez, actual: 96 420 349 111 17 0 31 221 63 0 3 5 0 1611
Yordan Alvarez, projected: 96 415 354 106 22 1 25 206 52 0 4 6 0 1252
Zach Cole, actual: 19 53 51 8 1 0 3 18 1 0 0 1 0 435
Zach Cole, projected: 19 52 49 10 1 0 3 22 3 0 0 0 0 592
Carlos Correa, actual: 32 141 122 34 8 0 3 51 18 0 1 0 0 873
Carlos Correa, projected: 32 139 123 34 7 0 5 57 14 0 1 1 0 879
Ray Delgado, actual: 16 33 30 8 1 0 1 12 2 1 0 0 0 662
Ray Delgado, projected: 16 33 30 8 1 0 1 12 2 1 0 0 0 584
Player (alphabetical by last name) G PA AB H 2B 3B HR TB BB SH SF HBP CI TOP
Zach Dezenzo, actual: 27 63 57 13 4 0 1 20 6 0 0 0 0 632
Zach Dezenzo, projected: 27 62 57 14 3 0 1 21 5 0 0 0 0 573
Yainer Diaz, actual: 44 174 165 41 9 0 6 68 6 0 2 1 0 565
Yainer Diaz, projected: 44 172 163 45 8 0 6 73 6 0 2 1 0 700
Dustin Harris, actual: 11 36 31 7 0 1 0 9 2 1 1 1 0 561
Dustin Harris, projected: 11 36 31 7 2 0 1 12 3 0 0 0 0 606
Daniel Johnson, actual: 8 17 14 2 0 0 0 2 2 0 0 1 0 228
Daniel Johnson, projected: 8 17 16 3 0 0 0 5 1 0 0 0 0 178
Joey Loperfido, actual: 39 120 102 22 7 1 1 34 14 1 1 1 1 525
Joey Loperfido, projected: 39 119 108 26 6 1 2 41 8 1 0 2 0 560
Brice Matthews, actual: 82 226 208 41 5 1 7 69 15 2 1 0 0 428
Brice Matthews, projected: 82 223 205 39 4 1 9 72 14 3 1 1 0 463
Player (alphabetical by last name) G PA AB H 2B 3B HR TB BB SH SF HBP CI TOP
Jake Meyers, actual: 52 148 136 28 6 0 3 43 10 0 1 1 0 490
Jake Meyers, projected: 52 146 133 32 6 1 3 49 10 1 1 2 0 602
Isaac Paredes, actual: 91 384 331 84 18 0 12 138 37 0 3 13 0 833
Isaac Paredes, projected: 91 380 327 78 15 0 15 140 41 0 2 9 0 777
Jeremy Peña, actual: 51 216 195 56 9 0 6 83 15 0 2 4 0 977
Jeremy Peña, projected: 51 214 196 53 10 1 6 82 11 0 1 4 0 771
Collin Price, actual: 7 13 12 2 1 0 0 3 1 0 0 0 0 258
Collin Price, projected: 7 13 12 2 1 0 0 3 1 0 0 0 0 258
César Salazar, actual: 9 22 18 1 0 0 0 1 3 0 0 1 0 116
César Salazar, projected: 9 22 18 3 0 0 0 4 2 0 0 1 0 233
Braden Shewmake, actual: 30 83 78 20 4 0 3 33 2 2 1 0 0 550
Braden Shewmake, projected: 30 82 78 15 3 0 2 24 2 1 2 0 0 311
Player (alphabetical by last name) G PA AB H 2B 3B HR TB BB SH SF HBP CI TOP
Cam Smith, actual: 96 361 321 70 13 1 12 121 31 0 4 4 1 624
Cam Smith, projected: 96 357 318 73 14 2 9 117 31 0 3 5 0 616
Taylor Trammell, actual: 44 124 113 26 5 1 3 42 9 1 0 1 0 586
Taylor Trammell, projected: 44 123 107 20 6 0 4 38 13 1 0 1 0 488
Christian Vázquez, actual: 60 191 173 38 6 0 5 59 14 3 1 0 0 485
Christian Vázquez, projected: 60 189 174 43 8 0 4 64 12 1 1 1 0 537
LaMonte Wade Jr., actual: 10 34 32 8 2 0 2 16 2 0 0 0 0 818
LaMonte Wade Jr., projected: 10 34 29 7 1 0 1 11 4 0 0 0 0 710
Christian Walker, actual: 96 400 359 85 19 1 20 166 33 0 1 7 0 777
Christian Walker, projected: 96 395 351 87 18 1 18 160 36 0 3 6 0 799
Shay Whitcomb, actual: 17 24 23 3 0 0 2 9 1 0 0 0 0 508
Shay Whitcomb, projected: 17 24 22 4 1 0 1 7 1 0 0 0 0 419
Player (alphabetical by last name) G PA AB H 2B 3B HR TB BB SH SF HBP CI TOP
Astros, Actual: 98 3697 3292 796 151 7 133 1360 322 13 25 43 2 440
Astros, Projected: 98 3656 3272 813 156 9 126 1376 302 12 24 43 0 429


Assorted Team Stats:
Stat Actual Projected
Batting Average: 0.242 0.248
Slugging Average: 0.413 0.421
Walks (per PA): 0.087 0.083
SOs (per PA): 0.216 0.223
On-Base Average: 0.315 0.318
Power Factor: 1.709 1.692
OPS: 0.728 0.739
Runs Expected from Actual Stats: 440
Runs Expected from Projected Stats: 429
Actual Runs Scored: 449

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This page was last modified on Tuesday, 14 July 2026, at 5:30 am Pacific Time.